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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-23-19 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -9.5 | Top | 50-70 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10*) These teams are familiar with each other, both hailing from the Big Ten. This is a matchup which does not bode well for the Gophers. These teams played once this season and the Spartans administered a severe 79-5 beatdown on February 9th. Richard Pitino got some sort of mild revenge for his father in yesterday’s upset win over Louisville, but MSU is an entirely different animal. Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while Michigan State is 3-0 ATS in the same position. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 MSU. |
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03-22-19 | UCF v. VCU -1 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -105 | 109 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU (10* GAME OF WEEK) UCF is back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2005. The Knights lost their final two games of the year. UCF averages only 72.1 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by allowing only 64.3. VCU returns after a one-year absence. The Rams had a 12 game win streak snapped by Rhode Island in the A-10 Tournament. The Rams average only 71.4 PPG, but like their counterparts today, they make up for it on the other end by conceding only 61.6 PPG. Note as well that VCU is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 tournament games and 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while UCF is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Rams. |
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03-21-19 | Pistons -6.5 v. Suns | Top | 118-98 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Detroit’s been playing a lot better since the All Star break. After back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Raptors, the Pistons will be out to atone for a lacklustre effort vs. the Cavs in their last game. After a three week surge about a month ago, the Suns have predictably come back down to Earth and they enter off a deflating loss at home to the lowly Bulls. Phoenix has struggled in this spot for bettors for quite some time, going just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400, while Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. I’m laying the points and expecting the Pistons to get back on track in this favorable spot. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Pistons. |
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03-21-19 | Montana +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-74 | Loss | -106 | 85 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’ll stop short in calling for the outright victory, but with nothing to lose, I think that the hungry Montana Grizzlies can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. I think that Michigan is still “shell shocked” after losing to rival MSU in the Big Ten Championship Game. Montana won’t be going down without a fight. It’s filled with experienced players as it just captured its second straight Big Sky tournament title. This is a revenge game of sorts as well after Montana fell to Michigan in a 3 vs. 14 matchup last year, 61-47 in Wichita. No outright, but the table is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 69-62 Michigan. |
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03-20-19 | Arizona State v. St. John's +1.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 61 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. John’s (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are evenly matched. Both teams looked great at times this year and each struggled down the stretch of the season. Hence the reason they find themselves in The First Four. St. John’s plays with “revenge” here though after falling to the Sun Devils 82-70 in Los Angeles last year. Chris Mullin entered his fourth year as head coach of St. John’s this season and for the first time since taking over, he’d finish with a winning regular season record. Winning has come slower than expected for Mullin, but at the end of the day, he has gotten his team to this point: “The fact of the matter is it does not matter,” Mullin said about the fact the selection committee confirmed the Red Storm was the last at-large team in the field. “So it’s kind of quite factual. And so it’s a true new beginning. No. 1, No. 16, 12, there’s no advantage. You gotta go out and play good basketball. You play good basketball, you move on; if you don’t, your season’s over. “I was part of the team that was the last team in the NBA playoffs on the last day of the season. And we upset the No. 1 team with the most wins in the NBA. So it truly does not matter. You don’t have to make that up. That’s not something you have to tell stories about; that’s the fact.” Ultimately I think that ASU’s issues down the stretch can’t be ignored. Look for St. John’s to finally live up to expectations. At least for one night. T.M. Prediction: 77-75 Red Storm. |
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03-20-19 | Jazz v. Knicks +12 | Top | 137-116 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Outright upset? Probably not. But I think the visitors come in complacent and get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Jazz come in off a 116-95 road win over Washington on Monday, while the Knicks were killed 128-92 on the road in Toronto on Monday. Not surprisingly the home side plays with revenge here after falling 129-97 in the first matchup of the season in Utah back on December 29th. Utah’s won four straight, but with a game tomorrow night in Atlanta, it’s not to difficult to see the visitors also getting caught “looking past” their opponent as well. Additionally note that Utah is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog in the same points range. Yes the Knicks are just counting down the minutes to the off-season, but this one sets up great from a situational stand point. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-105 Utah. |
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03-19-19 | Nets v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 123-121 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Nets have lost three straight on their current road trip and I think they’ll stumble again here in this difficult road venue. Sacramento’s playoff hopes are fading, but it comes in with momentum after breaking a three-game slide by knocking off the Bulls on Sunday. I think the Nets are still mentally caught up on their last loss, giving up a ten point lead in the final minute and losing on a last second three-pointer by one point. The Kings clearly haven’t thrown in the towel yet and I think they keep the momentum rolling tonight. Not as well that Brooklyn is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against teams with a losing SU record, while the Kings are 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 121-110 Kings. |
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03-18-19 | Jazz v. Wizards +4 | Top | 116-95 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah comes in off a satisfying 114-98 home win over the Nets on Saturday, while the Wizards got back on track in the Nation’s capital with a come from behind 135-128 home win over the Grizzlies. The Jazz got things turned around during a four-game home stand, going 3-1, including posting three straight victories. Utah averages 110.1 PPG and it allows 106.4. The Wizards average 114.6 PPG and they allow 116.9. But the Jazz find themselves in a classic “trap” game here. Winning at home is one thing, but Utah’s achilles heel has been its play on the road. The Wizards aren’t going down without a fight in the weak Eastern Conference and I believe they’ll take their complacent opponent down to the wire. Note as well that Utah is just 11-12 ATS this year off a home victory, while Washington is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog. I smell an upset. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Wizards. |
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03-17-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State +1 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* MONEY MAKER) Michigan finished 15-5 in Big Ten lay, while MSU was 16-4. This is simply a bad matchup for Michigan though. These teams met twice in the regular season, and the Spartans won each time (by 12 at home on March 9th and by 7 on the road on February 24th.) It’s difficult to beat any team three times in one season. But MSU is a pretty good team. And sometimes certain “match ups” give teams issues. I had a play on Old Dominion last night and it had beaten WKU twice in the regular season (by a combined seven points.) I stated in that write-up the exact same thing, that certain “match ups” are just difficult for some teams, and that’s definitely the case here in my opinion as well. I think the Spartans’ depth on both ends of the court once again proves to be too much for the Wolverines to overcome. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 MSU. |
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03-16-19 | Pacers +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10*) The Pacers have won back-to-back games. So have the Nuggets. Both teams will be in the postseason and I don’t expect either to go down without a fight tonight. Indiana comes in off a big come from behind win over OKC at home and I look for it to carry that momentum over here. Indiana is 12-7 ATS this year after playing two straight home games, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Pacers. |
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03-16-19 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -1 | Top | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Old Dominion (NCAA TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR) Clearly these teams are very evenly matched as evidenced by this spread. These teams have played twice this year and ODU came out on top both times. The games were decided by a total of seven points. Both teams come in on top form, but this is a matchup which has confounded WKU this season. I think that’ll again be the case here. ODU is the top seed in the tournament for a reason. Also note that WKU is 0-4 ATS in its last four off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, while ODU is 3-0 ATS in its last three after two straight close wins by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 70-53 ODU. |
