For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-10-15 | East Carolina v. BYU -7.5 | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 49 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* BYU -7.5 over East Carolina, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET on ESPNU - ASA's HOME CHALK HAMMER GAME OF THE MONTH BYU has played the toughest schedule in the nation and it’s about to start paying off. Their first 4 games were brutal with trips to Nebraska, UCLA, and Michigan sandwiched around a home game vs Boise. We played against them at Michigan as it was at the end of that stretch and it paid off nicely. This was a spot we had pegged to jump on them for a month now. Since their loss @ Michigan, they have been back home and played only one game, a win over UConn last Friday night (outgained Huskies by 300 yards). Thus, they are now settled back in at home and they have an extra day to get ready for this game. ECU is now in a similar spot BYU was in @ Michigan as this will be their 4th road game in the last 5 weeks, including their 2nd roadie in 2 weeks. The Pirates have played @ Florida (loss), @ Navy (loss), home vs Va Tech (win), and @ SMU (win) over 4 straight Saturdays. Now the long trip West (altitude will also factor in), ECU’s longest regular season road trip since 1993, will be a tough one. Last week the Pirates got down 23-7 at a terrible SMU team but the Mustangs defense (the worst in FBS) is worn down and it showed as ECU made the big comeback and rolled. If this tired team gets down like that this weekend (we think they will) it will be a very tough road back against a solid & physical BYU defense who has faced some of the better offenses in the country already this season. The Pirates were great on offense last year with QB Shane Carden running the show (4,800 yards & 30 TD’s) but here ECU will most likely be relying on a JC transfer making the first FBS start of his career (James Summers). BYU has a great home field advantage with a 48-8 SU record since 2006 and this situation screams easy win. |
|||||||
10-10-15 | Georgia Tech +7 v. Clemson | Top | 24-43 | Loss | -102 | 49 h 3 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Georgia Tech +7 over Clemson, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - ASA's SITUATIONAL SMASH This is a great spot to jump on the Yellow Jackets. After losing 3 straight games, they are now a very dangerous underdog. The Jackets will be desperate here and they are catching Clemson off their huge Saturday night win over Notre Dame. The Tigers will have a hard time focusing 100% on a team that has lost 3 in a row, especially off that win. We’re now getting very good line value with GT. Let’s remember that GT was actually favored AT Notre Dame just a few weeks ago as well as a 10-point favorite @ Duke the following Saturday. Now they are getting more than a TD here. Let’s compare the two meetings with Notre Dame since they happened just 2 weeks apart. GT traveled to ND as a favorite and lost 30-22. GT was +5 first downs, +5:00 TOP, and -120 total yards. Last week ND traveled to Clemson as a 3-point dog and lost 24-22. However, ND was +5 first downs, Even TOP, and +140 total yardage so very similar to their meeting with GT stats wise final scores aside. The big difference last week was ND had 4 turnovers @ Clemson. It’s going to be tough for the Clemson defense to quickly prepare for a completely different offense than they saw last week. The Jackets have been able to move the ball on Clemson averaging over 300 YPG rushing their last 4 meetings. Tech will again run the ball, eat clock and shorten this game making it very tough to cover this number. The Bees are 17-6 ATS as dogs of a TD or more and don’t be surprised if Georgia Tech actually escapes with a win here. Take the points. |
|||||||
10-10-15 | Northwestern +7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -106 | 49 h 2 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Northwestern +7.5 over Michigan, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - ASA's BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK We expect this to be a low scoring, defensive battle which definitely favors the dog of more than a TD in our opinion. This total is currently set at just 35 points and it is warranted. Last year NW played host to Michigan as a 2-point underdog and the Wolverines came out on top 10-9. The two teams ran 143 combined plays and only averaged 3.6 YPP. In 2013 Michigan traveled to Northwestern as a 3-point dog and won the game 27-19. However, that game took 3 OT’s to decide and the score at the end of regulation was 9-9. The two teams combined for 687 yards (including OT) on 170 plays which was just 4 YPP. Obviously two games dominated by the defenses and we don’t see that changing this year. These two team are ranked #1 (Northwestern) and #2 (Michigan) nationally in scoring defense allowing 7.0 and 7.6 PPG respectively. They are both in the top 5 in the country in overall defense with Michigan allowing 184 YPG (2nd) and NW allowing 247 YPG (5th). Northwestern has allowed just 3 offensive TD’s in 5 games this year and only ONE of those TD drives was longer than 26 yards. The Wolverines have allowed just 4 offensive TD’s in 5 games. Both of these teams pitched shutouts last week with NW topping Minnesota 27-0 and Michigan rolling Maryland 28-0. The Wolverines have a massive game on deck with Michigan State, a game that Harbaugh has emphasized throughout the off-season. While we don’t think Michigan will be completely overlooking a 5-0 team, NW should be the more focused here after the way they lost the last 2 meetings. NW has already beaten Stanford & Duke and we see no reason they don’t stay at least within a TD of this Michigan team or perhaps win outright. Take the points. |
