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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-26-17 | Twins v. Rangers -145 | 3-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
924 Minnesota at Texas Huge advantage in the starting pitchers here as we have Hector Santiago rated 25% worse than an average major league starter. Hamels on the other hand is 13% better than league average. The bullpen also is a solid edge for the Rangers, as well as a significant edge defensively. While Minnesota hits lefties 7% better than league average it’s not enough to make up for the substantial edges across the board for Texas. PLAY TEXAS |
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04-25-17 | Mariners -128 v. Tigers | 9-19 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
971 Seattle at Detroit Much prefer King Felix here as he has pitched much better this season than many projected. While his velocity is down he has turned into a pitcher rather than a thrower. Zimmerman has been a bust since coming to Detroit and that Tiger bullpen is in shambles. Throw in the fact that Seattle is much better defensively and the Tigers are without future Hall of Famer Miguel Cabrera. Seattle hits 7% better than league average against righties, while the Tigers are 4% below average against right handed starters. PLAY SEATTLE |
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04-23-17 | Cavs -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
509 Cleveland at Indiana We’ve successfully faded the Cavaliers twice in this series, but now is the time to back LeBron and company. Up 3-0 and going for a sweep the veteran team knows the value of rest, so it will go all out to end this series on Sunday. Teams down 3-0 have a habit of giving up, knowing winning four straight games isn’t going to happen. Especially the way the Pacers blew game three after having a 26 point lead. Cleveland took out Kyrie and Love, their two worst defenders and completely shut down this Indiana offense. James is excellent in first round games and his winning streak in those contests continues on Sunday. PLAY CLEVELAND |
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04-22-17 | Giants +101 v. Rockies | 3-12 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
911 San Francisco at Colorado Like the pitching matchup here for the Giants as Moore rates 7% better than Senzatel. The Rockies are also a poor hitting team vs lefties at 10% below league average. The Giants hit righties 5% better than average and we prefer the San Francisco defense. PLAY SAN FRANCISCO |
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04-21-17 | Mariners +113 v. A's | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
977 Seattle at Oakland Nice underdog price for the Mariners here who hit 11% better than league average against lefties, while the A’s hit righties 7% below league standards. Overall Seattle offensively has a 13% edge over Oakland and we have these starters rated virtually even. A nice plus price in a game that should be lined closer to pick ‘em. PLAY SEATTLE |
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04-21-17 | Tigers -136 v. Twins | 3-6 | Loss | -136 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
973 Detroit at Minnesota Verlander was pounded last time out by the Indians, a team that has had his number of the years. In fact, there were rumors that he was tipping his pitches, which the Tigers denied. Detroit simply pound left handed pitching at a whopping 22% better than league average. And we don’t think much of Hector Santiago anyway. Huge offensive edge here for the Tigers with an ace on the mound. PLAY DETROIT |
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04-19-17 | Giants -135 v. Royals | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
979 San Francisco at Kansas City Rare opportunity to gran Mad Bum at a decent price. Kansas City struggles against lefties producing 8% less than average. Now it’s facing one of the elite southpaws in baseball. The Royals also are 5% worse hitting at home than league average. San Francisco has gotten off to a slow start which keeps this line in a positive range. Vargas doesn’t overpower the opposition so the Giants should hit him well. PLAY SAN FRANCISCO |
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04-18-17 | Orioles v. Reds +153 | 3-9 | Win | 153 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
926 Baltimore at Cincinnati While the Orioles have the starting pitcher edge in this one, the teams are equal across the board in every other handicapping method. Keep in mind the Orioles are without its closer which limits the bullpen edge. Baltimore has gotten off to a great start because of an extremely high and non-sustainable home run to flyable ratio. The O’s will also be without a DH here which really hurts this big slugging team. PLAY CINCINNATI |
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04-18-17 | White Sox +182 v. Yankees | 4-1 | Win | 182 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
913 Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees While Severino was highly touted he hasn’t lived up to the hype in the early going. Here we are getting the #4 starter for the Yanks against the #2 starter for the Sox, and yet New York is a prohibitive favorite. We make this line much lower than the current markets, and are willing to back a White Sox team who are much closer in talent to the Yankees than the betting markets show. PLAY CHICAGO WHITE SOX |
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04-17-17 | Pacers +8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
517 Indiana at Cleveland If you joined us over the weekend there is no need to elaborate on our feelings about the Cavs. The team hasn’t played well since the All-Star break and it just isn’t going to flip the switch because it’s the playoffs. The same Cleveland team we have seen in the regular season showed up in the opening game. Still the Cavs once again took money for this matchup. Bettors must be playing the due system. Indiana has to have gained confidence in that first matchup as it was played at Cleveland’s pace and yet the Pacers had a shot to win it at the buzzer. No reason to back Cleveland here as it was more of the same from the regular season. PLAY INDIANA |
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04-16-17 | Angels v. Royals +104 | 0-1 | Win | 104 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
920 LA Angels at Kansas City Limited analysis today because of travel restrictions. While many are believers in Tyler Skaggs we aren’t one of them. He does have potential but he’s currently overrated. Ian Kennedy is the perfect fit for this ballpark. As a fly ball pitcher he isn’t worried about being beat with the long ball at home. Kansas City, like Cleveland has been in a terrible slump with runners in scoring position. The Tribe broke out of that in a big way yesterday, we see the same for the Royals. Let’s get ahead of the curve and back KC at a bargain price. PLAY KANSAS CITY |
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04-15-17 | Pacers +8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
501 Indiana at Cleveland Spending over 35 years in the Cleveland/Akron area we are still fans of our local Cavaliers and Indians teams. We watch virtually every game played by these teams and know them as well as anyone outside the organizations. So we can tell you that the Cavaliers are not the same team as the squad who took home the crown last season. Defense has been nonexistent this season and teams that lack defense don’t advance in the NBA Playoffs. While the big three has had a solid season the remainder of the team has regressed. None of the bench players have looked good and JR Smith is nowhere near the player on both ends as he was last season. Indiana is not as good as Cleveland but this team has fought all year to get here and an outright series victory would not be a shock. That said there is no way we can lay this type of number with a Cleveland team that thinks it can turn it on in the playoffs. The Cavs may win but this number is just too high. PLAY INDIANA |
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04-12-17 | Braves +104 v. Marlins | 5-4 | Win | 104 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
909 Atlanta at Miami Backing the much better starter here at an underdog price. Jaime Garcia is usually an afterthought when ranking MLB starters. Not because of his ability, but because of his health. When fully healthy we have Garcia rated 8% higher than league average. His counterpart Tom Koehler is 16% worse than league average. While the Braves hit better at home than on the road, Miami is an average hitting team in this building. The Braves has a sizable defensive edge as well which puts us squarely on the dog here. PLAY ATLANTA |
