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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-18-17 | Notre Dame v. NC State +5.5 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
Notre Dame is going to be a very popular play here based on not only records but the fact that NC State just fired head coach Mark Gottfried. Gottfried will coach the remainder of the season and he vowed he will not give up on his team and his players are not going to give up on him either. The Wolfpack have dropped six straight games to fall to 3-11 in the ACC and they have failed to cover and of those games on top of it. This is a spot where players step up to back their fallen coach. Notre Dame has won three straight games following a four-game losing streak but two of those wins came at home and the one road win came at 2-12 Boston College by just eight points. That improved the Irish to 4-3 on the road but they are 0-3 ATS on the season as road favorites and are once again overvalued here based on the recent runs and the coaching situation at NC State. The Wolfpack are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Winning this game outright is more than possible so grabbing the hefty pointspread is a huge benefit. 10* (502) NC State Wolfpack |
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02-18-17 | Northern Iowa +15.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 44-73 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
Wichita St. is dueling with Illinois St. for the Missouri Valley Conference championship and with just three games left in the regular season, they are all very important. Winning and covering are separate matters however and once again, the Shockers are saddled with a huge number to cover. They have been favored by big numbers all season and they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games when favored by 15 or more points. They took care of Northern Iowa on the road earlier in the season and that was a game they wanted pretty bad after the Panthers defeated them in the MVC Tournament semifinals last season. That loss by the Panthers was when they were a different team as they were supposed to be in the mix once again this season but stumbled out by losing their first five conference games but have since won nine of their last 10 games to move into third place in the conference. The lone defeat came by just six points at Illinois St. which is also 14-1 in the conference. This is a team no one should want to face right now and they have covered their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (507) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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02-17-17 | California -3.5 v. Stanford | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
This is the 266th edition of the Battle of the Bay and while laying points on the road in a rivalry game in always a tough endeavor, this is a bad matchup for the home team. California checks in with an 18-7 record including 9-4 in the Pac 12 following a loss at Arizona in its last game. The Golden Bears four losses have come against the three top teams in the conference (Arizona twice, Oregon and UCLA) with three of those coming on the road where the combined home record of those three teams is 43-1. This is a big game for California as this would be considered a bad loss and currently projected as a No. 10 seed in the NCAA Tournament, a defeat could push it outside the bubble with a not-so-easy schedule remaining. Stanford has struggled this season as it is a game under .500 including a 4-9 record in the Pac 12. The Cardinal are 8-4 at home which is not very intimidating and they are projected to have their worst home record since 2010-11. Stanford has struggled against the top level teams it has faced as it is 1-10 against teams ranked in the Top 50 RPI while going 10-3 against teams falling below that ranking. Stanford is 2-10 this season as an underdog and going back, it is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games as an underdog. 10* (865) California Golden Bears |
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02-16-17 | UC-Davis v. Long Beach State -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The biggest disappointment in the Big West Conference has been Long Beach St. which came in as the preseason favorite to win the conference but are just 6-5 although all hope is not lost just yet. The 49ers lost at CS-Fullerton on Saturday and the road has been a real issue all season as they are 2-14 on the highway with the majority of those losses coming from a brutal non-conference schedule. They have been a much different team at home where they are 8-1 on the season with the only loss coming against Northridge which happened to come two days prior to a trip to Hawaii. Even though they are just 6-5, a win here moves the 49ers to just a game and a half out of first place. This is the first of two meetings against UC-Davis which leads the conference with an 8-2 record. The Aggies have been overachieving and while they are 8-0 at home, they are just 6-6 on the road and two road losses within the conference were bad ones at Riverside and Cal Poly, two of the three losing teams in the conference. Going back to last season, Long Beach St. is 19-3 in its last 22 regular season home games. 10* (750) Long Beach St. 49ers |
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02-16-17 | Florida International v. Southern Miss +2.5 | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Two of the bottom three teams in Conference-USA square off in Hattiesburg and we give a significant edge to the home team. Southern Mississippi has lost three straight games but two of those were on the road while the other came at home against 6-6 Western Kentucky. The road losses were not surprising considering that the Golden Eagles are 0-10 on the road. They have been much better at home as they were 4-2 in their previous six home games prior to Western Kentucky and those two losses came against 10-3 Louisiana Tech and 7-5 Rice. Six of their seven conference home games came against teams .500 or better and they rolled over North Texas in their only game against a losing team. Florida International is coming off a win over North Texas on Saturday which came at home and was just its second conference win of the season. The Golden Panthers are also an identical 0-10 on the road yet they come into this game as road favorites which is the first time they have been in this role all season and it makes little sense. The Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (732) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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02-16-17 | William & Mary v. James Madison +4 | Top | 92-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
James Madison is coming off a poor loss on Saturday against Delaware at home and what started out as a good conference season, it has been pretty downhill. It opened the CAA season with three straight wins but it has been a struggle since then as the Dukes have gone 2-9 over their last 11 games. Six of those 11 games have been on the road, all resulting in losses and two home losses came against UNC-Wilmington and Charleston which are a combined 21-7 in the conference. William & Mary improved to 8-6 in the CAA with a home win over Charleston which puts it into a tie for fourth place. The Tribe are now 7-0 at home within the conference but that record is close to a reversal on the road where they are 1-6 with the lone win coming in overtime at Hofstra by a bucket. James Madison lost the first meeting by two points on the road as a 6.5-point underdog and now it is getting just over a bucket less at home which does not correlate to the change in venue and the Dukes have covered four straight games as underdogs of fewer than seven points. 10* (718) James Madison Dukes |
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02-15-17 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -1.5 | Top | 71-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Both Oklahoma St. and TCU are projected NCAA Tournament teams which is a surprise as both were picked to finish near the bottom of the Big XII. In the case of TCU, it was picked to finish dead last but right now, it is 17-8 overall including a 6-6 record in the conference. Four of those losses came against Baylor (twice), Kansas and West Virginia while the other two came at Texas Tech by just six points and at Oklahoma St. by 13 points which sets them up for a revenge play tonight. The Horned Frogs lost at Baylor on Saturday but they are 13-3 at home including an 11-1 record as home favorites and are now laying a very short price. Oklahoma St. opened the conference season by going 0-6 but instead of tossing in the towel, the Cowboys went on to win five straight games before losing at home against Baylor. They bounced back against Texas on Saturday with a 13-point victory and while they have covered all five games as road underdogs this season, they were getting at least 6.5 points in all of those. 10* (568) TCU Horned Frogs |
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02-15-17 | Alabama -4.5 v. Missouri | Top | 57-54 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Alabama is hanging onto its NCAA Tournament hopes by a thread as it has dropped three of its last four games to fall to 7-5 in the SEC which is good for a tie for fourth place. The Crimson Tide can ill afford to lose many more of its games and especially games like this against the lower echelon of the conference. Alabama is 4-4 on the road and that record includes a pair of solid road wins at South Carolina and Georgia over the past three weeks. Missouri has been playing much better as after a 0-9 start in the SEC, the Tigers have won two of their last three games while covering the game in-between at Texas A&M. In all of those games, the Tigers were sizable underdogs which makes it more impressive but on the season, the Tigers are 1-4 ATS when getting seven points or less and their 6-8 home record is not going to intimidate anyone. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss sand they keep their tournament hopes alive with a needed victory tonight. 10* (561) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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02-15-17 | Massachusetts v. Duquesne +4 | Top | 66-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Massachusetts is coming off a win at St. Josephs on Saturday which snapped a five-game losing streak and now the Minutemen come into tonight as road favorites which they have no business doing. They have laid points on the road only once this season and that was at St. Louis which resulted in an outright loss. They are just 3-7 on the road and while they are coming off a road win, they opened Atlantic Ten play by dropping their first five road games. Duquesne is sitting in last place in the conference at 2-10 as it has lost eight straight games but the stretch has been brutal. Five of the games have come on the road while the three home games have been against Dayton, Rhode Island and St. Bonaventure which are a combined 26-11 in the Atlantic Ten. Prior to that, their only other home conference games where against St. louis, which the Dukes won, and 11-2 VCU. Now they are a home underdog against a losing team for the first time and we can take advantage of that tonight. 10* (546) Duquesne Dukes |
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02-14-17 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | Top | 83-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Clemson is in bounce back mode tonight and this is a game it cannot lose. The must-win term can be overused at times but for the Tigers, it fits here. They are coming off a hard-fought loss at Duke which was their third straight loss and despite a 3-9 record in the ACC, they are still on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Clemson has a tough three-game stretch on deck all against teams going to the Big Dance so getting past this one and playing well in that stretch is a must. Of their 10 losses, eight have come by six points or less including five by four points or less. This is a big game for Wake Forest as well as it is on the outside looking in but it is catching Clemson at the wrong time. The Demon Deacons are coming off a 30-point win over NC State which was its sixth win in the conference but only one of those was against a potential NCAA Tournament team and the two ACC road wins came at Boston College and NC State, which are a combined 5-21 in the conference. The Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Demon Deacons are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (712) Clemson Tigers |
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02-14-17 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan +1.5 | Top | 99-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
The MAC West is a wide open race with all six teams separated by just one game. Central Michigan is tied with Ball St., Northern Illinois and Toledo for first place and it has done the job at McGuirk Arena with a 10-1 record on the season including going 4-1 in the conference, the only loss coming against 9-0 Akron by just four points. The Chippewas have played a tough stretch of late with four of their last five games coming on the road and this is the start of three straight home games. They lost on Saturday at Miami Ohio as Marcus Keane, who leads the nation in scoring at 29.3 ppg, was held to a season low 12 points so we should see a huge effort from him. Buffalo comes in with a 7-5 record in the MAC but it trails Akron by four games so winning the MAC East is pretty much out of the question. The Bulls are coming off a win at Bowling Green which was their fourth straight win and fifth straight cover so they are playing at a high level but that helps us out with the line as they are now laying points to a team that has lost at home just once all season. The Bulls are a respectable 6-7 on the road but the Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (722) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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02-13-17 | West Virginia v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 80-84 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Kansas is back home following a narrow one-point win at Texas Tech on Saturday as it nailed a free thrown in the final seconds to pull out the victory. It was a tough spot for the Jayhawks which were coming off a win over rival Kansas St. and facing a revenge game two days later and in addition, leading scorer Frank Mason was dealing with an illness and ended up fouling out of the game with over three minutes remaining. Kansas will be out to avenge a 16-point loss at West Virginia back on January 24 which snapped an 18-game winning streak. While Kansas will be out for payback, it will also be out to get back on track at home as it had its 51-game Allen Fieldhouse winning streak come to an end in its last home game against Iowa St. West Virginia is coming off a big home win over Kansas St. on Saturday which was also a revenge game so the inevitable letdown can certainly take place here. Going back, the Mountaineers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of fewer than seven points and with Kansas going four straight games without a cover, Kansas has value in the home number tonight. 10* (540) Kansas Jayhawks |
