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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-05-20 | Raptors v. Magic +6.5 | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Raptors have impressed through two games since the restart, notching wins over the Lakers and Heat. I believe there's a chance we see them overlook the Magic on Wednesday, however, as they have a date with the Celtics looming on Friday. Orlando has gone 2-1 here in the 'bubble' but is coming off a double-digit loss against the Pacers last time out. While Toronto will be looking to sweep the 'season series' with the Magic I expect it to be in tough. Take Orlando (10*). |
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08-05-20 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Jazz | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Utah at 2:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Grizzlies have struggled since the restart, going 0-3 but they've been competitive in all three games. They're coming off their worst effort though against the Pelicans last time out so I look for them to come out strong in this winnable game against the Jazz on Wednesday. Utah will certainly be motivated coming off back-to-back losses but I simply feel they're being asked to lay too many points in this spot. Note that this will be the first of a three game in four days stretch for the Jazz. Look for this one to go down to the wire. Take Memphis (10*). |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans OVER 238.5 | 99-109 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Memphis and New Orleans at 6:35 pm et on Monday. We won with the 'under' in the Grizzlies narrow loss to the Spurs yesterday afternoon but I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'over' as they match up against the struggling Pelicans on Monday. New Orleans is off to an 0-2 start so it will certainly be highly motivated to break out of its funk on Monday evening. This appears to be an ideal matchup for the Pelicans to do just that as they should be able to get out and run against a weary Grizzlies squad playing on no rest. Meanwhile, the Grizz have had two highly contrasted games so far with a high-scoring track meet against the Blazers followed by yesterday's relatively tight affair against the Spurs. Here, I'm confident we'll see them get loose and find some offensive success against a Pelicans that has struggled defensively all season long. Take the over (10*). |
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08-02-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 234.5 | 108-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between San Antonio and Memphis at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. Travel day today. Full analysis will return on Monday. |
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07-31-20 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 218.5 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Boston and Milwaukee at 6:30 pm et on Friday. We saw both games stay 'under' the total in yesterday's double-header but I expect a different story to unfold as the Celtics and Bucks match up on day two of the NBA restart. Despite yesterday's results, I still believe we'll see some high-scoring affairs in the early going here at Disney as the teams have had more than enough time to get back into shape and acclimated with their surroundings. The Celtics and Bucks are two of the league's most dynamic offensive tams and I'm comfortable playing the 'over' at what I consider to be a low number. Take the over (10*). |
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07-30-20 | Clippers v. Lakers OVER 216 | 101-103 | Loss | -106 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between the Clippers and Lakers at 9 pm et on Thursday. Questions around Anthony Davis' health and absent members of the Clippers have pushed this total lower, but I believe it will prove too low as the oddsmakers shade the totals lower in general due to the uncertainty around the style of play in the Disney restart. I'm actually anticipating something resembling 'normal' NBA basketball as we get going here in Orlando. The players have had enough time to settle in to 'bubble life' and get acclimated back with the game of basketball during exhibition affairs. I don't need to tell you that both of these teams are capable of pushing the tempo and hanging crooked numbers on the scoreboard. This is the lowest total we've seen the oddsmakers put out there in a matchup between these L.A. rivals this season and I believe we should take advantage. Take the over (10*). |
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07-30-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans OVER 221 | 106-104 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Utah and New Orleans at 6:30 pm et on Wednesday. While more than a little rust is to be expected as the NBA returns following a four-month hiatus, I do feel that these teams have had more than enough time to get acclimated with their surroundings at Disney Wide World of Sports and I believe we'll see something that closely resembles 'normal' NBA play on Thursday. This is the lowest posted total we've seen in this particular matchup this season, noting that all three regular season affairs went 'over' the total. The Pelicans got good news with the return of Zion Williamson this week and by all accounts he'll be good to go for Thursday's opener. I'll take a shot with the 'over' as I anticipate a relatively loose affair to get things started in Orlando. Take the over (10*). |
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03-11-20 | Nebraska +14.5 v. Indiana | 64-89 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nebraska plus the points over Indiana at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. This is simply far too many points for a mediocre Indiana squad to be laying against Nebraska on Wednesday night. The Huskers have been mired in another down season, winning just seven of 31 games to date but this is essentially their national championship game and I do expect them to leave it all on the floor. After consecutive beatdowns at the hands of Michigan and Minnesota on the road I look for them to relish the opportunity to face an Indiana squad they stayed within eight points of back in January. The Hoosiers have won just four games since the start of February. take Nebraska (10*). |
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03-11-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -1 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Denver at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I look for the Mavs to bounce back from last night's double-digit loss at the hands of the Spurs as they return home to host the Nuggets on Wednesday. Denver is without question a formidable opponent but I like the significant edges Dallas holds in pace, three-point shooting and rebounding in this matchup. This is an important, albeit brief two-game homestand for the Mavs off back-to-back losses. The Nuggets haven't won consecutive games since February 23rd and 25th and while they're off a victory over the Bucks last time out, that wasn't quite as impressive as it appears on paper as Milwaukee was without Giannis. Take Dallas (10*). |
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03-10-20 | St. Mary's +9 v. Gonzaga | 66-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Mary's plus the points over Gonzaga at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab the points with the Gaels as they try to defeat the Zags for the first time in three tries this season in the WCC Championship Game on Tuesday night. Keep in mind, St. Mary's suffered its worst home loss in the Randy Bennett era, falling by a 90-60 score earlier this season. The Gaels did do a better job last time against the Zags, going on the road to face them on Senior Night and ultimately falling by just 10 points in a game that was within five points in the latter stages of the second half. The Gaels went six minutes without hitting a field goal during one second half stretch in that game. The fat that they still only lost by 10 points was telling. Off a thrilling one-point win over favored BYU last night, I look for the Gaels to hang tough in this one. Take St. Mary's (10*). |
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03-10-20 | Magic v. Grizzlies UNDER 223 | Top | 120-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Orlando and Memphis at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Magic have exploded for 132 and 126 points in posting consecutive wins in Minnesota and Houston but I believe they'll be in for a stiffer challenge in Memphis on Tuesday. Going back to February 26th, Orlando has actually scored 130+ points on two other occasions as well, but those performances came against the T'Wolves (again) and the Hawks - one of the worst defensive teams in the league. Memphis has been playing pretty solid defensive basketball lately, save for a poor performance in Dallas last Friday. Outside of that, the Grizz have allowed 104 points or less in five of their last six games. Note that the 'under' has gone an incredible 54-15 going all the way back to 1996 when the total has been set at 220 or higher and both teams are coming off blowout wins (by 15+ and 20+ points). This trend has cashed at a 14-5 clip this season. Take the under (10*). |
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03-09-20 | Hornets +4.5 v. Hawks | 138-143 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I think there's reason to be optimistic when it comes to the Hornets right now. Of course, it would be easy to dismiss Saturday's upset win over the Rockets as a fluke - or that they simply caught Houston a down night. However, we've seen a positive trend from Charlotte as it has been competitive in each of its last six games since suffering an embarrassing blowout loss in Indiana on February 25th. This will be the Hornets first road test this month. They've actually won four of their last five games away from home. The Hawks have lost three straight games and Trae Young has cooled considerably, scoring 25 points or less in each of his last four games. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the LA Clippers minus the points over the LA Lakers at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. The Lakers have certainly posted some statement wins lately with those including Friday's victory over Giannis and the Bucks. I look for them to fall short on Sunday, however, as they take on the rolling Clippers at Staples Center. The Clips have won six games in a row and enter this one well rested having last played on Thursday night in Houston - a game where they didn't really need to expend a ton of energy after building a 23-point halftime lead. Kawhi and co. got the better of the Lakers in their last meeting on Christmas Day and I expect more of the same here. Take the LA Clippers (10*). |
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03-08-20 | East Carolina v. UCF -7.5 | 62-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on UCF minus the points over East Carolina at 2 pm et on Sunday. This is a tough spot for East Carolina to get up for after suffering a blowout loss against UConn last time out. The Pirates recently enjoyed a four-game ATS winning streak (we cashed with them twice over that stretch) but the bloom is off that rose after the lopsided loss to the Huskies. UCF should be confident having already gone on the road and defeated East Carolina earlier this year and also coming off a big home win over SMU. Keep in mind, East Carolina has won just once in 11 tries away from home this season. Look for the Knights to win this one going away. Take UCF (10*). |