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03-15-19 | Florida v. LSU -1.5 | Top | 76-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think LSU lays the hammer down here. Florida played well in its 66-50 win over Arkansas on Thursday, but I believe the Gators come in tired here. Florida went just 1-8 vs. AP Top 25 teams, the lone victory coming against LSU. Now the rested Tigers, who won five straight to end the regular season, come in rested and ready to avenge that setback. LSU is 3-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and 7-3 ATS in its last ten when playing with five or six days rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-60 LSU. |
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03-14-19 | Indiana v. Ohio State +1.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) The Buckeyes beat the Hoosiers 55-52 on February 10th and I expect a similar hard-fought, but final score here as well. Ohio State lost four of five down the stretch, including a 73-67 OT loss to Wisconsin at home in its finale. Ohio State is out to play spoiler here, as a loss and Indiana is clearly out of contention for The Big Dance. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Ohio State. |
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03-13-19 | Jazz v. Suns +7 | Top | 114-97 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10:05 EST). The Jazz have been playing terribly of late and the Suns have been playing great. I think those trends continue here. Utah enters off consecutive losses to the Thunder and Grizzlies, while the Suns come in off an epic road win at Golden State. Devin Booker had 37 points, eight boards, 11 assists and two steals in the win over the Warriors. The Suns are healthy and confident. The Jazz are in complete disarray and note that they’re a terrible 5-8 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Utah. |
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03-12-19 | Notre Dame -2.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Notre Dame (10* TRADE-MARK) The Irish have lost seven straight and GT may have won three of its final five, but I think the Irish have more than enough talent to get past the first round this year. ND finished 13-18 and GT ended up 14-17. These teams split a pair of games this season. The Irish put up a good fight vs. Pittsburgh last time out, eventually succumbing 56-53. The Yellow Jackets upset NC State 63-61 on the road on Wednesday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent here. I’ll point out as well that GT is just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while ND is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 after allowing 60 points or less. Despite the losing streak and the current form of each, I think ND matches up well here. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Irish. |
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03-11-19 | Hornets +9 v. Rockets | Top | 106-118 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) Clearly the Rockets are the better team, but I think the home side will lets its guard down enough to allow the hungry Hornets to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Charlotte has no more room for error at this point after losing three of its last four. While the outright upset is likely out of the question, we don’t have to question the visitors resolve and focus this evening. But after winning eight straight, including a tiger than expected win over the Mavericks on Sunday, I think the Rockets do come out flat here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent. Note as well that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS already this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Rockets are just 11-14 ATS in non-conference contests. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Rockets. |
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03-10-19 | Suns +17 v. Warriors | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Suns had won four of five before a 127-117 setback in Portland last night. Phoenix won’t be resting anyone tonight though, but Golden State most likely will. After losing badly to Boston, the Warriors bounced back with a big win over the Nuggets in their last outing. The one thing that Golden State though has shown this season (especially in the second half) is inconsistency from game to game and it’s also often played down to the level of its competition. I think the Suns got caught looking ahead to this more high profile contest last night. Outright win? Nope. But closer than expected. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more, while Golden State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after leading its previous game by 15 or points at the half. T.M. Prediction: 120-114 Warriors. |
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03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -1.5 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BLACK-LABEL) Houston comes in off a 90-79 win over SMU on Thursday, while Cincinnati enters off a 58-55 road loss to UCF. The Bearcats need to win this game though to earn a tie with the Cougars for first place in the AAC. Cincinnati will be the hungrier team here though after its latest loss, but also because it’s out to avenge a 65-58 setback to the Cougars on their home floor in the first meeting this season. Houston is just 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or more. Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Bearcats. |
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03-08-19 | Mavs +7 v. Magic | Top | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* GAME OF MONTH) Both teams are on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. Chances are pretty slim for either obviously. Dallas comes in off a 132-123 road loss in the nation’s capital, while Orlando lost 114-106 in Philadelphia on Tuesday. Dallas beat Orlando 101-76 at home in early December and I believe it has a legitimate shot at the outright upset here as well. The Mavericks certainly won’t be lacking for motivation after losing three straight and eight of their last nine. Dallas averages 108.2 PPG and it allows 109.8. But a date against the equally as inept Magic is just what the doctor ordered in my opinion. Orlando has now lost two straight. The Magic average 105.9 PPG and they allow 106.8. Dallas though is still a solid 17-9 ATS in non-conference games, while Orlando is just 2-8 ATS when playing with two days rest and only 12-14 ATS in non-conference games this season. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Orlando. |
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03-08-19 | Minnesota v. Maryland -6.5 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (10* GAME OF MONTH) Maryland isn’t playing well as the season winds down, having lost two straight. The Terps will be desperate to break the slide on Seniors night in the regular season finale though. The Golden Gophers are coming on strong to end the season, having won two in a row. That includes a huge upset win over Purdue last time out. Minnesota lost in the reverse fixture at home earlier in the year and I think it’s primed for a classic “letdown” here after its emotional upset win last time out. Maryland on the other hand comes in razor focused after back-to-back “duds.” Note as well that the Gophers are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Maryland is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Maryland. |
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03-06-19 | Celtics v. Kings +1 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Kings have been a nice surprise in the Western Conference, but clearly the Celtics are the better team. Boston has been waffling of late, but after its big blowout win at Golden State just last night, I think the visitors will stumble here in the second game of the back to back. The Kings are desperate for a win, as they’ve gone 2-4 since the All Star break, moving them back into the ninth spot in the West. Note as well that the Kings are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 at home and 7-2 ATS in their last nine vs. a team with a losing road record. Expect the hungry home side to step up and take advantage here. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Kings. |
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03-06-19 | Providence v. Creighton -6 | Top | 70-76 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Creighton (10* BLACK-LABEL) Providence is in last place in the standings. Creighton clawed its way out of the cellar to improve to 7-9 in league play with an upset win over Marquette and I think it carries that momentum over into another big performance in their final home game of the regular season. The Friars are poised for a letdown after their 73-67 upset OT win over Butler on Tuesday. Creighton though has won three straight and note that it’s already 3-1 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Providence on the other hand is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with seven or more days of rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Creighton. |
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03-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 107-95 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10*) It would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these teams. Both come in playing at a very high level. Toronto has won ten of its last 12 and Houston has won five in a row, including a convincing win in Boston last time out. Toronto though plays with revenge here after falling 121-119 in Houston earlier in the season and I think that’ll be the difference this evening. Houston stumbles finally in this difficult road arena and at the end of its lengthy Eastern trip. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Toronto. |
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03-05-19 | Nebraska +13 v. Michigan State | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10*) The Cornhuskers are just 5-13 in league play and they come in off an 82-53 loss to Michigan, but I think it can keep this one competitive as it looks to play spoiler vs. this suddenly reeling MSU side. The Spartans are off a 63-62 road loss to Indiana and I believe they’ll be collectively mentally caught up on that “hiccup” still. Nebraska averages 71.9 PPG and it allows 65.1. MSU averages 79.5 PPG and it allows 65.7. Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more, while MSU is 1-4 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. T.M. Prediction: 73-68 MSU. |
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03-04-19 | Kansas State v. TCU +1.5 | Top | 64-52 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: TCU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the “hungrier” home side finds a way to get the job done here. TCU is on the bubble for The Big Dance and with a chance to cement a spot with a win today, I’m expecting the Horned Frogs to step up and make it happen. K-State is currently tied atop the Big 12 with Texas Tech. Will the visitors get caught looking past their opponent today to their weekend matchup vs. Oklahoma? The possibility is there. TCU though does not have that luxury. Note as well that K-State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 65 points or less in four straight games, while TCU is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 when playing with one or less days rest. T.M. Prediction: 67-66 TCU. |
