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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-15-23 | St. John's v. Connecticut -13.5 | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The UConn Huskies have won two of their last five matchups and are looking to get a winning streak going. They currently hold a winning record in the Big East and are sitting in fourth place. The Huskies have an overall better team with the offense averaging 80 points per game while the defense is conceding just 62.6 points per contest. With this being said, the Huskies' offense is explosive and talented enough to put a lot of points on the boards, so expect them to do that against a defense that is surrendering over 70 points per game. The Huskies' defense has been unbreakable this season, giving up just 62.6 points per game, so watch out for them to make huge plays and cause chaos for the St. John's offense. With the elite defense and successful offense, take the Huskies. |
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01-14-23 | Hawks v. Raptors -6.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hawks have continued to struggle over the last week, as they are currently (3-7) in their last 10 games played. They aren't playing good basketball right now and I don't see them showing up on the road. I also see the Raptors having the advantage on the offensive end of the court. According to dunksandthrees.com, they have the 13th-highest adjusted offensive rating. Siakam has been playing like a man on a mission, as I see Toronto scoring just enough points to cover this spread. The Hawks have been unimpressive on the defensive end of the court, as they are surrendering the 22nd most points per game and they have struggled to defend the paint. The Raptors will continue to attack the basket and score enough points to cover this spread at home. |
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01-14-23 | Duke v. Clemson +1.5 | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One player that wasn't mentioned in the write-up for Clemson was P.J. Hall. At 6-10, 245, he gives the team the size to help keep Duke off the boards. Ben Middlebrooks (6-10, 232) can also add size off the bench so Clemson won't get crushed on the boards in this one. Duke has struggled on the road and without Roach, this is going to be a very tough place to play. Littlejohn Coliseum will be up for this game as much as any in years. Clemson's tough defense and that atmosphere will cause another 15+ turnover game for the Blue Devils and a win for the Tigers to keep them undefeated in the conference. Duke is also a bit overvalued as they have covered just once in their last six games. |
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01-14-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas -7 | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kansas has won 15 straight games at home and hasn't lost to a Big 12 opponent at home since the 2019-20 season. The Jayhawks can defend the ball very well and are a far superior offensive team than Iowa State. Iowa State will get its share of stops in this game but it will come down to each team's ability to create second shots. In that regard, the 54th-ranked rebounding unit of Kansas far trumps the 254th-ranked rebounding team of Iowa State. Kansas will get second chances and more possessions than Iowa State. Kansas also protects the ball better than Iowa State, as evidenced by the Jayhawks' six turnovers against Oklahoma in their last outing. It will be a dogfight but Kansas will pull away late with its ability to create offense. |
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01-14-23 | North Carolina v. Louisville +12.5 | 80-59 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units North Carolina is 0-4 on the season on the road and 3-2 in neutral-site games. The Tar Heels have yet to beat anyone by more than eight points away from Chapel Hill this season. In addition, the Heels' major advantage in this game, rebounding, will likely be hampered with the questionable availability of both Bacot and Nance. The Heels will win this game, but they will not likely win this game going away without two key interior weapons on offense and likely more reliance on a perimeter offense that has been marginal at best. |
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01-13-23 | Magic v. Jazz -5.5 | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utah offense is one of the most explosive and dominant offenses in the NBA this season, averaging 117.5 points per game (3rd). With Markkanen being consistent scoring-wise and on the boards, the Jazz has someone they can rely on. In addition, Clarkson has been hot and is coming off a 32-point game. With these two scorers, the Magic will really need to do something special to slow them down but that will be difficult with the amount of talent Utah has when moving the ball around and shooting. Orlando relies on Banchero (21.2) and Wagner (20.2) to put points on the board but other than them the Magic don't have much scoring talent. Expect the Utah defense to contain Banchero and prevent Orlando from scoring a lot. |
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01-13-23 | Nebraska v. Purdue -14.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Purdue Boilermakers have been unstoppable this season, mowing down teams left and right. They have lost just one game this season and don't seem to have another loss scheduled anytime soon. They are averaging 75.9 points per game while conceding 61.5 points per game, so expect them to crush Nebraska on both sides of the ball. The Cornhuskers are in for a treat when they face the Purdue defense, so I expect the Boilermakers to easily earn another win with Nebraska unable to be productive on offense. Loyer is coming off a 22-point performance and I expect him to have a similar performance against a defense that is allowing 66.8 points per game. Edey is a solid impact player who leads Purdue on the boards and in points per game, so I also expect him to dominate in this game. Take Purdue with their successful offense and elite defense. |
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01-08-23 | Iowa v. Rutgers -5.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Scarlet Knights are 14th in the nation according to KenPom. The defense is excellent rated third in adjusted efficiency, and top-six in three-point percentage, field goal percentage, and points allow. The offense is 113th in adjusted tempo. The Scarlet Knights have four players on the team averaging double-digits, led by 6'11 junior Clifford Omoruyi averaging 14.1 ppg, 10 rebounds, and 1.8 blocks per game. |
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01-07-23 | Magic v. Warriors -6.5 | 115-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Golden State is 17-3 inside their arena this season, as I don't believe the Magic have enough talent to cover this spread on the road. Golden State is currently scoring the fifth most points per game and they have the sixth-highest three-point shooting percentage. They will find open shots consistently throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. Orlando is not a great team, as they are only scoring the 27th most points per game and they have the 25th lowest adjusted offensive rating, according to dunksandthrees.com. They will struggle to put the ball in the basket and the Warriors will slowly pull away. Golden State is also holding their opponents to the 10th-lowest shooting percentage from the field, as they will continue to contest shots and make it tough for the Magic to score. I am also expecting Poole and Thompson to play well, as they should be the most aggressive offensive players in this game. They will dominate on the offensive end of the floor and the Warriors will cover this spead. |
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01-07-23 | Creighton v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Creighton Bluejays have had UConn's number over the years, beating them twice last year and four times in a row. Given that fact, and the fact that the Huskies have lost two straight, I love the Huskies to get a bounce-back win. Make no mistake, this will be a great game as the Bluejays are an excellent basketball team and they match up very well with the Huskies. But I just can't see a team this good losing three straight, particularly coming home after two road losses, Gampel should be rocking and carry the Huskies to a long-overdue win over Creighton. take UConn to cover. |
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01-06-23 | Hawks v. Lakers +2.5 | 114-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta’s interior defense is far away from an elite level, and the Lakers will attack the rim all night long. With LeBron in the lineup, the Lakers will torture the Hawks’ D. Last Friday, he dropped a season-high 47 points on Atlanta, and the Lakers erased a 15-point deficit. Both teams have been inconsistent, and their ATS record tells the story. The Hawks are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Western Conference. The Lakers, on the other side, have gone 4-1 ATS in their past five tilts overall and 4-2 ATS in their previous six meetings with the Eastern Conference. |
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01-06-23 | Cavs v. Nuggets -6 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland hits the road where the team is three-games under .500 this season. Denver, meanwhile, comes in at 2-2 on the second leg of back-to-back games this season but has lost each of its last two. In the past, Denver would have had difficulty matching up with a scoring two-guard of Mitchell's caliber. However, the addition of the likes of Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Bruce Brown gives the Nuggets much more defensive flexibility and allows Aaron Gordon to stay at his more traditional power forward position and not have to cover the opponent's best scorer. Jokic is a nightmare matchup for most bigs and he will certainly draw Cleveland center Jarrett Allen away from the basket which should help nullify Cleveland's rebounding advantage. Despite the back-to-back, Denver will show off its home court dominance while the Cavs will leave Denver still trying to find a way to gain more consistency away from home. |
