For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-16-20 | Rory McIlroy -150 v. Tiger Woods | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour stays at Muirfield Village in Dublin, Ohio for the second straight week after Collin Morikawa won the PGA Workday Charity Open in a playoff over Justin Thomas over the weekend. 89 professionals who played last week will take part in this week’s loaded 132 golfer field. The pros will face a stiffer challenge this week: three tee boxes have been moved back; the 4-inch rough will be about an inch longer than last week; the greens will be much faster with the stimpmeter reading 13 to 13.5 feet versus last week’s 11 to 11.5 feet reading. The last seven champions have scored at least 12 under par with the trophy winner posting an average winning score of -15 under par. The four Par-5 holes on the course will be enticing for big hitters — yet success at this event seems still depending on the golfer’s second shot given the small greens that average around 5000 square feet. Historical success on this course privileges Driving Accuracy, Par-3 Scoring, and Scrambling. Looking at that last metric, the pros last week averaged just a 53.32% Scrambling success rate which is the lowest for the professionals all season. Under more difficult conditions (but a better overall field), last year’s Memorial Tournament had the 7th lowest Scrambling success rate on the tour for 2018-19 — so Scrambling is a critical skill for success at this event. This Jack Nicklaus designed course is dubbed “the Augusta of the North.” |
|||||||
07-16-20 | Tiger Woods v. Brooks Koepka +125 | 71-72 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour stays at Muirfield Village in Dublin, Ohio for the second straight week after Collin Morikawa won the PGA Workday Charity Open in a playoff over Justin Thomas over the weekend. 89 professionals who played last week will take part in this week’s loaded 132 golfer field. The pros will face a stiffer challenge this week: three tee boxes have been moved back; the 4-inch rough will be about an inch longer than last week; the greens will be much faster with the stimpmeter reading 13 to 13.5 feet versus last week’s 11 to 11.5 feet reading. The last seven champions have scored at least 12 under par with the trophy winner posting an average winning score of -15 under par. The four Par-5 holes on the course will be enticing for big hitters — yet success at this event seems still depending on the golfer’s second shot given the small greens that average around 5000 square feet. Historical success on this course privileges Driving Accuracy, Par-3 Scoring, and Scrambling. Looking at that last metric, the pros last week averaged just a 53.32% Scrambling success rate which is the lowest for the professionals all season. Under more difficult conditions (but a better overall field), last year’s Memorial Tournament had the 7th lowest Scrambling success rate on the tour for 2018-19 — so Scrambling is a critical skill for success at this event. This Jack Nicklaus designed course is dubbed “the Augusta of the North.” |
|||||||
07-16-20 | Jon Rahm -155 v. Sergio Garcia | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour stays at Muirfield Village in Dublin, Ohio for the second straight week after Collin Morikawa won the PGA Workday Charity Open in a playoff over Justin Thomas over the weekend. 89 professionals who played last week will take part in this week’s loaded 132 golfer field. The pros will face a stiffer challenge this week: three tee boxes have been moved back; the 4-inch rough will be about an inch longer than last week; the greens will be much faster with the stimpmeter reading 13 to 13.5 feet versus last week’s 11 to 11.5 feet reading. The last seven champions have scored at least 12 under par with the trophy winner posting an average winning score of -15 under par. The four Par-5 holes on the course will be enticing for big hitters — yet success at this event seems still depending on the golfer’s second shot given the small greens that average around 5000 square feet. Historical success on this course privileges Driving Accuracy, Par-3 Scoring, and Scrambling. Looking at that last metric, the pros last week averaged just a 53.32% Scrambling success rate which is the lowest for the professionals all season. Under more difficult conditions (but a better overall field), last year’s Memorial Tournament had the 7th lowest Scrambling success rate on the tour for 2018-19 — so Scrambling is a critical skill for success at this event. This Jack Nicklaus designed course is dubbed “the Augusta of the North.” |
|||||||
07-09-20 | Justin Rose -115 v. Collin Morikawa | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
The PGA Workday Charity Open is a new event this season in response to the John Deere Classic prepared to safely handle a golf event in the Quad Cities due to COVID-19 concerns. The Muirfield Golf Club will host this event in a prelude to next week’s The Memorial tournament creating a unique two-week layover in Dublin, Ohio. This Jack Nicklaus-designed course plays 7456 yards for The Memorial but this tournament is likely to play shorter with the pros driving from more of the white tees this week. The rough will be in the 3 to 3 1/2 inch range with the expectation that this rough will play in the 4 to 4 1/2 range next week. Tiger Woods describes the undulated greens here as the “fastest” on the non-majors on the tour. The stimpmeter is expected to measure the speed in the 11-foot range this week which will still play sleek but a bit slower than next week’s expected 13-foot stimpmeter range given the greenskeepers cut and roll of the greens. For the third straight week, the putting surface will are a bentgrass/poa annua blend. The greens will remain on the smaller side with an average of 5200 square feet. The wide fairways may tempt some big hitters but many of the pros will be comfortable using their three-woods off the tee with this being considered a second-shot course for position at the greens. Nicknamed the “Augusta of the North”, Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green will be an important metric in handicapping the golfers in the field. Historically, Driving Accuracy, Par-3 Scoring, and Shots-Gained: Scrambling are three of the most important deeper metrics that define success at this course. With 74 bunkers and 13 water hazards, there are plenty of traps and penalty areas that the golfers need to avoid. But we need to take these numbers from past Memorial events with a grain of salt since this week should play shorter and a bit easier than the traditional annual event next week. |
|||||||
07-09-20 | Brooks Koepka -110 v. Viktor Hovland | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 40 m | Show | |
The PGA Workday Charity Open is a new event this season in response to the John Deere Classic prepared to safely handle a golf event in the Quad Cities due to COVID-19 concerns. The Muirfield Golf Club will host this event in a prelude to next week’s The Memorial tournament creating a unique two-week layover in Dublin, Ohio. This Jack Nicklaus-designed course plays 7456 yards for The Memorial but this tournament is likely to play shorter with the pros driving from more of the white tees this week. The rough will be in the 3 to 3 1/2 inch range with the expectation that this rough will play in the 4 to 4 1/2 range next week. Tiger Woods describes the undulated greens here as the “fastest” on the non-majors on the tour. The stimpmeter is expected to measure the speed in the 11-foot range this week which will still play sleek but a bit slower than next week’s expected 13-foot stimpmeter range given the greenskeepers cut and roll of the greens. For the third straight week, the putting surface will are a bentgrass/poa annua blend. The greens will remain on the smaller side with an average of 5200 square feet. The wide fairways may tempt some big hitters but many of the pros will be comfortable using their three-woods off the tee with this being considered a second-shot course for shooting position at the greens. Nicknamed the “Augusta of the North”, Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green will be an important metric in handicapping the golfers in the field. Historically, Driving Accuracy, Par-3 Scoring, and Shots-Gained: Scrambling are three of the most important deeper metrics that define success at this course. With 74 bunkers and 13 water hazards, there are plenty of traps and penalty areas that the golfers need to avoid. But we need to take these numbers from past Memorial events with a grain of salt since this week should play shorter and a bit easier than the traditional annual event next week. |
|||||||
07-09-20 | Marc Leishman v. Gary Woodland -124 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
The PGA Workday Charity Open is a new event this season in response to the John Deere Classic prepared to safely handle a golf event in the Quad Cities due to COVID-19 concerns. The Muirfield Golf Club will host this event in a prelude to next week’s The Memorial tournament creating a unique two-week layover in Dublin, Ohio. This Jack Nicklaus-designed course plays 7456 yards for The Memorial but this tournament is likely to play shorter with the pros driving from more of the white tees this week. The rough will be in the 3 to 3 1/2 inch range with the expectation that this rough will play in the 4 to 4 1/2 range next week. Tiger Woods describes the undulated greens here as the “fastest” on the non-majors on the tour. The stimpmeter is expected to measure the speed in the 11-foot range this week which will still play sleek but a bit slower than next week’s expected 13-foot stimpmeter range given the greenskeepers cut and roll of the greens. For the third straight week, the putting surface will are a bentgrass/poa annua blend. The greens will remain on the smaller side with an average of 5200 square feet. The wide fairways may tempt some big hitters but many of the pros will be comfortable using their three-woods off the tee with this being considered a second-shot course for position at the greens. Nicknamed the “Augusta of the North”, Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green will be an important metric in handicapping the golfers in the field. Historically, Driving Accuracy, Par-3 Scoring, and Shots-Gained: Scrambling are three of the most important deeper metrics that define success at this course. With 74 bunkers and 13 water hazards, there are plenty of traps and penalty areas that the golfers need to avoid. But we need to take these numbers from past Memorial events with a grain of salt since this week should play shorter and a bit easier than the traditional annual event next week. |
