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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-06-23 | Joaquin Niemann v. Justin Rose -130 | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Augusta National Golf Course for the first major championship of the year with The Masters. This a Par 72 event consisting of 7545 yards. The average round last year at this tournament was 73.951. Despite the length of Augusta National which plays even longer given the elevated greens on many of the holes, this remains a second-shot course where shot-shaping and placement remain a priority. The Bentgrass greens average 6500 square feet and play ultra-fast measuring up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The tournament features 88 professionals including 18 players from the LIV Tour. The top 50 players will make the weekend cut. Rain is expected on the weekend which will amp up the winds while the temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-50s. Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win - -just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%. For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week. |
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04-06-23 | Rory McIlroy v. Jon Rahm +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Augusta National Golf Course for the first major championship of the year with The Masters. This a Par 72 event consisting of 7545 yards. The average round last year at this tournament was 73.951. Despite the length of Augusta National which plays even longer given the elevated greens on many of the holes, this remains a second-shot course where shot-shaping and placement remain a priority. The Bentgrass greens average 6500 square feet and play ultra-fast measuring up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The tournament features 88 professionals including 18 players from the LIV Tour. The top 50 players will make the weekend cut. Rain is expected on the weekend which will amp up the winds while the temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-50s. Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win - -just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%. For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week. |
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04-06-23 | Cameron Young v. Sungjae Im +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Augusta National Golf Course for the first major championship of the year with The Masters. This a Par 72 event consisting of 7545 yards. The average round last year at this tournament was 73.951. Despite the length of Augusta National which plays even longer given the elevated greens on many of the holes, this remains a second-shot course where shot-shaping and placement remain a priority. The Bentgrass greens average 6500 square feet and play ultra-fast measuring up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The tournament features 88 professionals including 18 players from the LIV Tour. The top 50 players will make the weekend cut. Rain is expected on the weekend which will amp up the winds while the temperatures are expected to drop into the mid-50s. Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win - -just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%. For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week. |
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03-30-23 | Tyrrell Hatton v. Corey Conners +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 0 h 4 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open this week. The Oaks Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7438 yards. Three of the four Par 5s are at least 590 yards in length. The professionals will once again have to contend with gusty winds that are not uncommon for this event. Last year, only 56% of their drives off the tee landed in the fairway, a drop from the 62% PGA Tour average. The average score was 71.763 per round last year. The Bermuda greens are overseeded with Poa trivilias grass that will register up to 11 1/2 feet on the stimpmeter. The winner of this event earns automatic qualification to the Masters at Augusta National next week. |
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03-30-23 | Si Woo Kim -112 v. Rickie Fowler | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 0 h 11 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open this week. The Oaks Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7438 yards. Three of the four Par 5s are at least 590 yards in length. The professionals will once again have to contend with gusty winds that are not uncommon for this event. Last year, only 56% of their drives off the tee landed in the fairway, a drop from the 62% PGA Tour average. The average score was 71.763 per round last year. The Bermuda greens are overseeded with Poa trivilias grass that will register up to 11 1/2 feet on the stimpmeter. The winner of this event earns automatic qualification to the Masters at Augusta National next week. |
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03-30-23 | Alexander Noren v. Cameron Davis +0.5 | 70-80 | Loss | -125 | 0 h 23 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open this week. The Oaks Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7438 yards. Three of the four Par 5s are at least 590 yards in length. The professionals will once again have to contend with gusty winds that are not uncommon for this event. Last year, only 56% of their drives off the tee landed in the fairway, a drop from the 62% PGA Tour average. The average score was 71.763 per round last year. The Bermuda greens are overseeded with Poa trivilias grass that will register up to 11 1/2 feet on the stimpmeter. The winner of this event earns automatic qualification to the Masters at Augusta National next week. |
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03-16-23 | Matthew Fitzpatrick v. Justin Rose +0.5 | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour concludes its four-week run by moving to Northwest Tampa in Pearl Harbor, Florida for the Valspar Championship at the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of five Par 3s, four Par 5s, and just nine Par 4s. The course consists of 7340 yards with tree-lined fairways that average a narrow 22 yards. The rough is as high as 3 3/4 inches. The TifEagle Bermuda greens average 5800 square feet and measure up to 12 1/2 inches on the stimpmeter. |
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03-16-23 | Tommy Fleetwood -120 v. Brian Harman | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 0 h 25 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour concludes its four-week run by moving to Northwest Tampa in Pearl Harbor, Florida for the Valspar Championship at the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of five Par 3s, four Par 5s, and just nine Par 4s. The course consists of 7340 yards with tree-lined fairways that average a narrow 22 yards. The rough be as high as 3 3/4 inches. The TifEagle Bermuda greens average 5800 square feet and measure up to 12 1/2 inches on the stimpmeter. |
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03-16-23 | Nick Taylor -120 v. Tyler Duncan | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 0 h 15 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour concludes its four-week run by moving to Northwest Tampa in Pearl Harbor, Florida for the Valspar Championship at the Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Resort. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of five Par 3s, four Par 5s, and just nine Par 4s. The course consists of 7340 yards with tree-lined fairways that average a narrow 22 yards. The rough can be as high as 3 3/4 inches. The TifEagle Bermuda greens average 5800 square feet and measure up to 12 1/2 inches on the stimpmeter. |
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03-09-23 | Viktor Hovland -147 v. Jordan Spieth | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 0 h 2 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour continues its Florida swing with the PLAYERS Championship at the TPC Sawgrass Stadium Course in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. The so-called “fifth” major championship is a Par 72 event on a course consisting of 7275 yards. The average score last year was 72.619 per round. The challenges are numerous with 88 bunkers' water impacting all but one of the holes. This is a Pete Dye-designed course — and his tracks tend to twist and turn to privilege ball-shaping versus pure distance. The greens are TifEagle Bermuda grass oversewed with Poa trivialis. The smaller greens average 5500 square feet that can measure off to 13 inches on the stimpmeter. |
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03-02-23 | Max Homa v. Tyrrell Hatton +0.5 | 70-71 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour continues its Florida swing with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at the Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida. This is a Par 72 tournament on a course consisting of 7466 yards. Bay Hill is one of the most difficult stops on the tour — it ranks in the top-five most difficult tournaments to hit Greens-In-Regulation over the last five years. The average score per round last year was 73.886. The rough grows out to 3 1/2 inches. The greens average 7500 square feet consisting of TifEagle Bermuda greens that measure 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The biggest challenge will be the winds that are expected to be 20 miles-per-hour on Friday — more on that below as those conditions did influence the golfers I am investing in this week. |
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03-02-23 | Max Homa v. Xander Schauffele -124 | 1-0 | Loss | -124 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour continues its Florida swing with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at the Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida. This is a Par 72 tournament on a course consisting of 7466 yards. Bay Hill is one of the most difficult stops on the tour — it ranks in the top-five most difficult tournaments to hit Greens-In-Regulation over the last five years. The average score per round last year was 73.886. The rough grows out to 3 1/2 inches. The greens average 7500 square feet consisting of TifEagle Bermuda greens that measure 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The biggest challenge will be the winds that are expected to be 20 miles-per-hour on Friday — more on that below as those conditions did influence the golfers I am investing in this week. |
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03-02-23 | Max Homa v. Collin Morikawa -134 | 1-0 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour continues its Florida swing with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at the Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida. This is a Par 72 tournament on a course consisting of 7466 yards. Bay Hill is one of the most difficult stops on the tour — it ranks in the top-five most difficult tournaments to hit Greens-In-Regulation over the last five years. The average score per round last year was 73.886. The rough grows out to 3 1/2 inches. The greens average 7500 square feet consisting of TifEagle Bermuda greens that measure 13 feet on the stimpmeter. The biggest challenge will be the winds that are expected to be 20 miles-per-hour on Friday — more on that below as those conditions did influence the golfers I am investing in this week. |
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02-23-23 | Chris Kirk +1.5 v. Matt Kuchar | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour departs from its west coast swing to Florida for the next three weeks beginning with the Honda Classic at the PGA National Resort The Champion Course in Palm Springs. This is a Par 70 consisting of 7125 yards. The professionals will be challenged by water hazards that impact 15 holes along with 67 bunkers. Tight fairways, three-inch Bermuda grass rough, and the propensity for high winds add to the intrigue this week. Only two Par 5s are on the course and the Par 3s are notoriously difficult. The 7000 square foot putting greens consist of TifEagle Bermuda grass that measures up to 12 feet on the stimpmeter. The average score last year at this event was 71.341. |
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02-23-23 | Shane Lowry -125 v. Billy Horschel | 68-65 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour departs from its west coast swing to Florida for the next three weeks beginning with the Honda Classic at the PGA National Resort The Champion Course in Palm Springs. This is a Par 70 consisting of 7125 yards. The professionals will be challenged by water hazards that impact 15 holes along with 67 bunkers. Tight fairways, three-inch Bermuda grass rough, and the propensity for high winds add to the intrigue this week. Only two Par 5s are on the course and the Par 3s are notoriously difficult. The 7000 square foot putting greens consist of TifEagle Bermuda grass that measures up to 12 feet on the stimpmeter. The average score last year at this event was 71.341. |