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01-03-23 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +6 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia might be off to an excellent start this season, but it has been massively overvalued in the betting market. The Cavaliers have only covered the spread once in their last eight games, so I have no interest in backing them right now. Pittsburgh has been a completely different story, covering the spread in nine straight games. The Panthers are coming off a solid win over a ranked team, giving them some additional momentum coming into this matchup. They are going to be playing in front of a raucous crowd, so I am thrilled to back them as home underdogs. Virginia has only played three true road games this season, with one of them being a loss at Miami. |
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01-03-23 | Syracuse -8.5 v. Louisville | 70-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up loss of more than 20 points, and the Orange are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Louisville is also 0-4 ATS in its last four Tuesday games. The Orange are prepared for the Cardinal's best shot. They, too, know what it's like to be desperate for wins after losing four of their first seven, including three consecutive to St. John's, Bryant, and Illinois. Now that they're back on track, keeping focus is crucial, particularly with a game against #11 Virginia looming. Syracuse looked solid in its win over Boston College, holding the Eagles to 65 points on 40.4 percent shooting, including 33.3 percent from long range. I believe the Cuse defense will swarm and suffocate a Cardinals offense that's 307th nationally in offensive efficiency and turns the ball over far too often. |
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01-03-23 | Western Michigan v. Kent State -17.5 | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kent State Flashes are off to an excellent start at 10-3 straight up and an impressive 10-1 against the spread while in contrast Western Michigan is only 4-9 straight up and 5-5 against the spread. Home court is big during conference games and Kent State will use that to its advantage on Tuesday. The Golden Flashes will use their tough man to man in your face defense that is allowing an average of only 60.8 points per game to shut down a Western Michigan offense that is generating only 68.4 points per game while shooting just 44.2%. Western Michigan has covered each of its last two games but were 20-point and 23.4-point underdogs, losing each of the two outright. However, the spread for this matchup will be much less and the Broncos failed to cover the spread in each of the six games prior to the two most recent with much smaller spreads. |
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01-02-23 | Spurs +12.5 v. Nets | 103-139 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio is 6-6 in its past 12 games since an 11-game skid Nov. 14-Dec. 4. The Spurs have produced their best four shooting performances in that span, including Saturday when they shot 55.3 percent in a 126-125 loss to the visiting Dallas Mavericks. San Antonio was unable to stop Luka Doncic, who scored 51 points as the Mavs shot 58.1 percent. It was the fifth time an opponent made at least 58 percent from the floor against San Antonio and 21st instance of the Spurs allowing at least 50 percent shooting. Despite allowing a big night from Doncic, the Spurs nearly erased a 17-point deficit over the final 17-plus minutes thanks to big games from Keldon Johnson (30 points) and rookie Jeremy Sochan (20 points). Consider that the Nets are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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01-02-23 | Pelicans v. 76ers -3.5 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The pelicans are just 7-9 on the road and have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. Philly is 14-5 at home and Joel Embiid has averaged almost 35 points per game in Philly. The sixers have won five straight home games against New Orleans by an average of 7.5 points. |
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01-02-23 | Rutgers +8.5 v. Purdue | 65-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are a legit contender propelled by the stifling defense. They beat #10, Indiana by 15 points in their first Big Ten action and only lost by one point on the road against ranked Ohio State in their next one. Purdue is obviously a great squad but has only covered the spread four times all season. Rutgers has an incredible defense that will keep Purdue in check. The Scarlet Knights are only conceding 84.7 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 3rd in adjusted defensive efficiency according to Ken Pomeroy's ratings while Purdue is conceding 91.7 points. Purdue relies on center Zach Edey heavily and Rutgers has an answer for Edey in Clifford Omoruyi who is elite defensively. |
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01-01-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -6.5 | 118-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks are currently (15-3) at home this season and the Wizards aren't good enough offensively to cover this spread. The Wizards could also be without Bradley Beal in this game, which would be a huge loss. The Bucks have continued to dominate on defense, as they have the third lowest adjusted defensive rating in the NBA and they are holding their opponents to the sixth least amount of points scored per game. They will lock the Wizards up and efficiently score on the other end. Washington has been average on both ends of the court, but I don't see anyone on their team stopping Giannis in the paint. He will continue to score throughout and allow his team to slowly pull away. The Wizards are close, but they aren't healthy enough to challenge the Bucks on the road. |
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01-01-23 | UCLA -10 v. Washington | 74-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units UCLA has played very well over the last few weeks. The Bruins possesses great depth, and the Huskies will have a mountain to climb in front of the home fans. Washington lacks a quality scorer besides Keion Brooks. The Huskies defend the 3-point line at a high level, but their interior defense cannot contain the Bruins, who have gone 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with Washington. UCLA is 4-1 ATS in its last five games played in January, whereas Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall. |
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01-01-23 | Cornell -8 v. Dartmouth | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cornell has gotten off to a hot start, namely with a high octane and efficient offense. They are slightly stronger on the glass than Dartmouth, so they won't be controlled in terms of pace. They are very effective with the basketball, while Dartmouth turns the ball over frequently. While Dartmouth has been fairly effective protecting against the 3pt shot, they will be facing a Big Red team that is ranked 89th in the country shooting the long ball. Cornell isn't great on the perimeter but Dartmouth doesn't have the shooters to take advantage of that. The Big Red will roll in their first Ivy matchup of the season and make it four straight wins. |
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12-31-22 | 76ers v. Thunder +4.5 | 115-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia guard Tyrese Maxey will take some time to return to form after missing more than a month of action, 76ers coach Doc Rivers said. After a nine-point outing in his return on Friday, Maxey may or may not be on the court Saturday as the 76ers visit the Oklahoma City Thunder. Philadelphia lost its second game in a row on Friday, falling 127-116 to the host New Orleans Pelicans. Maxey came off the bench to hit 4 of 10 shots while adding one rebound and one assist in 19 minutes. Consider that the Thunder are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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12-31-22 | Mavs v. Spurs +7.5 | 126-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs have won two of their past three games, including a 122-115 home victory over New York on Thursday. Keldon Johnson scored 30 points and Romeo Langford added a career-high 23 as San Antonio Spurs built a 17-point lead in the third quarter and had all the answers late to send the Knicks to a fifth consecutive loss. Tre Jones scored 13, Jeremy Sochan had 12 and Jakob Poeltl took 12 rebounds for the Spurs, The win was without Devin Vassell, who missed the game with a sore left knee. With Vassell, the Spurs' second-leading scorer this season (19.6 points per game), listed as doubtful for Saturday's game, San Antonio will need to rely on Langford to pick up the slack. He was more than up to the task in Thursday's win. Consider that the Mavericks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. |
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12-31-22 | Nets v. Hornets +7 | 123-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hornets opened their homestand with Thursday night's 121-113 victory against Oklahoma City. The Hornets need to start producing in home games. They had lost five in a row on their home court until the result against Oklahoma City. If there's a new surge of excitement stemming from the Hornets it might revolve around point guard LaMelo Ball, who was one assist shy of a double-double Thursday night with 27 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists. The Hornets also are bound to be pumped up about rookie center Mark Williams, who has spent most of the season in the G League. He came off the bench to rack up 17 points (7-for-7 shooting), 13 rebounds, two blocked shots and two steals Thursday night. Consider that the Nets are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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12-31-22 | Clippers v. Pacers +3.5 | 130-131 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana looks for its third consecutive win and fifth in the last six games as it continues a home stretch. The Pacers are playing the third of four straight at home, a run that will include eight of 10 overall in Indianapolis. They opened this stretch with a pair of high-scoring wins, beating Atlanta 129-114 on Tuesday, and then 135-126 against Cleveland on Thursday. Tyrese Haliburton led the Pacers in scoring with 29 against the Cavs. He dished nine assists to maintain his NBA-leading pace of 10.2 assists per game. Buddy Hield shot 5 of 6 from 3-point range en route to 25 points, Aaron Nesmith scored 22 points and Bennedict Mathurin finished with 23 points off the bench. Finally, the Pacers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games. |
