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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-30-20 | Warriors v. Celtics -13.5 | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Golden State at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Celtics in a game that has blowout potential on Thursday night. Golden State continues to struggle, ranking 28th in the league in offensive rating and 23rd in defensive rating over its last five games. While the Warriors do rank top-10 in pace rating over that stretch that could be to their detriment here. That's because the Celtics are rolling again, ranking sixth in offensive rating and third in defensive rating over their last five contests. While they're just middling in terms of pace rating over that stretch, I'm not all that concerned as they should get plenty of transition opportunities against the Warriors. Take Boston (10*). |
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01-30-20 | Raptors -10 v. Cavs | 115-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. This game certainly has letdown potential for Toronto coming off back-to-back emotional wins over the Spurs and Hawks following the tragic passing of Kobe Bryant but I believe the Raptors will be up to the challenge in Cleveland on Thursday night. The Cavs continue to struggle. They had a glimmer of hope earlier this week as they got past the reeling Pistons in Detroit but couldn't follow it up as they were easily disposed of by the Pelicans the next night. The Raptors enter this contest in fine form, ranking ninth in offensive rating and fifth in defensive rating over their last five games. The lowly Cavs on the other hand sit 24th in both of those categories. Despite the strong showing in the Motor City earlier this week, Cleveland still sits just 22nd in the league in pace rating over its last five contests - a stark contrast to the Raptors seventh ranking in that department. Take Toronto (10*). |
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01-30-20 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic +3 | Top | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
CBB C-USA Game of the Month. My selection is on Florida Atlantic plus the points over Western Kentucky at 7 pm et on Thursday. Western Kentucky rides a five-game winning streak into this matchup on Thursday night but it's worth noting that only two of those wins came on the road, and they came at the expense of Middle Tennessee State and Marshall, two teams that have gone a combined 14-28 overall this season. The last time the Hilltoppers faced a winning team on the road, they lost by double-digits at UAB earlier this month. Florida Atlantic has lost three straight games but the last two came on the road and its lone home loss over that stretch came against aforementioned 12-9 UAB. That was the Owls lone home defeat this season. The last time these two teams met, FAU prevailed by six points last January. I believe the case can be made that the wrong team is being favored in this one. Take Florida Atlantic (10*). |
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01-29-20 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech -2.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Texas Tech minus the points over West Virginia at 8 pm et on Wednesday. This is a big step-up spot for the Red Raiders at home, where they've traditionally owned a strong advantage. Texas Tech comes off back-to-back losses, most recently falling by just two points in overtime at home against Kentucky this past Saturday. The only other home loss the Red Raiders suffered this season came against 17-1 Baylor. It's interesting to note that Texas Tech closed as a 3.5-point favorite in that contest - a steeper number than we're dealing with on Wednesday. West Virginia's last victory against a winning team away from home came back on December 29th at Ohio State. Keep in mind, that game started a stretch that has seen the Buckeyes go a miserable 2-6 over their last eight contests. Outside of that win, the Mountaineers really haven't been all that impressive away from home. Revenge will certainly be on the Red Raiders minds here after falling by 12 points in Morgantown back on January 11th. As we always like to say, revenge is a dish best served at home. Take Texas Tech (10*). |
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01-29-20 | Pistons +6 v. Nets | 115-125 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Brooklyn at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with the Pistons in this same matchup last Saturday as they covered the number in regulation time but ultimately fell by double-digits in overtime. There's really not much separating these two teams at all right now and I'll gladly take all the points I can get with the Pistons in a big bounce-back spot on Wednesday night. Motivation will be especially high for Detroit coming off an embarrassing loss at home against the lowly Cavs on Monday. Meanwhile, Brooklyn went right back in the tank following Saturday's win in the Motor City, falling to the Knicks. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-29-20 | Alabama v. LSU -4.5 | 76-90 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on LSU minus the points over Alabama at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Alabama enters this SEC showdown having won four games in a row but only one of those victories came on the road, and that came at the expense of an 8-11 Vanderbilt squad. Note that the Crimson Tide's three road wins this season have come against three opponents that own a combined 22-40 overall record. Meanwhile, LSU has climbed back into the national rankings following a big road win at Texas. The Tigers haven't lost a game since falling by just two points at 16-4 USC back on December 21st. LSU has dropped two games at home this season but there was really no shame in either of those losses against 16-6 Utah State and 18-3 East Tennessee State. We got burned on a backdoor cover by Florida at LSU last week but that won't keep me from backing the Tigers again here as we're being asked to lay a very reasonable number. Take LSU (10*). |
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01-28-20 | Wizards v. Bucks -16 | 131-151 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Washington at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. NOTE: Giannis Antetokounmpo will not play in this game and as a result the line has dropped considerably. The 9* play on the Bucks stands at the current number. We're dealing with a steep pointspread with the Bucks here but just as we did a couple of weeks ago when they hosted the Knicks, we won't hesitate to go back to the well with Milwaukee in another smash spot on Wednesday night. The line would likely be even higher were it not for the fact that Milwaukee is returning home following last Friday's tilt in Paris. The Wizards are coming off an embarrassing beatdown at the hands of the lowly Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Only the Blazers have been worse in terms of defensive rating over their last five games. While Washington does rank 12th in offensive rating over that same stretch, it is going to have a tough time keeping pace with Milwaukee in this one. Note that the Bucks sit atop the Association in defensive rating over their last five contests. They also hold top spot in pace rating over that time frame. This is a 'name your score' type of game for the Bucks and I expect a lopsided result. Take Milwaukee (9*). |
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01-28-20 | Hawks v. Raptors UNDER 233 | 114-130 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Atlanta and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. We're dealing with an extremely high total here when you consider the Raptors are locked in defensively right now, ranking sixth in the league in defensive rating over their last five games. The Hawks are fresh off an emotional, predictably high-scoring win at home against the Wizards on Sunday but should find the going much tougher as they step up in class here on Tuesday night in Toronto. Despite that offensive explosion on Sunday, the Hawks still sit just 15th in the league in offensive rating over their last five contests. Take the under (10*). |
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01-28-20 | Syracuse v. Clemson -1.5 | 70-71 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Syracuse at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Clemson is coming off a blowout loss on Saturday, but that came on the road against 17-3 Louisville. The Tigers are 4-2 since the beginning of January with both of their losses coming on the road, the other at the hands of a quality 14-7 N.C. State squad. Syracuse has won five straight games here in January, including three in a row on the road. It's certainly worth noting that all three of those road wins could have gone either way. One came by way of overtime at Virginia and the other two by identical two-point margins against Virginia Tech and Pitt. The Orange could get caught looking ahead to a big showdown with Duke at home this coming Saturday. I simply feel that the motivation level will be very high for a Tigers squad that has been playing some pretty good basketball save for that egg laid at Louisville this past weekend. Take Clemson (10*). |
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01-27-20 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State +7.5 | 65-50 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma State plus the points over Kansas at 9 pm et on Monday. Despite having gone winless through its first six Big 12 games this season, Oklahoma State has to feel alright about its chances against undermanned Kansas on Monday night. The Cowboys gained some much-needed positive momentum with a win over Texas A&M, on the road no less, on Saturday. Kansas of course continues to play in the aftermath of last week's brawl with Kansas State, missing a number of key cogs entering Monday's matchup. The Jayhawks played just seven players in Saturday's narrow win (but non-cover) against Tennessee. I simply feel Oklahoma State is catching too many points in what should be a tightly-contested affair. Take Oklahoma State (10*). |
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01-27-20 | Cavs v. Pistons -6.5 | Top | 115-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month. My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. This is the perfect storm to back the Pistons as they host the lowly Cavs on Monday night. Detroit has won two of three meetings with Cleveland this season, splitting the most recent two affairs with both of those games going down to the wire. I expect more of a lopsided contest here as the Pistons aim to bounce back from consecutive discouraging losses against the Grizzlies and Nets - both at home - on Friday and Saturday. Note that despite their recent struggles in the w/l column, Detroit actually checks in top 10 in the league in offensive rating and top nine in defensive rating over its last five contests. By contrast, Cleveland sits 24th and 25th respectively in those two categories. Most will want no part of laying points with the Pistons here off Saturday's frustrating overtime loss and non-cover against the Nets. I see this as an ideal bounce-back spot for Detroit laying a very reasonable number against one of the league's worst teams. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-27-20 | North Carolina +5.5 v. NC State | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
