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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-26-20 | Nets +1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 97-110 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets Sure, the Nets went to OT yesterday. They're still the better team though and we're getting them as an underdog. The Knicks are 1-10 in division games. The Knicks are also 1-8 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6. The Nets already won here earlier and consider MSG a home away from home. They'll make it their home today. T.M. Prediction: 113-102 Nets |
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01-26-20 | Stanford v. California +8.5 | Top | 50-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: California Golden Bears The Golden Bears are 6-3 vs. the number L2 years when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. The Cardinal are 2-4 vs. the number when playing with 7 or more day's rest. Recent games between these teams here in Berkeley have been very close. Cal has won 2 of L4 meetings here and lost the other 2 by 3 and 4 points. This one comes down to the final buzzer. T.M. Prediction: 77-76 Cal |
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01-26-20 | Missouri State v. Drake -4.5 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Drake Entering this game, Missouri State is only 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Drake (0-6 ATS.) They are also a sad 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Drake. For the Bulldogs, they are a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. Drake is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. Take Drake on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Drake |
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01-25-20 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 73-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M Aggies Texas A&M may come in as the underdog, but I believe that they will find a way to crush the Cowboys here on Saturday. Coming into this game, Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Big 12 Conference. The Aggies are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State. For the Cowboys, they are only 0-5 ATS (0-5 SU as well) in their last 5 games this season. At home, give me Texas A&M all day. T.M. Prediction: 81-67 Aggies |
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01-24-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo -4 | Top | 70-66 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Bulls The Buffalo Bulls and the Kent State Golden Flashes both come in with identical 13-6 records. Although their records may look the same, I believe that Buffalo is by far the more superior side in this one. Entering this game, the Bulls are a dominant 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home. Buffalo is also 4-1 in their last 5 games. Even better, they are a sweet 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Kent State. For the Golden Flashes, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on the road (2-5 ATS L7.) Kent St is also a sad 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against Buffalo. At home, I expect the Buffalo Bulls to dominate this Kent St team with ease on Friday. T.M. Prediction: 83-73 Buffalo |
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01-23-20 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. South Dakota -7.5 | Top | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Dakota Entering this game, South Dakota is a dominant 12-3 in their last 15 games played on a Thursday. The Coyotes are also a sweet 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against IPFW. For the Mastodons, they are only 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road. IPFW is also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games this season. At home, expect an easy win for the Coyotes. T.M. Prediction: 79-61 SDAK |
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01-21-20 | Miami-FL +17.5 v. Duke | Top | 59-89 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Fl Duke may be the better team, but if you're going to give me 17.5 to a team that almost beat a top 10 opponent last time out, I'm jumping all over that. Duke is only 14-20 after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games the past 3 years. On the other hand, the Hurricanes are 3-1 off a loss against a conference rival. Miami FL is also a perfect 2-0 this season after 2 or more consecutive losses. Expect an easy cover on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 79-75 Duke |
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01-19-20 | Loyola-Chicago -3.5 v. Illinois State | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola-Chicago I recently won with Loyola-Chicago on Thursday against Southern Illinois. Now, I like them even better as they play another weak team in Illinois State. The Ramblers come into this game 9-2 SU in their last 11 games. LOYCH is also 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games played in January. Even better, they are a dominant 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Illinois State. For the Redbirds, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games (1-7 L8.) They are also a terrible and when I say terrible, I mean absolutely terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. Expect another huge win for the Ramblers on Sunday Afternoon. T.M. Prediction: 76-54 Ramblers |
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01-18-20 | Middle Tennessee v. Florida International -7.5 | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida International I believe that their is a huge gap between the skill of these two teams. Florida International is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games. The Panthers also are a dominant 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Middle Tennessee. Even better, FIU has won 10 straight games when playing at home. For the Blue Raiders, they are only 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. They are also a terrible 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road and they are 0-9 in their last 9 games. I smell blowout in this one as FIU wins by 23. T.M. Prediction: 83-60 FIU |
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01-15-20 | Massachusetts v. St Bonaventure -8.5 | Top | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St Bonaventure The Bonnies come into this matchup as ther much better team. They are a dominant 10-1 SU in their last 11 games this season. St Bonaventure is also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games played in January. For UMASS, they are only 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played on a Wednesday. The Minutemen are also 2-14 SU in their last 16 games played in January. Even worse, they are a terrible 0-7 in their last 7 games against the Bonnies. At home, expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 72-51 Bonnies |
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01-14-20 | Jazz v. Nets +3 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets With Kyrie Irving back and healthy, the Brooklyn Nets will be tough to play against, especially at home. Coming into this game Brooklyn is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games at home. The Nets are also off back-to-back wins which could help provide a confidence boost here tonight. Now, there isn't much bad to say about the Jazz. Even though they have won nine straight games, 1-4 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Utah is also only 0-4 ATS off 9 consecutive wins the past three seasons. Expect a hard fought game, but for Brooklyn to pull away late. Take the Nets. T.M. Prediction: 117-112 Nets |
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01-14-20 | Central Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 74-67 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo Both of these two teams may have identical records, but I believe that the Rockets are the better team. Toledo comes into this game with a massive 9-1 record in their last 10 games at home. Toledo is also 8-4 ATS off a home non-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite the past three years. Even better, they are 7-3 ATS ehrn against good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. For the Chippewas, they are only 0-8 SU in their last 8 games on the road. Central Michigan is also a terrible 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Toledo. Expect an easy cover for the home team here. Take the Toledo Rockets. T.M. Prediction: 76-49 Toledo |
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01-12-20 | Canisius v. St. Peter's -2.5 | Top | 72-68 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St Peter's Both of these two teams sit with a record below .500. But, even with a 5-7 record, the Saint Peter's Peacocks are still a dominant 9-3 ATS this season. Saint Peter's also come into this game with a 6-3 SU record in their last 9 games against opponents in the Metro Atlantic Conference. On the other hand, Canisius are a terrible 0-6 in their last 6 games this seaaon. The Golden Griffins are also only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the MAC. Even worse, they are a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games played on the road. With St Peter's at home, expect the Peacocks to win with ease on Sunday. Take SPC T.M. Prediction: 69-61 SPC |