|||||||
07-02-20 | Bryson DeChambeau -140 v. Hideki Matsuyama | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns to Detroit for a second straight year with the Rocket Mortage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club. 156 players will compete at this 7340-yard course. This par 72 event will feature four Par-5s for the first time since the restart on the tour last month. One of these Par-5 holes is 630 yards which the professionals last year birdied just 30% of the time. The pros birdied the three other Par-4 holes 40% of the time last year. This is a Donald Ross-designed course which means tree-lined fairways with plenty of doglegs that challenge the shot-shaping skills of the golfers. The Bentgrass greens have an average putting surface of a relatively small 5200 square feet. This course compares to the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas where the PGA Tour returned on June 11th last month — and that means there will be some room on the fairway for the pros to get out their driver. The average score last year was 70.113 with Nate Lashley leading start-to-finish in winning his first career PGA Tour event. His winning formula included finishing 4th in the field in Greens-in-Regulation while finishing 3rd in Scrambling, 3rd in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green, and 3rd in Shots-Gained: Putting. The rough has been made longer this year to lower last year’s winning score of 25 under par. The other metrics that I am valuing this week for this course given last year’s numbers include Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green, Par-5 Scoring, and Adjusted Scoring. |
|||||||
07-02-20 | Tyrrell Hatton -115 v. Sungjae Im | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns to Detroit for a second straight year with the Rocket Mortage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club. 156 players will compete at this 7340-yard course. This par 72 event will feature four Par-5s for the first time since the restart on the tour last month. One of these Par-5 holes is 630 yards which the professionals last year birdied just 30% of the time. The pros birdied the three other Par-4 holes 40% of the time last year. This is a Donald Ross-designed course which means tree-lined fairways with plenty of doglegs that challenge the shot-shaping skills of the golfers. The Bentgrass greens have an average putting surface of a relatively small 5200 square feet. This course compares to the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas where the PGA Tour returned on June 11th last month — and that means there will be some room on the fairway for the pros to get out their driver. The average score last year was 70.113 with Nate Lashley leading start-to-finish in winning his first career PGA Tour event. His winning formula included finishing 4th in the field in Greens-in-Regulation while finishing 3rd in Scrambling, 3rd in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green, and 3rd in Shots-Gained: Putting. The rough has been made longer this year to lower last year’s winning score of 25 under par. The other metrics that I am valuing this week for this course given last year’s numbers include Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green, Par-5 Scoring, and Adjusted Scoring. |
|||||||
07-02-20 | Brandt Snedeker -115 v. Kevin Kisner | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns to Detroit for a second straight year with the Rocket Mortage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club. 156 players will compete at this 7340-yard course. This par 72 event will feature four Par-5s for the first time since the restart on the tour last month. One of these Par-5 holes is 630 yards which the professionals last year birdied just 30% of the time. The pros birdied the three other Par-4 holes 40% of the time last year. This is a Donald Ross-designed course which means tree-lined fairways with plenty of doglegs that challenge the shot-shaping skills of the golfers. The Bentgrass greens have an average putting surface of a relatively small 5200 square feet. This course compares to the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas where the PGA Tour returned on June 11th last month — and that means there will be some room on the fairway for the pros to get out their driver. The average score last year was 70.113 with Nate Lashley leading start-to-finish in winning his first career PGA Tour event. His winning formula included finishing 4th in the field in Greens-in-Regulation while finishing 3rd in Scrambling, 3rd in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green, and 3rd in Shots-Gained: Putting. The rough has been made longer this year to lower last year’s winning score of 25 under par. The other metrics that I am valuing this week for this course given last year’s numbers include Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green, Par-5 Scoring, and Adjusted Scoring. Our Long Shot Bet on a golfer outside the top-ten favorites to win this event is on Brandt Snedeker who is listed at +4000 to win this event according to Bovada. Snedeker is a specialist on Donald Ross-designed courses. Three of his nine PGA Tour wins have been on Ross courses at Forest Oaks in 2008, East Lake in 2012 (where yours truly holed his only Hole-in-One, albeit at the sister Charlie Yates’ course across the street), and at Sedgefield for the Wyndham Classic two years ago where he posted a round of 59. Snedeker finished tied for 5th place at the inaugural event here last week where he shot a 65 and 67 over the weekend while finishing 5th in the field in Shots-Gained: Putting. Snedeker missed the cut two weeks ago at Harbour Town before a T-41 last week — but his outstanding short game skills make his dangerous this week. Snedeker not only ranks 18th on the PGA Tour in 2020 in Shots-Gained: Putting but he also ranks 3rd in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green so the small putting surfaces will not throw him off. Snedeker is linked with Kevin Kisner in head-to-head betting propositions for the tournament. Kisner has missed the cut in the last two weeks after finishing T-29th at the Colonial in the return to action. Kisner won the match play at WGC-Dell Technologies event last year and he was T-4 at the PGA Sony Open in Hawai’i in January. He is accurate off the tee. But he is just 78th in FedEx Cup standings. He ranks 168th on the tour in Greens-in-Regulation. He is also just 125th in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and 156th in Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green. Kisner is also just middling with his blade as he ranks 91st on the tour in Shots-Gained: Putting. Take Snedeker (7017) in head-to-head betting propositions in the tournament versus Kisner (7018). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
|||||||
06-25-20 | Sung Hoon Kang v. Bubba Watson +124 | 65-69 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Cromwell, Connecticut at the TPC River Highlands for the Travelers Championship. There was plenty of activity with the odds on Wednesday with two big favorites in Brooks Koepka and Webb Simpson both withdrew from the event given COVID-19 concerns with people testing positive in their inner circle who Bovada listed as two of the top-six favorites to win this tournament. This Peter Dye course is a short 6841 yards. At a par of 70, the average round last year for the raised was 69.724 with Chez Reavie winning with a score of 17 under par. Examining Reavie’s formula for success last year was leading the field in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and Shots-Gained: Approach. Reavie was also second in Scrambling, tied for 7th in Greens-In-Regulation, and 10th in Shots-Gained: Putting. 156 golfers will contend with four-inch rough and poa annua putting surfaces. |
|||||||
06-25-20 | Shane Lowry v. Paul Casey +129 | 66-69 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Cromwell, Connecticut at the TPC River Highlands for the Travelers Championship. There was plenty of activity with the odds on Wednesday with two big favorites in Brooks Koepka and Webb Simpson both withdrew from the event given COVID-19 concerns with people testing positive in their inner circle who Bovada listed as two of the top-six favorites to win this tournament. This Peter Dye course is a short 6841 yards. At a par of 70, the average round last year for the raised was 69.724 with Chez Reavie winning with a score of 17 under par. Examining Reavie’s formula for success last year was leading the field in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and Shots-Gained: Approach. Reavie was also second in Scrambling, tied for 7th in Greens-In-Regulation, and 10th in Shots-Gained: Putting. 156 golfers will contend with four-inch rough and poa annua putting surfaces. |
|||||||
06-25-20 | Rory McIlroy v. Bryson DeChambeau -104 | 63-65 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Cromwell, Connecticut at the TPC River Highlands for the Travelers Championship. There was plenty of activity with the odds on Wednesday with two big favorites in Brooks Koepka and Webb Simpson both withdrew from the event given COVID-19 concerns with people testing positive in their inner circle who Bovada listed as two of the top-six favorites to win this tournament. This Peter Dye course is a short 6841 yards. At a par of 70, the average round last year for the raised was 69.724 with Chez Reavie winning with a score of 17 under par. Examining Reavie’s formula for success last year was leading the field in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and Shots-Gained: Approach. Reavie was also second in Scrambling, tied for 7th in Greens-In-Regulation, and 10th in Shots-Gained: Putting. 156 golfers will contend with four-inch rough and poa annua putting surfaces. |
