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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-02-22 | Angels v. Astros -132 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Astros. I like the Houston Astros to win this game against the LA Angels on Saturday. The Astros just beat the Angels in their most recent game and they have won 4 games in a row now. They are 1 of the best teams in the league and have been winning a lot of their games with a great pitching effort. Their bullpen is 1 of the best in the league and they also have a really good starting rotation too. I think they are going to cause the Angels to have another dry night on offense and I expect the Astros to start getting into gear now that they have been rolling over teams. The Angels have been having a really bad season, they had a lot of issues which led to Joe Maddon being fired but the team has not really done much since then and continues to lose games with bad pitching and a poor offense which should be better than how it is playing. Jose Urquidy (6-3, 4.36 ERA) is up for the Astros here and he has been pitching really well this season. He hasn't been the best starter on their staff but he is getting the job done in their games with 6 wins awarded to him this season and he has been pitching really well lately. He hasn't looked shaky in his previous few starts and he has also been pitching long outings, taking stress off of their bullpen too. Patrick Sandoval (3-2, 2.63 ERA) is up for the Angels here and he has been really good this year but I don't expect him to keep that up since he really hasn't been this good in previous years. I think there is room for him to regress soon and with the Astros being as hot as they are at the moment, this is a great spot for him to do so. I like the Astros to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Astros. |
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06-28-22 | A's v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Yankees -1.5. I like the New York Yankees runline in this game against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday. The Yankees just had a very close series over the weekend where they took 2/4 games against the Astros and did so with a great offensive effort late in the games they won. This team continues to come through no matter how much they are trailing by and they did it again last night against the A's, winning that game 9-5 after going down 5-1 early in the game. They continue to stay hot at bat and put up the runs and I expect nothing less from them here against 1 of the worst teams in the league this year. The A's just won 2/3 games from the Royals over the weekend but they still haven't looked good in their games lately with the wins becoming scarce for them. Frankie Montas (3-7, 3.21 ERA) is up for the A's here and he has looked bad in a lot of his starts this year. He just had a good start in his most recent game, pitching 8 innings with no runs given up, but I don't think he is going to replicate that here in a road game against the best team in baseball. The Yankees carry the best overall record and home record this year and I think they are going to get a much better performance from their starter here than they did last night. JP Sears (2-0, 0.00 ERA) is up for the Yankees here and he has only made 3 appearances in the MLB in his career, 2 being as a reliever and 1 as a starter, but he hasn't given up a single run in 7 innings pitched in the majors now and has looked good in all of those games. His last appearance was a start where he pitched 5 innings and didn't give up a run. He has been pitching in the minors since that previous start but has been killing it there with an ERA lower than 1.50 and I expect him to put up similar numbers against a team that may as well be in the minors with the way they have played this year. I like the Yankees runline in this game. T.M. Prediction: 7-1 Yankees. |
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06-25-22 | Dodgers v. Braves OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Braves OVER. I am on the over in the LA Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves game on Saturday. The 1st game of this series stayed under the posted total but the Braves have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately and have had 7+ runs total in 3 games in a row before their previous game. The Dodgers have also been putting up a ton of runs in their games with 5 games in a row seeing 8+ runs before their previous game and I expect this game to be another high scoring one. Mitch White (1-1, 3.86 ERA) is up for the Dodgers here and he hasn't had many starts this year since that isn't his usual role but he doesn't really pitch deep into his starts either and he has been giving up some runs in his previous few starts. I think the Braves will put up some runs on him here. Max Fried (7-2, 2.77 ERA) is up for the Braves here and he has been good all year but lately he has looked a bit shaky in his starts and has been giving up some runs in those games. He just had a great start in his most recent game where he gave up 1 run after 7 innings pitched but the game before that he gave up 4 runs in 5 innings and I expect the Dodgers to bring in some runs on him with that really good lineup of theirs. Both of these teams have great lineups that have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately and I don't see this game being any different from those. The pitching isn't great in this game either and I expect there to be runs. I like the over in this game. T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Braves. |
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06-18-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -129 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -129 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Blue Jays. I like the Toronto Blue Jays to win this game against the New York Yankees on Saturday. The Blue Jays have lost 2 games in a row now but both losses were really bad for the Blue Jays. They had a 10-2 loss to the Orioles and then had a 12-3 loss to the Yankees yesterday, both games in their own ballpark. I think they are going to be better in this game though and I expect them to bounce back here. They are playing the beat team in the league at the moment and that should be enough to put some fire in the Blue Jays here and bring in some runs in this game. The Yankees have won 8 games in a row now but I expect that run to end here. The Yankees offense exploded on the Blue Jays yesterday but they just played a series against the Rays where they struggled to score runs because of the Rays pitching and I think they are going to have a similar issue here with the Blue Jays pitching. Alek Manoah (8-1, 1.67 ERA) is up for the Blue Jays here and he has been great all year for them. He hasn't given up a run in his 2 most recent starts and he has only had 1 start this year where he gave up more than 2 runs. He always pitches late into their games since he is just that good and he also strikes a lot of batters out in his starts. I expect to see the Yankees struggle here with him pitching and I think the Blue Jays can take advantage. Jameson Taillon (7-1, 2.93 ERA) is up for the Yankees here and he has also been great this year but he has also looked shaky in his 2 most recent starts and I expect the Blue Jays lineup to bring in some runs on him here. He has given up 7 runs total in his previous 2 starts which isn't that good but he hasn't been striking a lot of batters out either and has been giving up a ton of hits in his starts too. I think the Blue Jays are going to make good of their opportunity here and I expect them to pounce on Taillon here since he hasn't been his best lately. I like the Blue Jays to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Blue Jays. |
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06-11-22 | Red Sox v. Mariners -121 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Mariners. I like the Seattle Mariners to win this game against the Boston Red Sox on Saturday. The Mariners lost a really close game to the Red Sox last night 4-3 but the Mariners have looked really good in their games lately and I think they are going to bounce back at home here. The Red Sox have also been really hot lately but they just struggled to beat the Angels in their previous series, winning 3 games by 1 run and losing the last which ended a long drought for the Angels, and now they just won another game over the Mariners but by 1 run again. I think the Red Sox are cooling off now and I expect them to lose another game here in Seattle. George Kirby (1-1, 3.38 ERA) is up for the Mariners here and he has looked good in his starts this year. He has had 2 bad starts this year but overall, he has looked pretty good and I think he will keep the Red Sox from putting up a lot of runs here in their home ballpark. Michael Wacha (4-1, 1.99 ERA) is up for the Red Sox here and he has been having a great year but I also think he has been pitching too well and is overachieving a bit for this year. I expect some regression on his end and I think this is the perfect spot for him to regress on the road in Seattle after pitching a great game on the road in his previous start. He gave up no runs and only 3 hits after pitching a full game against the struggling Angels and I don't see him repeating that performance again here, especially since that previous start was him coming back from an injury that kept him out a few weeks. I think this is a good spot for the Mariners to get to him since they have been hitting really well lately. I like the Mariners to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Mariners. |
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06-03-22 | Mets v. Dodgers -145 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Dodgers. I like the LA Dodgers to win this game against the New York Mets on Friday. The Dodgers won the 1st game of this series yesterday 2-0 over the Mets after losing 3 games in a row before that. They didn't just lose 3 games in a row though, they lost an entire 3 game series in their own ballpark to the Pirates who have been terrible this year. I think that sweeping really lit a fire under them and I expect them to come out angry here, putting up some runs on the Mets to get a series win here and bounce back. The Mets just won 6 games in a row before losing yesterday and I think they are going to slip into a bit of a slump here. They were putting up a lot of runs in their ballpark but ended off their previous series with a win where they put up 5 runs, and then they failed to score at all in their 1st game against the Dodgers yesterday. Chris Bassitt (4-2, 3.66 ERA) is up for the Mets here and he has had some really good starts this year, but he has also had some really bad starts and when he does he tends to give up a ton of runs in those games. He just had a really good start where he only gave up 1 run in his most recent start but right before that, he had a start where he gave up 8 runs in less than 5 innings and even gave up 4 runs in his start before that really bad game. Bassitt can unravel in his starts at any moment and I think the Dodgers starter here has been more consistent in his starts this year. Tyler Andersen (6-0, 2.90 ERA) is up for the Dodgers here and he has been great this year. He had 1 bad start this year where he gave up 7 runs in 6 innings and hasn't had a start where he gave up more than 2 runs in the game other than that 1. Bassitt has been a lot more up and down than Andersen has been and I think this is a good bounce back for the Dodgers after a bad series. I like the Dodgers to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 6-1 Dodgers. |
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05-29-22 | Brewers -130 v. Cardinals | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers. I like the Milwaukee Brewers to win this game against the St Louis Cardinals on Sunday. The Brewers were looking really good in their games before coming into this series, they have lost 2/3 games of this series so far but there is still 1 more game here and I don't expect this to be a series that the Brewers are going to lose. The Brewers are the better team here and have looked a lot better than the Cardinals all year. The Brewers also have Corbin Burnes (2-2, 2.18 ERA) up in this game and he is their ace pitcher on the staff this year. He looked a bit shaky in his start against the Braves over a week ago, giving up 4 runs in that game, but other than that 1 bad start he has been really good all year. He has only given up 3+ runs in 2/9 starts this year and I think he is going to continue to pitch well in this game too. Miles Mikolas (3-2, 1.96 ERA) is up for the Cardinals here and he has also been pitching great all year but he hasn't really had a bad start at all this year. The only time he gave up 3+ runs in a start was in his most recent start but he has been starting to look shaky in his starts lately and I think he is due for a bit of regression here. I think he is due to give up some runs here and the Brewers have a really good batting lineup that will make him pay for any mistakes he makes on the bump. I expect the Brewers to come with a great effort here and get this win so they don't lose this series to a division rival. I like the Brewers to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Brewers. |