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03-04-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs +1 | Top | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions. The Nuggets come to town having lost two straight, most recently a 120-112 upset at home to New Orleans. San Antonio crushed OKC 116-102 at home on Saturday and it’s now won two straight after a poor road trip. These teams have split a pair of games this year, but I think the momentum that the Spurs have created recently gets carried over. Note as well that Denver is a terrible 2-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while San Antonio is 12-2 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less. T.M. Prediction: 118-110 Spurs. |
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03-03-19 | Marshall v. North Texas -6 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Texas (10* BLACK-LABEL) UNT won the first meeting 78-51 and I believe we’ll see a similar final combined score here as well. Marshall is 8-7 and tied for sixth, while UNT is 8-8 and tied for eighth. However, it’s now or never for the Mean Green, who enter having losing five straight. Desperation breeds motivation in this case. Note as well that the Herd are just 3-7 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-11 ATS on the road, while UNT is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 off a SU home loss. Home floor advantage is a big one here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 UNT. |
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03-03-19 | Blazers v. Hornets +3 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers big post All Star run came to a crashing halt in a 119-117 road loss in Toronto on Friday and I think they’re ripe for the picking here as their marathon road trip comes to an end. The Hornets also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 127-96 on the road in the first meeting on January 11th. The Hornets broke a three-game slide with a quality road win in Brooklyn in their last game and they still hold the final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race. It’s a golden opportunity for the home side here and I expect it to make the most of it. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Hornets. |
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03-02-19 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -13 | Top | 120-112 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* MONEY-MAKER) No need to overthink this one. The Pelicans’ big man Anthony Davis is sitting out after New Orleans’ 130-116 win over Phoenix, so we can expect the home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish in the thin mountain air. Denver comes in off a loss to the Jazz, but previous to that it had won five straight. Denver is also 8-2 ATS in its last ten at home,. while New Orleans is just 2-7 ATS in its lats nine in the second game of a back-to-back after winning the first by ten or more points. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 128-108 Denver. |
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03-02-19 | Kansas -7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 72-67 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Kansas won the first meeting between the schools this season by a score of 84-72 and I’m expecting a repeat performance here as well. Kansas comes in off a 64-49 home win over K-State to move to 10-5 in conference action, while the Cowboys are off a deflating 84-80 OT loss to Texas Tech to fall to 3-12 in Big 12 play. Kansas has everything to play for, and Oklahoma State is stumbling towards the finish line. Note that Oklahoma State is just 4-12 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, while Kansas is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Kansas. |
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03-01-19 | Buffalo -8.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Bulls come in off a 77-64 win over Akron on Tuesday. Buffalo enters on a six-game win streak and with a win today, it’ll cement its spot for the East Division title. With that in mind, I expect the visitors put the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup. The Bulls average 87.5 PPG and they’ve won ten of the last 13 in this series. The RedHawks enter off an 82-69 win over Bowling Green, but I think they’ll have their hands full here with the Bulls high-octane offense. Note as well that Buffalo is 14-8 ATS as a favorite this season and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 on the road, while Miami is just 7-8 ATS this year vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 86-65 Bulls. |
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03-01-19 | Hornets +3.5 v. Nets | Top | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* TRADE-MARK) Both teams come in off losses. The Hornets fell 118-113 at home to the Rockets, while the Nets were upended 125-116 at home to Washington. The Hornets play with revenge here though after falling 117-115 at home to the Nets on February 23rd. Both teams need victories and clearly they’re very evenly matched (as evidenced by their game last week and by tonight’s spread.) The Hornets though are 5-1 ATS in their last six revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Sometimes, not always, the “revenge” angle “works.” That’s the case here. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-113 Hornets. |
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02-28-19 | Warriors -6 v. Magic | Top | 96-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (7:05 EST). Orlando comes in off a deflating 108-103 road loss to the Knicks. The Warriors come to town off a 126-125 loss in Miami just last night. Golden State let the Heat back into the game late and an improbable last second 3-point shot by Dwayne Wade sealed the defending champs fate. A loss like that can be devastating for some teams, even in the middle of the regular season, but for the defending champs, it’s just another day at the office. The Warriors’ veterans quickly turn the page in my opinion and bounce back with a big effort in this favorable spot. Note that the Warriors are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after playing two consecutive road games, while the Magic are just 6-7 ATS as a home underdog of six points or less. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 120-106 Warriors. |
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02-28-19 | Northeastern v. Delaware +5 | Top | 75-64 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Delaware (10* BLACK-LABEL) If recent history is any precedence, then Delaware has to be loving it chances, as it took the first meeting between he schools 82-80 in OT from Boston back on December 30th. Normally “revenge” is a factor I take into account, but it’s a “non-factor” in this one in my opinion. And that’s because the Blue Hens come in having lost five of their last seven. The Huskies are 12-4 in league play and a game behind Hofstra. The Huskies have won two straight at home, but a difficult road challenge spells “upset” in my opinion. Note that NE is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite in the 3.5 to six points range as well. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-67 Delaware. |
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02-27-19 | Cincinnati v. SMU +4.5 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SMU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Bearcats come in complacent after their tough 64-60 road win over UConn. SMU comes in desperate to atone for a 95-48 loss on the road to UCF. The home side also plays with “revenge” here after falling 73-68 in the first matchup between the schools back on February 2nd. The Bears are also just 2-3 ATS this year off a road victory, while SMU is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a conference rival and 9-6 ATS in its last 15 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Cincinnati. |
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02-27-19 | Clippers +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 10* play on the LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Both teams come in off wins over the Mavericks. Neither side has been playing particularly well since the All Star break though. But LA has many ATS advantages working in its favor today and I think that’ll be the difference. Note that the Clippers are 5-1 ATS revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Utah is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a home win by ten points or more. I’m banking on the hungry visiting side taking this one down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Jazz. |
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02-26-19 | Thunder +3.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-121 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder (10* GAME OF HTE WEEK) It’s a big divisional game, but the Thunder play with double revenge here after dropping both previous meetings. Both teams have been playing well over the last two months, but I think that OKC has made bigger strides in that time. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league since the start, but its early wins over OKC are skewed. That was then and this is now. Note that the Thunder are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. And note that the Nuggets are just 1-2 ATS this season after two straight wins by ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 120-117 Thunder. |
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02-26-19 | Miami-FL -4.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 75-76 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) Miami is 0-7 on the road in ACC action. The Hurricanes though come in off an 80-65 home win over Georgia Tech on Saturday and I think they’ll finally carry that momentum over here on the road. A game at impotent Wake Forest is just what Miami needs to get back into the winners circle, as the Deacons are tied for 13th in the conference. Most recently Wake was destroyed 94-74 at NC State this weekend. Note that the Demon Deacons are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 at home and just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games as an underdog, while Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. the conference. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 81-60 Hurricanes. |