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12-31-22 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -10 | 67-69 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kansas defense has been the strength of their team, but their offense has been nothing to slouch at either. They are shooting 35.9% from 3-point range and are knocking down 54.5% of their 2-point tries. Their lone weakness on that end of the court has been their free throw shooting, as they are knocking down less than 70% of their tries. This will be a strong test for them, as Oklahoma State is fifth nationally in defensive field goal percentage. Star forward Jalen Wilson leads Kansas with 21.1 points and 9.0 rebounds per game. Freshman guard Gradey Dick (15.4) and senior guard Kevin McCullar Jr. (11.9) are both in double figures as well. Consider that the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. |
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12-31-22 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There's a lot to like about the Hokies, but how will they respond if they fall behind early? They've played just two road games, at Charleston and Boston College, and lost both times. With upcoming road matchups versus Syracuse, Virginia, and Clemson, it's time for VA Tech to figure it out on the road. They might have to go without Cattoor (9.6 PPG), who is questionable after leaving the BC game with a left forearm injury. With that said, I'll side with the home team in this ACC matchup. |
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12-30-22 | 76ers v. Pelicans +1.5 | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has an adjusted offensive rating of 114.7, which is the eighth-highest rating in the NBA. The 76ers have struggled against top teams and they fell to the Wizards in their last outing. They will struggle in this game, as I don't see them efficiently scoring enough points to cover this spread. Philadelphia is only scoring the 21st most points per game and the Pelicans have the size down low to make it difficult for Embiid. They will challenge him every time he gets the ball, which will hurt the 76ers' offense. New Orleans also has the second-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the second-lowest three-point shooting percentage. They will defend on the perimeter and in the paint, as they won't allow the Sixers to score enough points to cover this spread. The Pelicans are sitting at the top of the Western Conference standings for a reason. |
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12-30-22 | Wolves v. Bucks -6 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee is just 22nd in the NBA in offensive efficiency, but that has a lot to do with them being dead last on the road. In-home games, Milwaukee has been more explosive, where they are fourth in offensive efficiency. The Bucks have also won five of their last six games at home, with each of those wins coming by at least nine points or more. Both teams want to snap their four game losing streak, but the home court advantage will make a huge difference tonight. I will take the Bucks to cover. |
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12-30-22 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The North Carolina Tar Heels are having an inconsistent season and are only 4-4 in their last eight games. They have only won three of their seven games against a power conference opponent. Pittsburgh is one of the hottest teams in the ACC. They are 2-0 in ACC play and have won eight out of their last nine games. Furthermore, the Tar Heels' defense continues to squander too many points. They have conceded at least 76 points in five out of their last six games against a power-conference squad. They gave up 80 against Virginia Tech and 76 against Michigan in their latest action. Also, Pittsburgh has netted at least 82 points in three consecutive games. |
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12-29-22 | Rockets +10.5 v. Mavs | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Last Friday, the Mavericks barely outlasted the Rockets 112-106 and failed to cover a 7-point spread at Toyota Center in Houston. Luka Doncic dropped 50 points on the Rockets, but it wasn’t enough for an ATS victory. Dallas will beat Houston once more. However, I’m not sure the Mavs will be able to cover a double-digit spread. They’ll be a bit tired after that wild game against the Knicks, and the Mavericks are only 1-4 ATS in their last five home contests against the Rockets. Dallas has won four games in a row, and none of those victories has come by more than nine points. |
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12-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Raptors +3.5 | 119-106 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The game against the Clippers was the first of a stretch of nine of 10 games at home for the Raptors. They have lost four straight in their own building, however. It was a good night for two members of Toronto's 2019 NBA championship team now with the Clippers: Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell. Leonard, playing his second game in Toronto as a member of the Clippers, was quietly effective with 15 points, seven rebounds and eight assists. Powell, playing his first game in Toronto since being traded to the Portland Trail Blazers in March 2021, scored 22 points. Consider that the Grizzlies are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings. |
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12-29-22 | Cavs v. Pacers +5 | 126-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers have covered the spread in eighth of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record and deserve more respect here. The Cavs have been dominant at home, but now find themselves on a two game losing streak and have only covered the spread in one of their last 10 games away from home. Two weeks ago the Cavs beat the Pacers by only six points despite making nine less free-throws on 13 free attempts, and also being outshot 45.2% to 30.6% from three-point range. Indiana will fare better at home this time and cover. |
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12-28-22 | Nets -6.5 v. Hawks | 108-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nets are (9-1) in their last 10 games. I don't see the Hawks being able to slow down their offense, as Brooklyn is scoring the 13th most points per game. But, they also have the highest three-point and overall shooting percentage. They can score from anywhere on the floor and the Hawks aren't going to be able to slow them down. According to dunksandthrees.com, Atlanta has the 16th lowest adjusted defensive rating in the league and they are allowing the 17th most points per game. Durant and Irving will continue to attack and they will score enough points to cover this spread. Brooklyn has also been elite defensively during this run, as they are surrendering the ninth least amount of points per game and they are holding their opponents to the fifth-lowest shooting percentage in the NBA. They will contest shots near the basket and force the Hawks to beat them from the outside. This won't happen, though. The Hawks are only shooting 33.2% from deep, which is the 27th-lowest three-point shooting percentage in the league. |
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12-28-22 | Villanova +12.5 v. Connecticut | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UConn has been a machine all season, but Villanova is showing steady improvement under their new head coach and won't go down without a fight. The Wildcats have been extremely efficient offensively and have faced a slightly tougher schedule than UConn this season. The Wildcats are also the best free-throw shooting team in the country and have been undefeated since Cam Whitmore has been active. Villanova has also won six of the last seven games against UConn head-to-head. Take Villanova to cover. |
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12-26-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Blazers | 113-124 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte is 2-2 on the excursion after outlasting Los Angeles Lakers 134-130 on Friday. The Hornets have won two of their last three games after losing their previous eight contests. Gordon Hayward scored the tiebreaking points with 6.3 seconds left and P.J. Washington added two free throws to seal it. Portland is returning home from a 2-4 road trip in which it dropped its last three games. The Trail Blazers lost a pair of games to the Oklahoma City Thunder before finishing the trip with a 120-107 loss to the Denver Nuggets. Consider that the Hornets are 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 road games. |
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12-26-22 | Jazz v. Spurs +4.5 | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Thursday's game was the only home contest for Utah in a stretch of six of seven games away from home. The Jazz's three-game road trip includes stops in San Francisco and Sacramento to play the Warriors and Kings on Wednesday and Friday. The Spurs (10-22) head home after a 133-113 loss at Orlando on Friday. Consider that the Jazz are only 9-24-1 ATS in the last 34 meetings in San Antonio. |
