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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-22-17 | SMU v. Northern Iowa +8 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
SMU is coming off a huge season where it went 30-5 but suffered a loss in the first round of the NCAA Tournament and it is starting right where it left off. The Mustangs have started the season a perfect 4-0 with all four wins being blowout victories but they have played nobody, and this is a team that is in major transition. SMU is still on probation in that it is getting fewer scholarships and comes into this season needing to replace three important starters with a young roster that has not played together very much. The Panthers finished two games under .500 last season, but they were a very young team with only two seniors, so they bring back a ton of experience and are projected to contend in the MVC. Northern Iowa has rolled in its last three games against low-level competition, but they faced North Carolina in their opener on the road and the Panthers held their own in a 17-point loss and that experience against an elite team will help here. This line has a lot to do with what happened last season for SMU and it start this season, but it is overly aggressive in what should be a very competitive game. 10* (556) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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11-22-17 | Idaho -1.5 v. Santa Clara | Top | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Idaho comes in to the season as the favorites to win the Big Sky Conference after going 12-6 last season, which was good for a tie for third, and 19-14 overall. That was good for an invite to the CIT which was important for extra playing time and practices. The Vandals are loaded as they bring back all five starters as well as point guard Perrion Callandret who took a medical redshirt last season after averaging 14.0 ppg in 2015-16. They are off to a 2-1 start with the lone loss coming at Nevada, the favorite to win the MWC. Santa Clara had a winning record last season as it finished a game over .500 but its season ended in the WCC Semifinals and did not get to play in a postseason tournament. The Broncos have three starters back, but the losses will be hard to replace especially Jared Brownridge who finished his career as the No. leading scorer in program history. Santa Clara is 1-2 to start the season with all three games coming at home including a 30-point loss to aforementioned Nevada. The only victory came against Division III La Verne University. The experience of Idaho will show in Alaska. 10* (585) Idaho Vandals |
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11-22-17 | Evansville v. Louisiana Tech -4.5 | Top | 61-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Louisiana Tech is going to be playing with a mission this season. The Bulldogs went 23-10 last season including a 14-4 record in C-USA which was good for a second-place finish and after getting ousted in the conference tournament semifinals, they were completely snubbed by all postseason tournaments. They have three starters back this season and are off to a 4-0 start including a victory over George Mason by 13 points in the first round of the Cancun Challenge. This is one of the top backcourts you will see as four guards are averaging double-digits in scoring led by Jalen Harris and NBA prospect Jacobi Boykins. Evansville pulled off the upset over Fresno St. to get to the finals and improved to 5-0 on the season while covering all three lined games. The Purple Aces have overachieved thus far and have a tough matchup here as their strength is in the backcourt but cannot match up with the Bulldogs. Evansville finished eighth in the MVC last season and that is the prediction once again for a team that lost Jaylon Brown, who averaged 20.9 ppg and led the conference in scoring. The Bulldogs keep rolling. 10* (592) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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11-21-17 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -6 | Top | 87-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
We won with Penn St. last night as the Nittany Lions rolled over Pittsburgh and while we think this is a very good team, they take a huge step up in competition here and will have a tough time keeping up. Penn St. is 5-0 but has defeated no one good and that includes the Panthers who are in for a very long season. The Nittany Lions have covered all three of their lined games which is keeping this number a reasonable one. They will have size advantages over a lot of teams this season as they are big down low with five players averaging at least 5.2 rebounds per game. The problem tonight is they will be facing a bigger and more athletic team, so their typical advantage will not be in play here. Texas A&M is coming off an average season where it went 16-15 overall including 8-10 in the SEC and did not go to a postseason tournament. The Aggies are loaded this season as they are led by forward Robert Williams who was a projected first round NBA draft pick but decided to come back for one more season and could be the No. 1 overall pick next year. Overall, they have four starters back while also adding graduate transfer Duane Wilson to compliment J.J. Caldwell who will return from a suspension on November 30. Depth and experience to go along with a stingy defense will lead Texas A&M to the Legends Classic Championship. 10* (742) Texas A&M Aggies |
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11-21-17 | VCU -4 v. California | Top | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
California is coming off a difficult loss yesterday as it blew a double-digit second half lead against Wichita St. and it was outscored 54-35 in the second half, ruining a chance for a monumental upset. The Golden Bears are now 2-2 on the season with the other loss coming against UC Riverside at home while the two wins came against Cal Poly by three points and Wofford. The loss to the Shockers will be hard to recover from for this extremely young team that has been picked to finish dead last in the Pac 12 after losing four starters, a part-time starter and their best incoming recruit. It is going to be a long season, and this is a bad matchup to have after a bad loss as the Bears are a pressing team and will be facing a VCU team that has pressed hard for years and will know how to break it after practicing it so much. VCU lost to a good Marquette team yesterday and will look to rebound to get back over .500. The Rams also lost a lot to graduation and are breaking in a new head coach as well, but Mike Rhoades was an assistant here, so he knows the program and has reinstalled the full-court Havok system. The other loss on the season came against Virginia which was considered a quality loss. Look for the Rams to be the team to bounce back on Tuesday. 10* (733) VCU Rams |
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11-20-17 | Utah +1.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 83-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
Another pair of undefeated teams square off late Monday night in Las Vegas as Mississippi plays Utah in the second game of the MGM Grand Main Event. The Rebels are coming off a solid season where they went 22-14 including 10-8 in the SEC but they were not quite there to get a berth into the NCAA Tournament and had to settle for the NIT where they won two games. Mississippi lost a ton as four starters departed and is still without Karlis Silins who was a projected starter coming into this season. The lack of proven players has shown early on as the Rebels have struggled the last couple games to put Eastern Kentucky and Georgia State away and now comes its best test of the young season. They had to rally twice in the second half to stay undefeated. Utah has rolled in its first three games including a win over Missouri in its last game although the Tigers were without Michael Porter Jr. Still, we can put that team on the same page as Mississippi. The Utes are doing it with defense once again as they are allowing opponents to shoot just 33.7 percent from the floor including 21.2 percent from long range. This is a very balanced team on offense with six players averaging between 9.0 and 14.0 ppg. Going back, the Utes are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* (579) Utah Utes |
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11-20-17 | Penn State -9.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 85-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This line may seem off to some based on who these teams are, but this is in fact correct and it is going to get a lot of public action on Pittsburgh. The Panthers are coming off a tough season where they went 16-17 including a 4-14 record in the ACC. They lost four starters to graduation while another one, Cameron Johnson, transferred to North Carolina while also losing five other players that decided to leave the program early. So, it is a complete rebuild in Pittsburgh and we are already seeing the signs it lost to Navy on the road and Montana at home while struggling to get past Santa Barbara in their last game. While the Panthers lost everyone, Penn St. has most everyone back as all five starters return from a team that went just 15-18 but showed signs of getting over the hump. The Nittany Lions has big wins over Michigan St., Maryland and Minnesota but faded down the stretch and missed the postseason. They are 4-0 this season, winning all four games by double-digits including a 13-point victory over the same Montana team that beat Pittsburgh. The Nittany Lions are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Panthers are 12-36-4 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win. 10* (567) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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11-20-17 | Creighton v. UCLA +4 | Top | 100-89 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
We played against Creighton in its last game but the Bluejays won at Northwestern as the Wildcats home court advantage not be as strong as in the past because of the relocation. The Bluejays shot lights out once again and they are shooting over 55 percent on the season while averaging 97.7 ppg. Creighton did suffer a loss in that last game however as starting senior forward Toby Hegner suffered a high ankle sprain and he will be out for a while. The Bluejays have covered both lined games this season which helps with this line while going back, they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. UCLA is also off to a 3-0 start, but it has not looked good in doing so. It narrowly defeated Georgia Tech in China while needing overtime to defeat Central Arkansas at home. It is obvious that the distraction stemming from the shoplifting incident carried over into basketball, but the Bruins shook those first two games off with a 28-point win over South Carolina St. last time out. After allowing an effective field goal percentage of 55.2 percent over its first three quarters back in the United States, including a mark of 59.5 percent by Central Arkansas, UCLA tightened up its defense in the second half against South Carolina St., holding the Bulldogs to a 44.3 percent effective field goal percentage. 10* (570) UCLA Bruins |
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11-19-17 | Boise State +1 v. Iowa State | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
The finals of the Puerto Rico Tip Off take place Sunday in South Carolina after a day off on Saturday. The Broncos defeated UTEP by just a bucket in the opener but came to life the next day and rolled over Illinois St. On the heels of a rough shooting outing in the opener against UTEP, senior Chandler Hutchison posted the 12th double-double of his career with 19 points and a career-high 18 rebounds against the Redbirds. He will look to back it up again against a depleted backcourt of Iowa St. that lost three double-digit scorers from the perimeter last season. We played against Iowa St. in its season opener and noted how there is little quality talent on this team. Donovan Jackson is the most productive returning player as he was fifth on the team in scoring with 6.4 ppg. Fred Hoiberg's staff neglected to recruit high school prospects his last two years at Iowa St. and those kids who would now be contributing as juniors and seniors, and ready to step into star roles, do not exist on the Cyclone roster. While both teams are in a rebuild, the Broncos are not nearly in as bad of shape as the Cyclones which narrowly escaped in the first two rounds. 10* (733) Boise St. Broncos |
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11-17-17 | Providence v. St. Louis +9 | Top | 90-63 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
**7:30 PM ET Start** Providence is coming off another successful season where it went 20-13 and it is expected to be another great season for the Friars which return the bulk of their production. They are coming off a win over Washington yesterday in the first round of the 2K Classic and are heavy favorites to bring home the championship tonight. They opened the season with a blowout win over Houston Baptist but followed that up with a head-scratching loss against Minnesota where they melted down in the second half. High expectations lead to inflate lines early in the season which is the case her and adding to that is the fact they are playing a team that has won a total of 34 games over the last three seasons. St. Louis made the NCAA Tournament for three straight seasons, but the last three years have been a struggle where it has lost 21 games each season. This is a different team now however and could be one of the biggest surprises in the country. The Billikens have been picked to finish in the upper half of the A-10 thanks to four starters back as well as one of the best freshmen in the country and big name incoming transfers. Jordan Goodwin is a five-star recruit who is second on the team in scoring behind Javon Bess who came over from Michigan St. This team is talented and deep and is getting this many points because of the past and not the present. 10* (780) St. Louis Billikens |
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11-16-17 | Boise State v. UTEP +3.5 | Top | 58-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
**2:00 PM ET Start** Boise St. is coming off another 20-win season and expectations are high once again for the Broncos. They have opened the season 2-0 as they routed Eastern Oregon on Friday (104-65) and Southern Utah on Sunday (90-69) but things will be not as easy Thursday afternoon. Boise St. has the best player on the floor in Chandler Hutchinson, who is the Mountain West Preseason Player of the Year, but they will be challenged with depth early on. They lost a couple of key players from last season including point guard Paris Austin who transferred to California after averaging 12.3 ppg and leading the team in assists. UTEP is coming off an easy win over Louisiana College after jumping out to a 32-0 lead. The Miners roster is comprised of eight newcomers including five freshmen and only five returners from last year's fourth-seeded C-USA team that went 15-17 overall but an impressive 12-6 in conference play. They do return four starters and were granted a sixth year out of center Matt Willms while getting graduate transfer Keith Frazier from SMU, who is a former McDonald's All-American. The confidence level of the Miners is high as they have won 14 of their last 18 games and they were able to open the season with a summer trip to Costa Rica that gave them an extra 10 practices and three competitive games. 10* (520) UTEP Miners |
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11-15-17 | Creighton v. Northwestern -4 | Top | 92-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
Northwestern achieved many firsts last season including their first ever trip to the NCAA Tournament which resulted in a win in the first round and a tough loss to Gonzaga in the round of 32. The goals are higher this season as the Wildcats have four starters back from their 24-win season and they were ranked in the initial AP Poll for the first time in program history. They have not looked great through two games but we can blame that on the lack of competition but that changes here, in at least name. Creighton is off to a 2-0 start as well but this is a team that will have a different look than it did at this same time a year ago. Creighton lacks a true point guard and it showed last year how it derailed their season when point guard Maurice Watson tore his ACL and the Bluejays limped to the finish line. They have just 38 assists in 73 made field goals and while they have been shooting lights out, they face their toughest defensive test of the season. Northwestern is playing its home games off campus this season at the Allstate Arena which is a half hour away and that will hurt later in the season when they will be playing early games. Playing a game at 8:00 PM local time will not affect the student crowd and the Wildcats home court advantage will be in full effect. 10* (736) Northwestern Wildcats |