|||||||
06-18-20 | Matt Kuchar -200 v. Ryan Armour | 70-69 | Loss | -200 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
The RBC Heritage takes place in the hotter weather of June this year in Hilton Head, South Carolina rather than its traditional April slot next to the Masters. This Pete Dye designed course at the Harbour Town Golf Links is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour at 7099 yards. Placement of the ball for approach shots usually defines success at this course. Course management and smarts are placed at a premium with strong iron play and shot-shaping. Bombers typically do not retain their advantage at this course that rewards small-ball. While there is minimal rough, there are plenty of hazards with seventeen penalty areas for hitting the ball into the ocean with 54 sand traps protecting the greens and trees shaping this links course. This course also has small greens with an average of 3700 square feet per putting surface. Course history concerning birdie percentage along with Par-3 and Par-4 scoring averages on the tour along with Bogey Avoidance are a few of the deeper metrics that have translated into empirical success at this event. C.T. Pan won their tournament last year by shooting 12-under par despite shooting below average in Fairways Hit and posting a middling Greens-In-Regulation mark. Pan was 2nd that week in Putts-per-Greens-In-Regulation and 7th in Proximity to the hole (in the approach). Pan was the fourth straight older who their first PGA Tour event on this course — so fading the some of the favorites may make sense this week. The average score from the field last year was 71.170 for this Par-71 course. |
|||||||
06-18-20 | Justin Thomas v. Bryson DeChambeau +100 | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
The RBC Heritage takes place in the hotter weather of June this year in Hilton Head, South Carolina rather than its traditional April slot next to the Masters. This Pete Dye designed course at the Harbour Town Golf Links is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour at 7099 yards. Placement of the ball for approach shots usually defines success at this course. Course management and smarts are placed at a premium with strong iron play and shot-shaping. Bombers typically do not retain their advantage at this course that rewards small-ball. While there is minimal rough, there are plenty of hazards with seventeen penalty areas for hitting the ball into the ocean with 54 sand traps protecting the greens and trees shaping this links course. This course also has small greens with an average of 3700 square feet per putting surface. Course history concerning birdie percentage along with Par-3 and Par-4 scoring averages on the tour along with Bogey Avoidance are a few of the deeper metrics that have translated into empirical success at this event. C.T. Pan won their tournament last year by shooting 12-under par despite shooting below average in Fairways Hit and posting a middling Greens-In-Regulation mark. Pan was 2nd that week in Putts-per-Greens-In-Regulation and 7th in Proximity to the hole (in the approach). Pan was the fourth straight older who their first PGA Tour event on this course — so fading the some of the favorites may make sense this week. The average score from the field last year was 71.170 for this Par-71 course. |
|||||||
06-18-20 | Patrick Reed v. Webb Simpson -115 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The RBC Heritage takes place in the hotter weather of June this year in Hilton Head, South Carolina rather than its traditional April slot next to the Masters. This Pete Dye designed course at the Harbour Town Golf Links is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour at 7099 yards. Placement of the ball for approach shots usually defines success at this course. Course management and smarts are placed at a premium with strong iron play and shot-shaping. Bombers typically do not retain their advantage at this course that rewards small-ball. While there is minimal rough, there are plenty of hazards with seventeen penalty areas for hitting the ball into the ocean with 54 sand traps protecting the greens and trees shaping this links course. This course also has small greens with an average of 3700 square feet per putting surface. Course history concerning birdie percentage along with Par-3 and Par-4 scoring averages on the tour along with Bogey Avoidance are a few of the deeper metrics that have translated into empirical success at this event. C.T. Pan won their tournament last year by shooting 12-under par despite shooting below average in Fairways Hit and posting a middling Greens-In-Regulation mark. Pan was 2nd that week in Putts-per-Greens-In-Regulation and 7th in Proximity to the hole (in the approach). Pan was the fourth straight older who their first PGA Tour event on this course — so fading the some of the favorites may make sense this week. The average score from the field last year was 71.170 for this Par-71 course. |
|||||||
06-11-20 | Webb Simpson -125 v. Bryson DeChambeau | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns from the stoppage of play in mid-March given COVID-19 precautions with the Charles Schwab Challenge at the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. This is a golf course where good scores will be depending heavily on the quality of the second shot. Driving accuracy is an important metric to consider along with Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. Given the long layoff from tournament action, I will be putting even more emphasis on that latter metric as I will be looking for golfers who are consistent ball-strikers. This tournament usually sees one of the lowest eagle rates on the PGA Tour. The last debutante to win this event was Sergio Garcia back in 2001 — so course experience is also an issue. These Texas tournaments in the warmer weather also lend itself to high winds — so golfers with a good acumen to handle that adversity is another factor I am considering. |
|||||||
06-11-20 | Bryson DeChambeau v. Brooks Koepka +115 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns from the stoppage of play in mid-March given COVID-19 precautions with the Charles Schwab Challenge at the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. This is a golf course where good scores will be depending heavily on the quality of the second shot. Driving accuracy is an important metric to consider along with Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. Given the long layoff from tournament action, I will be putting even more emphasis on that latter metric as I will be looking for golfers who are consistent ball-strikers. This tournament usually sees one of the lowest eagle rates on the PGA Tour. The last debutante to win this event was Sergio Garcia back in 2001 — so course experience is also an issue. These Texas tournaments in the warmer weather also lend itself to high winds — so golfers with a good acumen to handle that adversity is another factor I am considering. |
|||||||
06-11-20 | Joel Dahmen v. Kevin Kisner -115 | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns from the stoppage of play in mid-March given COVID-19 precautions with the Charles Schwab Challenge at the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. This is a golf course where good scores will be depending heavily on the quality of the second shot. Driving accuracy is an important metric to consider along with Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. Given the long layoff from tournament action, I will be putting even more emphasis on that latter metric as I will be looking for golfers who are consistent ball-strikers. This tournament usually sees one of the lowest eagle rates on the PGA Tour. The last debutante to win this event was Sergio Garcia back in 2001 — so course experience is also an issue. These Texas tournaments in the warmer weather also lend itself to high winds — so golfers with a good acumen to handle that adversity is another factor I am considering. |
|||||||
03-12-20 | Rory McIlroy -120 v. Jon Rahm | 72-69 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
The Players Championship takes place on the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra, Florida. The undeclared “fifth major” on the PGA Tour is a Pat Dye course consisting of just under 7200 total yards. This event had taken place in May from 2007 to 2018 before moving back to its traditional March date last year. The primary rough is 2 1/2 long. There is plenty of water. As with all Dye designed courses, outstanding ball striking skills are required to succeed. The professionals find it difficult to overpower the course. Four Par-4s consisting of 460 or more yards are frequently bogeyed or double-bogeyed. The Bermuda greens are considered very fast. |
|||||||
03-12-20 | Xander Schauffele v. Adam Scott +102 | 70-70 | Push | 0 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
The Players Championship takes place on the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra, Florida. The undeclared “fifth major” on the PGA Tour is a Pat Dye course consisting of just under 7200 total yards. This event had taken place in May from 2007 to 2018 before moving back to its traditional March date last year. The primary rough is 2 1/2 long. There is plenty of water. As with all Dye designed courses, outstanding ball striking skills are required to succeed. The professionals find it difficult to overpower the course. Four Par-4s consisting of 460 or more yards are frequently bogeyed or double-bogeyed. The Bermuda greens are considered very fast. |
|||||||
03-12-20 | Justin Thomas -155 v. Rickie Fowler | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 0 h 16 m | Show | |
