Free NBA Hoops Pick: Thunder vs Nuggets Lines
Looking for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets free plays? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Nuggets on Tuesday April 4, 2016 at the Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
(53-24) Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets (32-46)
Date: Tuesday April 5
Time: 6:00 PM EST
Venue: Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado
NBA Moneyline Odds: OFF
NBA Betting Odds: Denver +8.5
NBA Betting Total: 216.5
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The Oklahoma City Thunder are a virtual lock for the No. 3 seed out West, while the Denver Nuggets are playing for ping pong balls, having been mathematically eliminated from the NBA playoffs.
The last time these two faced off, it was OKC that walked away with a 110-104 victory. The Thunder have won the three matchups against Denver this season, the other two by double-digits in high-scoring contests.
Oklahoma City Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder have one major Achilles’ heel that will be a problem in the postseason if they don’t fix it now.
That problem is performing in crunch time, which most major statistics sites define as within five minutes to go in regulation when the score is within five points.
Against Denver, this shouldn’t be a problem because OKC should be able to gain a substantial lead and take it into the final period. Then again, no team in the league has lost more games despite entering the fourth quarter ahead.
To get ahead and stay ahead, the Thunder must control the pace of the game and control the ball. Denver can score in bunches when it’s allowed to play free-flowing basketball, but OKC can prevent this by not turning over the rock.
Stopping both Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant is an arduous task that isn’t even worth discussing. Westbrook is likely going to threaten a triple-double, while Durant will get his usual 20 points or more — KD scoring at least 20 points now officially belongs in the “death and taxes” category.
Instead, Denver must decide which superstar it’s going to (attempt to) contain and then hone in on the rest of the Thunder offense.
So far this season, OKC is averaging 110.1 points per contest — the second-most in the league. Denver is allowing 104.9 points per night, which is just 22nd.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Thunder are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
- Thunder are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
- Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Free Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction:
Although the Thunder don’t really have anything to play for at this point with the third seed all but locked up and the second seed out of reach, there’s one other thing to consider: Denver is playing for draft position.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: OKC ATS
With Denver looking to lose the rest of the way out, this one should be in OKC’s favor from the beginning. Expect another double-digit win for the Thunder and a clean sweep of the season series.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Oklahoma City 111 – Denver 100
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