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02-12-17 | Wichita State v. Loyola-Chicago +9.5 | Top | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Wichita St. has bounced back very well after suffering its first conference loss of the season as it has won seven straight games following a road loss at Illinois St. by 14 points. The Shockers are 6-1 on the road this season including a 5-1 record in the conference but they have covered only two of those games as they continue to be overpriced on the highway. Additionally, the Shockers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Loyola-Chicago comes in at 16-10 but that record does not show that it has been a better team than that. The Ramblers have suffered some excruciatingly close losses this season. Their last four setbacks have come by a combined 12 points, their last three by nine points and their last two by eight points. This year, Loyola-Chicago is 0-6 in games decided by five points or less. The Ramblers have the ability to keep games close because they are such a good shooting team. They are ranked sixth in the nation in field goal percentage at 50.1 percent and they have shot below 45 percent from the field just four times this season. They hung with Wichita St. in the first meeting on the road until the Shockers pulled away late so hanging at home, where they are 11-2, should not be a problem. The Ramblers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (850) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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02-12-17 | Michigan v. Indiana -3 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
A pair of NCAA Tournament bubble teams square off in Bloomington in a huge game for both sides. Indiana remains home following a tough loss against 9-3 Purdue making it two straight losses overall to fall to 5-7 in the Big Ten. That was the Hoosiers second home conference loss with the other coming against 10-1 Wisconsin and on the season, the home team is 18-4 in Indiana games. This team is a lot better than the record shows as this roster is filled with talent proven by the fact Indiana is the first school to have seven players record a double-double in the same season since North Carolina did it in 2009-10. Michigan is coming off a blowout win over rival Michigan St. on Tuesday which snapped a two-game slide. The Wolverines have been similar in the fact that the venue makes a difference as the home team 19-3 in its games this season and this includes Michigan going 0-6 on the road. These teams met just over two weeks ago and despite the Hoosiers shooting 54.5 percent, they were blown out by 30 points as they managed a mere 44 shots. Revenge will certainly be in play here and going back, Indiana has won 17 of the last 18 meetings in Bloomington. The Wolverines are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Hoosiers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (842) Indiana Hoosiers |
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02-11-17 | San Jose State v. UNLV -4 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
UNLV used to be a fixture in the NCAA Tournament but has not been there since 2013 and that is not going to change this year. The Rebels have only 10 wins this season and are on pace for their fewest victories since 2000-01 and that is if they win out. UNLV has lost five straight games including a blowout loss against rival Nevada last time out and it will look to get back on track at home in a very winnable game. The Rebels four home losses within the conference have come against superior teams and we cannot put San Jose St. in that group. It has been a solid turnaround season for the Spartans as they have surpassed their win total from the last two seasons combined thanks to a three-game winning streak, their third such streak of the season. They are coming off a pair of upset wins at New Mexico and at home against San Diego St. and prior to that, it was a home win over UNLV so the Rebels will be additionally motivated here. San Jose St. is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games following a win. 10* (628) UNLV Runnin’ Rebels |
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02-11-17 | Delaware v. James Madison -7.5 | Top | 58-57 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
James Madison opened the CAA season with three straight wins but it has been a struggle since then as the Dukes have gone 2-8 over their last 10 games. Losing is never a good thing but the schedule has played a big role in this rough stretch as six of those 10 games have been on the road, all resulting in losses and the two home losses came against UNC-Wilmington and Charleston which are a combined 21-5 in the conference. One of the road losses came at Delaware so revenge is in play here. That win over the Dukes was just one of three conference wins for Delaware which is now 3-10 in the CAA. The Blue Hens are coming off an upset win over Elon in overtime at home on Thursday and they have not won consecutive games this season over Division I teams as they are 0-7 following a victory. Delaware has really struggled on the road as it is 2-10 and of their 10 losses, only one has come by single digits and on the road for the season, the Blue Hens are getting outscored by an average of 15.7 ppg. This includes six conference road losses by an average of 23.2 ppg. 10* (576) James Madison Dukes |
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02-11-17 | Ohio State v. Maryland -7.5 | Top | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
After seven straight wins, Maryland has dropped its last two games by a total of seven points. The Terrapins lost last Saturday at home against Purdue by a single point and they had a tough time recovering from that last second loss as they fell at Penn St. on Tuesday. They now trail first place Wisconsin by a game and a half in the Big Ten and with a pair of road game on deck against 7-4 Northwestern and the 10-1 Badgers, this is a big game to avoid a three-game skid. Ohio St. is coming off a pair of wins including an impressive victory at Michigan but it has not won three straight games since early in the season as the Buckeyes are 0-3 in their last three games following consecutive victories. Ohio St. is just 3-5 on the road with two Big Ten road wins coming by just five points combined. The Buckeyes are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Terrapins are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (574) Maryland Terrapins |
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02-11-17 | Seton Hall v. St. John's +2 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
Seton Hall went 10-2 during the non-conference portion of its schedule but Big East play has not been very good. The Pirates are 5-6 which is not horrible after seeing who some of the losses came against but they are in a bad spot here as they are coming off consecutive wins in overtime against Georgetown and Providence after a brutal 1-5 stretch. They are just 2-5 on the road and the lone victory over that prior stretch came at home against St. John's which puts the Red Storm in payback mode. They lost that game by 13 points but are a respectable 3-3 over their last six games. They have had a tough slate as five of seven losses in the Big East have come against Villanova twice, Xavier twice and Creighton. St. John's owns impressive home wins over Butler and Marquette and it is 7-4 at home overall. Included in this in a perfect 4-0 ATS run against teams with winning records. 10* (520) St. John's Red Storm |
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02-10-17 | Akron v. Eastern Michigan +1.5 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
Akron is clearly the class of the MAC as it comes into Friday night with a 10-1 conference record which is four games better than any other team. The Zips are in control of the MAC East as they have a four-game lead over Ohio which is now without its best player so winning the division is pretty much a guarantee. Akron has dominated at home with a 12-0 record but it has been average on the road at 4-4. Tw o non-conference losses came at Creighton and Gonzaga so no real hard there and while the Zips are 4-1 on the MAC road, three of those wins have come by four points or less against inferior competition. Eastern Michigan has been a disappointment this season as it was expected to contend in the MAC West and while it is just 5-6 in the conference, that is good enough to trail three teams by just one game. That makes this a huge game for the Eagles which have dropped three straight and need this one to remain in the hunt in the MAC West. The public is all over the Zips here at this short price but the Eagles are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog and they will be out to avenge a loss to Akron back on January 20. 10* (886) Eastern Michigan Eagles |
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02-09-17 | Oregon v. UCLA -4.5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
While North Carolina and Duke is getting all the attention as usual, the marquee game of the night is taking place in Los Angeles. UCLA heads home following a three-game roadtrip where it went 2-1 including a 41-point win over Washington last Saturday. While that could lead to a letdown in normal circumstances, this is far from a normal circumstance. The Bruins lost their last home game prior to the recent trip as they fell to Arizona by 11 points and they will be out to make good from that. Additionally, the Bruins opened the season 13-0 and commenced Pac 12 play with a game at Oregon and lost on a last second three-pointer so they will be out to avenge that defeat, the third straight to the Ducks. Oregon defeated Arizona at home by 27 points on Saturday to move to 15-0 at home but it is just 3-2 on the road with only one win coming against a team with a conference winning record and that was 6-5 Utah. The Ducks failed to win or cover their lone game as a road underdog while the Bruins are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (756) UCLA Bruins |
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02-09-17 | Charlotte v. UAB -9 | Top | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
UAB came into the season as the team to beat in C-USA but it is three games behind conference leader Middle Tennessee St. however there is still time for a run. The Blazers have lost two straight games but both of those came on the road and the schedule has been difficult up to this point with seven of the first 11 games taking place on the road. They are 9-2 at home including six straight victories and going back, UAB has won 22 consecutive home games against conference opponents. Charlotte moved to 5-6 in the conference with a win over Florida International on Saturday but it was far from a quality win as FIU is 1-9. Another win came against 4-7 Southern Mississippi and two other victories came against 0-10 North Texas. The 49ers are 0-3 on the road within the conference against teams that are .500 or better and they have struggled against the teams they are expected to lose to as they are 0-6 ATS as underdogs of more than seven points while the Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite. 10* (738) UAB Blazers |
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02-08-17 | Stanford v. Arizona -13.5 | Top | 67-74 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
Arizona had its 15-game winning streak snapped on Saturday as it was throttled at Oregon by 27 points so a return home is bad news for Stanford. The Wildcats are now tied with the Ducks atop the Pac 12 with a 10-1 record and they are one of three teams in the conference with a 21-32 record with UCLA being the third. They are a perfect 12-0 at home and have won 18 straight games going back to last season while winning 67 of their last 68 games at the McKale Center. Arizona is 2-0 following a loss this season, winning the two follow up games by 22 points apiece and going back to 2012, it is 21-4 at home following a loss. Stanford won at home over Utah on Saturday which was just its fourth win in the Pac 12. Three of those have come at home with the lone road win coming at 0-11 Oregon St. which happens to be its only road win of the entire season. Arizona won the first meeting by 39 points so while revenge can be a factor for Stanford, the Wildcats have won the last 14 meetings in this series so revenge has been on the plate since 2009 but it has proved to be a non-factor. Five of the last six wins have comes by at least 13 points. Going back, the Cardinal are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (578) Arizona Wildcats |
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02-08-17 | La Salle v. Fordham +1.5 | Top | 67-52 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
We waited on this one to get better injury information from the LaSalle side. The Explorers two of their top three leading scorers B.J. Johnson (17.8 ppg) and Pookie Powell (13.4 ppg) came in as questionable with the overnight line and now as of Wednesday afternoon, Powell has been downgraded to doubtful. Johnson remains questionable and if he does go, he will not be 100 percent so either we get that outcome or if he misses, the line should move considerable so bet early as possible. Fordham is coming off a double-overtime win at St. Joes on Saturday to improve to 4-6 in the Atlantic Ten and while the Rams have lost two straight at home, they boast a huge win over VCU prior to that. LaSalle is 6-4 in the conference following a 20-point loss at George Mason with both Johnson and Powell out which shows how important their presences are to be successful. The Explorers have lost four of their last five games including all three on the road and on the season, they are 3-7 ATS away from home. Fordham has had recent success in this series with three straight wins and since 2010, every home meeting has either been a win or tight loss. The Rams are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Explorers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (536) Fordham Rams |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -3.5 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Two NCAA Tournament bubble teams square off on Tuesday as Clemson hosts Syracuse in a huge game for both sides. The Tigers are projected to be one of the last teams in with a No. 11 seed and they cannot afford to lose any more of these marginal games. They are 3-7 in the ACC which is a horrible record for a team projected to make the Big Dance but six of the seven losses have come against teams that are also projected into the tournament with four of those losses coming by five points or less. Three of the losses came at home by eight points combined and the Tigers will be looking to bounce back from a 48-point loss at Florida St. on Sunday which is motivation enough in itself. Syracuse has turned its season around with four straight wins including a pair of home upsets over Virginia and Florida St. The Orange are now 7-4 in the ACC but they are still on the outside looking so this is clearly a big game for them as well. They are just 1-5 on the road and the one win came in overtime where they had to erase a 16-point lead at NC State. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points while the Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. 10* (738) Clemson Tigers |
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02-07-17 | Florida v. Georgia +6.5 | Top | 72-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Florida is coming off a monumental win over Kentucky on Saturday as it defeated the Wildcats by 22 points which was the most lopsided win for the Gators in the series 90-year history. The Gators have now won four straight games and it has been a dominating run as they won the other three games by 35, 32 and 39 points but those three wins were against poor teams with conference records a combined 4-26. The win over the Wildcats was impressive for sure but it sets up a letdown for Tuesday. Georgia is in a bad run that has dropped the Bulldogs into a four-way tie for ninth in the SEC as the Bulldogs have dropped four straight conference games. They lost 77-75 on Saturday at first-place South Carolina and 90-81 in overtime at Kentucky just four days earlier. All but one conference loss has come down to the final minute. This is a revenge spot for Georgia as well as it lost by four points in overtime as the Gators shot 35 free throws on their home floor, compared to 21 for the Bulldogs and head coach Mark Fox made some shrewd references to the disparity in his post-game remarks. The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. 10* (714) Georgia Bulldogs |