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04-10-17 | Astros +122 v. Mariners | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
917 Houston at Seattle The Astros have won 12 of the last 17 in this series, including 5 of the last 7 in Seattle. While James Paxton is a quality starter we really like what Charlie Morton has done when healthy. He was getting rave reviews last year and in spring training the positives continued. Now if he could just stay healthy. The Astros have the superior bullpen and the team really excels against left-handed pitchers. Producing 15% better than league average against southpaws. We have the Astros as the slight favorite here and the markets make them the underdog. PLAY HOUSTON |
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04-09-17 | Giants v. Padres +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
962 San Francisco at San Diego The Giants are really struggling out of the game with just a single win on the season. San Diego entered the year with the lowest win projections in the league but are off to a nice 3-3 start. Clayton Richard has long been a journeyman in his major league career, but something has changed for the big lefty. He has changed his release point and has had great success with it. He was terrific in his first start and we see more of the same here. With a low total here we will take the 1 1/2 runs with the Padres. Did you know that taking San Diego +1 1/2 against San Francisco would have resulted in a 12-1 record the last 13 meetings. Good enough for us as we expect that trend to continue. PLAY SAN DIEGO + 1 1/2 on the RUN LINE |
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04-08-17 | Nationals +112 v. Phillies | 3-17 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
903 Washington at Philadelphia While the starting pitching advantage is all Phillies we believe the Nationals hold plenty of value here. Washington has the better bullpen and the far better offensive team. In fact Washington is 7% better than league average against righties, while the Phillies are 9% worse against right handed starters. Guthrie pitched in the World Baseball Classic, so he’s already been involved in competitive baseball this season. While Nola has a bright future he is being overrated in the betting marketplace. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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04-07-17 | Dodgers -138 v. Rockies | 1-2 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
955 Los Angeles at Colorado Major advantages across the board here for the visitor. Huge advantage at starting pitcher as Freeland was unimpressive in the minors and we have him rated as one of the worst starters in baseball this season. The Dodgers own the much better defense as well as a major edge in the bullpen. LA hits lefties 11% better than league average, while the Rockies are 4% below average against left handed starters. The line has risen in this game but there remains solid value. PLAY LOS ANGELES DODGERS |
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04-05-17 | Pirates v. Red Sox OVER 8 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
979 Pittsburgh at Boston Young Jamison Tailion takes the hill for the Pirates in his first career start at Fenway Park. It takes experience to know how to pitch in this building and he just doesn’t have it. Chris Sale on the other hand has the pressure of making his very first start in a Red Sox uniform. The Pirates rake against lefties hitting 24% better than an average team vs left handed pitching. Both teams also are above average in drawing walks, which of course leads to more runners on base. Boston hits righties at 12% better than league average. Pittsburgh hits well on the road an obviously the Red Sox hit better at home. We expect 9 runs to be scored here which gives us plenty of room for the over. PLAY OVER |
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04-04-17 | Yankees v. Rays -104 | 5-0 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
910 New York at Tampa Bay Going against the popular Yankees tonight with veteran CC Sabathia on the hill. While the big man had what you could consider a comeback year a season ago it’s still below standards for a number two starter. We much prefer the up and coming Odorizzi who rates higher than CC in our ratings. While the Yankees have the better bullpen as a whole, the main reason is the eighth and ninth inning specialists. Nw York will have a hard time getting to those two with a putrid long and middle relief corps. Tampa improved its offense this year and despite not having much of a home field advantage we like the Rays here. PLAY TAMPA BAY |
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04-03-17 | North Carolina v. Gonzaga +1.5 | 71-65 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
602 North Carolina & Gonzaga We had Gonzaga and Villanova rated as the best teams coming into this tournament. And nothing has changed in our eyes. North Carolina has been very fortunate to advance as it’s been proven time and time again that the Tar Heels have not been able to distance themselves from lesser teams. Now facing a squad as good as it is we finally see North Carolina go down. Gonzaga can run with NC and is also big inside, negating a major North Carolina advantage. PLAY GONZAGA |
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04-03-17 | Pirates +145 v. Red Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
973 Pittsburgh Boston We expect a big bounce back year for the Pirates and are one of our season win wagers towards the over. The Pirates hit righties well and Porcello enters this season at an all time high in expectations. He won the Cy Young Award last year but a lot of the reason for his outstanding win/loss record was the runs the Sox scored in his starts. While the Sox are always dangerous at home, this line should be much smaller. The Pirates have something to prove this year and it starts in this opening series at Boston. PLAY PITTSBURGH |
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04-02-17 | Cubs v. Cardinals +125 | 3-4 | Win | 125 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
904 Chicago at St Louis Huge rivalry game to start the season between two legendary clubs. Chicago is taking the field off winning the World Series, while the Cardinals look to bounce back from a disappointing year. While the Cubs are still the team to beat in baseball this year we expect quite a bit of regression. The defense was legendary last year as we can’t expect anything in that order this season. Chicago was also extremely healthy in the starting rotation. St Louis shored up its outfield defense as Dexter Fowler leaves the Cubs to put on a Cards uniform. While St Louis doesn’t have the starting rotation the Cubs do, we really like Martinez who goes today. Lester was unbelievable at home last year, while only very good on the road. The emotion will all be on the host here as the Cards look to bring down the Cubbies. Keep in mind last year Chicago owned just a 10-9 record in this series, as the Cards played them better than anyone in baseball. PLAY ST LOUIS |
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04-01-17 | Oregon +5 v. North Carolina | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
813 Oregon & North Carolina We see a lot of similarities with these teams. Both are athletic inside with the ability to crash the boards. Oregon owns the better net effective field goal percentage of 9.3% compared to 3.9%. North Carolina wants to get out and run much like UCLA and the Ducks were only outscored by a single point in splitting the season series. North Carolina deserves to be favored here but Oregon should be right there the entire game. Not calling for the outright win, but it wouldn’t surprise us if the Ducks advance. PLAY OREGON |
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03-31-17 | Spurs v. Thunder +2.5 | 100-95 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
520 San Antonio at Oklahoma City With the Spurs losing to Golden State we can see the team resting some key players down the stretch. Coach Pop is well aware of fatigue entering the playoffs, in fact he invented the resting of players. Oklahoma City has won four of the last five meetings between these two, including cashing 5 of 6 at home. The game means more to the host and the number is favorable. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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03-30-17 | Cavs v. Bulls +6 | Top | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
