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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-17 | Pepperdine v. San Diego -1.5 | 65-60 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
670 Pepperdine at San Diego Shrt handed Pepperdine look for home court revenge here in San Diego. While the team has played much better as of late the line adjustment is too severe. We still have the host at 4.1, which gives us the chance to back San Diego at a premium number. PLAY SAN DIEGO |
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02-11-17 | Austin Peay v. Murray State -10 | 58-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
728 Austin Peay at Murray State The Peay is just 2-10 SU in this series but the teams have split the last 14 meetings ATS at Murray State. The Governors have a very weak defense allowing an opponent effective field goal percentage of 57.4. Obviously Peay has struggled on the road with a 3-9 SU record but the three wins have been the last three times traveling. That said the Governors have dropped 15 of 19 overall heading into this contest. Murray State is playing with a bit of revenge here after losing 84-81 just three weeks ago. Murray has dropped 4 of 5 including a single point loss at Morehead State on Wednesday. While the Racers are down this year the line is too low to not back the host. We make this line a few points higher than the current spread. PLAY MURRAY STATE |
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02-11-17 | St Bonaventure v. George Washington +2.5 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
592 St Bonaventure at George Washington Money has come in on the favorite so it's time to strike with GW as we made the host 0.3. PLAY GEORGE WASHINGTON |
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02-11-17 | Quinnipiac v. Rider -4 | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
696 Quinnipiac at Rider The Bobcats are 3-7 SU on the road this year. Overall 10-15 on the season but 7-8 in conference. We have serious concerns about Quinnipiac scoring enough on the road to keep this one close. Rider is 6-2 SU in this series and have cashed all three meetings at home. The Broncs have struggled a bit as of late dropping 7 of 9 to fall to 6-8 in conference. But we make the host 7.3 here so obviously the adjustment has been overblown based on recent play. Cheap number for a team in need of a win. PLAY RIDER |
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02-10-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Knicks | Top | 131-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
855 Denver at New York Well aware that Gallinari is out tonight for the Nuggets, but the line still favors the road team. The current number says the Nuggets are only one point better on a neutral. Denver enters this game having won 9 of 15, while cashing 6 of 7 when installed as the better team. New York on the other hand has won just 6 of 25 games heading into action tonight. The only wins in the last two weeks came against Charlotte and Brooklyn, likely the two worst teams in the NBA over that span. The Knicks are winless on this home stand with San Antonio on deck. The need is there for the host but the ability has left the building. PLAY DENVER |
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02-09-17 | Idaho v. Northern Colorado +1.5 | 88-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
800 Idaho at Northern Colorado The Vandals are a perfect 3-0 in this series winning by margins of 4, 5 and 6 points. This is a team that has won 6 of 7 as of late and are playing its best ball of the season. But keep in mind Idaho is just 3-7 SU on the road this year. Northern Colorado on the other hand has dropped 6 of 7 entering this contest. But because of the way these two have trended as of late we find value on the host. Idaho recently traveled to Montana as a 7 point underdog, our numbers have the Grizzlies 6 points better than the Bears. That’s a 2 1/2 point overlay in this contest. The previous road game was at Montana State as a 4 1/2 point road dog, we have the Bobcats just 2 1/2 points behind that squad. Which would make this a 3 1/2 point overlay. Any way you look at it the lines have over adjusted which puts us on Northern Colorado. PLAY NORTHERN COLORADO |
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02-09-17 | Montana v. Southern Utah +11 | 70-55 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
798 Montana at Southern Utah The line has now moved into our play range with a 4.0 point advantage for the host. PLAY SOUTHERN UTAH |
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02-09-17 | SE Missouri State v. SIU-Edwardsville +4.5 | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
790 SE Missouri State at SIU Edwardsville The Redhawks are 6-5 in the Ohio Valley Conference but one stat stands out against them. Opponent defensive efficiency. This team allows a whopping 56.8% in that category on the season. Which is one of the main reasons why the Redhawks allow 75.6 points per game. In the last nine games every opponent has put up 70 points or more. Not the type of team we want to back in the road favorite role. The Edwardsville Cougars are 0-11 in the OVC, and just 5-20 on the season. This isn’t a good team by any means but one that took the Redhawks to the buzzer 79-76 three weeks ago on the road. With the Redhawks just 3-12 SU away from home we expect the host to break their conference cherry tonight. PLAY SIU EDWARDSVILLE |
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02-09-17 | Old Dominion v. Middle Tennessee -7.5 | 51-64 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
736 Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee State The line just moved into our strike zone with a 2.6 point advantage for the Blue Raiders. PLAY MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE |
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02-09-17 | Tennessee-Martin v. Eastern Illinois +1.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
792 Tennessee Martin at Eastern Illinois The line move has just made this game playable with a 4.1 point differential. PLAY EASTERN ILLINOIS |
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02-09-17 | Hofstra v. Towson -4 | 65-69 | Push | 0 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
722 Hofstra at Towson The Pride are looking to avenge an 86-80 home loss to Towson less than three weeks ago. That loss extended the Hofstra losing streak to six games. Since that time the team has won 3 of 5 but all of those wins came at home, in two instances against weak opposition. Towson on the other hand are playing its best ball of the season winning 7 of 9 with the lone loss coming on the road. Now at 7-5 in conference after starting the year 0-4. The Tigers are a confident bunch these days and the line is a few points short by our numbers. PLAY TOWSON |
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02-08-17 | South Florida v. Connecticut -13 | 51-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
532 South Florida at Connecticut The Huskies have won 14 of the 16 meetings between these two programs. UConn beat South Florida just two weeks ago on the road 81-60 so many will expect a rebound from the Bulls. We don’t agree as this South Florida team has major problems. The Bulls are winless in conference and have lost by margins of 9, 41, 22, 6, 19 and 11 in conference action. This is a poor shooting club that has reached 80 or more points just three times this year, against Delaware, Troy and Florida A&M. This line is short based on the quick revenge angle. PLAY CONNECTICUT |
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02-07-17 | Texas Tech v. TCU -3.5 | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
754 Texas Tech at TCU Like the matchup here in a game we have lined a robust 3 1/2 points better for the host. Look for a comfortable victory for the Horned Frogs. PLAY TCU |
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02-07-17 | Illinois v. Northwestern -5.5 | 68-61 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
740 Illinois at Northwestern Don’t want any part of the Fighting Illini here who are winless on the road this season, losing by margins of 4, 9, 23, 16, and 25 points. Northwestern just had a five game winning streak snapped at Purdue. This is a fantastic defensive team that allows just 44.0% effective field goals. After allowing a season high 80 points last time out you know the defense will be locked down here. PLAY NORTHWESTERN |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -3 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
738 Syracuse at Clemson The Orangemen are getting a lot of press after beating the likes of Florida State and Virginia in the last ten days. But keep in mind this team is only 1-5 straight up on the road this season with the only win coming against NC State. Syracuse has dropped 3 of the 4 meetings with the Tigers SU & ATS. Clemson is coming in off a total embarrassment at Florida State, losing by a whopping 48 points. You can bet this Clemson team will be primed for retribution here. PLAY CLEMSON |
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02-07-17 | Florida v. Georgia +6 | 72-60 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
714 Florida at Georgia Letdown situation for the Gators here after knocking off Kentucky. The team is rolling right now and we can't see them getting up for the lowly Bulldogs. Our line is three points lower than the current line. Fine home dog price. PLAY GEORGIA |
