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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +6 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Warriors are starting to “hit their stride,” and the Clippers are starting to scuffle. LA enters off a 129-109 defeat at home to Utah, while the Warriors enter off a 147-140 win over New Orleans. The Clippers are the “hungrier” team though and they also play with the added incentive of “revenge” after falling 129-127 to the Warriors in Golden State back on December 23rd. DeMarcus Cousins makes his season debut tonight for the Warriors and it’s reported that he’ll be moved immediately into the starting the line-up. What will this do to the chemistry the defending champs are enjoying right now? Overall I think from a situational stand point that this one sets up fantastically for the home side. Note as well that GS is already just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite of six points or less, while LA is 7-1 ATS vs. the division and 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 point or more in. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 122-120 LA |
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01-17-19 | 76ers v. Pacers -3 | Top | 120-96 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Pacers. |
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01-17-19 | NC-Wilmington +12.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NC Wilmington (10* MONEY-MAKER) Outright victory? Very doubtful. However, I think the hungry 7-11 UNCW Seahawks will keep this one interesting vs. the 15-3 Pride. Could anyone blame Hofstra coming in even a tiny bit complacent here after 12 straight wins? The Seahawks lost six straight, but since then they’ve won three of their last four and I think they can catch the home side a tiny bit complacent. The Seahawks average 77 PPG, while allow 80.4. The Pride average 81.9 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Clearly Hofstra is the better team, but the Seahawks won’t be rolling over and they come in looking much improved after a slow start as well. Additionally note that the Seahawks are already 4-1 ATS this year vs. conference opponents, while the Pride are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after two straight wins vs. conference rivals. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 83-75 Pride. |
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01-16-19 | Jazz +2 v. Clippers | Top | 129-109 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Jazz enter off a solid 100-94 win at home over Detroit on Monday, while the Clippers look poised for another letdown here in my opinion after their 121-117 loss at home to the Pelicans on Monday. This is the first meeting between the clubs this season. Utah enters having won four straight and they’ll be eager to avoid a letdown here as they hit the road. The Jazz average 107.8 PPG and they allow 105. LA got out to an unpredictably fantastic start to the 2018/19 campaign, but I think clearly it’s now predictably starting to fall apart. The Clippers have lost three straight after the crummy loss to the Pelicans. LA averages 115.3 PPG, but it allows 114.3. Note as well that LA is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 100 points in its previous game, while the Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Jazz. |
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01-16-19 | Utah State v. San Jose State +18.5 | Top | 81-63 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Jose State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m clearly not calling for an outright victory, but I think that the lowly Spartans come in “under the radar” here. The Utah State Aggies have been alternating wins and losses in each of their last seven games after a 71-55 win over Wyoming last time out. Utah State averages 78.5 PPG an fit allows 65.3 San Jose State will be desperate to break a six game slide after falling 87-64 to Boise State last time out. The Spartans average 67 PPG and they allow 73. However take note that Utah State is just 4-5 ATS this year after a win by 15 points or more. Also note that SJ State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home underdog of 15.5 points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-66 Utah State. |
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01-15-19 | Warriors -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 142-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The 29-14 Warriors are on the road to face the 29-13 Nuggets and I believe that the defending champs will be out to send a message here. Both teams come in hot and on win streaks. Golden State averages 117.4 PPG and it allows 111.7. Denver averages just 110.4 PPG, while allowing only 105.5. Golden State plays with revenge here after losing to the Nuggets earlier in the year though (that was without Steph Curry in the line-up) and note that it’s 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a close loss vs. an opponent of three points or less. Clearly Denver has exceeded all expectations to this point this year, but note that it’s a poor 4-10 ATS in its last 14 off a home no covers where the team won straight up as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Warriors. |
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01-15-19 | Davidson v. St. Joe's +3.5 | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. Joseph’s (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s desperation time for St. Joe’s, which is looking to break a four-game slide. Davidson though looks primed for a letdown after three straight wins in my opinion. St. Joe’s returns home focused and hungry after consecutive road losses to Duquesne and St. Bonaventure. Davidson has the three game win streak, but after going into the half with a lead vs. VSU last time out, the Wildcats nearly stumbled in the second. The Hawks fought tooth and nail on the road vs. the Dukes, but came up short in the 85-84 setback. Charlie Brown was a bright spot in a losing cause with 28 points, four boards, two assists and two blocks. I’ll point out as well that Davidson is just 1-3 ATS in true road games this year, while St. Joe’s is still 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of six points or less or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-69 St. Joes. |
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01-14-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Oklahoma State has lost six straight in this series, but I expect that streak to end tonight. Baylor comes in off a 73-68 loss to Kansas. It was the first time the Bears played without forward Tristan Clark, who was lost to the season to injury. I think Baylor struggles again here without Clark in the line-up. The Cowboys though are moving in the opposite direction. After starting the conference schedule with two straight loss, OKS has won two straight. Note that OKS is 7-3 ATS in its last 12 vs. the conference, while Baylor is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six away from friendly confines. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Oklahoma State. |
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01-14-19 | Celtics v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* MONEY-MAKER) While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, I’m going to grab the points in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. The Celtics come off a 105-103 road loss in Orlando and I think it’ll stumble here as well against this vastly improved Nets side. And to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as Boston has won ten straight in the dries, including a 116-95 home rout in the most recent on January 7th. Boston averages 111.9 PPG and it allows 105.6. Brooklyn averages 110.7 PPG and it allows 111.5. Note though that Boston is already a poor 3-7 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less, while Brooklyn is already 17-10 ATS this season trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Nets. |
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01-13-19 | Cavs +9.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Cavaliers have struggled without LeBron James in their line-up. No big surprise there though. Kevin Love played a few games and he’s been out with injury every since. There’s some talent left on the Cavs and while they won’t have to face James here, the remaining teammates will still want to try and send some sort of feeble message here. The Lakers though have also struggled without James in the line-up for the most part, as The King remains out with injury. The Cavs have struggled to put points on the board this year, but the Lakers have struggled to keep teams from scoring. Cleveland is 3-1 ATS this season off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, while LA is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-107 Lakers. |
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01-13-19 | Drake v. Northern Iowa | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Drake opened its non-conference schedule by going 12-2. The Bulldogs opened conference play with two straight losses, but they come in off an 82-70 win over Southern Illinois. Drake enters scoring 107.8 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 103.9 points per 100 possessions. However note that since conference play has started the defensive adjustments goes to 108.1 per 100 possessions. NIU has dropped two straight conference contests, so it clearly won’t be lacking motivation tonight in front of the home town crowd. Overall the Panthers are averaging 98.2 points per 100 possessions, while allowing just 102.3 points per 100 possessions. However, the offensive numbers are skewed as the Panthers play at one of the slowest paces in the nation, averaging just 65.6 possessions per game, utilizing a half court offense most of the time. Note that Drake is just 2-4 ATS in its last six as a road dog of six points or less or pick, while NIU is 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close road loss of three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 72-66 Northern Iowa. |