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03-07-20 | Butler v. Xavier -2.5 | 72-71 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Xavier minus the points over Butler at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Musketeers as they look to end the regular season on a high note against Butler on Senior Night on Saturday. I like the motivational edge for Xavier here coming off a loss against Providence and facing a Bulldogs squad that is riding high off back-to-back wins. Note that Butler has won just four times in 10 tries away from home this season, with no victories in their last three road tilts. Take Xavier (10*). |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over Duke at 6 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel this is too many points to be giving North Carolina in what is essentially its 'National Championship Game' in a rare non-NCAA Tournament appearing year. The first game between these two teams was an instant classic in Chapel Hill and while this one may not be quite as tight, we're still dealing with a boatload of points in our back pocket. There's no denying the Blue Devils are the superior squad in this rivalry this season but motivation will play a factor here and I'm confident the Tar Heels can hang. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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03-06-20 | Hawks v. Wizards OVER 246 | 112-118 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. This has all the makings of a track meet, hence the extremely high posted total - although not exorbitant by today's standards. Both teams are coming off rare subpar offensive performances and that leads me to believe we'll see a big bounce-back here. Neither defense will offer anything in the way of resistance and I'm confident we'll see both offenses push the tempo from start to finish. Take the over (10*). |
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03-06-20 | Valparaiso v. Loyola-Chicago -4.5 | 74-73 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Loyola-Chicago minus the points over Valparaiso at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Ramblers on Friday night as they look to advance in the MVC Tournament. Loyola-Chicago has been one of the conference's elite teams all season (along with Northern Iowa) and should be on a collision course to face the Panthers in St. Louis this weekend. It was an up and down season for Valpo and I just don't see it rising to the occasion against a superior opponent here. The line has shifted in favor of the Ramblers for a reason but I think we still have some value to take advantage of. Take Loyola-Chicago (10*). |
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03-05-20 | Illinois State +3 v. Drake | 65-75 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois State plus the points over Drake at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. There is a pretty big gap between these two teams when it comes to overall record, but much of Drake's success came earlier in the year. In fact, the Bulldogs last victory away from home came way back on January 22nd at Evansville - arguably the MVC's worst team. Illinois State went 3-4 over its last seven games but it's worth noting two of those losses came by exactly three points while two others came against two of the conference's elite teams in Northern Iowa and Loyola-Chicago. The Redbirds do have some injury/illness concerns with Keith Fisher III possibly slated to miss this game but that has been factored into the line with Drake favored. Early round 'upsets' aren't uncommon in the MVC Tournament. Take Illinois State (10*). |
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03-04-20 | Pelicans +7 v. Mavs | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Dallas at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Pelicans suffered a disappointing loss at home against the T'Wolves last night but should bounce back on Wednesday night in Dallas. Zion and the Pelicans should have no trouble getting up for a game against Luka Doncic and the Mavs. Last night was simply a brutal motivational spot for New Orleans coming off Sunday's showdown with Lebron and the Lakers - a ho-hum Tuesday night home game against the lowly Wolves. Different story here. Expect a competitive game. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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03-04-20 | Florida -2.5 v. Georgia | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida minus the points over Georgia at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Georgia has gotten itself on a bit of a roll but I think the Dawgs will be in tough when they host the Gators on Wednesday night. While Georgia has won three of its last four games, keep in mind two of those wins came against Vandy and struggling Arkansas. Florida has lost consecutive games away from home but those defeats came at the hands of Kentucky and Tennessee. The Gators should be in a foul mood here coming off that narrow five-point setback against the Vols. Take Florida (10*). |
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03-03-20 | Wolves v. Pelicans OVER 246.5 | 139-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Minnesota and New Orleans at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. This is the highest total on Tuesday's NBA board but it's high for a reason. The Pelicans are a big favorite here but they're in a definite letdown spot off Sunday night's showdown with Lebron James and the Lakers. We can anticipate them letting their guard down defensively and the T'Wolves are certainly able to take advantage. On the flip side, Minnesota won't have any answers for the Pelicans steadily-improving offense led by mighty Zion. Take the over (10*). |
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03-02-20 | Blazers v. Magic -7 | 130-107 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Portland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Magic have a lot of upside right now and I look for them to easily brush aside the Blazers on Monday night. Orlando checks in sixth in the NBA in offensive rating over its last five games. While it sits just 20th in defensive rating over that stretch, the Blazers have been even worse, ranking 24th. Portland is also just 22nd in offensive rating over its last five contests. Take Orlando (10*). |
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03-01-20 | Wichita State v. SMU -1 | 66-62 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on SMU minus the points over Wichita State at 4 pm et on Sunday. Travel day on Sunday. Full analysis will return on Monday. Take SMU (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Memphis v. Tulane +5 | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulane plus the points over Memphis at 8 pm et on Saturday. Memphis is in a letdown spot here off consecutive down-to-the-wire big games against Houston and SMU, splitting those two contests. We know Tulane is capable of rising to the occasion at home, where it has defeated the likes of SMU and Cincinnati. Look for the Green Wave to rise up once again here as they take down the Tigers in an underdog role. Take Tulane (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Arkansas v. Georgia +1 | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia plus the points over Arkansas at 6 pm et on Saturday. Georgia is playing excellent basketball right now with its lone blemish over its last three games coming in overtime at South Carolina last time out. With tough games against Florida and LSU on deck, it's imperative that the Bulldogs earn a 'W' in this spot. We won with Arkansas last Saturday at home against Missouri but that win didn't come easy, and this is obviously a much tougher matchup, on the road no less. Take Georgia (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Northern Iowa -3.5 v. Drake | 70-43 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Iowa minus the points over Drake at 6 pm et on Saturday. The Panthers continue to fly well beneath the national radar but there's no question, they're as good as it gets in the Missouri Valley Conference this season and while they draw a tough matchup on the road on Saturday, I'm confident we'll see their surge continue. Drake enters having dropped each of its last two and six of its last nine games overall. Northern Iowa took the previous meeting between these two teams by double-digits back in early February. Take Northern Iowa (10*). |
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02-28-20 | Hornets v. Raptors OVER 215 | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Charlotte and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I really like the way this one sets up as a high-scoring affair on Friday night. The Raptors are in an obvious emotional letdown spot here, coming off that tough loss to the Bucks on Tuesday night and now facing the lowly Hornets. Note that the 'over' is 26-15 when the Hornets have played with double revenge over the last two seasons with those games averaging over 222 total points. The 'over' is 14-3 when the Raptors face opponents that get outscored by at least three points per game this season, with those contests totaling an average of just under 233 total points per game. Two previous meetings between these teams this season have totaled 228 and 222 points. Take the over (10*). |
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02-27-20 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 | Top | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. With both of these teams playing the second of back-to-back nights (and both coming off losses), I don't think either will be looking to get involved in a track meet here. Keep in mind, the 76ers are down a couple of bodies in Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. Philadelphia allowed the Cavs to shoot 52.6% from the field in last night's upset loss in Cleveland. Meanwhile, the Knicks shot better than 50% but still managed only 101 points against a bad Hornets team in Charlotte. Here, I'm confident we'll see the Sixers focus on the defensive end of the floor, and they've been outstanding in that regard here at home, giving up just over 102 points per game while holding the opposition to 43.8% shooting. The Knicks have held six of their last seven opponents below 50% shooting, which is a step in the right direction given their struggles this season. Away from home they're limiting the opposition to 46.4% shooting this season. Take the under (10*). |
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02-27-20 | Indiana v. Purdue -6 | Top | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Week. My selection is on Purdue minus the points over Indiana at 7 pm et on Thursday. This is a solid bounce-back spot for the Boilers as they aim to snap a four-game losing streak against an Indiana squad coming off back-to-back wins. Purdue's big issue lately has been its inability to knock down shots. The Boilers have shot worse than 40% from the field in three straight games entering this contest. Keep in mind, two of those games came on the road against Ohio State and Wisconsin. Here at home, Purdue shoots better than 47% on the season. Indiana is a miserable 2-10 ATS when revenging a home loss over the last three seasons, outscored by nearly nine points per game on average in that situation. The Hoosiers are also just 44-74 when on the road after winning two of their last three games going all the way back to 1997. Take Purdue (10*). |