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11-14-17 | NC-Wilmington v. Davidson -10 | Top | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Under head coach Kevin Keatts, UNC-Wilmington won 78 games in three years and won or tied for the CAA regular season championship in all three seasons. Keatts has moved on as he took the job at NC State and in comes C.B. McGrath who was an assistance at North Carolina, so the transition will not be seamless. In addition, the Seahawks must replace four starters while the five-player recruiting class that was coming in all decided to go elsewhere so the roster is very raw and inexperienced. It is going to be a tough start for UNC-Wilmington which won its first game over NC-Wesleyan but hits the road for the first time against a much-improved opponent. Davidson missed the postseason for the first time since 2011 last year but the Wildcats will be contending in the Atlantic Ten Conference this season. They bring back four starters and got an early start to the season as they went on a summer exhibition tour in Europe which teams can do once every five years and that extra time together makes a big difference early in the season. Davidson rolled in its first game as well as it went an incredible 26-53 from long range against Charleston Southern and that is not good news for the Seahawks that struggled defensively against a D-II team. 10* (508) Davidson Wildcats |
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11-13-17 | Charlotte +15 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 65-83 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
The Cowboys are the second biggest consensus on the entire college hoops slate and a big reason is name. Oklahoma St. is a big-name program and only laying 13.5 points against an unknown team looks to be easy money. That is hardly the case and this is a tough matchup against a team that can keep up. Both teams are coming off comfortable opening victories, so we do not have to dive into those but should bring up the fact that the up-tempo offense the 49ers possess is for real as they shot 62 percent while scoring 116 points albeit against a D-II school. Charlotte is loaded offensively and while it struggled last season on defense, it brought in players to help. Overall, the 49ers have four starters back so chemistry is in place. Oklahoma St. made a trip to the NCAA Tournament last season but lost head coach Brad Underwood who left for Illinois and while Mike Boynton Jr. was an assistant and is familiar with the roster, this is his first ever head coaching job. The Cowboys lost three starters including two important pieces in Juwan Evans (19.3 ppg and Phil Forte III (13.3 ppg) so there are voids to fill, and it may take a while. They rolled Pepperdine, but the Waves are a horrible team and the 49ers are getting just a field goal fewer points. 10* (729) Charlotte 49ers |
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11-12-17 | San Diego -2 v. San Jose State | Top | 81-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
San Diego opens the season two days later than most teams but are in a good spot to open it the right way. The Toreros 13-18 season but they bring back a load of talent and experience making this the best team under head coach Lamont Smith who is in his third season. Six of the top seven scorers are back for San Diego and Isaiah Wright, a point guard transfer from Utah, is now eligible. This is the first true point guard Smith has had at his disposal and that makes a huge difference. San Jose St. rolled over Antelope Valley in its season opener and never hearing of Antelope Valley shows how much of an unimpressive win it was. The Spartans made progress last season but encountered two huge losses over the summer as head coach Dave Wojcik stepped down in July and their best player, All-MWC First Team forward Brandon Clarke who averaged 17.3 ppg and 8.7 rpg, transferred to Gonzaga a month after that. The team is in transition right now as a new system was put into place, so it could take some time for them to come together. This line flipped right after opening and it is the right move. 10* (519) San Diego Toreros |
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11-10-17 | Iowa State v. Missouri -4.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
Iowa St. has been to the NCAA Tournament every year since 2012 but that streak will be in serious jeopardy this season. The Cyclones are going through a serious rebuild and things could be sticky early in the season. They lost First Team All-Big XII point guard Monte Morris as well as double-digit scorers Deonte Burton, Matt Thomas and Naz Mitrou-Long. Donovan Jackson is the most productive returning player as he was fifth on the team in scoring with 6.4 ppg. Fred Hoiberg's staff neglected to recruit high school prospects his last two years at ISU and those kids who would now be contributing as juniors and seniors, and ready to step into star roles, do not exist on the Cyclone roster. Missouri won eight games last season, fired head coach Kim Anderson and hired Cuonzo Martin. The Tigers do not lack talent as they have a strong roster with potential lottery pick Michael Porter Jr. and four-star center Jeremiah Tilmon. Additionally, Blake Harris and Jeremiah Tilmon, who were supposed to be in Washington and Illinois respectively, decided to come to Missouri after their coaches were fired. This team is young, but expectations are high and getting off to a flying start is imperative which begins on Friday. 10* (552) Missouri Tigers |
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04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina -5 | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
North Carolina came away with a narrow win over Kentucky to make it to the Final Four but got a scare when point guard Joel Berry II rolled an ankle. Luckily, nearly a week off will help it heal and there were concerns he would not be able to play but he has been upgraded to probable. Oregon had a surprisingly easy time against Kansas as it defeated the Jayhawks by 14 points following a pair of close wins over Rhode Island and Michigan by a combined four points. The Ducks will put up a fight but the Tar Heels are on a mission after the last second loss in the National Championship last season. One big key for Oregon is its defense and the strength is the match-up zone the Ducks play which is not good for North Carolina and its streaky outside shooting. But this is not necessarily a disadvantage for the Tar Heels which lead the nation in offensive rebounding percentage at 41 percent. They grabbed 13 offensive rebounds on 31 missed shots in the Elite Eight win over Kentucky and Oregon is not a good rebounding team. The Ducks are No. 128 in defensive rebounding percentage (Kentucky is No. 69) so North Carolina will have an even bigger edge on the glass should it not shoot very well. Oregon has just two players in the starting lineup that are taller than 6'4" while the Tar Heels have four starters that are 6'6" and taller. This makes the loss of center Chris Boucher a really big absence in this matchup. 10* (814) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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04-01-17 | South Carolina v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 34 m | Show |
Gonzaga easily took care of Xavier on Saturday for its first start to finish easy game of the NCAA Tournament thus far. While this one may not be as easy, we can expect a comfortable win as the Bulldogs have the advantages at the important spots. The two big stars for each team resides in the backcourt with Nigel Williams-Goss for Gonzaga and Sindarius Thornwell for South Carolina. They pretty much negate each other out and with the perimeter defenses being so good on both sides, the secondary backcourt scorers for both teams will be crucial. Those should also negate each other out as they are fairly even when it comes to scoring and efficiency. Therefore, the difference in this one will come from down low and the Bulldogs have a huge advantage. Prezmek Karnowski, Johnathan Williams and Zach Collins average a combined 32.4 ppg and 18 rpg while the Gamecocks have only two significant frontcourt players who do not match up so that along with the depth down low will be the difference for Gonzaga. South Carolina did well against Florida in the interior but the Gators are far from the same team down low as the Bulldogs. Gonzaga uses its size, strength and ability to control the boards to limit teams second-chance scoring opportunities. While the covering has not been there as much, the Bulldogs are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (812) Gonzaga Bulldogs |
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03-28-17 | CS Bakersfield +2.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 61-76 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
CS Bakersfield is a surprise to be in the NIT semis at MSG as it won three road games and became the first No. 8 seed to reach the NIT semifinals. The wins came in some tough places as well as first at California, then at Colorado St., then two nights later at a UT\-Arlington team that was 14-0 at home. Amazingly, the Roadrunners led all of those games by at least 20 points at some stage in the game. They are ranked 15th nationally in defensive efficiency according to KenPom and their defensive field goal percentage of .369 is third-best among 351 Div. I schools. This defense is what made them tough on the road as they were up four in Arizona with eight minutes left and were down three at SMU with five minutes to go before losing both. The fact their 11 road wins this season rank fourth nationally tells a lot. Georgia Tech had a decent season but has made a nice run in the NIT. The Yellow Jackets were fortunate to have their first game moved to a home game against Indiana which was a big advantage and gave them some confidence moving forward. They too can defend but not quite as good as their opponent. Bakersfield went to the NCAA Tournament last year (lost to Oklahoma) and should have been there again but lost to New Mexico St. but was exhausted from a quadruple overtime game in the semifinals the night before. The Roadrunners are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. 10* (777) CS Bakersfield Roadrunners |
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03-26-17 | South Carolina v. Florida -3.5 | Top | 77-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
It seems pretty hard to believe that of the six teams left in the NCAA Tournament, three are from the SEC, with all of those three teams playing today. South Carolina and Florida will be meeting for the third time this season with the winner-take-all prize of heading to the Final Four. We saw the Cinderella slipper fall of Xavier last night and we will see the same today for the Gamecocks who have had a great run but cannot continue on behind just one player. These teams split their regular season meetings but it was Florida that should have swept the series. In the first meeting, the Gators missed all 17 of their three-point attempts and KeVaughn Allen, a first-team All-SEC guard, scored just one point. He came back with 26 points in the second meeting with the Gators rolling by 15 points which was the more atypical result. The Gators are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Gamecocks are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 SEC games. 10* (722) Florida Gators |
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03-25-17 | Xavier v. Gonzaga -8 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
It has been a pretty incredible run for Xavier in the NCAA Tournament as the No. 11 seed has won all three games as an underdog culminating with the two-point win over Arizona on Thursday, ending the game on a 9-0 run. The Musketeers have won six of their last seven games following a six-game losing streak toward the end of the regular season. Against Arizona, Xavier shot 52.8 percent from the floor and was fortunate to catch the Wildcats on a bad shooting night. The Musketeers were outrebounded 35-24 including 14-6 on the offensive glass and that is a big problem here against a much better rebounding team. Gonzaga won another close game on Thursday and it has not looked like a No. 1 seed so far but it catches a good matchup here in a game that could turn into a runaway. The Bulldogs are big and Xavier will have to contend with Przemek Karnowski and the trio of athletic bigs who surround the Bulldogs center. Gonzaga committed 16 turnovers against West Virginia and the pressure defense but it will not have to worry about that here as Xavier forces fewer than 12 turnovers per game. The Bulldogs are 11-1 on the season against RPI top 100 teams while Xavier possesses 13 losses against top 100 teams from the RPI. While Xavier has covered seven straight games, going back, the Bulldogs are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (514) Gonzaga Bulldogs |
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03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 70-50 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 1 m | Show |
South Carolina is one of a few remaining teams many feel can be the Cinderella story but the magical run ends here. Wins over Marquette and Duke were impressive considering the Gamecocks put up 93 and 88 points but a lot of that was due to its strong defense that forced turnovers while also winning the rebounding battle. The issue is that South Carolina has a horrible offense as it finished the season ranked last in the SEC in shooting and when it matches up against a team that can negate its strengths, it will be in big trouble. Baylor is one of those teams. While South Carolina has the No. 4 adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom, Baylor is at No. 13 so there is not a significant difference there. The Bears are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation as they are No. 4 in rebounding percentage and No. 2 in offensive rebounding percentage. They have outrebounded opponents by 8.0 rpg on the season while the Gamecocks are pretty much dead even and over the last five games, they are +12.8 rog while South Carolina is in the negative. Baylor is 9-4 against the RPI top 50 while South Carolina is just 3-5 which shows a pretty big stretch of schedule differential and that Baylor has been able to handle it well. Taking care of the ball is vital for Baylor and its 1.20 assist/turnover ratio show it can while on the other side, the Gamecocks 0.99 A/TO ratio is the worst of the remaining 16 teams. 10* (874) Baylor Bears |
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03-24-17 | Butler +7.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 80-92 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 50 m | Show |
There are three 1-4 matchups in the Sweet 16 and judging by this line, linesmakers feel this is the most lopsided one. Based on the RPI though, this is actually the closest of the three matchups with this being No. 5 vs. No. 14 and the other two being No. 4 vs. No. 16 and No. 3 vs. No. 19. North Carolina is favored this much because it is a heavily bet team no matter who or where it is playing so the adjustment had to be made. We played against Butler when it faced off against Middle Tennessee St. and the Bulldogs proved they are primed for a legitimate run. This was proved a while back when they defeated Villanova not once but twice during the regular season. Overall, Butler is 16-5 against the RPI top 100 while North Carolina is 17-6 and that difference is insignificant adding on that Butler faced a slightly tougher schedule than the Tar Heels. North Carolina is the best rebounding team in the nation which is a concern for all teams playing the Tar Heels but the Bulldogs have found ways to be able to compete with the top rebounding teams they have faced. Villanova is a much better rebounding team than Butler yet the Bulldogs won the battle of the boards in both meetings. While this certainly is not a great matchup for the Bulldogs, the same can be said for North Carolina as the Bulldogs defend hard and can take away some of that high-powered offense. The Bulldogs are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (877) Butler Bulldogs |
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03-23-17 | West Virginia v. Gonzaga -3 | Top | 58-61 | Push | 0 | 32 h 38 m | Show |