CBB ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over N.C. State at 7 pm et on Monday. A 94-point outburst in a rout of Miami on Saturday was just what the doctor ordered for North Carolina. That brought an end to the Tar Heels five-game losing streak to open 2020 and now I look for them to build off of that performance as they make the short trip to Raleigh to face in-state rival N.C. State on Monday. The Wolfpack saw their three-game winning streak come to an end in a 64-58 loss at Georgia Tech on Saturday - their second loss in as many games against the Yellow Jackets this season. While they have posted a 4-3 record here in January, that hasn't come easy with three of those four victories coming by six points or less. This is a big game for both teams but I actually think there's a little less pressure on the Tar Heels at this point as they've largely been forgotten thanks to their disappointing start to the ACC campaign. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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01-26-20 | Celtics v. Pelicans +1.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Boston at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Pelicans have gone 0-2 since Zion Williamson made his debut earlier this week but I believe they'll have a good shot at getting back in the win column here against the streaking Celtics. Boston has won three games in a row but prior to that it had dropped six of its last eight contests. The Pelicans will certainly have revenge on their minds after suffering a 35-point beatdown at the hands of the Celtics back on January 11th. Note that prior to losing its last two games, New Orleans had won five of its last seven games. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-26-20 | Missouri State v. Drake -4.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Drake minus the points over Missouri State at 4 pm et on Sunday. We won a big ticket with Missouri State recently but I won't hesitate to go the other way and fade the Bears as they hit the road to face Drake on Sunday. Missouri State is coming off back-to-back wins but those came against Evansville and Valpo, neither of which own a winning record on the season. Drake checks in sporting a solid 14-6 record and has yet to lose a game at home. Off a disappointing split on a two-game road set at Southern Illinois and Evansville I do expect the Bulldogs to get up for this one. Take Drake (10*). |
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01-25-20 | Nets v. Pistons +2 | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit minus the points over Brooklyn at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel that the wrong team is favored in this matchup as the Pistons have been playing some pretty good basketball lately and should be up for the challenge against Kyrie Irving and the Nets on Saturday. Detroit ranks an impressive sixth in both offensive and defensive rating over its last five games while Brooklyn checks in 28th and 23rd in those two categories respectively over the same stretch. While the Nets have undoubtedly faced a tougher schedule than the Pistons over their last five contests and Irving has been injured, the fact is, this has been a disappointing campaign for 18-25 Brooklyn. Coming off a 125-112 loss at home against the Grizzlies, motivation should be high for the Pistons here. They beat the Nets as a four-point underdog here at home back on November 2nd. Brooklyn will be desperate to snap a five-game skid but it hasn't won on the road since way back on December 17th in New Orleans. Take Detroit (10*). |
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01-25-20 | Southern Illinois v. Illinois State -1.5 | Top | 58-55 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week. My selection is on Illinois State minus the points over Southern Illinois at 3 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Redbirds as they aim to snap a six-game skid here in what has been a winless January so far. Keep in mind, their schedule has been tough. Four of those six games came on the road and not a single one of those setbacks came against a team that currently owns a losing record. They own three truly impressive wins here at home this season, coming against Belmont, Little Rock and Northern Iowa - three teams that own a combined 44-16 record. Southern Illinois checks in 4-2 this month but all four of those wins came at home. The Salukis have yet to win a road game this season going winless in eight tries. Off back-to-back impressive wins over Drake and Northern Iowa I expect them to suffer a letdown here. Take Illinois State (10*). |
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01-24-20 | Kings v. Bulls UNDER 219 | Top | 98-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Sacramento and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Friday. The Kings carry a reputation as being an up-tempo offensive team but that simply hasn't been the case, certainly of late. Sacramento ranks 19th in the league in pace rating over its last five games and 20th in offensive rating. Chicago has been even worse, sitting 23rd in offensive rating over that same stretch. It is worth noting that the Kings rank dead last in the league in defensive rating over their last five contests but that's certainly been baked into this total, and I'm just not sure Chicago is capable of taking advantage tonight. For their part, the Bulls sit in the top nine in defensive rating over that same time frame. Take the under (10*). |
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01-24-20 | Niagara v. Monmouth -7.5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Monmouth minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Friday. Niagara enters this game off three straight wins but remains just 6-11 on the season. The Purple Eagles have won just two road games this season with those coming against teams that own a combined 12-20 record, not to mention the fact that the two wins came by a combined five points. Monmouth has gone a perfect 3-0 at home in MAAC play, winning each of those games by at least eight points. Despite the fact that the Hawks have gone 4-2 here in January, they should realize the importance of this contest with three of their next four games coming on the road, where they've gone 3-6 this season. Take Monmouth (10*). |
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01-23-20 | Pepperdine v. Santa Clara -4 | Top | 90-86 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
CBB WCC Game of the Month. My selection is on Santa Clara minus the points over Pepperdine at 10 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Broncos as they look to string together consecutive wins for the first time in January on Thursday night. Santa Clara managed to bounce back with an 84-80 win over a good Pacific team last time out, playing the second of back-to-back nights after getting blown out by a whopping 50 points against Gonzaga. It's certainly encouraging that the Broncos were able to put that beatdown in the rear-view mirror so quickly. Note that Santa Clara has yet to lose a game at home this season and should be able to keep that perfect record intact here. Pepperdine fell below the .500 mark with a hard-fought 78-69 loss to St. Mary's last Saturday. The Waves have gone 2-3 since the start of January with their two wins coming against teams that own a combined 15-25 record. You have to wonder if the Waves might be a little weary with each of their last five contests being decided by single-digit margins. The Broncos are still without star big man Guglielmo Caruso but have managed to score 80+ points in both home games without him here in January. Take Santa Clara (10*). |
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01-22-20 | Grizzlies +7 v. Celtics | 95-119 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Boston at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Celtics are coming off an epic beatdown of the Lakers on Monday night but I believe that only serves to leave them overvalued as they host the Grizzlies on Wednesday. Memphis checks in ranking sixth in offensive rating, 14th in defensive rating and seventh in pace rating over its last five games. While the Celtics do rank fourth in offensive rating over that same stretch, they're a miserable 24th in defensive rating and a middling 12th in pace rating. I simply feel the Grizzlies will be able to keep up with the C's all night long on Wednesday. Take Memphis (10*). |
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01-22-20 | Massachusetts v. George Mason -6.5 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
CBB A-10 Game of the Month. My selection is on George Mason minus the points over UMass at 7 pm et on Wednesday. George Mason checks in having lost three games in a row on its home floor but keep in mind, those three losses came against VCU, St. Bonaventure and Richmond, three teams that own a combined 40-15 record this season. Here, they'll be stepping down in class against 7-11 UMass, which has lost three games in a row - all by double-digit margins. In fact, since the start of December, the Minutemen have won just three games and those wins came against teams that own a combined 24-30 record. Their only road win this season came against MAAC squad Fairfield, which owns a losing record on the season. Take George Mason (10*). |
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01-21-20 | Florida v. LSU -2.5 | 82-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on LSU minus the points over Florida at 7 pm et on Tuesday. I'm comfortable laying a short number with the Tigers here as they face a tough challenge in the Florida Gators on Tuesday night. LSU has dropped just four of 16 games this season and there was no shame in any of those defeats. Some will point to the double-digit home loss to East Tennessee State back on December 18th as a bad loss but ETSU has gone 17-3 this season and is no pushover. The Tigers have gone 5-0 since the turn of the new year with the last four victories all coming by four points or less. That only serves to give us a reasonable number to work with here, however. The Gators are coming off back-to-back blowout wins over Mississippi State and Auburn but both of those wins came at home. They've split two SEC road games, beating a middle of the road South Carolina squad and getting blown out by Missouri. Take LSU (10*). |
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01-20-20 | Oklahoma +10 v. Baylor | 57-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma plus the points over Baylor at 9 pm et on Monday. The Sooners will face a tough test on the Big 12 road on Monday night as they head to the Ferrell Center to face 15-1 Baylor. I do think Oklahoma can hang in this matchup. There's been no shame in any of Oklahoma's five losses this season with those coming against Stanford, Wichita State, Creighton, Iowa State and Kansas. On Saturday we saw the Sooners deliver a blowout win at home against a quality TCU squad that had lost just four of 16 games heading in. Baylor hasn't lost a game since falling by three points against Washington way back on November 8th. There aren't many flaws in the Bears' game. I simply believe they're laying too many points against a scrappy Sooners squad here on Monday night. Take Oklahoma (10*). |
