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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-26-20 | New Mexico v. Utah State +5.5 | Top | 27-41 | Win | 100 | 75 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Both teams are horrible. Both have similar poor numbers/stats on both sides of the ball. Neither can play defense and each struggles offensively. So why is Utah State the correct call here? Honestly, I think it does indeed have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. Home field advantage, despite limited fans, is big in my opinion. Utah State is still 11-5 ATS in its last 16 at home and I like that strong trend to carry over here, as New Mexico is 0-5 SU its last five on the road! T.M. Prediction: 33-31 Utah State. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -2.5 | 41-16 | Loss | -123 | 73 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cowboys (8* MONEY-MAKER). I hear a lot of people saying that there's an overreaction to the Cowboys here after one decent game. But that win over Minnesota was significant. I think the overreaction is the other way for Minnesota and Alex Smith. The Cowboys are continuing to fight hard and that win over the Vikes on the road was very impressive. Andy Dalton looked composed and I think he'll have another big game here in this revenge situation. Dallas plays with revenge here as well. I'm banking on the home side pulling away down the stretch here; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Dallas. |
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11-22-20 | Packers +2.5 v. Colts | 31-34 | Loss | -105 | 103 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Packers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Colts defense is better than the Packers, but Green Bay's unit is underrated in my opinion. This one comes down to the two men under center and in my opinion, I can't see Philip Rivers keeping pace with Aaron Rodgers down the stretch. Green Bay has done well in this spot for bettors as well, going 4-1 SU its last five on the road. Indianapolis on the other hand is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after an ATS victory in which it allowed 20 or less points in. As I said, I think Rogers is the correct call here! T.M. Prediction: 26-25 Green Bay. |
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11-22-20 | Dolphins -3 v. Broncos | 13-20 | Loss | -100 | 103 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dolphins (9* TRADE-MARK). Miami has EVERYTHING to play for today. It is in a neck and neck race with the Bills for the division lead and after five straight wins, I think they'll keep the foot on the gas in this favorable matchup. The Broncos on the other hand are entering off a 37-12 beatdown loss to the Raiders and I have a hard time seeing this struggling team keeping pace with the high-flying Dolphins. Miami averages 27.9 PPG and it concedes just 20.2, while Denver averages only 20.7 PPG, while allowing 28.2. Additionally note that Miami is interestingly 5-0 ATS in its last five on this field, and 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road. Lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Miami. |
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11-22-20 | Steelers v. Jaguars +10.5 | 27-3 | Loss | -120 | 100 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jaguars (8* UNDERDOG ANNIHILATION). Pittsburgh comes in off a 36-10 win over Cincinnati last weekend to move to 9-0. Do I think that Jacksonville is going to win this contest? No I don't. However, I also expect Pittsburgh to not run up the score in the second half as it prepares for Baltimore at home next Saturday. Jacksonville has lost back-to-back closee games, but Jake Luton has looked decent in his limited time. Maintaining focus is going to be an issue for the visiting, so I'm grabbing the points and expecting a solid cover once it's all said and done! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Pittsburgh. |
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11-21-20 | Missouri -6 v. South Carolina | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 83 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri (10* TRADE-MARK). Missouri comes in rested as it hasn't played since October 31st, when it lost 41-17 to the Gators. The Gamecocks enter off a 59-42 loss to Ole Miss, their third-straight and I expect them to have their hands full again here today. Missouri is dealing with a few covid issues, but it's still 2-0 against unranked opponents this year. Missouri QB Connor Bazelak has been great has completed 70 percent of his pases for 1,101 yards, four TD's and just one INT. The Gamecocks have been terrible though, allowing an average of 593 yards per game to the opposition during their three-game slide. Collin Hill has six TD's and six INT's and I believe he'll struggle to keep pace with his counterpart. The Gamecocks have an interim head coach as well. Both teams have plenty of issues, but this one sets up well for the well-rested Tigers from Missouri; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 35-21 Missouri. |
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11-21-20 | Kansas State +11 v. Iowa State | 0-45 | Loss | -107 | 80 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: K-State (9* TD SPIKE ANNIHILATION). This is a rivalry game which these teams dub "Farmageddon." Iowa State QB Brock Purdy is having a poor season compared to last though and I think he'll struglge again here. K-State has Will Howard under center, as Skylar Thompson went down with injury at the start of the season. K-State still has plenty of playmakers though, including Deuce Vaughn, who is the only player in the Big 12 to lead his team in rushing and receiving. The Wildcats also have one of the best defenses in the confernce, led by LB Justin Hughes. Breece Hall is the focal point of the Iowa State offense, as he already has 1,034 rushing yards, which leads the nation. Look for the Wildcats to stack the box obviously. I believe this is going to be a dog-fight until the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Iowa State. |
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11-20-20 | UMass v. Florida Atlantic -31 | 2-24 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 37 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida Atlantic (8* BANKROLL MONEY-MAKER). UMass is a disaster. It's an independent that's only playing four games and with Liberty up next, it's obviously going to go 0-4 straight-up. I think it'll struggle to score any points here as well. FAU has every reason to run up the score, as the Owls have won three straight and four of their first five and are in contention to win the conference. FAU is much better on both sides of the ball, but especially defensively as it concedes just 323 yards per game, which ranks 20th in the nation. FAU is also 5-1 ATS in its last six after a SU win and 7-3 ATS in its last ten when playing the role of favorite, while UMass is just 6-15 ATS in its last 21 as an underdog. This one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 43-7 FAU. |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -121 | 37 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona Cardinals. Arizona knocked off Seattle 37-34 at home in overtime as a 3.5 point underdog earlier in the season and I believe it has a legitimate shot at a repeat performance here. Arizona lost 34-31 to Miami two weeks ago, but it bounced back with a big win over Buffalo on Sunday and it's now won four of its last five. Seattle has dropped three of its last four. Arizona averages 29.6 points per game and it allows 23.3. Seattle averages 32.2 PPG, but it concedes a league worst 29.6. The Cards are also 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 as a road underdog, while Seattle is a poor 1-5 ATS In its last six vs. the division. Russell Wilson's early numbers are because of the competition he faced. Look for the "better" team to domiante this one from start to finish and while I do think the outright is possible, let's grab the points in the end! T.M. Prediction: 29-28 Arizona. |
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11-19-20 | Tulane v. Tulsa -6 | Top | 24-30 | Push | 0 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Tulane is now 5-4 after three-straight victories, but I believe it'll finally stumble here in this difficult road venue. Tulsa is 4-1 and it's had three of its game postponed so far this season. The Golden Hurricane though enter off a big 28-24 win over SMU and I think they'll be too much for the Green Wave to handle. Tulane averages 36.7 PPG and it allows 27.6. Michael Pratt has 14 TD's and four INT's for TUlane, but he's also been sacked 20 times. Tulsa is averaging 29 PPG behind the solid play of QB Zack Smith, while the defense concedes only 21.8. Tulane is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven following a SU win, while Tualso is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. the AAC. Tulsa just held SMU's offense to only 24 points, so I have a hard time seeing the Green Wave have much success this week either; lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 33-20 Tulsa. |
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11-18-20 | Toledo -6 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Toledo's offense has looked great through two games, averaging 38 PPG. The Rockets defense has looked good in one game and poor in last week's 41-38 loss to WMU (note that two of those TD's given up were unfortunate late ones though.) EMU is 0-2 and it's allowing 32.5 PPG in the early going. When looking at the two QB's though, there's no comparison in my opinion. I like Eli Peters here over his counterpart Preston Hutchinson. This is a big opportuinty for Toledo's defense to have a bounce back performance and I look for it to make the most of it; I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 40-21 Toledo. |
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11-15-20 | Ravens -7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 132 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ravens (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). No upsets here. I believe that LaMar Jackson is going to take it upon himself to decimate Cam Newton on the National stage. The Ravens enter off a big 24-10 win over Indianpolis, while New England barely broke its four-game slide with a 30-27 win over the Jets. Jackson has 12 touchdown passes and three more rushing, with just four interceptions. The Ravens' defense though is about to have a feast here on this suspect Patriots' O-line; note that Baltimore has already posted 24 sacks, four interceptions, and made ten fumble recoveries. Newton has eight rushing TD's and just two through the air. Baltimore's strength on defense though is against the run, so expect Newton to have another long night. Additionally note that NE is just 2-6-1 against the spread in its last nine at home, while Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing ten or less points in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 30-13 Baltimore. |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks +2 v. Rams | 16-23 | Loss | -101 | 128 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Seattle Seahawks (8* DOMINATOR). Seattle has lost two of its last three, but I expect that it's dominant offense will be just too much for the Rams to keep up with as the game comes down the stretch. LA averages only 24.1 PPG, while Seattle averages 34.3 points per game. Seattle has struggled defensively over its last three games, but the unit catches a break facing Jared Goff and this vanilla Rams offense. Seattle is also 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after back-to-back road SU road losses. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Seattle. |
