Quarterback Passing Yards Predictions
Live on recommended Sportsbooks are 22 different quarterbacks’ passing totals for the 2020 regular season.
DK offers 10 cent lines from Patrick Mahomes to Drew Lock. Tom Brady is a notable omission from the list of available bets but just about every other expected starting quarterback is available for an early look in the futures market.
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2020 Regular Season Passing Yards Totals:
- Patrick Mahomes 4550.5
- Matt Ryan 4550.5
- Dak Prescott 4375.5
- Jared Goff 4350.5
- Matt Stafford 4150.5
- Deshaun Watson 4150.5
- Drew Brees 4075.5
- Ben Roethlisberger 4000.5
- Russell Wilson 4000.5
- Kyler Murray 3950.5
- Carson Wentz 3900.5
- Joe Burrow 3850.5
- Aaron Rogers 3850.5
- Jimmy Garoppolo 3800.5
- Daniel Jones 3800.5
- Baker Mayfield 3800.5
- Kirk Cousins 3750.5
- Sam Darnold 3600.5
- Drew Lock 3450.5
- Ryan Tannehill 3425.5
- Josh Allen 3300.5
- Lamar Jackson 3250.5
The last two MVPs sandwich the ranks with Patrick Mahomes a co-favorite with Matt Ryan to throw for the most yards and last year’s MVP Lamar Jackson bringing up the rear.
Mahomes threw for just over 4000 yards last year, the season after throwing for more than 5000 in his first year as a starter. He still would have likely eclipsed 4550 in 2019 if not for an injury that forced him to miss two games and the second half of a third.
Jackson also won the MVP in his first year as the starter last season. He had the rest of the league in awe of his running ability and also exceeded everyone’s expectations as a passer.
But the books have him improving in the yardage department, with a total of more than 100 yards higher than his 2019 total.
But while I expect Mahomes to do a better job to stay on the field and go over his total in 2020, it will be hard for Jackson to put up even better numbers, especially because he stayed perfectly healthy in his MVP year. Go under on him.
Ryan may surprise some to see he enters 2020 tied with Mahomes atop the list but his track record demands he be there.
He missed his first start since 2009 last year and still finished with 4466 yards on a league-leading 406 completions.
He has never hit 5000 yards in a season, however. He’s come awfully close a number of times. Perhaps 2020 will be his year with Calvin Ridley’s teeth that much sharper in his second pro season. I am going over.
Prescott took a leap to stardom in 2019, throwing for over 1000 more yards than he had in any of his first three seasons.
Jason Garrett is out as the head coach and Mike McCarthy is in. Prescott is unlikely to suffer any decline over the former Green Bay HC, who guided Aaron Rogers during his entire career prior to 2019.
Prescott also hasn’t missed a start since joining the league in 2016. He’s durable and young enough that he should still see improvement, especially when you consider he hasn’t been together long with his two best wideouts, Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup.
He may not throw for another 4900 yards, like he did last year, but 4375 seems easily achievable and actually a value buy in 2020.
Disappointing as the Rams were last season, Goff still threw for another 4600 yards to push him over his personal total for a second year in a row.
He threw the ball more than any quarterback in the league, 626 times, and racked up some serious numbers in doing so.
Los Angeles will try to regain some semblance of balance on offense in a new post-Todd Gurley era but that does not mean Goff will stop throwing a ton.
He’s still got several talented receivers and the most QB-friendly head coach in the business on his side.
Even more, LA’s defense isn’t getting any younger. It may struggle again in 2020, which will only put more of the burden on Goff and the receivers to keep the Rams in games.
I’m calling for at least another 4600 yards this season, which would have him over with room to spare.
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