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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-12-22 | Bucks -1.5 v. Warriors | 109-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Bucks -1.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Bucks as a 1.5-point road favorite against the Warriors tonight. While Golden State is coming off a 113-102 road win at Denver, they have just not been playing that great of late. Warriors are just 4-9 SU in their last 13 games. I just don't see Golden State returning to that early season form until they get back Draymond Green. Not only will they be without Green for this matchup, but Andre Iguodala, Gary Parton II and Otto Porter Jr. are all out for this one. Milwaukee has coasted a lot of this season, but they will come to play against Steph and the Warriors in a prime time game on ABC. Give me the Bucks -1.5! |
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03-11-22 | Raptors +5.5 v. Suns | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Big Money VEGAS INSIDER (Raptors +5.5) I'll take my chances with the Raptors as a 5.5-point road dog against the Suns tonight. Toronto got back point guard Fred VanVleet in their last game after he had missed the previous 5 games. There was no rust for VanVleet, as he scored 26 points in Toronto's 119-104 win at San Antonio. I just think now is the time to buy low on the Raptors. I also think it's a good spot to fade the Suns, who I think could be poised for a big letdown after their big 111-90 win at Miami on Wednesday. Keep in mind that prior to the win and cover against the Heat, Phoenix was just 2-7 ATS in their previous 9 games. Give me the Raptors +5.5! |
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03-11-22 | Hornets -2.5 v. Pelicans | 142-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Hornets -2.5) I'll take my chances with the Hornets as a slim 2.5-point road favorite against the Pelicans on Friday. I'll admit this feels like a bit of a square play, but I just don't think the books have adjusted the number near enough for this matchup. The Pelicans will be forced to play this game without their top two scorers in Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum. I just don't know where the offense is going to come from for New Orleans without those two on the floor. McCollum, who played in their last game, had 32 points and yet they were still able to score just 102 points at home against a bad Magic team. Give me the Hornets -2.5! |
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03-09-22 | Bulls -5 v. Pistons | 114-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Bulls -5) I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a 5-point road favorite against the Pistons. I've made some decent money on Detroit of late, as the Pistons come in having covered 8 straight. I just think the books have finally over-adjusted on them and the value is with Chicago in what feels like a game they need to get. Bulls will certainly not lack motivation, as they will be looking to put an end to a 5-game losing streak. Big thing to note about this recent run, is the schedule has been brutal. They have 3 road losses at Miami, Atlanta and Philly, with two home losses to the Grizzlies and Bucks. Chicago has won all 10 meetings between these two teams over the last 3 seasons, going 9-0-1 ATS in the process. Bulls are also 16-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Give me Chicago -5! |
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03-08-22 | Nets -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Nets -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances with Brooklyn as a slim 2.5-point road favorite against the Hornets. I get the Nets have a monster game on deck Thursday night in Philly against their old teammate in James Harden, but I don't think it's going to be enough to deter them from getting a win in Charlotte. Brooklyn has lost 4 straight and are now just 3-17 over their last 20 games. They have went from fighting for the No. 1 seed in the East, to being just 2-games ahead of 11th place Washington and out of the playoffs completely. I just think the Nets are desperate for a win and I just don't see Durant and Irving letting them lose this one against an inferior team in the Hornets. Give me Brooklyn -2.5! |
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03-07-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pistons +7.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Pistons as a 7.5-point home dog against the Hawks. Detroit is playing their best basketball arguably of the entire season. The Pistons have won 5 of their last 7 games outright and are a perfect 7-0 ATS during this run. a The key here is that because Detroit was so bad prior to this run, the public still has a hard time trusting this team with their money and because of that the books are going to be slow to adjust the numbers on them. I just can't help myself but take the 7.5 in a game I think they can win outright. The Hawks are just a mediocre team. They are 31-32 overall and a mere 12-19 SU and 10-21 ATS on the road this season. Hawks did just win 117-114 at Washington in their last game, but failed to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. Atlanta is 11-22 ATS last 2 seasons off a road win, 3-11 ATS last 14 in road games after a road game and 1-8 ATS last 9 road games after winning 2 of their last 3 games. Give me the Pistons +7.5! |
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03-06-22 | Raptors v. Cavs -4.5 | Top | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Cavs -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Cavs as a 4.5 point favorite against the Raptors. Cleveland is really going to be motivated to get a win here after losing 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. They really played well in their last game at Philly before giving up the lead late and losing 119-125. This just feels like the perfect spot for them to get back on track against a Raptors team that also hasn't been playing well. Toronto may or may not get back Fred VanVleet back, but he's likely not to be at full strength his first game back. Raptors are also still without OG Anunoby, who is a bigger piece to the puzzle than most think. Give me the Cavs -4.5! |
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03-06-22 | Nets +5 v. Celtics | 120-126 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Early Bird ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Nets as a 5-point dog against the Celtics in Sunday's early NBA action. I just think Brooklyn is being way undervalued in this one. This is as close to full strength that the Nets have been in quite some time. While they are still waiting on Ben Simmons to make his debut, Durant is back and Irving is a go on the road in Boston. No question the Celtics have been playing some of their best basketball over the last 5+ weeks, but one of their best players, Jaylen Brown is questionable. I also just think the Nets are the better team and while Boston probably deserves to be favored at home, not by this many points. Give me Brooklyn +5! |
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03-05-22 | Spurs v. Hornets -3.5 | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Hornets -3.5) I'll take my chances with the Hornets as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Spurs on Saturday. Even though Charlotte is coming off an impressive 119-98 win on the road at Cleveland as a 4.5-point dog, I still think we are getting value with them given their lackluster play over the last month. Hornets are just 3-11 in their last 14 games. I just think there's too much talent on this Charlotte team from them to not get this thing back on track. They are well rested for this one playing on a full 2 days of rest and should be highly motivated to get this one with tough games against the Nets and Celtics on deck. Spurs have lost 3 straight and are in a tricky spot here. San Antonio had to play 3 straight on the road coming back from the All-Star break, returned home for one game on Thursday and now have to go right back on the road for one game against Charlotte before getting to go back home for a lengthy 7-game home stand. Give me the Hornets -3.5! |
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03-04-22 | Pacers v. Pistons +3.5 | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Pistons +3.5) We cashed in on the Pistons last night as a 9-point dog at Toronto, as they went on to win that game outright 108-106 and it wasn't even that close. Detroit has now covered in 6 straight games and are simply not a team the books are going to adjust quickly on, as it's going to take a lot more than a short spree of good play for the betting public to get on board with this team. With that said, I will gladly take my chances with the Pistons as a home dog against a Pacers team that has been all over the place of late. Indiana comes in off a 122-114 OT win at Orlando, but needed a 34-19 4th quarter to force extra time and that was in a spot where you would expect more of the Pacers having just lost to the same Magic team two days prior 103-119. No way should this Indiana team being laying points on the road right now. Give me the Pistons +3.5! |
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03-03-22 | Pistons +9 v. Raptors | 108-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Pistons +9) I'll take my chances with the Pistons as a 9-point dog against the Raptors on Thursday. Detroit has quietly been playing some pretty good basketball since the return from the All-Star break. Pistons are just 2-2 SU, but have gone 4-0 ATS in their 4 games back. It just feels like 9 is way too many for them to be catching right now, especially with how the Raptors have been playing. Toronto ki just 1-3 ATS in their 4 games back and the only two wins have come against the Nets without any of their big 3 (Durant, Irving or Simmons). In their two losses they got beat by 32 at Charlotte and by 27 at Atlanta. Toronto has lost OG Anunoby and could be without Fred VanVleet. If VanVleet doesn't go, I not only think Detroit can cover the big number, but win this game outright. Give me the Pistons +9! |