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02-07-17 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania +6 | 64-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
716 Princeton at Pennsylvania This price is awfully heavy on the road favorite Tigers. We like this Penn team better than most and see a three point advantage with the home dog. PLAY PENNSYLVANIA |
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02-07-17 | Rhode Island v. Massachusetts +5.5 | 70-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
728 Rhode Island at Massachusetts Tough spot for the Rams who are off three straight wins including Davidson last time out and a home clash with Dayton on deck. Rhode Island has dropped 5 of 7 ATS visiting Mass are just 3-5 SU on the road this season. The Minutemen have dropped four straight entering this contest and are 2-8 overall in conference. This team is always a dangerous dog as it permits just a 45.1 opponent effective field goal percentage. We are expecting an outright upset by the host. PLAY MASSACHUSETTS |
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02-07-17 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show |
730 Wake Forest at Notre Dame The Demon Deacons have dropped the last three meetings all by double digits. Wake is just 4-5 SU on the road this year. Off back to back wins over the likes of Boston College and Georgia Tech we don’t believe this team has the ability to step up in class here. Wake allows opponents 51.7 effective field goal which is a problem especially on the road. The Irish shoot 6.2% better than the opposition in effective field goals. Coming in here off four straight losses this is a must win contest for the host. The last two times Notre Dame played on this court resulted in losses. The only two home losses this season. The Irish should give its best effort of the season tonight. PLAY NOTRE DAME |
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02-06-17 | Cavs v. Wizards +1 | 140-135 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
502 Cleveland at Washington Cannot trust the Cavaliers in a win situation here. Coming from Cleveland we watch every Cavaliers game possible, and right now this team has no semblance offensively, and the defense isn’t showing effort. Washington has won 17 straight at home and 11 of 12 overall with the only loss coming by a single point at Detroit. This is a show me game for the Wizards and the place will have a playoff atmosphere. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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02-06-17 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Georgia State -10 | 55-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
530 UL Monroe at Georgia State Georgia State has won 6 of the 7 meetings while covering 5 of 6. The Panthers have cashed all three games in this building. This team has an effective field goal percentage of 53.9 which will likely peak tonight playing at home. There is no lookahead for the Panthers with lowly App State on deck. Monroe is a poor shooting team with an effective field goal percentage of 47.0. The Warhawks own just one road or neutral win all season. PLAY GEORGIA STATE |
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02-06-17 | Monmouth v. Rider +9 | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
538 Monmouth at Rider Big differential in our numbers here as the host has extreme value in this one. Just comparing season to date numbers along with recent play should make this line a good five points lower. No doubt about it this Monmouth team is very good. You don’t get to be 19-5 and 11-2 in conference by accident. But this team just survived a one point home win over St Peters and haven’t blown away the opposition on the road. Wins by 12, 4, 7 and a loss by 10 in conference. Neither of these teams are proficient offensively so we expect a lower scoring affair. The Broncos have been competitive all season in conference play until last time out in a 19 point home loss to Iona. We look for a bounce back here from the host. PLAY RIDER |
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02-05-17 | Nebraska +6 v. Iowa | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
863 Nebraska at Iowa The Cornhuskers have dropped 6 of 7 as of late which gives us a nice advantage on the road here. Even in losses this team has been very competitive. Nebraska beat Iowa earlier at home 93-90 as a 2 1/2 point favorite. Iowa itself has lost 3 of 5 with the victories coming against an inconsistent Ohio State team and a poor Rutgers squad. Despite the revenge motive we can’t back this Hawkeyes team laying points. PLAY NEBRASKA |
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02-05-17 | South Florida v. Temple -15 | 74-83 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
862 South Florida at Temple The Bulls enter this contest on a ten game losing streak. Nine of those ten losses have come by double digits. On the road as of late South Florida has fallen by margins of 41, 22, 6, 19 and 11 in conference action. Temple plays solid defense allowing an effective field goal percentage of just 49.2. The largest loss at home this year for the Owls is just six points. While Temple isn’t used to being this big a favorite we actually have them a few points higher than the market. Value on the host. PLAY TEMPLE |
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02-04-17 | Northern Arizona +18.5 v. Weber State | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
744 Northern Arizona at Weber State Surprised by the move in what we consider the wrong direction. We make Weber State a 21.3 point favorite here. More than enough room for us to get involved. PLAY WEBER STATE |
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02-04-17 | Ohio State +9.5 v. Michigan | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
621 Ohio State at Michigan We only made the Spartans 5.7 here as Ohio State has plenty of value at this price. PLAY OHIO STATE |
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02-04-17 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia -10 | 82-75 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
608 Oklahoma State at West Virginia The Mountaineers have won the last five meetings in this series in straight up fashion, covering three straight at home. West Virginia has been beaten just once all season on this court. Oklahoma State is on a nice run but is due for a letdown here after a late comeback win over Oklahoma in a very heated rivalry game. That contest was televised and had major bragging rights in the state. With the Mountaineers pressure we can see this Cowboy fading late. PLAY WEST VIRGINIA |
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02-04-17 | Louisiana-Monroe +6.5 v. Georgia Southern | 62-76 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
610 UL Monroe at Georgia Southern We made this game 9.3 so solid value on the host. PLAY GEORGIA SOUTHERN |
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02-04-17 | Valparaiso v. Green Bay +5 | 69-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
538 Valparaiso at Wisconsin Green Bay Line move play as we had Valpo at only -2.2 here. PLAY WISCONSIN GREEN BAY |
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02-04-17 | Purdue +1 v. Maryland | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
525 Purdue at Maryland Line play as we made Purdue -3.2 in this early matchup. PLAY PURDUE |
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02-03-17 | St. Peter's v. Monmouth -8 | 70-71 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
882 St Peters at Monmouth The line is a bit short here as we expected low double digits. The Hawks enter this game on an eight game winning streak, with the last loss coming vs this opponent. Without any lookahead for Monmouth we see a focused effort from the host. PLAY MONMOUTH |
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02-02-17 | St. Mary's v. Pacific +16.5 | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
758 St Mary's at Pacific Late line move play. We have this game at 12.9 and we are now seeing as high as 16. Solid value on the dog here. PLAY PACIFIC |
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02-02-17 | CS-Fullerton v. UC-Santa Barbara +2 | 79-53 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
750 Fullerton State at Cal Santa Barbara Don’t understand the early line move here as we have the host as the favorite here. The stats show it and history is clearly in its favor. 12 of the last 15 games in this series have been covered by CSB including 7 straight played at home. The Titans are 106 straight up on the road this year and we don’t trust them winning outright in any building, especially one they have struggled in the past. The Gauchos are retiring from Hawaii but the west coast travel isn’t nearly as much of a detriment. Look for Santa Barbara to get a victory tonight. PLAY CAL SANTA BARBARA |
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02-02-17 | Valparaiso v. Wisc-Milwaukee +9.5 | 71-53 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