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02-07-17 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
Notre Dame was sitting near the top of the ACC a couple weeks ago but it has since dropped four straight games to fall to 6-5 which puts it in seventh place in the conference. Two of the losses have come at home against quality opponents Virginia and Duke which were its first two home losses of the season. They are coming off a tough loss against North Carolina on Sunday which was rescheduled to Greensboro from Saturday and there will be plenty of motivation as they head home looking to get back in the win column. Wake Forest is now 5-6 in the conference following a pair of wins last week but those were against teams with losing ACC records and of the five conference wins, none have come against teams with a winning record. The Demon Deacons are 4-5 on the road including two conference wins against 2-9 Boston College and 3-8 NC State. Notre Dame defeated Wake Forest twice last season by double-digits and the situations are similar as both of those victories came following a loss. Going back, the Demon Deacons are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win while the Irish are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. 10* (730) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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02-06-17 | Kansas -3 v. Kansas State | Top | 74-71 | Push | 0 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Kansas and Kansas St. are meeting for the second time this season with the Wildcats looking for some revenge following a hard-fought two-point loss in Lawrence the first time around. The problem now is that the situations are different as the Jayhawks are coming off their first home loss in a span of 54 games so what better way to make up for that than to face and take it out their in-state rival. The Wildcats meanwhile enhanced their NCAA Tournament prospects with a win at Baylor by a bucket as a seven-point underdog. That snapped a three-game skid for the Wildcats and bumped them back into an at-large bid with a 16-7 overall record and a 5-5 mark in the Big XII. The win over the Bears was the first of the season in four tries against an RPI Top 25 team so making it two in a row will be a challenge. The Wildcats have dropped two of their last three games at home and are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games. Kansas leads the Big XII in field goal percentage at 49.5 percent, three-point field goal percentage at 41.5 percent and rebounding at 40.0 per game and we can expect a full effort following that loss knowing the Jayhawks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. 10* (533) Kansas Jayhawks |
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02-05-17 | South Florida +15 v. Temple | Top | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
It has been a tough year for Temple which won 47 games over the last two season but sits at 12-11 this season including a 3-7 record in the AAC. The Owls are coming off a win at Tulane but are now laying their biggest line of the season and while it comes against a poor South Florida team, it is unjustified at this price. They were hit hard by graduation while two returnees that were expected to contribute a great deal have been sidelined with injuries. It has been an even bigger struggle for South Florida which has yet to win a game in the conference after a 6-5 non-conference record. Only two of ten games have come against teams that are under .500 in the conference, While South Florida has gone winless on the road in its AAC games this season, it has gotten double-digits in the last four but those came against Cincinnati, UCF, Memphis and SMU which are a combined 33-10 in the conference. Getting points has served the Bulls well as they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 13 points or more while going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile the Owls are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 13 points or more. 10* (861) South Florida Bulls |
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02-04-17 | Illinois State v. Wichita State -10 | Top | 45-86 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is the second meeting between the two top teams in the Missouri Valley Conference and with Illinois St. taking the first meeting at home by 14 points, Wichita St. needs to take this one for any shot at the MVC title. The Shockers have won five straight games since that loss to the Redbirds including the last two games coming on the road. They are 12-1 at home this season with the lone loss coming against Oklahoma St. but that game was played at INTRUST Bank Arena, which is an annual stop for the Shockers. They have won 16 consecutive games at Charles Koch Arena, their on-campus home. Illinois St. is a perfect 11-0 in the conference as it came in as the leading candidate to take out Wichita St. and so far so good. There have been some suspect losses away from home where all four of the Redbirds defeats have taken place. This is a similar situation to last season when Wichita St. opened 11-0 in the MVC and went to Illinois St. and lost before getting its retribution at home in the second meeting by 16 points. The big story here is that Illinois St. will be without forward MiKyle McIntosh. He is second on the team in scoring and rebounding with 13.5 ppg and 6.4 rpg and put down 20 points and five boards in the first meeting. 10* (672) Wichita St. Shockers |
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02-04-17 | Memphis v. UCF -2 | Top | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
Memphis has won two straight games and five of its last six to improve to 7-3 in the AAC. The Tigers have covered just once in their last seven games however as they continue to be overpriced with a lot of that based on name alone. They are two wins away of their total from last season which shows how good of a job Tubby Smith has done in his first season in Memphis. The Tigers are 3-2 on the road in conference action and while a win over Houston was impressive, the other two came against South Florida and Tulane which are a combined 1-19 in the conference. UCF started the season 14-4 including a 5-1 record in the AAC but the Knights have lost four straight games. Three of those have been on the road while the lone home loss came against 9-1 SMU and one of those road losses was at Memphis which started this skid so revenge will be in play. The Knights are seventh nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 61.3 ppg and while smith has done a great job in Memphis, the UCF turnaround can be attributed to new head coach Johnny Dawkins. The Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while UCF has won six of seven games this season as a favorite. 10* (588) UCF Knights |
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02-04-17 | William & Mary v. Towson -2.5 | Top | 80-82 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
William & Mary has moved into a tie for third place in the CAA, trailing UNC-Wilmington and Charleston by two games thanks to four straight wins after a 3-4 start in the conference. The schedule has played a big part in the recent surge however as all four of those wins came at home where the Tribe are now a perfect 11-0 on the season. Conversely, they are 2-9 on the road so the home team is 20-2 in their 22 games on the season. William & Mary is 1-4 on the highway in the CAA with the one win coming by a bucket in overtime. Towson has been playing solid as well as it has won six of its last seven games after starting the season 0-4 in the conference. The Tigers are 4-0 at home and 2-1 on the road during this recent stretch so they have done excellent despite a challenging schedule. They defeated Drexel on Thursday in overtime which was a big win following a loss at Northeastern last Saturday. Towson has won six straight home games and are 8-3 overall this season and it is averaging 80 ppg during its six-game home court winning streak. The Tribe are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win while going just 3-7 ATS on the road this season against teams with a winning record. 10* (590) Towson Tigers |
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02-04-17 | Tennessee v. Mississippi State +2 | Top | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
Tennessee has won four straight games to get back into the NCAA Tournament mix. The Volunteers are now 13-9 overall including a 5-4 record in the SEC and while that does not seem overly impressive, they did pick up a big win over Kentucky a week and a half ago and followed that up with a solid victory over Kansas St. in a game they could have easily shown a letdown. They have been fairly solid on the road with a 4-3 record but they are in a tough spot here. Mississippi St. has been equally impressive with a 13-8 record and while it started 3-1 in the conference, the Bulldogs have lost four of their last five games. Three of those took place on the road including the last two while the lone home loss came against Kentucky by just seven points. Following that Kentucky loss, the Bulldogs suffered a letdown and lost at Tennessee by 17 points so they will be out to avenge that defeat. The last time Mississippi St. lost two straight games, it bounced back at home with a blowout win to improve to 8-4 at home. The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss and even better, they are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss. 10* (578) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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02-03-17 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -3.5 | Top | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
The MAC West is a wide open race with all six teams separated by just three games. Central Michigan trails Ball St. by two games and it has done the job at McGuirk Arena with a 9-1 record on the season including going 3-1 in the conference, the only loss coming against 9-0 Akron by just four points. The Chippewas are just 1-4 on the MAC highway and Western Michigan knows how those struggles feel as it is 0-8 on the road overall including five conference losses. This is a great matchup for Central Michigan and its high-powered offense as it is ranked in the top 20 nationally in six stat categories - No. 2 in three-point field goals per game, No. 3 in total three-point field goals made and three-point field goal attempts, No. 4 in scoring offense, No. 6 in free throw percentage and No. 7 in free throws made. The Broncos allow opponents to shoot 50.5 percent from the floor including 39.8 percent from long range. Western Michigan got the best of the Chippewas twice last season including an overtime win in this gym so there is some added motivation for Central Michigan against their rivals. The Chippewas are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (884) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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02-02-17 | Arizona v. Oregon State +17 | Top | 71-54 | Push | 0 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Arizona has moved up to No. 5 in the country thanks to a 14-game winning streak and this is a big roadtrip for the Wildcats. They have a Saturday showdown at Oregon, which sits one game behind Arizona in the Pac 12, so there is certainly the possibility of a lookahead to that game. The Wildcats have yet to lose on the road and while they are clearly a big step above Oregon St., laying a number this big on the highway is pretty aggressive. Arizona is just 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season of 15 or more points and the last time it layed more than 15 points on the road as all the way back in February of 2003. Oregon St. has yet to win a conference game but it continues to play hard and with no postseason on the horizon, trying to play spoiler is the remaining goal. While the Beavers are just 4-7 at home, they have not lost by more than what they are getting here and on the season, they are 4-1 ATS when getting more than 12 points. Most impressive though is that the Beavers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (744) Oregon St. Beavers |
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02-02-17 | James Madison +7 v. Elon | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington and Charleston are starting to separate themselves from the rest of the CAA and there is a logjam of five teams that are within two games of each other fighting for the final four spots of not having to play a first round game in the CAA Tournament. Elon and James Madison are both part of that group and it is the Dukes that are currently sitting in that unenviable seventh spot in the standings. They have dropped four straight games after a 4-2 start and half of their conference losses have come down to the final minute. While James Madison has been slipping, Elon has been moving up the ranks thanks to a complete opposite run as it has won four straight games after a 2-4 start. Elon caught a break last game as it faced a Hofstra team that was without two of its best players in guard Eli Pemberton (13.2 ppg) and center Rokas Gustys (12.2 rpg) and the absences showed in a 14-point Phoenix win. They have covered eight straight games which is a big reason they are favored by so much which matches the most they have been favored by in conference action. 10* (727) James Madison Dukes |
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02-01-17 | USC v. Washington +2 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
Washington is having another down season and will miss the NCAA Tournament once again to make it six years since its last appearance. The Huskies have lost three straight games to fall to 2-7 in the Pac 12 which includes a 0-4 record on the road and while its 2-3 home conference record does not look good, two of those losses came against Oregon and Utah. They are coming off a solid game at Arizona as they led the Wildcats in the second half before faltering down the stretch. The Huskies possess one of the most dynamic freshmen in the country as Markelle Fultz is the only player in the nation averaging 20 points, 6 assists and 6 rebounds and has been projected as a possible No. 1 overall pick. USC upset UCLA in its last game to make it two straight wins to improve to 5-4 in the Pac 12 and 18-4 overall. The short price the Trojans are laying here is clearly very enticing for the public as they are one of the highest road consensus plays of the night. We are bucking that here as the Trojans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (586) Washington Huskies |
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02-01-17 | Northwestern v. Purdue -9 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
Northwestern cracked the AP Top 25 this week for the first time since 2009-10 and its 18-4 start to the season is the best 22-game start in program history. The Wildcats are pretty much a cinch for the NCAA Tournament and a win here would lock it up. They have won their last six Big Ten games and have not won seven straight conference games since 1932-33. The public is all over them again tonight with this pretty big line but they will be without leading scorer Scottie Lindsey who will be out for a couple weeks with mono. Purdue has fallen to No. 23 following a loss at Nebraska on Sunday to fall to 2-3 on the road but the Boilermakers have been pretty dominant at home. They lost early in the season to Villanova and then again to Minnesota in overtime but they have won all other 11 home games, the last nine coming by double-digits. With the next two games taking place on the road, this is the only home game in a 24-day stretch so Purdue has to take advantage and pick up a quality win without much of a challenge. 10* (560) Purdue Boilermakers |