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02-26-20 | Boise State +3.5 v. UNLV | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Boise State plus the points over UNLV at 11 pm et on Wednesday. The choice to fade UNLV is an easy one for me tonight. The Runnin' Rebels are coming off a monumental upset win on the road against then-undefeated San Diego State on Saturday. There's no question UNLV has been playing well, but it still owns a mediocre 15-14 overall record this season and sits 5th in the Mountain West Conference, one spot behind tonight's opponent, Boise State. The Broncos have lost only two games since January 18th, one on the road against Utah State and one at home against aforementioned San Diego State - two teams that own a combined 50-8 record this season. Boise State took the first meeting between these two teams by a 73-66 score back on January 8th. Look for the Broncos to at the very least take this one down to the wire as well. Take Boise State (10*). |
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02-26-20 | Magic -2 v. Hawks | Top | 130-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Hawks came roaring out of the All-Star break, delivering consecutive wins over the Heat and Mavericks on their home floor. They fell back to Earth on Monday, however, suffering a 17-point loss in Philadelphia, giving up a whopping 129 points in the process. I look for the Magic to add to their woes on Wednesday night in Atlanta. Note that Orlando is 13-5 ATS when facing teams that own a winning percentage of between 25% and 40% this season and 22-11 ATS when facing opponents that are outscored by at least three points per game over the last two seasons. In both of those situations, they've outscored the opposition by an average margin of nine points. It's also worth noting that the Hawks are a miserable 1-8 ATS after winning two of their last three games this season - outscored by a margin of nearly 16 points in that situation. The Magic have certainly been a streaky team and they come in having won three of their last four games overall, with the lone loss coming in an underdog role at home against Dallas. Take Orlando (10*). |
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02-25-20 | Celtics -7 v. Blazers | 118-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Celtics are coming off a loss to the Lakers on Sunday but that doesn't take away from the fact they've been playing terrific basketball, winners of three in a row ATS entering this contest. We successfully faded the Blazers in their last game - a narrow three-point win over the lowly Pistons at home. Keep in mind, in their first game following the All-Star break they suffered a double-digit loss against the Pelicans. Portland is just 4-14 ATS as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points this season, outscored by over nine points on average in those contests. Despite the Blazers reputation as a team that likes to play fast, they've gone a miserable 11-23 ATS when facing teams that attempt at least 88 shots per game this season, with Boston falling in that category. Take Boston (10*). |
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02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz -7.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Rockets here on their home floor but they do draw a 'get right' matchup with the Suns on Monday night. Note that Utah has gone 40-22 ATS the last 62 times it has played at home following a double-digit home loss. Phoenix is a miserable 19-35 ATS playing on the road against a winning team in the second half of the season over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of nearly 14 points in those games. The Jazz desperately need to turn things around before facing what will be a highly-motivated, and championship-contending Celtics squad in their next game. Meanwhile, Phoenix could have one foot on the plane as it prepares to return home for its next six games after completing this three-game in four-night stretch. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-24-20 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas UNDER 134.5 | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma State and Kansas at 9 pm et on Monday. Kansas enters this game having shot better than 50% from the field in back-to-back games, including a huge win at Baylor in a revenge spot on Saturday. Note that Oklahoma State hasn't allowed an opponent to shoot 50% from the field since back on February 1st against Oklahoma. That stretch includes a game in which the Cowboys held the Jayhawks to 38.9% shooting, albeit in a 15-point loss (that game totaled only 115 points). Note that the 'under' has gone 79-49 when Kansas comes off back-to-back games shooting at least 50% from the field going all the way back to 1997. The 'under' is also 16-5 when Oklahoma State comes off a double-digit win over the last three seasons. Take the under (10*). |
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02-24-20 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 241 | 137-134 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Monday. This total indicates the high potential for a track meet on Monday night, just as we saw the last time these two teams met back in January when they combined to score a whopping 282 points in Milwaukee. Note that the Wizards have posted a 9-1 o/u record after failing to cover the spread in consecutive games this season with those contests totaling an average of nearly 243 points. There's no reason to shy away from playing 'over' these high totals with the Wiz involved as the 'over' has gone 19-10 in their games where the total has been set at 230 points or higher, with those contests finishing with an average of just under 244 total points. The Bucks have come storming out of the All-Star break with back-to-back blowout wins over the Pistons and 76ers but I could certainly envision a bit of a letdown here, and that should open the door for a competitive, high-scoring affair in the nation's capital. Take the over (10*). |
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02-23-20 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 238.5 | Top | 115-101 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New Orleans and Golden State at 8:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' as the surging Pelicans head to San Francisco to take on the reeling Warriors on Sunday evening. Most will be expecting a track meet here, especially with the Pelicans coming off a 128-115 win and the Warriors off a 135-105 loss in their respective first games following the All-Star break. Note that the 'under' has gone 21-9 when the Warriors face an opponent with a losing record this season, with those games averaging just 113 total points. The 'under' has also gone 13-4 when the Warriors have lost at least four straight losses this season, with those games averaging right around 118 total points - again far south of the total we're working with. New Orleans has seen the 'under' go 131-99 when on the road revenging a same season loss. The Pelicans have allowed just one of their last 11 opponents to shoot better than 50% from the field. Take the under (10*). |
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02-23-20 | Temple v. East Carolina +3 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on East Carolina plus the points over Temple at 12 noon et on Sunday. East Carolina has been playing well but has nothing to show for it, having lost each of its last three games. The Pirates last two games came against two of the conference's best teams in Cincinnati and Memphis and they went a perfect 2-0 ATS, losing by a grand total of seven points. Here, the Pirates draw a winnable game against a Temple squad ripe for a letdown following a 93-89 overtime win over Connecticut (we won with the Owls in that game). Note that Temple has gone a miserable 5-15 ATS coming off a home victory over the last two seasons. Take East Carolina (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Nets -3 v. Hornets | 115-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Nets aren't going to be a popular bet as a road favorite in Charlotte on Saturday night but I see this as a great spot to back them coming off that overtime loss in Philadelphia on Thursday. Charlotte has surprisingly won three straight games following a five-game losing streak but those three wins, albeit coming on the road, came against the likes of Detroit, Minnesota and Chicago. Here, we play against underdogs coming off three or more consecutive wins in February, a trend that has gone 59-29 ATS since 1996. The Nets fall into an excellent 47-21 ATS situation in which teams are revenging a loss as a favorite of seven points or more against a team coming off at least two straight wins as an underdog. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +3 | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vanderbilt plus the points over Georgia at 6 pm et on Saturday. Georgia is coming off a big upset win at home against Auburn earlier this week and as a result could get caught flat-footed on the road against Vanderbilt here. We won with Vandy against Tennessee last time out, as the Commodores took the Vols down to the wire in Knoxville. Note that Georgia has gone a miserable 4-12 ATS after losing three of its last four games over the last two seasons. The Bulldogs were outscored by 11 points per game in those contests. Vandy has dropped back-to-back meetings in this series but remains 14-5 straight-up against Georgia going back to 1997. At 5-2 ATS over their last seven games, but with only one outright win to show for it, look for the Commodores to get back in the win column here. Take Vanderbilt (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State +6 | 87-57 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa State plus the points over Texas Tech at 6 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Iowa State in this matchup. The Cyclones are coming off a blowout loss at the hands of Kansas on Monday, but that puts them in a good spot here, noting that they've gone a perfect 6-0 ATS after suffering a 20+ point loss over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by more than 13 points per game. Texas Tech is a miserable 26-46 ATS the last 72 times it has hit the road after winning five or six of its last seven games, as is the case here. Take Iowa State (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse -5 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over Georgia Tech at 4 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Orange here as they return home to host Georgia Tech on Saturday afternoon. Note that the Orange have gone 41-29 ATS under the guidance of Jim Boeheim when losing four or five of their last six games, outscoring the opposition by nearly seven points per contest. Georgia Tech has been outscored by over eight points per game when revenging a same season loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. Syracuse has faced a brutal recent schedule, look for it to shake loose with a much-needed win here. Take Syracuse (10*). |