|||||||
10-09-15 | Southern Miss +5 v. Marshall | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 13 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Southern Miss +5 over Marshall, Friday at 7:00 PM ET - ASA's NCAA FRIDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH Southern Miss is one of the most improved teams in the nation and continues to be under valued in our opinion. The Eagles are 3-2 on the year but a perfect 5-0 ATS covering those games by a combined 53 points. Marshall comes in at 4-1 but we feel they are an over rated team right now. The Herd has been outgained in 3 of their 4 games vs FBS opponents and they are -300 total yards in those 4 games. The only team they outgained was a bad Old Dominion team last week and they were only +39 yards in that game. They beat ODU last week 27-7 but the Monarchs really helped them out with 4 turnovers. Beyond their 2 easy wins vs poor competition (ODU & Norfolk State) the Herd probably should have lost to both Purdue (Boilers threw 2 pick 6’s) and Kent (Herd won in double OT despite getting outgained by 160 yards). This veteran Southern Miss offense (10 starters back) is among the best in the nation. They have averaged 514 YPG (13th nationally) and 40 PPG (15th nationally). Their YPP differential (YPP offense minus YPP defense) is a very good +1.2 and that includes games against Mississippi State & Nebraska. Despite playing a much weaker slate, Marshall has averaged just 31 PPG on 351 YPG and their YPP differential is +0.5. USM has been focused on this game after getting thoroughly embarrassed last year at home by Marshall. That Herd teams was light years better than this year’s squad. Southern Miss is the better team here, with revenge, and getting points. We’ll jump in on them in this spot. |
|||||||
10-04-15 | Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. New Orleans Saints | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Dallas +3.5 over New Orleans, Sunday at 8:25 PM ET - ASA's NFL SUNDAY NIGHT LIGHTS We realize Drew Brees is expected to play here but so far this season that hasn’t mattered. Brees has started 2 games and the Saints lost both including a home setback to TB and rookie QB Winston. New Orleans has been outgained in every game this year. They are also the WORST defense in the NFL allowing a whopping 6.7 yards per play. Even with Brandon Weeden at QB, Dallas should be able to take advantage of this unit. On the other sidelines, Dallas has one of the better defenses in the NFL. The Boys are 8th in the NFL in total defense giving up just over 300 YPG. Dallas is 1-0 this year on the road and they have now won 9 straight away from home. New Orleans, on the other hand, is only 1-7 ATS their last 8 home games. The Saints continue to be vastly over rated and we’ll take the Cowboys on Sunday night. |
|||||||
10-04-15 | Houston Texans +6 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Houston +6 over Atlanta, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - ASA's NFL DOG OF THE MONTH We will gladly take the points with the Houston Texans over the Atlanta Falcons. The Texans are 1-2 SU and two of the losses came by 7-points each. The Falcons have gotten off to perfect 3-0 start (yes, we had them 'over' the total for season wins) but they've trailed in the 4th quarter in all three games yet still managed to win. *Side note - They are the first team in NFL history to accomplish this in the first three games of the season.* Yes, the Falcons are improved but their defense still has a long ways to go. They are allowing 6.2 yards per play which is 30th in the NFL and only the 49ers and Saints are worse. They allow 378 total YPG (23rd) and 4.8 yards per carry which is 28th in the league. Houston has a decisive advantage on that side of the ball but clearly the Falcons are better offensively. But Houston offense had great balance last week with RB Blue rushing for 139 yards (Texans team 186YDS) and QB Mallett throwing for 227YDS against the Bucs. With the superior defense and the ability to control the ball here we like the underdog and the points. The Falcons are not in a comfortable role here as a favorite as they are just 7-11 ATS as a home chalk their last 18. |
|||||||