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02-25-19 | Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 61-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Oklahoma is on the bubble right now, but it comes in with considerable momentum after back-to-back wins, including a confidence building 69-67 home win over Texas on Saturday. During the two-game win skein the Sooner have gone 13 of 30 from range and 49.1 percent from the floor overall. Note that this is a revenge game as well after falling 75-74 to Iowa State on February 4th. The Cyclones enter playing their worst ball of the year as well, with back-to-back losses and three in their last four. Note as well that Iowa State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a favorite in the seven to 12.5 points range, while Oklahoma is 8-1-3 ATS in its last 12 on the road and 11-5-3 ATS in its last 19 as an underdog in the seven to 12.5 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 Iowa State. |
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02-24-19 | Spurs v. Knicks +8.5 | Top | 118-130 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks (10* MONEY-MAKER) San Antonio has looked great at time this year. It’s also looked downright atrocious. Injuries have once again been an issue for Greg Popovich this season, but after their 120-117 road loss in Toronto last time out, I think that the Spurs have a mental letdown here. The Knicks have been a “work in progress” all year and that’s the case again tonight after their most recent 115-104 home loss to the Wolves. But San Antonio has been at its worst on the road and I think the hungry home side has a very real shot at an outright upset. The Spurs are just 1-5 during their current road trip. San Antonio is also only 4-6 ATS this year as a road favorite. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 San Antonio. |
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02-24-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -8.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois Chicago (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Wisconsin Milwaukee comes to town having lost eight straight. Illinois Chicago may normally get caught “looking past” such a lowly opponent, but the Flames come into this one having lost two straight themselves. With the home side razor focused on the task at hand and looking to take advantage of this favorable spot, I am indeed fully expecting a decisive victory here. Note as well that the Panthers are just 2-5 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while the Flames are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Illinois Chicago. |
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02-23-19 | Utah v. Washington State | Top | 92-79 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah looks to bounce back after its 62-45 road loss to conference No. 1 Washington, while Washington State looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its slim 76-74 home win over Colorado on Wednesday. If recent history is any precedence, then Utah has to be loving its chances today as well, as note that the Utes have the 23-3 all time advantage, including an 88-70 home win in the first matchup this year. After back-to-back losses though, Utah can’t take anything for granted here, so I think the “revenge” factor doesn’t work in this case. WSU has won three of four, but I think it’ll come up short against Utah’s depth once again. Note as well that Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road favorite of six points or less or pick, while WSU is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine as a home underdog of six points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 84-73 Utah. |
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02-22-19 | Indiana +7 v. Iowa | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Hoosiers are 13-13 and the Hawkeyes are 20-6. Indiana though will be looking to play spoiler here and kick this Iowa team while its down. The Hawkeyes comes in off a heart-breaking 66-65 home loss to Maryland, losing on a last second shot. Iowa now has no chance for a first round bye in the tournament, so a win or loss here doesn’t really effect it. Clearly the home side will be looking to bounce back, but Indiana is desperate for any sort of speak to hang its hat on down the stretch after a poor season (note though that the Hoosiers have won eight of the last ten between the schools and three of its last four in Iowa.) This one has all the makings of a classic. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-72 Iowa. |
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02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -113 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks (10* TRADE-MARK) I think the time off does the Mavs good and I believe the break came at a bad time for the Nuggets. Denver scored the 120-118 home win over the Kings in its final game before the All Star festivities. Dallas lost 112-101 at home to the Heat last Wednesday. Dallas plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 126-118 in Denver back on December 18th in the first meeting between the clubs. I believe the extra time off throws a monkey wrench into the Nuggets chemistry. The Mavs though can’t take anything for granted here after losing three of their last four. Note as well that Denver is just 1-4 ATS this year when playing with three or more days rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Mavericks. |
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02-21-19 | Heat +6.5 v. 76ers | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think Miami comes in under the radar here and takes advantage of a Philadelphia team which will be without the services of big man Joel Embiid. Miami enters off a 112-101 road win over Dallas on Wednesday, while the 76ers knocked off the Knicks 126-111 in their final game before the break. This is a revenge game though for the visitors after Embiid and company took care of business in Miami 124-114 back on November 12th. Miami comes in motivated as its locked in a tie for the eighth spot in the East currently. The Heat come in rested as well and note that they’re a money-making 12-7 ATS as a road underdog already this season. The 76ers come in undermanned and note that they’re a money-burning 5-9 ATS already this year after a blowout win by 15 points or more. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Philadelphia. |
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02-21-19 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +2 | Top | 84-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: William & Mary (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) COC is 21-7 overall and 10-5 in conference play, but William & Mary is the “hungrier” team here. The Pride have fought their way back into respectability with a 6-8 conference record, good enough for fifth currently. The home side also plays with a big time “revenge factor” after falling 74-59 on the road in the first matchup between the schools. COC is already just 3-4 ATS this season as a road favorite or pick, while W&M is 12-8 ATS its last 20 after scoring 80 points or more in two straight games. T.M. Prediction: 77-70 W&M. |
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02-20-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State +8.5 | Top | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego State (10* MONEY-MAKER) Nevada is 24-1, while SDSU is 16-9. The Wolfpack are 8-1 on the road, while the Aztecs are 12-2 at home. SDSU comes in on top form, having won three straight. With back-to-back road games upcoming, I believe the home side lays everything on the line tonight. Nevada has a “tougher” game at home vs. Fresno State on Friday, so the possibility of a “look ahead” isn’t out of the question here either in my opinion. Note that SDSU is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games as an underdog in the 1.5 to 12.5 points range. I think the outright upset is possible, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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02-19-19 | Kentucky v. Missouri +11 | Top | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). I think Kentucky comes in complacent. The Wildcats have won 12 of their last 13 after dropping No. 1 Tennessee in their latest action. With another game upcoming against the Vols, Kentucky also gets caught “looking ahead” here. Missouri has struggled offensively this year, but the Tigers can play defense with the best of them. Missouri is the much “hungrier” team in my estimation. Note as well that the Wildcats are just 10-14 ATS in their last 24 after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, while Missouri is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games. T.M. Prediction: 70-64 Kentucky. |
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02-18-19 | Kansas State v. West Virginia +7.5 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: West Virginia (10* MONEY-MAKER) WVU comes in as the “hungrier” team as it looks to break a three-game slide. K-State is starting to slide as it’s only a half game ahead in the Big 12 standings after falling to Iowa State last time out. K-State averages 65.8 PPG and it allows 60.2. The Wildcats though gave up 78 points in the loss to Iowa State and I think they’ll have their hands full here as well in this difficult road venue. WVU averages 71.4 PPG and it allows 75.4. K-State though is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. teams with losing records, while WVU is 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog or pick and 2-1 ATS this year in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. WVU is out of contention, but I expect it to fight until the bitter end in this one. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 65-63 K-State. |
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02-17-19 | Northern Iowa v. Evansville -1.5 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Evansville (10* TRADE-MARK) Evansville comes in as the hungrier team after losing seven of its last eight, including three straight. A date vs. the “on again, off again” Northern Iowa Panthers is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though in my opinion. Northern Iowa is primed for a letdown here after it snapped a two-game losing streak with a win over Illinois State last time out. The Purple Aces are desperate to avoid last place in the conference and with a win today they’ll vault over Indiana State. Northern Iowa is just 6-17-1 ATS in its last 24 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and just 2-6 ATS in its last eight following a SU win, while Evansville is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 74-60 Evansville. |