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12-26-22 | Pacers +3.5 v. Pelicans | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Zion Williamson (25.2 PPG, 7.2 RPG) is the Pelicans’ leading scorer and a huge part of New Orleans’ defense, so his absence is a massive blow for Willie Green’s team. The Pels have won their last two games without Zion, but the Pacers are arguably a better team than San Antonio and Oklahoma City, so I’m going with Indiana to cover. The Pacers are healthy and Tyrese Haliburton has been outstanding as of late. Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall and 3-1-1 ATS in its previous five contests against New Orleans. On the other side, the Pelicans have covered twice in their last six outings at any location. |
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12-26-22 | Nets +2.5 v. Cavs | 125-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Because of what unfolded Friday night, the Nets can match the Bucks and Celtics for the NBA's longest winning streak of the season. Brooklyn also can get its first nine-game winning streak since a franchise-record 14-game run in 2006. Brooklyn's two most recent wins also did not require heavy lifting from Kevin Durant. Durant scored 24 points Friday after finishing with 23 Wednesday but also had plenty of help. Irving scored 14 of his 18 in the fourth when the Nets kept Milwaukee star Giannis Antetokounmpo scoreless. The Nets are 12-1 in their past 13 games and Cleveland has been nearly as hot lately. Since their five-game losing streak last month, the Cavaliers are 14-6 in their past 20 but are also attempting to avoid consecutive losses for the first time since that skid. On Friday, Cleveland saw its five-game winning streak stopped with a 118-107 loss to the Toronto Raptors. Cleveland shot 51.3 percent but despite shooting over 50 percent for the 15th time, it allowed a season-high 19 3-pointers to the NBA's worst 3-point shooting team and trailed by as many as 26 early in the third when coach J.B. Bickerstaff benched his starters. Consider that the Cavaliers are 26-58-4 ATS in their last 88 games following a ATS loss. |
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12-26-22 | Clippers -5.5 v. Pistons | 142-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons' defense is not good around the rim or at defending the three-point shot, which will be a cause for concern against the Clippers, who are top ten in three-point shooting percentage and rebounds per game. Last game versus Atlanta, the Pistons gave up 66 points in the paint and 21 fast-break points. I'm expecting LA to have similar success. Los Angeles' defense is elite, ranking third in points allowed, fourth in field goal and three-point percentage, and fifth in opponent free-throw percentage. In other words, it's challenging for good offense squads to score against the Clippers, which the Pistons certainly are not. I'll bet on the Western Conference betting favorites, who may be rounding into shape, over a fading Pistons squad growing more irrelevant by the game. |
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12-25-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors +6.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With a 10th straight Christmas Day game on the schedule, the Warriors return home after a 1-5 trip that ended with 38- and 30-point drubbings at New York and Brooklyn, respectively. Golden State played the final four games of the trip without Curry, who remains out with a slightly dislocated left shoulder and will miss at least two more weeks. They also were missing Wiggins (strained adductor) for the entire trip and key reserve Donte DiVincenzo (illness) for the last two losses, but both practiced during the Warriors' three days off and are expected to face the Grizzlies. The Warriors have beaten their last two opponents in NBA Finals -- Boston at home and Toronto on the road -- for the only wins in their last nine games, and Draymond Green believes it's time for him and his mates to start taking a disappointing 15-18 start more seriously. |
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12-25-22 | 76ers v. Knicks +2 | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After an impressive eight-game winning streak, the Knicks have dropped consecutive games to the Toronto Raptors and Chicago Bulls. RJ Barrett scored 44 points and, Julius Randle added 29 points and 12 rebounds, but the Knicks fell 118-117 to the Bulls on Friday. DeMar DeRozan's jumper with 0.4 seconds remaining was the difference, and the loss left Barrett deflated. The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. |
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12-23-22 | Pacers v. Heat -6.5 | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana relies more on Haliburton than just about any team in the NBA relies on one player. He is not only the team’s leading scorer, but he also leads the league in assists. His questionable status for this game makes me want to stay completely away from the Pacers, especially since they are facing one of the top defensive teams in the league. Miami has started to round into form and should have its best player back from an illness on Friday night. The Heat have gone 11-5 in their last 16 games against Indiana and have covered the spread at a 10-5 clip in the last 15 meetings between these teams. |
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12-23-22 | Mavs v. Rockets +6.5 | 112-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dallas Mavericks have not been a reliable team to back on the road as of late, losing three out of their last four road games. This marks the end of a four-game road trip. Dallas has also dropped five out of their last eight games overall. The Rockets have been competitive recently, especially at home. They recently beat the Bucks and Suns on the current homestand. Furthermore, the Mavericks have not been at their best offensively. They have only averaged 103 points in their last three games and that includes an overtime game in that span. The Rockets already beat the Mavericks in the lone meeting this season by nine points and are a strong play in this one. |
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12-23-22 | Bulls v. Knicks -5 | 118-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks have won eight of their last 10 games and four of their last five home games. They are playing well offensively, especially at home where they have scored over 115 points per game in their last three games while making over 51 percent of their shots. They are one of the best rebounding teams in the league and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 13 offensive boards per game at home, which will lead to extra scoring opportunities. The Bulls aren’t very good offensively and they played worse in recent games, giving up more than 120 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Knicks. The Bulls have lost four of their last six games and five of their last seven road games. Despite their recent run, they continue to play well offensively, scoring more than 115 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Knicks and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against them. They’ve also been very careless with the ball, which will be a problem against the Knicks, who are averaging seven steals per game. With New York holding opponents under 105 points per game in their last three games, they will keep Chicago’s offense in check, so go with New York to cover the spread. |
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12-22-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 71-93 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Missouri has an excellent record, but they have only faced the 346th-rated schedule according to KenPom and only one team in the Coaches Poll Top 25. Illinois is much more battle-tested having faced the 135th-rated schedule, and four top-25 teams, with wins over two top-10 teams. Illinois has the offensive firepower to match Missouri and also loves to play at a fast tempo. The Fighting Illini do have a huge advantage on the defensive end and also on the boards, where they are outrebounding foes +7.1 per game. At the same time, Missouri is dead even in rebounding margin on the season. I will lay the points and take Illinois. |
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12-22-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -8 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has beaten the Spurs twice this season, both by double digit scores. The Spurs catch a break without Williamson playing in this matchup but they will be playing their second straight game without their own leading scorer in Johnson. New Orleans is 12-4 on the season at home and have played a number of games without key players and showed off their depth. They have shown the ability to protect the basketball and, even without Williamson, they can control the boards in this matchup. |
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12-22-22 | Louisville v. NC State -17 | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals have one of the country's most under-whelming teams this season and there's little reason to think that things will change as they hit the road in this one. They only have two wins on the season as a whole and without a win away from home, this isn't an opponent that they match up well with. The Wolfpack have one of the ACC's best scoring duos and Louisville will not only not be able to stop them, nor will they be able to come close to matching the scoring punch. Additionally, according to covers.com, Louisville is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, while NC State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. |