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11-15-20 | 49ers +10 v. Saints | 13-27 | Loss | -118 | 128 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: 49ers (8* TOUCHDOWN SPIKE). I'm all about "picking spots" at this time of the year in the NFL and I do definitely think this one sets up great for a 49ers solid cover. San Francisco is on the cusp of elimination and badly needs a victory. That means that we don't have to worry about its determination today. I think that New Orleans though is on the verge of a major letdown today. And that's because the Saints have won six in a row, including a blowout road victory over rival Tampa last weekend. San Fran has its bye week next week and if it can manage to find a way to pull off the upset, it's going to be sitting pretty moving forward. That might not occur, but all signs point to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmaker would like us to believe; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 27-23 New Orleans. |
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11-15-20 | Broncos v. Raiders -4.5 | 12-37 | Win | 100 | 128 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Vegas (8* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams are 5-3. The Broncos are 2-1 on the road, while the Raiders are 1-2 at home. The Broncos have 13 players unavailable for them to play though, including five starters and I think they'll have a difficult time keeping pace with Derek Carr and company. Denver QB Drew Lock has six TD's and six INT's, while Carr has 16 TD's and only two INT's. The Raiders are also interestingly a near-perfect 5-1 against the spread in their last six after posting more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Broncos on the other hand are a poor 8-20 against the spread after allowing 350 or more yards in their previous outing. The Broncos are young and they are injured. Look for the Raiders to take advantage; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Las Vegas. |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +6.5 | 49-11 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Michigan (8*). Michigan has been a disaster so far this year, but I think it'll find a way to keep this one close vs. a Wisconsin team which hasn't played since October 23rd due to high Covid rates. Wisconsin is down to its backup QB because of that and with the extra time off, I think this talented Badgers offense comes out flat to start with. The strength of Wisconsin is its defense, but Michigan's offense has been its strength behind the play of versaitle QB Joe Milton, who had 344 yards and three touchdowns in last week's loss. This one has "upset" written all over, but I'll still recommend to grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Michigan. |
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11-14-20 | Florida State +10.5 v. NC State | 22-38 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: FSU (8*). Am I predicting a straight-up, outright upset? I am not. I do however expect the hungry Seminoles to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. FSU comes in off its second straight blowout loss, so we don't have to question the Seminoles resolve here as they try to get back into the win column. NC State on the other hand looks poised for a letdown here after its tight 44-41 loss to Miami last time out. NC State has a tough Liberty team up next, so this also sets up as a look-ahead spot. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 33-27 NC State. |
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11-14-20 | South Carolina +13.5 v. Ole Miss | 42-59 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: South Carolina (8*). South Carolina will be desperate here to snap a two-game losing streak and to atone for a poor 48-3 loss to Texas A&M last time out. Ole Miss broke a three-game slide with a 54-21 win over Vanderbilt. Rebels' QB Matt Corral had six TD's in last weekends win, but note that Ole Miss is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after scoring 50 or more points in a SU/ATS victory in its last outing. The Gamecocks on the other hand are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after a 45 points or larger loss in their previous outing. Another great situational play here, which is backed by some very strong trends. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 37-33 Ole Miss. |
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11-14-20 | Hawaii +12 v. San Diego State | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -118 | 100 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii (10* BEST OF THE BEST). SDSU was upset by SJSU last week. The Aztec defense remains among the best in the nation though, allowing just 13.7 PPG. SDSU QB Carson Baker had 261 yards passing, but now the Aztecs face a hungry and confident Hawaii offense which comes in off a 39-33 win over New Mexico. QB Chevan Cordiero had three second-half TD passes and I like the visiting side to carry that momentum over here. And with a game at currently 3-0 Nevada up next, this also sets up as a look-ahead spot for SDSU. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a solid cover down the stretch! T.M. Prediction: 27-25 SDSU. |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +3.5 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -107 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). Both teams enter at 1-2. In a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Minnesota finally got off the schneid with a 41-14 win over Illinois last time out, while Iowa broke a two-game skid with a 49-7 victory over MSU. To say this is a "revenge" game would be a bit of an understatement, as Iowa has won five straight in this series, including a 23-19 victory last season. Iowa QB Spencer Petras is just a game manager, as the focus is on Tyler Goodson at RB, who so far has 233 yards rushing and three TD's. The Gophers lost two tough/close games to open the season as well. In their win over the Illini they had 325 rushing yards and 216 yards through the air. RB Mohamed Ibrahim had 224 yards on 30 carries with four touchdowns. Minnesota is also 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records, while Iowa is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS victory. Both teams looked a lot better in their last outing, but Ibrahim is on a different level right now and I can't see the Hawkeyes keeping pace. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 29-27 Minnesota. |
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11-12-20 | Colorado State v. Boise State -13.5 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 56 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boise State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Boise State got hammered 51-17 at home last time out. The Broncos though were playing with their third-string QB in Cade Fennegan, who had 187 yards, two TD's and an INT. BYU streamrolled the Broncos, but I expect a bounce back here at home, even with Fennegan under center again. Fennegan was thrown to the wolves vs. BYU, but with that awkward adjustment game under his belt and now facing the lowly Rams, I expect a much different result here. CSU beat Wyoming 34-24, but it still allowed 465 yards of offense. The differene was that CSU managed to recover three turnovers. Turnovers are difference makers. Note that Boise State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after allowing 50 or more points in its last outing. Look for the Broncos to pull away down the stretch and lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 40-21 Boise State. |
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11-11-20 | Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois +8 | Top | 40-10 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Illinois (10* TRADE-MARK). CMU comes in off a tight 30-27 win over Ohio last weekend. QB Daniel Richardson had a passing touchdown and a rushing touchdown in the victory. The Chips defense lost some key players over the offseason and I think they'll have their hands full with this hungry Huskies team, looking for its first win of the season. There's only six games being played in the MAC season, so every contest counts. NIU lost 49-30 to Buffalo in its opener. Ross Bowers took the majority of snaps and he had 202 passing yards and a touchdown. Let's not over-react to Week 1 results. These team's defenses are poor and I think that Bowers will have some opportunties tonight. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-27 CMU. |
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11-10-20 | Akron +27.5 v. Ohio | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Akron (10* TRADE-MARK). Both teams come in off losses. The Zips got rushed 58-13 to WMU, while the Bobcats dropped a tight 30-27 decision to Central Michigan. Do I think that Akron is going to win this game outright? I do not. But I also don't expect Ohio to run up the score in the second half if it does in fact have a lead. That's going to leave the back door wide open for QB Zach Gibson to get some garbage production. Ohio is at Miami Ohio next week, so this sets up as a "look-ahead" as well for the Bobcats. Suffice it to say, I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 37-21 Ohio. |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +7.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 151 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jets (10* MAYHEM). The Patriots have "owned" the Jets over the last few years. In fact, New England has won eight in a row over New York. But the Patriots are now on the verge of being eliminated from playoff contention. Cam Newton has two touchdown passes and seven interceptions. Sam Darnold has also struggled for the Jets, but his familiarity of the scheme is a huge bonus for New York in this case. I simply can not see how the Patriots can be favored by this much on the road, despite the issues the Jets are having this season. I'm predicting that this one comes down to whichever of these desperate teams has its hands on the ball last; so that means grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 21-19 New England. |
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11-08-20 | Steelers -14 v. Cowboys | 24-19 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Steelers (8* ANNIHILATION). No need to overanalyze this one. Ben Roethlisberger looks like a man possessed now that he's back in Pittsburgh and I like the Steelers to continue their red hot run here vs. this extremely poor Cowboys team. Dallas has the worst defense in the league and it's down to its fourth-string QB. Pittsburgh is among the league leaders on both sides of the ball. Note that Dallas is 0-4 ATS in its last four at home and 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU loss, while Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last five when playing the role of favorite. I'm laying the points, and expecting a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 35-10 Pittsburgh. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Bills | 34-44 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Seattle (9* ELITE OF THE ELITE). Seattle averags 34.3 PPG and it allows 28.4. Buffalo comes in off a crucial win over the Patriots last time out, but the Bills offense has taken a step back the last two weeks. In fact note that Buffalo averages 24.8 points per game and it allows 24.9. The Bills are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as a home dog and only 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss, while Seattle is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 as a favorite. I like Seattle to pull away down the stretch for the big win and cover! T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Seattle. |