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02-15-19 | Marist +5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marist (10* TRADE-MARK) Marist enters playing its best ball of the year. The Red Foxes have won three of their last four aftter a 79-58 win over Niagara last time out. Quinnipiac comes in “tired” here after three straight wins, pulling away for a tough 98-88 OT win over Rider on Tuesday. Marist plays with revenge here today though and note that it’s 3-1 ATS in its last four this year revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Note that the Bobcats are still just 2-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The outright isn’t out of the question, but in the end let’s grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-70 Marist. |
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02-14-19 | The Citadel +16 v. East Tennessee State | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Citadel (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Am I calling for an outright upset here? Of course not. I simply feel that the home side will get caught by looking past its lowly opponent tonight. The Citadel Bulldogs though enter off a big 67-61 road win over Mercer as a 7.5 underdog last time out and I think they can carry that momentum over here. The Buccaneers on the other hand were upended 91-61 by Furman as 2.5 point underdogs in their last outing. The Citadel is 6-2 ATS in its last eight on the road, while East Tennessee State is just 6-7 ATS vs. the conference this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 85-75 East Tennessee State. |
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02-13-19 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* TRADE-MARK) Houston is 4-1 in its last five, but it comes in off a loss to Dallas and I think it’ll stumble here against the hungry home side, which broke a four-game slide with a win over the Clippers in its most recent action. The Rockets have been playing fantastically overall of late, but one has to wonder how long James Harden can play at such a high level? If the diminutive shooter takes the foot off the gas for even a moment, then the Rockets are in trouble. The Wolves won the first matchup between the clubs 103-91 on December 3rd and clearly they also have a legitimate shot at taking this one outright as well. Houston is only 6-11 ATS as a road favorite this year, while Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog. T.M. Prediction: 117-113 Wolves. |
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02-13-19 | Richmond +12 v. VCU | Top | 60-81 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly VCU is the better team. The Rams are 17-6, while the Richmond Spiders are only 10-14. Both teams come in on top form though, as VUC has won four straight, while Richmond has won two in a row. I’m not calling for an outright victory here, but I do think that the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing who well Richmond is currently playing at this exact moment, and I think this will lead to this contest being much closer than what this spread would suggest. Richmond is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while VCU is just 9-10 ATS in its last 9 after having won four of its last five games. T.M. Prediction: 70-68 VCU. |
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02-12-19 | Michigan v. Penn State +7 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Penn State comes in desperate as it’s just 1-11 in league play. The Wolverines come in complacent after winning 11 of their 13 Big Ten contests. Michigan comes to town off a 61-52 home win over Wisconsin. If the Wolverines have had one clear weakness though it’s been from 3-point land, where they shoot just 32.3 percent, ranked ninth in the conference. The Nittany Lions won their first conference game, but then fell immediately afterwards in a 74-70 loss at Ohio State last weekend. The Lions are also terrible from range, but note that they’re already 2-0 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss of ten points or more vs. an opponent. Note that Michigan on the other hand is a terrible 8-10 ATS in its last 18 as a road favorite or pick. Grab the points in a closer than expected battle. T.M. Prediction: 64-63 Wolverines. |
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02-12-19 | Lakers -5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The Lakers hit a buzzer beater to sink the C’s in Boston, but they came out flat in the second half of their last game vs. the 76ers and got blown away in the end. With this much more “winnable” contest up next, I fully expect “The King” to bring his A game tonight and to take full advantage. The Hawks enter off a 124-108 home loss to Orlando. The Lakers won’t be taking anything for granted here either as when these teams met in LA back on November 11th, they barely escaped with the 107-106 victory. So far LA averages 112.2 PPG, while allowing 113.4. The Hawks average 110.9 PPG and they allow 118.5. I’ll point out though that the Lakers are still 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss, while Atlanta is interestingly only 7-20 ATS in its last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 126-110 Lakers. |
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02-10-19 | Heat +14.5 v. Warriors | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* BLOOD-BATH) Miami upset the Blazers in Portland, but they’d run out of gas in a loss in Sacramento in its last outing. The Heat though come in “hungry” as they cling to the eighth spot in the East. The Warriors are off a 117-107 win at Phoenix, but I think they’ll suffer a bit of a letdown here vs. their lowly non-conference opponent today. The Warriors have big upcoming games against Western conference opponents Utah, Portland, Sacramento and Houston up next, so I think the home side also gets caught “looking ahead.” I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I do absolutely feel that the stage is set for a very competitive battle. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-107 Warriors. |
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02-10-19 | Northwestern +10 v. Iowa | Top | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (10* MONEY-MAKER) Iowa comes in complacent after huge wins over Michigan and Indiana. Northwestern comes in hungry after three straight losses to Wisconsin, Maryland and Penn State. This is a revenge game as well for the Wildcats are they lost 73-63 at home in the first matchup this season. Note that the Wildcats are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while the Hawkeyes are only 6-8 ATS at home this year and 0-2 ATS after a win by six points or less. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Iowa. |
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02-09-19 | Clippers +12 v. Celtics | Top | 123-112 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) LA came out flat in a 116-92 road loss in Indiana, but I believe this talented visiting side will bounce back with a much better effort here vs. a Celtics team which enters off a deflating 125-124 home loss the Lakers. And it was the way in which the C’s lost to the Lakers, as ex-Boston star Rajon Rondo would hit the game winning jumper with time winding off the clock. I absolutely believe that Boston will be still hung up on that game mentally. LA on the other hand comes in razor focused after losing four of its last six. Note as well that LA already 9-4 ATS this year off a road loss, while Boston is a terrible 8-12 ATS in non-conference games. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-110 Boston. |
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02-09-19 | DePaul v. Xavier -3.5 | Top | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Xavier (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) DePaul is now 12-9 after its 67-55 win over Providence on Saturday. Xavier comes in as the much “hungrier” team though at 11-12 and off a 76-54 setback to Creighton in its latest matchup. The Musketeers will be risking life and limb today to get off the schneid as they enter having lost five straight. DePaul is a terrible 2-9 ATS in its last 11 when playing with five or six days rest, while Xavier is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in the same position. I expect the more desperate team to pull away down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 78-68 Xavier. |
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02-08-19 | Heat v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* TRADE-MARK) The Heat come in off a big road win over the Blazers and I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here vs. the up-tempo and hungry Kings, who are looking to bounce back after a loss to Houston in their most recent action. The Heat average 105.2 PPG and they allow 105.6. The Kings average 113.5 PPG and they allow 115.1. From a situational stand point, this one sets up great for the Kings in my opinion. Also note that Miami is 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game, while Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss and 13-3 ATS in its last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Kings. |
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02-07-19 | BYU v. Portland +11.5 | Top | 83-48 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Pilots come in as clearly the “hungrier” team. Portland is 0-9 in league play this year and it’ll look to take advantage of a complacent BYU side which just beat Loyola Marymount 67-49 in its most recent action. The Pilots almost pulled it off last weekend, eventually falling 69-63 to Santa Clara on the road. Take it for what you will as well, but BYU is a a disastrous 6-22 in its last 28 off a win vs. a conference rival, while Portland is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. No outright upset, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-72 BYU. |
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02-07-19 | Raptors v. Hawks +9 | Top | 119-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ATL Hawks (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely believe that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. The Raptors look poised for a letdown here after their big 119-107 win at Philadelphia on Tuesday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well, as Toronto has taken six straight in the series, including both this year. However, the Hawks are playing some of their best ball of the season right now and I believe they carry that momentum over here (just beat Washington 137-129 on the road!) Note that Toronto is just 2-6 ATS this year following a divisional contest, while the Hawks are 6-4 ATS in the same position and 4-1 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Raptors. |