740 Valparaiso at Wisconsin Milwaukee While Valpo has dominated this series in straight up fashion the series has been pretty even from a spread standpoint when playing in Milwaukee. This is also a sandwich spot for the Crusaders who just beat a decent Northern Kentucky team and has a very good Wisconsin Green Bay team on deck. This is also the first away game for Valparaiso in three weeks. Milwaukee has played better as of late winning 4 of 7, including 3 of 4 in this building. The Panthers are a poor defense but that’s easier corrected when playing at home. We won’t call for the outright victory but WM will take this to the wire. PLAY WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE |
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02-02-17 | Memphis University v. South Florida +14 | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
730 Memphis at South Florida The Tigers are 3-3 SU on the road this year and only beat these Bulls by six earlier at home. Yet it finds itself as a double digit favorite here. While Memphis has had a lot of success in this building this team isn’t up to prior standards. South Florida was just crushed on the road at Cincinnati by 41 points. An embarrassing loss. Even though the Bulls are not a good team, losing in that type of fashion will surely result in high attention spans for this contest. In that road game at the Bearcats the Bulls were 25 point favorites. Which would in turn make them roughly 17 point underdogs at home. Since our power ratings have Cincinnati a full 10 points better than Memphis, the Tigers should only be around a 7 point favorite here. So we have not only a team at home off a terrible performance, but we have the added points as a strong buffer. The Bulls don’t win this but keep it much closer than the current number. PLAY SOUTH FLORIDA |
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02-01-17 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne +7 | 71-64 | Push | 0 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
558 St Bonaventure at Duquesne Major sandwich game for the Bonnies off Rhode Island with VCU on deck. While St Bonaventure has had the upper hand in this series Duquense has cashed 3 of the last 5 meetings at home. While the Dukes enter this game having dropped 5 straight, the competition has included Richmond, Davidson, Rhode Island and Dayton. Just 11 days ago this team was a home dog of 8 1/2 to Rhode Island, a team that is a good 6 points better than the Bonnies. In fact, the last game it played was a 12 point loss at Rhode Island as a 7 point underdog. Too much of an adjustment here as the Dukes take this to the wire. PLAY DUQUESNE |
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02-01-17 | South Dakota v. Nebraska-Omaha -2 | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
590 South Dakota at Nebraska Omaha The Coyotes are now 6-3 in conference and 15-9 on the season, but have played a very easy schedule. Out of conference losses to Houston by 27, Nebraska by 12 and Gonzaga by 37 put a slight dimmer on this season. On the season South Dakota is 3-5 SU on the road. With only a 47.4 effective field goal percentage it’s tough to trust the Coyotes on the road. Nebraska Omaha is 4-5 in conference which makes this a must win game for the Mavericks. The team is a much better shooting team but have struggled defensively. But at home those defensive problems shouldn’t be as much of a concern. After winning four straight the Mavericks have dropped two straight including a home loss to S Dakota State. After facing the likes of USC, Kansas State and Iowa State we feel this team is tested. This line is simply too short in this very important Summit Conference tilt. PLAY NEBRASKA OMAHA |
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02-01-17 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -10.5 | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
542 Georgia Tech at Clemson Talk about a major shift in the line. These two met at Georgia Tech 20 days ago and the Yellow Jackets won as installed as a 9 1/2 home favorite. That meant Clemson was 13 1/2 points better on a neutral court, and 17 1/2 better playing at home. Now 20 days later the line is roughly 9 points less! Let’s try to understand why. Since that game Georgia Tech is 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS. The team is playing much better than early in the season. But keep in mind the Yellow Jackets have lost by 6 at home to Ohio U, by 23 at Tennessee, by 17 at home to Georgia, by 15 at home to Louisville and by a whopping 53 points at Duke. Is the last six games the real Georgia Tech team? Or was it the first 15? Even in losses to superior opposition Clemson has stepped up against North Carolina losing by 3, Virginia losing by 4 and Notre Dame losing by 5. The Tigers have lost by more than 6 points twice this year, a 32 point blowout at Louisville and that ugly loss at Georgia Tech. We expect the Tigers to let out some frustrations here. PLAY CLEMSON |
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01-31-17 | Hornets +3.5 v. Blazers | 98-115 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
709 Charlotte at Portland Quick rematch from 13 days ago when the Hornets beat the Blazers at home 107-85 as a 5 1/2 point home favorite. That game on a neutral showed Charlotte to be 2 1/2 points better. But now after the Hornets have dropped five straight ATS the line is saying these two clubs are equal. We’re not buying it. Portland has won 3 of its last 4 games in straight up fashion, and took the Warriors to the wire in the 113-11 loss. While on the surface that’s pretty impressive, but we can’t discount the rest of the season portfolio. This is a team that is 9-14 ATS when playing a team equal to five points lesser on the year. The Blazers are in the middle of a five game home stand, but Charlotte has had the past two days off. With Golden State on deck for Charlotte this a the game the Hornets simply have to win. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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01-31-17 | Manhattan v. Fairfield -2.5 | Top | 49-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
764 Manhattan at Fairfield The Jaspers have picked up its play in the MAAC since losing at home to Fairfield 97-79 early in the month. But in our opinion this line is very short for the host. Despite dropping 5 of 6 we still have the Stags rated as the better team. Fairfield has also cashed 5 of the last 6 meetings hosting Manhattan. Off a confidence building win over Marist we will back the Stags to sweep the season series. PLAY FAIRFIELD |
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01-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma +2 | Top | 68-66 | Push | 0 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
526 Oklahoma State at Oklahoma The Cowboys enter this game as the much hotter team, but this club has really struggled in Norman. The Sooners have cashed 7 straight in this building against Oklahoma State and have won the last seven games between them in straight up fashion. The Cowboys enter play off three great defensive wins against Arkansas, TCU and Texas Tech. But keep in mind it had lost six straight heading into that threesome. Oklahoma is down this year which is something you just can’t overlook. By even so this is still a top 60 squad getting points at home against a hated rival. History has shown that the Sooners rise up in this matchup and we agree the host is the side here. Coming off an embarrassing 32 point loss on this court last time out against Florida, we see a big bounce back here. PLAY OKLAHOMA |
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01-30-17 | Pistons v. Celtics -6 | 109-113 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
506 Detroit at Boston The Pistons were an excellent defensive team early in the season, but that is long in the past. In fact, Detroit is the third worst defensive squad over the last 20 games. Detroit was the better team the first two times these clubs met, that’s not the case anymore. This line makes the assumption that Boston is 3 points better on a neutral, which is obviously short based on current form. The past meetings the line suggested Boston to be 1 and 3 1/2 points better, so you can see why this line is cheap. Detroit is on a current 6-14 spread run, while Boston has moved up to the second seed in the East. The Celtics on the other hand are riding a 13-8 ATS run and are in the midst of playing six of seven games in the Garden. PLAY BOSTON |
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01-28-17 | Southern Miss v. UAB -15.5 | 43-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
638 Southern Miss at UAB The Golden Eagles haven’t won a road game all season and have staying within a double digit lost just once. Its effective field goal percentage of 44.4 is one of the worst in the country. Playing on the road against a superior team is not the cure for success. The Blazers have won 6 of 7 as of late, including five straight at home. The last four victories here have come by margins of 9, 16, 18 and 32. With only UTEP on deck there is no lookahead for the host. PLAY UAB |
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01-28-17 | Louisiana Tech +9 v. Middle Tennessee | 61-71 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