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01-11-20 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Green Bay -6 | Top | 87-80 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Green Bay On Saturday, both teams will battle to see who's the better team in Wisconsin. Neither team has played too well, but their whole seasons could flip around, with a huge win today, Wisconsin-Milwaukee is only 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games this season. They are also a sad 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Wisconsin-Green Bay. Even worse, they are a terrible 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday. For Green Bay, they are a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Phoenix are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Take Wis-GB here. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 |
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01-11-20 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Eastern Kentucky -5 | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Kentucky Neither team has started too well to the 2019-20 campaign. They both enter well under .500 and that has made people think that both cannot make the Big Dance. But, with a win here, I believe that Eastern Kentucky's hopes are still alive. EKU is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Ohio Valley Conference. On the other hand, SIU Edwardsville are only 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Kentucky. Take EKU at home on Saturday, T.M. Prediction: 77-61 EKU |
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01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies | Top | 121-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies Memphis comes into this game with a 4-1 SU % ATS record in their last 5 games this season. Memphis is also a dominant 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against opponents in the Western Conference. On the other hand, San Antonio is only 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against opponents in the Western Conference. The Spurs are also only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Memphis. At home, I expect the Grizzlies to get the job done here. T.M. Prediction: 117-109 Memphis |
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01-08-20 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -9 | Top | 44-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati The Bearcats may not have the best record, but they still have a very talented team, led by one of the best players in the entire league in Jarron Cumberland. Dating back to last season. Cincinnati is 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against opponents in the American Athletic Conference. The Bearcats are also 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 in their last five games against Tulsa. For the Golden Hurricane, they are only 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road. They are also a sad, 5-11 SU in their last 16 games played in January. Expect another dominant performance from Cincinnati tonight, at home. Take the Bearcats. T.M. Prediction: 81-56 Cinci |
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01-06-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Coastal Carolina -7 | Top | 64-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Coastal Carolina The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks haven't looked too great as of late, which has resulted in recent struggles. Although they have won their last two games, they are only 2-5 in their last 7 games. The Warhawks are also a sad 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Coastal Carolina. For the Chanticleers, they have looked very sharp. Entering this game, they are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in January. Even better, Coastal Carolina is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Monday. Expect another easy win for them on Monday. T.M. Predtiction: 77-59 CCAR |
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01-04-20 | Florida State +6.5 v. Louisville | Top | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida St Both of these two teams are crusing right through the start of their seasons. Florida St is 12-2 while Louisville is 11-2. The Seminoles are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games this season. They are also 7-4 after a cover as a double digit favorite. Even better, FSU is a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played on a Saturday. Louisville is only 7-11 after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread the past three years. I expect the Seminoles to shock the world here on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 78-77 FSU |
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01-01-20 | Blazers -4 v. Knicks | Top | 93-117 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers Portland may be having an "off season" so far, but in my opinion, they still have an excellent team that will be in the playoff hunt come time. The Trail Blazers are 6-1 in their last 7 games when they are playing on the road against New York. They are also a dominant 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against opponents in the Atlantic Division. For the Knicks, they are only 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games played on a Wednesday. NY is also a terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Northwest Division. I mean c'mon. This is one of the worst teams in the NBA. To be only favored by 3.5. That's awful. Blazers win big on New Year's, to prove the haters wrong. T.M. Prediction: 111-86 Trail Blazers |
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12-30-19 | Pistons +9.5 v. Jazz | Top | 81-104 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons The Pistons haven't had the start they were hoping for, but I believe they have the team to compete come playoff time. Coming into this game against the Jazz, Detroit are 4-2 off a blowout loss of 15 points or more this season. For Utah, they are 5-10 after playing on the road in their previous game ytd. The Jazz are also a terrible 0-5 off a win by 10+ points this season. With Andre Drummond and Blake Griffin leading the way, I expect the Pistons to keep it close here. Take Detroit. T.M. Prediction: 111-108 Jazz |
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12-30-19 | Louisiana Tech -7 v. Southern Miss | Top | 80-49 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Tech There is a gigantic gap of skill between these two schools. Louisiana Tech comes in as the leader in the Conference USA. They are a dominant 5-1 SU in their last 6 games this season. The Bulldogs are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against the Golden Eagles. Even better they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Southern Mississippi. For the Eagles, they come in as the 13th best team in the same conference. They have struggled all season long and that has resulted in a terrible record. Southern Miss is only 3-9 SU in their last 12 games. I expect the Bulldog to destroy these guys on Monday. Take LT. T.M. Prediction: 83-59 LT |
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12-28-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | Top | 109-136 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs Neither team has started this season with a great record, but there is still time to improve. Detroit comes off a huge win over the Wizards on Wednesday. Even though they won that game, they are still only 1-5 SU/ATS in their last 6 games. The Pistons are also only 2-8 in their last 10 games against San Antonio. For the Spurs, they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games this season. Demar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge lead the way for them. In a big gaem, I trust the better team to get the job done. Take the Spurs. T.M. Prediction: 114-103 Spurs |
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12-28-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky -7.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Kentucky Wis-Milwaukee enters this game with a 5-7 record. They havce yet to do anything really, and they have lost their last five games. The Panthers are also a terrible 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against Northern Kentucky. For NKU, they are a dominant 18-2 in their L20 games at home. The Norse are also 13-5 in their L18 games dating back to last season. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against opponents in the Horizon League Conference. I expect this to be a complete destruction on Saturday Morning. Take NKU. T.M. Prediction: 78-62 NKU |
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12-27-19 | Bucks v. Hawks +12 | Top | 112-86 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks Atlanta may be bad, I mean really bad, but I expect them to cover with ease here. Trae Young has had an unbelievable season even with his team losing. He has now scored at least 30 points in each of their last five games. Trae also has PF John Collins to pair with him. That man kills weak defense. For Milwaukee, they'll be without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Eric Bledsoe. They may have the best record in the entire league, but without those guys, 12 points is a lot to win by. Off 8 straight losses, Atlanta is due for a big performance here against a Bucks team full with injuries. Expect a close game on Friday Night. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Bucks |
