– Last Updated on November 21, 2022 2:52 pm
NFL Week 16 Odds + Predictions
Looking for NFL Week 16 Odds and free NFL picks? Week 15 of the NFL season is in the books – time to look ahead at Week 16 and its slate of games. There are some critical games on the slate this week with huge playoff implications all over the NFL. As we often find out in December, weather will be a factor as will injuries and a lack of motivation for some of the bottom-dwellers.
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Without further adieu here is a look at every game on the schedule, the early Week 15 lines associated with the contests and what should play out on what is sure to be another scintillating week of NFL action.
Giants (10-4) at Eagles (5-9)
Thursday Opening line: Giants, -3 points
This game features two teams going in opposite directions – the G-Men are Red Hot and the Eagles have definitely fallen on hard times. The difference in this game WILL be the New York defense – one that has elevated its game to elite status the second half of the season.
That said Giants have lost four of their past five to the Eagles with the G-Men winning the last game between the two in Week 9 – 28-23. New York is playing too well and Odell Beckham has been too unstoppable to think about a Philadelphia win here.
Experience and superior recent play wins out here. Take the road team by 6.
Redskins (7-6-1) at Bears (3-11)
Opening line: Redskins, -4 points
The Redskins blew an opportunity on Monday night to further their playoff aspirations. No aspect of their game looked good against the Panthers.
Enter the Chicago Bears who are 0-6 in their last six games against Washington but are 3-0 ATS with Matt Barkley under center – they are 5-0 ATS in their last five game overall.
Washington has just four days off before this matchup – my guess is that they are deflated, beaten up and not quite ready for a Bears team that has looked decent the last month. I like Chicago in an upset here.
Dolphins (9-5) at Bills (7-7)
Opening line: Bills, -3.5 points
The surging Dolphins head to snowy Buffalo this week in an important Divisional tilt. Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against Miami but the Fins are 3-1 ATS in Divisional games this year.
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The Bills on the other hand are 1-3 against Divisional foes. The Dolphins are 30th in the NFL against the run – expect Shady McCoy to dominate here and for Matt Moore to come crashing back down to earth.
Although Moore looked OK last week – it was against the Jets! Nuff said! I like Buffalo to pull away here and win by a touchdown.
Buccaneers (8-6) at Saints (6-8)
Opening line: Saints, -3.5 points
This is a rematch of a game just a couple of weeks ago when the Bucs held Drew Brees and company to just 11 points. Do I think that happens again? No.
That said Tampa is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in their last six games – as hot as any team in the league. I’m taking Drew Brees at home to exact some revenge on his Divisional foe – Drew looks as though he’s over his mini-slump and ready to finish the season strong.
Tampa was exposed just a bit on the road last week – take the home team here.
Falcons (9-5) at Panthers (6-8)
Opening line: Falcons, -3.5 points
The Panthers looked pretty good Monday night – didn’t they? But this week they face a scorching Atlanta defense that has scored over 40 points in consecutive weeks – without Julio Jones!!!
Julio should be back this week in a rematch of a Week 4 game that the Falcons won 48-33. Atlanta has now won two straight games against Carolina and the Panthers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Divisional games.
I like Atlanta to rack it up again and to easily defeat the Panthers. Take a serious look at the Over here too – there will be a ton of points scored in this game.
Vikings (7-7) at Packers (8-6)
Opening line: Packers, -6.5 points
The struggling Vikings head out on the road to take on the surging Packers at Lambeau – gotta feel sorry for a Minnesota team that is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Minnesota won the first meeting between these teams – 17-14 in Week 2 but both teams are completely different squads right now. The Packers have thrived as heavy home faves – 3-1-1 ATS and 4-1 straight-up when favored by more than six points.
Expect that trend to continue – I have ZERO faith in Minnesota right now.
Jets (4-10) at Patriots (12-2)
Opening line: Patriots, -16.5 points
16 ½ points???? Ya – sounds about right! The only thing to be mindful of is the fact that the Jets have kept the Pats within seven points in their four recent matchups including Week 12 when New England won 22-17.
The Patriots are 11-3 ATS this season – don’t worry about the insane spread here.
The Jets are crumbling and figure to be fodder for the Brady and company in this situation. Take New England by 20 or more points!
Titans (8-6) at Jaguars (2-12)
Opening line: Titans, -4 points
The Jags will be playing their first game with interim coach Doug Marrone – teams seem to respond the week after a coaching change.
