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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-31-15 | Stanford v. Old Dominion +2.5 | Top | 67-60 | Loss | -106 | 35 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS SUPER-BLOWOUT on Old Dominion. |
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03-29-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Boston Celtics +5.5 | Top | 119-106 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Boston Celtics. |
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03-29-15 | Los Angeles Lakers +7 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 99-107 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the LA Lakers. |
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03-29-15 | Michigan State -2 v. Louisville | Top | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Michigan State. |
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03-28-15 | Notre Dame +11.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 35 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Notre Dame. |
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03-28-15 | Arizona -1.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Arizona. |
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03-27-15 | Michigan State v. Oklahoma +2.5 | Top | 62-58 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Oklahoma. |
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03-27-15 | Utah v. Duke -4.5 | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 122 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Duke. |
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03-27-15 | Sacramento Kings v. New Orleans Pelicans -7 | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. |
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03-27-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Orlando Magic +2 | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic. |
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03-26-15 | Xavier +11 v. Arizona | Top | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 99 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Xavier. |
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03-26-15 | Wichita State v. Notre Dame | Top | 70-81 | Win | 103 | 93 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Notre Dame. |
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03-22-15 | Oregon v. Wisconsin -12 | Top | 65-72 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Wisconsin. |
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03-22-15 | Dayton v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Oklahoma. |
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03-22-15 | Michigan State +5 v. Virginia | Top | 60-54 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER Michigan State. |
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03-21-15 | Butler v. Notre Dame -4.5 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -108 | 35 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Notre Dame. |
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03-21-15 | NC State +9.5 v. Villanova | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 33 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on NC State. |
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03-20-15 | Dayton v. Providence -3 | 66-53 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BEATDOWN on Providence. |
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03-20-15 | Davidson v. Iowa -2.5 | Top | 52-83 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Iowa. |
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03-20-15 | Georgia +6 v. Michigan State | 63-70 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Georgia. |
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03-19-15 | Stephen Austin +7 v. Utah | 50-57 | Push | 0 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MONEY-LINE UPSET on Stephen F. Austin. |
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03-19-15 | Purdue v. Cincinnati +2 | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 73 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Cincinnati. |
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03-19-15 | Northeastern v. Notre Dame -12 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Notre Dame. |
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03-18-15 | Boise State v. Dayton -3.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Dayton. |
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03-17-15 | Ole Miss +3 v. BYU | Top | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 37 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Mississippi. |
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03-17-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Detroit Pistons +4.5 | 95-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Detroit Pistons. |
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03-17-15 | George Washington v. Pittsburgh -3.5 | Top | 60-54 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Pittsburgh. |
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03-15-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 97-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE-DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Timberwolves. |
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03-15-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic +10.5 | Top | 123-108 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Orlando Magic. |
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03-14-15 | Yale v. Harvard -2 | Top | 51-53 | Push | 0 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Harvard. |
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03-14-15 | Temple +3.5 v. SMU | 56-69 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Temple. |
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03-14-15 | Purdue v. Wisconsin -9.5 | Top | 51-71 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Wisconsin. |
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03-13-15 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Wisconsin. |
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03-12-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers +1 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 128-125 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Cleveland Cavaliers. |
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03-11-15 | Washington +7.5 v. Stanford | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Washington. |
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03-11-15 | Texas Tech +11 v. Texas | 53-65 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BEATDOWN on Texas Tech. |
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03-11-15 | Colorado -3 v. Oregon State | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Colorado. |
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03-11-15 | Auburn +1 v. Mississippi State | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on Auburn. |
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03-11-15 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. NC State | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Pittsburgh. |
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03-10-15 | Detroit Pistons -2 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 85-93 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST BEATDOWN on the Detroit Pistons. |
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03-10-15 | Georgia Tech +1 v. Boston College | Top | 65-66 | Push | 0 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Georgia Tech. |
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03-09-15 | Northern Illinois v. Akron -6 | Top | 52-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* BEATDOWN on Akron. |