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01-12-19 | Hofstra v. Elon +12 | Top | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Elon (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m not predicting that the 5-13 Elon Phoenix will take this one outright over the 14-3 Hofstra Pride, but I do think that the hungry home side can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Hofstra’s won 11 games in a row and complacency has to be setting in at this point. The Pride were pushed to the breaking point in their last game as well, needing triple OT to knock off William & Mary on Thursday. The Phoenix on the other hand enter off three straight losses, most recently to Northeastern. I think Elon is clearly the “hungrier” team in this matchup. Hofstra comes in exhausted. Note as well that the Pride are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight victories by six points or less, while Elon is 12-5 ATS in is last 17 after allowing 80 points or more in its previous outing. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-70 Hofstra. |
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01-12-19 | Grizzlies v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the Heat will find a way to protect home court and I look for them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Memphis enters off a highly satisfying 96-86 home win over San Antonio and I think it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in this difficult non-conference road venue. Miami on the other hand broke a slide with a convincing 115-99 home win over the Celtics and I think the home side keeps the foot on the gas here. Miami beat Memphis 100-97 on the road back in early December, but I’m expecting a much bigger blowout here. The Grizz average only 100.9 PPG, while allowing 102.5. The Heat average 106.5 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Grizz are 0-6 ATS in their last six vs. the East, while Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following an ATS victory. T.M. Prediction: 106-90 Heat. |
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01-11-19 | Hornets +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 96-127 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER). After losing six of their last nine, we don’t have to question the resolve or focus of the Hornets tonight. Overall Charlotte is averaging 112.9 PPG and allowing 112.4. Portland comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having won seven of its last ten. The Blazers are averaging 111.5 PPG and they’re allowing 110. Suffice it to say, despite their overall recent form, I think these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. And their season long numbers support that. I’ll also argue that the the Hornets are the much “hungrier” team between the two considering their recent form. Additionally note that Charlotte is already 3-1 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games, while Portland is just 2-3 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. I think the home side leaves the back door open. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-111 Blazers. |
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01-11-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m banking on a minor upset here. This one features two of the best players in the country in Wisconsin’s Ethan Happ and Purdue’s Carsen Edwards. But Purdue won’t be lacking motivation and focus tonight after starting the conference part of its portion with a fourth straight road loss, most recently falling 77-59 at sixth-ranked MSU on Tuesday. The Badgers broke a two-game slide with a 71-52 win over Penn State on Sunday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. Additionally note that Purdue is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 after having won two of its last three games, while Wisconsin is just 1-9 ATS in its last ten after playing a game as a road favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-67 Boilermakers. |
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01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat +1 | Top | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK) There’s no need to over think this one in my opinion. The Celtics have been playing a lot better, but after a big home win over the Pacers (who were playing the second game of a back to back after a big win in the first), I believe the visitors will suffer a classic “letdown” here. Miami won’t be lacking for motivation here either after a lacklustre 103-99 home loss to the Nuggets. Note that the C’s are just 2-4 in the second game of a back-to-back scenario already this year, averaging just 105 points in those contests. Boston also allows 109.5 PPG in those games (normally they average 111.9 on the season and allow 105.3). Additionally note that Boston is just 3-6 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Miami is 4-2 ATS this season as a home dog of six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Heat. |
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01-09-19 | Rhode Island v. Richmond +1 | Top | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Rhode Island looks primed for another letdown here in my opinion after it’s 60-53 road loss to Saint Louis in its previous action. Richmond is looking to bounce back as well after a poor 72-48 loss to Dayton on Sunday. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Spiders after the Rams posted the 85-67 home win in the lone meeting last year. Rhode Island is just 1-3 on the road. The Rams average 70.1 PPG and they allow 65.2. Richmond returns home after two straight on the road and I think it’ll make the most of friendly confines. The Spiders are 4-4 at home and they average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.1. Note though that the Rams are already just 3-5 ATS as a favorite this season and 0-5 ATS on the road, while Richmond is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in its previous contest. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 Richmond. |
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01-08-19 | Hawks +14.5 v. Raptors | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER) I’m not predicting an outright victory, but I think that the hungry visiting side can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. ATL has been playing better of late, snapping a three-game slide with a convincing 106-82 destruction of the Heat. I think the Hawks carry that momentum over here. Toronto comes in off a satisfying 121-105 home win over Indiana on Sunday. Not surprisingly this is a “revenge” game for the Hawks, who have lost five straight in the series, including the first one this year 124-108 on November 21st. Overall ATL averages 109.1 PPG, while allowing 117.6. Toronto though is just 9-11 ATS at home. The Raptors average 113.4 PPG and they allow 108. The Hawks though are already 6-2 ATS this season trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Toronto. |
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01-08-19 | Brown v. Canisius +1.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) After four straight wins, I think that the Brown Bears suffer a predictable letdown here. The Golden Griffins come in on top form as well though, having won back to back games, most recently a come from behind 70-66 victory over Siena on Saturday. Clearly these teams are evenly matched, a sentiment shared by the bookmakers. But the difference comes in the trends/numbers today, as note that Canisius is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off an upset win as a road dog, while Brown is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after four or more SU wins. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Canisius. |
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01-07-19 | Magic v. Kings -5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) This is a tough spot for Orlando and I think it’ll predictably stumble here. After falling at Minnesota, the Magic collapsed and lost last night to the Clippers as well. Sacramento on the other hand was competitive in a 127-123 home loss to Golden State on Saturday. If recent history is any precedence, then the Kings have to be loving their chances today as they easily handled the Magic in Orlando 107-99 earlier in the year. Overall the Magic average 103.6 PPG, while allowing 107.2. The Kings are averaging 115.2 PPG, and they’re allowing 117. Sacramento though is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with losing records, while Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. T.M. Prediction: 117-105 Sacramento. |
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01-06-19 | Nets v. Bulls +2 | Top | 117-100 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (10* TRADE-MARK) The Nets have been better than advertised this year, but I think they stumble here after their satisfying 109-100 road win over memphis. Chicago on the other hand will be out to avenge a 96-93 loss to the Nets here on December 19th, while also looking to build off its quality 119-116 OT home loss to Indiana on Friday. Brooklyn is playing over its head, as it averages 111 PPG, while allowing 111.7. Those are a lot better than Chicago’s numbers, but I think the overall situation favors the improving and revenge minded home side. Note as well that Brooklyn is already just 1-5 ATS this year after two consecutive non-conference contests, while Chicago is already 4-1 ATS this season after a closs home loss by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 108-100 Bulls. |
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01-06-19 | Illinois v. Northwestern -8 | Top | 66-68 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Illini have lost three straight and I think they’ll have difficulty here as well. Northwestern has split its last four games and it’ll be eager to return to form after falling at MSU last time out. Both teams are searching for their first conference victory, which makes home floor advantage this evening even that much more important. The Wildcats three conference losses though come against teams which still all have perfect conference records. Illinois’ offense simply won’t be able to keep pace here, especially considering that the Wildcats allow just 63.0 PPG, which ranks 28th in the country. Additionally note that NW is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with losing records, while Illinois is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight following a SU loss. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Northwestern. |