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12-25-19 | Clippers +2 v. Lakers | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clippers Christmas always delivers. Here, it's the battle for L.A. and both of these teams are almost identical in skill. The Clippers come into this game 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against opponents in the Pacific Division. They are also 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against opponents in the Western Conference. On the other hand, the Lakers have lost 3 games in a row. They started the season as the best team in the NBA, but now they have slipped off a little bit. In the past, the Clippers are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers. The Clippers have also won 16 of their last 20 meetings against each other. Expect a similar outcome here. T.M. Prediction: 123-119 Clippers |
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12-23-19 | San Francisco +1 v. Fresno State | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Fran Coming into this game, San Francisco is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games. The Dons are also 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against Fresno State. Even better, they are a dominant 8-3 in their L11 games played in December. On the other hand, Fresno St comes in with a sad 1-4-1 ATS record in their last 6 games played on a Monday. The Bulldogs are also only 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games. Expect San Fran to take care of business on the road today. Take the Dons. T.M. Prediction: 69-57 SF |
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12-23-19 | Hawks +2 v. Cavs | Top | 118-121 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks Neither team has looked sharp to enter the 2019-20 season. Trae Young, Hawks point guard, has been playing phenomenal basketball. Although his team has been losing, he has scored at least 30 points in each of their last four games. Cleveland comes into this one with a terrible 0-7 ATS record in their last 7 games against opponents from the Eastern Conference. The Cavs are also 3-13 SU in their last 16 games played in December. Off 7 straight loses, expect the Hawks to bounce back in a big way tonight. Take Atlanta. T.M. Prediction: 113-104 Hawks |
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12-21-19 | Kentucky +4 v. Ohio State | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UK The Wildcats may not have had the best start in the world, but they still are 80% on the year, Kentucky comes in 11-2 SU in their last 13 games played on a Saturday. They are also 6-1 SU in their last 7 games. On the other hand, Ohio St has been pretty good as well. "I know they lost (Wednesday), but at the end of the day, they're going to be one of the better teams in the country," UK Head Coach said after the game on Wednesday. Holtmann expects a completely different Kentucky team here, than the team that everyone saw against Utah. Expect a huge bouce-back win. T.M. Prediction: 85-83 Kentucky |
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12-19-19 | Rockets +5 v. Clippers | Top | 122-117 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets Boh teams have beenm excellent, as expected, to start the 2019-20 season. Houston comes into this one with a 5-2 SU record in their last 7 games. They just beat San Antonio in a great matchup on Tuesday. LA is off a win against the Suns, but they lost to the Bulls in the match previous to that. With James Harden and Russell Westbrook leading the way, I like the Rockets to not only cover, but to win this close, exciting game. Take Houston. T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Rockets |
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12-18-19 | VCU -5 v. College of Charleston | Top | 76-71 | Push | 0 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU VCU comes into this one 6-0 SU in their last 6 games on the road. They are also 16-4 SU in their last 20 games dating back to last season. Even better, they are a sweet 18-2 SU in their last 20 games against opponents in the Colonial Athletic Conference. On the other hand, College of Charleston are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Wednesday. The Cougars are also a sad 2-4 SU in their last 6 games this season. Expect a beadown here. T.M. Prediction: 78-63 VCU |
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12-17-19 | North Texas v. Dayton -15.5 | Top | 58-71 | Loss | -113 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dayton 14th ranked Dayton comes in 8-1 while North Texas enters with a sad 4-6 record. For Dayton, they are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played in December. The Flyers are also6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games this season. Even better, Dayton is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home. On the other hand, North Texas is 1-4 SU in their L5 games against opponents in the Atlantic 10 Conference. Even worse, the Mean Green are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games dating back to last season. I expect the Dayton Flyers to destroy this weak UNT team. T.M. Prediction: 83-57 Dayton |
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12-16-19 | Mavs +11 v. Bucks | Top | 120-116 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavs Both of these two teams have had insane starts to the season, and both will want to continue that here. Dallas enters this one with a perfect 5-0 SU record in their L5 games against an opponent in the Central division. The Mavs are also 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. Milwaukee. The Bucks, are 4-5 in their last 9 games when playing against a team against an opponent with a winning record. The Mavericks may be without star Luka Doncic, but they've got the talent to keep up with this Bucks team. Expect Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge on Monday Night. Take Dallas. T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks |
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12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois -1.5 v. Western Illinois | Top | 85-47 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Illinois Coming into this game, Eastern Illinois is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games. The Panthers are also 6-2 in their L8 games played in December. Even better, they are a dominant 5-1 in their last 6 games against Western Illinois. On the other hand, Western Illinois is a sad 4-14 SU in their last 18 games. The Leathernecks are also 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against opponents in the Ohio Valley Conference. Expect EIU to win with ease here. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 EIU |
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12-15-19 | Samford v. Hawaii -6 | Top | 73-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii Samford has not had the start they were hoping for and now they'll go up against a Hawaii team, who are 6-1 at home so far this season. For the Bulldogs, they have a 1-7 SU record in their last 8 games on the road. On the other hand, Hawaii is 8-3 SU in their L11 games played on a Sunday. Expect Hawaii to dominate from the opening tip-off and for it to be an absolute blowout. T.M. Prediction: 81-64 Hawaii |
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12-14-19 | IUPU Ft Wayne -2.5 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 65-74 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue Fort Wayne IPFW come into this matchup 5-1 SU in their last 6 games. The Mastodons are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in December. They are a just as good 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against opponents in the Horizon League Conference as well. On the other hand, IUPUI is only 1-6 SU in their last 7 games. They are also a sad 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Saturday. Expect Purdue Fort Wayne to dominate these guys here today. Take IPFW. T.M. Prediction: 69-60 IPFW |
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12-12-19 | Iowa v. Iowa State -4 | Top | 84-68 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa St Both teams in this huge rivalry have started off the season with similar records. Iowa State enters this one with a perfect 5-0 SU record in their last 5 games at home. The Cyclones are also 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played in December. On the other hand, Iowa is only 1-5 ATS in their L6 games on the road. The Hawkeyes are also 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against Iowa State. Expect Iowa St to dominate with a loud, home crowd behind them. Take the Cyclones. T.M. Prediction: 73-61 ISU |
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12-09-19 | Thunder +8.5 v. Jazz | Top | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Neither team has had the greatest start, but both are still hoping for a decent season. Entering this game, OKC is 13-8 ATS this season. Utah is only 9-14. The Thunder have also won 3 of their last 4 as well as 4 of their last 6 games this year. The Jazz are only 2-5 their last 7 games. Expect the Thunder to cover easily, if not win this game. Take OKC. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Utah |
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12-08-19 | Central Michigan v. Valparaiso -2.5 | Top | 55-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso Central Michigan comes in with a terrible 0-10 SU record in their L10 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. They are also 1-3 ATS in their L4 games (lined games.) On the other hand, Valparaiso is 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against opponents in the Mid-American Conference. The Crusaders are also 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home. Expect Valparaiso to crush this Central Michigan team on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 76-65 Valparaiso |
