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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-14-19 | Army v. Navy OVER 40 | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Navy/Army OVER In the past, this rivalry game has seen more UNDER's than OVER's. I expect that to be different in this year's battle. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games. Navy has also seen the total go OVER in 6 of their last 7 games off a game against a Conference opponent. On the other hand, the total has gone OVER in 8 of 12 games, when Army has won 2 of their last three games. Look for both offenses to be smooth and for this to be a decently high-scoring affair. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 34-27 Navy |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin +16.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
T.M Selection: Wisconsin I know that the Buckeyes haven't lost to this Badgers team since 2010. I know Ohio St is the better team. But expect a close, high-scoring, and physical game to be played on Saturday Night. Wisconsin comes in with an 11-2 SU record in their last 13 games played. They are also 7-3 in their last 10 games played in the month of December. On the other hand, there isn't much bad to say about the perfect 12-0 Buckeyes. But that doesn't mean anything until the ballgame is over. Although they are poerfect, Ohio St are just 9-10 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. Expect a highly contested game to be played and for the Badgers to stay in it the entire way, if not win the game. Take Wisconsin. T.M. Prediction: 41-37 Wisconsin |
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12-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis OVER 57.5 | 24-29 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Memphis/Cinci OVER Entering the AAC Championship Game, the total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis’ L9 games. The Tigers have also seen the total go OVER in 8 of their last 10 games against opponents in the American Athletic Conference. On the other hand, Cinci has averaged 29.5 ppg. Expect a high-scoring Championship Game on Saturday and expect an OVER. T.M. Prediction: 35-34 Memphis |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -6.5 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Appalachian St Appalachian St will play the UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns in the Sun Belt Championship game on Saturday Morning. In the past, ULL has never beaten this Appalachian St team. Appalachian State is 17-1 SU in their last 18 games. They are also 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. Expect the Appalachian State Mountaineers to hammer UL Lafayette in the Sun Belt Championship game. Take the Mountaineers T.M. Prediction: 34-10 Appalachian St |
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12-06-19 | Oregon +6.5 v. Utah | Top | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon Ducks It's the Pac-12 Championship Game between the Oregon Ducks and the Utah Utes. Oregon comes into this game with a dominant 10-1 SU record in their last 11 games vs. Pac-12 opponents. Now they'll be going up against a Utah team who isn't the best at throwing the ball. With Justin Herbert (Oregon QB) sitting on the edge of being a great selection in the 2020 NFL draft, I expect him to rise to the occasion at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Take the Ducks. T.M. Prediction: 41-28 Ducks |
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11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 68.5 | Top | 34-16 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OU/OKST OVER This rivalry game has gotten bigger and bigger as the years go on and both of these two teams could use a win in a big way here on Saturday. Coming into this game, both teams have averaged 35+ ppg, while they avg a combined total score of 80.27 ppg. In the past, the Bedlam Series has gone OVER 4 out of the past 5 games. I expect that to be similar case here. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 41-34 Oklahoma |
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11-30-19 | Miami-FL -8.5 v. Duke | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Fl Duke is officially out of bowl contention, while the Miami Fl Hurricanes can improve their chances at a better bowl game with a win here. In their last 10 games against each other, Miami Fl has won 8 of them, averaging over 200 rushing yards in all of them. Coming into this game, they are 4-1 ATS in their L5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast Conference. I expect them to dominate this weak Blue Devils team here. Take Miami Florida and expect an easy winner. T.M. Prediction: 34-17 Miami Fl |
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11-30-19 | Louisville v. Kentucky -146 | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (Moneyline) Both teams have secured their spot in a bowl game, and would really like to add one more win to their record to boost their chances at a better bowl game. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and have looked strong in all of them. They are also 6-0 ATS in their L6 games at home. On the other hand, the Cardinals are only 1-5 ATS in their last six games against an opponent in the Southeast Conference. Expect Kentucky to come on top here. T.M. Prediction: 31-10 Kentucky |
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11-29-19 | Appalachian State v. Troy UNDER 63 | Top | 48-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Troy/Appalachian St UNDER This s a must-win game for both teams as they look ahead to the bowls. Appalachian State is 10-1 and would really like to win this one to be in consideration of a huge bowl game. On the other hand, Troy (5-6) needs a win desperately, as they look to squeak in one of the last bowl spots. The Mountaineers have seen the total go UNDER in 10 of their L15 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference. I expect a highly contested defensive game on Black Friday. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 31-10 Appalachian St |
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11-29-19 | Missouri -12.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri Missouri will play the Arkansas Razorbacks on Black Friday With a win, the Tigers can secure their spot in a bowl game. Missouri comes in with a 5-1 SU record in their L6 games played on a Friday. On the other hand, Arkansas is 0-8 SU in each of their L8 games. The Razorbacks are also a sad 3-7 SU in their L10 games at home. I expect Missouri to get it done under pressure. Take the Tigers. T.M. Prediction: 44-10 Missouri |
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11-28-19 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -128 | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mississippi St The Egg Bowl is almost always fun as both the two teams have always hated each other. Ole Miss is out of Bowl contention, but can knock Mississippi St out of it with a win. It's a must win game for the Bulldogs, who are off a huge win last week to get them in this position. Mississippi State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 home games. Ole Miss is only 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road. I expect the Bulldogs to play their guts out as they come out with smiles on their faces heading into the bowls. Take Mississippi St. T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Mississippi St |
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11-23-19 | Boise State -8.5 v. Utah State | 56-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
TM. Selection: Boise St The 9-1 Broncos will take on the 6-4 Aggies on Saturday Night. In their L10 matches against each other, Boise St has won 90% of the time. Adding to that, they are also 15-1 SU in their last 16 games against the Aggies. I like the ranked team to destroy this Utah State team. Take Boise St. T.M. Prediction: 34-14 BSU |
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11-23-19 | Memphis v. South Florida +15 | 49-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: USF So far this season, Memphis has been the better team. Although many people may think that's what matters, they are wrong. This is a must-win situation for the Bulls. They have two games left, and they have to win both of them to get a spot in a bowl game. In their last meeting, USF beat the Tigers in a shootout. I expect the home team to keep it close here. Take USF. T.M. Prediction: 28-24 Memphis |