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01-05-19 | Hornets +9.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-123 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver has won four in a row. The Hornets come in off perhaps their worst loss ever in a 122-84 setback at home to the Mavs. There’s no question in my mind which of these two teams is the more motivated. Charlotte’s had plenty of success in this matchup as well, having won four of the last five inlacing the first matchup at home 113-107 back on December 7th. Overall thought these teams are evenly matched, as the Hornets average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4, while Denver averages 110.3 PPG, while allowing 105.1. Additionally note that Charlotte is 9-5 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Denver is already just 4-6 ATS this season after having won four out of its last five games. I’m expecting a “nail biter,” so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Hornets. |
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01-05-19 | College of Charleston v. James Madison +8.5 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: James Madison (10* TRADE-MARK) After nine straight wins, I think College of Charleston comes in complacent. And after four straight losses, I expect James Madison to come in focused and desperate. The outright upset isn’t out of the question, but in the end I’m going to grab the points. The Cougars average 74.3 PPG and they allow 66.5, while the Dukes average 70.1 points, while allowing 71.6. COC though is just 1-2 ATS this year as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range and just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 off a win by ten points or more vs. a conference rival, while JM is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 COC. |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think home court advantage will prove to be the difference maker in this one. This is the first time these teams have played this season, but last year the Blazers won all four match ups. OKC enters off a 107-100 road win over a LeBron James-less Lakers team. Russell Westbrook and Paul George had big games, but I think they’ll struggle in this difficult road venue vs. this vastly deeper and more skilled opponent. Portland comes in on top form as well, as it enters having won two straight and seven of its last ten overall. Additionally note that OKC is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600, while Portland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 vs. teams with a win percentage above .600. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 Blazers. |
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01-04-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Illinois-Chicago -4 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The IUPUI Jaguars come in off a 72-64 loss vs. Wright State on Sunday, while the Illinois Chicago Flames fell 73-58 vs. Northern Kentucky in their most recent action. Two teams hungry for a bounce back performance collide, but I think the home floor advantage will prove pivotal in this particular matchup. UIC has to be feeling confident here, as it took both meetings over IUPUI last year. The Jags have lost four straight and they’re 0-2 in conference play. Overall IUPUI averages 78.3 PPG and it allows 73.7. The Flames average 76.3 PPG and they allow 77.9. They have however won six of their last seven at home. Additionally note that IUPUI is just 22-50-1 ATS in its last 73 vs. teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 Illinois Chicago. |
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01-03-19 | Western Kentucky v. Charlotte +9 | Top | 68-50 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte (10* TRADE-MARK) WKU comes in complacent herein my opinion after back-to-back victories, including an upset 83-76 victory over Wisconsin last time out. Overall WKU averages 73.5 PPG . Charlotte only averages 58 PPG, but it’ll be desperate here to break a three-game slide after a 68-53 loss to Colorado last time out. Jon Davis was a bright spot in the setback with 25 points. Note that WKU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records, while the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six in this series. I like the “hungry” home side to keep it competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-65 ‘Toppers. |
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01-02-19 | Thunder -5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma City (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers are without LeBron James tonight and I think that Paul George and Russell Westbrook will take advantage. OKC comes in off a blowout win over the Mavericks, as Westbrook went off for 32 points, 11 boards, 11 assists and four steals. George had 22 points, four boards and four steals. The Lakers come in off a spirited win at home over the Kings, but with the “step up” in competition, I expect a “step back” for the “rudder-less” home side. Note as well that LA is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five when playing on two days rest, while OKC is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after a SU win of more than ten points. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Thunder. |
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01-02-19 | Tulane +20.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 61-93 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tulane (10 BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT). Outright upset? Of course not. I just think that the 11-2 Bearcats will leave the door open just wide enough for the hungry 4-8 Green Wave to sneak in through down the stretch. Tulane enters off a 67-59 loss to Alabama A&M, while Cincinnati posted a 77-56 home win over South Carolina in its latest victory. But with conference play up next, I think the Bearcats will indeed get caught looking past the Green Wave today. Overall Tulane averages 68.8 PPG and it allows 73.2, while the Bearcats average 74 PPG, while allowing only 58. Tulane though is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more and 5-2 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite, while Cincinnati is already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 18.5 to 24 points range. T.M. Prediction: 70-62 Bearcats. |
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01-01-19 | CS-Fullerton +12.5 v. Washington | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cal State Fullerton (10* NON-CONF DOG OF YEAR) I think the Cal State Fullerton Titans sneak comfortably in through the back door down the stretch. Cal State broke a four-game slide with a win over Portland last time out. Washington is 8-4 on the year, but the Huskies have been off since December 21st, so I believe that “rest” will in fact lead to be a bit of “rust” here. Clearly on paper the Huskies are the better team, but I think the situation favors the visitors here as the home side gets caught looking ahead to conference play. Additionally note that Cal State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off a home win by ten points or more, while Washington is already only 3-5 ATS as a favorite this year. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 Washington. |
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01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* GAME OF WEEK) Utah enters off a 129-97 win over the Knicks on Saturday, while the Raptors held on for a 95-89 win at home over the Bulls on Sunday. Note that Toronto has won five of the last six in this series, including a 124-111 road victory in the first meeting this year in early November. The Jazz are great at home, but they’re just 9-11-1 ATS on the road. Overall the Jazz average 107.5 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Raptors are 11-7 ATS at home and they average 112.9 PPG and they allow 107.2. Additionally note that Utah is just 1-5 ATS already this year after covering four or five out of its last six games, while Toronto is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this season after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. Despite Kyle Lowry sitting, I think the Raptors come in as the more motivated team here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-100 Toronto. |
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12-31-18 | Northern Colorado v. Portland State +3.5 | Top | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I smell a minor upset on Monday night. Northern Colorado comes in at 7-5, but it also enters having lost four of its last five games. The Bears are averaging 74.9 PPG and they’re allowing 76.9. Portland State is just 5-6 and it comes in as the hungrier side after losing three straight. Overall the Vikings are averaging 68.2 points and allowing 78.4. Northern Colorado though is a horrible 1-3 ATS this year already after playing a game as a road favorite, while Portland State is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog or pick. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 Portland State. |
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12-30-18 | Oakland v. Youngstown State +4 | Top | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Youngstown State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Grizzlies come to town off a satisfying 89-77 road win over Cleveland State, while the Penguins come in off a disappointing 78-66 loss to Detroit on Friday. Note that home floor advantage was crucial between these teams last year, with each winning on its own floor. Oakland averages 78.1 PPG and it allows 80.4. Youngstown State is averaging 75.6 PPG and it’s allowing 81.4. Oakland though is just 14-24 ATS in its last 38 following a conference game, while Youngstown State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after having lost eight or more of its last ten games. I think the “hungrier” team gets it done. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 Penguins. |
