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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-14-17 | Purdue v. Wisconsin UNDER 51.5 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 108 h 9 m | Show | |
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10-14-17 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -4.5 | 35-46 | Win | 100 | 132 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers.
The West Virginia Mountaineers aren't getting a lot of respect here at home versus Texas Tech. After all this is a team that they trounced by a score of 48-17 last year, and that game was at Lubbock. With the Red Raiders coming to Morgantown, I see no reason why the result will be any different. Sure Texas Tech has improved defensively, but they still lost 41-34 at home to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Their offense doesn't appear to be quite as prolific as it was with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Nic Shimonek threw for 330 yards with 1 TD and an INT on 29-of-46 passing in the loss to the Cowboys. That was a home game, and now he's playing on the road against a far better defense in West Virginia. The Red Raiders lost 31-26 in their last game at Morgantown (back in 2015). Texas Tech might look like a sexy pick as a dog, but keep in mind that the Red Raiders have lost 16 straight versus Top 25 teams. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-17 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 80 | 35-46 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TTU@WVU to go UNDER the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers aren't getting a lot of respect here at home versus Texas Tech. After all this is a team that they trounced by a score of 48-17 last year, and that game was at Lubbock. With the Red Raiders coming to Morgantown, I see no reason why the result will be any different. Sure Texas Tech has improved defensively, but they still lost 41-34 at home to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Their offense doesn't appear to be quite as prolific as it was with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Nic Shimonek threw for 330 yards with 1 TD and an INT on 29-of-46 passing in the loss to the Cowboys. That was a home game, and now he's playing on the road against a far better defense in West Virginia. The Red Raiders lost 31-26 in their last game at Morgantown (back in 2015). Texas Tech might look like a sexy pick as a dog, but keep in mind that the Red Raiders have lost 16 straight versus Top 25 teams. The under is 12-2 in West Virginia's last 14 games in October. Jesse Schule |
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10-14-17 | NC State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 54 | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NCST@PIT to go UNDER the total.
Pittsburgh's Homecoming game against the Wolfpack looks tough. The Panthers lost starting quarterback Max Browne for the season, and backup Ben Dincucci hasn't looked great at all. The sophomore has completed just 55 percent of his passes for 422 yards with two TDs and two INTs. He's going up against one of the top defensive lines in the country, and adding insult to injury, their leading rusher is also suspended indefinitely. This looks like it could be a defensive battle, as the Wolfpack have gone under in eight straight against ACC teams, and Pittsburgh has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven overall. The Panthers have lost to Syracuse, Georgia Tech and Penn State, but none of those games saw enough combined points to reach the total listed for this week's game against the Wolfpack. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-17 | Clemson v. Syracuse +24 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange.
Clemson opened as a 21 point favorite, but public money has pushed this line up several points during the week. It might be tough for the defending champions to get up for this game, and it could be a spot where they get caught looking ahead with Georgia Tech and NC State coming up in the next few weeks. The status of starting quarterback Kelly Bryant had been in question, but he is expected to start despite suffering from an ankle injury. We might expect the injury to discourage him from running the ball, and his passing numbers have been rather pedestrian. He's thrown just four TD passes and four INTs in six starts. Syracuse is 3-3, and all three losses have come by single digits. They lost 35-26 at LSU, and 33-25 at N.C. State. The Orange are 3-1 at home, and their last home game versus Clemson was a 37-27 loss back in 2015. Eric Dungey ranks among the nation's leading passers, with 1802 yards, nine TDs and four INTs. He's proven to be quite capable of padding his stats in garbage time, which might be exactly what is required to get a back door cover. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-17 | South Alabama v. Troy UNDER 50 | 19-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on USA@TROY to go UNDER the total.
The Troy Trojans are coming off a shocking 24-21 upset win over LSU. They will have to try to avoid a let down here at home against a tough conference rival Wednesday. These teams have played some close games over the years, and four of their last five head to head meetings have failed to reach a combined 50 points. Both teams favor the ground game over an air attack, and we should see a gritty, low scoring battle in Alabama. Troy has a great defense, ranking 24th nationally allowing just 18.6 points per game. The under is 15-5-1 in the Trojans last 21 games overall. Even more telling is the fact that they have only gone over in one of their last 12 versus conference rivals. The Jaguars are trending in the same direction, coming off four straight games that failed to reach the total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-17 | Stanford v. Utah +7 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 131 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Utah Utes. |
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10-07-17 | Washington State -2.5 v. Oregon | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 141 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington State.