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01-20-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -6.5 | 112-107 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Oklahoma City at 5:05 pm et on Monday. We won with the Thunder on Saturday night but I won't hesitate to switch gears and fade them as they hit the road to face the Rockets on Monday afternoon in Houston. Note that the Thunder rank a miserable 26th in defensive rating over their last five games and will be hard-pressed to slow a Rockets offense that ranks third in the league in pace rating over their last five contests. Having dropped four games over that stretch, Houston will undoubtedly be highly-motivated to get back on track here and won't take the upstart Thunder lightly. I had this pointspread pegged a couple of points steeper, so I'll gladly back Houston at a discount here. Take Houston (10*). |
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01-18-20 | Blazers v. Thunder -4.5 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Portland at 9:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Thunder on Saturday night as they look to bounce back following consecutive losses here at home. Portland is in a tough scheduling spot here, playing for the third time in four nights on the road, splitting the previous two including an upset win in Houston and a tough battle in Dallas last night. Despite dropping their last two games, the Thunder still rank ninth in the NBA in offensive rating over their last five games. By contrast, the Blazers sit 19th in that category over the same stretch. While Oklahoma City has struggled defensively, it still ranks two spots ahead of Portland in terms of defensive rating over its last five contests. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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01-18-20 | Old Dominion v. Marshall -4 | 67-68 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Marshall minus the points over Old Dominion at 7 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with Marshall on Saturday night. We missed the mark with the Thundering Herd last time out as they dropped a narrow two-point decision against Charlotte. For the same reasons we backed the Herd in that one, we'll go back to the well here as they face 6-11 Old Dominion. The Monarchs haven't posted a road win since back on November 16th at Northeastern. They've posted just three wins overall since then with those victories coming against three opponents that own a combined 17-37 overall record. This is a big motivational spot for Marshall at home and I look for it to bounce back strong. Take Marshall (10*). |
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01-18-20 | The Citadel v. VMI -3 | Top | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Southern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on VMI minus the points over Citadel at 1 pm et on Saturday. We faded VMI earlier this week as it fell by double-digits on the road against a highly-motivated Mercer squad. I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the Keydets as they return home to face Citadel on Saturday, however. VMI checks in having lost seven straight games but winnable contests have been few and far between over that stretch. The fact is the Keydets were competitive in each of their last two games away from home, including a narrow six-point loss against 16-3 East Tennessee State. Citadel has lost five games in a row with its last victory coming against 6-12 Longwood and the Bulldogs needed three overtimes to secure that win. They own just three wins against Division I opponents this season. Take VMI (10*). |
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01-17-20 | Cavs v. Grizzlies -8 | 109-113 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Cleveland at 8:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the upstart Grizzlies on Friday night as they host the lowly Cavs. Cleveland did open its current road trip with consecutive wins in Detroit and Denver but it's been all downhill from there as it checks in off back-to-back blowout losses against the Lakers and Clippers in Los Angeles. Memphis ranks 4th and 9th in offensive and defensive rating respectively over its last five games, not to mention 6th in pace rating. Meanwhile, the Cavs have settled back into their woeful ways, sitting 21st in offensive rating, 29th in defensive rating and 25th in pace rating over that same time frame. Take Memphis (10*). |
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01-17-20 | Siena v. Canisius +1.5 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Canisius plus the points over Siena at 7 pm et on Friday. I'll back the Golden Griffins on Friday night as I believe they have plenty of upside despite their disappointing 6-10 overall record. We saw Canisius come up with a hard-fought 72-68 win at St. Peter's last time out. While it did drop its first two games at home this month, those games could have gone either way with the losses each coming by four-point margins. Tonight's opponent, Siena, checks in sporting a 7-7 record but has yet to win a game away from home this season. The Saints have won a couple of conference games at home here in January, but both of those games could have gone either way as well with a three-point margin of victory. Take Canisius (10*). |
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01-16-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans +5 | 132-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Utah at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Jazz are red hot right now, winners of 10 games in a row. I do expect them to face a stiff challenge in New Orleans on Thursday night, however. While the Jazz are on top of the league rankings in offensive rating over their last 10 games, the Pelicans also find themselves inside the top 10 in that category. While New Orleans sits inside the top 10 in pace rating as well, Utah is in 21st over its last five contests. I simply like the way the Pelicans are playing right now and certainly feel they'll be up for this showdown at home. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-16-20 | Charlotte v. Marshall -5.5 | 77-75 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Marshall minus the points over Charlotte at 7 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with Marshall in this spot. Charlotte has yet to lose a game in January, going a perfect 3-0. Only one of those wins was of the impressive variety, however. That coming at home against UAB on January 2nd. Note that the 49ers have won just once in five tries on the road this season and that came against 5-14 NC-Wilmington. Marshall has split four games so far this month. Keep in mind, both of the Thundering Herd's losses came against winning opposition including an 11-point setback at aforementioned UAB last time out. Look for them to get back on track here. Take Marshall (10*). |
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01-15-20 | Magic v. Lakers UNDER 211.5 | 119-118 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'under' at Staples Center on Wednesday night, noting that these two teams combined to score just 183 total points in their last meeting back in December. The Lakers are tops in the league in defensive rating over their last five games while the Magic aren't far behind sitting in third spot. On the flip side, the Lakers rank an impressive second in offensive rating over that same stretch but keep in mind, three of their last five contests came against three of the league's worst defensive teams in the Pistons, Wizards and Cavaliers. The Magic check in 17th in offensive rating over their last five games. Neither team has been really pushing the pace lately with the Lakers sitting 14th and the Magic 19th over their last five. Take the under (10*). |
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01-15-20 | Blazers v. Rockets -7.5 | 117-107 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston minus the points over Portland at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets are banged up and playing the second of back-to-back nights so it's understandable that they're laying a relatively short number against the Blazers on Wednesday. I believe the line will prove too short. Note that Houston ranks just outside the top 10 in offensive rating over its last five games, sitting in 11th. The Rockets somewhat surprisingly (to some) find themselves in 10th in defensive rating over that same stretch and an even more impressive third in pace rating. Meanwhile, the Blazers have struggled in all three of those departments, ranking 19th, 24th and 18th respectively over that same time frame. There's no shame in the Rockets loss against a steadily improving Grizzlies squad on the road last night. Expect a solid bounce-back performance here. Take Houston (10*). |
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01-15-20 | Bradley v. Missouri State -1.5 | Top | 91-78 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
CBB MVC Game of the Month. My selection is on Missouri State minus the points over Bradley at 8 pm et on Wednesday. This is a tremendous bounce-back spot for Missouri State on its home floor against Bradley on Wednesday night. The Bears are coming off an 80-57 beatdown at the hands of Northern Iowa on Saturday but keep in mind, the Panthers are among the class of the MVC and own a 14-2 record this season. Prior to that, the Bears had won two of three in MVC play since New Year's Even with their lone loss coming by just four points on the road against a quality 11-6 Loyola-Chicago team. Bradley is fresh off back-to-back blowout wins but could be caught looking ahead to a revenge date with Northern Iowa at home this coming Saturday. Bradley's lone road victory this season came against Evansville - a team that has gone winless in MVC play this season. Take Missouri State (10*). |
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01-15-20 | VMI v. Mercer -6 | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Mercer minus the points over VMI at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Mercer has yet to win a game in 2020, dropping three straight games to open the calendar year. Keep in mind, the Bears last three games have come against teams that own a combined 36-14 overall record. VMI checks in having dropped six games in a row. The Keydets have yet to post a victory on the road this season. Note that three of VMI's five wins this season have come against non-Division I opponents. This is the first of two meetings between these two teams this month. Look for the Bears to take round one on Wednesday. Take Mercer (10*). |
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01-14-20 | Missouri v. Mississippi State -3.5 | Top | 45-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