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02-23-23 | JT Poston v. Jhonattan Vegas -125 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour departs from its west coast swing to Florida for the next three weeks beginning with the Honda Classic at the PGA National Resort The Champion Course in Palm Springs. This is a Par 70 consisting of 7125 yards. The professionals will be challenged by water hazards that impact 15 holes along with 67 bunkers. Tight fairways, three-inch Bermuda grass rough, and the propensity for high winds add to the intrigue this week. Only two Par 5s are on the course and the Par 3s are notoriously difficult. The 7000 square foot putting greens consist of TifEagle Bermuda grass that measures up to 12 feet on the stimpmeter. The average score last year at this event was 71.341. |
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02-16-23 | Sam Burns v. Cameron Young +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour completes its west coast swing by moving to the Riviera Country Club in Palisades, California for The Genesis Invitational. Tiger Woods is the host of this event featuring a loaded field. This Par-71 course consists of 7322 yards with elevated greens and fairways protected by trees. This tournament is typically graded as one of the top ten most difficult on the PGA Tour while being considered a thinker’s course regarding how to avoid the bunkers and find the strategic placements on the greens that average 7500 square feet in size. The overseeded greens feature Poa annua grass that measures up to 12.5 feet on the stimpmeter. |
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02-16-23 | Justin Thomas v. Collin Morikawa +0.5 | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour completes its west coast swing by moving to the Riviera Country Club in Palisades, California for The Genesis Invitational. Tiger Woods is the host of this event featuring a loaded field. This Par-71 course consists of 7322 yards with elevated greens and fairways protected by trees. This tournament is typically graded as one of the top ten most difficult on the PGA Tour while being considered a thinker’s course regarding how to avoid the bunkers and find the strategic placements on the greens that average 7500 square feet in size. The overseeded greens feature Poa annua grass that measures up to 12.5 feet on the stimpmeter. |
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02-16-23 | Justin Thomas v. Xander Schauffele -115 | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour completes its west coast swing by moving to the Riviera Country Club in Palisades, California for The Genesis Invitational. Tiger Woods is the host of this event featuring a loaded field. This Par-71 course consists of 7322 yards with elevated greens and fairways protected by trees. This tournament is typically graded as one of the top ten most difficult on the PGA Tour while being considered a thinker’s course regarding how to avoid the bunkers and find the strategic placements on the greens that average 7500 square feet in size. The overseeded greens feature Poa annua grass that measures up to 12.5 feet on the stimpmeter. |
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02-09-23 | Xander Schauffele -145 v. Justin Thomas | 0-1 | Loss | -145 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Scottsdale, Arizona to the TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course with the festive crowds at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. This is a Par 71 course consisting of 7261 yards. Long drivers are usually rewarded at this tournament given the smaller rough on this desert course. The professionals will contend with 68 sand traps and water hazards that impact six of the holes. The large putting surfaces of just over 7000 square feet in size are made of Tiffeagle Bermuda grass with a mixed grain blend that plays fast and firm. |
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02-09-23 | Collin Morikawa -113 v. Max Homa | 0-1 | Loss | -113 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Scottsdale, Arizona to the TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course with the festive crowds at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. This is a Par 71 course consisting of 7261 yards. Long drivers are usually rewarded at this tournament given the smaller rough on this desert course. The professionals will contend with 68 sand traps and water hazards that impact six of the holes. The large putting surfaces of just over 7000 square feet in size are made of Tiffeagle Bermuda grass with a mixed grain blend that plays fast and firm. |
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02-09-23 | Hideki Matsuyama +0.5 v. Cameron Young | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 9 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Scottsdale, Arizona to the TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course with the festive crowds at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. This is a Par 71 course consisting of 7261 yards. Long drivers are usually rewarded at this tournament given the smaller rough on this desert course. The professionals will contend with 68 sand traps and water hazards that impact six of the holes. The large putting surfaces of just over 7000 square feet in size are made of Tiffeagle Bermuda grass with a mixed grain blend that plays fast and firm. |
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02-02-23 | Seamus Power -135 v. Keith Mitchell | 72-67 | Loss | -135 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves north from San Diego up the coast to the Monterey Peninsula for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach, California. This event features 156 professionals teaming with amateurs with the top 60 pros along with ties making the cut on Sunday. The golfers will rotate on three courses for the first 56 holes. The Spyglass Hill Golf Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7041 yards. The Monterey Peninsula Country Club Shore Course is a Par 71 (with five Par 3s) consisting of 6934 yards. The famed Pebble Beach course is a Par 72 consisting of 6972 yards and will also host the fourth round — and Pebble Beach was the site of the 2019 US Open. The greens feature Poa Annua grass that will approach 12 feet on the stimpmeter with putting surfaces that are the smallest on the PGA Tour on average. |
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02-02-23 | Kurt Kitayama v. Nick Taylor -125 | 64-68 | Loss | -125 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves north from San Diego up the coast to the Monterey Peninsula for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach, California. This event features 156 professionals teaming with amateurs with the top 60 pros along with ties making the cut on Sunday. The golfers will rotate on three courses for the first 56 holes. The Spyglass Hill Golf Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7041 yards. The Monterey Peninsula Country Club Shore Course is a Par 71 (with five Par 3s) consisting of 6934 yards. The famed Pebble Beach course is a Par 72 consisting of 6972 yards and will also host the fourth round — and Pebble Beach was the site of the 2019 US Open. The greens feature Poa Annua grass that will approach 12 feet on the stimpmeter with putting surfaces that are the smallest on the PGA Tour on average. |
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02-02-23 | Maverick McNealy -125 v. Tom Hoge | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves north from San Diego up the coast to the Monterey Peninsula for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach, California. This event features 156 professionals teaming with amateurs with the top 60 pros along with ties making the cut on Sunday. The golfers will rotate on three courses for the first 56 holes. The Spyglass Hill Golf Course is a Par 72 consisting of 7041 yards. The Monterey Peninsula Country Club Shore Course is a Par 71 (with five Par 3s) consisting of 6934 yards. The famed Pebble Beach course is a Par 72 consisting of 6972 yards and will also host the fourth round — and Pebble Beach was the site of the 2019 US Open. The greens feature Poa Annua grass that will approach 12 feet on the stimpmeter with putting surfaces that are the smallest on the PGA Tour on average. |
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01-25-23 | Will Zalatoris -165 v. Hideki Matsuyama | 0-1 | Loss | -165 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to La Jolla, just north of San Diego, for the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. This regular stop on the PGA Tour also hosted the US Open in 2021. The 156 professionals will rotate between the North and South Courses on Wednesday and Thursday before the top 65 golfers making the cut advance to the final two rounds which will be played at the South course. Success at this course requires the golfers to use all 14 clubs in their bags. The rough grow out to four inches. The North Course plays much easier than the South Course — and it actually ranks as one of the easiest tracks on the tour. At 7258 yards, the pros on the North Course shot an average of three shots better there than on the South Course which consists of 7765 yards with narrow fairways and small greens. The Poa Annua greens on the South Course play slower and can be more of a challenge than the Bentgrass putting surface on the North Course. Furthermore, heavy winds are expected on Thursday for the second round — and that will impact our strategy. We want to avoid golfers playing the easier North Course on Thursday since they will have to deal with these winds; instead, we want want to target golfers who can take advantage of the easier North Course in better weather conditions on Wednesday. Jon Rahm is the clear favorite at this event given his red-hot form and excellent cause history here — and he is listed at a mere +450 at DraftKings to win this event. But he gets the North Course on Thursday — giving us another reason to fade him (besides his odds being simply too small relative to the strong field). |
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01-25-23 | Taylor Montgomery v. Max Homa -120 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to La Jolla, just north of San Diego, for the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. This regular stop on the PGA Tour also hosted the US Open in 2021. The 156 professionals will rotate between the North and South Courses on Wednesday and Thursday before the top 65 golfers making the cut advance to the final two rounds which will be played at the South course. Success at this course requires the golfers to use all 14 clubs in their bags. The rough grow out to four inches. The North Course plays much easier than the South Course — and it actually ranks as one of the easiest tracks on the tour. At 7258 yards, the pros on the North Course shot an average of three shots better there than on the South Course which consists of 7765 yards with narrow fairways and small greens. The Poa Annua greens on the South Course play slower and can be more of a challenge than the Bentgrass putting surface on the North Course. Furthermore, heavy winds are expected on Thursday for the second round — and that will impact our strategy. We want to avoid golfers playing the easier North Course on Thursday since they will have to deal with these winds; instead, we want want to target golfers who can take advantage of the easier North Course in better weather conditions on Wednesday. Jon Rahm is the clear favorite at this event given his red-hot form and excellent cause history here — and he is listed at a mere +450 at DraftKings to win this event. But he gets the North Course on Thursday — giving us another reason to fade him (besides his odds being simply too small relative to the strong field). |
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01-25-23 | Maverick McNealy -130 v. J.J. Spaun | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to La Jolla, just north of San Diego, for the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. This regular stop on the PGA Tour also hosted the US Open in 2021. The 156 professionals will rotate between the North and South Courses on Wednesday and Thursday before the top 65 golfers making the cut advance to the final two rounds which will be played at the South course. Success at this course requires the golfers to use all 14 clubs in their bags. The rough grow out to four inches. The North Course plays much easier than the South Course — and it actually ranks as one of the easiest tracks on the tour. At 7258 yards, the pros on the North Course shot an average of three shots better there than on the South Course which consists of 7765 yards with narrow fairways and small greens. The Poa Annua greens on the South Course play slower and can be more of a challenge than the Bentgrass putting surface on the North Course. Furthermore, heavy winds are expected on Thursday for the second round — and that will impact our strategy. We want to avoid golfers playing the easier North Course on Thursday since they will have to deal with these winds; instead, we want want to target golfers who can take advantage of the easier North Course in better weather conditions on Wednesday. Jon Rahm is the clear favorite at this event given his red-hot form and excellent cause history here — and he is listed at a mere +450 at DraftKings to win this event. But he gets the North Course on Thursday — giving us another reason to fade him (besides his odds being simply too small relative to the strong field). |
