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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-22-18 | TCU -135 v. Texas | 16-31 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the TCU Horned Frogs. Texas is coming off an emotional high after beating up on USC, and I think that sets them up for a let down against a far more disciplined TCU team. USC is sloppy, and their young quarterback is prone to making mistakes. TCU is a solid team with a solid coach, coming off a home loss to Ohio State. Since 2014 TCU is 4-0 straight up against Texas, and they won all those games outright. Texas still has a long way to go before they can be expected to compete with the top teams in the Country. I'll take the visitors here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-18 | Texas A&M +27.5 v. Alabama | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 101 h 18 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-22-18 | Georgia v. Missouri OVER 64.5 | 43-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA@MIZZ to go Over the total. Â Georgia has picked up right where it left off last year, coming into today's game at Missouri ranked 2nd nationally and averaging 45 points per game. They beat the Tigers by a score of 53-28 at home last season, and I expect another shootout here in Missouri. The Tigers have won nine consecutive regular season games, scoring at least 40 points in all of those contests. They scored 28 points in Athens last year, and they should be able to at least match that number here at home. The defense is still a concern though, coming off a 40-37 win at Purdue. If they gave up 37 points to the Boilermakers, it wouldn't be any surprise to see Georgia hang 50 on them. Â Take Over, Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC OVER 50 | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAZZU@USC to go Over. The Trojans offense hasn't been able to score points in road losses at Stanford and Texas, but they return home for a pivotal PAC12 clash versus Washington State. This is a revenge game after Sam Darnold's Trojans lost at Pullman last year by a score of 30-27. Another close game should be expected here tonight, and I expect both teams to score their fair share of points. The total looks a little low, in fact it is significantly lower than it was in any of the last seven head to head meetings between these teams. Six of the last seven meetings have seen a total of 55 or higher, and the total for last year's game closed at 59. Washington State has been impressive on both sides of the ball, and they come in to tonight's game ranked second in the country in passing yards. That being said, they have yet to face a Power Five team. JT Daniels has made his fair share of mistakes, but the freshman has been able to move the ball. He's thrown for over 800 yards in three starts, threw for 322 yards on 30-of-48 passing in last week's loss to Texas. Take Over, GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-21-18 | Penn State v. Illinois +28 | 63-24 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on Illinois. The question is not whether Penn State beats Illinois on Friday night, but rather will they beat them by more than four TDs. I don't see the Nittany Lions putting all their time and energy into a game on the road on a short week with Ohio State looming next Saturday. This is a classic "look ahead" game and the line looks grossly inflated. History certainly favors the home underdog, in a series where the favorite hasn't been asked to cover more than 14 points in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Fighting Illini have covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Take ILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Central Florida -13.5 | 36-56 | Win | 100 | 48 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Central Florida Knights. The Knights have won 15 straight games, and 11 of those were decided by a double digit margin. They are a complete team with a solid defense to go along with their potent offense. They host the FAU Owls Friday, and Lane Kiffin has this team firing on all cylinders offensively. I am skeptical about this Owls defense though, as they come in giving up roughly 40 points per game. Sure you can't fault them too much for losing by 50 at Oklahoma, but giving up 27 to Air Force and 28 to Bethune-Cookman doesn't inspire much confidence. The Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and I think they are biting off a little more than they can chew here versus UCF. Take UCF. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-20-18 | Tulsa v. Temple UNDER 55 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TULSA@TEMPLE to go UNDER. Â The Temple Owls made some changes last week, focusing on stopping the run ahead of their game at Maryland. They executed the game plan perfectly, winning outright as a double digit dog by a score of 35-14. The Terrapins only gained a total of 195 yards, and turned the ball over twice. Temple will look to ride that momentum here at home against a Tulsa team that likes to run the ball. Golden Hurricanes quarterback Luke Skipper hasn't thrown for 200 yards in any of his three starts this season, and he's thrown 3 INTs to go along with his 4 TD passes. Tulsa has trended under at a rate of 7-2 in their last nine overall, and Temple has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. The under is 6-1 in the Owls last seven games in the month of September, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true tonight. Â Take Under. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-15-18 | USC v. Texas UNDER 48 | 14-37 | Loss | -105 | 81 h 52 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on USC@TEX to go Under the total.  The Trojans scored just three points on the road at Stanford last week, but their defense looked solid holding the Cardinal under 20 points. Freshman quarterback JT Daniels threw for 215 yards and two INTs on 16-of-34 passing in the loss. It won't get any easier this week, playing on the road at Texas. These two teams have quite the history, and the last head to head meeting was an epic double OT win for USC. Sam Ehlinger threw for 298 yards with two TDs and two INTs. Ehlinger was picked off twice in a loss to Maryland in Week 1, completing just 53 percent of his passes. Texas has long trended toward the under, failing to reach the total in 42 of their last 60 overall, and 38 of their last 56 home games. The last meeting was tied 17-17 at the end of regulation, and I expect a similar pace to this game. Barring overtime, the under looks like the best bet.  Take Under.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-15-18 | Missouri -6 v. Purdue | Top | 40-37 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Missouri Tigers. Â The Tigers have won eight straight regular season games, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. Three of those wins came on the road, and two of those three wins came by a double digit margin. They lost 35-3 at home to Purdue last year, but this isn't the same team that lost five of it's first six last season. Drew Lock has thrown for 687 yards and eight TDs on 74.3 percent passing so far in 2018, and he led the nation in TD passes last season. Purdue is still trying to figure out who is their starting quarterback, and Elijah Sindelar hasn't inspired a lot of confidence, throwing for just 283 yards with 2 TDs and 3 INTs the first two weeks. Missouri appears to have improved defensively, ranking 20th in total defense after two weeks. I like the revenge angle here, and the Tigers are catching Purdue coming off an ugly home loss to Eastern Michigan. I expect the Tigers to run away with this game. Â Take MIZZ. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-15-18 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +21.5 | 62-7 | Loss | -105 | 80 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mississippi. Alabama has lost just five regular season games over the last six seasons, and two of those losses came against Ole Miss. The Crimson Tide also won a 48-43 thriller at Ole Miss in 2016. The Rebels success against Alabama has mostly been a product of stellar quarterback play. Chad Kelly threw for 421 yards and three TDs in the last meeting, and he was brilliant in the two wins. The Rebels have themselves a new gunslinger in Jordan Ta'amu. The Senior has thrown for 784 yards and 7 TDs with no INTs so far this season. Of course most people are predicting a one-sided win for the visitors, but given such a big number I am taking the dog with history on it's side. The Tide are just 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight at Mississippi. Take MISS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-18 | Hawaii +7 v. Army | 21-28 | Push | 0 | 125 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Hawaii. The Rainbow Warriors are 3-0, and quarterback Cole MacDonald leads the nation in passing with 1,165 yards, 13 TDs and not a single interception. They were up 14-0 after the first quarter in their win over Navy, and they led 38-14 at halftime in that game. They have gotten off to big starts in all three of their wins, but they have allowed opponents to come back and make it interesting in the second half. They are getting points here on the road at Army this week, and while the travel is a concern, I still think they find enough offense to keep this game close. Take HAW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-18 | Florida State v. Syracuse OVER 68 | 7-30 | Loss | -107 | 73 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on FSU@SYR to go Over the total. Â The Willie Taggart era is off to a brutal start, as Florida State narrowly avoided falling to 0-2 on the season by losing to Samford at home last week. The Seminoles had trailed the whole game, and rallied to score twice in the final four minutes to come from behind and win 36-26. Deandre Francois threw for 320 yards and three TDs on 31-of-46 passing last week. He should be primed to have a big game against a Syracuse defense that allowed 42 points in their Week 1 win over Western Michigan. Both these coaches want to play fast, and that should result in a shootout here on Saturday. The total looks quite high, and trends show a lean toward the under. Keep in mind that those trends aren't reflecting a coaching matchup of Dino Babers vs Willie Taggart. Â Take Over. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule Â
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09-08-18 | Michigan State v. Arizona State +6.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Â Michigan State was ranked 11th overall in the AP Poll in Week 1, and they only dropped four spots after a disappointing start to the season. They got the win over Utah State, but needed to rally from behind in the fourth quarter to avoid an upset at the hands of a minnow from the Mountain West. The Spartans played five true road games last season, and only one of those was a win by more than four points. They lost in overtime at Northwestern, and beat Minnesota by just three points. Their trip to Sun Devil Stadium isn't likely going to be a picnic. The Sun Devils were 5-2 at home last year, and two of those wins came against ranked teams. They upset #5 ranked Washington in October, beating the Huskies 13-7. They also beat #24 Oregon in a shootout, 37-35. Senior quarterback Manny Wilkins delivered a flawless performance in a blowout win over UTSA in Week 1, and Herm Edwards might have something cooking here in the desert. The Spartans have covered just twice in their last eight versus the PAC12, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. I'll take the points with the home dog. Â Take ARZST. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-08-18 | California v. BYU -155 | 21-18 | Loss | -155 | 108 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. Â The Cougars came into the season with pretty low expectations, and they were a double digit underdog at Arizona in Week 1. Not only did they beat Arizona outright, the final score doesn't accurately reflect what a one-sided game it actually was. The Wildcats trailed by 18 points heading into the fourth quarter, and they closed the gap with two TDs in the fourth quarter before eventually losing 28-23. Kahlil Tate was a popular pick to win the Heisman, but Tanner Mangum was the better quarterback, throwing for 209 yards and a TD on 18-of-28 passing. BYU will be at home in Week 2, hosting the Cal Bears. I had Cal last week, and I got a good line (-6.5). It turned out to be pretty significant, as they just barely held on to beat an undermanned North Carolina team 24-17. What looks like a rather unimpressive win on the surface, looks even uglier when you dig a bit deeper. The Bears were the beneficiary of four Tar Heels turnovers. Both teams were 4-of-17 on third down, and North Carolina held a 301-279 edge in total yards. The Bears used three quarterbacks who combined to complete just 50 percent of their passes for a total of just 119 yards. Without a +4 turnover ratio the Bears could have easily lost to a UNC team that was 3-9 last year, and had 13 players serving suspensions. It doesn't bode well as they head out on the road for a game at Provo. Â Take BYU. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-08-18 | USC v. Stanford -169 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 107 h 33 m | Show | |
 This is a 6* play on the Stanford Cardinal.  The USC Trojans gave up 21 points and 405 total yards in a home win over UNLV in Week 1, and that's not going to cut it on the road at Stanford. The Cardinal were far more impressive in a 31-10 win over San Diego State in their season opener. Quarterback K.J. Costello threw for 332 yards and four TDs on 21-of-31 passing against the Aztecs. David Shaw was careful not to overwork Bryce Love in Week 1, the Heisman hopeful had just 18 carries for 29 yards. Love should see the ball early and often against a USC team that has struggled to defend the run. The Trojans have failed to cover in four of the last five meetings, and they are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  Take STAN.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-08-18 | Wyoming v. Missouri -17 | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 87 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Missouri Tigers. Â I was pretty high on this Wyoming defense before the season started, and they still might prove to be one of the top teams in the Mountain West. Their home loss to Washington State last week doesn't give me any reason to think that they can compete with one of the most explosive offensive teams in the SEC, on the road at Missouri this week. The Tigers scored 51 points in a blowout win over UT Martin in Week 1, and they averaged over 50 points per game during a six game winning streak at the end of last season. Drew Lock threw for 289 yards and four TDs on 19-of-25 passing before the Tigers pulled their starters. Lock led the country with 44 TD passes last season, and he's likely to cause all sorts of problems for Wyoming. The Cowboys biggest problem appears to be their offense, with quarterback Tyler Vander Waal throwing for a measly 67 yards and an INT on 8-of-20 passing. If they can't move the ball, their defense won't stand a chance. Â Take MIZZ. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-07-18 | TCU -22 v. SMU | 42-12 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