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03-02-22 | Knicks +10.5 v. 76ers | 108-123 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Knicks +10.5) I'll take my chances with the Knicks as a 10.5-point road dog against the 76ers on Wednesday. As bad as New York has been playing and Philly just beating the Knicks 125-109 in NY a few days ago, the value is with the Knicks in this one. Never easy beating the same team in back-to-back games. The books aren't just asking Philly to win, but win going away. While they lost by 16 to the 76ers a couple days ago, that was a 2-point game going into the 4th quarter. I also think it could be a bit of a flat spot for the 76ers, having just owned the Knicks and their next 4 games coming against serious playoff contenders in the Cavs, Heat, Bulls and Nets. Give me the Knicks +10.5! |
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03-02-22 | Pacers -1 v. Magic | Top | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pacers -1) I will gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Magic. We backed the Pacers in their 128-107 win at home against the Celtics as a 9.5-point dog on Sunday. I stayed clear of backing Indiana in their next game at Orlando and they lost that one 103-119. Big reason we stayed away was it came on no rest and the Magic were playing on a full 2 days of rest. Now we get to back the Pacers at basically the same price in a much better spot. Not only is the rest even, but the motivation is clearly with Indiana playing with revenge on such short notice. Give me the Pacers -1! |
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03-01-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Celtics | 98-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +7.5) I'll take my chances with the Hawks as a 7.5-point dog against the Celtics. Boston has gone 11-12 over their last 13 games, but they haven't quite been as dominant out of the break. They beat the Nets without any of their stars before barely holding on to win at Detroit and then losing outright at Indiana as a 9.5-point favorite. I just think Boston is getting a little too much love here. Atlanta's a good enough team to not only cover this number, but win this game outright. Hawks have looked good out of the break, losing by just 4 at Chicago and then crushing the Raptors by 27 at home. Give me Atlanta +7.5! |
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02-28-22 | Raptors -3.5 v. Nets | Top | 133-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Raptors -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Raptors as a 3.5-point road favorite at Brooklyn. The Nets are coming off that big 126-123 upset win at Milwaukee as a 9.5-point underdog. That's just the difference having Kyrie Irving in the lineup, as he scored 38 points. Without him they lost 106-129 at home to the Celtics two days earlier. With this game back in Brooklyn, that means Irving is out and with that I think you got to go big on Toronto in this one. We should be getting a big effort here from the Raptors, who got embarrassed in their first two games back from the All-Star break, losing by 32 at Charlotte Friday and by 27 at Atlanta on Saturday. You also got to think about what the books are saying about this Brooklyn team without Kyrie for them to be a dog at home against a team that's been outscored by a combined 59 points in their last two games. Give me the Raptors -3.5! |
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02-27-22 | Celtics v. Pacers +8.5 | Top | 107-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pacers +8.5) I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the Pacers as a 8.5-point home dog against the Celtics. Boston comes in having won 11 of their last 12, which I believe has them overvalued against a Pacers team no one is high on right now. The key here is the spot. The Celtics will not only being playing the second of a back-to-back on the road, it's their 3rd road game in 4 nights since the NBA returned from the All-Star break. Indiana's only game since the return from the break was Friday's home game against OKC. While the Pacers lost that game, they were sharp offensively with 125 points on 49% shooting. I think they can surprise a tired Boston team and not only keep it close enough to cover, but win the game outright. Give me Indiana +8.5! |
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02-27-22 | Jazz -1.5 v. Suns | 118-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Jazz -1.5) I'll take my chances with Utah as a 1.5-point road favorite against the Suns. I just think Phoenix is in for a really tough finish to this season without Chris Paul in the lineup. Devin Booker is being tasked with running the point while Paul is sidelined and that's just not where he's at his best. Suns were able to win without Paul in blowout fashion against OKC on Thursday, but they turned around and lost outright 102-117 as a 6.5-point favorite against the Pelicans on Friday. Scoring just 102 points and shooting 43.7% against that bad New Orleans defense really stood out to me. Now they face a hungry and motivated Utah team that has been one of the best defensive teams in the league over the last month. Give me the Jazz -1.5! |
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02-26-22 | Kings +7.5 v. Nuggets | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (+7.5) I'll take my chances with the Kings as a 7.5-point road dog against the Nuggets on Saturday. These two teams just played at Sacramento on Thursday. Denver went on to win the game 128-110, but it was just a 5-point game going into the 4th quarter. I was on the wrong end of that one, as I had the Kings +4.5. Never easy taking a team that just burned you, but I got no problem backing the Kings at an even bigger price, especially with the short term revenge in play. Will be much harder for the Nuggets to get up for this game. Defense is going to be a problem for the Kings, but that offense is playing extremely well. Sacramento shot 50% from the field in that loss to the Nuggets and have shot 50% or better in 6 of their last 8 overall. Give me the Kings +7.5! |
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02-25-22 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH (Pelicans +7.5) I'll take my chances with the Pelicans as a 7.5-point road dog against the Suns. This just feels like a few too many for Phoenix to be laying in the second leg of a back-to-back coming out of the All-Star break, especially given that New Orleans is playing their first game out of the break. You also got to keep in mind that this is no longer a Suns team that has veteran Chris Paul to help them stay on task in these tough scheduling spots. They did win by 20 last night, but that was against OKC and it was only a 8-point game going into the 4th quarter. Pelicans lost 4 of 5 going into the All-Star break, but they did show some life during that stretch, especially on the offensive side of the ball. New Orleans shot 49% or better from the field in their last 4. Big part of that is the addition of C.J. McCollum. Not saying the Pelicans will win this one, but I like them to take it down to the wire. Give me New Orleans +7.5! |
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02-24-22 | Nuggets v. Kings +4.5 | Top | 128-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kings +4.5) I love the value we are getting here with the Kings as a 4.5-point home dog against the Nuggets. I really liked what I saw out of Sacramento after they made the big trade with Indiana to bring in Sabonis. I also think they made a couple of under the radar moves acquiring the likes of Donte Divincenzo and Justin Holiday. These guys combined with Fox and Barnes give them quite a potent offensive attack and the extra practice time over the All-Star break should really help them, especially with the communication on the defensive side of the ball. Nuggets are a good team and went into the break winning 5 of 6, but they are just 17-15 on the road this year and there's not a ton of incentive for Denver coming out of the break in this game, especially with a home game on deck against Sacramento on Saturday. Give me the Kings +4.5! |
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02-17-22 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 125-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pelicans +3) I really like the Pelicans as a 3-point home dog against the Mavs tonight. This just feels like the perfect spot to bet against Dallas, coming off that big 107-99 road win at Miami. Mavs are still just 14-13 on the road this year and for a team that has been playing really well of late, I think they could struggle to get up for this last game before the All-Star break. As for the Pelicans, this is a team that has been playing better of late. New Orleans is 5-3 over their last 8 game sand are 6-3 ATS over their last 9. They seem to be finding some chemistry with C.J. McCollum. I think they are going to be extremely motivated to win this game and it's not uncommon for Dallas to lay an egg against a lesser opponent. Mavs are just 9-21 ATS last 2 seasons vs teams that have won between 25% to 40% of their games. Give me the Pelicans +3! |