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12-29-18 | George Mason +15.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Mason (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The George Mason Patriots come in under the radar here and while I’m not going to call for the outright, I think they can keep this one tight until the final moments. The Patriots have won two straight over Navy and James Madison. K-State comes in complacent vs. its lowly non-conference opponent and after three straight wins itself, most recently a 69-58 victory over Vanderbilt on December 22nd. George Mason averages 73.7 PPG and it allows 72.2, while K-State averages 68.2 points and it allows 57.8. Note though that George Mason is already 3-1 ATS this year following a home victory. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-65 K-State. |
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12-28-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 99-102 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK) This one has blowout written all over it in my opinion. It’s an immediate revenge game for the Nuggets, who fell 111-103 in San Antonio on Wednesday. Previous to that victory though the Spurs came in ranking in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. With the Warriors loss last night, the Nuggets can take top spot in the West with a revenge victory today. Note that they’re 13-3 on home floor. Additionally note that Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing one one days rest, while SA is just 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 vs. teams with winning home records. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Denver. |
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12-28-18 | James Madison v. William & Mary -7 | Top | 74-79 | Loss | -101 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) It’s the first conference matchup of the year for both teams and I think home floor is a big factor. William & Mary will be hungry here after finishing the non-conference part of its schedule at just 4-8. Note though that the Tribes’ schedule so far ranks 43rd in the KenPom rankings, which is one of the most difficult. The Dukes closed their non-conference schedule with a disastrous 75-48 loss to Fordham and I think they’ll struggle to put points on the board here as well. Note as well that the Dukes are 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing SU record, while the Tribe are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-60 W&M. |
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12-27-18 | Knicks +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Knicks came up short at home against the Bucks on X-Mas Day, but with the home side expected to rest some players in this one, I think the visitors will comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. With a shot at evening up the series for the 2018/19 campaign, I think the visitors will risk life and limb to try and pull off the upset. New York is 9-9-1 ATS on the road. The Knicks average 108.2 PPG and they allow 115.7. The Bucks average 116.6 PPG and they allow 108.1. Note though that New York is already 7-3 ATS this year in revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, while Milwaukee is just 1-3 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more and just 1-3 ATS in its last four after a cover as a double digit favorite. No outright, but a tight battle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Bucks. |
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12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10*) Denver enters off a 132-111 road loss to the Clippers on Saturday. The Spurs also come in off a loss, falling 108-101 in Houston in their last contest. Despite their overall success this year, note that Denver is still just 7-8 ATS on the road this year. Denver averages 110 PPG and it allows 104.3. SA averages 111.3 PPG and it allows 109.5. Note though that the Spurs are 12-6 ATS at home this year. Look for the Spurs to defend home floor. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Spurs. |
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12-25-18 | Indiana State +12 v. TCU | Top | 69-83 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) TCU is 10-1, but Indiana State is no slouch at 8-3. I’m not predicting an outright upset, but I think the talented Sycamores can keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. This is the title game in the Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu. Note that Indiana State leads the nation in three point shooting percentage at 45.5. This is a revenge game as well for Indiana State, who fell to TCU just ten days ago. Note that Indiana State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while TCU is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Horned Frogs. |
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12-25-18 | Thunder +1.5 v. Rockets | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* TRADE-MARK) In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points. Houston’s been playing a lot better, but Chris Paul won’t be playing in this one and I think Paul George and Russell Westbrook will take advantage. OKC now sits a half game back of the Nuggets after their loss to the Wolves most recently. OKC averages 112 PPG and it allows 105.6. Houston has won five of six, but it still comes in averaging just 109.2 PPG, while allowing 108.5. Note that the Thunder are not surprisingly already 16-9 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Houston is still only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Play on OKC. T.M. Prediction: 118-103 Thunder. |
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12-22-18 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-132 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Nuggets enter off a 126-118 home win over Dallas on Tuesday, while LA comes in off a 125-121 win over the Mavericks on Thursday. Denver comes in well rested and I think it’ll score the outright upset. Denver took the first meeting between the clubs here 107-987 back on October 17th and I think the Clippers will once again struggle with this difficult matchup. Denver has won four straight and it averages 110 PPG and it allows just 103.4. LA averages 114.7 PG and it allows 114.3. Note as well that the Clippers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest, while the Nuggets are 4-0 ATS In their last four vs. teams with winning SU records. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Nuggets. |
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12-22-18 | CS-Fullerton +19.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 62-86 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CS Fullerton (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Nebraska is 9-2. Cal State is 3-8. This is the Cornhuskers final non-conference game of the year and I think they’ll look past their non-conference opponent today. Nebraska comes in off a 79-56 win over Oklahoma State. Overall the Huskers are averaging 114.6 points per 100 possessions and allowing 94.3 per 100 possessions. Cal State is averaging 99.2 points per 100 possessions and allowing only 99.7. The Titans issues are clearly on the offensive side of the ball, but their defense has been superb. And now Cal State faces a disinterested home side with a chance to post a quality effort on the national stage. I think this will be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Huskers. |
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12-21-18 | Pistons v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 86-98 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK). I think the Pistons have a predictable letdown here after their 129-123 OT road win in Minnesota on Wednesday. The Hornets come in off a 110-99 home win over Cleveland and they’ll be looking to keep the foot on the gas after a poor stretch themselves. So far the Pistons average 109.7 PPG and they allow 110.3. Charlotte averages 113.7 PPG and it allows 111.4. Charlotte won’t be taking anything for granted here after its recent four-game slide. Note that the Hornets are already 8-4 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after scoring 120 or more points. T.M. Prediction: 116-100 Hornets. |
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12-21-18 | Oakland +25 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-99 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland (10* NON-CONF GAME OF MONTH) Outright upset? Of course not. Closer than expected? I definitely think so. Oakland is 5-8 and this is it’s final non-conference game of its schedule. And it couldn’t be a bigger one. Clearly the Grizzlies are going to be “up” for this nationally televised contest. Conversely, the 9-2 Spartans are going to get caught “looking past” their lowly opponent in my opinion. Oakland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog, while MSU is 0-3 ATS in its last three home games as a favorite in the 24.5 to 30 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-73 MSU. |
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12-20-18 | Mavs +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 121-125 | Loss | -102 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) Both teams have played better than what most believed would be the case. I think LA though has farther to fall considering its hotter/quicker start and its lack of overall talent. Dallas has a deeper and more skilled team in my opinion and its major issues early have been chemistry related for the most part. Both teams come in off losses. This is going to be a war to the end and I think that grabbing the points is the savvy call. Note as well that the Clippers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, while Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game. The Mavs are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS loss. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-109 Mavs. |
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12-20-18 | Yale v. Monmouth +10.5 | Top | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Monmouth (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Yale is 5-3, while Monmouth is 0-11. The Hawks come in hungry to get off the schneid and while the outright win is likely out of the question, I think the “hungrier” team keeps this one a lot more competitive that what this spread would suggest. The Bulldogs come in complacent after winning four of their last five. Monmouth will be desperate to avoid an 0-11 after an 83-63 loss at Albany last time out. Yale is just 1-3 ATS in true road games this year, while Monmouth is already 3-1 ATS this year following a road loss by ten points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bulldogs. |