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11-23-19 | SMU v. Navy -3 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Navy Navy looks to continue its home dominance here against the SMU Mustangs on Saturday afternoon in a critical game for both team as they go for the conference title. SMU is ranked, but the Midshipmen are the favorite here in this one. In their L4 meetings at Jack Stephens Field at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Navy has beaten every time dominating every one of those games by more than 20 points each time. I expect the Navy Midshipmen to rebound after their loss to ND last week. Roll Navy Roll! T.M. Prediction: 31-17 Navy |
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11-23-19 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech OVER 44.5 | Top | 0-28 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia Tech/Pitt UNDER Both of these two teams have seen the total go UNDER 60+% ytd. The Panthers have seen the UNDER in 11 of their L14 games. They are a run first offense who loves to keep the ball on the ground. The Hokies a basically the same. In their last 10 meetings with each other, neither team has thrown the ball well. V Tech has a 52.6 completion percentage while Pitt has a 59.5 completion %. I expect lots of running in this matchup. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 17-14 Hokies |
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11-23-19 | Penn State +19 v. Ohio State | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn St Penn St has proven to everyone that they belong in the 4 best team conversation. They have beaten teams like Iowa and Michigan as they come in with a dominant 9-1 record. They may be playing the best team in the nation right now, but they are getting a lot of points. When I say a lot, I mean A LOT. Two top 10 teams with an 18 point difference. C'mon. I think Penn St might even win this game. The Nittany Lions also come into this game 8-1 SU in their L9 games on the road. Take PSU and expect a close game. T.M. Prediction: 45-42 Ohio St |
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11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech -112 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: GT Coming into this game, Georgia Tech is 14-2 SU in their L16 against teams with losing records at home. NC State is only 4-6, winless on the road. I expect that to continue here. Expect the Wolfpack to struggle tonight. Take GT. T.M. Prediction: 31-21 GT |
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11-09-19 | Notre Dame -7.5 v. Duke | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Notre Dame Coming into this game, Notre Dame is 17-3 SU in their last 20 games. They have proven to be one of the very best teams, each and every year. In week 11, they'll face a struggling Duke team who have lost their last two games. After playing a conference game, the Blue Devils are 6-11 ATS the L3 years. I expect the Fighting Irish to dominate here, as they send the Duke fans home crying. Take ND. T.M. Prediction: 38-17 Fighting Irish |
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11-09-19 | Florida International +10.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 7-37 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida International Both teams have a winning record coming into this game. Although Florida Atlantic has a decent record, they are only 1-3 ATS in home games YTD. Now they'll play a hungry FIU team who are off a big win against Old Dominion last Saturday. I expect FIU to not only keep it close, but to win outright in this Florida rivalry game. Take Florida International. T.M. Prediction: 31-27 FIU |
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11-09-19 | Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 38 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M Selection: Iowa/Wisconsin UNDER When people see an OVER/UNDER line in the 30's, the tendency is to jump on the OVER. That's the wrong way of thinking. Truthfully, this one may well finish in the 20's. These are two of the best defenses in the nation. After allowing less than 14 points in their previous game, the total has gone UNDER 4 out of 4 times for Iowa this season. Expect a defensive battle here. T.M. Prediction: 17-14 Iowa |
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11-09-19 | Baylor v. TCU OVER 47.5 | Top | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: TCU/Baylor OVER Both of these two teams are very capable of scoring many points. Baylor comes in unbeaten in eight games so far. They've dominated their opponent in every single matchup. Baylor has averaged 36.375 ppg in each of their games, scoring at least 21 in each of those. On the other hand, TCU has also scored a lot. In eight games, they've averaged 33.375 points per game. The number is low. I like the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 34-31 Baylor |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio UNDER 54.5 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami (OH)/Ohio UNDER First place in the MAC East Conference is at stake on Wednesday night when the Ohio Bobcats welcome their rival Miami-Ohio RedHawks to Peden Stadium. In the past, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of the L10 games between these two teams. They've always locked in on defense and it's almost never high-scoring. Expect that to happen again here. Play the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 17-14 Miami OH |
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11-03-19 | Fresno State v. Hawaii -2.5 | 41-38 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii Hawaii has proven that they can be a strong team so far this season. In the opening week, they upset Arizona in a classic. On the other hand, Fresno State has not been too good. They enter this game with a 3-4 record. I expect the Rainbow Warriors to dominate this game in extraordinary fashion. Take Hawaii in front of their home fans. T.M. Prediction: 44-28 Hawaii |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington The Huskies are off a huge loss against Oregon last week. This week they'll look to rebound against Utah on Saturday afternoon. Coming into this game, Washington is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. On the other hand, Utah hasn't faired well ATS in the past. As a road favorite, the Utes are 38-46 since 1992. This week, I expect the Huskies to rebound bigtime with a huge victory against Utah. Look for QB Jacob Eason to go off on Saturday. Take Washington. T.M. Prediction: 27-10 Huskies |
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11-02-19 | Virginia Tech v. Notre Dame UNDER 58.5 | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ND/VT UNDER Notre Dame is a ridiculous 16-0 SU and 10-6 ATS in their last 16 games at home coming into this matchup. In most of those games, their defense shut down their opponents offense. On the other hand, the total has gone UNDER 59 times out of 108 after a win against a conference rival. I expect both defenses to lock in in this huge game for both teams. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 24-17 ND |
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11-02-19 | Boston College v. Syracuse -3 | 58-27 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Syracuse Coming into this game, the Orange and the Eagles have both had rough patches YTD. Boston College hasn't yet found a way to get going with their passing game as they've been held to just a 54.2 passing completion percentage. I expect the Orange to come out strong and perform well with their home crowd behind them on Saturday Morning. Take the Orange. T.M. Prediction: 31-21 Syracuse |
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11-01-19 | Navy v. Connecticut +27.5 | Top | 56-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection UCONN Connecticut is off a huge beatdown against UMASS last week. They played well and looked confident. On the other hand, Navy has been good but have played some pretty bad teams. In the past, Navy is 9-12 off 4 consecutive victories SU. I expect the Huskies to keep it close on Friday Night. Take Connecticut. T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Navy |
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10-26-19 | Utah State v. Air Force OVER 58.5 | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Air Force/Utah St OVER Both teams enter this matchup with a winning record. Air Force has always been known as a high-scoring team as they've seen the total go OVER 9 out of 13 times when playing in the second half of the season. The OVER is also 18-9 in games played on turf, for Air Force. On the other hand, Utah St has seen the total go OVER in 7 of 10 games as an underdog. I expect those streaks to continue here in this late one. Take the UNDER without a doubt. T.M. Prediction: 38-34 Air Force |