Many talking heads are saying West Virginia could be the team that takes down Gonzaga and its first ever trip to the Final Four because of the pressure the Mountaineers apply. While they do pressure well and force a ton of turnovers, Gonzaga handles the ball well, averaging 11.3 tpg, 40th in the nation. An argument can be made that Notre Dame was frazzled early and the same will happen to the Bulldogs, that should not happen as this veteran team will be able to handle it. Point guard Nigel Williams-Goss became the West Coast Conference player of the year after back-to-back double-digit scoring seasons at Washington. Johnathan Williams led Missouri in scoring, rebounding and blocks two years ago while graduate transfer Jordan Mathews started 65 games at California. People also point to the lousy schedule that Gonzaga played but it defeated Florida, Iowa St. and Arizona early in the season and overall it is 7-0 against the RPI top 50 and 13-1 against the RPI top 100. Meanwhile, West Virginia is 7-4 and 15-5 respectively so while it has more games against the better teams, those losses cannot be overlooked. This will be the tallest team that the Mountaineers have faced this season so their typical rebounding edge is no longer an edge and could end up a disadvantage here. The close game against northwestern was a good thing for Gonzaga and will help a large amount here. Going back, the Bulldogs are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Mountaineers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (816) Gonzaga Bulldogs |
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03-23-17 | Michigan v. Oregon +1.5 | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 52 h 40 m | Show |
A compelling matchup leads off the Sweet 16 on Thursday as Oregon comes in as one of only two higher seeded teams that is an underdog. Rhode Island gave Oregon all it could handle, but a late surge in the second half, some clutch offensive rebounds and big-time threes gave the Ducks a 75-72 win. They compiled 15 offensive boards and 35 total rebounds against the Rams and that is a big edge to have in this upcoming matchup. Oregon lost center Chris Boucher to a season-ending injury in the Pac 12 Conference tournament, which has forced Oregon to play small and that will not hurt the Ducks here. The Wolverines struggle rebounding, and have been out-rebounded by 2.5 boards per game this season, one of the worst rebounding margins in the country. Offensive rebounding is particularly difficult, with Michigan getting 7.5 boards on that end per game. A strength of Oregon is long range shooting as it is hitting 40.5 percent from behind the arc since February and that is not good against Michigan as it is allowing opponents to shoot 37.5 percent from behind the three-point line, the 15th-highest rate among the 16 teams remaining. The Wolverines will be a very popular play here as they are the public darlings of the tournament, thus they are pegged as the favorite. That is an edge to Oregon as the Ducks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (814) Oregon Ducks |
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03-22-17 | Illinois v. UCF -3.5 | Top | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Central Florida will take on its second team from Illinois in three days and the Knights are back home to try and advance to MSG and the NIT Semifinals. They overcame an 18-point deficit and defeated Illinois St. 63-62 Monday on a pair of B.J. Taylor free throws with just 1.3 seconds to play. That type of comeback is huge moving forward and the Knights bring that momentum in Wednesday where they are 14-3 at home and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games as favorites of less than seven points. Illinois is coming off an impressive effort on Monday as it took care of Boise St. by 15 points after trailing at halftime by a point. The second half effort was fueled by the fact that upcoming head coach Brad Underwood was in attendance, although not coaching, so the younger players were no doubt auditioning in front of their new coach. The Illini hit the road where they have struggled where they are just 3-6 and going back, they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Additionally, UCF is 8-2 ATS at home against teams with a winning record while the Illini are 3-7 ATS on the road against above .500 teams. 10* (768) UCF Knights |
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03-21-17 | Richmond +7.5 v. TCU | Top | 68-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
The NIT continues Tuesday and after seeing a pair of upsets by the road teams last night, we have that possibility again right here. We played against TCU last week when we felt it was overvalued against Fresno St. and that feeling is the same here. The Horned Frogs are coming off an impressive win at Iowa in overtime on Sunday and come home laying a big number. Since the end of their cupcake non-conference season, the Horned Frogs have only two wins by more than what they are laying here and those came against Oklahoma and Texas, both of which won just 11 games each this season. TCU will be without Jaylen Fisher who is its best three-point shooting, second best free throw shooter and is second on the team in assists. Richmond won on the road in the first round and was able to host its next game against Oakland which resulted in a four-point victory. The Spiders are 8-5 on the road this season and most important, they are 6-1 ATS as road underdogs, winning five of those outright with the two losses coming against VCU and Dayton. Going back, the Spiders are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Horned Frogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (669) Richmond Spiders |
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03-20-17 | Utah Valley v. Rice -4.5 | Top | 85-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Utah Valley finished 15-16 overall including a 6-8record in the WAC yet was invited into a postseason tournament. The Wolverines hit the road and easily took out Georgia Southern in the first round, a team that finished the season just 18-15 and was riding a three-game losing streak at the time. While that can be considered an impressive win, they will be facing a very big test. Utah Valley has only played four games this season that had lines and while it did cover all of those, it shows the discrepancy of the schedules and the levels of competition. Rice had a very strong season and is making its first postseason appearance since 2011-12. The Owls have won 10 of their last 13 games after defeating San Francisco in the first round, 85-76, last Wednesday. This is a young team with only two seniors on the roster so thing is a big springboard going into next season and that really can make a difference for teams getting extra time together. Rice has won 12 of its 15 games this season when playing with three or more days of rest while Utah Valley is just 8-11 when playing with that much time off. 10* (626) Rice Owls |
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03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA -3.5 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This game is a contrast of styles as UCLA brings in the best offense in the country while Cincinnati counters with a top ranked defense and while the latter is usually an advantage at this stage in the season, the Bruins have too much firepower. The Bearcats have had a great season as they have lost only five games, two coming against SMU and two others against teams still in the NCAA Tournament. They are just 7-5 against the RPI top 100 as they were not tested much in the AAC. UCLA had no issues with Kent St. in its first game as the offense put up 97 points with five players scoring at least 14 points. UCLA totaled 25 assists against the Golden Flashes and shot 62.7 percent from the floor and the balance of this team cannot be overlooked. The Bearcats rank only 327th nationally in the Kenpom.com metric for AdjT (adjusted tempo), with 63.6 possessions per a 40-minute game. UCLA ranks No. 13 in that category at 73.1 and when this turns into a trackmeet, Cincinnati will not be able to keep up. The Bruins are 12-4 against the RPI top 100 and keep the run going on Sunday in easy fashion. 10* (732) UCLA Bruins |
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03-19-17 | Rhode Island +5.5 v. Oregon | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Rhode Island was a marginal bubble team prior to the Atlantic Ten Tournament but it went on to win three games in three days for the championship and then beat Creighton to move its winning streak to nine straight games. The Rams were up and down for the most part but five of their nine losses came by five points or less and overall they are now 10-7 against the RPI top 100. They provide matchup problems on both ends as they have a solid inside-outside game on offense and defensively, Rhode Island uses a version of VCU's "havoc defense" to relentlessly swarm the ball. Oregon did not get overly tested against Iona in its first game as it used its athleticism to run away from the Gaels. The Ducks will not be able to have that edge here though and they struggle against physical teams. The loss of Chris Boucher was big to begin with but it is bigger in a game like this as he was third on the team in scoring, second in rebounding and first in blocked shots. The Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (729) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-18-17 | Middle Tennessee +4.5 v. Butler | Top | 65-74 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee St. dominated Minnesota on Thursday as the Blue Raiders led by as many as 17 points and held off a late Gophers rally to pull off its second upset in the NCAA Tournament in as many years. This really was not an upset though as they were favored despite being seeded seven spots lower. After Middle Tennessee beat the Spartans last year, it was crushed by No. 10 seed Syracuse 75-50 as the Orange made their way to the Final Four and that loss will benefit it big this time around. The Blue Raiders rolled through the regular season, with only Gonzaga and Villanova finishing with a better winning percentage so this team is for real. Butler cannot be taken lightly as it easily took out Winthrop to advance and shook off a loss in its first game in the Big East Tournament. The Bulldogs handed Villanova two of its three losses this season so they can certainly play at a high level but at the same time, they did suffer some bad losses. Middle Tennessee St. has been an underdog only three times this season and covered all of those, winning two outright and going back, the Blue Raiders are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (525) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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03-18-17 | Wisconsin v. Villanova -5.5 | Top | 65-62 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
Wisconsin won for us on Thursday as it was able to pull away late but now encounters a much tougher task in facing the No. 1 seed Wildcats. We mentioned that the Badgers were underseeded and they were able to take advantage against an overseeded Hokies team but because of their seeding problem, they have to face a top seed earlier than expected. Wisconsin was able to pull away against Virginia Tech thanks to taking 11 more shots including 14 more three-pointers which was in part to a 10-rebouind edge on the boards. However, the Hokies were one of the worst rebounding teams in the country, No. 263 in rebound rate and now will be facing one of the best. Villanova was up by just a point over Mount St. Marys at halftime but pulled away with a big second half and going into the game, head coach Jay Wright said he would expect his team to fell the No.1/No 16 pressure and that was the case as the Wildcats came out flat and played tight for 20 minutes. In addition to taking the rebound edge away from Wisconsin, the Wildcats have a huge free throw edge as they are hitting 79.2 percent compared to 64.8 percent for the Badgers. The Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog. 10* (520) Villanova Wildcats |
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03-17-17 | Wichita State v. Dayton +6 | Top | 64-58 | Push | 0 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
Wichita St. was considered by most to be most underseeded team in the NCAA Tournament and the linesmakers agree with that as they have listed the Shockers as a rather large favorite over Dayton despite being three seeds lower. Obviously they are a very solid team that finished 30-4 but the Missouri Valley Conference had a very down year and besides two wins over Illinois St., there were not many quality wins. They played a very easy schedule and went just 3-4 against top 100 teams with the other victory coming against Colorado St. Three of those four losses came against Louisville, Michigan St. and Oklahoma St. by an average of 10.7 ppg. Dayton actually comes in with a higher RPI than Wichita St. which makes the line that much more confounding. The Flyers bowed out of the Atlantic Ten Tournament after its first game but despite two losses in a row, they had won nine straight games prior to that. Dayton played a much tougher schedule and went 12-4 against top 100 RPI teams and six of their seven losses came by six points or less. Dayton went 4-1 ATS this season as an underdog while going 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games against winning teams. Meanwhile, the Shockers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 neutral site games as a favorite. 10* (832) Dayton Flyers |
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03-17-17 | Rhode Island +1 v. Creighton | Top | 84-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
Rhode Island was a marginal bubble team prior to the Atlantic Ten Tournament but it went on to win three games in three days for the championship to move its winning streak to eight straight games. The Rams were up and down for the most part but five of their nine losses came by five points or less and overall they went 9-7 against the RPI top 100. This is the first NCAA Tournament appearance in 18 years for the Rams so this is a big deal. Creighton made a nice run in the Big East Tournament in beating Providence and Xavier it has struggled after an 18-1 start. There was talk of the Bluejays being a sleeper national title contender but then point guard Maurice Watson went down on January 16 and they closed the regular season 5-7 over their final 12 games. Davion Mintz, Tyler Clement and Ronnie Harrell all had their moments in the Big East tournament but no one has emerged at that spot and it takes them a while on a game-by-game basis to see which player actually prefers the matchup. This is not good in this tournament that favors strong guard play. The Bluejays are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Bluejays are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (843) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-17-17 | USC v. SMU -6.5 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
It is rare to have a revenge game in the first rounds of the NCAA Tournament but that is the case here as USC defeated SMU back in late November. That game was in Los Angeles however where the Trojans were a perfect 18-0 this season. They are coming off a huge comeback win over Providence in one of the First Four games as they trailed by 17 points in the second half but came back to win by four. This is a tough situation playing a night game on Wednesday and then playing a day game two days later with a day of travel involved on top of that. SMU is one of the hottest teams in the country right now as it has won 16 straight games and is 26-1 over its last 27 games with the lone loss coming in Cincinnati by just two points. Still, the Mustangs did not get a great seed and they are highly motivated to make a big run especially not being able to play in the postseason last year due to program violations after finishing 25-5 overall. At the end of the regular season the Associated Press ranked SMU No. 12 and USA Today ranked them No. 15 in the nation. The Trojans are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Mustangs are 24-5-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite. 10* (836) SMU Mustangs |