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11-08-20 | Lions v. Vikings -3.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 120 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Vikings (8* DOMINATION). Minnesota won this game at home last year 20-7. The Lions lost 41-21 to the Colts at home last weekend and I think they'll have their hands full here as well on the road. Matt Stafford has been the lone bright spot for Detroit's offense, as RB Adrian Peterson is averaging only 3.8 yards per carry. Detroit really missed WR Kenny Golladay last week and he's once again out this week as well. Minnesota didn't roll over last week in its 28-22 win at Green Bay. Dalvin Cook had a monster day, gaining 5.4 yards per carry. Minnesota is also 38-18-1 ATS in its last 57 at home, while Detroit is only 4-10 ATS in its last 14 versus the NFC. This one has ats "blowout" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Minnesota. |
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11-08-20 | Bears v. Titans -5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 120 h 58 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Titans (9* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Titans have lost two in a row, including an upset setback at Cincinnati last weekend. The Titans now look to get back on track against a Bears team which has likely over exceeded to this point and which struggles with offensive consistency. Despite the two straight losses, Tennessee still domiantes the Bears in almost every offensvie and defensive statistical categories. Look for Tennessee to build on its solid 7-2 ATS record after back-to-back SU losses. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 29-18 Tennessee. |
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11-07-20 | Washington State +3 v. Oregon State | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: WSU (8*). While the outright isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab up the points! WSU won this game in a shootout last year 54-53. Washington State turns to QB Jayden de Laura to make his first career start. Max Borghi is back in the backfield, he finished with 817 yards and 11 touchdowns last year. Overall the Cougars averaged 37.6 PPG, while allowing only 31.4. Oregon State averaged only 31.5 PPG and it allowed 32.5. Tristan Gebbia is now the starting QB in Oregon State after seeing limited time last year, but note that the Beavers are just 1-4 ATS the last five in this series in front of the home town crowd. Oregon State lost its top QB, WR and RB and I think it'll stumble out of the gate; that said, grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 33-30 WSU. |
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11-07-20 | Rutgers +39.5 v. Ohio State | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rutgers (8*). Ohio State comes in off a big win over Penn State, while Rutgers enters off a tough loss vs. Indiana. Do I think that Rutgers is going to pull off the upset here? Of course not. This pick is situationally based, as I believe that the home side will trot out the second unit in the second half as they get ready to hit the road and play at Maryland next weekend. I'm grabbing the points! T.M. Prediction: 40-20 OSU. |
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11-07-20 | Clemson -5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 40-47 | Loss | -114 | 103 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). The ACC is playing a 12-game schedule. Both teams are very similar, undefeated and each features top notch defensive units. Clemson is 7- and is the No. 1 ranked team in the nation. QB Trevor Lawrence will miss his second straight game due to Covid 19 issues. Backup DJ Uiagalelei threw for 342 yards, completing 30 of 41 passes with two touchdowns in his first career start, in a come from behind 34-28 win over Boston College last weekend. With that nervous start out of his way, I think that Uigalelei settles down nicely here on the road. Travis Etinnie had two TD's last week and as good as ND's defense is, I think it'll have its hnads full. Brian Kelley and the Irish are 6-0 after defeating Georgia Tech last time out. Clemson though is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 as a road favorite. The Tigers only allow 3.0 YPC, and the run is the strength of Notre Dame's offense. If Lawrence were playing, this spread would be significantly higher. The value is on the visiting side to roll! T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Clemson. |
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11-07-20 | UMass +45 v. Marshall | 10-51 | Win | 100 | 98 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UMass (9* BEST OF THE BEST). After getting blanked 41-0 by Georgia Southern, I look for the Minutemen to put some points on the board today. UMass is only playing three games this year, so clearly this one counts! The Herd have only allowed 9.4 PPG in the early going, but I look for Marshall to send in the second unit in the second half, as it looks ahead to its game vs. Charlotte, which it inexplicably lost to last year. I like Mike Fallon to get some production on the second half for UMass. I love Marshall to win this game, but everything points to it being a lot closer than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 40-14 Marshall. |
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11-06-20 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -8.5 | Top | 28-17 | Loss | -108 | 84 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SDSU (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Both teams are 2-0. Their competition has been weak, and now each faces a stiffer test this weekend. SDSU was one of the best teams in the league last year though, while SJSU had a combined seven wins over its last three years. The Spartans and Nick Starkel have looked great in the early going, but I expect a predictable step back here in this difficult road venue. The Aztecs look fantastic on both sides of the ball. Last year they were among the defensive leaders and this season they're No. 1 in allowing just 6.7 PPG. The Aztecs dominant run game and defense are the difference makers for me; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 34-14 SDSU. |
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11-06-20 | Miami-FL -10 v. NC State | 44-41 | Loss | -106 | 82 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (8* MONEY-MAKER). NC State was off last week, but previous to that it fell 48-21 to UNC. Miami is looking for its third-straight win after a narrow 19-14 win over UVA last time out. D'Eriq King had 322 yards passing and two TD's vs. UVA on October 24th. Miami's defense did a great job in slowing down UVA QB Brennan Armstrong, allowing just 181 yards through the air, so I have a difficult time seeing NC State's QB duo producing much here. Bailey Hockman and Ben Finley have split time under center and whoever gets the call here will likely be without the help of No. 1 RB Ricky Person Jr., who left with a concussion in the UNC loss. NC State is also just 2-8 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with winning records, while Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last eight vs. a team with a winning record. I like King to have another big day here and I look for the Hurricanes to pull away for the comfortable cover in the end! T.M. Prediction: 38-20 Miami Florida. |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 61 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wyoming (10* ELITE OF THE ELITE). Wyoming comes in off a relatively simple 31-7 win over Hawaii last Thursday and I like the Cowboys to carry that momentum over into another solid win and cover on the road in this favorable matchup. The Rams come in off a 38-17 loss to Fresno State, falling behind 24-10 at half-time and never able to recover after that. Wyoming held the ball for 17 more minutes than the Warriors in its opening victory, as QB Levi Williams had 339 passing yards and a touchdown. Colorado State allowed 348 passing yards in last week's loss, and that doesn't bode well facing the red hot Williams. This is a poor matchup for the Rams' defense and I like the deeper and more talented Cowboys to take advantage; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 33-20 Wyoming. |
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11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +11.5 | Top | 49-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Illinois (10* TRADE-MARK). Northern Illinois has plenty of new faces on both sides of the ball this year, but starting QB Ross Bowers is back under center. Clearly having stability at the QB position to open the year is a huge plus. Kyle Vantrease starts for Buffalo, but I see no advantage between these players. The QB position is a wash this week. Buffalo is the better team, but I expect it to get caught looking past its lowly opponent here and I believe it'll take the foot off the gas in the second half. No outright upset, but much closer than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 27-24 Buffalo. |
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11-04-20 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State -6 | 23-27 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kent State (8* MONEY-MAKER). EMU was last in the Mid-American West conference with a 6-7 record last year, while the Golden Flashes finished third with a 7-6 record. Kent State won this game 34-26 last year, but I expect a larger blowout win today. EMU had a strong passing game last year, but a weak run game. The Eagles welcome back QB Mike Glass III, who led the MAC in passing yards. But Kent State finished last year on a winning run and I expect that momentum to get carried over here. Kent State's Dustin Crum led the team in both passing and rushing yards. The Flashes are also 4-1 ATS in their last five at home, while EMU is 0-5 ATS in its last five in this series. I like Crum and the Flashes to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable cover; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 45-21 Kent State. |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +11 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 156 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Giants (10* MONEY-TRAIN). Let's be honest, it would be A LOT easier to write a convincing argument for the Bucs to win and cover this game. Tom Brady is on fire and Tampa is off back-to-back big victories over the Packers and on the road last week at the Texans. New York has lost its last three games by three-points or less. The Giants won't be in the playoffs, but they remain competitive. First year coach Joe Judge won't be rolling over and playing dead, he'll continue to try and find ways to help his team win and a big upset at home over Tom Brady and company would be huge. That may not happen, but I think the Giants can keep this one very close. In what I expect to be a "nail-biter," I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 24-21 Tampa. |
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11-01-20 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Eagles | 9-23 | Loss | -110 | 132 h 45 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cowboys (9* TRADE-MARK). Yes, the Cowboys have played terribly this year, mainly due to their league-worst defense, which so far has conceeded over 37 PPG. That unit does catch a bit of a break facing this Eagles offense, which I wouldn't classify as "explosive," however Philadelphia will definitely be looking to build off its consecutive victories here and take full control of the NFC East with a big win. Despite the Cowboys being down to thrid-string QB Ben DiNucci, I expect this one to be a classic shootout till the end. Philadelphia has been terrible against the run, so expect to see a big performance from Cowboys' star RB Ezekiel Elliot as well, who will be out to redeem himself here after fumbling the ball twice in last week's loss. I like an outright upset here as these two teams fight for the division lead, but that said, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 27-25 Dallas. |