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02-01-17 | Syracuse v. NC State | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Syracuse picked up a big win on Saturday as it upended then-No. 6 Florida St. and that was its first win over a top 25 RPI ranked team after four losses to start the season. The Orange fans acted like it was even more than that as they stormed the floor and that is a great scenario to go against the next game as the players see that and get a little too overconfident. That was the second straight win for Syracuse to improve to 5-4 in the ACC and it is important to note that the home team is a perfect 9-0 in those nine games. NC State picked up a huge win at Duke just over a week ago but then could not sustain the momentum as the Wolfpack went to Louisville on Sunday and got hammered by 25 points. They have been hit or miss this season and are just 3-6 in the conference but have shown what they are capable of. NC State is ranked 66th in the most recent RPI with a 2-4 record overall against teams listed in the top 50 but it is 12-4 against teams ranked outside the top 50. 10* (548) NC State Wolfpack |
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01-31-17 | Georgetown v. DePaul +7 | Top | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
DePaul is having another DePaul-like season as it has fallen to 1-7 in the Big East following its fourth straight defeat. Three of those losses came on the road where the Blue Demons are 0-6 overall including 0-5 in the conference. While they are 1-2 at home in Big East games, one loss came against St. Johns where they blew a big lead while the other came against 18-4 Butler by a point in overtime. DePaul is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog and it is catching a bigger than expected number here. Georgetown started 1-6 in the Big East but pulled off a pair of upsets last week when it defeated Creighton at home and Butler on the road. That is a big reason this line is what it is but it is hard to believe that the Hoyas have somehow flipped a switch and become a good basketball team. They have gone just 3-6 ATS as favorites and this is the first game they have been favored on the road. Going back, the Hoyas are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 and if ever there a spot for a letdown, this is certainly the one. 10* (758) DePaul Blue Demons |
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01-31-17 | Loyola-Chicago v. Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 81-82 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
Illinois St. and Wichita St. are separating themselves from the rest of the conference but Loyola-Chicago and Missouri St. are in a battle for third place. Right now it is the Ramblers that possess that spot at 6-4 thanks to three straight wins but those came against the three worst teams in the conference which have a combined record of 5-25. All six wins have come against teams at .500 or worse and one of those came against Missouri St. just over two weeks ago setting up a revenge spot for the Bears here. They were outscored 20-9 at the free throw line in the six-point losses but we should see a reversal of that here. Missouri St. is 5-5 in the MVC with three of those losses coming in overtime including its last two games by a single point each. The Bears have been solid at home with a 10-3 record, two losses coming in conference action and the other coming against 18-4 Valparaiso by just three points. The Bears have not been out-rebounded in 11 straight games and are now 14-3 when beating their opponents on the glass. This is big because the Ramblers are getting outrebounded by close to four rpg overall and 4.0 rpg on the road. 10* (740) Missouri St. Bears |
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01-31-17 | Maryland v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
We lost with Minnesota on Saturday as Maryland came in and defeated the Gophers to move to 5-0 on the road. The Terrapins remain one of only three undefeated teams on the road but this is the spot it ends with this being their fourth road game over their last five contests. Maryland has won six straight games overall and are one of eight teams in the nation with two or fewer losses. However, the Terrapins are the lowest ranked of the bunch. It has been a tough season for Ohio St. despite being a very veteran team as the Buckeyes are now 3-6 in the Big Ten following a loss at Iowa on Saturday. They are 1-4 on the road and while they are just 2-2 at home, the two losses came against Purdue and Minnesota by a combined three points. The veteran aspect of Ohio St. is important here as the Buckeyes will be pretty amped up to avenge a pair of losses last season against Maryland. The Terrapins are on a 6-0 ATS run so we go contrarian with that while knowing the Buckeyes are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. 10* (734) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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01-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma +1 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
It was not a good Big XII/SEC Challenge day for Oklahoma as the Sooners hosted Florida and got annihilated by 32 points. Whether they were looking ahead to the Bedlam game with Oklahoma St. is unclear but we do know that it is imperative for a bounce back on their home floor. Oklahoma is 5-5 at home and has now lost three straight as prior to the Florida game, it fell in overtime to Iowa St. on Saturday before falling to rival Texas on a last-second three-pointer on Monday. Oklahoma St. dispatched of Arkansas on Saturday at home by 28 points for its third straight victory. The Cowboys opened 0-6 in the conference before taking care of Texas Tech and TCU but they are catching Oklahoma at the wrong time. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the Sooners are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Oklahoma has won 15 of the last 16 Bedlam battles in Norman, including the last 12 meetings. The Sooners have not lost a Bedlam game at home since 2004. 10* (526) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-29-17 | Washington State +10.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Washington St. gave Arizona an unexpected fight on Thursday as the Cougars trailed by just six points at halftime and were down by only three points with eight minutes to go until the Wildcats eventually pilled away. They fell to 3-5 in the conference and 10-10 overall which are nearly identical records as the host yet Washington St. is receiving double-digits and the Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Sun Devils are coming off a win on Wednesday over Washington as small favorites and they caught a break by going to the free throw line 21 more times than the Huskies. That win improved them to 3-5 in the Pac 12 and 11-10 overall. This is an extremely young team with only one senior on the roster so coming back from a big win has been difficult as previous wins over Colorado, San Diego St. and Stanford were followed up by losses. Arizona St. has won consecutive games only twice this season and it is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following a win. 10* (857) Washington St. Cougars |
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01-29-17 | Michigan v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This has not been the typical Michigan St. team we have seen in recent years but the schedule has had a lot to do with that. Last season, the Spartans went 13-0 prior to the Big Ten season but went just 8-5 this season and that was due to a brutal November slate. The Spartans had never faced three Top 10 opponents in November until this season, and had never played four Top 20 non-conference opponents in a single month during the regular season. What is similar is the early conference record as they are 4-4 this season and after starting 3-4 last season, they went on to finish 10-1 over their final 11 Big Ten games. Michigan is coming off a 30-point win over Indiana on Thursday as it shot a ridiculous 63.3 percent from the floor. The Wolverines are 0-5 on the road compared to 14-2 in 16 non-true road games. Going back, the Wolverines are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (852) Michigan St. Spartans |
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01-29-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Oakland -11.5 | Top | 70-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Oakland is going through some struggles right now as this team was supposed to contend for the Horizon League Championship with Valparaiso but is now stuck in a three-way tie for third place at 5-4. The Golden Grizzlies lost at home to 7-2 Green Bay on Friday which was their fourth loss in their last five games and most surprisingly, their third straight home defeat after a 9-1 start at The Blacktop at the O'rena. Milwaukee is riding a three-game winning streak but two of those took overtime and all three came against the only three teams that are below the Panthers and those three teams are a combined 8-21 in the conference. The last victory came on Friday against Detroit on the road but that was just their second road win on the season, the first coming at Montana St. Going back, the Panthers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win while the Golden Grizzlies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. 10* (854) Oakland Golden Grizzlies |
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01-28-17 | Oregon v. Colorado +7 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
Colorado finally broke through with its first conference win as it took out Oregon St. on Thursday after seven straight Pac 12 losses. The Buffaloes have definitely been the biggest disappointment in the conference but they have suffered some brutal losses including a pair of overtime losses and two other losses by three points or less. They led in the final minute of regulation or in overtime in all four of those games. Oregon continues to roll as it defeated a very solid Utah team on Thursday to run its winning streak to 17 straight games. Additionally, the Ducks have covered their last eight games and because of that, the linesmakers have had to make an overadjustment here. The run has been solid but the quality of opponents over the last six games has not been great with the exception of the Utes. The confidence of that first conference win for Colorado will have them in great shape here with an outright upset far from out of the question. 10* (662) Colorado Buffaloes |
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01-28-17 | Ohio State v. Iowa -1 | Top | 72-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
Iowa returns home following a loss at Illinois to fall to 0-5 on the road including four conference losses. Overall, the Hawkeyes have lost three straight games to fall to 3-5 in the Big Ten and they need to get a run going and it should start here with the first of three straight winnable games. Ohio St. is also 3-5 in the conference but it has been playing a lot better with wins in three of its last four games following a 0-4 start in the Big Ten. The Buckeyes own just one road win in the conference and that came by a point at Nebraska which came on a last second layup. The only other road victory came at Navy in their first game of the season. going back, the Buckeyes are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games. 10* (642) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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01-28-17 | Towson v. Northeastern -2.5 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Northeastern was pretty average during the non-conference portion of its schedule where it went 7-5 but that included a pair of solid wins over Connecticut and Michigan St. on the road. Of those 12 games, only two took place at home so in reality, the start to the season was arguably better than the record shows. The Huskies then opened CAA action with a perfect 5-0 record, four of those wins coming at home. The run did not last long however as Northeastern has lost its last four games including a loss to Elon on Thursday. Towson is also 5-4 in the CAA but it has had the opposite conference season as it opened with four straight losses but has bounced back with five consecutive wins and covers. This includes two road wins but those were against teams a combined 3-15 in the conference. This is also a revenge game for the Huskies which lost the first meeting by seven points and that was the start of this recent four-game skid. 10* (628) Northeastern Huskies |
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01-28-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -4 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
After a great start to the season, Minnesota has hit a rough stretch. The Gophers opened the season 15-2 including a 3-1 record in the Big Ten but they have lost their last four games. To their credit, three of those losses came on the road while the lone home loss came against Wisconsin last Saturday in overtime by just two points. That was just their second home loss of the season and the first defeat was by just one point which also came in overtime against Michigan St. Maryland has cracked the Top 25 thanks to five straight wins to improve to 18-2 on the season. The Terrapins are 4-0 on the road and they are one of just three teams in the country that are still undefeated on the road, Arizona and Gonzaga being the others. It is very difficult to sustain that type of play on the highway and they catch Minnesota at the absolute worst time. Going back, the Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (538) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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01-28-17 | Providence +8.5 v. Marquette | Top | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Marquette pulled off a big upset on the road last Saturday at Creighton and it turned out to not be a fluke as the Golden Eagles backed that up with a home upset over Villanova on Tuesday. They definitely have the confidence going right now but this sets up as the classic letdown spot and because of those two big wins, they are overpriced here. Keeping the winning streak going is a definite possibility but now they are being asked to cover a bigger than expected number here. Providence has dropped two straight games to fall to 3-6 in the Big East. The Friars have struggled away from home but have covered five of those nine games including three of their last four. While they have lost three of their last five games, they are outshooting opponents by over four percent from the floor so things could be better at this point. The Golden Eagles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Friars are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (541) Providence Friars |
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01-28-17 | Florida State -3 v. Syracuse | Top | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Syracuse picked up a much needed win over Wake Forest on Tuesday to improve to 4-4 in the ACC and while the home team is now 17-2 in its games this season, this is not a good spot. The Orange are 0-4 this season against teams ranked in the RPI Top 25 with all four of those resulting in blowout losses by at least 14 points. The Orange are struggling mightily on defense and this is not the game for that to improve. We played against Florida St. on Wednesday as it lost at Georgia Tech by 22 points which came after a 5-1 run. Most impressively, those six games all came against teams ranked in the Top 25 so it was a brutal stretch that they survived very well. The loss to the Yellow Jackets was just the third of the season for the Seminoles and they are a perfect 8-0 against teams ranked outside the RPI Top 100. The Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS loss while the Orange are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (521) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-26-17 | Louisiana Tech v. UAB -2 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