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02-06-19 | Spurs +11 v. Warriors | Top | 102-141 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) I got down on this one early and the line has since gone up after the news that the Spurs will be resting both DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge. I’m stuck with the pick obviously, but I do think that the undermanned Spurs can keep this one interesting, against a Warriors team who will also be looking to get its starters a lot of rest after securing a lead. San Antonio had won five straight before a 127-112 loss at Sacramento, but I think it comes in “under the radar” here. The Warriors get caught looking past their opponent, complacent after winning ten of their last 11. San Antonio is still 15-8 ATS as an underdog this year, while GS is only 10-14 ATS as a home favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Warriors. |
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02-06-19 | VCU v. George Washington +7.5 | Top | 60-50 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Rams have won eight of their last ten. VCU is on the bubble of making the tournament. Overall though VCU has struggled offensively by averaging 70.2 PPG, while allowing 63.5. The Colonials have been terrible over all this year, but they snapped a three-game slide with a win over Fordham last time out and I think they’ll build off that effort again here. Overall George Washington is averaging 65 PPG and allowing 70.5. I’ll point out though that VCU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a losing home record and only 2-6 ATS its last eight vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400, while George Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with winning SU records. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 VCU. |
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02-05-19 | Vanderbilt +9 v. Arkansas | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Vanderbilt comes in hungry after falling 77-67 on the road at Missouri on Saturday. Arkansas comes in complacent after its 90-89 road win over LSU. The Razorbacks took both meetings between the clubs last year, but everything looks like a much more competitive battle this time around as I think the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent and off its epic victory. Vandy on the other hand comes in razor focused as it looks to snap a nine game slide. The Commodores are also 8-4 ATS in their last 12 trying to revenge a road loss against a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-73 Arkansas. |
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02-05-19 | Lakers -3 v. Pacers | Top | 94-136 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) Despite all of the turmoil that some of the players have had with head coach Luke Walton and putting aside all of the supposed trade rumours for Anthony Davis, I think that LeBron James and company will find a way to get the job done on the road here against a Pacers team which continues to soldier on without its best player, Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. LA comes in focused after a 115-101 road loss to the Warriors, while the Pacers come in complacent after their big road in New Orleans just last night. Note that the Lakers beat the Pacers 104-96 back on November 29th and I think an even bigger blowout is in store this evening. Additionally note that the Pacers are just 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning SU records, while LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 LA. |
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02-04-19 | Penn State +4 v. Northwestern | Top | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (10* GAME OF WEEK) After losing eight straight, clearly the Nittany Lions are going to be desperate to break the slide. The outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’m going to grab the points in a contest which I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last. Penn State comes in off a competitive 99-90 OT loss to Purdue: “I know our record isn’t what we expect or where we want it to be but the kids are competing and playing hard,” head coach Patrick Chambers noted. “The ultimate goal down the stretch here in February is that they continue to progress.” Northwestern comes in off back-to-back losses to ranked teams and I think it gets caught “flat footed” here. Note that Penn State is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 80 points or more, while Northwestern is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Penn State. |
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02-04-19 | Nuggets v. Pistons +4 | Top | 103-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* GAME OF WEEK) Denver’s won six straight, but I think it’ll have its hands full vs. the desperate Pistons team which enters off a poor setback at home to the Clippers. Detroit fell 111-101, but had the lead in that game for most of it. The Pistons now sit three games back for the eighth spot in the East. With much more “high profile” games upcoming against the Nets and Philadelphia during this Eastern swing, I also believe that this sets up as a look ahead spot for the visitors. Note as well that Denver is still only 5-8 ATS this year as a road favorite, while Detroit is 3-1 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 109-100 Pistons. |
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02-03-19 | Thunder v. Celtics -3 | Top | 129-134 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the correct call here is on the home side. After seven straight victories, I believe the Thunder finally have a letdown in this difficult road arena. OKC comes in off a 118-102 road win over Miami, while Boston rolled to a 113-99 win over the Knicks on the road in their most recent action. Boston posted a 101-95 road victory in the first matchup this year and I think an even bigger blowout is in the cards here. The Thunder have difficulty against the better defensive clubs, and the C’s have been strong at the end of the floor, allowing just 105.5 PPG (ranked fifth). The numbers support us here as well, as note that OKC is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Boston is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 vs. teams with a winning road record. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-110 C’s. |
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02-03-19 | Wright State +1 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wright State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Wright State won this game at home 72-64 just before the New Year and I’m expecting a similar final combined outcome here as well. IUPUI looks poised for a classic letdown here though after its big upset win over conference leading NKU on Friday. Can anyone say “letdown” spot? I think the Raiders, who snapped a four-game winning streak by falling 67-53 at Illinois Chicago on Friday, come in focused on the task at hand and take full advantage of this matchup. Additionally note that Wright State is a perfect 4-0 ATS already this year when playing one or less days rest, while IUPUI is just 3-7 ATS in it last ten as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. For all the reasons listed above, play on the visitors. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Wright State. |
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02-02-19 | 76ers v. Kings +3.5 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings (10* MONEY-MAKER) The 76ers are just 13-13 on the road. Note that Philadelphia is resting both Wilson Chandler and JJ Reddick in this contest, two of the team’s best shooters. Off a huge road win over the defending champs, can anyone say “letdown spot” here?! The Kings have been better than expected this season and they’ve been at their best at home (15-10). In fact Sacramento has won five straight at home, winning by at least seven points each time. Note as well that the Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last six at home, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less. Clearly I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 125-110 Kings. |
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02-02-19 | New Mexico +11.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think that New Mexico will keep this one competitive until the final moments. The Lobos enter off a tough 68-66 home loss to Utah State last weekend, while Fresno State got the better of Wyoming 75-62 on the road on Wednesday. New Mexico comes in as the “hungrier” team, having lost two straight and five of its last six. The Lobos average 76.7 PG and they allow 76.3. The Bulldogs come in complacent after winning three of their last four. Fresno State averages 76.2 PPG and it allows 66.1. Note though that New Mexico 6-3 ATS in its last nine when playing with five or six days rest, while Fresno State is just 4-6 ATS at home and only 3-5 ATS vs. the conference. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-70 Bulldogs. |
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02-01-19 | Grizzlies v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Charlotte Hornets (10* GAME OF MONTH) The Grizzlies enter off a deflating 99-97 OT road loss in Minnesota on Friday and think they’ll have their hands full here against a Hornets team also coming off a terrible road loss, falling 126-94 in Boston on Wednesday. But if recent history is any precedence, then for sure Charlotte has to be feeling confident here, because the first time these teams met in Memphis on January 23rd, the Hornets left with a convincing 118-107 road victory. The Grizz are just 10-16 ATS on the road overall this year. Memphis averages only 100.5 PPG, while allowing 103.8. Charlotte is 14-10 ATS at home and it averages 111.5 PPG, while allowing 111.4. Note as well that the Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. the West, while Memphis is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 vs. the East. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: 108-98 Hornets. |
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02-01-19 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU-Indianapolis +3 | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: IUPUI (10* GAME OF MONTH) After winning eight of its last nine and six conference games in a row, I think the Norse finally let the foot off the gas here vs. the hungry Jaguars. Most recently NKU defeated Milwaukee 73-60 this past Saturday. The Norse average 108.9 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 100.1 points per 100. The Jags average 99.8 points per 100 possessions, but make up for it on the other end by allowing 101.3 per 100. IUPUI though has been improving dramatically/quickly, most recently destroying Detroit 80-65 on Saturday to bump them to 5-4 in league play. I think the oddsmaker are slow in recognizing this improvement. The outright is possible, but in the end I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-70 IUPUI. |