CBB SEC Game of the Month. My selection is on Mississippi State minus the points over Missouri at 9 pm et on Tuesday. This is a great spot to fade Missouri off its big blowout win at home against Florida on Saturday. Now the Tigers hit the road where they have posted just one victory this season, that coming against an uneven Temple squad that just got blown out at home against Tulane on the weekend. There's no shame in Mississippi State's current three-game losing streak as those three losses came against SEC opponents that have combined to go 34-11 this season, Auburn, Alabama and LSU - with the most recent two setbacks coming on the road. This is a big motivational spot for the Bulldogs as they aim to make up some ground in the SECÂ in a tough but winnable game at home. Take Mississippi State (10*). |
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01-14-20 | Knicks v. Bucks -16.5 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over New York at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We're dealing with an extremely high pointspread here in favor of the Bucks but it's warranted in my opinion. New York continues to struggle and checks in last in the league in defensive rating over its last five contests, and the scary thing is, it's not really all that close. The Knicks won't have a hope of slowing down a Bucks squad that sits second in the NBA in pace rating over their last five contests. New York hasn't shied away from playing an up-tempo style lately and I think that backfires here as the Bucks should be able to name their score and will be happy to be back home following a western road trip. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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01-13-20 | Magic v. Kings -1.5 | 114-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Orlando at 10:05 pm et on Monday. This is a great bounce-back spot for the Kings coming off what looked on paper like a blowout loss to the Bucks at home. That game was closer than the final score indicated and we should see a highly-motivated Sacramento squad in rebound mode here on Monday. The Magic battled hard but ultimately fell short in Phoenix on Friday (we won with the Suns in that game). Orlando has now dropped five of its last six games on the road and could get caught looking ahead to a trip to Los Angeles for back-to-back games against the Lakers and Clippers beginning on Wednesday night. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-13-20 | Coppin State v. Florida A&M -3.5 | Top | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
CBB MEAC Game of the Year. My selection is on Florida A&M minus the points over Coppin State at 8 pm et on Monday. Not all 3-11 teams are created equal and in this case, I believe Florida A&M is a much better team than its record indicates. The Rattlers faced an absolutely brutal non-conference schedule to open the season, playing just one home game between the start of the season and the second week of January, and that home date came against 14-5 Pacific. We've seen the Rattlers find some success lately, most recently prevailing by a 77-68 score against a quality Morgan State squad on Saturday. Here, they catch a Coppin State team that hasn't won a game since December 3rd, that coming on the road against 8-8 East Carolina. The Eagles have played well on occasion but here I simply feel they're in the wrong place at the wrong time against a highly-motivated Florida A&M squad. Take Florida A&M (10*). |
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01-12-20 | Hawks +7.5 v. Nets | 86-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Brooklyn at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. The Nets snapped a seven-game losing streak with a win over the Heat on Friday night but that only serves to leave them overvalued as they host the lowly Hawks on Sunday. There really hasn't been much separating these two teams lately. The Nets actually rank a miserable 29th in the league in offensive rating over their last five games. There's reason to believe they could have a tough time keeping up with Atlanta, which ranks top 10 in pace rating over that same time frame. Brooklyn sits in the bottom half of the league in that department over its last five contests. With only eight wins on the season it's been mostly doom and gloom for the Hawks but they have to feel like this is a rare winnable game away from home. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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01-12-20 | Rider -7.5 v. Marist | 69-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Rider minus the points over Marist at 2 pm et on Sunday. I believe this game has blowout potential as Rider travels to face Marist on Sunday afternoon. The Broncs are coming off back-to-back losses in MAAC play but neither of those setbacks were of the demoralizing variety as they came against Quinnipiac and Iona. If anything, those losses should motivate them to put their best foot forward against a very beatable Marist squad here. The Red Foxes have won just twice in 13 games this season and those came against 5-13 VMI and 6-9 Fairfield. They were actually double-digit underdogs against Fairfield last time out so I believe we're getting a bit of a discount here with what I would consider to be a stronger Rider team. The Broncs have already defeated the Red Foxes once this season, taking an 84-74 decision back in December. Take Rider (10*). |
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01-11-20 | 76ers v. Mavs -2 | 91-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Philadelphia at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. The Mavs are coming off another tough loss last night, this one coming at the hands of the Lakers. I do expect Dallas to bounce back on Saturday, however, as it hosts Philadelphia. Despite struggling to find the win column, the Mavs still rank sixth in the NBA in offensive rating over their last five games. While their defensive play has left a lot to be desired, ranking a miserable 27th over that stretch, Philadelphia hasn't been much better, also finding itself in the bottom-10 over that time frame. Both teams are missing key cogs right now with Joel Embiid sidelined for the 76ers and Kristaps Porzingis out for Dallas. I'll lay the short number with the home side. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-11-20 | Clemson v. North Carolina -4.5 | 79-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina minus the points over Clemson at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. This is a perfect bounce-back spot for the Tar Heels at home - where they have shockingly dropped consecutive games against the likes of Pitt and Georgia Tech. Clemson is not a good team - we learned that the hard way in a disappointing result in a huge motivational spot at home against Miami a week-and-a-half ago. Look for North Carolina to take the opportunity to flex its muscle in the midst of a down season against a very beatable opponent on Saturday afternoon. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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01-10-20 | Magic v. Suns -3 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Orlando at 9:05 pm et on Friday. We're getting a terrific number with the Suns here considering they were a 6.5-point favorite against the Kings last time out (we won with Sacramento in that game). The Magic have won three of their last four games but all four of those were played at home. They own five road wins this season but those have come against the Cavs (twice), Pelicans and Wizards (twice). This is the start of a long six-game road trip for Orlando. Playing on two days' rest and having not traveled since New Year's Day, I like this spot for the Suns. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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01-10-20 | Wright State -10 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Horizon League Game of the Month. My selection is on Wright State minus the points over IUPUI at 7 pm et on Friday. Bettors may be a little hesitant to back Wright State coming off a narrow one-point win over 3-14 Detroit last time out. Keep in mind, just two games back the Raiders blew the doors off a better Oakland squad by a 96-69 score. In other words, take that result against Detroit with a grain of salt. Wright State is the vastly superior team in this matchup and IUPUI comes in having not faced a winning opponent since suffering a 10-point loss to 10-7 Youngstown State on December 28th. The Jaguars are just 2-4 at home against Division I opponents this season. Take Wright State (10*). |
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01-09-20 | Blazers v. Wolves +2 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Portland at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Trail Blazers are fresh off a come-from-behind win over the defending champion Raptors two nights ago but Toronto isn't the same team right now as it deals with a number of key injuries. Keep in mind, Portland has won just twice in its last eight games with the other victory coming against the 12-25 Wizards. Minnesota has been dealing with its share of injuries as well but does check in having gone 4-3 over its last seven games, including a 2-1 mark here at home. The T'Wolves battled hard but fell by a 119-112 score in Memphis two nights ago but are well-positioned to rebound in this spot. Minnesota has a number of key advantages in this matchup as it ranks tied for third in the league in pace, sixth in three-pointers made per game and seventh in rebounds per game. Portland finds itself outside the top 10 in all of those categories. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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01-09-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Texas-San Antonio +5.5 | Top | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB C-USA Game of the Year. My selection is on Texas-San Antonio plus the points over Louisiana Tech at 7 pm et on Thursday. This is a fine spot to back the Roadrunners as they return home following a winless two-game road trip that included unsurprising losses against Florida Atlantic and Florida International, two teams that own a combined 21-9 record on the season. Keep in mind, prior to those losses, UTSA had won five of its last six games with its lone setback over that stretch coming against 11-3 Oregon State. Louisiana Tech hasn't lost a game since December 8th but hasn't exactly faced an exhausting schedule. Here, the Bulldogs will play just their second game in 2020 following a 28-point beatdown of lowly Southern Miss, which has won only four times in 15 tries this season. In fact, Louisiana Tech's last two wins have come against Southern Miss. The Bulldogs really haven't been tested since that loss to Sam Houston State back in early December. Their last four wins against division I opponents have featured teams that own a combined 16-30 record. Take Texas-San Antonio (10*). |
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01-08-20 | UNLV v. Boise State -6.5 | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boise State minus the points over UNLV at 9 pm et on Wednesday. This is a terrific bounce-back spot for Boise State at home after suffering a blowout loss against Nevada on Saturday. UNLV is 'fat and happy' following six straight games played at home and now hits the road where it owns just one win in four tries on the campaign. Boise State generally owns a tremendous edge on its home floor and I expect its dominance to continue here on Wednesday night. Take Boise State (10*). |