615 Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee State The Bulldogs have dominated this series winning all six meetings and cashing five. Only once all season has this team lost by double digits which makes them a dangerous underdog. Off a loss last time out to UAB we like this strong defense unit to rebound here. The Blue Hens are riding an eight game winning streak into this game and are currently in first place in the conference. There is nothing more satisfying for them in knocking off this conference nemesis. But this line is simply too high based on the talent of these two teams. Tech simply doesn’t get blown out and if the score is close Middle Tennessee will have all the pressure. PLAY LOUISIANA TECH |
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01-28-17 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | 67-60 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
520 Clemson at Pittsburgh Because of the way the Panthers were completely outplayed last time out against Louisville, many feel the sky is falling. So much so that Clemson has been installed as a road favorite here. But the players want nothing more than to get back on the court and erase those terrible memories. Sure the transition in the coaching staff has been rough, but Pitt hasn’t had the same success for a few years now. It takes time to build a program and the first step is to quickly bounce back from very poor outings. We believe the wrong team is favored here and the spot surely favors the host. PLAY PITTSBURGH |
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01-27-17 | Wizards +4 v. Hawks | Top | 112-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
863 Washington at Atlanta The Wizards just had a showdown with Boston that mean’t a great deal to this team, but the line adjustment isn’t warranted. That game was three days ago, plenty of time to get ready for a top contender for the playoffs. Washington has cashed 7 straight and is now on a 19-6 spread run. The first two meetings showed by the closing line that Atlanta graded out as 1 and 1 1/2 points better. Since that time it’s clear to us that the Wizards are playing much better ball, yet this line has them in the same price range. Just in the last two weeks the Hawks were in the same price range at home against Chicago and Milwaukee, Washington is playing far better ball than those two. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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01-25-17 | Heat v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
506 Miami at Brooklyn Tough spot for the Heat here after upsetting the best team in the NBA and now facing the worst. A trip to Chicago is on deck against former All-Star Wade. Miami has won exactly once on the road since December 9th, yet it is expected to not only win but cover tonight in Brooklyn. The Heat have only been favored in this range once all season, 7 1/2 points better than Philadelphia in November. Miami actually lost that game straight up 101-94. This is not the kind of role the Heat have had success in. Brooklyn has this game sandwiched between San Antonio and Cleveland. The Nets are 12-8 ATS on the season when playing a team 6-10 points better than it is. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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01-24-17 | Clippers v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
708 LA Clippers at Philadelphia Both teams will be without its best players tonight as Paul and Embiid are on the sidelines. Blake Griffin returns to the lineup for the Clippers which is a major reason why this line has jumped from the overnights. But is having him back with tons of rust a good thing? The Clippers went all out yesterday in an impressive win at Atlanta, now its playing in the second game of a back to back against a younger team with fresh legs. LA also has hated rival Golden State on deck. Before playing the Warriors or Cavaliers this year, (The two teams in the NBA Finals) LA has really struggled. How bout losing outright to Brooklyn as a 10 1/2 point favorite, and losing outright to Indiana as an 11 1/2 point chalk. The Sixers have won 8 of its last 11 games in straight up fashion. When playing a team that is 6-10 points better on a neutral Philadelphia has cashed 13 of 20. The Sixers are a team on the rise and its used to not playing with Embiid this season as the team rests him in back to back games. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons -5.5 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
312 Green Bay at Atlanta The Packers have been red hot riding the smoking gun of Aaron Rodgers, and he will have success against this middling Atlanta defense. That said, this Falcons offense is one of the best we have seen in the NFL for many years. Not only can Atlanta run the football successfully, Matt Ryan is having an MVP season as well. The Packers have been in a must win situation for weeks now, while the Falcons had the division won for a while. Atlanta is the fresher team having had a bye week and really didn’t have to extend itself the last couple weeks of the season. PLAY ATLANTA |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons OVER 60 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
311 Green Bay at Atlanta Not impressed with either defense here, and with Atlanta having the fourth best first half offense in the history of the NFL, we expect the Packers to throw the ball a lot. Atlanta gets off to great starts and we expect the same here today at home. The Packers don’t have much of a running game and Rodgers has taken control of the offense with great success as of late. The line is high for a reason and the game is being played in a dome. Look for a shootout as these two easily surpass this high total. PLAY OVER |
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01-22-17 | Warriors v. Magic +13.5 | Top | 118-98 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
832 Golden State at Orlando Tough spot for the Warriors in the first of a back to back night, after facing Cleveland, Oklahoma City and Houston. Golden State is just 10-19 ATS on the season when favored over a team that is 11 points or worse power rated. Orlando is a solid 8-4 ATS when playing a team that is 6 or more points better on a neutral. The current line says that the Warriors are 16 points better in this matchup. With Orlando in the middle of a three game home stand we will back the home dog in an early start contest. PLAY ORLANDO |
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01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
502 Portland at Boston Blazers in the second game of a back to back after going to the wire at Philadelphia last night. This is the third game in four days and the final game on this four game trip. Portland can look forward to a five game home stand that starts on Wednesday. Boston is off a home loss to the Knicks. The Celtics have been an excellent 16-7 ATS when playing a team 0-5 points weaker than itself. This is the only Boston game in a five day span. PLAY BOSTON |
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01-21-17 | Boise State -6 v. San Jose State | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
607 Boise State at San Jose State The Broncos have won 22 of the last 24 meetings with the Aztecs, but San Jose State won the last time these two tangled. Boise has dropped back to back games to Fresno State and New Mexico and has a tough contest with Nevada on deck. San Jose State hasn’t been anything special at home with a 4-4 SU record against Division 1 competition. We expect Boise to take out some frustrations here. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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01-19-17 | Mavs +2 v. Heat | 95-99 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
703 Dallas at Miami Mavericks have played better ball as of late with the team finally getting healthy. Veteran team that we trust to win games in this price range. Miami returned from a 6 game road trip last time out which is a strong go against, but the Heat shocked the red hot Rockets. With Miami facing Eastern Conference rival Milwaukee and then Golden State, we feel this will be the game Miami struggles. It’s tough to get up for games on a daily basis, Miami goes down here. PLAY DALLAS |
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01-17-17 | Raptors v. Nets +12 | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
702 Toronto at Brooklyn On paper this one looks like a blowout with the Raptors being one of the best teams in the east and Brooklyn losing 10 straight and claiming the worst record in the league. But Toronto has already beaten Brooklyn twice this year by double digits, including a blowout at home on Friday. In both those games the closing line suggested Toronto to be 12 1/2 points better than the Nets. The current line has the Raptors 14 1/2 points better, and Toronto is playing in the first of a back to back situation as it travels to Philadelphia tomorrow. Brooklyn on the other hand doesn’t play again until Friday at New Orleans. With a two point advantage in the line along with a lack of motivation for the favorite, we will look for the Nets to be competitive tonight at home. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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01-16-17 | Cleveland State v. Oakland -13.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
