For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-24-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays, Thursday at 6:37 PM ET |
|||||||
09-23-20 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Boston Celtics -3 over Miami Heat, Game 4 Wednesday 8:30 PM ET We are going to side with Boston again in this critical Game 4 as a win here gets this series to 2-2 and turns it into the best of three. The Celtics in large part have outplayed the Heat in all three games but didn’t close out the first two games of the series. In Game 1 the Celtics were +12 going into 4th and faltered down the stretch. In Game 2 the Celts were up 13 at half and collapsed in the 3rd quarter. In Game 3 they led coast to coast in a comfortable win. Boston has Shot 50% and 48% last two games and the return of Gordan Hayward certainly helped with the late game rotations. The Heat have played great basketball in the Playoffs and have a great straight up record off a loss, but Boston has been the better team for better part of all three games and are still in a desperate situation. Miami as a short underdog hasn’t been great with a 5-7 ATS record when getting +4.5 or less points. Boston has an edge when it comes to shooting and can match the Heat defensively so we will go with the better team down 1-2 in the series. Lay the points in a close Boston win. |
|||||||
09-23-20 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
ASA PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 214 | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: UNDER 214 Lakers vs Nuggets, 9PM ET There is still value in this Total and we like a solid UNDER bet here. The first number on this series was 210.5 in Game 1 which finished well above the Total with 240 points. Then in Game 2 the oddsmakers adjusted the line up to 215.5 and only 208 points were scored. Our analytics say Game 3 is going to be very similar to Game 2 in terms of pace and field goal percentages which will yield another UNDER the Total win. In Game 1 these two teams attempted 166 combined FG attempts but in Game 2 that total dropped to 157. Both teams shot over 45% for the game but when you aren’t playing fast and don’t get as many field goal attempts you just can’t score as many points. The Nuggets also did a much better job of keeping the Lakers off the free throw line as they limited them to just 19 attempts. Combined these two teams are on a 11-0-2 UNDER run when playing on 1 day rest. This game will be much tighter as the intensity is ramping up for both clubs. Bet UNDER |
|||||||
09-22-20 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves, Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET |
|||||||
09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders UNDER 49 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 55 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON UNDER 49 Points – New Orleans @ Las Vegas, Monday at 8:15 PM ET - Many will simply look at the final scores from last week, see that the Saints put up 34 points, and just assume their offense rolled up big numbers. That’s not the case at all. In fact, their offense simply wasn’t very good in that win over Tampa. They tallied just 271 total yards and barely averaged 4.0 YPP. QB Brees looked old (he is) and struggled to throw for only 160 yards. He will now most likely be without his top target by far, WR Thomas who was injured last week. Two of New Orleans TD’s came on a pick 6 thrown by TB QB Brady and a short field after another Brady interception. The Saints defense, o the other hand, looked very solid vs what should be one of the best offenses in the NFL (Tampa). They made Brady look simply not very good and held the Bucs to just 4.8 YPP. Not a surprise as we had their defense rated very highly coming into this season after holding 6 of their final 9 opponents last year to 20 points or less in regulation. The Raiders put up 34 points last week but that was facing a Carolina defense we have pegged for near the bottom of the league. That final score was 34-30 and the 2 teams put up those numbers on 760 total yards. That means they were scoring 1 point for every 11.8 yards gained. In the Bucs – Saints game, they put up 57 points on just 581 total yards or 10.2 yards per point. Both of those games had extremely efficient numbers offensively which also has luck involved. To give you an idea, last season SF led the league at 1 point scored for every 12.9 yards gained which was worse than BOTH games we are discussing here. Both teams involved in Monday’s game scored over 30 points last week which gives us some solid value on the UNDER in this game. |
|||||||
09-21-20 | Stars v. Lightning UNDER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON UNDER: Tampa Bay Lightning versus Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:10 PM ET |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -7.5 | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Lakers -7.5 over Denver Nuggets, 7:30PM ET As we mentioned in our Game 1 wager on the Lakers, they have benefitted from some favorable scheduling and have caught all three opponents in the playoffs off extended series. First, they had the Blazers who had to battle just to get into the post season then beat Memphis to face the Lakers. In the next round they got a Houston team that was off a grueling 7-game series against Oklahoma City. Now they get Denver, who themselves have had two 7-games series and emotional come from behind wins when they were down 3-1 in both. Fatigue was the very obvious in the opener as the Nuggets were sloppy with the basketball, didn’t win the 50/50 balls and looked slower than the Lakers who scored 16 fast break points. The Lakers have the best playoff point differential at +8.9PPG and have won 9 of eleven playoff games by more than tonight’s spread. Los Angeles led by 27-points in Game 1 and the final margin of 12 does not do justice to how dominating a win it was for L.A. I was surprised this line didn’t come out higher than it did considering the Clippers were favored by as many as 9.5-points in their series against the Nuggets. L.A. can matchup with the Nuggets at every position, but the Nuggets can’t contain Anthony Davis. We will lay the points again with Los Angeles. |
|||||||
09-20-20 | Giants +5.5 v. Bears | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON NY Giants +5.5 over Chicago, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET The Giants actually looked OK on Monday night. Their offense didn’t do much (lost 26-16) but that was expected vs a Pittsburgh team that just might have the best defense in the NFL. We had the UNDER in that game and cashed but here we like the Giants to play Chicago tight and possibly pull the upset. QB Jones played fairly well against a great defense minus his 2 interceptions (279 yards & 2 TDs). They had no running game but that should improve here vs a Chicago defense that allowed Detroit to run for 138 yards last week. RB Barkley will have a much easier time this week after his 15 carry, 6 yard performance last week. The Bears came from 23-6 down in the 4th quarter @ Detroit last week so they pulled off a huge division comeback win. The Chicago offense looked shaky at best with Trubisky at the helm for much of the game. He did lead them to the 4th quarter comeback but we cannot trust him as a significant favorite. The Giants defense actually impressed us last week holding what should be a very solid Pitt offense (with Roethlisberger back) to 349 yards on 5.5 YPP. They should improve on that this week vs a pedestrian Chicago offense. When these two met here in Chicago last year, the Bears escaped with a 19-14 win after trailing at halftime. We expect the Giants to be improved this year while Chicago we’re not so sure. The Bears have covered only ONCE in their last 7 games as a favorite (can’t trust Trubisky in this role) and NY is 10-2 their last 12 as a road dog. Giants have a decent shot at the outright win here so we’ll grab the points. |
|||||||
09-19-20 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Boston Celtics -3 over Miami Heat, Game 3 Saturday We are playing on the Celtics minus the points here as a loss essentially ends this series with them down 0-2 already. Boston was solid this season when coming off a loss with a 18-11 SU record, 6-2 their last eight. Boston lost two straight games in the Raptors series then bounced back to win 2 of three so we know they’re capable of getting back into this series with a win here. Boston shot well in the last game and hit 50% from the field in Game 2 after a poor shooting night in Game 1. The Heat have played great basketball in the Playoffs and may still win this series but in this situation, we have to fade them. Miami as a short underdog hasn’t been great with a 4-5 ATS record when getting +2.5 or less points. With a 2-0 lead the Heat may relax a little in this one and leave the door open for the Celtics to get a win and cover. Lay the points in a close Boston win. |
|||||||
09-19-20 | Wake Forest +1 v. NC State | Top | 42-45 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 19 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Wake Forest +1 over NC State, Saturday at 8:00 PM ET - This is a great set up for Wake in our opinion. The Deacons were whipped last week vs Clemson losing 37-13 to what might just be the best team in the country. Now they take a huge step down in competition facing an NC State team that finished 1-7 in ACC play last season getting outscored by 159 points in the process (average ACC loss was by 20 points). While WF was getting a game under their best vs Clemson, the Wolfpack still have yet to play. On top of that, they’ve had a number of Covid outbreak interruptions which has limited their already shortened practice time. They were supposed to open their season 2 weeks ago vs Virginia Tech but that game had to be rescheduled September 26th. That’s not a great situation for a team that struggled last year and is trying to learn new systems on both offense and defense as both coordinators are new this year. The entire NC State coaching staff has pretty much been revamped over the last 2 year which disrupts continuity. Just 1 assistant remains on staff from the 2018 season. While NCSU’s coaching staff has had to go through massive changes, WF head coach Dave Clawson has turned this program from a doormat into a winning program. He took a perennial loser and has now led them to 4 straight winning season. Coaching edge is definitely with Wake in this game. NC State QB Leary returns after starting 6 games last year but we’re not so sure that’s a positive. He completed just 48% of his passes and was 0-6 in those starts losing by an average score of 41-16. When Leary faced off against Wake last year, he struggled to say the least completing just 17 of his 45 pass attempts with the Deacs winning 44-10. He now must face basically that same defense with Wake returning 9 starters on that side of the ball. The Demon Deacons have now won 3 straight in this series including 2 years ago here in Raleigh when they were heavy underdogs. The Pack was favored 3 times at home in ACC games last year and lost 2 of those games outright. Going back to the previous season NCSU has actually lost outright 3 of the last 4 times they’ve been a home ACC favorite. No fans in the stands here takes away any home field advantage NC State may have had. We think Wake is the better team, in the better situation, with no long travel (schools are 100 miles apart), and should be favored here. We’ll gladly take the points with the better team with a game already under their belt. |
|||||||
09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -7 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Lakers -7 over Denver Nuggets, 9 PM ET The Lakers have benefited from some favorable scheduling and have caught all three opponents in the playoffs off extended series. First, they had the Blazers who had to battle just to get into the post season then beat Memphis to face the Lakers. In the next round they got a Houston team that was off a grueling 7-game series against Oklahoma City. Now they get Denver, who themselves have had two 7-games series and emotional come from behind wins when they were down 3-1 in both. How much do the Nuggets have in their tanks against a well-rested Lakers team? The Lakers have the best playoff point differential at +8.9PPG and have won 8 of ten playoff games by more than tonight’s spread. The Nuggets have captured the attention and hearts of the public and are over-valued in this opening game. We are pulling for a great series here but feel the Lakers get a big win in the opener. |
|||||||
09-18-20 | Indians v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers, Friday at 7:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 43.5 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER 43 – Cincinnati @ Cleveland, Thursday at 8:20 PM ET We like the value here as this total opened 46 and we’re now seeing 43. Our advice would be to play this NOW as we expect the total to head back up on Thursday. Look for the Cleveland offense and new HC Stefanski (former Minnesota OC) to come out with a chip on their shoulder on Thursday night after being held to 6 points last week @ Baltimore. They go from facing a top 5 defense to a middle of the pack at best defense which will help the offense. Cleveland’s defense last week allowed nearly 7.0 YPP to the Ravens and while we don’t expect that from the Bengals, they should have success moving the ball with Joe Burrow now at QB (193 yards passing & 46 yards rushing last week). The Chargers offense, with new QB Tyrod Taylor, actually moved the ball pretty well on the Bengals after the first few series. They were held on downs twice inside Cincy territory and missed a FG so their 16 points was a bit deceiving. The Chargers only punted twice after their first 3 series so they had chances to score points but didn’t. This has been a fairly high scoring series as of late with the last 5 meetings getting to at least 44 points. The average point total in the last 5 meetings is 49 PPG. In last year’s 2 meetings the offenses combined to average 6.0 yards per play while scoring 56 & 46 points. Now that this one is down to 43, we like the OVER. |
|||||||
09-17-20 | Lightning v. Islanders OVER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Tampa Bay Lightning versus New York Islanders, Thursday at 8:10 PM ET |
|||||||
09-17-20 | Heat v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 106-101 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Boston Celtic -2.5 over Miami Heat, Game 2 Thursday 7PM ET We are playing on the Celtics minus the points here as a loss puts them in too deep a hole to get out of. Boston was solid this season when coming off a loss with a 18-10 SU record, 6-1 their last seven. The Celtics led by double-digits going into the fourth then couldn’t buy a bucket down the stretch in the 4th quarter and OT. Two of Boston’s big guns had horrible shooting nights as Tatum and Walker combined for 5 of 21 from the 3-point line. Expect a much better outing as Tatum shot over 40% from downtown this season, while Walking hit over 38%. The Heat have played great basketball in the Playoffs and may still win this series but in this situation, we have to fade them. Miami as a short underdog hasn’t been great with a 3-5 ATS record when getting +2.5 or less points. Lay the points in a close Boston win. |
|||||||
09-17-20 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-16-20 | A's v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
ASA MLB TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Colorado Rockies versus Oakland A's, Wednesday at 3:10 PM ET |
|||||||
09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -7.5 | Top | 104-89 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Clippers -7.5 over Denver Nuggets, Tuesday 9PM ET We are value bettors and this line has us on the Clippers in this Game 7. The previous numbers on games in this series have had the Clippers favored by -8.5-points and line drop has us on them again here. Is there a better big game player in the NBA than Kawhi Leonard? We don’t think so. The Clippers have blown 16 and 19-point leads in the last two games and we don’t see this veteran team blowing another one in this elimination game. Granted, we love this Denver team and the heart they play with but the situation and pressure is magnified tonight and we don’t see the young Nuggets pulling off another upset. LA is 24-6 SU this season when coming off a loss, 22-8 ATS. The Clippers were outscored by 13-points in the 4th quarter of the last game and blew a 7-point lead. We mentioned this the other day but the Clippers average margin of victory after a loss which is +14PPG. They’ll win by double-digits here and move on to face the Lakers in the Western Conference Finals. |
|||||||
09-15-20 | Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON UNDER: Tampa Bay Lightning versus New York Islanders, Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET |
|||||||
09-15-20 | Mets v. Phillies +118 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 118 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (+) vs New York Mets, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-14-20 | Braves v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles, Monday at 7:35 PM ET |
|||||||
09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants UNDER 46 | Top | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 49 h 20 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on UNDER 46 Pittsburgh Steelers vs. NY Giants, Monday 7PM ET The Steelers welcome the return of QB Ben Roethlisberger and hope he can spark an offense that averaged 26.8PPG in 2018, then dropped to 27th in the league in scoring last season at 18.1PPG. Big Ben is a 15 year NFL vet and obviously knows this offense inside and out but he’s coming into this game with a short prep time and a surgery-repaired right elbow. Just how effective and crisp will he be with his young receivers? Not to mention, it’s highly unlikely Coach Tomlin is going to jeopardize the season by having him throw it a ton in the opener, especially with two new starters on the right-half of the starting O-line. We expect the Steelers to have a conservative game plan and a heavy dose of the running game with James Conner, who is coming off a down season after missing several games and facing defenses stacked to stop the run. Don’t expect the Steelers to just score a ton of points against this Giants defense that wasn’t quite as bad as some statistics show from 2019. New York was 26th in yards allowed per game but did hold opposing rushers to under 4.0 yards per rush which was 4th best in the NFL. The Giants have a new system in place with new head coach Joe Judge who comes from the Patriots organization along with a new offensive coordinator in Jason Garrett from Dallas. Garrett will lean on running back Saquon Barkley as he did Elliott in Dallas. Under Garrett the Cowboys ranked top 10 in rushing attempts per game the past four seasons. But can Barkley have success against this Steelers ferocious defense that allowed just one 100-yards rusher last season. We are not sure we want to be Daniel Jones the second year QB for the Giants who will see plenty of pressure up front. The Steelers defensive front should have itself a field day versus the Giants O-line which starts rookie tackle Andrew Thomas and first-year Giant Cam Fleming. New York also has a new center, Nick Gates, who started in three games last season at guard. Both teams were near average in yards per point offense and below average in scoring. The Steelers were one of the slower paced teams in the league last season and the new regime in New York has emphasized a ball control approach in camp. Our math model projects just 41 total points being scored here and we couldn’t agree more. |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +2.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON LA Rams +2.5 over Dallas, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET LA was in the Super Bowl 2 years ago and dropped back to 9-7 last year. A regression was expected so that wasn’t a big surprise. This is still a very well coached, solid team that we like as a dog here at home in their first game at the brand new SoFi Stadium. They actually may catch a break with no fans in the stadium as Cowboys fans travel as well as any and this very well could have been a home game like atmosphere for Dallas. The Cowboys are expected to be one of the top teams in the NFC but aren’t they always? The fact is, Dallas is almost always overvalued entering the season and we feel they are here laying a full FG on the road vs a playoff caliber team in the Rams. Dallas beat the have nots last year but they were just 1-6 SU vs teams that made the playoffs. One of the few decent teams they did beat last year was this Rams squad. IT was an embarrassing 44-21 loss for LA at Dallas and we expect they will have a chip on their shoulder here after that setback. The Rams were favored in that game @ Dallas and now they are getting a full FG at home just one year later. In week 1, games that have a total of 50 or higher (this one does) the underdog is 13-2 ATS. This system did lose on Thursday night with KC covering but we don’t see that happening here. The majority of wagers have come in on Dallas (60%) which is not a surprise at all, yet only 35% of the money is on the Boys. We like this situation and we’ll take the Rams +3. |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Clippers -8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Clippers -8.5 over Denver Nuggets, Sunday 1:05 PM ET - We are going to keep this analysis a little shorter than normal with football in full swing but the pick here is the LA Clippers. The Clippers just watched the Lakers end their series against the Rockets and will do the same to the Nuggets Sunday. LA is 24-5 SU this season when coming off a loss, 22-7 ATS. The Clippers were outscored by 13-points in the 4th quarter of the last game and blew a 7-point lead. We don’t anticipate that happening again here with a veteran team. Denver got 26-points from Jamal Murray in Game 5 after struggling to score in the previous two games but don’t expect a repeat performance here. The Clippers have multiple defenders at Murray which then puts a huge scoring onus on Nikola Jokic. The nail in the coffin for us in this wager is the Clippers average margin of victory after a loss which is +15PPG. They’ll win by double-digits here and move on to face the Lakers in the Western Conference Finals |
|||||||
09-13-20 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees, Sunday at 1:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-12-20 | Coastal Carolina +7 v. Kansas | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show |
#403 ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON Coastal Carolina +7 over Kansas, Saturday at 10 PM ET - Coastal went into Kansas last year and upset the Jayhawks 12-7 as a TD underdog. While some may think KU will have extra motivation here after that loss, they are simply not good enough to be laying a full TD in this or really any game. Last year was no fluke. The Chanticleers played KU toe to toe and actually had more first downs, more total yardage, and nearly a 10 minute time of possession edge. They return 14 starters this year including many key players and we expect them to be better this season than they were last. Their record last year was just 5-7, however they lost 4 of those 7 games by 7 points or less so they could have easily had a better season. They ran the ball very well last year (35th nationally) and return 4 starters on the OLine along with top RB Marable who ran for 148 yards vs Kansas and over 1,000 on the season. We expect more of the same this year vs a Jayhawk defense that ranked 124th vs the run last year allowing 225 YPG. Kansas lost their QB, 3 starting offensive lineman, their 3 top defensive lineman and their best cover corner and 2 starting safeties. Their defense last year gave up at least 31 points in 8 of their 12 games and now with a number of new faces it’s tough to see a drastic improvement if any. The offense may take some time to gel as well as the QB’s vying for the starting job have attempted a grand total of 19 passes combined in their careers. Lastly, and something we see as a big but overlooked situation is the fact that CC was able to get in ALL 15 of their spring practices to get ready for this season while Kansas did not have a single practice in the spring. This is a KU team that has won just 6 of their last 59 games SU (vs FBS opponents) and now they're being asked to win this one by more than a TD. No thanks. We like Coastal Carolina here. |
|||||||
09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 96-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on:Under 215.5 Rockets vs. Lakers – We don’t like the fact that this total has dropped 227.5 in the opener of the series but will still lean towards the UNDER HERE. To score points you need to take and make shots. The league average for field goal attempts per game is 177 during the regular season and the average total points scored was 223PPG. The Field goal attempts per game are well below league average in this series with 153, 159, 161 and 164. HOUSTON DEFENSE: In the regular season the Rockets were 14th in defensive efficiency ratings allowing 1.103 points per possession. In the eight Bubble games the Rockets lowered that number to 1.095PPP and in the Playoffs they are giving up just 1.100PPP. HOUSTON OFFENSE: In the regular season the Rockets were the 2nd fastest paced team in the NBA at 103.7 possessions per game. In the Playoffs the Rockets are averaging just 98.5 possessions per game which is 10th slowest of the 16 teams. Rockets offensive efficiency numbers have dropped in the Playoffs too. LAKER DEFENSE: The Lakers had the 3rd best defensive efficiency numbers in the regular season and have been nearly as good in the postseason allowing just 1.071PPP. The Lakers are also playing slower and average under 100 possessions per game in the Playoffs. LAKERS OFFENSE: The Lakers shot well above their season average in Games 2 & 3 over 55% from the field in both and still they only managed 117 and 112-points. In the most recent game, the Lakers shot 49% and put up 110-points. We feel the Lakers are going to be very deliberate here in their tempo and they’ll control the pace of this game. Bet Under here. |
|||||||
09-12-20 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
ASA PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals, Saturday at 6:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-11-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 216 | Top | 111-105 | Push | 0 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: UNDER 216 Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers, 6:30 PM ET We hate betting into a number that has moved as much as this Total has but we still feel based on current pace of play, there is still enough value here to bet Under. In the last game of this series these two teams combined for 181 total points which stayed well below the number. Three of the four games in the series have ended with 217 or less points scored. The field goal attempt numbers are what stands out to us here as last game saw just 147 shots taken. In Game 3 these two teams combined for 169 FGA’s which is still below league average. Los Angeles has been stifling on defense allowing 1.03 points per possession this series and Denver continues to play slow with an average of 15.3 seconds to get a shot up every possession. The Clippers have multiple defenders to throw and Nuggets guard Jamal Murray and have held him to under 20-points and less than 41% shooting in 3 of the four games thus far. Let’s not forget that Murray scored 142 combined points in just three games against the Jazz last round. The Under is now 40-18-1 the last 59 meetings between these two teams. Yes, we’ve lost some value from the opening game of this series, but tempo and pace are dictating another low scoring game here. Bet UNDER |
|||||||
09-11-20 | Red Sox v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Run Line: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5 runs) over Boston Red Sox, Friday at 6:40 PM ET |
|||||||
09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Under 54.5 Points – Houston vs Kansas City, Thursday at 8:20 PM ET We think there is definitely some value on this UNDER. It currently sits at 55 points and when these two met in last year’s playoffs, the total was 50.5. We’re sure the reason the oddmakers had to set this number so much higher than last year’s total was the fact the playoff game was such a high scoring final with the Chiefs winning 51-31. This is absolutely a different situation this year. We expect the offenses to be a bit behind to start the season with a shortened training camp and no pre-season games to get in sync offensively. In their playoff match up both teams were overly efficient offensively scoring 1 point every 10 yards gained. To put that in perspective, the team that led the NFL in yards per point efficiency was San Francisco at 12.6. The average YPPT number last year in the NFL was around 15.5. If that number was applied to the total yardage in that game last year (876 yards) they would have scored 56 total points, not 81. These 2 also met in October of last season with Houston winning 31-24. The Texans ran the ball 41 times in that game attempting to keep the ball away from the KC offense. It worked in the regular season meeting and we expect a heavy dose of new RB David Johnson here vs a defense that ranked 29th last year YPC allowed. Trying to get in a shootout with KC doesn’t work. Houston found that out in the playoffs. To put this number in the season opener in perspective, Houston didn’t have a SINGLE total set this high all of last season. Kansas City had ONE total set higher than this one and that was 55.5 vs Indy in what turned out to be a 19-13 game. If we project this total onto last year’s results for both teams, in other words if every total last year was 55 for each team’s games, we would have seen 24 Unders, 10 Overs, and 3 Ties. The UNDER in KC home games in which they are favored by more than a TD is an impressive 21-4! Simply too many points in a season opener with a less than ideal situation leading up to this game. Take the UNDER. |
|||||||
09-10-20 | Golden Knights v. Stars +150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 150 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Dallas Stars Money Line (+) over Vegas Golden Knights, Thursday at 8 PM ET |
|||||||
09-10-20 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Under 220.5 LA Lakers vs. Houston Rockets, 7PM ET - The Under continues to cash at a remarkable rate in the NBA Playoffs as teams have stepped up their defensive intensity and slowed their pace of play. That couldn’t be more true in this series between the Lakers and Rockets. Houston has flipped a switch and suddenly started playing defense in the restart. In the regular season the Rockets were 14th in defensive efficiency ratings allowing 1.103 points per possession. In the eight Bubble games the Rockets lowered that number to 1.095PPP and in the Playoffs they are giving up just 1.057PPP. In the regular season the Rockets were the 2nd fastest paced team in the NBA at 103.7 possessions per game. In the Playoffs the Rockets are averaging just 98.7 possessions per game which is 10th slowest of the 16 teams. But it’s not all about defense as the Rockets offensive efficiency numbers have dropped in the Playoffs too. The Lakers had the 3rd best defensive efficiency numbers in the regular season and have been nearly as good in the postseason allowing just 1.075PPP. The Lakers are also averaging under 100 possessions per game in the Playoffs. The Lakers shot well above their season average in Games 2 & 3 over 55% from the field in both and still only managed 117 and 112-points. Let’s not forget, the average number of field goal attempts per game in the NBA this season is 177 and these two teams have not combined for more than 164 FGA’s in any of the three games. The Under is the way to go here. |
|||||||
09-10-20 | Phillies -104 v. Marlins | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (+) @ Miami Marlins, Thursday at 6:40 PM ET |
|||||||
09-09-20 | White Sox v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 8-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Chicago White Sox @ Pittburgh Pirates, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-09-20 | Raptors v. Celtics OVER 210 | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Over 210 Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics, 6:30 PM ET - If you have followed our handicapping expertise for any length of time you know how much we like value in lines and bet numbers not teams. That is clearly the case in tonight’s game between the Raptors and Celtics. Game 1 of this series had a Total set by the oddsmakers of 217.5 which means the line has dropped a full 7.5 points over the course of five games. Granted all five have stayed below the Total but now that the number is this low, we must play Over. Average NBA games this season finished with roughly 223 points per game and Playoff games are around 220PPG. Our math model projects 218 Total points between these two teams which is what the Total was in Games 1 and 2. The Raptors are the 2nd fastest playoff team left behind only the Lakers in possessions per game and Boston is playing faster in this round than they did in the first. Both teams will get to 105 or better in this one and the game goes Over the Total. |
|||||||
09-08-20 | Heat -3 v. Bucks | Top | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Miami Heat -3 over Milwaukee Bucks, 6:30PM ET |
|||||||
09-08-20 | Royals v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians, Tuesday at 6:10 PM ET |
|||||||
09-07-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets OVER 219 | Top | 113-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on OVER 219 Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers, 9PM ET VALUE! This line is significantly lower than the Total in Game 2 of 224 and we prefer to put ourselves on the side of Vegas than the Public. In Game 1 the Clippers put up 120 points and took advantage of a huge weakness of the Nuggets defense and that is on the interior where they do not have a rim protector. The Clippers scored 66-points in the paint in Game 1 and shot 57% as a result. In Game 2 though the Clippers could not buy a bucket as they hit just 41% of their field goal attempts and 28% from beyond the 3-point line. Kawhi Leonard really struggled from the floor going 4 of 17, scoring just 13-points. The Clippers owned the 2nd most efficient offense in the NBA this regular season at 1.140PPP but they have been better in the post season at 1.210PPP. Granted, the Clippers stellar offensive numbers came against the Mavericks BUT the Mavs D has been better than Denver’s since the restart. The Nuggets were 16th in the NBA in defensive efficiency during the regular season but in the Bubble and Playoffs they have been far from good. The Nuggets have the worst DEFF in the playoffs, so the Clippers are going to score here without having to play up-tempo. Denver had a horrible shooting night in the opener of this series, but fatigue certainly played a big part in that. In Game 2 the Nuggets put up 110 total points and hit 45% from the field. Denver hoisted forty 3-pointers and hit 38% from beyond the arc. The Nuggets offense is 3rd in offensive efficiency in the Playoffs and have capable scorers in Jokic and Murray. At halftime of Game 2 these two teams combined for 128 Total points and were on pace to total 256 before two horrible shooting quarters in the 3rd and 4th. With the added value and dip in the number we will be OVER here. |
|||||||
09-07-20 | BYU v. Navy UNDER 48.5 | Top | 55-3 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON UNDER: Brigham Young Cougars at Navy Midshipmen, Monday at 8 ET: Game #244 |
|||||||
09-07-20 | Rays +111 v. Nationals | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Tampa Bay Rays Money Line (+) @ Washington Nationals, Monday at 6:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-06-20 | Rockets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Lakers -5.5 over Houston Rockets, 9PM ET In the series against the Blazers the Lakers averaged 1.149 points per possession which is 5th among playoff teams and better than their regular season numbers of 1.120PPP but against Houston in Game 1 of this series they hit just 42% of their FG attempts and scored 97-points. LeBron looked completely disinterested and the team couldn’t buy a 3-pointer as they hit 11 of 38 from beyond the arc. Off that horrible showing the Lakers will rebound here with a much better effort. Los Angeles was 12-8 SU off a loss this season with 8 of those wins coming on the road which is essentially the case here in the Bubble. The Lakers had the 3rd best defensive efficiency numbers in the regular season and have been better in the Playoffs allowing just 1.059 points per possession. Houston surprisingly played really well in the opener after a grueling 7-game series against the Thunder, but the numbers suggest they don’t play as well in this Game 2. Houston allowed 115PPG in the regular season this year which was 22nd out of 30 teams in the NBA. The Rockets allowed 50PPG in the paint this season which ranked them 23rd in the league while the Lakers were 2nd in the league in scoring in the paint at over 52PPG. Los Angeles will look to pound the ball inside against the Rockets in Game 2 and take advantage of a front line of Davis, McGee and Howard. Frank Vogel is a great coach and will adjust here including LeBron on the block a few times and take advantage of his size in the post. Lakers bounce back here with a double-digit win. |
|||||||
09-06-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Vegas Golden Knights versus Dallas Stars, Sunday at 8 PM ET |
|||||||
09-06-20 | Phillies +136 v. Mets | Top | 1-14 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (+) @ New York Mets, Sunday at 1:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-05-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers OVER 221.5 | Top | 110-101 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on OVER 221.5 Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers, 9PM ET We feel the Clippers have identified a huge weakness of the Nuggets defense and that’s on the interior where they do not have a rim protector. The Clippers scored 66-points in the paint in Game 1 and look for Kawhi and company to continue to attack the Nuggets vulnerable defense. The Clippers owned the 2nd most efficient offense in the NBA this regular season at 1.140PPP but they have been better in the post season at 1.210PPP. Granted, the Clippers stellar offensive numbers came against the Mavericks BUT the Mavs D has been better than Denver’s since the restart. The Nuggets were 16th in the NBA in defensive efficiency during the regular season but in the Bubble and Playoffs they have been far from good. The Nuggets have the worst DEFF in the playoffs, so the Clippers are going to score here without having to play up-tempo. Denver had a horrible shooting night in the opener of this series, but fatigue certainly played a big part in that and we expect a much better showing in Game 2. The Nuggets offense is 3rd in offensive efficiency in the Playoffs and have capable scorers in Jokic and Murray. In the last two regular season meetings between these two teams they combined for 235 points in each game. Denver will score more than 100 in Game 2 and The Clippers are getting to 120+ so this game goes Over rather easily. |
|||||||
09-05-20 | Reds v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-05-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Army -3.5 | Top | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Army West Point Black Knights (-) over Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Saturday at 1:30 PM ET: Game #242 |
|||||||
09-04-20 | Rockets v. Lakers -6.5 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Lakers -6.5 over Houston Rockets, 9PM ET This Game 1 situation is remarkably like the Clipper/Nuggets series as this Los Angeles team has been off since Aug 29th while the Rockets are off a grueling 7-game series with OKC and have little in the tank for this game. The Lakers took care of a Portland team that was in the same boat as the Rockets are now, exhausted and off a demanding series of games, so do not expect a close game in this opener. After losing Game 1 versus Portland the Lakers ripped off 4 straight wins by 23, 8, 20 and 9-points. Houston was taken to seven games against OKC and needed a last second defensive play (yes, I said defensive) from James Harden to preserve the win. Off that win expect a letdown here. There was some concern about the Lakers offense in the NBA restart as they had the second worst offensive efficiency numbers in the 8 Bubble games, but the Playoffs have been a different story. In the series against the Blazers the Lakers averaged 1.149 points per possession which is 5th among playoff teams and better than their regular season numbers of 1.120PPP. The Lakers had the 3rd best defensive efficiency numbers in the regular season while Houston was 14th but the Rockets have been better in the restart. LA is 14-6 SU this season when playing with 2+ days rest while the Rockets are 6-9 SU when at a disadvantage in rest and those losses have come by an average of -7.1PPG. The rested Lakers have the edge in this opener and our model predicts a 14-point win. |
|||||||
09-04-20 | Canucks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Vancouver Canucks Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Vegas Golden Knights, Friday at 9 PM ET |
|||||||
09-04-20 | Marlins v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON UNDER the Total - Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays, Friday at 6:40 PM ET |
|||||||
09-03-20 | Golden Knights v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON UNDER: Vegas Golden Knights versus Vancouver Canucks, Thursday at 9:45 PM ET |
|||||||
09-03-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -8.5 | Top | 97-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Clippers -8.5 vs. Denver Nuggets, 9PM ET At first glance you would think this number is way too high but in reality, it isn’t, especially given the circumstances. The Nuggets are in a tough spot here having just played a physically and mentally draining 7-game series against the Jazz. Denver was down 1-3 to Utah, then won three in a row which were all tight games. Jamal Murray was sensational in the series with 50, 42, 50 and 17 points in the final four games but he also logged over 40 minutes in each of those. Nuggets All-Star center Jokic also played more than his season average in minutes in the series and now on one day rest they face a Clippers team that has been off since Sunday. After a small scare in the first few gams of their series against the Mavs the Clippers took care of business by winning Games 5 and 6 by 43 and 14 points, respectively. In fact, their four wins over Dallas all came by 8 or more points which is obviously close to tonight’s spread. The Clippers are solid when they have a rest advantage over their opponents with a 28-18 SU record the past two seasons. How important is rest you ask? There are only 10 teams in the league that do not have winning records when playing with two or more days rest the past two seasons. These two teams met in the Bubble with the Clippers winning by 13. During the regular season L.A. had two more victories over Denver, each by double-digits (29 & 10). These two teams have remarkably similar numbers offensively in the Bubble and Playoffs, but the Clippers hold a HUGE advantage defensively where the Nuggets rank dead last in defensive efficiency ratings in both the Playoffs and Bubble. |
|||||||
09-03-20 | South Alabama v. Southern Miss -13 | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-) over South Alabama Jaguars, Thursday at 9 PM ET: Game #236 |
|||||||
09-03-20 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals, Thursday at 8:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-02-20 | Heat v. Bucks -5 | Top | 116-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Milwaukee Bucks -5 over Miami Heat, 6:30PM ET The computers and numbers have us on the Bucks tonight in a bounce back situation, off a loss and desperate for a win. Milwaukee has been “money” off a loss with a 13-5 SU record this season and a 35-9 SU run since the start of 2018. In the last two years when coming off a loss the Bucks average margin of victory is +10.7PPG and they cover the spread by nearly +3PPG. Both teams shot well in the opener, but the Heat were plus +5 in offensive rebounds and had 3 less turnovers. Jimmy Butler had a huge game for Miami with 40-points on 13 of 20 shooting while making 12 of 13 free throw attempts. League MVP could not match those numbers 18-points, 10 rebounds, 5 assists but turned it over 6 times and missed 8 free throws. The Greek Freak is a fierce competitor and will bounce back here with a huge stat line in Game 2. Last year in the playoffs in a similar situation the Bucks lost the first game of the series against the Boston Celtics then bounced back in Game 2 to win by 21-points. In the first round against Orlando the Bucks lost Game 1 then beat the Magic by 15 in the second game. Milwaukee was the number one or best defensive efficiency team in the NBA in the regular season allowing just 1.029 points per possession and Miami produced 1.150PPG in Game 1 which was an aberration based on season statistics. Expect a return to normal here and the Bucks get a double-digit win in Game 2. |
|||||||
09-02-20 | Mets v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - New York Mets @ Baltimore Orioles, Wednesday at 4:05 PM ET |
|||||||
09-01-20 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers, Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET |
|||||||
09-01-20 | Islanders v. Flyers +106 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 106 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) over New York Islanders, Tuesday at 7 PM ET |
|||||||
09-01-20 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 216.5 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 0 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Over 216.5 Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors, 5:30PM ET These two rivals met in the Bubble prior to the Playoffs and Vegas set a Total of 222.5 and now we have a number drastically lower for Game 2. Game 1 stayed below the number yet the oddsmakers opened this number slightly higher than the opening Total for Game 1. There were a few anomalies in the opener and most glaring was the Raptors poor shooting. Toronto hit just 37% of their FG attempts and 25% (10 of 40) from beyond the arc. Those numbers are drastically lower than the Raps season averages of 45.8% (FG%) and 37.5% which was the 5th best 3-Point percentage in the NBA. Toronto was 14th in offensive efficiency this season averaging 1.112 points per possession. In Game 1 against Boston the Raptors averaged .880 points per possession which is INSANELY low. To put that in perspective the .880PPP would be last in the NBA this season by a wide margin as Golden State was last at 1.052PPP. Boston OEFF in Game 1 was also slightly lower than their season average so expect an improvement in Game 2. It is no secret the Bubble games have been higher scoring as the smaller confines make for better shooting sightlines, which has led to higher scoring games. Before the Playoffs started the games in the restart averaged 231 total points. Thus far in the Playoffs games are averaging 225PPG. In the regular season NBA games averaged just over 222 total points so you can see for yourself this number is set below an average NBA outcome. The Celtics were the 4th most efficient offense in the NBA this season while Toronto was 14th but the Raptors OEFF numbers in the first round were fantastic at 1.220PPP. In the Bubble games the Raptors average offensive possession was just 13.7 seconds which was 6th fastest in the restart. Boston’s average offensive possession was 14.1 seconds which was 13th. The total on this game is based heavily on the fact that these two teams are two of the better in the NBA in defensive efficiency ratings (Raptors 2nd, Celtics 4th) but the number has been over-adjusted according to our math models. |
|||||||
08-31-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -131 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Colorado Avalanche Money Line (-) over Dallas Stars, Monday at 9:45 PM ET |
|||||||
08-31-20 | Rockets -5 v. Thunder | Top | 100-104 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Houston Rockets -5 over Oklahoma City Thunder, 9PM ET With this being an elimination game, you would expect most bettors to back the Thunder and the dog here but not us. The Rockets are a completely different team when they have dynamic guard Russell Westbrook in the lineup, and even though his numbers were not significant in the Rockets Game 4 win, he still had an impact. Westbrook’s ability to get to the rim and in driving lanes forces defenders in slightly instead of being in the gaps which allows Rocket shooters another split second to get a shot off. Expect more minutes and production from Westbrook tonight against the Thunder. OKC thought they found a way to contain James Harden with rookie Luguentz Dort defending him in Games 3 & 4 and causing problems for the Rockets scoring machine. In Game 5 the Rockets adjusted, hit Dort with better angles on screens which freed up Hardin who scored 31-points on just 15 shots. Dort then proved to be a liability on the offensive end of the floor where he missed 13 of 16 field goal attempts. The Rockets have been significantly better defensively in the playoffs and the Bubble allowing less points per possession than they did during the regular season while maintaining an offensive efficiency that is averaging 1.118PPP against OKC. We recognize the Thunder have solid support as an underdog and when off a loss, but the Rockets have too many scoring options for the Thunder to overcome. |
|||||||
08-31-20 | Nationals v. Phillies -131 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-) vs Washington Nationals, Monday at 7:05 PM ET |
|||||||
08-30-20 | Golden Knights v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Vegas Golden Knights versus Vancouver Canucks, Sunday at 10:30 PM ET |
|||||||
08-30-20 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | Top | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies, Sunday at 3:10 PM ET |
|||||||
08-30-20 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 216 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Over 216 Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors, 1PM ET Sunday The total on this game is based heavily on the fact that these two teams are two of the best in the NBA in defensive efficiency ratings (Raptors 2nd, Celtics 4th) but the number has been over-adjusted according to our math models. These two rivals met in the Bubble w/Total set by Vegas of 222.5 and now we have a number drastically lower for Game 1. Not to mention, the Bubble game finished with 222 total points which gets us the cash here. In the last eight meetings these two teams have combined for 216 or more points five times, AND the other three games stayed below 216 total points by the sum of 9-points. It’s no secret the Bubble games have been higher scoring as the smaller confines make for better shooting sightlines, which has led to higher scoring games. Before the Playoffs started the games in the restart averaged 231 total points. Thus far in the Playoffs games are averaging 225PPG. In the regular season NBA games averaged just over 222 total points so you can see for yourself this number is set below an average NBA outcome. Neither of these two teams were fast in terms of pace of play during the regular season but in the Bubble games they both averaged about 3 more possessions per game, which doesn’t seem like a lot, but is. The Celtics were the 4th most efficient offense in the NBA this season while Toronto was 14th but the Raptors OEFF numbers in the first round were fantastic at 1.220PPP. This game gets into the 228 range rather easily. |
|||||||
08-29-20 | Golden Knights v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 36 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Vegas Golden Knights versus Vancouver Canucks, Saturday at 9:45 PM ET |
|||||||
08-29-20 | Nationals -109 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Washington Nationals Money Line (-) @ Boston Red Sox, Friday at 7:30 PM ET |
|||||||
08-29-20 | Magic +13.5 v. Bucks | Top | 104-118 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Orlando Magic +13.5 over Milwaukee Bucks, 3:30 PM ET - Can the Magic win this game today? Sure, but will they, no. They can however cover the spread with the generous number. After winning Game #1 the Magic have been beaten by the Bucks by 15, 14 and 15 points. In the last game of this series the Bucks won by 15-points but needed to outscore the Magic by 12 in the 4th quarter. Milwaukee had the best overall average margin of victory this season at +10.1PPG which is a tremendous number, but it is still not enough to cover this spread. In the eight Bubble “regular” season games the Bucks average point differential was 0.3PPG and in this series their MOV is 8PPG. Orlando had a negative point differential of minus -1PPG and only 14 of their 43 losses this season have been by 15 or more points. The Bucks haven’t been great as a double-digit favorite this season with an 18-19 ATS record and given the circumstances they could be resting starters late in this game which would make for a potential back-door cover. Grab the points with Orlando. |
|||||||
08-28-20 | Braves v. Phillies -134 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-) vs Atlanta Braves, Friday at 7:05 PM ET |
|||||||
08-26-20 | Lightning -102 v. Bruins | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line (+) over Boston Bruins, Wednesday at 8 PM ET |
|||||||
08-26-20 | Cubs v. Tigers OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Chicago Cubs @ Detroit Tigers, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET |
|||||||
08-25-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Vegas Golden Knights versus Vancouver Canucks, Tuesday at 9:45 PM ET |
|||||||
08-25-20 | Mariners v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON UNDER the Total - Seattle Mariners @ San Diego Padres, Tuesday at 9:10 PM ET |
|||||||
08-25-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 111-154 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Clippers -6.5 over Dallas Mavericks, 9PM ET The Clippers are off of a poor showing and a last second loss in Game 4 to the Mavs and are now tied 2-2 in this first round series. NOBODY has been better than the Clippers when coming off a loss this season with a 21-3 SU record and an average margin of victory of +15.3PPG (covering games by 7.7PPG). The Mavericks have played well in the series and Luka Doncic is going to be next year’s MVP and may win that award multiple years. His buzzer beating step back 3-pointer is only the start of his legendary status in the NBA for years to come. The Mavs shot extremely well by making 50% of their FG attempts and 36% from beyond the arc. Those numbers are more of an aberration than a norm as the Mavs were 15th in the league in team field goal percentage on season and the Clippers had the 3rd best FG% “D” allowing 43.9% on the year. The Mavs are currently 1st in the NBA in offensive efficiency but the Clippers are 2nd. Defensively though the Clippers rank 5th in defensive efficiency while the Mavericks are 18th. Lastly, the Clippers have covered 9 of their last ten when coming off a loss. We are betting Paul George finally shows up and Kawhi Leonard shoulders the burden in this crucial game for the franchise. |
|||||||
08-24-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -143 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -143 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Colorado Avalanche Money Line (-) over Dallas Stars, Monday at 9:45 PM ET |
|||||||
08-24-20 | Pacers v. Heat -6 | Top | 87-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Miami Heat -6 over Indiana Pacers, 6:30PM ET Sometimes when it looks like two even teams on paper and all the stats are equal, but one team continues to win, it is a match up issue. That is clearly the case in this series as the Heat have beaten the Pacers three straight and four of five in the Bubble. The only game the Pacers won was a throw away game as the seedings were set. Miami has a +10PPG margin in the three wins and we cannot imagine them not winning again by double-digits in this elimination game. Going back before the break the Heat are 6-1 SU this season against the Pacers, covering five of the seven. Miami holds edges in both offensive and defensive efficiency numbers in this series and have gotten balanced scoring throughout this first round match up. In Game #3 the Heat had four players score 20+ points, six in double-digits. Indiana doesn’t have as many scoring options as Miami and just can’t keep pace with the Heat. If it ain’t broke, then don’t fix it. Heat win again. |
|||||||
08-24-20 | Blue Jays v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Run Line: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5 runs) over Toronto Blue Jays, Monday at 3:10 PM ET |
|||||||
08-23-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER: Vegas Golden Knights versus Vancouver Canucks, Sunday at 10:30 PM ET |
|||||||
08-23-20 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Denver Nuggets +3.5 over Utah Jazz, 9PM ET If you’ve been following ASA for any length of time then you know we are numbers bettors not teams bettors which has us on Denver here today. With no home court advantage and all the games being played on a neutral court the lines shouldn’t fluctuate too much from game to game but this series has seen a significant move. The Nuggets were favored by -4.5 points in Game 1 of this series but are now a 3-point dog here. That’s a huge swing in value and has us on Denver here. The Nuggets were blown out in Game 3 and now trail 1-2 in this series which makes this a desperate situation for Denver. Denver has been fantastic when coming off a loss this season with a 19-9 SU record and are 39-23 SU in that role the past two years. Since the restart the Jazz have an average point differential of minus -3.1PPG which is barely better than the Nuggets -4.8PPG and clearly not a big enough separation to cover this spread. The Dog has covered 4 of the last six in this rivalry. Grab the points! |
|||||||
08-23-20 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles, Sunday at 1:05 PM ET |
|||||||
08-22-20 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Indians, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET |
|||||||
08-22-20 | Bucks v. Magic UNDER 226 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: Under 226 Milwaukee Bucks vs. Orlando Magic, 1PM ET The Magic have done a great job controlling the tempo or pace in the first two games as it is their only option to win games against the Bucks. In the two games the combined field goal attempts for both teams is 179 and 178 which is barely above league average of 177. Let us not forget the Bucks are the fastest paced team in the league at 105.1 possessions per game while the Magic are 25th at 98.6. In this series the Magic came out in Game 1 and filled it up with 122 points on 49% shooting from the field overall, 39% from 3-point range and 95% from the stripe. In Game #2 the Bucks top rated defensive efficiency stepped up and limited the Magic to just 35% shooting from the field and 21% from beyond the arc. That was more inline with the Magic’s season stats as they were 27th in the league in team FG% at 44.3% and 23rd in offensive efficiency. In other words, the Magic will struggle to score again here and do their best to slow the tempo. Milwaukee broke out a little in Game 2 but one of the stories of all the Bubble games has been the struggles of the Bucks offense. Milwaukee was 8th best in the league in offensive efficiency this season but drop to 13th of 22 teams that played in the restart. Orlando is a top 10 defensive efficiency unit and match up well with Milwaukee. These two teams have met six times this season and only one (Game 1 when Orlando shot ridiculously well) has ended with more than 226 total points. |
|||||||
08-21-20 | Blues -131 v. Canucks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -131 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on St Louis Blues Money Line (-) over Vancouver Canucks, Friday at 9:45 PM ET |
|||||||
08-21-20 | Clippers -5 v. Mavs | Top | 130-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Clippers -5 over Dallas Mavericks, 9PM ET All the experts and oddsmakers had the Clippers as one of the three favorites along with the Bucks and Lakers to win it all in 2020 and they were not wrong. This team has been built for a Championship and now they are off a poor showing and a loss in Game 2 to the Mavs. That’s very important for our wager today as the Clippers are the BEST team in the NBA this season when coming off a loss with a 20-3 SU record and an average margin of victory of +15.3PPG (covering games by 7.7PPG). Great players respond when their egos have been bruised which will be the case Friday for Paul George and Kawhi Leonard who didn’t expect to be 1-1 in this series right now. The Mavericks played well in the first two games and Luka Doncic is going to be next year’s MVP and may win that award multiple years. The Mavs shot extremely well by making 50% of their FG attempts and 45% from beyond the arc. Those numbers are more of an aberration than a norm as the Mavs were 15th in the league in team field goal percentage on season and the Clippers had the 3rd best FG% “D” allowing 43.9% on the year. The Mavs are currently 1st in the NBA in offensive efficiency but the Clippers are 2nd. Defensively though the Clippers rank 5th in defensive efficiency while the Mavericks are 18th. We haven’t even mentioned the value in the line on this game as the Clippers have dropped a few points from the first two games. Lastly, the Clippers have covered 8 of their last nine when coming off a loss. Easy call with L.A. |
|||||||
08-21-20 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles, Friday at 7:35 PM ET |
|||||||
08-20-20 | Stars v. Flames +109 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Calgary Flames Money Line (+) over Dallas Stars, Thursday at 10:30 PM ET |
|||||||
08-20-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -6.5 | Top | 88-111 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Lakers -6.5 over Portland Trailblazers, Thurs 9PM ET The Blazers captured Game 1 by 7-points winning 100-93 and now lead the series 1-0 which makes this a must win for the Lakers. The oddsmakers have fallen into the Blazer trap here and have posted a number that reflects public opinion of Portland. The Lakers offense in the Bubble has been horrendous and is showed again in Game 1 of this series when L.A. attempted 18 more field goals in the opener, had 5 more total rebounds and were +12 in offensive boards but still lost. The Lakers shot just 35% against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA as Portland ranks 28th on the season in defensive efficiency ratings and has been worse in the Bubble allowing 1.209 points per possession. The Lakers made just 5 of 32 3-pointers in Game 1 and shot just 35% for the game which is drastically lower than their season average of 47.8% which was best in the NBA. In other words, let’s bet what the “norm” is instead of the abnormal results of Game 1. It was apparent to us as we watched the game how deliberate the Blazers were which was not how they played during the regular season (13th in pace of play). Portland was taxed physically and dictated a slower tempo with the Lakers knowing if they could keep it close, they have more playmakers at the end of the game and could steal a win. The fatigue of their pre-playoff run was obvious to us and will play a bigger part in this outcome. The Lakers had the 5th best overall average point differential in the NBA this season at +5.8PPG while Portland was negative at minus -1.1PPG. The Lakers have not been great as a favorite, but the Blazers have been especially poor as a dog with a 10-20-1 ATS record this season when getting less than 10-points. The Lakers Championship run hangs in the balance, and you can bet LeBron and AD show up here. |
|||||||
08-20-20 | Rangers v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Run Line: San Diego Padres (-1.5 runs) over Texas Rangers, Thursday at 8:10 PM ET |
|||||||
08-19-20 | Diamondbacks v. A's -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Run Line: Oakland A's (-1.5 runs) over Arizona Diamondbacks, Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET |
|||||||
08-19-20 | Hurricanes +135 v. Bruins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (+) over Boston Bruins, Wednesday at 4:00 PM ET |
|||||||
08-19-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets OVER 217 | Top | 124-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
ASA Top Play 10* on: Over 217 Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets, Weds 4PM ET Game 1 between these two teams could not have been much better as had everything a basketball fan wants in a contest. Denver won by 10-points, but it took overtime and was very close throughout. Jazz guard Donovan Mitchell had a monster game with 57-points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists but it wasn’t enough to offset the 36/5/9 put up by Jamal Murray and the 29/10/3 by Jokic for Denver. Of course, for our wager here the overtime period should not be factored into our thinking and influence our Over bet. In Game 1 these two teams combined for 220 total points in regulation which is enough to cash our ticket in Game 2. Since the restart, games involving the Jazz have averaged 230 total points while the Nugget games have averaged 242-points (2 OT games have this numbers slightly inflated). In the regular season these two teams were two of the slower paced teams in the league, but they made up for it by being highly efficiency on the offensive end of the floor. Denver is 5th in the NBA this year in OEFF at 1.131 points per possession while Utah is 10th at 1.124PPP. Both teams shot well in Game 1 but that has been the norm in the Bubble with great sight lines and backdrops for shooters. This number is set below league average and value lies with the Over bet. |
|||||||
08-18-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: LA Lakers -5.5 over Portland Trailblazers, Tues 8PM ET Noise! There has been a lot of noise surrounding the Blazers and their run in the Bubble to make the playoffs. There has also been a lot of talk about how poorly the Lakers have played in the restart and we are betting they’ve heard it and respond here. Let us start with the Blazers who expended a ton of energy to get here and played in several big, emotional games to capture the 8th seed. Damian Lillard has been sensational, and the Blazers offense has put up some impressive numbers in the Bubble but that changes here. The Lakers have the 3rd best defensive efficiency rankings in the NBA allowing just 1.063 points per possession. That is significantly better than the Blazers defense that is 28th in the league in D.E.F.F. Much has been made of the Lakers struggle on the offensive end of the floor in the Bubble games as it’s been atrocious but on the entire season they are 11th in offensive efficiency and much better than they’ve showed in these meaningless 8-games which had no bearing on their seeding. The Lakers had the 5th best overall average point differential in the NBA this season at +5.8PPG while Portland was negative at minus -1.1PPG. The Lakers haven’t been great as a favorite, but the Blazers have been especially poor as a dog with a 9-20-1 ATS record this season when getting less than 10-points. This will be a statement game for the Lakers and we predict a double-digit win. |
|||||||
08-18-20 | Capitals v. Islanders -115 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on New York Islanders Money Line (-) over Washington Capitals, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET |
|||||||
08-18-20 | Phillies -120 v. Red Sox | Top | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-) @ Boston Red Sox, Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET |
|||||||
08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 230 | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
ASA top play 10* on: OVER 230 Dallas Mavericks vs. LA Clippers, Monday Aug 17th 9PM ET - We are extremely excited about this bet and expect an easy win by about the 8-minute mark of the 4th quarter. We mentioned this a few bets ago that scoring is up in the Bubble restart compared to the regular season prior to March 11th. The smaller confines offer a “shooters background” and scoring has gone up from 223 total points per game to 230PPG. In other words, we are asking for an average scoring output from these two teams in this setting when we have the 5th (Clippers) and 6th (Mavs) ranked offensive efficiency units in Bubble play squaring off. The Clippers have averaged 118PPG in the Bubble while the Mavs have averaged 123PPG. Granted, the Clippers have the 10th best defensive efficiency numbers in the restart but the Mavs have the 20th out of 22 teams. The Mavs are averaging more possessions per game in the Bubble and the Clippers are 8th in the league in pace of play at 101.5 possessions per game on the season. The Mavs have allowed 126 or more points in 6 of their eight Bubble games and are clearly not known for their defense. These two teams met in the restart and combined for 237 total points which will be on the lower end of today’s scoring. BET OVER! |
|||||||
08-17-20 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 10 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves, Monday at 7:10 PM ET |
|||||||
08-17-20 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 7-1 | Win | 150 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
ASA NHL TOP PLAY 10* ON Colorado Avalanche Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Arizona Coyotes, Monday at 5:30 PM ET |
|||||||
08-16-20 | Blues -124 v. Canucks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* on St Louis Blues Money Line (-) over Vancouver Canucks, Sunday at 10:30 PM ET |
|||||||
08-16-20 | Dodgers v. Angels OVER 10 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON OVER the Total - Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels, Sunday at 4:10 PM ET |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.