704 Cleveland at Chicago Want no part of the Cavaliers here as the defensive sieve has made this team tough to back laying points. It also doesn’t help that no matter the personnel Cleveland has a hard time beating the Bulls. Chicago has won 6 of the last 7 meetings, while covering six straight. In each of those six games Chicago was installed as the underdog, and the Bulls won outright five of those six meetings. Cleveland plays again tomorrow against Philadelphia and the Cavs have been terrible in the second of a back to back game. Therefore it wouldn’t surprise me to see Cleveland extend the bench minutes a bit tonight. Chicago has had the last three days off and is idol tomorrow. Cleveland will have its full attention. PLAY CHICAGO |
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03-29-17 | Hawks -1 v. 76ers | Top | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
501 Atlanta at Philadelphia The Hawks broke their seven game losing streak last night with a 95-91 home victory over Phoenix. Now the team has to fly to Philadelphia to take on a Sixers team coming off a road victory over Brooklyn. While a lot of teams take the Sixers for granted that won’t be the case tonight for the Hawks. First of all this team is still fighting for playoff seeding, and the recent losing streak has put them in a poor situation. The good news is they have owned Philadelphia this year. Wins by 32, 21 and 17 points. We like to take teams that need a victory when playing a squad it has dominated. Throw in the fact that Philly returns home off a five game road trip, and then plays the next two games on the road. The Sixers will have played nine straight games all in different arenas by the time this current streak is over. PLAY ATLANTA |
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03-28-17 | Nuggets v. Blazers -2 | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
774 Denver at Portland The Blazers have owned this series winning 13 of 15 but Denver was the victor last time out 132-120. But that was back in 2016 when Portland permitted three teams to score 130 or more. Since that time the Blazer defense has been much better holding 6 of 8 opponents as of late to 100 or less., nine straight of 106 or less. These two are in a tie for the eighth position the the Western Conference at 35-38. Portland enters this game on a positive winning 6 of 7 while Denver comes in winning 6 of 9. We expect this game to resemble playoff basketball which means defense is key. We simply can’t trust a Denver defense that has permitted 109 points or more in six straight games. PLAY PORTLAND |
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03-27-17 | Cavs v. Spurs OVER 211 | 74-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
735 Cleveland at San Antonio We easily won with the Cavaliers over last time out, and there is no reason to change our stripes here. The Cavaliers are a terrible defensive team right now with Love, Kyrie and Korver playing extended minutes. In the last 11 games between these two an average of 207 points was scored. Only once has the total on those games been over that 207 number. San Antonio knows how bad this Cleveland defense has been and have the coach to exploit it. We look for a high scoring game with Cleveland’s defense once again being abused. PLAY OVER |
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03-26-17 | South Carolina v. Florida -3.5 | Top | 77-70 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
722 South Carolina & Florida The major key here is that this will be the third time Florida has faced this highly physical ball hawking defense of the Gamecocks. The first time South Carolina had the advantage but last time Florida held the super hand after have time to prepare. Now on short rest it’s the Gators who have the advantage once again. Every team that faced the Gamecocks in the Big Dance talked about not being prepared for this terrific defense. In fact, South Carolina had tremendous success this season in first meetings. But that hasn’t carried over when teams plays the Gamecocks a second time. Florida is well prepared for what it will see here, and wins going away. PLAY FLORIDA |
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03-25-17 | Wizards v. Cavs OVER 215 | Top | 127-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
503 Washington at Cleveland Prime opportunity to look for a high scoring game between these two Eastern Conference playoff participants. Washington is playing to avenge a loss to Cleveland that broke a 17 game home winning streak. The Wizards want to beat the Cavs badly as it’s a proving ground for the playoffs. Cleveland has been terrible in the second of back to back games, and is must likely without LeBron James tonight because of a poked eye last night in Charlotte. Without LeBron and his defense the Cavs will be led by Kyrie and Kevin, two excellent offensive players with major defensive liabilities. With Wall and Irving looking to push the pace we see this game easily surpassing the posted total. PLAY OVER |
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03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky +1.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
876 UCLA & Kentucky Revenge game for the Wildcats who lost to UCLA 97-92 earlier at home. We really like the improvement in this Wildcat defense which has held 12 straight opponents to 77 points or less. In fact, just two of those opponents surpassed 70. This is a very young team as you would expect for Calipare, and the team has continually gotten better on the season. This is just the second same season revenge game for Kentucky, in the other it beat Tennessee by 25 points. UCLA is an outstanding shooting team but rarely plays the type of athletes Kentucky produces. Coming off the likes of Kent State and Cincinnati, this is a major step up game for the Bruins. Wrong team favored here. PLAY KENTUCKY |
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03-23-17 | Clippers v. Mavs +5.5 | Top | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
806 LA Clippers at Dallas The Clips are stepping up in class here after facing the Lakers, Knicks and Cavs minus the big three. Before those contests LA dropped three straight against quality opponents in Utah, Milwaukee and Denver. Dallas is making a late run for the playoffs and have won 16 of 27 in the process. Coming off an ugly 25 point home loss to Golden State after four straight away, this is a very good spot for the host. With the Clippers, Raptors and Thunder on deck it’s do or die time for the Mavericks. PLAY DALLAS |
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03-22-17 | Bucks -5 v. Kings | 116-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
763 Milwaukee at Sacramento The Bucks are a team on the rise and even in lesser years Milwaukee had a lot of success in Sacramento. Covering 7 of the last 9 meetings in this venue. Milwaukee blew out the Kings earlier at home and the line is cheap playing on the road. The Bucks have won 9 of 11 overall heading into this game, with the losses coming at Memphis and Golden State. While they are playing the second of a back to back, the Kings have not been the same since trading Boogie Cousins. Sacramento has dropped 10 of 12 with the only wins coming over Orlando and Phoenix. The Kings have lost 6 of 7 at home as the team simply doesn’t have the personnel to give great effort on a nightly basis. PLAY MILWAUKEE |
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03-19-17 | Michigan v. Louisville -2.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 50 m | Show |
722 Michigan & Louisville The Cinderella story for the Wolverines ends on Sunday. After surviving the airplane scare the Wolverines went all the way to the Big Ten Championship and crowned the school the Conference Champions. Then had to go to the wire to defeat Oklahoma State by one in a back and forth game on Friday. In that contest Michigan has four players who had at least 38 1/2 minutes of playing time. I know kids at this age are durable, but this has to have an affect on their bodies. Louisville had an easy time in its first game as the Cardinals pulled away in the second half in a game that was never in doubt. The Cards are a very good defensive team that will give Michigan plenty of trouble here. The line is cheap on the better team. PLAY LOUISVILLE |
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03-18-17 | Virginia +2 v. Florida | 39-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