   This is an 8* play on TCU. The SMU Mustangs might consider this a rivalry game, but they have lost their last five games versus TCU by an average margin of more than 31 points. This year's game looks as lopsided as ever, and another blowout seems inevitable. The Mustangs fell behind 36-0 after three quarters in their season opener versus North Texas, before scoring three meaningless TDs in garbage time. It wasn't the fact that they lost by 23 points as a 3.5 point underdog that was the biggest point of concern, it's the fact that their offensive line got just run over by a freight train. Their quarterback was sacked nine times in the season opener. It won't get any easier against one of the top defenses in the BIG12. TCU should terrorize the Mustangs early, and this game should be over by halftime.  Take TCU.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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09-03-18 | Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Florida State | Top | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Virginia Tech. Â The Willie Taggart era begins in Tallahassee tonight when the Seminoles host Virginia Tech. The Hokies are a significant underdog in this spot, and I like their chances of hanging with this new look Florida State team. While DeAndre Francios returns at quarterback, it will be his first game running the Gulf Coast Offense. There could be a few hiccups along the way. Justin Fuente has the advantage of bringing back Josh Jackson at quarterback, and he was outstanding in his freshman year throwing for 2,991 yards, 20 TDs and nine INTs, completing roughly 60 percent of his passes. The Seminoles have failed to cover in eight consecutive non-conference games, and I think it's asking a lot for them to beat the Hokies by more than a TD. FSU has won three of the last five meetings straight up, but the Hokies have covered the spread in three of the last four head to head meetings. Â Take VT. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -153 v. LSU | 17-33 | Loss | -153 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Hurricanes. Â The Hurricanes started last season 10-0 before losing their final three games. Two of those losses came against #1 ranked Clemson and #6 ranked Wisconsin. The Canes figure to be a playoff contender again this season, with 5th year Senior Malik Rosier back at quarterback, and an offense loaded with talented athletes. Miami's most impressive win last season came at home against Notre Dame by a score of 41-8. The Turnover Chain came out four times that day, and I would be surprised if we don't see it in action here in tonight's game versus LSU. The Tigers offense is going to look a lot different without Leonard Fournette and Derrius Guice. They are going with graduate transfer Joe Burrow at quarterback, and tonight will be his first collegiate start. I am banking on Mark Richt to have his team better prepared for this matchup than Ed Orgeron. Â Take MIA. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-01-18 | Navy -10 v. Hawaii | 41-59 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Navy Midshipmen. Â The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors were originally a 17-point home underdog in this matchup versus Navy, but after a big upset over Colorado State in their season opener, the line was bet down by a TD. I think this knee jerk reaction is an over-correction, and that has since been further evidenced by Colorado State suffering another blowout loss at the hands of Colorado. Navy ran for 452 yards and seven TDs in a 49-7 win over Virginia in the Military Bowl last season, and their offense is expected to be even more dynamic with Malcom Perry taking over at quarterback this season. While the "run and shoot" was effective for Hawaii against a brutal CSU defense, I expect Hawaii's offense to be on the sidelines for the majority of this game, watching the Midshipmen run up and down, burning up the clock. Â Take NAVY. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-01-18 | Michigan -125 v. Notre Dame | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -125 | 1478 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on the Michigan Wolverines. Â The Irish won 10 games last year, including three wins against ranked teams (USC, NC State and LSU). Most of their success came because of their power running game, with Josh Adams running behind a stacked offensive line. Adams is gone, as are Quenton Nelson and Mike McGlinchey. They will need Brandon Wimbush to step up this season, and he draws a tough assignment in Week 1. Michigan's defense ranked #1 in the nation against the pass last season, and #3 overall in total defense. They bring back almost everybody, and this should be the most talented squad that Harbaugh has had in Ann Arbor. An upgrade at quarterback might make Michigan a true playoff contender. Shea Patterson threw for 2,259 yards and 17 TDs in just seven starts for Ole Miss last season. He's easily the most talented quarterback that Harbaugh has had to work with since returning to the college game. I think this is a case of Michigan being the better team, with a better defense, a better quarterback, a better coach and superior talent. Needless to say, I am expecting it to be a blowout. Something similar to when the Irish lost 41-8 at Miami last year. Â Take MICH. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-01-18 | North Carolina v. California -7 | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 100 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on California. Â The Tar Heels have just a dozen starters returning from last season's 3-9 squad, and 13 players will be serving suspensions early in the season for NCAA rules violations. That will leave North Carolina undermanned here on the road against a Golden Bears team that beat them on their home field in 2017. California is in good shape at quarterback with Ross Bowers returning. He had one of his best games last season against the Tar Heels, throwing for 363 yards and four TDs on 24-of-38 passing in a 25-20 win at Chapel Hill. North Carolina was brutal defending the run last year, and it's doubtful that they can completely turn things around here in Week 1. This has all the markings of a double digit win for the home team. Â Take CAL. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-01-18 | Washington v. Auburn UNDER 48.5 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@AUB to go Under the total. If you happened to catch my longshot pick for the Heisman Trophy, you probably already know I am big on the Huskies. Here are some of the things I said about Washington: "Two years ago Jake Browning led all Power 5 quarterbacks with 43 TD passes. He’s coming into his senior year surrounded by the most talented group in the Chris Peterson era. The Huskies are ranked 6th overall, the favorites to win the PAC12." Auburn is ranked 9th overall, and yet the Tigers will be a favorite at a neutral site game in Atlanta in Week 1. The knee jerk reaction is to think that because Auburn beat Alabama last season, and went on to play Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, that they are the better team here. Once you get past the SEC bias, you see that Washington actually ranked first nationally against the run in 2017, allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. These teams match up pretty close in every category, except for the quarterback position. Jarrett Stidham struggled against top defenses last season. He threw for just 79 yards in a loss to Clemson, 145 yards in a loss to Georgia, and 165 yards in a loss to LSU. The Tigers have gone under in 14 of their last 17 non-conference games, and I expect another defensive battle here in Week 1 versus Washington. Take Under. GL,ÂJesse Schule |