The Players Championship takes place on the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra, Florida. The undeclared “fifth major” on the PGA Tour is a Pat Dye course consisting of just under 7200 total yards. This event had taken place in May from 2007 to 2018 before moving back to its traditional March date last year. The primary rough is 2 1/2 long. There is plenty of water. As with all Dye designed courses, outstanding ball striking skills are required to succeed. The professionals find it difficult to overpower the course. Four Par-4s consisting of 460 or more yards are frequently bogeyed or double-bogeyed. The Bermuda greens are considered very fast. |
|||||||
03-05-20 | Adam Scott -130 v. Jason Day | 77-74 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
The PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational takes place at the Bay Hill Country Club in Orlando, Florida. This was the most difficult Par 72 on the PGA Tour last season with the average score coming in a 72.37. Consisting of 7454 yards with eight water hazards, the Par 4s are particularly difficult with the professionals suffering bogeys or worse more than 20% of the time last year. Success on this course requires the pros to take advantage of the four Par 5s — these holes were Birdied or better 35% of the time in last year’s event. The professionals only managed a Greens-In-Regulation rate of 57.64% last year which was the fifth lowest number on the PGA Tour last season. The golfer who will lift the championship trophy will need to be adept with all the clubs in their bag. Francisco Molinari won last year’s event with these statistics: he finished tied for the 3rd in the field in Fairways Hit, tied for 1st place in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee, tied for 6th place for Greens-In-Regulation, 18th place in Proximity to the Hole, 4th in Shots-Gained: Putting, and 5th in Scrambling. The putting surface is Bermuda Greens so golfers who thrive on this surface will also be privileged. |
|||||||
03-05-20 | Rory McIlroy -173 v. Tommy Fleetwood | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
The PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational takes place at the Bay Hill Country Club in Orlando, Florida. This was the most difficult Par 72 on the PGA Tour last season with the average score coming in a 72.37. Consisting of 7454 yards with eight water hazards, the Par 4s are particularly difficult with the professionals suffering bogeys or worse more than 20% of the time last year. Success on this course requires the pros to take advantage of the four Par 5s — these holes were Birdied or better 35% of the time in last year’s event. The professionals only managed a Greens-In-Regulation rate of 57.64% last year which was the fifth lowest number on the PGA Tour last season. The golfer who will lift the championship trophy will need to be adept with all the clubs in their bag. Francisco Molinari won last year’s event with these statistics: he finished tied for the 3rd in the field in Fairways Hit, tied for 1st place in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee, tied for 6th place for Greens-In-Regulation, 18th place in Proximity to the Hole, 4th in Shots-Gained: Putting, and 5th in Scrambling. The putting surface is Bermuda Greens so golfers who thrive on this surface will also be privileged. |
|||||||
03-05-20 | Marc Leishman +130 v. Collin Morikawa | 1-0 | Win | 130 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
The PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational takes place at the Bay Hill Country Club in Orlando, Florida. This was the most difficult Par 72 on the PGA Tour last season with the average score coming in a 72.37. Consisting of 7454 yards with eight water hazards, the Par 4s are particularly difficult with the professionals suffering bogeys or worse more than 20% of the time last year. Success on this course requires the pros to take advantage of the four Par 5s — these holes were Birdied or better 35% of the time in last year’s event. The professionals only managed a Greens-In-Regulation rate of 57.64% last year which was the fifth lowest number on the PGA Tour last season. The golfer who will lift the championship trophy will need to be adept with all the clubs in their bag. Francisco Molinari won last year’s event with these statistics: he finished tied for the 3rd in the field in Fairways Hit, tied for 1st place in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee, tied for 6th place for Greens-In-Regulation, 18th place in Proximity to the Hole, 4th in Shots-Gained: Putting, and 5th in Scrambling. The putting surface is Bermuda Greens so golfers who thrive on this surface will also be privileged. |
|||||||
02-27-20 | Harris English -121 v. Harold Varner III | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
The Honda Classic takes place at the PGA National golf course in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. This Jack Nicklaus-Designed course is one of the most difficult courses on the PGA Tour. Winds and water offer challenges to the professionals on a short course consisting of 7125 yards. This was the hardest non-major event last season with the golfers averaging an average of round of 71.06 for the Par 70 course. Keith Mitchell won this tournament last year at -9 under par which was the sixth time in the last seven years that the champion was below double-digits under par. Keith Mitchell won this tournament last year while leading the field in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and Par-3 Scoring while also ranking tied for 2nd in Scrambling — so those are some of the metrics I will be using to handicap this week’s field. |
|||||||
02-27-20 | Tommy Fleetwood -120 v. Justin Rose | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
The Honda Classic takes place at the PGA National golf course in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. This Jack Nicklaus-Designed course is one of the most difficult courses on the PGA Tour. Winds and water offer challenges to the professionals on a short course consisting of 7125 yards. This was the hardest non-major event last season with the golfers averaging an average of round of 71.06 for the Par 70 course. Keith Mitchell won this tournament last year at -9 under par which was the sixth time in the last seven years that the champion was below double-digits under par. Keith Mitchell won this tournament last year while leading the field in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and Par-3 Scoring while also ranking tied for 2nd in Scrambling — so those are some of the metrics I will be using to handicap this week’s field. |
|||||||
02-27-20 | Rickie Fowler -120 v. Viktor Hovland | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
The Honda Classic takes place at the PGA National golf course in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. This Jack Nicklaus-Designed course is one of the most difficult courses on the PGA Tour. Winds and water offer challenges to the professionals on a short course consisting of 7125 yards. This was the hardest non-major event last season with the golfers averaging an average of round of 71.06 for the Par 70 course. Keith Mitchell won this tournament last year at -9 under par which was the sixth time in the last seven years that the champion was below double-digits under par. Keith Mitchell won this tournament last year while leading the field in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and Par-3 Scoring while also ranking tied for 2nd in Scrambling — so those are some of the metrics I will be using to handicap this week’s field. |
|||||||
02-20-20 | Justin Thomas -139 v. Webb Simpson | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
The World Golf Championships take center stage this week with the Mexico Championship at the Club de Golf Chapultec in Mexico City which is hosting this event for the fourth straight year. This is a Par-71 course consisting of 7355 yards — but the high altitude that approaches 7800 square feet above sea level adds about 10% distance for the professionals given the thinner air. The putting surface is Poa Annua greens. |
|||||||
02-20-20 | Dustin Johnson -160 v. Abraham Ancer | 76-70 | Loss | -160 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
The World Golf Championships take center stage this week with the Mexico Championship at the Club de Golf Chapultec in Mexico City which is hosting this event for the fourth straight year. This is a Par-71 course consisting of 7355 yards — but the high altitude that approaches 7800 square feet above sea level adds about 10% distance for the professionals given the thinner air. The putting surface is Poa Annua greens. |
|||||||
02-13-20 | Danny Willett v. Adam Scott -155 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Genesis Invitational takes place at the Riveria Country Club in Los Angeles. This is a difficult Par-71 course with a field average just over par with a score of 71.199. J.B. Holmes won this event last year. He led the field in Shots-Gained: Putting while finishing 9th in Driving Distance, 11th in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green, and tied for 2nd in Greens-In-Regulation. Holmes also led the field in Par-3 Scoring and tied for 2nd place in Par-4 Scoring. With six of the Par-4 holes coming in at least at 455 yards and the course consisting of 7322 yards overall, big hitters tend to do better here — so Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee is another metric that will be illuminating in handicapping these golfers. Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green will also be important given the difficult Kikuyu grass rough which makes chipping more of a challenge. The last five winners here have averaged +2.52 strokes gains around the green. The putting surface is Poa Annua grass. Interestingly, this difficult course has rewarded prior experience at this tournament over the years. Since 2005, every winner here has needed at least three other appearances at this tournament before lifting the trophy — and only James Hahn in 2015 who won this event in his fourth try has won the championship before their fifth professional start at this tournament. |