532 Cleveland State at Oakland As a former student of Cleveland State before transferring to Akron, it’s very sad what has happened to this once proud program. The Vikings own just five victories on the season and have been uncompetitive in many games this year. The Vikings just gave its all at home to Valparaiso and still lost by double digits. Oakland has lost just four games all season, two to future Big Dance participants. Off a home loss last time out to Detroit we can see this team being extra motivated here. Cleveland State has lost every road game this season by 4 or more points, 6 by double digits. Without a hot shooting night Cleveland State can’t compete with this club on the road. PLAY OAKLAND |
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01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs OVER 44.5 | 18-16 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
305 Pittsburgh at Kansas City While the Pittsburgh defense has gotten better as the season has gone on, keep in mind the weak offensive teams the Steelers faced on its schedule. Just in division Cincinnati, Cleveland and Baltimore struggled putting points on the board. Kansas City doesn’t throw the ball long but the receivers are able to turn short passes into large gains. The Chiefs have been among the leaders in explosive plays out of the passing game. With the total dropping on this contest we feel it’s time to jump on the over as we see both teams having success. Pittsburgh in the running game and the Chiefs through the air. PLAY OVER |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
308 Green Bay at Dallas The first time these two played all the talk was about the Cowboys running game against the Packers run defense. Dallas won that battle and we expect more of the same here. Dallas has multiple offensive weapons while the Packers will be playing shorthanded at receiver without Jordy Nelson. We trust the Dallas defense over the Packers, and the extra week of rest should be a big advantage for the host. PLAY DALLAS |
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01-14-17 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -7 | Top | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
672 St Marys at Gonzaga This rivalry battle comes down to who can dictate the pace. St Mary wants to slow the ball down ranking 350th in the country in adjusted tempo, while the Zags are more middle of the pack. The home team and or favorite normally dictate pace and the would be Gonzaga on both counts. The Zags have dominated this series with its biggest league rival, and St Mary has played the easier schedule of these two. We will ride the host to win this one by double digits. PLAY GONZAGA |
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01-13-17 | Cavs v. Kings +6.5 | 120-108 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
718 Cleveland at Sacramento The Cavaliers are struggling right now on both offense and defense. Other than an outstanding first half last Sunday against the Suns, the Cavs have been really bad in losses at Utah and Portland. The King says himself that the team needs more practice time. That won’t help them here when playing its third game in four days. Cleveland has the next two days off before Championship Revenge II for the Warriors. Sacramento does struggle to defend the three which could be a problem tonight, but tired legs can’t help the Cleveland long range shooting effort. Unlike the Cavaliers, the Kings are in the midst of a seven game home stand. It’s had the last two days off and has played just twice in the last week. This line is too high for a team to lay when struggling as the Cave are. PLAY SACRAMENTO |
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01-12-17 | Purdue v. Iowa +5 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
560 Purdue at Iowa The Boilermakers have been the better team as of late and it still struggles with the Hawkeyes, especially on the road. Iowa has been favored just twice in the last ten meetings, yet it has won five of those games outright. At home Iowa has cashed 7 of 8 games including outright underdog wins as 5, 9 and 14 1/2 point underdogs. Purdue has just one outright win in a true road game all season and that was by a single point at Ohio State. Iowa was blown out at Purdue just two weeks ago, we see revenge for the host here. PLAY IOWA |
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01-10-17 | Cavs -2 v. Jazz | Top | 92-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
511 Cleveland at Utah Terrible scheduling spot for the Jazz here who return home from a five game eastern road trip. The Utah offense has really struggled as of late scoring 79, 94 and 93 points. Through December 21st which is the last day we charted this angle, teams off a 5+ game road trip were 7-13 ATS this season. It’s been a consistent winner year in and year out. Utah is also a poor 1-7 ATS on the season when playing a team that is 0-5 points better than them. The current line last the Cavs five points the superior team. Throw in the fact that Cleveland is off back to back games in which it blew sizable leads, and we have a Cavs team with something to prove. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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01-09-17 | Clemson v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 48 m | Show |
152 Clemson & Alabama in Tampa We played Clemson in this game last year and walked away with the cash. But we’ve watched every Tigers game this year and this team isn’t as strong as a year ago. The defense remains solid but the offense has been very inconsistent. The line advantage that the Tigers had over Ohio State will not be repeated here as Clemson and Alabama have the two best combined offensive and defensive lines in college football. On the season Clemson is 1-4 ATS when losing the turnover battle while Alabama is 4-1 ATS. That’s a sizable edge for the Tide in a game where turnovers will determine the winner. Going in to last week the consensus line on this game was anywhere from 9 to 11. Based on Clemson playing its best game of the season this line has dropped about three points. The line value is on the favorite and we will lay the points with the Tide. PLAY ALABAMA |
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01-08-17 | Ohio State +5.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 68-78 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
539 Ohio State at Minnesota The Buckeyes have won 10 of the last 11 meetings in this series and enter here off back to back 5 and 1 point losses to Illinois and Purdue. With a trip to Wisconsin on deck this is an early season must win spot for the Buckeyes. Minnesota enters with an outstanding 14-2 record on the season, winning 8 of the last 9. After road wins at Purdue and Northwestern this club enters play tonight fat and happy. But keep in mind both of these teams have played better on the road than at home this season, so we feel this line is a bit inflated. Look for this one to come down to the wire. PLAY OHIO STATE |
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01-07-17 | San Diego State v. Boise State -3 | Top | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
878 San Diego State at Boise State The Aztecs have owned the Mountain West Conference for years, but Boise has really given them problems as of late. The Broncos have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with defense showing the way in each showdown. When looking at how these teams have done when stepping up this year we find San Diego State 1-2 when facing Top 100 Programs. Losing to Gonzaga badly and Nevada last time out. In fact, if you extend that another ten spots it includes losses to 109 New Mexico and 103 Arizona State. Boise has split top opponents with a win over 28 SMU and a loss at 18 Oregon. Boise has held the Aztecs to 63, 56, 46 and 46 points the last four contests. They get it done again tonight. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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01-07-17 | Oklahoma State +11.5 v. Baylor | 57-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
833 Oklahoma State at Baylor These two teams have split its last eight meetings with only one contest being decided by more than 11 points. The Cowboys enter here off back to back losses to West Virginia and Texas, while Baylor is undefeated and likely will move up to #1 in the AP Rankings. At 10-4 the Cowboys are still a terrific team at #41 in our rankings, while Baylor has been terrific we feel this line is a bit inflated. Especially with the pressure of getting to the top position for the Bears. While this is a home game for Baylor keep in mind this gaudy record has been made by playing one true road game this season. The Cowboys average 10 steals per game which can turn the tide in any matchup. With the close history and the high line we look for Oklahoma State to make this a close one. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE |
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01-05-17 | Murray State +5.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
797 Murray State at Jacksonville State The Racers have won 19 out of 20 meetings in this series with the lone loss coming by a single point. While Murray State has struggled on the road our power ratings and overall rankings have the Racers as the better team. Jacksonville State has played an amazingly daunting schedule with this being its second true home game of the season. So while this will be an inspired home fanbase, you have to keep in mind the Gamecocks have played just one more game in this building than tonights opponent. We will take the points here and let history be our guide with the better team. PLAY MURRAY STATE |