If you were thinking that the Cougars are in a let down spot coming off their biggest ever win over USC, think again. This team is solid on both sides of the ball, and they have a favorable matchup here in Oregon against a one-dimensional Ducks team. The Ducks defense is still well below average, they've given up 26 points per game despite facing five unranked teams. They almost blew a big lead in a 42-35 home win over Nebraska. Losing starting quarterback Justin Herbert with a broken collarbone really hurts, as backup Taylor Alie was just 9-of-13 for 41 yards and an INT when he came in to replace him against Cal. The Cougars have covered the spread in seven straight versus Oregon, winning outright in each of the last two seasons. Take WAZZU. GL. Jesse Schule |
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10-07-17 | Arizona v. Colorado UNDER 59 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI@COL to go UNDER the total 1/H. |
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10-05-17 | Louisville v. NC State UNDER 67 | 25-39 | Win | 100 | 38 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LOU@NCSTATE to go UNDER the total. The Wolfpack were crushed in a 54-14 loss at Louisville last year, and they will have a chance to avenge that loss here at home on Thursday night. Louisville averaged over 60 points per game in their first four games of last season, but their offense hasn't been nearly as explosive so far this year. They have failed to score 30 points in their last three games at Raleigh. Two of those three games went under the total, and not one of those games saw more than a combined 55 points. The total for tonight's game has been bet up several points since opening at 63, and I think that's a pretty high number when you consider that NC. State is vastly improved on defense. The Wolfpack have gone under in seven straight versus conference rivals, and the under is 16-1-1 in their last 18 games on a Thursday. Last week NC State ran the ball for 256 yards and three TDs, and they should find plenty of room to run here in this game. Take UNDER. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-17 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 52 | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 117 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEM@VT to go UNDER the total.
The Clemson Tigers are a heavy favorite on the road at Virginia Tech this week, and I expect this to be a low scoring battle between two solid defensive teams. Clemson's defense has been impressive, ranking 3rd nationally, allowing opponents to average just over nine points per game. Virginia Tech ranks 6th nationally, allowing just over 10 points per game. The Hokies have outscored opponents 65-0 in two home games so far. Clemson quarterback Kelly Bryant hasn't played poorly, but his stats aren't all that impressive. He's thrown for 873 yards and has completed 68 percent of his passes, but has just two TDs and three picks in four games. Freshman Josh Jackson has put up far more impressive numbers for the Hokies, but hasn't yet faced an opponent like Clemson. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, with six of the last eight meetings going under the total. The Hokies have only scored an average of 16.25 point in their last four games against Clemson, and I doubt they manage much better than that here this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech UNDER 84.5 | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-30-17 | Arizona State v. Stanford OVER 63 | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 16 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-30-17 | Syracuse v. NC State UNDER 65.5 | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 72 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SYR@NCST to go UNDER the total. Â The Wolfpack might be in a let down spot here coming off a huge road win at Florida State. The bookmakers are expecting a shootout, setting the total in the mid sixties. While the Orange run a pass happy offense that often results in high scoring games, I don't think it's going to be very effective against this stout Wolfpack defensive line. NC State has gone under in six straight versus ACC teams, while the Orange have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven in conference play. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of those five previous matchups. Syracuse scored just three first half points on the road at LSU last week. I think this number is simply way too high. Â Take UNDER. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Duke +7 | 31-6 | Loss | -125 | 88 h 10 m | Show | |
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09-23-17 | Notre Dame v. Michigan State UNDER 54 | Top | 38-18 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ND@MSU to go UNDER the total.
The Irish will be looking for revenge when they travel to East Lansing this Saturday. The Spartans won at South Bend last year by a score of 36-28. That was an uncharacteristically high scoring tilt between these two teams, going way over the listed total of 50. Four of the previous six games between these teams have gone under, and the total for this year's game is higher than it has been in any of the eight meetings over the last 10 years. Last season's Notre Dame squad was brutal defensively, but this year they've looked much better, allowing just over 18 points per game so far. They came up just short in a 20-19 home loss to Georgia, and I expect this game to yield a similar low score. Neither team does anything flashy on offense, and both teams are capable of grinding out wins with their defense. Sparty has failed to reach the total in six of it's last seven non-conference games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-17 | Michigan v. Purdue UNDER 52 | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 103 h 5 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on MICH@PUR to go UNDER the total. The Wolverines have been impressive on defense during their 3-0 start, but poor quarterback play and a below average offense has prevented them from blowing out inferior opponents. They have averaged just 33 points per game, despite playing two of three games at home against unranked opponents (Cincinnati and Air Force). Playing Purdue on the road could prove to be a challenge for Michigan, and some experts even have them on upset alert. Purdue is off to a great start, and their defense has been impressive. The Boilermakers pushed Louisville to the brink in a 35-28 Week 1 loss, and then went on to win back to back games by 20+ points. These teams have played three times since 2010, and two of those three games failed to reach the total. Take UNDER. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-23-17 | TCU v. Oklahoma State UNDER 71.5 | 44-31 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TCU@OKST UNDER.