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01-31-19 | Pacers v. Magic -2 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* TRADE MARK) No need to over think this one. The Magic have lost four straight, but they were competitive in a loss to the Thunder last time out. Orlando plays with revenge here though and it catches a Pacers team which was demolished in Washington just last night and which has lost three in a row itself. Indiana is tired and it’s playing out the rest of its season without its superstar Victor Oladipo, who was lost to injury. This one sets up beautifully for the home side, note as well that it’s 7-4 ATS in its last 11 in revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Magic. |
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01-31-19 | Delaware v. Elon +1 | Top | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Elon (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s an “in season” revenge game for Elon. Delaware is 6-3 in CAA action and the Blue Hens took the first meeting between the schools 77-65 on January 5th. The Blue Hens average 72.5 PPG and they allow 70.9. After a four-game losing streak, Elon will now look to avenge the earlier setback to Delaware and to build off its 89-82 win over UNCW on January 26th. Elon average 70.4 PPG and it allows 76.6. I’ll point out though that the Blue Hens are just 6-8 ATS in their last 14 after playing two consecutive home games, while Elon is already 3-1 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-30-19 | Nuggets -8 v. Pelicans | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Pelicans posted an improbable 121-116 road victory in Houston last night without Anthony Davis in the line-up and I believe they’ll suffer a letdown here vs. the deep and talented Nuggets. Davis announced he won’t resign with New Orleans, but the Pelicans still managed to gut out a victory on the road in a difficult road venue. Can anyone say letdown spot?! Denver is tough on both ends of the floor and just held Memphis to 92 points in its most recent victory. After their big offensive outburst last night, I do indeed expect the Pelicans to take a predictable step back this evening. Note as well that Denver is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Everything points to a lop-sided destruction, so lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 117-100 Nuggets. |
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01-30-19 | Northern Iowa +11.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Iowa (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m not calling for an outright upset, but I think the hungry 9-12 Northern Iowa Panthers will keep this one competitive until the final moments vs. the 13-8 Loyola Chicago Ramblers. Northern Iowa broke a two-game slide with a win over Evansville last time out, while Loyola Chicago has won four of its last five after smashing Southern Illinois this past weekend. The Ramblers come in complacent after six straight home wins. Additionally note that the home side is just 5-6 ATS at home this year, while Northern Iowa is 3-1 ATS in its last four vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 63-60 Loyola Chicago. |
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01-29-19 | Wizards v. Cavs +6.5 | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Wizards look ripe for a letdown here in my estimation after their 132-119 loss in San Antonio on Sunday. Cleveland on the other hand looks poised to build off its confidence building 104-101 road win in Chicago over the weekend. These clubs have split two meetings and the Cavs won at home, 116-101 back on December 8th. The Wizards are a poor 7-18 ATS on the road. The Cavs are only 9-15 ATS at home, but note that they’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight after a division game and 2-0 ATS in its last two off a road victory, while Washington is a disastrous 4-13 ATS this year after a non-conference contest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Cavs. |
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01-29-19 | Eastern Michigan +2.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 82-86 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Chips opened the season by going 14-3, but CMU comes in having lost three straight. EMU won’t be taking anything for granted here, as it just broke a three-game slide of its own by knocking off WMU 93-67 on the road last time out. Elijah Minnie was a beast in that one with 29 points. These are two evenly matched teams (as evidenced by this spread), but I think the overall conditions favor the visitors. Also note that EMU is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS victory, while CMU is just 2-5 ATS in it last seven following an ATS victory and only 1-4 ATS in its last five at home. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 EMU. |
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01-28-19 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +5 | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Nuggets have emerged as one of the best teams in the league. When healthy the Nuggets are going to be able to compete with any team. They come into this one having won five of their last six. Denver averages 112 PPG and it allows 106.2. The Grizzlies broke an eight-game slide vs. the Pacers last time out and I think they’ll build off that effort with another decent performance here. Memphis has struggled offensively this year averaging only 100.8 PPG, but it’s been sharp defensively in allowing only 104. Note that Denver is still just 9-13 ATS on the road this season (and only 2-7 ATS vs. the Southwest division), while Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing four consecutive home games. I’m banking on a competitive affair, so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 105-104 Grizzlies. |
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01-28-19 | Southern Utah v. Northern Arizona -1 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Arizona (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Southern Utah is 9-8 and after its four game win streak was snapped last time out vs. Northern Colorado, I think the Thunderbirds are ripe for a letdown here as well. Brandon Better was a bright spot in a losing cause last time out for SU with 22 points. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks won’t be taking anything for granted and they won’t be lacking for motivation after staring the year 5-13. Most recently the Lumberjacks fell to Northern Colorado, led by 15 points and five boards from Carlos Hines. But the home floor advantage is significant in this early afternoon contest in my opinion. Further note that the Thunderbirds are a poor 15-33-1 ATS in their last 49 following an ATS loss and just 1-5 ATS in their last six on the road. Northern Arizona on the other hand is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Northern Arizona. |
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01-27-19 | Washington State +14 v. Oregon | Top | 58-78 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington State (10* BLACK-LABEL) I’m not at all suggesting that the lowly Cougars are going to win this one outright, but I do think that the stage is set for a competitive battle. WSU is off a 90-77 loss at Oregon State and it’s now just 1-5 in league play. Oregon enters off a 61-56 home loss to Washington, dropping the Ducks to just 2-4 in Pac 12 action. The Cougars average 78.5 PPG, while allow 77.9. Oregon averages only 71.2 PPG, while allowing 64.7. I believe the Ducks are the better team, but a “two TD favorite?” I don’t see it. Note that Oregon is just 1-4 ATS in its last five at home,. while WSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a 13 points or more road conference underdog after allowing 90 points or more in a loss in its previous outing. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-69 Oregon. |
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01-27-19 | Raptors -4 v. Mavs | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto comes in off back-to-back losses. The Mavericks come in off back-to-back wins. When these teams played North of the border back on October 26th, it was the Raptors though who came out on top 116-107. I believe that the 36-15 Raptors enter this one as the “hungrier” team vs. the 22-26 Mavericks. This is simply a bad match-up for Dallas, as Toronto comes to town healthy for the first time in a long time. Toronto averages 113.9 PPG and it allows 108.5. Dallas averages 109.4 PPG and it allows 109.3. Clearly the margin for error is pretty slim most nights for the Mavs. Additionally note that Toronto is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 after two or more consecutive road losses, while Dallas is a poor 4-8 ATS this season trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 Toronto. |
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01-26-19 | Hawks +10.5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I like the improving visiting side to sneak in under the radar and through the back door down the stretch. ATL enters off a confidence building 121-101 road win in Chicago on Wednesday, while Portland comes in off a 120-106 road win over the Suns. The Hawks average 109.9 PPG and they allow 117.5. The Blazers average 112.6 PPG and they allow 110.1. I think Atlanta will have its chances here to match pace offensively. Note as well that the Hawks are already 10-4 ATS in their last 14 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Portland. |
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01-26-19 | George Washington +14 v. George Mason | Top | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* TRADE-MARK). The 6-13 George Washington Colonials won’t be lacking for motivation today. George Mason on the other hand comes in complacent in my opinion after winning four straight. GW averages 64.7 PPG, led by DJ Williams with 13.1 points and 4.9 boards per game. The Colonials allow 71.4 PPG overall. George Mason averages 72.1 PPG and it allows 68. Justin Kier averages 15.4 points and 6.7 boards for the Patriots. Note though that GW is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in its first six road games, while GM is just 12-13 ATS in its last 25 as a favorite. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 George Mason. |