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03-17-17 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Michigan comes into the NCAA Tournament with a lot of momentum as it has won five straight games including a stretch of four games in four days to win the Big Ten Tournament. The Wolverines have become a very popular pick to make a run but it will be tested right away. This game has pickem written all over it yet the Wolverines opened as the slight favorite and have already been bet up by the public. Michigan typically has a very efficient team and that is the case again this season however the Cowboys rank No. 1 in the nation in the KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency (points scored per 100 possessions) at 124.8. Oklahoma St. rolled through the non-conference with a 10-2 record, losing only to North Carolina and Maryland by a point but then things went south quickly as it lost its first six Big XII games. Five of those were against NCAA Tournament teams and four came down to the final minute. The Cowboys then went on to win 10 of their next 11 games before dropping their last three games, two against Iowa St. and the other against Kansas. The Cowboys are also one of the best free throw shooting teams in the nation and going back, they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog. 10* (827) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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03-16-17 | Virginia Tech v. Wisconsin -5.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
While many are claiming that Wichita St. was the most underseeded team in the NCAA Tournament, I think that claim goes to Wisconsin. The Badgers ended up with a No. 8 seed which does not make sense when comparing it to other teams in the Big Ten. The most glaring comparison is with Minnesota. Wisconsin and Minnesota had a similar resume yet the Gophers got a No. 5 seed despite Wisconsin sweeping the season series. The Badgers stumbled down the stretch with losses in five of six games but most were close and they blasted Minnesota in the final regular season game before making a run to the Big Ten Tournament championship game. When the Badgers play efficient, they are tough to beat and Thursday they will be facing one of the worst defenses in the entire tournament. The Hokies are ranked No. 230 in defensive efficiency and they have the worst RPI of any ACC team that is playing in the NCAA Tournament. Virginia Tech also played the easiest schedule of all of those ACC teams as well and are without one of their best guards as Chris Clarke was lost for the season. While the Hokies still possess a strong offense, the Badgers have the much stronger defense which is the big edge in this matchup. 10* (716) Wisconsin Badgers |
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03-16-17 | Vanderbilt v. Northwestern +1 | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
This is the first ever NCAA Tournament appearance for Northwestern so just being here may seem like an excuse for the Wildcats not really showing up. That is the furthest from the truth and while the experience may be lacking on the court, it is not lacking on the sidelines. Chris Collins played and coached at Duke for a total of 17 years so he knows what the NCAA Tournament is all about. The Wildcats stumbled toward the end of the season as they lost seven of their last 12 games including a bad loss to Wisconsin in the Big Ten Tournament but they are in a good matchup here. Vanderbilt enters the tournament with the most losses in the field and is considered to be one of the sleeper teams in the tournament thanks to playing one of the toughest schedules in the nation. But the Commodores suffered some bad losses down the stretch of the season as five of their final seven losses came against teams not participating in the Big Dance and those were all in the SEC. The conference as a whole was very weak and if the Commodores cannot make threes, they are doomed which will likely happen here because of the strong Northwestern perimeter defense. The Wildcats balance will be the difference here. 10* (740) Northwestern Wildcats |
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03-16-17 | Middle Tennessee -1 v. Minnesota | Top | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
While it has been mentioned that the lines can be affected by all of the so-called professional opinions leading up to the games on Thursday and Friday, this is one that makes sense. Rarely will you see a No. 12 seed favored but the Blue Raiders are a special team that rolled through their conference all season. C-USA is certainly not a strong conference but 17 of their 20 league wins were blowouts. Middle Tennessee St. has a couple of head scratching losses at home against Georgia St. and Tennessee St. but its other two losses were by just six points combined including a three-point loss against VCU. A 23-point win over Vanderbilt solidifies it and the win over Michigan St. in the NCAA Tournament a season ago shows they have kept the momentum going. Minnesota is a team that is hard to figure out as it has only one quality non-conference win and actually went through a three-game losing streak within the Big Ten. The Gophers bounced back with an eight-game winning streak but only two of those came against NCAA Tournament bound teams. 10* (733) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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03-16-17 | North Carolina Wilmington v. Virginia -7 | Top | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
The NCAA Tournament first round is announced four days prior to the first tip and we can gain so much line value based on all of the predictions that we hear leading up to that. Waiting often gives us an opportunity to go against some of these bold predictions upsets with the lines moving our way. One such game is one of the first games on Thursday as UNC-Wilmington is a very popular play for an upset and we are catching enormous line value. Virginia was an underachieving team this season with 10 losses but that is skewed. The Cavaliers lost four games by four points or less and dropped another two in overtime and those were all against ACC teams. The fact of the matter this is the No. 4 ranked defense in the nation in efficiency and is by far the best defense UNC-Wilmington has seen. The Seahawks score a ton but that came against No. 142 ranked schedule in the country. Many look at them hanging with Duke in the first round last season but that was a much easier matchup as Duke had no defense yet were laying more points than what Virginia is laying here. 10* (722) Virginia Cavaliers |
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03-15-17 | Fresno State +10.5 v. TCU | Top | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Fresno St. was unable to duplicate what it did last season when it won its last six regular season game and tore through the MWC Tournament to win three games in three days to make it to the NCAA Tournament. The Bulldogs won five straight to end the regular season this year and took out New Mexico in their first tournament game but ran into a very strong Nevada team to get ousted. The head into the NIT as a No. 5 seed yet are getting a line compared to a No. 8 seed and the double-digit line is loaded with value. TCU played in a much tougher conference but the Horned Frogs are significantly overpriced here. They took out Kansas in the Big XII Tournament which was definitely a big win but the motivation of Kansas in that game needs to be questioned. TCU closed on a 2-8 run and its 13-6 home record is far from dominant. Fresno St. is 7-6 against top 100 RPI teams while going 21-6 ATS in its last 27 games against winning teams. TCU is just 4-12 against top 100 RPI teams and is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games against winning teams. 10* (635) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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03-14-17 | Indiana v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
The NIT tips off tonight and one of the intriguing games is this one where Indiana faces Georgia Tech but it is the lower-seeded Yellow Jackets that get to play at home. While the Hoosiers are the higher seed and have the right to hold the game on their home court, Indiana declined. ESPNU, which broadcast the selection show, said that it was due to a renovation project of Assembly Hall. A tweet from Indiana beat writer Mike Miller of the Herald Times of Bloomington (Ind.) reported that the school passed because students will be on spring break. This is excellent new for Georgia Tech which went 15-4 on its home floor this season and catches a Hoosiers team that won just two true road games all season. As for the Yellow Jackets, head coach Josh Pastner wants a home-court advantage and because of NIT rules where students have to buy tickets for $15 (home games are free during the regular season), he is paying for every student that wants to attend. The Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. 10* (550) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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03-11-17 | Duke v. Notre Dame +4.5 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
**Approx. 9:00 ET Start** We lost with North Carolina last night as Duke overcame a 13-point second half deficit to stun the Tar Heels in a game that looked like it would be a blowout the other way. Duke shot 59 percent in the second half and it was its best half of basketball in a very long time. Now the Blue Devils will be out to win their fourth game in four days, something that no team has ever done in the ACC Tournament. Getting past an efficient Notre Dame team will be no easy task and once again, the Fighting Irish are getting little respect. They defeated Virginia and Florida St. as underdogs and they are once again in that role despite being the higher seed by two spots. We won that game against Virginia noting that Notre Dame would be the more motivated team based on a home loss to the Cavaliers by 17 points. Now it catches a similar scenario as the Irish lost at home to Duke by 10 points which happened to be their next home game after that Virginia loss. Those were the only two home losses all season. The Blue Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games as a favorite while the Irish are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (756) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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03-11-17 | Iowa State +3 v. West Virginia | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
**Approx. 6:00 ET Start** Iowa St. rolled over TCU on Friday as the Horned Frogs could not back up their huge win over Kansas and are now headed to the NIT. The Cyclones have different plans and will be out to win their third Big XII Championship in the last four years. This has been a very underrated team all season as they finished with just six conference losses, three coming by eight points combined and two coming against West Virginia so getting another crack at the Mountaineers is just what they want. West Virginia overcome a 12-point second-half deficit in winning against Kansas St. as the offense continues to struggle. The Mountaineers shot just 26.7 percent from the floor and have been held to 63 points or less in four of their last five games. The defense is the strength but even that has been concern, especially away from home. Friday was just like home for Iowa St., whose fans correctly refer to the Sprint Center as Hilton South as three-fourths of the sell-out crowd was backing the Cyclones which are now 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (749) Iowa St. Cyclones |
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03-11-17 | Colorado State +4.5 v. Nevada | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
**Approx. 6:00 ET Start** Nevada is rolling along with eight straight wins and it has covered all of those games as well which is more impressive considering it has been favored in every one of those. The Wolf Pack come in favored once again but it is an overinflated number based on the streak and it has already gone up from opening. Nevada won the regular season MWC Championship on the final day when it defeated Colorado St. at home in the lone meeting between the two teams. It ended up being an easy victory for the Wolf Pack on their home floor where they suffered only one loss all season and they have not been nearly as dominant away from home against quality teams. The Rams fit that category as they took down San Diego St. last night and they have been nearly as hot, winning 12 of their last 14 games. The loss against Nevada was surprising considering how big it was but it was all due to cold shooting in the second half as the Rams actually carried a two-point lead into the half. We expect this game to come down to the final moments which makes the heavy line very underdog friendly. 10* (747) Colorado St. Rams |
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03-11-17 | Davidson v. Rhode Island -4 | Top | 60-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
**Approx. 1:00 ET Start** Rhode Island came through yesterday with a win over St. Bonaventure but it is still hanging on the bubble and has to continue its current run. While the Rams catch a Davidson team that is coming off an upset over Dayton, they would have been better off playing the Flyers which are the No. 27 ranked team in the RPI and that would have given them another opportunity for a quality win should they not gain the automatic bid with a championship. Rhode Island has won six straight games so peaking at the right time is on its side and going back, the Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Wildcats pulled off the upset yesterday to get a quality win in their corner but that was the first of the season away from home. That was actually just the second victory of the entire season as underdogs against seven losses and the first away from home. The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as an underdog while the Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. 10* (734) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-10-17 | Vanderbilt v. Florida -6 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
**Approx. 7:00 ET Start** Vanderbilt is coming off a pretty easy win yesterday against Texas A&M and looks to sweep the Gators but Florida will have a say in that. The Commodores all but locked up an NCAA Tournament berth with the victory yesterday thanks to some quality wins and playing the third toughest schedule in the nation. Two of those wins came over Florida so there will be plenty of motivation on the Gators side tonight. Florida lost just four SEC games all year with the other two coming against Kentucky and South Carolina and the last loss against the Commodores came in the final regular season game so it is still fresh. The Gators didn't finish the season ranked No. 1 in the league in any of the prominent statistics, but they show up in the top five of 15 of them which shows how balanced this team is and a win here likely locks up a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament and a short trip to Orlando which is a huge edge. Florida is 8-1 ATS this season as a single-digit favorite and going back, the Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games as a favorite while the Commodores are 0-5 ATS in their last five neutral site games as an underdog. 10* (558) Florida Gators |
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03-10-17 | Duke v. North Carolina -4 | Top | 93-83 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
**Approx. 7:00 ET Start** Duke made a strong comeback yesterday and took out Louisville for its second win in two days and now gets a chance to defeat North Carolina following a loss to end the regular season. The Blue Devils won Thursday despite getting outshot 48.3 percent to 44.1 percent but were fortunate that the Cardinals missed 17 of 21 three-pointers and struggled down the stretch by not making a shot over the final 3:43 of the game. They obviously have a tough matchup once again and while the motivation will be high, the motivation for North Carolina is on another level. With Kansas losing to TCU yesterday, the Tar Heels could make a case for the overall No. 1 seed with an ACC Tournament title. Yesterday against the Hurricanes, the Tar Heels blew open a 34-31 game by shooting 53 percent from the floor, including six threes, after halftime and holding Miami to 30.0 percent shooting. Because of the blowout win, North Carolina was able to ease up late and that is significant playing with no rest while this will be the third game in three days for Duke. The Blue Devils are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win while going 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog of fewer than seven points while the Tar Heels are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games as a favorite. 10* (570) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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03-10-17 | Michigan State v. Minnesota | Top | 58-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
**Approx. 2:30 ET Start** We won with Michigan St. yesterday and it feels like once again that when the postseason comes along, the Spartans step it up and that is attributed to head coach Tom Izzo. The Spartans rolled over Penn St. and got the best draw in the quarterfinals facing a Minnesota team that not only has overachieved but they have a significant matchup advantage. The Gophers big men, specifically starting center Reggie Lynch, cannot stay out of foul trouble against Nick Ward and their attacking offense had trouble against Michigan St. in both meetings this season. Minnesota went 11-7 in the conference thanks to an eight-game winning streak prior to a season ending blowout loss against Wisconsin. Of those eight wins, six came against teams that will not be in the NCAA Tournament. Michigan St. played the toughest schedule of all Big Ten teams and this is time of season it pays off as losses early in the year against Arizona, Kentucky, Baylor and Duke only helps now in the postseason. 10* (519) Michigan St. Spartans |
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03-10-17 | St Bonaventure v. Rhode Island -4.5 | Top | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