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02-22-20 | North Carolina v. Louisville -9 | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Louisville minus the points over North Carolina at 4 pm et on Saturday. Louisville shook off the cobwebs following back-to-back losses and absolutely throttled Syracuse last time out and I look for it to build off of that positive momentum here. North Carolina is simply playing out the string at this point, on the heels of six straight losses. Note that the Cardinals have gone 26-14 ATS, outscoring the opposition by nearly 10 points per game, after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons. North Carolina is just 1-7 ATS when facing teams that allow 64 points or less per game this season, outscored by over seven points per contest in that situation. Take Louisville (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Houston v. Memphis +2.5 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Houston at 2 pm et on Saturday. The Memphis bandwagon has all but cleared following a 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS stretch, including a narrow four-point win over East Carolina last time out. That was a clear flat spot against ECU but Saturday's game against Houston is another matter entirely. The Cougars are fresh off a 30+ point win in a revenge game against Tulsa. Note that Memphis has gone 10-2 ATS after losing two of its last three games over the last two seasons. Houston has won back-to-back meetings in this series, but Memphis remains a solid 28-13 straight-up int he last 41 matchups between the two. Take Memphis (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Missouri v. Arkansas -6.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arkansas minus the points over Missouri at 1 pm et on Saturday. This is a terrific bounce-back spot for Arkansas as it looks to snap a five-game losing streak. Note that Missouri owns just one road win this season. The Tigers have gone a miserable 5-14 ATS when facing a winning opponent at least 15 games into the season over the last few years, getting outscored by an average margin of over 12 points in those contests. The Razorbacks have gone 58-36 ATS in all home games following a road loss going all the way back to 1997, outscoring opponents by more than eight points per game. Take Arkansas (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Kansas v. Baylor -2 | 64-61 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over Kansas at 12 noon et on Saturday. Maybe if these two teams meet again at some point down the road in March I'll re-evaluate my position but for now, I believe Baylor owns a significant edge over Kansas. Note that the Bears have gone 10-3 ATS following a double-digit win this season, outscoring the opposition by over 10 points per contest. They're an even stronger 6-0 ATS following a double-digit road win over the last two seasons. Kansas is coming off back-to-back wins as a double-digit favorite against Oklahoma and Iowa State. The Jayhawks are in a much different position here and I look for them to fall short. Take Baylor (10*). |
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02-21-20 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over New York at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Pacers as they head to Manhattan to square off against the Knicks. Indiana finally 'got right' with a much needed win over the Bucks in its last game prior to the All-Star break. Now the Pacers fall into a couple of terrific situations. They've gone 42-25 ATS after losing two of their last three games over the last three seasons. They're also 15-4 ATS the last 19 times they've given up 105 points or more in five consecutive games, as is the case here. The Knicks certainly haven't shown that same type of resiliency, going 35-52 ATS after losing two of their last three over the last three seasons. New York enjoyed a brief surge earlier this month but has since gone right back into the tank with losses to the lowly Hawks and Wizards. This is precisely the type of game the Pacers need to get up for and not overlook, as they begin a grueling stretch that will see them play seven of their next nine games on the road. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-21-20 | Niagara v. Fairfield -3 | 60-61 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Fairfield minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Friday. We've had some success fading Niagara this season and we'll go back to the well on Friday night as they hit the road to face Fairfield. The Purple Eagles actually enter this game riding a rare winning streak having defeated Canisius and Monmouth over their last two games. Don't get too excited though, both of those games could have gone either way and they still own just nine wins in 25 games this season. Fairfield has dropped three of its last four games overall but three of those contests were played on the road. I look for the Stags to bounce back in this revenge spot after suffering a 75-66 loss at Niagara back on January 3rd. Take Fairfield (10*). |
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02-20-20 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -17.5 | 54-71 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Gonzaga minus the points over San Francisco at 11 pm et on Thursday. When it comes to a team like Gonzaga laying a big number like this, you have to put a lot of weight in motivational factors. The Bulldogs have lost just one game all season and that came way back in November. The question becomes whether they're content to sleepwalk their way to another victory, or whether they want to go all out and win in blowout fashion. Here, I look for the Zags to bring their 'A' game. They come into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season over their last few contests. They faced a rare situation where they were actually a road underdog against Pepperdine last time out, but still won by double-digits. I do think San Francisco will draw plenty of motivation, noting that Gonzaga only managed to beat the Dons by four in their previous meeting this season. Their last matchup on this floor, however, was not close at all with the Zags rolling to a 30-point win last February. San Francisco is in a tough spot here, trying to get rolling from a standing start having not played in a full week. The Dons have dropped three of their last four games overall. They'll be looking to win consecutive games for the first time since January. The last time they did that, the second game was an essential layup against lowly San Diego. Different story here. Take Gonzaga (9*). |
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02-20-20 | Rockets v. Warriors +10 | 135-105 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Houston at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. It's easy to forget that the Warriors were actually playing a little better prior to the All-Star break, having gone 7-5 ATS over their last 12 games. They're hosting a Rockets team that will be looking for revenge after suffering a 116-104 loss on this floor back on Christmas Day. Keep in mind, Houston has gone just 56-84 ATS the last 140 times it has gone on the road revenging a double-digit loss. This game presents an opportunity for somewhat of a fresh start for the Warriors coming out of the break. The Rockets will need to get rolling again from a standing start after shooting 46.3% or worse while allowing opponents to shoot 48.8% or better in three of their last four contests. Take Golden State (10*). |
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02-20-20 | UCLA v. Utah -2 | Top | 69-58 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Utah minus the points over UCLA at 10:30 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the short number with the Utes as they look to earn a little revenge against UCLA on Thursday night. Note that Utah is 57-32 ATS the last 89 times it has avenged a same season loss in which it scored less than 60 points, as is the case here (UCLA beat Utah 73-57 on February 2nd). Fresh off back-to-back losses at Oregon and Oregon State, the Utes find themselves in a favorable spot here, having gone 36-17 ATS in their last 53 home games following two ore more consecutive losses. UCLA enters this game off three straight victories but that puts it in a difficult situation having gone 0-8 ATS the last eight times it has won three of its last four games, and a miserable 2-13 ATS following up two or more consecutive wins over the last three seasons. The Bruins hadn't come all that close to sniffing out a three-game winning streak in conference play prior to their recent surge. Now they're in uncharted territory as they go for their fourth straight win in Pac-12 play. I expect them to come up short. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-20-20 | Murray State -4 v. Eastern Illinois | 60-63 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Murray State minus the points over Eastern Illinois at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. I don't expect to see any sort of letdown from Murray State in this very winnable road game on Thursday night. The Racers have actually split their last four games following a long winning streak, but those last two losses came against two of the conference's best teams in Belmont and Austin Peay. Murray State successfully bounced back with a rout of Morehead State on Saturday and I look for it to keep things rolling here. Eastern Illinois has just one win to its credit over its last six games and that came against Morehead State as a six-point home favorite. While it's true its last two games (both losses) could have gone either way, there's really no excuse for dropping those two winnable games against SIU-Edwardsville and Tennessee-Martin. After taking the last meeting in this series by just three points at home back in January, the Racers will have their guard up in this one. Take Murray State (9*). |
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02-20-20 | Heat v. Hawks +6 | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Miami at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. The Heat took the spotlight on All-Star Saturday night last weekend with Bam Adebayo winning the Skills Challenge and Dennis Smith Jr. winning the Slam Dunk Contest. It's back to business for the Heat on Thursday as they head to Atlanta to face the lowly Hawks. I like the way this spot sets up for Atlanta, noting that it has gone 32-19 ATS after losing three of its last four games over the last two seasons. The Hawks also fall into a strong revenge angle in which teams that are revenging a road loss by 10 points or more, and coming off an upset loss by 15 points or more (Atlanta lost its last game by 22 points as a three-point favorite against Cleveland) have gone an incredible 36-10 ATS the last 46 times that situation has come up. The Heat have been sleepwalking lately, going 4-7 ATS over their last 11 games and I look for the Hawks to take advantage of that lull here. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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02-20-20 | Connecticut v. Temple | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Temple over Connecticut at 7 pm et on Thursday. I like the way this spot sets up for Temple. Connecticut enters this game off a big win over Memphis last time out. Prior to that, the Huskies faced Cincinnati and SMU so it's obviously been a tough stretch and they managed to go 2-1. A letdown could certainly be in order on Thursday as they head on the road to face Temple. The Owls suffered a disappointing 20-point loss against Villanova on Sunday, bringing an end to a two-game winning streak. I like their chances of rebounding against a UConn squad that has gone 0-7 ATS after winning four or five of its last six games over the last three seasons. Temple has gone 64-43 ATS the last 107 times at home revenging a loss, as is the case here after it suffered a 15-point defeat against the Huskies earlier this season. Take Temple (9*). |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5 | 60-52 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Rutgers minus the points over Michigan at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this spot sets up not just as a play on Rutgers but as a fade of Michigan. The Wolverines ride a three-game SU and ATS winning streak into this one. Keep in mind, two of those wins came at home and the other came at a weak 6-19 Northwestern squad that sits 14th in the Big East. The Scarlet Knights will certainly be up for this matchup after suffering a 69-63 loss on the road against Michigan back on February 1st. The Knights have yet to post consecutive wins here in February, but their schedule has been tough with three of five games coming on the road. They remain undefeated at home this season and I expect them to keep that flawless record intact tonight. Take Rutgers (10*). |