10-04-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins +3 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Washington +3 over Philadelphia, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - ASA's NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH Eagles are still a vastly over rated team. They are 1-2 on the season and a strong argument could be made that they should be 0-3. In their win last week @ NY Jets, they caught a LOT of breaks. First the Jets were flat as a pancake after starting 2-0 and coming off a Monday Night win @ Indy. The Eagles were +3 in turnovers in that game and had a special teams TD yet still only won by 7 points. The Jets were +100 in total yardage and held Philly to 3.4 yards per play. Washington is 1-2 as well. They are off a Thursday night loss @ NYG so they’ve had 10 days to get ready. Their win came against the Rams and they outplayed the Fins in a week 1 loss. Philly has been outgained by 220 yards combined in their 3 games while the Skins have outgained all 3 of their opponents and are +280 total yardage on the year. The “high flying) Eagles have the 2nd worst overall offense in the NFL averaging just 285 YPG. Their passing game has been poor (just 5.7 yards per attempt) and the Sam Bradford experiment has not gone well. He never won in St. Louis and he’s showing his true colors in Philly as well. Washington is better on both sides of the ball in the trenches giving us a nice edge up front. The home team won both games last year by a field goal and we see similar scenario here. We like Washington to win this game outright against the over valued Eagles. |
|||||||
10-03-15 | Kansas State +8 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 34-36 | Win | 100 | 47 h 41 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Kansas State +8 over Oklahoma State, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET - ASA's Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH KSU is in a great spot here. They are off a bye giving them 2 full weeks to get ready for this game. They have a fantastic coach in Bill Snyder who thrives with extra time going 7-0 ATS off a bye. They catch Okie State off a big, last second win @ Texas 30-27 last Saturday. The Cowboys kicked 2 field goals in the final 1:33 to get that win. Texas gaffes were the big reason they blew it as OSU’s final 2 drives resulting in FG’s they tallied a -4 yards combined on those drives. Penalties and poor special teams plays gave OSU great field position and a chance to win. These two have one common opponents and the yardage results were almost identical with OSU outgained UTSA at home by 183 yards while KSU outgained UTSA on the road by 189 yards. The Cats rolled to a 48-14 win last year and they have covered 6 of the last 7 vs OSU. While Kansas State has a tendency to roll bit at home vs OSU, the games in Stillwater have been down to the wire nail-biters. 6 of the last 7 games @ Okie State have been decided by a TD or less. Snyder has been a master as an underdog covering 22 of his last 30 in that spot and we think KSU has a great shot to win this game. Take the points. |
|||||||
10-03-15 | Ohio State -21.5 v. Indiana | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -106 | 46 h 59 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Ohio State -21.5 over Indiana, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET Hoosiers head coach Urban Meyer is going to bust loose with a big win eventually and we feel it comes this week in a conference game against Indiana who is 4-0. After being anointed as the best team in college football to start the season the Buckeyes have received some negative ink from the media for a few lackluster games offensively. That changes this week when they take on an Indiana team that is horrendous defensively allowing an average of 500 yards per game, 6.4 yards per play and 32PPG. What makes IU's defensive numbers worse is that they've come against weak competition. Indiana is 42nd in the nation in yards per point defense but again, those numbers are misleading considering who they've played. IU's opponents include Wake Forest who is 109th in yards per point offense, Florida International who is 117th in yards per point and Western Kentucky who is 47th in YPPT. Their one other opponent was Southern Illinois who isn't even an FBS team and they allowed the SIU to put up 47 points and 659 total yards of offense! Last season OSU was minus -36.5 points at home and won 42-27 with Indiana scoring a late TD with around a minute to play. Meyer has publicly stated he wasn't happy with how his defense played in last year's game against Indiana so don't expect them to let up in this one. Ohio State is 5th in total defense this season allowing opponents to gain just 253 yards per game and will be by far the best defensive unit the Hoosiers have faced all season. Ohio State is looking for some style points and won't be afraid to run this one up. Lay it with the Buckeyes. |
|||||||