UAB opened the conference season with a loss at Middle Tennessee St., which is currently 7-0 in C-USA, but then ran off five straight wins before losing at Florida International this past Saturday. The Blazers were picked to win the conference and sitting just two games behind the Blue Raiders, they are still in great position. The front end of the schedule has been tough with five of the first seven conference games taking place on the road. They are 7-2 at home including four straight victories and going back, UAB has won 20 consecutive home games against conference opponents. Louisiana Tech has been one of the big surprises early on in the conference season as it is off to a 6-1 start. The Bulldogs have won and covered four straight games but the opposition has not been very strong and overall, they have played the fourth easiest schedule in the conference. All six conference wins have come against teams that are 4-3 or worse so the fact they are sitting in second place by themselves is a bit skewed. The Blazers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (742) UAB Blazers |
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01-26-17 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -8 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
It was a solid start to the conference season for Western Kentucky as it opened 3-0 including a pair of road wins where it came in 1-6 but things have started going the wrong way. The Hilltoppers have lost four straight games including the last three that all came on the highway. The schedule has not been in their favor with five of the first seven C-USA games taking place on the road but this start a stretch of five of the next seven games coming at home. Western Kentucky has gone 0-5 ATS in its last five games which gives us some value in the number tonight. UTEP is having the opposite start to its conference season as it opened 0-3 in its first three C-USA games, all on the road, but has won its last three games, all at home. Two of those came by a point in overtime and the latest win came over UTSA which was riding a three-game winning streak at the time. The recent win over the Roadrunners snapped an eight-game ATS slide. Overall, the Miners are winless on the road and going back, they are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Hilltoppers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games following three or more consecutive road games. 10* (736) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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01-26-17 | Nebraska +8.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Northwestern is in great position to make its first ever NCAA Tournament as the Wildcats are 16-4 overall including a 5-2 record in the Big Ten. Currently, they are projected as a No. 8 seed which is pretty secure at this point barring a monumental collapse. The remaining schedule is a monster and a look ahead to Indiana on Sunday would not at all be surprising. The Wildcats opened 15-3 last season but failed to make the Big Dance so the solid record this season does not necessarily mean this team is any more dominant. Nebraska has been up and down this season as it is now 9-10 following an upset loss at Rutgers this past Saturday which was its fourth straight defeat. This comes after a 3-0 start in the Big Ten including very solid wins over Indiana and Maryland on the road. This recent skid has been tough considering all four losses have come by eight points or less with the last two coming by three points combined. The Huskers have played the second toughest schedule in the country after playing non-conference games against UCLA, Virginia Tech, Clemson, Creighton and Kansas. They have covered five straight games as an underdog. 10* (731) Nebraska Cornhuskers |
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01-25-17 | Creighton -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Creighton is laying a short price on the road and at 5-0 on the road this season, there is no reason to think the Bluejays will not keep it going. They are coming off a loss against Marquette on Saturday and while it seemed like a bad loss at the time, the fact the Golden Eagles defeated Villanova last night shows that it was not a poor loss after all. That was just the second loss of the season, the first coming against Villanova, and Creighton responded with a blowout win next time out. While that may have come against St. Johns, Georgetown is not much better this season. The Hoyas were a disappointment last season as they finished with the worst record in the John Thompson III era and while a turnaround was expected this season, it has not happened. They are 10-10 which is not horrible but their 1-6 record in the Big East is horrible and Georgetown has not even hit the tough part of the schedule. The Hoyas still have Creighton once again, Butler and Villanova twice. The Bluejays lost point guard Maurice Watson for the season two games back which definitely hurt against Marquette but now have had extra time to adjust. The Bluejays are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite while the Hoyas are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (539) Creighton Bluejays |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +9 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Florida St. is coming off a brutal, yet very successful, stretch so it is in position for a big letdown. The Seminoles are coming off a run of six straight games against nationally ranked opponents where they went 5-1 and the victory over Louisville was the sixth win over a ranked opponent this season which ties a school record. Four of the six games during the recent run came at home where they are 14-0 this season but just 1-1 on the road. Georgia Tech has played better than expected this season as they Yellow Jackets are 11-8 overall including 3-4 in the ACC. Those three wins are pretty impressive as well as they won at home against Clemson and on the road at NC State but the big one was a home victory over North Carolina by 12 points as a 17-point underdog. Georgia Tech is coming off a three-game roadtrip that resulted in that win over the Wolfpack and a tough one-point loss at Virginia Tech. Georgia Tech leads the ACC in field goal percentage defense against ACC teams and that is a key component when facing the Seminoles which have been fairly potent on offense this season. In its last game, Georgia Tech held Virginia to its third-lowest point total of the year and eight points below its season scoring average entering the game. The Seminoles are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Yellow Jackets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. 10* (532) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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01-24-17 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse -3 | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
If the season ended today, 10 ACC teams would be heading to the NCAA Tournament with two additional teams on the bubble looking in. This list does not include Syracuse which is 11-9 overall and 3-4 in the ACC. The problem is the Orange have only one quality win which came at home over Miami three weeks ago. The problem has been their lack of success on the road where they are 0-4 in conference action and all of those have been double-digit losses. Syracuse is 3-0 at home in the ACC and in need of a win here following blowout losses at North Carolina and Notre Dame last week. One of those 10 teams currently in the Big Dance is Wake Forest despite also being 3-4 in the ACC and having a 0-5 record against the RPI top 25. The Demon Deacons are coming off a pair of upset victories over Miami and NC State which has helped their rundown. They were picked to finish near the bottom of the ACC so we can definitely see a dropoff coming soon. The Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Demon Deacons are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 10* (740) Syracuse Orange |
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01-24-17 | Purdue v. Michigan State +2.5 | Top | 84-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This has not been the typical Michigan St. team we have seen in recent years but the schedule has had a lot to do with that. Last season, the Spartans went 13-0 prior to the Big Ten season but went just 8-5 this season and that was due to a brutal November slate. The Spartans had never faced three Top 10 opponents in November until this season, and had never played four Top 20 non-conference opponents in a single month during the regular season. What is similar is the early conference record as they are 4-3 this season and after starting 3-4 last season, they went on to finish 10-1 over their final 11 Big Ten games. Coming off two straight road losses, this is a huge game. Purdue has won two straight games but those were at home against Illinois and Penn St. and the Boilermakers have not been great on the road, going 1-2 with the lone win coming by just a point at Ohio St. Going back, the Spartans are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (728) Michigan St. Spartans |
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01-23-17 | Oklahoma v. Texas -2 | Top | 83-84 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
Texas opened the Big XII season with a loss to Kansas St. and then a win over Oklahoma St. but has since dropped five straight games to sit in last place in the conference. While the Longhorns are 1-6 in the conference, they are 6-1 against the number which shows the record could be better than it actually is. Half of the losses have come by just one possession and all four road Big XII losses have come against teams with winning records in the conference. The last three games came against top ten teams and this marked the first time in program history that the Longhorns have faced three consecutive opponents ranked in the AP Top 10. Oklahoma got off to a rough start with four straight losses to begin conference play but was able to put together a pair of wins including a big upset at West Virginia before losing on Saturday in overtime against Iowa St. The Sooners were stacked last season in their trip to the Final Four but they are clearly feeling the effects from losing three starters including dynamic guard Buddy Hield. The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss while the Sooners are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. 10* (538) Texas Longhorns |
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01-22-17 | La Salle v. VCU -7 | Top | 52-90 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
LaSalle is tied with Dayton and Richmond for first place in the Atlantic Ten Conference thanks to a schedule that has been pretty tame thus far. The Explorers opened the conference season with a loss at Dayton but have won five straight games to get everything turned around. Four of those games however took place at home and while a road win at Rhode Island was impressive, they are going into a bad spot on Sunday. VCU has had the complete opposite A-10 season thus far as it opened with four straight wins but lost both games last week against Davidson and Fordham, the latter taking place in overtime on Wednesday. Both of those defeats were on the road and the Rams head back home looking to improve upon their 8-1 record, the lone loss coming in overtime against Georgia Tech. LaSalle is 0-2 ATS this season as a single-digit underdog while the Rams are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games against teams with a losing record away from home. 10* (854) VCU Rams |
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01-21-17 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -5 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
It has been a pretty average season for Tennessee as it is off to a 9-9 start overall including a 2-4 record in the SEC. This is a very young team but now that the Volunteers have been together for half of a season, the chemistry is getting better and that has been evident. They have had a tough schedule to open conference action with four of six games taking place on the road with two home games coming against two of the top teams in the SEC. they lost at Mississippi on Tuesday which came after a win at Vanderbilt so a trip back home should get them back on track. Mississippi St. is another very young team going through a complete overhaul and it has exceeded expectations thus far with a 12-5 record overall and a 3-2 start in the SEC. However, the majority of the wins have been unimpressive as the Bulldogs have played the easiest schedule of any team in the conference while the Volunteers have played the No. 5 ranked schedule in the nation. Mississippi St. is coming off a hard-fought loss at home against Kentucky so getting up once again will be extremely difficult. 10* (624) Tennessee Volunteers |
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01-21-17 | BYU v. Pacific +9 | Top | 62-47 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
We played against BYU last Saturday as the Cougars went to San Diego and lost by 13 points as a double-digit favorite and this game looks like a very similar setup. BYU is 5-2 in the conference following a 29-point home win over Pepperdine on Thursday. They are doing all of this without Kyle Davis, their best returning interior player, who is gone for the season with a knee injury. They are just 3-4 ATS in the conference and 8-9 ATS overall which shows how inflated their lines have been and that is the case again here as they travel to Pacific. The Tigers are off to an opposite start as they are 2-5 in the conference following a pair of road losses at San Francisco and St. Marys. They are 1-2 in the conference at home with one loss against Gonzaga and the other coming by just four points. Another reason we played on San Diego last week was that it was out to avenge a 58-point loss to the Cougars last season and the Tigers have even more recent revenge as they went to Provo on January 7 and was blasted by 29 points and they certainly have not forgotten that. 10* (626) Pacific Tigers |
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01-21-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +3 | Top | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
The Big Ten seems to be in a transition period and that is a good thing as there is no dominant team right now as the conference is wide open. Maryland has the lead at 5-1 but there are eight teams within two games of the Terrapins including both teams in this matchup. Minnesota has been a pleasant surprise this season with a 15-4 record including going 3-3 in the Big Ten. This does include losses in two straight games but those came on the road where the defense was as strong as ever but the offense forgot to show up, scoring just 47 and 50 points. The Gophers are 12-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Michigan St. by a single point in overtime. Wisconsin meanwhile is coming off two straight wins against Ohio St. and Michigan but both of those were at home where the Badgers are 11-0. They are just 2-2 on the road and there is not much of a difference with them and Minnesota as who they play as Wisconsin is 4-3 against the top 25 while the Gophers are3-3 against such teams. Minnesota is in excellent shape to snap a five-game losing streak against one of their hated rivals. 10* (602) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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01-21-17 | Colorado -5.5 v. Washington State | Top | 89-91 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