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05-28-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Mets | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -174 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5. I like the Philadelphia Phillies runline in this game against the New York Mets on Saturday. The Phillies didn't look great in the previous game with an 8-6 loss to the Mets and it was more their pitching that let them down early in that game but their offense was not dead and after falling behind 7-0 in the 4th inning, the Phillies still managed to mount a comeback and score 6 runs in the 6th inning to make it a 7-6 game. Now that was all of the runs they would score in that game and went on to lose 8-6 but their offense still looked good and the Mets have been dealing with a lot of problems with their pitchers lately between injuries and just general regression after some great starts by all of their starters. The bullpen also hasn't looked great in their games for the Mets lately and I think this is going to be another game where the pitching for the Mets lets them down and I expect the Phillies to bounce back with a win here after losing 3/4 of their previous 4 games. Taijuan Walker (2-0, 2.70 ERA) is up for the Mets here and he has been very up and down in his starts this year. He has bad starts where he has given up 7+ runs and good starts where he doesn't even allow a run. He is giving up a lot of hits though and has gotten himself into trouble in some of their games lately putting the team in dangerous positions and I think if he does that here, the Phillies will pounce and take advantage of their opportunity. Zach Eflin (1-3, 3.65 ERA) is up for the Phillies here and his ERA isn't great but he has looked really good in a lot of starts lately, giving up 2 runs or less in 3/4 of his previous 4 starts and I think he is only going to get better as the year goes on. I think this is a good game for the Phillies to win here. I like the Phillies runline here. T.M. Prediction: 6-4 Phillies. |
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05-27-22 | Blue Jays -115 v. Angels | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Blue Jays. I like the Toronto Blue Jays to win this game against the Los Angeles Angels on Friday. The Blue Jays have won 2 games in a row including the 1st game of this series yesterday and I think they can win this game too. Their offense is starting to get hot again with 14 runs scored in their 2 most recent games and I think they can continue that good run of scoring here. The Angels have lost 2 games in a row now and their offense has really died down in those games. They have only put up 5 runs in their 2 most recent games while giving up 13 runs. I think the Blue Jays offense is going to have another big game here and I expect them to put up the runs again. Chase Silseth (1-1, 2.61 ERA) is up for the Angels here and he hasn't been bad this year but he has also pitched in 2 games only. He is also a rookie so those 2 starts are the only 2 MLB games he has ever pitched in in his career and both starts were against the A's too who don't have a very good lineup. I think the Blue Jays are going to get to him here for some runs and I expect Silseth to look shaky again after giving up 3 runs in his most recent start. Alek Manoah (5-1, 1.62 ERA) is up for the Blue Jays here and he has been having a great year, I expect that to continue here. He hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in a start this year and he just pitched through 8 innings in his most recent start while only giving up 1 run in that game. He has been a great pitcher all year and I think he will have another great game here to help put the Blue Jays on top in this game. I like the Blue Jays to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 7-3 Blue Jays. |
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05-21-22 | Braves -135 v. Marlins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves. I like the Atlanta Braves to win this game against the Miami Marlins on Saturday. The Braves took the 1st game of this series and I think they are going to take another game here since they have looked really good lately and have been putting up a lot of runs in their games. The Marlins haven't looked good lately losing 2 games in a row but they just came out of a little slump and have been winning more games lately but they still haven't looked great in those games. Kyle Wright (3-2, 2.79 ERA) is up for the Braves here and he has been having a great year. He had 1 bad start this year but he bounced back in his previous start and he has looked great in every other game he has pitched in. Elieser Hernandez (2-3, 6.15 ERA) is up for the Marlins here and he hasn't looked great in their games lately. He hasn't pitched well in a lot of games this year and he has been consistently bad in his starts, with not a single start this year where he didn't give up a run at all. He has given up 3+ runs in a majority of his starts this year and in a lot of those games he has been giving up 4+ runs. I think he is going to pitch another bad game here and he has already had 1 against the Braves earlier this year. He gave up 5 runs in his start against the Braves earlier this year and that was also the game that he gave up the most hits in this year. He has also had an issue with striking batters out in his most recent starts and I think he is going to struggle to get out of innings in this game since the Braves have been hitting and scoring a lot more lately. I think this is going to be another win for the Braves here, I like the Braves to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 7-3 Braves. |
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05-14-22 | Brewers -120 v. Marlins | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers. I like the Milwaukee Brewers to win this game against the Miami Marlins on Saturday. The Brewers have looked good in their games lately and they have been going on big runs, piling up the wins. They just lost their most recent series to the Reds but the Reds have been losing so many games that it was only a matter of time until they got hot, and the Brewers didn't even look bad in that series either since they still put up 5+ runs in all of those games. They just won their most recent game in a more tame 2-1 win over the Marlins but I think they can repeat that here with another great pitching performance and I expect their bats to wake up again since they have been hot lately. The Marlins have lost 4/5 of their previous 5 games and they have been piling up a lot of losses lately. Trevor Rogers (1-4, 5.00 ERA) is up for the Marlins here and the team hasn't really had much success with him starting this year. He had a good start in his previous game where he didn't give up any runs but he also gave up 5 runs in his start before that previous start and he has had a few of those bad starts this year already. Eric Lauer (3-0, 1.82 ERA) is up for the Brewers here and he has looked great in his starts this year, being 1 of the best starting pitchers in the Brewers rotation for them this year. He has made 5 starts this year and only gave up 3 runs in his 1st start of the year, with every other start seeing him give up no more than 1 run. I expect him to shut down the Marlins here with a great pitching performance and I think the Brewers' bats will take care of the rest for them. I like the Brewers to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 5-1 Brewers. |
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05-08-22 | Marlins v. Padres -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego Padres. I like the San Diego Padres to win this game against the Miami Marlins on sunday. The Padres have looked really good in their games lately and they even took the 1st 2 games of this series with the Marlins but lost their most recent game. It was a really bad loss too, losing 8-0 but I think they are going to bounce back here. The Marlins have looked terrible lately and that was their 1st win in 7 games since they were on a 6 game losing skid before yesterday's game. The Padres didn't score at all in that game either which makes me think they will play harder today and try to get that win to bounce back after a terrible performance. The Padres have been playing really well lately to the point where they have moved up to 2nd place in the division and are starting to close in on the Dodgers with the same number of wins but more losses still since they've played more games. Joe Musgrove (4-0, 1.97 ERA) is up for the Padres here and he has looked great all year, clearly leading this starting rotation with his great pitching this year. He hasn't pitched in a game this year yet where he gave up 3+ earned runs and I think he is going to continue pitching well in this game, keeping the Marlins off the board for a while. Trevor Rogers (1-4, 6.14 ERA) is up for the Marlins here and he has been having a terrible year already with an ERA over 6 through 5 starts and he has even been credited with 4 losses already too. He just gave up 5 runs in his previous start to the D-Backs and the Padres have a much stronger lineup than the D-Backs. I think the Padres are going to jump out in this game early and I think Musgrove will make it too hard for the Marlins to mount a comeback. I like the Padres to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 5-1 Padres. |
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04-30-22 | Astros v. Blue Jays -129 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Blue Jays. I like the Toronto Blue Jays to win this game against the Houston Astros on Saturday. The Blue Jays have looked great in their games lately but they have already dropped the 1st game of this series to Houston. They lost the game 11-7 in what was an all around terrible performance from the pitching staffs of both teams. That game turned into whoever could drown the other out in runs but I think the pitching will be a lot better for the Blue Jays here and I expect them to bounce back with a win. The Astros haven't looked great lately and they haven't really won a series in a while either. They barely squeaked by in 2 games against the Rangers, taking 2/4 in that series and then they lost 3 series in a row before that series against Texas. Luis Garcia (1-0, 4.60 ERA) is up for the Astros here and he hasn't pitched that well in his 2 most recent starts. He gave up 5 runs in 6 innings in the last game he started and that was a game against the Blue Jays that they won 8-7 but that was the only game of the series they took and he had to get bailed out by their offense. I think he is going to pitch another bad game against the Blue Jays here but I think they get the win this time by keeping their lead with good pitching on their side today. Jose Berrios (1-0, 4.91 ERA) is up for the Blue Jays here and he didn't look great at the beginning of the year but he has been getting better with each start and I think he is going to have a great game here as he is starting to find his way. I think this is a great game for the Blue Jays to bounce back in. I like the Blue jays to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Blue Jays. |
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04-29-22 | Astros v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros/Blue Jays OVER. I am on the over in the Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays game on Friday. The Astros have had some good pitching in their games lately and their bats have been a bit quiet but I think this is a series that is going to see a lot of runs. These 2 just met last week in Houston and that was a very high scoring series as 2/3 of those games saw 7+ runs in them. The Blue Jays just had 2 games in a row where they only put up 1 run but I think their bats are going to wake up for this game. They scored 12 runs in their 2 games before those previous 2 and I think the pitching matchup is favorable for both teams to put up runs today. The Astros will have Jose Urquidy (1-1, 5.52 ERA) up in this game and he hasn't looked good this year. He has had 2 bad starts in a row now and he has given up a lot of hits in his starts too. I think the Blue Jays will make the Astros pay if they get guys on base here and I'm expecting a ton of runs from them in this game since they have been hot lately winning a lot of their games. Yusei Kikuchi (0-1, 3.75 ERA) should be getting the start for the Blue Jays here and he hasn't looked great in his starts this year either. He has not given up a lot of runs in his starts but that is mainly because he hasn't made it past the 4th inning in 2/3 of his starts and he has been getting himself into a lot of trouble with base runners in their games. I think the Astros will get hits on him here and I expect them to cash in any base runners they get with how Kikuchi has been pitching. I think this is going to be a bad day for both pitchers and I'm expecting a ton of runs here. I like the over in this game. T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Blue Jays. |