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01-19-23 | Aaron Wise v. Cameron Davis +0.5 | 70-72 | Loss | -130 | 0 h 28 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to California with The American Express at PGA West in Palm Springs. This Pro-am event features 156 professional golfers paired in threes with one amateur for the first three days rotating between three tracks at Pete Dye Stadium, the Nicklaus Tournament Course, and the La Quinta Country Club. After 56 holes, the top 65 golfers plus ties will make the cut to compete on Sunday at the Dye Stadium Course. This is considered one of the easier tournaments on the tour with the hole placements accommodating the amateurs. The small greens relative to other events consist of a Bermuda grass blend with Poa Annua and ryegrass. Our Long Shot Bet on a golfer outside the top-ten favorites is on Cam Davis who is listed at +4500 odds to win this tournament at DraftKings. Since the PGA Championship last May, Davis has made the cut in 13 of his last 14 events. He comes off a tie for 32nd place last week at the PGA Sony Open — but his underlying metrics were very encouraging. He led the event in Eagles while gaining +4.9 Strokes: Off-the-Tee and +2.9 strokes versus the field in Approach the Green. It was his putting and play around the green that held him back last week — but he is still one of the most well-rounded golfers on the tour so he can bounce back in those areas this week. Davis is 2nd in the field this week in Opportunities Gained (birdie chances within 15 feet) over his last 24 rounds. He also ranks 14th in Putting from 5 to 10 feet and 35th in Putting from 10 to 15 feet in his last 24 rounds. Furthermore, in his last 24 rounds, he ranks top 24 or better in the field in Approach the Green, Par 3s Gained, Par-5s Gained, and Opportunities Gained. He has made the cut in all three of his previous trips — all top-29 or better finishes — and headlined by a tie for 3rd place in 2021. Davis is linked with Aaron Wise in head-to-head Round One matchups. Wise has struggled at this event by missing the cut in each of his last three trips here. Wise is struggling with his irons so far for 2022-23 — he ranks 165th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green and 92nd in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. Take Davis (7124) versus Wise (7123) in head-to-head Round One matchups -- and grab the +0.5 stroke option if available and priced no higher than -150. Best of luck for us — Frank. |
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01-19-23 | Patrick Cantlay +1.5 v. Scottie Scheffler | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to California with The American Express at PGA West in Palm Springs. This Pro-am event features 156 professional golfers paired in threes with one amateur for the first three days rotating between three tracks at Pete Dye Stadium, the Nicklaus Tournament Course, and the La Quinta Country Club. After 56 holes, the top 65 golfers plus ties will make the cut to compete on Sunday at the Dye Stadium Course. This is considered one of the easier tournaments on the tour with the hole placements accommodating the amateurs. The small greens relative to other events consist of a Bermuda grass blend with Poa Annua and ryegrass. |
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01-19-23 | Cameron Young v. Will Zalatoris -115 | 68-69 | Loss | -115 | 0 h 17 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to California with The American Express at PGA West in Palm Springs. This Pro-am event features 156 professional golfers paired in threes with one amateur for the first three days rotating between three tracks at Pete Dye Stadium, the Nicklaus Tournament Course, and the La Quinta Country Club. After 56 holes, the top 65 golfers plus ties will make the cut to compete on Sunday at the Dye Stadium Course. This is considered one of the easier tournaments on the tour with the hole placements accommodating the amateurs. The small greens relative to other events consist of a Bermuda grass blend with Poa Annua and ryegrass. |
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01-12-23 | Sungjae Im -159 v. Jordan Spieth | 0-1 | Loss | -159 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
The Hawai’i start to the 2023 campaign of the PGA Tour concludes with the Sony Open at the Waialae Country Club in Honolulu. This is a short Par-70 course on a flat track with tree-lined fairways. The big hitters are not rewarded this week as accuracy off the tee and reaching the green in regulation is at a premium. The average score at this event last year was 67.998 per round. The 144 professionals will encounter smaller greens than in Maui last week with the stimpmeter topping at 12 feet on the Bermuda greens. |
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01-12-23 | Hideki Matsuyama +1.5 v. Russell Henley | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
The Hawai’i start to the 2023 campaign of the PGA Tour concludes with the Sony Open at the Waialae Country Club in Honolulu. This is a short Par-70 course on a flat track with tree-lined fairways. The big hitters are not rewarded this week as accuracy off the tee and reaching the green in regulation is at a premium. The average score at this event last year was 67.998 per round. The 144 professionals will encounter smaller greens than in Maui last week with the stimpmeter topping at 12 feet on the Bermuda greens. |
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01-12-23 | Adam Scott -118 v. Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 43 m | Show | |
The Hawai’i start to the 2023 campaign of the PGA Tour concludes with the Sony Open at the Waialae Country Club in Honolulu. This is a short Par-70 course on a flat track with tree-lined fairways. The big hitters are not rewarded this week as accuracy off the tee and reaching the green in regulation is at a premium. The average score at this event last year was 67.998 per round. The 144 professionals will encounter smaller greens than in Maui last week with the stimpmeter topping at 12 feet on the Bermuda greens. Our Long Shot Bet on a golfer outside the top-ten favorites is on Adam Scott who is listed at +4000 to win this tournament at DraftKings. Scott fits the profile I am looking for this week: prior experience at this event after competing at the PGA Sentry Tournament of Champions this previous week. Only one time in the last 18 PGA Sony Opens here at Waialae were won by a professional making their debut at this tournament. And eight of the last nine winners here competed in Maui at the PGA Sentry Tournament of Champions the previous week. Scott has registered four top-20 finishes in his nine previous visits to the Waialae Country Club — headlined by a 2nd place result in 2008. And he comes off a 29th-place finish last week at the PGA Sentry Tournament of Champions. Scott’s blade let him down last week — but the 42-year-old has ranked in the top 50 with his putter in five straight seasons so this is a skill that he should be able to get back in line. That was Scott’s first tournament since the President’s Cup last September — so some rust was to be expected. Scott remains a serious contender as evidenced by the return of Steve Williams to serve as his caddy once again after previously carrying his bag from 2011-2017 after his dozen years with Tiger Woods came to an end. Scott is one of the most consistent professionals on the tour who has missed only five cuts in the last three seasons. He closed out the 2021-22 campaign with top-fives in two of his final three events in the FedEx playoffs. Scott is linked with Christian Bezuidenholt in head-to-head tournament matchups. Bezuidenhout makes his debut on the PGA Tour for 2023 after closing out his 2022 season with two top-fives in his native South Africa. But Bezuidenholt did not play in Maui last week — so he does not fit the profile I am looking for at this event. He did make his debut at this tournament last year when he finished tied for 17th — but his course experience remains at a stark disadvantage versus Scott. Bezuidenhout was busy on the PGA Tour in the fall with four events — but his best finish was only 20th at the PGA Shriner’s Children Open. While he leads the tour this season in Shots-Gained: Around the Green, that is not a skill that will help him excel this week since low scores are expected — he needs to be on the green from those approach shots putting for birdies. Instead, Bezuidenhout is struggling with his irons as he ranks 167th in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green and 88th in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green after finishing 87th in Shots—Gained: Approach the Green and 99th in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green for the 2021-22 campaign. Bezuidenhout is also struggling with his blade as he ranks 130th for 2022-23 on the PGA Tour in Shots-Gained: Putting. Successful putting is essential this week. Since 2010, the winner of the Sony Open gained 48.6% of their shots versus the field with their putter — the highest net percentage of all events on the PGA. Take Scott (7027) versus Bezuidenhout (7028) in tournament matchup head-to-head props. Best of luck for us — Frank. |
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01-05-23 | Sungjae Im -134 v. Max Homa | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns after the December break with the Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua in Maui, Hawai’i. This Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw-designed course was renovated in 2019. The track is Par-73 with only three Par-3s and four Par-5s consisting of 7596 yards. The 39 professionals will encounter wide fairways and massive greens which is one of the reasons why three golfers scored -30 under par or better in last year’s event. The greens are made of Bermuda grass that measures 11 feet on the stimpmeter. Wind is usually a factor with this coastline golf course but the weather reports call for winds in the 10-15 miles per hour range this week. |
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01-05-23 | Max Homa v. Sam Burns -115 | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 55 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns after the December break with the Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua in Maui, Hawai’i. This Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw-designed course was renovated in 2019. The track is Par-73 with only three Par-3s and four Par-5s consisting of 7596 yards. The 39 professionals will encounter wide fairways and massive greens which is one of the reasons why three golfers scored -30 under par or better in last year’s event. The greens are made of Bermuda grass that measures 11 feet on the stimpmeter. Wind is usually a factor with this coastline golf course but the weather reports call for winds in the 10-15 miles per hour range this week. |
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01-05-23 | Justin Thomas -137 v. Tony Finau | 0-1 | Loss | -137 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns after the December break with the Sentry Tournament of Champions at the Plantation Course at Kapalua in Maui, Hawai’i. This Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw-designed course was renovated in 2019. The track is Par-73 with only three Par-3s and four Par-5s consisting of 7596 yards. The 39 professionals will encounter wide fairways and massive greens which is one of the reasons why three golfers scored -30 under par or better in last year’s event. The greens are made of Bermuda grass that measures 11 feet on the stimpmeter. Wind is usually a factor with this coastline golf course but the weather reports call for winds in the 10-15 miles per hour range this week. |
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08-25-22 | Rory McIlroy v. Jon Rahm +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
The final leg of the three-week FedEx playoffs concludes this week at the East Lake Golf Club just east of Atlanta with the PGA Tour Championship. The home of Bobby Jones has hosted the Tour Championship here at East Lake since 2014. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7364 yards. While there are only two Par-5 holes on the course, length off the tee still gives the professionals an advantage. This is a Donald Ross-designed track with thick Bermuda grass punishing shots that miss the fairway. The greens consist of Bermuda grass that averages 6000 square feet and can reach up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. Given the withdrawal of Will Zalatoris who is dealing with back issues, the field consists of 29 golfers who advanced from last week’s BMW Championship. The winner of the Tour Championship is determined starting with the staggered scoring system that rewards the 29 remaining pros results in the first two events in the playoffs (for example, Scottie Scheffler begins the tournament in 1st place with a starting score of -10 under par). For our purposes, we are ignoring the staggered scoring — be sure the prop bets to win the tournament include language that is “winner without starting strokes” (as is the specific terminology at DraftKings) or something equivalent to that. The value this week is to ignore the staggered scoring and focus on who will have the best “pure” score this week (without the initial staggered scoring). With Scheffler enjoying a two-shot lead against Patrick Cantlay, and four-shot lead against Xander Schauffele, and at least a six-shot lead against the rest of the field, he will likely play the course more conservatively than his rivals who need to be aggressive in making up strokes given this format. |