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09-01-18 | Northern Illinois v. Iowa UNDER 48 | 7-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on NIU@IOWA to go Under the total.  The Hawkeyes won three straight non-conference games at the beginning of last season, and both games at home fell well short of the total. In five home games versus unranked opponents last season they failed to reach the total in four of those contests. They allowed an average of just 13 points in those games. Iowa has 24 players returning on a defense that allowed fewer than 20 points per game in 2017. These teams have failed to combine for 40 points in four of the last five head to head meetings, and Northern Illinois is going to struggle offensively here at Kinnick Stadium. The under is 5-2 in Hawkeyes last 7 non-conference games.  Take Under.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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08-31-18 | Colorado State v. Colorado -7 | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. The Rams looked awful in a home loss to Hawaii last week, and I think they will struggle here against Rivals Colorado. The Buffaloes dropped off significantly last season after winning the PAC12 South in 2016, but they bring back Stephen Montez at quarterback for the 2018 season, and he threw for 2,975 yards with 18 TDs and nine INTs last season. Two of those nine picks came in a Week 1 win over Colorado State, but the Buffaloes still managed to win by a score of 17-3. Colorado won all three of it's non-conference games by double-digits last season, and overall they beat the teams they were supposed to beat. Losses to UCLA and Arizona each came by less than five points. They shouldn't have much trouble mopping the floor with this Rams team that is still trying to sort out new personnel. Take COL. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-30-18 | New Mexico State v. Minnesota UNDER 47 | 10-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NMST@MINN to go Under. It was no surprise to see the Aggies struggle on offense against Wyoming in their home opener. They lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and leading receiver from last season. They were literally going backwards in the 1st half, and finished the game with just 135 total yards. When you consider their failures on offense, their defense held it's own conceding just 29 points to a Wyoming offense that held the ball for the majority of the game. They forced the Cowboys to punt seven times, and limited them to 137 yards on 13-of-22 passing. We should see a similar story here in Minnesota, with the Gophers pounding away with their running game. Minnesota ranked 122nd in the country in passing last season, averaging just 126 yards per game. They will have an inexperienced starter here in 2018, and I think it's likely they don't ask him to do too much here in a game that they should have little trouble winning. Minnesota ranked 11th nationally against the pass last season, and they should make life very difficult for this struggling Aggies offense. Take UNDER. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-25-18 | Wyoming -170 v. New Mexico State | 29-7 | Win | 100 | 68 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys lost Josh Allen to the NFL draft, but they bring back eight starters on a defense that led the nation in takeaways last year. They have experience on the offensive line and at wide receiver, and this should be one of the best teams in the Mountain West. The Aggies are coming off a miraculous season finishing with six wins and then defeating Utah State in the Arizona Bowl by a score of 26-20 in overtime. They may be hard pressed to maintain that success this season, having lost their starting quarterback, leading rusher and top wide receiver. A New look offense is likely to struggle in Week 1 against the best defense in the Group of Five. The Aggies first win of last season came by a score of 30-28 versus New Mexico, a team that lost 42-3 to Wyoming. Take the Cowboys. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-18 | Alabama -170 v. Georgia | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 105 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Alabama Crimson Tide. Â Alabama's loss to Auburn was in a way the best thing that could have happened to Nick Saban's squad. At the time they were banged up, and they weren't playing well. If they had to play Georgia back in December, they might not have survived. Instead, they were given more time to rest and prepare than all the other teams that played conference championship games. Fair? Not at all! The Alabama team that beat Clemson last week isn't the same team that lost to Auburn in December. That's bad news for the Bulldogs, who's defense was shredded by the Sooners in the Rose Bowl. Oklahoma ran for 242 yards on 45 attempts, and the Bulldogs gave up a total of 531 yards. Georgia was extremely lucky to come back and win in overtime, but I don't think the Bulldogs will be so fortunate against Bama. Alabama has won the last three meetings between the two schools dating back to 2008, and two of those wins came by a double digit margin. If Alabama plays the way they played in the Sugar Bowl, this game isn't going to be close. Â Take BAMA. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson +2 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -110 | 658 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers.
The Alabama Crimson Tide were a controversial addition to the College Football Playoff, after they lost to Auburn in the Iron Bowl. They didn't even play in the SEC Championship Game, and still the public is branding them the team to beat. The fact is that the Tigers are the defending champs, beating a better version of Alabama last year. All the talk of Alabama's top ranked defense is a little bit misleading, given that their strength of schedule is questionable at best. The Tigers finished the season strong with six straight wins, five of those coming by double digits. Jalen Hurts completed just 13-of-31 passes for 131 yards and a TD in last year's Championship Game, and this year's Clemson defense looks even stronger than it did a year ago. Both teams played Auburn, and the Tigers racked up over 400 yards versus Alabama, and just 117 total yards against Clemson. Can you imagine that? One Hundred Seventeen TOTAL YARDS? I think Alabama is living off it's reputation from decades gone by, because based on the play of both these teams this season, it's Clemson that should be the favorite. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-18 | Georgia v. Oklahoma +2 | Top | 54-48 | Loss | -110 | 534 h 19 m | Show |
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01-01-18 | LSU -153 v. Notre Dame | 17-21 | Loss | -153 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LSU Tigers. |
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12-30-17 | Washington v. Penn State -120 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions.  Both the Huskies and the Nittany Lions lost two games this season, but you can't really fault Penn State for losing on the road by a single point to the eventual BIG10 champs, and losing by three points in bad weather at East Lansing a week later. The Huskies on the other hand were heavy favorites against Stanford and Arizona State, and those are games they you need to win if you expect to contend for the playoffs. As much as I like Washington, I can't ignore the fact that their strength of schedule simply doesn't compare to any of the top teams in the BIG10. Nine of Washington's 10 wins came against unranked teams, and only one of their seven wins in conference play came against a team that finished the regular season with a winning record. The Nittany Lions played a far tougher schedule, and they were in every single game they played. Nobody was able to stop them from scoring at least 20 points, and Saquon Barkley was in the Heisman conversation all year. Barkley scored seven TDs in his last three starts, and I think he's going to have a big game against this top ranked Washington run defense. While Washington allowed fewer rushing yards per game than any other team in the country (92.3/game), they couldn't stop Bryce Love from slashing for 166 yards and three TDs in Stanford's 30-22 win that eliminated the Huskies from the playoffs.  Take PSU.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis OVER 66 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 602 h 60 m | Show |
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12-30-17 | Louisville -6.5 v. Mississippi State | 27-31 | Loss | -115 | 405 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals. |
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12-29-17 | Texas A&M v. Wake Forest -149 | 52-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.