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04-24-22 | Marlins v. Braves -122 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -122 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Braves. I like the Atlanta Braves to win this game against the Miami Marlins on Sunday. The Braves haven't looked great in their games lately but they have still been winning games and they have been getting a lot of hits in the games they lose too. They just lost their most recent game to the Marlins and there was a few lead changes in that game but in the end, the Braves blew their lead and lost that game. I think the Braves have been starting to look a lot better compared to how they were at the beginning of the year and I think they are going to get hot soon once they get into their groove again. The Marlins haven't been great lately either and they have been getting a lot of their wins in home games this year. I think the Braves are going to bounce back in this home game and I expect them to take the series with a win here. Bryce Elder (1-1, 4.50 ERA) is up for the Braves here and he has had 2 decent starts where he wasn't great but he wasn't bad either and I think he will do enough here to keep the marlins from bringing in the runs. The Marlins have Jesus Luzardo (0-1, 4.82 ERA) going in this game and he has had a rough start to his year. He looked alright in his 1st start but he was really bad in his previous outing, giving up 5 runs and 7 hits in just a bit over 4 innings in that game. The Braves have been hitting the ball well lately and even though they lost to the Marlins yesterday, they still scored 7 runs in that game. I think the Braves will be able to put up the runs on Luzardo here and I'm expecting a bounce back win from them here. I like the Braves to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. |
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04-18-22 | Phillies -158 v. Rockies | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -158 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia Phillies. I like the Philadelphia Phillies to win this game against the Colorado Rockies on Monday. The Phillies just had a bad series where they dropped 2 games in Miami to the Marlins and they lost their most recent game 11-3 but I think they can bounce back in this game. Aaron Nola (1-1, 6.75 ERA) is up for the Phillies in this game and he has struggled in his 1st 2 starts but I think he is going to get better and I like him to bounce back with a much better start in this game. Nola has been giving up runs in his 2 starts but this is a big ballpark in Colorado and there are going to be runs here regardless. Despite the runs he's been giving up, he has also been getting strikeouts in his starts and I think that is going to be key for him here. The Phillies also have a good lineup that can hit the ball and I think playing in this ballpark will help spark their bats and get them hot. I see the Phillies putting up a ton of runs in this game and I don't think Chad Kuhl (0-0, 2.08 ERA) is going to have as good a start as he did in his 1st game. Kuhl only gave up 1 run in his 4 innings against Texas but that was also a road game for them and this will be his 1st start at Coors Field this year. Kuhl also came from the Pirates in the offseason so he hasn't pitched in this ballpark often and I don't think he is going to have a good game since he wasn't that great last year either. He pitched at Coors Field 1 time last year and gave up 3 runs in the 4 innings he played. I think the Phillies are going to score runs against him here and win this game. I like the Phillies here. T.M. Prediction: 7-4 Phillies. |
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04-10-22 | Marlins v. Giants -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Francisco Giants. I like the San Francisco Giants to win this game against the Miami Marlins on Sunday. The Giants have already split their 1st 2 games of the year with the Marlins, winning their home opener but losing in their most recent game. They only lost to the Marlins 2-1 in a close game that was dominated by pitching by the hits were still even at 5 a piece. I think the bats for the Giants are going to have a better day here though. Trevor Rogers (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is the starting pitcher for the Marlins here and he had a great season last year, finishing the 2021 season 7-8 with a 2.64 ERA. He did pitch really well in a lot of his games last year but his team didn't really benefit from it a majority of the time since he still finished 7-8 and his team was 11-14 in the games he started in. He has also pitched a few innings in Spring training this year and he looked terrible giving up 5 runs and 10 hits in the 11 innings he pitched in. I think the Giants are going to get some hits on him here and put themselves into scoring positions early in this game. The Giants have Anthony DeSclafani (0-0, 0.00 ERA) pitching for them in this game and he looked really good for them last year. He finished the 2021 season 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA and not only did he pitch really well and not give up a lot of runs all year, but his team did benefit from his performances as he had a winning record himself but the team was also 21-10 in the games he started. I think the Giants have the advantage here with their starter and their bullpen. I also think they are going to get some hits in this game and put up the runs on the Marlins here. I like the Giants to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Giants. |
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10-22-21 | Red Sox -101 v. Astros | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Red Sox. I like the Boston Red Sox to beat the Houston Astros on Friday and tie up the series 3-3. The Red Sox have been backed into a corner, after getting a 2-1 lead in the series they now find themselves down 3-2 and on the road for their next 2 games where if they lose 1 then they are out. I think they are going to stop the bleeding in this game. The Astros have now won 2 in a row against them and it is very hard to win 3 in a row against the same team in the MLB. The Red Sox were unable to do so when they had the 2-1 lead in the series and I think the Astros won't be able to do so either. Even in the ALDS the Astros were unable to win 3 straight against the White Sox and couldn't sweep them after going up 2-0 in that series. Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA) is starting in this game he was the reason for their destruction in the 9th inning when Houston scored 7 runs to tie the series 2-2. That was just 1 bad inning though and he was just a reliever then too. He has started in 3 games this postseason and has pitched well in his starts not giving up more than 3 runs in any of those games and his team went on to win all 3 of his starts including game 2 of this series against the Astros. Luis Garcia (11-8, 3.30 ERA) is up for the Astros and unlike Eovaldi, Garcia has only been a starter this postseason pitching in 2 games and pitching very bad in both. He allowed 5 runs in each of those starts and his team went on to lose both games, including game 2 of this ALCS. I think the Red Sox are going to take advantage of him on the mound here so I like the Red Sox to win this 1 and force a game 7. T.M. Prediction: 7-3 Red Sox. |
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10-18-21 | Astros +108 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-12 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Astros. I like the Houston Astros to beat the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 on Monday. The Astros lost in Game 2 of this series letting the Red Sox tie it up going back to Boston but I think the Astros are going to get that game back here. They have put up 5 runs in each game of this series and is the highest scoring team in this postseason so far. Jose Urquidy (8-3, 3.62 ERA) is starting and he has pitched well for them all year. He has been pitching well lately with just 2/9 games in his last few starts where he gave up more than 2 runs. He has not pitched since October 3 so he will be very fresh for this game. Eduardo Rodriguez (13-8, 4.74 ERA) is starting for the Red Sox and he has already pitched in 2 games of this postseason. He gave up 2 runs in each of those but the 1 game he did not make it to the 3rd inning in and was credited with the loss and the other was a no-decision. He does not have a good track record against the Astros this year either. He has given up a total of 12 runs in 2 games he pitched against them, 6 in each game. The Astros are going to come to take the lead in the series here and I think their batters are going to be hitting Rodriguez no problem. I like the Astros to win this game. T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Astros. |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -103 | 36 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals/Dodgers OVER. I am on the over in the St. Louis Cardinals vs LA Dodgers Wild Card game on Wednesday. The Cardinals were easily the hottest team in the MLB to finish off the regular season this year. In the last week they were on a 17 game win streak at one point that was ended but they had been scoring so many runs along with it. When the Cardinals needed to win games to get here they didn't just win games barely or scrape by with good pitching, they won their games with force putting up run after run as they would bury teams. Adam Wainwright (17-7, 3.05 ERA) is starting and he has been a little shaky in his last couple of starts. He has given up 7 runs in his last 2 starts and he also faced the Dodgers in early September giving up 4 runs in that game. The Dodgers were another team that finished the season incredibly hot as they were trying to catch the Giants for the division. They put 8+ runs in each of their last 5 games to finish the season scoring a ton of runs. Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.46 ERA) is starting but he has not been at his best lately. He has had 2 bad starts in a row now giving up 5 runs in each game he pitched in. These are two of the hottest hitting teams in the MLB right now and both pitchers have seen better days lately. I think there will be a lot of runs scored here so I like the over in this one. T.M. Prediction: 9-5 Dodgers. |
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10-03-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Pick: Twins/Royals over (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). 2 poor pitchers face off here in the final game of the regular season and I believe each will see limited time. The home side goes with Kris Bubic (6-7, 4.43 ERA), who comes in off a decent outing against the Tigers. Bubic hasn't been terrible over the last month, but he's still just 2-4 with an elevated 5.46 ERA in all day games. The Twins see Griffin Jax (4-5, 6.37), toe the slab and he was most recently blasted for 4 runs over four innings in a loss to the Jays on Sunday. Over his last 77 frames Jax has an ugly 6.78 ERA, 1.40 WHIP. Look for this one to sail well over the number. T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Twins. |
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09-15-21 | A's -135 v. Royals | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland Athletics. I like the Oakland Athletics to beat the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday. The A's have now lost 3 games straight and they desperately need a win here as they find themselves 3.5 games out of a wildcard spot. Sean Manaea (9-9, 3.79 ERA) is starting for them and he has been solid lately. He has not allowed more than 2 runs in his last 2 starts and was awarded with a win in his last time out. The Royals have lost just 1 game in their last 5 but I think it's time for the spoiling to stop here. They are way out of playoff contention and will have Mike Minor (8-12, 5.05 ERA) starting in this game. He has not allowed more than 2 runs in his last 2 starts but he allowed 3+ in each of his 5 straight starts before that and that has been a common theme for him all year. The Royals have actually lost the last 7 straight games that Minor has pitched in. This is a must win for the A's as they cannot afford to fall any further behind in this wildcard race. I like them to win this game and defeat the Royals on Wednesday. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Athletics. |