10-03-15 | Alabama +1.5 v. Georgia | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Alabama +1.5 over Georgia, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on CBS - ASA's SEC GAME OF THE WEEK This is the first time in 72 games that Alabama has been an underdog and you can bet Nick Saban is using that as motivation here. Much has been made of Bama being “down” this year partly due to the fact they lost at home to Ole Miss a few weeks ago. Let’s not forget the Tide had a -5 turnover ratio in that game alone and still had the ball late with a chance to win. Bama has already played Wisconsin & Ole Miss while UGA has yet to be tested playing UL Monroe, Vandy, South Carolina, and Southern. Much has been made of how well UGA QB Lambert has played but let’s not forget he was poor at Virginia and couldn’t even win the starting job for the Cavs this year which is whay he transferred. We’ll see how he does against a formidable opponent. The question is this, do you trust Mark Richt in this spot as a small favorite or Nick Saban as an underdog? Saban and Alabama are used to winning big games while UGA seems to underachieve on a yearly basis. Saban hasn’t lost 2 conference games in a season since 2010 and they are already 0-1 and in must win mode. Take the points here as Bama wins outright. |
|||||||
10-03-15 | Iowa +7 v. Wisconsin | Top | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 43 h 40 m | Show |
PLAY ON 10* Iowa +7 over Wisconsin, Saturday at 12 PM ET Wisconsin has been without top RB Corey Clement for most of the season (carried it just 8 times vs Alabama) and after an MRI revealed a sports hernia, they will be without him for at least another month. We felt that would really affect this team once they hit their tough competition which comes in the form of Iowa this Saturday. Wisconsin obviously relies heavily on the run but going into last weekend’s game vs Hawaii, the Badgers were dead last in the Big Ten in rushing (142 YPG). Their offensive line is still quite young and a work in progress. While they did look much better vs the Rainbows last week, the Iowa stop unit should give them problems especially with Clement on the bench. Iowa is allowing just 100 YPG rushing which is 18th nationally. The Hawkeyes have rolled out to a 4-0 record scoring 30+ points in 3 of their 4 games. QB CJ Beathard has been an upgrade over former starter Jake Rudock (now at Michigan). Beathard has thrown for nearly 1,000 yards on 68% completions. He also brings the running dimension to the position with already over 150 rushing on the year. Wisconsin and Iowa played a tight one last year with the Badgers prevailing 26-24. The Badgers might be a step below or close to even with last year’s team while Iowa is vastly improved in our opinion. The Hawks are 20-9 ATS when getting a TD or more (watch this line – it’s currently -7) and we give them a solid shot at an “upset” here. Take the points in another slobberknocker between these two rivals. |
|||||||
10-03-15 | Purdue +21.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 38 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Purdue +21.5 over Michigan State, Saturday at 12 PM ET The Spartans, despite their 4-0 record, have not been all that impressive this year. They are 0-4 ATS and have actually been outgained in 3 of their 4 games. Oregon, Air Force, & Central Michigan all put up more yardage than MSU in their head to head match ups. For the season, Sparty has gained 1,489 yards and allowed 1,583. And that’s against fairly marginal competition outside of Oregon and even that tight win is now not quite as impressive as the Ducks were crushed at home last week by Utah. As poor as Purdue has been the last two years (1-15 Big Ten record) they have given Michigan State some problems. Last season they played host to Sparty and lost 45-31 as a 21-point dog (cover for Boilers). That contest was a down to the wire situation as MSU led just 38-31 with under 2:00 remaining in the game. Two years ago they went into East Lansing as a 4 TD underdog and that was also a nailbiter for the Spartans as they led just 7-0 in the 4th quarter before winning 14-0 which included a defensive TD (another easy cover for Purdue). The last time Purdue lost by more than 20 points to MSU was back in 1996. Turnovers have been a big problem for the 1-3 Boilers. In their first 3 games they coughed the ball up 9 times. Because of that head coach Darrell Hazell made a switch at QB last week putting freshman David Blough under center and benching Austin Appleby. Blough had a solid opening performance completing 29 of 39 for 340 yards and 2 TD’s with only one turnover. They lost 35-28 to a solid Bowling Green team but the game was tied a 28 late and Purdue missed a 32 yard FG that would have given them the lead. They could be sitting with a much better record as last week’s game was in reach and their season opener was lost @ Marshall due to two pick 6’s thrown by Appleby. Purdue gives Michigan State a game this week and keeps it inside this big number. |
|||||||