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08-25-22 | Sungjae Im -139 v. Matthew Fitzpatrick | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
The final leg of the three-week FedEx playoffs concludes this week at the East Lake Golf Club just east of Atlanta with the PGA Tour Championship. The home of Bobby Jones has hosted the Tour Championship here at East Lake since 2014. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7364 yards. While there are only two Par-5 holes on the course, length off the tee still gives the professionals an advantage. This is a Donald Ross-designed track with thick Bermuda grass punishing shots that miss the fairway. The greens consist of Bermuda grass that averages 6000 square feet and can reach up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. Given the withdrawal of Will Zalatoris who is dealing with back issues, the field consists of 29 golfers who advanced from last week’s BMW Championship. The winner of the Tour Championship is determined starting with the staggered scoring system that rewards the 29 remaining pros results in the first two events in the playoffs (for example, Scottie Scheffler begins the tournament in 1st place with a starting score of -10 under par). For our purposes, we are ignoring the staggered scoring — be sure the prop bets to win the tournament include language that is “winner without starting strokes” (as is the specific terminology at DraftKings) or something equivalent to that. The value this week is to ignore the staggered scoring and focus on who will have the best “pure” score this week (without the initial staggered scoring). With Scheffler enjoying a two-shot lead against Patrick Cantlay, and four-shot lead against Xander Schauffele, and at least a six-shot lead against the rest of the field, he will likely play the course more conservatively than his rivals who need to be aggressive in making up strokes given this format. |
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08-25-22 | Adam Scott -150 v. Tom Hoge | 0-1 | Loss | -150 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
The final leg of the three-week FedEx playoffs concludes this week at the East Lake Golf Club just east of Atlanta with the PGA Tour Championship. The home of Bobby Jones has hosted the Tour Championship here at East Lake since 2014. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7364 yards. While there are only two Par-5 holes on the course, length off the tee still gives the professionals an advantage. This is a Donald Ross-designed track with thick Bermuda grass punishing shots that miss the fairway. The greens consist of Bermuda grass that averages 6000 square feet and can reach up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. Given the withdrawal of Will Zalatoris who is dealing with back issues, the field consists of 29 golfers who advanced from last week’s BMW Championship. The winner of the Tour Championship is determined starting with the staggered scoring system that rewards the 29 remaining pros results in the first two events in the playoffs (for example, Scottie Scheffler begins the tournament in 1st place with a starting score of -10 under par). For our purposes, we are ignoring the staggered scoring — be sure the prop bets to win the tournament include language that is “winner without starting strokes” (as is the specific terminology at DraftKings) or something equivalent to that. The value this week is to ignore the staggered scoring and focus on who will have the best “pure” score this week (without the initial staggered scoring). With Scheffler enjoying a two-shot lead against Patrick Cantlay, and four-shot lead against Xander Schauffele, and at least a six-shot lead against the rest of the field, he will likely play the course more conservatively than his rivals who need to be aggressive in making up strokes given this format. Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win - -just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%. For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week. |
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08-18-22 | Rory McIlroy v. Jon Rahm +1.5 | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
The second leg of the three-week FedEx playoffs continues this week with the BMW Championship at the South Course at the Wilmington Country Club in Wilmington, Delaware, about 30 miles from Philadelphia. This is a Robert Trent Jones-designed Par 71 course consisting of 7534 yards. Two of the Par 5s are at least 625 yards. The fairways are protected by trees, bunkers, and rough that can be four inches high. Water plays a role in four of the holes. The putting surface is Bentgrass on large greens averaging 8000 square feet that measure up to 12 feet on the stimpmeter. The last major event at this course was the Palmer Cup in 2013 — and renovations have taken place since that tournament which leaves even that limited course history data suspect. Six of the last seven BMW Championships have seen a score of -20 or lower to win the event. While this tournament rotates every year, there are certain characteristics that the event organizers look for — and they probably want to err on the side of caution to avoid courses that will play too difficult for the remaining 68 professionals competing this week. While there is no cut on the weekend, only the top 30 finishers will advance to the PGA Tour Championship next week at the East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta. |
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08-18-22 | Sam Burns v. Cameron Young -137 | 1-0 | Loss | -137 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
The FedEx Playoffs begin this week with the St. Jude Championship at TPC Southland in Memphis, Tennessee. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7238 yards. TPC Southland is considered one of the top 15 most difficult courses on the PGA Tour. With plenty of bunkers, ten water hazards, and difficult rough, the 124 professionals will pay a price for missing the fairway. Historically, the pros reach the green-in-regulation 73% of the time hitting off the fairway — but that efficiency drops to 41% when missing the fairway. The putting surface is Bermuda greens. This is the first of three tournaments that will determine the FedEx champion to be crowned at the Tournament Championship at East Lake in Atlanta. |
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08-18-22 | Patrick Cantlay v. Will Zalatoris -120 | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
The second leg of the three-week FedEx playoffs continues this week with the BMW Championship at the South Course at the Wilmington Country Club in Wilmington, Delaware, about 30 miles from Philadelphia. This is a Robert Trent Jones-designed Par 71 course consisting of 7534 yards. Two of the Par 5s are at least 625 yards. The fairways are protected by trees, bunkers, and rough that can be four inches high. Water plays a role in four of the holes. The putting surface is Bentgrass on large greens averaging 8000 square feet that measure up to 12 feet on the stimpmeter. The last major event at this course was the Palmer Cup in 2013 — and renovations have taken place since that tournament which leaves even that limited course history data suspect. Six of the last seven BMW Championships have seen a score of -20 or lower to win the event. While this tournament rotates every year, there are certain characteristics that the event organizers look for — and they probably want to err on the side of caution to avoid courses that will play too difficult for the remaining 68 professionals competing this week. While there is no cut on the weekend, only the top 30 finishers will advance to the PGA Tour Championship next week at the East Lake Golf Course in Atlanta. |
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08-11-22 | Cameron Young v. Sam Burns +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
The FedEx Playoffs begin this week with the St. Jude Championship at TPC Southland in Memphis, Tennessee. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7238 yards. TPC Southland is considered one of the top 15 most difficult courses on the PGA Tour. With plenty of bunkers, ten water hazards, and difficult rough, the 124 professionals will pay a price for missing the fairway. Historically, the pros reach the green-in-regulation 73% of the time hitting off the fairway — but that efficiency drops to 41% when missing the fairway. The putting surface is Bermuda greens. This is the first of three tournaments that will determine the FedEx champion to be crowned at the Tournament Championship at East Lake in Atlanta. Money Management advice: I like to consider the three "to win" prop bets as lottery tickets. If your typical bet is X, then I am fine if you wager 10-30% of X into each golfer to win - -just be consistent with that method from week-to-week. I am also fine if you are more ambitious with these bets and wager up to X on each golfer-per-week. Over the course of the season, we have been profitable -- so I preach consistency with the investments each week. I am also OK with a slow uptick in the initial investment if the bankroll warrants -- maybe go from 20% of X to 25%. For the head-to-head prop bets, treat them as either 10* or 20* bets (if you choose to invest in them) -- and stay consistent from week-to-week. |
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08-11-22 | Will Zalatoris -127 v. Cameron Young | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
The FedEx Playoffs begin this week with the St. Jude Championship at TPC Southland in Memphis, Tennessee. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7238 yards. TPC Southland is considered one of the top 15 most difficult courses on the PGA Tour. With plenty of bunkers, ten water hazards, and difficult rough, the 124 professionals will pay a price for missing the fairway. Historically, the pros reach the green-in-regulation 73% of the time hitting off the fairway — but that efficiency drops to 41% when missing the fairway. The putting surface is Bermuda greens. This is the first of three tournaments that will determine the FedEx champion to be crowned at the Tournament Championship at East Lake in Atlanta. |
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08-11-22 | Tony Finau v. Matthew Fitzpatrick -112 | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
The FedEx Playoffs begin this week with the St. Jude Championship at TPC Southland in Memphis, Tennessee. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7238 yards. TPC Southland is considered one of the top 15 most difficult courses on the PGA Tour. With plenty of bunkers, ten water hazards, and difficult rough, the 124 professionals will pay a price for missing the fairway. Historically, the pros reach the green-in-regulation 73% of the time hitting off the fairway — but that efficiency drops to 41% when missing the fairway. The putting surface is Bermuda greens. This is the first of three tournaments that will determine the FedEx champion to be crowned at the Tournament Championship at East Lake in Atlanta. |
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08-04-22 | Corey Conners v. Si Woo Kim +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina this week for the Wyndham Championship. This is the last regular season event of the 2021-22 season before the FedEx playoffs start next week. This Donald Ross-designed course is a short 7131 yards that plays at a Par 70. Accuracy off the tee is required for success here with difficult rough and fairways protected by trees. Hitting the greens in regulation drops by 30% for the pros that miss the fairway. The greens consist of Bermuda grass that plays fast. Low scores are expected with five of the last six winners posting a -20 under or better score. |
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08-04-22 | Joohyung Kim -130 v. Lucas Glover | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina this week for the Wyndham Championship. This is the last regular season event of the 2021-22 season before the FedEx playoffs start next week. This Donald Ross-designed course is a short 7131 yards that plays at a Par 70. Accuracy off the tee is required for success here with difficult rough and fairways protected by trees. Hitting the greens in regulation drops by 30% for the pros that miss the fairway. The greens consist of Bermuda grass that plays fast. Low scores are expected with five of the last six winners posting a -20 under or better score. |
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08-04-22 | Webb Simpson v. Russell Henley -120 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina this week for the Wyndham Championship. This is the last regular season event of the 2021-22 season before the FedEx playoffs start next week. This Donald Ross-designed course is a short 7131 yards that plays at a Par 70. Accuracy off the tee is required for success here with difficult rough and fairways protected by trees. Hitting the greens in regulation drops by 30% for the pros that miss the fairway. The greens consist of Bermuda grass that plays fast. Low scores are expected with five of the last six winners posting a -20 under or better score.