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09-06-21 | Blue Jays +119 v. Yankees | Top | 8-0 | Win | 119 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* TRADE-MARK). Do or die. Now or never. Use whatever cliche phrase you want, but this is a truly massive series for the Toronto Blue Jays. The two teams ahead of them in the standings for the Wildcard spot are the A's and the Yanks, and Toronto just swept Oakland at home over the weekend. New York has been trending in the other direction of late, as it's lost seven of its last ten, including two in a row. Both Jays' starter Hyun-Jin Ryu and Yanks' starter Jameson Taillon have struggled in August. Let's call these starters a "wash." But at this point of the season, I think that momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor and I expect it to be the difference-maker in the opener of this series. The value may swing the other way if Toronto wins tonight, but that's the way I see the opener of this one breaking down. A really strong situational play here, one worthy of my top 10* signature TRADE-MARK designation! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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09-03-21 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankes/Orioles OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). The Yankees won't be taking this series at home against the Orioles for granted. Here's a great opponent to try and get the home sweep over as New York looks to gain ground on the now scuffling Rays, while also distancing itself from Toronto. Nestor Cortes (2-2, 2.77 ERA), gave up three runs in a loss over five innings to the A's on Saturday. Cortes has struggled to pitch late into games and that trend is almost certainly going to happen again here. The Orioles see John Means (5-6, 3.46) take the hill. He most recently gave up two runs over six innings in a no-decision to the Rays on Saturday. Previous to that Means had dropped three straight after returning from a stint on the IL. I say the book is still out on him. With both starters exiting early, look for this one to fly over the number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 New York. |
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09-02-21 | Pirates v. Cubs -150 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
I am on the over in the Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates game on Thursday. The Pirates had 9 total runs scored in their last game. Mitch Keller (4-10, 6.75 ERA) is starting for the Pirates and he has been awful this season. His last start saw 18 total runs in that game. He allowed 7 runs in his last start and just 2 of his last 5 starts he has allowed less than 4 runs scored against in a game. The Cubs have gone under in 2 straight games now but before that they had 3/4 games have 10+ runs scored by a single team. Keegan Thompson (3-3, 3.09 ERA) is starting and he has seen some high scoring ones lately. His last start ended in a 17-13 loss for his team. He has had 3/4 starts have 10+ runs in his last 4. Both pitchers have been struggling lately and the bullpens for these teams are not very good. There should be lots of runs scored in this one to shoot it over the posted total. T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Cubs. |
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08-25-21 | Dodgers -135 v. Padres | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
I like the Los Angeles Dodgers to beat the San Diego Padres on Wednesday. The Dodgers are hot losing just once in their last 11. They are on the hunt for 1st place in their division just 3 games back from the Giants. Walker Buehler (13-2, 2.11 ERA) is starting on the mound for the Dodgers and he has been fantastic this season. His team has won the last 3 games he started for them and they have also won 17 of the 25 games he has played in this season. He has been averaging less than 2 runs allowed per game as teams can't seem to find an answer for him. The Padres have not been playing well lately with just 1 win in their last 7. Blake Snell (6-5, 4.82 ERA) has been decent lately, his team losing the last 2 games he started in. He allowed 5 runs total in his last 2 starts. The Dodgers are trending in the opposite direction from the Padres and I have to ride them while they are hot. Dodgers win this one. T.M. Prediction: 3-1 Dodgers. |
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08-19-21 | Mariners -158 v. Rangers | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
I like the Seattle Mariners to beat the Texas Rangers on Thursday. The Mariners have been red hot in their last few games losing just 1 time in 7 games. They have won the last 4 straight that they have played Texas in. Chris Flexen (10-5, 3.78 ERA) will be starting on the mound for the Mariners and he has played well this season. The team has lost just 1 game in his last 3 starts and he has only allowed 7 earned runs total in that span. The Rangers have not looked good lately as they have won just 1 game in their last 4. They will be starting Spencer Howard (0-3, 5.61 ERA) and he has not pitched well as his team lost 4 of the last 5 games he played for the Phillies in. His team has already lost both games he appeared in as a Mariner too. These teams are going in opposite directions so I like the Mariners to keep rolling here. T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Mariners. |
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08-13-21 | Dodgers -148 v. Mets | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
I am on the Los Angeles Dodgers to beat the New York Mets on Friday evening. The Dodgers had a 4 game win streak snapped on Thursday and i expect them to get back on track here. Julio Urias (13-3, 3.41 ERA) will be starting for them and he has been great this season. He has only allowed 3 earned runs in his last 4 and has been credited with 4 straight wins. The team has been very successful this year with him pitching losing just 6 of the 23 games he has started in. The Mets have been a little hot lately, currently on a 3 game win streak, but 2 of those wins came by just 1 run. The Mets will be starting Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.20 ERA) and he does not have too much experience playing in the big leagues. He has lost his last 2 starts allowing 4 earned runs in each of those games. The Dodgers lineup has a lot of talent and depth and will beat up on this rookie pitcher. The Mets have played some close games lately, but that win streak will end here as the Dodgers will be looking to get a win after losing the previous night. I expect the Dodgers to take this one. T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Dodgers. |
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08-09-21 | Marlins v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
I like the San Diego Padres on the runline Monday night against the Miami Marlins. The Padres have cashed on the runline in 4 games of their last 6. Joe Musgrove (7-7, 2.87 ERA) will be starting on the mound for San Diego and he has been having a good year thus far. He has pitched exceptionally well in his last 3 starts allowing a total of 3 earned runs in those 3 games. The Marlins have taken a beating lately currently on a 3 game losing streak, losing each of those by 12, 3, and 5 runs, allowing a total of 34 runs scored against them in those 3 games. Zach Thompson (2-4, 2.53 ERA) will be starting for Miami here and the team has seen better days than with him on the mound. Miami has lost the last 5 games that Thompson has started in, all but 1 of those by 2+ runs. This is thompson's 1st year in the MLB and he has already been lit up by these Padres allowing 3 earned runs in a 5-2 loss to them just a few weeks ago. This Padres lineup is very talented and with the way the Marlins have been getting lit up lately, this should be another destruction of Miami. San Diego wins this one by -1.5. T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Padres. |
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08-01-21 | Astros +100 v. Giants | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
I like the Houston Astros to beat the San Francisco Giants. Luis Garcia (7-5, 3.19 ERA) allowed 6 runs in the last game he played in, but the team has won 4 of their last 6 when he has started on the mound and I think he will be looking to bounce back here with a good performance. Logan Webb (4-3, 3.36 ERA) has pitched extremly well with the team winning their last 7 straight with him starting on the mound. I think that good fortune comes to an end here as the Astros' bats are hot currently scoring 6+ runs in each of their last 5 games. The Astros win this one. T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Astros. |
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07-31-21 | Royals v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jays OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). The Royals have been playing really good baseball of late. Despite yesterday's 6-4 series opening loss, they've still won eight of their last nine. The opener went under, and the Royals have actually seen the total dip below the posted number in six straight. The Jays have returned to Toronto and I think that we're in for an even higher-scoring game on Saturday. I don't trust either starter. Mike Minor (8-8, 5.32 ERA) for the Royals has been consistently inconsistent all season. Alek Manoah (2-1, 2.90) hasn't pitched since early July due to injury for the Jays. I expect the starters to get the hook early and that'll ultimatley result in this one flying over the number sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Toronto. |
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07-30-21 | Twins -114 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins (10* TRADE-MARK). I like Jose Berrios (7-5, 3.48 ERA) in this matchup over his counterpart Wade LeBlanc (0-2, 4.31). LeBlanc is coming off another shaky start for the Cards, most recently allowing three runs off eight hits over four innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Reds. He's only pitched 22 innings and his decent ERA is not supported at all by his pedestrian/poor 1.55 WHIP and 15/9 K:BB. Berrios gave up two runs over seven innings and still took a loss to the Angels in his last outing. Off that hard-luck setback, I look for Berrios to be pivotal in his team posting a victory here; lay the short price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Minnesota. |
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07-29-21 | Blue Jays +103 v. Red Sox | Top | 13-1 | Win | 103 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* TRADE-MARK). Toronto needs to make up some ground on the Red Sox and maintain its lead on the Yanks. I like the Jays to build off their 4-1 win yesterday. They will feel great in handing the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu (9-5, 3.44 ERA), who is coming off a mediocre no-decision to the Mets, allowing four runs over four innings. Ryu though has been super solid all year and there's no reason not to believe he can't return to form here. Eduardo Rodriguez (7-5, 5.23) has pitched much better of late after a shaky start, but he still owns a poor 5.36 ERA at home this season. I like Ryu in this one, great value on the hungry Jays! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Toronto. |
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07-28-21 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers/Giants UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF ELITE). No need to over think this one. The Dodgers won here 2-1 last night and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. These are two of the most dominant starting pitchers in the league right now, and they're facing off tonight in this contest. The Dodgers go with Walker Buehler (10-1, 2.31 ERA) and the Giants see Anthony DeSclafani (10-4, 2.87) toe the slab; this one has under written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Giants. |
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07-28-21 | Cardinals v. Indians +102 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 102 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indians (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the way this one sets up for Zach Plesac and the Indians. Cleveland is deperate for a win here, as it's lost seven of its last ten, including a 4-2 loss here yesterday to the Cards. St. Louis has a night off before another interleague series, but this time at home to the Twins, setting this up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors, who have won two in a row and seven of their last ten. Kwang-Hyun Kim has won five straight starts, but I say he finally stumbles here against the hungrier home side; great value here on Cleveland! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Indians. |