There has been a lot of line movement in this game between BIG12 rivals TCU and Oklahoma State. The public is betting heavy on the Cowboys and the over, and I think this presents value with a contrarian play. TCU looks like a team that has improved a lot since losing by a score of 31-6 at home to the Cowboys last year. These teams have met every year since 2012, and four of those five games failed to reach the total. Not one of the last 10 meetings between these two teams has seen a combined 70 points. Mason Rudolph has been putting up video game numbers so far, but the last time he faced TCU he threw for just 207 yards and a TD on 17-of-34 passing. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-17 | NC State v. Florida State UNDER 51 | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
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09-23-17 | Texas Tech v. Houston UNDER 72 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 11 m | Show | |
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09-22-17 | Utah v. Arizona UNDER 60.5 | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 87 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@ARI to go UNDER the total.
The Utes defeated Arizona at home by a score of 36-23 last season, and that game went over the total of 53. Three of the previous four meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and only one of the last 10 meetings have seen over 60 points scored. The Wildcats have proven that they can run up the score against inferior teams, scoring 60+ points in wins over Northern Arizona and UTEP. They didn't fare quite as well in a 19-16 home loss to Houston. The Utes are similar to Houston in that they should be suited to slow down Arizona's high powered running game. The under is 17-7-1 in Utah's last 25 games versus teams above .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-17 | Clemson -155 v. Louisville | Top | 47-21 | Win | 100 | 128 h 16 m | Show |
  This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers.  The Louisville Cardinals got off to a great start last season, winning their first four games in blowout fashion. Their fifth game was 42-36 loss at Clemson, and they will have a chance to avenge that loss here this Saturday. 2016 Heisman winner Lamar Jackson looks even better in 2017, but unfortunately for Louisville, that can't be said for the rest of the team. They just barely escaped with a 35-28 win at Purdue in Week 1, and then they trailed in the fourth quarter of last week's win over North Carolina. Clemson on the other hand hasn't allowed a touchdown in two games so far. They held Auburn to a pair of field goals in a 14-6 win at home last week. Junior quarterback Kelly Bryant has impressed so far, and the offense looks to be in good shape despite losing Deshaun Watson to the NFL Draft. I believe Clemson has what it takes to repeat as champions, while it looks like Louisville has taken a step back. The Cardinals have been notoriously overrated, evidenced by the fact that they are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and 1-5 ATS in their last six overall.  Take CLEM.  GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-16-17 | Kentucky v. South Carolina -4.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on South Carolina. The Gamecocks have upset the apple cart so far this season, winning as an underdog against N.C. State and Missouri. Their defense has been impressive, holding Missouri to just 13 points last week. This will be a revenge game of sorts for South Carolina, hosting the Kentucky Wildcats who have defeated them in three straight seasons. Last year's game was a defensive battle, with Kentucky winning by a score of 17-10. In 2015 the Gamecocks lost at home by a score of 26-22 to Kentucky. To say that the Gamecocks have a history of playing low scoring games within their conference, would be an understatement of epic proportions. The under is 10-1 in South Carolina's last 11 games versus SEC teams. |
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09-16-17 | Kentucky v. South Carolina UNDER 51 | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 106 h 57 m | Show |
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09-16-17 | Kansas State v. Vanderbilt UNDER 49 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 106 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KST@VAN to go UNDER the total.
The Kansas State Wildcats won nine games last year, and beat Texas A&M by a score of 33-28 in the Texas Bowl. So far this season they look even better, which should be expected as they return most of last year's starters. Senior quarterback Jesse Ertz has thrown for over 500 yards and four TDs, and he's run for 100+ yards and a TD. Â Bill Snyder's squad plays on the road at Vanderbilt this week, and they are asked to cover a 3.5 point spread. The Commodores ranked 96th in the country in passing last year, averaging fewer than 200 yards per game. Junior quarterback Kyle Shurmur is back, and he's put up decent numbers against Middle Tennessee and Alabama State. I don't expect that to continue here against a stingy Wildcats defense. Â The Commodores have failed to cover in five straight home games versus teams with a winning record, while the Wildcats have covered in four of their last five non-conference games.The under is 20-7-2 in Vanderbilt's last 29 games overall. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-17 | LSU v. Mississippi State UNDER 52.5 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 105 h 22 m | Show | |
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09-15-17 | Arizona -23 v. UTEP | 63-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Wildcats.