521 Virginia & Florida A couple like minded defensive squads meet head to head on Saturday with the winner headed to the Sweet 16. We prefer the underdog Cavaliers here who have the better effective field goal edge and in our mind have faced the tougher schedule. We have Virginia rated as the better team and we are getting points. PLAY VIRGINIA |
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03-17-17 | Wichita State v. Dayton +6.5 | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
832 Wichita State & Dayton The Shockers were shocked to find themselves disrespected by the committee with a low seed in this tournament. While it may be a motivational factor for Wichita State, in our minds its completely overblown. While this team did post a strong 30-4 record it was just 1-3 vs fellow Big Dance participants, with the lone win coming against South Dakota State. Dayton is 24-7 on the season and like the Shockers have had success in this tournament. The Flyers are 6-3 against fellow NCAA Tournament competition this year. The location in Indianapolis also favors the underdog here. PLAY DAYTON |
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03-17-17 | Texas Southern +26.5 v. North Carolina | 64-103 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
821 Texas Southern & North Carolina The Tigers were 23-11 on the season and 19-2 in the SWAC. This team was crushed early on against the likes of Arizona, Louisville, Cincinnati and Baylor. But since that time the Tigers have found themselves, although against lesser competition than the treacherous non-conference season. North Carolina comes in at 27-7 and 15-5 in the ACC. This team likes to run, but isn’t nearly as efficient as you would think. Losses on the season to the likes of Indiana and Georgia Tech prove that this team isn’t always in full focus mode. Just too many points here. PLAY TEXAS SOUTHERN |
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03-17-17 | Jacksonville State v. Louisville -19.5 | 63-78 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
826 Jacksonville State & Louisville The Gamecocks were 20-14 in a down Ohio Valley Conference this season. Playing just one team in this tournament, Maryland in which it lost by 26. Louisville was 24-8 in the ACC and in our opinion are the sneakiest team in this tournament. Every loss this season came at the hands of teams in the Big Dance. Baylor, Virginia twice, Notre Dame, Florida State, North Carolina, Wake Forest and Duke. Louisville has tons of experience as well as a legendary coach. PLAY LOUISVILLE |
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03-16-17 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Florida State -12 | 80-86 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
726 Florida Gulf Coast & Florida State The Eagles had success in the Big Dance before, so it’s a media darling because of it. But how is that relevant with these players who have only read about that March Madness team? Florida Gulf Coast is a good 26-7 team but has lost all three games against fellow dancers. Teams that lose to the likes of SC Upstate and Lipscomb don’t pull off NCAA Tournament upsets. The Seminoles went 25-8 in the ACC and have faced 16 teams in the Big Dance. Wins over the likes of Florida, Virginia, Duke, Notre Dame and Louisville put this team in Big Dance mode. PLAY FLORIDA STATE |
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03-16-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Minnesota +1.5 | 81-72 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
734 Middle Tennessee State & Minnesota This is what we call a public underdog darling, as we have the Golden Gophers as the better team and now all the bets are going on the Blue Raiders. Make no doubt that this Middle Tennessee team is of high quality, a 30-4 record is hard to manage regardless of the competition. But the CUSA was very weak this year and this team played only three games against fellow Big Dance participants. Minnesota played the much tougher slate and still managed a 24-9 record. It played 15 games against Big Dance participants. The Golden Gophers are peaking at the right time having won 9 of 11 entering this tournament. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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03-16-17 | East Tennessee State v. Florida -10.5 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
724 East Tennessee State & Florida Every year we get at least one team that is considered the tournament shocker. This year it’s the Buccaneers. But before you follow the herds to back East Tennessee State, let’s give you a few teams that are better than the Bucs and see if you still want the dog here. Auburn, Colorado, Connecticut, Davidson, Georgia Tech and Monmouth. All teams we have rated higher that didn’t make the dance. If you aren’t willing to take 10 points with any of those teams against the Gators, don’t do it with the Buccaneers. Florida is 24-8 in the SEC and is playing this game in-state. The Gators have played 15 fellow Big Dance participants, as opposed to two for the Bucs. Florida has lost three times to Vanderbilt, a team is obviously doesn’t match up with. The other losses were to Gonzaga, Duke, Florida State and South Carolina. The superior team in a home neutral venue wins this one big. PLAY FLORIDA |
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03-16-17 | South Dakota State v. Gonzaga -22 | 46-66 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
738 South Dakota State & Gonzaga There is a reason why this line is so high, the Jackrabbits aren’t very good. An 18-16 record in one of the weakest leagues in college basketball, along with a very easy non-conference schedule. The two toughest games on the season were against California in a 29 point loss and Wichita State in a 22 point defeat. This is a team that allows 54.0% effective field goals, against an easy slate of opponents. Gonzaga is 32-1 which averaging an effective field goal edge of 16.5% per game. That included playing Florida, Iowa State, Arizona and St Mary twice. The Zags roll here in blowout fashion. PLAY GONZAGA |
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03-15-17 | Texas-Arlington +6.5 v. BYU | 105-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
627 Texas Arlington at BYU The Mavericks were a team we were high on entering the season. With a 25-8 record this squad has the talent to go toe to toe with the big boys. BYU is a sizable favorite here but we grade Arlington slightly better on a neutral. BYU has a strong home court but how excited with the Cougars backers be to be playing in the NIT against a little known school. While we would like to call the outright upset the points are the way to go. PLAY TEXAS ARLINGTON |
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03-15-17 | USC v. Providence +2.5 | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
624 USC & Providence The Trojans stubbled down the stretch winning just 3 of 8 entering Wednesday play. The only bad loss of the bunch was at Arizona State. That said we have Providence rated slightly better here and the Friars are listed as the underdog. Providence finished the season strong winning 6 of 7. Going 4-1 against fellow Big Dance participants in the process. PLAY PROVIDENCE |
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03-15-17 | NC-Greensboro +12.5 v. Syracuse | 77-90 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 10 m | Show | |
545 NC Greensboro at Syracuse We know one team that will interested in playing in this tournament as the Spartans put its 25-9 record on the line. This is a team that has won 9 of 10 games with the only loss coming in the conference tournament against E Tennessee State. A team that is getting a lot of publicity in the Big Dance. Syracuse ended the season losing 5 of 7 which cost the Orangemen the at large bid. Motivation of lack there of from Syracuse has us taking the points here. PLAY NC GREENSBORO |
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03-15-17 | Loyola Maryland v. George Mason -10.5 | 73-58 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
646 Loyola Maryland at George Mason Really surprised the Greyhounds are in the postseason. With a 15-16 record in the Patriot League and finishing the season losing 6 of 8. Loyola owns a negative effective field goal percentage of 6.3 on the season. George Mason won 20 games in the Atlantic 10 Conference but lost 5 of 7 to end the season. This is a new opportunity for the Patriots to extend the season. This club takes out some frustrations here on a lowly team that shouldn’t even be in this tourney. PLAY GEORGE MASON |
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03-14-17 | CS Bakersfield +11 v. California | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