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01-08-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -3 | 107-106 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Denver at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Mavericks are still trying to find some consistency and round back into form with Luka Doncic back in the lineup and they took a step in the right direction with a 118-110 win over Chicago last time out. While they've still lost three of their last five games, two of those losses came against the Lakers and the red hot Thunder on the road and the other by way of overtime in a true flat spot at home against the Hornets. I don't think there's any question they'll be up for this matchup with the Nuggets. Note that Denver ranks dead last in the league in defensive rating over its last five games. The Nuggets have tried to make up for it at the offensive end of the floor, where they rank second in offensive rating over that same stretch but the Mavs have been rising in that department as well, ranking ninth over their last five contests. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-07-20 | Kings +6.5 v. Suns | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with the underdog Kings as they travel to face the Suns on Tuesday night. We suffered what could only be considered a bad beat fading the Suns on this floor last week against the Knicks but I won't hesitate to go back to the well here, noting that Phoenix has gone just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite. Kings are off a 2-2 homestand and need to build here before returning home for tough matchups with Milwaukee, Orlando and Dallas. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-07-20 | Miami-FL +13.5 v. Louisville | Top | 58-74 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
CBB ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Louisville at 7 pm et on Tuesday. It's going to be very easy for Miami to get up for this matchup against the Cardinals in Louisville. Keep in mind, these two teams already met in their season opener this season with Louisville rolling to a 13-point victory. The Cardinals aren't exactly in top form right now, having dropped three of their last five games, albeit against tough opposition. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes are fresh off a blowout loss at home against Duke following a perfect 5-0 December. We faded the Canes in a road date with Clemson last week and paid the price as Miami showed plenty of resolve in a come-from-behind victory. Here, I believe the price is right to back Miami in what should be a competitive affair. Take Miami (10*). |
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01-03-20 | Knicks +6.5 v. Suns | 112-120 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Friday. The Knicks are doing a couple of things really well right now, they're playing tough defense (fifth in the league in defensive rating last five games) and they're pushing the pace at every opportunity (sixth in pace rating L5). That sets them up well as they head to Phoenix to take on the struggling Suns. New York has actually split its last four matchups here in the desert. It's not as if Phoenix holds any sort of home court advantage, having won just seven times in 16 tries on this floor this season. Take New York (10*). |
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01-03-20 | St. Peter's v. Iona -7.5 | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iona minus the points over St. Peter's at 7 pm et on Friday. I think there is more of a gap between these two MAAC squads than is being reflected in the pointspread. St. Peter's is off to a 3-6 start with its only wins coming against the likes of St. Francis-NY, Fairleigh Dickinson and LIU-Brooklyn. None of those opponents own winning records. Of course, neither does Friday's opponent, Iona, but I do think the Gaels have plenty of upside. Iona hasn't played a home game since the third week of November, going 1-3 over its last four road tilts that included tough stops at UConn, Princeton and Colorado. The Gaels have quite simply faced a brutal schedule to this point this season and will welcome the opportunity to get right in this conference matchup with the Peacocks. Take Iona (10*). |
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01-02-20 | South Alabama v. UL - Lafayette +3 | Top | 60-57 | Push | 0 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Sun Belt Game of the Month. My selection is on Louisiana-Lafayette plus the points over South Alabama at 8 pm et on Thursday. I love the way this one sets up for the Ragin' Cajuns as a home underdog in-conference. Louisiana-Lafayette has lost five games in a row heading into this one but that shouldn't come as a big surprise as all of those losses were against superior competition and only one result was a true blowout (against Louisiana Tech in Ruston). This is an excellent opportunity for the Ragin' Cajuns to get going with this Sun Belt matchup followed by a date with Troy on Saturday (both on their home floor). South Alabama is fresh off a blowout win, but that came against unheralded Mobile. The Jaguars are a middle of the pack team that I don't believe warrant being favored on the road in this one. Take Louisiana-Lafayette (10*). |
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01-02-20 | Hornets v. Cavs -2 | 109-106 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. The Hornets are really struggling right now and after cashing a fade of them two nights ago, I won't hesitate to go back to the well against them on Thursday. Charlotte checks in a miserable 27th in the league in both offensive and defensive rating over its last five games, not to mention the fact that it sits dead last in pace rating over that same stretch. Meanwhile, the Cavs have shown some signs of life, sitting around the middle of the pack in defensive rating and an impressive top-four (tied with the Bucks) in pace rating over their last five contests. Offensively, they're not going to blow the doors off of anyone but I do see this as a favorable matchup on their home floor. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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01-02-20 | Towson +6.5 v. College of Charleston | 69-81 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Towson plus the points over Charleston at 7 pm et on Thursday. I like the value being offered with Towson here as it enters this game battle-tested and eager to bounce back off a tough home loss to Hofstra last time out. Meanwhile, Charleston rolls in off a season-high three straight wins and is certainly positioned for a letdown against a losing Tigers squad. Towson has faced a tough schedule to this point and has generally played competitive basketball. There's not a lot separating these two squads at all but we're being given a generous cushion with the Tigers due to the setting. Take Towson (10*). |
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01-02-20 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -12.5 | 52-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Richmond minus the points over St. Joseph's at 7 pm et on Thursday. This is a blowout waiting to happen as Richmond looks to bounce back from rare consecutive losses against struggling St. Joseph's. The Spiders mini-skid started with a shocking home loss to Radford before falling on the road against Alabama on December 29th. This is a terrific 'get right' spot for Richmond as it hosts 3-9 St. Joe's, which has had a miserable time when stepping up in class early this season. Meanwhile, the Spiders have certainly proven their ability to take care of business with a number of lopsided home wins to their credit. Take Richmond (10*). |
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01-01-20 | Suns v. Lakers OVER 226.5 | 107-117 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Phoenix and Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Wednesday. I'll back the 'over' at Staples Center on Wednesday night as both the Suns and Lakers seek their third straight victories. Note that Phoenix checks in sixth in offensive rating over its last five games. The Lakers on the other hand, do sit in the top half of the league in that category (14th) over the same stretch. In terms of defensive rating, the Suns rank a miserable 28th over their last five contests while the Lakers haven't been much better, sitting 22nd. Both teams have been middle of the pack in terms of pushing the pace lately, but that doesn't concern me all that much as I think both can be drawn into an up-and-down affair here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-01-20 | Connecticut +2.5 v. Cincinnati | 51-67 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Cincinnati at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with the Huskies as they hit the road to face Cincinnati on Wednesday. Connecticut has reeled off three straight wins since it suffered a narrow three-point loss to Indiana back on December 10th. There's no question the Huskies have had this matchup circled since suffering that most recent loss, noting their last three victories all came at the hands of very beatable opponents. Cincinnati will certainly be up for this one as well as it is fresh off a seven-point setback on the road against Iowa. The Bearcats have actually dropped three of their last four games, cooling off considerably following a hot start to the season. I feel the underdog is the way to go in this showdown. Take Connecticut (10*). |
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01-01-20 | Fresno State +13 v. San Diego State | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Fresno State plus the points over San Diego State at 3 pm et on Wednesday. This line makes sense if you're only looking at these two teams' overall records as Fresno State has won just four times in 13 games while San Diego State checks in a perfect 13-0 on the campaign. But a deeper look shows that the Bulldogs have faced a tough schedule to this point, and have generally played competitive basketball. Note that in San Diego State's most recent game it rolled by 16 points but that was against lowly Cal Poly, which has gone 2-11 this season. I see this as a bit of a flat spot for the Aztecs as they get ready to square off with a top-flight Utah State squad on Saturday. Take Fresno State (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets OVER 220 | Top | 104-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Houston at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. This has the makings of a track meet as the Nuggets visit the Rockets on New Year's Eve. Denver ranks tops in the league in offensive rating over its last five games while Houston not surprisingly has impressed in that regard as well, sitting in seventh. Meanwhile, the Rockets are just 20th in defensive rating while the Nuggets have fallen off in that department as well, sitting 19th over the same time frame. We'll see a contrast in styles here with the Rockets always looking to push the pace, and currently ranking ninth in the league in pace rating over their last five contests while the Nuggets sit 25th. I'm anticipating a back-and-forth, high-scoring affair on Tuesday. Take the over (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -2.5 | 73-68 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Miami at 4 pm et on Tuesday. Miami comes into this matchup sporting the better overall record but I expect Clemson to rise to the occasion on its home floor on New Year's Eve. Miami hasn't lost a game in December, going a perfect 4-0. I see this as a bit of a flat spot for the Canes as they take the floor for the first time since December 21st and ahead of a big showdown at home against Duke on Saturday. Clemson has really cooled off following a strong start, dropping five of its last six games overall. It has faced a tough schedule over the last month, however, and even in its most recent loss - a 54-45 setback against Yale - there was no real cause for alarm as the Bulldogs are a solid Ivy League team that has gone 10-4 so far this season. This is a strong motivational spot for the Tigers in this ACC affair. Take Clemson (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hornets | 109-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Charlotte at 3:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is a blowout waiting to happen as the Celtics roll into Charlotte to face the struggling Hornets. Boston ranks fourth in offensive rating and seventh in defensive rating over its last five games while Charlotte checks in 25th in both categories over the same stretch. While the Celtics haven't been pushing the pace all that much, sitting 20th in pace rating over their last five, the Hornets pull up the league's rear in that category over the same time frame. Unless the C's absolutely overlook the Hornets on New Year's Eve, this should be a rout. Take Boston (10*). |