It is not too often that you will see a 0-6 team in conference play favored by this much on the road but that is the case here and we will bite on this one. Colorado is one of the most disappointing teams in the country since conference play started as the Buffaloes are winless in the Pac 12 following a 10-3 nonconference season. They have played a tough schedule thus far as they have faced the top four teams in the conference and after coming off an overtime loss Thursday against Washington, they will be out to put the hurt on Washington St. The Cougars were picked to finish dead last in the Pac 12 and they are headed in that direction. After a 2-0 start, Washington St. has lost its last four games including a 41-point bludgeoning at home against Utah on Thursday. That is a difficult defeat to recover from and at 6-4 at home, there is no real home court edge for the Cougars. Colorado needs this game to get going in the right direction and playing their typical game means they can name the score here. 10* (597) Colorado Buffaloes |
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01-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -4 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
Florida St. won on Wednesday but failed to cover for us as the Seminoles let a big late lead go by as Notre Dame got the backdoor cover. The Irish stayed in the game thanks to going an unheard of 15-21 (71.4 percent) from long range so Florida St. was pretty unlucky. The Seminoles conclude a six-game run of facing ranked opponents and the fact they are 4-1 through the first four games shows this team is for real. They are now 17-2 overall and are in a first place tie with North Carolina and Notre Dame in the ACC. The fact they remain home is big as is the fact that Louisville is coming off a Thursday game which gives Florida St. the travel edge. The Cardinals were involved in a close game early on against Clemson but pulled away in the second half for the big victory. Louisville is 2-1 on the road with two very weak wins and a loss at Notre Dame and coming off a three-game homestand is never a good situation for a team, especially going to a very hostile environment. Florida St. surely has not forgotten the 19-point loss suffered at Louisville last season almost a year ago to the day. 10* (546) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-19-17 | Clemson +7 v. Louisville | Top | 60-92 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Clemson opened the season 11-2 but has hit a major roadblock in the ACC. The Tigers two losses were against Xavier and Oklahoma by six points and they opened conference play with a win at Wake Forest but has lost the last four games. The schedule has not been in their favor as three losses came by three of the top teams in the ACC, North Carolina, Notre Dame and Virginia which are a combined 47-9 including 14-4 in the conference. Also in the mix was a bad loss at Georgia Tech but that was a tough sandwich spot. Clemson held their own in those three tough losses as they fell by 3, 4 and 5 points. Louisville has won its last three games after a 0-2 start in the conference including a win over Duke last time out. The Cardinals paid a price for that win however as they lost point guard Quentin Snider for the foreseeable future with a hip injury. Snider is second on the team in scoring with 12.1 ppg and leads the team with 4.0 apg. While the Tigers rely on Jaron Blossomgame, who is averaging 18.2 ppg, they are balanced beyond that as six players average between 8.0 and 11.3 ppg and all of which have posted multiple double-digit scoring games. 10* (745) Clemson Tigers |
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01-19-17 | Maryland v. Iowa -2 | Top | 84-76 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Two teams coming off opposite efforts over the weekend square off in Iowa City and this is a much bigger game for the host. Iowa is coming off its most lopsided loss of the Fran McCaffery era and its worst loss ever to Northwestern, an 89-54 rout at the hands of the Wildcats on Sunday night. The last time the Hawkeyes suffered a blowout loss, a 22-point setback at Purdue, they returned to Carver-Hawkeye Arena for its next game and won over Michigan as an underdog. Big Ten scoring leader Peter Jok scored just four points against Northwestern so expect a big rebound performance from him. Counting its win over Illinois on Saturday, Maryland is playing four out of five games on the road so this is a tough stretch. The Terrapins have won three straight games and they have been the underdog in all three games so winning another one in a similar role is going to be difficult. Maryland is average to below average nationally in defensive turnover percentage and opponent offensive rebounding percentage. If Iowa can operate without ball pressure or the passing lanes being filled, the Hawkeyes could make the Terrapins pay dearly. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (716) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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01-18-17 | Illinois State v. Bradley +11 | Top | 69-49 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
We won with Illinois St. for a small play on Saturday as it took care of Wichita St. outright, handing the Shockers there first conference loss while taking over sole possession of first place in the MVC. The Redbirds were expected contenders but coming off a massive home win like that can lead to a big letdown next time out and we see that happening here. They have covered three straight games and six of their last seven and are now laying a huge number on the road, by far their biggest of the season and this is just the third time all season they are laying double-digits. Bradley is 3-3 in the conference following a loss at Indiana St. and those three wins have already matched the conference win total from all of last season. The Braves were the youngest team in the country last season so their 5-27 overall record was not a surprise so their decent start this season should not come as a surprise either. They are 5-4 at home and while Bradley is 0-8 following a win this season, it is 7-3 following a loss and while winning this one outright will be a huge challenge, staying within this inflated number will not. The Redbirds are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as road favorites between 7 and 12.5 points. 10* (556) Bradley Braves |
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01-18-17 | TCU v. Texas Tech -4.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Texas Tech and TCU are meeting for a meaningful game in a very long time. The Red Raiders fell to 2-3 in the conference with a loss at Oklahoma on Saturday but a win here can vault them back up in the Big XII standings and into a tie for fourth place. So far, the home team is 5-0 in their five conference games with two wins coming at home by Texas Tech against West Virginia and Kansas St. The Red Raiders are 11-0 at home this season and going back, they have won 16 consecutive home games and at 13-4 overall, they are in decent shape for making back-to-back NCAA Tournament appearances for the first time since 2004-2005. TCU has matched its best start in program history as it is 14-3 including a 3-2 record in the conference following a pair of wins over Texas and Iowa St. The Horned Frog are 13-0 this season when they outrebound their opponent but face one of the top rebounding teams in the country as Texas Tech is tied for No. 9 in rebounding percentage. Even though the Red Raiders made the NCAA Tournament last season, it was a stressful entry after losing to TCU in the first round of the Big XII Tournament so revenge is on the table. 10* (540) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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01-18-17 | Notre Dame v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 80-83 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Florida St. had a 12-game winning streak snapped at North Carolina on Saturday as they lost to the Tar Heels by 13 points. It has been a brutal stretch for the Seminoles and they have certainly held their own as they have huge wins over Duke, Virginia Tech and Virginia and it does not get much easier tonight against Notre Dame followed by a home game against Louisville on Saturday. The Seminoles are just the third team in ACC history to play six consecutive nationally ranked opponents and are the first to win three or more games during the stretch. Florida St. is a perfect 12-0 at home including additional impressive wins over Florida and Minnesota. Notre Dame has been equally impressive as it has won seven straight games as it the lone remaining undefeated team in the ACC. The Irish are 3-0 on the road this season but they are in a tough spot here as this is their third straight road game and all three have come in a span of seven days. Florida St. is 8-2 ATS this season as a home favorite and we will see a big bounce back effort tonight. 10* (536) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-17-17 | New Mexico v. Boise State -5.5 | Top | 81-70 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
We played against Boise St. on Saturday as it suffered its first conference loss of the season at Fresno St. The Broncos were coming off a big win over San Diego St. in their previous game but a week off after that hurt the momentum from a perfect 4-0 start in the MWC. They will be fired up to get back into the win column tonight as they head home where they are 7-0 this season and 60-8 in their last 68 games at Taco Bell Arena. New Mexico snapped a three-game losing streak with a road win at Colorado St. on Saturday as they defeated the Rams by 13 points as a three-point underdog. The Lobos are 3-3 in the conference and the three losses have been tight ones as all three were by five points or fewer. That makes this line look pretty tempting to back the underdog but the situation is not in their favor. New Mexico has won only twice as an underdog and is just 3-6 following a victory. Boise St. has yet to lose as a favorite while going 5-1 ATS in its last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (742) Boise St. Broncos |
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01-17-17 | Ohio v. Akron -5 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
The two top teams in the MAC East square off with first place on the line. Akron is off to a 4-0 start in the conference including a pair of big road wins last week. Overall, the Zips have won seven straight games and since a season opening loss at Youngstown St., they have lost just twice with those coming against Creighton and Gonzaga which are a combined 35-1. Akron owns the third longest home winning streak in the country behind Kansas (52) and Oregon (36) as it has won 25 straight games at Rhodes Arena, dating back to the 2014-15 season. Ohio lost its first MAC game at home on Saturday against Eastern Michigan as he offense managed just 49 points. The big reason was that reigning MAC Player of the Year Antonio Campbell left the game after just three minutes with a foot injury. Campbell leads the team in scoring (16.4), rebounds (8.9) and blocks (1.1) and has been the anchor of the Bobcats much improved interior defense this season. He will travel with the team but is very doubtful to play. The Zips are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bobcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (724) Akron Zips |
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01-16-17 | Kansas v. Iowa State +2.5 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
By the time this game tips off tonight, Kansas will be the new No. 1 team in the nation as it will take the spot vacated by Baylor following the Bears loss against West Virginia this past week. The Jayhawks improved to 16-1 overall and 5-0 in the Big XII following a win at home over Oklahoma St. on Saturday. They are riding a 16-game winning streak following a season opening loss in overtime against Indiana so Kansas is the best team in the nation at this point but that No. 1 ranking will be short-lived. The Jayhawks are a huge public consensus for tonight which comes as no surprise. Iowa St. lost at TCU on Saturday to fall to 3-2 in the conference, the other loss coming by just two points at Baylor. The Cyclones only home defeat came against Cincinnati by a point in overtime and going back, they are 83-8 at home over the last six seasons. Additionally, Iowa St. is 5-0 the last two seasons at home following a road Big XII loss. Another notable loss came against Gonzaga by just two points and it is important because it is one of only three games for the Bulldogs that has been decided by single digits. Kansas is just 4-10 ATS as a favorite while the Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (546) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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01-16-17 | Cleveland State v. Oakland -14 | Top | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is one of those under the radar games that may be overlooked but it sets up exceptionally well for the home team. Oakland is one of three teams in the Horizon League that has a legitimate shot at winning the conference and heading to the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Grizzlies stumbled over the weekend however as they lost at home against then 2-14 Detroit by five points as an 18.5-favorite. That was the first conference loss for Oakland and just its fourth loss overall, three coming by single digits. This was simply a bad loss to the Titans and one that the Golden Grizzlies should be pretty upset about which should strike some fear into Cleveland St. The Vikings are just as bad, if not worse, than Detroit yet are getting four fewer points than the Titans were getting on Friday which gives Oakland some significant value in this spot. Cleveland St. fell to 1-5 in the conference with a loss at home against Valparaiso, the lone victory coming at home against Milwaukee. On the season, the Vikings are 0-9 on the road and it has been ugly as the losses have been by an average of 17.5 ppg and all but three have come by double-digits. Oakland steamrolled Cleveland St. at home last season which was also following a loss and we will see a similar result here. 10* (532) Oakland Golden Grizzlies |
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01-16-17 | Creighton v. Xavier -2.5 | Top | 72-67 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
Xavier had a tough week last week due to the schedule as it hit the road to face two of the top teams in the Big East Conference and those resulted in losses at Villanova and Butler. To the Musketeers credit, the Wildcats and Bulldogs are a combined 18-0 at home and Xavier can be put in that same club as well as it is 9-0 at the Cintas Center this season. it has won 15 straight games here as well as 24 of its last 25 home games. This is a very similar situation for the Musketeers. Xavier lost two straight road games back in early December and came back home to defeat a very solid Utah team. Creighton is coming off a glorified exhibition over the weekend as it rolled at home over Truman St. the Bluejays are 4-0 on the road but this is the biggest test of the season on the highway. This is clearly one of the best teams in the nation but this is a tough matchup as the Musketeers have a huge edge in the rebounding category as Xavier is No. 7 in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage while Creighton is just No. 213. The Musketeers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bluejays are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (522) Xavier Musketeers |
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01-15-17 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -6.5 | Top | 60-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