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03-09-15 | Ball State +11 v. Bowling Green | Top | 75-88 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC ATTACK on Ball State. |
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03-08-15 | Utah Jazz v. Brooklyn Nets -2.5 | 95-88 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets. |
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03-07-15 | DePaul v. Marquette -4.5 | 48-58 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Marquette. |
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03-07-15 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. Boston College | 61-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Wake Forest. |
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03-07-15 | Florida +16.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 50-67 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Florida. |
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03-07-15 | Seton Hall +12 v. Georgetown | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Seton Hall. |
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03-07-15 | Syracuse +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 57-71 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Syracuse. |
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03-06-15 | Toronto Raptors -1 v. Charlotte Hornets | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Toronto Raptors. |
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03-05-15 | California +18.5 v. Arizona | Top | 60-99 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC-12 ASSASSIN on California. |
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03-05-15 | UAB v. Florida Atlantic +4.5 | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Florida Atlantic. |
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03-04-15 | Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 v. Houston Rockets | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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03-04-15 | Philadelphia 76ers +13 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 118-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* COAST-TO-COAST DESTRUCTION on the Philadelphia 76ers. |
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03-04-15 | Providence v. Seton Hall +2.5 | 79-66 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Seton Hall. |
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03-03-15 | Utah Jazz v. Memphis Grizzlies -8.5 | 93-82 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies. |
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03-03-15 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5 | 79-110 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Cleveland Cavaliers. |
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03-03-15 | Maryland v. Rutgers +7.5 | 60-50 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Rutgers. |
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03-02-15 | Baylor v. Texas -2.5 | Top | 59-61 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas. |
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02-28-15 | Drake v. Southern Illinois -5 | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Southern Illinois. |
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02-28-15 | NC State v. Boston College +5 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Boston College. |
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02-28-15 | Louisville -4 v. Florida State | Top | 81-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Louisville. |
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02-27-15 | New York Knicks +13 v. Detroit Pistons | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the New York Knicks. |
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02-26-15 | San Diego +17 v. Gonzaga | Top | 39-59 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on San Diego. |
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02-26-15 | Minnesota +9 v. Michigan State | Top | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Minnesota. |
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02-26-15 | Wisconsin Milwaukee v. Wright State -2 | Top | 61-58 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Wright State. |
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02-24-15 | Texas v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on West Virginia. For a number of different reasons I expect the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. I played this line right when it came out and got 2.5 and it’s since gone up, but regardless, I really like this play. WVU looks to keep the momentum rolling after knocking off a pair of ranked teams, while Texas hasn’t beaten a Top 25 opponent since beating the Mountaineers just last month. The “revenge” factor is in full effect today. The Mountaineers have turned things around, they had dropped three of four before last Monday’s 62-61 home win over no. 8 Kansas and then Saturday’s 73-63 victory at then-No. 22 Oklahoma State: “We win because we play harder than everyone else," coach Bob Huggins said last night. "We don't win because we shoot better or pass better or anything like that." In fact, to call this a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement I think as the Longhorns have won four straight in the series. Since that win over the Mountaineers, Texas has been free-falling and could miss the NCAA Tournament for the second time in three seasons. The Longhorns are most recently coming off a disheartening 71-69 loss at then-No. 17 Oklahoma on Tuesday and Saturday’s 85-77 defeat to then-No. 14 Iowa State. Note that Texas is just 3-4 ATS off a loss vs. a conference rival this year, while WVU is 3-2 ATS in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. In my opinion, this line should be larger, play on the MOUNTAINEERS. AAA Sports |
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02-23-15 | Austin Peay +14 v. Eastern Kentucky | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* OVC GAME OF THE YEAR on Austin Peay. Austin Peay has been officially eliminated from Ohio Valley Conference post-season competition and with all of the pressure off the Governors now, I expect the visitors to relish the role of spoiler and give Eastern Kentucky everything it can handle today. Interestingly, this game was scheduled to be played last Tuesday, but inclement weather forced the postponement. Eastern Kentucky is 8-5 in league play and trails Belmont by a game in the OVC East. The Colonels had been the conference’s hottest team before losing 66-61 to Belmont on Thursday and suffice it to say, in my opinion this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the home side. After an extended streak of excellence, only to come up short vs. the No. 1 team, and now facing the lowly Governors, all signs do indeed point to a letdown spot. It was a brutal loss as well, EKU actually led by as much as 16 second-half points vs. Belmont. APSU on the other hand has lost seven straight and will be eager to play with some pride today after falling 89-54 at Murray State on Saturday. Note though that Austin Peay is 17-13 ATS in its last 30 vs. teams with winning records and 14-9 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses. And note that EKU is a poor 9-16 ATS in its last 25 in front of the home town crowd. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the GOVERNORS as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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02-22-15 | Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers +2 | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the LA Lakers. A couple of bottom feeders go head to head here and as we can tell by the spread, the oddsmakers think these two inept teams are pretty evenly matched. I agree of course, but think that the home court advantage can’t be overlooked in this one and with a strong revenge factor working in its favor, in my opinion the savvy move in this contest is indeed on LA. The C’s won 113-96 in LA back on December 5th. The Lakers will also be especially motivated after falling 114-105 at home to Brooklyn on Friday. This is a great situational play though as Boston comes to town without top scorer and leading rebounder Jared Sullinger, who will be out for the foreseeable future with a stress fracture in his left foot. Boston comes in with zero momentum as well after falling 109-101 to Sacramento on Friday. Note that the Celtics are interestingly just 9-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while the Lakers are 19-18 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent and 10-7 ATS after scoring 105 points or more. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to the LAKERS as the correct move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-21-15 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas State +2.5 | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on Arkansas State. While I obviously feel that the outright win isn’t out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the home side to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the handful of points that it’s been afforded in this one. This is a big opportunity for Arkansas State as it plays four of its next five games on its home floor. A-State will be especially motivated after falling for a fifth straight time in a 70-57 setback at UALR on Thursday. It comes as little surprise to learn that this is a revenge game for A-State, it would fall 70-61 in the first meeting between the schools this season. However, if history is any precedence, then the Red Wolves have to loving their chances for revenge today as they’ve won 12-straight over ULM on their home floor. Conversely, it’s hard not to imagine the Warhawks coming in a bit complacent today after winning six straight. Also note that Louisiana Monroe is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with five or six days or rest, while A-State is 4-3 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less and 2-0 ATS in its last two vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the RED WOLVES as the sharp move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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02-21-15 | Missouri +12 v. Vanderbilt | 53-76 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION on Missouri. The Tigers will be hungry today, they’re looking to avoid the longest losing streak in school history, but are heavy underdogs as they hit the road to take on Vanderbilt. Desperation is often a factor in which the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line and that’s the case here in my opinion, while I won’t be so bold as to call for the outright upset, I do definitely think this is a few too many points to be giving up today and will look for Missouri to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I feel is a healthy amount of points afforded to it in this one. Most recently the Tigers fell 84-69 to No. 17 Arkansas on Wednesday, the teams 12th consecutive loss. Despite all of the turmoil both off and on the court for Missouri though, here’s a perfect opponent to try and break the slide against, the Commodores have lost two of their last three games after falling 50-47 to Florida on Wednesday. Also note that Vanderbilt has lost three of its last five in front of the home town crowd. This is also a very strong play from a trend based stand point as well in my opinion, as note that Missouri is 16-14 ATS in its last 30 off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Vanderbilt is just 2-5 ATS after allowing 60 points or less this year and only 3-5 ATS off a loss vs. a conference rival. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to the underdog TIGERS as the sharp move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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02-21-15 | Villanova v. Marquette +10.5 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR SUPER BLOWOUT on Marquette. I think the home side has enough significant advantages working in its favor to keep this game a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. These teams are moving in opposite directions, but I think the conditions are finally right for Marquette to keep this one competitive. Conversely, I think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for the sixth-ranked Wildcats after winning seven straight. Also note that this is a revenge game for Marquette after losing by 18 in the first meeting between the schools this year. To me, there’s no question which side will be “hungrier,” the Golden Eagles have lost eight of their last nine, including four straight in front of the home town crowd. Marquette is expecting to get a boost today with the return of leading scorer Matt Carlino, who has been out with a concussion, missing the last three games including Saturday’s 77-70 setback to Creighton. Villanova is most recently coming off an 80-54 destruction of Seton Hall and I think won’t be able to help itself in coming in a bit complacent to this one, the exact opportunity that both Marquette and ourselves can take advantage of. And note that Villanova is already a poor 3-5 ATS after scoring 80 points or more, while Marquette is 4-3 ATS in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent this season, 10-6 ATS vs. teams with winning records and 6-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 points or less per contest. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the GOLDEN EAGLES as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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02-19-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Oklahoma City Thunder -5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WEST-COAST DESTRUCTION on the Oklahoma City Thunder. For a number of different reasons I expect the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. The Thunder rolled into the All-Star break with five wins in six games and sitting just a half-game behind eighth-place Phoenix, I expect the home side to make the most of this game. Dallas is in fifth in the West and is expected to have Rajon Rondo back in the line-up after missing six games due to fractures in his nasal passage. Note though that the Mavericks once prolific offense sputtered over the final month of the first half and I think that the newly acquired Amare Stoudemire will not have an immediate impact for the team. As mentioned off the top, OKC dominated its way into the break, PG Russell Westbrook had 41 points in the All Star game to earn MVP honors and he’ll be eager to help his team earn a rare win here, the Thunder actually play with triple revenge, most recently losing 112-107 on December 28th. Note that Dallas is just 8-16 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records, while OKC is 14-10 ATS in front of the home town crowd. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to OKLAHOMA CITY as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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02-18-15 | Wisconsin -9 v. Penn State | Top | 55-47 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TEN SUPER BLOWOUT on Wisconsin. For a number of different reasons I expect the visitors to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. The No. 5 Badgers average a paltry 7.4 turnovers this year, the lowest number in the nation. They’re averaging just 6.1 turnovers in Big Ten action and commited just one turnover in a 32-point win over Iowa last time out. The Badgers have won eight straight and five straight by double digits. The Badgers also already throttled the Nittany Lions 89-72 in the first meeting on December 31st, Wisconsin would shoot a ridiculous 70 percent in the second half and had four players score at least 16 points in the victory. I don’t think anything will change here, Penn State couldn’t handle the Badgers incredible depth then and they’re not going to be able to today. Nittany Lions’ coach Patrick Chambers knows his team will have its hands full today: “They’re all very capable of making 3s and they’re all very capable of getting 20, so we got to do our job,” Chambers assessed last night. “Everybody’s got to defend and rebound together and just leave it all out there and play as hard as we can.” I think Penn State comes out flat here, it’s coming off a disheartening three-point loss to then No. 19 Maryland on Saturday, the team’s fourth loss in its last five games. Also note that Wisconsin is 6-3 ATS this year in true road games, while Penn State is just 17-21 ATS in its last 38 off a loss vs. a conference rival. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the BADGERS as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-17-15 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -11 | Top | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Notre Dame. For a number of different reasons I expect the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. This is a great situational play I think, the Fighting Irish have been winning some close games of late SU, but not ATS. I think this works in our favor today and expect Notre Dame to take advantage of a Wake Forest team that’s struggled on the road in ACC action this year. In fact, the Demon Deacons have lost 11 straight conference road contests. The Irish have a great chance at running the table and will look to run down first place-Virginia, currently just two games behind. Notre Dame is most recently coming off a 60-58 win at Clemson last Tuesday, overcoming a four-point deficit with 4:09 remaining. This also sets up for a revenge game for the Irish as Wake Forest would win all three previous meetings, including both last year. The Demon Deacons are primed for a letdown here in my opinion, they almost pulled off a massive upset over No. 1 Virginia on Saturday, instead the team would lose a 61-60 heartbreaker, getting outscored 37-29 in the second half. And from a trend based stand point, this play is about as strong as you could possibly ask for as Wake Forest is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, while Notre Dame is 6-3 ATS in its last nine when playing with five or six days of rest. In my opinion, this line should be a little larger, play on the FIGHTING IRISH. AAA Sports |
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02-16-15 | Kansas v. West Virginia +2 | 61-62 | Win | 100 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on West Virginia. I jumped on this line right when it came out and got -1, it’s since moved the other way, you’ll clearly be able to get a better number than I did and in my opinion, all signs do indeed point to a comfortable win and cover for the home side in this one. Kansas comes to town off a 74-64 win over Baylor on the 14th, while WVU lost at No. 14 Iowa State 79-59 on the same day. I think this sets up as a classice letdown spot for the Jayhawks who have a two-game cusion in the conference race over the Cyclones. Note that at 7-5, WVU is not that far off the pace either. As we can tell by the pointspread, these two teams are pretty evenly matched across the board, Kansas averages 72.2 PPG, while WVU averages 75.0. Note that West Virginia leads the country in steals per game at 12.0 and in turnover margin at +8.4. KU won the first three meetings between the schools before the Mountaineers pulled off a 92-86 victory on March 8th, 2014. In my opinion, the conditions are prime for a Kansas letdown, I can’t understate how important I think the home court advantage will be tonight and after taking all of the above factors into consideration, I’m going to back WEST VIRGINIA in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-15-15 | Arizona State +1.5 v. Washington | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* REVENGE ROUT on Arizona State. These teams are pretty evenly matched, but as of writing I am getting 1.5 points with Arizona State and like the visitors to ultimately find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. I actually played on Washington in its loss to Arizona and while I don’t normally “flip-flop” on a team from game to game, in my opinion, that was then and this is now, the situational and motivational factors working in favor of Arizona State are just too good to turn down in the end. The Sun Devils got a big time win vs. No. 6 Arizona on February 7th but then lost a close 74-71 game Friday at Washington State, getting 24 points from Gerry Blakes. Washington has regressed after a great start and has struggled in this spot for bettors for quite some time now, just 4-8 ATS in front of the home town crowd this season and only 2-3 ATS when playing with one or less days rest. Conversely, this is a spot in which ASU has performed well in, 3-2 ATS off a loss vs. a conference rival and 4-3 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with winning records. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to ARIZONA STATE as the sharp move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-15-15 | Nebraska +7.5 v. Purdue | Top | 54-66 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Nebraska. While I do feel that the outright win isn’t out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I look for the visitors to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I deem to be a healthy amount of points afforded to them in this one. I think this sets up as a classic “spot” bet for us here, Nebraska will surely be the “hungrier” team after losing two straight, most recently a 65-55 loss to No. 5 Wisconsin on Tuesday; Terran Petteway led the way for the Huskers with 23 points and eight boards in the setback. Nebraska will also be eager to notch its first Big Ten road win of the season and it will have to continue its tough defensive play, holding its opposition to just 60.6 points per game on 40 percent shooting this season (note surprisingly, the Huskers are tied for first in scoring defense and fourth in field goal percentage defense in the Big Ten). Purdue has been awesome, but has been playing “over its head” in my opinion so far this year, it’s not too hard to imagine the Boilermakers coming in a bit complacent here after winning five of their last six, including a 61-51 win at Rutgers on Thursday night. These teams are actually pretty evenly matched in my opinion, more so than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, but from a trend based stand point, they don’t get much stronger than this, as note that Nebraska is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Purdue is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to NEBRASKA as the sharp move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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02-15-15 | Rider v. Niagara +6 | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Niagara. While I do obviously feel that the outright win isn’t out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I look for the home side to at the very least, sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I feel is a healthy amount of points afforded to it in this one. NU will be particularly motivated here after falling 77-65 to St. Peters on Friday and to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement I think as the Purple Eagles have lost four straight int he series. It’s important to note though that in eight of the last 14 encounters between the teams, the game has been decided by less than four points. One player to keep your eyes on today is Niagara’s Emile Blackman, who is averaging a team-best 18.3 points while shooting a team-high 44 percent. I think this also sets up as a bit of letdown spot for the surging Broncs who are 17-9 overall, 11-4 in MAAC play and who have won five of their last six, including three straight; note though that Rider is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after playing with just one or less days rest, while Niagara is 5-4 ATS in its last nine as a home underdog in the 3.5 to 6 points range. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to NIAGARA as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-15-15 | St. Peters v. Canisius -3.5 | Top | 55-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Canisius. For a number of different reasons I expect the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. A favorite saying of mine is: “desperation breeds motivation,” and the Golden Griffins will unquestionably be the “hungrier” team in this one in my opinion as they look to break their longest losing slide since 2011, dropping their last four straight after falling 60-59 to Rider on Friday. Canisius ranks second in the MAAC and 69th in the country in scoring defense in giving up just 61.7 PPG. Offensively the team is led by senior Josiah Heath, who scored a career-high 20 points in the loss to the Broncs on Friday. Conversely, it’s not too hard to imagine Saint Peter’s coming in a bit complacent here, it’s won three straight, most recently a 77-65 victory over Niagara on Friday. I’m not going to read too much into the recent win skein, note that the Peacock’s are still middle of the pack at 13-13 overall and just 7-8 in MAAC play. This is a classic matchup of top defenses, as Saint Peter’s actually leads the MAAC in scoring defense at 60.5. Note though that the Peacocks are just 2-4 ATS this season off a win vs. a conference rival, while Canisius is 6-5 ATS when playing the role of favorite. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the GOLDEN GRIFFINS as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-14-15 | Texas Tech +16.5 v. Texas | Top | 41-56 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Texas Tech. While I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright victory in this one, I do feel that for a number of different reasons the visitors will keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe and will recommend that you grab as many points as you can. This is the 135th meeting between the two schools. To say this is a “revenge game” would be a bit of an understatement I think as the Longhorns have won four of the last five, most recently a 70-61 victory on January 3rd in Lubbock. Texas Tech coach Smith sees a different team now than the one that took the court at the beginning of the year: "We are not the same team we were at the beginning of the season," Smith explained last night. "We have tried some different things to be successful and used some different lineup, but what we have to do to be successful is play under control." Note, that despite struggling with SU victories vs. Texas, the Red Raiders have in fact faired extremely well ATS for bettors, going 6-2 ATS the last eight in the series overall and 5-1 ATS their last six vs. the Longhorns on their own floor. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends all do indeed point to TEXAS TECH as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-14-15 | Bowling Green v. Ball State +4.5 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Ball State. While I obviously feel that the outright win is not out of the question here, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the home side to take this one down to the wire and at the very least, look for it to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the hand full of points that it’s been afforded. It’s hard not to imagine Bowling Green coming in a bit complacent and looking past its lowly opponent today, it’s 16-6 overall and 8-3 in the MAC, while the Cardinals are only 7-15 overall and just 2-9 in league play. Not surpirsingly, this is a revenge game for Ball State after it fell 58-46 on the Falcons’ home floor just last month; however, what may be surprising to learn is that the Cardinals actually held a half time lead in that one. Ball State is most recently coming off a 75-63 loss at Northern Illinois on Wednesday, leading for much of the opening half, but an unreal 70-percent shooting performance by the Huskies in the second half proved too much to overcome. Bowling Green sports one of the better defending units, but I think the situational and motivational factors clearly tip the scales in favor of BALL STATE today. AAA Sports |
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02-14-15 | NC State +11 v. Louisville | Top | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on North Carolina State. While I’m not calling for an outright upset, I do think the the Wolfpack can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe and will ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can. NC State is 14-11 overall and just 5-7 in league play, and suffice it to say a big win today would dramatically help its NCAA Tournament resume which has taken a hit of late. The Wolfpack have lost six of eight since upsetting Duke, including a tough 51-47 loss to No. 2 Virginia on Wednesday. The Cardinals are 20-4 overall and 8-3 in ACC action. To say NC State is is focused would be a bit of an understatement I think: "We might as well just hang up our stuff and go home if we're not going to keep dreaming and believing we can make the tournament," Wolfpack guard Trevor Lacey said after Wednesday's loss to Virginia. It’s not too hard to imagine Louisville coming in a bit complacent here, it’s in the midst of six straight vs. unranked teams before finishing against No. 10 Notre Dame and the aforementioned No. 2 Cavaliers. The Cardinals won for the fifth time in six games in a 69-56 victory over Pittsburgh on February 11th. Despite playing on Wednesday, NC State will definitely be fresh here, it had a full eight days off before the setback to Virginia and note that four of its five most recent losses have been by five points or fewer. In my opinion, this spread is a little large, play on NC STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-13-15 | Arizona v. Washington +10.5 | Top | 86-62 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Washington. While I won’t be so bold as to call for an outright victory, I do think that the home side can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe and look for the home side to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I feel is a healthy amount of points afforded to it in this one. After a rare and stunning defeat, I think this sets up as classic letdown spot for the Wildcats. Conversely, Washington is looking to avoid its longest losing streak in more than 13 years, there’s no question in my mind which team will be the more focused and “hungry.” Arizona is coming off an 81-78 setback to rival Arizona State on Saturday, it was the team’s third road defeat vs. an unranked opponent. The Wildcats looked susceptible defensively, allowing the Sun Devils to shoot 50.0 percent from the field. Washington will look to take advantage, after winning his first 11 games and reaching No. 13 in the AP poll, Huskies coach Lorenzo Romar finds himself in one of the longest losing streaks in his tenure. Note though that Washington hasn’t dropped six straight since 2001: “We're not going to be able to show up and just win games based on our overall talent level," Romar said last night. "We're going to have to win games by being gritty and blue collar." It’s true that Washington is without the services of 7-foot center Robert Upshaw, who was dismissed for violating team rules, but Nigel Williams-Goss has filled in admirably in averaging 20.0 points over his last four. This is a revenge game as well for the home side after losing three straight in the series. Note that Arizona is just 3-4 ATS on the road this year and only 13-16 ATS in the same position over the last two. And note that Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after three or more consecutive SU losses. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to WASHINGTON as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-12-15 | Purdue v. Rutgers +6 | 61-51 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Rutgers. While I do think the outright win isn’t out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I look for the home side to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I deem to be a healthy amount of points afforded to it in this matchup. On paper, these two teams are not close at all, Rutgers is 10-15 overall and just 2-10 in Big Ten action, while Purdue is 15-9 overall and 7-4 in league play. I simply feel that this is a great spot for the home side and think Purdue, which had won five straight befor stumbling last time out, will come in a bit flat here, the exact factor that RU (and us!), can take advantage of. Rutgers fell 79-60 to No. 20 Ohio State on Sunday night, not able to keep pace down the stretch; a bright spot was the 15 turnovers that the Scarlet Knights forced though. This sets up as classic letdown spot in my opinion for the Boilermakers, their five game win skein was snapped in a 62-58 setback at Minnesota on Saturday, Purdue’s sloppy play saw it finish with 23 turnovers. Also note that Purdue is a poor 6-8 ATS in its last 14 vs. teams with losing records, while Rutgers is already 9-7 ATS when playing the role of underdog this season. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends all do all indeed point to the SCARLET KNIGHTS as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-12-15 | Ole Miss v. Florida -4.5 | Top | 62-61 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Florida. For a number of different reasons I think that Florida will pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. This is a revenge game for the Gators after falling 72-71 to the Running Rebels in Oxford back on January 24th. Florida has lost two straight, but was very competitive against Kentucky on Saturday night and think that play gets carried over here. Ole Miss also took both games for bettors ATS in last year’s season series with the Gators and suffice it to say, I don’t see it happening for a fourth straight time. Desperation is a factor in which the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line and that’s the case here, I think the home side will clearly be the “hungrier” team today and expect it to play with the same intensity and fire which took Kentucky down to the final minutes. And from a trend based stand point, this play is about as strong as you could possibly ask for as Mississippi is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win vs. a conference rival, while Florida is 5-3 ATS in its last eight in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. In my opinion, all signs and factors do indeed point to the GATORS as the sharp move in this matchup. AAA Sports |
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02-11-15 | Penn State v. Ohio State -11 | Top | 55-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR on Ohio State. For a number of different reasons I expect the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Penn State has lost seven straight Big Ten road games, but it’s victory at then-No. 24 Ohio State last season is its only win in its last 18 road contests against Top 25 opponents. The Buckeyes haven’t forgotten that “brain fart,” and despite being without the services of the nation’s top 3-point shooter in Marc Loving, who is serving the second game of an indefinite suspension, I think all of the conditions are right for a blowout. Besides, the Buckeyes’ best overall player in D’ Angelo Russell is on fire right now, he had 23 points, 11 assists and 11 boards in 35 minutes of action in a 79-60 win at Rutgers on Sunday. Not surprisingly, Russell is a serious contendor for the Big Ten Player of the Year award. Ohio State comes in with plenty of momentum as well, recent performance always plays a part in my handicapping process and the Buckeyes are “hot” overall in having won three of their last four SU. From a situational/motivational stand point, they simply don’t get much stronger than this, not only did OSU lose to the Nittany Lions at home, but it also lost at Penn State, dropping both games last year. Penn State’s DJ Newbill would total 48 points in those two games and is one of the league’s best players, but he’s been stumbling of late, he was held to just 11 points and matched a season worst with six turnovers in his team’s 56-43 win over Nebraska on Saturday. The Nittany Lions have been surprisingly competitve this year I think, there’s some room to read between the lines, despite averaging just 59.0 points and shooting only 40.1 percent, Penn State has lost its last five on the road by an average of just 4.2 points. Suffice it to say, I think its offensive inefficiencies finally come come back to bite it today. As stated many times already, I think this is a great situational selection, play on OHIO STATE. AAA Sports |
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02-10-15 | Memphis -3.5 v. East Carolina | 53-64 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Memphis. I played on Memphis vs. Temple on Saturday, it was an unfortunate setback as the Tigers had the game in hand for almost the entire affair, only to let it slip away in the final moments. Suffice it to say, I think a determined Memphis side will find a way to get the job done tonight and look for it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. The Tigers are 14-9 overall and 6-4 in The American. The Pirates are just 10-13 overall and only 3-7 in league play. Memphis will be extra hungry after falling 61-60 to the Owls, but note that it’s won 12 of its last 18 overall. Conversely, I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the Pirates, they’ve won two of their last three with home victories over Cincinnati and UCF. I have a hard time seeing ECU matching up with Memphis on the glass, the Tigers are in the top-two in The American in rebound margin, also in blocked shots and in steals. Also note that Memphis has moved over 200 spots in the NCAA rankings for assists per game over the past 18 contests. And from a trend based stand point, this play is extremely strong in my opinion, as note that Memphis is 4-1 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records and 3-2 ATS after scoring 60 points or less. Also note that ECU has struggled in this spot all year, a poor 4-5 ATS vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest and just 2-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest. After taking all of the above factors into consideration, all signs do indeed point to the TIGERS as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-10-15 | Central Michigan -1.5 v. Ohio | 68-57 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION Central Michigan. For a number of different reasons I believe CMU will find a way to get the job done and expect it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Revenge is a powerful motivating factor that handicappers often look to take advantage of, but it can also be extremely over-rated, and that’s the case here I believe; note that the Chips already handed the Bobcats a 74-69 loss on January 31st. Ohio’s inability to guard the perimeter is its biggest weakness and one which CMU’s trey-happy offense is once again eager to take advantage of. One player to keep your eyes on is the Chippewas’ John Simons who had four 3-pointers vs. the Bobcats last time out. Note that in Ohio’s 71-67 win at home over CMU last year, the ‘Cats had to overcome a 48-30 deficit and suffice it to say, this year’s version of the Bobcats is not built for comebacks. Also note that Ohio has been well below the league average in getting to the free throw line this year. And from a trend based stand point, this play is about as strong as you could possibly ask for as CMU is already 6-4 ATS this year when playing the role of favorite, while Ohio is a poor 5-7 ATS as the underdog. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to CENTRAL MICHIGAN as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-08-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Memphis Grizzlies -2 | Top | 88-94 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* COAST-TO-COAST DESTRUCTION on the Memphis Grizzlies. For a number of different reasons I expect the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. What more can be said about Atlanta right now that hasn’t literally been said a million times by every NBA analyst in America, after a 19-game win streak ended in New Orleans, the team has bounced back with two straight victories, including a 124-116 home win over Golden State on Friday. But now the team travels across the country to face the West’s second best team and in my opinion, this definitely sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors (note that the Hawks were outrebounded 51-38 in the win over the Warriors). This is also a revenge game for the Grizzlies after they fell 96-86 in Atlanta back on January 7th; note though that the Grizzlies were playing the tail end of a 4-7 stretch and did not have the services of Zach Randolph at the time. Memphis has won 12 of its 14 games since that setback. The home side will also be particuarly motivated after falling 90-89 at West-worst Minnesota on Friday. And a little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered as the Grizzlies are 8-1 vs. the East at home this year. A great situational play in my opinion, play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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02-08-15 | Los Angeles Clippers +4 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 108-131 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the LA Clippers. While I obviously feel that the outright win isn’t out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the visitors to at the very least, sneak in through the back door down the stretch. I think the Clippers will be the “hungrier” side today, they’ve lost three straight and one more setback would represent the teams longest slide this season. LA returns to OKC for the first time since the Playoffs in which the team lost Game and 5 on some controversional calls, and then eventually the series in front of the home town crowd in Game 6: “That game is still on my mind," Clippers’ forward Blake Griffin said last night. "It's the one game I've probably watched the most in the year's time. I couldn't tell you how many times I watched that over the summer." While LA did beat the Thunder 93-90 on October 30th, it would fail to cover the spread in that one, and the “revenge” could not have felt all that great with Oklahoma City star Kevin Durant sitting out due to injury. Durant returned in his team’s 116-113 loss to New Orleans on Friday, but note that home side will be without the services of backup center Kendrick Perkins, who was suspended for one game by the NBA on Saturday for head butting the Pelicans’ Tyreke Evans. "Guys need to step up, we need to find a way and we need to be better," Griffin continued. "You can't get too low, but our sense of urgency needs to go sky high right now." Note that LA is 5-4 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games, while OKC is just 12-17 ATS vs. good offensive teams which average 99 plus points per contest. This one is coming right down to the wire in my opinion, grab the points with the CLIPPERS. AAA Sports |
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02-07-15 | Illinois State v. Southern Illinois +5.5 | 59-65 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Southern Illinois. While I do believe the outright win isn’t out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the home side to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what I feel to be a healthy amount of points afforded to it in this one. For the most part, I’m basing this selection on strong trend based reasons. I played the Redbirds as my Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Tuesday, but I think the team comes up short here, it’s a natural letdown spot for Illinois State after winning three-straight. Conversely, there’s no question in my mind that the 9-15 Salukis will be the “hungrier” team today, they’re just 2-9 in the MVC, most recently coming off a setback vs. Drake. But as mentioned off the top, this play is primarily based on strong trend based reasons, as note that the Redbirds are just 1-4 ATS vs. teams with losing records this year, while Southern Illinois is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to the SALUKIS as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-07-15 | Temple v. Memphis -1 | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Memphis. For a number of different reasons I expect the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Memphis is 14-8 overall and 6-3 in The American. Temple is 16-7 overall and 7-3 in league play. The Tigers come in on quite a roll, they’ve won 12 of their last 17, with losses coming against Oklahoma State, Tulane, SMU, Tulsa and Gonzaga. The Owls also come in with momentum after winning four straight; note prior to the win skein Temple had dropped three straight with losses to Tulsa, SMU and Cincinnati. Both teams are obviously pretty evenly matched according to the oddsmakers, each ranks in the top half of the AAC in several defensive statistical categories. I simply can’t understate how important I think the home court advantage will be today though, since 2004 the Tigers have won 188 games at FedExForum, the most home wins in the country over that span of time; note that Memphis owns a 188-24 overall record vs. opponents at home. And note, those numbers get even more impressive when looking at conference foes since 2005, an incredible 86-6 record at FedExForum vs. conference opponents. Note that Temple is 6-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records this season, while Memphis is 8-4 ATS when playing the role of favorite and 7-4 ATS in all true home games this year. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the TIGERS as the sharp move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-07-15 | Providence v. Xavier -7 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Xavier. For a number of different reasons I think the home side will pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Note that PC has posted an 0-3 mark against Xavier in Cincinnati and the Musketeers will be playing with revenge today after falling 69-66 in OT on January 22nd. Xavier has a 14-9 overall record, including just 5-6 in Big East play, the Musketeers will be particuarly motivated today after falling 79-72 to Creighton in OT on February 4th. I think this sets up as a classic letdown spot for Providence, it has to be feeling contented after winning three of its last four BIG EAST road games, that includes an extremely satisfying 74-71 victory over the Hoyas in Georgetown on Wednesday. Note that Providence is just 14-16 ATS in its last 30 road games, while Xavier is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to XAVIER as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-06-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic -3 | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Orlando Magic. For a number of different reasons I think that the home side will find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. This