|||||||
02-13-20 | Bubba Watson -101 v. Brooks Koepka | 72-69 | Loss | -101 | 1 h 23 m | Show | |
The Genesis Invitational takes place at the Riveria Country Club in Los Angeles. This is a difficult Par-71 course with a field average just over par with a score of 71.199. J.B. Holmes won this event last year. He led the field in Shots-Gained: Putting while finishing 9th in Driving Distance, 11th in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green, and tied for 2nd in Greens-In-Regulation. Holmes also led the field in Par-3 Scoring and tied for 2nd place in Par-4 Scoring. With six of the Par-4 holes coming in at least at 455 yards and the course consisting of 7322 yards overall, big hitters tend to do better here — so Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee is another metric that will be illuminating in handicapping these golfers. Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green will also be important given the difficult Kikuyu grass rough which makes chipping more of a challenge. The last five winners here have averaged +2.52 strokes gains around the green. The putting surface is Poa Annua grass. Interestingly, this difficult course has rewarded prior experience at this tournament over the years. Since 2005, every winner here has needed at least three other appearances at this tournament before lifting the trophy — and only James Hahn in 2015 who won this event in his fourth try has won the championship before their fifth professional start at this tournament. |
|||||||
02-13-20 | Dustin Johnson -121 v. Tiger Woods | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
The Genesis Invitational takes place at the Riveria Country Club in Los Angeles. This is a difficult Par-71 course with a field average just over par with a score of 71.199. J.B. Holmes won this event last year. He led the field in Shots-Gained: Putting while finishing 9th in Driving Distance, 11th in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green, and tied for 2nd in Greens-In-Regulation. Holmes also led the field in Par-3 Scoring and tied for 2nd place in Par-4 Scoring. With six of the Par-4 holes coming in at least at 455 yards and the course consisting of 7322 yards overall, big hitters tend to do better here — so Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee is another metric that will be illuminating in handicapping these golfers. Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green will also be important given the difficult Kikuyu grass rough which makes chipping more of a challenge. The last five winners here have averaged +2.52 strokes gains around the green. The putting surface is Poa Annua grass. Interestingly, this difficult course has rewarded prior experience at this tournament over the years. Since 2005, every winner here has needed at least three other appearances at this tournament before lifting the trophy — and only James Hahn in 2015 who won this event in his fourth try has won the championship before their fifth professional start at this tournament. |
|||||||
02-06-20 | Brandt Snedeker -120 v. Phil Mickelson | 73-68 | Loss | -120 | 1 h 35 m | Show | |
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am takes place at Pebble Beach in Northern California. This is the last event on PGA Tour this season that will rotate courses: each golfer will play a round at Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill, and Monterey Peninsula before the cut with the final round taking place at the famed Pebble Beach course. This is one of the shortest courses on the tour with gusty winds typically a common feature along with small greens and Poa Annua grass putting surfaces. The last five winners have finished Top-Ten in Greens-In-Regulation with the Top-Five finishers last year all finishing twelfth or better in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. |
|||||||
02-06-20 | Paul Casey -170 v. Nate Lashley | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 1 h 56 m | Show | |
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am takes place at Pebble Beach in Northern California. This is the last event on PGA Tour this season that will rotate courses: each golfer will play a round at Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill, and Monterey Peninsula before the cut with the final round taking place at the famed Pebble Beach course. This is one of the shortest courses on the tour with gusty winds typically a common feature along with small greens and Poa Annua grass putting surfaces. The last five winners have finished Top-Ten in Greens-In-Regulation with the Top-Five finishers last year all finishing twelfth or better in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. |
|||||||
02-06-20 | Cameron Champ v. Adam Hadwin -112 | 1-0 | Loss | -112 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am takes place at Pebble Beach in Northern California. This is the last event on PGA Tour this season that will rotate courses: each golfer will play a round at Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill, and Monterey Peninsula before the cut with the final round taking place at the famed Pebble Beach course. This is one of the shortest courses on the tour with gusty winds typically a common feature along with small greens and Poa Annua grass putting surfaces. The last five winners have finished Top-Ten in Greens-In-Regulation with the Top-Five finishers last year all finishing twelfth or better in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. Our Long Shot Bet on a golfer listed outside the Top-Ten favorites to win this event is on Adam Hadwin who is listed at 50-1 to win this tournament. Hadwin is a new poppa in 2020 with him returning from paternity leave last week where he made the cut to finish to finish tied for 40th place. Hadwin finished in 2nd place in his previous event in mid-December at the President’s Cup before having his baby. Hadwin also finished in 2nd place in the PGA Safeway Open back in September in his last tournament in California. Hadwin is not a big hitter so the shorter distances will play into his outstanding accuracy off the tee. Hadwin is 10th on the PGA Tour so far for this season in Shots-Gained: Total propelled by ranking 17th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and 29th in the Greens-In-Regulation. He finished in 18th place at this event last season while ranking 13th out of the field that week in Greens-In-Regulation. He also ranks 8th in the field this week in sample-size adjusted performance since 2018 when putting on Poa Annua greens. Hadwin is linked with Cameron Champ in head-to-head betting propositions this week. Champ is listed as a 40-1 favorite to win this event according to Bovada. Champ won the PGA Safeway Open last September and comes off a 16th place at the PGA Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines two weeks ago. Champ finished behind Hadwin last season in his debut at this tournament by finished in 28th place. Champ is one of the biggest hitters on the tour — he tops the PGA Tour right now with his average driving distance of 322.4 yards which has also propelled him to leading the tour in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee. But that skill set is not a great fit for this course — and I worry about him ranking 180th on the tour this season in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green and 118th in Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green. Champ does rank just behind Hadwin this season in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green at 18th — but he is only 56th on the tour in Greens-In-Regulation. Take Hadwin (7016) in head-to-head betting propositions this week against Champ (7015). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
|||||||
01-30-20 | Brandt Snedeker -115 v. S Scheffler | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
The PGA Waste Management Phoenix Open takes place at the TPC Scottsdale in Scottsdale, Arizona. 132 golfers will compete on this Par 71 course consisting of 7261 yards. This is a unique event because of the party atmosphere that accompanies the most raucous crowd on the entire PGA Tour. Newcomers may not be accustomed to this actively and lack of serenity that exists in most other events. The winning score for eleven of the last twelve winners has been in the 14 under par to 18 under par range — so the champion will likely need to average -3 under to -5 under par per round. Ball strikers tend to thrive on this course with three of the last four winners of this event finishing in the top-two by the end of the week in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. In last year’s tournament won by Rickie Fowler, the top six finishers in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green all finished in the top-21 in the final standings which continued a pattern at this event since 2016. We also want to consider Driving Distance since the manageable conditions in the rough at this desert course make big drives that fly off the fairway still very much playable in still getting to the green at the shorter distance. Our Long Shot on a golfer outside the Top-Ten favorites to win this event is on Brandt Snedeker who Bovada lists at 33-1 odds to win this tournament. Snedeker is playing great golf right now after his final round of 64 saw him finish in 3rd place last week at Torrey Pines in the PGA Farmers Insurance Open. Snedeker has made the cut in all five of his events so far for the 2019-20 season with three Top-25 results (including two straight). Snedeker has been very consistent when playing at the TPC Scottsdale where he has made the cut in 11 of his 12 appearances including his last nine events here. Snedeker has finished in the Top-Ten here four times. Snedeker is one of the best golfers in the world when working out of the sand or chipping — he ranked 3rd last season in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green. Snedeker is also carrying a hot putter this season as he ranks 9th in Shots-Gained: Putting — and his putter has helped him rank 24th on the tour for 2019-20 in Scoring Average. Snedeker is linked with Scottie Scheffler in head-to-head betting propositions this week. We faded the 23-year old last week at the PGA Farmers Insurance and the rookie missed the cut for the first time in his nine events this season. As these fields get deeper as we approach the Master’s Open, many of the first-year professionals take a step back in face of the competition. This is also Scheffler’s professional debut at this event so he may not respond well to the unique environment of the heavily-lubricated gallery. Scheffler does have four Top-10 finishes under his belt. He is a bomber who is 11th on the tour by averaging 311.8 yards off the tee. But Scheffler’s closing ability remains an issue as he ranks 81st on the tour in Shots-Gained: Putting and 136th on the PGA Tour in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Tee. I don’t like the mix of his mediocre short game combining with his first experience with an “energetic” crowd that play on his nerves. I much prefer the steady veteran in Snedeker. Take Snedeker (7015) in head-to-head betting propositions versus Scheffler (7016). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