10-01-15 | Miami (Fla) v. Cincinnati +6.5 | Top | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Cincinnati +6.5 over Miami FL - Thursday at 7:30 PM ET Our feeling is the Bearcats are much better than their 2-2 record might indicate. They’ve outgained every opponent this year by almost 1,000 combined yards! Their losses to Temple and Memphis were gifts given to the opposition. They outgained Temple by a whopping 261 yards and Memphis by 182. The problem in those games were turnovers as they were -4 vs Temple and -2 vs Memphis. Keep those even, or close, and this team is sitting at 4-0 and this line is nowhere near where it sits right now. We realize Cincy will be most likely playing without QB Kiel, but his replacement last week, Hayden Moore, came in and threw for a school record 557 yards and now he’s had a full week to practice with that one’s. Miami continues to get treated as if they are an elite or at least close to elite program. They are not. The Canes are 3-0 this year but lucky to be sitting in that spot in our opinion. Two weeks ago they topped FAU 42-20 in what was a very deceiving score. First of all FAU lost their starting QB on the first series of the game and he did not return. Even with that, the game was tied at 20 midway through the third quarter and FAU was -5 in turnovers for the game. The Canes next win was at home and it OT against an OK Nebraska team 36-33. This will be the first time this season that Miami has to leave South Florida. They also have a HUGE game on deck with Florida State so a peak ahead is probably in order here for the Canes. This is a huge home game for Cincy as they don’t often get to host Power 5 teams. When they do, they’ve been money in the bank. The last 4 seasons the Cats have hosted five Power 5 teams (Purdue, NC State, Pitt, Va Tech, and West Virginia) and won 4 of those games with their only loss coming by just 3 points to the Mountaineers. We think Cincinnati has a great shot at the upset here and we’ll grab the points. |
|||||||
09-27-15 | Denver Broncos v. Detroit Lions +3 | Top | 24-12 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Detroit +3 over Denver, Sunday at 8:30 PM ET - ASA's SUNDAY NIGHT LIGHTS CASH IN Must win game for Detroit who’s playing their home opener. The Lions blew a big lead @ San Diego in the opener and then looked terrible last week @ Minnesota in a loss. Look for them to bounce back and play very well here. They know if they lose, they are in big trouble. In fact, since 1990 there have been 124 teams that started the season 0-3 and only 3 of those teams went onto make the playoffs. Lion QB Stafford will play here after being listed as questionable earlier in the week. Denver is 2-0 but hasn’t been overly impressive in our book. They beat Baltimore 19-13 in the opener and the two teams combined for only 400 total yards. Last week vs KC they won 31-24 but they were outgained and the Chiefs basically handed them the win with 5 turnovers! The Broncs are now on the road for the 2nd straight week and Detroit was a very good 7-1 at home last year. Take the points. |
|||||||
09-27-15 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -1 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
PLAY ON 10* Baltimore -2 over Cincinnati, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - ASA's AFC GAME OF THE WEEK We will play on the Baltimore Ravens minus the short number over Cincinnati. I'll start by saying this, don't over-react to the Ravens 0-2 start OR the Bengals 2-0 start. This Baltimore team is still one of the top 6 or 7 teams in the league and are now backed into a corner and must win this Divisional game. Since 1990 there have been 124 teams that have started the season off by going 0-3 (if Ravens lose) and only 3 have made the postseason so you can see for yourself how important this game is. The Ravens are 35-7 SU at M&T Bank Stadium since 2010 and 56-34-3 ATS as a home chalk since 2000. When playing at home and coming off a loss the previous week the Ravens have a stellar 40-13 SU record since 2000 and have won 8 straight in the role, covering 7 of the last eight. This number is lower than it should be and the Ravens are an obvious 'BUY' this week. |
|||||||
09-26-15 | Appalachian State -8 v. Old Dominion | Top | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 46 h 9 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Appalachian State -8 over Old Dominion, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - ASA's NCAAF OFF THE RADAR GAME OF THE MONTH ODU is way down compared to past editions. Their offense is a work in progress (currently 95th nationally in scoring offense) after losing all everything QB Heinicke to graduation (now with the Vikings). His replacement is a freshman Shuler Bentley who is averaging only 150 YPG passing. Because of that they rely heavily on the run yet were held to -3 yards rushing last week at home vs NC State. They now face the 13th ranked rush defense in the nation, an Appalachian State stop unit that held Clemson to just 3.2 YPC a few weeks ago. Speaking of ODU’s game with NC State last Saturday, it was a huge home game for them to get a Power 5 team to visit and they were whipped 38-14 with the Monarchs gaining only 148 total yards. There was a lot of build up to that game so a letdown is on order here. Meanwhile, Appalachian State has had 2 full weeks off to get ready as they had a bye last Saturday and they are one of the most experienced teams in the nation with 20 starters back from last year. ODU is 2-1 with wins over Eastern Michigan (123rd ranked FBS team out of 128) & Norfolk State (FCS team). App State is 1-1 with a blowout win vs Howard (FCS team) and a loss to #12 Clemson. So we can argue these teams have played a very similar schedule thus far. Despite the similar slates, App State is +197 YPG, +201 YPG rushing, and +7.7 first downs per game. ODU is -41 YPG, -16 YPG rushing, and -3.3 first downs per game. App State is the better team here and in a much better situation. |