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12-21-22 | Lakers v. Kings -6 | 120-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Lakers and Sacramento Kings hope to get back on winning tracks when they square off Wednesday night in the California capital. The Lakers had won two in a row before opening a three-day, two-game trip without LeBron James and absorbing a 130-104 drubbing in Phoenix at the hands of the Suns on Monday night. At the same time, the Kings, also seeking a third consecutive win but doing so on their home court, saw the Charlotte Hornets come to town and walk away with a 125-119 victory. L.A. and Sacramento met once earlier this season, with the Kings winning 120-114 on the road in November in a game in which the Lakers were also missing James. This time, they'll be without Anthony Davis, who injured his right foot in a 126-108 home win over the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Consider that the Lakers are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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12-21-22 | St. Mary's -8 v. Wyoming | 66-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Saint Mary's Gaels’ defense, which is allowing an average of 57.7 points per game and 39.9% shooting will be too much for the Wyoming offense. Wyoming is shooting a below average 44.4% overall and will get very few second look opportunities as St Mary's is allowing an average of only 25.8 rebounds per game including just 5.6 offensive rebounds, which is third best in the country. St. Mary's has covered the spread in six of the last seven games played on a Wednesday on the road. Wyoming has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 16 games overall. The Cowboys are scoring a respectable 73.6 points per game but are shooting just 44.4% and rely on a more up-tempo game and St. Mary’s will take the wind out of the sails as the Gaels will use as much of the shot clock as possible on each possession. |
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12-21-22 | Blazers v. Thunder +4 | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City. Additionally the Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. While the Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 43-19-3 ATS in their last 65 games following a ATS win, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. |
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12-21-22 | Magic v. Rockets +1.5 | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Rockets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Wednesday games. While the Magic are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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12-21-22 | Mavs v. Wolves +3.5 | 104-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Naz Reid continued his strong play in the absence of Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns by contributing 27 points and 13 rebounds. Gobert has missed three straight games with a sprained left ankle, while Towns has been sidelined since sustaining a calf injury on Nov. 28. Jaylen Nowell scored 18 points off the bench and Austin Rivers added 16 for the Timberwolves, one night after Minnesota set a franchise record for points (150) and field goals (57) in a rout of the Chicago Bulls. Consider that the Mavericks are 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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12-21-22 | Bulls v. Hawks -6 | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games on the road. They are 2-3 in the second half of back-to-backs thus far this season. They are also just 2-7 ATS overall in their last nine games prior to Tuesday night's game. The Bulls defense is struggling to slow down their opponents and will have a difficult time against a Hawks team that has Murray and Collins back to support the offense. The Hawks should control the tempo and flow of the game with their ability to protect the basketball, they are 8th in the NBA in assist-to-turnover ratio. Additionally, the Bulls are just 4-11 on the road this season while the Hawks are 10-5 at home. Atlanta defeated Chicago two weeks ago in Atlanta. |
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12-21-22 | Michigan v. North Carolina -5 | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I know bettors are going to be wary of backing North Carolina after its slow start to the season, but the Tar Heels have started to round into form and were able to gain some confidence with an overtime win against a ranked opponent. They also match up very well in this game, as they have the size to counter Dickinson along with the guard play to match Howard. Neither team has been good on the defensive end of the court, but North Carolina has more firepower offensively. Michigan needs Dickinson to play a perfect game today, while the Tar Heels have numerous high-level scoring options. |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets +1.5 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have plenty of talent, but the one name circled on every scouting report is two-time MVP Nikola Jokic. He is playing well again this year and is coming off a historic game against Charlotte on Sunday night. Jokic finished with 40 points, a career-high 27 rebounds and 10 assists to join Wilt Chamberlain as the only players to compile those numbers in one game. Jokic had a franchise-record 20 rebounds in the first half of the 119-115 win. Consider that the Grizzlies are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 road games and 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Denver. |
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12-20-22 | Wizards v. Suns -6 | 113-110 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to take the Suns and I am going to lay the points (-7.5). As long as Booker and Ayton play, I believe this team can beat anybody. Make sure to check the injury report before placing your wager. On the offensive end of the court, the Suns have the third-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the 10th most points per game. They can score from anywhere on the floor and the Wizards won't be able to slow them down. Washington has now lost 10 games in a row, as they can't do anything right. They are struggling on the defensive end of the court and they can efficiently score either. They are only scoring the 23rd most points per game and they haven't been able to defend the three-point shot. The Suns will find consistent open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. Phoenix has also been elite defensively, as they are surrendering the seventh least amount of points per game and they have the 10th lowest adjusted defensive rating. They will get the job done on both ends of the floor, as I see them slowly pulling away in this game. |
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12-20-22 | Jazz v. Pistons +2.5 | 126-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons have had a tough 10 game stretch that includes two losses to Memphis and a lost to New Orleans, but also upset wins over Miami and Dallas. The overall record isn't prett, but Detroit doesn't cheat its fans in the effort department and are 9-2-2 in thier lst 13 gainst a team with a winning record. Utah looked flat last night in Cleveland, and although the Cavs are a good team, they never really competed. The Jazz have been a poor defensive team most of the season, but now their offense is also not coming through. Utah is 0-4 in its last four games against at team with a losing record. I will back the home dog here. |
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12-20-22 | Georgetown v. Connecticut -21 | 73-84 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UConn has covered a 33-point spread and a 39.5-point spread already this season. They have also beaten an excellent Alabama team by 15 points and showed no mercy beating Butler by 22 in the conference opener. With so many transfers leading the way, the Georgetown defense has struggled as they lost to Northwestern, Loyal Marymount, Texas Tech, Syracuse, and Xavier by double-digits. I am not a fan of laying this many points, but UConn has been excellent, and I don't want to go against the nation's top team against the spread at home. It's either UConn or pass. |
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12-19-22 | Mavs v. Wolves +3.5 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas has been a terrible team to back away from home this season, as it has gone 3-13 in its last 16 road games. The Mavericks could be playing without the NBA’s second-leading scorer again on Monday, so I have no interest in backing them against a Minnesota team that is coming off its best outing of the season. This is a rare situation where the back-to-back aspect is not a negative thing, as the Timberwolves will be ready to pick up where it left off. They could also be getting some reinforcements back after having four key players out on Sunday. Minnesota has won four of its last six home games and will be oozing with confidence in this spot. |
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12-19-22 | Blazers v. Thunder +7.5 | 121-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma City is coming off a 115-109 win over Memphis on Saturday in a game in which it was without its two top scorers -- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey. Gilgeous-Alexander missed the game with a lower back contusion. Thunder coach Mark Daigneault said he didn't expect Gilgeous-Alexander to miss much time. Giddey was out with a non-COVID illness. Darius Bazley has missed back-to-back games for the same reason. Oklahoma City has also been without Ousmane Dieng, who has missed the last six games with a right wrist fracture, and Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, who has missed the last three with a right ankle sprain. Today's game is the first of four between the teams this season. The Thunder swept last season's four-games series. All four meetings occurred after Lillard was lost with a season-ending abdominal injury. Consider that the Thunder are 42-19-3 ATS in their last 64 games following a ATS win. |