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07-27-21 | Marlins -120 v. Orioles | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marlins (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I like the Marlins and Sandy Alcantara here. He's coming off a longer layoff because being on the bereavement list, but I think that'll help him here. Spencer Watkins has been great in his limited time for the Orioles, but I think he'll struggle here to keep pace with his superior opponent. The Orioles have won six in a row, but I say that streak ends here (nnote that Baltimore is still just 4-9 in its last 13 at home.) Look for Miami to move to 10-3 in its last 13 interleague road games against a team with a losing record; the play is the Marlins! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Miami. |
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07-26-21 | Reds v. Cubs -125 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cubs (10* TRADE-MARK). The Cubs are out of contention, but they haven't thrown in the towel and they won't be rolling over for their division rival here. Especially with their ace on the mound. Wade Miley (8-4, 2.72 ERA) and Kyle Henrdricks (12-4, 3.61) are evenly matched, but the Cubs are 7-1 in their last eight home games in the -115 to -135 range. In the opener of this four-game set, look for the home side to draw "first blood." The play is the Cubs! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Chicago. |
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07-25-21 | Tigers v. Royals +104 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 104 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Royals (10* TRADE-MARK). The Royals are playing their best ball of the year right now and I look for that trend to continue here. After coming from behind and then holding on for the 9-8 victory over the Tigers yesterday, the Royals have now won four in a row. Detroit had won seven in a row and I think its now due for further regression after back-to-back road defeats here. Lynch and Skubal are the starting pitchers. Both have been bad. They're a "wash" for arguments sakes, but the momentum that KC has built up right now is real in my opinion. I'll also point out that the Royals are 7-2 in their last nine after scoring 8 or more runs in a home victory in their last outing. The price is right, the play is KC! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 KC. |
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07-24-21 | Tigers v. Royals -120 | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Royals (10* TRADE-MARK). The Tigers seven-game winning run came to an end in yesterday's 5-3 defeat here. The Royals are hungry for more victories and they're arguably playing their best ball of the season right now, as they enter on a three-game win skein. Look for that momentum to get carried over here. Casey Mize (5-5, 3.44 ERA) of the Tigers and Carlos Hernandez (1-1, 4.91) of the Royals are a wash as far as these starting pitchers are concerned. Detroit had been playing over its head over the last two weeks and a crash was inevitable. Expect that slide to continue here and for the starving home side to take advantage! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 KC. |
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07-23-21 | Nationals -129 v. Orioles | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -129 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* TRADE-MARK). Washington's three-game win streak came to an end after a 3-1 loss at home to Miami two nights ago. I think the Nats bounce back here though in this favorable interleague matchup on Friday night. The visiting side hands the ball to Patrick Corbin (6-8, 5.66 ERA) and the home side sees Jorge Lopez(2-12, 6.04) take the hill. Clearly, these two guys have struggled this season. Washington though is 7-1 in its last eight after a home loss in which it was held to one or less runs in. I like the big bats of the Nationals to be the difference; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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07-22-21 | Cubs v. Cardinals -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* TRADE-MARK). St. Louis squeaked out a win yesterday, but I think it'll win much more handily in this favorable matchup on Thursday. The Cubs see Adbert Alzolay (4-9, 4.59 ERA) toe the rubber; he's 0-4 with a 5.84 ERA in five outing since coming off the injured list on June 21st. Kwang Hyun Kim (5-5, 2.87) enters playing his best ball of the year, as he hasn't given up a single run over his last 21 innings of work. Yes, regression is going to happen, and likely even going to happen here. But, I still say Kim can easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart at home. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value!"Â T.M. Prediction: 6-3 St. Louis. |
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07-21-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers RUN LINE (10* TRADE-MARK). Logan Webb (4-3, 3.54 ERA) has been consistently inconsistent for the Giants of late. Overall the rookie is having a fine campaign, but I think he's in well over his head here against Julio Urias (12-3, 3.78) and the defending champs. Note as well that LA is 7-1 in its last eight after scoring eight or more runs in a home win in its last outing. Look for the Dodgers to lay the hammer down here; the play is the Dodgers on the run-line! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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07-20-21 | Phillies v. Yankees +119 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 119 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* TRADE-MARK). Aaron Nola (6-5, 4.53 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies both play much better at home. Nola is just 3-3 with a 5.42 ERA on the road this year. For arguments sakes, let's call him a "wash" here still with Domingo German (4-5, 4.72.) New York though is 8-3 in its last 11 interleague home games as an underdog in the +101 to +120 range. Look for the shift in venue to put a monkey-wrench into the Phillies recent momentum, while everything points to the Yanks building off their series win over the Red Sox this wekeend. Great value on the hungry home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 New York. |
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07-19-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -132 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -132 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). As good as Kevin Gausman (9-3, 1.73 ERA) has been for the Giants, I say that he and Tony Gonsolin (1-0, 2.13) are a "wash" here for all intents and purposes. And that means that the Giants, who enter having lost back-to-back games and scoring just one run in each, are getting too much respect. Note as well that LA is 7-2 in its last nine as a home favorite in the -120 to -135 range. Great value here on the Dodgers! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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07-18-21 | Rays v. Braves -105 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta (10* TRADE-MARK). The Braves bounced back from a narrow 7-6 defeat in this series opener vs. the Rays to pound them 9-0 yesterday. Suffice it to say, I think the hungrier home side builds off that victory. Veteran starters Rich Hill of the Rays and Drew Smyly of the Braves here are a "wash" in my opinion. Note though that ATL is a sharp 7-1 in its last eight after a shutout home win over an opponent in which it scored seven or more runs in. All things considered, this is an unbelievable price; lay it, the play is the Braves! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Braves. |
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07-17-21 | Astros v. White Sox -106 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago White Sox (10* TRADE-MARK). Houston has the most prolific offense in the majors, but the White Sox aren't far behind sitting in fourth. Chicago lost 7-1 last night, which snapped a five-game win streak it was on heading into the break. The Astros have been amazing, but I think that Lucas Giolito is the correct call at home here over Jake Odorizzi. The Astros veteran has been superb over the last month, but the All Star break is going to throw a proverbial monkey-wrench into his rythym in my opinion. Look for the hungry home side to bounce back in this revenge spot! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 White Sox. |
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07-16-21 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays RUN LINE (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). I don't follow any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profit over the longterm. Sometimes I completely dissect a contest and look at every tiny angle and stat I can get my hands on, but other times I use the "KISS" approach. Keep it simple stupid. This one here I'm giving the good old "eye test" and in my opinion, the massive talent discrepancy on the mound tonight absolutely justifies in laying the 1.5 runs for the near pick-em price. Jordan Lyles (5-5, 4.86 ERA) has been decent this year for Texas, but I think he'll struggle against this hard-hitting Jays line-up that's poised for a big second-half. Robbie Ray (7-4, 3.13) has a 1.05 WHIP and 130:24 K/BB over 100.2 innings for the Jays, and he just struck out 11 over seven shutouting inings in a win over the Rays in his last outing. This one has blowout written all over it; lay the 1.5 runs, the play is the Jays on the run-line! T.M. Prediction: 8-2 Toronto. |
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07-11-21 | Blue Jays -116 v. Rays | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* FIRST HALF BEST OF THE BEST). I like Robbie Ray and the Blue Jays to bounce back here in this final contest before the All Star break. The Jays haven't been playing their best, but after dropping the first two games of this series, I expect them to get back on track here. The home side counters with Rich Hill. These starters have similar numbers. Ray is 6-4 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.11 WHIP, while Hill is 6-3 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. They're a wash for all intents and purposes. Toronto though is a near-perfect 7-1 in its last eight in trying to avenge back-to-back road losses to an opponent; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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07-10-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* RUNLINE BEST OF THE BEST). The White Sox have won three games in a row, winning by a combined 22-3 in that span. That included a 12-1 win here in yesterday's series opener. I don't expect such a massive lop-sided destruction here, but I do definitely expect Chicago to win handily, and that's why my official recommendation is to play the ChiSox on the runline option. Lucas Giolito (6-6, 4.20 ERA) will be determined to finish off the first half strong after a loss to the Tigers on SUnday, allowing six runs over five innings. The ten hits allowed were a season-high. I'm not reading too much into one poor start and I definitely think he has a major advantage here over confirmed gas can Tome Eshelman (0-1, 7.16), who gave up four runs over four innings in a no-decision to the Angels in his last outing. Over four starts he owns a poor 5:5 K/BB spanning 16.1 innings and I think he's definitely in well over his head here in this matchup. The value is to lay the 1.5 runs for the much better price; the play is Chicago on the run line! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Chicago. |
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07-09-21 | A's -133 v. Rangers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A's (10* TRADE-MARK). The A's are off a 2-1 win at Houston last night and with what I believe to be the superior starter on the hill for them in the opener of this new series, I look for them to post another victory on the road here. Cole Irvin (6-7, 3.56 ERA) gave up four runs over seven innings while striking out five in a no-decision to the Red Sox in his last outing. Cole will be feeling confident here as he's been at his best on the road, going 4-2 with a 2.57 ERA away from friendly confines. Jordan Lyles (4-5, 4.98) looks poised for regression for sure after back-to-back victories (note that despite a 2-1 record at home, he still has a poor 5.14 ERA there.) Give me Irvin and the focussed visiting side in a rout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Oakland. |
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07-08-21 | Reds v. Brewers -108 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers (10* TRADE-MARK). The Brewers snapped a three-game slide with a 5-0 win over the Mets on the road last night and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. The Reds have won seven of ten, including a 5-2 victory at KC yesterday afternoon, but I believe they're going to stumble in the opener of this series. Tyler Mahle (7-3, 3.63 ERA) of the Reds and Adrian Houser (5-5, 3.94) are a "wash" in my opinion. Either could easily win on "any given Sunday." The Brewers though are 7-1 in their last eight after a shutout road victory. I look for that strong trend to continue; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Milwaukee. |