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07-28-22 | Max Homa -145 v. Luke List | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Detroit Country Club this week for the Rocket Mortgage Classic which hosts the event for the fourth straight year. This is a Par 72 course consisting of 7370 yards. The fairways are tree-lined with the rough getting as deep as four inches. Only one hole has water to contend with but there are 87 bunkers to contend with on this course. In the last three events in Detroit, this tournament has seen the fewest double-bodies or worse on the tour. The golfers achieved Greens-In-Regulation in 75% of the times in the last three years. The greens are a Poa annua-Bentgrass blend that are on the smallish side consisting of 5150 total square feet and averaging 12.5 feet on the stimpmeter. Low scores are expected with the first three winners at the Detroit Country Club all shooting at least 23 under par before 18 under par was the score triggering a playoff last year. |
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07-28-22 | Tony Finau v. Cameron Young +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 23 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Detroit Country Club this week for the Rocket Mortgage Classic which hosts the event for the fourth straight year. This is a Par 72 course consisting of 7370 yards. The fairways are tree-lined with the rough getting as deep as four inches. Only one hole has water to contend with but there are 87 bunkers to contend with on this course. In the last three events in Detroit, this tournament has seen the fewest double-bodies or worse on the tour. The golfers reached Greens-In-Regulation 75% of the time here in the last three years. The greens are a Poa annua-Bentgrass blend that is on the smallish side consisting of 5150 total square feet and averaging 12.5 feet on the stimpmeter. Low scores are expected with the first three winners at the Detroit Country Club all shooting at least 23 under par before 18 under par was the score triggering a playoff last year. |
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07-28-22 | Mark Hubbard -115 v. Scott Stallings | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 0 h 27 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Detroit Country Club this week for the Rocket Mortgage Classic which hosts the event for the fourth straight year. This is a Par 72 course consisting of 7370 yards. The fairways are tree-lined with the rough getting as deep as four inches. Only one hole has water to contend with but there are 87 bunkers to contend with on this course. In the last three events in Detroit, this tournament has seen the fewest double-bodies or worse on the tour. The golfers reached Greens-In-Regulation 75% of the time here in the last three years. The greens are a Poa annua-Bentgrass blend that is on the smallish side consisting of 5150 total square feet and averaging 12.5 feet on the stimpmeter. Low scores are expected with the first three winners at the Detroit Country Club all shooting at least 23 under par before 18 under par was the score triggering a playoff last year. |
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07-21-22 | JT Poston v. Cameron Davis -115 | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns stateside for three weeks in the midwest before the FedEx playoffs begin next month. TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota hosts the PGA 3M Open for the fourth straight time in this tournament’s four-year history. This Arnold Palmer-designed course is a Par 71 consisting of 7431 yards. Thirteen of the 18 holes will feature a water hazard. The putting surface is made of soft Bentgrass which measures 12 feet on the stimptmeter. Scoring should be low this week for the 156 professionals competing with the previous three winners scoring 21-under, 19-under, and 15-under. |
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07-21-22 | Brendan Steele -115 v. Chez Reavie | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns stateside for three weeks in the midwest before the FedEx playoffs begin next month. TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota hosts the PGA 3M Open for the fourth straight time in this tournament’s four-year history. This Arnold Palmer-designed course is a Par 71 consisting of 7431 yards. Thirteen of the 18 holes will feature a water hazard. The putting surface is made of soft Bentgrass which measures 12 feet on the stimpmeter. Scoring should be low this week for the 156 professionals competing with the previous three winners scoring 21-under, 19-under, and 15-under. |
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07-21-22 | Brendon Todd v. Maverick McNealy -120 | 70-71 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour returns stateside for three weeks in the midwest before the FedEx playoffs begin next month. TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota hosts the PGA 3M Open for the fourth straight time in this tournament’s four-year history. This Arnold Palmer-designed course is a Par 71 consisting of 7431 yards. Thirteen of the 18 holes will feature a water hazard. The putting surface is made of soft Bentgrass which measures 12 feet on the stimptmeter. Scoring should be low this week for the 156 professionals competing with the previous three winners scoring 21-under, 19-under, and 15-under. |
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07-14-22 | Jordan Spieth v. Jon Rahm -135 | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 33 h 22 m | Show | |
The last major championship this year takes place at the 150th British Open which takes place this year at the Home of Golf at St. Andrew’s Golf Course. The Old Course at St. Andrew’s consists of 7297 yards of links-style golf with only two Par 3s and two Par 5 holes. With the remaining 14 Par 4s, seven of these holds are under 400 yards so the short irons will play a big role in the approach shots. The fairways are wide and somewhat forgiving — but the 156 professionals want to avoid the 110 bunkers which are very difficult to navigate successfully. The greens consist of half Fescue grass and half a Bentgrass-Poa Annua blend that plays slower than the three major championships in the US. The greens are larger than average — and seven of the greens are shared double-greens with other holes. |
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07-14-22 | Tyrrell Hatton v. Tommy Fleetwood -120 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
The last major championship this year takes place at the 150th British Open which takes place this year at the Home of Golf at St. Andrew’s Golf Course. The Old Course at St. Andrew’s consists of 7297 yards of links-style golf with only two Par 3s and two Par 5 holes. With the remaining 14 Par 4s, seven of these holds are under 400 yards so the short irons will play a big role in the approach shots. The fairways are wide and somewhat forgiving — but the 156 professionals want to avoid the 110 bunkers which are very difficult to navigate successfully. The greens consist of half Fescue grass and half a Bentgrass-Poa Annua blend that plays slower than the three major championships in the US. The greens are larger than average — and seven of the greens are shared double-greens with other holes. |
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07-14-22 | Cameron Smith +1.5 v. Patrick Cantlay | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
The last major championship this year takes place at the 150th British Open which takes place this year at the Home of Golf at St. Andrew’s Golf Course. The Old Course at St. Andrew’s consists of 7297 yards of links-style golf with only two Par 3s and two Par 5 holes. With the remaining 14 Par 4s, seven of these holds are under 400 yards so the short irons will play a big role in the approach shots. The fairways are wide and somewhat forgiving — but the 156 professionals want to avoid the 110 bunkers which are very difficult to navigate successfully. The greens consist of half Fescue grass and half a Bentgrass-Poa Annua blend that plays slower than the three major championships in the US. The greens are larger than average — and seven of the greens are shared double-greens with other holes. |
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07-07-22 | Tommy Fleetwood -128 v. Justin Rose | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Europe for the next two weeks with co-sanctioned events with the DP Tour with the Scottish Open this week before the final major of the year with the British Open at St. Andrew’s next week. The desire to get acclimated to traveling across the pond and getting comfortable with links golf has persuaded 14 of the top 15 players in the world to be competing at the Renaissance Country Club this week which is just east of Edinburgh in Scotland. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of 7293 yards with five Par 3 holes. The putting surface is fescue grass which is slower than the breeds that typically exist in the US. This is the fourth time that the Renaissance Country Club hosts the Scottish Open. |
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07-07-22 | Cameron Smith +1.5 v. Sam Burns | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Europe for the next two weeks with co-sanctioned events with the DP Tour with the Scottish Open this week before the final major of the year with the British Open at St. Andrew’s next week. The desire to get acclimated to traveling across the pond and getting comfortable with links golf has persuaded 14 of the top 15 players in the world to be competing at the Renaissance Country Club this week which is just east of Edinburgh in Scotland. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of 7293 yards with five Par 3 holes. The putting surface is fescue grass which is slower than the breeds that typically exist in the US. This is the fourth time that the Renaissance Country Club hosts the Scottish Open. |
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07-07-22 | Jordan Spieth v. Hideki Matsuyama -119 | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Europe for the next two weeks with co-sanctioned events with the DP Tour with the Scottish Open this week before the final major of the year with the British Open at St. Andrew’s next week. The desire to get acclimated to traveling across the pond and getting comfortable with links golf has persuaded 14 of the top 15 players in the world to be competing at the Renaissance Country Club this week which is just east of Edinburgh in Scotland. This is a Par 71 tournament consisting of 7293 yards with five Par 3 holes. The putting surface is fescue grass which is slower than the breeds that typically exist in the US. This is the fourth time that the Renaissance Country Club hosts the Scottish Open. |
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06-30-22 | Lucas Glover -125 v. Dylan Frittelli | 74-66 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Quad Cities this week in Slovis, Illinois for the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run. This is a Par 71 event consisting of 7289 yards. The greens are Bentgrass that will register a standard 12 feet on the stimptmeter. With forgiving fairways and some of the least-challenging putting conditions on the tour, this stop is usually one of the lowest-scoring tournaments on the PGA Tour. Last year, the professionals averaged almost 13 Greens-In-Regulation per round. The average score per round was 69.513. |