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11-01-20 | Saints -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 154 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NO Saints New Orleans won this game 36-25 last October and I expect a similar final result here as well. New Orleans is coming out of a 27-24 win over Carolina in its last game. Drew Brees had 287 passing yards and two touchdowns. The Saints offensive line has been big this year, allowing just 1.3 sacks per game. That's also given Alvin Kamara room to operate on the ground. Chicago has now lost back-to-back games, most recently a listless 24-10 setback at the Rams last weekend. The Bears offense struggled and I expect that to continue here. Chicago's defense has been its strength in the early going, but I expect that unit to struggle to contain Brees and company. Note that New Orleans is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games on the road when facing a team with a winning record at home, while Chicago is a poor 2-8 ATS in its last ten following a loss. I love New Orleans to run the score up early, but never take the foot off the gas. Lay the points, expect a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Saints |
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11-01-20 | Chargers -3 v. Broncos | 30-31 | Loss | -107 | 128 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chargers (8* MONEY-MAKER). The Chargers enter off a a win over Jacksonville and I like them to build and take advantage of this wounded Broncos side. Denver most recently got crushed by the Chiefs last weekend. Chargers' rookie QB Justin Herbert is the front runner for offensive rookie of the year with 12 touchdowns and only three INT's. LA's defense is underrated as well in my opinion. The Broncos' Drew Lock has one TD and four interceptions on the season. Denver averages only 19.3 PPG and it concedes 25.3. Denver is also just 2-5 ATS in its last seven following a double-digit loss at home, while the Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five on the road. Look for LA's pressure up front to be too much for Lock once again this week. I'm laying the short points! T.M. Prediction: 27-18 Chargers. |
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11-01-20 | Colts -2.5 v. Lions | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 124 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Colts (8* ULTIMATE BLOWOUT). Indianapolis comes out of a timely bye-week. Previous to that it beat Cincinnati 31-27. Detroit comes in off its second straight win and I think it'll struggle with this tough Colts defense. The Lions held on for a 23-22 win over the Falcons in their last outing. Colts' QB Philip Rivers looked great in the win over the Bengals, finishing with three touchdowns, an INT and 371 yards passing. Indianapolis allows 19.2 PPG and it allows 26.2. Detroit is also just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after back-to-back ATS victories, while the Colts are still 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. the NFC North. Detroit faces its toughest defense yet and I think it'll predictably struggle here. Lay the short points on the rested Rivers! T.M. Prediction: 30-20 Colts. |
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11-01-20 | Jets +19.5 v. Chiefs | 9-35 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jets FIRST HALF(8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Obviously this is a massive spread, but I like New York to keep this one tight in the first half, before KC then pulls away in the second. It's doubtful that the Chiefs would try to run up this score in the second half if they do in fact have a lead either. KC needs to just control the clock here, avoid injury and look ahead to its next game. For Sam Darnold and the Jets though, they're aren't going to simply roll over here. In fact, it was just three weeks ago that an undermanned Raiders team came to KC and left with one of the biggest upsets in the history of the NFL. This is a great situational play, I'm grabbing the points and the Jets in the FIRST HALF! T.M. Prediction: 14-10 KC. |
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11-01-20 | Raiders +2.5 v. Browns | 16-6 | Win | 100 | 124 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Las Vegas (9* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST). The Browns have looked a lot better of late, but the injury to No. 1 receiver OBJ is significant in my opinion. The Raiders have won two of their three road games outright as well. Last weekend Las Vegas lost 45-20 at home to a red hot Bucs team, but David Carr now faces one of the worst secondaries in the league. Las Vegas is also 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road. I think Cleveland gets caught "looking ahead" here to its bye week as well. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 28-25 Las Vegas. |
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10-31-20 | Oklahoma -14.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 62-28 | Win | 100 | 107 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Okalahoma (10* TRADE-MARK). Okalahoma enters having won two in a row after smashing TCU 33-14 on Saturday, covering as a 6.5-point favorite. Texas Tech improved to 2-3 after beating WVU 34-27 as a 2.5 point underdog. Oklahoma held TCU to just 351 yards of total offense and Desmond Ridder leads an offense which averages 39.8 PPG. The Red Raiders made a QB change last week and Henry Colombi had 169 yards and a touchdown. Overall Texas Tech though averages 32.2 PPG, but it allows 37. Oklahoma is also 4-1 ATS in its last five after posting more than 450 yards in its previous game. Rattler is coming off his best game ever and I think he carries that confidence and momentum over here. Lay the points, expect a rout! T.M. Prediction: 50-20 Oklahoma. |
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10-31-20 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M -11 | 31-42 | Push | 0 | 107 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M (8* BLOWOUT). Arkansas is coming off a big win over Ole Miss, but I expect it to predictably stumble here. Texas A&M enters having won two in a row after dispatching Mississippi State last weekend. Arkansas has ten interceptions in the early going. Feleipe Franks has been decent so far in the early going, but now he faces a tough Aggie team and defense which is 3-1 so far. A&M QB Kellen Mond has nine touchdowns and only two interceptions, while the Aggies are also averaging 172.3 YPG on the ground. The step up in competition will prove to be too much for Franks. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 40-21 A&M. |
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10-31-20 | Boston College v. Clemson -31 | 28-34 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). I got down early before the news of Trevor Lawrence contracting Covid 19, so I have a significantly worse line than what you have (I sure hope so anyways!) Regardless though, I expect the Tigers to lay the hammer down here on the hapless Eagles. Clemson most recently smashed Syracuse 47-21. BC averages 278.5 yards per game passing behind Paul Jurkovec, but the run game averages only 99.2 YPG, which ranks 89th in the country. BC allows an average of 25.0 PPG, but it has many players questionable for this one, including defensive lineman Izaiah Henderson, defensive back Jio Holmes, wide receiver Ethon Williams, tight end Hans Lilia, wide receiver Justin Bellido and running Pat Garwo III. Clemson only allows 13.5 PPG, which is ranked 12th in the nation. I think the Tigers' defense will look to take responsibility for the win today and I have a hard time seeing BC mustering any sort of offensive attack. Clearly there's going to be a bit of a drop off on the offensive side for Clemson with DJ Uiagalelei under center, but this one still has "blowout" written all over it! T.M. Prediction: 48-12 Clemson. |
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10-30-20 | East Carolina v. Tulsa -17.5 | Top | 30-34 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). ECU lost to Navy 27-23 two weeks ago, but did not play last week. Tulsa is rolling along, as it's 3-0 ATS. Last year the Golden Hurricane smashed the Pirates 49-24 as seven-point road favorites and I expect a similar, or even bigger blowout here at home. The Pirates are 1-3 and they average 31 points, while conceding 37.8. ECU starting QB Holton Ahlers tested positive for Covid 19 and didn't play in his team's most recent loss to Navy two weeks ago, but he may see some time here. Regardless, the QB issue for the Pirates isn't a good one at the moment, as backup Mason Garcia will likely see some time as well tonight. Tulsa averages 27.7 PPG and it allows 18.3. The Golden Hurricane are also 4-1 ATS the last five in this series. In this abbreviated season, every game counts. Look for Tulsa to put the foot on the gas until the final whistle and lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 45-15 Tulsa. |
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10-30-20 | Minnesota v. Maryland +20.5 | 44-45 | Win | 100 | 83 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (8* START-UP). Minnesota lost its season opener to Michigan by a score of 49-24. Maryland also lost its opener, losing 43-3 to Northwestern. I expect a much better game from both teams, but I also look for this one to end much tighter than what this spread would suggest. Both teams struggled with consistency on both sides of the ball. Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan had 197 passing yards, one touchdown and one interception. Maryland's offense struggled as well, as Taulia Tagovailoa and Lance LeGendre combined to pass for just 143 yards. Minnesota is the better team here, but I expect it to have a fight on its hands until the final moments. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Minnesota. |
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10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bears (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Bears are out for their third straight win today, most recently beating Carolina 23-16. The Rams are off a 24-16 loss at San Francisco. Both teams only ask their quarterbacks to manage the game, instead relying on strong run games and elite defensive units to wear their opponents down. Chicago only averages 21.3 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by conceding just 19.3. The Rams average 25.3 PPG and they allow only 19. Chicago has held three of its last four opponents to under 20 points. These teams are very similar and I think it'll come down to the wire. I'm grabbing the ample points! T.M. Prediction: 21-14 Chicago. |
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10-25-20 | 49ers +3 v. Patriots | 33-6 | Win | 100 | 122 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: 49ers (8* CRUSHER). These two teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and I expect that trend to continue here. Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers enter off an impressive win at home over the Rams, dominating defensively. No team in the NFL this year has been hit harder by the injury bug than the 49ers, but the team is deep and it's finally starting to resemble the squad which advanced the Super Bowl last season. Jared Goff entered that game as one of the most effecient QB's in the league, and San Fran completely shut him down. Now the 49ers face a very inconsistent Cam Newton, who is clearly showing signs of pressure. This one stes up great for San Fran, as New England is a poor 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 24-23 San Francisco. |