The UTEP Miners do not have a competitive football team this season, and this is clear after they have lost their first two games of the season by a combined 65 points. While you can't fault them for losing to Oklahoma in their opener, last week's home loss to Rice was a pretty poor result. The Owls ran all over the UTEP defense, totaling 306 rushing yards and three rushing TDs. Arizona has a far more potent ground game, ranking 6th nationally in rushing offense. They have averaged 329 yards per game, totaling eight rushing TDs. Arizona might not be the playoff contender that Oklahoma is, but they have all the tools to run up the score on a team like UTEP. The Miners are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven home games. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | Boise State v. Washington State -10 | 44-47 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars 1/H. The Cougars opened the season with a 31-0 shutout win against Montana State, while the Broncos barely escaped with a win against minnows Troy. Quarterback Brad Rypien threw for just 160 yards and an INT on 13-of-23 passing. The Broncos beat the Cougars on the Blue Turf last season, but no thanks to Rypien. He threw three INTs and just one TD, while Luke Falk threw for 480 yards and four TDs in a losing effort. Washington State is 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Boise State. I like the Cougars to execute revenge for last year's loss with a comfortable win here at home in Pullman. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | Stanford +7 v. USC | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -125 | 142 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal.
USC was brutal last season, losing three of their first four games. Sam Darnold took over at quarterback in Week 5 against Arizona State, and the Trojans went on to win their next nine games. There's no doubt that Darnold is a talented player, but perhaps it's a bit premature to award him the Heisman, and crown USC as the champions of the PAC12? He's off to a rather suspect start, looking nothing like a Heisman favorite in Week 1 versus Western Michigan. He threw for just 289 yards and a couple of INTs on 23-of-33 passing. Even more concerning for the Trojans, the defense allowed the Broncos to rack up 263 yards and two TDs on the ground, and the game was tied in the fourth quarter. Stanford whupped the Trojans last season, running for over 300 yards and two TDs in a 27-10 win. Sam Darnod completed five of seven attempts with an INT and no TDs. The Cardinal may no longer have Christian McCaffrey, but they still have a monster offensive line and they looked pretty formidable in their season opener. Bryce Love ran for 180 yards and a TD on just 13 carries in the win over Rice. I expect a "whole lotta Love" here in Pasadena this Saturday. The Trojans are asked to cover seven points in a rivalry game against an opponent that has had their number over the years. Stanford has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and during that span USC is 0-4 ATS as a favorite. Take STAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | Georgia v. Notre Dame UNDER 55 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 108 h 54 m | Show | |
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09-09-17 | Oklahoma +7.5 v. Ohio State | 31-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
The Sooners last loss came at home versus Ohio State last season. They've won 11 straight games since, four of those wins coming against ranked teams. The Buckeyes are coming off a shaky game against unranked Indiana, trailing at halftime before kicking things into gear in the second half. The Hoosiers quarterback threw for a whopping 410 yards and three TDs in a losing effort. That seems troubling ahead of this week's game against perhaps the best quarterback in the country. Baker Mayfield is one of the favorites to win the Heisman, and he's coming off an impressive Week 1 performance. He completed 19-of-20 passes for 329 yards and three TDs. Mayfield really only had one bad game last season, and that was the loss to Ohio State. He threw for 226 yards with 2 TDs and 2 INTs on 17-of-32 passing. While you have to give credit to the OSU defense, I am expecting a much better performance from Mayfield here in this revenge spot. The Buckeyes are a public darling, notoriously overrated. That is evidenced by the fact that they've failed to cover in seven of their last 10 overall, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight versus teams with a winning record. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | South Carolina v. Missouri -135 | 31-13 | Loss | -135 | 118 h 35 m | Show | |
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09-09-17 | Nebraska v. Oregon -13 | 35-42 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks 1/H. The Ducks are coming off their worst season in decades, but there's plenty of reason to be optimistic about 2017. Justin Herbert took over at quarterback half way through last season, and threw for nearly 2000 yards with 19 TDs and just four INTs. The defense was terrible in 2016, but the good news is that it can only get better. They held the Southern Utah Eagles scoreless in the second half of a 77-21 win in Week 1. Nebraska comes into Eugene off a lackluster Week 1 win over Arkansas State. Their defense gave up almost 500 yards in that game, and they probably would have lost if it wasn't for a pair of turnovers by the Red Wolves. The Cornhuskers just don't have the weapons to keep up with the Ducks offense, and if their defense couldn't stop Arkansas State, they are really going to struggle against Oregon. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-17 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State UNDER 50 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Spartans won their season opener at home by a score of 35-10 versus Bowling Green. That victory might have been even more impressive than it looks. They gave up just three points in the first half, and held the Eagles to a total of 212 total yards. Bowling Green quarterback James Morgan completed just 10-of-31 passes for 145 yards and an INT. Michigan State hosts rivals Western Michigan in Week 2, and the Broncos are coming off an impressive game against USC. That game was tied heading into the 4th quarter, but not because Western Michigan had any success throwing the ball. Sophomore quarterback Jon Wassink threw for just 67 yards and an INT on 11-of-22 passing. The Broncos have gone under in four straight against BIG10 teams, while the Spartans have gone under in five of their last six non-conference games. The last time the Broncos played at East Lansing, they lost by a score of 26-13. I expect a similar result this week. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-17 | Tennessee -2.5 v. Georgia Tech | 42-41 | Loss | -120 | 83 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Volunteers. |
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09-03-17 | West Virginia +5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers.