553 CS Bakersfield at California Rare opportunity for the Roadrunners to take on one of the big boys in the state. This is a team that only lost at Arizona by 12 and at SMU by 6. Bakersfield holds the opposition to just 43.7% on effective field goals. California fell off the bubble by losing 6 of 9 to end the season. The only wins came against Utah by 3 and two victories over lowly Oregon State. In what will likely be a low scoring game we can’t see the Bears extending. PLAY CS BAKERSFIELD |
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03-14-17 | Boise State +10.5 v. Utah | Top | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
561 Boise State at Utah The Mountain West was down this year but this line is a few points too high. Boise is a good shooting team with 52.2% effective field goals. In fact, when subtracting the 48.2% allowed the Broncos have a solid 4.0% edge in effective field goal shooting. Keep in mind this is a team that went to Oregon and lost by just 5 points, and beat SMU at home by 9. Utah had a 20 win season but had problems losing games it should have won. Defeats against California twice, Oregon State, Stanford and San Francisco, all teams not invited to the Big Dance. Utah has dropped 5 of 10 entering this contest, with three of those wins by single digits. Too many points here. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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03-14-17 | College of Charleston +4 v. Colorado State | 74-81 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
555 College of Charleston at Colorado State Cougars are the better team in our opinion and ended the season on a 6-1 SU run with the lone loss coming against NC Wilmington, a team a lot of wise guys are eying in the Big Dance. The Rams played well down the stretch winning 12 of 15, but that was in the Mountain West Conference which was really down this year. While we like this Rams team we don’t want to lay points into a team we have rated quite a bit better. PLAY COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON |
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03-14-17 | Houston Baptist -1 v. Campbell | 79-98 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
579 Houston Baptist at Campbell The Huskies have really turned it on as of late winning 9 of 10 to end the season with a 17-13 record. This is one club that really wants to keep the season alive. The Campbell Camels are 17-17 on the season but just 9-7 SU at home. Our numbers have the visitor as clearly the better team, and in a near pick ‘em situation we will ride its hot hand. PLAY HOUSTON BAPTIST |
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03-11-17 | Creighton v. Villanova -9 | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
746 Creighton & Villanova A lot of elite teams go into the conference tournament with the goal of playing well but bowing out before the championship. This is turn gives them extra rest for the Big Dance. But we found out yesterday that wasn’t the case with the Wildcats, who fought all the way back to gain the victory. That tells us that this team is in it to win it. Villanova has won the last six meetings while covering 5 of 6. This is a team on a mission to defend its national championship. Creighton is a good team but not in the same echelon as the Wildcats. PLAY VILLANOVA |
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03-10-17 | UCLA v. Arizona +2.5 | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
580 UCLA & Arizona Bruins coming off a very tough game last night in defeating crosstown rival USC by a bucket. Arizona only has four losses on the season, all against top 25 ranked teams. The Wildcats won in UCLA and the Bruins followed that up with an outright win in Arizona. The Wildcats are in revenge and these two teams are virtually equal. Now that Arizona is playing the Bruins for the third time this year we would look for this team to slow down this powerful UCLA offense. We back the dog here with two elite squads. PLAY ARIZONA |
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03-09-17 | San Diego State v. Boise State +1.5 | 87-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
790 San Diego State & Boise State How times have changed. For the last decade or so the Aztecs ruled the Mountain West Conference. That’s no longer the case as San Diego State had to beat UNLV in overtime in order to make the quarterfinals. Boise State has won 4 of the last 5 meetings and is rested here. Since both of these schools play in this building regularly, there is no advantage to playing a game like in other non-familiar venues. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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03-08-17 | Oregon State v. California -15 | 62-67 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
556 Oregon State & California The Beas have won 9 of the last 10 meetings including wins by 11 and 30 this year. We like to play teams who have proven dominance in a series and right now the Bears are on the bubble. The line is exactly where it should be as we made it the same number. But throw in the dominance and need and we see the Bears winning this by 20. PLAY CALIFORNIA |
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03-07-17 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -4.5 | Top | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
716 St Mary’s & Gonzaga We’ve been waiting for this matchup as the betting public and ourselves are at opposite ends regarding the Gaels. Gonzaga has won 11 of the last 13 meetings and this year the difference in quality of these teams is the largest in quite some time. The Gaels haven’t beaten a team heading to the dance since early December. The two meetings against the Zags resulted in losses by 23 and 10 points. Coming off a complete blowout over BYU this team is clearly overrated here. Lay the number with the Zags who are still looking for a #1 seed. PLAY GONZAGA |
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03-06-17 | College of Charleston v. North Carolina Wilmington UNDER 146 | Top | 69-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
534 College of Charleston & NC Wilmington These two will battle it out for the lone invite to the Big Dance. The total in this game seems rather high considering none of the past nine games surpassed this current total. With the importance of this game we would expect the defenses to give a better effort. Also this is the third game in three days for both teams, so the jump shots could very well come up short. PLAY UNDER |
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03-05-17 | Magic +11 v. Wizards | 114-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
825 Orlando at Washington Major letdown spot here for the Wizards who are off Toronto twice, Golden State and Utah. Washington has struggled against the lowly Magic this year. Losing by 8 and 2 with a victory by just 3 points. This is the final home game before Washington goes on a five game west coast trip. We see them overlooking the Magic here. For Orlando this is its only road game in an eight game stretch. PLAY ORLANDO |
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03-04-17 | Jacksonville State v. Tennessee-Martin UNDER 137.5 | Top | 66-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
702 Jacksonville State & Tennessee-Martin Gamecocks coming into the Championship off a shocking win over conference powerhouse Belmont. Martin knocked off Murray State for the second time in a week to get to this point. This game pits the #2 and #4 seeds in the tournament. While this conference is known for its offense we are going to look for a slower paced game here on Saturday. Pressure of the win and go dancing of this game gives the defenses the edge. PLAY UNDER |
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03-04-17 | Youngstown State v. Oakland -13 | 81-80 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
670 Youngstown State & Oakland Going against the Penguins here after knocking off Cleveland State yesterday. Coming off that win and now facing the far superior Oakland team playing in a venue that gives Oakland an edge. PLAY OAKLAND |
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03-03-17 | Missouri State v. Northern Iowa -3 | 70-64 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
870 Missouri State & Northern Iowa Looking to take the Panthers here who have won 14 of 18 in this series. The road teams swept the board this season in two close games. Northern Iowa was really tested in the non-conference slate but are on a 9-4 SU conference run. Missouri State has dropped 6 of 7 heading into this contest with the lone victory coming by 3 at Drake. Northern Iowa has the better pedigree and has fared well in this tourney. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