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02-16-22 | Raptors v. Wolves | 103-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors PK) I'll take my chances with the Raptors at a pick'em on the road against the Timberwolves. I like this spot for Toronto, as we should get a big effort out of them, as they try to avoid losing 3 in a row going into the All-Star break. They also are coming off one of their worst performances of the entire season in Monday's 90-120 loss at the Pelicans. While you have to believe the Raptors are going to be extremely motivated to play this game, I don't know that the same can be said for Minnesota. The Timberwolves will be playing this game on no rest after yesterday's 126-120 OT win over the Hornets. A game they had to fight back from 9 down in the 4th quarter. They also figure to have to play this game without Anthony Edwards, who left that game against Charlotte with an ankle injury. Raptors are 9-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons after an awful offensive showing where they scored 90 or fewer points. Minnesota is 4-14 ATS last 2 seasons off a win by 6 or fewer. Give me Toronto PK! |
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02-16-22 | Spurs v. Thunder +8 | 114-106 | Push | 0 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Thunder +8) I'll take my chances with OKC as a 8-point home dog against the Spurs on Wednesday. The Thunder have been one of the most profitable teams over the last couple of months. OKC is 13-5-1 ATS over their last 19 games and are working on a 7-2 ATS run over their last 9 games. The Thunder have really found some life behind the play of rookie point guard Josh Giddey, who recorded his second straight triple-double in Monday's 127-123 win at the Knicks as a 10-point dog. Giddey scored 28 points with 12 assists and 11 rebounds. Spurs aren't exactly in a great spot, as they will be playing their 5th straight on the road and 4th game in the last 6 days. San Antonio did win the previous meeting 118-96 at home, but OKC is 8-1 in their last 9 when revenging a road loss of 20 or more. Give me the Thunder +8! |
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02-15-22 | Cavs -1 v. Hawks | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Cavs -1) I'll take my chances with the Cavs as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Hawks on Tuesday. Cleveland comes into this game having gone 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games. The only loss coming at Philly where Embiid was simply too much to overcome. Atlanta is 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS over their last 5 and just aren't playing well going into the All-Star break. Cavs are 13-3 ATS when they come into a game having covered 4 of their last 5. Hawks are 9-19 ATS last 28 after failing to cover 4/5 of their last 6 and are 2-12 ATS last 14 after a loss by 10 or more. Atlanta is also a mere 8-20 ATS this season when playing a team with a winning record and just 1-8 ATS when playing a team that has won 60%-70% of their games. They are also 8-23 ATS last 31 vs strong defensive teams, who give up 108 or fewer ppg. Give me the Cavs -1! |
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02-14-22 | Raptors -4 v. Pelicans | 90-120 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -4) I got no problem laying the 4-points with the Raptors, as they go to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans. The Pelicans were able to acquire C.J. Mccollum at the trade deadline. A nice piece, but I don't think it really changes much overall for New Orleans. One thing that really concerns me is that McCollum has come in and tried to put this team on his back. He attempted 21 shots (6 more than the next most) in his debut, a 97-112 loss at home to the Heat. He then took 24 in a 114-124 loss at home to the Spurs. I wonder how that's being accepted in the locker room. Keep in mind they had won 4 in a row before he got there. Raptors don't have any chemistry problems. While they did lose at home to the Nuggets in their last game, it's a mere blemish on the schedule of late. Toronto had won and covered each of their previous 8 games. I like their chances of bouncing back with an easy win. Give me the Raptors -4! |
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02-14-22 | Kings -3 v. Nets | Top | 85-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kings -3) I'll take my chances with Sacramento laying just 3-points on the road against a depleted Brooklyn team. Durant won't be back until after the All-Star break, Irving can't play in home games and Simmons isn't ready from a conditioning standpoint to make his debut with his new team. That leaves the Nets with a bunch of role players and I just don't think they have enough to really compete. I also like what I've seen out of this Kings team since they added in Sabonis in that trade with the Pacers. He makes quite a trio with Barnes and Fox. All 5 starters scored 12 or more in their 123-110 win at Washington last time out. That's after they beat the Timberwolves 132-119 in Sabonis' debut with the team. Give me the Kings -3! |
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02-12-22 | Clippers +7.5 v. Mavs | 99-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Public Money ATS MASSACRE (Clippers +7.5) I'll take my chances with the Clippers as a 7.5-point dog against the Mavs. These two teams just played on Thursday and Dallas won that game 112-105. Mavs covered in that game as a 6.5-point favorite, which is why we are seeing a bigger line here. Thing is, they got a career-high 51 points from Doncic in that game. Not impossible, but highly unlikely they get another game like that from him. It's just really tough to beat the same team in back-to-back games in this league. Give me the Clippers +7.5! |
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02-12-22 | Kings -2.5 v. Wizards | 123-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Big Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings -2.5) I will gladly lay the short number with Sacramento on the road against the Wizards. A lot of people questioned the moves the Kings made at the deadline, but I think they clearly got better with the addition of big man Domantas Sabonis. He was outstanding in his debut with the Kings, scoring 22 points with 14 rebounds and 5 assists. Sacramento beat a Minnesota team 132-119 that they had just lost to the previous night 114-134. I think this team all of the sudden has some life. The same can't be said for Washington. They too made a lot of trades and were able to acquire a talented big man, as they got Porzingis from the Mavs. Thing is, he's questionable to play with a knee injury. They also are going to be without Daniel Gafford, who has been one of their best players this season.. Give me the Kings -2.5! |
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02-12-22 | Knicks -4.5 v. Blazers | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Knicks -4.5) I will gladly lay the 4.5 with the Knicks on the road against the Blazers. While New York will be without R.J. Barrett, they didn't need him in Thursday's 116-114 win at Golden State. That's the win this Knicks team has been dying for and I think it's going to serve as a spark for them in these last few games before the All-Star break. The other big thing is this is not the same Blazers team as a couple weeks ago. Portland unloaded their assets at the trade deadline. This is a MUCH worse team than it was and it wasn't great to start with, especially without Lillard. I know they just beat the Lakers at home in their last game as a 8-point dog, but I think that's more of how much LA is struggling. I also think that's the kind of win for a bad team that can be tough to play well the next time out. Give me the Knicks -4.5! |
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02-11-22 | Nuggets v. Celtics -5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Celtics -5) I'll take my chances with Boston cashing in as a 5-point home favorite against the Nuggets on Friday. The Celtics have been playing some of their best basketball since the calendar shifted to 2022. Boston is 13-4 over their last 17 games and come into this one having won 6 straight. They have really dominated during this recent 6-game run, winning 5 of the 6 by 9 or more points. While the Nuggets are far from a pushover, I don't think it's asking a lot for them to win here by 6 or more. The biggest deter for me when it comes to Denver in this game, is starting point guard Monte Morris has been ruled out with a concussion. I see that as a big time loss, especially with how well the Celtics are playing on the defensive side of the ball. Give me Boston -5! |
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02-09-22 | Spurs +6.5 v. Cavs | 92-105 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Spurs +6.5) I'll take my chances with the Spurs as a 6.5-point road dog against the Cavaliers on Wednesday. Cleveland recently made a big splash by acquiring Caris LeVert in a trade with the Pacers. While it's a move that I believe makes the Cavs an even stronger team going forward, I think it has them a bit overvalued in this game. It's likely going to take some time for LeVert to adjust to his new role with an established team. Cleveland is also still dealing with some injuries. Most notably Darius Garland, who has missed the last 4 games with a back injury and is listed as questionable. Spurs on the other hand have to be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor, as San Antonio hasn't played since beating the Rockets 131-106 last Friday. San Antonio recently saw Zach Collins play for the first time in almost 2 years and he provided quite the spark of the bench with 10 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 steals in just 13 minutes. Give me the Spurs +6.5! |