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10-25-20 | Bucs -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 122 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs (10* BEST OF THE BEST). I got down on this one early and have a favorable line, but regardless, I think that Tom Brady and the Bucs will handle their business on the road here and build off their impressive win at home over the Packers last weekend. Brady was great, but Tampa's defense was even better, forcing Aaron Rodgers into two interceptions and no touchdowns. Tampa's run game looks great and it catches this Las Vegas side which enters off its bye week after a huge upset on the road in Kansas City. I think the momentum off that big win is now gone and I expect the home side to come out flat here. Tampa is rolling and expect it to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle sounds! T.M. Prediction: 30-22 Tampa. |
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10-25-20 | Bills v. Jets +13.5 | 18-10 | Win | 100 | 119 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jets (8* SHOCKER). Is Josh Allen better than Sam Darnold? He definitely plays on a much better team. That said, the Bills have come back down to Earth after their hot start, as they've lost two straight, most recently a 26-17 setback at home on Monday to the Chiefs. The Jets are off a 24-0 loss in Miami. They're 0-6 SU and ATS, but with Darnold back under center, I think New York catches the Bills at the most opportune of times. Buffalo has a "look ahead" game at home vs. the Patriots next weekend, so expect the Bills to take the foot off the gas in the second half if they do have the lead. Yes, New York is terrible, but I expect it to fight here as it desperately attempts to "get off the schneid." I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Buffalo. |
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10-24-20 | UNLV +13.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 6-34 | Loss | -105 | 104 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNLV (10* TRADE-MARK). SDSU lost its starting QB and RB from last year. The offense had a lot of turnover. SDSU's defense was its strength last year, but it also has a few new faces. The Aztecs are expected to do well again, but I think that UNLV will come out firing here and I like it to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Yes, the Rebels were just 4-8 last season, but they return starting QB Kenyon Oblad and several other starters on offense, which is a huge benefit. SDSU has question marks on offense and I don't think it should be laying this large number on Opening night. Grab up all these points! T.M. Prediction: 26-24 SDSU. |
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10-24-20 | Cincinnati v. SMU -2.5 | 42-13 | Loss | -109 | 103 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: SMU (8* SUPER-SPIKE CLUB). Cincinnati is 3-0 and SMU is 5-0. Bearcats' QB Desmond Ridder though enters off his worst start of the season, throwing three INT's in a fortunate win over USF last time out. Shane Buechele has a QBR of 81.4 and he already has 1,710 yards passing in five games, including 12 TD's and only two INT's. SMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five at home, while Cincinnati is only 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing less than 20 points in its previous outing. The Mustangs are averaging 42.6 PPG this year and I can't see the Bearcats keeping pace down the stretch. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 37-20 SMU. |
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10-24-20 | Nebraska v. Ohio State -26 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 94 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Cornhuskers were 5-7 last year. Ohio State is 5-1 the last six in this series and I look for it to lay another beating in its first game of the year as it looks to send an early message. Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez regressed big time last year, finishing with ten touchdowns and only nine interceptions. Overall Nebraska averaged 28 PPG last season and it conceded 27.8. The Buckeyes averaged 46.7 PPG last sseason, as QB Justin Fields had 3,273 passing yards, 41 touchdowns and only three interceptions. Defensively the Buckeyes allowed only 12.5 PPG. Ohio State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a favorite, while Nebraska is only 2-7 ATS in its last nine conference games. I can't see the Cornhuskers mounting much of an offensive attack today. Lay the points, expect a BIG blowout! T.M. Prediction: 50-17 Ohio State. |
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10-23-20 | Tulsa v. South Florida +10.5 | Top | 42-13 | Loss | -106 | 78 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* CA$H-BOMB). I think we're going to see a much tighter matchup than what this spread would suggest. Tulsa had its game vs. the Bearcats postponed last weekend due to covid 19 issues and previous to that it had its bye week. After two weeks off, I think the Golden Hurricane come out a bit flat-footed to start this contest, and that in turn will help in keeping this back door open just wide enough for USF to sneak through. The Bulls won't be lacking for motivation here either after a 39-37 loss to Temple last Saturday, their fourth straight loss. Note that USF is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 35 or more points in a loss in its previous outing. A great situational play on the home side, grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 26-24 Tulsa. |
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10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -3.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eagles (10* TRADE-MARK). Both teams have struggled this year, mainly due to untimely early injuries. The Eagles though have been much more competitive each week and after nearly pulling off the upset over the heavily favored Ravens last weekend, I look for them to lay a beating on this disastrous Giants team, which is destined for a letdown here after is 20-19 win over Washington at home last weekend. Daniel Jones has struggled for the Giants, he has just three TD's and six INT's. Carson Wentz has too for the Eagles, but that's mainly due to his injured offensive line and lack of talent. But as mentioned above, despite that the Eagles have been competitive of late and on the short week and playing a division rival at home, I like them to go up early, keep the foot on the gas and then never look back. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Philadelphia. |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 151 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 49ers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). At 2-3, San Francisco is still in contention. Other than the Jets, no team has gone through as much turmoil as the 49ers have in the early going, mostly due to untimely injuries. Last week the Dolphins slapped Jimmy Garopolo by a score of 43-17. Garopolo left at half time of that blowout, but he's going to get the start here. San Francisco's strength in the early going has been its defensive play. The unit catches a break this weekend facing the Rams, who aren't an "explosive" offense, albeit a very effecient one. LA has been great defensively, conceding only 18 PPG, but I think it'll have its hands full with this determined home side on the national stage. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter! T.M. Prediction: 27-25 San Francisco. |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers -2.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Panthers (8* MONEY-MAKER). Simply put, I think the Bears are the worst 4-1 team in the league right now. The Panthers are 3-2, but they're getting exceptional play from QB Teddy Bridgewater and combined with their underrated defense, I love Carolina to pull away down the stretch here for a comfortable ATS cover. Chicago has had to fight back from several deficits to win already this season. Its strong point is on defense, allowing 20 PPG, but QB Nick Foles is ranked 29th in the league among starting QB's right now. The Panthers are playing at an elite level at this moment and I expect them to bring their "A" game again here. Overall the Panthers average 24.4 PPG and they concede 23.3. Carolina is also 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games vs. teams with winning road records, while the Bears are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs teams with winning records. Expect the Bears to finally stumble here and get exposed and lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 27-18 Carolina. |
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10-18-20 | Browns +4.5 v. Steelers | 7-38 | Loss | -120 | 144 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Browns (8* BEST OF BEST). This is a big divisional contest. The Browns lost in Week 1 at Baltimore, but since then they've won four straight and averaged almost 40 PPG in the process. Cleveland's weakness lies on the defensive end, but Big Ben and the Steelers would not be classified as an "explosive" offense, althogh they've been damn good this year as well. With a spread like this, the oddsmakers do in fact feel these teams are very evenly matched. And so do I. Pittsburgh may be 5-0 SU in its last five at home in this series, but it's only 2-4-1 ATS the last seven in this series overall. This one has the feel of whichever team has its hands on the ball last will come out on top. I'm grabbing the points, but don't be shocked by the outright! T.M. Prediction: 26-25 Cleveland. |
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10-18-20 | Lions -3 v. Jaguars | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 144 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Lions (8* HORSE-COLLAR BLOWOUT). The Lions are off a 35-29 loss to the Saints and then had their bye-week. I think that veteran QB Matt Stafford will have a big day today vs. this weak Jacksonville secondary. The Jags come in off a 30-14 loss at Houston last weekend. Stafford has 1,017 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Gardner Minshew of Jacksonville has 1,439 passing yards, ten touchdowns and four interceptions. Note though that Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a bye-week. Look for Stafford to put on a clinic in this favorable matchup; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Detroit. |
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10-17-20 | North Texas v. Middle Tennessee State -6.5 | 52-35 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: MTSU (8* MONEY-TRAIN). The Mean Green defense has allowed a combined 155 points over its three losses and I think it'll once again have trouble containing their opponent today. Last week North Texas allowed seven TD's to Charlotte. Austin Aune was a bright spot for the Mean Green with 385 passing yards and three TD's, but it was unable to keep up down the stretch. MTSU enters off a hard-fought 31-28 win over FIU, its first victory of the year and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas again here. North Texas has struggled inside the red zone, scoring on just 10 of 17 possessions with nine TD's. MTSU's strength on the dfensive side is against the pass, allowing just 166 passing yards per game, so that matches up well against the pass-happy Mean Green. The Blue Raiders are also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with losing records. I'm laying the points and expecting a complete blowout! T.M. Prediction: 43-30 MTSU. |