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12-05-19 | Furman v. Auburn -12.5 | Top | 78-81 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn Auburn comes in with a perfect 7-0 record while Furman is 7-2. The Tigers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games played in December. They are also 9-3 ATS in their L12 games played on a Thursday. On the other hand, the Paladins are a sad 0-6 SU in their L6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference. Furman is also only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. I expect Auburn, the better team, to destroy this weak Furman team. Take Auburn. T.M. Prediction: 87-54 Auburn |
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12-03-19 | Florida State +3 v. Indiana | Top | 64-80 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida St Both teams have had really good starts to the year, and have looked extremely sharp. FSU though, has already beaten 2 ranked opponents. Since their opening day loss, they have yet to lose. Florida State is also 13-1 ATS in their L14 games played on a Tuesday. On the other hand, Indiana is only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference. Expect FSU to dominate against Indiana on Tuesday. Take FSU. T.M. Prediction: 81-72 FSU |
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12-02-19 | South Dakota v. Washington -13 | Top | 55-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Huskies Washington come in with a ridiculous 19-1 SU record in their last 20 games at home. They are also 5-1 in their L6 games. They'll play the South Dakota Coyotes who are only 1-5 ATS in their L6 games played in December. South Dakota is also 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. Washington is by far the better side in this one and I expect them to dominate with their home crowd behind them here. Take the Washington Huskies. T.M. Prediction: 82-61 Huskies |
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12-01-19 | Mavs +6 v. Lakers | Top | 114-100 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dallas Mavericks Both of these two teams have had excellent starts to this season. In Dallas' last 7 games, they've won ATS in 6 of em. They are also 5-1 ATS in their L6 games against an opponent in the Western Conference. On the other hand, the Lakers haven't done so well against opponents in the same conference as them. They are only 1-5 their L6 when playing teams from the West. I like the Mavericks to get it done on the road, with Luka leading the way. Take Dallas. T.M. Prediction: 121-120 Mavs |
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12-01-19 | Rhode Island +9 v. West Virginia | Top | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: URI Both teams have started their season off on the right foot. URI has been solid, and have looked confident in their first seven games. Now, they'll play the West Virginia Mountaineers who are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. Rhode Island are 12-4 SU in their L16 games played in December. I expect the URI Rams to win this game outright. But I'm glad to take the point as well. Take Rhode Island. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 URI |
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11-28-19 | Davidson v. Marquette -3 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marquette On Thanksgiving, the Golden Eagles will play the Wildcats in the first round of the Orlando Invitational. Entering this game, Davidson is 2-3, while the Golden Eagles are 3-1. Davidson is 0-5 SU in their L5 games against an Big East Conference opponent. Marquette is 5-1 ATS in their L6 games vs. an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference. I expect Marquette to dominate, as they have yet to lose as a favorite this season so far. Take the Golden Eagles. T.M. Prediction: 73-59 Marquette |
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11-26-19 | Wichita State -3 v. South Carolina | Top | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
v T.M. Selection: Wichita St On Tuesday evening, the Shockers will play the Gamecocks in the CanCun Challenge. Coming into this game, Wichita St is 5-0 and has looked dominant. They averaged 18.4 more points per game than their opponent. On the other hand, South Carolina has failed to cover the spread in their last two games. I expect the Shockers to be extremely good in the Cancun Challenge Opener. Take Wichita St. T.M. Prediction: 75-67 Wichita St |
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11-25-19 | Colorado State v. New Mexico State -4 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State On Monday, the Aggies will play the Rams in the Cayman Islands Classic in-season tournament. Coming into this game, New Mexico St is 8-1 SU in their L9 games vs. opponents in the Mountain West Conference. I expect them to take it to the Rams on Monday Morning. Take New Mex State. T.M. Prediction: 76-63 Aggies |
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11-23-19 | Blazers -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 104-110 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers Neither teams has had a great start to this season so far. Although they haven't gotten fully going yet, Portland still has superstar Damian Lillard as well as CJ McCullum. On the other hand, the Cavs haven't been good at all. They have lost 6 games in a row and 5 straight ATS. I expect the Trail Blazers to destroy these guys. Take Portland. T.M. Prediction: 116-107 Trail Blazers |
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11-20-19 | Rider v. Massachusetts -6 | Top | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UMASS The Minutemen have started the new season perfect, with four wins and no losses. They have looked extremely confident coming in to this game. Rider enters with a 2-1 record. In their previous matchup, the Broncs lost by 37 points. Rider is also 4-13-1 ATS in their L18 games. I believe that UMASS will get the job done, with their home fans behind them, on Wednesday Night. Take the Minutemen. T.M. Prediction: 76-56 UMASS |
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11-18-19 | SMU v. Evansville -2 | Top | 59-57 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Evansville Both of these two teams enter this game with a perfect 3-0 record. Although they are 3-0, SMU is only 1-4 ATS in their L5 games (dating back to last season.) On the other hand, Evansville is off one of thier biggest wins in school history. On Tuesday, the Aces upset the #1 team in the nation in Kentucky. I expect them to feel like the best team, play like the best team, and win like the best team in america tonight. Take Evansville. T.M. Prediction: 78-65 Evansville |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors +10 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: GSW The Warriors will return from a 3-game road trip on Monday where they'll face the Utah Jazz. Utah has started decently, but they have yet to cover the spread on the road (0-4.) Now, they'll play a Warriors team that is expecting the return of Draymond Green, who could provide the spark the team needed here. With DLo hot and the line so big, I like the Warriors a lot here. They might even win this one. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 GSW |
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11-08-19 | Illinois -6.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois (First Half) The Fighting Illini come into this game 1-0, and Grand Canyon enters with an 0-1 record. Illinois has one of the best backcourts in all of the Big Ten and Grand Canyon gave up 82 poinyts in their first matchup against a weak Davenport team. I expect the Fighting Illini to come out with lots of confidence as they look to continue their success. Take Illinois. T.M. Prediction: 34-24 (1st Half) |
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11-08-19 | Raptors -2 v. Pelicans | Top | 122-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors On opening night, the Raptors beat the Pelicans by eight in a big OT game. Now they'll meet again in a spot where the Pelicans can't afford to keep losing. Pascal Siakam, Kyle Lowry, and Fred VanVleet have all stepped up their game and the Toronto Raptors are now comfortably sitting in tied for forth at 5-2. J.J. Reddick, a strong perimeter threat for New Orleans, is listed as questionable for this one. Without Zion and him, Toronto should be able to capitalize on the normally bench players who'll replace them. Raps by 12. T.M. Prediction: 111-99 Raps |
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11-04-19 | Rockets -5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ROCKETS Houston played last night and now will be without Westbrook. That has brought the line down. Yesterday's game was a destruction though and will make them mad tonight. Remember, the Rockets were just fine before they got Westbrook. Facing a bad Memphis team, they will be fine again tonight. Harden will run the point and he will be ready to welcome Ja Morant to the league. This should be good! T.M. Prediction: 124-110 Houston |
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11-01-19 | Spurs -6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 127-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection SAN ANTONIO We played against the Spurs at LA last night. Tonight they play a Warrior team decimated by injuries and player departures. The Warriors are flat out bad right now. They were never even close against Phoenix in their last game. The Spurs are 16-5 ATS on Fridays last few seasons. T.M. Prediction: 113-101 Spurs. |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers -5 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers Let's face it, the L.A. Clippers are by far the better team in this matchup. Kawhi has proven to be one of the best players in the league, if not the best. I expect him to go off again tonight. Enough said. Take the Clippers with ease. T.M. Prediction: 109-97 Clippers |