While it was a great season last year for Northern Iowa that included another trip to the NCAA Tournament, the Panthers knew that this season would be more of an uphill battle. What they are currently experiencing however was not expected. They opened the season 3-0 but then back-to-back losses sent them into a tailspin and they are now on a 2-11 run that includes losses in seven straight games. Northern Iowa is 0-5 in the Missouri Valley Conference and it is in its longest losing streak since 2000-01. The offense has struggled big time but Northern Iowa is 5-1 when scoring 70 or more points while going 0-10 when scoring less than 70 points. The good news is the Panthers now face a team that does not play defense as Drake is allowing 77.6 ppg on the season including 83.4 ppg in conference games. The Bulldogs have won two straight games after taking care of Indiana St. on Wednesday but those wins were at home and they come in with a 0-5 record on the road. The last three road losses have been by an average of 18.7 ppg and they head to Cedar Falls at the wrong time. The Panthers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (874) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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01-15-17 | Massachusetts v. Rhode Island -11.5 | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Last season was a difficult one for Rhode Island as injuries decimated the Rams in their quest for an Atlantic Ten Championship and they ended up just 17-15 overall and missed the postseason after posting 23 wins the season before. The good news is that they have four starters back as well as their best player E.C. Matthews who was lost for the entire 2015-16 season after suffering a torn ACL. After opening the season 10-4, with all four losses against elite opposition, the Rams have lost their last two games. The first loss came at another quality opponent in Dayton but the last defeat was inexcusable. They lost by 12 points at home against LaSalle as a 12.5-point favorite on Thursday so they will out for retribution today. Massachusetts is coming off an opposite game as it upset Dayton at home as a 6.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Minutemen picked up their first conference victory in doing so but now they hit the road where they have struggled this season. In addition to the Rams looking to bounce back off a pair of losses, they will be out for payback after the Minutemen ended their season last year with a loss in the first round of the Atlantic Ten Tournament. The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home while the Minutemen are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. 10* (868) Rhode Island Rams |
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01-14-17 | BYU v. San Diego +10 | Top | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
BYU is one of the few teams to give Gonzaga a run in the West Coast Conference and at 4-1, the Cougars are off to a good start. They are doing all of this without Kyle Davis, their best returning interior player, who is gone for the season with a knee injury. They are just 2-3 ATS in the conference and 7-8 ATS overall which shows how inflated their lines have been and that is the case again here as they travel to San Diego. The Toreros had a miserable season last year as they finished 9-21 overall but are just one win from matching that total. They are off to a disappointing 1-4 start in the conference but have been involved in some close losses as three of the defeats have come by a combined 11 points while a 12-point loss at St. Marys is nothing to be ashamed of. One thing San Diego was ashamed of last season came on February 20 when it travelled to Provo and got dismantled by 58 points as it shot 24.6 percent from the floor including going 0-20 from long range. The Toreros should be highly motivated for a rematch and while returning the favor will not happen, staying within this inflated number will. 10* (662) 10* San Diego Toreros |
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01-14-17 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma +3 | Top | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
It has been a miserable run for the Sooners to say the least. After a trip to the Final Four last season and a 5-1 start this season, Oklahoma is on a 1-8 run including a 0-4 start in the Big XII. They have lost to Baylor and Kansas in their two home games and considering those teams are 30-2 overall, it is not overly surprising. The Sooners lost a ton of talent to graduation but still have some key players back to go along with a solid recruiting class but they have not been able to put it together. To their credit, they have played the No. 16 ranked schedule in the country so that has not helped. Conversely, Texas Tech has played the No. 261 ranked schedule in the nation which is the worst in the conference so its 13-3 record should not be surprising. The Red Raiders are 2-2 in the conference with the two wins coming by just one point. Granted, those were against West Virginia and Kansas St. but they both took place at home and their lone road win this season came at Richmond. Oklahoma was picked to finish third in the Big XII and while that is not looking good now, it does show the talent is there to make a run and with a game at West Virginia on deck, this one is a must. 10* (658) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-14-17 | Boise State v. Fresno State +2 | Top | 80-89 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
We played against Fresno St. last Saturday as it traveled to San Jose St. on a nine-game ATS winning run and lost outright as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs backed that up with a loss at Air Force on Wednesday but now they are back home where they have won six straight games. Remember, this Fresno St. team went to the NCAA Tournament a season ago and is expected to do some damage again but it needs to get on a run and win at home. Boise St. was picked below Fresno St. in the preseason MWC predictions as the Broncos lost a ton of veteran talent but they have geld their own and are off to a perfect 4-0 start in the conference. It was culminated with a big home win over San Diego St. last Saturday and after playing four games in 11 days, the week off killed some momentum. While they have been solid against the number this season, the Bulldogs are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (632) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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01-14-17 | UCLA v. Utah +5 | Top | 83-82 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Since suffering their first defeat of the season at Oregon, UCLA has bounced back with four straight wins including a win at Colorado on Thursday by 15 points. That snapped a five-game losing streak against the number as they were unable to cover four double-digit spreads. The offense topped 100 points for the first time in seven games and still remains one of the most potent offenses in the country but now they face a team that can actually play some defense. Utah is on a two-game winning streak after a 22-point win over USC on Thursday as it held its third straight opponent at home to 64 points or less. On the season, the Utes are allowing opponents to shoot just 39.8 percent at home where they are 9-1 on the season. Going back, they have won 10 straight Pac 12 home games and are 25-4 in their last 29. They are 3-1 in the conference with the lone loss coming at Arizona in a game where they went to the free throw line only four times. We won with Utah last Saturday at Arizona St. where they ended up going to the line 20 times and that is something they need to continue to do as they are averaging 22.2 attempts per game. 10* (636) Utah Utes |
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01-14-17 | Tulsa v. Temple -6 | Top | 70-68 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
Temple is off to a rough 1-4 start in the AAC after losing four games in the conference all of last season. The schedule has had a lot to do with that as three of the first five games have come on the road and two of those losses came against 4-1 SMU and 3-1 UCF. The most recent road loss came at Connecticut which finally seems to be getting its act together. One home loss was against 4-0 Cincinnati but it has been a tough start. The Owls now host Tulsa which is 2-1 and is coming off an upset win at home over Memphis. The Golden Hurricane have covered all three of their conference games but they are just 1-3 on the road with the only win coming against Oral Roberts. Playing on the road is tough for this team following a 20-12 record last year as they lost nine seniors and this year have 10 freshmen and sophomores on the roster. The Owls final loss of the regular season a year ago was at Tulsa by 19-points so they will be out for some revenge from that. The Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (602) Temple Owls |
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01-14-17 | Boston College v. Syracuse -13 | Top | 53-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
It has been an up and down season for Syracuse which opened 4-0 before going on a 4-6 run over its next 10 games including losses against three former Big East rivals Connecticut, Georgetown and St. Johns. The Orange bounced back with big home wins over Miami and Pittsburgh but then lost by 10 points at Virginia Tech on Tuesday. The one loss that stands out however was a 15-point loss at Boston College to open ACC action and you know they have had this one circled since then. Remember, Boston College went 0-18 in the ACC last season so that loss was as embarrassing as it gets. The Eagles are actually now 2-2 in the conference following a home win over NC State on Wednesday and they have now covered five straight games. That is helping with the number here but that should not even come into play as the Orange will be as motivated as ever to extract revenge on their old-time rivals. With back-to-back road games at North Carolina and Notre Dame, they know this one cannot get away. 10* (598) Syracuse Orange |
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01-14-17 | Richmond v. St. Joe's -1 | Top | 70-66 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
Richmond is off to a perfect 4-0 start in the Atlantic Ten Conference which is a surprise considering the Spiders were not considered a contender heading into the season. Even more surprising is the fact they had an average nonconference record that included losses against Old Dominion, Bucknell and Oral Roberts. St. Joes is a game over .500 overall and 2-2 in the conference following a tough home loss against George Mason on Tuesday. That was the third game without leading scorer Shavar Newkirk who is out for the season with a torn ACL. The good news is that James Demery is back after missing 10 games with a stress fracture in his foot and he has picked up the scoring slack by averaging 19.3 ppg that Newkirk has been out. Going back, the Hawks are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 games following a straight up loss. 10* (532) St. Joseph's Hawks |
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01-12-17 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -4.5 | Top | 67-62 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Miami has its seven-game winning streak snapped with a 15-point loss at Syracuse. That was eight days ago so the Hurricanes have had over a week to stew over that defeat. That was their first true road loss of the season and now they are back home where they are a perfect 8-0 on the season and while this will be the biggest test so far, we expect a big bounceback effort. Notre Dame has opened up 3-0 in the ACC with wins over Pittsburgh, Louisville and Clemson so it has been an impressive run. However, the last two came at home while the win over the Panthers came in overtime. Miami falls into a great college hoops strategy where you play on an unranked home favorite over a ranked road underdog as this has been very lucrative in the past. Going back, the Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog while the Hurricanes are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (518) Miami Hurricanes |
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01-11-17 | NC State -6 v. Boston College | Top | 66-74 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Typically, we are apprehensive in laying points on the road but this situation diffuses that. NC State hits the road where it is 0-3 on the season but if there is ever a spot where the Wolfpack should be fired up to get their first road victory, this is it. They are coming off a 51-point thrashing at North Carolina on Sunday which was the second-worst loss in school history. NC State is going to have to show some pride on the defensive end and stop settling for the shots that it did in Chapel Hill. The Wolfpack are 3-0 ATS this season as favorites and while they have yet to be favored on the road, they definitely should be here. Boston College is coming off a pair of road losses to fall to 1-2 in the ACC but the Eagles have not covered four straight games. It is important to note however that the lines have dictated the correct side in Boston College games as it was a double-digit underdog in all four games of this streak. Going back, the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a double-digit dog and 0-3 ATS in their last six games as a single-digit dog. NC State has won all three games this season following a loss and that continues tonight. 10* (761) NC State Wolfpack |
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01-11-17 | Indiana State -1 v. Drake | Top | 70-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
While Indiana St. was not expected to contend in the Missouri Valley Conference, it was not expected to get off to the start it has. The Sycamores have gotten off to a 0-4 start in the conference but it has been better than the record shows. They opened with a respectable eight-point loss against Wichita St. and then followed that up with a pair of overtime losses on the road. Indiana St. clearly ran out of gas after those games as it was beat up pretty bad over the weekend against Illinois St. Indiana St. is just 6-10 overall but three losses have come in overtime and another three losses came by three points or less so they are better that what the results have been. Drake has turned things around as after a 1-10 start, the Bulldogs have won three of their last five games with all three of those wins coming at home. This includes a 12-point win over Evansville on Sunday to move to 2-2 in the conference which is a surprise as the Bulldogs were again picked to finish last in the MVC following a 2-16 season a year ago. The Sycamores are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (749) Indiana St. Sycamores |
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01-10-17 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -13.5 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
San Diego St. was picked by most places to win the Mountain West Conference but it has been far from coming close to that in the early going as the Aztecs have dropped their first three conference games. While no losses are good, the three defeats have come against quality opponents that will reside in the top half of the conference come season end. This is their third three-game losing streak of the season and they busted out of the last one with a blowout victory and we can expect the same here as a return home after two straight road games will have them amped up. We won with San Jose St. on Saturday as it defeated Fresno St. as a home underdog. The Spartans had dropped five straight games against the number which was part of the reason for playing on them and now they could not be in a worse spot. They have had their struggles with the Aztecs since moving to the MWC as they have lost all five meetings by at least 15 points and in four of those, San Diego St. was coming off a win. In the lone game it was off a loss, it destroyed the Spartans by 26 points. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win while the Aztecs are 13-4-2 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss. 10* (562) San Diego Aztecs |