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02-08-22 | Celtics -6 v. Nets | 126-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -6) I'll take my chances with Boston covering as a 6-point road favorite against the Nets on Tuesday. Celtics come into this game having won 5 straight and are now 12-4 over their last 16 games. They have been absolutely dominating teams during their 5-game winning streak, as they are scoring 112.0 ppg on 49.3% shooting, while giving up 94.4 ppg on 38.5% shooting. I don't see Brooklyn being able to keep this one close. The Nets are still without Kevin Durant and won't have Kyrie Irving with it being a home game. There's also no guarantee James Harden suits up, as he's dealing with a hamstring injury. LaMarcus Aldridge, Paul Millsap and Joe Harris are also unavailable. Brooklyn has lost 8 in a row and that's with 6 of the 8 coming on the road, where they get the benefit of having Irving. In their last 5 games they are scoring just 104.8 ppg on 43.9% shooting, while allowing 118.4 ppg on 49.3% shooting. Give me the Celtics -6! |
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02-07-22 | Knicks +7.5 v. Jazz | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH (Knicks +7.5) I really like the value we are getting with the Knicks as a 7.5-point road dog against the Jazz on Monday. This just feels like a few to many for Utah to be laying. The Jazz have won two straight and are fresh off a 125-102 win at home against the Nets. Thing is, that win came against a depleted Brooklyn team. Utah is still without their anchor inside in Rudy Gobert, they recently lost key reserve Joe Ingles to a season-ending injury and both Jordan Clarkson and Rudy Gay are questionable to play. I know the Knicks have lost 8 of their last 10, but it almost makes me like them more. It's getting to the point where it's becoming a bit do or die for New York. They did have a 21-point lead against the Lakers in their last game and that was with LeBron, AD and Westbrook all in the lineup for LA. Not saying they win this game, but I would be shocked if the Knicks didn't put up a fight in this one. Give me New York +7.5! |
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02-06-22 | Pacers v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Cavs -5.5) I will lay the 5.5 with the Cavs at home against the short-handed Pacers on Sunday. While Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis are both showing up as questionable, both figure to be on a minutes restriction if they do get cleared to play. They will still be without Myles Turner and Isaiah Jackson and likely Goga Bitadze. The Pacers are really short-handed in the frontcourt and this Cavs team is probably the last team you want to face without any big men. Look for Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley to have a field day. There's also a chance that Cleveland gets back star point guard Darius Garland after he's sat out the last 3 games with back soreness. I just don't see the Pacers being all that competitive in this one. Indiana is just 6-20 on the season in road games. Give me the Cavs -5.5! |
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02-05-22 | Thunder +6.5 v. Kings | 103-113 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Thunder +6.5) I'll take my chances here with OKC catching 6.5 against the Kings. While the Thunder will be on the 2nd of a back-to-back, they are playing with a ton of confidence right now. OKC has won 3 straight, beating the Blazers twice and winning 120-114 at Dallas as a 12-point dog. Sacramento is just 1-8 SU over their last 9 games and this is a bad spot for the Kings, who have really been through the gauntlet of late. After a 5-game road trip against the Bucks, Celtics, Hawks, 76ers and Knicks, Sacramento hosted the Nets and then went to the Warriors in a Wednesday/Thursday back-to-back. I think the Kings will have a hard time finding a reason to get up for this one. Give me the Thunder +6.5! |
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02-05-22 | Knicks +2 v. Lakers | 115-122 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Knicks +2) I'll take my chances with New York as a road dog against the Lakers. I just don't think LA can be trusted without LeBron James. I know AD is back and playing well, but he's playing great and they are still not winning. Davis had 30 points, 17 rebounds, 2 steals and 2 blocks in their loss to the Clippers last time out. The even bigger factor here is the scheduling spot for these two teams. New York just had 3 days off, which has to feel like 2 weeks at this point in the season. The Lakers on the other hand are playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 6th in the last 10 days. Everyone is going to be on the Lakers as a short home favorite. Give me the Knicks +2! |
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02-04-22 | Thunder v. Blazers -8 | 96-93 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Blazers -8) I'll gladly take my chances with the Blazers as a 8-point home favorite against the Thunder. This line will probably look a bit off to some, as Portland doesn't look like a team that should be laying this kind of number. Blazers have lost 5 of 6 and failed to cover 3 straight. They have scored just 81 and 94 points in their last two games and just last week lost 81-98 at OKC. I think it's more than a fair price given the spot. Portland is not going to let this awful Thunder team embarrass them in two games over a 5-day stretch. Not when OKC is in as bad a shape as they are. Portland couldn't have shot any worse in the previous meeting. I could see them going for 130+ in this one. Give me the Blazers -8! |
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02-04-22 | Hawks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH (Hawks +2.5) I really like the Hawks to go into Toronto and get a win Friday night. Atlanta knocked off the Suns 124-115 last night and are now 8-1 in their last 9 games. Their work isn't done, as the Hawks still sit just 10th in the Eastern Conference at 25-26. This to me feels like a team that is really motivated to go into the All-Star break on a roll. I also love backing the Hawks at this price with Trae Young ballin. Young has scored 36 and 43 in his last two games against the Lakers and Suns. While both teams are in a bad scheduling spot, playing on no rest, I think it's a lot worse for the Raptors. Toronto has had quite the 5-game stretch. They played at Chicago, at Miami and at Atlanta before returning home to face the Heat and Bulls in rematches. They went 4-1, but I think they are going to be out of gas after last night's OT game against the Bulls. All 5 starters played 37+ minutes with 4 of the 5 playing 40+ mins. Give me the Hawks +2.5! |
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02-04-22 | Cavs v. Hornets -4.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -4.5) I will gladly lay the 4.5-points at home with the Hornets. Cleveland was one of the most undervalued teams for the first couple months of the season, but as they always do, the books have caught up. Cavs are 5-13-1 ATS over their last 19 games. I just don't understand the respect they are getting right now with one of their best players in Darius Garland out. Keep in mind Charlotte was a 5-point home favorite when these two teams played back on Nov. 1 and the Cavs are down 3 starters from that game in Garland, Sexton and Markkanen. I also like the spot for the Hornets, who I think will be motivated coming off 2 straight losses. Charlotte has really been playing well in 2022. They are 10-5 SU and 10-5 ATS over their last 15 games. Give me the Hornets -4.5! |
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02-03-22 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 110-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Clippers -2.5) I will gladly lay the 2.5-points with the Clippers, as they take on their cross town rivals in the Lakers on Thursday. While the Clippers are no where close to the team they would be if they had Paul George and Kawhi Leonard, they are far from a pushover. Clippers come in having gone 6-2-1 ATS over their last 9 games and you know they are going to be up for this one. As for the Lakers, they are in a bad spot here. Lakers still without LeBron James and will be playing on no rest after a game against the Blazers last night. Anthony Davis as of right now is expected to play, but he's not played a back-to-back since returning from injury and played 37 minutes last night. Lakers also had to play from behind late in that game, which is only going to make it harder for them to bounce back with a good effort here. Give me the Clippers -2.5! |
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02-03-22 | Bulls v. Raptors -3 | Top | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Raptors -3) I really like the value with the Raptors as a mere 3-point home favorite against the Bulls on Thursday. Toronto has won 3 straight and it just so happens their last loss was to Chicago back on Jan. 26. Love the revenge angle for the Raptors against a depleted Bulls team that is still without both Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso. Toronto is 9-2 ATS last 11 after covering 3 of their last 4. They are 26-10 ATS off a win by 6 or less and 6-0 ATS last 3 seasons when off 2 straight wins by 6 or fewer. Give me the Raptors -3! |
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02-02-22 | Magic v. Pacers -4 | 119-118 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -4) I'll take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Magic. It's been a rough go for Indiana this season, as they are just 19-33 when they were expected to at the very least be a team fighting for a playoff spot. Add in all the guys they got out right now because of injury and I just feel it has them undervalued against a bad Magic team in a bad spot. Orlando is just 6-23 away from home this season, where they are losing by more than 7 ppg. Magic are also playing on no rest in this game, as they were at Chicago last night. Give me the Pacers -4! |