**Approx. 2:30 ET Start** St. Bonaventure has had a solid season as it picked up its 20th win yesterday against Massachusetts but the body of work to get there has been suspect. The Bonnies have won 12 Atlantic Ten games including the victory yesterday but not one of those came against a team with an above .500 record in conference play. They are one of only three teams in the entire conference that has just one victory over a top 100 team as the Bonnies are 1-10 against such teams and overall have played the easiest schedule of all Atlantic Ten teams. Rhode Island was expected to contend for the conference title and finished just two games out, going 13-5 and 21-9 overall. Despite this, the Rams are not guaranteed of an at-large NCAA Tournament bid as they are currently the last team out so they need to make a run in this tournament meaning a loss here likely sends them to the NIT. They have won five straight games so they have momentum coming into Friday while the Bonnies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. 10* (528) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-10-17 | Georgia +10 v. Kentucky | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
**Approx. 1:00 ET Start** Georgia survived against Tennessee yesterday and now gets a third crack at Kentucky in a game it essentially has to win to make an argument at an NCAA Tournament bid. The Bulldogs came in as the No. 8 seed in the SEC Tournament but are one of six teams in the conference with an RPI in the top 50. The problem has been they have very few quality wins but they have been so close to at least having a few. Georgia lost to Kentucky twice this season but both came down to the final seconds and in addition to the Kentucky losses, it fell to Florida on the road in overtime and lost to South Carolina twice by a combined seven points. The Bulldogs got forward Yante Maten back, who is second on the team with 18.4 ppg, after missing four games and his presence is huge. Kentucky is the class of the SEC as evidenced by this line but it is again inflated because of who the Wildcats are and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. Georgia is 5-0 ATS as an underdog of 7.5 or more points while going 10-2 ATS this season away from home against teams with a winning record. 10* (553) Georgia Bulldogs |
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03-09-17 | San Diego State -1.5 v. Boise State | Top | 87-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
**Approx. 11:30 ET Start** One of the biggest busts of the season, not only in the MWC but in the entire country, was San Diego St. which was expected to win the conference. Instead, the Aztecs lost their first three conference games and while they won eight of their next 11 games, a closing 1-3 stretch sent them to a 9-9 record and in need of running the table in the MWC Tournament. Things were not looking good last night as they trailed by 21 points in the second half but something clicked and they went on a huge run and won by 10 points in overtime. The 21-point second half comeback is the largest comeback after intermission in the history of the program and that effort can vault them a long way. Closing the game has been an issue as in five of its nine league defeats, it owned a lead of at least 11 points. Last night, they closed the other way. Boise St. closed the season with a win over Air Force to finish 12-6 to grab the No. 3 seed. While it was a solid year, the Broncos won the games they were supposed to but did not play great against the better teams down the stretch as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (789) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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03-09-17 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +4 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
**Approx. 9:30 ET Start** Many are saying that Virginia is peaking at the right time as after its win yesterday, the Cavaliers have won four straight games. However, one of those came against NC State while two others came against a poor Pittsburgh team. While the win over North Carolina was impressive, it was a huge revenge game and Virginia played arguably its best game of the season. Now the Cavaliers come in as a surprisingly big favorite that finished ahead of them in the standings and it seems to be overpriced. Notre Dame lost its regular season finale at Louisville after six straight wins and seems poised to make another tournament run. The Irish lost at home to Virginia back in January which was their worst loss of the season so they will be out for some retribution from that. As a matter of fact, Notre Dame has lost five straight to the Cavaliers, not covering once, so have that contrarian revenge angle going as well. We expect a tight game this time around and the favorable price gives a ton of value to the underdog. The Irish have covered six of their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (718) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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03-09-17 | New Mexico +2.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
**Approx. 5:30 ET Start** 2017 is looking a lot like 2016 for Fresno St. and the Bulldogs hope they can repeat what they did a season ago. Fresno St. enters the 2017 MWC Championships on a season-long five-game winning streak. Last season, the Bulldogs ended the regular season on a six-game winning streak before winning the 2016 MWC Championship. Momentum is on their side right now but they get a tough matchup in their opener with New Mexico which is back at full strength. Senior forward Tim Williams, who is averaging 17.5 ppg, missed two games in December due to concussion protocol and seven in February due to a stress reaction on his left foot. He is back after playing the last game against San Diego St. and while he was out, other players stepped up in his absence which makes this a very deep team heading into the tournament. New Mexico has proven that it can be strong away from home as it became the first team in Mountain West history to take down San Diego St., Colorado St. and Boise St. on the road in a single season. 10* (785) New Mexico Lobos |
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03-09-17 | Penn State v. Michigan State -5 | Top | 51-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
**Approx. 2:30 ET Start** It was a pretty average season by Michigan St. standards but scheduling had a lot to do with that as it played the No. 15 ranked schedule in the nation. After a 4-4 start in the Big Ten, the Spartans won six of their next eight games including some quality wins and while they dropped their last two, both of those were by just three points. This young team has grown up a bunch since early season losses to Arizona, Kentucky, Baylor and Duke. Penn St. is coming off a taxing overtime win over Nebraska yesterday which snapped a five-game slide. The Nittany Lions will have a tough time regrouping for the revenge minded Spartans. The Spartans and Nittany Lions played once during the regular season, with the Nittany Lions winning, 72-63, back on Jan. 7 in a game played at The Palestra in Philadelphia. Michigan St. turned the ball over 17 times against the aggressive Nittany Lions and now that it is one-and-done season, it cannot afford that many missed opportunities on offense. 10* (722) Michigan St. Spartans |
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03-09-17 | Duke v. Louisville -2 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
**Approx. 2:30 ET Start** Duke was able to make a second half push against Clemson to pull out a second round win and now faces a much stiffer test with Louisville which comes in rested with four days off. The Blue Devils struggled in the first meeting in the ability to get shots off and that will be the Cardinals goal again as they will want to keep this one slow paced and win with their defense. The Cardinals are 14th in the nation in field goal percentage defense (.395), 11th in blocked shots (5.5 per game) and 14th in three-point field goal defense (.307) while sitting sixth in the nation in Ken Pomeroy's adjusted defensive efficiency. Louisville has been great as a favorite this season, winning 20 of 23 games while covering 15 of those and converting five of six on the season against the number when laying seven or fewer points. The Blue Devils are 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS win. 10* (714) Louisville Cardinals |
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03-08-17 | Washington State +10 v. Colorado | Top | 63-73 | Push | 0 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
**Approx. 9:00 ET Start** Two of the biggest disappointment square off in the first round of the Pac 12 Tournament and Colorado looks to be very overpriced here. The Buffaloes opened 0-7 within the conference but closed on an 8-3 run to gain some momentum to try and make a postseason run but six of those wins came at home and against some poor opposition. These teams split their two regular season meetings and while Colorado won the second meeting at home in blowout fashion, the line has been overadjusted here based on their second half of the conference season which as mentioned, it overrated. The Buffaloes have a significant home court advantage based on being used to the elevation but this is a below average team when playing outside of Boulder and they come down to the level of the completion. Washington St. opened 2-0 in the Pac 12 but it was downhill from there although the Cougars played well over the final two weeks with a couple of wins and a solid game against UCLA. Washington St. was 8-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog while the Buffaloes are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win. 10* (557) Washington St. Cougars |
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03-08-17 | Duquesne v. St. Louis +2.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
**Approx. 8:30 ET Start** The second game of the first round of the Atlantic Ten Tournament and the feeling here is that the wrong team is favored. St. Louis was picked to finish last in the conference but put together a solid run after a 1-7 start as the Billikens went a very respectable 5-6 over their final 11 games. Five of the losses came on the road however all were against teams above them in the conference standings. This was a very undervalued team throughout the season as St. Louis went 13-3 ATS over their last 16 games. Additionally, the Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Duquesne was also picked to finish near the bottom of the conference and the Dukes finished dead last with a 3-15 record. They lost 13 of their last 14 games so they come in with zero momentum and they were favored away from home only once and that resulted in an outright loss at St. Louis. The Billikens were 5-2 ATS this season as a single-digit underdog while the Dukes are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (568) St. Louis Billikens |
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03-08-17 | Charlotte v. UAB -6.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
**Approx. 6:30 ET Start** Game Three of the first round of the Conference-USA Tournament features Charlotte and UAB with the latter needing to run the table to make the Big Dance. While the Blazers were never a lock, they opened the conference season 7-2 and were well on their way to finish at or near the top as predicted but the wheels fell off with a 2-7 finish to fall into the No. 7 seed. This is a team that can make a run at the top seeds because this is a very veteran team as UAB's current roster has a total of 33 games of experience in Conference-USA tournament play, which is the most of any team in the league. Charlotte did not close well either as it finished on a 3-7 run over its final 10 games which included just one victory away from home. The 49ers lost by 13 points at UAB in the lone meeting this season and a big difference was they were manhandled on the boards and that is a significant matchup edge again tonight. The best aspect of course is that this game is being played on the Blazers home court which is a big edge in the early round as a lot of the other marginal school fan bases will not be traveling very well. The 49ers are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (536) UAB Blazers |
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03-07-17 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +1.5 | Top | 61-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Georgia Tech won for us exactly a week ago in this same matchup but unfortunately for the Yellow Jackets, they lost next time out in Syracuse putting some pressure on them this week. Georgia Tech is hanging on by a thread to make the NCAA Tournament as it is currently one of the last four teams out making this a must-win game and likely tomorrow as well. The Yellow Jackets are 2-4 in their last six games including an additional pair of road losses in Miami and Notre Dame and the one home loss against NC State really hurt them. Pittsburgh was close to the bubble as well but a run of four straight losses to end the regular season doomed the Panthers. They will be out to play spoiler but it has been a huge disappointment this season so the energy level tonight may be light. The feeling here is that the wrong ream is favored with a lot of that based on name and not what is at stake. The Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. 10* (712) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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03-05-17 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -7.5 | Top | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
At one point, Wisconsin was a clear top 10 team and shooting for a No. 2 seed and possibly even a No. 1 but the Badgers have fallen on hard times and are in need of something big before the Big Ten Tournament. Wisconsin has lost three straight games and five of its last six to fall into a tie for third place in the conference. The Badgers are coming off a last second loss against Iowa last time out but still sit at 14-2 at home and they have won 20 of their last 22 games at the Kohl Center. The Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a winning road record. Minnesota has been on the opposite type of run as it has won eight straight games to solidify its spot in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. While the run has been solid, the schedule has played a role as only two of those victories are against teams that will be part of the Big Dance. Four of the last five wins took place at home and the Gophers bring in an average 5-4 road record and the spot and situation are not good as the Gophers are 3-18 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (836) Wisconsin Badgers |
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03-04-17 | Duke v. North Carolina -6.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
After holding Virginia to a season low 41 points in the first meeting this season, North Carolina was held to a season low 43 points against the Cavaliers in its last game. It will be out to bounce back from that but more importantly, it will be out to avenge a loss at Duke in the first meeting this season as well as guarantee an outright ACC regular season championship. The Tar Heels lead Notre Dame by one game and the Irish are at Louisville earlier in the day so the it might already be decided but that is not going to take away any motivation for this one. The Blue Devils are coming off a win at home against Florida St. which snapped a two-game losing streak which came after winning seven straight. It has been an up and down season for Duke and it has dropped five of its eight ACC road games and now comes the biggest test of them all. Motivation will be high on the Blue Devils side as well but North Carolina is one of eight teams in the country to be undefeated at home and it wants to keep that intact. North Carolina has played Duke seven previous times under Roy Williams in the final game of the regular season with first place in the ACC at stake and it is a perfect 7-0. 10* (628) North Carolina Tar Heels |