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10-17-20 | Auburn -3 v. South Carolina | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 118 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Auburn (9* MONEY-MAKER). Auburn held on for a 30-28 win over Arkansas last weekend. It wasn't the Tigers best effort, but they still managed to hold on for the SU victory. With that "close call" out of the way though, I think that the Tigers will bounce back nicely here. The Tigers allow just 22.7 PPG, but so far they've averaged just 21.7. This Auburn team is looking for a big offensive break out and I like Bo Nix to take center stage here. Auburn outgained Arkansas 446 to 437 last weekend and I expect this offense to have a big day vs. South Carolina. South Carolina smashed Vanderbilt last weekend, but lost to both Tennessee and Florida. Collin Hill was decent against Vandy's weak defense, but I think he's in for a shock today vs. this elite Auburn unit. Note as well that SC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. schools with winning records, while Auburn is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss. I'm laying the points and expecting a decisive victory! T.M. Prediction: 33-20 Auburn. |
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10-16-20 | SMU -6.5 v. Tulane | Top | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SMU (10* TRADE-MARK). Tulane is horribly inconsitent on the offensive side of the ball. At least against stiffer competition. Shane Buechele and SMU average 44 points per game and they only allow 23.3. The Green Wave have averaged 37 PPG while allowing 31. But Tulanes' freshman QB Michael Pratt made his first ever start just last weekend and now facing this elite SMU defense, I definitely expect a major step back here. The Mustangs are having to deal with major injury issues to a couple of key players, but they have a deep and talented roster and I don't see much of a drop off. Lay the points, this one has "b-l-o-w-o-u-t" written ALL over it! T.M. Prediction: 40-24 Mustangs. |
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10-15-20 | Georgia State +4 v. Arkansas State | Top | 52-59 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgia State (10* ULTIMATE). Outright win? It's VERY possible, as note that Georgia State upset Arkansas State 52-38 as a 6.5-points underdog last year. Georgia State lost 34-31 to the Ragin Cajuns in Week 1, but on October 3rd they smashed East Carolina 49-29 as an underdog, outgaining the Pirates 485 to 286 in the process. So far the Panthers average 40 PPG and they allow 31.5. Arkansas State destroyed FCS opponent Central Arkansas 50-27 in its last game, but previous to that it dropped its lone conference game. Arkansas State is 0-3 in its last three vs. FBS opponents and its offensive attack revolves around the pass, and that doesn't matchup well vs. this Georiga State secondary which already has give interceptions in two games. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a battle until the end! T.M. Prediction: 38-35 Georgia State. |
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10-13-20 | Bills -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 16-42 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* THROWDOWN). The Titans are 3-0, but they've had to deal with plenty of off-field issues over the last three weeks and I think the team will come out flat here. The Bills are 4-0 and while their defense has taken a bit of a step back here from last season, the offense behind Josh Allen has exploded, having scored at least 30 points in three straight games. The Titans playbook isn't vast, so look for Tennessee to pound the ball with Derrick Henry. However, as stated above, the weird covid scheduling is going to throw a monkey-wrench into the Titans chemistry in my opinion. Also note that Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU victories in a row. I'm laying the points and expecting a comfortable SU/ATS victory. T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Buffalo. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers +7 v. Saints | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chargers (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST). The Saints had to come from behind in their 35-29 road win in Detroit. New Orleans is allowing an average of 30.8 PPG, while LA is conceding only 23.8. Brees has several receivers banged up, including top WR Michael Thomas. Justin Herbert was great in defeat last weekend, throwing for 300 yards and three TD's. The Saints are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven at home, while the Chargers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four on the road. I think the Saints issues on the defensive end continue and now their offense has taken a hit as well. Outright is possible, but in the end grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 26-24 Saints. |
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10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -105 | 106 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawks (10* GAME OF THE MONTH). Seattle won 31-23 in Miami last weekend and I like it keep the foot on the gas in Week 5 at home. The Vikes have been poor this year and they are primed for a letdown after their 31-23 win at Houston, their first victory of the season. I don't trust Kirk Cousins of Dalvin Cook in this difficult road venue. Hawks' QB Russell Wilson has 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions and his offense is firing on all cylinders right now. It's also interesting to note that the Hawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games played in Week 5, while the Vikes are only 1-5 ATS their last six in this series. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 37-20 Seattle. |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +2.5 | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 103 h 33 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Browns (8* CRU$H-JOB). Both teams come in red hot. The Colts are only allowing 14 PPG this year, while the Browns have averaged 39.5 PPG over their last three. Cleveland has had issues defensively, but I think that unit has a big opportunity to make some strides facing Philip Rivers and this "vanilla" Colts offense. I love the Browns at home here as I think the chemistry that QB Baker Mayfield has now developed is real and I expect him to build upon it. The Colts are going to be in trouble here facing this dangerous run game as well. This one has "blowout" written all over it, the play is the Browns! T.M. Prediction: 27-20 Cleveland. |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins +8.5 v. 49ers | 43-17 | Win | 100 | 102 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Dolphins (8* SUPER-SHOCKER). Honestly, I think that Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Dolphins have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The 49ers are coming off a 25-20 home loss to the lowly Eagles as 5-point favorites. The 49ers are without starting QB Jimmy Garapolo and many other starters on both sides of the ball. San Fran will have to contend with a decent Miami defense as well, which is ranked 14th overall. I can't see San Fran running up this score if it has the lead in the second half, so that definitely favors Miami with this huge spread, which will be keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 24-23 Miami. |
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10-11-20 | Raiders +13.5 v. Chiefs | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 99 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Raiders (8* MONEY-MAKER). Am I calling for an outright win here? Of course not. However, clearly the Raiders are the "hungrier" team here. Las Vegas comes to KC having lost two straight. The Chiefs are 4-0, but with a game at Buffalo on Thursday night, this definitely sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the Chiefs. I can't see KC running up this score in the second half if it has a lead and that leaves the back door WIDE open for David Carr and company to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. This is a great situational play on the Raiders! T.M. Prediction: 30-26 Kansas City. |
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10-11-20 | Jaguars v. Texans -6 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 99 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texans (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Houston is off to a poor 0-4 start, but it's played four tough teams in the Chiefs, Ravens, Steelers and Vikings. These are four of the best defensive units in the league. There's plenty of talent on Houston, with DeShaun Watson and David Johnson on offense and JJ Watt on defense. The Jaguars are 0-3 in their last three and their defense is terrible. This is the perfect opponent to get untracked against and I like Watson to run up this score until the final whistle. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Houston. |
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10-10-20 | Miami-FL +14.5 v. Clemson | Top | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game obviously. Both teams are 3-0. Miami Florida will have its hands full here, but I expect it to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded in this one. The Hurricanes did not get caught looking ahead here in last week's 52-10 destruction of FSU. D'Eriq King had 267 yards and two TD's, before exiting the game early. RB Cam'Ron Harris was barely even used, so he'll be fresh today and I think that's a key factor. Miami averages 43.3 PPG and it concedes 19 PPG. Clemson is averaging 42.3 PPG and it's allowing 12. I think the Tigers are going to win this game, but I love King to keep his team in it late. Expect a much closer battle than what this spread is indicating! T.M. Prediction: 34-30 Clemson. |
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10-10-20 | Marshall v. Western Kentucky +7 | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Western Kentucky (8*). Marshall enters off a 17-7 victory over Appalachian State, while the Hilltoppers enter off a 20-17 road win over MTSU. Marshall is 2-0 and WKU is now 1-2. These teams met last year and Marshall won 26-23, making this a revenge game for the Hilltoppers. Marshall's early defensive numbers are skewed due to strength of schedule. Both teams return several starters on both sides of the ball from last year's teams. WKU though is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with winning records and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as a home dog, while Marshall is a poor 6-16 ATS in its last 22 when playing the role of favorite. I think WKU has everything in place to take this game outright, but let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 23-21 Marshall. |
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10-10-20 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College +6 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 39 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Boston College (8*) Both teams are coming off tough losses in the final minutes of their previous games. The Panthers fell 30-29 to NCA State, while Boston College lost 26-22 to UNC. Pittsburgh is getting great play from QB Kenny Picket, who is currently third in the country with a 64.8 QB rating. Boston College's Phil Jurovech though is coming off the best game of his career, despite losing, throwing for 313 yards, two TD's and zero INT's. Pittsburgh's defense is stout, but BC relies more on the pass. These teams matchup evenly across the board and while I do think the outright upset is possible here, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can! T.M. Prediction: 23-21 Pittsburgh. |