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10-26-19 | Central Florida -10.5 v. Temple | 63-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UCF Central Florida come into this one 19-1 SU in their L20 games against an opponent in the AAC. Although UCF haven't been as good as the Knights in the past have been, they still have a dominant squad. I expect the University of Central Florida to destroy this okay Owls team who are off a double-digit loss to SMU. Take UCF on Saturday Night. T.M. Prediction: 38-17 UCF |
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10-26-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -14.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State This is one of the biggest games of the entire year for both of these top 15 teams. OSU are playing like the best team in the nation right now. Last week, QB Justin Fields threw for another 5 TD's. He now has 30 touchdowns on the season. The Badgers enter this game having lost their last matchup in what may be considered as one of the biggest upsets of the year. It all started to fall apart at halftime for them as they allowed Illinois to get closer and closer. Many may think that they'll for sure bounce back here, but I expect that loss to be still in their heads as they play the always deadly Ohio State team. Look for the Buckeyes to stomp all over the Badgers on Saturday morning. Take OSU. T.M. Prediction: 38-24 OSU |
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10-19-19 | Colorado v. Washington State -12 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: WSU Washington State come into this game with a mind-blowing 15-2 SU record at home in their last 17 games. They are also a dominant 10-6 as a home favorite ranging from 10.5 to 14. On the other hand, the Buffaloes have been pretty bad so far YTD. Dating back to 3 years ago, Colorado is an awful 2-13 after facing B2B opponents from their conference. I expect the Cougars to destroy them here. Take Washington St T.M. Prediction: 45-17 Washington St |
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10-19-19 | Oregon v. Washington OVER 48 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Oregon/Washington OVER You may think that the Oregon Ducks have an amazing defense, and your right. But, the last time they played a ranked team was against Auburn in Wk 1 when they gave up 27 points in their only loss of the season. Washington, has been scoring in bunches this season, as they've scored 40+ points in 4 of 7 games this season. I like them to go for at least 30 in this one while Oregon matches them. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 38-35 Washington |
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10-19-19 | Purdue v. Iowa UNDER 49 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa/Purdue UNDER Iowa has absolutely dominated defensively this season so far as they've held their opponents to a max. of 17 points in each of the first 7 games. The total has also gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games this season. On the other hand, the Boilermakers have seen the total go UNDER in 11 of their L13 road games. I expect the Hawkeyes defense to shut down this Purdue team with ease on Saturday. Look for Iowa to dominate everywhere on the field as the win 27-10 AND for the total to go UNDER comfortably. T.M. Prediction: 27-10 Iowa |
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10-12-19 | Hawaii +13 v. Boise State | 37-59 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors So far YTD, the Rainbow Warriors are off to a dominant 4-1 start with outright upsets over both the Arizona Wildcats and Nevada Wolf Pack. Hawaii is also 4-1 off a blowout upset win by 21+ points as an underdog. On the other hand, the Broncos are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games in the month of October. Even worse, they are a terrible 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games when coming into a game off three straight ATS victories. Expect the Warriors to show up again on Saturday Night. Take Hawaii. T.M. Prediction: 31-30 Boise St |
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10-12-19 | Florida v. LSU OVER 55 | Top | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU/Florida OVER Both of these SEC teams have started this season off perfectly as they are both undefeated. Coming into this game, the Gators have seen the total go OVER in 6 of 8 road games the L3 years. The OVER also has a 7-3 record, when Florida is off a home win. The Tigers have also been seeing high-scoring games in the past. The total has gone OVER in 7 of LSU’s last 8 games, dating back to the end of last season. So far this season, LSU QB Joe Burrow now has a ridiculous 22-3 TD-INT ratio. LSU has now scored at least 42 points in each of their five outings YTD, leading the nation with an incredible average of 54.6 PPG. That number alone is enough for this OVER. The total is way too low here. This one has OVER written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 37-34 LSU |
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10-12-19 | Penn State -3 v. Iowa | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Penn State The Nittany Lions come into this game looking nearly unstoppable. Two weeks ago, they absolutely crushed Maryland in a 59-0 game. Last week, they beat Purdue 35-7 at home. Penn State is now 11-2 SU in its last 13 games in October and 7-3 ATS in its L10 played in October. Iowa is off a loss to Michigan. Expect the Nittany Lions to come out with the fire again as they look to dominate once again. Take Penn State. T.M. Prediction: 39-21 Penn State |
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10-12-19 | Kent State -14 v. Akron | Top | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kent St Coming into this matchup, Akron is winless, while the Golden Flashes are 2-3. In the past, the Zips are 15-24 after allowing 31+ points in 2 straight games. Kent St is now 12-8 as a road favorite. I expect the Golden Flashes to come out strong again as they look to keep the Zips without a win. T.M. Prediction: 38-17 Kent St |
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10-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas OVER 75 | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma/Texas OVER Big-12 games usually find at least the 70+ mark with always a high total line. Here I believe that the line could be even higher. OK QB Jalen Hurts, who has been absolutely dominant this season, is throwing for 1,521 yards and 14 touchdowns and adding 499 yards and seven scores on the ground through the first five games. That's insane. Expect Hurts to destroy his opponent once again as the Sooners help the total go OVER with ease. Play the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 45-37 Oklahoma |
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10-10-19 | UL-Monroe v. Texas State +3 | Top | 24-14 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas State Both teams enter Thursday's matchup with a 2-3 record on the year. The Warhawks have looked out of sink defensively this season, as they've allowed an average of 506.8 total yards. Louisiana-Monroe is also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. On the other hand, Texas St is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Thursday. The Bobcats are also a dominant 8-4 after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. Expect Texas St to come out strong again here. Take the Bobcats. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Texas St |
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10-05-19 | Michigan State +21 v. Ohio State | 10-34 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Michigan St Analysis: Expect the Spartans to give the Buckeyes a scare in this one. I look for them to jump off to a quick start, immediately letting OSU know that this won't be easy. Last year's game was 7-3 at halftime before Buckeyes pulled away in 2nd. This one's higher-scoring but close once again. T.M. Prediction: (1st Half) 17-14 Ohio St |
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10-05-19 | Auburn -2.5 v. Florida | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn (vs. Florida) This is going to be a battle. Two 5-0 SEC Rival teams going at it. Let's start with Florida. Although being perfect, the Gators have yet to face one of the better teams in the nation. Against a conference, the L3 years, Florida has not been too good as they are a sad 7-11. In their last 3 meetings against Auburn, they've fallen short every time, losing by 3 or more in each of those games. Auburn has been great this year, winning every single game AND covering the spread in every single game. In the past, the Tigers are a dominant 11-4 after leading their last 3 games by 10+ points at the half. I expect the Auburn Tigers to come out hungrier than ever before as they look to start the season 6-0 for the first time since 2010. Play Auburn. T.M. Prediction: 31-24 Auburn |