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12-19-22 | College of Charleston v. Coastal Carolina +8.5 | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While it may very well be that Charleston comes away with a victory, expecting them to win by more than 4 or 5 in this game could be a stretch. They are on an impressive 10-game winning streak but have earned five-point victories in two of their last three games. In both of those games, they failed to cover the spread. Coastal Carolina has the offensive firepower to stay in this game, and they hit from the free-throw line. Should this be a close game or a contest where both teams are trying to be more aggressive to create turnovers, the Chanticleers can hold their own to stay in this game by hitting free-throw attempts. That should keep this game close, if not help Coastal Carolina earn the victory. |
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12-18-22 | Nets v. Pistons +8.5 | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit is coming off a 122-113 home loss to the Sacramento Kings. The Pistons led 63-55 at halftime but the Kings took control with a 17-2 run at the beginning of the second half. The Kings outscored Detroit 38-23 during the third quarter. The Pistons crept within three points in the fourth quarter but couldn't complete the comeback. Detroit collected a 141-134 overtime road victory against Charlotte in its previous outing. Consider that the Nets are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win. |
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12-18-22 | Auburn v. USC +1.5 | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trojans are playing some of their best basketball over the last few seasons and even though they'll be welcoming a dangerous team to town, they'll come away with the win in this one. For Auburn, potentially being without their top guard and top scorer is bound to take its toll on this team, especially as they hit the road in this one. The Tigers' lack of convincing results on the road this season is going to make this one a wake-up call and what USC bringing back quite a bit of experience, they'll be able to coast to the upset at home. Additionally, according to covers.com, Auburn is 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games and are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight-up win. |
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12-18-22 | Green Bay v. Oregon State -16 | 56-65 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Beavers aren't bad, but they'll look like a very good team versus Green Bay. They're a solid offensive club who didn't quit on themselves after a poor first-half shooting versus Seattle, pouring in 48 second-half points. They'll carry momentum from that shooting performance into this matchup, putting the Phoenix away early enough to coast to a comfortable victory. The Beavers' defense (189th in defensive efficiency) should also have no problems containing Green Bay (354th in offensive efficiency). The Phoenix has not shown up in these non-conference matchups, as Georgetown and Stanford blew them out. Against in-state Wisconsin, they couldn't take advantage of an ice-cold Badgers squad (30.2 FG%), as the Phoenix scored just 15 first-half points and 45 total points. |
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12-17-22 | Blazers v. Rockets +4 | 107-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Surprising and sudden defensive prowess had fueled the Houston Rockets through a five-game homecourt winning streak, highlighted by consecutive victories over the Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns earlier in the week. Against the Miami Heat on Thursday, the Rockets proved unable to maintain that defensive momentum, falling 111-108 in the third game of a seven-game homestand that continues on Saturday against the Portland Trail Blazers. Central to the Rockets' struggles against the Heat was on-ball defense, namely against Tyler Herro and Jimmy Butler. Herro poured in a career-high 41 points while sinking 10 3-pointers, also a career best. He torched several defenders in his wake. Butler finished with 20 points and 10 rebounds, and he added seven assists by routinely finding teammates in the corners after beating his defender off the dribble. Houston will face a similar challenge against Portland and its guard tandem of Damian Lillard -- who will enter the game 46 points shy of surpassing Hall of Fame guard Clyde Drexler atop the franchise career scoring list -- and Anfernee Simons. However, what should embolden Houston is the manner in which it competed against Miami down the stretch despite the sharpshooting of Herro and the all-around brilliance displayed by Butler, who also chipped in four steals. Finally, the Trail Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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12-17-22 | Grizzlies v. Thunder +9 | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Grizzlies are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. While the Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. |
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12-17-22 | Heat v. Spurs +7.5 | 111-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs have played six games in Mexico, most recently a 121-119 overtime win over Phoenix as part of the NBA Mexico City Games 2019. It will mark Miami's second game ever in Mexico, with the other a 101-89 loss against the Brooklyn Nets in December 2017. San Antonio got in a vigorous workout on Friday to acclimate to the higher elevation of Mexico's capital city. San Antonio defeated the Heat 115-111 in Miami on Dec. 10 in the first matchup of the year between the teams. Consider that the Heat are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up win. |
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12-17-22 | Alabama v. Gonzaga | 90-100 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The betting trends, though, do not look favorably on Gonzaga's chances. The Bulldogs are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss and 1-12-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight-up win. They're even performing poorly ATS in neutral site games (1-9-1 ATS in their last 11). I'll bet the more balanced squad playing closer to home to cover the spread. |
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12-16-22 | Nuggets v. Lakers +2 | 108-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver beat LA 110-99 as a 5-point home fave in their first meeting of the season on October 26, and the Lakers responded with a 121-110 home victory four days later, playing as 2.5-point home dogs. It was the Lakers’ first win in 2022-23. They held Denver to 42.7% shooting from the field while making 13 of their 30 attempts from beyond the arc. The Lakers nearly defeated the Celtics last Tuesday, and I’m expecting them to grab this one over the Nuggets, whose defense will struggle to cope with both LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Of course, the Lakers will have to bring their best defense and slow down Nikola Jokic as much as possible. Los Angeles is defending the 3-point line well, but Davis has to contain Jokic in the paint. The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Western Conference, while the Nuggets have covered the spread just once in their previous six games overall. |
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12-16-22 | Weber State v. Cal Poly -5 | 74-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Besides Dillon Jones, the Wildcats lack a decent scoring option. Cal Poly is arguably a better defensive team than Weber State, and the Mustangs own three guys who average points in double digits, so I’m backing the hosts to come out on top and cover a 5.5-point spread. The only thing I’m worried about is the fact that Cal Poly’s defense ranks 309th in the nation in free throw rate, while Weber State’s offense ranks 48th in free throw rate. Anyway, the Wildcats have been one of the worst defensive units in the nation thus far (358th in effective field goal percentage, 58.8%). Weber State is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games overall and 1-7 ATS in its previous eight showings on the road. On the other side, Cal Poly has covered in five straight contests and seven of its last eight outings on the home court. |
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12-16-22 | Magic +13 v. Celtics | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando has had a season full of streaks, as its current run of four wins in a row follows a nine-game skid that spanned more than two weeks. The Magic will begin a four-game trip after Wednesday's 135-124 win over Atlanta, which extended the team's longest win streak since early in the 2020-21 season. "These guys are just continuing to learn to trust each other," Orlando coach Jamahl Mosley said. "The rhythm that they're finding, the continuity, being willing to make the open pass." Against the Hawks, Franz Wagner scored 24 points to lead an offense that had a 50-point first quarter, the highest-scoring period in Magic history. Bol Bol had 21 points, Paolo Banchero added 20 points and six rebounds, and Markelle Fultz finished with 16 points, seven rebounds and nine assists. Consider that the Magic are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. |
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12-16-22 | Nets v. Raptors +1.5 | 119-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Raptors have dropped three in a row for the first time this season after losing 124-123 to the visiting Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. Brooklyn has won all three games with Toronto this season. The Raptors continued to have problems in shooting 3-pointers on Wednesday, going 6 for 21 (28.6 percent). However, Toronto is 10-4 at home. Brooklyn is 7-7 on the road. |