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02-01-22 | Nuggets v. Wolves -4 | 115-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Wolves -4) I'll take my chances with Minnesota as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Nuggets on Tuesday. While the Nuggets come into this game having won 5 in a row, there's a good chance they won't have Jokic, who is being listed as questionable with a toe injury. Backup big man DeMarcus Cousins is also questionable, which means the Nuggets could have to play this one without a true big man. The Timberwolves may look like they are treading water with a 9-8 record in their last 17 games, but its actually been a pretty impressive run, as 12 of the 17 games have come on the road. Minnesota has actually not lost on their home floor since late December. Their last 3 home games have seen them beat the Jazz 126-106, Nets 136-125 and the Warriors 119-99. Give me the Timberwolves -4! |
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01-31-22 | Warriors v. Rockets +11 | 122-108 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Rockets +11) I'll take my chances with the Rockets as a double-digit home dog against the Warriors. This just feels like a few too many for Golden State to be laying on the road in what feels like a bit of a letdown spot after their big home win against the Nets on Saturday, which was the primetime game on ABC. While the Warriors could have a tough time getting up for this game, you got to believe we are going to get a big effort here from Houston. Everyone gets up to play Golden State and the Rockets have to believe they got a fighters chance after only losing 103-105 at Golden State just 11 days ago. Give me the Rockets +11! |
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01-31-22 | Clippers v. Pacers -1.5 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -1.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Clippers. This is more a play against LA in a bad scheduling spot than anything, but I do think we are going to get a big effort here from the short-handed Pacers at home. The Clippers will be playing the final game of a lengthy 8-game road trip that started back on Jan. 19. LA is also going to be playing on no rest after a game at Charlotte last night. On top of that, it's their 5th game in 7 days. Not only will the Clippers be excited to get on a plane back home, they got a showdown with the Lakers on deck Wednesday. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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01-29-22 | Nets +7 v. Warriors | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Nets +7) I'll take my chances with Brooklyn as a 7-point road dog against the Warriors in Saturday's big prime time game on ABC. I faded the Nets in each of their last two games at home against the Lakers and Nuggets. Cashing both tickets. Both were easy plays. Brooklyn was getting way too much respect at home with Kyrie Irving not being able to play and Durant out with an injury. James Harden also sat out the game against the Nuggets. Now the Nets are being way undervalued on the road. Irving is going to play with it not being in Brooklyn and Harden is expected back in the lineup. I think it's enough for them to at the very least make a game of it. Give me the Nets +7! |
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01-29-22 | Kings +10.5 v. 76ers | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Kings +10.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Kings as a 10.5-point road dog against the 76ers on Saturday. This for me is all about the price and the spot. I think we are seeing Philly way overvalued in a big letdown spot. 76ers just beat a healthy Lakers team on Thursday and have a big game on deck with Memphis coming to down on Monday. We have seen Philadelphia play down their competition a lot this year and the Kings are definitely a team right now that isn't getting much respect. Sacramento has lost 5 in a row and 10 of their last 12. They had that 50+ point loss at Boston on Tuesday and followed that up with a 17-point loss at Atlanta on Wednesday. Hard to see a lot of positives for the Kings, but I think we are going to see them come out and give a big effort against a top tier team like the 76ers. I just don't think Philly will be motivated enough to pull away and cover this big number. Give me Sacramento +10.5! |
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01-28-22 | Bulls -1 v. Spurs | Top | 122-131 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Bulls -1) The Bulls are far from full strength right now, with Alex Caruso and Lonzo Ball both out of the lineup, but I still think they got enough to go into San Antonio and get a win Friday night. Chicago still has 3 All-Star caliber players on the floor in LaVine, DeRozan and Vucevic. They also got an emerging rookie in Ayo Dosunmu. As for the Spurs, this is a team that just isn't that good and the books have been slow to adjust. San Antonio is a mere 4-13 SU over their last 17 games and are just 6-11 ATS during this run. While it's not the same as when DeRozan played his first game against the Raptors after spending all those years in Toronto, this one definitely has a little more meaning to it. It's DeRozan's first game against the Spurs since leaving San Antonio for Chicago in the offseason. I also think this is a hungry Bulls team. While they have won 2 straight, they had lost 6 of their previous 7 and are no longer the top dog in the Eastern Conference. Give me Chicago -1! |
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01-28-22 | Jazz v. Grizzlies -3.5 | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Grizzlies -3.5) I will gladly take my chances with Memphis as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against a struggling Jazz team. This is just too short a price for the Grizzlies to be laying at home. Ja Morant is playing like a legit MVP candidate this season and just tied his season-high with 41 points in Wednesday's win at the Spurs. Memphis is 12-3 ATS over their last 15 games. Utah has lost 3 in a row and are just 2-9 over their last 11. Jazz are without Rudy Gobert and are just not the same team when he's not on the floor. There's also a chance Donovan Mitchell won't play. He's questionable after missing the last 5 games with a concussion. Either way, I like the Grizzlies to get the win and cover here. Give me Memphis -3.5! |
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01-27-22 | Lakers v. 76ers -1.5 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (76ers -1.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the 76ers laying just 1.5 at home against the Lakers. I know Anthony Davis is back for LA and they just won 106-96 at Brooklyn in his first game back, but I'm sorry, the Lakers should be a bigger dog here. Davis is still on a minutes restriction and likely won't be anywhere close to his old self for a couple weeks. The win over the Nets also came with Brooklyn playing without both Durant and Irving. Philly will be missing Seth Curry and it's unsure if Danny Green will play, but as long as Embiid is on the floor, it doesn't matter. Embiid is playing out of his mind right now. He's averaging 35.2 ppg over his last 5 and has hit 40+ in 3 of his last 4. LA has no answer for him. This is also a Philly team that I think is playing with a bit of a chip on their shoulder. It's like no matter how good they play, no one takes them seriously because of the Ben Simmons drama. They don't need him and they prove it once again with an easy win at home in prime time. Give me the 76 -1.5! |
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01-26-22 | Mavs v. Blazers +4.5 | 132-112 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (Blazers +4.5) The Blazers are the gift that keeps giving. We have made a killing over the last month backing Portland. The biggest reason for this, the books have over adjusted their lines because Lillard is out. As I keep saying, Anfernee Simons is playing out of his mind. He's averaging 24.3 ppg and 7.2 apg in the month of January. Portland has also got a lot of the other guys who were out back. This team is simply way better than what people think. While both teams are going to be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, Dallas is in the much tougher spot having played at Golden State last night and the Blazers playing at home. Mavs also are dealing with a big blow to their rotation with Tim Hardaway Jr. suffering an injury that figures to have him out for a while last night against the Warriors. Give me the Blazers +4.5! |
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01-26-22 | Nuggets -2 v. Nets | Top | 124-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Nuggets -2) This is basically the same line we cashed with the Lakers on the road at Brooklyn last night. I just don't understand why the Nets are getting so much respect when they don't have Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving can't play at home. Nets have really been one of the best teams to fade for a while now. Brooklyn is just 4-11 ATS over their last 15 games. They just don't have enough offensive fire-power. Harden had a triple-double last night with 33 points, 12 rebound and 11 assists and they still lost by double-digits. Give me the Nuggets -2! |
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01-25-22 | Wolves v. Blazers +3 | Top | 109-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Western Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH (Blazers +3) I love the Blazers as a 3-point home dog against the Timberwolves. Portland should not be a dog in this matchup. The books just keep undervaluing the Blazers with Lillard out of the lineup. As great as Lillard is, his absence has really been negated by the outstanding play of Anfernee Simmons and this offense has gotten even better here recently with the return of CJ McCollum. Portland has gone 6-2 ATS over their last 8 games and 5 of those covers have come in games where they won outright as a dog. As for the Timberwolves, I love going against them on the road after a massive home win over the Nets. Minnesota has to be sick of traveling. This will be there 10th road game in their last 13 games. It's also a huge lookahead/sandwich spot, as they got a road game at Golden State on Thursday. Give me the Blazers +3! |