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03-04-17 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech -2 | Top | 89-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Virginia Tech will be making its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2007 thanks to a 10-7 record in the ACC and a loss here would match their conference record from last season and it did not get an invite which shows how strong of a season it has been this year. The Hokies have four wins against the top 50 and they bring in a 15-1 record at home to Senior Day. They have quality wins here against Duke, Syracuse, Virginia and Miami and the lone home defeat came against Notre Dame by just five points and going back to last season, they have won 20 of their last 21 home games. The Hokies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Wake Forest could use a win to punch a ticket into the Big Dance as it is one of the last four teams in heading into the weekend. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games including a home upset win over Louisville on Wednesday. Those were both at home however where Wake Forest is 6-3 in the ACC but on the road, it is 2-6 with the win coming against Boston College and NC State which are a combined 6-29 in the conference. The Demon Deacons are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up win. 10* (594) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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03-04-17 | Xavier -7 v. DePaul | Top | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
We played on Xavier is it last home game of the season and it fell behind early because of a hot shooting Marquette team, which finished hitting 61.1 percent from the floor, and sent the Musketeers to their sixth straight loss. They were an NCAA Tournament lock a month ago but that is no longer the case as they are teetering on the bubble and can ill afford another loss especially against an opponent like this. This is the longest losing streak for Xavier since 1982 and while laying a big number on the road is never easy, DePaul has very little home court advantage. The Blue Demons were picked to finish last in the Big East and they have not disappointed as they come in at 2-15 with those two wins coming by a combined three points. To their credit, they have had a share of close losses here but three of their last four home losses have been by at least 13 points. We are getting some value in this number because of the Xavier losing streak as well as the fact that DePaul has covered five straight games. Going back, the Musketeers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a losing home record. 10* (535) Xavier Musketeers |
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03-04-17 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -3.5 | Top | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
The bubble watch is on for many teams that need to win and make some conference tournament runs to make it to the Big Dance and one of those is Kansas St. The Wildcats are on the outside looking in despite a 7-10 record in the Big XII but they actually have a relatively high RPI as they possess three wins over top 50 teams. Kansas St. is 10-5 at home but this record includes four straight losses so it will be out to snap that streak in its final home game of the season. Texas Tech was on the bubble for a while but losses in five of its last six games has knocked the Red Raiders out and a championship in the Big XII Tournament is the only way they will get in. Part of the issue has been the inability to win on the road as Texas Tech is 1-8 on the highway including a winless 0-8 record in the conference. A loss by the Wildcats will knock them completely out of the conversation and they will be forced to take the entire Big XII Tournament which is certainly a longshot. The home team has dominated this series over the years and that continues this Saturday on Senior Day in Manhattan. 10* (532) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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03-03-17 | Pacific -4 v. Pepperdine | Top | 89-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Pepperdine was supposed to take a step forward this season after two straight 18-win seasons but instead, it took a couple steps back as it heads into the WCC Tournament with just nine wins overall. The Waves have lost their last four games which came after winning three straight games but the wind came out of their sails right after their winning streak with the loss of forward Chris Reyes who is one of three players averaging double-digits in scoring. After Reyes went down, Pepperdine has been outscored by 118 points over three-plus games. Pacific has not had much better success this season as it has just one more win overall and actually finished with one fewer victory in the conference. The Tigers have lost three straight games but were able to cover all of those as they cashed a huge number against Gonzaga while their last two losses came by a point apiece against Santa Clara and Loyola-Marymount. Overall, five WCC losses came by five points or less and they head into the tournament in much better shape. Pepperdine is 4-15 ATS this season as an underdog of three points or more and the Tigers have had similar results with the favorite winning 22 of 28 lined games this season. 10* (879) Pacific Tigers |
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03-03-17 | Loyola-Chicago -3 v. Southern Illinois | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
Loyola-Chicago was the most snake bit team during the regular season and there should be plenty of motivation for the Ramblers heading into the MVC Tournament. They finished 8-10 but it could have and should have been a lot better. Of those 10 losses, six came by four points or less, two coming in overtime, including four defeats by two points or less. Conversely, of the eight wins, six were by double-digits. To show how unfortunate they were, they outscored opponents by 6.9 ppg while Illinois St., which finished the season 17-1, outscored opponents by just 8.5 ppg. Loyola is 0-8 this season in games decided by five points or less and is tied for seventh in the nation with six losses by three points or less. Two of the close losses came against Southern Illinois, including a two-point loss in the regular season finale, so there is the revenge factor as well. The Salukis finished the regular season with a .500 record but were outscored on the season and they fall into the situation of going against teams in conference tournaments trying to defeat the same team for a third time. The Ramblers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (865) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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03-02-17 | Hawaii v. UC-Davis -5.5 | Top | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
UC Davis is one of eight teams in the country that possess an undefeated record at home and that is on the line tonight. The Aggies are one win away from posting its second undefeated home record in the last three seasons, and providing the perfect ending for five graduating seniors, J.T. Adenrele, Darius Graham, Brynton Lemar, Georgi Funtarov and Lawrence White. They are a half-game behind Cal Irvine for first place in the Big West Conference and that is where they head on Saturday so a loss here means they will not be able to win the conference outright. Hawaii comes in riding a two-game winning streak and it is coming off its final home game of the season with an overtime win over CS Fullerton. The final home game is a guarantee considering the Warriors are ineligible for the postseason so they are just playing out the string in these final two games. They are 3-3 on the road but the three wins came against three of the four bottom teams in the conference and going back, the Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Meanwhile, the Aggies are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (746) UC Davis Aggies |
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03-02-17 | Charlotte v. Texas-San Antonio -1 | Top | 76-75 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a pretty big weekend for UTSA as it can finish as high as seventh in the C-USA standings with a pair of victories and some help this week. The Roadrunners are 7-9 in Conference-USA so getting to .500 would be a huge accomplishment for a team that was picked to finish dead last in the conference following a 5-27 record last season. They are getting the job done at home as they are 10-2 with the two losses coming against Middle Tennessee St. and Louisiana Tech which are a combined 28-5 in the conference. Following a four-game roadtrip, the Roadrunners are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. It has been just the opposite for Charlotte on the road as it is 2-8 with one win coming in the non-conference slate over Elon and its lone conference win came against 2-14 North Texas. Additionally, only one of its conference losses came by fewer than 13 points. The 49ers just came off their final home game of the season which resulted in a loss so this is a tough spot to get up for and it is a horrible spot as they are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (722) UTSA Roadrunners |
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03-01-17 | Marquette v. Xavier -3 | Top | 95-84 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
We played on and lost with Xavier on Sunday as the Musketeers had every chance to pull away and win the game but turned the ball over too many times late in the game and thus, were outscored 19-8 to end the game. They have lost two straight home games for the first time since 2011 and with this being the final home game of the season, we will be a solid bounce back effort to stop that skid as well as an overall five-game losing streak. Included in that is a 22-point loss at Marquette so there is the revenge factor as well. The Musketeers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Marquette is just 3-6 on the road this season so it could use another win on the highway to bolster a possible berth into the NCAA Tournament but this is not the place to do it. The Golden Eagles host Creighton in their final game of the season so there is still a chance after this not to mention the Big East Tournament. The problem they are caching Xavier at the wrong place at the wrong time and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (552) Xavier Musketeers |
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03-01-17 | Michigan v. Northwestern | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
While Northwestern is still pretty much guaranteed to make its first ever NCAA Tournament appearance, the Wildcats are not doing themselves any favors to make it a lock. They have lost five of their last seven games 9-7 in the Big Ten and they are currently projected as a No. 10 seed which seems pretty safe but losing their final two games as well as their first game in the Big Ten Tournament will put the decision in the hands of the committee. That is something they do not want so a win here is imperative with the final game of the season coming against Purdue. The Wildcats are 13-3 at home and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Michigan has clawed its way into the right side of the NCAA Tournament bubble thanks to five wins over its last six games including big victories over Michigan St., Wisconsin and Purdue but those all came at home where it is 15-3. The Wolverines played their final home game and won against Purdue so it will be tough to get up here and they 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (530) Northwestern Wildcats |
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02-28-17 | Fresno State v. Boise State -4.5 | Top | 74-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
While winning the Mountain West Conference is a stretch, Boise St. is still mathematically alive as it sits a game behind Colorado St. and Nevada who face off against each other in the final game of the season. The Broncos are coming off a win over San Jose St. on Saturday to make it six wins over their last eight games including their fourth straight home win where they are 11-2 on the season and have won 64 of their last 74. While winning the conference may be a stretch, Boise St. currently sits in third place which is a huge spot as it avoids the No. 4-No. 5 matchup in the first round of the upcoming MWC Tournament and a win here guarantees at least a No. 3 spot. The Broncos are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of fewer than seven points. Fresno St. has won three straight games to move two games over .500 in the conference and could be peaking at the right time similar to last year when it made a run into the NCAA Tournament. This team has been much more inconsistent however and the Bulldogs have struggled on the road for the most part, going just 5-9 including a 2-6 record in the conference. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (754) Boise St. Broncos |
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02-28-17 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -2 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Georgia Tech is hanging on by a thread to make the NCAA Tournament as it is currently one of the last four teams out meaning it will have to likely win out as well as win a game or two in the upcoming ACC Tournament. The Yellow Jackets are 1-3 in their last four games including a pair of road losses in Miami and Notre Dame and the one home loss against NC State really hurt them and they cannot lose another home game against a non-quality opponent. This is the last home game of the season so coupled with the must win scenario, Georgia Tech is in a great spot laying a short number. Four home wins against ACC teams heading to the tournament shows they can get it done here. Pittsburgh has had a very rough season but it was expected. The Panthers are a game over .500 but are just 4-12 in the ACC including a 1-6 record on the road and that win came against 2-14 Boston College. They are coming off their final home game of the season on Saturday which resulted in a blowout loss against North Carolina so they are now just playing out the string. The Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. 10* (748) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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02-28-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Central Michigan +2 | Top | 109-81 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is the final home game of the season for Central Michigan which was looking good to possibly steal the MAC West but has dropped five straight games to fall into a tie for last place in the division. The losing run also includes five straight losses against the number and that is a big reason the Chippewas are home underdogs here despite playing a team with a losing record overall and the same record in the conference. This is likely the final home game for NCAA leading scorer Marcus Keene who is a junior but is projected to be a second round pick in the upcoming NBA Draft. Central Michigan will be out to avoid a four-game home losing streak before hitting the road to end the season. The Chippewas are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Eastern Michigan rolled on Saturday over Northern Illinois which snapped a six-game losing streak as well as a seven-game ATS losing skid. The road has been a real problem however as the Eagles are 4-10 overall including four straight losses. Additionally, the Chippewas will be out to avenge a 22-point loss against Eastern Michigan from last month. 10* (730) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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02-27-17 | North Carolina v. Virginia +3.5 | Top | 43-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