is a great situational play, Orlando will be playing its first game after firing coach Jacque Vaughn and will be despertately trying to avoid losing 11 straight for the second time in three seasons. The Magic will be clearly motivated tonight and a date vs. the inept Lakers who have lost eight straight on the road is just what the doctor ordered in my opinion to turn things around. This is a great spot bet as Orlando has looked pretty decent of late for the most part, most recently coming off a competitive 110-103 setback to the Spurs on Wednesday. This is also a revenge game for the Magic after falling 101-84 to the Lakers back on January 9th; note that since that win LA has dropped 11 of 12, most recetly a disheartening 113-105 OT loss at Milwaukee on Wednesday. And note that LA is just 7-9 ATS vs. teams with losing records this season, while Orlando is 22-17 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to ORLANDO as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-06-15 | Niagara +4.5 v. Marist | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION on Niagara. While I obviously feel that the outright win isn’t out of the question in this one, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. The Purple Eagles are coming off a dramatic, double OT win over Quinnipiac, snapping a nine-game slide, and suffice it to say I think this team rides that wave of emotion over into this one. This is also a revenge game after Marist edged NU 65-61 on January 30th. I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the Red Foxes as well, after starting the year 1-18, the team has won three straight; this is a classic spot that we can take advantage of. We have a ton of great motivational factors working in our favor, and we also have strong trends backing us up, as note that Niagara is 14-9 ATS in its last 23 vs. poor offensive teams which average 64 points or less, while Marist is just 2-4 ATS in true home games this season and a poor 4-6 ATS vs. teams with losing records. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to NIAGARA as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-04-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder +3 v. New Orleans Pelicans | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Whether Thunder star Kevin Durant plays or not, I think that there are enough motivational and situational factors working in favor of the visitors today and expect them to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch. This sets up as a natuarl let down spot for Anthony Davis and the Pelicans after they beat the Hawks 115-110 on Monday, breaking Atlanta’s winning streak at 19 straight. If you watched that game, you may have thought that New Orleans had won Game 7 of the NBA Finals after the win. While it was a solid victory, it was a bit dramatic in my opinion and suffice it to say, after that emotional and clearly satisfying REGULAR SEASON win, in my opinion all signs do indeed point to a letdown here for the home side. Not only does this set up as a letdown spot, but it’s also a double revenge scenario for OKC, most recently a 101-99 setback at home on December 21st to the Pelicans, a game in which Durant sat out due to injury as well. The Thunder can still win and play without Durant, Russell Westbrook and company will also be highly motivated to end a four-game road losing streak; however, take note that the visitors do come in with some momentum after beating Orlando 104-97 on Monday, Westbrook posted his second triple-double of the year with 25 points, 14 assists and 11 boards. A great spot bet, two classic “spots” are working against the home side, I think the THUNDER can take advantage and take this one down to the wire. AAA Sports |
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02-04-15 | Washington Wizards +6.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards. I think this is a great situational play and while I obviously feel that the outright win isn’t out of the question, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect the “hungry” Wizards to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Atlanta finally fell in a 115-110 loss to New Orleans on Tuesday and I believe this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the home side. It’s hard not to imagine the Hawks having a mental lapse today after winning 19 straight, equaling the fifth-longest single-season winning streak in league history; note that the team would go 9-0 on the road during the epic win skein. Now also throw in the “look ahead” factor with West leading Golden State coming to town on Friday, then this play gets even stronger. And then now also throw in the fact that the Wizards play with “double revenge” from this season alone, including an embarrassing 120-89 rout on January 11th. And finally, Washington will clearly be focused on the task at hand, it’s dropped three straight overall coming into this one, the last two both coming by just four points. The Hawks run was impressive, but I’m not even close to “crowning their asses” yet, the situational factors are overwhelming and they all point to the WIZARDS as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-04-15 | East Carolina v. Connecticut -13.5 | 52-65 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* on Connecticut. For a number of different reasons (mainly strong trend based ones), I expect the home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. This is the first meeting between the schools since 1978 as East Carolina (9-12, 2-6 American) shifted conferences this season. The Huskies (11-9, 4-4 American) are 7-3 SU in home games this year and I think will present major matchup issues for the Pirates today. The home side will be especially motivated after falling 70-68 to Houston on the road, a game in which senior captain Ryan Boatright scored a career-high 31 points in the losing effort. It was tough one to swallow as the Huskies would in fact win the rebound battle 51-35. Conversely, I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors after they broke a three-game slide with a 50-46 win over Cincinnati over the weekend, rallying from a nine-point second half deficit to secure the game. Note that it was just ECU’s second conference win as it’s averaging just 56.1 points in league play thus far. Note that East Carolina is just 1-6 ATS in true road games this year, while UConn is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 off a loss vs. a conference rival. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the HUSKIES as the sharp wager in this one. AAA Sports |
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02-04-15 | Massachusetts v. Fordham +6 | Top | 78-72 | Push | 0 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE ROUT on Fordham. For a number of different reasons (mainly strong trend based ones), I look for the home side to at the very least keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. While the Minutemen are 3-1 in A-10 play this year, UMass is just 3-5 on the road overall. Note that four of the last five between these school’s have been decided by four points or less. This is also a double revenge spot for the home side after losing both games to UMass last season. But as mentioned off the top, for the most part I am basing this selection on strong trend based reasons, as note that Massachusetts is already a poor 1-2 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less and just 12-14 ATS in its last 26 off a win vs. a conference rival. And note that Fordham is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog in the 3.5 to 7 points range and 16-12 ATS in its last 28 after three or more consecutive SU losses. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to FORDHAM as the savvy move in this one. AAA Sports |
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