Wake Forest will face Texas A&M in the Belk Bowl, in what is close to a home game in Charlotte. The Aggies will come into this game with an interim head coach, after firing Kevin Sumlin and hiring Jimbo Fisher. The Aggies led the SEC in sacks this year, so they are hoping that their pass rush can help make up for a huge disadvantage at the quarterback position. John Wolford threw for 2,792 yards with 25 TDs and six INTs while playing in 11 games this year. He faced a tough pass rush when the Deacons beat NC State at home by a score of 30-24, and he completed 68 percent of his passes for 247 yards, three TDs and one INT in that game. Freshman Nick Starkel took over at quarterback for the Aggies late in the season, throwing for 1,294 yards with 10 TDs and five INTs while playing in six games. Wake Forest has covered the spread in four straight bowl games, while Texas A&M has failed to cover in five straight versus teams from the ACC.  Take WAKE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State v. Washington State -135 | 42-17 | Loss | -135 | 366 h 38 m | Show | |
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12-28-17 | Stanford v. TCU -140 | 37-39 | Win | 100 | 248 h 10 m | Show | |
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12-28-17 | Virginia Tech v. Oklahoma State -4.5 | 21-30 | Win | 100 | 362 h 54 m | Show | |
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12-27-17 | Missouri -145 v. Texas | 16-33 | Loss | -145 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Missouri Tigers. The Tigers were perhaps the hottest team in the country during the second half of the season. They won their final seven games, and averaged an incredible 51 points per game during that span. Granted they were playing some of the weaker teams in the SEC, but their wins over Tennessee and Florida were the highest point totals conceded by those teams. They score more points on Tennessee than the Crimson Tide, and they scored more points against Florida than the Georgia Bulldogs. Junior quarterback Drew Lock has thrown for 26 TDs and five picks in his last six starts. He's looking to make a big impression on NFL scouts here in the Texas Bowl. The offensively challenged Texas Longhorns ranked 65th nationally in scoring, despite playing in a conference known for offense (BIG12). Texas is still looking for answers at the quarterback position, as fresham Sam Ehlinger and sophomore Shane Buechele combined to throw for just 16 TDs and 13 INTs. Whoever starts at quarterback for Texas is going to be missing a lot of weapons. Chris Warren had a team high six rushing TDs, but has since transferred. The Horns were already going to be missing more than a dozen key players on both sides of the ball, and then announced Friday that three more starters would be suspended for the bowl game for violating team rules. I like Missouri to win big here in Texas. Take MIZZ. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-26-17 | Northern Illinois v. Duke -5.5 | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duke Blue Devils. |
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12-26-17 | Utah v. West Virginia UNDER 56.5 | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
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12-23-17 | Texas Tech v. South Florida OVER 65.5 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TTU@USF to go Over the total. |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming OVER 45 | Top | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CMU@WYO to go OVER the total.  The most intriguing story for this year's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl will be the showcase of one of the country's top ranked quarterbacks. Josh Allen is expected to be a first round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, and this game will give him a chance to improve his draft stock. Allen missed the last two games of the regular season, and Wyoming lost those two games scoring a combined 24 points. The Cowboys were a different teams when Allen was healthy, winning six of seven games against Group of Five teams. He threw for 13 TDs and four INTs in those games. Central Michigan finished the season riding a five game win streak, and starting quarterback Shane Morris lit up the scoreboard during that span. Morris threw 1,141 yards with 14 TDs and just two INTs. All five of those games saw 55 or more combined points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in five of their last six against teams from the MAC, and their last game against Central Michigan was a 32-20 loss. I expect to see both teams score 20+ points her in this bowl game, and with an extraordinarily low total, the value lies with a play on the over.  Take OVER. GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-20-17 | Louisiana Tech v. SMU -180 | 51-10 | Loss | -180 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
 GL,  Jesse Schule  |
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12-16-17 | Oregon v. Boise State OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BSU@ORE to go OVER the total. |
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12-09-17 | Army v. Navy OVER 45 | Top | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARMY@NAVY to go OVER the total.
Last year's Army vs Navy game saw the Black Knights end a 14-game losing streak in the annual event. This season I expect another long standing trend to come to an end. These two teams have failed to reach the total in 10 straight meetings, and that has bookmakers coming with an ultra low number here this year. The total of 45 is lower than it has been in any of Navy's games this season, and only three of 11 of Navy's games saw less than 45 combined points. Army also hasn't seen a total lower than this so far in 2017, and they have seen at least 45 combined points in seven of their 11 games. Their last game was a 52-49 loss to North Texas, and they ran for a whopping 534 yards and seven TDs in that contest. The Midshipmen are coming off a pair of losses to Houston and Notre Dame. Their last win came against SMU, and they ran for 559 yards and six TDs in the victory. While Navy is the favorite once again this year, this game is expected to be closer than it has in recent years. Both these teams should put some points on the board, and a competitive game could easily lead to enough points to push this number over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +7 | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia +3 v. Auburn | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. |
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12-02-17 | TCU v. Oklahoma -6.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 132 h 41 m | Show | |
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12-02-17 | Memphis v. Central Florida -7 | 55-62 | Push | 0 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Memphis vs UCF Free Pick December 2, 2017.
The Memphis Tigers and the Central Florida Knights rank 4th and 1st nationally in scoring offense. Both teams average well over 40 points per game, so it's no surprise that the bookmakers are expecting a high scoring game here. The total opened at 81, and was quickly bet up as high as 85. The last time these teams met, the Knights held Memphis to just 13 points. They out-gained the Tigers by more than 200 yards, and forced four turnovers. UCF is asked to cover a seven point spread, but that's only one TD in a game that is expected to have as many as a dozen TDs scored. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2005. Central Florida won all 10 of those games, and covered in all five home games during that span. Four of the last five meetings have gone under, with the exception being a 35-17 Central Florida win in 2012. The Tigers hopes rest solely on quarterback Riley Ferguson, who threw three INTs the last time he played at Central Florida. The Knights are a well rounded team that can run, pass and play defense. I'll take the home favorite here in Orlando. Take UCF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-17 | Notre Dame v. Stanford UNDER 56 | Top | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 17 m | Show |
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11-25-17 | Washington State +10.5 v. Washington | Top | 14-41 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. This is as good as a Washington State team that I have seen in the Mike Leach era, and the Cougars have a chance to punch their ticket to the PAC12 Championship Game with a win this week. Standing in their way is rival Washington, and the Huskies laid a beating on them in last year's Apple Cup. Things have changed though, and this year the Huskies are already eliminated from advancing to the conference championship game. The Huskies offense has struggled the last few weeks, losing 30-22 at Stanford and hanging on to beat Utah 33-30 at home last week. Senior quarterback Luke Falk is coming off back to back games with 300+ yards and three TDs. Huskies coach Chris Peterson acknowledges that it's going to be tough to stop the PAC12's leading passer: "Of course Luke Falk has been in that system forever," Petersen said. "I mean, is he ever going to graduate? He's been there forever. He knows that system inside and out. "I think he looks better. He looks more comfortable. He has a great feel for when the rush is coming, he'll get it out and when it's not, he'll hang onto the ball and let his guys work. There's a reason that they are where they are right now and what they're playing for." The Cougars have already proved that they can compete with the big boys, beating USC at home in September. I like their chances of keeping this game close, with so much at stake.
 Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-17 | Vanderbilt v. Tennessee -115 | 42-24 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Volunteers.
Both Vanderbilt and Tennessee have struggled this season, and neither team has a win in the SEC. The Vols have at least been involved in a few close games that they had a chance to win. Losing to South Carolina, Florida and Kentucky by six points or less. The Commodores have been blown out by 20+ points in four of their last five losses. Vanderbilt has given up more points, and has been a complete disaster offensively. Starting quarterback Kyle Shurmur has thrown seven INTs in his last two starts. The Vols aren't exactly lighting it up on offense either, but at least freshman Jarrett Guarantano has done a good job protecting the football. He's only been picked off despite appearing in eight games, and throwing for 814 yards and two TDs while completing over 60 percent of his passes. The home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings in this series, and the Commodores haven't covered in any of their seven SEC games this year. I like the Vols to get a feel good win in front of the home fans. Take TEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-17 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma OVER 67 | 31-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU@OKLA to go OVER the total. |
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11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn OVER 47.5 | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 53 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on ALA@AUB to go OVER the total. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnerable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebackers in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. I expect both teams to score their fair share of points in the Iron Bowl. Take OVER. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn +5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 100 h 44 m | Show | |
Alabama vs Auburn Free Pick November 25, 2017. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnurable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebacks in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. My money is on the home team plus money. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-17 | Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 50.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OSU@MICH to go UNDER the total.
The Buckeyes are a big favorite on the road at Michigan, but this has never been an easy game for Ohio State. We've already seen a few double-digit dogs win outright here in rivalry week (Mississippi and Pittsburgh), and I wouldn't be surprised if this game is a lot closer than some people expect. Last year the Buckeyes won at home in overtime by a score of 30-27. I had the under in that game, and while there were only 34 points scored in regulation, it went over for the fourth consecutive time in this series. This Michigan team doesn't have the same offensive firepower it had a year ago, and the Wolverines were held to just 234 total yards while scoring 10 points in a loss to Wisconsin last week. Backup quarterback John O'Korn threw for just 19 yards on 2-of-8 passing, and he comes into this weeks game completing just over 50 percent of his passes this season with one TD and five INTs in seven appearances (four starts). The Wolverines have only played one game all year that has seen more than 50 combined points scored. The total for today's game is far higher than it was in each of the last two head to head meetings between these teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-17 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia +7.5 | 10-0 | Loss | -125 | 79 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Virginia. |
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11-24-17 | Missouri v. Arkansas OVER 70 | 48-45 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIZZ@ARK to go OVER the total.
I bet on Missouri last week in their blowout win over Vanderbilt, and here is what I said before that game: "The Tigers have struggled against the top teams in the SEC, but playing the bottom tier teams has been a cakewalk so far. Missouri is coming off four straight wins, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. They dropped 50 on Tennessee at home last week, and they beat Florida by a whopping 29 points at home a week earlier." They led 35-0 at the half last week, and held on to win 45-17. The Tigers might face a much tougher test here at Arkansas, as the home team has covered in five straight meetings between the two teams. The Razorbacks have gone over in four of their last five home games, and I like their chances of scoring their fair share of points here in their final game of the season. Starting quarterback Austin Allen missed four games due to injury, but he's been solid when healthy. He's thrown for seven TDs and just three INTs in five home starts. As well as Missouri has been playing lately, I still think their defense is vulnerable. Arkansas should be able to score enough points to keep this game interesting. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-17 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 62.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 69 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MISS@MISST to go UNDER the total. How good is Mississippi State? Well if you look at their 8-3 record, you see three losses. Those losses came against three teams in the Top 10, who are all currently in the hunt for a playoff spot. They rank 20th nationally in scoring defense, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. The Bulldogs are a big favorite here in the Egg Bowl versus rivals Mississippi, and they are expected to win by three scores. The Rebels have scored plenty of points this season, but not on the road against ranked teams. They scored a total of 26 points in losses at Alabama and Auburn, and they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 11 of the last 15 meetings. Only one of the Bulldogs games this season saw more than a combined 60 points, and that was a blowout win over LA-Tech. Rebels quarterback Jordan Ta'amu threw for just 189 yards on 19-of-34 passing in a home loss to Texas A&M last week. I don't expect him to be any more successful here at Starkville. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-17 | Missouri -8 v. Vanderbilt | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Missouri Tigers. |
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11-18-17 | UCLA v. USC -16 | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 25 m | Show | |
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11-18-17 | NC State v. Wake Forest UNDER 63.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 102 h 18 m | Show | |
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11-18-17 | Arizona University v. Oregon OVER 74 | Top | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 85 h 0 m | Show |
   This is a 10* play on ARI@ORE to go OVER the total.  The Ducks have been hit hard by injuries this season, especially at quarterback. Starter Justin Herbert was lost for the season, and his backup Taylor Alie has missed the last three games. The senior is hoping to be cleared in time to play here in the Ducks home game against Arizona. Third string quarterback Braxton Burmeister got the start in Oregon's last home game, and he was only asked to attempt a dozen passes. He was 9-of-12 for 47 yards and a TD, leading the Ducks to a 41-20 win over Utah. Royce Freeman and Tony Brooks-James each ran for over 100 yards in the win. The Ducks should be able to put points on the board against this 114th ranked Arizona defense. The Wildcats have played three road games versus PAC12 teams, and they have allowed more than 40 points in all three of those games. They have also scored more than their fair share of points, winning five of their last six and scoring an average of 48.8 points in those wins. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, Oregon has gone over in 51 of it's last 69 home games. The Wildcats have gone over in 26 of their last 36 overall.  Take OVER.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-18-17 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 57 | 44-56 | Loss | -135 | 88 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NEB@PSU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-18-17 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 65 | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 88 h 55 m | Show | |