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07-07-21 | Red Sox v. Angels +117 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 117 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Angels to build off their 5-3 win here yesterday. Great value here on the undervalued home dog, with the majority of the public money on the Red Sox today. Andrew Heaney of the Angels and Eduardo Rodriguez of the Red Sox have both struggled this year. For arguments sakes, let's call them a "wash." LA is 7-2 in its last nine though as a home dog in the +115 to +125 range. Look for LA to continue its hot hitting streak and for Heaney to outduel his inconsistent counterpart; the play is LA! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. |
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07-06-21 | White Sox v. Twins +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -151 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins (+1.5) 10* MONEY-MAKER After five straight losses, the Twins have won two in a row. That includes yesterday's opener by a score of 8-5. Minnesota can't afford to take the foot off the gas and I like it to at the very least, keep this one super competitive throughout. I'll call Carlos Rodon and Jose Berrios a "wash" here for arguments sakes. Note though that the Twins are 7-2 in their last nine off a home win in which they scored seven or more runs in. After their terrible start to the season, I expect Minnesota to keep the foot on the gas until the All Star Break; that said, lay the reasonable price for the extra run-and-a-half in our back pocket! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Minnesota. |
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07-05-21 | White Sox -110 v. Twins | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* GAME OF WEEK). No need to overthink this one. I think the talent discrepancy on the mound absolutely justifies in laying this price. Chicago's Dylan Cease (7-3, 3.75 ERA) just dominated the Twins last week, holding them to three runs over seven innings with eight K's. He'll be opposed by Bailey Ober (0-1, 5.84) who got crushed by the ChiSox opposite Cease, allowing five runs over three innings. He already has seven home runs over his short time in the majors and I expect him to struggle again here. This one has blowout written all over it; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Chicago. |
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07-04-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10* TRADE-MARK). Carlos Martinez (4-9, 6.38 ERA) is coming off a strong outing, but he's been a disaster for the Cards this year, especially on the road where he's a poor 1-6 with a 7.61 ERA. German Marquez (7-6, 3.62) comes in off a complete-game one hitter against Pittsburgh on Tuesday and he's 6-1 with a 3.08 ERA here at Coors Field; this is a fantastic price on the red hot Marquez! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Rockies. |
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07-03-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -111 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto broke a two-game slide with a big 11-1 win in this series opener yesterday and I think it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Tampa hands the ball to rookie Shane McClanahan (3-2, 4.09 ERA), who gave up three runs over six innings in a win over the Angels on Saturday. McClanahan has exceeded expectations this year, but I just think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Toronto counters with Ross Stripling (3-4, 4.27), who has quietly been dominating of late, most recently allowing two runs over five innings in a win over the Orioles on Sunday. Over his last seven outings he's now posted a 2.45 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Look for Toronto's bats to stay hot against Tampa's rookie; lay the short price, the play is the Jays! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Toronto. |
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07-02-21 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 8 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). These teams played to a lower-scoring under in the Dodgers 6-2 win last night and I'm expecting an even lower-scoring contest here. LA send Julio Urias to the hill. Urias (9-3, 3.95 ERA), gave up two runs and struck out 12 over 5.1 innings to the Cubs on Saturday (he's been great on the road as well with a 6-2, 3.64 ERA record.) The home side counters with ace Max Scherzer (7-4, 2.14), who gave up one run over six innings in a win over the Mariners. He's earned wins in three of his last four appearances, postinga 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in that span. Enough said! All signs point to this becoming a classic "duel." The play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 3-2 LA. |
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07-01-21 | Mets -151 v. Braves | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -151 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* TRADE-MARK). After losing 20-2 here yesterday and with their hold on the NL East down to two games over the Nationals, I like the Mets to bounce-back here with their ace on the mound. Jacob deGrom is 7-2 with a 0.69 ERA and 0.53 WHIP. He's been basically unstoppable this year and after yesterday's humbling defeat, I think he'll come in focused here. The home side counters with Ian Anderson (5-4, 3.42), who has been decent of late, but who is still completely overmatched here. Also note that the Mets are 7-2 in their last nine after allowing ten or more runs in a loss in their previous outing. All things considered, a great price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 New York. |
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06-30-21 | Twins v. White Sox -123 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* PLAY-BOOK). The White Sox held on for a 7-6 win last night. I think today's game will be a little "easier" for them. And mainly because this is a massive pitching mismatch. Dylan Cease (6-3, 3.81 ERA), is coming off a commanding win over the Pirates on Wednesday, allowing two runs and striking out seven over 5.2 innings. Cease hasn't been perfect this year, but he's been damn near perfect at home, going 3-0 with a 1.65 ERA. His counterpart Bailey Ober has a 4.64 ERA after 21.1 innings this season. That sample size is just too small for me. Give me Cease at home at this great price and let the chips fall where they may! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 ChiSox. |
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06-29-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* MONEY-MAKER). I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as the deciding factor in this one. The Giants lost here 3-2 last night. They send Kevin Gausman (8-1, 1.49 ERA) to the hill to face Walker Buehler (7-1, 2.51). These guys are pretty much dead even. The Dodgers though are 7-2 in their last nine after a one run home victory in their last outing. I'm laying the reasonable price, but expecting a major blowout! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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06-28-21 | Cubs v. Brewers -139 | Top | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brewers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). For arugments sake, let's call these starting pitchers a "wash." Kyle Hendricks is 10-4 with a 3.84 ERA for the Cubs, while Freddy Peralta is 7-2 with a 2.11 ERA for the Brewers. After a slow start though, the Brewers are playing their best ball of the season and I look for them to keep the foot on the gas here. Milwuakee has won five straight, and it's 7-2 in its last nine after winning five or more straight games in a row. I don't trust the Cubs' bullpen on the road. Advantage, Milwaukee! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Milwaukee. |
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06-27-21 | Nationals -124 v. Marlins | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Nats to bouce back after yesterday's slim 3-2 defeat. Max Scherzer (6-4, 2.19 ERA) is off a win over the Phillies on Tuesday, striking out eight and allowing one run over five innings. To go along with his crazy ERA, he also sports a minuscule 0.83 WHIP. The home side goes with Sandy Alcantara (4-6, 2.93), who comes in off a no-decision to theJays, allowing one run over eight innings. Hard to say anything negative about Alcantara, but I just think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time, as note that the Nats are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a one run road loss to an opponent. My money is on Scherzer! T.M. Prediction: 5-2 Washington. |
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06-26-21 | Cubs v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers RUN LINE (10* GAME OF YEAR). The Dodgers are streaking towards the mid-Summer classic and I like them to keep the foot on the gas here vs. the Cubs, who they beat here 6-2 yesterday. Alec Mills is 3-1, but he owns a pedestrian 5.18 ERA. He's coming off a decent home start, but note that he's 0-1 with an 8.33 ERA on the road. Jose Urias (9-3, 3.99) is coming off a crumm outing against the Padres, but it was his first poor start all year. I think he bounces back in fine fashion here. Look for Mills' struggles on the road to continue in Chavez Ravine and expect Urias to bounce-back in friendly confines! T.M. Prediction: 8-1 Dodgers. |
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06-25-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: D-Backs/Padres OVER (10* TOTAL OF WEEK). The bottom line here is, I don't trust either of these starting pitchers. Corbin Martin (0-2, 8.62 ERA), has a 2.04 WHIP over four career apperances for the D-Backs. Padres' starter Chris Paddack (4-5, 4.10 ERA) gave up two runs over five innings in a win over the Reds in his last outing. Over his last four starts Paddack is 2-2 with a poor 5.06 ERA. Expect these starters to get "the hook" early and as a result, look for this total to fly over the posted number sooner, rather than later! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Padres. |
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06-24-21 | A's v. Rangers OVER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A's/Rangers OVER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF ELITE). While yesterday's game stayed below the posted number in the Rangers 5-3 upset win, I think the stage is now set for more of an offensive contest on Thursday afternoon. The Rangers go with Kolby Allard, who gave up two runs over six innings in a no-decision against the Twins on Saturday. Allard has been a bright spot for the Rangers this season, I just think he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. The A's go with Chris Bassitt (7-2, 3.40), who gave up two runs over five innings in a win over the Royals on Sunday. Bassitt has also been good for Oakland, but note that the A's have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Everything points to this one flying over sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Oakland. |
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06-23-21 | White Sox -164 v. Pirates | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* TRADE-MARK). Off yesterday's 6-3 loss, I like the White Sox here to bounce back here in what is a very favorable starting pitching matchup for it. Dylan Cease (5-3, 3.99 ERA) is out to atone for a poor outing himself for the White Sox, allowing seven runs over 3.1 innings in a loss to the Astros on Thursday. Those types of starts have been few and far between for Cease though, who is still an extremely sharp 2-1 with a 2.89 ERA in all day games this season. Chase De Jone (0-1, 4.26) is coming off a loss for the Pirates, allowing one run over four innings to the Nationals on Wednesday. The sample size is just too small here for De Jong, but note that the White Sox are 7-2 in their last nine IL games in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which they conceded five or more runs in. This one has blowout written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Chicago. |
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06-22-21 | Braves -108 v. Mets | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Braves (10* TRADE-MARK). I don't think the Mets have any advantage here. Not as far as the starting pitchers are concerned anyways. Marcus Stroman (6-5, 2.34 ERA) of the Mets and Charlie Morton (6-3, 4.03) of the Braves are a "wash" for me here. These teams split a low-scoring double-header yesterday, with ATL winning the night-cap 1-0. Note that ATL is 7-1 in its last eight coming off a shutout win. Look for the Braves' hitting depth to win out here; the play is ATL! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Atlanta. |