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06-30-22 | Denny McCarthy +1.5 v. Charles Howell III | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Quad Cities this week in Slovis, Illinois for the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run. This is a Par 71 event consisting of 7289 yards. The greens are Bentgrass that will register a standard 12 feet on the stimptmeter. With forgiving fairways and some of the least-challenging putting conditions on the tour, this stop is usually one of the lowest-scoring tournaments on the PGA Tour. Last year, the professionals averaged almost 13 Greens-In-Regulation per round. The average score per round was 69.513. |
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06-30-22 | John Huh v. JT Poston -118 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Quad Cities this week in Slovis, Illinois for the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run. This is a Par 71 event consisting of 7289 yards. The greens are Bentgrass that will register a standard 12 feet on the stimptmeter. With forgiving fairways and some of the least-challenging putting conditions on the tour, this stop is usually one of the lowest-scoring tournaments on the PGA Tour. Last year, the professionals averaged almost 13 Greens-In-Regulation per round. The average score per round was 69.513. |
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06-23-22 | Sam Burns -115 v. Keegan Bradley | 70-69 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPR River Highlands in Cromwell, Connecticut with the Traveler’s Championship. This is a Par-70 event consisting of 6841 yards, making it the second shortest course on the PGA Tour. There are eight Par-4s with a distance of 400 to 450 yards. This is a Pete Dye-designed track. The putting surface consists of Bentgrass with a Poa annua mix. This event has 156 players competing. Our Top Overlay Bet on the golfer who offers the most value relative to the odds is on Sam Burns who is priced at +1600 at DraftKings to win this tournament. Burns comes off a tie for 27th place last week at the US Open. He finished tied for fourth place the previous week at the RBC Canadian Open — and he won the Charles Schwab Challenge last month. He is fourth on the tour in Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green — and he is second in the field in his last 12 rounds in that metric. Burns also ranks fourth in Shots-Gained: Total on the tour this season. He thrives on shorter courses and ranks second in the field in the last two seasons on shorter courses. He also ranks second in the field in his last 12 rounds in Shots-Gained: Putting. He has made the cut all three times playing at this event including a tie for 13th place last year. Burns is linked with Keegan Bradley in Round One head-to-head props. Bradley comes off a tie for 7th place at US Open in an emotional event for the New Englander. He may be primed for an emotional letdown — especially after settling for a tie for 37th place at the Memorial and a tie for 48th place at the PGA Championship in his two previous events. Bradley is a good ball-striker — but he only ranks 38th on the tour in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green. Bradley has finished in the top 18 three times in his 11 trips here — including a second-place finish in 2019. But Bradley has missed the cut at this tournament in 2020 and 2021. Take Burns (7137) versus Bradley (7138) in Round One head-to-head matchups. Best of luck for us — Frank. |
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06-23-22 | Rory McIlroy v. Patrick Cantlay +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPR River Highlands in Cromwell, Connecticut with the Traveler’s Championship. This is a Par-70 event consisting of 6841 yards, making it the second shortest course on the PGA Tour. There are eight Par-4s with a distance of 400 to 450 yards. This is a Pete Dye-designed track. The putting surface consists of Bentgrass with a Poa annua mix. This event has 156 players competing. |
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06-23-22 | Aaron Wise v. Davis Riley +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 0 h 24 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to TPR River Highlands in Cromwell, Connecticut with the Traveler’s Championship. This is a Par-70 event consisting of 6841 yards, making it the second shortest course on the PGA Tour. There are eight Par-4s with a distance of 400 to 450 yards. This is a Pete Dye-designed track. The putting surface consists of Bentgrass with a Poa annua mix. This event has 156 players competing. |
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06-16-22 | Corey Conners v. Shane Lowry -115 | 71-72 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
The third major championship takes place this week with the 122nd US Open at The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts just outside Boston. This event last hosted a US Open in 1988 — and the last major event it hosted was the US Amateur Open in 2013. This is a Par 70 event consisting of 7264 yards with a Poa-annua mix with Bentgrass on the greens. As with all US Opens, the rough will be thick — and the fairways are narrow which will represent a significant challenge to the 156 professionals given the small greens that average just 4400 square feet. |
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06-16-22 | Matthew Fitzpatrick +1.5 v. Will Zalatoris | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The third major championship takes place this week with the 122nd US Open at The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts just outside Boston. This event last hosted a US Open in 1988 — and the last major event it hosted was the US Amateur Open in 2013. This is a Par 70 event consisting of 7264 yards with a Poa-annua mix with Bentgrass on the greens. As with all US Opens, the rough will be thick — and the fairways are narrow which will represent a significant challenge to the 156 professionals given the small greens that average just 4400 square feet. |
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06-16-22 | Collin Morikawa v. Jon Rahm -130 | 69-69 | Push | 0 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
The third major championship takes place this week with the 122nd US Open at The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts just outside Boston. This event last hosted a US Open in 1988 — and the last major event it hosted was the US Amateur Open in 2013. This is a Par 70 event consisting of 7264 yards with a Poa-annua mix with Bentgrass on the greens. As with all US Opens, the rough will be thick — and the fairways are narrow which will represent a significant challenge to the 156 professionals given the small greens that average just 4400 square feet. |
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06-02-22 | Viktor Hovland v. Shane Lowry -105 | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio for the Memorial Tournament. This Jack Nicklaus-designed course underwent another makeover in 2020 — it is now 7533 yards for this Par 72 course. Water impacts eight of the holes coming off the tee with nine holes contending with water on the approach. Last year, only 63% of the greens were hit in regulation. This is a challenging course with the average score being 72.56 per round in four of the last five events. Despite the long-distance, many of the 120 professionals this week will settle with their 3-wood to lay up given the course design — this has evolved to become the strategic way to handle this Nicklaus design. The greens consist of Bentgrass with a small putting surface averaging just 5000 square feet. |
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06-02-22 | Rory McIlroy -135 v. Cameron Smith | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio for the Memorial Tournament. This Jack Nicklaus-designed course underwent another makeover in 2020 — it is now 7533 yards for this Par 72 course. Water impacts eight of the holes coming off the tee with nine holes contending with water on the approach. Last year, only 63% of the greens were hit in regulation. This is a challenging course with the average score being 72.56 per round in four of the last five events. Despite the long-distance, many of the 120 professionals this week will settle with their 3-wood to lay up given the course design — this has evolved to become the strategic way to handle this Nicklaus design. The greens consist of Bentgrass with a small putting surface averaging just 5000 square feet. |
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06-02-22 | Will Zalatoris -115 v. Cameron Young | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio for the Memorial Tournament. This Jack Nicklaus-designed course underwent another makeover in 2020 — it is now 7533 yards for this Par 72 course. Water impacts eight of the holes coming off the tee with nine holes contending with water on the approach. Last year, only 63% of the greens were hit in regulation. This is a challenging course with the average score being 72.56 per round in four of the last five events. Despite the long-distance, many of the 120 professionals this week will settle with their 3-wood to lay up given the course design — this has evolved to become the strategic way to handle this Nicklaus design. The greens consist of Bentgrass with a small putting surface averaging just 5000 square feet. |
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05-26-22 | Tony Finau v. Abraham Ancer +0.5 | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 0 h 15 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas for the Charles Schwab Challenge. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7209 yards. The 120 professionals will have only two Par-5s to contend with this week. The fairways are lined by trees. The greens have Bentgrass as the putting surface of an average of 5000 square feet while registering up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. |
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05-26-22 | Jordan Spieth -120 v. Viktor Hovland | 69-69 | Push | 0 | 0 h 22 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas for the Charles Schwab Challenge. This is a Par 70 course consisting of 7209 yards. The 120 professionals will have only two Par-5s to contend with this week. The fairways are lined by trees. The greens have Bentgrass as the putting surface of an average of 5000 square feet while registering up to 13 feet on the stimpmeter. |
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05-19-22 | Rory McIlroy -115 v. Justin Thomas | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma for the PGA Championship, the second major tournament of the 2022 season. This golf course hosted the PGA Championship in 2007 and the US Open in 2001. The last major event it held was the 2021 Senior PGA Championship. This Perry Maxwell-designed course was restored in 2019 with wider fairways and new unique structures to the bunkers. The trees are now less dense than in the past which takes away one of the protective winds that can hit the area — and after an original weather forecast of 15-20 miles per hour winds, the updated expectations today expect even heavier winds. Course management will be critical with creeks presenting a water challenge on 15 of the holes. The putting greens are Bentgrass of an average of 5000 square feet. The challenge will be to stay on the greens in the approach shots since the previous rough surrounding the putting surface has been replaced by bermudagrass — so the 156 professionals competing this week will have to risk long roll-offs for missing the greens. The Par-70 course now consists of 7556 yards, which is 234 yards longer than the past incarnations of this tournament. |