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11-11-17 | Arizona State v. UCLA OVER 67 | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
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11-11-17 | Notre Dame v. Miami-FL UNDER 57.5 | Top | 8-41 | Win | 100 | 107 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ND@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
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11-11-17 | Alabama v. Mississippi State OVER 51 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 102 h 33 m | Show | |
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11-11-17 | Iowa +12.5 v. Wisconsin | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Who would have guessed that Iowa could knock off Ohio State as an 18-point underdog? I guess I can't say I was surprised, as I had Iowa in that game. Here is what I had to say prior to kickoff: "Iowa is coming off a 17-10 home win over Minnesota, and they are now 4-1 at home. Their one loss came to Penn State, in a game that they led right up until the final play of the game, as the Nittany Lions scored the game winning TD as time expired, winning 21-19. The Hawkeyes have a history of playing the best teams in the BIG10 tough, but still they are getting a whopping 18 points as a home underdog versus Ohio State. They have played six home games against ranked teams dating back to 2014, and they are just 2-4 in those games. All six of those games were decided by single digits, and five of the six were decided by four points or less" I also made note of the fact that Iowa had a history of playing tight games against the Buckeyes: "They have won five straight against Iowa, but they failed to cover the spread in each of the last three meetings." It's a similar story when the Hawkeyes have played Wisconsin, with five of the last six meetings being decided by 10 points or less. Four of the last five games in this series have been decided by a single possession, and the road team has won outright in six straight. Iowa last played at Wisconsin in 2015, winning by a score of 10-6. It's a tough ask to expect Wisconsin to cover a double digit spread here. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-17 | Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech +3 | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
The Virginia Tech Hokies were exposed in a 28-10 loss to Miami last week. Most had expected them to give the Hurricanes a tougher game, but looking back on it, perhaps it's not such a surprise. The Hokies have enjoyed a pretty soft schedule, and their signature win came against a West Virginia team that ranks 89th nationally in scoring defense. The public hasn't given up on the Hokies though, as they come into Atlanta as a road favorite versus Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are 4-4, but they've played a far tougher schedule than Virginia Tech. Three of their four losses came on the road, and three of those four losses came against ranked teams. The only home loss was a 42-41 game against Tennessee, that was decided with a failed two-point conversion in overtime. The Yellow Jackets last home game was 38-24 win over Wake Forest, and they ran for 427 yards and five TDs in that game. The Hokies struggled to defend the run last week against Miami, and they lost 30-20 at home to Georgia Tech last year. The Yellow Jackets ran for over 300 yards and three TDs in that game. I don't see any reason why the Hokies should be a road favorite here, and I'll take the points. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-17 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +7 | 49-42 | Push | 0 | 86 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. |
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11-10-17 | Washington -6 v. Stanford | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 59 m | Show | |
  This is a 9* play on the Washington Huskies. If you have ever wondered what the Stanford Cardinal would look like without leading rusher Bryce Love, look no further than their 15-14 win over the Oregon State Beavers. The Cardinal looked certain to lose that game, but just before the Beavers were about to go into the victory formation, they fumbled the ball. That allowed Stanford to score a last minute touchdown, avoiding the upset. Stanford totaled just 222 yards on offense against the Beavers, and despite the return of Bryce Love, they failed to reach 200 yards of offense in last week's 24-21 loss to Washington State. Love only carried the ball 16 times for 69 yards in that game, and he faces a tough Huskies defense here just six days later. The Huskies boast the best run defense in the PAC12, and they rank 3rd nationally allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. Washington is coming off a 38-3 home win over the Oregon Ducks, and running back Royce Freeman who is second behind Bryce Love in rushing yards in the PAC12. The Huskies beat Stanford 44-6 last year, and the Cardinal ran for a total of just 29 yards on 30 carries. I don't think home field is going to be enough to change the fact that the Cardinal just don't match up well against Washington.  Take WAS.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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11-09-17 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 49 | 34-31 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
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11-08-17 | Toledo -170 v. Ohio | 10-38 | Loss | -170 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
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11-07-17 | Akron +7 v. Miami-OH | 14-24 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
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11-07-17 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 60.5 | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BG@BUF to go Under the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-07-17 | Bowling Green +8 v. Buffalo | 28-38 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bowling Green Falcons. Jesse Schule |
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11-04-17 | Arizona +7.5 v. USC | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona is the hottest team in the PAC12, coming into Pasadena off four straight wins over Colorado, UCLA, Cal and Washington State. They scored 45+ points in all four of those wins, doing the bulk of the damage on the ground. That could spell trouble for a USC team that ranks 87th nationally against the run. Two weeks ago they were manhandled in a 49-14 loss to Notre Dame. The Irish ran for 377 yards and five TDs in the win. The Trojans are 5-0 at home, but have failed to cover in four of those five wins. Most recently they beat Utah by a score of 28-27, needing a failed two-point conversion by the Utes to escape with the win. The Wildcats are 3-0 on the road, and their two losses this season both came in games decided by less than seven points. I expect this game to come right down to the wire, last score wins. Take ARI. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-04-17 | Oregon v. Washington UNDER 51.5 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 114 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORE@WAS to go UNDER the total. |
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11-04-17 | LSU v. Alabama UNDER 51.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 127 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU@ALABAMA to go UNDER the total. |
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11-04-17 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 74 | 62-52 | Win | 100 | 123 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKLA@OKST to go OVER the total.