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12-15-22 | Pelicans v. Jazz +1.5 | 129-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For years, a stifling defense was one of the Utah Jazz's calling cards, which made sense considering they had a three-time NBA Defensive Player of the Year patrolling the paint. If you ask Jazz coach Will Hardy, Utah's recent performance against Zion Williamson and the red-hot New Orleans Pelicans could be considered its best defensive performance since the franchise traded defensive powerhouse Rudy Gobert to Minnesota this past offseason. Whether the Jazz defense can stymie the Pelicans again will be an intriguing aspect of the teams' turnaround rematch today in Salt Lake City. In their 121-100 blowout win over the Pelicans on Tuesday, the Jazz held New Orleans -- previously the league's third-ranked scoring offense -- to its second-lowest scoring total of the season. The visitors, who saw their seven-game winning streak get snapped, only shot 39.8 percent overall and made only 4 of 27 3-point tries. Consider that the Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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12-15-22 | Heat v. Rockets +4 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Houston Rockets will need many more defensive performances similar to their two most recent efforts in order to climb from the bottom five in the NBA in defensive rating, but the results produced against the Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns are nonetheless noteworthy. Houston extended its homecourt winning streak to five games with its 111-97 victory over the Suns on Tuesday, marking the second time this season the Rockets have held consecutive opponents below 100 points following their 97-92 home triumph over the Bucks on Sunday. The Rockets will look to extend their homecourt winning streak, and their stretch of tenacious defensive efforts. Consider that Heat are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win. |
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12-15-22 | Chattanooga v. Middle Tennessee -5.5 | 82-73 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Mocs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. While the Blue Raiders are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 Thursday games, and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win. Additionally, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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12-14-22 | Charleston Southern v. Tennessee State -5.5 | 91-87 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Consider that the Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday Games, 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games following an ATS loss, and 0-3-1 in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss. While the Tigers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Â Â Â Â |
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12-14-22 | Knicks +4.5 v. Bulls | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks come into this matchup playing their best basketball of the season. The Bulls have had trouble at two spots this season, the power forward and point guard. Those happen to be the Knicks two strongest spots with Randle and Brunson the team's two top scorers. The Knicks should dominate the glass in this matchup with the 3rd ranked rebounding team matched up against the Bulls 24th ranked rebounding unit. The Knicks are also 7-6 on the road and 8-5 ATS away from Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are also 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten games. Look for NY to make it five straight wins in this matchup. |
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12-14-22 | Warriors v. Pacers +1.5 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be the second game of a back-to-back for the Warriors and they have not been the same team on the road this season. They have only picked up two wins on the road, as I see this game staying very close until the very end. The Pacers are solid on the offensive end of the floor, as I see these two teams attacking one another until the very end. Neither team is special on the defensive end of the court, but they have shown that they can efficiently score. The Pacers are scoring the 12th most points per game and they have the 12th-highest three-point shooting percentage. The Warriors are surrendering the 23rd most points per game and they have been horrible on the road. They won't be able to slow down the Pacers and Indiana will be able to keep this game close until the end. The Warriors were forced to battle the Bucks on Tuesday night, as they will be exhausted for this game. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Pacers have the 16th-highest adjusted offensive rating, as they will continue to attack in this game. The Warriors have not been impressive on the defensive end of the court to begin this season. |
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12-14-22 | DePaul +3.5 v. Duquesne | 55-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units DePaul ranked 60th compared to the Dukes' 75th ranking, while they are far more efficient on defense - 122nd to 249th. In addition, DePaul has played a much more challenging schedule thus far, with the 111th-ranked schedule. Duquesne ranks just 287th in terms of strength of schedule thus far. I expect the Blue Demons to exploit the Dukes' shaky perimeter defense and put up high 3pt numbers. Roll with the Blue Demons for a critical road win. |
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12-13-22 | Memphis +8 v. Alabama | 88-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tigers (8-2) roll into the matchup with the Tide riding a six-game winning streak following an impressive 82-73 win over No. 11 Auburn in Atlanta on Saturday. Kendric Davis, the reigning American Athletic Conference Player of the Year, had a season-high 27 points and nine rebounds in the victory over Auburn. DeAndre Williams (16 points, team-high 11 rebounds), Alex Lomax (13 points, four boards) and Keonte Kennedy (nine points, three rebounds) also played key roles in the upset, as did Memphis' scrappy defense. The Tigers limited Auburn to 38.1 percent shooting from the field (24 of 63) and 25 percent from behind the arc (6 of 24). Finally consider that Crimson Tide is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games. |
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12-12-22 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -9.5 | 103-128 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NBA home favorites that have gone under the total by 30 or more combined points in their last three games are 129-72 ATS (+49.8 units) in the first half of the season, covering the spread by an average of +8.8 points per game. Since 2016, NBA home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a +3 to +7 points per game differential are 64-26 ATS following two or more consecutive unders versus teams with a +3 to -3 points per game differential. This situation has covered the spread by an average of +11.3 points per game and is 32-11 ATS over the last three seasons (2-0 ATS this year). Since January 17, 2022, the Grizzlies are 17-3 ATS off a game in which they made fewer than ten 3-pointers versus opponents with less than three days of rest. |
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12-12-22 | Heat v. Pacers +3.5 | 87-82 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Heat have allowed an average of 117 points in their last three road games which is above their season average of 110 points. The Pacers have a better offensive efficiency rating than the Heat, posting 109.4 points per 100 possessions while the Heat has dipped to 107.9 points per 100. Indiana continues to shine offensively, averaging 120 points in its last four games. They already beat the Heat by a 101-99 score in the lone meeting. Indiana is hot from deep, sinking at least 40% of their threes in three straight clashes including a 48% performance on Saturday. |
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12-11-22 | Tennessee -5 v. Maryland | 56-53 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tennessee comes in as the hotter of the two teams with seven straight wins and the more impressive resume that includes wins over Gonzaga and Kansas. They have the #1 ranked defense in college basketball and are holding the opposition to 33% shooting. They are 3-1 in neutral games thus far and also possess the 35th most efficient offense in college basketball. Maryland has played well to date and does have quality wins over Miami and Illinois thus far. With the game played at a neutral site, expect defense to travel better than offense. With that in mind, the relentless Volunteers' defense will carry the day and add an 8th straight win to the Volunteers resume. |
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12-10-22 | Celtics v. Warriors +3 | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-10-22 | Thunder v. Cavs -5.5 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland is playing the second game of a back-to-back situation here but on the plus side, at least there was no travel involved for them as both games are at home. The Cavaliers have gotten healthier over the last week or so with Love and Allen both returning to action to bolster their frontcourt. Oklahoma City has played decent basketball but they lack much of a frontcourt presence to contend with Cleveland’s low block presence. The Thunder are second-worst in the league in scoring defense this season and that is going to be problematic, especially since the Cavaliers are #1 in that category. While fatigue could be a small factor, Cleveland’s depth and talent is enough to get them the victory here. |
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12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We have a pair of elite teams on the floor in this contest with no home court advantage to speak of as this one takes place on a neutral floor. These teams are two of the top three shooting teams in the country, so it is going to be a highly entertaining contest. Arizona is a very team-oriented offense and they are good on the glass. The Wildcats do have issues on the defensive end of the floor as the Hoosiers have the advantage in that department. With that said, Arizona has four guys that average in double figures this season, two others that put up more than nine points a night and a dynamic point guard in Kriisa, who seems to be a step ahead of opposing defenses. The Wildcats scratch out a win in a terrific basketball game. |