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10-28-19 | Magic v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors The Defending Champs will return home on Monday as they will face the Orlando Magic. The Raps have looked strong offensively and defensively so far with Siakam, Lowry, and Fred VanVleet leading the way. Orlando is off to a 1-1 start with a win over the Cavs, and a loss to the Hawks. I expect Toronto to get it done in front of their home fans in this one. Take the Raptors. T.M. Prediction: 107-93 Raptors |
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10-25-19 | Bulls +1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
T.M Selection: Chicago Bulls Both of these teams will enter this game with an 0-1 record. In the past, the Grizzlies are 10-20 off a road loss by 10+ points. They are also 18-28 as a favorite their L46. I expect the Chicago Bulls to march right through this small Memphis team. Play on the Bulls with ease, T.M. Prediction: 105-97 Bulls |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 63 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto had its chance to put this series away and after taking the first two games of this series in Golden State, I think there’s zero chance that Kawhi Leonard and company can take all three there. Kevin Durant went down with injury and is out for the rest of the series, but Golden State is still loaded with talent and experience and I believe it’s these two things which will “win the day” in Game 6. Leonard is likely going to win MVP if the Raptors win, but Stephen Curry now has the same opportunity if he can pull off the impossible as well. And while sweeping two games in a row is a tall task, I absolutely expect Curry and company to defend home floor at all costs in Game 6. With the comforting knowledge that they can return to the friendly confines of Jurassic Park, I look for the Raptors to have a letdown here. T.M. Prediction: 109-102 Warriors. |
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06-10-19 | Warriors +4 v. Raptors | Top | 106-105 | Win | 100 | 62 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* BLOOD-BATH). I had a play on the “under” in Game 4, but for Game 5 I’m going to concentrate on the side. Possibly again without their best player in Kevin Durant on the floor, I believe the Warriors are still going to find a way to get the job done here and send this one back to Oakland. Serge Ibaka had a big game for the Raptors in Game 4, but it’s hard to imagine the big man duplicating that performance in back-to-back contests. I think this one has outright “upset” written all over it (that said though, grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Warriors. |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 123-109 | Loss | -106 | 62 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State (10* GAME OF WEEK) Golden State looked dominant in the second half of Game 2, especially on the defensive end and with this series now shifting to the West Coast, I’m expecting the veteran laden defending champions to keep the foot on the gas in front of the home town crowd. The biggest difference though between Game’s 1 and 2? Golden State’s role players stepped up big in Game 2 and outplayed their counterparts. It’s not going to get any easier for Toronto’s bench either in this hostile environment. The pressure is now definitely on the Raptors, who I believe are now in over their heads an in unchartered territory. Additionally note that Toronto is only 3-11 ATS in its last 14 at Golden State, while the Warriors are a sharp 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing on two or more days rest. T.M. Prediction: 108-99 Warriors. |
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06-02-19 | Warriors +2 v. Raptors | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF MONTH) If you’re watching this game, then the story lines are well known for each team. The Warriors are trying to three-peat and they’re playing without Kevin Durant. The Raptors have been on a role all season long and have been riding the fantastic play of Kawhi Leonard. With or without Durant though, I think the Warriors are going to find a way to win Game 2 outright. The playoffs, much like handicapping, is all about making adjustments and the Warriors are filled with so much talent and experience, that I look for them to do just that. I expect Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry to once again have big games, but I also expect the Warriors bench and role players to finally “show up.” Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Golden State. |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2.5 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER). Toronto has looked decent in the first half of both games so far in the ECF’s, but the second half it’s been non-existent. The Raptors are better at home than on the road though, as they enjoy one of the league’s “best” home court advantages. It’s difficult to play North of the border and I believe the surging Bucks finally have a letdown here. Milwaukee has been playing at an extremely high level with only one loss so far in the playoffs, but it’s about to have its hands full in this difficult venue in my opinion. The Raptors are fantastic defensively on their own floor and I believe that trend carries over here. The numbers/trends support our theory as well, as note that the Bucks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak, while Toronto is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 home games revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-112 Raptors. |
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05-17-19 | Raptors +7 v. Bucks | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors (10* MONEY-MAKER) Toronto controlled Game 1 up until about mid-way through the fourth quarter. That’s when the Bucks were finally able to get over the hump, pulling away for a very tight cover in the closing moments. But I’m expecting the Raptors to come back even harder here. There’s no reason at all not to expect another battle here, as these two evenly matched sides aren’t going to give an inch. Note that Toronto is already 2-0 ATS this year when trailing in a playoff series and 20-12 ATS in its last 22 after failing to cover five or six of its last seven ATS, while Milwaukee is just 5-7 ATS in its last 12 after five or more consecutive victories. While I do believe the outright is a possibility, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Toronto. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Raptors. |
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05-16-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland (10* MONEY-MAKER) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Golden State. |
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05-14-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | Top | 94-116 | Loss | -108 | 39 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers (10* GAME OF WEEK) Golden State got by the Rockets in Game 6 without the services of All Star Kevin Durant, but I think the defending champs will struggle in Game 1 of the WCF. These teams split four regular season meetings and in my opinion, everything points to another competitive affair here. Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum are going to be a matchup issue for the undermanned Warriors, and while I’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I think the conditions are definitely right for a war until the end. And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Portland is 50-32 ATS in its last 82 vs. teams which allow 106 plus points or more, while Golden State is just 18-27 ATS as a home favorite this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. |
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05-10-19 | Warriors +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 35 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors (10* GAME OF WEEK) I had a play on the Rockets in their tight Game 5 loss, but for Game 6 I’m going the other way as I expect the defending champs, despite playing without the services of Kevin Durant, to battle tight and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. If ever there was a time for Klay Thompson to step up and show the basketball World that he’s worth a max contract, now is the time. With Durant available for the next round, the Warriors don’t need to panic at this point. If Golden State gets a decent game out of Curry and a good one from Thompson, they have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. So far home court advantage has meant everything in this series, but the veteran leadership which the Warriors bring to the table in this instance is the difference maker in my opinion. Note as well that Golden State is 17-11 ATS in its last 28 when trying to close out a playoff series, while Houston is 0-2 ATS in its last two when facing elimination in a playoff series. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Rockets. |