We know the Sooners rivalry with the Cowboys is commonly known as "Bedlam". Recent games between these two teams have certainly lived up to that moniker. The Cowboys are coming off a 50-39 road win over West Virginia, but I wasn't impressed with their defense in that game. The Mountaineers turned the ball over five times, and Will Grier threw four INTs. Despite those five turnovers, the Cowboys still gave up 39 points. The Sooners have also looked vulnerable on defense, and they gave up 35 points on the road at Kansas State two weeks ago. Both these teams are averaging over 40 points per game, but I expect the winner of this game to score 50+ points. The Cowboys have gone over the total in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and the over is 3-1-1 in their last five games against the Sooners. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-17 | Ohio State v. Iowa +18 | 24-55 | Win | 100 | 74 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Iowa is coming off a 17-10 home win over Minnesota, and they are now 4-1 at home. Their one loss came to Penn State, in a game that they led right up until the final play of the game, as the Nittany Lions scored the game winning TD as time expired, winning 21-19. The Hawkeyes have a history of playing the best teams in the BIG10 tough, but still they are getting a whopping 18 points as a home underdog versus Ohio State. They have played six home games against ranked teams dating back to 2014, and they are just 2-4 in those games. All six of those games were decided by single digits, and five of the six were decided by four points or less. Ohio State is coming off a come from behind win at home over Penn State, paving their way to the BIG10 Championship Game. This could set them up for a let down here on the road a week later. They have won five straight against Iowa, but they failed to cover the spread in each of the last three meetings. The Buckeyes have been one of the most overrated teams this season, as evidenced by the fact that they are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus teams with a winning record. Take IOWA. GL , Jesse Schule |
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11-04-17 | Clemson v. NC State UNDER 51 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CLEM@NCST to go UNDER the total.
Clemson is still the team to beat in the ACC, but the Tigers offense has dropped off a lot since last season. Kelly Bryant has played well at times, but he's thrown for just 1582 yards with six TDs and four INTs, and he hasn't scored a rushing TD since winning 34-7 over Boston College on September 23. He was knocked out of the game against Wake Forest on October 7th, and since then Dabo Swinney seems to be reluctant to have him put his body on the line. NC State is still undefeated in conference play, and whoever wins this game will be the favorite to win the division. These two teams have gone under the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and the Wolfpack has failed to reach the total in five straight overall. Last year the Tigers beat the Wolfpack by a score of 24-17 at home, and I expect a similar score here at NCState this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-17 | Central Michigan +4 v. Western Michigan | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
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10-31-17 | Bowling Green v. Kent State UNDER 50.5 | 44-16 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
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10-28-17 | Washington State -140 v. Arizona | Top | 37-58 | Loss | -140 | 132 h 13 m | Show |
 This is a 10* play on the Washington State Cougars.  Arizona has won three straight, and the Wildcats have scored a ton of points in those games. I think they have become way overrated heading into this week's home game against Washington State. Keep in mind that wins over California and Colorado came by a combined four points. Arizona has a one-dimensional offense, and a defense that has allowed 36.5 points per game in conference play. They lost their only home game against a PAC12 team, falling 30-24 to Utah. The Cougars are a team that has had success stopping the likes of Arizona. They beat the Wildcats by a score of 69-7 last season, holding Arizona to just 286 total yards. They also won on the road at Stanford and at home versus Oregon. The Cougars have won three of their last four versus Arizona, and two of those three wins came at Arizona. This year's Cougars team is as strong as it's ever been, and I don't see Wazzu losing against an inferior Arizona team.  Take WSU.  GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-28-17 | NC State v. Notre Dame UNDER 60.5 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 110 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NCST@ND to go UNDER the total.
After a blowout win over USC last Saturday, the Irish are now a huge favorite at home versus NC State. This is an obvious let down spot for Notre Dame, and this isn't a great matchup. The Irish are a one-dimensional team that leans heavily on the run, and the Wolfpack have one of the most experienced, and most dominant defensive lines in the country. They come in well rested off a bye week, riding a six game win streak. Their resume includes wins at Florida State, at home to Louisville and Syracuse. These teams played last season, and the Irish were completely shut down in a 10-3 loss. The Wolfpack held Notre Dame to just 113 total yards, and 59 rushing yards on 38 attempts. In this strength versus strength matchup, we should expect points to be hard to come by. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-17 | Georgia v. Florida +14.5 | Top | 42-7 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida Gators. |
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10-28-17 | Louisville v. Wake Forest UNDER 62 | 32-42 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 35 m | Show | |
 Jesse Schule |
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10-27-17 | Florida State v. Boston College UNDER 47 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on FSU@BC to go UNDER the total. |
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10-26-17 | South Alabama v. Georgia State UNDER 49 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on USA@GSU to go UNDER the total.  The South Alabama Jaguars will play at Georgia State Thursday, in a battle between Sun Belt Conference rivals. Georgia State is coming off a 34-10 home loss to Troy, and I think we can expect another low scoring game here against the Jaguars. These teams haven't gone over the total in any of the last four head to head meetings, and last year the Jags won by a score of 13-10. The Jaguars are coming off a high scoring win over ULM, but they had failed to reach the total in five straight prior to that. Georgia State has gone under in five of it's last seven overall. Playing on a short week, we should see both teams have a conservative approach, looking to establish their run game. Georgia State has gone under in 12 of it's last 16 conference games, 10 of it's last 13 home games, and 20 of it's last 27 games overall.  Take UNDER.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-21-17 | Fresno State v. San Diego State UNDER 51.5 | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-21-17 | USC v. Notre Dame UNDER 60 | Top | 14-49 | Loss | -115 | 126 h 41 m | Show |
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10-21-17 | Michigan v. Penn State -9.5 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 58 h 33 m | Show | |
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10-21-17 | Iowa v. Northwestern UNDER 48.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 119 h 36 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State UNDER 59 | 31-28 | Push | 0 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
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10-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -6 | 31-28 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Jesse Schule |
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10-19-17 | Memphis v. Houston UNDER 59 | 42-38 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MEM@HOU to go UNDER the total. |
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10-14-17 | Boise State +7.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 115 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boise State Broncos. San Diego State is off to an impressive start, coming into this week's home game against rivals Boise State with a 6-0 record. Their signature win was a 20-17 home victory over #19 ranked Stanford, but their most recent home game was a lackluster 34-28 win over Northern Illinois. The Broncos are 3-2, but one of those losses was an impressive effort in a 47-44 loss at Washington State. Last week the Broncos held BYU to just 238 total yards in an impressive 24-7 road win. These teams have a history of playing close games, with two of the last three head to head meetings being decided by three points or less. The Broncos last played at San Diego State in 2013, and they lost 34-31. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series, and I believe this San Diego State team has become significantly overvalued due to early season success. This game should be a good one, far from a cake walk for the home favorite. I'll take the points. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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