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02-18-20 | Vanderbilt +13 v. Tennessee | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vanderbilt plus the points over Tennessee at 6:30 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Vandy in this matchup. The Vols crushed the Commodores by 21 points on the road back in January but I do expect to see Vandy hang a little tougher this time around. The Commodores have lost three games in a row since their stunning upset at home against LSU. Note that those three games came at Mississippi State, home against Kentucky and at Florida. Vandy's prospects of ending that losing streak here aren't great, but I certainly expect it to get up for this rivalry matchup. The Vols have been more down than up lately, dropping five of their last seven games overall including a disheartening two-point loss at South Carolina on Saturday. Take Vanderbilt (10*). |
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02-17-20 | Iowa State +16.5 v. Kansas | 71-91 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa State plus the points over Kansas at 9 pm et on Monday. Kansas had no trouble disposing of Iowa State in their most recent meeting in January, rolling to a 26-point victory. I look for the Cyclones to provide a little more resistance this time around, however. Note that Iowa State is an impressive 49-29 ATS the last 78 times revenging a loss where it scored less than 60 points, as is the case here. The Cyclones are a perfect 7-0 ATS revenging a home blowout loss by 20 points or more. Kansas enters this game on a three-game ATS winning streak. The last time it won three in a row ATS it followed that up with a narrow six-point win as a 13-point favorite against Tennessee on January 25th. Given the Cyclones history against the Jayhawks (14-7 ATS last 21 meetings), I believe this line will prove too steep. Take Iowa State (10*). |
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02-16-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -3 | 71-58 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana State minus the points over Missouri State at 4 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Sycamores on Sunday afternoon as they host a Missouri State squad that finds itself in a major letdown spot. The Bears have just two wins over their last six games and both came at home, with the most recent coming by 35 points against Drake. Note that they're a miserable 2-8 on the road this season. Indiana State will be in a foul mood here after suffering back-to-back losses on the road. Here at home, the Sycamores have gone a perfect 10-0 and I fully expect them to keep that flawless record intact. Note that Indiana State took the most recent meeting between these two teams by 10 points earlier this month. Take Indiana State (10*). |
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02-16-20 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +11.5 | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on East Carolina plus the points over Cincinnati at 12 noon et on Sunday. I'm willing to bet against Cincinnati getting up for this early start matchup at East Carolina - a team it already defeated by 25 points earlier this season - coming off games against Houston, Wichita State, Connecticut and Memphis so far in February. East Carolina is a double-digit win team, with eight of its 10 victories coming on its home floor. The Pirates are a respectable 8-5 at home this season while Cincinnati has gone 3-5 on the road. Unlikely to win their next game on the road against Memphis on Wednesday, the Pirates will get up for this one. Take East Carolina (10*). |
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02-15-20 | Morehead State +13.5 v. Murray State | 57-85 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Morehead State plus the points over Murray State at 5 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for Morehead State here as it has gone 27-12 ATS in its last 39 games following a home loss and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games following an upset home loss in-conference. The Eagles do check in coming off back-to-back losses but both of those games were close, decided by seven points or less. Following a red hot run, Murray State has cooled off a bit, dropping two of its last three contests. Its last win by double-digits came back on February 1st as a 17-point favorite against SIU-Edwardsville. Take Morehead State (9*). |
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02-15-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Tenn-Martin +2.5 | Top | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Tennessee-Martin plus the points over Eastern Illinois at 5 pm et on Saturday. The Skyhawks have only been able to sprinkle in a few wins in-conference this season, largely struggling including back-to-back losses entering this contest. With that being said, they haven't dropped more than two games in a row since losing four straight from January 11th to the 23rd and I do expect them to bounce back against Eastern Illinois here. Save for a four-game winning streak in mid-January, EIU has also struggled in conference play. Its last ATS victory came back on February 1st in a four-point loss at Austin Peay. Here Tennessee-Martin falls in a strong situation that has gone 45-12 over the last five season and a perfect 2-0 this season where we back small underdogs revenging a double-digit road loss coming off a loss by three points or less in their last game. Take Tennessee-Martin (10*). |
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02-15-20 | Eastern Kentucky v. Austin Peay -12 | 85-93 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Austin Peay minus the points over Eastern Kentucky at 5 pm et on Saturday. I'm anticipating a blowout in this matchup as Austin Peay takes on what I would consider a 'paper tiger' Eastern Kentucky squad. After reeling off nine straight ATS wins, Austin Peay has now dropped the cash in three of its last four games overall. This looks like a smash spot, however, as the Governors have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS against opponents that shoot below 42% from the field this season, outscoring them by an average of 13 points per game. They've also gone 8-0 ATS against teams that allow the opposition to shoot 45% or better, outscoring those teams by over 16 points per contest. While Austin Peay will be playing its second straight home game, this will mark Eastern Kentucky's fourth straight on the road. Take Austin Peay (10*). |
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02-15-20 | Florida Atlantic +11.5 v. Louisiana Tech | 68-81 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida Atlantic plus the points over Louisiana Tech at 3 pm et on Saturday. This has been a tight series with each of the last four meetings being decided by single-digits. The Owls have certainly held their own against the Bulldogs with the two teams splitting the last eight meetings ATS. I simply feel this line will prove too high on Saturday afternoon. Note that under coach Konkol, the Bulldogs have gone just 14-26 ATS when playing on one day or less rest, as is the case here. Louisiana Tech's last two games have been decided by a grand total of just seven points. Florida Atlantic has lost three games in a row, but the last two could have gone either way. Expect the Owls to put forth a strong effort here. Take Florida Atlantic (9*). |
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02-15-20 | San Jose State v. Air Force -9.5 | 86-95 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on Air Force minus the points over San Jose State at 2 pm et on Saturday. There should be lots of excitement in Colorado Springs on Saturday as later in the evening the Kings and Avalanche will do battle outdoors in the NHL Stadium Series. In the afternoon, I expect it to be all Falcons as they host San Jose State. Note that the Spartans are a miserable 0-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more in two consecutive games over the last two seasons and they've been outscored by a whopping average of 30 points in those contests. Likewise, they're 0-10 ATS in late season games against opponents that commit less than 15 turnovers per game over the last two seasons - outscored by over 31 points on average in those games. The Falcons do enter this game off seven straight losses but they were favored in only two of those games. Keep in mind, this is a team that beat Utah State by 19 points on this floor this season. Off back-to-back losses as double-digit underdogs they'll relish the opportunity to get loose against a beatable opponent - in a revenge spot. Take Air Force (9*). |
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02-14-20 | World v. USA OVER 298 | 131-151 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between World and USA in the NBA All-Star Rising Stars Game at 9:05 pm et on Friday. Last year's Rising Stars Game reached 305 total points. I don't believe they've set this year's total high enough as this will be the ultimate track meet. Team USA is favored by around five points in this one, and rightfully so with an absolutely loaded roster led by Trae Young and Zion Williamson. I don't expect the World Team to back down, however, not with Luka Doncic leading the way. No need to overthink this one, this will be one of the highlights of All-Star Weekend, as it always is. Take the over (10*). |
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02-14-20 | IUPU Ft Wayne +12.5 v. North Dakota State | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on IUPU-Fort Wayne plus the points over North Dakota State at 8 pm et on Friday. IUPU-Fort Wayne enters this game off an outright underdog win at Denver last time out and that puts the Mastodons in a solid play-on situation here as they stay on the road to challenge North Dakota State. Note that the Mastodons are on a long-term 84-57 ATS run in an underdog role. They've gone 27-13 ATS the last 40 times they've come off an outright underdog win. On the flip side, North Dakota State is a miserable 5-17 ATS the last 22 times it has scored 80 points or more in consecutive games, as is the case here. North Dakota State comes in riding a season-long five-game winning streak. Headed into uncharted territory, I believe it is laying too many points in this matchup. Take IUPU-Fort Wayne (10*). |
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02-13-20 | Marshall v. Texas-San Antonio | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on Texas-San Antonio over Marshall at 9 pm et on Thursday. I like the bounce-back spot for UTSA here as it returns home off a loss to Charlotte on the road last time out. Marshall has won just three of 10 road games this season and falls into a letdown spot here after posting victories in each of its last two contests - both at home. Note that UTSA has gone an incredible 18-8 ATS in lined games against losing opponents over the last three seasons and has fared well against high-quantity three-points shooting teams such as Marshall as well, going 24-11 ATS in its last 35 games against opponents that attempt over 21 three-point shots per game. Take Texas-San Antonio (10*). |