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10-05-19 | Iowa v. Michigan UNDER 48 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 45 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Michigan/Iowa UNDER This will be one of the biggest games of the week, held by two strong Big Ten teams. So far this season, both of these teams have started out of the gate with winning records. Iowa is a perfect 4-0 while Michigan is 3-1. The Hawkeyes, the L3 years, have seen the total go UNDER 10 out of 14 times on the road where the total is in between 42.5 and 49. Thye've also seen the total go UNDER in 24 out of 34 games when off a home blowout win by 28 points or more since 1992. On the other hand, for Michigan, the UNDER is 7-14 after scoring 50 points or more last game. I expect much more of the same to happen here in this Big Ten matchup. Play the UNDER T.M. Prediction: 23-20 Michigan |
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10-05-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech OVER 62.5 | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Texas Tech/Oklahoma State OVER Analysis: My projections are for this game to finish in the mid-high 70s. The reality is, they might get more than that. The Cowboys have already gone over the 50 mark themselves a couple of times. They average 40.8. At home, the Red Raiders are averaging 41.5. Last three total lines in this series were 87.5, 85.5 and 77. This one's too low! T.M. Prediction: 41-35 OKST |
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10-05-19 | Purdue v. Penn State -28.5 | 7-35 | Loss | -101 | 1 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Penn State Analysis: Hey Purdue fans. You ready for a whooping? I'm afraid thats what coming your way today! In addition to being 1-3 overall, Boilers are also only 1-3 against the number this season. They only played one road game and it wasn't as tough a venue as this one. TCU beat them by 21 and that was at Purdue. Lions off 59-0 win at Maryland. Think what they'll do to these guys! T.M. 47-13 (Penn State) |
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10-03-19 | Temple -11.5 v. East Carolina | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Temple Owls The 3-1 Owls enter this game with great energy as they meat with the 3-2 East Carolina team. Temple has looked confident so far as they just picked apart Georgia Tech last Saturday. The Owls are a dominant 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on the road AND they're a sweet 40-19 ATS over their L59 games. On the other hand, East Carolina comes into this one 2-3 ATS YTD. The Pirates have only averaged 21.4 ppg YTD (well over #100 in the nation.) They're also an awful 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games at home. I expect the Owls to pick apart this East Carolina team with ease. Take Temple. T.M. Prediction: 37-17 Temple |
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09-28-19 | Connecticut v. Central Florida -42.5 | 21-56 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UCF (vs. UCONN) Connecticut enters this big matchup with a losing 1-2 record. Last week vs. Indiana, they combined for only 145 total yrds and they failed to score even a touchdown. Now, they'll face a hungry UCF team who is off their first loss of the regular season since the rough 2016 campaign. Central Florida is a wicked 12-3 ATS in the first half of the season the last 3 years. They are also on a sweet 12-4 ATS home game winning streak. Expect the hungrier, smarter, and better team to dominate with their own crowd behind them on Saturday evening. BIG TIME BEATDOWN incoming. T.M. Prediction: 59-3 UCF |
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09-28-19 | Northern Illinois v. Vanderbilt -6 | Top | 18-24 | Push | 0 | 45 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (vs. NIU) I've got to admit, neither teams have looked good this season so far. Northern Illinois has given up 5+ TD's in b2b games as they've just gotten worse and worse as the season continues. Now, they'll play a Vanderbilt team who'll be very hungry for their first win of the 2019-20 campaign. Although losing in each of their games, the Commodores have shown some promise. Last week, they scored 38 points against a great LSU squad who are/were the #4 team in the nation. Expect them to play their guts out on Saturday morning behind their home crowd. T.M. Prediction: 31-13 Vanderbilt |
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09-27-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia Tech (vs. Duke) Over the years, the Hokies are a dominant 13-2 SU against Duke. I look for them to continue that domination on Firday Night. In most of those 15 games, the Hokies were big favorites. Last time the teams met here, VT was favored by 17 points. Now, the point spread isn't even really a factor. Hokies win and get us the cover to boot! This number is small. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-17 VT |
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09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis -10.5 | Top | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis (vs. Navy) T.M. Analysis: We will see the stronger team seize control of this one right away. Tigers have taken on Ole Miss. Navy has faced nothing but lightweights. Tigers, 14-1 straight-up last 15 as a home favorite, recall last year when Navy beat them by 1. They'll step on their throats early. T.M. Prediction: 27-13 (first half) |
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09-21-19 | UCLA v. Washington State OVER 59 | Top | 67-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OVER (UCLA/WSU) Remember when the Pac-12, once known as the Pac-10, used to regularly feature wide-open aerial shootouts? Expect a case of deja vu from tonight's game. Bruins gashed for 48 last week and now face a Mike Leach offense. Will be ugly. They will score though. Cougs defense is suspect. Leach versus Kelly = Over. T.M. Selection: 44-34 WSU |
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09-19-19 | Houston +5.5 v. Tulane | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (vs. Tulane) The line opened with Tulane at -3 and then went up. I agree with the opener. Not the move. These teams are very equally matched, in my estimation. Houston, perhaps, is even the stronger of the two. Homefield isn't worth as much, in this case, as the odds are suggesting. The Cougars won 48-17 at Houston in 2018 and they lost by 3 here in 2017. This one comes down to the wire again. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 34-31 Houston |
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09-14-19 | San Diego State v. New Mexico State +16 | 31-10 | Loss | -107 | 124 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-14-19 | USC v. BYU +5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 119 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: BYU (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-14-19 | Akron +4 v. Central Michigan | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-14-19 | New Mexico +35 v. Notre Dame | 14-66 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-14-19 | Ohio State v. Indiana +16 | 51-10 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-14-19 | NC State v. West Virginia +7.5 | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: WVU (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-14-19 | Maryland v. Temple +8.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Temple (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston +8.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (GAME OF MONTH) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | Nevada v. Oregon -23 | Top | 6-77 | Win | 100 | 123 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Is there ever a “must win” game in Week 2? For the Ducks who were picked by many to win the Pac 12 and who lost 27-21 in Auburn last weekend, it has essentially turned into that for them. Oregon won’t be throwing in the towel on its season yet though. The Ducks still have a shot at a CFP berth, but they need to win and they need to win big. Nevada? It’s primed for a letdown here as well after it upset Purdue 34-31, capped off by a 56 yard field goal as time wound off the clock. Can anyone say letdown spot? The conditions are definitely correct for a home side rout. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas OVER 52.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 123 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LSU/Texas over (8* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) This is a massive non-conference matchup and I believe each side comes out firing. LSU will look to take advantage of a Longhorns defense that’s breaking in some new faces. The Tigers’ offense looked great in its season opening win over Georgia Southern and I think they keep the foot on the gas here as well. Last year LSU won ten games and it was invited to a New Year’s Six bowl. Last week LSU averaged 6.6 yards per play in its 55-3 win over Georgia Southern. Texas won ten games last year as well and it brought back one of the best QB’s in the nation in Sam Ehlinger. With the eyes of the College Football world on this one, look for each team to push the pace from the opening kick off, until the final whistle. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | South Florida +6 v. Georgia Tech | 10-14 | Win | 100 | 117 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (8*) Both teams enter off blowout losses. USF’s Charlie Strong is desperate here though as dating back to last year the Bulls are now 0-7 after a 49-0 blowout loss at home to Wisconsin. Georgia Tech though looked equally as horrible in its 52-14 setback to Clemson. If recent history is any precedence though, then USF has to be liking its chances today because when these teams met last year, it was the Bulls who pulled away for the 49-38 win. Last week USF’s Blake Barnett was only 13 of 30 for 109 yards and two INT’s, but last year vs. Tech he completely dominated. Expect a similar style performance here, as this continues to be a matchup issue for the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech completely re-did its offense in the off-season and I think it’ll once again struggle to keep pace here. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | UAB v. Akron +9.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) UAB comes to town off a 24-19 win over lowly Alabama State, with Tyler Johnston III going for just 114 yards and a TD. Akron won’t be playing with any such satisfaction this weekend though after a 42-3 loss to Illinois in its opener. Kato Nelson had 122 yards passing and an INT. So what do we take from each team’s Week 1 performance? I’m not reading too much into either result. UAB scraped by Alabama State and I think it’ll have its hands full with this determined FBS home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | Army v. Michigan OVER 48 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Army/Michigan over (8*) The Golden Knights and Wolverines are both 1-0 after Week 1. Both teams however come off sloppy performances last weekend and because of that, I’m expecting a much more wide open affair this time around. Michigan had its hands full with MTSU, making several mistakes on both sides of the ball and while it did eventually pull away for a sizeable victory, clearly the Wolverines can’t be happy. Army on the other hand was a big favorite vs. Rice last weekend, but it only managed a 14-7 win. Army gave up 181 yards on the ground last week to the Owls and I look for this determined home side to hit that weakness early and often. From an overall situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up as a “shootout” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | Vanderbilt v. Purdue -7.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (8*) Both teams are 0-1. Vandy fell to Georgia, while Purdue was upset in Nevada. The late game had an effect on the Boilermakers, but they’re now back home for a noon EST contest and I think the shift in venue will be a big difference maker. Vanderbilt has plenty of talent, but it’s defense is a big question mark for me. Purdue turned the ball over a whopping six times in last week’s loss, but still almost won. Expect the Boilermakers to clear up their act and to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-07-19 | West Virginia v. Missouri OVER 62.5 | Top | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: WVU/Missouri over (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Neither team is happy about its Week 1 performance and because of that, I believe each will open up the playbook in Week 2, which will in turn help in pushing this total over the number sooner, rather than later. WVU scraped by FCS opponent James Madison 20-13, while Missouri fell 37-31 at Wyoming. WVU has a powerful run game that’s led by Kennedy McKoy and Leddie Brown. Mountaineers’ QB Austin Kendall was 27 of 43 last weekend. Bryant was 31 of 48 for 423 yards for the Tigers and I think he’ll have plenty of opportunity vs. WVU at home. When you add it all up and based strictly from a “situational” stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as a “shootout.” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-06-19 | CS Sacramento +33.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 101 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento State (10*) The Sun Devils rolled to an easy victory in Week 1 over Kent State and in Week 2, they face an even weaker opponent. No outright here, but I do think this one sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for Arizona State. And that’s because I find it impossible for Herm Edwards and the home side to not already be planning for a road tilt at No. 18 Michigan State in Week 3. The Hornets destroyed Southern Oregon 77-19 in Week 1 and while it was just an NAIA program, they still come in with confidence and momentum. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-06-19 | Marshall v. Boise State UNDER 55 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marshall/Boise State under (10*) From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up beautifully as a lower-scoring under. Marshall was untested in Week 1, easily rolling to victory over FCS opposition VMI. But now the Herd face a Boise State which comes in off a season opening upset win for the ages over Florida State. The Broncos looked incredible on the defensive end and I think they’re going to carry that momentum over here. As I stated off the top, I think from a situational stand point, looking at each team and what it did last weekend, that this weekend’s contest definitely sets up as more of a “chess match,” than a high-scoring “shootout.” Additionally note that Marshall has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 20 as a road dog in the 7.5 to 14 points range, while Boise State has seen the total go under in nine of its last 11 as a home favorite. Play the under. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +18.5 | 41-21 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rice (9*) They say defense wins championships. That said, you have to score to win though. Rice didn’t look very good last weekend on the offensive side of things in its 14-7 loss to the Golden Knights in Week 1, but the Owls were tremendous defensively. Wake Forest allowed over 400 yards passing in its 38-35 come from behind to stave off a massive upset over Utah State in Week 1. The Demon Deacons posted 587 yards of offense, but averaged only 4.6 yards per play. The Owls offense benefits from friendly confines and while I’m not going to call for an outright upset, the conditions are definitely right for another “nail biter” in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville +20.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 1353 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (GAME OF THE YEAR) I’m not calling for the outright victory, but I do believe that the stage is set for a much closer than expected battle. Notre Dame has a lot to live up to this season after posting 12 victories a year ago, including a par of 24-17 victory over Michigan and USC. The Irish’s season came to a crashing halt in the Cotton Bowl though, falling 30-3 to eventual Champion Clemson. Many key players return for Notre Dame, but there’s no question that the Irish lost a lot from last year’s squad in the offseason as well. The good news for Louisville fans? It’s practically impossible for this year’s team to do worse that last season’s (2-10). But Louisville has a new head coach in Scott Satterfield and I think he’ll have his team prepared to fight today. Notre Dame has the advantage with Ian Book under center, but his lines on both sides of the ball are a work in progress to open the season and I think that’s going to be the small opening that Louisville can use to keep this one competitive. Bryan Brown is the new defensive coordinator in Louisville and he is the beneficiary of seven returning starters. Louisville QB Jawon Pass now has a fall year under his belt and I think he’s going to be dramatically different in his second season in this offense. I believe the Irish come out flat to start and because of that, I’ll ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Louisville. T.M. Prediction: 33-24 Notre Dame. |