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01-25-22 | Lakers -2.5 v. Nets | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - TNT Tuesday VEGAS INSIDER (Lakers -2.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Lakers laying a short number on the road against the Nets. I'm shocked LA is this low of a favorite in this spot and even more shocked the betting public isn't on them more than they are. I get the Lakers haven't been as good as what we thought, but that should change here over the next month. LA is expected to have Anthony Davis back in the lineup tonight and are as healthy as they have been all season. Brooklyn is also down to just one of their Big 3 for this game. Durant is still out with an injury and Irving can't play at home. Nets also still missing a key piece to the rotation in Joe Harris. I just don't think the Nets have enough offensive fire-power to pull out a victory. Give me the Lakers -2.5! |
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01-25-22 | Clippers v. Wizards -4 | 116-115 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards -4) It might seem a little foolish to lay 4-points with a Wizards team that has lost 3 straight and are just 1-9 ATS over their last 10 games, but I actually think there's value here with Washington at this price. This is an awful spot for the Clippers. LA is playing their 4th straight on the road and are primed for a letdown after 3 really tough games. Clippers lost 128-130 at Denver, won 102-101 at Philly and then lost 102-110 at New York. I just don't think there's enough gas in the tank for LA, who hasn't exactly been a great road team (8-13). As for the Wizards, they have been playing better than the numbers would suggest and are as healthy as they have been since they had that great start to the season. This also has to feel like a must win for Washington, who has to go on the road to face the Grizzlies, Bucks and 76ers before returning home to face the Suns, Heat and Nets after this game. GIve me the Wizards -4! |
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01-24-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pelicans -2.5) Love the Pelicans as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Pacers. New Orleans won't have Brandon Ingram and Devonte Graham is questionable, but that's nothing in comparison to the injury report for Indiana. The Pacers will for sure be without Malcolm Brogdon, Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner. Caris LeVert is also questionable to play. While Indiana's backups have performed well in the last few games, they did so against some of the best teams. Their last 3 games were at Lakers, at Warriors and at Suns. This is going to be Indiana's 5th and final game of a 5-game road trip and it's their 4th road game in the last 6 days. I just don't think the Pacers are going to have enough gas to make a game of this. Note that Graham was questionable with the same injury in the Pelicans last game and he ended up playing, so there's a good chance he suits up. New Orleans is also playing here on a full 3 days of rest. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
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01-23-22 | Nets v. Wolves -2.5 | 125-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Timberwolves -2.5) I just feel that you have to play the Timberwolves out of principle. I know Durant is out for Brooklyn, but the betting public doesn't see Minnesota as the better team with Kyrie Irving and James Harden in the lineup for the Nets. For the books to make Minnesota the favorite here, they got to feel pretty good about Minnesota winning this game, as the public is going to load up on Brooklyn. I can definitely see what the books see in Minnesota. Timberwolves are healthy and while the recent results aren't great, this team has looked much better as a whole over the last few weeks. You know they are going to be fired up fo this one and they will have some fresh legs having not played since Wednesday. Brooklyn on the other hand is playing their 4th straight on the road and are one just 1 day of rest. Give me the Timberwolves -2.5! |
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01-23-22 | Blazers +8.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Blazers +8.5) I will gladly take the 8.5-points with the Blazers. I feel like a broken record, but until the books make the proper adjustments on Portland I'm going to keep backing them. The loss of Lillard hasn't been an issue for the Blazers, as Anfernee Simmons continues to shine in his absence. Simmons is averaging 25.7 ppg, and 7.4 apg in the month of January and is shooting lights out from 3. Not only is he hitting 43.3% from deep, he's averaging 4.7 made 3-pointers a game. Toronto is a good team, but are not good enough that they should be close to a double-digit favorite against a team with this much talent. Especially in this spot. Raptors could be light on fuel for this one, as they just finished up a 5-game road trip on Friday at Washington. Give me the Blazers +8.5! |
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01-21-22 | Blazers +7.5 v. Celtics | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +7.5) I will gladly take the 7.5-points with the Blazers as they go to Boston on Friday. I've been on Portland quite a bit here of late, as I think they have been vastly underrated since Lillard went down. Backup point guard Anfernee Simons has been playing like an All-Star in Lillard's absence and they just recently got back C.J. McCollum. Blazers had won and covered 4 of their previous 5 before losing 92-104 as a 9-point dog at Miami on Wednesday and they should of at the worst covered that game. Portland had a 4th quarter to forget, scoring just 12-points and giving up 26 to lose by 12. Boston just hasn't been able to put it together this season and they simply should not be laying this kind of number against a team like the Blazers. Give me Portland +7.5! |
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01-21-22 | Heat +1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Smart Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Heat +1.5) I don't think the Heat should be a dog in Friday's division game at Atlanta. The Hawks come in off a a couple of nice wins, beating the Bucks 121-114 at home on Monday and the Timberwolves 134-122 on Wednesday. The problem for Atlanta is health. They basically used an 8-man rotation (all 5 starters played 33+ mins last game) and could be losing their best bench player in Danilo Gallinari, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Miami won't have Kyle Lowry or Tyler Herro, but this a very deep Heat team that just recently got back their two big guns in Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. Miami has also been playing some great basketball for a long stretch here. They are 13-4 over their last 17 and have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8. Miami has also been at their best in division games. They are 8-1 vs division opponents, outscoring the opposition by 11.2 ppg. Atlanta just doesn't play good enough defense for them to be favored against a team like the Heat. Give me Miami +1.5! |
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01-19-22 | Wolves v. Hawks -2 | 122-134 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Hawks -2) I just can't help myself here with the Hawks as a mere 2-point home favorite against the Wolves. This line seems to good to be true, but I feel the low number has a lot to do with the overall stock of the Hawks here over the last few weeks and not just their 121-114 upset win over the Bucks last time out. Simply put the books aren't going to overreact to one game. However, I think they are going to wish they did. That was a huge win for Atlanta, who it felt like was just digging a deeper and deeper hole. They rallied from double-digit down to upset Milwaukee and have to believe they are going to be eager to use that as a stepping stone to get their season back on track. The other big thing here is the spot is horrible for the Timberwolves. Minnesota will be on no rest after playing at New York against the Knicks on Tuesday. Two days before that game they hosted the Warriors, so this is their 3rd game in 4 days. It's also Minnesota's 9th road game out of their last 11 games and it's a big lookahead spot with a home game against the Nets on deck. Give me Atlanta -2! |
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01-17-22 | Suns v. Spurs +5 | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Spurs +5) I'm going to roll the dice with the Spurs as a 5-point home dog against the Suns. San Antonio was really starting to play well before Covid depleted their roster at the end of 2021. Spurs are just 2-9 SU in their last 11. They did win their last one, beating the Clippers 101-94 at home and it was as close to full strength that SA has been in almost a month. I think we are going to get a really big effort here from the Spurs. I can't say the same for Phoenix. The Suns are going to be on no rest after playing at Detroit on Sunday. They were also at Indiana on Friday, so this will be their 3rd road game in 4 days and 4th straight on the road overall. There's also a decent chance the Suns won't have big man DeAndre Ayton, as he had to leave yesterday's game with an ankle injury. Feels like a big flat spot. Give me the Spurs +5! |