North Carolina has won four straight games since a loss at Duke to move to 25-5 overall and it has clinched at least a share of the regular-season ACC championship with a 13-3 record in conference play. The Tar Heels have already clinched the No. 1 seed in the upcoming ACC Tournament so this game means little at this point and with a revenge game against Duke on deck in its final home game, it will be hard for them not to be looking ahead to that game. Virginia snapped a four-game slide with a win over NC State on Saturday to improve to 9-7 in the conference to move into a tie for seventh place in the loaded ACC. Should the Cavaliers win out, they have a shot of getting into the top four which comes with a double-bye but they will need some help along the way. They are 10-4 at home with three losses coming within the conference but one came in overtime, another by two points to Florida St. and the last coming against Duke which came two days after an excruciating overtime loss against rival Virginia Tech by a bucket. Virginia lost at North Carolina just over a week ago as it was held to a season low 41 points and the top defense in the nation would love to return that favor tonight. The Tar Heels are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (516) Virginia Cavaliers |
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02-26-17 | Butler v. Xavier +2 | Top | 88-79 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Butler is coming off an upset win at Villanova and the Bulldogs have handed the Wildcats two of their three losses this season so they certainly want no part of the Bulldogs come Big East Tournament time. Butler improved to 22-6 overall including 11-5 in the conference to remain in second place, a spot it is likely to stay in come the end of the regular season. After that is where it gets really interesting. Six teams are within two games of each other and only two of those teams will be locking down an extra day off in the tournament which comes with possessing a No. 1 though No. 4 seed. Xavier is in the mix as it sits in the No. 4 slot but is also just a half-game out of the No. 5 spot. The Musketeers have lost four straight games starting with a home loss against Villanova and then dropping three straight on the road. Xavier is 12-2 at home, the other loss coming against Creighton, so it will have to protect its home court here to avoid a second straight home loss for the first time since December of 2011. Xavier has won five straight games at home in this series and going back, the Musketeers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (836) Xavier Musketeers |
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02-26-17 | Middle Tennessee v. UAB +6 | Top | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
UAB was picked to finish second in Conference-USA but that will not be happening and now the Blazers goal is to get back into the top four to receive a first round bye in the upcoming conference tournament. They opened C-USA play with a loss at Middle Tennessee St. before running off five straight wins but is has been an up and down ride since then as UAB has gone just 3-6 over its last nine games. However, five of those losses came on the road (0-5) so a return home here is big as the Blazers are 10-3 on their home floor and this is the start of a three-game homestand to close out the season and UAB has not lost consecutive games at home since 2014. Middle Tennessee wrapped up the regular season championship with a win at Marshall last Saturday and while it can still finish with the same record as Louisiana Tech, it owns the tiebreakers and while closing the season against 6-10 FAU and 2-14 FIU. We do not see a ton of motivation on the side of the Blue Raiders considering this being their last true road game of the season and for what little is at stake. It is much more meaningful to the Blazers who will also be out for revenge after being held to a season low 49 points in the first meeting. The Blazers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (822) UAB Blazers |
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02-25-17 | Long Beach State v. UC-Davis -4.5 | Top | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
UC Davis is tied with UC Irvine atop the Big West Conference and the Aggies travel to face the anteaters in the regular season finale so the next two games are very important to make that last game have any meaning. UC Davis defeated Northridge in its last game which halted a two-game slide but both of those were on the road including an overtime loss at Long Beach St which sets up a nice revenge spot here. The Aggies are a perfect 9-0 at home, winning those games by an average of 12.5 ppg and 11 of those victories have been by at least nine points. The 49ers are just two games out of first place but they are coming off an awful loss at home against 4-9 Cal Poly which was just their second home loss of the season. The road has been the problem as they are 3-14 and while a lot of those came early on against powerhouses to try and get them ready for conference action, it has backfired. The 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (656) UC Davis Aggies |
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02-25-17 | Iowa v. Maryland -7 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
After opening the season 20-2, Maryland has hit a rough patch as it has dropped four of its last six games including two in a row. The first one was a loss at Wisconsin which was expected but the last one came at home against Minnesota by 14 points and that one was certainly uncalled for. The Terrapins are now 10-5 in the Big Ten which is still good for solo third place so winning out will keep them in that spot and avoid a drop all the way down to sixth place in the conference. Iowa is coming off an overtime win at home over Indiana which snapped a three-game slide and the Hawkeyes are just playing spoiler at this point as they knocked the Hoosiers outside the bubble. While they have been solid at home, they have been dreadful on the road, going just 1-7 with the lone victory coming against 2-14 Rutgers. All but one of the seven road losses have been by double-digits and they are getting outscored by over 11 ppg on the highway. Going back, the Hawkeyes are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Terrapins are 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (572) Maryland Terrapins |
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02-25-17 | West Virginia v. TCU +4.5 | Top | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
TCU hung around with Kansas for a half but eventually ran out of gas as it lost by 19 points in Lawrence and saw its losing streak reach four games. Three of those came on the road and the other came at home against Oklahoma St. and all four losses were against teams heading to the NCAA Tournament. The Horned Frogs will be facing another tournament bounce team on Saturday and an upset win here will more than likely secure their own berth into the Big Dance despite a losing conference record. Their two other home conference losses came against Baylor and Kansas and both were competitive games until the end so they can hold their own again here. West Virginia is just 4-2 in February with three wins coming against teams not heading to the tournament and the fourth coming against Texas Tech in overtime and the Red Raiders are still a bubble team as well. The Mountaineers are 5-3 on the road and could once again be without second leading scorer Esa Ahmad who was injured two games back. The Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (522) TCU Horned Frogs |
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02-25-17 | Bradley v. Drake -3 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
This is the final regular season game for Bradley and Drake as they look to position themselves for the final four seedings in the upcoming MVC Tournament. The Bulldogs are tied with Evansville and Indiana St., who are also playing each other this Saturday, for eighth place so a win here guarantees they will not be the lowest seed. They have dropped eight straight games with half of those coming on the road and three of the four coming at home against the top three teams in the conference. The other loss was just a three-point setback against Missouri St. Drake is 6-8 at home which is nothing great but this is the last home game of the season and it comes in a revenge game. Bradley has won its last two games but both of those came at home and on the season, the Braves are 2-10 on the road including a 1-7 record within the conference. Only one of those losses was a single-digit loss and they are getting outscored by nearly 14 ppg on the road. The Braves are 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 games following a straight up win while the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (544) Drake Bulldogs |
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02-25-17 | Texas Tech +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
Texas Tech has seen its NCAA Tournament hopes take a hit over the last week with a pair of overtime losses against West Virginia and Iowa St. The Red Raiders are now just 5-10 in the conference but they still have a relatively high RPI thanks to a pair of quality wins over West Virginia and Baylor while suffering some tough defeats. They have lost two other games by one point and another two games by four points so their record could be a lot better had they been able to close out some of these close games. They have a shot at winning out and then making a small run in the Big XII Tournament to enhance their chances. Oklahoma St. has been playing some of the best basketball in the conference as its 9-3 record over the last 12 games is second best only to Kansas. The schedule has been on the Cowboys side for sure though as seven of those conference wins have come against teams that are either in the bubble or have no chance of making the Big Dance. While road revenge is not a huge angle to go after, Texas Tech will be out to avenge it biggest conference loss of the season and one of only three losses at home. The Red Raiders have covered six of their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (549) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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02-25-17 | Florida State v. Clemson -1 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
Clemson has had this game circled for close to three weeks as it went to Tallahassee and got hammered by Florida St. 109-61. That has sent the Tigers on a 1-5 downward spiral yet despite being just 4-11 in the ACC, they are still considered a bubble team. That shows how bad the rest of the country is right now as far as average teams go and Clemson does deserve some credit despite this recent skid. Three of their last four losses have come by two points or less while the other came at Miami by just six points so the Tigers have been more than competitive. Florida St. bounced back from a pair of road losses with a win over Boston College which is far from impressive. The Seminoles have lost five of their last six road games and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. This is a must win for Clemson to have any shot at the TNCAA Tournament as the final two games are against NC State and Boston College so no quality wins would come from those. 10* (520) Clemson Tigers |
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02-23-17 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine +19 | Top | 78-49 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
St. Mary's has won two straight games following its second loss of the season to Gonzaga and because of the Bulldogs win last weekend, the Gaels are officially eliminated from winning the West Coast regular season title. There is not a whole lot of incentive for them now as the goal is to stay healthy and make a run at Gonzaga in the West Coast Conference Tournament. This is the final road game of the season for St. Mary's making its game on Saturday at home against Santa Clara is its final home game which is something to look ahead to. The Gaels are now laying a monster number on the road which is unjustified in this spot. Pepperdine is coming off a three-game roadtrip where it lost all three games to fall to 1-12 on the road for the season. The Waves are now back home for the weekend to play their final two home games and they are a much better 7-5 at home including a solid win over BYU in their last home game. They were getting nine points in that game and it is questionable whether or not the Gales should be favored by 10 points more. The Waves are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (554) Pepperdine Waves |
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02-23-17 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
After a pair of losses last week, Wisconsin bounced back with a victory over Maryland at home on Sunday to remain a half-game behind Purdue for first place in the Big Ten. While the Badgers have had their share if blowout victories, they have also been involved in closer than anticipated games as three wins have come by five points or less while another three have come in overtime. One of the big victories was against Ohio St. by 23 points which sets the Buckeyes up for a payback situation tonight. Ohio St. is a disappointing 5-10 in the conference and just the opposite of Wisconsin, it has suffered some close losses along the way. Of those 10 defeats, four have come by five points or less including three by just one possession. All three of those were at home and the only other home conference loss was against Maryland by only six points in a game it was down by just a point with two minutes left. The Buckeyes covered their only game this season as a home underdog while the Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. Take advantage of Ohio St. getting its biggest home underdog line of the season. 10* (548) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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02-23-17 | UCLA v. Arizona State +11.5 | Top | 87-75 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
UCLA is one of three Pac 12 teams ranked in the top six in the nation but that will change by the end of the weekend and that actually affects this game. The Bruins have a date with Arizona on Saturday which will go a long way in deciding the Pac 12 title and on top of it, they will be out for some payback following an 11-point home loss against the Wildcats last month so a lookahead to that is inevitable. UCLA is also coming off a 32-point annihilation of rival USC which capped a three-game homestand which equals a letdown-lookahead spot. Arizona St. has been pretty average this season as it has lost games it had no business losing but on the flip side, it has played some big games against solid opposition. The Sun Devils suffered a pair of road losses at USC and Oregon by just four points combined so when motivated, they can play with the best. They have won two of five games outright as home underdogs and are now catching a very overinflated number here. Going back, the Bruins are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a road favorite while the Sun Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (546) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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02-23-17 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas +10.5 | Top | 85-67 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
North Texas and Louisiana Tech are on opposite ends of the conference standings so clearly the Bulldogs are the better team but laying this number on the road is overaggressive given the situation. They are riding a six-game winning streak including a pair of home wins over the Florida teams last week and while they are 14-2 at home, they are just 5-6 on the road and they have failed to cover their last four games on the highway. Now they are laying double-digits with a big game at Rice on deck. North Texas is one of four teams in the conference that possess either no wins or one win on the road but all four teams are much different on their home floors. The Mean Green are 7-9 at home which is certainly nothing special but they have suffered some tough losses here. They are 1-6 in the conference but that includes a 5-2 ATS mark as three of those losses came by a possession or in overtime and the schedule has been brutal. This is the sixth home game against the top seven teams in the conference and they have certainly held their own. Going back, the Mean Green are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. 10* (544) North Texas Mean Green |
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02-23-17 | Western Kentucky v. Charlotte -3.5 | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Western Kentucky is coming off a tough three-game homestand where it faced three of the top seven teams in Conference-USA and went just 1-2 but it did conclude with an upset win over UAB on Sunday. Now the Hilltoppers hit the road where they have not been very good by posting a 4-10 record. Three of those wins have been within the conference but all three of those came against teams with losing records where none of the teams has reached double-digit victories overall. Charlotte is certainly no juggernaut but it returns home following a three-game roadtrip where it went 0-3 and like the Hilltoppers, it was a tough stretch as all three games came against the top seven teams in the conference. The big difference though is the 49ers are now home which is a big edge as they are 9-4 overall including wins in three of their last four. Charlotte has won eight of nine games this season when favored and on the season, the favorite is 20-3 in its 23 lined games. Going back, the Hilltoppers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while the 49ers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite. 10* (524) Charlotte 49ers |
