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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-21 | Kentucky v. Louisville OVER 57 | 52-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Louisville scored 35 points in the first half last week against Duke, and they scored 35 points in the first half in their last home game against Syracuse. Now Kentucky is a step up in competition, but the Cardinals are still going to score their points. Five of the last six head to head meetings have gone over the total. The over is 8-3 in the Cardinals last 11 games in November, and the over is 23-7 in the Wildcats last 30 non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-21 | Oregon State v. Oregon UNDER 61 | 29-38 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Ducks playoff hopes are over, and they might be vulnerable here in this big rivalry game. Weather could be a factor, with rain in the forecast. We expect both teams to lean heavily on their running game, which should chew up the clock and keep the score from getting too high. The under is 4-0 in the Ducks last four games following a straight up loss. The Beavers defense held Arizona State to just 3.3 yards per carry (100 total rush yards) last week. They have plenty of reason to get up for this game, so don't be surprised if they give the Ducks a run for their money. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-21 | TCU v. Iowa State UNDER 60.5 | 14-48 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Cyclones are coming off back to back losses to Texas Tech and Oklahoma, and they finish the season at home against TCU. The Horned Frogs have plenty to play for, with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Cyclones have gone under in eight of their last nine home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five games in November. It's going to be a freezing cold day at Jack Trice Stadium, and I think a total over 60 seems a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 61 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 92 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. You look at this game between Ole Miss and Mississippi State, with two head coaches that are known for their offense, you might think this will be a high scoring game. History says otherwise, as these teams have gone under in eight of the last 10, and seven of the last eight head to head meetings. Both teams have shown that they can play defense in recent weeks. The Rebels have held three straight opponents to fewer than 20 points, and they have gone under 60 combined points in six straight overall. The under is 12-5 in the Bulldogs last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-21 | Buffalo v. Ball State UNDER 59.5 | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The mid week MAC games have been going over the total at an incredible rate, and perhaps that's why the bookmakers have listed the total so high for tonight's game between Buffalo and Ball State. The Bulls will have their backup QB under center, and the Cardinals offense ranks dead last in the MAC West. Ball State has failed to reach the total in seven straight home games, and the under is 5-0 in the Cardinals last five games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech +11 | 23-0 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders came out of their bye week and scored a whopping 31 points in the first half last week against Iowa State. The Cyclones rallied, but Texas Tech held on to win the game on a 62 yard FG at the buzzer. They host Oklahoma State this week, and at first glance the Cowboys look pretty good at 9-1. Oklahoma State hasn't been a good bet against Texas Tech, failing to cover in five straight versus the Red Raiders. Texas Tech has covered in eight of their last 10 as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -155 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 41 h 7 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-20-21 | Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 50 | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Baylor is coming off a huge upset win over Oklahoma, and their defense held the Sooners to just 14 points. They could suffer a let down here at Kansas State, as the Wildcats have won four straight and allowed just 16 points per game during that span. The under is 8-3 in the Bears last 11 road games, and the Wildcats have gone under in five of their last six as a favorite. The under is 11-3-1 in the Wildcats last 15 games in November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | UL-Lafayette v. Liberty -180 | 42-14 | Loss | -180 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Liberty. |
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11-20-21 | Illinois +13 v. Iowa | 23-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Illinois. The Hawkeyes are 2-2 in their last four overall, and their offense has scored just 14.5 points per game during that span. They come into Saturday's home game against Illinois as a double digit favorite, but I have them on upset alert. Illinois is gunning for a third straight road win against a Top 25 team, coming off wins over #7 ranked Penn State and #20 Minnesota. They ran for 357 yards against the Nittany Lions, and in their win over Minnesota they held the Gophers to 89 yards rushing. Coming off a bye week, I expect Illinois to be highly competitive here at Iowa. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -165 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 27 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-20-21 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. Clemson | 27-48 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wake Forest. The Tigers are 7-3, two games back of Wake Forest in the ACC standings, but they are a 4.5 point favorite at home versus the Deacons on Saturday. The brand name of Clemson might be carrying too much weight, because the product on the field doesn't justify being favored here. Sam Hartman has been lighting it up all year, and last week he threw for 290 yards and three TDs in a 45-42 win over #16 N.C. State. DJ Uiagalelei threw for just 111 yards on 12-of-26 passing in a loss to the Wolfpack earlier this year. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-21 | Memphis v. Houston -8.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston. The Memphis Tigers are just 5-5, and they are just 2-4 in conference play. They have failed to cover in all four of their road games this season, and they are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. Their offense has struggled, partially because it has been so one dimensional. Having little success running the football, things could be worse as their #1 WR and best offensive player (Calvin Austin) has been banged up for weeks, and only played only a few snaps in the first half and was extremely limited in the second half in last week's lost to ECU. The Cougars have won nine straight, and they are undefeated in conference play. Houston QB Clayton Tune has been lights out this season, and he's thrown 14 TD passes without an INT in his last five starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-21 | Toledo v. Ohio UNDER 58 | 35-23 | Push | 0 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. This total has been bet up several points over the last 24 hrs. We have seen an ongoing trend of high scoring games in the midweek MAC games, but Toledo is coming off a solid defensive performance against Bowling Green, They held the Falcons to 196 total yards, and just 67 yards passing. They ran the ball 42 times, and attempted just 25 passes. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going over in just one of the last six head to head meetings. The under is 11-1 in the Bobcats last 12 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-21 | Texas A&M -128 v. Ole Miss | 19-29 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Aggies. The Rebels offense has been cooking this season, but a string of injuries could prove to be fatal ahead of this marquee matchup against the mighty Aggies defense. Texas A&M ranks second nationally allowing just 14.7 points per game. The Aggies rely on their running game for offense, and Ole Miss ranks at the bottom of the SEC versus the run, allowing almost 200 rushing yards per game. The Rebels are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, and they have lost their last three versus the Aggies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-21 | Maryland v. Michigan State -12 | 21-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play Michigan State. The Spartans suffered a let down after their big win over Michigan. Coming off a loss to Purdue, you can expect Michigan State to get back on track against a Maryland team that has trouble protecting the football. Taulia Tagovailoa has thrown as many INTs (8) as he has TD passes in his last five starts. The Terrapins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games, and they are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games. Kenneth Walker has run for over 300 yards and eight TDs in his last two games in East Lansing. Expect him to light up the scoreboard again today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-21 | Minnesota v. Iowa -175 | 22-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa. Minnesota scored just six points in a home loss to Illinois last week, and their injuries are starting to take a toll. Their backfield is thin after their top three running backs all picked up injuries. The next man up had been picking up the slack, until they averaged just 2.5 yards per carry and failed to run for 100 yards in the loss to Illinois. Iowa ran for 185 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per carry in a win over Northwestern last week. Minnesota has failed to cover in five straight versus the Hawkeyes, and I expect that trend to continue this week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-21 | Michigan v. Penn State +105 | 21-17 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. The Wolverines will be a road favorite at Penn State this Saturday, and it's as if the bookmakers don't know that Jim Harbaugh has a troubling history in big games in the BIG10. He's just 2-13 against Top 10 ranked teams, and while Penn State isn't even ranked, they were a Top 10 team earlier in the year when they beat Auburn at home, and lost a close game on the road at #3 ranked Iowa. Michigan has lost three of it's last four versus the Nittany Lions, and the home team is 4-1 straight up in the last five meetings. The Nittany Lions are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-21 | Toledo v. Bowling Green OVER 49.5 | 49-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Toledo will come into Bowling Green as a double digit road favorite, and both of these two teams are coming in scoring a ton of points. Bowling Green is coming off a 56-44 win over Buffalo, totaling 484 yards of offense. They allowed Buffalo to tally up 499 yards of offense in that game. Toledo is coming off a 52-49 home loss to Eastern Michigan, in a game where they racked up a whopping 672 yards. The Falcons have gone over in five of their last seven as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-21 | Buffalo v. Miami-OH OVER 57 | 18-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Bulls have had a disappointing season so far, and a 56-44 home loss to Bowling Green didn't help matters. They have had two weeks to put that behind them, and they are hoping for a much better effort here on the road at Miami-Ohio. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, the over is 12-4 in the last 16 head to head meetings. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Oxford. Both these teams should pile on the points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-21 | San Diego State v. Hawaii +7 | 17-10 | Push | 0 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Hawaii. Hawaii will be an underdog at home against San Diego State, but the Aztecs aren't the powerhouse they used to be in the Mountain West. San Diego State lost by double digits at home to Fresno State last week, and they gave up almost 500 yards of offense in that game. The Bulldogs lost at Hawaii earlier this season, and it would be no surprise to see the Aztecs struggle on the road here. The Rainbow Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Hawaii QB Chevan Coriero played well last week, throwing for 296 yards, three TDs and an INT on 23-of-39 passing in a loss to Utah State. He should keep his team competitive here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-21 | Wake Forest v. North Carolina OVER 76.5 | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Wake Forest is an offensive juggernaut, coming in averaging over 50 points per game in their last three games, and over 43 points per game this season. They are an underdog on the road at North Carolina, and the Tar Heels are another team that can score more than their share. These two teams have gone over the total in five straight at North Carolina, and the Tar Heels have gone over in five of their last seven overall. This game has shootout written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-21 | Utah v. Stanford UNDER 54 | 52-7 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
5* |
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10-30-21 | Iowa +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. Just two weeks ago Iowa was #2 in the polls, and looking like the favorite to win the BIG10. After losing 24-7 at home to Purdue, they are an underdog on the road at Wisconsin two weeks later. Keep in mind that their loss to Purdue was partially explained by turnovers (4). Normally the Hawkeyes win the turnover battle, and perhaps coming off a bye week will give them a better chance to do that here in Wisconsin. The Badgers are coming off a blowout win over Purdue, again explained by turnovers (5). There is no doubt that the results of each of these team's last game is having an impact on this line, which appears to a be a classic case of recency bias. This game should probably be closer to a pickem. I'll take the points with the Hawkeyes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-21 | New Mexico State v. Hawaii OVER 62 | 34-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Hawaii defeated New Mexico State 41-21 earlier this season, but we expect an even higher score this time around. Why? Well since that loss the Aggies haven't improved defensively, allowing a combined 92 points in losses to San Jose State and Nevada. On a positive note, the passing game has been improving. Jonah Johnson has thrown for 725 yards, six TDs and one INT in his last two starts. The over is 36-16-1 in the Aggies last 53 road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | BYU -175 v. Washington State | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 39 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BYU. Washington State comes in riding a three game winning streak, but after coming from behind in the final minute to beat Stanford last week, head coach Nick Rolovich as well as a handful of his assistants were fired over vaccine mandates. “This is a tough day for Washington State football,” WSU AD Pat Chun said at a news conference. “Nobody wants to be here.” The Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last five non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh -160 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Pitt. To put this game in perspective, we will refer to home team versus away team. That will remove any preconceived bias that Clemson is an elite team. The home team is 5-1, ranked #23 in the polls, and ranked in the Top 10 nationally in points per game. The away team is 4-2 overall, unranked, and comes in averaging 20 points per game (220th nationally). The away team have failed to cover in seven straight games overall. The home team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. Based on the numbers, you would think the home team would be a more significant favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Iowa State | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on OKST. The Cowboys are 6-0, and Mike Gundy has recently been given a lifetime contract as head coach. Their offense hasn't been as prolific this year as it normally is, but their defense has been carrying them. That bodes well as the underdog here at Iowa State. The Cyclones are 4-2, and QB Brock Purdy threw for 1 TD and four INTs in those losses. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six head to head meetings, and the Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina -190 v. Appalachian State | 27-30 | Loss | -190 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