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12-31-19 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois State +5.5 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois State plus the points over Northern Iowa at 3 pm et on Tuesday. Illinois State is off to a less than impressive 5-7 start this season while Northern Iowa checks in a near-flawless 11-1. With that being said, the Redbirds have faced a sneaky-tough schedule to this point and have a good opportunity for a fresh start here as they open Missouri Valley Conference play against the Panthers. Northern Iowa hasn't lost a game since November but it will be playing for just the third time since December 12th this afternoon at Redbird Arena. I'm anticipating a battle in this one and not convinced we'll see the Panthers win by margin. Take Illinois State (10*). |
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12-25-19 | Bucks -3.5 v. 76ers | 109-121 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Philadelphia at 2:35 pm et on Wednesday. Full writeups will return on Thursday. The Bucks check in top-four in offensive rating and top-two in defensive rating over their last five games. Solid spot to back the road favorite here. Best of luck today. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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12-23-19 | Bulls +4.5 v. Magic | 95-103 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Orlando at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Magic just aren't very good right now, losers of six of their last seven games overall, and now they find themselves in a difficult scheduling spot, playing their first game back at home following a 1-3 road trip out west. Meanwhile, the Bulls have won back-to-back games and sport a 4-2 mark over their last six games. They'll look to carry some positive momentum into the short holiday break before returning home to host the Hawks on the 28th of the month. Take Chicago (10*). |
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12-23-19 | Long Beach State v. Seattle University -4.5 | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Long Beach State at 6 pm et on Monday. Long Beach State bounced back with a win over Utah Valley last time out but still owns just four wins in 13 games this season and the 49ers will be in tough against Seattle on Monday. The Redhawks should be highly-motivated following an ugly loss at home against Florida A&M on Saturday. They've faced a pretty tough schedule this season so their 6-7 overall record isn't all that concerning. We missed the mark with Long Beach State in a blowout home loss against Southern Utah last week and I'm not interested in going back to the well with the 49ers here. Take Seattle (10*). |
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12-23-19 | Canisius v. Siena -5 | Top | 72-73 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
CBB MAAC Game of the Month. My selection is on Siena minus the points over Canisius at 6 pm et on Monday. We're dealing with a fairly small sample size when it comes to the Siena Saints as they've played just eight games to date this season. With that being said, they've essentially won the games they should and lost the games they should. This is a game they should win. We won with Canisius in its most recent game at Buffalo, although we were fortunate to get in early with that one and catch a favorable line as the Golden Griffins collapsed late and nearly blew the cover. Coming off its first win in over a month - a double-digit decision against Bucknell, look for Siena to earn its first conference victory (and cover) of the campaign on Monday. Take Siena (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Nuggets +7.5 v. Lakers | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver plus the points over Los Angeles at 9:35 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark with the Nuggets in the last meeting between these two teams but I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Denver at a more favorable line this time around. The Lakers have cooled off considerably and are coming off back-to-back losses in Indiana and Milwaukee. Note that Denver checks in second in the league in offensive rating over its last five games. Meanwhile, the Lakers dropped to 20th in the NBA in that department over the same stretch. Denver is also top-10 in defensive rating over that time frame. The Lakers may bounce back with a win here, but I'm not convinced they do it by margin. Take Denver (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Hornets v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 | Top | 93-119 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Boston at 6:05 pm et on Sunday. I absolutely love the way this total sets up on Sunday evening. The Hornets are coming off another high-scoring affair last night against the Jazz, due in large part to a track meet of a first half before things settled down later in the game. Note that the Hornets surprisingly check in ranked fifth in the league in defensive rating over their last five games. The Celtics are top-10 in the league in that department over that same stretch, sitting in ninth. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks a miserable 29th in offensive rating over its last five games - despite that big scoring night on Saturday. Serving our purposes well, the Celtics are 25th in pace rating while the Hornets are dead last in the league in the same category over their last five contests. Take the under (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Charlotte -1.5 v. East Carolina | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte minus the points over East Carolina at 4 pm et on Sunday. I like the way this spot sets up for Charlotte as it travels to face an East Carolina squad that is coming off a blowout win over lowly Maryland-Eastern Shore. Charlotte has reeled off three straight wins - all by double-digit margins. Despite facing a sneaky-tough schedule to this point, the 49ers check in with a solid 6-4 overall mark. East Carolina hasn't been particularly good save for a blowout home win over Evansville earlier in the season. The Pirates are coming off back-to-back home wins but also began this homestand with a 10-point loss to 4-9 Coppin State. Charlotte took the last meeting between these two teams last December. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Chicago State +26.5 v. Indiana State | 64-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on Chicago State plus the points over Indiana State at 2 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with Chicago State on Sunday afternoon. The Cougars have undoubtedly turned in some truly awful performances this season but that's certainly been baked into this lofty pointspread. Despite coming off three straight losses, the Cougars have been playing a little better lately. In their most recent road game they fell by just six points against a quality Tennessee State squad. Indiana State has reeled off six straight wins since opening the campaign with four straight losses. This may be a 'name your winning margin' type of game for them but I'm not sure they're looking for any style points. This is their final game before the holiday break and I believe they'll simply be looking to win and move on. Take Chicago State (10*). |
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12-22-19 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +20.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 52-76 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Maryland-Eastern Shore plus the points over Old Dominion at 2 pm et on Sunday. This is a big spot for Maryland-Eastern Shore as it checks in sporting an ugly 1-12 record but has faced a brutal schedule to this point. Old Dominion has recorded only three wins in 12 games and has dropped eight in a row entering Sunday's contest. While the Monarchs should certainly bounce back with a win here, doing so by a considerable margin is no easy task. Keep in mind, ODU won't play again until January 2nd after this one. They've managed to score 60+ points just once in their last seven contests. Coming off back-to-back double-digit losses at East Carolina and Charlotte look for Maryland-Eastern Shore to come to play in this one. Take Maryland-Eastern Shore (10*). |
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12-21-19 | Bucks v. Knicks OVER 227 | 123-102 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and New York at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. I like the chances of this one developing into a track meet as the Bucks travel to Manhattan to face the Knicks. Of course, New York got its doors blown off in last night's rout at the hands of the Heat in Miami. Still, the Knicks check in tops in the league in offensive rating over their last five games. Who sits right behind them? The Bucks of course. On the flip side, we've seen Milwaukee lag a bit defensively of late, dropping from a perennial top three spot in defensive rating to 14th over its last five contests. The Knicks are defensive doormats, ranking 28th in defensive rating over their last five games. I'm confident we'll see the Bucks push the pace in this one. They're fifth in the league in pace rating over their last five games. Take the over (10*). |