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01-10-17 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -10 | Top | 84-78 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
As expected, Arkansas lost at Kentucky on Saturday and it was not even close as the Razorbacks fell by 26 points to fall to 1-2 in the SEC. They will also be out to avenge their only home loss of the season which came in the conference opener against Florida. Sandwiched in-between there was a solid win at Tennessee and while the Volunteers are nothing special, it was still a quality road win. The tough opening of the conference schedule now eases up and it begins on Tuesday in a game Arkansas should have no problem running away with. Mississippi St. bounced back from a loss against Alabama with a win at LSU on Saturday which was its first true road game of the season. Things will be much more difficult this time around however. The Bulldogs have been an underdog only once this season but it has nothing to do with them being a quality team. It has to do with the fact they have played the No. 313 ranked schedule in the country as their best win is probably over Boise St. The Razorbacks are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games against teams with a winning road record. This line is big for a reason but not nearly big enough. 10* (556) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-10-17 | Syracuse v. Virginia Tech -4.5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
It has been an up and down season for Syracuse which opened 4-0 before going on a 4-6 run over its next 10 games including losses against three former Big East rivals Connecticut, Georgetown and St. Johns. The other loss came against Boston College on the road by 15 points to open ACC action but the Orange have bounced back with two very impressive wins against Miami and Pittsburgh. Both of those were at home however and they hit the road where they are 0-2, the other loss coming by 17 points at Wisconsin. Virginia Tech jumped into the AP Top 25 Poll thanks to a 12-1 start which included a 140point win over Duke but it was unable to keep the momentum roiling as it has dropped its last two games and both were ugly losses at NC State and Florida St. The Hokies are 9-0 at home this season and have won 14 consecutive home games, the longest home winning streak since the 2009-10 season. Between the two teams, the home team is 23-3 on the season not counting neutral site games. The Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win while the Hokies are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. 10* (522) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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01-09-17 | Troy State v. Georgia State -6 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
We are going against converging trends here as the value on the home team is too good to pass up. Troy has been involved in a brutal stretch over the last month as it has played seven straight games away from home. The Trojans have held their own however as they are 3-4 but most impressive, they have won all six games against the number that have been lined, covering two games as a favorite while staying close in the four games as an underdog. While this ATS run is impressive, we have to believe the travel finally catches up to Troy tonight. Georgia St. closed out 2016 with a loss at Georgia Southern but followed that up with a win over South Alabama on Saturday. The Panthers have failed to cover three straight games but the feeling is that it helps here and most important, they are on the opposite side of the travel aspect. They have not had to leave the state of Georgia since December 21 and have been at home every day of 2017. The Panthers also come in with massive confidence and momentum as they scored the final eight points against South Alabama on Saturday to earn the 78-77 win. That victory moved Georgia St. to 42-5 in its last 47 home games. 10* (710) Georgia St. Panthers |
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01-08-17 | UCF v. Connecticut -1.5 | Top | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
If we saw the records of these teams before the season, both overall and conference, we would have guessed they would belong to the opposite team. Connecticut and UCF are off to surprising starts and both in different ways. The Knights are 12-3 overall including a 3-0 record in the AAC which is good for a tie for second place and those 12 wins have already matched the 12 wins they had all of last season. It is hard to be completely sold on the Knights however as a look at the schedule shows no real quality wins. At this point, a win over Connecticut would not constitute a quality win either as the Huskies are off to a disappointing start. They are 5-9 including a 0-3 record in the conference and they were picked to win the AAC by many outlets. A season opening loss to Wagner was horrible as was the next game against Northeastern but they have lost to some elite teams since then and overall, they have played the No. 18 ranked schedule in the nation (compared to No. 302 for UCF). Riding a four-game losing streak with Temple, Georgetown and SMU on deck, this is a must win for Connecticut and we are getting a great price to back them at. 10* (538) Connecticut Huskies |
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01-08-17 | Wichita State v. Northern Iowa +10 | Top | 80-66 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
Two of the top programs in the MVC square off today and while Wichita St. is living up to the credentials, Northern Iowa is not. The Shockers are off to another great start despite having to replace its best backcourt in the history of the program. They are 13-3 overall including a 3-0 record in the conference. Wichita St. has a solid road win but no cover at Indiana St. and the last two wins came at home against bottom feeders Bradly and Drake. The Shockers will be out for revenge after the Panthers snapped their 43-game home winning streak last February while also looking for payback after losing in the MVC Tournament Championship in overtime. However, laying a price this big on the road is not prudent. Northern Iowa is in some unchartered territory with its recent skids. It is in the midst of a five-game losing streak which is the longest such streak since the 2006-07 season. The Panthers have not lost six games in a row since the 2000-01 season which is also the last time they started 0-3 in the conference. This team is better than this current run and one thing to take into consideration is that the Panthers have played the No. 15 ranked schedule in the nation. The Shockers will no doubt get the best out of Northern Iowa this afternoon. 10* (532) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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01-07-17 | Texas Tech v. Kansas -11 | Top | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
This may seem like a big number to be laying but we are getting Kansas in a great spot. The Jayhawks are coming off a two-point win over rival Kansas St. on Tuesday thanks to a layup with no time remaining. That gave them their 13th consecutive win following a season-opening overtime loss against Indiana from Hawaii. Kansas has won 47 straight games at Allen Field House and it will be aiming for victory No. 2,200 in school history. They are in a good spot here based on that scare so we will see a bigger sense of urgency after blowing a 10-point lead especially after seeing what their opponent just did. Texas Tech is coming off an upset win at home against No. 7 West Virginia to improve to 12-2 overall and 10-0 at home. The Red Raiders nonconference schedule was non-existent so this was a surprising win and certainly presents a huge letdown. Kansas is 16-0 against Texas Tech in games played in Lawrence, with all 16 contests in Allen Fieldhouse. 10* (844) Kansas Jayhawks |
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01-07-17 | Santa Clara v. Loyola Marymount -4 | Top | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
This is another low profile game where we can take advantage of a good line that typically is not as tight as the higher profile games. Loyola-Marymount is projected to finish in the top half of the West Coast Conference but it is already off to a 0-3 start. The problem has not been that the Lions have been playing bad but the schedule has been the issue as they have faced the top three teams in the conference not named Gonzaga. They lost to the Gaels by 11 which was expected and the other two against BYU and Pepperdine were by six points combined. The bad news is Gonzaga is next on the road so this is a must win for sure. Santa Clara is off to a 2-1 start in the WCC following a pair of wins at home over San Francisco and Portland, two teams projected to finish low in the conference standings. So here we have two opposite conference records but the early schedules have played a role in that and we can take advantage of a soft line. Going back, the Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game while the Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. 10* (820) Loyola-Marymount Lions |
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01-07-17 | Utah -2 v. Arizona State | Top | 88-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
Utah had its three-game winning streak snapped with a 10-point loss at Arizona on Thursday and it is safe to say the Wildcats had the home court edge as the Utes went to the free throw line just four times and were outscored by 12 points from the charity stripe. Utah has won its previous three games following a loss this season and we can expect the Utes to be a lot more aggressive in this one. The Sun Devils are coming off a win on Thursday over Colorado as underdogs as they caught a break when Xavier Johnson, one of the best Buffaloes players, got ejected with 1:23 remaining. That win improved them to 2-1 in the Pac 12 and 9-7 overall. This is an extremely young team with only one senior on the roster so coming back from a big win has been difficult as previous wins over San Diego St. and Stanford were followed up by blowout losses. Arizona St. has won consecutive games only twice this season and it is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win. 10* (799) Utah Utes |
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01-07-17 | Fresno State v. San Jose State +3 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
This is a low profile game which are typically good one to get some additional value on and this is certainly the case here. San Jose St. has opened up 0-2 in the Mountain West Conference as it goy throttled at Nevada and lost a close one here Wednesday against Colorado St. The Spartans are still a game over .500 overall and part of the value in this line is the fact they have not covered a game since December 3, going 0-5 ATS in the process. It has been an opposite run for Fresno St. which is 2-1 in the conference following a home win over Wyoming on Wednesday. Ever since failing to cover against UTSA in their first game of the season, the Bulldogs have covered every game since then, going a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last nine lined games. Now they come in as the biggest favorite they have been all season and the situation calls for the upset. Fresno St. had a great turnaround last season as it won 25 games and made it to the NCAA Tournament and while still talented, the Bulldogs lost four key players and they have struggled on the road with some mediocre wins and close overtimes decisions. We know where the public money will be going in this one. 10* (802) San Jose St. Spartans |
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01-07-17 | Maryland +7 v. Michigan | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
After blowing out Illinois to open Big Ten play, the Terrapins were upset at home by Nebraska by a bucket on New Year's Day. They have had a week to stew over that game which was just their second loss of the season, the first coming against Pittsburgh at home which was nearly as surprising. Maryland is 4-0 away from home this season including a win at Georgetown in their only true road game thus far. Since January 2015, Maryland is 14-1 in games following a loss and since joining the Big Ten Conference, Maryland has lost only two consecutive games in conference play, falling to Wisconsin at home on Feb. 13, 2016 and at Minnesota on Feb. 18. Michigan bounced back from an overtime loss at Iowa to defeat Penn St. on Wednesday to improve to 1-1 in the conference and 11-4 overall. The Wolverines are 9-1 at home with the lone loss coming against Virginia Tech which is a very solid team but this will be the biggest home test to date. The Wolverines are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (777) Maryland Terrapins |
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01-07-17 | TCU v. West Virginia -13.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
We love playing on elite teams coming off upset losses and that is the case with West Virginia which got upset on a last second three-pointer at Texas Tech. The Mountaineers, which averaged 26.5 turnovers entering the game, only forced 13 turnovers so we will certainly see some havoc on Saturday afternoon. They followed up their first loss of the season with a 47-point win next time out over Manhattan and while we cannot compare Manhattan and TCU, it is not that overly far off. Additionally, this is the Big XII home opener for the Mountaineers. TCU is also 1-1 in the Big XII following a win over Oklahoma which ended a five-game homestand where the Horned Frogs went 4-1. While they have an identical 12-2 record as the Mountaineers, these teams are not even on the same level which is why this line is what it is. In three meetings last season, West Virginia won by an average of 23 ppg and while new TCU head coach Jamie Dixon know the Mountaineers well and was 11-7 against them when with Pittsburgh, his talent is much worse now. The Mountaineers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss while the Horned Frogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games following three or more consecutive home games. 10* (732) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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01-06-17 | Kent State v. Ohio -7 | Top | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is the first time in a long time that Ohio has had a distinct advantage over one of its biggest rivals and the Bobcats will take advantage tonight. Ohio rolled over Western Michigan in its conference opener by 29 points on Tuesday as it shot a blistering 51.6 percent from long range (16-31) to improve to 8-0 at home. It is the other side of the ball that has really been the difference this season. Ohio's effort on the defensive end was the lowlight of an otherwise strong 2015-16 campaign. The Bobcats ranked second-to-last in the MAC and 249th in the country by giving up 74.8 ppg but through 12 games in 2016-17, Ohio leads the MAC and ranks 60th in the nation with 65.6 ppg allowed and first in the conference and 52nd in the country with a 39.7 percent field goal percentage defense. Kent St. won its conference opener by 10 points over Ball St. but there are still a lot of questions on this team that lost four seniors and three other transfers. Overall, only two of the top seven scorers from last season are back. The Golden Flashes are shooting just 36.2 percent on the road while hitting just 16.9 percent from three and 59.2 percent from the free throw line. The Bobcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Golden Flashes are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (524) Ohio Bobcats |
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