West Virginia won 10 games last season, but they return just seven starters on both sides of the ball. The good news is that they have a proven quarterback coming in to replace Skyler Howard. Will Grier has never lost as a starter, going 6-0 with the Florida Gators before a positive drug test resulted in a suspension that kept him off the field for the last two seasons. The Hokies turn to freshman Josh Jackson at quarterback, and he'll be thrown right into the fire here in Week 1, playing in a nationally televised game in an NFL stadium. The Hokies come as a significant favorite, but it sure sounds like Dana Holgerson is confident in his own squad: "Will's as good as advertised," Dana Holgorsen said. "I like the kid's demeanor. He's got complete control of the huddle. He has a really good idea of what we want him to do offensively." Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-17 | BYU v. LSU -14.5 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 42 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU. After a 2-2 start last season, the Tigers fired head coach Les Miles. When Ed Orgeron took over as the interim coach, nobody thought he had a chance to keep the job. LSU finished the season strong, winning six of their final eight games, and crushing Louisville in the Wild Wings Bowl. Junior runningback Darius Guice ran for over 250 yards twice in the final three games of last season, and led the SEC in rushing yards. The offense gets a boost with Matt Canada coming in at offensive coordinator, and he has plenty of talent to work with. BYU only lost four games last year, and none of those losses came by more than three points. They didn't play a team as talented as LSU though, and they really didn't look that sharp in a 20-6 win over Portland State in their 2017 opener. Tanner Mangum threw for just 194 yards on 16-of-27 passing in that game, and he's going to be terrorized by one of the nation's top defenses here in New Orleans. The last time Mangum faced an elite defense was when BYU lost 31-0 to Michigan two seasons ago. He threw for just 55 yards on 12-of-28 passing in that game.  Take LSU.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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09-02-17 | Florida State v. Alabama -7 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 892 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Alabama.  Florida State might be in for a rough ride in Week 1, playing SEC Champs Alabama in Atlanta. The Seminoles played an SEC team in Week 1 last year, and they rallied from an early 22 point deficit in a 45-34 win over Mississippi. The good start didn't last long though, as they were completely dismantled in a 63-20 loss at Louisville just a few weeks later. They had no answer for Louisville's dual threat QB, allowing Lamar Jackson to run for 146 yards and four TDs. The Tide lost several defensive stars from last season, but another strong recruiting class should fill all those holes. The offense is in good shape with Jalen Hurts, Bo Scarborough and Calvin Ridley. I am expecting Nick Saban's squad to lay the smack down here in Week 1.  Take BAMA.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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09-02-17 | Louisville -24.5 v. Purdue | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 18 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals.  The Cardinal were ranked as high as #3 halfway through the 2016 season, and quarterback Lamar Jackson won the Heisman Trophy. They closed out the season with three straight losses, and fell to LSU by a score of 29-9 in the Wild Wings Bowl. Few people are picking the Cardinal to win the ACC and contend for a playoff spot, but perhaps they are flying under the radar a little. I expect Lamar Jackson to be even better this year than he was a year ago, and Louisville still has one of the most prolific offenses in the country. They were particularly good at piling on the points when facing inferior opponents, and I think that will be the case here in Week 1 versus Purdue. The Boilermakers lost by a combined 67 points in two games against ranked teams last year.  Take LOU.  GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-17 | Michigan v. Florida +4 | 33-17 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. Â Last year there was more money wagered on Michigan to win the national championship than any other team. I had the Wolverines pegged as overrated from the get go, and while they dominated earlier in the year, when the schedule got tougher they couldn't get over the hump. They played just three ranked teams, and lost two of those three games. They also lost on the road to unranked Iowa. Despite losing almost all their defensive starters from last year, there is still plenty of hype surrounding this year's Michigan team. Jim Harbaugh and the Wolverines open the season as a significant favorite in a neutral site game against the Florida Gators. The Gators won nine games last year, and faced Alabama in the SEC Championship Game for the second consecutive season. Florida crushed the Iowa Hawkeyes by a score of 30-3 in their bowl game. A lot has been made about several starters for Florida sitting out this game because of suspensions. I believe the Gators have enough talent to handle Michigan, even without some of their top players. Florida is 7-2 ATS in it's last nine neutral site games. Â Take FLA. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-01-17 | Colorado State v. Colorado -5 | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 66 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. After losing to the Buffs by a score of 44-7 last season, the Colorado State Rams are expecting better things against their in state rivals this season. There is plenty to be optimistic about, coming off a blowout win over Oregon State last week. A closer look at that 58-27 victory though reveals what might just amount to fools gold. The Beavers turned the ball over five times, and gave up a whopping 24 points in the fourth quarter. The Rams defense still conceded 456 total yards, and gave up the first down in 10-of-16 third down situations. They can't count on five turnovers saving their asses here against Colorado, a team with plenty of talent returning from last season's squad that went to the PAC12 Championship game. They will start Steven Montez at quarterback, and he was 2-1 as a starter last year filling in for the injured Liufau. Senior runningback Phillip Lindsay led the PAC12 with 16 TDs last season. This game should be a bit of a shootout, but Colorado is likely to win by double-digits. Tale CU. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-31-17 | TULSA v. OKLAHOMA STATE UNDER 69 | Top | 24-59 | Loss | -105 | 49 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on TULSA@OKST to go UNDER the total. |
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01-09-17 | Clemson +7 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 166 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers.