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05-19-22 | Jordan Spieth -110 v. Cameron Smith | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma for the PGA Championship, the second major tournament of the 2022 season. This golf course hosted the PGA Championship in 2007 and the US Open in 2001. The last major event it held was the 2021 Senior PGA Championship. This Perry Maxwell-designed course was restored in 2019 with wider fairways and new unique structures to the bunkers. The trees are now less dense than in the past which takes away one of the protective winds that can hit the area — and after an original weather forecast of 15-20 miles per hour winds, the updated expectations today expect even heavier winds. Course management will be critical with creeks presenting a water challenge on 15 of the holes. The putting greens are Bentgrass of an average of 5000 square feet. The challenge will be to stay on the greens in the approach shots since the previous rough surrounding the putting surface has been replaced by bermudagrass — so the 156 professionals competing this week will have to risk long roll-offs for missing the greens. The Par-70 course now consists of 7556 yards, which is 234 yards longer than the past incarnations of this tournament. |
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05-19-22 | Tyrrell Hatton v. Will Zalatoris -125 | 70-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma for the PGA Championship, the second major tournament of the 2022 season. This golf course hosted the PGA Championship in 2007 and the US Open in 2001. The last major event it held was the 2021 Senior PGA Championship. This Perry Maxwell-designed course was restored in 2019 with wider fairways and new unique structures to the bunkers. The trees are now less dense than in the past which takes away one of the protective winds that can hit the area — and after an original weather forecast of 15-20 miles per hour winds, the updated expectations today expect even heavier winds. Course management will be critical with creeks presenting a water challenge on 15 of the holes. The putting greens are Bentgrass of an average of 5000 square feet. The challenge will be to stay on the greens in the approach shots since the previous rough surrounding the putting surface has been replaced by bermudagrass — so the 156 professionals competing this week will have to risk long roll-offs for missing the greens. The Par-70 course now consists of 7556 yards, which is 234 yards longer than the past incarnations of this tournament. |
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05-12-22 | Maverick McNealy v. Will Zalatoris -140 | 69-71 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the TPC Craig Ranch about 30 miles north of Dallas in McKinney, Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson this week. One week before the PGA Championship, many of the top professionals will be competing this week. This is a Par-72 course consisting of 7468 yards with Bentgrass putting greens. The TPC Craig Ranch hosted this event last year with K.H. Lee posting a score of 25-under par to win the event. With wide-open fairways that are very forgiving off-the-tee, this was the easiest Par-72 for singular hosts for full-field events since 2008. The average score per round was 69.70 last year. 156 players compete this week. |
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05-12-22 | Jordan Spieth +1.5 v. Sam Burns | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the TPC Craig Ranch about 30 miles north of Dallas in McKinney, Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson this week. One week before the PGA Championship, many of the top professionals will be competing this week. This is a Par-72 course consisting of 7468 yards with Bentgrass putting greens. The TPC Craig Ranch hosted this event last year with K.H. Lee posting a score of 25-under par to win the event. With wide-open fairways that are very forgiving off-the-tee, this was the easiest Par-72 for singular hosts for full-field events since 2008. The average score per round was 69.70 last year. 156 players compete this week. |
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05-12-22 | Talor Gooch -115 v. Maverick McNealy | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to the TPC Craig Ranch about 30 miles north of Dallas in McKinney, Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson this week. One week before the PGA Championship, many of the top professionals will be competing this week. This is a Par-72 course consisting of 7468 yards with Bentgrass putting greens. The TPC Craig Ranch hosted this event last year with K.H. Lee posting a score of 25-under par to win the event. With wide-open fairways that are very forgiving off-the-tee, this was the easiest Par-72 for singular hosts for full-field events since 2008. The average score per round was 69.70 last year. 156 players compete this week. |
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04-14-22 | Collin Morikawa -145 v. Webb Simpson | 70-69 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves up the east coast from Augusta National to Hilton Head Island in South Carolina for the RBC Heritage Open at the Harbour Town Golf Links. This is a Par 71 course consisting of 7121 yards and Bermuda greens. Distance off the tee is not a factor this week on this Pat Dye-designed course. Ball-shaping on this course where the fairways are protected by trees is critical. The greens are small as well with an average square footage of 3700 per hole. The professionals’ average hitting Greens In Regulation of 58% is well below the PGA Tour average. In the last ten years, 53 of the players who finished in the top five at this event competed at the Masters the week before. |
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04-14-22 | Matthew Fitzpatrick v. Joaquin Niemann +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves up the east coast from Augusta National to Hilton Head Island in South Carolina for the RBC Heritage Open at the Harbour Town Golf Links. This is a Par 71 course consisting of 7121 yards and Bermuda greens. Distance off the tee is not a factor this week on this Pat Dye-designed course. Ball-shaping on this course where the fairways are protected by trees is critical. The greens are small as well with an average square footage of 3700 per hole. The professionals’ average hitting Greens In Regulation of 58% is well below the PGA Tour average. In the last ten years, 53 of the players who finished in the top five at this event competed at the Masters the week before. |
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04-14-22 | Patrick Cantlay v. Shane Lowry +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves up the east coast from Augusta National to Hilton Head Island in South Carolina for the RBC Heritage Open at the Harbour Town Golf Links. This is a Par 71 course consisting of 7121 yards and Bermuda greens. Distance off the tee is not a factor this week on this Pat Dye-designed course. Ball-shaping on this course where the fairways are protected by trees is critical. The greens are small as well with an average square footage of 3700 per hole. The professionals’ average hitting Greens In Regulation of 58% is well below the PGA Tour average. In the last ten years, 53 of the players who finished in the top five at this event competed at the Masters the week before. |
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04-07-22 | Matthew Fitzpatrick v. Brooks Koepka +0.5 | 71-75 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Augusta, Georgia this week for the first major championship of 2022 with The Masters at Augusta National Golf Club. This is a Par 72 course consisting of 7435 yards. The course consists of very little rough so long hitters off the tee can be rewarded with long drives even if they veer off the fairway. The bentgrass greens are very fast. Reaching the green in regulation is generally considered the most important attribute to finding success at this tournament. It will be windy in Augusta this week with the weather peaking Friday afternoon with 20 mile-per-hour winds that could gust at 30 MPH or more. |
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04-07-22 | Billy Horschel v. Will Zalatoris -130 | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Augusta, Georgia this week for the first major championship of 2022 with The Masters at Augusta National Golf Club. This is a Par 72 course consisting of 7435 yards. The course consists of very little rough so long hitters off the tee can be rewarded with long drives even if they veer off the fairway. The bentgrass greens are very fast. Reaching the green in regulation is generally considered the most important attribute to finding success at this tournament. It will be windy in Augusta this week with the weather peaking Friday afternoon with 20 mile-per-hour winds that could gust at 30 MPH or more. |
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04-07-22 | Cameron Smith +1.5 v. Scottie Scheffler | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to Augusta, Georgia this week for the first major championship of 2022 with The Masters at Augusta National Golf Club. This is a Par 72 course consisting of 7435 yards. The course consists of very little rough so long hitters off the tee can be rewarded with long drives even if they veer off the fairway. The bentgrass greens are very fast. Reaching the green in regulation is generally considered the most important attribute to finding success at this tournament. It will be windy in Augusta this week with the weather peaking Friday afternoon with 20 mile-per-hour winds that could gust at 30 MPH or more. |
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03-31-22 | Gary Woodland -112 v. Keegan Bradley | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to San Antonio this week at the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio. This is a Par-72 event consisting of 7494 yards. Since 2010, this has been the second most difficult tournament on the PGA Tour to reach the Green-In-Regulation with that average being 58%, as compared to the tour GIR average of 65%. The wind is typically a challenge for the professionals when playing in the State of Texas. The putting surface is Bermuda grass. |
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03-31-22 | Chris Kirk -134 v. Jhonattan Vegas | 0-1 | Loss | -134 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to San Antonio this week at the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio. This is a Par-72 event consisting of 7494 yards. Since 2010, this has been the second most difficult tournament on the PGA Tour to reach the Green-In-Regulation with that average being 58%, as compared to the tour GIR average of 65%. The wind is typically a challenge for the professionals when playing in the State of Texas. The putting surface is Bermuda grass. |
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03-31-22 | Adam Hadwin +1.5 v. Keegan Bradley | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
The PGA Tour moves to San Antonio this week at the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio. This is a Par-72 event consisting of 7494 yards. Since 2010, this has been the second most difficult tournament on the PGA Tour to reach the Green-In-Regulation with that average being 58%, as compared to the tour GIR average of 65%. The wind is typically a challenge for the professionals when playing in the State of Texas. The putting surface is Bermuda grass. |