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05-08-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston Rockets (10*) So far home floor advantage has meant everything in this series. But other than Kevin Durant, the Warriors have looked very “off” over the last two games and I think that Houston has a legitimate shot at stealing Game 5 outright. The Clippers won two games at Oracle Arena remember in the opening series. The Rockets made the necessary defensive adjustments and both Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson are struggling with consistency right now. James Harden and company though have definitely improved dramatically on both ends of the court and I see no reason that that momentum won’t be carried over here. Consider as well that Houston is 4-0 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Golden State is only 9-18 ATS this year as a home favorite in the same points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 110-109 Warriors. |
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05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 89-125 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) This has been a very competitive series and I expect nothing different in Game 5. Toronto earned the 101-96 win last time out behind 39 points from Kawhi Leonard. In Game 3 Philadelphia star Joel Embiid had 30 points, ten boards and five blocks in the 76ers 116-95 victory. Leonard has been incredible so far, but one has to wonder how much gas he has left in the tank? The rest of the Raptors have been poor and it’s the opening that Philadelphia needs to once again take control of this series. Philadelphia’s role players have also struggled at times, but I still think that Philadelphia features the deeper and more skilled scoring talent. Additionally note that Philadelphia already 4-1 ATS this year off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, while Toronto is only 20-22 ATS this season after a game where it covered the spread. Grab the points, expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: 106-105 Raptors. |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* GAME OF MONTH) After getting blown out in Game 1 the under 76ers earned the split with a dominant performance in Game 2 and I believe they’ll carry that confidence and momentum over into another small upset in Game 3 in friendly confines. Toronto shot only 36.3 percent from the floor and 27 percent from range in Monday’s loss. Philadelphia is deep and it earned the Game 2 win despite big man Joel Embiid pretty much being ineffective. With the shift in venue, I think Embiid has his biggest performance yet. Note that Toronto is just 4-8 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less and just 7-8 ATS when playing with two days rest, while Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS this year off a road win vs. a division rival. T.M. Prediction: 108-106 76ers. |
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04-30-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 102-123 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and I think it has a legitimate shot at pulling off the outright upset in Game 2 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read my Game 1 analysis, do so now as the logic behind that play for the most part also directly applies to this one: I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Boston. |
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04-28-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 121 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics (10* TRADE-MARK) I think Game 1 is going to be much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG in their series win over the Pacers, while allowing only 91.8. Kyrie Irving led the Celtics with 22.5 points, 4.5 boards and 7.8 assists per game. Milwaukee averaged 121.8 PPG in its series win over the Pistons, while allowing 98. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way for the Bucks with 26.3 points, 12 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. Note though that Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road, while Milwaukee is a poor 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 when playing on three or more days of rest. I think the Celtics’ depth and experience will keep this series and especially Game 1 competitive. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Bucks. |
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04-23-19 | Nets +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 100-122 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* GAME OF WEEK) I had a play on the Nets in Game 4 and I lost that play, the only NBA play of the four that I released on the weekend that lost. After winning Game 1 the Nets have faltered as the 76ers have taken three straight. However, with its back against the wall, I like Brooklyn to step up here and get the job done. I also don’t think that the outright win is out of the question. Consistency from game to game has plagued the 76ers all year and while they’ve seemingly gotten it together over the last week, I’m not fully convinced quite yet until I do indeed see them finish the deal. The Nets have admittedly disappointed over the last couple of games, but we don’t have to question their drive in this one. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to deliver the goods. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Nets. |
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04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +9 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 53 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think the Clippers keep this crucial Game 4 competitive. The outright win isn’t out of the question, but I’ll recommend grabbing the points. After rolling to a 132-105 win in Game 3, I think the Warriors come out flat here. The Clippers know they can’t go back to Golden State down 3-1 and expect to win this series, so with the home side laying everything on the line, I do indeed expect a “nail biter” until the end. The Clippers have the offensive firepower to keep pace with Golden State and they won’t be lacking for motivation tonight. Additionally note that Golden State is still a horrible 16-20 ATS as a road favorite this season, while LA is a solid 16-8 ATS in its last 24 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Warriors. |
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04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic +4.5 | Top | 98-93 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Orlando Magic (10* SHOCKER OF THE YEAR) Orlando dominated the second half of the regular season and it came out and accomplished exactly what it wanted to in Toronto to open this series, earning a “split” by handily taking Game 1. The Raptors bounced back in Game 2, but I smell another slight upset in Game 3 as I look for the home side to ride the wave of emotion. Of course the Magic would have loved to have taken both games from the Raptors, but that’s not realistic. A split was the goal and with that goal having already been accomplished after the first game, the Magic took the foot off the gas in Game 2. It’ll be full speed ahead though in Game 3. These teams are evenly matched, but I think the home floor advantage is significant here. Note as well that Toronto is a terrible 11-14 ATS this season as a road favorite, while Orlando is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Magic. |
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04-16-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 57 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (10* GAME OF WEEK) After three straight wins, I think the Spurs have a letdown here. San Antonio scored the major upset in Game 1 and with the “split” accomplished, I think that the Spurs predictably come up short here (just like the Nets did last night in their blowout loss to the 76ers!) It’s an identical situation. The 76ers had a great overall year, yet it would have basically all gone to waste if it didn’t buckle down and take care of business in Game 2. And now that’s exactly the same situation that the Nuggets find themselves in. San Antonio is still just 11-12 ATS as a road dog this year, while Denver is still 23-16 ATS as a home favorite (also 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing with two days rest.) Lay the points, expect a rout. T.M. Prediction: 112-98 Nuggets. |
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04-14-19 | Pistons v. Bucks -12 | Top | 86-121 | Win | 100 | 58 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Bucks (10* BEST OF BEST) I’m expecting a decisive blowout here. Detroit won its final two regular season games to qualify for the eight spot. The Pistons reward? A date vs. Milwaukee, a team it went 0-4 against in the regular season. The Pistons average 107 PPG and they allow 107.3. The Bucks average 118.1 PPG and they allow 109.3. Milwaukee is 12-3 ATS vs. the division this year, while Detroit is just 6-9 ATS in the same position. Like the Warriors did last night, look for the No. 1 seed in the East to deliver a message here as well. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Bucks. |
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04-13-19 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 37 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Antonio Spurs (10* TRADE-MARK) These are two hard-nosed defensive minded clubs, but I believe they’ll engage in an up-tempo “shootout” to open this series. I think these teams are evenly matched. The Spurs averaged 111.7 PPG and they allowed 110, while Denver averaged 110.7 PPG, while allowing 106.7. Note though that the Spurs are a perfect 5-0 ATS this year trying to revenge a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more, while Denver is interestingly only 33-34 ATS this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Denver. |