Alabama has been the best team in the country for the last several seasons, and some consider to be their best team ever. They come into the National Championship Game with a perfect record, favored by a TD over 13-1 Clemson. The Tigers only loss came by a single point, when Pittsburgh kicked a game winning field goal in the final seconds of a 43-42 upset win. Clemson crushed Ohio State by a score of 31-0 in their semifinal game, and they held J.T. Barrett to just 127 yards one 19-of-33 passing with a pair of INTs. The Tide didn't look all that impressive in their last game, struggling to score points in a 24-7 win over Washington. Jalen Hurts threw for just 57 yards on 7-of-14 passing, and if he plays like that here against Clemson, the defending champs might be in trouble. This is after all a rematch of last year's championship game, that was decided by a score of 45-40. That game was tied at the half, and Alabama took just a three point lead into the fourth quarter. Deshaun Watson had himself a night, throwing for 405 yards and four TDs on 30-of-47 passing. He also ran for 73 yards on 20 carries. If Watson delivers that type of performance this time around, Clemson will likely be the National Champions. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-17 | Auburn v. Oklahoma -190 | Top | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 589 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
The Sooners finished the season strong, winning nine straight games and clinching their second straight BIG12 Championship. They didn't just win, they absolutely manhandled opponents at the end of the season. Their final two games were both blowout wins over ranked opponents. They out-scored Oklahoma State and West Virginia by a combined score of 84-48. Baker Mayfield didn't win the Heisman, but in my mind he was the best quarterback in the country this year. The difference between he and Lamar Jackson was that Mayfield played well in the Sooners biggest games, even when they lost to the Cougars and the Buckeyes. Auburn had a flash of greatness in the middle of the season, but faded in the final weeks, losing two of their last three games. Quarterback Sean White didn't play in the final two games of the season, but he's expected to be back for the Sugar Bowl. He didn't have a great season, throwing for 1644 yards with nine TDs and three INTs in 10 starts. I think it's going to be tough for the Tigers to find enough offense to compete with Oklahoma here in the Sugar Bowl. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson +3.5 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 539 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers. |
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12-31-16 | Washington v. Alabama OVER 52.5 | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BAMA to go OVER the total.
The Crimson Tide will be a double digit favorite over Washington in the Peach Bowl, but the Huskies offense might give them some trouble. Alabama has only lost one game in the last two seasons, and that was a 43-37 home loss to Ole Miss last year. Chad Kelly lit them up for 341 passing yards and three TDs in the victory. The Rebels nearly did it again this season, as Kelly threw for a whopping 431 yards and three TDs in a 48-43 home loss. If there's a weakness in the Alabama defense, it's that they've failed to contain elite quarterbacks over the last two seasons. Kelly wasn't the only quarterback to have a big game against Alabama this season, Austin Allen threw for 400 yards and three TDs when Arkansas lost 49-30 at home to Alabama. Jake Browning was one of the nation's top quarterbacks this season, throwing for 3,280 yards with 42 TDs and just seven picks. Given almost a month to prepare for this game, these offensive coordinators should have plenty of tricks up their sleeves. Both these teams have trended toward high scoring games, with the Huskies going over in four of their last five non-conference games. The Tide have gone over nine of their last 11 bowl games, and the over is 19-6-1 in their last 26 neutral site games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-16 | Florida State +7 v. Michigan | Top | 33-32 | Win | 100 | 260 h 22 m | Show |
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12-28-16 | Kansas State v. Texas A&M -145 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -145 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies.