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09-01-19 | Houston +26 v. Oklahoma | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 1329 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (10* CASH-MACHINE!) No outright victory, but Houston has the offense in place to keep pace. The Cougars have a dynamic play-making QB in D’Eriq King, who I think has a big advantage over Oklahoma transfer Jalen Hurts, who has plenty of weapons around him, but whose defense is still a big question mark (also note that Oklahoma brings back just one starter on the offensive line.) I think this one is going to come down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-31-19 | New Mexico State v. Washington State UNDER 64.5 | Top | 7-58 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State/WSU under (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) The Aggies averaged only 25.2 PPG last year, while conceding 41.3. New Mexico State is expected to be much better defensively though with its entire line returning and the unit led by standout Javahn Ferguson. WSU averaged 37.5 PPG last year and it allowed only 23.3. I have a hard time seeing the Aggies mustering much of offensive attack today vs. this experienced WSU secondary. This total is much too high in my opinion, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 41-15 WSU. |
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08-31-19 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | Top | 30-14 | Loss | -105 | 1305 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) It’s an important conference matchup right out of the gate for both teams and I don’t think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. Last year the Cavs were 8-5, but it lost at home to Pittsburgh and it lost three of its last four regular season contests. Pittsburgh went on to win the Coastal Division, but it fell apart down the stretch, losing to Clemson in the ACC Championship game and then 14-13 to Stanford in the Sun Bowl. Bryce Perkins is back under center for the Cavs and he had 2,680 rushing yards and 25 TD passes, along with 923 rushing yards and nine more rushing TD’s. The Cavs offensive line though is a weak point with seniors Marcus Applefield and Jake Fieler having moved on. Kenny Pickett is back as QB for the Panthers after finishing with 12 TD’s and six INT’s. The offensive line is s question mark as well for Pittsburgh, but its defense is the difference maker in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-31-19 | South Carolina v. North Carolina +7.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 1301 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (9* BANKROLL BUILDER) After back-to-back nine loss campaigns, UNC went out and hired Mack Brown. South Carolina will prove a stiff season opening test with QB Jake Bentley back for his senior season. USC was 26th in the country in passing last year, but only 92nd in running the ball. That’s good news for UNC, as it struggled against the run last season, but was stout vs. the pass. Sam Howell will start for UNC and he has plenty of weapons at his disposal both in the back field and at receiver. I think the hire of Brown is significant in helping UNC making big strides this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-31-19 | East Carolina +20 v. NC State | 6-34 | Loss | -109 | 1298 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (8* BLACK-LABEL) East Carolina has the advantage at QB with Holton Ahlers, who had 1,785 passing yards and 12 TD’s compared to just three INT’s last season. But Ahlers was just as deadly with his feet, finishing with 592 rushing yards and six major scores. The Pirates also have two very strong RB’s in Darius Pinnix and Hussein Howe. NC State is starting with a new QB and two new RB’s. The home side has the advantage in the trenches, but I think Ahlers keeps his team in this one late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-31-19 | Ball State +17 v. Indiana | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 1298 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8* MONEY-MAKER) Non-conference football action live from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Saturday and I think the Hoosiers make the most of this season opening “cream puff.” Indiana started the year 3-0, but it finished just 5-7 and clearly it’ll be hungry to punch eligibility this season. Peyton Ramsey is back under center for the Hoosiers and last year he had 2,875 passing yards and 19 TD’s. Overall Indiana allowed 29.9 PPG and it averaged 26.4. Last year the Ball State Cardinals allowed 45 PPG and they averaged 24.2. Ball State finished 4-8 last year and it starts a new QB and RB to open the new season. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-30-19 | Purdue -8.5 v. Nevada | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 1283 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (8*) Purdue was 6-7 in 2018, while Nevada went 8-5. The Boilermakers went 0-3 out of the gate last year, so recovered well, which led to a bowl berth in the end. Nevada went to the Arizona Bowl and defeated Arkansas State. Purdue averaged just under 30 PPG last season though and I believe it carries over that offensive momentum here in this favorable matchup. Elijah Sindelar had 2,547 passing yards with 20 TD’s last year for the Boilermakers. Nevada though has a new face under center this season in Christian Solano, who was 23 of 45 for 200 yards in limited time last season (note though, Solano just suffered a hand injury, which has forced the Wolfpack to go to Carson Strong to open the campaign.) Look for the better led Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3 | 35-38 | Push | 0 | 1282 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-30-19 | Tulsa +21.5 v. Michigan State | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 1281 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (8*) Tulsa doesn’t have a great history of success, having posted more than six victories in a season just once in the past six years. MSU was just 7-6 last year, but it’s predicted to do much better this season. That said, I think the stage is set for a bit of a mental lapse on opening night. Definitely no outright upset, but I think the improved Golden Hurricane can make this much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Note that the Spartans actually dropped three of their last four games last year, scoring only six points in each of those setbacks. Tulsa has a powerful weapon in RB Shamari Brooks, who ranked second in the AAC last year in rushing attempts and play from scrimmage. MSU allowed the fewest yards per game on the ground last year, but I think they’ll have their hands full with Brooks. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a solid back door cover. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +6.5 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -110 | 1260 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The outright win is of course not out of the question, but in this Holy War, I’m going to ultimately recommend to grab the points. 15 returning starters are back for Utah, and it’s been picked by many to win the Pac 12 this year. The defense is stout and the offense should only be better with QB Tyler Huntley back, along with RB Zack Moss. BYU actually had a 20 point lead over the Utes in the third quarter in last year’s instalment between the schools, but it wound up falling 35-27. The “revenge” factor also definitely comes into play here for the home side. BYU has a powerful new RB in Ty-Son Williams, who came over from South Carolina after posting 799 yards and five major scores on 165 carries. Grab the points and expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-29-19 | Florida International +3 v. Tulane | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 1258 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida International (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly an outright upset isn’t out of the question here. FIU is led by veteran coach Butch Davis, who has come in and won 17 games over his last two years. The Panthers weren’t over ally dominant on the offensive end, but they limited teams to just 194.1 YPG game through the air (just 25.2 points per game allowed.) Tulane was 7-6 and they averaged 218.2 rushing YPG. But FIU looks good to me with QB James Morgan back, as he had 26 TD passes last year, including completing 65% of his passes overall. The Green Wave have a strong defense, but the offense is once again expected to underwhelm. Justin McMillian is back under center for the Green Wave and he completed only 51.3 percent of his passes in 2018. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-29-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 14-24 | Loss | -100 | 1257 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UCLA (8* UPSET SPECIAL) UCLA opens up its second season under head coach Chip Kelly and I think the Bruins have a prime opportunity at the outright upset here (that said, I will be ultimately advising everyone to grab as many points as you can.) Luke Fickell and the Cincinnati Bearcats had a breakout 11-win season last year, which started with a victory over these very Bruins. UCLA only managed 17 points in that one, but the Bruins finished up the year strong and they return many key players. But a big difference between last year’s team and this one is the emergence of RB Joshua Kelley, who racked up 1,243 yards and nine TD’s over the final stretch. UCLA’s defense should improve significantly this season as well. The Bearcats have plenty of weapons as well (RB Michael Warren II and QB Desmond Ridder), but after last year’s letdown, I think UCLA will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-24-19 | Arizona -11.