|||||||
09-26-15 | BYU v. Michigan -5 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 67 h 43 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Michigan -5 over BYU, Saturday at 12:00 Noon ET - ASA's BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH We don’t envision BYU having much left in the tank for this one. They opened the season with the infamous hail-mary win @ Nebraska then came home and basically beat Boise in a similar way. Then last week they traveled to UCLA and had the Bruins on the ropes. The Bruins first lead of the game came with just over 3:00 remaining when they scored a TD to take a 24-23 lead. BYU was driving in UCLA territory for a potential game winning FG attempt when their young QB Tanner Mangum threw an interception ending the game. The Cougs outgained UCLA by a few yards in the game, however they also ran a whopping 89 plays to just 61 for UCLA. Now they have to travel again this Saturday which will be their 3rd time in 4 weeks. This will be a tired team playing an early game on Saturday. Michigan is starting to click the last few weeks in Jim Harbaugh’s new system. Their defense was very good last year and looks like it will be one of the better stop units in the country this year. They are currently 7th nationally total defense allowing just 236 YPG. The Michigan defense has allowed only 4 offensive TD’s in 3 games. After struggling to run the ball against Utah in their season opener, Michigan has made a concerted effort to pound their last two opponents on the ground with 87 rushing attempts in those two games combined. BYU’s defense was solid against the run the first two weeks but they looked worn down last week as UCLA lit them up for 296 yards rushing on 7.8 YPC. We see a very good Michigan defense banging on BYU’s offense all day long while pounding them on the ground offensively. BYU will slowly wear down and Michigan takes control in the 2nd half. We like the Wolverines in this situation. |
|||||||
09-20-15 | Baltimore Ravens -6 v. Oakland Raiders | Top | 33-37 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Baltimore -6 over Oakland, Sunday at 4:05 PM ET - ASA's SUPER CHALK BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK Baltimore has high hopes this year coming off their playoff run last year (lost tight game to New England) and this has now become a must win for them. The Ravens lost a tight game last week @ Denver 19-13. It was a defensive battle as they faced a top notch Denver defense and neither team took a snap in the redzone until there was less than 4:00 remaining in the game. Those offensive struggles should get rectified quickly this Sunday facing a Raider defense that gave up 33 points and almost 400 yards to Cincinnati last week. It could have been worse as the Bengals called off the dogs in the 4th quarter up 33-0 and Oakland scored 13 meaningless points late. The Silver & Black are also banged up in the defensive backfield with both starting safeties (Woodson & Allen) out and starting CB Hayden possibly out. Raider QB Carr was also hurt last week (hand) and will be back this Sunday but not at 100%. Oakland will have all kinds of trouble offensively against a Baltimore defense that shut down the Broncos to just 219 total yards last week. They are learning new systems on both sides of the ball under new head coach Jack Del Rio and it showed on the field last week. The Ravens are a great bounce back team winning 26 of their last 32 games SU coming off a loss and will be laser focused here. We take the much better team in a must win spot and look for BALTIMORE to win by double digits. |
|||||||
09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 | Top | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* Pittsburgh -6 over San Francisco, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - ASA's AFC vs NFC GAME OF THE MONTH! This one sets up beautifully. Pitt is off a Thursday night loss @ New England. Not really unexpected as the Pats were out for blood after the Brady off-season situation and the fact that Brady was reinstated just a few days earlier. Pitt actually had a huge game offensively putting up 464 yards which was 103 yards more than the mighty Pats offense. Two missed FG’s and a turnover cost them a shot at the big road win (lost 28-21). The Steelers can’t afford to get off to a 2-0 start so this is a huge home game for them. San Fran pulled a home upset on Monday night beating Minnesota 20-3. The Niners rolled up 230 yards rushing on Minnesota but that won’t happen here. Pitt allowed only 80 yards on 24 carries to the Pats last week and you think they’ll be keying on the run this week? If the Steelers have a defensive weakness is it vs the pass and we don’t think SF and Kaepernick can take advantage of that. While the Steelers have had a full 10 days to get ready for this must win spot, San Fran has a short week to deal with coming off a Monday night LATE game (didn’t finish until after 1:00 AM ET) in the weird opening week Monday night format the NFL has adopted. We love this spot for PITTSBURGH and we’re laying the wood. |