5* |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State UNDER 61.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
5* |
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10-16-21 | Air Force v. Boise State -165 | 24-17 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boise State. The Broncos held BYU to just 111 yards rushing in a 26-17 upset win at Provo last week. They will have their hands full with Air Force and their power running game, but they might be able to put this game out of reach with their passing game. Air Force hasn't seen many quality QBs this season, but they were lit up for 448 yards by Logan Booner of Utah State. That might bode well for Hank Bachmeier who beat the Falcons at home 30-19 as a freshman in 2019. The Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four versus the Falcons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-21 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -175 | 32-24 | Loss | -175 | 40 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Longhorns are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry game, after leading 38-20 at halftime. Oklahoma scored 25 points in the fourth quarter to complete the comeback. The good news for Texas is that they likely don't have to worry about Oklahoma State coming roaring back with 25 fourth quarter points. The Cowboys are lucky if their offense can score 25 points in an entire game. Oklahoma State ranks 166th nationally scoring just over 25 points per game. I like Texas to end the Cowboys unbeaten run. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-21 | Michigan State -175 v. Indiana | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 39 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Michigan State. Are the Spartans for real? You can bet your ass they are! They come in ranked in the Top 10, with a 5-0 record that includes wins over Nebraska, Rutgers and Northwestern. Indiana started the season ranked in the Top 25, but starting QB Michael Penix Jr. struggled throwing almost twice as many picks as TDs. He's questionable to play today, and we could see backup QB Jack Tuttle. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite, and the Hoosiers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minnesota. Nebraska has played some pretty good games this season, but they continue to come out on the wrong side of close games. They lost by three points at home versus Michigan last week, just two weeks after they lost to Michigan State by three points. Even though Minnesota has injury concerns, I am not sure you can expect the Huskers to cover 4.5 points on the road. The Golden Gophers are 31-15-5 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-21 | Navy v. Memphis OVER 56 | 17-35 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. The Memphis Tigers are still on offensive juggernaut, but they come into tonight's home game against Navy riding a three game losing streak. They put up 614 total yards in a 35-29 loss at Tulsa on Saturday, and if they didn't turn it over three times they could have gained even more. Their defense has allowed 30+ points in three straight games, and Tulsa ran for 235 yards and three TDs on Saturday. The over is 12-5 in the Midshipmen's last 17 games as an underdog. The Tigers have gone over in seven of their last nine versus teams with a losing record. The last three times Navy has played at Tulsa the total went over 55 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-21 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 57 | 13-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-09-21 | LSU v. Kentucky UNDER 51 | 21-42 | Loss | -116 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The LSU Tigers are coming off a 24-19 home loss to Auburn, and it doesn't get any easier on the road at the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats. The under is 8-3 in Tigers last 11 games as a road underdog. Kentucky looks like they are for real, coming off a 20-13 home win over the Florida Gators. The under is 21-8 in the Wildcats last 29 conference games, and they have failed to reach the total in 10 of their last 14 home games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-21 | Michigan v. Nebraska UNDER 50 | 32-29 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Michigan could be due for a let down here on the road at Nebraska, after their 38-17 win at Wisconsin. Nebraska has quietly been one of the better defensive teams in the BIG10. Even in their losses to Oklahoma and Michigan State they didn't give up a lot of points. The under is 7-2-1 in the Cornhuskers last 10 games overall, and they have failed to reach the total in seven straight as an underdog. Neither of these teams are great at the QB position, and both teams are playing lights out on defense. This game should be a defensive battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-21 | Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech UNDER 47 | 32-29 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Irish are coming off a 24-13 home loss to Cincinnati, and now they have a tough road game at Virginia Tech. The Hokies already have an upset win over a ranked team, beating the Tar Heels 17-10 in their season opener. The Irish are a far tougher opponent than the Tar Heels though, especially on defense. Notre Dame is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six coming off a loss. The Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven coming off a win. The under is 7-3 in the Fighting Irish last 10 games as an underdog. The Hokies have gone under in six straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-21 | Boise State v. BYU UNDER 57.5 | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Cougars come into this game against rivals Boise State with injury concerns at QB, but that might not be as big of an issue given their potent rushing attack. Tyler Allgeier is a real weapon, and he ran for 218 yards and three TDs on 22 carries in a win over Utah State last week. He had a big game (124 yds, 2 TDs) against Boise State last year. The under is 7-1 in the Cougars last eight games overall, and they have gone under in five of their last six as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-21 | Georgia v. Auburn UNDER 47 | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Georgia Bulldogs have won four straight games by at least four scores. They could be challenged here on the road at Auburn, and this game could look a lot more like their season opener versus Clemson. The Tigers lost 27-6 at Georgia last year, and seven of the last eight meetings have gone under the number. Auburn has scored more than 10 points just twice in their last seven against Georgia. Bo Nix threw for 177 yards and an INT on 21-of-40 passing in the loss to Georgia last year. He's likely to have similar numbers here at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-21 | Stanford v. Arizona State OVER 51 | 10-28 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Stanford Cardinal are coming off a massive upset win over Oregon, thanks to their new stud QB Tanner McKee. The sophomore has thrown for over 1000 yards, 11 TDs without a single INT in four starts. He will have his work cut out for him on the road at Arizona State, taking on a 4-1 Sun Devils team. Arizona State is 2-0 in the PAC12, scoring a total of 77 points in wins over UCLA and Colorado. The over is 25-8-1 in the Cardinal last 34 games as a road underdog, and the Sun Devils have gone over in four straight conference games. This should be a slugfest with both teams scoring their share. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Auburn v. LSU UNDER 57 | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Auburn Tigers will need better QB play if they hope to upset LSU on Saturday. Bo Nix struggled last week against Georgia State, throwing for 156 yards on 13-of-27 passing. TJ Finley came in and played much better, and now we have a QB controversy on our hands. The under is 7-1 in (Auburn) Tigers last eight road games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven SEC games. The home team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings, and four of the last five meetings have gone under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -180 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Oklahoma State. The Baylor Bears are 4-0, coming off a home win over Iowa State. This sets them up for a let down here on the road at rivals Oklahoma State. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight BIG12 games, and they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Oklahoma State. The home team is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings, and the favorite is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Alabama UNDER 80 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Last year's game between the Rebels and the Tide was barn burner, and because of that the total for today's game is rather inflated. It opened in the mid seventies and has since been bet up over 80. It doesn't take much to stall the pace of play to prevent these teams from combining for 80+ points. A turnover here, a holding penalty or two, or maybe just some plain old good defense. These teams have gone over in five of the last six head to head meetings, but the total here in this game is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-21 | Cincinnati v. Notre Dame OVER 49.5 | 24-13 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The Irish are liking their own smell after a blowout win at Wisconsin, but let's pump the brakes on how great this team is. They gave up 29 points in a home win over Toledo, and Florida State nearly scored 40 on them. The Bearcats come in as winners of 12 of their last 13 overall, and they can score points on anyone. The over is 6-1 in the Bearcats last seven games as a road favorite, and the over is 9-4 in the Fighting Irish last 13 home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-21 | BYU v. Utah State UNDER 65 | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The BYU Cougars will be a big favorite on the road at Utah State, and the total for this game has been bet up to the mid 60s. That's 10 points higher than we have seen in any of the past 10 head to head meetings. These teams did go over the total in five of the last six meetings, but only one of those games saw more than 65 points scored. The Cougars have gone under in six of their last seven overall, while the Aggies have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-21 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -5 | 30-28 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Virginia Cavaliers started the season with a pair of impressive wins over inferior opponents, but they are 0-2 against the ACC and they have allowed 96 total points in those losses. They head to Miami to take on the Canes, who are playing their first game within the conference. Losses to Alabama and Michigan State sting, and they also struggled against Appalachian State. D'eriq King has been battling injuries, and the Canes may be better off sitting him in favor of Tyler Van Dyke or Jake Garcia. They might not need to lean to heavily in the pass against a Virginia defense that has allowed roughly 300 rushing yards per game in their two losses versus ACC teams. The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -185 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. The Spartans are coming off a huge win at Miami, and they open conference play at home versus Nebraska. Payton Thorne threw for 261 yards and four TDs on 18-of-31 passing in the win at Miami. He hasn't thrown an INT in three starts, despite facing some tough teams (Northwestern & Miami). Nebraska is 2-2 with losses to Illinois and Oklahoma. Adrian Martinez was sacked 10 times in those two losses. It should be an uphill battle for Nebraska in hostile territory at East Lansing. The Spartans look like they have their defense dialed in, and more weapons on offense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Illinois v. Purdue UNDER 53.5 | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Purdue and Illinois have each had their struggles on offense, and history suggests that we will see a defensive battle here on Saturday. These teams have gone under in four straight head to head meetings, and four of the last five at Purdue. The Boilermakers best offensive player (WR Bell) is in concussion protocols, and might miss this game. The under is 14-6 in the Fighting Illini last 20 games in September, and the under is 4-1 in the Boilermakers last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Rutgers v. Michigan UNDER 50.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Rutgers will be a 20+ point underdog on the road at Michigan, but I am expecting a close game with both defenses playing well. The under is 14-6 in the Scarlet Knights last 20 games as a road underdog. The Wolverines have gone under in four of their last five home games. Cade McNamara threw for a whopping 44 yards on 7-of-15 passing in a 31-10 home win over Washington a few weeks ago. He's averaging just over 100 yards passing per game, with three TDs in three starts. These teams are going to pound the rock, and that should burn up some clock. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Washington State v. Utah -15 | 13-24 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Utah. The Utes came into the season ranked in the Top 25, but they have lost back to back games to BYU and San Diego State. There is reason for optimism heading into their first PAC12 game. Their offense has a bit of momentum building after a change at QB. Cameron Rising stepped in to throw for 153 yards and three TDs after replacing Charlie Brewer in the loss to the Aztecs. They host Washington State, and the Cougars lost their first PAC12 game by 30+ points. The Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games. The Utes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games, and they have covered in six straight versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | LSU v. Mississippi State OVER 56 | 28-25 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Mike Leach is watching his offense come together here heading into their fourth game of the season. Bulldogs QB Will Rogers threw for 419 yards and three TDs in a 31-29 loss at Memphis. The Bulldogs won 44-34 at LSU last year, and I am expecting another high scoring game here this season. The Tigers have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Mississippi State threw the ball 67 times, and ran the ball just 16 times last week. Tigers QB Max Johnson threw for 372 yards and five TDs in a win over Central Michigan last week. With both teams airing it out, we should see plenty of scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-21 | Wake Forest v. Virginia -158 | 37-17 | Loss | -158 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UVA. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are undefeated coming into Virginia, but they have yet to face a team like the Cavaliers. They are coming off a win over Florida State, but the Seminoles are 0-3 and that perhaps isn't as impressive as it sounds. They play on the road for the first time facing a high flying Virginia offense led by QB Brennan Armstrong. While the Cavs lost to North Carolina last week, Armstrong threw for 554 yards, 4 TDs and an INT on 39-of-54 passing. This is a huge step up in competition for Wake Forest, and they are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Cavs have covered in five straight as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-21 | Marshall v. Appalachian State UNDER 59.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Mountaineers will host Marshall on a short week, and the total for this game looks a little inflated. They have held opponents to an average of 18 points per game so far, including a 25-23 loss at Miami. Marshall is coming off a loss to East Carolina, and the Pirates had previously lost 33-19 at Appalachian State. The under is 7-2-1 in the Mountaineers last 10 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven when playing on a short week. Marshall won 17-7 at home versus the Mountaineers last September. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Oklahoma State v. Boise State -165 | 21-20 | Loss | -165 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Boise State. The Broncos blew a big lead in Week 1, losing 36-31 at Central Florida, but they bounced back by scoring 54 points in a home win over UTEP. Junior QB Hank Bachmeier threw for 340 yards and a pair of TDs on 17-of-24 passing in the win. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. The Cowvboys are 2-0, but neither of their wins were all that impressive. They were a 33 point favorite in Week 1, and they won by just seven points. Last week they beat Tulsa 28-23, failing to cover as a double digit favorite. The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Auburn v. Penn State UNDER 53 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The Auburn Tigers will play on the road at Penn State in what figures to be the toughest test they have had in quite a while. The Nittany Lions are heavily favored, but I am expecting a close, low scoring game. The under is 15-6 in the Tigers last 21 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven road games. Penn State has gone under in five of their last seven versus SEC teams. The Nittany Lions defense looked sharp in a 16-10 upset win at Wisconsin in Week 1. They held the Badgers under 200 passing yards and forced a pair of INTs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Alabama -14.5 v. Florida | 31-29 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Bama. The Tide have not missed a beat since Bryce Young stepped in to replace Mac Jones. Young has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 571 yards and 7 TDs with no INTs in two starts. Alabama will be a big favorite on the road at Florida, but history suggests the Gators are overmatched here. The Gators have lost seven straight to Alabama, and three of those games were in Florida. Six of those seven losses came by a double digit margin. The Gators starting QB has thrown four INTs and just two TDs in his first two starts despite facing inferior opponents. He could be in for a rough ride against the Tide. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Michigan State v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5 | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Miami Hurricanes are off to a disappointing start, getting blown out by Alabama in their season opener, and nearly missing another loss to Appalachian State in Week 2. D'Eric King doesn't look like himself coming off an ACL injury, and they haven't had any success running the ball. The loss of Donald Chaney is a big blow to their backfield depth. They are a big favorite against Michigan State, but I am not sure they can score enough to cover here. The Spartans are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games, and the under is 4-1 in the Hurricanes last five non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Buffalo +14 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. I had the Bulls last week, and they failed to cover on the road at Nebraska. Here is what I said before kickoff: "Nebraska is coming off a 52-7 win over Fordam, and perhaps that has made bettors forget that they lost to Illinois in Week 1. A home game against Buffalo is a big step up in competition from the cup cake they had their way with last week, and they have no business being favored by two TDs. The Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the BIG10. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog." The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog, and they have covered in five straight when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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09-17-21 | Central Florida -6.5 v. Louisville | 35-42 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Central Florida. The Knights were quite impressive in their season opening win over Boise State. They came out a bit flat, and trailed 21-0 early in that game. They didn't stop fighting though, battling back to take a 30-24 lead early in the fourth quarter. The Cardinals opened the season with a blowout loss to Mississippi, allowing 43 points on 569 yards of total offense. They face a similar challenge here against UCF, and the trends seem to suggest they could see a similar result. The Cardinals are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a home underdog, and they are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-21 | Ohio v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 57.5 | 14-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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09-11-21 | Hawaii v. Oregon State UNDER 65 | 27-45 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Rainbow Warriors have given up 79 points while going 1-1 in their first two games of the season. They are on the road at Oregon State this week, and the Beavers are a double digit favorite. The total for this game looks a little inflated, when you consider that neither of these teams are great in the passing game. Hawaii has gone under in five of it's last six overall, and the under is 5-0 in their last five on the road. The Beavers have gone under in four of their last five versus Hawaii. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Jacksonville State v. Florida State UNDER 57 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Seminoles lost their home opener against Notre Dame, but it was a feel good story even in defeat. McKenzie Milton stepped in to lead a fourth quarter comeback bid that fell just short. Jordan Travis threw for 130 yards, two TDs and three INTs on 9-of-19 passing versus the Irish. FSU catches a break with a favorable matchup at home versus Jacksonville State this week. The Gamecocks were shutout in a loss to UAB in their first game of the season. The under is 8-1 in the Gamecocks last nine games overall, and they have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The number looks a bit too high considering that this should be a one-sided contest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Portland State +31 v. Washington State | 24-44 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland State. The Cougars got off to a horrible start, losing their home opener to Utah State. There is no way they deserve to be a 31 point favorite against a Portland State team that can really put points on the board. Davis Alexander threw for 400 yards and three TDs on 23-of-47 passing in a 49-35 loss to Hawaii last week. They are likely to be just as competitive here against the Cougars. The last time these teams met, the Cougars lost outright as a 30-point favorite back in 2015. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Buffalo +14.5 v. Nebraska | 3-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. Nebraska is coming off a 52-7 win over Fordam, and perhaps that has made bettors forget that they lost to Illinois in Week 1. A home game against Buffalo is a big step up in competition from the cup cake they had their way with last week, and they have no business being favored by two TDs. The Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the BIG10. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. The Cornhuskers are 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 home games, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Rutgers v. Syracuse UNDER 52.5 | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 66 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Rutgers scored 61 points in a blowout win over Temple in Week 1, but we can expect a much closer game here against Syracuse. History tells us that this might be a defensive battle. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings, and the Scarlet Knights have gone under in four straight at Syracuse. The under is 11-5 in Scarlet Knights last 16 road games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven straight versus ACC teams. The Orange have gone under in four of their last five in the month of September. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-21 | North Dakota v. Utah State UNDER 53.5 | 24-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Utah State Aggies are coming off their first win over a Power Five team since 2014, and their first road win versus the Power Five in 50 years. They needed two TDs in the final five minutes of the fourth quarter to complete the comeback in a 26-23 win over Washington State. Their defense did a fine job against the Cougars, and we can expect another defensive battle here against North Dakota. The Aggies have gone under in eight of their last 10 when coming off a win, and the Fighting Hawks have gone under in six straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame -7 v. Florida State | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. The Seminoles were 3-6 last season, but they come in with high expectations that Mike Norvell can turn things around. It won't be easy in Week 1 hosting the Notre Dame Irish. Brian Kelly has won 32 straight against unranked opponents, and the Irish have won the last two versus Florida State by a combined 45 points. As much as the Seminoles might be improved, they are going to struggle to make up for a disparity of talent on both the offensive and defensive line. Jack Coan had himself a solid season with Wisconsin in 2019, completing 70 percent of his passes for 2727 yards, 18 TDs and just 5 INTs. There will be enough talent around him to allow Notre Dame to be a contender again in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | Utah State v. Washington State UNDER 67 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Washington State Cougars have been involved in plenty of high scoring games over the year's, but this year's squad ain't you're daddy's Cougars. The Mike Leach era has ended, and the Air Raid offense will be replaced by Nick Rolovich's more balanced offensive approach. We should see Max Borghi and fellow senior Deon McIntosh do a lot of the heavy lifting. They host the Utah State Aggies in Week 1, and Utah State was 1-5 last season. The Aggies scored an average of 10 points in those five losses. The total for this game has been bet up, and now sits in the high sixties. I think that's a little over optimistic for these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | Georgia v. Clemson -175 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -175 | 1075 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Georgia Bulldogs finished last season strong after making a change at QB, and they are expecting to have a big year with JT Daniels as the starter. Daniels threw for over 1200 yards, 10 TDs and just two INTs while winning the last three games of the regular season, then won a close game in the Peach Bowl versus Cincinnati. He didn't see any Top 10 ranked teams last year, and Clemson is considered by many to be the favorite heading into 2021. D.J. Uiagalelei takes over for Trevor Lawrence, and the Tigers offense didn't miss a beat in the two games he started last year. He could have an improved offensive line, and with 10 starters back on defense the Tigers have the peices in place to win another National Championship. Last year Mac Jones and Kyle Trask each lit up the Georgia secondary each throwing for over 400 yards. Uiagalelei might do the same here in Week 1, handing the Dawgs a loss in their opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-21 | UL-Lafayette v. Texas UNDER 58.5 | 18-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Longhorns will have a tricky matchup in Week 1, facing a ranked team at home. New head coach Steve Sarkisian will have to have his team on their toes to avoid an upset at the hands of the #23 ranked Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns. Last year the Ragin Cajuns opened the season with a road win over a BIG12 team when they defeated Iowa State in Ames by a score of 31-14. They are returning 10 defensive starters from a unit that was 1st in the Sun Belt versus the pass last year, allowing opponents to average just 170 yards per game. Sarkisian isn't likely to have his offense humming at full speed this early in the season, so we should see both teams lean heavy on the run. I don't think these teams will combine to score 60 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech UNDER 64 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. North Carolina comes into a hostile environment at Virginia Tech as a significant favorite. Quarterback Sam Howell is one of the favorites to win the Heisman, but he's got his work cut out for him. The loss of Dyami Brown, Dazz Newsome, Javonte Williams, and Michael Carter will not be easy, and it could take some time to work out the offensive chemistry. Howell had a fantastic season a year ago, but he didn't exactly light it up in his first two starts. He threw for 620 yards, three TDs and three INTs in wins over Syracuse and Boston College. Neither of those games saw more than 50 points combined. The Hokies scored a ton of points in a loss at North Carolina last year, and that game was a high scoring shootout. With all the turnover I really don't see that happening here in the season opener in Blacksburg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Buckeyes ran the table in the BIG10 last year, but after three games were cancelled due to Covid, the conference had to change the rules midway through the season in order to allow Ohio State to play Northwestern in the Conference Championship Game. Three of their six wins came by less than 14 points, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. The Golden Gophers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. This team was 11-2 in 2019, and last year's 3-4 record can be written off as a product of delays and interruptions during a pandemic. With all the talent returning in 2021, there is every reason to expect PJ Fleck to field a highly competitive team. The Buckeyes last game at Minnesota came by a score of 31-24, and I expect a similar story here in the season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Southern Utah v. San Jose State UNDER 57.5 | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The San Jose State Spartans will be a big favorite in their season opener versus Southern Utah, and money