|||||||
01-23-20 | Jon Rahm -127 v. Tiger Woods | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
The PGA Farmers Insurance Open takes place at the Torrey Pines Golf Course in La Jolley, California outside San Diego. The players will rotate between two courses for the first two rounds with the North Course being 7250 yards while the newly constructed South Course will represent the longest course in PGA history consisting of 7765 yards which is 67 yards farther than the two previous US Opens that held the previous PGA record for overall length. Beside the two Par-5s on the South Course, it has six Par-4 holes that are at least 450 yards long. So distance off the tee will be a factor. Justin Rose won this event last year while finishing tied for 8th for the event Fairways Hit and tied for 2nd place in hitting Greens-In-Regulation. Rose also was 2nd that week in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and led the field in Putting: Birdies or Better Percentage on the Poa Annua greens. Those are the analytics that I will be privileging when assessing golfers for this event. |
|||||||
01-23-20 | Rory McIlroy -175 v. Tiger Woods | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
The PGA Farmers Insurance Open takes place at the Torrey Pines Golf Course in La Jolley, California outside San Diego. The players will rotate between two courses for the first two rounds with the North Course being 7250 yards while the newly constructed South Course will represent the longest course in PGA history consisting of 7765 yards which is 67 yards farther than the two previous US Opens that held the previous PGA record for overall length. Beside the two Par-5s on the South Course, it has six Par-4 holes that are at least 450 yards long. So distance off the tee will be a factor. Justin Rose won this event last year while finishing tied for 8th for the event Fairways Hit and tied for 2nd place in hitting Greens-In-Regulation. Rose also was 2nd that week in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and led the field in Putting: Birdies or Better Percentage on the Poa Annua greens. Those are the analytics that I will be privileging when assessing golfers for this event. |
|||||||
01-23-20 | S Scheffler v. Cameron Smith +125 | 0-1 | Win | 125 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
The PGA Farmers Insurance Open takes place at the Torrey Pines Golf Course in La Jolley, California outside San Diego. The players will rotate between two courses for the first two rounds with the North Course being 7250 yards while the newly constructed South Course will represent the longest course in PGA history consisting of 7765 yards which is 67 yards farther than the two previous US Opens that held the previous PGA record for overall length. Beside the two Par-5s on the South Course, it has six Par-4 holes that are at least 450 yards long. So distance off the tee will be a factor. Justin Rose won this event last year while finishing tied for 8th for the event Fairways Hit and tied for 2nd place in hitting Greens-In-Regulation. Rose also was 2nd that week in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green and led the field in Putting: Birdies or Better Percentage on the Poa Annua greens. Those are the analytics that I will be privileging when assessing golfers for this event. |
|||||||
01-16-20 | Harris English -101 v. Lucas Glover | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
The American Express takes place in the Coachella Valley in Palm Springs. This Pro-Am is formerly known as the Bob Hope Classic among a few past iterations. With 156 professionals entered in this event, the first three rounds take place on the La Quinta Course, the Nicklaus Tournament Course, and the Stadium Course respectively with the cut occurring after those 54 holes. The final round then takes place on the Stadium Course. With good weather expected, low scores are expected. Adam Long won this event last year at -26 under par. |
|||||||
01-16-20 | Rickie Fowler -160 v. Francesco Molinari | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
The American Express takes place in the Coachella Valley in Palm Springs. This Pro-Am is formerly known as the Bob Hope Classic among a few past iterations. With 156 professionals entered in this event, the first three rounds take place on the La Quinta Course, the Nicklaus Tournament Course, and the Stadium Course respectively with the cut occurring after those 54 holes. The final round then takes place on the Stadium Course. With good weather expected, low scores are expected. Adam Long won this event last year at -26 under par. |
|||||||
01-16-20 | Sungjae Im -116 v. Tony Finau | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
The American Express takes place in the Coachella Valley in Palm Springs. This Pro-Am is formerly known as the Bob Hope Classic among a few past iterations. With 156 professionals entered in this event, the first three rounds take place on the La Quinta Course, the Nicklaus Tournament Course, and the Stadium Course respectively with the cut occurring after those 54 holes. The final round then takes place on the Stadium Course. With good weather expected, low scores are expected. Adam Long won this event last year at -26 under par. |
|||||||
01-09-20 | Justin Thomas -170 v. Matt Kuchar | 72-69 | Loss | -170 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
The PGA Sony Open takes place at the Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawai’i. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 704 yards of play with bermuda greens. With gusty winds expected with the highs reaching 40 miles per hour, lower scores are expected this weekend with the winner likely to be in 10 under par range. We want to focus on excellent putters given those circumstances. We also want to focus on golfers who perform well with Shots-Gained: Approach. Five of the top ten finishers in last year’s event finished in the Top Ten in Shots-Gained: Approach. Furthermore, only two of the golfers who finished in the Top Ten in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee then finished in the Top Ten overall. With only two Par-5s on the Par 70 course, those golfers who thrive in Par-Four scoring. |
|||||||
01-09-20 | Hideki Matsuyama v. Webb Simpson -120 | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
The PGA Sony Open takes place at the Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawai’i. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 704 yards of play with bermuda greens. With gusty winds expected with the highs reaching 40 miles per hour, lower scores are expected this weekend with the winner likely to be in 10 under par range. We want to focus on excellent putters given those circumstances. We also want to focus on golfers who perform well with Shots-Gained: Approach. Five of the top ten finishers in last year’s event finished in the Top Ten in Shots-Gained: Approach. Furthermore, only two of the golfers who finished in the Top Ten in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee then finished in the Top Ten overall. With only two Par-5s on the Par 70 course, those golfers who thrive in Par-Four scoring. Our Top Overlay Bet on the golfer who offers the best value relative to their odds is on Webb Simpson who Bovada lists at 12-1 odds to win this event. Simpson has made all nine cuts when playing here with five straight Top-10 finishes. Simpson thrives on old school Par 70s with bermuda greens — and he is on the record that he loves this course. He is 3rd best on the tour over his last three starts in Shots-Gained: Total. Simpson is one of the best ball strikers on the tour who is a veteran in a great position to manage the gusty winds. He ranks 2nd on the tour for the 2019-20 season in Shots-Gained: Approach while also ranking 2nd in Bogey Avoidance. And Simpson has been red hot with his putter as he ranks 9th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Putting over his last three events with that number rushing to 8th best when putting on bermuda grass. Overall for ’19-20, Simpson is 11th in Shots-Gained: Putting. Simpson is also in great form with four second place finishes on the tour over his last ten events while starting the new season with a tie for 7th place and then a 2nd place result at the RSM Classic. Simpson is matched with Hideki Matsuyama in head-to-head betting options for Day One on Thursday. Matsuyama has struggled on this course with three missed cuts in six starts while never finishing better than tied for 27th place. This is Matsuyama’s first start since the President’s Cup. He is so far just 92nd on the tour for ’19-20 in Shots-Gained: Approach and his putting puts him at just 159th on the new seasons in Shots-Gained: Putting. Take Simpson (7118) in head-to-head betting against Matsuyama (7117) in Day One betting. Best of luck for us -- Frank. |
|||||||