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03-24-22 | Kramer Hickok +1.5 v. Doc Redman | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
With most of the top players on the PGA tour competing in the World Golf Championships match play event in Austin, Texas this week, the PGA Tour features second-tier players and many professionals who compete on the Korn Ferry Tour taking part in the PGA Corales Puntacana Championship at the Punta Cana Resort and Club’s Course in the Dominican Republic. This is a long 7670 yards course with a par of 72. This is a resort course with the fairways generous tee-to-green. Wind is a factor with many on the holes oceanside. The greens and fairways consist of paspalum grass. Most of the recent winners here have been short hitters who got hot with their blade — but long hitters would still seem to have an edge at this event. Our Long Shot Bet on a golfer outside the top-ten favorites is on Kramer Hickok who is listed at +4500 at DraftKings. Hickok is making his third appearance at this event after following up a tie for 10th place in 2019 with a tie for 21st place in 2020. He comes into this event in solid form as he made the cut and finished tied for 42nd place at the Players Championship before a tie for 33rd place last week at the Valspar Championship. Hickok’s strengths in his game are off the fee and on the greens. He ranks a solid 75th on the tour this season in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee. His recent course history here is the most appealing aspect to his case. Hickok is linked with Doc Redman in Tournament Matchup head-to-head props. Redman finished tied for 39th place last week at the Valspar Championship — but this will be his debut at this event. The 24-year-old does not have the profile to suggest he will thrive at this golf course. He ranks only 129th on the tour in Driving Distance — and that translates him to ranking just 90th on the tour this season in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee. Redman’s ball-striking has been below average as well as he ranks 120th in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. Take Hickok (7471) at +1.5 strokes versus Redman (if this option is offered and at a price no higher than -150; if not, then taking Hickok straight-up is fine) in Tournament matchup head-to-head props. Best of luck for us — Frank. |
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03-24-22 | Sahith Theegala -150 v. Mark Hubbard | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
With most of the top players on the PGA tour competing in the World Golf Championships match play event in Austin, Texas this week, the PGA Tour features second-tier players and many professionals who compete on the Korn Ferry Tour taking part in the PGA Corales Puntacana Championship at the Punta Cana Resort and Club’s Course in the Dominican Republic. This is a long 7670 yards course with a par of 72. This is a resort course with the fairways generous tee-to-green. Wind is a factor with many on the holes oceanside. The greens and fairways consist of paspalum grass. Most of the recent winners here have been short hitters who got hot with their blade — but long hitters would still seem to have an edge at this event. |
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03-24-22 | Jhonattan Vegas -138 v. Joel Dahmen | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
With most of the top players on the PGA tour competing in the World Golf Championships match play event in Austin, Texas this week, the PGA Tour features second-tier players and many professionals who compete on the Korn Ferry Tour taking part in the PGA Corales Puntacana Championship at the Punta Cana Resort and Club’s Course in the Dominican Republic. This is a long 7670 yards course with a par of 72. This is a resort course with the fairways generous tee-to-green. Wind is a factor with many on the holes oceanside. The greens and fairways consist of paspalum grass. Most of the recent winners here have been short hitters who got hot with their blade — but long hitters would still seem to have an edge at this event. |
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03-17-22 | Tyrrell Hatton v. Shane Lowry -108 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
The final stop on the Florida swing of the PGA Tour takes place this week with the PGA Tour moving to Palm Harbor in Tampa Bay at the Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club’s Copper Course for the Valspar Championship. This is a Par-71 event consisting of 7340 yards with five Par-3 holes and four Par-5s. Tree-lined fairways make it difficult for big hitters to rely on their distance off the tee. Accuracy and precision with ball-striking are privileged at this event. The greens consist of Tif Eagle Bermuda grass overseeded with Poa trivialis. The course averaged a score of 71.95 with a Relative-to-Par figure of +0.95 making it one of the more difficult events on the PGA Tour. The field consists of 144 professionals. |
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03-17-22 | Tyrrell Hatton v. Matthew Fitzpatrick -105 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
The final stop on the Florida swing of the PGA Tour takes place this week with the PGA Tour moving to Palm Harbor in Tampa Bay at the Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club’s Copper Course for the Valspar Championship. This is a Par-71 event consisting of 7340 yards with five Par-3 holes and four Par-5s. Tree-lined fairways make it difficult for big hitters to rely on their distance off the tee. Accuracy and precision with ball-striking are privileged at this event. The greens consist of Tif Eagle Bermuda grass overseeded with Poa trivialis. The course averaged a score of 71.95 with a Relative-to-Par figure of +0.95 making it one of the more difficult events on the PGA Tour. The field consists of 144 professionals.
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03-17-22 | Collin Morikawa -110 v. Dustin Johnson | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
The final stop on the Florida swing of the PGA Tour takes place this week with the PGA Tour moving to Palm Harbor in Tampa Bay at the Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club’s Copper Course for the Valspar Championship. This is a Par-71 event consisting of 7340 yards with five Par-3 holes and four Par-5s. Tree-lined fairways make it difficult for big hitters to rely on their distance off the tee. Accuracy and precision with ball-striking are privileged at this event. The greens consist of Tif Eagle Bermuda grass overseeded with Poa trivialis. The course averaged a score of 71.95 with a Relative-to-Par figure of +0.95 making it one of the more difficult events on the PGA Tour. The field consists of 144 professionals. |
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03-10-22 | Collin Morikawa -105 v. Rory McIlroy | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour moves to TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach where the Stadium Course will host the Players Championship. This is generally considered the proverbial “fifth” major on the PGA Tour with most of the top professionals in the world competing amongst the 144 golfers entered. This Par 72 Pete Dye-designed course consists of 7250 yards. Doglegs and water playing a role in the 17 of the 18 holes will limit what the pros can do off the tee — but some professionals will attempt to bully the course. The bigger challenge will be the weather with rain and wind expected — especially on Saturday. Given the latest weather reports, I avoided golfers teeing off late on Friday since they risked getting pushed into Saturday where the weather could blow up their score. The greens consist of Bermuda grass with an average of 5500 square feet. Accuracy and ball-shaping are essential skill-sets to handle a Dye-designed course. Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green is one of the most important metrics to consider this weekend. |
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03-10-22 | Chris Kirk v. Matthew Fitzpatrick -115 | 71-74 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour moves to TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach where the Stadium Course will host the Players Championship. This is generally considered the proverbial “fifth” major on the PGA Tour with most of the top professionals in the world competing amongst the 144 golfers entered. This Par 72 Pete Dye-designed course consists of 7250 yards. Doglegs and water playing a role in the 17 of the 18 holes will limit what the pros can do off the tee — but some professionals will attempt to bully the course. The bigger challenge will be the weather with rain and wind expected — especially on Saturday. Given the latest weather reports, I avoided golfers teeing off late on Friday since they risked getting pushed into Saturday where the weather could blow up their score. The greens consist of Bermuda grass with an average of 5500 square feet. Accuracy and ball-shaping are essential skill-sets to handle a Dye-designed course. Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green is one of the most important metrics to consider this weekend. |
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03-10-22 | Cameron Smith v. Daniel Berger -140 | 1-0 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour moves to TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach where the Stadium Course will host the Players Championship. This is generally considered the proverbial “fifth” major on the PGA Tour with most of the top professionals in the world competing amongst the 144 golfers entered. This Par 72 Pete Dye-designed course consists of 7250 yards. Doglegs and water playing a role in the 17 of the 18 holes will limit what the pros can do off the tee — but some professionals will attempt to bully the course. The bigger challenge will be the weather with rain and wind expected — especially on Saturday. Given the latest weather reports, I avoided golfers teeing off late on Friday since they risked getting pushed into Saturday where the weather could blow up their score. The greens consist of Bermuda grass with an average of 5500 square feet. Accuracy and ball-shaping are essential skill-sets to handle a Dye-designed course. Shots-Gained: Approach-the-Green is one of the most important metrics to consider this weekend. |
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03-03-22 | Marc Leishman -110 v. Adam Scott | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
The Florida swing of the PGA Tour continues this week by moving to the Bays Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. This is a Par-72 event consisting of 7466 yards. The 120 professional golfers will have to manage very thick and tall rough. The putting surface consists of fast Bermuda greens. Distance off the tee helps — but ball-striking and safely getting on the green has been critical in past success with so many approach shots of more than 200 yards likely this week. This tournament has been rated as one of the top ten hardest on the PGA Tour for three straight seasons. Interestingly, there have been only three American winners of this tournament since its inception, although Tiger Woods bears responsibility for his lack of sharing the wealth.
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