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04-09-19 | Hornets v. Cavs +7 | Top | 124-97 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cleveland Cavaliers (10* TRADE-MARK) The Cavaliers are looking to snap a nine-game slide, while also looking to play spoiler here to the Hornets, who are in a dog fight until the end for one of the final spots in the East. Overall the Hornets average 110.5 PPG, while allowing 111.9. The Cavs average 104.6 PPG, while conceding 114. I’ll point out though that the Hornets are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Cleveland is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. Expect the home side to push this one to the brink. T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Hornets. |
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04-07-19 | Clippers +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 104-131 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) The Clippers are in a dog fight for one of the final spot in the West. They’ll be eager to get back on track here and to try and score the upset win after a 135-103 home loss to Houston and a 122-117 setback to the Lakers. “(If) we lose a couple more, we’ll be in the eight seed,” head coach Doc Rivers admitted, preceding that comment with some sarcasm. “That would be really smart on our part. (The seeding) matters. It absolutely matters. I don’t think anybody wants to go play Golden State. If we have to, we’ll be ready. But my guess is the other seven teams aren’t volunteering. That’s all I’m going to say.” Golden State is on the verge of clinching the Western Conference, but after four straight wins, I think the home side comes in a bit complacent here. Outright upset? Nah! But grab the points and expect a battle until the final moments. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 61-51 | Loss | -109 | 106 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are very evenly matched. And they are. Both have used smothering defensive play to reach this point, but MSU’s offense is better and in this situation, I think that’ll be enough to put the Spartans over the top. Tom Izzo has an advantage over his counterpart Chris Beard as well. Michigan State’s experience and superior offensive numbers make it the correct call in my opinion. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 MSU. |
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04-05-19 | South Florida +2.5 v. DePaul | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* WINNER). I had the Bulls in Game 1, the Blue Demons in Game 2 and for Game 3 I’m coming back with USF (each game has been razor sharp, some may have won, pushed or lost depending on when you got down. I was admittedly fortunate both times so far). Game 2 was a 100-96 OT DePaul win, but I think the Game 3 pace, which I predict will be “slow” due to the high-scoring extra-frame shootout on Wednesday, absolutely favors the defensive minded Bulls here. DePaul has not looked like the better team and home court was not really an advantage at all in Game 2. Note that DePaul is still just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while USF is still 12-3 ATS in its last 15 on the road. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by an outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bulls. |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10*) I had Lipscomb in their victory over Wichita State last time out and I think they’re not getting nearly enough respect here as well. The Longhorns looked impressive in their 58-44 win over TCU, but I think they’ll have their hands full with this deep and experienced “Cinderella” side. The Bison average 83.6 PPG and they allow 69.9. Texas averages only 70.8 PPG, while allowing 66.4. The numbers don’t add up to me here. I think the Bison get out to an early lead and I don’t think the offensively challenged Longhorns are going to be able to keep up. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bison. |
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04-03-19 | Spurs +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 85-113 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Spurs (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Spurs are trying desperately to avoid eighth spot in the West, which would almost assuredly mean a matchup with the Warriors. San Antonio handled the Hawks 117-111 at home last night and I think they carry that momentum over into the first game of their final road trip of the year. Denver on the other hand was busy losing 116-102 to the Warriors last night and I think it comes in still collectively caught up on that setback. Note that the Spurs are 32-22 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest, while Denver is just 6-9 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. This one comes down to the wire, so grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 Spurs. |
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04-03-19 | South Florida v. DePaul -4 | Top | 96-100 | Push | 0 | 33 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DePaul (10* BLOWOUT) I had a play on USF and it would hold on for the 63-61 home victory in Game 1 of the CBI Tournament Championship on Monday. With a chance to take the title here, the defensive minded Bulls are going to be out to duplicate their performance, holding the Blue Demons to just 38.5 percent from the floor in the victory. In Game 2 though I’m expecting the high-flying Blue Demons to push the pace from start to finish and to ride the wave of emotion in front of the home town crowd to solid SU/ATS victory here. USF is one of the best defensive teams in the nation, but at nearly 79 PPG average offensively for the Blue Demons, I think the Bulls’ unit gets pushed to the brink in Game 2. From a situational stand point I think this one sets up great for DePaul to bounce back in. USF is also just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while DePaul is 5-2 ATS in its last seven off a road loss. T.M. Prediction: 85-67 Blue Demons. |
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04-02-19 | Hampton +5.5 v. Marshall | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hampton (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is one of the semi-finals of the CIT. The Hampton Pirates have won eight of their last nine games. Overall the Pirates average 81.4 PPG, while allowing 76.1. The Thundering Herd have won eight of nine as well. Overall Marshall averages 80.2 PPG, while allowing 80.9. These number don’t matchup. Hampton has experience as well. Additionally note that the Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, while the Herd are only 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games and just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. I think the outright upset is very possible obviously, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 88-86 Hampton. |
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04-01-19 | Hornets v. Jazz -11.5 | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz (10* MONEY-MAKER) Utah has won four straight over some pretty mediocre competition, but it finds itself in another favorable situation here, facing a Hornets team that comes in off a blowout loss in Golden State just last night. The Hornets would need to sweep the board and get outside help to make the playoffs at this point, while Utah is looking to gain ground. From a situational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for the home side. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 118-100 Jazz. |
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04-01-19 | DePaul v. South Florida -1 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: USF (10* CBB GAME OF WEEK) This is Game 1 of the best of three for the CBI title. DePaul enters off win over CMU, Longwood, Coastal Carolina, while USF beat Stony Brook, Utah Valley and Loyola Marymount. DePaul has looked good so far in this tournament having scored at least 90 points in all three victories, but note that it’s still just 3-8 on the road this year. Overall the Blue Demons average 78.6 PPG, while allowing 76.2. USF has gotten this far because of its unreal defense and I believe it’ll be the difference maker in Game 1 as well (most recently beating Loyola Marymount 56-47 at home.) USF is 17-5 on its home floor and it averages 71.9 PPG, while allowing 66.5. I’m banking on home floor mattering here. T.M. Prediction: 80-71 Bulls. |
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03-31-19 | Michigan State v. Duke -1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke (10* TRADE-MARK) After back-to-back near upsets, I look for the Blue Devils to come out and play their finest game to this point of the Tournament. These are two of the most storied College Basketball schools in history, so a re-cap of their Hall of Fame coaches or the programs themselves is unnecessary obviously. What doesn’t break you, makes you stronger. The Blue Devils have survived and I believe they’ll come in confident here vs. a Spartans team which has rolled through its competition to this point. But now MSU is in for a fight and I think it’s one that it’s not matched up well for. I like the big stars (Barrett, Williamson) of Duke to be the difference once again. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Blue Devils. |