|||||||
09-20-15 | New England Patriots +1 v. Buffalo Bills | Top | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* New England +1 over Buffalo, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - ASA's AFC GAME OF THE WEEK Everyone is going crazy and putting Buffalo into the Super Bowl after one week. Sure they looked good against a one-man Colts team (Bills were +3 in turnovers) but now they have to refocus and face the Pats who’ve had 10 days to prepare for this game. A Patriots team that has DOMINATED this series winning 21 of the last 23 meetings. Not only that, 1 of those 2 Buffalo wins came last year in the finale when New England had NOTHING to play for and Brady sat the entire second half. Even with that the first downs, yardage and time of possession in that game were almost dead even. Thus, we consider the Pats record vs Buffalo to actually be 21-1 the last 22 “meaningful” meetings. This isn’t simply a recent phenomenon as going back to 1994, New England is 33-9 SU vs Buffalo with a spread mark of 25-15-2. We realize the Buffalo defense is good, but this Patriot team knows them very well. In the one game where Brady actually played to win and played the full game last season he beat the Bills in Buffalo 37-22 throwing for 346 yards and 4 TD’s. Bills QB Tyrod Taylor made his 1st start ever last year and played well. However, we have a huge edge at the key position on the field with all-time great Brady who has thrown for over 53,000 yards in his career and 396 TD’s. Where this line is set, the experts are obviously expecting a close game. The question is, in a close game down the stretch who would you trust more to pull out a win, Brady or Tyrod Taylor? Bills may also be without RB LeSean McCoy who is obviously a key cog in their offensive gameplan. Let’s also throw in New England’s 43-21-2 ATS record with revenge as well. Take NEW ENGLAND on Sunday |
|||||||
09-19-15 | Florida -3.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 14-9 | Win | 100 | 50 h 18 m | Show |
ASA 10-STAR PLAY ON Florida (-3.5) over Kentucky - Saturday, 7 PM ET - ASA's SEC GAME OF THE MONTH We like the spot to go against the Wildcats here and play on an undervalued Gators team. Situational wise the Cats are coming off a HUGE road win over South Carolina which snapped a 22 game losing streak away from home. Florida meanwhile started the season with two relatively easy games against New Mexico and East Carolina. The Gators have outgained their opponents 979 total yards to just 533 while averaging a ridiculous 6.89 yards per play. They are averaging just under 5.0 yards per rush while allowing just 1.16YPR and outscored those two teams by 28PPG. Kentucky squeaked by UL Lafayette in the opener 40-33 at home, gave up 479 total yards and were outgained by 44 yards. They also had a 15 minute time of possession deficit in that game. UK then won last week in South Carolina over an over-rated Gamecocks team despite being outgained again 417 to 399 yards. After just two games the Wildcats are 100th in the nation in rushing yards allowed per attempt at 5.5YPC (Cats 75th in 2014 allowing 4.5YPC). That weakness plays right into a Gators team that is 39th in the nation in yards per carry this season despite calling off the dogs in week 1 versus New Mexico and playing conservative last week versus ECU. Florida can make some noise this season as they are deep and talented (QB's Grier & Harris along with RB Taylor) and Kentucky will have their full attention this week after their upset win last week. The Gators are 7-1 ATS last 8 meetings and have beaten this Kentucky team 34 of the last 35 meetings. No that's not a typo...34 & 1 SU last 35 meetings including 13 straight wins on this field. Just looking at the last 10 years the Gators are 10-0 SU against the Wildcats and the average winning margin has been 28PPG. If Florida is truly as good as we believe they are, then this is going to be a BLOWOUT! |
|||||||
09-19-15 | Air Force +26 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 43 h 49 m | Show |
ASA 10-STAR PLAY ON Air Force (+26) over Michigan State, Saturday 12 PM ET - ASA's BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK This is a very dangerous game for MSU. They are obviously off their huge win vs Oregon last week, a game that was still undecided with under 1:00 remaining. It was a game that Sparty had circled for a year and their entire off-season was focused on getting a win in that game. Talk about a massive letdown spot for them. Not only that, we’re not talking about a horrible opponent here. Air Force is always a tough, disciplined team and they were 10-3 a year ago. The Falcons also run a tough run based offense that is tough to prepare for on short notice when a defense isn’t used to seeing it. After leading the NCAA in rush attempts per game last year at 60, the Falcons are averaging 69 rush attempts per game this year. That will eat clock and shorten this game making it very tough for an already disinterested team to cover a big number. AF’s starting QB Romine was injured last week and is out the remainder of the year but his replacement Roberts has starting experience. The knock on Roberts is he doesn’t throw it as well as Romine, although that weakness is diminished when Air Force averages only 11 pass attempts per game. Roberts, however, is a very good runner. Since 1990, the Falcons have been dogged by 24 points or more just TWICE (they are 2-0 ATS in those games). This is a game that Michigan State will just want to win and move on. We envision this very similar to MSU’s first game this year when they when they got by Western Michigan by 13 points as they were pointing more toward their game with Oregon. Really tough spot to cover this large number. |
|||||||
09-14-15 | Minnesota Vikings v. San Francisco 49ers +2 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
PLAY ON: SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS + First of all we’ll talk about the pointspread in this game. In late summer Vegas came out with a line of San Francisco as a 3 point favorite. The line has been bet all the way to the Vikings a road favorite in this game. Since 2011 the Vikings have a 5-13-1 ATS record as a favorite, 0-3 as a road chalk, which are both the worst numbers in the NFL in that time. Much has been made about the 49ers offseason with the loss of coach Harbaugh and several defensive starters but we feel this team isn’t going to fall as far as many think. Offensively they return QB Kaepernick who is rumored to have been hard at work this offseason and comes into this season in better shape than ever. Let’s not forget Kaepernick threw for over 3300 yards with 19 TD’s in 2014 and also tacked on 639 yards rushing at over 6 yards per carry. The Niners added WR Torrey Smith from Baltimore to pair with veteran Anquan Boldin giving San Francisco a dynamic passing attack. Boldin has 168 receptions the past two years in San Fran with 12 of those going for TD’s. Smith is coming off an 11 TD season with the Ravens and has a career average 16.9 yards per catch which gives the 49ers the homerun threat they’ve needed on the outside. Yes, the Forty Niners also lost aging veteran running back Frank Gore but his replacement Carlos Hyde looked good in the preseason with 13 carries for 73 yards (5.6YPC). Yes, the Vikings get a huge boost this year with the return of running back Adrian Peterson but he’s gotten a year older and missed an entire season so don’t expect monster numbers in his debut back in the lineup. This game sets up to be a grinder with both teams working hard to establish the rush and we feel SF has a slight advantage here against Vikings defense that ranked 25th in the NFL last season in stopping the run. Once the ground game is established the play action pass opens up for Kaepernick. Do you know how rare it is for San Francisco to be a home dog? It’s happened just 4 times since 2009 and they are 3-0-1 ATS. Value bet on SF. |
|||||||
09-13-15 | NY Giants +7 v. Dallas Cowboys | Top | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
ASA PLAY ON 10* NY Giants +6.5 over Dallas, Sunday at 8:30 PM ET We peg the Cowboys as a bit over rated coming into the season after their 12-4 run to the top of the NFC East last year. The loss of RB DeMarco Murray will be a big one in our opinion. He just meant too much to this team leading the league in rushing yards, rushing attempts, and rushing TD’s. The Boys are attempting to replace him with 3 journeymen type RB’s which simply isn’t going to cut it. We don’t put a bunch of stock in the pre-season, however we feel you need to show at least some progress. The Dallas offense was horrible scoring only 41 total points and Romo attempted only 7 passes the entire pre-season. The starting O Line didn’t play a single snap together as a whole during the pre-season. With that, we would expect some rust offensively for the Cowboys in this game. Defensively they were shaky at best last year (21st in total defense) and will be without two of their top players as CB Scandrick is out for the year and DE Hardy is serving a suspension. In their two games last year, Dallas won by 10 & 3 points but both games and both were down to the wire with the Cowboys kicking a FG with under 1:00 remaining in the first game to extend the margin to 10. The Giants actually had 9 more first downs in those two games and the total combined yardage was very close with the NYG putting up 769 yards while Dallas accumulated 808. The Giants have the best road spread record in the NFL since 2007 going 40-27-1 ATS. NYG QB Manning has been a profit making road QB with a 46-40 SU record and 49-35-2 ATS away from home. On the flip side, the Cowboys have been a massive money burner as a home favorite covering just 8 of their last 32 in that situation. Too many points in a game we feel will again come down to the wire. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.