has been coming in the total. With the number bet up several points from the opening line, there looks like some value in fading the movement. The underdogs weren't great on defense last season, but they did lead their conference and finish in the top 20 of FCS with three sacks per game. It would be no surprise to see these offenses struggle to get off the ground in the season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Nebraska v. Illinois +7 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 118 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Illinois. Nebraska was a -15 point favorite at home versus Illinois last year, and they got their butts whipped in a 41-23 loss. That sets up a revenge spot here at Illinois in Week 1. It makes sense that Nebraska is favored to win this game, but asking them to cover more than a TD seems a little questionable to me. The Illini are bringing back the majority of last year's starters, including Senior QB Brandon Peters. Brett Beilema takes over at coach, and he should be able to get the running game going at full tilt. The last time Nebraska played at Illinois they came in as a nine point favorite, and failed to cover winning by a score of 42-38. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama -7.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 197 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. Ohio State is coming off a huge win over Clemson, by far their most impressive performance of the season. They had previously struggled against the likes of Indiana, Penn State and Northwestern. The BIG10 actually had to change the rules in the middle of the season, allowing the Buckeyes to play in their Championship Game. Technically Ohio State shouldn't even be here. They face an Alabama team that has crushed everything in their path, and their win over Notre Dame wasn't as close as the score would suggest. The Crimson Tide have the QB, the offensive line, star wideouts and a beast in the backfield in Najee Harris. I can't see the Buckeyes stopping Alabama, and I can't see Justin Fields matching serves with Mac Jones. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-21 | Oregon v. Iowa State -4.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cyclones. The Oregon Ducks won the PAC12 Title by default, because the Washington Huskies had to forfiet their spot in the Championship Game due to Covid. Oregon looked good in their upset win over USC, but that was only their fourth win of the season. It was their only game against a ranked team. The Cyclones on the other hand won eight games in the BIG12, with wins over Oklahoma and Texas. The Ducks are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games, while the Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss +10 v. Indiana | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | 49-28 | Loss | -113 | 47 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Clemson. The Buckeyes are currently unhappy about the different Covid-19 protocols that seem to apply to Clemson, rather than the draconian measures imposed by the BIG10. This is the difference between these two teams. The Buckeyes have played just six games, while Clemson played a full schedule. The BIG10 tried to destroy this football season, while the SEC and the ACC were successful in saving it. Anything short of an ACC vs SEC Final would be an injustice IMO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama -19.5 | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. Everyone seems to agree, the question is not whether Alabama will beat Notre Dame, the question is by how much? The last time these teams played the Irish lost by a score of 42-14. There is reason to believe that this year's squad is more talented than the team that has been on the wrong side of several lopsided Playoff games in recent years. The bad news is that Alabama looks even better than they have in past seasons. They have averaged almost 50 points per game, scoring over 40 points in every game since Week 1. The Irish simply aren't built to compete with the likes of this SEC powerhouse. This should be another blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +7 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Cincinnati (outright). The Bearcats are another undefeated team that was snubbed by the College Football Playoff Commitee. Reminds me of UCF, and how pissed off they were heading into their Bowl Game when they stomped Auburn in the Peach Bowl back in 2018. Kirby Smart is trying to do damage controll, denying reports that as many as nine starters will opt out of the bowl game. Cincinnati has confirmed that not a single player has opted out as of Wednesday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-20 | Florida v. Oklahoma -1 | 20-55 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Oklahoma. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado +8.5 v. Texas | 23-55 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. Texas played a nine game schedule in 2020, and went 6-3 in those games. The majority of those games were close, six of the nine decided by seven points or less. Colorado only managed to play in five games, winning four of the five. Texas is expected to be thin on the offensive line with a couple of starters sitting for this game. The Buffaloes never had any higher expectations than playing in the Alamo Bowl, while Texas was hoping for a BIG12 Championship and possibly a Playoff spot. I think Texas is far too overvalued here and I'll take the points. G Jesse Schule |
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12-25-20 | Marshall v. Buffalo -182 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulls. The Bulls were a heavy favorite in the MAC Championship Game, but they lost outright to the Ball State Cardinals. They turned the ball over five times in the loss, and star running back Patrick Patterson wasn't able to get anything going. Patterson leads the nation averaging 178 yards per game, and he's expected to be 100 percent for this Bowl Game against Marshall. The Herd have scored just 13 points in their last two games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Bulls are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Hawaii and Houston are each very capable of scoring points, but both teams have allowed opponents to average more than they have scored. We should expect plenty of scoring in this Christmas Eve Bowl game. The over is 9-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last 10 games on grass, and the over is 4-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last five Bowl games. The Cougars have gone over in five of their last six Bowl games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -8 | 10-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida +6.5 v. BYU | 23-49 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UCF. The Cougars season ended in disappointment, as their playoff hopes went up in smoke when they lost at Coastal Carolina a few weeks ago. They followed up with a win over San Diego State at home, but they come into the Boca Raton Bowl with an 0-8 record in the state of Florida. They face a tough opponent in Central Florida. The Knights lost three games this year, but losses to Memphis and Cincinnati came by a combined four points. They ranked fourth in the country in scoring averaging 44 points per game. The Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-20 | Alabama v. Florida +14.5 | Top | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 239 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Florida. After the Gators lost to LSU last week, nobody is giving them a chance here in the SEC Championship against Alabama. It was obvious that the Gators were not prepared last week, probably already looking ahead to this game. I expect them to be better this week, and I think that this is a team well designed to cause problems for Alabama. If you look at the teams that have beaten Alabama in recent seasons (Clemson, Ole Miss, Texas A&M) they all had a gunslinger at QB. The only time Alabama didn't look like they were in complete control in a game this season was when they allowed 48 points in a win over Ole Miss. As much as Nick Saban will want to win this game, his team is in the playoffs either way. I like the Gators to score enough points to keep this game relatively close. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-20 | Ball State v. Buffalo -13 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The Bulls are by far the best team in the MAC, coming into the championship game with a perfect 5-0 record. It's not just that they won all their games, but they won them all by at least 19 points. Ball State is 5-1, but their one loss came against Miami-Ohio, a team that lost to Buffalo by 32 points. The Bulls are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 conference game, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | Virginia +3 v. Virginia Tech | 15-33 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Virginia. The Hokies are a small favorite at home versus rivals Virginia, but I like the underdog here. The Hokies have lost three of five home games this year, including an upset loss to Liberty. They have been plagued by injuries at the QB position, and their defense is ranked among the worst in the ACC. Virginia has won four straight, including a 44-41 upset win over North Carolina. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog, and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Hokies are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-20 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -137 | 62-26 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIAMI. The Tar Heels are an impressive team when it comes to scoring points, but their defense hasn't impressed. They gave up 53 to Wake Forest, 44 against Virginia, and 45 against Virginia Tech. They are on the road at Miami this week, and the Hurricanes are better than all three of those teams. The Tar Heels offense was held to just 17 in a loss to Notre Dame a few weeks ago, and Miami plays a lot more like the Irish than they do like the seven teams North Carolina has beaten this year. The home team has covered in seven of the last eight head to head meetings, and the Canes have covered in four of their last five home games against UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-20 | Arizona State v. Arizona UNDER 57 | 70-7 | Loss | -117 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The winless Arizona State Sun Devils will be a double digit favorite against the 0-4 Arizona Wildcats Friday, and both these teams have struggled on offense. The Wildcats have scored just a combined 23 points in back to back losses to UCLA and Colorado. Backup QB Will Plumber has thrown for 305 yards with no TDs and three INTs since starter Grant Gunnell was injured. The under is 6-1 in the Wildcats last seven games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | UCLA v. Arizona State -140 | 25-18 | Loss | -140 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Sun Devils lost by one point on the road at USC in Week 1, in a game that ended with a miraculous comeback. They haven't played since, and they should be fired up to get back on the field. UCLA is 2-2, and both their wins have come at home. The Sun Devils are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. Chase Griffin has started the last two games for UCLA, failing to throw for 200 yards in either of his starts, and he's thrown as many INTs (2) as he has TDs. The home team has won the last four head to head meetings, and I expect that trend to continue tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | Indiana +14.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 14-6 | Win | 100 | 61 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Indiana. The Hoosiers have only lost once, in a game that was decided on the final play on the road at Ohio State. Last week their starting QB Michael Penix Jr. was lost for the season with a serious injury, and that has resulted in the line for this week's game at Wisconsin swelling to a whopping 14.5 points. This game was never expected to be a shootout, with the emphasis always going to be defense and pounding away with the running game. Wisconsin scored just seven points last week in a loss to Northwestern, and QB Graham Mertz threw for 230 yards, a TD and three INTs in a losing effort. After completing 20-of-21 pass attempts in the season opener, he's failed to complete 55% of his attempts since. The Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -137 | 24-21 | Loss | -137 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Mountaineers. The Ragin Cajuns are all the rage, the first place team in the Sun Belt. They score more points than the Moutaineers, and they are ranked in the Top 25. History is certainly not on their side, they have lost to the Mountaineers in seven straight meetings. The Ragin' Cajuns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine conference games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six versus a team with a winning record. The Mountaineers are undefeated at home, and their defense is still ranked among the best in the country. The weather is expected to be nasty on Friday night in Boone, and that might make life even harder for the Ragin Cajuns. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-20 | Air Force -11 v. Utah State | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Air Force. |
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11-28-20 | Nevada v. Hawaii OVER 59.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 143 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Nevada comes into Hawaii with a 5-0 record, and they are averaging over 32 points per game. They rank 4th nationally in passing, averaging 364 yards per game. They match up against a Hawaii defense that has allowed 30+ points in four straight games. Nevada quarterback Carson Strong is completing over 70 percent of his passes so far with 14 TDS and two INTs. These teams have gone under in seven straight head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the last three meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven home games, and the over is 21-8 in the Rainbow Warriors last 29 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Louisville v. Boston College -115 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. The Boston College Eagles have a winning record despite a tough schedule, with all four of their losses coming against ranked opponents. Louisville is just 3-6, and they have two losses to teams that the Eagles defeated. Boston College has the advantage at quarterback, with Phil Jurkovec who has completed 60 percent of his passes for 2,355 yards, 17 TDs and 5 INTs. The Cardinals Malik Cunningham has thrown for six INTs and just four TDs in his last three starts. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Louisville. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Penn State v. Michigan +1 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan. The Wolverines will host Penn State in a battle between the two most disappointing teams in the BIG10 on Saturday. Only one of these teams has a chance to salvage a sliver of self respect, and that's Michigan. With a win today, they would move to 3-3 while the Nittany Lions would be 0-7. Last week Cade McNamara stepped up and threw for 260 yards and four TDs on 26-of-37 passing. Sean Clifford has thrown as many INTs (5) as TDs in his last three appearances, and his backup has as many picks (4) as TDs so far this season. The Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings, and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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