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01-05-17 | Nets +10.5 v. Pacers | 109-121 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
701 Brooklyn at Indiana The Nets haven’t been winning on the scoreboard but they are cashing at the windows. Now on an 11-4-1 spread run and a terrific 6-1 ATS mark when playing a team 6-10 points better on a neutral court. The last time these two got together Indiana won by 21 here, so no added meaning for Indiana in this contest. The Pacers have won three straight and have New York Knick revenge on deck. Indiana is also just 1-6 ATS on the season against teams they are 6-10 points better than. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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01-04-17 | Blazers +16 v. Warriors | 117-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
511 Portland at Golden State The Blazers have struggled against the Warriors thus far losing by margins of 45 and 23 points. But this team is much better than that and has a lot better talent than what it has shown thus far. Can’t see the Warriors getting overly excited here and its failed to cover 10 of its last 13 games. Golden State is also just 6-12 ATS on the season when playing a team it is 11-15 points better than based on the closing line. With Memphis revenge on deck for Friday we expect the Blazers with 45 point revenge fresh in its mind to keep this game close. PLAY PORTLAND |
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01-03-17 | Jazz v. Celtics -5.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
704 Utah at Boston Jazz are on a nice current run winning four straight games. The problem has been the opponents have been the weakest teams in the league. Brooklyn, Phoenix, Philadelphia and the Lakers. The Jazz played last night in Brooklyn and are unrested, while Boston has had the last three days off. Utah is just 1-5 ATS on the season when playing a team 0-5 points better than them on a neutral court. Boston is playing well as the team starts to get healthy. Winning 7 of 9 with the losses to Oklahoma and Cleveland. The Celtics are 12-5 ATS on the year playing teams they are 0-5 points better. Look for the rested Celts to prevail. PLAY BOSTON |
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01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State +8 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
280 USC & Penn State Both teams finished the regular season as two of the hottest teams in the nation. Both as we often see that hot streak no longer exists this far between games. It happens all the time in the NFL with a bye week, so you can imagine what happens in a January Bowl Game. USC played Stanford, Utah, Colorado and Washington this year. None of those teams in the PAC12 covered the number in its bowl game. We have these two clubs rated about as close as two bowl teams could be, with Southern Cal gaining a small home edge because of the location. In the key numbers we use we have the following: In season long explosive plays Penn State has the edge 3.0 per game to 1.6. In the last four regular season games Penn State is also ahead 17-5. When comparing the teams spread records when losing the turnover battle USC is 3-2 and Penn State is 2-2. When losing the sack battle Penn State is 0-1 ATS and USC comes in at 1-2. So as you can see these two clubs are almost identical in our power ratings. With the Nittany Lions knowing it can finish the season ranked #3 with the losses of Washington, Michigan and Ohio State. We will take the generous points with Penn State. PLAY PENN STATE |
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01-01-17 | Browns v. Steelers -5.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
320 Cleveland at Pittsburgh The Browns celebrated as if it won the Super Bowl last week when it upset the Chargers at home. That marked the first win of the season for Cleveland and got the huge monkey of its back. Because of that relieved pressure we can’t see this team looking forward to taking on the physical Steelers with vacation time on deck. Pittsburgh is resting many key starters but the winning philosophy will not change for the host. Pittsburgh is a winning organization from ownership on down, while the Browns are the complete opposite. This line moved 12 points from the lookahead because of the Steelers clinching playoff position. That’s simply too much of a move with the Pittsburgh backups being just as good as these Browns starters. Cheap line for the Steelers here who enter the playoffs with a double digit victory. PLAY PITTSBURGH |
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12-31-16 | Grizzlies v. Kings -1 | 112-98 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
502 Memphis at Sacramento Both teams come into this game a bit shorthanded with injuries, but we prefer the Kings to prevail with the limited rosters. Memphis is starting a four game road trip and are in the midst of playing 6 or 7 on the road. Coming off a blowout of Oklahoma City on Thursday its a prime time to play against the Grizzlies with a trip to Los Angeles on deck. Sacramento is on a 7-2 spread run when playing a team 0-5 points better than they are, including four straight spread winners. Coming off a 102-89 loss at Portland this team will look to rebound after a four game winning streak was broken. PLAY SACRAMENTO |
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12-30-16 | Florida State +7 v. Michigan | Top | 33-32 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
265 Florida State & Michigan at Miami We had Florida State ranked second in the country in our preseason power ratings. We were asking too much from this team with a freshman starter. After being blown out by upstart Louisville the Seminoles were put on the back burner by many. But as the season transpired the Seminoles started to get noticed again in the betting markets, finishing the regular season cashing 4 of 5. Michigan has a solid defense but played one of the weakest offense opponent slates in the country. This will be the best offensive unit the Wolverines have faced all year. And we worry about this Michigan offense who put up big numbers against weak opposition. The best defenses it faced were Wisconsin, Iowa and Ohio State. In those three games the Wolverines tallied 54 points and that included two overtimes against Ohio State. This one comes down to the wire and we will side with the better skill players of Florida State. PLAY FLORIDA STATE |
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12-30-16 | Knicks +2.5 v. Pelicans | 92-104 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
711 New York at New Orleans The Knicks came up short in overtime Wednesday against Atlanta, but we came away impressed by what this team was able to do after Anthony was kicked out of the game. New York now has enough players to create its own shot and no longer needs Carmelo to bale them out of trouble with the shot clock ticking down. The Knicks have been very good this season when facing a team it is 0-5 points better power rating wise. How’s 7-1 ATS sound? That’s the case today in New Orleans. Off a loss and with a trip to red hot Houston on deck, this is a game New York will be focused on. The Pelicans are off three straight home wins over Miami, Dallas and an injured Clippers team. In none of those three games did New Orleans win by margin. We were at that game on Monday against Dallas and we came away more impressed with the short handed Mavericks than the home standing Pelicans. Give us the better team catching points with the Knicks. PLAY NEW YORK |
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12-30-16 | TCU -3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
257 TCU & Georgia in Memphis Much prefer the Horned Frogs here who are 30-21-2 ATS when Gary Patterson has extra time to prepare. This is a team that took a great deal of money in the Game of the Year lines down at the Golden Nugget Sportsbook. It was the most bet on team by the wise guys with a maximum bet of $1,000. Unfortunately this team underperformed all season with a 3-8 ATS mark against FBS opposition. The other two teams with three or less covers were Baylor and Southern Miss, both spread covering teams in the bowl season. With time to reflect on this disappointing season we expect the Horned Frogs to come to play on Friday. Georgia can’t be too excited for this bowl draw after back to back ten win seasons. Kirby Smart has a quality defense in his first season in Athens, but the offense is lacking. There than Alabama the rest of the SEC was really down this year. We’ve already seen Mississippi State struggle with a middling MAC team, and Vanderbilt, Texas A&M and South Carolina lose outright. The line moved towards the Horned Frogs late, and we agree with the move. PLAY TCU |
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12-29-16 | Raptors -9 v. Suns | 91-99 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
509 Toronto at Phoenix The Raptors lost last night at Golden State but Toronto has been very good this season off a loss. Not only are they 5-2-1 ATS off a loss, but a perfect 4-0-1 ATS without rest and 3-1 ATS when facing an unrested opponent. Toronto has the next two days off before facing the Lakers in LA on New Years Day. Phoenix is on a very poor run as of late with a 4-11-1 spread mark, including 1-6 ATS as of late. This is the third elite team the Suns have faced in a row after tabling with Houston and San Antonio in the last three days. Can’t trust the Suns to suddenly shine here against a motivated opponent. PLAY TORONTO |