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12-21-19 | Jazz v. Hornets UNDER 210 | 114-107 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Utah and Charlotte at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. This is a relatively low posted total but it's warranted in my opinion. Charlotte checks in sporting the league's second worst (relatively speaking) pace rating over its last five games. At the same time, it ranks an impressive fifth in the NBA in defensive rating over that stretch. Utah doesn't figure to break through as it sits in the bottom half in offensive rating over its last five contests. Like the Hornets, the Jazz have also been playing better defensive ball of late, checking in top 10 in defensive rating over that same time frame. Take the under (10*). |
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12-21-19 | North Carolina -4 v. UCLA | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina minus the points over UCLA at 3 pm et on Saturday. We settled for a 'push' with North Carolina in its rather lopsided loss on the road against Gonzaga earlier this week. I did like the way the Tar Heels stayed within arm's reach for much of that game before the Zags ultimately proved too much. There's no question Roy Williams' squad is undermanned right now, but this is a solid 'get right' spot against an up and down UCLA team. The Bruins are coming off a 14-point road loss against Notre Dame and check in just 3-4 ATS over their last seven contests. Their only three SU wins over that stretch came against Chaminade, San Jose State and Denver. Look for North Carolina to push the tempo in this one and ultimately outlast the Bruins. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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12-21-19 | Texas State v. Georgia State -2.5 | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia State minus the points over Texas State at 1 pm et on Saturday. We successfully faded Texas State two nights ago as it fell in a tightly-contested affair against Georgia Southern. Now it stays in the state of Georgia to face the Panthers on Saturday afternoon and I look for it to fall short once again. Keep in mind, the Bobcats solid overall record was boosted by some real layups earlier in the season. Georgia State will offer a tougher challenge, noting that it has won six straight games and sitting at 7-2 ATS in lined contests is one of the best bets in the nation, having already given the likes of Duke and Georgetown serious tests, on the road no less. Take Georgia State (10*). |
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12-20-19 | Magic +3.5 v. Blazers | 103-118 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Friday. I'll take a flyer on the Magic on Friday night as they get out of the dreaded back-to-back set in the high altitude of Salt Lake City and Denver and head to Portland to challenge the Trail Blazers. Orlando has dropped five of its last six games overall so motivation will certainly be high for this one. While the Magic haven't had much success in this series, it hasn't been for lack of trying as four of the Blazers last five wins over Orlando have come by single-digit margins. These two teams haven't faced one another in over a year. Portland checks in off back-to-back wins but let's not get too excited about that as the first victory came by a single point in Phoenix and the second came at home against the injury-plagued and disinterested Warriors. The Blazers have won more than two games in a row just once this season and they failed to cover the spread in the final win during that streak. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-20-19 | Lipscomb +11 v. Vermont | 63-86 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Lipscomb plus the points over Vermont at 7 pm et on Thursday. Lipscomb has won four of six games since starting the season with four losses in its first five. During their rough start, the Bison suffered two losses as double-digit underdogs, and the other two came by a combined four points so it wasn't really as bad as it seemed. Meanwhile, Vermont started its campaign with four straight wins but has gone just 3-5 since. The Catamounts should win this game - I'm just not convinced they do it by margin. Take Lipscomb (10*). |
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12-19-19 | Southern Utah v. Long Beach State +1.5 | 84-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Long Beach State plus the points over Southern Utah at 10 pm et on Thursday. At 3-8 on the season, but with a really brutal schedule behind them, this is a very strong motivational spot for the Long Beach State 49ers as they host the Southern Utah Jaguars on Thursday night. The 49ers enter this game losers of four games in a row with all four of those games being decided by double-digit margins. Southern Utah on the other hand is coming off back-to-back one-point victories that obviously could have gone either way. The Jaguars are playing with house money in this one, which is generally a favorable mentality for teams at this stage of the season but I'm just not convinced they'll be able to match LBSU's intensity in this, their last game before the Christmas break (Southern Utah won't play again until December 30th at Portland while LBSU plays Utah Valley State on Saturday). Take Long Beach State (10*). |
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12-19-19 | Nets v. Spurs UNDER 219 | 105-118 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Brooklyn and San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Thursday. The Spurs continue to play up-tempo but their offense is lagging at the moment as they check in a dismal 29th in the league in offensive rating over their last five games. The Nets haven't been much better, sitting 25th in that department over the same stretch. On the flip side, the Brooklyn defense has been sneaky-good lately as it rates third in the NBA in defensive rating over its last five contests. That puts it in excellent position to contain the Spurs aggressive offense in this matchup. Note that San Antonio has also turned things around defensively, ranking sixth in the league in defensive rating over its last five games. It should be able to handle a Brooklyn squad that is missing Kyrie Irving and ranks smack in the middle of the Association in pace rating over its last five games. Take the under (10*). |
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12-19-19 | Lakers v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
NBA TV Game of the Month. My selection is on Milwaukee minus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the Bucks, much like the fade of the Mavs set up last night. Of course, earlier this week we saw the Luka Doncic-less Mavs stun the Bucks here in Milwaukee. They were in for a letdown against the Celtics last night as a result, and ultimately lost by six points. Now the Bucks are back to rebound off that ugly loss to the Mavs and they'll have no shortage of motivation against Lebron and the Lakers on Thursday night. I really do think the Bucks will be able to run the Lakers out of the gym in this one. Milwaukee remains number one in the league in offensive rating over its last five games. Meanwhile, the Lakers have tailed off a bit in that department, ranking 11th. The key here is the pace the Bucks play at, ranking fifth in the league in pace rating over their last five contests while the Lakers sit 19th over that same time frame. Look for Milwaukee to make a statement here. Take Milwaukee (10*). |
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12-19-19 | Jazz v. Hawks OVER 224.5 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Utah and Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. We're getting a relatively low total to work with here (at least by Hawks standards) largely due to Atlanta's recent struggles offensively. However, the pace is still absolutely there as the Hawks check in fourth in the league in pace rating over their last five games, and here they catch a favorable matchup against a Jazz squad that isn't playing at the same level of defensive intensity as it was earlier this season. Note that Utah currently sits in the bottom half of the league in defensive rating over its last five contests. On the flip side, the Jazz's offense has come on lately, ranking seventh in the league in offensive rating over that same stretch and they should certainly be able to keep it rolling against one of the worst defensive teams in the league in Atlanta. Take the over (10*). |
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12-19-19 | Texas State v. Georgia Southern -2 | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia Southern minus the points over Texas State at 7 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the short number with Georgia Southern on Thursday night as it looks to continue its strong play at home this season. The Eagles check in a perfect 4-0 at home this season while Texas State has just one win in four tries away from home, that coming against a struggling UNLV squad that has won just four of 12 games to date. The Bobcats did snap a brief two-game skid with a dominant 117-65 win last time out but that came against little-known Bethany (KS). Georgia Southern will obviously be up for this Sun Belt matchup after getting crushed 81-51 on the road against Bradley last time out. Take Georgia Southern (10*). |
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12-18-19 | Celtics -1.5 v. Mavs | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Dallas at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. This is a no-brainer fading the Luca Doncic-less Mavs off their big win over the Bucks in Milwaukee on Monday night. The Celtics check in playing excellent basketball, ranking third in offensive rating over their last five games while also sitting in the top half of the league in defensive rating. The Mavs have been as good as it gets offensively over that same stretch but there's no question they're going to miss Doncic. I'm sure the Celtics learned a thing or two watching the Bucks get caught flat-footed against the Mavs on Monday. Look for Boston to answer the bell on Wednesday night. Take Boston (10*). |
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12-18-19 | North Carolina +13 v. Gonzaga | 81-94 | Push | 0 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over Gonzaga at 9 pm et on Wednesday. Key injuries or not, the Tar Heels are still the Tar Heels and I expect them to be just fine as the season progresses. This is obviously a huge motivational spot for them after getting upset at home against Wofford last time out. That's not to say this isn't a big spot for the Zags as well. They'll be looking to avenge their loss to the Tar Heels in the 2017 national championship game. I'm not sure that really weighs all that heavily on the current players' minds, however. They'll simply be looking to win this game with little concern for what the final margin of victory is. Most are quick to write off the Tar Heels due to their injuries, but I expect them to hold their own tonight. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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12-18-19 | Pelicans v. Wolves OVER 231.5 | 107-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I fully expect to see a track meet between these two 'defense optional' opponents on Wednesday night. The T'Wolves check in dead last in the NBA in defensive rating over their last five games and it's not really all that close. The Pelicans aren't much better in that regard, sitting 25th in the league in that category over the same stretch. While New Orleans continues to lag offensively in the absence of Zion Williamson, the T'Wolves have been lighting it up, sitting top-five in the league in offensive rating over their last five contests. Both teams check in top-11 in the NBA in pace rating over that same time frame. This is a high posted total but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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12-18-19 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 213.5 | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Cleveland at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. This one sets up well as a relatively low-scoring affair by today's NBA standards. The Hornets are playing the second of back-to-back nights after pulling away for a win over the Kings at home last night. Even with that 110-point effort they still sit just 23rd in the league in offensive rating over their last five games. I don't really consider them a good defensive team by any means but the numbers support it lately as they're top-eight in the league in defensive rating over that same stretch. Neither of these teams have been pushing the pace, both checking in bottom-seven in the league in pace rating over their last five contests. The Cavs are 17th in offensive rating over that time frame but remain one of the league's weakest offensive squads overall. Take the under (10*). |