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -100 | 1140 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think Arizona comes in focused on the task at hand and I look for it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Khalil Tate is back to 100% health for the Wildcats and after finishing 5-7 in Kevin Sumiln’s first year as head coach, I’m expecting a dramatic reverse of fortunes this season. Conversely, after finishing 8-6 last year, I believe regression is imminent for the Warriors. True Cole McDonald is back under center for Hawaii, but I believe he’ll have difficult vs. this re-vamped Arizona defensive unit. The last time these teams faced off against each other, the Wildcats won 47-28 in 2016 and I believe a similar lop-sided blowout is in the card this time around as well. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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08-24-19 | Florida -7 v. Miami-FL | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 1137 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida (8*) No. 8 Florida looks to kick things off with a winner on Opening night. Dan Mullen went 10-3 in his first year for the Gators, leading them to a win over Michigan in the Peach Bowl. With veteran QB Feleipe Franks back under center, the Gators once again looking promising in 2019. True Florida features four new players on the offensive line, but for the most part the offensive weapons remain in tact for Franks. Miami though is just 1-4 as an underdog the last two season and I believe first year QB Jarren Williams struggles vs. the aggressive Florida secondary. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Florida. |
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08-24-19 | Florida v. Miami-FL OVER 50.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -107 | 1137 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Over Florida/Miami Florida (8*) No. 8 Florida looks to kick things off with a winner on Opening night. Dan Mullen went 10-3 in his first year for the Gators, leading them to a win over Michigan in the Peach Bowl. With veteran QB Feleipe Franks back under center, the Gators once again looking promising in 2019. True Florida features four new players on the offensive line, but for the most part the offensive weapons remain in tact for Franks. Miami though is just 1-4 as an underdog the last two season and I believe first year QB Jarren Williams struggles vs. the aggressive Florida secondary. I also believe that the Hurricanes are going to have their hands full with Frank, who will be looking to alleviate the pressure of his line by dominating from the “get go.” This one has “shootout” written all over in my opinion, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Florida. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 132 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* TRADE-MARK) The two best teams in the country meet for a fourth straight year in the National Championship Game. Alabama leads the all time series 14-4 and it’s taken 14 of the last 15 in the series. That includes a 24-6 win in last year’s Sugar Bowl. To say the Tigers play with revenge would be an understatement obviously. But now Clemson has both the offense and defense to steal this one outright. The Tigers only allow 12.6 PPG (which is good because the Tide are second in the country in scoring with 47.7 PPG). The Tide defense looked pretty average in its 45-35 win over Oklahoma last week and I think that Tigers’ freshman QB Trevor Lawrence, who had 327 passing yards with three TD’s and no INT’s will have his opportunities today as well. Note as well that the Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine bowl games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-29 Clemson. |
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01-01-19 | Texas +13.5 v. Georgia | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas (10* GAME OF MONTH) Texas is 9-4 and it’s thrilled to be back in a New Years Day 6 game for the first time since 2014. The Bulldogs though are once again devastated after their loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship game. The Longhorns fell 39-27 to Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game, but QB Sam Ehlinger was a bright spot with 349 passing yards and two TD’s, along with two more rushing scores as well. Georgia is led by QB Jake room, who had 2,537 passing yards and a 27/5 TD:INT, but note that the Bulldogs are still just 2-3 ATS in their last five non-conference games. The Longhorns on the other hand a 4-0 ATS in their last four as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Georgia. |
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01-01-19 | Iowa v. Mississippi State OVER 41 | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Iowa/Mississippi State (10* TOTAL OF MONTH!) These two teams are hungry for a win. The Hawkeyes went 8-4 overall and 4-4 in league play. Mississippi State went 8-4 overall and 4-4 in the SEC. Iowa QB Nate Stanley will be given the green light today and he finished with a solid season, 2,638 passing yard with 23 TD’s and nine INT’s. Overall Iowa averages 31.5 PPG and it allows 17.4. Mississippi State averages 29.1 PPG and it allows just 12.0. Bulldogs’ QB Nick Fitzgerald had 1,018 rushing yards and 12 TDs on the ground. These are two defensive minded clubs, but with extra time off to prepare, I think it’ll be these competent offensive players which “steal the show.” Additionally note that Iowa has seen the total go over the number in all three games it’s played in this year as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Mississippi State. |
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12-31-18 | NC State +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -129 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NC State (10* TRADE-MARK) In a game which I think’ll be decided by whichever of these talented schools has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend to grab the points. NC State comes in on top form with three straight wins. Texas A&M also won its final three games of the year. Both teams will be missing a few players due to the draft. NC State will be leaning on QB Ryan Finley, who had 3,789 passing yards and 24 passing TD’s. The A&M secondary was terrible, allowing 262.7 YPG through the air. The Aggies will in fact be down some key players on the defensive side of the ball, including LB Otaro Alaka and safety Donovan Wilson. Note as well that the Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range. As mentioned off the top, this one has “war” written all over it. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Aggies. |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -6 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) In all honesty, I think the 6-6 Hokies would admit themselves that they shouldn’t be in this bowl vs. the 10-2 Bearcats. Cincinnati got smashed by UCF on November 17th, but it would close its season with a resounding 56-6 thumping of East Carolina. Bearcats’ QB Desmond Ridder has 2,359 passing yards and a 19/5 TD:INT. Cincinnati is especially potent in the run game, averaging 238.1 YPG. But the Bearcats are best on the defensive side of the ball, ranked seventh in the nation by allowing only 16.1 PPG. VT has Ryan Willis under center and he finished with 2,497 yards with a 22/8 TD:INT. But note that the Bearcats are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, while VT is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on field turf. BLOWOUT! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-19 Cincinnati. |