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03-02-17 | Warriors v. Bulls OVER 218 | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
701 Golden State at Chicago Without Durant the Warriors are being discounted by the public. The very same Warriors team who was the best team in the NBA the last two years combined. Sure Durant missing is going to hurt, but now former Running Rebel McCaw gets a chance to shine. Chicago has been terrible defensively and this team hasn’t been playing with much emotion. Playing a team that wants to run and run will get the Bulls players interested in padding stats. The last time these two got together it was 215 points in a blowout. Look for this game to be run and gun as it surpasses the posted total. PLAY OVER |
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03-01-17 | Nevada v. San Jose State +7 | Top | 82-67 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
568 Nevada at San Jose State Major sandwich spot here for the Wolf Pack after blowing out in-state rival UNLV with a major game vs Colorado State on deck to end the regular season. Nevada is 12-4 in conference and 23-6 overall but this is likely going to be a one bid conference. Colorado State is 13-4 in the Mountain West and 21-9 overall so that game on Saturday will go a long way for postseason play for both those teams. San Jose State is a solid 7-9 in league action this year and a hell of a lot better team than a year ago. With a 14-13 record and a trip to Wyoming on deck this team will be fighting extremely hard to get a victory, assuring a winning regular season. We look for this game to go down to the wire. PLAY SAN JOSE STATE |
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02-28-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan +2.5 | 109-81 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
730 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan Not looking to trust the road favorite here after losing 7 of 8 heading into this matchup. The Eagles only shoot an effective field goal percentage of 48.5 which means the team needs to have a very good shooting night on the road in order to separate themselves. The Chippewas were blown out by 22 earlier in the season at Eastern Michigan in the conference opener. Now after five straight losses we will back the host with revenge. PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
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02-26-17 | Middle Tennessee v. UAB +6.5 | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
822 Middle Tennessee State at UAB We love the job the Blue Raiders have done this year with a 14-1 conference record and 24-4 overall. But this line has gotten out of control. When these two played two months ago Middle Tennessee State was -8.5 at home in a 60-49 victory. Now we are seeing visually the same line with a change of venue. UAB is a solid team at 8-7 in conference and 145-13 overall. The Blazers have lost just three times all season on this court including an 11 point loss to Old Dominion the last game played here. With three home games to end the season we like the Blazers chances for the sweep, starting here vs the Blue Raiders. PLAY UAB |
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02-25-17 | Southern Miss v. North Texas -5 | Top | 76-53 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
562 Southern Miss at North Texas The Golden Eagles are not a deep team at all which is why it has played well on long rest and very poorly on short rest. On Thursday this team laid it all on the line at a 15 point underdog at Rice and took the Owls to the wire in a 72-71 loss. Now less than 48 hours later this club is at North Texas in a competitively priced game. Southern Miss is 0-14 straight up this season when facing a team away from home. North Texas is seeking revenge for a 76-65 loss earlier at Southern Miss. While the Mean Green are only 8-19 on the season its effective field goal difference is only -3.0% on the year, compared to the Golden Eagles -7.8%. Cheap line with the host here as North Texas wins by double digits. PLAY NORTH TEXAS |
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02-25-17 | Texas Tech +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
549 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State Nice price here on the road underdog Red Raiders who are stepping down in class after facing Kansas, Baylor, West Virginia and Iowa State. Not to mention seeking revenge for an embarrassing 19 point home loss to these Cowboys. Despite a lowly 5-10 conference record Texas Tech is 17-11 on the season with a 3.2% effective field goal advantage over the opposition. Oklahoma State is 19-9 and 8-7 in Big12 action but owns a lesser 2.0% effective field goal edge on the season. Revenge time for the Red Raiders. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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02-24-17 | Suns v. Bulls -6 | 121-128 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
854 Phoenix at Chicago Very surprised by this short line as the betting markets are saying the Bulls are only 3 points better on a neutral. Well these two just tangled exactly two weeks ago in Phoenix and the line said Chicago was 6 1/2 better. That was in the middle of a five game western road trip for Chicago. To make it even more puzzling is that despite being a 3 1/2 point road favorite the Bulls were pounded 115-97. You would think that would be fresh in the memories of the Bulls players. With Cleveland on the road on deck this is a game the host has to have. PLAY CHICAGO |
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02-23-17 | Clippers v. Warriors -12.5 | 113-123 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
512 LA Clippers at Golden State We return from the All-Star break with a solid selection in NBA action. The Warriors have owned the Clippers and this line is just too short to not lay the points. By the current number Golden State is 9 1/2 points better than the Clippers. In earlier meetings the Warriors were 7, 10 and 10 1/2 points better. Those games ended with the Warriors winning by 17, 46 and 13 points. Simply put the Clippers have no answer for the Warriors offense as Golden State scored 115, 144 and 133 in those contests. Look for another blowout here. PLAY GOLDEN STATE |
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02-23-17 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +7.5 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
548 Wisconsin at Ohio State The Buckeyes are now in range as we only made this Wisconsin -3.8. PLAY OHIO STATE |
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02-23-17 | Weber State +4 v. Eastern Washington | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
583 Weber State at Eastern Washington We only made the host -0.6 here so we will take the full three with Weber State. PLAY WEBER STATE |
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02-23-17 | Southern Miss v. Rice -14.5 | 71-72 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
540 Southern Miss at Rice We came up with -17.5 for the Owls here, at home off an outright home loss. PLAY RICE |
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02-23-17 | Delaware v. College of Charleston -13.5 | 65-78 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
536 Delaware at College of Charleston Made the host 17.0 which gives us a solid edge. PLAY COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON |
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02-23-17 | UTEP v. Florida Atlantic | 60-55 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
534 UTEP at Florida Atlantic The Miners really struggled in the non-conference season and were 2-13 at one point of the season. But the team has played much better in league action and are now 9-5 in Conference USA. This team beat Florida Atlantic by a single point at home back in Mid-January. Wins have been hard to come by for the Owls who are 9-16 on the season. But this team is peaking at the right time having won 4 of the last 7 heading into this contest, with all four victories coming on the road. The Florida Atlantic improvement has gone under the radar as we made this team a substantial favorite here. PLAY FLORIDA ATLANTIC |
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02-23-17 | Texas-San Antonio v. Florida International -3 | 69-67 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
522 TSA at Florida International We made the host 6.9 so plenty of value with Florida International. PLAY FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL |