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12-10-22 | Clippers v. Wizards +5.5 | 114-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite the emotional return of Wall, the Clipper come into this game very banged up and with a compromised bench. Jackson and Powell represent two of the Clippers better shooters from long range and will be missed against a Wizard team that has been scoring at a high rate despite their losing streak. In addition, Washington is 3-1 this season in the second games of back-to-backs. The Clippers have staked their claim this season on scoring defense and rebounding but the Wizards are nearly as effective on the glass and are shooting the ball at a high rate. Look for the Wizards to snap their losing streak against an inconsistent Clippers team. |
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12-09-22 | Washington +16.5 v. Gonzaga | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Zags will keep their home streak intact with a win in this game but this is too big a spread for the Zags based on their recent play. They are turning the ball over too much and haven't necessarily been suffocating on the defensive end. Washington should be able to hang close enough in this game thanks to the Zags turnover issues and Washington's efficiency on the defensive end, ranked 55th in the country. Gonzaga has not yet hit their stride and are still trying to find themselves. They have only beaten two opponents by more than 16 points this season. The Huskies will hang in this game enough to cover the point spread. |
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12-09-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +1.5 | 117-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units They say styles make matchups and, in this case, the style of the Pelicans should give Phoenix problems. With Ingram out, Williamson has gotten the bulk of the touches for the Pelicans and his playing his best basketball in two seasons. In truth, he is a nightmare matchup for most teams but particularly a nightmare for Phoenix as they continue to play without Cameron Johnson. Williamson should dominate the paint against the rather light Suns. In other news, while it will obviously benefit the Suns going forward having Paul back, he has a lot of rust to shake off his 37-year old body and looked to be at least a step slow on Wednesday night. If Alvarado is cleared to play, the pesky point guard will surely cause fits for Paul as he tries to get up to speed. This feels like a chance for the Pelicans to make an early statement at home against the recent class of the Western Conference. |
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12-09-22 | Raptors v. Magic +9 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. The Magic will ride the momentum of Wednesday's victory, scoring 60-plus points in the paint against Toronto's sub-par interior defense. I'll bet the Magic cover the seven-point spread at Amway Center. |
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12-08-22 | Clippers v. Heat -6 | 110-115 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Clippers will try to rebound from a confounding loss in the first half of a back-to-back set when they continue a four-game road swing today against the Miami Heat. After opening its Eastern Conference tour on Monday with a 119-117 victory over the Charlotte Hornets, Los Angeles coughed up an 18-point, first-quarter lead on Wednesday and lost in overtime to the Orlando Magic, 116-111. The Clippers went the final 3:22 of regulation without scoring against the team with the NBA's worst record, giving up the last six points. Los Angeles again was outscored 6-0 down the stretch of overtime. Since Nov. 19, Los Angeles is 5-5 and scored at least 114 points in each of the five wins. The Clippers scored 112 points or fewer in each of the five losses. Los Angeles' offensive woes were pronounced at Orlando. Consider as well that the Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. |
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12-07-22 | Celtics v. Suns | 125-98 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game could easily go either way, as the two of the best teams in the NBA take on each other for the first time in 2022-23. Chris Paul will probably miss his 15th consecutive game, but the Celtics could be shorthanded, too. Both Malcolm Brogdon and Al Horford are important players for this Boston team, and if they sit out, I’m going with the Suns. Phoenix has won seven of its last eight games on the home court. The Suns will be highly motivated to bounce back from that heavy loss at Dallas and prove their worth against the NBA-leading Celtics. Phoenix is 10-3 ATS in its previous 13 encounters with Boston. |
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12-07-22 | Nebraska v. Indiana -12.5 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hoosiers have won seven of their last eight games. Even though they were held to their lowest offensive output of the season against Rutgers, they are very good offensively, especially at home where they are scoring more than 85 points per game while making 56 percent of their shots. They have also shot the ball well from the free throw line and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Cornhuskers a lot of easy scoring opportunities. |
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12-06-22 | Iowa +2.5 v. Duke | 62-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Duke has been overvalued in the betting market so far this season, covering the spread just twice in its last six games. Iowa has been undervalued dating back to the end of last year, covering in 11 of its last 15 contests. The Hawkeyes have won six straight games against ACC opponents and have been one of the top offensive teams in college basketball. Duke does not have good shooting numbers, which is going to be tough to correct in a neutral-site venue. |
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12-06-22 | Pistons +7.5 v. Heat | 116-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat entered Monday night winners of four of their previous five games and stood tied for second in the Southeast Division with the Wizards, two games behind the Hawks for the top spot. Miami is 2-2 in the second game of back-to-back situations this season with a -2.7-ppg scoring differential (108.3 ppg for, 111 ppg against) in those contests. The Heat have posted an 8-4 record at home this season with a +1.7-ppg scoring margin (111 ppg for, 109.3 ppg against) in South Beach. Miami is 7-8 against Eastern Conference foes on the season with a -1.7-ppg scoring differential (108.6 ppg for, 110.3 ppg against) to date. |
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12-05-22 | Kent State +15 v. Gonzaga | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kent State is exactly the opposite of the type of team that you want to face after a crushing loss. The Golden Flashes are a sneaky-good opponent that are flying under the radar, covering the spread in every game this season. They are one of the most experienced teams in the country, led by a trio of seniors, so they are prepared for this type of game. Kent State gave Houston all it could handle, so I am not worried about the Golden Flashes being overwhelmed. I would be concerned about Gonzaga’s intensity level if I were a Bulldogs’ fan, as they are coming off a crushing loss and will not be motivated by the name on the jersey in this spot. They have been overvalued this year, covering the spread once in their last seven games. |
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12-04-22 | Oregon v. UCLA -9.5 | 56-65 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oregon has owned UCLA over the last two years, and I’m expecting the Bruins to get revenge today in front of the home fans. At the moment, UCLA looks like a better team than the Ducks, who have struggled to shoot the rock so far this season. I’m looking for the Bruins’ backcourt to make a difference, so keep your eyes on Jaquez, Bailey, and Tyger Campbell, who had eight assists against Stanford. On the other side, the Ducks will try to attack the rim and feed N’Faly Dante and Kel’el Ware in the paint. But without a solid shooting night from deep, I highly doubt their chances to keep it close or upset the Bruins in LA. |
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12-02-22 | Rockets v. Suns -11.5 | 122-121 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns have won six straight games and seven straight home games. They have one of the best offenses in the league and they played better in their last three games, scoring more than 120 points per game while making over 50 percent of their shots. They are very aggressive on the offensive glass and will get a lot of extra scoring opportunities against the Rockets. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give up a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Rockets are terrible defensively, especially on the road where they are giving up more than 117 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the hot-shooting Suns. The Rockets have lost four of their last six games and four of their last five road games |
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12-02-22 | Pelicans v. Spurs +7.5 | 117-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pelicans have not been near as threatening when on the road, losing four out of their last five road games. The Spurs have been competitive at home. They have played six out of their last nine games on the road which has not helped matters in their losing streak. San Antonio has recently covered the spread against the Nuggets, Grizzlies, and Warriors all within their last six home games. The Spurs have been decent in the offensive end, sinking at least 110 points in three out of their last four games, equating to an average of 113.3 points. This includes 110 points against this Pelicans squad in that span and 138 points against the Lakers in their previous home game. |
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