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01-16-22 | Jazz -4.5 v. Nuggets | 125-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Late Night ATS SLAUGHTER (Jazz -4.5) I will gladly take my chances with Utah as a slim 4.5-point road favorite against the Nuggets. This feels like the time to buy low on the Jazz. Utah has lost 4 straight all as a favorite, twice as a double-digit favorite. Key is that bad stretch came with big man Rudy Gobert sidelined. Gobert is expected to be back in action tonight and Utah should be 100% locked in as a team for this game playing on a full 3 days of rest. Nuggets on the other hand will be playing in the second of a back-to-back after hosting the Lakers on Saturday. It's also their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Jazz -4.5! |
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01-15-22 | Knicks +2.5 v. Hawks | 117-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Knicks +2.5) I will take my chances with the Knicks as a slim road dog against the Hawks. Atlanta is in a bad place right now. They just traded away Reddish and sounds like more guys are on the move. They come in having lost 4 straight and will be on no rest after last night's 118-124 loss to Miami, where they got outscored 30-19 in the 4th quarter. Big rest advantage for the Knicks, who have been off since Wednesday. New York has also been on the upswing here of late, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Knicks have already won the two previous meetings with the Hawks and I don't see them showing any remorse for the team that knocked them out of the playoffs last year. Give me the Knicks +2.5! |
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01-15-22 | Blazers +7.5 v. Wizards | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers +7.5)Â I will gladly take my chances with Portland catching 7.5 on the road against a Wizards team that is without Beal. Blazers come in off an ugly 108-140 loss at the Nuggets on Thursday, but that was to be expected. Portland who is already without Lillard and McCollum, had to play without Anfernee Simons, who has been putting up All-Star caliber numbers since Lillard went down. He's back from his personal matter and I not only think the Blazers have enough here to keep it within the number, I like them to win this game outright. Wizards have won 3 straight, but it's come against the Magic, Thunder and Magic and they failed to cover all 3. Give me the Blazers +7.5! |
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01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3.5 | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (76ers -3.5) I will gladly like the 3.5-points with the 76ers at home against the Celtics. Philly suffered a 98-109 loss at home to the Hornets last time out, but I still think this is a team you want to be on, especially laying such a short number at home. Embiid is playing out of his mind right now. He scored 31 in the loss to the Hornets and that game potentially goes differently if he's not in foul trouble. Embiid has scored 30+ points in 8 straight and 10 of his last 11. Philly had won each of the previous 8 games he scored 30 or more before the loss to Charlotte. Boston comes in having won 3 straight, but I'm still not sold on this team being as good as what people think. Celtics are a .500 team (21-21) that is a middle of the pack offensive team. They rank 16th in offensive efficiency and 24th in effective FG%. It's no surprise they are just 8-13 on the road this year. Not saying they can't win this game, but it's just too good a price to pass up with Philly. Give me the 76ers -3.5! |
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01-13-22 | Thunder +7.5 v. Nets | 130-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Thunder +7.5) I will take the 7.5 with OKC, as they go on the road to take on the Nets. This is just a bad spot for the Nets, who just played last night in Chicago in a game that was televised as part of a double-header on ESPN. Keep in mind that's a Bulls team that has the best record in the Eastern Conference. That was a big time game for Brooklyn. I just have a hard time seeing them being all that interested for this game against the Thunder, especially at home where Kyrie isn't allowed to play. Always tough backing a bottom-feeder like OKC, but they have been playing better of late despite coming in on a 5-game losing streak. A lot of those games were at least competitive. More than anything, I think it means a lot to these younger teams when they get to face a team like the Nets that has two of the best players in the game in Durant and Harden. Give me the Thunder +7.5! |
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01-12-22 | Mavs v. Knicks +2.5 | 85-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Knicks +2.5) I will take my chances with the Knicks as a 2.5-point home dog against the Mavs. I just think the perception with New York is down so much right now that there's value with them. I also think it's a good spot to sell-high on the Mavs, who are off a big home win over the Bulls. Dallas is still playing without one of their best players in Kristaps Porzingis. This to me just feels like a big effort game for the Knicks in a prime time game at home that is part of the double-header on ESPN tonight. I really think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me New York +2.5! |
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01-12-22 | Celtics v. Pacers +2.5 | 119-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers +2.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a slim home dog against the Celtics. Love this revenge spot for Indiana, who just lost 98-101 in OT at Boston on Monday. Indiana could be getting back a number of key guys for this game, but more than anything, I think they will be the more motivated team. I also feel that the loss of Marcus Smart for the Celtics is a bigger deal than what people realize. Tatum and Brown may be their best scorers. Smart is the heart and soul of that team. Also worth noting that while the Pacers are just 1-7 SU in their last 8 games, they are 5-1 ATS over their last 6, so there's some real positive signs with this team. Give me Indiana +2.5! |
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01-11-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +2.5 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Public Money ATS BLOODBATH (Grizzlies +2.5) I will gladly take my chances with Memphis as a small home dog against the Warriors. Golden State is one of the biggest publicly backed teams in the NBA right now and everyone wants to be on them now that Klay Thompson has returned. Golden State did win and cover in Thompson's first game back, beating the Cavs 96-82 as a 8-point favorite. It looks good, but they only shot 40.2% from the field. That's now 3 straight games where the Warriors have shot 43% or worse. They won't have arguably their most important piece to the puzzle in Draymond Green and this Memphis team is one of the hottest teams in the league right now. Grizzlies have won 9 straight and are 8-1 ATS during this stretch. Give me Memphis +2.5! |
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01-10-22 | Cavs -5.5 v. Kings | 109-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Cavs -5.5) I will gladly lay the 5.5 with the Cavs on the road against the Kings. I think this is the time to strike with Cleveland. The Cavs should be extremely motivated to get back in the win column after an 82-96 loss at Golden State yesterday. Cleveland really did themselves in in that game, as they shot bad and gave up a ridiculous amount of offensive rebounds. Warriors scored 14 more points them despite shooting just 40.2% from the field (Cavs shot 42.7%). Difference was GS had 97 shots to Cleveland's 75. The Kings are the perfect team for the Cavs to get back on track against. Sacramento looks lost right now. They have lost 4 straight and are just 5-12 SU and 5-12 ATS over their last 17 games. Not only are they losing a bunch, they aren't even being remotely competitive in a lot of these games. Give me the Cavs -5.5! |
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01-10-22 | Spurs v. Knicks -6 | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS MASSACRE (Knicks -6) I will take my chances with the Knicks as a 6-point home favorite. This might seem like a big number for New York to be laying, as they just got embarrassed in their last game 99-75 at Boston and San Antonio nearly won outright as a double-digit dog at Brooklyn in their last game. I actually like the Knicks more in this spot coming off that ugly loss, as it should have them extremely motivated. As for the Spurs, this is an awful spot playing on no rest after a back-and-fourth game against the Nets that needed OT to decide the winner. All 5 starters for San Antonio played at least 30 mins and keep in mind they are shorthanded right now with multiple guys in quarantine. Give me the Knicks -6! |
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01-09-22 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -3 | 127-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Lakers -3) I was really impressed with the Lakers most recent 134-118 win over the Hawks. It really seems like LA has found something with playing LeBron at center. The offense has looked better than it has all season. While they are still missing AD, they have got a lot of role players back. This feels like it's as deep as the Lakers have been all season. While it doesn't figure to last long, LA is undervalued by the books here as a mere 3-point home favorite against a Memphis team that could be missing their best player in Morant. Give me the Lakers -3! |
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01-09-22 | Pelicans +8.5 v. Raptors | 101-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Pelicans +8.5) This is just too good a price to pass up on the Pelicans as a 8.5-point road dog against the Raptors. Toronto has no business laying this big of a number here. Sure the Raptors come in having won 5 straight and are 10-1 ATS over their last 11, but all of their recent wins have come against teams who had key guys out of the lineup. I really think we are getting a good 3-points of value here with this inflated number. Give me the Pelicans +8.5! |