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02-22-17 | Oregon v. California +4.5 | Top | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
We won with Oregon on Saturday as it annihilated Colorado at home by 28 points thanks to a 29-2 run late in the first half that put the game away early. That was the final home game of the season for the Ducks which won their 42nd consecutive home game and will carry that streak into next season. Now Oregon must try to get off the emotional high from that game as it hits the road for the final three games of the regular season where it is a modest 4-3. While the Ducks have been solid as road favorites, those games have come against much inferior competition. California has quietly put together a very solid season as it is 18-8 overall including a 9-5 record in the conference which looks to be good enough at this point for an at-large big into the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Bears are coming off a three-game road trip where they went 1-2 including losses in the final two games but are back home where they have a six-game winning streak and their only home conference loss came by just five points against Arizona in the Pac 12 opener. Revenge will certainly on the table as well as California has not forgotten the 23-point loss in Eugene back in January which is by far its worst loss of the season. 10* (744) California Golden Bears |
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02-22-17 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest -5 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Somehow Pittsburgh is still a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament despite a 4-10 record in the ACC. The Panthers are only two and a half games out of last place in the conference yet as of the most recent bracket projections, they are just the seventh team out. Making the Big Dance will take a minor miracle so while motivation will be prevalent, getting the job done on the road will be a task where they are 2-5 on the season. Pittsburgh is coming off a home upset against Florida St. on Saturday which closed a three-game homestand and its only ACC road win was at 2-13 Boston College. Wake Forest is also on the bubble but the Demon Deacons have a much better outlook as they are just two games out of seventh place following a pair of road losses last week. Wake Forest is 4-3 at home in the ACC with a pair of losses coming against Duke and North Carolina and on the season, it is 7-3 ATS at home against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Demon Deacons are 8-3 ATS following a loss while going 7-2 ATS as favorites of fewer than 15 points. Going back, the Panthers are 14-38-1 ATS in their last 53 games following an ATS win. 10* (716) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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02-22-17 | Duke v. Syracuse +4 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Duke has caught fire and is arguably the best team in the ACC right now as it trails North Carolina by just one game for the top spot. The Blue Devils have won seven straight games and while a road win over Virginia was very impressive, four of the last five games have taken place at home. Overall, they are just 4-3 on the road and going back, the Blue Devils are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. This is a huge game for Syracuse as its streaky season continues and right now it is going in the wrong direction. The Orange opened 3-4 in the ACC but then went on win five straight games including impressive victories over Florida St. and Virginia. However, they have dropped three straight games including a pair of losses against Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech which hurt their NCAA Tournament chances but those were both on the road. The lone home loss came against Louisville in overtime which snapped a streak of six straight ACC home wins and going back to last season, they are 12-2 in their last 14 conference home games. Syracuse is 7-3 ATS at home this season against winning teams while going 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (724) Syracuse Orange |
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02-21-17 | Colorado State v. New Mexico -2.5 | Top | 68-56 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
We played against New Mexico on Saturday as it went to Fresno St. and had its two-game winning streak snapped to fall to 9-6 in the Mountain West Conference. The Lobos have a chance to move within a game of first place with a victory but they are two back in the loss column with just three games left so winning the conference is out of the question but staying in the fourth spot is ideal for the upcoming conference tournament. They have been solid this season following a loss as they have won eight of 10 games after a loss and heading home here is big as they are 10-3 at The Pit this season. Colorado St. is tied for first place in the MWC at 10-4 following its fourth straight win on Saturday over Wyoming. Three of those four have come against losing teams however and only two of its 10 overall conference wins have been against winning teams. The Rams are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points while the Lobos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Look for another bounce back win for the New Mexico. 10* (556) New Mexico Lobos |
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02-21-17 | Northwestern -1.5 v. Illinois | Top | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Northwestern may have been caught looking ahead to this game as it narrowly escaped at home against Rutgers. The lookahead aspect is due to this being an underrated rivalry with this being the 174th meeting and the fact the Wildcats were upset at home against Illinois in the first meeting. Northwestern has just three losses with all five regular starters in the lineup and those have come by a combined 10 points against Butler; Notre Dame and Minnesota. The Wildcats were without leading scorer Scottie Lindsey in the first meeting so it is a different dynamic this time around. Illinois is coming off an upset win at Iowa for just its second road win of the season and it has not fared much better at home, going just 1-4 over its last five home games. While the win over the Hawkeyes was nice, winning a second straight conference game will not be easy as the Illini have lost nine straight regular season games following a Big Ten win. The Wildcats are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of fewer than seven points while the Fighting Illini are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (543) Northwestern Wildcats |
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02-21-17 | Davidson v. Richmond | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a situation where the wrong team is favored and in some cases based on the line, the home team should be more than a pickem. Davidson is riding a two-game winning streak yet is overvalued in this spot and a lot of that is based on name as the Wildcats have been a very public team over the years. They are 5-5 on the road but that comes down to what teams they have played and within the Atlantic Ten they are 0-2 against winning teams. Overall, of the seven Davidson conference wins, only one has come against a team with a winning record and overall it is 1-5 against teams above .500. Richmond is tied with Rhode Island for third place in the Atlantic Ten Conference and while it has the better RPI in this matchup, the Spiders are undervalued. They have lost two straight games which is just the third time all season they have dropped consecutive games and have yet to run that skid into three games. Richmond has five conference losses all of which have been against teams that are above .500 in the A-10 and the Spiders have won seven of 10 games this season following a loss. 10* (538) Richmond Spiders |
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02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 82-80 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
The season comes down to the final four games for Texas Tech as it remains on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament following a double-overtime loss at West Virginia on Saturday. The Red Raiders fell to 17-10 overall including a 5-9 record in the Big XII but hope is not lost as they own two wins over the top 50 of the RPI and that is only one less than Oklahoma St., Iowa St. and Kansas St. which are all slated to make the Big Dance. Texas Tech returns home where it is 15-2 with one of those losses coming against Kansas last week by just a point. Iowa St. has been having a very solid season with some strong quality wins and some close losses against elite opposition. The Cyclones have won three straight games to move to 9-5 in the conference which is good for a tie for second place with Baylor and West Virginia so this is a big game for them as well. They are just 4-5 on the road however with some poor losses at Texas and Vanderbilt. The home team is 4-1 ATS over the last five meetings including an Iowa St. cover earlier this year which sets up a revenge situation and the Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Additionally, they are 7-2 straight up and ATS following a loss this season. 10* (716) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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02-19-17 | Georgetown v. Creighton -6.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It has been a rough stretch since late January for Creighton as it is 3-4 over its last seven games with two of those wins coming against DePaul which is 1-12 in the Big East. The Bluejays were 18-1 prior to that and were being talked of as a sleeper Final Four team and it comes as no surprise that this recent seven-game run coincides with senior point guard Maurice Watson Jr. being out of the lineup. They struggled from long range when he first went down but the Bluejays have regained their shooting stroke in the last four games, draining 50-of-97 three-point shots (51.5 percent). That stretch started not long after a dreadful 1-for-18 showing from long-range at Georgetown on January 25th. They lost that game to the Hoyas by 20 points which is easily their worst loss of the season so payback is in store. Georgetown has been up and down all season and is coming off a revenge win over Marquette at home last Saturday which snapped a two-game slide but the Hoyas are 4-8 ATS this season following a win and they have failed to cover three straight games in the Big East this season. Creighton is 3-1 straight up and ATS following a loss this season with those three victories coming by 13, 17 and 35 points. 10* (858) Creighton Bluejays |
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02-18-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Marshall +4 | Top | 97-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee St. is the class of Conference-USA as it has compiled a 13-1 record to add to its 23-4 record overall. The Blue Raiders have won three straight games following a blowout win at Western Kentucky on Thursday. They are now 6-1 on the road in the conference but five of those wins have come against teams currently under .500 in C-USA. The two games against teams with winning conference records resulted in a loss at UTEP and a win at Rice by just three points. Going back, the Blue Raiders are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Marshall easily took care of UAB at home on Thursday to improve to 12-1 at home and is now tied for third place in the conference with an 8-5 record. The won over UAB was even more impressive as second leading scorer Stevie Browning played only 20 minutes with a balky back so if he is not 100 percent, it should not affect this team much. The Thundering Herd will be out to avenge a12-point loss earlier in the season and they are now 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (604) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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02-18-17 | New Mexico v. Fresno State -2.5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show |
Fresno St. made a magical run toward the end of last season as it won its final six regular season games and then won three games in three days in the MWC Tournament to make its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2001. It will take another similar run to made it back but the talent is there to give it another shot. The Bulldogs are coming off a win against San Jose St. on Wednesday which snapped a three-game skid to improve to 7-7 in the conference and of those seven losses, four have been decided in the final minute. One of those came at New Mexico in the conference opener back in December and Fresno St. will be out to avenge that and improve upon its 11-2 record at home. New Mexico is a victory away from matching its win total from last season following a home win over Boise St. The Lobos are now 9-5 in the conference and do have some solid road wins but none have come against teams with a similar or better home record than that of the Bulldogs. Overall, they are 5-5 on the road but they are just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win while the Bulldogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. 10* (600) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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02-18-17 | Colorado v. Oregon -11 | Top | 73-101 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
Oregon remains a game out of first place in the Pac 12 as it improved to 12-2 with a very impressive win over Utah on Thursday. The Ducks are now 16-0 at home this season and have won 41 consecutive games at Matthew Knight Arena. They have had this game circled for three weeks as they went to Colorado and were upended by nine points which snapped their 17-game winning streak and gave them their first conference loss of the season. Not only will Oregon be out for payback, but this is the final home game of the season where it will be honoring three outgoing seniors. The Buffaloes have completely turned their season around as after a 0-7 start in the Pac 12, they have won six of their last seven games. The Oregon win was obviously the big one and there have been no other impressive victories as the other five have come against teams that have won no more than four conference games and are a combined 10-45 in the Pac 12. The only road game against a winning team resulted in an 11-point loss at California and going back, the Buffaloes are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. 10* (556) Oregon Ducks |
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02-18-17 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -11 | Top | 74-83 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
West Virginia opened the season 15-2 but it has been somewhat inconsistent since then as it has won just five of its last nine games. The Mountaineers are in a great spot on Saturday however as they will be out to bounce back from a tough loss at Kansas on Monday night in overtime where they blew a 14-point lead with 2:58 remaining. They will also be out to avenge a loss at Texas Tech in overtime which was their first conference loss of the season. This is their third revenge game of the season and they got their payback both times in the first two against Oklahoma and Kansas St. The Red Raiders meanwhile are coming off a home upset over Baylor which came right after losing at home to Kansas by a single point just two days earlier. That is hard stretch to recover from and hitting the road against a team out for serious payback is not ideal. Texas Tech is 4-2 at home in the conference but hitting the highway has not been kind as it is 0-6 on the Big XII Road and going back, it is just 5-36 in its last 41 conference road games. Laying a number this size is not an issue with all of the situations in play here. The Mountaineers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss while the Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. 10* (542) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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