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02-13-20 | Clippers +2 v. Celtics | 133-141 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Boston at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. This is a big step-up game for the Clippers as they come off a poor showing in Philadelphia two nights ago. I fully expect to see Los Angeles' best effort in this nationally-televised TNT affair. Note that the Clippers have gone an impressive 31-19 ATS in non-conference games over the last two seasons. They're also an incredible 24-7 ATS off a road loss over that same stretch. Here we play against the Celtics as they fall into a situation that is a miserable 8-33 ATS since 1996 and 3-8 ATS this season where teams that outscore the opposition by 6+ points per game come off three consecutive games allowing 105 points or more. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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02-12-20 | Marquette v. Villanova -5 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Week. My selection is on Villanova minus the points over Marquette at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. Villanova enters this game having lost three games in a row but that was certainly a tough stretch as it faced Creighton, Butler and Seton Hall. Here, it faces another stiff test in the form of Marquette but with revenge on its mind and with three consecutive road games on deck, I expect Jay Wright to get the most from his Wildcats as they win this one going away. Marquette has won two Big East road games but those wins came by the narrowest of margins - a combined six points. The Golden Eagles enter this game riding a three-game winning streak - matching their longest win streak in Big East play this season. I believe it ends here. When Marquette defeated Villanova back in early January it was in a much stronger motivational spot - fresh off a 17-point drubbing at the hands of Creighton three days earlier. Here, it's the Wildcats that will play a more desperate brand of basketball. I'm not convinced Marquette will match 'Nova's intensity here. Take Villanova (10*). |
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02-12-20 | Hornets v. Wolves -7.5 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over Charlotte at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. This game has blowout written all over it as the T'Wolves return home to host the Hornets on Wednesday night. Minnesota finally brought an end to its long losing streak with a blowout win over the Clippers at home on Saturday but couldn't follow it up as it dropped a 12-point decision in Toronto on Monday. I do feel that game was closer than the final score indicated, however, and I'm confident we'll see the new-look T'Wolves come out with plenty of energy back home on Wednesday night. Charlotte picked up a rare victory on Monday night, but that came at the expense of the lowly Pistons who are in full tank mode after dealing Andre Drummond at the trade deadline. The Hornets are just 9-19 on the road this season and I don't expect them to hang with the Wolves on Wednesday. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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02-11-20 | Utah State v. Colorado State +2.5 | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Colorado State plus the points over Utah State at 9:30 pm et on Tuesday. This line makes some sense when you consider Utah State rolled Colorado State by 16 points in their most recent meeting back on January 25th. The Aggies were nine-point favorites in that game. Colorado State has posted three straight wins since then. In fact, the loss to Utah State is the Rams only setback going back to January 4th. Here, I look for the Rams to earn an ounce of revenge at home. Utah State has managed to win only two games on the road in conference play, with those victories coming against two teams with a combined 13-36 record this season. Take Colorado State (10*). |
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02-11-20 | Bulls v. Wizards UNDER 230 | Top | 114-126 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. I can understand the logic behind this lofty total but I feel it will prove too high on Tuesday night at Capital One Arena. The Bulls have not been the same team offensively on the road this season, where they rank 23rd in the league in offensive rating. On the flip side, they check in a very respectable ninth in defensive rating away from home. While Washington is known for its up-tempo offense, the fact is it sits middle of the pack in offensive rating at home (15th in the NBA). Not surprisingly, the Wiz are near the bottom of the league in most defensive categories but can the Bulls really take advantage? It's not as if Chicago has been performing well offensively in recent games as it ranks 24th in the Association in offensive rating over its last five contests. Take the under (10*). |
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02-10-20 | Wolves +9.5 v. Raptors | 126-137 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Toronto at 7:30 pm et on Monday. The T’Wolves suddenly have some upside after making wholesale changes prior to the trade deadline last week. Over its last five games, Minnesota has quietly crept into the top-12 in the league in offense rating while also showing some improvement (relatively speaking), with eight teams sitting below them in the defensive rating rankings over that stretch. The Raptors are in the midst of a record-setting winning streak but they’ve narrowly escaped with two of their last three losses and now face a bit of a flat spot in a non-conference matchup before a rematch with the Nets (who they beat 119-118 on Saturday) coming up next. I look for Minnesota to find enough success offensively to keep within arm’s reach tonight. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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02-09-20 | Heat v. Blazers UNDER 229.5 | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Portland at 9:05 pm et on Sunday. We won with the 'over' in the Blazers most recent home game - a high-scoring win over the Spurs. I expect a different type of contest to play out on Sunday, however, as Portland hosts the injury-plagued Heat. Only the Pistons have played at a slower pace than the Heat over their last five games and I expect that trend to continue here as Miami continues to play without Jimmy Butler among others. Note that Miami ranks 27th in the league in pace rating on the road this season as well. Portland sits in a tie for 13th in pace rating over its last five games and finds itself playing its third game in four nights here on Sunday. While I'm not anticipating a defensive slugfest by any means, I do expect this one to stay 'under' the lofty total. Take the under (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Mavs v. Hornets OVER 216.5 | 116-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the 'over' in Dallas' one-point loss in Washington last night and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here as the Mavs continue their road trip in Charlotte. As I noted in yesterday's analysis, the Mavs rank tops in the league in offensive rating on the road this season. Here, they draw another favorable matchup against a Hornets squad that ranks 27th in the league in defensive rating at home this season - only the Cavs, Hawks and Wizards rank worse. While the Hornets rank last in the league in pace rating here at home, I do think they'll make a concerted effort to push the pace on Saturday night with the Mavs in a back-to-back spot, and still playing without Luka Doncic. In Doncic's absence, Dallas continues to struggle defensively, sitting 22nd in the league in defensive rating over its last five games. Take the over (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Duke -7.5 v. North Carolina | 98-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Duke minus the points over North Carolina at 6 pm et on Saturday. The Tar Heels are going to be a popular play as a sizeable underdog against rival Duke on Saturday. We've made some money backing North Carolina this season but I won't hesitate to go the other way in this matchup. Duke suffered back-to-back losses against Clemson and Louisville in mid-January but has rebounded since, reeling off four straight victories. The fact that the Blue Devils burned their backers in a win but non-cover against Boston College last time out and are just 2-2 ATS during their current win streak should keep some bettors away. North Carolina had a brief surge in late January, posting consecutive wins over Miami and N.C. State. The Tar Heels have back to their losing ways since then though, dropping their last two games including a 65-59 loss at Florida State on Monday. When there is a class difference in this matchup, as is the case this year, it's rare that we see perception and reality line up as far as the line goes. That remains the case here as Duke could be laying even more points. Take Duke (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Purdue v. Indiana -1.5 | Top | 74-62 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Purdue at 2 pm et on Saturday. This one sets up well for us with Purdue coming off a blowout win over Iowa earlier this week and Indiana on the heels of three consecutive losses. Note that the Hoosiers last two setbacks came on the road. Their lone loss at home during their current skid came by just a single point against a quality Maryland squad. In fact, there's no shame in either of the Hoosiers two home losses this season with the other coming against 16-6 Arkansas. Purdue has won on the road just once since the beginning of January and that came against 6-15 Northwestern (by a narrow three-point margin). Indiana will be highly-motivated to snap its season-long three-game losing streak here and Purdue will be hard-pressed to follow up its scorching shooting performance last time out. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-08-20 | Kansas v. TCU +9.5 | 60-46 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on TCU plus the points over Kansas at 12 noon et on Saturday. The Horned Frogs enter this game losers of four games in a row. Keep in mind, three of those losses came on the road. Their lone home defeat over that stretch came by a single point against 14-8 Texas. That marked TCU's lone home loss in Big 12 play this season. Kansas has reeled off seven straight wins but the Jayhawks are by no means invincible. We just cashed a ticket fading them this past Monday night as they won by 11 but failed to cover against Texas. I believe we're dealing with an inflated line again in this spot. Note the most recent meeting between these two teams resulted in a narrow five-point Kansas victory. Take TCU (10*). |