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10-09-20 | Louisville -4 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-46 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (10* MONEY-MAKER). Both teams enter at 1-2. The Cardinals returned 17 starters from last year's team which went 8-5, so they'll be desperate here to avoid an 0-3 start in ACC action. QB Malik Cunningham was awesome last year with 22 touchdowns and only five interceptions, but so far in the early going he's coughed up five picks over his first three games. Cunningham though faced a tough Pitt defense last week, but catches a break here facing GT. The Cards are averaging 29.7 PPG, but they're allowing 30.1. Fortunately Louisville's defense catches a break here facing a Yellow Jackets defense which is allowing 33 PPG. GT is only averaging 19 PPG itself. GT is also just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following an ATS loss and only 3-13 ATS in its last 16 at home, while Louisville is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a favorite. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout from start to finish! T.M. Prediction: 37-27 Louisville. |
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10-05-20 | Patriots v. Chiefs -10.5 | 10-26 | Win | 103 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Chiefs (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). I can't see any upsets here. Pats' backup QB Brian Hoyer is being thrown to the wolves here in this difficult situation. The Patriots lead the league in rushing at 170 yards per game in the early going, but a lot of that had to do with Cam Newton being on the field. This New England offense is going to be so unbelievably one-dimensional, that it could in fact come in with NO dimensions at all. New England's defense is completely suspect as well after allowing 37 points in a loss in Seattle in another prime-time situation. Look for Kansas City to go up early and for its defense to have a big day. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 34-19 Kansas City. |
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10-04-20 | Eagles v. 49ers -6 | 25-20 | Loss | -113 | 132 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: 49ers (9* BEST OF THE BEST). The Eagles are coming off a 23-23 tie with the Bengals, while the 49ers have won two straight, most recently a 38-9 win over the Giants. Philly' QB Carson Wentz had 225 yards passing, one TD and tow INTs last weekend. He was also sacked three times. Wentz has been terrible so far, completing less than 60 percent of his passes for three TD's and six INT's. Note that WR DeSean Jackson is questionable with injury. Nick Mullens has proved a very capable backup QB for San Francisco and despite the numerous injuries he has to his offensive unit, I think he'll have a big day here vs. this poor Eagles' secondary. San Fran is still the better team in the trenches and on special teams and I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout! T.M. Prediction: 28-19 San Francisco. |
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10-04-20 | Giants +13.5 v. Rams | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 128 h 13 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Giants (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). The Rams enter off a heart-breaking loss in Buffalo and I think they come out flat-footed here vs. their lowly opponent, who comes in hungry to break its 0-3 start. Jared Goff and the Rams offense has been decent to this point, but LA has major concerns on the defensive side and I think the Rams will get caught looking ahead to their game on the next weekend. With the visiting side though fighting tooth and nail until the final whistle, I'm grabbing the points and expecting a nail biter! T.M. Prediction: 26-23 Rams. |
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10-04-20 | Cardinals -3.5 v. Panthers | 21-31 | Loss | -100 | 125 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (8* TOUCH-DOWN CLUB). The Cardinals struggled at home vs. a desperate Lions team last weekend, but I think they'll bounce back here in this favorable spot. Murray was uncharacteristically picked off three times in the game. Despite the picks though, Murray had 270 yards passing with two TD's and another 29 yards rushing with another major score on the ground. The Cards failed to force any turnovers for the first time last week and they held the Lions to just 90 rushing yards. The Panthers look poised for a letdown after their 21-16 win over the Chargers. QB Teddy Bridgewater had 235 yards passing and a TD in the win, but note that the Panthers are a poor 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven as an underdog, while the Cards are 5-2 ATS in their last seven in this series. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 32-20 Arizona. |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -16 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 103 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Alabama (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). This is the SEC's first big game...which sees the No. 13 ranked Texas A&M Aggies travel to take on the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide. Both enter at 1-0. The Aggies squeaked by Vanderbilt 17-12 last Saturday as a 31.5 point favorite though, while the Crimson Tide rolled over Missouri 38-19. Alabama definitely took the foot off the gas late in the one though...as it had a 35-3 lead with about five minutes left in the third-quarter...before then easing up and looking ahead to this contest at home vs. A&M. And so I think the Tide come in fresh and prepared and ready to lay a beatdown on the Aggies here...who are clearly struggling on the offensive side of the ball. The Aggies had just 17 first downs last week and they were held to only 4 of 10 in third-down conversions. Kellen Mond had 189 yards a TD...and Isaiah Spiller was decent with 117 rushing yards...the defense though was pretty mediocre as well with just two sacks...and that's not going to get the job done here vs. Tide in my opinion...Mac Jones had 249 yards and two TD's last week..while NaJee Harris had 98 rushing yards and three touchdowns...the Tide also recorded three sacks and had two fumble recoveries in the win..the Aggies have struggled in this position for a while now...they're just 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. teams with winning records...I think Alabama goes up big early..but unlike last week it does't take the foot off the gas...I expect it to lay the hammer down and I'm going to suggest to lay the points in this one. T.M. Prediction: 37-15 Alabama. |
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10-03-20 | Memphis -2.5 v. SMU | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Memphis (8* MONEY-MAKER). SMU is 3-0 and it's scored at least 50 points in eeach contest, but I think the Mustangs will have their hands full here with this No. 25 ranked Memphis Tigers team. Memphis beat Arkansas State 37-24 in its lonly this year and it beat SMU 54-48 here in this game last season. In fact note that Memphis has covered in the last six in this series. Memphis has had two games postponed already this year due to covid, so clearly the Tigers are going to be amped up here for their league opener. Mustangs' QB Shane Buechel has been good for SMU so far, but note that the Mustangs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Memphis on the other hand is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 after posting more than 450 yards in its previous game. Let's face it, the Mustangs have faced a weak schedule to this point and I expect the step-up in competition to be too much for them to handle down the stretch; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 45-30 Memphis. |
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10-03-20 | South Florida +21.5 v. Cincinnati | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 103 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (8* TD CLUB). USF beat Citadel 27-6 in its opener, but then it got hammered 52-0 by Notre Dame. The Bulls had last week's game postponed due to covid issues. The Bearcats beat Army 24-10 last weekend and while Desmon Ridder has been decent in the early going, I think he comes out complacent here and gets caught looking past his lowly opponent to his bye week next weekend. Note as well that USF is 5-0 ATS in its last five in this series. No outright, but grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 30-15 Cincinnati. |
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10-03-20 | East Carolina v. Georgia State -1.5 | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 100 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Georgia State (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Georgia State lost its only game of the year, a 34-31 OT setback to Louisiana as a 17.5 point underdog. East Carolina lost its season opener on Saturday by a score of 51-28, but managed to cover with the 26 points they were afforded. ECU is led by HOlton Ahlers and while the team returns several starters from last year's team which went 4-8 on both sides of the ball, note that the Pirates conceded 632 yards to UCF in its loss last weekend. Georgia State returns 17 starters from last years team. QB Cornelious Brown was a bright spot with 200 yards, a TD and INT. He also had 64 rushing yards and another TD on the ground. I'm banking on the home side pulling away down the stretch; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 40-30 Georgia State. |
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09-27-20 | Packers +4.5 v. Saints | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 131 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Packers (8* SLAUGHTER-FEST). New Orleans is 1-1, while Green Bay is 2-0. The Saints didn't look particularly great in their Week 1 victory over the Bucs. Tampa was playing without a preseason and for the first time ever and considering, the Saints looked pretty weak. And last week New Orleans also looked terrible in defeat to the Raiders in Las Vegas. Green Bay on the other hand has looked downright awesome in all three phases during its 2-0 SU/ATS start. I like Rodgers to lay the hammer down here, as he looks possessed after Green Bay chose QB Jordan Love in the draft (Rodgers has six TD's and no INT's.) Note as well that the Saints are a poor 1-4 ATS in their last five after allowing 350 total yards or more in a loss in their previous outing, while the Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight after scoring 40 points or more in a win in their previous outing. Look for Green Bay to build on last week's impressive win over the Lions, but grab the points just in case! T.M. Prediction: 28-24 Packers. |
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09-27-20 | Bucs -6 v. Broncos | Top | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 127 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucs (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). The Broncos are an interesting case, as they're 0-2 SU, but 2-0 ATS. Last week they lost starter Drew Lock under center, but back-up Jeff Driskel was excellent by throwing for two TD's. But note, besides Lock, both DT Dre'Mont Jones and WR Courtland Sutton were placed on the IL this week (along with several others.) The Bucs are loaded with talent and I think this is the week that Tampa dominates on both sides of the ball. Leonard Fournette had a big game last week for the Bucs and now Brady has a real back to keep opposing defenses honest. I expect Tampa to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas until the final whistle. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 28-14 Tampa. |