That said the Jaguars have lost two straight in the series including a 36-22 loss in Week 8 and the Jags have one of the worst run defenses in the game right now.
Tennessee and their third ranked rushing game should dominate here as the Titans pull away late and cover the four points.
Chargers (5-9) at Browns (0-14)
Opening line: Chargers, -6.5 points
This could represent Cleveland’s last chance to get a victory on the season but they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games and haven’t even come close to winning this year.
In their last six games they have lost by an average of 18 points – not good.
San Diego has had a knack of playing close games this year but I don’t think it happens in Week 16. The Chargers represent a decent NFL squad – the Browns not so much!
Colts (7-7) at Raiders (11-3)
Opening line: Raiders, -3.5 points
There is a lot on the line for both teams in this contest – a loss by Indy would eliminate them from the playoffs while a win by Oakland would be another step toward a first round bye!
The Colts have won four straight games between the clubs – Indy has won every game between the two the last 21 years in Oakland. That’s why I think this game is razor close.
Indy is 4-1-1 in their last six as road underdog while the Raiders are just 2-3 this year as home favorite. Take the Colts to cover here – a letdown and a loss by Oakland wouldn’t be a shock either!
49ers (1-13) at Rams (4-10)
Opening line: Rams, -3 points
Ugh! The 49ers posted their only win of the season against the Rams – 28-0 back in Week 1 but they haven’t won since! The Rams enter on a five game losing streak – they are 0-5 ATS over that span as well.
But the Rams are at home and at least they have a decent defense.
Whether it’s Jared Goff or Case Keenum I like the Rams to get the win here – 20-13 sounds about right!
Cardinals (5-8-1) at Seahawks (9-4-1)
Opening line: Seahawks, -6.5 points
Remember the last meeting between these teams? A snoozer 6-6 tie! The Cardinals have been awful since that game – 2-5-1 SU and 1-7 ATS.
Arizona has a major chore on their hands for sure this week – taking on a motivated Seattle team that is 7-0 SU at home this year and 5-2 ATS.
To think that a struggling Carson Palmer will find his form in this one is nothing more than a pipe dream – I am expecting Seattle to roll in this one by double-digit points.
Bengals (5-8-1) at Texans (8-6)
Opening line: Texans, -3.5 points
Tom Savage looks like he did enough to earn the start Sunday over the benched Brock Osweiler. Houston has won six of the last seven meetings between the two teams.
While the Texans are just 1-4 ATS lately Cincinnati is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. The Bengals will apparently get AJ Green back from injury this week which makes them the better team on paper.
I expect Savage to come back down to earth in this game and for Cincinnati to muster up a little pride and post the upset road win.
Ravens (8-6) at Steelers (9-5)
Opening line: Steelers, -3.5 points
This should be a good one! This game pits Baltimore’s elite defense against one of the most explosive offenses in the league. Baltimore has somehow won four straight games against the Steelers and are 9-3 versus Pittsburgh in the last 12 meetings including a 21-14 win in Week 9.
But the Steelers are on a different level right now – they have won five straight ahead of this weekend and are 5-0 ATS over that span.
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I like the offense to prevail over the defense in this one – we all saw what the terrific Patriots defense did to Baltimore a few weeks ago – my guess is that they are in for a similar fate. Take Pittsburgh to win and cover the points.
Broncos (8-6) at Chiefs (10-4)
Sunday Opening line: Chiefs, -3.5 points
The struggling Broncos head to Arrowhead looking to stay in the AFC playoff picture – they have gone 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four games overall – not good!
The Chiefs won the first meeting of the season between the two – 30-27 as underdog. The Chiefs on the other hand have surprisingly lost two of their last three games at home.
While I expect them to win Sunday my guess is that this is a very, very close game. Take Denver to cover here.
Lions (9-5) at Cowboys (12-2)
Monday Opening line: Cowboys, -7 points
The Lions play their second straight tough road game this week against a top NFC team. The one thing that we know is that in order to beat the Cowboys this year a team has to be at their absolute best and with Matt Stafford ailing and the running game with its share of injuries Detroit definitely won’t be at their best!
The Lions are 1-1 straight-up and 0-2 ATS since Stafford’s injury but the Cowboys are just 0-4 ATS in their last four. I think this game is closer than advertised – the Lions have kept games within their reach all season long.
I love the Cowboys to prevail but not in blowout fashion. 27-21 seems about right!
NFL Week 16 Handicapping
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