01-09-20 | Alexander Noren v. Brandt Snedeker -125 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 55 m | Show | |
The PGA Sony Open takes place at the Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawai’i. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 704 yards of play with bermuda greens. With gusty winds expected with the highs reaching 40 miles per hour, lower scores are expected this weekend with the winner likely to be in 10 under par range. We want to focus on excellent putters given those circumstances. We also want to focus on golfers who perform well with Shots-Gained: Approach. Five of the top ten finishers in last year’s event finished in the Top Ten in Shots-Gained: Approach. Furthermore, only two of the golfers who finished in the Top Ten in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee then finished in the Top Ten overall. With only two Par-5s on the Par 70 course, those golfers who thrive in Par-Four scoring. Our Long Shot Bet on a golfer outside the Top-Ten favorites (according to Bovada) to win this event is on Brandt Snedeker who Bovada lists to win at 50-1 odds. The veteran is also good in tough conditions given his strong short game and his reliable putting. Snedeker is a scrambler who is 5th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green so far this season after finishing 3rd in that metric last season. Snedeker also finished 12th on the tour last season in Shots-Gained: Putting. He has made all three of his cuts for the new ’19-20 season. He also has had success on this course with a tie for 16th place last year along with a heartbreaking loss in a playoff back in 2016. Snedeker is matched with Alex Noren in head-to-head betting options for Day One on Thursday. Noren earned a Top-Ten exemption to qualify for this event after finishing just 129th in the FedEx standings last year. Noren was just 164th in Shots-Gained: Approach last season while ranking only 156th in Par-Four scoring and 153rd in Shots-Gained: Putting. This is Noren’s first event since the RSM Classic back in late November. Take Snedeker (7010) in Day One head-to-head betting over Noren (7019). Best of luck for us — Frank. |
|||||||
08-22-19 | Brooks Koepka -145 v. Patrick Reed | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
The Tour Championship concludes at the East Lake Golf Course in East Atlanta this weekend. This is a Par-70 course consisting of 7346 yards. This is bomber’s course who can use their wedge to reach the greens in two shots if they can stay accurate off the tee. Soft conditions could lead to some big scores. The pros have hit the fairways in 54% of their shots off the tee here for the Tour Championship — but the golfers who miss the fairway then only get to the Green in Regulation just 49% of the time. With this event concluding the FedEx playoffs, this will be the first year of a new format where the golfer who hoists the trophy on Sunday to win this tournament will also win the playoff. Justin Thomas begins the week in first place in the FedEx standings which rewards him with a starting score of -10. Patrick Cantlay is in second place in the standings so he will be awarded a -8 score — and the remaining twenty-eight players in the field will assign cascading scores with the bottom five golfers being given a score of Par which places them 10 strokes behind Thomas to start on Thursday. First place has seen a score of -8 to -13 under par over the last eleven years. I think the winner of this event will need to have a score of at least -15. With his two-stroke lead entering Day One, Thomas is the betting favorite to win this week — Bovada lists him as a 2.4-1 favorite to lift the trophy. At those odds, Thomas is an underlay bet — even with initial lead. In the last fifteen PGA Tour events that have not had a cut over the last two years, three golfers successfully overcame a deficit of at least ten strokes to win the event. Furthermore, eleven of the fifteen champions of those tournaments found themselves trailing by at least five strokes at one point in the event. I still consider this event wide open for the first twenty or so golfers in this field. Thomas is just one double-bogey on Thursday away from feeling completely differently about his initial lead. Will he suffer a hangover from last week’s victory at the BMW Championship? We are in an unventured territory with this new format — and the Day One installed leader may feel unique pressure. Pressure is not a good ingredient to add to the mix of a golfer like Thomas who ranks just 133rd in the field in Shots-Gained: Putting. Thomas also ranks 133rd on the tour with a Driving Accuracy of just 60.25%. At his short odds, I am fading Thomas. |
|||||||
08-22-19 | Patrick Cantlay v. Jon Rahm +155 | 0-1 | Win | 155 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
The Tour Championship concludes at the East Lake Golf Course in East Atlanta this weekend. This is a Par-70 course consisting of 7346 yards. This is bomber’s course who can use their wedge to reach the greens in two shots if they can stay accurate off the tee. Soft conditions could lead to some big scores. The pros have hit the fairways in 54% of their shots off the tee here for the Tour Championship — but the golfers who miss the fairway then only get to the Green in Regulation just 49% of the time. With this event concluding the FedEx playoffs, this will be the first year of a new format where the golfer who hoists the trophy on Sunday to win this tournament will also win the playoff. Justin Thomas begins the week in first place in the FedEx standings which rewards him with a starting score of -10. Patrick Cantlay is in second place in the standings so he will be awarded a -8 score — and the remaining twenty-eight players in the field will assign cascading scores with the bottom five golfers being given a score of Par which places them 10 strokes behind Thomas to start on Thursday. First place has seen a score of -8 to -13 under par over the last eleven years. I think the winner of this event will need to have a score of at least -15. With his two-stroke lead entering Day One, Thomas is the betting favorite to win this week — Bovada lists him as a 2.4-1 favorite to lift the trophy. At those odds, Thomas is an underlay bet — even with initial lead. In the last fifteen PGA Tour events that have not had a cut over the last two years, three golfers successfully overcame a deficit of at least ten strokes to win the event. Furthermore, eleven of the fifteen champions of those tournaments found themselves trailing by at least five strokes at one point in the event. I still consider this event wide open for the first twenty or so golfers in this field. Thomas is just one double-bogey on Thursday away from feeling completely differently about his initial lead. Will he suffer a hangover from last week’s victory at the BMW Championship? We are in an unventured territory with this new format — and the Day One installed leader may feel unique pressure. Pressure is not a good ingredient to add to the mix of a golfer like Thomas who ranks just 133rd in the field in Shots-Gained: Putting. Thomas also ranks 133rd on the tour with a Driving Accuracy of just 60.25%. At his short odds, I am fading Thomas. Our Top Overlay Bet on the golfer who offers the most value relative to their odds is on Jon Rahm who Bovada lists at 14-1 odds to win this tournament. Rahm is tied for sixth place in the FedEx standings which places him at -4 under par to start on Thursday. Rahm finished tied for 5th place last week at the BMW Championship after finishing a solo 3rd place in the first leg of the FedEx playoffs at the PGA Northern Trust. Rahm may be playing the most consistent golf of all the top-level players this summer as he has enjoyed Top-11 over better finishes in seven straight events worldwide. Rahm has also generated five Top-5 finishes in his nine FedEx playoff events in his career. He is second best out of this field for Greens-in-Regulation in these playoffs. Additionally, Rahm is 10th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green while also ranking 17th on the tour in Bogey Avoidance. Perhaps more importantly for this course that rewards big hitters, Rahm is 2nd on the tour in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee. Rahm is paired with Patrick Cantlay for Round One head-to-head wagering on Thursday. Cantlay is in second place in the FedEx standings after finishing tied for 2nd place last week. But Cantlay has not played very well in his previous two trips to East Lake has he finished tied for 20th and 21st place in his previous two appearances here. Cantlay has been riding a hot putter this summer with five of his top nine putting efforts in his career taking place over the last four months. But putting can be vulnerable to the ole Regression Gods — and Cantlay has lost about 7.5 strokes against the field with his putter the last two years at this event. Cantlay is just 154th on the tour in Driving Accuracy while ranking a mere 64th in Greens-in-Regulation — so that might explain why he has struggled here. Take Rahm in Round One head-to-head proposition wagers against Cantlay for Thursday. Best of luck for us — Frank. |
|||||||
08-22-19 | Paul Casey -140 v. Abraham Ancer | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