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01-08-22 | Jazz -3 v. Pacers | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Jazz -3) I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the Jazz as a slim 3-point road favorite against Utah. The Jazz lost 108-22 at Toronto last night, but they basically punted that game, resting basically all their key players who weren't already out. They were just playing the rest game in a back-to-back spot. I expect Utah to get most of those guys back who skipped yesterday's game. You also got to look at the state of this Pacers team. Indiana has lost 6 in a row and just can't seem to get their core group of guys on the floor at the same time. While a couple guys could return, conditioning is an issue for them and they just lost 3 more guys to Covid, including one of their better players in Caris LeVert. I see no reason why you wouldn't expect more of the same from Indiana as we have seen here of late. Give me the Jazz -3! |
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01-07-22 | Hawks +3.5 v. Lakers | 118-134 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +3.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Hawks as a 3.5-point dog against the Lakers. It may look like LA has turned a corner going 4-1 SU in their last 5 and riding a 3-game win streak, but those 4 wins have come against the Rockets, Blazers, Twolves and Kings. They had a blowout win against a depleted Portland team, but the other 3 were all pretty close games. I just don't think the Lakers are that good, especially without AD on the floor. As for the Hawks, Atlanta's got a bunch of guys on the injury report, but all signs are that they will play. Good chance the Hawks will have their entire 2-deep available for this game, which is unheard of right now in the NBA with how Covid is decimating rosters. I think Atlanta is really going to be motivated to play well, which is always the case for any team when they go against LeBron. Give me the Hawks +3.5! |
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01-07-22 | Cavs -6 v. Blazers | Top | 114-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Late Night PLAY OF THE MONTH (Cavs -6) I love the Cavs as a mere 6-point road favorite against the Blazers. This is just too good a price to pass up with Cleveland. I know laying 6 on the road is a lot, but not when the team you are playing is down their top two players. Portland won't have Lillard or McCollum. They also figure to be down another starter in Larry Nance Jr. This is also a great buy low spot for the Cavs, who have lost 4 of their last 5 and are 0-5 ATS during this stretch. Most of these games came with Cleveland playing shorthanded. They got some guys back in their last game, but just came up short against a red-hot Ja Morant led Grizzlies team. With a big showdown against the Warriors in Golden State on Sunday, I think the Cavs will be eager to get a win and have some momentum going into that game. I just don't see Portland having enough fire-power offensively to keep this close. Give me Cleveland -6! |
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01-07-22 | Mavs v. Rockets +3 | 130-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Rockets +3) I will gladly take my chances with Houston as a 3-point home dog against a short-handed Mavs team. Luka Doncic is doubtful after injuring his right ankle in Wednesday's win over the Warriors. Dallas is also still without Kristaps Porzingis. This team has been able to compete when at least one of their two stars has been on the court. I'm not so sure they should even be favored on the road without them. The other big thing here is the spot. Every team is getting up to play the Warriors right now, which makes them prime for a letdown the next game out. Not only was the game against Golden State big because of who they played, it was also the night they honored the legendary Dirk Nowitzki. Give me the Rockets +3! |
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01-05-22 | Raptors +7.5 v. Bucks | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Raptors +7.5) Easy play for me on the Raptors as a 7.5-point road dog against the Bucks tonight. Toronto has been an absolute covering machine of late. With last night's 129-104 win at home against the Spurs as a 6.5-point favorite, they have now covered 4 straight and 10 of their last 12 overall. Big reason for the strong play of late is the Raptors are close to full strength and right now that's such a huge advantage with how many guys are out with Covid. The Bucks aren't exactly decimated but they are without starting shooting guard Grayson Allen and three key reserves in Donte DiVincenzo, Pat Connaughton and Jordan Nwora. I don't think it's a sure thing the Bucks even win this game outright. Give me the Raptors +7.5! |
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01-04-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +8 | 123-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Pelicans +8) We took one on the chin last night with the Pelicans +10, as they lost 104-115 at home to the Jazz after trailing by just 3 at the half and by only 5 going into the 4th. New Orleans nearly covered despite Brandon Ingram going just 3 of 18 from the field in his return to the lineup. Ingram should be much better going forward and this Pelicans team should be a good bet for a while now that they are healthy. I know New Orleans is on the second leg of a back-to-back, but it's not nearly as bad playing in this spot when both games are at home. I also think it's a great time to sell high on Phoenix after they just annihilated the Hornets 133-99 in their last game. Suns are still playing short-handed, as they are without their two big guys in Ayton and McGee, as well as their glue guy at power forward in Crowder. Give me the Pelicans +8! |
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01-04-22 | Grizzlies v. Cavs -3 | 110-106 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (Cavs -3) This is too good a price to pass up with the Cavs as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Grizzlies. This Cleveland team has been a money maker all season and really the only time they haven't played well is when they have been decimated with injuries. With Darius Garland expected back from quarantine, they will be in great shape here. This is also a spot where I'll happily fade Memphis. The Grizzlies have been playing some great basketball of late, especially Ja Morant, but they are playing on no rest on the road for a second straight night, after last night's 118-104 upset win against Durant/Harden and the Nets. I think it's going to be tough for the short-handed Grizzlies to cover this short number. Give me the Cavs -3! |
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01-03-22 | Jazz v. Pelicans +10 | 115-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS MASSACRE (Pelicans +10) I will gladly take my chances with the Pelicans as a double-digit dog against the Jazz tonight. I just think the Warriors have been put on such a pedestal to start this year that teams are really gearing up to play them. I believe that sets up a real chance of a letdown the following game, especially if it's against a far inferior opponent. That's the scenario we have here with Utah coming off a home game against Golden State on Saturday and being a big road favorite against New Orleans. It hasn't been horrible for the Pelicans of late. They 5-2 SU over their last 7 and have covered 4 of their last 6. They could also be getting a big boost here with the potential return of Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas. Give me the Pelicans +10! |
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01-01-22 | Bulls v. Wizards +2.5 | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +2.5) I think we are getting a great price with the Wizards as a 2.5-point home dog against the Bulls. Chicago has been playing some great basketball here of late and come into this game on a 6-game winning streak. They key here is the spot. The Bulls were at Indiana last night and beat the Pacers 108-106 on a last second 3-point heave by DeRozan. This is where I think not having guys like Ball and Caruso will finally catch up to them, as this will be Chicago's 5th game in 7 days. Wizards had Friday off and last time out they crushed the Cavs 110-93 at home as a 4.5-point favorite. It was the 4th cover in the last 5 games for Washington. I think they catch the Bulls sleepwalking into this one and get an outright win. Give me the Wizards +2.5! |
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12-31-21 | Bulls -4.5 v. Pacers | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Bulls -4.5) The Bulls have really taken advantage of some teams what have been hit hard with Covid. They just took two in a row over the Hawks. Now they play a Pacers team that will be without Brogdon and Duarte. Chicago has won 5 straight and covered 4 in a row. They are 8-3 ATS over their last 11. Pacers are 1-6 ATS this season vs division opponents. I just don't think Indiana will have the scoring power to keep up the Bulls in this one. Chicago is averaging 124.4 ppg on 54% shooting in their 5 game win streak. Give me the Bulls -4.5! |
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12-29-21 | Hawks v. Bulls -8 | 117-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Bulls -8) Handicapping the NBA right now is quite the process with all the guys out with COVID. I think it's all about trying to find the team with the biggest edge and to me that's the Bulls. These two teams just played on Monday in Atlanta, which the Bulls won and covered 130-118. Usually I would look to take the team that lost the first meeting in a home-and-away scenario like this, but I just can't with Atlanta. While the Hawks did get back Trae Young and Clint Capela on Monday from Covid, they lost Bogdanovic on Tuesday. