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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +3 | Top | 95-134 | Win | 100 | 38 h 57 m | Show |
10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN) No Ja? No problem! The Grizzlies have done exceptionally well without their superstar in the line-up and with their backs against the wall, I expect their best collective effort tonight. Many will be pulling the trigger on GS here, thinking that without Morant, Memphis will struggle. But I think it'll be GS that struggles to put away this desperate home side. Memphis held the lead in the last game until the fourth quarter. Don't expect that to happen again here. Also note that Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge 2 straight losses against an opponent. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Memphis! AAA Sports |
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05-10-22 | Mavs +6 v. Suns | Top | 80-110 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
10* MAVERICKS (RED DRAGON) The Mavericks were a Top 5 defense in the regular season, and they've been fantastic so far in this series against the favored Suns as they enter off B2B victories, including a 111-101 win in Game 4. So far home floor advantage has proved critical in this series, but I'll say it's more about Dallas making adjustments after going down 0-2. Those adjustments and success will continue here in Game 3, and I'll argue that it has nothing to do with the venue, but more about the overall approach Dallas is employing now. If you're wagering on this game, you know the cast of characters and the strengths and weaknesses. The momentum as turned and this Dallas team is going to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. While I do think an outright win is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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05-09-22 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN) Why is this line so large suddenly? Because Grizzlies' star Ja Morant is injured. Memphis was going to get destroyed in Game 3 whether Morant went down or not though. It was a bad game overall for Memphis. The Grizzlies have always done really well without their star in the line-up though and I expect them to rally here and use the "next man up" mentality. The good news that's flying under the radar though for Memphis is that Dillon Brooks will be back after serving a 1-game suspension. The Warriors are in the drivers seat again in this series, but I expect a much more competitive affair in Game 4. Note that Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss of 20 or more points. I say Golden State wins, but the determined Grizzlies comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded; the play is Memphis! AAA Sports |
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05-08-22 | Heat v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* PHILADELPHIA (ASSASSIN) The 76ers are clearly a "different" team with Joel Embiid in the line-up. With a chance to tie up this series, I look for Philadelphia's big man to help key his team to another win at home. Jimmy Butler had 33 points in Game 3 for the Heat, but this 76ers team does indeed look much better at home, especially on the defensive end. The rest of the Heat struggled to shoot, and I expect that to be the case again here. Miami took full advantage in Game's 1 and 2, but now the shoe is on the other foot. Embiid is once again listed as questionable, but with that first awkward game out of the way, we can expect the MVP candidate to be much stronger here in Game 4 all around. Look for the 76ers to dial up the pressure even more and lay these short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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05-07-22 | Celtics +3 v. Bucks | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 32 h 43 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (RED DRAGON) This series is all tied up. Milwaukee won Game 1 in a blowout, and Boston returned the favor in Game 2. With the shift in venue though, I'm expecting a much tighter battle tonight. Khris Middleton is out indefinitely for the Bucks, and that's going to have an effect over the long-term. The Celtics have the league's top defender and Jason Tatum is a handful. The C's defended Giannis well in Game 2 and I'm expecting a similar effort here as well. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-04-22 | 76ers v. Heat -8 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
10* HEAT (ASSASSIN) Philadelphia looked lost without Joel Embiid in its opener vs. Miami and I have a hard time seeing the 76ers doing much better in Game 2. In fact, it was the Heat that really started off slowly in Game 1, but then they found their footing and confidently closed out with the 106-92 victory. I'm expecting an even more loip-sided destruction in Game 2. There's zero chemistry between James Harden and the rest of his teammates, while Jimmy Butler and Miami are poised for a much bigger and more dominating effort in Game 2. Miami won't be taking it easy. It's going to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish as they try and break the 76ers' collective will. I just can't see the visitors doing anything on either end of the court without Embiid in the line-up; so lay the points! AAA Sports |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (DESTRUCTION) I had a play on Boston in Game 1 and while that play came up short, I expect the home side to risk life and limb here to try and even up this series. Clearly, the last thing that Boston wants to do is head to Milwaukee in an 0-2 hole. The Bucks have been playing really well without star Khris Middleton since he went down with injury vs. the Bulls in the first game, but at some point they're going to have a small mental letdown in these playoffs, and I expect that moment to be this evening. "Rest" did lead to "rust" for Jayson Tatum and company after their 4 game sweep of the Brooklyn Nets. Milwaukee needed an extra game to take care of Chicago, and the Bucks just shot much more efficiently overall. Look for Boston to bounce back here in this super important Game 2 though, and for Milwaukee to be happy with the split that it's already earned; lay the points, the play is the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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05-01-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2.5 | Top | 117-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
10* GRIZZLIES (ASSASSIN) Two teams which had more difficulty than they likely expected in the first round, have advanced to the second round. Each looked great at times, and showed vulnerability in others. The Grizzlies aren't getting enough respect on their own floor is the bottom line for me here though. Golden State has been off since Wednesday. The Warriors went just 1-3 against the Grizzlies in the regular season. The quick turnaround works in the Grizzlies favor in my opinion. Look for Ja Morant to strike first over Stephen Curry and company; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +1.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) This has been a back-and-forth series. With their backs against the wall though, and especially because their playing at home, I look for the Wolves to dig deep here and to extend this series to a decisive Game 7. Clearly with a line like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are pretty evenly matched. And they are. But Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games as an underdog in the +0.5 to +3.5 points range. Both teams are healthy and their strengths and weaknesses are well known. I think the "home floor" advantage proves to be the difference-maker tonight, so buckle up and get ready for our first Game 7 of the Playoffs; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-28-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +2.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
8* PELCIANS (SPECIAL) This has been a back and forth series. The Suns are still without Devin Booker and while the managed a victory in Game 5, I believe the Pelicans will answer here on their home floor. The stats back our hypothesis as well, as note that New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. I say home floor DOES matter in Game 6; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-28-22 | 76ers -1.5 v. Raptors | Top | 132-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) I say Philadelphia and Doc Rivers finally get the "monkey" off their backs. Rivers has been involved with three different teams that have blown a 3-1 series lead. Philadelphia itself has just had issues with Toronto over the last five years and would love nothing more than to end this series here and now. I say that James Harden plays his best game of this series and I expect Philadelphia to run away with this one early, and never take the foot off the gas pedal. Toronto's never say die attitude runs out of gas tonight. Note as well that the 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge B2B SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Lay the points, the play is Philly! AAA Sports |
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04-26-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) So far, this has been a competitive series. These have been fun and exciting and competitive games. I don't think anything will change for Game 5 either between these deadlocked clubs. Minnesota won the last game by a score of 119-118. Over the first three games, Wolves' big man Karl Anthony Towns had been shut down, but he finally exploded for 33 points and 14 boards in Game 4. I expect him to build off that performance. With even more attention being put onto the big man, the Wolves' depth comes into play here as a considerable strength. Minnesota could have won Game 3 as well, but had an epic collapse in the fourth-quarter. For all intents and purposes, the Wolves could have been up 3-1 at this point. In what I expect to be another back-and-forth affair, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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04-25-22 | Jazz +3 v. Mavs | 77-102 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
8* PLAY on the Jazz (SPECIAL) Jordan Clarkson dropped in 25 points for the Jazz off the bench in Game 4 and he helped seal the deal for Utah in its 100-99 victory. In another contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Both teams have struggled at times in this series, but Utah's defense has held up. It ranked in the Top 10 in scoring defense during the regular season. Dallas only shot 43% in Game 4. On the season the Mavs only rank 24th in averaging 108 PPG. Luka Doncic has returned, but his health is still a bit of a question mark. As I stated earlier, this one is coming down to the wire; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-25-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Nets | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) I say the Nets are cooked. I say Kevin Durant won't answer here. I say Jason Tatum is underrated and overlooked. With a chance to put the final nail in the coffin of what will be considered one of the biggest busts of all time, I believe the Celtics go in for the "Death Blow" this evening. The Nets have been terrible in all facets, especially considering they turn the ball over 16 times per game. Brooklyn has also been allowing an average of 112.7 points per game to Boston. Boston has the defense to slow down Durant and I say Tatum has another huge outing as well. Clearly, the outright win is the prediction, but grab as many points as you can as well with Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-23-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | Top | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (FIRST RND. GOY) This has been an interesting series. And what I personally find interesting about it is that Memphis has somehow figured out a way to slow down Wolves' big man Karl Anthony Towns. He's also struggled a bit at times. That said, I simply can't see this struggling trend of futility lasting much longer. Minnesota had a huge lead in Game 3 and then it inexplicably came up short. With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, but as good as Memphis has looked over its last two games, it's still very inexperienced. This is uncharted territory, coming from behind in the playoffs on the road to take a series lead. I say that Towns and company bounce back here and take a page out of their "Game 1 playbook." Clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-22-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +3 | Top | 111-81 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* BULLS (RED DRAGON) What do you base your selections on? I have different ways of handicapping the regular season than I do in the Playoffs. Being successful in the playoffs is about making adjustments from game-to-game. That's true for handicappers as well. With Khris Middleton out, the Bucks are simply not the same team. Chicago has already gotten the home floor advantage after splitting out in Milwaukee and I expect the Bulls to push the pace here from start to finish. We could break down all the stats and look at every indidivual player matchup, but for me it's as simple as Middleton being out for the Bucks. And while I obviously think the outright win is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is CHICAGO! AAA Sports |
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04-21-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets +2 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON) With their backs against the wall, I like the Nuggets to bounce back here at home. Denver plays better at home and it's also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge 2 straight SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Golden State is now favored to win the Championship over Phoenix, but we'll see how well the Warriors fare on the road in this difficult venue. During the regular season Denver was No. 8 in scoring with 113 PPG. It's been an ugly start for the Nuggets to this series, but we can expect their best effort and another huge game from Nikola Jokic in the process; while the outright is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans +10 v. Suns | Top | 125-114 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (ASSASSIN) While my play on the Pels came up short in Game 1, I absolutely expect them to bounce back here and to keep this one tight up until the final moments. New Orleans fell 110-99 in Game 1, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Clearly, Phoenix is the better team in every regard, but I don't think it deserves to be a double-digit favorite in Game 2. We'll look for the Pelicans to give their best shot and while that will almost assuredly not be good enough to pull off the outright upset, it'll be more than enough to pull off the comfortable cover; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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04-18-22 | Nuggets +7 v. Warriors | Top | 106-126 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (GOW) The Warriors got the better of Denver by a score of 123-107 in Game 1, but I think that the Nuggets will, at the very least, keep Game 2 close enough to comfortably cover with the larger spread that they've been afforded tonight. Jordan Poole had 30 points for the Warriors in Game 1, going 5 of 7 from range. Suffice it to say, I don't expect lightning to "strike twice" for Poole and the Warriors this evening. Nikola Jokic was a force in Game 1 for Denver, finishing with 25 points and I expect him to have an even bigger impact this evening. Denver shot terrible from 3-point range as well in Game 1, finishing 31.5%, well below their nomral 35% clip. Again, we can expect things to "normalize" in that department for Denver this evening as well. I say the Nuggets throw their best shot they have; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-17-22 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Suns | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (RED DRAGON) Are the Suns the better team? Their record would sure indicate that. New Orleans advanced by winning its two Play-In games and I think it'll "sneak in under the radar" here in Game 1. Will the longer lay off help or hinder the Suns? Who knows is the answer. The Pelicans though are currently rolling and I say that momentum carries over in Game 1. New Orleans has been fantastic defensively of late, and it has the offensive punch to keep pace as well with Brandon Ingram back in the line-up. In every conceivable way the Suns are the better team, but not by double digits in this situation. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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04-16-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) This will be an interesting series. These teams are similar in many regards. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be a bit of an understatement, as Memphis 8-2 the L10 in this series. Minnesota averages 115.9 PPG, while Memphis averages 115.6. The Grizz are a bit better defensively in allowing 109.9, while the Wolves have conceded 113.2. Very small differences here. Yes, the Grizz have done well all season, but now that the playoffs are here, adjustments will be key. I think Game 1 comes right down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (BOB) The Pels easily handled the Spurs to advance to play the Clippers, and just like they were then, I think they're also undervalued and underrated by the bookmakers in this matchup as well. The Clippers lost 109-104 to Minnesota, and I believe they'll have their hands full here against this highly skilled visiting side. New Orleans looked superb defensively in its win, holding the Spurs to just 103 points. The Clippers also struggled to put points on the board against a Wolves team that finished in the bottom third on the defensive end. That doesn't bode well facing New Orleans here. I think the outright is possible, but let's grab up all these points as the official call! AAA Sports |
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04-13-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-132 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* HORNETS (GOW) I think the Hornets have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hornets won their final 3 regular season games, including a 124-108 victory over Washington, while Atlanta won 7 of its last 9, including a 130-114 victory over Houston in its finale. Charlotte has the fourth highest-scoring offense in the league, and the Hawks just aren't known for their tough defensive play. Neither are the Hornets mind you, but that still works in the underdogs favor in my opinion. These teams are almost identical. I say it comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON) Denver comes in as the "hungier" and more focussed team today. The Nuggets are off a 116-97 loss to San Antonio. They play with revenge here though after a 122-118 loss to the Grizzlies in January, and that's important for us to note, as the Nugs have are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss to an opponent. Memphis just had its 7 game win streak snapped in a tight 121-115 OT loss at Utah and I say it just "goes through the motions" this evening. Home court advantage really does matter for this one, the play is DENVER. AAA Sports |
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04-06-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) Off a 121-110 win over the Lakers last night at home, we're looking for the Suns to keep the foot on the gas here and deliver another "L" for the other team in LA. Despite last night's win, the Suns have still lost 4 straight ATS. Note though that that does in fact work in our favor here, as PHO is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more ATS losses in a row. The Clippers have been playing well of late, but with only two more games to go in the regular season, I don't see any drop off here from Phoenix as it looks to carry its momentum from a strong regular season, into a big playoff run. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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04-05-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +5.5 | 127-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* BULLS (SPECIAL) In a game that we believe will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. Milwaukee has lost two straight. It won't be rolling over here obviously, but I still think its vulnerable. Especially on the road. The Bulls play with revenge here as well after a listless 126-98 loss to Milwaukee as 6.5-point dogs in mid March. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Milwaukee returns home for a date vs. the red hot Celtics on Thursday and I say it gets caught looking ahead; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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04-05-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Pacers | Top | 131-122 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* 76ERS (GOW) I think this one sets up well for a complete ATS blowout for the road side. Philly is off a 112-108 win at the Cavaliers, but with a much tougher game at Toronto up next, the 76ers won't want to leave anything to chance. Then Philly closes out the year with two straight winnable games at home against the Pacers again, and then the Pistons to finish things off. Clearly Philadelphia doesn't want to "back in" to the playoffs. Chemistry is crucial at this point of the season. I say the 76ers put the foot on the gas and never let up. They also play with revenge after falling 118-113 to the Pacers as 4-point dogs at the start of the season. Indiana is off a 121-117 loss at home to Detroit. It can't even play spoiler here. I think the home side just "goes through the motions" tonight. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 42 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (GOW) This will be the Jayhawks toughest test yet. Everything has come together for UNC during this tournament. That said, this will also be the Tar Heels most difficult opponent by far. In fact, I'll argue that the Jayhawks' superiority on the defensive end will be the difference in the championship game. Kansas can shut down the three ball, and Armando Bacot is likely less than 100% health for this one, after a minor injury in the Final 4. Both teams have been superb to this point, but the Tar Heels have overachieved. I say that finally catches up to them here vs. the more rounded and deeper Jayhawks side; the play is Kansas! AAA Sports |
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04-03-22 | 76ers v. Cavs +5 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
8* CAVALIERS (SPECIAL) Both teams are fighting for a playoff spot. I feel that this one will be decided in the closing moments. The 76ers are off a much-needed 144-114 win at home over Charlotte, snapping a 3-game slide. With a much more "winnable" game at the Pacers up next, I say the 76ers get caught "flat footed" here in this difficult road venue and off their big win. The Cavs though play with revenge after a 118-114 loss to the 76ers on March 16th. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. The Cavs hit the road for 2 straight after this and hav to face the Nets and Bucks before the end of their season as well, so I say they take this revenge-spot VERY seriously; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-03-22 | Wizards v. Celtics -12.5 | Top | 102-144 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) Boston has been on quite the roll over the last month and it'll now look to close out the final week strong. It's off a 128-123 home win over Indiana. It's dropped 2 straight ATS, but I think it recovers here and lays the hammer down on the Wizards. Washington has nothing to play for. The C's dismantled Washington by a score of 116-87 in Janaury and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Note, this game takes on added importance for Boston as well with three straight tough road games to end the season after this, including at Chicago, Milwaukee and Memphis respectively. In their final regular season home game, I expect the Celtics to push the pace from start to finish; lay the points, the play is BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | 81-77 | Loss | -116 | 134 h 48 m | Show | |
9* DUKE (SPECIAL) UNC only hit 6 of 22 3-pointers against Saint Peter's, and while that was enough to move past the No. 15 seed, that's just not going to get it done against Coach K and Duke in the Final 4. To get to this point of the tournament, you have to be playing well at both ends of the court. And that's the case here, as move UNC and Duke enter on top form. Duke is the No. 2 seed here and it plays with revenge after its 94-81 home loss to UNC as an 11-point favorite in Coach K's final regular season home game. It was a crushing defeat, but now Duke has a golden opportunity to avenge that setback. Duke does everything just as well as UNC, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for the experience of Coach K in this spot to prove to be the difference in this revenge scenario; the play is Duke! AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | Jazz v. Warriors +2 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
8* WARRIORS (DESTRUCTION) We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season with just over a week left to play. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, but I simply feel that this one means a lot more to the home side. The Warriors are still without Steph Curry, but I expect the home side to step up here after 4 straight losses. The Warriors are deep and well coached. The Jazz are off a satisfying 122-109 win over the Lakers and I think they come in a bit complacent here. The Warriors play with revenge after a 111-85 slapping on Feb. 9, and note that GS is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. This one MEANS MORE to Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | Nets -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
10* NETS (ASSASSIN) Brooklyn is just 1-2 in its last 3. It's off a 120-119 OT loss at home to the Bucks. The easily handled the Hawks though back in December by a score of 113-105 and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Atlanta comes in off 4 straight wins, including a 131-107 victory over Cleveland in its last outing. I simply feel this is a really bad matchup for the Hawks. Atlanta is also still just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Look for the hungrier Nets to pull away down the stretch; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* FRESNO STATE (GOW) This is the semi-final of the College Basketball Classic at the Save Mart Center. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are averaging 78.8 PPG, and they're led by Tevian Jones, whoi averages 14.6 points and 4.7 boards. The Thunderbirds though have struggled on the defensive end overall this season, allowing 72.7 PPG. The Bullldogs only average 65.1 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end with one of the best defenses in the nation, conceding just 58.4 PPG. Orlando Robinson is a major matchup issue here for the Thunderbirds, as he averages 19.4 points and 8.2 boards per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State has the added advantage of playing at home here, where it has won by an average of 10 PPG this season. Look for the Fresno State's amazing defensive play to be the difference here; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Kings v. Heat -13 | Top | 100-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* HEAT (GAME OF WEEK) I base my picks on many different things. Sometimes I believe it's necessary to completely dissect a pick, looking at every stat possible, breaking down individual player matchups, looking at trends and scheduling, line movement and many other factors. Other times I believe that a more common sense approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and that's the case for this particular selection for sure. Miami is desperate to break out of its funk, as it comes in having lost 4 in a row SU and 7 in a row ATS. It also plays with revenge here after falling 115-113 at Sacramento as a 3.5-point fav on January 2nd. This is a big and important game for the Heat, even more so when considering their upcoming 3-game road trip after this vs. Boston, Chicago and Toronto. Sacramento is off B2B victories. It's won 3 straight ATS. Can anyone say predictable letdown spot here?! Especially with 2 straight games at lowly Houston up next?! Lay the points, expect a blowout of epic proportions! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
8* NORTH CAROLINA (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Saint Peter's magical run is about to come to an end here vs. the most well-rounded team its seen yet. Yes, the Peacocks defense (67.7 PPG allowed) and overall "never say die" commitment has been impressive, but UNC looks like a wrecking ball right now. The Tar Heels are averaging 87 PPG so far during the Tournament and they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a neutral court favorite in the -6.5 to -9.5 points range. Saint Peter's has been an "ATS covering machine" during its conference tournament and now the NCAA Tourney, but I say that streak comes to an end here finally, with the oddsmakers giving this "Cinderalla" just a little too much respect now; the play is North Carolina! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -6 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The bottom line for this play is that the Jayhawks have arguably looked like the most well-rounded and dominant team in the Tournament so far. Miami has had lapses on both ends of the court this year. The Hurricanes struggle on the defensive end at times. And this Kansas defense, which allows just 42.1 % shooting from the floor, will be up to the task of slowing down this Hurricanes' potentially dangerous offense. Kansas holds a huge offensive rebounding edge, 32.1% compared to just 20.2% for the Canes. The rebounding and defensive edges that the Jayhawks have in this matchup will turn out to be the difference for them in the end; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
8* DUKE (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Arkansas has been unbelievable this year, but I say that Duke's incredible offense wins over the Razorbacks tough-nosed defensive play finally. Off their now legendary 74-68 win over No. 1 seed Gonzaga, an imminent letdown is in store for the underdog tonight in my opinion. The Blue Devils got past a similar tough-nosed defensive team in Texas Tech last time out in their 78-73 win. Look for Coach K to have something new up his sleeve here as his players keep the foot on the gas on the offensive end as Duke comfortably moves on to the Final Four; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Kings v. Magic -3 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
8* MAGIC (SPECIAL) I am travelling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Kings are off a rare road win, coming from behind to knock off Indianapolis by a score of 110-109. Now they face a revenge-minded Magic team that fell 142-130 at the Kings on December 8th. Note that Orlando is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Magic posted two straight home wins before a 118-102 loss at Oklahoma City. Expect a return to form here in this revenge scenairo. Lay the points, the plays ORLANDO. AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* NOVA (ELITE 8 GOY) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Cougars are off a 72-60 win over Arizona, while Nova enters off a 63-53 victory over Michigan. Houston averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 59, while Villanova averages 72.8 PPG, while allowing 62.9. This is an interesting matchup, as this is the toughest team that Houston has had to face yet. Nova has the defense to match Houston and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Villanova! AAA Sports |
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03-25-22 | Warriors v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN) The Hawks have gone just 1-2 in their last 3. Off a 122-101 loss at Detroit as 5-point favs, I say that ATL bounces back here at home in this revenge scenario. ATL lost 127-113 at Golden State at the start of the yar, but note that the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Warriors snapped a 3-game slide with a 118-104 road win at Miami in their last game as 9.5-point underdogs, but with a much more "winnable" game in the Nation's capital on Sunday, this sets up as a classic "trap" for the visitors. A great overall situational play in my opinion; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Cavs v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* RAPTORS (ASSASSIN) There's zero reason to overthink this one, as Toronto is 0-3 SU/ATS so far in this season series. The triple-revenge factor is the main reason behind this play. Cleveland hasn't played since it's 131-120 home loss to the Lakers and with a home game against Chicago next, this also sets up as a bit of a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. The Raptors are off a 113-99 loss at Chicago, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. I expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
10* ARKANSAS (SWEET 16 GOY) Gonzaga was on the ropes in the second round against Memphis, down by ten at half time, but the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers 51-37 in the second half and managed the 82-78 victory. And I don't think things are going to get any easier on the Tournament's No. 1 seed here vs. this under the radar Arkansas Razorbacks team. Gonzaga is back in the Sweet 16 for a seventh straight year though, so this is an experienced Gonzaga team obviously, led by Chet Holmgren, who actually only had nine points and nine boards in the win over Memphis. Over the last six seasons the Zags have a 4-2 record in advancing to the Elite Eight and to do that again this season, they're going to have to have to beat an Arkansas team that advanced to this point by beating New Mexico State 53-48. JD Notae was big in that victory for the Razorbacks with 18 points and an amazing eight steals. Arkansas did lose the rebounding battle, but it won the steal ratio by a score of 3 to 1. This is the Razorbacks second straight Sweet 16 appearance, so this is a talented an experienced Arkansas team as well. And it's one that I think can also take Gonzaga down to the wire here in the Sweet 16 as well. I say Gonzaga makes it through to the Elite Eight again, but I think that it'll be another nail-biter here decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is Arkansas! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* PISTONS (ASSASSIN) I base my picks on many different things. Scheduling at this time of the year is a big factor I always look at, as team's playing the 2nd game of a B2B are definitely fatigued. Let's not overthink this one, as after its 117-111 win as a 3.5-point fav just last night, I believe New York suffers a predictable letdown here. Detroit is coming off a 119-115 loss at home to Portland, but previous to that had covered in 8 of its last 9. The Pistons got the better of Atlanta by a score of 113-110 in OT as 8-point dogs 2 weeks ago, and I say another outright victory is a possibility here as well; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 52-67 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
10* WAKE FOREST (BLOWOUT) The Demon Deacons enter the Quarterfinals of the NIT with a 25-9 record, while the Aggies enter at 25-12. Wake Forest is led by Alondes Williams and they're coming off an 80-74 victory over VCU. Williams, who averages 18.8 PPG, had 19 in the victory. Wake is skilled on both ends of the court though, as it concedes just 70.1 PPG. Texas A&M advanced by beating Oregon by a score of 75-60. Quenton Jackson was a standout with 17 points. Overall Texas A&M has also done well on both ends of the court, coming in allowing only 66.9 PPG. Wake's superior offense is the difference-maker for me though, as it makes this a coin-flip contest in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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03-22-22 | Southern Utah +4.5 v. UTEP | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 60 m | Show | |
8* SOUTHERN UTAH (SPECIAL) Here's one that I expect to come right down to the wire. Southern Utah is 21-11 this year, while UTEP is 20-13. The Thunderbirds beat Kent State to advance to this point, while the Miners beat Western Illinois. In the Kent State matchup, the Thunderbirds came from behind to win 83-79, led by 27 points from Dre Martin. The Miners won their matchup against the Leathernecks by a score of 80-54, but note that they're just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS victory of 25 or more points. Southern Utah's offense has hit 79 or more points in three of its last four and while I do think an outright upset is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Thunderbirds! AAA Sports |
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03-22-22 | Warriors v. Magic +8.5 | 90-94 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN) Golden State comes into this game fatigued. It's off B2B home losses, falling 110-88 to to Boston, before then dropping a 110-108 loss at home to the Spurs. With a game at Miami tomorrow, followed by contests at Washington and Memphis, can anyone say "letdown/look-ahead" spot here?! Not suprisingly, the Magic play with revenge after a 126-95 loss at Golden State as 15.5-point underdogs in early December. Off a 90-85 home win over OKC, I say the Magic "catch" the Warriors at a great time here. Orlando is a rebuild season, but it's healthier now than it's been at any other point and I believe it will take this game seriously. Outright win?! Anything is possible, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Magic! AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | Raptors v. Bulls -4 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* BULLS (ASSASSIN) Chicago has lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS (that does in fact work in our favor here though, as the Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight losess in a row.) Chicago also plays with revenge after a 127-120 OT setback to Toronto at the start of February. Finally though, note that Toronto played and won 93-88 at Philadelphia as 7.5-point underdogs just last night! It's a perfect spot for a hungry and revenge-minded team; lay the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | USC Upstate v. South Alabama -9.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
10* SOUTH ALABAMA (GOW) Home floor is going to be an advantage here. South Alabama tok down Southeastern Louisiana by a score of 70-68 in the opening round The Basketball Classic. USC Upstate got by App State by a score of 80-74 in the first round. USA though is now 14-2 at home and it's ranked 31st in the country in conceding just 63.3 PPG. USA also finished ranked in the Top 3 in the Sun Belt in scoring with 71.4 PPG on average. The Spartans average 70.9 PPG, but their suspect defensive play on the road is the difference-maker here. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Texas +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
10* TEXAS (BOB) Texas looked great in its 83-71 win over Virginia Tech in the last round and I believe it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Andrew Jones was dominant with 21 points, including 5 three balls. Purdue did what it was supposed to do in its 78-58 win over Yale. Jaden Ivey led the way in that one with 22 points. Purdue has struggled in this spot for bettors, going 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 following a SU win. Texas on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS neutral site win in which it scored 80 or more points in. While I do feel the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show | |
9* NOTRE DAME (ASSASSIN) It's a No. 11 seed vs. a No. 3. Notre Dame opend up with a double OT win over Rutgers in the First Four, and they carried that momentum over into their victory over Alabam in the first round. I look for the Irish to carry that confidence and momentum over to this one as well. Texas Tech smashed Montana State in its opening match on Friday, but now it faces a much tougher challenge in Notre Dame. The Irish lost 87-80 to the eventual champion VT Hokies in the ACC Tournament, but they sure looked great in their 78-64 victory over the Tide. Texas Tech has the No. 1 defense in the country, but the Irish have the No. 28 ranked offense in terms of efficiency rating. Texas Tech is ranked No. 43. The Irish come in looking fresh and while I don't think they'll win SU, I do think they'll cover with ease; grab the poitns, the play Notre Dame! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Ohio State +5.5 v. Villanova | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 59 m | Show | |
8* OHIO STATE (BLOWOUT) Ohio State won't be going down with a fight. I like the Buckeyes to, at the very least, take the Villanova Wildcats right down to the wire here. Ohio State is off a 54-41 win over Loyola Chicago and I expect another tough defensive performance here. Zed Key and Kyle Young returned to the lineup for the Buckeyes in their last game and they made an immediate impact on the boards. If there's one area that the Buckeyes have an advantage over Villanova, it's on the glass. The Buckeyes live and die by the 3-ball, and they're darn good at shooting from range, but defending the perimeter is a Buckeye defensive speciality. This is a bad matchup for Villanova. This could be an outright upset, but let's grab the points; the play is Ohio State! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Richmond v. Providence -2.5 | Top | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
10* PROVIDENCE (2ND RND GOY) After its epic upset over Iowa in the first round, I think Richmond has a predictable letdown here. The Spiders won 67-63 as 13.5-point underdogs, but I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice. Richmond struggled offensively, but somehow managed to slow down the Hawkeyes potent offensive attack. Richmond hasn't been to the round of 32 since 2011. Providence advanced by beating South Dakota State by a score of 66-57, ending the Jackrabbits 21-game win streak. They were only second to Gonzaga in points scored per game this year (86.7), but they stumbled big time against superior competition. Richmond's big upset is now going to be a major "hangover" for Richmond; I'm laying the points, but expecting a lop-sided victory! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Bucks -2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 119-138 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
10* BUCKS (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are the defending champs and the Wolves are the hottest team in the league right now. Minnesota is actually the No. 1 offense in the entire NBA. The Bucks are No. 3. Each is playing extremely well on both ends of the floor and honestly, it wouldn't be difficult at all to write a convincing argument for either of these league-leading squads to come out on top in this one. So why do I like the Bucks here? Simple. Revenge factor. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here vs. a the revenge-minded Bucks who fell 113-108 at home to Minnesota at the start of the season (as note, Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) To be the champ, you gotta beat the champ, and that's not happening twice; the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor -5.5 | 93-86 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
8* BAYLORÂ Two good teams collide. But the Bears are better and I say they find a way to get the job done in the end. North Carolina took a poor loss to Virginia Tech in the tournament, but it bounced back in a big way in its 95-63 opening round win over Marquette. Brady Manek (28 points and 11 boards) and Armando Bacot (17 points and 10 rebounds) both posted double-doubles. Baylor hasn't lost B2B games all year. It actually lost to Oklahoma on March 10th, but then bounced back to hammer Norfolk State by a score of 85-49 in the first round. Matthew Mayer led the way with 22 points and six rebounds. Neither team has been perfect this year. Each has been susceptible to letdowns, but Baylor's superior defense is going to throw a monkey-wrench into UNC's well-oiled offense today; look for the Bears to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | CS-Fullerton +17.5 v. Duke | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 107 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Fullerton With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. It's David vs. Goliath here. At least the bookmakers believe this will be a bloodbath. However, I like No. 15 seed Cal State Fullerton to sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch here vs. No. 2 Duke. The biggest reason I like this play is because Duke's defense is a major concern in this tournament, as it's ranked 46th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last month of the season; look for CAL STATE FULLERTON to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all these points! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Chattanooga +7.5 v. Illinois | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 107 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Chattanooga With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Chattanooga not only won the Southern regular season crown, but it also rolled its way through the Conference tournament. The reason why? Chattanooga loaded with veteran players and it has the length/size to keep up with Illinois star Kofi Cockburn. Illinois is solid and it likely will win this game SU, but it'll be a dog fight unitl the final moments; grab the points, the playis Chattanooga! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue -15.5 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 102 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Purdue With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, the Yale Bulldogs have been decent defensively, but this Bulldogs team DOES NOT have the legs to keep up with the high-flying Boilermakers. The Bulldogs managed the upset over Princeton in the conference tournament, but the time off between games won't help with this underdogs chemistry. Purdue's defense isn't the best, but it doesn't have to be here. Yale is a small team, and Purdue is filled with giants. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions; the play is Purdue! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Jacksonville State +16.5 v. Auburn | 61-80 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Jacksonville State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. These teams feature a couple of really dynamic players in Auburn's Jabari Smith Jr. Smith and Jacksonville State's 6-foot-10 center Brandon Huffman and 6-foot-11 center Maros Zeliznak. I think Auburn will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas. Jacksonville State did lose to the only other ranked team it played this year, but it was a tight affair, as it lost 65-59 to Alabama in December. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is Jacksonville State! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | San Francisco -1.5 v. Murray State | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 38 m | Show |
10* SAN FRANCISCO (FIRST RND GOY) Yes, the Murray State Racers have a 30-2 record, but all good things have to come to an end. This is an underrated Dons side which I believe has the advantage here. San Francisco finished 24-9. The Dons finished second behind Gonzaga of course. They lost 81-71 to the Bulldogs this year as 14.5-point underdogs. The Dons average 77.1 PPG, while conceding 67. The Racers average 79.3 and allow 62.3. San Fran's 2 best players are listed as questionable, but expect them both to be playing in this do or die situation. Murray State comes from the weaker conference and is overrated; the play is the Dons! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | New Mexico State +7 v. Connecticut | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 83 h 24 m | Show | |
8* New Mexico State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. I think the outright win really is possible here for the No. 12 seed Aggies, who hold big advantages in offensive rebounding and also in free throw rate. New Mexico State is no slouch, as it won the WAC and it matches up well against the Huskies, as each team excels when running a slow-tempo offense. I say this one is much more evenly matched than what  AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | Georgia State +23.5 v. Gonzaga | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 81 h 50 m | Show | |
8* Georgia State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. No outright, but I think the Zags take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half. The Bulldogs are among the best in the nation on both ends of the floor. No. 16 seeds are 1-143 all-time vs. No. 1 seeds. Georgia State though enters on top form and won't be intimidated after 10 straight wins. Georgia State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10, while the Zags are just 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7. This one is MUCH closer than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | South Dakota State v. Providence -2 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 77 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Providence With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. South Dakota State is a 30-win team that stormed its way through The Summit Tournament as well, but after a difficult exit from the Big East Tournament, I expect Providence to hit the "reset" button here in this golden opportunity to redeem itself. The Jackrabbits can score, but their lack of depth on the defensive end is the difference in this one; lay the short points, the play is Providence! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | Michigan v. Colorado State +2.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 40 m | Show | |
8* Colorado State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, Michigan avoided the First Four with a record of 17-14, but it sure shouldn't have. The Rams have been solid in the MW all year and they're the much better 3-point shooting team. The Wolverines have Hunter Dickinson down low, but I don't think that'll be enough today. Off a first round conference tourney loss to Indiana, Michigan should NOT be favored here; grab the points, the play is Colorado State! AAA Sports |
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03-16-22 | Bryant +2 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* BRYANT (GOW) I like Bryant to pull off the slight upset here. It's in the Tournament after winning the Northeast Conference Tournament. Wright State won the Horizon League Championship. The winner of this one will have the prize of facing No. 1 seed Arizona. Wright State is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after upsetting No. 1 seed Cleveland State during the tournament, as well as No. 3 seed Northern Kentucky. Bryant averages 77 PPG, while Wright State averages 76. The Bulldogs though are one of the highest volume 3-point shooting teams in the country, and Wright State is terrible defending from range. Bryand also averages over 40 rebounds per game, while the Raiders average 34. In an evenly matched game, these small details are the difference maker; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +9 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN) The Nets routinely "play down" to the level of their competition and I expect that detrimental trend to continue here on the road against the lowly Magic. Brooklyn has Kevin Durant back in the line-up, and wouldn't you know it, the Nets are winning games again, entering on a 3-game skein. Most recently it was a 110-107 home victory over the Knicks. But with a much more difficult (and more "high profile") game at home against the Mavericks the following night, Durant could be rested here, with Kyrie Irving carrying the load. Either way, this one definitely sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. The Magic have been playing better of late, going 4-1 ATS in their last five. Their off a 116-114 OT home loss to the 76ers, and I say they carry that confidence and momentum over here; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-14-22 | Bulls v. Kings +5 | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
8* KINGS (DESTRUCTION) The Bulls are off a 101-91 win at home over Cleveland, but I think they'll have their hands full here vs. this hungry home side. The Bulls have much bigger fish to fry as well, with games at Utah and Phoenix upcoming. I say Chicago gets caught looking ahead here. The Kings play with revenge after a 125-118 loss at Chicago in mid February and they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Kings are off a 134-125 loss to Utah, but note that they're 8-3 ATS in their last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they conceded 130 or more points in. While I do feel that an outright upset is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-14-22 | Wizards +12.5 v. Warriors | Top | 112-126 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* WIZARDS (ASSASSIN) I'm not calling for an outright win or anything, but I do think that Washington will keep this one competitive until the final moments, and I do expect Golden State to take the foot off the gas in the second half as it prepares for a red hot Celtics team coming to town on Wednesday. The Warriors are off 3 straight wins/covers, but after their big 122-109 upset home win over the defending champs, we can expect a predictable mental letdown here. Washington fell 127-118 at Portland in its last matchup, but everything points to this one coming down to the wire. As I stated off the top, I'm not calling for the outright victory, but this spread is way too large considering these other factors; grab the points, the play is WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Lakers v. Suns -8.5 | Top | 111-140 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) I like the Suns to try and make an example of LeBron James and the Lakers today. It's impossible to know what kind of effort you're going to get out of James and the Lakers from game-to-game. After his 50 point performance in a win over the Wizards in his last outing, I say "The King" has a predictable letdown here against this "step up" in competition. The Suns will be plenty motivated here as well after falling 117-112 at home to the Raptors as 4.5-point underdogs. And with a game at home tomorrow night against Toronto, the Lakers are also going to get caught "looking ahead" tonight; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
10* TENNESSEE A&M continues to upset its way into the SEC Championship game, but I say that the Aggies "luck" finally runs out here. Texas A&M beat Arkansas by a score of 82-64 to advance, while Tennessee beat Kentucky by a score of 69-62. During the reg. season, A&M averaged 73.1 PPG, while allowing 66.7, while Tennessee averaged 73.6 PPG, while conceding just 62. In the lone matchup between the teams this year, Tennessee won by a score of 90-80, but it was unable to cover the large 11.5-point spread. This is a matchup that favors Tennessee and I expect a similar final combined discrepancy here as well; lay the points, the play is the VOLUNTEERS. AAA Sports |
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03-12-22 | Michigan State v. Purdue -6 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* PURDUE (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) The winner of this game will go on to play in the Big Ten Championship. MSU is off a 69-63 win over Wisconsin. Purdue plays with revenge here as well after falling 68-65 at MSU in the only reg. season game. The Boilermakers though are now the highest seed remaining in the tournament and they're also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Boilermakers have two talented big men and I believe they'll be too much for Tom Izzo's team today. Look for the Purdue's veteran leadership in the backcourt to be the difference-maker in this important Conference contest; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | South Carolina State +2 v. Morgan State | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
10* SOUTH CAROLINA STATE (MEAC TOURNEY GOY) Yes, the 12-13 Morgan State Bears have the home floor advantage here, and yes they enter on a 3-game win streak here, but I still say this 1 favors 15-15 South Carolina State. Morgan State averages 75.7 PPG, while allowing 72.2, while South Carolina State averages 71.7 PPG, while conceding 72.3. Morgan State finished just 8-13-0 ATS and when playing as at least a 1 point fav, the Bears own a record of just 4-5 ATS this year. South Carolina STate on the other hand has posted a 14-12-1 ATS record and when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Bulldogs are 12-8-1 ATS. Look for these strong trends to continue here on Thursday night; the play is South Carolina State! AAA Sports |
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03-09-22 | Stanford +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* STANFORD (PAC 12 TOURNEY GOY) Two teams that had poor season's have a chance at redemption in the Conference tournament, but for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the Cardinal. Stanford lost 5 straight down the stretch and went just 1-4 ATS in that span. The Cardinal though are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a 5 games or longer losing streak. Overall the Cardinal average 65.8 PPG. They beat ASU 79-76 at home, but then fell at ASU in the final regular season game by a score of 65-56. Note that Stanford is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 59 or less points in. ASU averages just 65.2 PPG and in a contest that I foresee being decided in the final seconds, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Stanford! AAA Sports |
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03-08-22 | NC State +5.5 v. Clemson | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
8* NC State (SPECIAL) I think 11-20 NC State will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread it's been afforded. NC State backed its way into the conference tournament with 4 straight losses, but note that the Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 still after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Clemson finished 16-15. It won its final 4 games. Note though that the Tigers are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more SU victories in a row. These teams played on January 8th and Clemson managed the 70-65 SU victory as a 1.5-point underdog, but I expect an even tighter battle this time around. This one has all the makings of a "nail-biter," so let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-07-22 | Hawks -8 v. Pistons | Top | 110-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN) There's no question that Detroit has been playing better of late, but I expect the proverbial wheels to fall off the bus today. Detroit has won 5 of its last 7 and covered in 7 straight. Note though that it's still just 2-13 ATS in its last 15 after 5 or more straight covers in a row. Atlanta has been playing a lot better in the second half as well and has a legitimate shot at the playoffs again. It's off B2B wins, including a 117-114 road win at Washington. With a tough game at Milwaukee on deck next, I expect the visiting side to take this road contest very seriously. Lay the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | UCF v. Tulsa +2.5 | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* TULSA (ASSASSIN) I think that 17-10 UCF gets caught looking past its lowly 9-19 opponent. The Knights had their 2-game win streak snapped last time out in an 82-67 loss to Tulane. UCF averages 70.1 PPG, while allowing 67.7. Tulsa enters off 3 straight losses, most recently falling 72-62 to Wichita State on Wednesday. The Golden Hurricane average 67.3 PPG, while allowing 69.5. Tulsa plays with revenge here as well after falling 76-67 as a 7.5-point dog at UCF on Feb. 14 (the Golden Hurricane are in fact a sharp 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent.) In what will be a highly competitive game, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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03-05-22 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Texas A&M | 64-67 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
8* MISSISSIPPI STATE (SPECIAL) This is each team's respective final regular season game. Mississippi State is looking to bounce back after an 81-68 loss to conference-leading Auburn in its last outing. The Bulldogs are now 17-13 overall, but they have a chance here to move to .500 today with their conference record sitting at 8-9. Texas A&M is off an 87-71 win over Alabama as a 10-point underdog. The Aggies are 19-11 overall and 8-9 in conference play. The Bulldogs average 71 PPG, while conceding 66.9, while the Aggies average 73 PPG, while allowing 66.9. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois +9.5 | Top | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (MAC BOB) I think that the 23-7 Ohio BObcats will look past the lowly 9-21 Northern Illinois Huskies this evening. The Huskies put up a decent fight in Ohio in late January, but they ultimatley fell 74-62. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much more competitive game tonight. NIU did post a cover in that setback though, as it was afforded a whopping 18 points. The Bobcats come to town in a funk as well, having lost 3 of their last 4 and 2 straight. They most recently fell 80-77 to 5-13 Bowling Green! NIU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent as well. Ohio is on the ropes and I think the Huskies can smell the blood in the water. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but make sure to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Cavs +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* CAVALIERS (EXPRESS) The Cavaliers have struggled since the All Star break, while the 76ers now look unbeatable with James Harden in the line-up. However, that's only helped in driving this home line a couple points higher than it really should be in my estimation. The Cavs are 36-26 overall, including 17-15 on the road. They're off a 119-98 loss at home to Charlotte, which is important to note here as they're 12-6 ATS in their last 18 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 99 or less points in. The Cavs also play with revenge here after a 103-93 home loss to Philly in the middle of February. The 76ers have won 4 straight, but with a much more "high-profile" contest at Miami tomorrow night, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is something that we have to take into consideration here as well. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments, so I'm grabbing the points with the Cavaliers! AAA Sports |
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03-03-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +4.5 | Top | 71-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CONF. USA GOM) Two teams with similar names and records collide in Conference USA action on Thursday night and in my opinion, this one favors the home side. FAU is 16-13, while FIU is 15-14. FAU won both games last year, so FIU won't be taking anything for granted here. FAU is coming off a 74-69 road win at Charlotte, but previous to that it had lost four in a row. FAU averages 73.8 PPG, while FIU averages 71.6. The major difference though is that FAU is just 3-8 on the road, while FIU is 11-4 at home. Look for FIU to continue its hot play on its own floor! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Cincinnati +15 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* CINCINNATI (GOW) I think that Cincinnati will cover comfortably here. The Bearcats will be hungry to snap a 3-game slide, most recently falling 56-54 to USF. John Newman III was a bright spot in defeat with 11 points and eight rebounds. Houston comes in on the other end of the mental spectrum, content after 4 straight victories. That includes a 75-61 win over SMU on Sunday. Note though that the Cougars ars just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. The Bearcats average 70.2 PPG, while allowing 65.4, while Houston averages 76.3 PPG, while allowing 59. The Bearcats are without question the hungrier team here, looking to bounce back against the leagues best. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire; because of that, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | North Alabama +12 v. Florida Gulf Coast | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
9* NORTH ALABAMA (SMACK-DOWN) It's the opener of the ASUN tournament and I expect the lowly 9-20 North Alabama Lions to put up more of a fight than what this line is suggesting. The Lions average 69.3 PPG. It's coming off 8 straight losses, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS losses in a row. Not surprisingly, the Lions play with revenge after a 92-60 loss to Florida Gulf Coast at the start of February. The Eagles have won 7 of their last 10 and 2 straight, but note that they're just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 as a tournament fav of 10 or more points. I say the Lions sneak in through the back door with all these points they've been given; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Green Bay v. Detroit -9.5 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
9* DETROIT (BEATDOWN) The Horizon League Conference tournament gets underway on Tuesday night and I expect the 13-14 Mercy to have no mercy on the 5-24 Phoenix. Detroit actually plays with revenge hera fter Wisconsin Green Bay inexplicably took the lone regular season contest at home (70-63.) Detroit was a big favorite in that one, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference loss against an opponent in which it was the fav. Detroit finished the season by going 6-4, and they were 8-1 at home. That one loss occured in their last game, so a big rebound is expected here in this revenge scenario. Lay the points, and expect a complete ATS beatdown from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Clippers v. Rockets +7 | Top | 99-98 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) The Clippers are 31-31 and somehow managing to stay afloat despite not having Kawhi Leonard or Paul George in the line-up. The Rockets sneak in under the radar here though at 15-44. Houston is off a 119-111 loss to Orlando. The Clippers are off a 105-102 win over the Lakers and I believe will suffer a predictable letdown here. This is the opener of a two-game set between the teams here, with the second coming on March 1st. Expect the home side, which plays with revenge after falling 142-111 to LA in mid February, to keep this one tight down the stretch; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Ohio State v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (BOB) Ohio State is 18-7, but if its had one clear glaring weakness it's been its play on the road, where it's just 5-5. Maryland is 13-15 overall and 8-8 at home. OSU enters off a tight 86-83 win over Illinois, while Maryland fell 74-64 to at Indiana. The Terps though play with revenge here after losing 82-67 to OSU back on February 6th. Note that Maryland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. This one has all the making of a complete nail-biter. The Terps play better at home. In a game that is going to come down to the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Kings +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
10* KINGS (ASSASSIN) After beating the Kings by a score of 128-110 in Sacramento two nights ago, I think the Nuggets will get caught complacent here. They're in Portland tomorrow night, so the temptation to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal will definitely be there for the home side. Sacramento has now lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS, which is significant to note here as it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's also 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright here, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Nevada +7.5 v. Wyoming | 61-74 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
8* NEVADA (DESTRUCTION) The 12-14 Nevada Wolfpack won't be going down without a fight here vs. 22-5 Wyoming. Nevada could still move up a spot or two before the end of the season, while Wyoming still has an opporutnity to earn the No. 1 spot in the conference. Wyoming picked up a 10-point road win in January, but note that Nevada is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Nevada is off a tough 62-54 home loss to UNLV on Tuesday, which is important to note for us here, as the Wolfpack are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 off a SU home loss in which they were held to 55 or less points in. Wyoming is off a 61-55 road loss to Colorado State. I say the Cowboys get caught flat here and while I'm not predicting an outright upset, I'm definitely expecting a "nail-biter!" So grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Kansas v. Baylor -3 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
9* BAYLOR (U OF THE U) Kansas is 23-4 overall and 12-2 in Big 12 action, but after 4 straight wins, I expect it to stumble here in this difficult road venue vs. the revenge-minded Bears. Kansas is off a 102-83 win over K-State, while Baylor held on for a 66-64 win over OK State. The Bears play with revenge here though, and ULTIMATELY that's the reasoning behind this play. Baylor plays REALLY well in the revenge role. Kansas won 83-59 as a 2.5-point fav on its own floor at the start of the month, but the Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Butler v. Marquette -8.5 | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
10* MARQUETTE (BIG EAST GOM) 13-16 Butler is just 3-7 on the road, while 17-10 Marquette is 11-3 at home. The Golden Eagles will be out to smash the Bulldogs today. They're just 1-3 in their last 4 SU, and 0-4 ATS. One of those losses includes an inexplicable 85-79 loss at Butler as a 4-point fav in the middle of the month. Note though that Marquette is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Butler's lost 3 games SU, but gone 2-1 ATS. I say that the Bulldogs stumble here in this difficult road venue. I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a situational stand point; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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02-25-22 | Harvard +8 v. Princeton | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (IVY LEAGUE GOM) I think the 13-10 Harvard Crimson will take the 19-5 Princeton Tigers down to the wire this evening. Harvard comes in playing arguably its best basketball of the season after its 2nd straight win, a 77-72 OT victory over Cornell. The Crimson average 72.3 PPG, while conceding 68.4. Princeton enters having won 4 straight, most recently holding on for an 81-75 win over Yale. The Tigers average 72.3 PPG, while allowing 69.3. This is the opener of a home and home set and because of that, I'm expecting a very intenese 2-game stretch here. Harvard is 7-2 ATS the last 9 in this series and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a real nail-biter; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports |
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02-24-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
9* WOLVES (DESTRUCTION) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry home side today. Karl Anthony Towns is an underrated player. He's one of only two players in history to win both the three-point contest and the skills contest. The Wolves play with revenge here after a 116-108 loss to the Grizz in mid January. Memphis won 6 straight before the All Star break, but it lost its final game in a 123-119 home setback to the lowly Blazers. With a much more high-profile game at Chicago on Saturday, will the visiting side get caught "looking ahead" here?! It very well could. Look for the well-rested and revenge-mided Wolves to find a way to deliver on Thursday night! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas-Little Rock +7.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
8* UALR This is the final Sun Belt homestand for UALR and I expect it to make the most of familiar surroundings this evening. Little Rock has finished a stretch of 6 of 8 games on the road. The Mountaineers have won 2 straight and 6 of the last 8 in this series, but Little Rock is 5-2 against App State on its own floor. This is UALR's final season in the Sun Belt. App State broke a 2 game slide witha 69-51 win over USA, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 off a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 55 or less points in. Home floor DOES matter here; grab the points, the play is Arkansas Little Rock! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Eastern Kentucky +9.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
10* EASTERN KENTUCKY (ASUN GOY) I like 12-16 EKU to sneak in "under the radar" tonight vs. the 18-9 Jacksonville State Gamecocks. EKU is coming off a tight 83-76 loss to Central Arkansas on Saturday. The Gamecocks come in off an 82-67 win over Bellarmine on Sunday. This is a revenge game as well for the Colonels after the Gamecocks earned a 76-65 road win earlier in the season (note that EKU is in fact 7-3 ATS in last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) No outright, but I believe the stage is set for a competitive battle; grab the points, the play is Eastern Kentucky! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Alabama -4.5 v. Vanderbilt | 74-72 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
8* ALABAMA (DESTRUCTION) The Crimson Tide enter at 17-10 overall (just 7-7 in league action), while Vandy is 14-12 this season (and only 6-8 in conference play.) Bama is off a 90-81 road loss at Kentucky, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS setback in which it allowed 90 or more points in. Vandy is coming off a 72-67 home win over Texas A&M, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 5 or more straight ATS covers in a row (the Commodores have in fact covered in 6 straight.) Vandy averages just 69.3 PPG, while Bama averages 80.4. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | Top | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* EASTERN MICHIGAN (MAC "GOM") These teams are poor. NIU is just 8-17 this year, including only 6-9 on the road. EMU is only 9-18 this season, but it's a respectable 7-6 at home. I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor" advantage will be tonight. NIU has covered in 3 straight, but it's off a 78-75 loss to Miami Ohio at home as a 3.5-point underdog (NIU is in fact just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS victories in a row.) EMU plays with revenge here after a 77-70 road loss at NIU as a 1.5-point favorite in mid January. Note though that the Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Look for the "revenge angle" to be a major difference-maker as well for the home side. With two extremely strong external factors working in their favor, the play is the EMU Eagles! AAA Sports |
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02-21-22 | Southern Utah -5.5 v. Northern Arizona | 79-48 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
8* SOUTHERN UTAH (DESTRUCTION) I think the 16-9 Southern Utah Thunderbirds will figure out a way to not only win this game against the 9-17 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, but to win it in blowout fashion. Southern Utah has split its last 6 games, while Northern Arizona has lost 6 of its last 8. The Thunderbirds average 79.7 PPG, while allowing 73.9, while the Lumberjacks average 68.9 PPG, while conceding 73.1. The road team is also a great 13-3 ATS the last 16 in this series. Interestingly, the Lumberjacks have lost by an average of 9.8 points this season when playing the role of underdog this season. Southern Utah is poor, but NAU is terrible; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-20-22 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) Temple is 14-9, while Cincinnati is 17-9. The Owls come in off a 64-57 win over SMU as 3-point dogs, which is noteworthy in this case, as Temple is just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 off a SU/ATS upset in which it was an underdog. The Bearcats handled their business though last time out, pulling away for a comfortable 85-76 win over Wichita State as 3-point favs. If history is any precedence, then the Bearcats have to be loving their chances today, as they're 9-1 in the last 10 in this series. The room for error is very small for Temple, which averages 67 PPG, and concedes 65.6. Cincinnati averages 70.6, while conceding 65.6. After breaking their 2 game slide last time out, look for the Bearcats to keep the foot on the proverbial gas pdeal from start to finish on home floor; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Old Dominion +8.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
10* ODU (CONF USA GOY) The 10-16 Old Dominion Monarchs are on the road looking to rebound after losing 4 of their last 5. Most recently it was a 67-63 setback to Marshall. CJ Keyser had 14.5 points in the loss, while Kalu Ezikpe added 11.1. ODU averages 66.3 PPG, while allowing 67.4. WKU comes in complacent here in my estimation after 6 straight victories. Most recently the Hilltoppers beat Charlotte by a score of 77-67. Dayvion McKnights leads WKU in scoring with 15.7 PPG, but note that the Hilltoppers are a poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after 5 or more SU victories in a row. WKU averages 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.7, but I believe the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. While the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Old Dominion! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Towson v. College of Charleston +4.5 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
8* CHARLESTON (DELIGHT) In a contest that I see coming right down to the wire, I'm going to grab up the points. I really do like COC in this spot though, so if you're feeling wealthy, I'd even consider sprinkling a little on the money line here. Towson is 20-7, while COC is 14-11. Towson just smashed UNCW, the first-placed team in the conference, by 24 points on Thursday. Can anyone say "letdown spot?!" True, Towson only sits a .5 game back of the Seahawks now for first place, but after that emotional win, I expect a predictable letdown here on the road vs. the under the radar Cougars. COC comes in off a 71-63 home loss to JMU as a 5.5-point fav. That's not good, but note that COC is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS off a SU home loss as a favorite. It also plays with revenge here after a 74-67 loss at the SECU Arena on January 20th. While I do indeed feel an outright upset is a possibility, the call here will be on COC and the points! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Alabama +9.5 v. Kentucky | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
9* ALABAMA (ASSASSIN) Alabama won't be rolling over here. The Crimson Tide have won 3 straight, most recently beating Mississippi State by a score of 80-75 on Wednesday. Jahvon Quinerly had 21 points. Kentucky enters on the other end of the spectrum, as the Wildcats just had their 6 game win streak snapped last time out in a 76-63 upset loss to Tennessee. Oscar Tshiebwe was a lone standout with 13 points and 15 boards. These teams average 80 PPG each, but Kentucky has done better on the defensive end. Situationally though, this one sets up great for 'Bama, which is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 59 or less points in (lost 66-55 to UK on February 5th.) The conditions are right for an outright upset, but let's grab the points; the play is Alabama! AAA Sports |
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