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12-29-16 | South Florida v. South Carolina +10.5 | Top | 46-39 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
252 South Florida & South Carolina at Birmingham Willie Taggart is off to Oregon with his top assistants, Charlie Strong will not be involved in this game. Therefore you have a sizable favorite here with an inexperienced coaching staff. South Carolina is a sizable SEC underdog, something rarely seen. It also owns the far better defensive unit. We like the job Will Muschamp has done here and this bowl game is a nice reward for a team expected to finish in last place in its division. Take the generous points with the Gamecocks. PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA |
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12-28-16 | Pacers v. Wizards -5 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
702 Indiana at Washington Pacers just beat the Wizards 107-105 just over a week ago in Indiana. Since that time it has dropped three straight to New York, Boston and Chicago. Overall 6 of the last 7 games the Pacers failed to cover. Washington is playing much better ball as of late winning 7 of 10 and cashing 8 of those contests. In the midst of a three game home stand we will back the Wizards here to get quick revenge. Washington has posted a 7-2 ATS mark when playing similar power rating opponents. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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12-27-16 | Washington State v. Minnesota +10 | Top | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
240 Washington State & Minnesota This line has risen based on the suspension of 10 Golden Gophers, two of them starters. Our line with the full lineups would have been Washington State -4. Therefore we are getting six extra points for a team playing with purpose. We always like to play on teams with suspensions as it galvanizes the squad. We will take the generous points here with a quality defensive unit. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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12-26-16 | Vanderbilt +6 v. NC State | 17-41 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
233 Vanderbilt & NC State The Vandy defense has been solid all year but the offense has really come on as of late. It all started in the loss to Missouri where turnovers and key penalties really hurt the volunteers. Because of an early deficit Vanderbilt had to open up the offense, and the results were terrific. State has played well when stepping up in class but has been disappointing otherwise. The money is coming in on the Wolf Pack but we prefer the SEC underdog. PLAY VANDERBILT |
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12-26-16 | Maryland v. Boston College +2.5 | 30-36 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show | |
232 Maryland & Boston College Much prefer the best unit on the field on Sunday which is the BC defense. While the offense isn’t anything to write home about the defense has been strong against middling competition. Maryland has been very inconsistent all season and in our ratings should not be favored here. In a matchup of two mediocre teams we will take the far superior stop unit. PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE |
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12-24-16 | Chargers -4 v. Browns | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
117 San Diego at Cleveland Once again the wise guys have shown up to back the Browns. How’s that worked out for them this season? I admit that I had backed Cleveland on occasion and I still have the betting tickets to prove it. But now that the line has dropped this week we can come in on the Chargers. We are well aware that its a poor spot for San Diego, traveling across the country to play an early game. But the Browns have not shown up against teams in bad spots all season. Nobody wants to be known as the team that lost to the Browns, so we feel the Chargers will be well prepared. PLAY SAN DIEGO |
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12-23-16 | Ohio +4.5 v. Troy | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
225 Ohio U & Troy at Mobile We’ve had a nice bead on the Bobcats this year and feel Ohio U is the right side in this Dollar General Bowl. Playing a tougher schedule Ohio U is 1.3 explosive plays per game over Troy on the season. Over the past four games Ohio U is +12 in explosive plays over the Trojans. Both teams match up well along the lines and take care of the ball equally well. The Bobcats are 3-1 ATS the past 5 years in bowl games including a 31-29 loss as a 7 point underdog to a similar Appalachian State Sun Belt team a year ago. PLAY OHIO U |
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12-23-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Old Dominion -5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
222 Eastern Michigan & Old Dominion at Nassau Not surprised by Old Dominion money coming in as of late as we made this line 5 points higher than the opener. Eastern Michigan won 7 total games the past four seasons, and have really improved this year under Chris Creighton. While web really like this team and have made quality money on them this season, Old Dominion has major edges. The Monarchs take care of the ball much better, only losing the turnover battle once all season. Old Dominion also only lost the sack battle once, all the way back on September 17th against NC State. We prefer the favorite here in what should be a double digit straight up victory. PLAY OLD DOMINION |
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12-22-16 | Lakers v. Heat -5 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
504 LA Lakers at Miami The Lakers have cashed three straight as the team is getting healthier, but its still dropped 10 of 11 in straight up fashion with the only win coming against the 76ers. The Lakers are in the midst of a seven game road trip with the finally tomorrow night in Orlando. Having last night off it wouldn’t be a mistake to assume this young club enjoyed all that Miami has to offer. The line on this game suggests that the Heat are a slightly better team than Los Angeles. So far this season when the Lakers play a team that is slightly better or equal the Lakers are 1-5 ATS. When Miami plays a slightly lesser team the Heat are 3-1 ATS. This is the final game of a six game home stand for the Heat, and its off three straight losses. With a trip to New Orleans on deck tomorrow Miami will be giving all its effort tonight. PLAY MIAMI |
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12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho +15.5 | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
220 Colorado State & Idaho in Boise The problem with bowl season is similar to having a bye during the regular season. Teams that are red hot like Colorado State are thrown out of rhythm, which is why betting on streaking teams doesn’t work. Colorado State has run off seven straight covers to end the regular season, but a closer look at its straight up wins makes us question this high line. Victories over UTSA, Utah State, UNLV, Fresno State and New Mexico are not overly impressive. The win against San Diego State was in a sandwich game for the Aztecs who just played Wyoming and had the Cowboys rematch for the conference title on deck. While Colorado State is good, this line has simply gotten out of control. Idaho is playing its last game as an FBS school and this marks the first bowl game for the Vandals since 2009, a 43-42 win over Bowling Green in the Humanitarian Bowl. Eleven years earlier Idaho also won it’s previous bowl game 42-35 over Southern Miss. This team wants nothing better than to add another bowl victory to its FBS history. Idaho has shown a great deal of heart this year going 2-2 ATS when losing the turnover battle. It’s also covered seven straight heading into this contest, but not as highly hyped as the Rams. This should be a battle. PLAY IDAHO |
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12-21-16 | Kings v. Jazz -7.5 | Top | 94-93 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
714 Sacramento at Utah Both teams are on the second of a back to back situation. Thus far this season with no rest Utah is 1-5 SU while Sacramento is 1-5. Its also an advantage for the host as Sacramento isn’t as used to playing in altitude. While the Kings outlasted the Blazers last night the Jazz were embarrassed in a 30 point loss at Oakland. We look for Utah to bounce back big time tonight. PLAY UTAH |
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12-21-16 | Ohio -6.5 v. Western Kentucky | 66-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
739 Ohio U at Western Kentucky Going to ride the Bobcats here who have already been tested on the road at Georgia Tech, Marshall and Iona. It is the third game in eight days but the prior two were at home. Western Kentucky has gotten off to a sluggish 4-7 start with losses in six of the last seven games. The Hilltoppers are playing the first home game in exactly a month, so the crowd would normally be into it. But the poor start to the season will keep attendance down. The team struggles to put points on the board being held to under 62 five times already. PLAY OHIO U |