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12-29-18 | Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama | Top | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 490 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (10* BOWL SIDE OF YEAR) Am I calling for an outright upset? I am not. However I think that the 12-1 Sooners have the offense to put enough pressure on the Tide to keep this one more competitive than what Vegas would like us to believe. Oklahoma enters off a 39-27 win over Texas in the Big 12 Championship Game, while Alabama defeated No. 4 Georgia 34-27 in the SEC Championship. Oklahoma is the No. 1 offense in the league with 49.5 PPG, while the defense allows 32.4. Alabama averaged 47.9 PPG and it allowed only 14.8. Note that Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last six when playing on two weeks or more of rest, while Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last six non-conference games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 45-37 Bama. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 55 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 486 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Irish/Tigers under (10* BOWL TOTAL OF YEAR) With more than three whole weeks off to game-plan for this one, I think these elite defensive units battle each other tight, which will in turn result in this total staying below the posted number. Both teams are unbeaten. Notre Dame finished 12-0 and in its finale vs. USC, QB Ian Book had 352 yards, two TD’s and an INT in the 24-17 win. The Tigers get the job done on the defensive side of the ball as well. In their ACC Title clinching 42-10 win over Pittsburgh the Tigers’ defense had three sacks and nine tackles for a loss. Clemson has seen the total go under in seven of their last nine neutral site affairs following a three weeks or more layoff, while the Irish have seen the total dip under in four of their last five neutral site games. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 27-14 Clemson. |
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12-28-18 | Iowa State +3 v. Washington State | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa State (10* MONEY-MAKER) It’s the No. 24 Iowa State Cyclones vs. the No. 13 Washington Huskies and I smell an upset. Iowa State started slowly, but it’s since won seven of its last eight, including two straight. WSU comes in dejected, relegated to the Alamo Bowl after a disappointing 28-15 home loss to Washington in the Apple Cup. These two teams closed their respective regular seasons on completely opposite ends of the spectrum, and I think that carries over here. The Cyclones average 26.8 PPG and they allow 22.5. “We’re as healthy as we’ve been,” Coach Matt Campbell said. “That time off that we took for us was really, really important. I really feel like we’ll be 100 percent going into this bowl game.” WSU averages 38.3 PPG and it allows 23.1. Note though that Iowa State is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 as an underdog, while WSU is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing with two weeks or more of rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 ISU. |
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12-27-18 | Vanderbilt -3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (10* MONEY-MAKER) Baylor and Vanderbilt became bowl eligible late, but I think Vanderbilt has the momentum here. Also note that the Bears will be without star receiver Jalen Hurd, who played through a knee injury in his team’s 35-24 win over Texas Tech in its regular season finale, a victory which made it eligible. Note though that the Bears have turned in a Big 12 worst turnover margin of minus-9 and they’ve given up 37 sacks total, which is worst in the conference as well. Vandy on the other hand comes in with a lot of momentum with back-to-back wins to end the year over Ole Miss and Tennessee. The Commodores have a potent one-two punch on offense to between RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn (who had an SEC best 6.95 rushing yards per attempt) and QB Kyle Shurmur (23 passing TDs). Note as well that the Bears are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, while Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Vandy. |
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12-26-18 | TCU v. California UNDER 39 | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 37 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: TCU/Cal under (10* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Neither team had a great year. Both teams are above average defensively and poor offensively. With three weeks off in between games, I think these trends become amplified, as I look for the defenses to complete dominate the headlines of this one. Cal averages 22.8 PPG and it allows 21.2. TCU averages 24.7 PPG and it allows 24.4. Note as well that TCU has seen the total go under the number in its last four off two straight wins vs. conference rivals, while Cal has seen the total go under in its last five after scoring 14 points or less in its previous game. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 17-10 Cal. |
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12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech +1 v. Hawaii | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 34 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Tech (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) It’s a clash of two styles. LT was 7-5 and Hawaii finished 8-5. The Warriors average over 32 PPG, while LT hold opponents to under 24. Hawaii is just 4-3 all time in the Hawaii Bowl, proving that home field doesn’t mean much in this situation. Louisiana Tech though is 5-1 ATS in its last six bowl games, while the Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games and just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 vs. teams with winning records. I’m grabbing the points but expecting an upset. T.M. Prediction: 33-28 Bulldogs. |
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12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Bulls finished 10-3 and the Trojans were 9-3. Buffalo will be extra angry here as it looks to atone for a 30-29 loss to NIU in the MAC title game, a contest in which it held a 29-10 lead at one point. Bulls’ QB Tyree Jackson will be given the green light after posting 2,857 passing yards and a 27/11 TD:INT. Buffalo is also strong rushing, ranked 45th in the FBS. In the end the Bulls averaged 34.8 PPG and allowed 24.7. Troy averaged just 29.8 PPG and it allowed 21.2. The Trojans are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven vs. the MAC though, while Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. With a few weeks off to prepare, I like the Bulls’ offense to win out over Troy’s tough defense. Play on Buffalo. T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Bulls. |
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12-21-18 | Florida International v. Toledo -4.5 | Top | 35-32 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo (10* MONEY-MAKER) FIU was 8-4 and Toledo was 7-5. FIU averages 34.6 PPG and it allows 24.7. James Morgan has 2,727 yards and a 26/7 TD:INT. The Rockets averaged a whopping 41.1 PPG and they allowed 30.2. Eli Peters had 1,573 passing yards and 15/7 TD:INT. The Rockets though were money in the bank for bettors in the spot, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing less then 275 total yards in their previous game, while the Golden Panthers are a poor 0-5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 37-21 Rockets. |
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12-20-18 | Marshall -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marshall (10* BOWL MONEY-MAKER) What’s to like about USF here? The Bulls opened the year 7-0, but then a combination of injury and bad luck saw USF back into the bowl season on five straight losses. The Herd finished 8-4 and they’ve won their last six bowl appearances. The Bulls feature a strong run game with Johnny Ford and Jordan Cronkrite, but the uncertainty surrounding starting QB Blake Barnett is a major concern here in my opinion. If he can play, one has to wonder about his health and if he’s really at 100% capacity? The combination of Brett Kean and Chris Oladokun went for 113 passing yards in USF’s season-ending loss to UCF. Note as well that Marshall is 21-8-1 ATS in its last 30 non-conference games. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Herd. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State OVER 53.5 | Top | 27-0 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Over Frisco Bowl (10*) SDSU is 13-0-1 all time vs. MAC schools. That run may continue here, but the Bobcats won’t be going down without a fight. The Bobcats rely heavily on the run game and star RB AJ Ouellette, who had 1,142 rushing yards and 12 TD’s. He had 196 yards rushing and three TD’s in the Bobcats win over Buffalo in their most recent action. SDSU didn’t have the best season, but that was due mostly to injuries. But with starting QB Christian Chapman and starting RB Juwan Washington back in the mix, the Aztecs will be looking to rebound here and try to salvage a disappointing season. It sets up great for more of an offensive affair in my opinion. Also note that Ohio has seen the total go over in three of its last four when playing with two weeks of rest. Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Ohio. |
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