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12-19-18 | Virginia v. South Carolina +10.5 | Top | 69-52 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Carolina (10* TRADE-MARK) Virginia is 9-0 and South Carolina is 4-5. I think the Cavs get caught looking past their opponent this evening. Virginia enters off a 57-49 home win over VCU, while South Carolina comes in off a hard-fought 89-78 loss to Michigan on December 8th. Virginia averages 72.8 PPG and it allows 51.2. South Carolina averages 74.7 PPG and it allows 72.4. Clearly the Cavs are the better team on paper, I simply feel that the overall situation favors the home side. The Gamecocks are the hungrier home side, desperate for a win, while Virginia comes in content with its perfect record. Additionally note South Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last five off road loss of ten points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Cavs. |
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12-18-18 | Lakers v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Lakers enter off a 128-110 road loss to Washington. The Nets won their fourth straight in a 144-127 destruction of the Hawks. LA is now just 1-2 on its four-game road trip. It’s just 6-9 ATS on the road overall this year. LA averages 113.4 PPG and it allows 111.6. The Nets average 111 PPG and they allow 111.8. Note though that LA is just 3-7 ATS this year in non-conference games, while Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a home win by ten points or more. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by the outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Nets. |
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12-18-18 | Appalachian State +10 v. Georgetown | Top | 73-83 | Push | 0 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Appalachian State (10* MONEY-MAKER) App State comes in off a 76-69 loss to USF on Saturday, while the Hoyas fell 81-73 at home to SMU on the same day in their most recent action. App State averages 85.3 PPG and it allows 79.3. Georgetown averages 78.4 PPG and it allows 74.7. The Mountaineers have already faced some stiff competition this season and I don’t think they’ll be intimidated here at all. The Hoyas area only 2-8 ATS in their last ten following an ATS loss, while App State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss. I think App State’s offense keeps the visitors competitive late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-80 Hoyas. |
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12-17-18 | North Dakota State +11 v. Montana | Top | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Dakota (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think this one is more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers would like us to believe. The NDSU Bison come in on top form as they’ve won two straight, most recently getting the better of Missouri State. Vinnie Shahid had 19 points and four boards. Montana is trending in the opposite direction, having lost three of its last four after a poor 60-51 setback to UC Irvine. NDSU is also 3-1 ATS in its last four following a SU home victory, while Montana is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bears. |
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12-17-18 | Kings +8 v. Wolves | Top | 105-132 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK). The young Sacramento Kings could arguably be the biggest surprise this year. They come in off a big 120-113 road win in Dallas last night and while I do normally always take fatigue/scheduling into account, I don’t think it’s going to matter here. It’s still very early in the season and Sacramento’s youthful line-up is firing on all cylinders. Sacramento has already taken both earlier meetings this year as well, including a 141-130 home win just last week. The Wolves are moving in the opposite direction with four straight losses and simply look terrible on both ends of the floor right now. Note that the Kings are now 10-6 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is already 0-2 ATS this season revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as the favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Wolves. |
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12-16-18 | Pacific v. CS-Northridge +6 | Top | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CS Northridge (10* TRADE-MARK) Despite Pacific being 8-4 and CS Northridge being 3-6, clearly the oddsmakers think this is a pretty evenly matched contest. The Pacific Tigers most recently beat LBSU, led by 31 points and five boards from Lafayette Dorsey. CS Northridge has faced some stiff competition in the early going though, most recently falling to San Diego. Lamine Diane was a bright spot in the loss with 19 points and eight boards. The Tigers have not been good in this spot at all for bettors either, going just 9-15 ATS in their last 24 after three straight non-conference games and only 7-10 ATS in their last 17 following a home victory. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-77 Pacific. |
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12-15-18 | Lakers +1 v. Hornets | Top | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers opened their current road trip with a disappointing 126-111 setback at Houston on Thursday, but a date against a Hornets team which comes in off a deflating 126-124 OT loss at home to the Knicks just last night is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track for the visitors in my opinion. LA averages 113.1 PPG and it allows 110.9, while Charlotte averages 113.9 PPG, while allowing 110.7. But the numbers also support LA here, as note that the Lakers are 7-2 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records and 7-4 ATS in their last 11 after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, while Charlotte is already just 2-4 ATS in non-conference games. T.M. Prediction: 115-112 Lakers. |
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12-15-18 | Gonzaga v. North Carolina -2.5 | Top | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 22 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) A couple of elite teams collide on Saturday night, but I think that Gonzaga suffers a predicable letdown here after its first loss of the year. The Bulldogs are now 9-1 after losing to Tennessee this past weekend. UNC is only 2-2 in its last four, however it enters off a victory over UNC Wilmington, avoiding a potential trap by getting caught looking ahead to this one. The Vols forced Gonzaga to post its lowest point total of the year in last Sunday’s 76-73 loss. The Tar Heels offense though was “firing on all cylinders” in last week’s 97-69 destruction of Wilmington. Additionally note that Gonzaga is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven when playing with five of six days rest, while UNC is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 as a home favorite. T.M. Prediction: 94-80 Tar Heels. |
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12-14-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Arkansas State -1.5 | Top | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arkansas State (10* MONEY-MAKER) FAU is 7-2 in the early going, while Arkansas State is just 3-6. The Owls most recently held on for a 68-64 win over Mercer on Wednesday. FAU averages 77.8 PPG and it allows 68.4. The Red Wolves average 74.9 PPG and they allow 79.1. I’ll note though that both teams early numbers are skewed due to the level of the competition they’ve faced and I’ll further point out that FAU is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 after playing a game as a home favorite, while Arkansas State is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. Play on Arkansas State. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Red Wolves. |
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12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets -11 | Top | 126-124 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) New York enters off a 116-106 road loss in Cleveland and I have a hard time seeing it keeping pace with this hungry Charlotte team, which comes in off a momentum building 108-107 home win over Detroit. Last weekend the Hornets crushed the Knicks 119-107 and I’m expecting an even bigger blowout this time around. New York averages 108.3 PPG and it allows 114.9. Charlotte averages 113.9 PPG and it allows 110.7. The Knicks are also just 4-7 ATS this year following a road loss, while the Hornets are already 3-1 ATS this season as a home fav in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The Knicks play with revenge and the Hornets come in off a win, but I’m not predicting any letdowns here. Charlotte can ill afford to take the foot off the gas after a terrible stretch and I expect it to make the most of this opportunity. T.M. Prediction: 123-100 Charlotte. |
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12-13-18 | Lakers +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 111-126 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Lakers play with revenge here as Houston won the first meeting of the year 124-115 in LA on October 20. LA was trying to “find” itself then, but since then it’s come a long way, having won two straight and six of seven, most recently a 108-105 home win over the Heat. The Rockets have for the most part been terrible this season, and they looked primed for another letdown here in my opinion after their 111-104 home win over the Blazers. Before that victory the Rockets had lost three straight. LA plays with revenge and it’s 6-1 ATS in its last seven after an ATS loss. Houston has struggled with consistency and it’s only 1-5 ATS in its last six when playing on one days rest. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Rockets. |