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02-22-17 | Oregon v. California +4.5 | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
744 Oregon at California Oregon beat Cal 86-63 in Mid-January back at home. That was the worst loss of the season for the Bears. The Ducks have won 5 of 7 as of late but both losses were on the road at Colorado and UCLA. While Oregon has an outstanding offense the Bears allow 43.9% effective field goals. Something that should carry over well playing at home. That 86 points allowed to Oregon earlier not only is the highest points allowed on the season, but Cal has permitted over 70 points just six times all year. Off back to back road losses at Arizona and Stanford the betting markets are losing interest in California. Not us as we only make Oregon a 1.2 point favorite here. PLAY CALIFORNIA |
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02-20-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia -7 | Top | 54-48 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
704 Miami Florida at Virginia Miami has won 2 of the last 7 in this series although these teams have split 3-3 ATS in Virginia. Miami is playing pretty good ball right now, especially defensively allowing just 47.1% effective field goals on the season. Virginia has the same conference record of 8-6 as the Hurricanes, but the Cavaliers have dropped three straight heading into this contest. With losses to North Carolina, Duke and Virginia Tech the betting public has soured on the defensive minded Cavs. But keep in mind this team has a 7.9 effective field goal advantage, shooting 54.0 and allowing 46.1. Those numbers cannot be denied. We made this line 11.4 which gives us a huge edge in this one, as we for one haven’t abandoned the Cavaliers. PLAY VIRGINIA |
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02-19-17 | Rider v. Iona -8 | Top | 103-85 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
880 Rider at Iona Iona is 14-3 SU in this seres and 12-6 ATS. Iona is 8-5 ATS as the series host. The Gaels sit at 11-6 in conference and 18-10 overall. Iona has won 8 of 10 but split the last four games heading into this contest. It won 95-76 less than three weeks ago at Rider. Rider is 14-14 overall and 7-10 on the MAAC. The Broncs play solid defense but lack a scoring punch. In the last three weeks not only did it surrender 95 to this Iona team but 107 in a win at Quinnipiac. That’s a sign that this defense is tiring. After losses in 9 of 12 heading into this contest we can’t expect that stop unit to rebound here on the road. PLAY IONA |
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02-18-17 | Charlotte v. Old Dominion -9 | Top | 48-72 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
618 Charlotte at Old Dominion Getting this one early as we expect it to move. We made this 15.6 and the opener was 9.0. Huge lay for the host. PLAY OLD DOMINION |
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02-18-17 | Pepperdine v. Loyola Marymount -6.5 | 61-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
614 Pepperdine at Loyola Marymount The Waves have played better as of late winning 3 of 4 but this team hasn’t fared well on the road all year. Just 1-11 SU away from home and that victory came last week at San Diego. The problem is a defense that permits a whopping 56.3 effective field goal percentage. While the Lions conference record is similar we like this team much more. Loyola is also playing with revenge for a 71-70 loss at Pepperdine. We make the Lions just over a double digit favorite here which gives us plenty of cushion with the host. PLAY LOYOLA MARYMOUNT |
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02-18-17 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +7 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
580 Florida State at Pittsburgh Our number is just 3.4 here and we are now catching as high as 7.0. Time to step in on the home underdog Panthers. PLAY PITTSBURGH |
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02-18-17 | St Bonaventure v. Dayton -7 | 72-76 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
544 St Bonaventure at Dayton The Bonnies are playing pretty good ball with an 8-5 conference record and 16-9 overall on the season. ST B lost at home to Dayton 90-74 way back at the beginning of January. Dayton sits at 20-5 on the season and 11-2 in league play. The Flyers have won 8 of 9 heading into this contest. While a more important game against George Mason is on deck, the line here is just too short to ignore. We made this line a good three points higher and will back the host to win this one by double digits. PLAY DAYTON |
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02-17-17 | VCU v. Richmond +5.5 | 84-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
864 VCU at Richmond We only made VCU a 2.1 point favorite in this contest. Now that we are seeing 5 1/2 on the dog its time to strike. PLAY RICHMOND |
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02-17-17 | Fairfield v. Quinnipiac +1.5 | 89-86 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
872 Fairfield at Quinnipiac Wrong team favored here by our numbers. We make Q 2.9 here and we are getting points. PLAY QUINNIPIAC |
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02-17-17 | Princeton v. Yale +3 | Top | 71-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
862 Princeton at Yale Princeton has come up short the last five times visiting Yale ATS. The team is sitting at a perfect 8-0 in conference this is not going to be an easy game for the Tigers. Princeton only beat Yale by eight earlier at home. The Bulldogs are a solid 6-2 in conference with the two losses coming at Princeton and last time out here against Harvard. That’s the only home loss this season for Yale. We have the Bulldogs rated as the favorite here and we are catching points. Can’t pass this one up with the quality Bulldogs team. PLAY YALE |
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02-17-17 | Canisius v. Rider +3 | 85-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Canisius at Rider The Golden Griffins are just 3-7 ATS visiting Rider. Winning 4 of 6 overall heading into this game but seeking revenge for an earlier 72-66 loss to this team at home. While Canisius is a good shooting team we have concerns about a defense that permits a 54.1 effective field goal percentage. The Broncs don’t shoot as well but play pretty well defensively. While we can see money for the road favorite here based on revenge, we have this game lined in a pick ‘em range. Too much value to not take the home dog. PLAY RIDER |
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02-16-17 | CS-Fullerton v. UC Riverside | 56-55 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
760 Cal Fullerton at Cal Riverside The Titans lost at home to Riverside earlier 71-63, but we simply don’t trust this team to get it done on the road. Fullerton is 2-9 straight up when not playing at home this year. Riverside plays the better defense and we have this club rated a few points higher here than the lines maker. Off three straight home losses this is the game the Highlanders need. PLAY CAL RIVERSIDE |
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02-16-17 | Hawaii v. UC-Santa Barbara +5.5 | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
752 Hawaii at Cal Santa Barbara Hawaii had a four game winning streak snapped last time out at home vs Cal Irvine. The Warriors whipped up on CSB 78-56 in a late January meeting. Hawaii has played 18 of 24 games at home this year yet enter this matchup with a 12-12 record. The Gauchos are just 1-10 in conference and 3-20 overall on the year. This team has lost eight straight games heading into this contest. This is a great chance for Santa Barbara to enter the win column one more time before the season ends. It’s an ugly dog for sure, but no way we want any part of the Warriors on the mainland as a favorite. PLAY CAL SANTA BARBARA |
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02-16-17 | Colorado v. Oregon State +10.5 | Top | 60-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
744 Colorado at Oregon State The Buffaloes enter here having won 5 of 6 as of late, but in our opinion the line has been over adjusted. The home win over Oregon is legit, but the other victories came against lesser opposition. Oregon State is winless in conference and 4-22 overall on the season. But this is an opponent the Beavers can handle. It only lost by 7 earlier in Colorado. This time of year the books inflate the numbers against weak opponents which is why we find plenty of value here with the home dog. Just too many points for the Buffs to lay. PLAY OREGON STATE |