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01-25-19 | Kings v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* TRADE-MARK) The Kings come in off a 120-105 road loss in Toronto on Tuesday. The Grizzlies enter off a 118-107 home loss to Charlotte. The Grizzlies though play with revenge here as Sacramento has taken two of three in the series already between the clubs, including a 102-99 victory in the most recent at home on December 21st. The Kings though are now just 1-3 on their current road trip. Overall Sacramento is just 11-13 ATS on the road. The Kings average 113.4 PPG, and they allow 115.3. The Grizz are only 10-13 ATS at home and while Marc Gasol and Mike Conley could be on the move shortly, I still think this one favors the hungry home side. Note that Memphis is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Play on the Grizz. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-25-19 | Rider v. Iona +1 | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iona (10* MONEY-MAKER) After five straight wins, I think the Rider Broncs get caught complacent here. most recently Rider topped Manhattan 60-47. Overall the Broncos average 77.6 PPG. The Iona Gaels have split their last eight games, and they’ll be eager to return to the winners circle after a tight 83-81 loss to Monmouth last time out. Asante Giste was a bright spot in the losing cause with 21 points. As a team Iona verges 80.9 PPG. Note that the Broncs are also just 4-6 ATS on the road this year, while the Gaels are 3-1 ATS at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-24-19 | Wolves v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* TRADE-MARK) This is the fourth time these teams will have met this year and the Wolves own the 2-1 advantage thus far. I think the home side evens that record tonight though. Note that the Lakers won the only game at the Staples Center so far 114-110. Minnesota has been hit or miss all year, but more miss than hit on the road, going 7-16 SU and 10-13 ATS. The Lakers are only 10-14-1 ATS at home, but they’re a solid 15-10 SU. I think the home side finds a way to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Lakers. |
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01-24-19 | Charlotte v. Texas-San Antonio -9 | Top | 43-88 | Win | 100 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas San Antonio (10* MONEY-MAKER) The UTSA Roadrunners come in hungry to stop a two-game slide. After winning seven straight, UTSA has dropped two in a row. The 49ers almost pulled off a huge upset over ODU last time out, but after coming up just short and getting outscored 52-36 in the second half, I think Charlotte comes out flat here. Additionally note that the 49ers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Roadrunners are 4-1 ATS In their last five vs. teams with a losing SU record. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
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01-23-19 | East Carolina +20.5 v. Houston | Top | 50-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (10* TRADE-MARK) Am I suggesting that the 8-9 East Carolina Pirates are going to take down the 18-1 Houston Cougars on their home court?! Of course not. I simply feel that the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight, leaving the back door open for the visitors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. ECU has struggled all season, but it does have a signature win at home over Cincinnati, which is significant in my opinion. Most recently ECU lost its third straight in an 85-74 setback at home to Temple. The Pirates won’t be lacking for motivation today anyways. Houston comes in off the 69-60 win over South Florida in its latest action, but note that it’s just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. I’m grabbing all the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-62 Houston. |
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01-23-19 | Cavs +16.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-123 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* MONEY-MAKER). Of course I’m not predicting an outright upset, but I do definitely expect the Celtics come out flat here and even rest some of their starters vs. the lowly Cavs. Cleveland won’t be lacking for motivation today as it’s lost four straight and 16 of its last 17. Not surprisingly this is a “revenge” game as well for Cleveland after it fell 128-95 in the first meeting between the clubs back on November 30th. The Cavs are 12-10-1 ATS in their last 23 on the road. The C’s have had a lot of success at home this season, but note that they’re just 33-34 ATS in their last 77 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. Note that the Cavs have already dominated in this spot for bettors this year as well, going 10-3 ATS after failing to cover three of their last four vs. the spread. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-106 C’s. |
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01-22-19 | Wolves -6 v. Suns | Top | 118-91 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) These teams played in Minnesota on Sunday night and the Wolves escaped with the 116-114 win. I believe that Minnesota will put the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one though. These clubs have now split two games this season. The Wolves average 111.6 PPG and they allow 112. The Suns come in reeling after four straight losses. Phoenix is just 11-13 ATS at home and it averages 106.3 PPG, while allowing 115. Additionally note that Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games vs. teams with a losing home record, while Phoenix is a poor 2-6 ATS in its last eight when playing on one days rest. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 120-108 Wolves. |
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01-22-19 | Western Michigan +6.5 v. Ohio | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Western Michigan (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) I’m expecting a battle until the end here. WMU comes in hungry at 6-12 overall, including 0-5 in league play. The Broncos have lost five straight, most recently getting rolled 79-48 by Bowling Green. Overall though WMU is averaging 71.5 PPG, led by Michael Flowers with 15.6 points, 4.7 boards and 3.6 assists per game. Defense has been the issue for the Broncos, allowing 74.2 PPG. But a date vs. Ohio is just what WMU needs to get back on track, as the Bobcats come in scuffling as well having lost two straight (75-52 setback to Toledo on Friday most recently.) Overall Ohio is averaging 70.3 PPG, while allowing 71.9. I believe these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Ohio. |
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01-21-19 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +8 | Top | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rutgers (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Nebraska may win this game, but I’m expecting an all out war. The Huskers only losses have come on the road (plus against MSU at home). Rutgers comes in as the “hungrier” team here after three straight setbacks, most recently to Northwestern. The Huskers had their 20 game home win streak snapped last time out and I think they’re still collectively “caught up” on that one. Check out what head coach Tim Miles said recently: “There are no moral victories and I’m utterly mad and disappointed,” Miles admitted. “We can’t stick around and be too disappointed because we have Rutgers, who just beat a ranked team at home so we need to be ready to go.” Since beating Ohio State 64-61 on Jan. 9th the Scarlet Knights have lost three straight, but I expect them to put up a fight here in this favorable situation. Note as well that Nebraska is just 2-4 ATS already this year following a conference game, while Rutgers is already a perfect 2-0 ATS this season off a home loss vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Nebraska. |
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01-20-19 | Suns v. Wolves -10 | Top | 114-116 | Loss | -113 | 26 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota Timberwolves (10* ATS BLOOD-BATH) No need to delve too deeply into this one, as I think the Suns will suffer a letdown here after their loss in Charlotte yesterday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Wolves after they fell 116-113 at home to the Spurs. Note as well that this is a “revenge” game for Minnesota after it fell 107-99 in Phoenix back on December 15th. The Suns average 106 PPG and they allow 114.5. The Wolves average 111.5 PPG and they allow 112. Minnesota though is 14-9 ATS at home and I fully expect it to make the most of this opportunity. Additionally note that the Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five when playing on one days rest. I’m laying the points with confidence. T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Wolves. |
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01-20-19 | Duquesne v. George Washington +2.5 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington (10* TRADE-MARK) Duquesne comes in off a 74-68 road win over Richmond, but I think it’ll stumble here. George Washington managed a 59-56 road win over La Salle in its latest action and I believe it carries that momentum over here in front of the home town crowd. The Dukes though are just 1-2 on the road. Overall Duquesne averages 73.9 PPG and it allows 70.8. The Colonials are averaging only 63.7 points, while allowing 70.2, but I’ll point out that they’ve been “money in the bank” for bettors in this spot for quite some time, going 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as a home underdog or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-66 GW. |
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01-19-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State -4 | Top | 64-78 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona State (10* TRADE-MARK) I’m expecting the home side to put the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for a convincing SU/ATS victory. Oregon enters off a 59-54 win on the road over Arizona and I believe it’ll suffer a predictable letdown here. ASU enters off a 70-67 home win over Oregon State last time out. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well as the Ducks have won seven straight in the series, including a 76-68 home win in the most recent back on February 22nd. Oregon averages 72.5 PPG and it allows 64.2. ASU is averaging 79.2 PPG and it’s allowing 72.9. Oregon though is only 1-7 ATS in its last eight after allowing 60 points or less in two straight games, while ASU is 4-1 ATS in its last five after playing a game as a home favorite. Lay the points and expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 ASU. |
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01-19-19 | Lakers +7 v. Rockets | Top | 134-138 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Rockets come in off a loss to the lowly Nets and I think the improving Lakers will push the pace and keep this one interesting late. LeBron James remains out of the line-up, but LA has started to figure things out without The King, with four wins out of its last six. LA has won two straight and it comes in averaging 111.9 PPG and allowing 110.8. Houston averages 112 PPG and it allows 110. LA has done well in this spot for bettors of late though, going 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road underdog. Conversely note that the Rockets have struggled by going just 6-9 ATS after a non-conference game this year. Grab the points and don’t be shocked by the outright. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Rockets. |
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