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12-13-18 | Morehead State +7 v. Samford | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Morehead State (10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR) The Morehead State Eagles comes in as the “hungrier” team sitting at just 3-6. The Samford Bulldogs are 8-2. To this point Morehead State has probably faced the stiffer competition though. Most recently the Eagles fell 76-64 at Marshall on Monday. Jordan Walker has 21 points in the loss. The Bulldogs enter off a relatively simple 77-59 win over Alabama A&M, led by 18 points from Ruben Guerrero. Morehead State won’t be going down without a fight though and it has the depth and scoring talent to match pace. Also note that the Eagles are 9-2-2 ATS in their last 13 on the road. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-77 Morehead State. |
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12-12-18 | LSU +5 v. Houston | Top | 76-82 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* TRADE-MARK) LSU is 7-2, while Houston is 8-0. I’m not predicting an outright upset, but this one has the “feel” of whichever team having its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top in the end. And in a scenario like that, I’m going to grab this healthy amount of points. The Tigers would love to spoiler here and break up the perfect record and bettors will be wise to note that they’re 3-1 ATS in their last four after a blowout win by 30 points or more. Houston on the other hand is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after allowing 55 points or less. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-12-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Grizzlies have lost two straight. They’re hungry for a win and the Blazers come to town off an exhausting loss in Houston just last night. It’s a perfect “situation” for Memphis to bounce back in. Also note that Portland is just 18-28 ATS in its last 46 as a road dog of six points or less, while Memphis is already 4-1 ATS this year as a home favorite of six points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-95 Memphis. |
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12-11-18 | Denver +7.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Both teams are terrible (identical 3-6 records.) Denver though broke a four-game slide with a 93-63 win over D-2 Western Colorado State last time out and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. In that game Denver shot 50 percent from the floor and 45 percent from range. Ronnie Harrell Jr. was a stand out with 15 points, ten points and two assists. Wyoming comes in off a win as well, nudging past South Carolina 73-64. Both teams struggle defensively, but note that the Pioneers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five following a SU win. I think the Cowboys get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTION COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-11-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I look for those trends to continue here. The Blazers have won two straight and they enter averaging 112.3 PPG and allowing 110.4. Houston has lost seven of nine and three straight, averaging just 108.3 PPG while allowing 109.7. The Blazers are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off a home win vs. a division rival, while Houston is already just 3-5 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. I’m expecting this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Rockets. |
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12-10-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -5 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma City Thunder (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Thunder have turned things around after a slow start, but their four-game win streak came to an end in a 114-112 setback at the buzzer in Chicago in their final game of their Eastern road swing. With a tough two game road trip in New Orleans and Denver on the horizon, I think the home side lays everything on the line tonight to try and make the most of this opportunity. Utah on the other hand has a tough game in San Antonio on Sunday night and clearly it’s going to be “gassed” here in the second game of a back-to-back. Note that the Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last nine following a non-conference road loss in which it lost by three points or less. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-10-18 | Morehead State +13 v. Marshall | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Morehead State (10* GAME OF WEEK) I think Marshall gets caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent. The Morehead State Eagles are only 3-5 overall this year, including 0-2 SU on the road, however they’ve been competitive by posting a 2-0 ATS record on the road. The Herd have lost three straight and look ripe for the picking, especially with a tough stretch of upcoming road games at Akron, Texas A&M and Virginia. Note as well that Morehead State is 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference road games as an underdog of 11.5 points or more. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-09-18 | Jazz v. Spurs +3 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK). The Spurs are having a difficult time adjusting to their new line-up this year. Some nights they look elite and other night’s they look horrible. They looked pretty good in a 133-120 win at home over the Lakers last time out and I think they’ll bring that same intensity here. SA has lost four of the last five in this series, including a 139-105 setback at home in the first meeting this year. The Jazz enter off a 118-91 win over the Rockets and looked primed for a letdown. Note that Utah is already only 1-5 ATS this year after having won three of its last four ATS. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Spurs. |
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12-09-18 | Montana State +12 v. Washington State | Top | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana State (10* MONEY-MAKER) Am I predicting an outright upset? I am not. But I think the conditions are definitely right for a competitive battle. The Montana State Bobcats are just 2-6, but I think they catch the 5-2 Cougars complacent. Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency this season, so the Bobcats will have their chances in my opinion. Additionally note that the Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six after allowing 75 points or more in five straight games, while WSU is only 2-6 ATS in its last eight after covering five or six of their last seven vs. the spread. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-08-18 | San Diego State v. California +5 | Top | 83-89 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: California (10* GAME OF WEEK) SDSU is 5-3 overall, including 1-0 in true road games. It’s been a disappointing start for the Golden Bears to this point at just 2-5, but they’re still a solid 2-1 SU in all home games. Cal beat SDSU 63-62 last year and after back-to-back losses, I think it’ll bounce back here and dip deep. SDSU looks susceptible after its 73-61 outright loss to San Diego as a six point favorite last time out and I expect the hungry Bears to take advantage. Play on Cal. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-08-18 | Nuggets v. Hawks +7.5 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* TRADE-MARK) A great situational play. Denver has been red hot during its road trip, but with a tough game at Charlotte on Friday, I think the team comes out flat in the finale of its extended Eastern swing and with upcoming home games against Memphis, OKC and Toronto. ATL plays with revenge after falling 138-93 at Denver earlier in the year. Atlanta’s been terrible and is just 3-9 ATS at home overall, but the conditions are finally right for ATL to potentially pull off the outright upset here. The Hawks have three nights off before an extended road trip and I expect them to make the most of it. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-07-18 | 76ers -2 v. Pistons | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Philadelphia’s four-game win streak was snapped in a loss to the Raptors last time out, but when it faced the Pistons on November 3rd, it easily dispatched Detroit 109-99. This is the opener of a home and home set between the teams and I like Philadelphia to continue its recent dominance in the matchup. Detroit had won seven of eight, but it enters off two straight losses. I think the Pistons continue their slide back to mediocrity and I believe they’ll struggle again in this difficult matchup. Note as well that Detroit is just 2-4 ATS in its last six at home. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-105 76ers. |
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12-07-18 | Oral Roberts +17 v. Missouri | Top | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oral Roberts (10* MONEY-MAKER) Missouri is 5-3 and 3-1 at home. I think the home side gets caught predictably “looking past” its lowly none-conference opponent tonight. The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are just 3-8 overall, including 0-5 on the road. Oral Roberts though is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games in which it allowed 90 points or more in a loss in its previous game (lost 96-76 to FGCU.) The Tigers on the other hand have a week off before a home game vs. Xavier, making this a “look ahead/trap” spot as well. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-06-18 | Suns +14 v. Blazers | Top | 86-108 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* TRADE-MARK) Portland’s big win streak to open the year is over. The Blazers come in having lost six of seven, including three straight. And with upcoming games at home against the surging Wolves, and then against Houston, Memphis and Toronto, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent today. The Suns have lost six straight and with a game at home tomorrow night against Miami, I think they’ll lay everything on the line here to try and pull off the upset against this floundering Blazers side. Phoenix is already 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Portland is just 1-3 ATS this year already after two or more SU losses. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: Blazers 110-105. |