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09-27-20 | Jets +12 v. Colts | 7-36 | Loss | -130 | 126 h 21 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Jets (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). With back-to-back road games up next, I think the Colts will classically get caught "looking past" the terrible Jets today. New York is injured, but it still has talent with Sam Darnold and Frank Gore on offense. Darnold has been decent considering the adversity, completing 62.7 percent of his passe for 394 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. The Colts smashed the Vikes last week, but they were upset by the Jaguars in Week 1. Also note that the Colts lost safety Malik Hooker and WR Paris Campbell to serious injury and I think that throws a monkey-wrench into the entire mix. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 24-20 Colts. |
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09-27-20 | Rams +2.5 v. Bills | 32-35 | Loss | -100 | 123 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LA Rams (8* BANKROLL BUILDER). Both teams are 2-0, but I think LA's dynamic offense will be just too much for Josh Rosen and company to keep up with down the stretch. This is a "fishy" line in my opinion and in those cases, I always bet on the "fish." LA's Jared Goff has completed 20 of 27 passes so far without any INT's. Buffalo looked anything but dominant in its 31-28 win over Miami last weekend. Allen did have a big day, but I expect him to have much more difficulty here. Finally note that LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games as an underdog in the +1.5 to +3.5 points range. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 26-23 LA Rams. |
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09-26-20 | Georgia v. Arkansas +26.5 | 37-10 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arkansas. This is the first game of the year for both teams. Georgia was 12-2 last year, while Arkansas was 2-10. Georgia lost to LSU in the SEC Championship. Georgia is loaded with talent, ranked as the No. 1 recruiting class in the nation, but it's going to be difficult to immediately replace Jake Fromm and D'Andre Swift. JT Daniels tore his ACL last year, interestingly against this very Arkansas team. Daniels has plenty of hype surrounding him, but I believe that chemsitry will be an issue early. The Razorbacks' offense revolves around its running games, keep your eyes on Rakeem Boyd, who had 1,333 yards and eight TD's last year. No way Arkansas wins outright, but I think the stage is set for a closer battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab all those points! T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Georgia. |
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09-26-20 | Iowa State v. TCU +2.5 | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: TCU. Iowa State was streamrolled by the Ragin' Cajuns in their lone game of the year by a score of 31-14. Overall Iowa State had 303 yards of offense, which included only 145 yards passing from QB Brock Purdy. Iowa State's defense was terrible and I think it'll have difficulties slowing down the Horned Frogs' Matthew Downing, a transfer from Georgia. I think the extra time off to prepare helps TCU here and while I wouldn't be completely surprised by the outright, in the end let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 22-21 TCU. |
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09-26-20 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma -28.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma. K-State gave up 21 unanswered points in its eventual 35-31 setback to Arkansas State two weks ago. Skylar Thompson had 259 yards and two TD's in the setback. But if the Wildcats had a difficult time slowing down the Red Wolves, I have no idea how they plan to slow down the Sooners, who destroyed Missouri State 48-0 two weeks ago. The Sooners also looked dominant on the defensive end, allowing just 81 yards rushing and 81 yards passing. This is a revenge game as well after an upset from last year, so I'm laying the points and expecting Oklahoma to come out and put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 46-14 Sooners. |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dolphins (10* TRADE-MARK). Jacksonville has been competitive, upsetting the Colts in Week 1, before then falling at Tennessee last time out. Gardner Minshew wno't roll over, but neither will Miami, who enters desperate after an 0-2 SU/ATS start. It's almost impossible for teams to even make the playoffs after starting 0-3 and note that the Fish are in fact 7-2 ATS in their last nine after losing two more SU in a row. The Jaguars on the other hand are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after back-to-back ATS victories. I'm grabbing the points, although won't be shocked by the outright win! T.M. Prediction: 25-23 Miami. |
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09-24-20 | UAB -7.5 v. South Alabama | Top | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 58 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UAB (10* CRUSHER). UAB is down its starting QB in Tyler Johnson III, but I think that Bryson Lucero will step up here and get the job done. UAB comes in off a 30-15 loss to Miami two weeks ago. The Jags lost a 27-24 contest to Tulane two weeks ago as well. South Alabama also starts a new QB under center today, as Desmond Trotter is now out with injury, meaning that Chance Lovertich gets the call. This evens the playing field between these two offenses. I like UAB's defense and special teams better though and I expect that to be the difference maker. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 37-23 UAB |
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09-21-20 | Saints -5.5 v. Raiders | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -106 | 131 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saints (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I look at these two teams and I look at what each did in Week 1 and I just can't get a firm read immediately on the Raiders. Oakland won 34-30 in Carolina in Week 1, but that was against a very weak Panthers team. The Saints beat the Bucs 34-23 in Week 1 and Tampa just went on to hammer Carolina 31-17. The Panthers are like an expansion team this year. New Orleans is the deeper and more talented team and I like Drew Brees and company to fire against this suspect Raiders' secondary early and often. Las Vegas is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven overall, while the Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall. I like the better in form team to deliver on the National stage; lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 29-19 New Orleans. |
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09-20-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cardinals -6.5 | Top | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 103 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cardinals (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Cardinals thumped the 49ers on the road in Week 1 and I like this young and dynamic team to lay the hammer down at home here as well in Week 2 in this favorable matchup. Washington beat Philadelphia 27-17, behind eight sacks, but I think it'll be a step behind today in trying to slow down Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. Arizona is interestintly 7-2 ATS in its last nine Week 2 contests, while note that Washington is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 in the same position. I'm laying the points and so should you! T.M. Prediction: 30-17 Arizona. |
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09-20-20 | Broncos +9 v. Steelers | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 100 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Broncos (8* ATS UPSET). Am I predicting an outright upset here? I'm not. Pittsburgh is coming off an unispiring 26-16 road win over the Giants. The defense looked good, but the offense was pedestrian, despite Big Ben connecting on three TD's. But of significance here is the fact that the Steelers lost three starting offensive linemen to injury. Drew Lock and the Broncos looked decent against a good Titans team, losing on a last second FG by a score of 16-14. While Philip Lindsay was lost to injury, they still have Melvin Gordon. Note that the Steelers are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven at home and only 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 as a favorite, while the Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last eight as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last four after scoring 15 points or less in their previous outing. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 21-19 Pittsburgh. |
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09-20-20 | 49ers -7 v. Jets | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SF 49ers The 49ers are coming off a home loss to the Cardinals and they travel across the country to play an early morning contest without a few key players on both sides of the ball. Despite that though, I think that Jimmy G and company will have more than enough to easily destroy the hapless Jets. Sam Darnold and company looked pathetic in their loss in Buffalo. Darnold's entire receiving corps is in shambles right now and Le'Veon Bell was held to just six yards rushing. The 49ers' defense is going to have a field day in New York today. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout of epic proportions! T.M. Prediction: 37-13 Niners. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | Top | 30-35 | Loss | -103 | 36 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Browns (10* TRADE-MARK). Cincinnati looked "OK" in its 16-13 loss to the Chargers. LA looked poor though. The Bengals defense looked good, but the offense wasn't impressive at all, with rookie QB Joe Burrow missing five open receivers on long balls, overthrowing his targets. Burrow did have a good fourth quarter, but the sample size is still too small. The Browns were poor in their loss to the Ravens, but I am not going to read too much into their Week 1 setback. The NFL is about making adjustments week to week and if we're going to "forgive" the Bengals with their performance last week, then we must also do so for Cleveland. I think the quick turn-around benefits the home side here and I love the Browns' defense to dominate as well. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 27-13 Browns. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -3.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 293 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Steelers (10* TRADE-MARK). The Steelers were competitive last year despite finishing 8-8. Pittsburgh lost the services of QB Big Ben Roethlisberger in Game 2 though and it was an uphill battle after that. Big Ben is now back though and I expect this veteran Pittsburgh offensive unit, to take advantage of this re-building New York defensive unit. The Giants have talent at QB and RB, but they have a new coach in Joe Judge and a new system across the board. Neither team has had much practice time, but I think that benefits Pittsburgh's offense here, which has been together for a long time. Daniel Jones is working with a lot of new faces and I think that'll be reflected in this score once it's all said and done. I'm laying the points! T.M. Prediction: 30-15 Steelers. |
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