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03-30-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 75-80 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10*) Virginia has an unrelenting defense. The Cavs are the No. 1 defense in the country, but Purdue comes in on top form and I believe the Boilermakers will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Purdue had a 14 point lead over the Vols in the Sweet 16, but eventually the Boilermakers pulled away for the 99-94 OT victory. Virginia got the better of Oregon 53-49. As stated off the top, clearly the Cavs are a power-house on the defense side. However, clearly their lack of offensive consistency has been their weak point as well and it’s one which I think the Boilermakers can exploit today as they look to pull off another SU upset. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Purdue. |
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03-30-19 | Blazers v. Pistons -3 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Detroit Pistons (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Blazers come in off a big win on the road over Atlanta just last night. Detroit plays with the immediate revenge factor here after falling 117-112 in Portland just last week. The Pistons are in sixth spot in the East, but only 1.5 games ahead of ninth place Orlando, who they picked up a win over in their last outing. Note that Portland is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing the second game of a back-to-back, while Detroit is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. Detroit is in a dog fight as it looks to maintain positioning and I expect it to make the most of this situation. T.M. Prediction: 114-103 Detroit. |
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03-29-19 | Wizards +12.5 v. Jazz | Top | 124-128 | Win | 100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Wizards have essentially been eliminated from the playoffs, s they’d need to sweep their remaining six games, while also getting a lot of outside help. The odds are against Washington tremendously, but after breaking a five-game slide with a win over Phoenix last time out, clearly it hasn’t quite thrown in the towel yet. The Jazz come in on the other end of the spectrum having won four straight. Will they “get caught looking past” their lowly non-conference opponent tonight? I think the answer to that is: “very possibly!” Note that Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Utah is just 10-16 ATS this season after having won three of its last four games. I’m grabbing all these points. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Utah. |
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03-29-19 | LSU +6 v. Michigan State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -109 | 128 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) LSU has had its difficulties over the last month and a half. The Tigers faded down the stretch of the regular season and then faltered in the SEC Tournament. LSU has gotten past Yale and Maryland though and I think it won’t go down without a fight here either vs. Michigan State, which has beaten Bradley and Minnesota. LSU averages 80.9 PPG and it allows 72.9. MSU averages 78.5 PPG and it ranks third in the country in field goal percentage defense. These numbers are comparable. I look for this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-74 MSU. |
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03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (10* SWEET 16 BEST OF THE BEST) It’s a big time revenge game for the Bulldogs as Florida State laid a 75-60 beatdown on them in the Sweet 16 last year. Both teams have advanced relatively easily to this point. The Noles average only 44.4 percent form the floor, including 33.7 percent from range, making up for it on the other end by conceding only 67 PPG. Gonzaga comes in on top form as well though, most recently destroying Baylor 83-71 on Saturday. “They’re a really good team,” Gonzaga forward Corey Kispert said of the ‘Noles. “They’re going to demand our best. But it’s exactly what we wanted. We wouldn’t want it any other way.” Note that the Bulldogs have been even better on the defensive side this year, allowing just 64.8 PPG. I think the revenge angle works and is the difference. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Zags. |
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03-26-19 | Magic v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Magic torched the 76ers at home just last night, but I think they’ll suffer a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back to back vs. a Heat team fighting for one of the final playoff spots in the East. Also note that Miami plays with “revenge” here after losing two of three in the season series. Note that the Magic are just 5-8 in the second game of back-to-backs this year, averaging 110.8 PPG and allowing 112.2 in those situations. The Heat return home rested after demolishing the Wizards on the road Saturday. Now tied with Orlando for the final spot, clearly the home side will be looking to push the pace from start to finish. Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games. vs. a team with a losing road record, while Orlando is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road. T.M. Prediction: 110-95 Heat. |
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03-25-19 | Nets +6 v. Blazers | Top | 144-148 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Nets come in with some momentum here after back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Kings. Portland comes in having won three straight vs. Detroit, Dallas and Indiana. Two teams hungry for more wins to bolster their playoff positioning from difference conferences collide and I’m expecting a battle until the end. The Nets just held the Lakers offense to 38.5 percent shooting. The Nets are 61-44 ATS in their last 10 as a road underdog (including a money-making 17-14 this season), while Portland is just 12-21 ATS in its last 33 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range (including only 4-6 this year.) Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 113-112 Nets. |
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03-25-19 | Brown v. Loyola Marymount -4 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Marymount (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is the quarterfinals of the CBI Tournament. Brown posted an 83-78 win over UAB to advance to face the Lions. Overall the Bears averaged 73.9 PPG, while allowing 68.5. Loyola Marymount lost to Pepperdine in the WCC Tournament, but it bounced back with a victory over California Baptist to reach this point. The Lions averaged only 67.2 PPG, but they made up for it on the end of the court by allowing only 62.7. Note that Brown is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a road underdog of 3.5 to six points, while Loyola Marymount is 9-4 ATS this season after failing to cover in two of its last three vs. the spread. I think the Lions aggressive defensive play proves to be too much for the Bears tonight. T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Loyola Marymount. |
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03-24-19 | Ohio State +6 v. Houston | Top | 59-74 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) Ohio State enters off a 62-59 win over Iowa State, while Houston rolled to an 84-55 win over Georgia State to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Buckeyes had a poor shooting game last time out, but their tough defensive play was the difference. Ohio State also collected 38 boards, compared to just 31 for Iowa State. Houston rolled to victory in Round 1, but I think the Cougars, who only average 75.6 PPG, will have a much more difficult time today vs. the buzz saw of an Ohio State defense right now. Additionally note that Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral site affairs. Outright is possible, but I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Houston. |
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03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers +1.5 | Top | 88-124 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers (10* BLACK-LABEL) Denver smashed the Knicks 111-93 on the road on Friday, while the Pacers return home to friendly confines off a humbling 0-4 Western Conference road trip, including a 112-89 setback to Golden State on Thursday. Part of their losing road trip included a 102-100 loss in Denver on March 16th. With a chance to avenge that loss and to break the four-game slide, I look for the home side to risk life and limb here as it tries to get back into the playoff hunt. Denver comes in complacent at the end of its trip and note that it’s just 1-3 ATS in its last four after six or more SU wins. Additionally note that the Pacers are already 4-1 ATS this year as a home dog of six points or less. T.M. Prediction: 108-103 Pacers. |
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03-23-19 | Suns +10 v. Kings | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns (10* MONEY-MAKER) The Kings are desperately trying to post some wins to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Suns won’t be in the playoffs, but they’ll be trying to play spoiler here. The Kings come in off a win over the Mavericks, but after three straight losses, including a blowout setback at home to the Pistons, I think the Suns will give Sacramento everything it can handle tonight. Note that Phoenix is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 after two straight blowout losses of 15 points or more, while Sacramento is still only 6-8 ATS vs. the division. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 116-114 Kings. |
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