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12-06-18 | Pepperdine v. UC Riverside +5.5 | Top | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UC Riverside (10* GAME OF MONTH) Pepperdine is 5-3 overall, including 5-1 ATS in its last six ATS, but I think the Waves get push to the test here against the hungry UC Riverside team which is only 2-7 SU, including 3-4 ATS in its seven overall. These teams played last year and this is indeed a revenge game for UC Riverside, which fell 70-59 to Pepperdine last December. The Highlanders have been competitive of late, but just haven’t been able to put it all together. However I’ll point out that UC Riverside is interestingly 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after playing five consecutive games as an underdog, while Pepperdine is just 4-13 ATS in its last 17 off a home loss. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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12-05-18 | Arkansas v. Colorado State +8 | Top | 98-74 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado State (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the Rams are the “hungrier” team in this one and while I’m not calling for the outright, I’m expecting a competitive battle. The Razorbacks are 5-1 and the Rams are 4-4. The level of competition has been low for Arkansas, with a loss to Texas, followed by victories over UC Davis, Indiana, Montana State, TX-Arlington and FIU. The Rams have struggled as well, but note that they’re 8-2 ATS in their last ten following a road loss. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked if there is in fact an upset. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Colorado State. |
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12-04-18 | Spurs +6 v. Jazz | Top | 105-139 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER). The Spurs come in off a much needed 131-118 home win over the Blazers on Sunday after getting crushed in back-to-back blowout losses. I think SA carries that momentum over here. Utah comes in off a tough 102-100 road loss in Miami as a favorite and I think it’ll have a predictable letdown here in its first game back home. The Spurs average 109.4 PPG and they allow 112.3. The Jazz average 105.7 PPG and they allow 108. Note though that SA is already 3-1 ATS this year after allowing 105 points or more in four straight games, while Utah is just 3-5 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 209-206 Spurs. |
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12-04-18 | Michigan v. Northwestern +6 | Top | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Michigan is unbeaten, most recently posting a 76-57 home win over Purdue on Saturday. Northwestern comes in as the “hungrier” team after a 68-66 loss on the road to Indiana. The Wolverines average 73.1 PPG and they allow 51.8. The Wildcats average 73.6 PPG and they allow 61.9. Note though that Michigan is a poor 5-7 ATS in its last 12 as a road favorite or pick, while Northwestern is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after a loss by six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 65-63 Wolverines. |
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12-03-18 | Troy State +21 v. Florida State | Top | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Troy (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Troy Trojans are 3-4 and the FSU Seminoles are 6-1. I’m not suggesting that you should play this one on the money line obviously, but I do think that the home side comes in a bit complacent here, leaving the back door open for the hungry visitors to sneak in through down the stretch. Four players scored in double figures in the Trojans 79-74 OT loss to Austin Peay this past week. Troy is also 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while FSU is already just 3-4 ATS this season after a non-conference contest. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 FSU. |
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12-02-18 | Pelicans v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) The Pelicans come in off a 106-101 road loss to the Heat as the favorite and I think they’ll stumble here in this difficult road venue as the slight dog. The Hornets won’t be taking anything for granted here after they fell 119-111 at home to the Jazz, another non-conference opponents. This is a revenge game as well as the Pelicans have taken four straight in the series. The Hornets have lost four of their last five and they’re just 4-8 ATS on the road. Charlotte is 7-5 SU at home but 8-4 ATS. The Pelicans are also a terrible 1-3 ATS already this year after playing two consecutive non-conference games. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Charlotte. |
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12-01-18 | Missouri State +12.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 77-101 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I think the 5-1 Oregon State Beavers get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. Missouri State unquestionably comes in as the “hungrier” team here, as after starting the year 3-0, it comes into this one having dropped four straight. The Beavers come in off a much tougher than expected 75-72 win over LBSU last weekend and I think they struggle to contain this determined mid-major on Saturday as well. Note as well that Missouri State is still 12-6 ATS in its last 18 as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +3 | Top | 133-121 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Clippers have been playing great, but they hit a dangerous part of their schedule, with a game at home against Phoenix on Wednesday, followed by this game in Sacramento on Thursday. And with games at Dallas on Saturday, followed by at New Orleans and Memphis, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking past their lowly opponent today. The Kings have lost two straight, but they’ve been competitive and I think the stars and the planets have indeed lined up for them here. Note as well that LA is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the -1.5 to -4.5 points range in the second game of the back-to-back. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-115 Kings. |
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11-28-18 | Suns +12 v. Clippers | Top | 99-115 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Off back-to-back losing games, I think the Suns offer great value to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this speed would suggest. The Clippers on the other hand look poised for a letdown after back to back victories over Portland and Memphis. LA has been a complete surprise to this point in leading the division, but note that the Clippers are poor 2-7 ATS as a home favorite of ten points or more and on the heels of a two games or more unbeaten streak. Also note that Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven following a two games unbeaten streak. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-113 Clippers. |
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11-28-18 | VCU +3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 52-62 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU (10* MONEY-MAKER) VCU enters off a 69-67 OT win over Hofstra on Saturday and I think it can keep this one competitive as well. ODU comes in off a 72-64 victory over Northern Iowa. VCU averages 70.3 PPG and it allows 63.3. ODU averages only 62.8 PPG and it allows 58.3. The Margin for error is very slim for the Monarchs. Note that the Rams are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four following a SU win as well. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 VCU. |
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11-27-18 | Raptors -4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto enters off a 125-115 home win over Miami on Sunday and I think they’ll carry that momentum over into the opener of this Western swing. The Grizz on the other hand look ripe for the picking after a humbling 103-98 loss to New York. The Raptors have won five straight and they enter averaging 116.8 PPG and allowing 107.8. The Grizz have in fact lost two in a row and they come in averaging 103 PPG and allowing 100.9. Note though that Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning SU records, while Memphis is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following two straight SU/ATS setbacks. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 103-102 Toronto. |
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11-27-18 | Michigan State -5.5 v. Louisville | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Spartans are 5-1 and the Cardinals are 3-2. Louisville jumped out to a 3-0 start, but it comes in with zero momentum after back to back losses in the NIT Tip-Off tournament, falling to Tennessee and Marquette. MSU on the other hand comes in with plenty of momentum after winning the Las Vegas Invitational. The Spartans average 115 points per 100 possessions, while allowing only 92.2. The Cardinals are averaging 110.0 points per 1000 possessions, while allowing 98.9. Louisville though is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five against teams with winning SU records, while MSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five non-conference contests. T.M. Prediction: 85-70 MSU |
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11-26-18 | Nebraska +3.5 v. Clemson | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I think the underdog offers great value to possibly even pull of the outright upset. But in a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points. The Huskers come in off a dominant 73-49 win over Western Illinois, while Clemson enters off a crushing 87-82 loss to Creighton. Nebraska is an amazing 11-3 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 60 points or less, while Clemson is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 80 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Huskers. |
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11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -4 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Off back-to-back road losses, I think the Blazers bounce back at home. LA is 12-6 overall, but just 4-5 on the road. Portland is 12-7 overall and 7-2 at home. Additionally note that LA is just 3-6 ATS as an underdog this season, while Portland is 7-2 ATS at home and 6-3 ATS in its last nine vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 119-108 Blazers. |