Both Kansas State and Texas A&M finished the season with 8-4 overall records, but the Wildcats didn't really have any quality wins. In fact none of their eight wins came against teams with a winning record (in the FBS). The Aggies on the other hand opened the season with six straight wins, beating Auburn, Arkansas and Tennessee. Even after they lost to Alabama in late October, they ranked #4 overall in the first edition of the College Football Playoff rankings. Things went downhill for the Aggies when Trevor Knight was injured two weeks later in a loss to Mississippi State. Knight is healthy and well rested, and all geared up for the final game of his college career. He delivered one of the most impressive performances in history when he threw for 348 yards and four TDs in the 2014 Sugar Bowl, helping Oklahoma upset Alabama by a score of 45-31. Bill Snyder knows just how dangerous Knight can be, he threw for 318 yards and three TDs in his last game against the Wildcats. Kansas State won that game 31-30 at Oklahoma, but that was a different team with Jake Waters and Tyler Lockett. Jesse Ertz struggled at quarterback for the Wildcats this season, throwing just four TD passes and three picks in eight games in conference play. He's up against the best pass rush in the country, and it could get ugly if he's forced to throw. The Wildcats are a woeful 1-7 ATS in their last eight bowl games. Take Aggies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-16 | Southern Miss -195 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 80 h 23 m | Show |
10* analysis before game time |
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12-03-16 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -140 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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12-03-16 | Virginia Tech +11 v. Clemson | Top | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies. |
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12-03-16 | Oklahoma State +11 v. Oklahoma | Top | 20-38 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
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11-26-16 | Michigan State v. Penn State UNDER 54.5 | Top | 12-45 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 49 m | Show |
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11-26-16 | Georgia Tech v. Georgia -4 | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 140 h 32 m | Show | |
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11-26-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State UNDER 48.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MICH@OSU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-25-16 | Washington -4.5 v. Washington State | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 118 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Huskies. Jesse Schule |
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11-25-16 | TCU v. Texas -165 | Top | 31-9 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. |
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11-24-16 | LSU v. Texas A&M +7.5 | Top | 54-39 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. The Tigers are coming off an ugly 16-10 home loss to Florida, and they come into College Station asked to cover a big spread as a road favorite. That's going to be challenging without leading rusher Leonard Fournette, and I expect the Aggies to keep this game close. Texas A&M has lost two of four since Trevor Knight went down with a season ending injury, but those losses came in games decided by a combined total of eight points. Backup quarterback Jake Hunenak has thrown for 811 yards with six TDs and just two INTs on 59.8 percent passing so far, but he has his work cut out for him against this tough LSU secondary. The Tigers have won four straight in this series dating back to 2012, and all four of those games went under the total. Their two wins at College Station each came by less than seven points. LSU has played three games away from home, losing two of those three and scoring less than 20 points in each of those losses. Last week's home loss to Florida was particularly deflating, getting stuffed on the goal line twice at the end of the game. Jesse Schule |
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11-24-16 | LSU v. Texas A&M UNDER 48 | Top | 54-39 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LSU@TAM to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-19-16 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia UNDER 67 | Top | 56-28 | Loss | -115 | 83 h 38 m | Show |
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11-19-16 | Stanford -10.5 v. California | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 76 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal. Jesse Schule |
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11-19-16 | Maryland v. Nebraska -14.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 123 h 44 m | Show |
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11-17-16 | Louisville v. Houston +14.5 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Cougars. Jesse Schule |
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11-12-16 | USC +8 v. Washington | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 139 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the USC Trojans. Jesse Schule |
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11-12-16 | LSU v. Arkansas +7 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -125 | 128 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arkansas Razorbacks. Jesse Schule |
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11-09-16 | Toledo -6.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 39 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toledo Rockets. Jesse Schule |
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11-05-16 | Nebraska +14 v. Ohio State | Top | 3-62 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 47 m | Show |
10* |
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11-05-16 | Alabama -7 v. LSU | Top | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 128 h 2 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Alabama Crimson Tide. Jesse Schule |
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11-05-16 | Maryland +31 v. Michigan | 3-59 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Maryland Terrapins. Jesse Schule |
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10-29-16 | Stanford v. Arizona UNDER 50.5 | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on STAN@ARI to go UNDER the total. |
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10-29-16 | Washington v. Utah +10.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 129 h 0 m | Show |
10* analysis before game time |
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10-29-16 | Georgia v. Florida -6 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 129 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida Gators. Jesse Schule |