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06-21-21 | Astros -153 v. Orioles | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Astros (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). A lot of the public money is on the Astros in this game, but I feel its warranted. The public does win at times. But this is a matchup in which I believe Jake Odorizzi (1-3, 5.68 ERA), will make the most of. He most recently went four scoreless inning of relief vs. the Rangers on Tuesday. It was an encouraging start and I think he'll outduel his inconsistent rookie counterpart Keegan Akin. Akin (0-2, 5.76) has been pedestrian and seems to be regressing with the extra workload since being inserted into the rotation out of necessity. Over his last 19.1 innings of work he's now conceded 12 earned runs. Lay the price here and expect Odorizzi to make the most of it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Houston. |
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06-20-21 | Reds v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres/Reds OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The Padres won 7-5 yesterday and I predict a similar final combined score here as well. Luis Castillo (2-9, 5.83 ERA), enters off his strongest start of the year, holding the Brewers scoreless over seven innings on Tuesday. Castillo has been better of late, but he's still only 1-4 with a 5.99 ERA on the road. Dinelson Lamet (1-2, 3.33) gae up one run over four innings in a loss to the Rockies on Monday. He's only pitched 27 innings, so the sample size is just too small to draw any final conclusions, but I will point out that the Padres have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 after scoring seven or more runs in a home victory in their last outing. This number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Padres. |
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06-19-21 | Brewers v. Rockies -109 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies (10* TRADE-MARK). Colorado won here 6-5 last night and I expect the Rockies to build off that victory with another here on Saturday night. Austin Gomber (6-5, 3.54 ERA) has been solid for the Rockies with a 75/23 K/W. Gomber enters on top form, having won three straight and all signs point to that progression rolling here going up against Adrian House (4-5, 3.62), who gave up two runs over five innings in a win over the lowly Pirates on Sunday. Houser has been great in all day games, going 1-1 with a 2.15 ERA, but he's been poor in all night contests, going 3-4 with a 4.90 ERA. Look for another high-scoring affair here, but one which the Rockies come out on top of because of Gomber! T.M. Prediction: 8-6 Rockies. |
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06-18-21 | White Sox -109 v. Astros | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* MONEY MAKER). Chicago has won seven of its last ten, but after yesterday's 10-2 defeat in the opener of this series, I think it'll bounce back in fine fashion here. Luis Garcia (5-4, 2.98 ERA) has been great for the Astros, but he's coming off a shaky start wher ehe allowed four runs over four innings in a loss to the Twins. Carlos Rodon (6-2, 1.89) is coming off a gem, allowing one run over seven innings with nine strikeouts. Rodon has been almost untouchable on the road, going 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Great value on the red hot Rodon here; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Chicago. |
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06-17-21 | Cubs v. Mets -121 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* TRADE-MARK). The Mets have a golden opportunity to sweep this series over the Cubs, and I believe they'll do that with Marcus Stroman on the mound. Stroman (6-4, 2.33 ERA) comes in off a dominant win over the Padres, striking out eight and allowing one run over 6.1 innings. So far he has a 67/18 K/W over 77.2 innings of work and a 1.49 ERA at home. Kyle Hendricks (8-4, 4.46) looks primed for a letdown after six straight wins in my opinion. He beat the soft-hitting Cardinals in his last outing, but I think he's overmatched here by the red hot Stroman. A great price on the superior home pitcher; lay it! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 New York. |
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06-16-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays +1.5 (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Obviously, Gerritt Cole (7-3, 2.31 ERA) is the superior starting pitcher in this matchup. I think Toronto has the better in form hitting lineup though which has the advantage of hitting at "home" here today. I also think Toronto has the better bullpen right now. Ross Stripling (2-3, 4.91) has a 4.13 ERA at home. This one is going to come down to the final innings and in a situation like that, I'll lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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06-15-21 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers/Astros UNDER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER). The opener of this three-game series sets up as a "duel" in my opinion. The Rangers go with Kyle Gibson (4-0, 2.13 ERA), who last allowed two runs and struck out five over six innings in a no-decision to the Giants. He'll be opposed by Lance McCullers (3-1, 2.96), woh has been activated from the DL to make his return. NOte that he's been great at home thus far with a 3.19 ERA. Everything points to these two competent hurler fighting deep into the latter frames; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Astros. |
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06-14-21 | Rays v. White Sox +100 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Tyler Glasnow (5-2, 2.57) has been superb for the Rays, but Lance Lynn (7-1, 1.23) has been otherwordly for the White Sox this season. Both teams have been playing well overall as well, but I think that Lynn is vastly undervalued in this spot. Chicago is also 7-2 in its last nine after holding its previous opponent to one or less runs in a victory (won 4-1 at Detroit yesterday.) At this price, I can't pass up Lynn and the home side! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Sox. |
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06-13-21 | Yankees +119 v. Phillies | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees (10* GOING YARD BLOWOUT). I think the Yanks offer great value here as an underdog to bounce back after yesterday's slim 8-7 defeat. Domingo German (3-0, 3.12 ERA) most recently allowed one run over six innings in a no-decision to Boston in his last outing. German has conceded no more than three runs in any of his ten starts this year and he's 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA on the road. Aaron Nola (4-4, 4.06), gave up four runs off seven hits over five innings in a no-decision to the Braves on Tuesday. Nola's better at home than on the road, but note that the Phillies are just 2-7 in their last nine after three or more straight victories in a row at home. I like German and the desperate Yanks to get the job done here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 New York. |
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06-12-21 | Rockies v. Reds -130 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Reds (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I like the Reds to build off their big win yesterday. Yes, German Marquez (4-5, 3.91 ERA) has looked a lot better over the last month, but I still give the nod to Wade Miley (5-4, 2.96) at home in this matchup. Miley is went five scoreless in his last outing and he owns a tiny 2.55 ERA at home. The Reds are also 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring ten or more runs in a home victory in their last outing. Overall a great price on this red hot home starter; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cincinnati. |
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06-11-21 | Angels -130 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* BEST OF THE BEST). The Angels have pounded out 40 runs over their last five games. THey're coming off a series sweep of the Royals and I think they're going to steamroll the Diamondbacks on the road in this favorable starting pitching matchup. Shohei Ohtani is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA for the Angels, while Merrill Kelly is only 2-6 with a 5.12 ERA for the home side. Considering the talent discrepancy on the mound tonight, I think that this line is WAY off. The value swings to the undervalued favorite; the play is the Angels! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 LA. |
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06-10-21 | Blue Jays -112 v. White Sox | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto's got a dangerous line-up that can give even the best pitchers difficulties. That was evident in its slight upset win in yesterday's 6-2 victory. I think the Jays can keep the momentum roling here as well in the finale in Chicago. Hyun-Jin Ryu is coming off his worst start of the year, but I say he bounces back here on the road and at least matches White Sox starter Dallas Keuchel inning for inning. Toronto is also 7-2 in its last nine after a four runs or greater road victory in its last outing. I like Ryu to bounce back! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Toronto. |
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06-09-21 | Yankees -1.5 v. Twins | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yankees RUN-LINE (-1.5) 10* MONEY-MAKER. Is there any reason to overthink this one? This is a "must win" game for the Yanks here and Gerritt Cole in a sense, as there's no way he'll want to throw away this golden opportunity for a victory, throwing opposite confirmed "gas can" Randy Dobnak (1-5, 6.19 ERA). Over his last 11.2 innings of work, Dobnak has conceded nine earned runs. Cole is 6-3 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. This is a contest that I believe will be lop-sided in nature, therefore I'm laying the 1.5 runs for the pick-em ranged price! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Yanks. |
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06-07-21 | Cubs v. Padres -122 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Padres come in off back-to-back losses to the Mets, but they have to be feeling confident they can bounce-back here, as they're 7-1 in their last eight home games after suffering back-to-back home losses. This is a tight starting pitching matchup, but it's also one which I believe favors the home side. Adbert Alzolay (4-4, 3.62 ERA), beat the Padres at home last Wednesday, while Padres starter Ryan Weathers (2-2, 2.06) fell to the Cubs last Tuesday. It was Weathers worst start of the year, but he owns a sub 2.00 ERA at home. I think Alzolay takes a step back here and I like the Padres to snap this small two-game skid; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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06-06-21 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yanks/Red Sox OVER (10* AL TOTAL OF MONTH). In my opinion, the Sunday night game has slug-fest written all over it. Garrett Richards (4-4, 3.75 ERA) owns a poor 14/12 K/BB over his last three outings. Domingo German (4-3, 3.27) has been a solid starter in this struggling Yankees rotation this year, but note that New York has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row; this one has over written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 7-6 Yanks. |
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06-05-21 | Mets -110 v. Padres | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mets (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). The Padres held on for a 2-0 win in a pitchers duel last night and everything points to a similar competitive and lower-scoring "duel." And that's because it's New York ace' Jacob DeGrom going against the Padres Joe Musgrove. Musgrove has been unbelievable this year, he's 4-4 with a 2.08 ERA. deGrom is 4-2 with a 0.71 ERA. Both are dominating across the board, but I still give the slight nod to deGrom over Musgrove, who has shown signs of volatility this year. The clincher for me though is that the Mets are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to revenge a shutout road loss to an opponent. I'm laying the very reasonable price on the best pitcher on the planet in this revenge-scenario; the play is New York! T.M. Prediction: 4-2 New York. |