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11-25-18 | Oregon State -7 v. Long Beach State | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon State (BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Oregon State, while LBSu is just 1-3. Oregon State forward Tres Tinkle posted a double-double in all four games for the Beavers in the Virgin Islands and I think he’ll be difficult for the 49ers to slow down as well. Additionally note that LBSU is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Oregon State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 90-55 Oregon State. |
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11-23-18 | Heat v. Bulls +2.5 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago Bulls (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Neither team can be very happy where it sits at the moment. Miami though is ripe for the picking in my opinion as it comes in having lost six of seven. Miami is averaging 108.3 PPG and it’s allowing 110.2. All Star guard Goran Dragic is injured. Chicago has lost five of seven. The Bulls average 104.2 PPG and they allow 113.6. Zach LaVine averages 25.5 PPG. Note though that the Heat are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. the East, while Chicago is already 6-4 ATS at home and 6-2 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Bulls. |
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11-23-18 | Northern Iowa +6.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 65-72 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* MONEY-MAKER). These teams just played and it was Northern Iowa which won 54-53 on a neutral court last weekend. Overall Northern Iowa has been extremely solid defensively, allowing just 68.2 PPG. In the win over the Monarchs, they’d hold ODU to just 32.8 percent shooting. ODU only has two starters back from last years team which went 25-7. Note that ODU is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS loss, while Northern Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win. T.M. Prediction: 65-60 Northern Iowa. |
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11-21-18 | Virginia v. Middle Tennessee +19 | Top | 74-52 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MTSU (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Virginia is 3-0, but MTSU is 3-1. This is the Battle 4 Atlantis in the Bahamas. The Blue Raiders average 85.5 PPG. The Cavs are ranked No. 3 in the country, behind one of the best defensive units. It’s a contrast of styles and while I’m in no way calling for an outright upset, I do think that the overall conditions will make this a more competitive affair than what this line would suggest. Note that Virginia is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 tournament games, while MTSU is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 tourney game and 8-5 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: 70-62 Cavs. |
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11-21-18 | Nuggets +2 v. Wolves | Top | 103-101 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) Denver is 10-7 and the Wolves are 7-10. Derek Rose and the Wolves have looked great of late, winning three of their last four since the Jimmy Butler trade, but I think the home side will come up short here. Denver is the “hungrier” team, as it’s lost two straight and six of its last eight. The Nuggets come in averaging 111.0 points per 100 possessions, while allowing only 105.2 per 100 possessions. Minnesota actually enters off a 100-87 loss at home to Memphis. Rose had 18 points. Minnesota is scoring just 106.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 111.1. Note that Denver is 17-10 ATS in its last 27 against the division, while Minnesota is just 17-18 ATS in its last 35 against divisional opponents. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Nuggets. |
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11-19-18 | Nuggets +5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Bucks started the year as the hottest team in the league, but they’ve since come back down to Earth, trading wins and losses. Denver fans can empathize, as the Nuggets were equally as dominant over the first month, but coming into this one having lost five of their last six. Overall Denver is averaging 111.8 PPG and allowing 105.3. Milwaukee is averaging 115.3 PPG and it’s allowing 104.4. Note though that the Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +7.5 points range. Grab the points and expect a competitive battle. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Denver. |
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11-19-18 | Iona v. Long Beach State +4 | Top | 85-86 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LBSU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) This game is being played in Las Vegas. LBSU will be the “hungrier” team here after getting blown out in back-to-back contests and a struggling Iona side is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked in my opinion. LBSU is averaging 67 PPG, led by Deishuan Booker with 16 PPG. Iona is averaging 78 PPG, but note that LBSU is a strong 7-2 ATS in its last nine following B2B SU losses. The 49ers have faced the stiffer competition to this point, so the early numbers are skewed. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-75 LBSU. |
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11-18-18 | Lakers +2 v. Heat | Top | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Lakers enter off a loss just last night in Orlando, but I think LBJ and company bounce back in the second game of the back to back as “The King” was caught looking ahead to this match-up in South Beach. Miami is just 6-9 and the Lakers offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 117 PPG. Miami is averaging only 110.1 points. The Heat are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five against teams with a winning SU record. I look for James to lay the hammer down against his former team. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Lakers. |
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11-17-18 | Warriors v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Warriors are ripe for the picking after losing three of their last five. They’re also fighting with each other off the court (Durant and Green). Most recently the Warriors were destroyed 107-86 by the Rockets. The Mavs are surging in the other direction though with three straight victories, most recently destroying Utah 118-68. Note that Golden State is just 2-5 ATS on the road this year, while Dallas is 5-2 ATS at home. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Mavs. |
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11-16-18 | Towson v. Pepperdine -1.5 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pepperdine (10* BLOWOUT) After falling to No. 5 Virginia, Towson bounced back with a 93-66 home win over Division III Wesley College this past weekend. Pepperdine is just 1-2 ATS to open the year, but it’s been competitive even in the setbacks. Note that Towson is 0-4 ATS in its last four non-conference games while Pepperdine is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU victory. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Pepperdine. |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Toronto enters off a deflating 106-104 home loss to Detroit on Wednesday, while Boston comes in off a confidence building 111-82 beatdown of the Bulls. Note that this is an “in-season revenge game” after the Raptors won 113-103 at home back on October 19th. The Raptors started the season 12-1, but after back-to-back losses, the “wheels are coming off the buss” now for Toronto. Boston looks to take advantage. Note that it’s 46-25 ATS the last two seasons trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 114-100 Boston. |
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11-15-18 | Texas A&M v. Gonzaga -16 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (10* MONEY-MAKER) Texas A&M has one win and one loss, but with tough upcoming games against Minnesota and Washington to continue this tourney, I think the Aggies come up short here against the high-powered Bulldogs. Gonzaga opened with two easy wins and this’ll be its stiffest test yet. But with three nights off before a neutral court affair against Illinois, I like Gonzaga to pull away down the stretch, as I think its experience and depth will prove to be too much for A&M to handle. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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11-14-18 | Cavs v. Wizards -11.5 | Top | 95-119 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* TRADE-MARK) Based entirely on the fact the the Wizards have looked a lot better of late after a terrible start and because the Cavaliers are on in action on Tuesday night. Cleveland has struggled with offensive consistency and the second game of a back to back against a focused and hungry Wizards side is not what the doctor ordered to get untracked. Note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games against an Eastern Conference foe as a favorite in the -10 to -15 points range. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 Washington. |
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11-14-18 | Eastern Michigan +22.5 v. Duke | Top | 46-84 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think Duke gets caught looking past the lowly Eagles. EMU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games as an underdog in the +21 to +25 points range. Of course I’m not calling for an outright upset, but the conditions are right for a bit of a mental letdown from the heavyweight in this matchup. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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11-13-18 | Georgia v. Temple -3.5 | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Temple (10* MONEY-MAKER) Georgia comes in off a 110-76 home win over Savannah State, while Temple smashed Detroit 83-67. Tom Crean’s first game as head coach for Georgia looked great, but clearly the Bulldogs face much stiffer competition tonight. The Owls are in fact 2-0 and I believe they carry that momentum over here. Note that Temple won the rebound battle 38-27 vs. the Titans and also forced Detroit into 19 turnovers. Additionally note that Temple is 6-2 ATS in its last eight following a SU victory, while Georgia is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a win. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 Owls. |
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