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02-16-17 | Morehead State v. Tennessee State -1 | 52-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
774 Morehead State at Tennessee State The Eagles are 9-3 in the Ohio Valley Conference but just 13-12 overall on the season. We can’t back a road favorite who permits 55.3% effective field goals. Morehead won the first meeting by just a bucket at home in mid-January. Tennessee State is just 6-7 in conference but a more respectable 15-11 on the season. The Tigers aren’t especially good shooting the ball but play solid defense, which should be a nice edge at home. Off four straight home losses this becomes a must win for the host. We look for the Tigers to prevail. PLAY TENNESSEE STATE |
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02-16-17 | Memphis +4 v. Connecticut | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
741 Memphis at Connecticut We lined this at Uconn -0.5 so we can now take advantage of a 3 point overlay on the dog. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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02-16-17 | UTEP v. North Texas +4 | 77-71 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
728 UTEP at North Texas The Miners have run off 7 of 9 victories as of late after starting the season 2-13. Our job as handicappers is to ask which team is the one we will see Thursday night. We side with the Miners from earlier in the season as this line is just too over adjusted. The Mean Green haven’t been so fierce this season with a 1-11 record in CUSA and 7-17 overall. But we much prefer this squad at home that on the road. Despite the losses, North Texas still plays quality defense which is enough to pull out the home victory. PLAY NORTH TEXAS |
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02-15-17 | St. John's v. Butler -10.5 | Top | 86-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
564 St Johns at Butler The Johnnies are treading water right now having split each of its last eight games with losses following wins. Last time out St Johns beat Seton Hall at home and have Marquette on the road on deck. Butler had been cruising along with an 18-3 record before dropping 3 of the last 4 contests. Losses to Providence, Creighton and Georgetown sandwiched between a victory over Marquette. We like to back superior teams after hitting a rough spot, especially at home. Throw in the fact that this is a revenge game for the Bulldogs as it lost 76-73 back at the end of December. Butler has lost back to back home games and this line is very cheap in our eyes. We look for a blowout! PLAY BUTLER |
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02-14-17 | Marist v. St. Peter's -12 | Top | 46-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
758 Marist at St Peters The Red Foxes are just 3-12 in the MAAC this season and have lost seven straight heading into this contest. The last time these two met was on January 26th in a 81-65 home loss for Marist. St Peters is a solid 10-6 in league action and have won 8 of 12 heading into this contest. We made the Peacocks a bigger favorite here than the current line and have no problem laying points into a Red Foxes team playing out the string. PLAY ST PETERS |
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02-13-17 | Warriors v. Nuggets +12 | 110-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
518 Golden State at Denver Talk about your sandwich situations. The Warriors played Memphis with double revenge and then headed to Oklahoma City for the Kevin Durant homecoming. The players openly said they wanted that game badly for Kevin and the Warriors pounded the Thunder. Now the team faces Denver in altitude before a quick revenge matchup with Sacramento on Wednesday. The Warriors lost to the Kings 109-106 as a 14 1/2 point road favorite on the 4th. Denver returns home off a 1-2 road trip knowing it has won 10 of its last 17 games. In the previous two meetings with Golden State, discounting home court advantage, the Warriors were 12 1/2 and 9 1/2 points better on a neutral. This line states that the neutral line would be 15. Plenty of value on the Nuggets here. PLAY DENVER |
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02-13-17 | Grizzlies v. Nets +9.5 | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
508 Memphis at Brooklyn This is uncharted territory for the Grizzlies who are rated 12 1/2 points better than Brooklyn on a neutral according to this current line. The highest Memphis has been this year was 9 better than Philadelphia and 8 better than the Lakers. Memphis only beat the Sixers by 5 and lost outright to Los Angeles by 14. To put it in perspective this team has been underdogs in this range three times but never been favored in this range. Brooklyn is not a good team obviously, losing 12 straight heading into tonight. In order to get action on the Nets the line must be inflated. That’s when we can confidently back a bad team, when the markets have over adjusted. Look for the Nets to make a game of this. PLAY BROOKLYN |
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02-13-17 | Georgia State v. Coastal Carolina +3.5 | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
524 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina The Panthers sit at 9-3 in the Sun Belt and have won 8 of 9 games. The lone loss came last time out at Appalachian State. They whipped up on Coastal Carolina by 20 in an earlier meeting. But while this is the superior team in this matchup we find value in the home dog. The Chanticleers besides having one of the most unusual nicknames in all of college sports, have a pretty solid club. 7-5 in the Sun Belt and a 9-5 SU home record on the season. That 20 point loss earlier was one of only two 20 or more point losses on the season in conference play. Coastal already avenged the other against Texas Arlington, and we feel the Chanticleers will do the same here. Wrong team favored in this one. PLAY COASTAL CAROLINA |
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02-12-17 | St. Peter's v. Manhattan +4.5 | 69-50 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
St Peters at Manhattan The Peacocks have cashed just 2 of the last 7 meetings at Manhattan and enter here as a decent sized road favorite. The team is 9-6 in conference but has lost 3 of 4 entering play today. The Jaspers are just 4-11 in conference play but have been 6-6 SU at home this season. We have this game lined much shorter than the lines makers and find value on the host as an underdog. PLAY MANHATTAN |
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02-12-17 | Oregon State v. UCLA -25.5 | 60-78 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
854 Oregon State at UCLA With the line dropping slightly we can step in with the Bruins who we have rated a good 4.6 points higher than the current line. Blowout city in LA tonight. PLAY UCLA |
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02-12-17 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania -6.5 | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
840 Cornell at Pennsylvania The Big Red was an Ivy powerhouse just a few years ago but this team has fallen on hard times. Now 6-16 on the season and just 2-5 in league play. It enters play here off three straight losses. Penn has won 28 of 37 meetings in this series including seven straight victories. The Quakers could use a satisfying win here as the team has struggled as of late dropping 7 of 9. But despite an overall 8-12 record this team still owns an edge over the opposition of a 1.4 effective field goal percentage. We like to back desperate teams when playing an opponent it knows it has beaten on a regular basis, that’s the host here. We see this line as cheap. PLAY PENNSYLVANIA |
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02-11-17 | BYU +3.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 68-52 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
887 BYU at San Francisco The Cougars have won eight straight in this series and this is a key game for both squads. BYU beat San Francisco by 10 at home a month ago and the Cougars normally travel well but are just 2-4 SU on the road this season. That said defense travels and BYU allows a solid 46.7 effective field goal percentage. The Dons have run off 7 of 8 straight up heading into this one, losing at ST Mary’s by 20. San Francisco is a good shooting team but have beaten up on the lesser teams in this conference. We make the Cougars a road favorite of 2.4 here, so obviously we feel the wrong team is favored. PLAY BYU |
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