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06-04-21 | Nationals +104 v. Phillies | Top | 2-1 | Win | 104 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* MONEY-MAKER). This is a great pitching matchup, featuring two red hot hurlers. Zack Wheeler is 4-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.93 WHIP for the Phillies, while Max Scherzer is 4-2 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. These starters are evenly matched. I don't trust the Phillies' bullpen whatsoever though. I'll also point out that Washington is 7-2 in Scherzer's last nine road starts when playing as the underdog. I love Scherzer in this spot, the play is Washington! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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06-03-21 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox (10* RUN-LINE BEST OF THE BEST). After back-to-back losses, I like the White Sox to bounce back here in this favorable matchup. The Tigers have looked decent of late, but Case Mize is in over his head here facing White Sox' ace Lance Lynn. Lynn is 6-1 with a 1.37 ERA and he's been dominant at home. Chicago is also 28-18 in its last 36 when playign with a day off, while Detroit is just 39-98 in its last 137 vs. clubs with winning records; lay the 1.5 runs, expect a massive beatdown! T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Chicago. |
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06-02-21 | Rangers v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockies/Rangers OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). Colorado won 3-2 in extra innings here yesterday. After that low-scoring contest, I expect plenty of offensive fireowrks here on Wednesday. The bottom line is, I don't trust either Antonio Senzatela (1-5, 4.97 ERA) of the Rockies, or Jordan Lyles (2-4, 5.79) of the Rangers here as starting pitchers. Each has struggled with consistency from game-to-game this year and throwing at Coors is definitely not what the doctor ordered. Finally, note the Rangers have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an extra innings road loss to an opponent; this number is low, the play is the over! T.M. Prediction: 8-7 Rockies. |
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06-01-21 | Marlins v. Blue Jays -151 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* MONEY-MAKER). I'm travelling today gentlemen, so I'm going to have to keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I usually do. Robbie Ray is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA for the Jays, while Sandy Alcantara is 2-4 with a 3.46 ERA for the Fish. Alcantara though has been terrible on the road this year with a ballooned 5.36 ERA. The play is Ray! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Jays. |
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05-30-21 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants/Dodgers UNDER (10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE). The last two games of this four-game series have flown over the number, but everything points to a classic "pitchers duel" between each team's bonafide "ace" on the mound to start. The visitors go with Kevin Gausman (5-0, 1.53 ERA), who went five shutout innings in a victory over the D-Backs in his last start, striking out nine in the process (allowed 11 runs over 64.2 innings.) Clayton Kershaw (7-3, 2.94) counters for the LA, and he gave up one run and struck out six over eight innings in a win over the Astros on Tuesday (owns a ridiculous 71/10 K/BB this year as well.) This one will be decided by these two starters; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 Dodgers. |
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05-29-21 | Padres -143 v. Astros | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Sometimes I completely analyze a pick and break it wide open, looking at every tiny detail. Other times I keep it simple and it give it the "eye test." That's the case here today, as I think Padres' ace Yu Darvish (5-1, 1.75 ERA) is definitely worth the price of admission here vs. Jake Odorizzi (0-2, 10.13), who returns after a long stay on the injured list. Odorizzi will likely only see a few innings, before making way for a battered bullpen; I'm laying the price on the red hot Padres! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Padres. |
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05-28-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers -1.5 (10* RUN-LINE BANKROLL BUILDER). Anthony DeSclafani (4-2, 3.54 ERA), was rocked hard by the Dodgers last Sunday, allowing ten runs off nine hits with three walks over 2.2 innings in a loss. I think he'll do better this time around, but only a little. Walker Buehler (3-0, 2.78) is the correct call here in my opinion, as he has a tiny 0.78 WHIP so far this year and he gave up one run over seven innings in a victory over San Francisco last Saturday. Lay the 1.5 runs, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 7-1 LA. |
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05-27-21 | Angels +142 v. A's | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Angels (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams enter off victories. I think the visiting side offers great value to pull off the minor upset in this one. The Angels go with ace Shohei Ohtani, who is 1-0 with a 2.73 ERA, and I'm giving him the big nod here over Chriss Bassitt (4-2, 3.69). Ohtani is on a completely different level right now and I expect him to outduel his counterpart. As stated off the top, great value on the visitors here! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Angels. |
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05-25-21 | Cardinals +125 v. White Sox | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* TRADE-MARK). I like the Cardinals to bounce back from last night's 5-1 loss here in Chicago. St. Louis has lost three of four now, including two in a row. The White Sox had been in terrible form leading up to yesterday's victory, but their inconsistencies at the plate has still seen them lose six of their last ten. Lucas Giolito (3-4, 4.35 ERA) has not been sharp for Chicago this year. Jack Flaherty (8-0, 2.53), has been super sharp for the Cardinals. Look for St. Louis to get the job done here in this favorable starting pitching matchup! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Cards. |
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05-24-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cards/White Sox UNDER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK). The White Sox are struggling at the plate right now. They enter off a three-game series loss at New York. Thankfully they're sending their ace to the mound in Lance Lynn (4-1, 1.55 ERA), who has a sharp 0.98 WHIP. The Cardinals are 26-20 and overall. Kwang Hyun Kim (1-1, 2.73), looks to bounce back from an off outing vs. San Diego and he's been sharp in all "night" games by going 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Look for these two hungry/capable starters to battle deep; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 ChiSox. |
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05-23-21 | Dodgers -126 v. Giants | Top | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers (10* TRADE-MARK). After a shaky stretch, the Dodgers have won eight of their last ten, including the first two in this series. The Giants had been rolling along until this series, and I think they'll struggle again here in the finale. We have a really good starting pitching matchup here between Anthony DeSclafani (4-1, 2.03 ERA) of San Francisco and Julio Urias (6-1, 3.04) of the Dodgers. Let's call these starters "even." LA is 7-2 in its last nine after back-to-back road victories and I expect the champs to keep that trend rolling strong here. All things considered, I believe this to be the very defintion of great line value; the play is the Dodgers! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Dodgers. |
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05-22-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -115 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). I love the Jays here. They're coming off a 9-7 defeat here yesterday to Tampa, and they've now lost three in a row. They won't be lacking for motivation facing Rays' rookie starter Shane McClanahan (1-0, 4.67 ERA), who earned his first win over three appearances so far last time out, despite allowing four runs over five innings in a 12-5 victory over the Mets. New York is a terrible hitting team, so giving up four runs in a victory to it has to be taken with a grain of salt. Duplicating that performance on the road against the hard-hitting Jays is another thing entirely though. Robbie Ray (2-1, 3.79), allowed four runs over seven innings with nine K's in a victory over the Phillies in his last outing. What's up with this line? Unload with confidence, the play is Toronto! T.M. Prediction: COMING SHORTLY. |
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05-21-21 | Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rangers (+1.5) 10* MONEY-MAKER. In a game which I see being decided late or in extra frames, I'm going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Tyler Ivey (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his big league debut here for the Asros. Over 6.1 innings in two minor league starts, he's conceded five earned runs. He'll go against Rangers' ace Kyle Gibson (3-0, 2.32), who comes in off another strong outing, allowing two runs off four hits with three K's in an unfortunate no-decision vs. these very Astros last Wednesday. Over 54.1 innings of work, he has a sharp 44/17 K/BB. As stated off the top, I think the outright is possible, but I'll lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Texas. |
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05-20-21 | Astros v. A's +106 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: A's (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The A's two-game win streak was snapped in yesterday's 8-1 setback. Oakland won the series opener 6-5. I think Cole Irvin and the home side offer great value to bounce-back here though. Irvin (3-4, 3.02 ERA), has a fantastic 39-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He most recently allowed one run over 6.2 innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Twins. Luis Garcia (1-3, 3.34), comes in off a decent outing vs. the lowly Rangers, going five scoreless, but note that he's yet to complete six innings in a start this year. Also note that Oakland is a sharp 7-2 in its last nine after a home loss in which it was held to one or less runs in; the play is Oakland! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Oakland. |
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05-19-21 | Nationals -146 v. Cubs | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nationals (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Nats won't be lacking for motivation here, as they're last in the competitive NL East. Max Scherzer is 3-2 with a 2.10 ERA for Washington and he's been a bright spot whenver he's been on the mound. Note that he owns a ridiculous 30/2 K/BB, most recently going five scoreless vs. the D-Backs. Jake Arrieta is 4-2 with a 4.10 ERA. He has a less impressive 29/13 K/BB over 37.1 innings. I think that Scherzer isn't getting nearly enough respect from the oddsmakers; lay the price! T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Nationals. |
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05-18-21 | Rays -142 v. Orioles | Top | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rays (10* MONEY-MAKER). I absolutely love the pitching matchup here. Matt Harvery (3-3, 4.81 ERA) is coming off back-to-back poor outings, most recently getting rocked for seven runs by the mets on Wednesday over just four innings of work. Further regression is imminent in my opinion, as his early sparkling numbers were just a mirage. Luis Patino (1-1, 1.54) was handed a loss vs. the Yanks last time out despite allowing just one earned run over four innings. The Orioles are struggling at the plate as well, which doesn't bode well facing this red hot Tampa starter; great value, the play is Tampa! T.M. Prediction: 5-3 Tampa. |
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05-17-21 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 16-4 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: White Sox/Twins UNDER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK). I think these starting pitchers are in line for a classic duel on Monday night. Chicago goes with Dallas Keuchel (2-1, 4.53 ERA), who comes in off his worst start of the season, allowing six runs off eight hits over 5.2 innings vs. these very Twins, but still managed to get the victory. Previous to that he delivered seven scoreless. The home side counters with JA Happ (2-1, 4.26), who will also be out to atone for last week's poor outing vs. the White Sox, as he threw opposite Keuchel, conceding nine runs off nine hits over 3.1 innings. Heading into that contest Happ had a 1.91 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over 28.1 innings. Expect these hungry and capable starters to get back on track; the play is the under! T.M. Prediction: 2-1 White Sox. |
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