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10-22-16 | TCU v. West Virginia -195 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 114 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the WVU Mountaineers. The TCU Horned Frogs just barely escaped with a come from behind 24-23 win over Kansas in Week 6. Quarterback Kenny Hill threw three picks, with just 206 yards and a TD on 17-of-32 passing. TCU is really missing Josh Doctson, and it's inexperienced receiving corps is making life difficult for Hill. It doesn't get any easier this week, facing the Mountaineers in Morgantown. West Virginia's defense has been impressive, and last week at Texas Tech they limited the Red Raiders to just 379 total yards. There are plenty of similarities between TCU and Texas Tech, and we should expect a similar result to what we saw last week when WVU won 48-17. TCU has failed to cover in five of it's last seven versus BIG12 teams, and five of their last six overall. The Horned Frogs are allowing over 30 points per game, ranking 85th nationally. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-16 | Wisconsin -175 v. Iowa | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 100 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. Jesse Schule |
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10-20-16 | BYU v. Boise State UNDER 57.5 | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 2-team (7.5 point) teaser with BYU+UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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10-15-16 | Missouri v. Florida -13.5 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 115 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Florida Gators. Jesse Schule |
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10-15-16 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech UNDER 84 | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 111 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on WVU@TTU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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10-15-16 | Kansas State +14 v. Oklahoma | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KSU. The Oklahoma Sooners will host BIG12 rivals Kansas State this Saturday, and Oklahoma is a double-digit favorite. The Sooners spanked the Wildcats in Manhattan by a score of 55-0 last year, setting up a nice revenge angle in this rematch. Blowouts have been rare in this series, as the Wildcats had won two of three prior to last year's game, and all three of those games were decided by fewer than 10 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-16 | Alabama v. Arkansas OVER 48.5 | Top | 49-30 | Win | 100 | 78 h 8 m | Show |
10* |
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10-08-16 | Tennessee v. Texas A&M -6.5 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 122 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOM) Play on Texas A&M. |
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10-08-16 | Auburn v. Mississippi State UNDER 54.5 | Top | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 71 h 5 m | Show |
10* |
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10-06-16 | Temple v. Memphis -9.5 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -115 | 90 h 36 m | Show |
Take MEM. Jesse Schule |
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10-01-16 | Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 59 | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 13 m | Show |
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10-01-16 | Louisville v. Clemson -2 | Top | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 142 h 31 m | Show |
10* analysis before game time |
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10-01-16 | Oklahoma -1.5 v. TCU | Top | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 138 h 2 m | Show |
10* play on OKLAHOMA |
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10-01-16 | Wisconsin +10.5 v. Michigan | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 137 h 43 m | Show |
10* |
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09-30-16 | Stanford +3.5 v. Washington | Top | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 22 m | Show |
10* |
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09-24-16 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M -5.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 84 h 24 m | Show |
10* |
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09-24-16 | Stanford -155 v. UCLA | Top | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 83 h 56 m | Show |
10* |
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09-24-16 | Nebraska v. Northwestern UNDER 48 | Top | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 83 h 47 m | Show |
10* |
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09-24-16 | BYU v. West Virginia UNDER 51.5 | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
10* |
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09-24-16 | Syracuse v. Connecticut UNDER 57.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
10* |
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09-23-16 | USC v. Utah UNDER 47 | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USC@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Utah Utes are 3-0, but when you really examine those three victories, none of them are all that impressive. Despite the fact that they've played three unranked opponents, they've scored an average of just 26 points per game, ranking 90th nationally. The Trojans haven't looked great defensively, but keep in mind that they've played two defending conference champions (Alabama and Stanford). When matched against a lesser opponent, they didn't look too bad. USC held the Utah State Aggies to just seven total points, and 253 total yards in Week 2. Sam Darnold will step in at quarterback for the Trojans, but he faces a Utes defense that ranks top 10 nationally. Darnold was 5-of-7 for 45 yards with an INT against Stanford last week. Given the history between these two conference rivals, we should expect to see a defensive battle. The last time the Trojans played here they lost 24-21, and the under in 5-2 in the last seven meetings. |
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09-22-16 | Clemson v. Georgia Tech UNDER 57.5 | Top | 26-7 | Win | 100 | 35 h 41 m | Show |
10* |
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09-17-16 | USC v. Stanford -6.5 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 140 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal. Jesse Schule |
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09-17-16 | Michigan State +7.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 36-28 | Win | 100 | 140 h 34 m | Show |
10* |
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09-17-16 | Texas A&M +4 v. Auburn | Top | 29-16 | Win | 100 | 137 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. |
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09-17-16 | San Diego State -10 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 136 h 46 m | Show |
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09-17-16 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +11 | Top | 48-43 | Win | 100 | 84 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ole Miss Rebels. Jesse Schule |
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09-16-16 | Baylor -31 v. Rice | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Baylor Bears. Jesse Schule |
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