The Tour Championship concludes at the East Lake Golf Course in East Atlanta this weekend. This is a Par-70 course consisting of 7346 yards. This is bomber’s course who can use their wedge to reach the greens in two shots if they can stay accurate off the tee. Soft conditions could lead to some big scores. The pros have hit the fairways in 54% of their shots off the tee here for the Tour Championship — but the golfers who miss the fairway then only get to the Green in Regulation just 49% of the time. With this event concluding the FedEx playoffs, this will be the first year of a new format where the golfer who hoists the trophy on Sunday to win this tournament will also win the playoff. Justin Thomas begins the week in first place in the FedEx standings which rewards him with a starting score of -10. Patrick Cantlay is in second place in the standings so he will be awarded a -8 score — and the remaining twenty-eight players in the field will assign cascading scores with the bottom five golfers being given a score of Par which places them 10 strokes behind Thomas to start on Thursday. First place has seen a score of -8 to -13 under par over the last eleven years. I think the winner of this event will need to have a score of at least -15. With his two-stroke lead entering Day One, Thomas is the betting favorite to win this week — Bovada lists him as a 2.4-1 favorite to lift the trophy. At those odds, Thomas is an underlay bet — even with initial lead. In the last fifteen PGA Tour events that have not had a cut over the last two years, three golfers successfully overcame a deficit of at least ten strokes to win the event. Furthermore, eleven of the fifteen champions of those tournaments found themselves trailing by at least five strokes at one point in the event. I still consider this event wide open for the first twenty or so golfers in this field. Thomas is just one double-bogey on Thursday away from feeling completely differently about his initial lead. Will he suffer a hangover from last week’s victory at the BMW Championship? We are in an unventured territory with this new format — and the Day One installed leader may feel unique pressure. Pressure is not a good ingredient to add to the mix of a golfer like Thomas who ranks just 133rd in the field in Shots-Gained: Putting. Thomas also ranks 133rd on the tour with a Driving Accuracy of just 60.25%. At his short odds, I am fading Thomas. Our Long Shot Bet on a golfer outside the top-ten favorites is on Paul Casey who is listed at 100-1 odds by Bovada to win this event. Casey begins Thursday at -2 under par placing him eight strokes behind Thomas — but a fast start can change this dynamic quickly. Casey has plenty of opening round success at the Tour Championship at East Lake. In 2010, Casey shot an opening-round 66 which put him in a tie for 1st place. In 2012, Casey shot an opening-round 66 and he also shot that score in 2017 which saw him begin Day Two tied for 2nd place. Five of the sixteen rounds he has played at East Lake have seen a 65 or better score — and a similar number on Thursday would help his cause tremendously. Casey simply loves playing at this course where he has finished in 4th place in 2010 and 2016 while finishing in 5th place in 2015 and 2017. In his career playing at East Lake, he ranks 11th in Driving Accuracy, 12th in Greens-in-Regulation, and 12th in All-Around Scoring. Overall this season, Casey is 2nd on the tour in Ball Striking and 7th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. Casey also might have a small advantage versus the field in terms of stamina as he was the only one of these thirty golfers to skip the PGA Northern Trust two weeks ago. Casey is linked with Abraham Ancer for Round One head-to-head wagering options. Ancer has been placed at -4 under par to begin this final leg of the FedEx playoffs after finishing tied for 2nd place two weeks ago at the PGA Northern Trust before falling back for a tie for 28th place last week at the BMW Championship. This is Ancer’s first time playing at East Lake for this event — and his game does not fit the challenges he will face. While Ancer ranks 9th on the tour in Driving Accuracy, he is just 107th on the tour in Driving Distance — so he will likely still be using his irons for the second shot. Anger ranks just 42nd on the tour in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green — and he ranks outside the Top-100 in Shots Gained: Approach, Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green and Shots-Gained: Putting. Take Casey in head-to-head wagering options versus Ancer for Round One on Thursday. Best of luck for us — Frank. |
|||||||
08-15-19 | Dustin Johnson v. Justin Rose -109 | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
The second leg of the FedEx Championship playoffs takes place this week with the BMW Championship taking place at the Medinah Country Club on their Course Three just west of Chicago. 69 golfers will be competing with the top thirty advancing to the third and final leg next week for the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta. This is a 7163-yard course with par set at 72. While the course plays a bit shorter than that yardage suggests, successful golfers will be using their mid-irons to reach the green (rather than a wedge that has been standard on many of the courses on the tour). Given all the doglegs on this course, the pros will likely put away their driver off the tee for three-woods or even two-irons. This was the home of the 1996 and 2006 PGA Championships (each won by Tiger Woods) as well as the 2002 Ryder Cup. Our Top Overlay on the golfer who offers the most value relative to their odds is on Justin Rose who Bovada lists at 16-1 odds to win this tournament. Rose finished tied for 10th place last week at the Northern Trust after a sparkling score of 65 last Thursday. Rose has four Top-15 finishes and a Top-20 result over his last five events. Rose is 6th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Total on the strength of his outstanding putter: he ranks 2nd on the tour in Shots-Gained: Putting this year. Rose is the reigning Tour Champion after winning the playoffs last year — and this course will bring back warm memories of when he played a key role in Europe’s miraculous comeback victory in that 2012 Ryder’s Cup. Rose is linked with Dustin Johnson in head-to-head matchup wagers for Day One on Thursday. Johnson may have four victories in FedEx Playoff events but he continues to disappoint on the tour this season. Johnson led the Northern Trust after two rounds last week before shooting a 74 on Saturday with that +3 round pushing him out of contention — he finished tied for 24th place. That result came off his previous event three weeks ago at the World Golf Championship-FedEx St. Jude invitational where he finished tied for 20th place. Johnson has two tied for 20th place finishes in his last six tournaments which, unfortunately for him, are his best results over that span of play. Johnson tends to perform best when he can get the benefits from his driver: he ranks 6th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee. But the weakest part of Johnson’s game is when he gets in trouble off the tee. He ranks 31st in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green. Johnson’s poor final two rounds last week is not the ideal way to transition into this tournament. Take Rose (7158) in head-to-head betting propositions against Johnson (7117) for Day One on Thursday. Best of luck for us — Frank. |
|||||||
08-15-19 | Louis Oosthuizen -129 v. Andrew Putnam | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
The second leg of the FedEx Championship playoffs takes place this week with the BMW Championship taking place at the Medinah Country Club on their Course Three just west of Chicago. 69 golfers will be competing with the top thirty advancing to the third and final leg next week for the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta. This is a 7163-yard course with par set at 72. While the course plays a bit shorter than that yardage suggests, successful golfers will be using their mid-irons to reach the green (rather than a wedge that has been standard on many of the courses on the tour). Given all the doglegs on this course, the pros will likely put away their driver off the tee for three-woods or even two-irons. This was the home of the 1996 and 2006 PGA Championships (each won by Tiger Woods) as well as the 2002 Ryder Cup. Our Long Shot on a golfer outside the Top-Ten favorites to win this event is on Louis Oosthuizen who Bovada lists at 33-1 odds to win this tournament. Oosthuizen is in good form after finishing tied for 6th place last week at the Northern Trust. That was his 5th Top-Ten finish this year and came off the heels of two straight Top-20 results. The South African finished tied for 3rd place last week in Greens-in-Regulation — and he is 4th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green. The veteran is dangerous when he is shooting well. He is paired with Andrew Putnam in head-to-head betting for Day One on Thursday. Putnam comes off a nice tie for 12th place at the Northern Trust last week. But let's fade the 30-year old Pepperdine alum this week with that finish being his best result on the PGA Tour since his solo second-place way back in mid-January. Putnam thrives with his putter as he ranks 6th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Putting. But Putnam ranks a low 131st on the tour in the critical Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green metric. He also ranks just 191st on the tour in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee and 82nd in Shots-Gained: Around-the-Green. With this being just his second FedEx playoff qualification this season, the veteran Oosthuizen should have the edge today. Take Oosthuizen (7103) versus Putnam (7104) in head-to-head wagering for the 1st Round on Thursday. Best of luck for us — Frank. |
|||||||
08-15-19 | Brooks Koepka +115 v. Jon Rahm | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
The second leg of the FedEx Championship playoffs takes place this week with the BMW Championship taking place at the Medinah Country Club on their Course Three just west of Chicago. 69 golfers will be competing with the top thirty advancing to the third and final leg next week for the Tour Championship at the East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta. This is a 7163-yard course with par set at 72. While the course plays a bit shorter than that yardage suggests, successful golfers will be using their mid-irons to reach the green (rather than a wedge that has been standard on many of the courses on the tour). Given all the doglegs on this course, the pros will likely put away their driver off the tee for three-woods or even two-irons. This was the home of the 1996 and 2006 PGA Championships (each won by Tiger Woods) as well as the 2002 Ryder Cup. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.