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12-21-16 | St. John's +14 v. Syracuse | 93-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
721 St Johns at Syracuse Taking the generous points here in what we expect to be a somewhat low scoring contest. The Red Storm allow a solid 48.4 effective field goal percentage and they protect the rim very well. Off back to back losses and over a week off after this game we get a full effort out of the dog here. The Orange boast a 7-4 record on the season but the team has played eight of those games at home. This is the fourth of fifth straight in their own backyard. Syracuse is off a 48 point victory over Eastern Michigan on Sunday and this is the Orangemen’s third game in a five day span. Great spot for the dog here. PLAY ST JOHNS |
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12-20-16 | New Mexico +11.5 v. Arizona | 46-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
543 New Mexico at Arizona Like the solid shooting of the Lobos here catching double digits. A quality basketball program with a great postseason pedigree. New Mexico lost its two prior road games which gives us added value here. Arizona is a strong ball club but haven’t been outstanding at all this year. Losses to Butler and Gonzaga and close wins over Michigan State and Texas A&M prove the point. The Wildcats are solid defensively but New Mexico has the talent to keep this close. PLAY NEW MEXICO |
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12-20-16 | Idaho State v. BYU -23.5 | 58-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
564 Idaho State at BYU The Bengals are 2-9 on the season as the defensive has really been a problem. in all nine defeats the opposition has scored at least 71 points, with eight reaching 78 points or better. BYU has already played the likes of Valparaiso, USC, Colorado and Illinois. Its allowing an outstanding 46.0 effective field goal percentage. BYU has an inside presence which will stymie the limited Idaho State offense. Off a loss to Illinois dropping the Cougars record to 7-4, we will see a fired up host. PLAY BYU |
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12-20-16 | Marist +3.5 v. Delaware | 56-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
555 Marist at Delaware Two lowly ranked teams go at it tonight and the visitor peaks our interest. The Red Foxes sport a 4-7 record on the season but have only played three games at home. This club is battle tested on the road with games at Duke and Rhode Island. Delaware really struggles putting points on the board with a 45.7 effective field goal percentage. The Blue Hens have the better record at 5-5 but haven’t faced nearly the opposition that Marist has. Home victories over the likes of Goldey-Beacom College and Bryn Athyn don’t cut the mustard. PLAY MARIST |
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12-19-16 | Belmont -8 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 62-56 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
743 Belmont at Wisconsin Milwaukee After the Bruins game Saturday was postponed against Green Bay, Belmont has extra rest coming off that 13 point loss to Middle Tennessee State. The Bruins are well tested on the road having already played Vanderbilt, Florida and Rhode Island away from home. Despite the tough schedule Belmont has impressed us with its overall defense, something you want out of a road favorite. Tough start to the year for the Panthers who only own four victories against the Milwaukee School of Engineering, UC Irvine, Jacksonville and Montana State. We have serious concerns about the Milwaukee defense which allows an opponent effective field goal percentage of 57.2. With no shot blocker down low Belmont should have its way in the paint. PLAY BELMONT |
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12-18-16 | Bucs +7 v. Cowboys | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show |
305 Tampa Bay at Dallas Can’t buck the red hot Bucs here catching a full touchdown. Five straight wins allowing a total of 64 total points., that includes likely playoff foes Kansas City and Seattle. Tampa Bay was won the turnover battle in 8 of 9 games and has held its own in the trenches. Dallas continues to play excellent defense but the offensive side of the ball has struggled as of late. Just 24 total points the last two weeks when facing improving defenses. In a low scoring contest the points are at a premium. PLAY TAMPA BAY |
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12-18-16 | Jaguars v. Texans -4 | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
320 Jacksonville at Houston Money continues to flow in on the Jaguars who have covered just twice in the last eight games. In the last nine contests the Jags haven’t produced more than 22 points in any game. While the opposition has been quality the lack of offense really puts this team behind the eight ball. Jacksonville has only won the turnover battle twice all season and are a negative 17 in turnover differential on the season. Houston has won the last five meetings between these two, with four of those games decided by 6 points or more. In a low scoring matchup we prefer the Texans who are still in the drivers seat for the divisional crown. PLAY HOUSTON |
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12-17-16 | Southern Miss v. UL-Lafayette +4.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 51 m | Show |
New Orleans Bowl 212 Southern Miss & UL Lafayette in New Orleans The Golden Eagles won 4 total games from 2012-2014, but bounced back with a solid 9-5 record last year. So the team entered the 2016 season with high hopes. After beating Kentucky on the road in the season opener things looked great for first year coach Jay Hopson. But the only FBS victories since then came against UTEP, Rice, Marshall and Louisiana Tech. Three very bad teams an a Bulldogs team that was looking past Southern Miss to the CUSA Championship the following week against Western Kentucky. QB Nick Mullens is reportedly healthy, which is a positive. But that’s the only thing going in the Golden Eagles favor here. The team has struggled along the lines the latter part of the year, and is a negative 15 turnovers on the season. The Ragin’ Cajuns have played in the New Orleans Bowl in 4 of the last 5 seasons. ULL is 4-0 straight up and against the spread in those games. While this isn’t a true home game for Lafayette it’s a game the team shoots for every season. One major reason we like the Ragin’ Cajuns chances here are how these two teams perform when losing the turnover battle. When you are able to cover a game despite losing the turnover battle it tells us the true heart of a team. ULL was a perfect 4-0 ATS in that department this season, the best in the FBS, just ahead of Alabama at 4-1. Southern Miss on the other hand was 0-7 ATS when losing the turnover battle. PLAY UL LAFAYETTE |
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12-17-16 | Oklahoma State +7.5 v. Wichita State | 93-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
743 Oklahoma State at Wichita State Good matchup for the Cowboys here as Wichita State has suffered a major blow at the guard position from a year ago. Baker and VanVleet were amazingly talented and the players replacing them are a major step down in talent. Against a Cowboys team that averages over 11 steals a game it should be a tough game for the hosts. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE |
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12-17-16 | Middle Tennessee +4 v. VCU | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
749 Middle Tennessee State at VCU We’ve been very impressed by the Blue Raiders this year and we like the matches here against Virginia Commonwealth. VCA has struggled as of late dropping 2 of 3 with the lone win coming against Old Do,inion by just 3 points. MTSU has reeled off eight straight wins including victories over NC Wilmington, Evansville, Mississippi and Vanderbilt. This team won’t be intimidated here. PLAY MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE |
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12-17-16 | Houston v. San Diego State +4 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 95 h 28 m | Show |
Las Vegas Bowl 204 Houston & San Diego State in Las Vegas Houston will be without coach Tom Herman as he has moved on to Texas. The offensive coordinator has been named new head coach, so the team does know who it will be playing for next season. While the move is a positive for the players, we can’t help but see this bowl as a disappointment for the team. This was a club expecting to play in a much more prestigious bowl, and we expect the players to treat this as more of a vacation spot than a proving ground. Houston has been very inconsistent all season in turnovers and along the lines. The +10 sack margin against Louisville was unbelievable, but other than that game the Cougars were -6 on the season in sacks. In 4 of the last 5 games of the season this team averaged less than 4.7 yards per play. San Diego State is very familiar with this location playing in Vegas every other year. The game will take precedence over the festivities for the Aztecs. San Diego State rarely turns the ball over and is formidable along the lines. Donnel Pumphrey is going for the all-time rushing record so the offensive line will be extra motivated. PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE |
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