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02-07-20 | Blazers v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Blowout Game of the Week. My selection is on Utah minus the points over Portland at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. Let's try this again. We missed the mark with the Jazz in last Saturday's loss in Portland but I won't hesitate to go back to the well here as the spot sets up much better. Portland is coming off a 125-117 win over the Spurs last night (we won with the 'over') but will now be playing its third game in the last four nights, in three different cities - with two of those games being played in altitude (the other was a 127-99 loss in Denver on Tuesday - we won with the Nuggets in that game). Utah plays just its second game since last Saturday. While the Blazers continue to perform well offensively, Damian Lillard has cooled off following an incredible scoring run. After scoring at least 34 points in eight straight games, Lillard has put up just 47 over his last two contests. Note that the Jazz check in third in the league in defensive rating at home this season. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 13th in the league in offensive rating on the road compared to fourth in that category at home. Portland sits 25th in the NBA in defensive rating on the road. Utah enters having lost five games in a row and this is certainly the game for them to turn things around with a trip to Texas to face the Rockets and Mavs looming. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-07-20 | Mavs v. Wizards OVER 234 | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Friday. Even with the Mavs injury issues, I'll back the 'over' in Washington on Friday night. The Mavs sit 27th in the league in defensive rating over their last five games - only the Cavs, Bulls and Wizards have been worse over that same stretch. Not surprisingly, that coincides with the injury to Luka Doncic. Despite losing Doncic, the Mavs still sit 12th in the league in offensive rating over their last five contests and should be able to find success regardless whether Kristaps Porzingis suits up after suffering a broken nose last time out. Note that the Mavs rank tops in the league in offensive rating on the road this season and it's really not all that close. The Wizards are fifth in the NBA in offensive rating over their last five games. Only the Cavs are worse than the Wiz in defensive rating at home, again opening the door for an undermanned but still effective Mavs offense here. Expect a track meet. Take the over (10*). |
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02-07-20 | Niagara v. Manhattan -6 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
CBB MAAC Game of the Month. My selection is on Manhattan minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Friday. Both of these teams check in with losing records but I certainly feel that Manhattan has more upside as we head into the second week of February. The Jaspers snapped a four-game losing streak with a resounding 72-49 rout of Iona last Sunday. Keep in mind, during their four-game skid, three of those games could have gone either way (decided by seven points or less) and the two home losses came against winning MAAC squads Monmouth and Rider. Niagara ended a three-game losing streak with a surprising 16-point win over Quinnipiac last time out. Of course, that victory came at home. The Purple Eagles are a miserable 2-11 on the road this season with those two wins coming by four points at a 10-13 Norfolk State squad mired in a down year and by a single point at 5-12 Iona. Manhattan took the first meeting between these two teams by five points at Niagara in January. Take Manhattan (10*). |
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02-06-20 | Spurs v. Blazers OVER 231.5 | Top | 117-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between San Antonio and Portland at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in this key Western Conference showdown on Thursday night. The Spurs were a virtual no-show against the Lakers last time out (we won with Los Angeles in that game) but couldn't really be blamed as they were in a tough back-to-back spot after taking the Clippers down to the wire the previous night. Of course, the Blazers also got blown out in their last game, dropping a lopsided decision in Denver (we won with the Nuggets). Here, I expect both teams to show up and show out, offensively at least. Note that the Spurs rank ninth in the league in offensive rating on the road this season. The downside is they rank 26th in defensive rating away from home, with only the Hornets, Cavs, Hawks and Wizards - four of the league's worst teams - ranking worse. It's a similar story for the Blazers at home. They're fourth in offensive rating here in the Pacific Northwest but 27th in defensive rating with only the Pistons, Wizards and Cavs sitting below them - again, three of the league's weakest defensive teams. The last time these two teams met back in November they smashed this same posted total. Take the over (10*). |
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02-06-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky +2 | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Western Kentucky plus the points over Louisiana Tech at 9 pm et on Thursday. I like the bounce-back spot for Western Kentucky here as it returns home following a tough, winless trip through Florida in which it fell against Florida Atlantic and Florida International - two teams that have combined to go 30-18 this season. Prior to that, the Hilltoppers had won five games in a row. They've suffered just one loss at home this season and that came at the hands of a terrific 16-7 Belmont squad. Louisiana Tech owns a 17-5 record this season but it has beat up on some weak opposition without question. Yes, there have been some impressive victories mixed in as well but I believe the Bulldogs will be in for a tough test here. Keep in mind, the Bulldogs winning streak was nearly snapped last time out as they barely outlasted a 9-14 Old Dominion team by three points in Ruston this past Saturday. Motivation will be high for the Hilltoppers as this veteran-laden squad looks to earn a little revenge after suffering a 12-point loss against Louisiana Tech in their last meeting last January. Take Western Kentucky (10*). |
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02-06-20 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Bulls | Top | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Thursday. The Pelicans bandwagon has cleared somewhat following back-to-back losses at Houston and at home against Milwaukee. Neither of those losses were unexpected although it would have been nice if they could have stepped up and stole one of them as a statement victory of sorts. Nevertheless, the Pelicans hit the road on Thursday for a very winnable game against the Bulls. While Chicago has gone 4-1 over its last five home games, note that three of those victories came against three of the league's worst teams in Washington, Cleveland and Minnesota. The other came against another losing team, San Antonio. Only two teams have been worse than the Bulls in terms of defensive rating over their last five games, the Cavs and Wizards. Not exactly good company. Meanwhile, the Pelicans check in sixth in defensive rating over that same stretch, despite a tough schedule. New Orleans also ranks an impressive second in the league in pace rating over its last five contests while the Bulls sit 23rd. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz OVER 216 | 98-95 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Denver and Utah at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday. You have to think the Jazz, who have been idle since Saturday, will be looking to push the pace at every opportunity against a Nuggets squad playing its third game in four days (in three different cities). With that being said, I don't think we'll see Denver back down in this showdown between the Northwest Division's top two teams, noting that the Nuggets managed to score 127 points despite barely breaking a sweat against the previously red hot Trail Blazers last night (we won with Denver in that game). The last meeting between these two teams took place just last week with the Nuggets prevailing by a 106-100 score at home. Expect a higher-scoring affair this time around. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Bradley v. Drake -1 | 60-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Drake minus the points over Bradley at 9 pm et on Wednesday. We missed the mark with Drake last time out as it fell at home against Southern Illinois. For whatever reason, the Salukis have had the Bulldogs number this season. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Drake here, however, as it will undoubtedly get up for this showdown with Bradley. Note that the loss to Southern Illinois was Drake's first home loss this season. To add to the Bulldogs motivation here, they enter having dropped their last two games, with the other being a tight 58-56 setback at Indiana State last week. Bradley hasn't won a road game since January 15th. The Braves two Missouri Valley Conference road wins have come against Evansville and Missouri State - two teams that own a combined 19-27 record this season. Bradley has also dropped road decisions against 4-18 St. Joe's and 9-13 Miami-Ohio. Take Drake (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Hawks v. Wolves OVER 236.5 | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Minnesota at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I expect nothing less than a track meet between these 'defense-optional' teams on Wednesday night in Minnesota. The Hawks were already short-handed before getting involved in Tuesday's expansive four-team trade with the Rockets, Nuggets and T'Wolves. There's little doubt Minnesota will look to push the pace against Atlanta here as it looks to finally snap its long losing streak but I don't think we'll see the Hawks shy away from that at all. Note that Atlanta sits in the top half of the league in offensive rating over its last five games, despite three of those contests coming against the likes of Toronto, Boston and Dallas. The Raps and Celtics sit second and third respectively in terms of defensive rating over their last five games. Here, Atlanta should find the going much easier against a T'Wolves squad that ranks 22nd in the NBA in defensive rating over that same stretch. The Hawks check in third in pace rating over their last five contests while the T'Wolves are top 10 in that category as well over the same time frame. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Northern Iowa v. Valparaiso +4.5 | 63-51 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Valparaiso plus the points over Northern Iowa at 8 pm et on Wednesday. Northern Iowa is the class of the Missouri Valley Conference but does find itself in a bit of a tough spot on the road against Valpo on Wednesday. The Panthers come in looking somewhat invincible having lost just once since the start of January and riding a three-game winning streak. Keep in mind, their last three wins have come in favorable spots, at home against Loyola-Chicago and Missouri State and on the road against one of the MVC's worst teams in Evansville. Northern Iowa has proven to be somewhat vulnerable on the road in conference play, dropping decisions at Illinois State and Southern Illinois. Valpo has been consistently inconsistent since the start of January, alternating wins and losses. Not helping matters has been the fact that the Crusaders have played five of their last nine games on the road. Note that they've lost just once at home this season, that coming against 15-8 Loyola-Chicago. Take Valparaiso (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Pacers v. Raptors OVER 216 | 118-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Toronto at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Pacers continue to struggle defensively, as they sit 20th in the league in defensive rating over their last five games. They let the Mavs get whatever they wanted offensively on Monday night (despite missing Luka Doncic), falling for a second straight game at home. That makes this a nightmarish matchup against a surging Raptors squad that ranks sixth in the league in offensive rating over their last five games while also sitting in the top half of the league in pace rating over that same stretch. With that being said, the Pacers are still a quality basketball team and it's only a matter of time before Victor Oladipo settles in and starts knocking down his shots after returning a couple of games back. Here, I do think they'll get baited into an up-tempo affair. It's worth noting that these two teams combined to score 235 points in their most recent meeting back on December 23rd. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-20 | Suns -3 v. Pistons | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Phoenix minus the points over Detroit at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. Both of these teams are injury-ravaged and likely looking at some changes before Thursday's trade deadline. With that being said, I think the Suns have a lot more upside and should have little trouble disposing of the reeling Pistons at Little Caesar's Arena on Wednesday night. Yes, Phoenix has lost three games in a row but did anyone really expect any wins out of a stretch that saw it face Oklahoma City at home (it lost by only four points) and Milwaukee and Brooklyn (noting the Nets have been playing much better lately) on the road? Here, the Suns have a solid opportunity to at least salvage something on their current road trip as they face the undermanned Pistons. Detroit has just one win in its last seven games and it came by way of overtime in an early start against a weary Nuggets squad on Super Bowl Sunday. Phoenix checks in ranking sixth in the NBA in pace rating over its last five games while the Pistons sit 27th over that same stretch. I look for the Suns to run Detroit out of the gym here. Take Phoenix (10*). |
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02-04-20 | Spurs v. Lakers -12 | 102-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over San Antonio at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Spurs gave the Clippers all they could handle last night here at Staples Center but really what else could we have expected given how inconsistent the Clips have been lately? Here, I look for a highly-motivated performance from the Lakers, who struggled in their first game following the tragic passing of Kobe Bryant last week but then responded with a blowout win in Sacramento the very next night. While the Spurs have been close in each of their last two road tilts, they remain just 8-15 away from home this season. LaMarcus Aldridge and Demar Derozan accounted for over half of their 105 points last night. Look for the Lakers to use their depth to ultimately pull away from San Antonio on Tuesday. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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02-04-20 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Denver minus the points over Portland at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. I absolutely love the way this one sets up for the Nuggets as they host the surging Trail Blazers on Tuesday night. Portland checks in having won four straight games after dropping 11 of its previous 16 contests. Of course, the Blazers have been riding the extremely hot hand of Damian Lillard during their current streak. Portland actually ranks number one in the league in offensive rating over its last five contests. I'm just not sure it's sustainable, in fact, I know it's note. As good as they've been offensively, the Blazers check in 24th in the Association in defensive rating over that same five-game stretch. Denver suffered an overtime loss in a matinee affair in Detroit on Sunday, snapping a mini two-game winning streak. The Nuggets are still a solid 11-6 since the start of January. They've gone 17-4 in their last 21 games here in the high altitude of Denver. The last time these two teams squared off in December the Nuggets rolled to a 114-99 victory. Lillard will get his, but I look for Denver to prevail. Take Denver (10*). |
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02-04-20 | Tennessee v. Alabama -5.5 | 69-68 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on Alabama minus the points over Tennessee at 7 pm et on Tuesday. This is a solid spot to back the Crimson Tide as they host the Vols on Tuesday night. The Tide are coming off back-to-back losses but there was no shame in either of those defeats as they came against two teams that own a combined 33-9 record in LSU and Arkansas. Here, the Tide face a much more manageable opponent in Tennessee - a team that has dropped three games in a row. The Vols have managed to win two road games in SEC play but both of those came against losing teams in Missouri and Vanderbilt. Alabama got off to a slow start this season but has been a different team since the end of November, winning 10 of its last 15 games despite a tough schedule. Take Alabama (10*). |
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02-03-20 | Baylor v. Kansas State +7 | Top | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Kansas State plus the points over Baylor at 9 pm et on Monday. There are few more battle-tested teams in the country than Kansas State right now. The Wildcats have faced an extremely tough schedule since the start of January - at Oklahoma, vs. TCU, at Texas, vs. Texas Tech, vs. West Virginia, at Kansas, at Alabama, vs. Oklahoma and at West Virginia (all winning opponents). While the Wildcats have only managed to win two of those games outright, they've been competitive in the majority of them (four of seven losses came by single-digits) and I expect them to take this one down to the wire as well. Baylor of course hasn't lost a game since way back on November 8th against Washington - its only loss of the season to date. Coming off three straight double-digit wins I do see this as a bit of a letdown spot for the Bears. That marks their longest streak of double-digit wins in-conference this season. There shouldn't be much of an intimidation factor at play here given the setting, and the fact that Kansas State took the most recent meeting 66-60 last March. Take Kansas State (10*). |
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02-03-20 | Mavs v. Pacers -4.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Dallas at 7:05 pm et on Monday. It's been a bit of a struggle for the Mavs lately as they've gone just 3-4 over their last seven games since reeling off four straight wins from January 11th to 17th. They're coming off a blowout win on Saturday night but that came at home against the lowly Hawks. The Pacers were stunned by the Knicks at home on Saturday night so will certainly be highly-motivated to bounce back here. Perhaps they were caught flat-footed following a 115-106 overtime win over the Bulls in Victor Oladipo's long-awaited return to the lineup in their previous game. Whatever the case, I expect to see a much sharper performance from them here. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-02-20 | Marist v. Canisius -7 | 65-66 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on Canisius minus the points over Marist at 2 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Golden Griffins on Sunday afternoon. Canisius is a better team than its 8-13 record would indicate as far as I'm concerned. It will be highly-motivated to get back on track here after suffering three straight losses. Note that two of those losses came on the road and its most recent setback came at home against a good Quinnipiac team. Marist checks in just 5-14 on the campaign but has won three of its last four games overall. Keep in mind, two of those wins came at home and the other came on the road against 6-14 Niagara. Take Canisius (10*). |
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02-01-20 | Jazz -5 v. Blazers | 107-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Portland at 10:35 pm et on Saturday. This has not been a good week for the Jazz as they have dropped three games in a row, starting with a loss as a double-digit favorite at home against a Rockets team that was without Harden and Westbrook. Since then, we've seen Utah drop back-to-back games on the road but I look for it to bounce back here on Saturday as it faces what has to be an emotionally-drained Blazers squad coming off last night's victory over the Lakers in Los Angeles - the Lakers first game following the tragic passing of Kobe Bryant. Portland ranks a miserable 28th in defensive rating playing at home this season. Meanwhile, the Jazz have been generally solid on the road, where they rank top-11 in both offensive and defensive rating. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-01-20 | Southern Illinois v. Drake -5 | Top | 79-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Missouri Valley Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Drake minus the points over Southern Illinois at 6 pm et on Saturday. I really like the way this one sets up for Drake on its home floor. The Bulldogs had their two-game winning streak snapped in a 58-56 loss at Indiana State last time out but should bounce back here at home where they have yet to lose a game this season and ride a 15-game winning streak. Southern Illinois has won four games in a row but only one of those victories came on the road, and that came against 7-14 Illinois State. The Salukis have traveled two other times here in January, falling by 19 points at Bradley and 16 points at Loyola-Chicago. This is a quick revenge spot for Drake after dropping a surprising 17-point decision on the road against Southern Illinois back on January 19th. Take Drake (10*). |
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02-01-20 | Wolves v. Clippers -9.5 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Minnesota at 3:35 pm et on Saturday. Clippers head coach Doc Rivers was disgusted with his team's effort in their most recent game - a blowout home loss to the Kings. I fully expect a return to form from Los Angeles as it hosts the lowly Timberwolves here. Minnesota has lost 10 games in a row and this doesn't appear to be a favorable spot to turn things around. Note that the T'Wolves check in 21st in the league in offensive rating and 26th in defensive rating over their last five games. While the Clippers certainly haven't been at their best lately, they do still hold down the 10th spot in defensive rating over their last five contests. This wouldn't ordinarily be a circled game for the Clips but because of their awful performance last time out, I expect them to show up and show out at Staples Center. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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01-31-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -11.5 | 127-119 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Portland at 10:35 pm et on Friday. It will undoubtedly be an emotional night for the entire Lakers organization on Friday as they play their first game since the passing of Kobe Bryant. I'm anticipating a strong performance from Los Angeles as it hosts the surging Trail Blazers. While Portland has won three of its last four games overall, keep in mind all four of those contests were played at home. The Blazers check in ranking 25th in the league in defensive rating away from home. By contrast, the Lakers are second in that category here at home. L.A. also checks in top-10 in offensive rating at Staples Center. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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