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12-18-19 | Canisius +9.5 v. Buffalo | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Canisius plus the points over Buffalo at 7 pm et on Wednesday. The Canisius Golden Griffins have gotten off to a sneaky-good 5-4 start this season and I look for them to give the Bulls a run in Buffalo on Wednesday night. Canisius snapped a brief two-game skid with an 80-72 victory over Holy Cross last time out. Keep in mind, its last two losses came by a combined 10 points on the road against Hofstra and Florida Atlantic. Those are the Golden Griffins only two losses going back to November 16th. Buffalo is coming off a stunning double-digit loss as a double-digit favorite at home against Army last time out. While the Bulls will be highly-motivated, and 'should' rebound with a victory here, I don't expect it to come by margin. Take Canisius (10*). |
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12-17-19 | Nets -2 v. Pelicans | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Pelicans continue to struggle defensively, ranking 28th in the league in defensive rating over their last five games and I don't believe this is the matchup that will fix their problems. New Orleans has been pushing the tempo, sitting top-10 in the league in pace rating over its last five contests but I'm not sure that will serve it particularly well in this matchup with the Nets starting to come together defensively, ranking an impressive seventh in the league in defensive rating over that same period. Note that the Nets sit just five spots back of the Pelicans in terms of pace rating over their last five, at the edge of the league's top half. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets UNDER 208 | 102-110 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Sacramento and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is a low total by today's NBA standards but I believe the number is warranted. Keep in mind, both the Kings and Hornets check in bottom-four in the league in pace rating over their last five games. That's not to mention the fact that Charlotte sits 24th in offensive rating over that same stretch. The Kings come in playing well, winners of four of their last five, but the Hornets have held their own defensively of late, ranking in the top half of the league in defensive rating over their last five contests and should keep Sacramento in check relatively speaking. Take the under (10*). |
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12-16-19 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 228 | 111-110 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Portland and Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Monday. I love the way this one sets up as a track meet in the desert on Monday night. The Blazers are coming off three straight games against relatively slow-paced opponents that find themselves in the bottom-seven of the league in pace rating over their last five games. Here, they'll go up against a Suns squad that ranks second in pace rating over that same stretch. Note that while the Blazers sit a disappointing 26th in the league in defensive rating over their last five games, they sit in the top half of the league in offensive rating over that time frame. Look for a back-and-forth, high-scoring affair between these two Western Conference foes. Take the over (10*). |
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12-14-19 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 216.5 | 122-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'under' on Saturday night as the Heat look to bounce back from last night's loss to the Lakers. Keep in mind, Miami has been playing an awful lot of basketball lately, with three of its last six games needing overtime to decide. Note that the Heat and the Mavs sit bottom nine in pace rating over their last five games, with Miami playing particularly slow, ranking 28th in the league. Both teams have been performing well offensively with Dallas actually leading the league in offensive rating over its last five contests but I'm not sure that it will draw the Heat into a real high-scoring affair here. Take the under (10*). |
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12-13-19 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 210.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Golden State and Utah at 9:05 pm et on Friday. Both of these offenses got loose last time out and I expect to see some progression from those performances here as the Warriors and Jazz do battle in Utah. Keep in mind, the last five meetings in this series have all eclipsed the total we're dealing with here. There's little reason to believe the Warriors will be able to do anything to slow down a Jazz offense that averages close to 110 points per game at home. While Utah has held its own defensively this season it is still allowing north of 105 ppg on its home floor. Take the over (10*). |
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12-12-19 | Cavs v. Spurs -11 | 117-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Antonio minus the points over Cleveland at 8:35 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Cavs last night but I won't hesitate to fade them as they hit the road to face the Spurs on Thursday. San Antonio has been a general disappointment this season but finds itself in an absolutely gorgeous spot against the lowly Cavs playing on no rest. The Spurs have been playing better lately, winners of three of their last four games, including a 2-0 mark on their current homestand. Playing their third straight at the AT&T Center, they're in excellent shape to keep their good fortune on Thursday night. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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12-11-19 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 234 | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between New Orleans and Milwaukee at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. I fully expect to see a track meet between these two teams on Wednesday night. The Pelicans are coming off a lower-scoring game than expected against the Pistons Monday. I don't think they have any hope of slowing down the high-octane Bucks offense here. As much as they don't want to trade baskets with Milwaukee, they're going to have to if they want to keep this one even remotely competitive. Note that the last three times these two teams have met they've combined to score at least 238 points. Expect more of the same here. Take the over (10*). |
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12-11-19 | Lakers v. Magic +7.5 | 96-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Los Angeles at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. I don't like this spot at all for the road weary Lakers. They of course swept a three-game trip through Denver, Utah and Portland last week before returning home to blow the doors off the T'Wolves on Sunday. Now they have to head way east to face the Magic, who are no pushovers, winners of four of their last five games. The Lakers obviously own the far better straight-up record this season but the Magic have a very similar ATS mark. Look for a tightly-contested affair. Take Orlando (10*). |
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12-11-19 | Rockets v. Cavs +11.5 | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Houston at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets have failed to cover the double-digit spread in each of their last two games, most recently losing outright against the Kings, at home no less. Here, I believe they're once again overvalued, noting that they've lost two of their last three games here in Cleveland and check in just 11-12 ATS on the season. The Cavs are reeling right now but that's to be expected. Let's face it, they're not going to win many games this season. After getting blown out on the road against Philadelphia and Boston I do think they'll benefit from returning home, and from facing a weak defensive team in the Rockets. Houston is simply laying too many points in this flat spot in its schedule. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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12-09-19 | Pistons v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | 105-103 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Monday. This is a track meet waiting to happen as the Pistons travel to face the Pelicans on Monday night. Detroit checks in sporting the league's third best offensive rating over its last five games. That spells trouble for a New Orleans squad that sits 27th in the league in defensive rating over that same stretch. A positive for the Pelicans, however, is the fact that they continue to push the tempo, ranking top eight in pace rating over their last five contests. The Pistons are virtually in the middle of the pack in defensive rating over that stretch, sitting 16th in the Association. Take the over (10*). |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +4 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Portland plus the points over Los Angeles at 10:35 pm et on Friday. At the surface, this may have appeared to be one of the more obvious wins on the Lakers current road trip but now that they've gotten off to a 2-0 start with impressive wins in Denver and Salt Lake City, I believe this is a tricky spot for Lebron James and co. The Blazers are still a losing team on the season but they've been playing better basketball lately, checking in fifth in the league in offensive rating and top 10 in pace rating over their last five games. Their defensive play leaves something to be desired but the Lakers are certainly in a tough spot here, playing for the third time in four nights off back-to-back games in altitude. I'lll grab all the points I can get with the Blazers here. Take Portland (10*). |
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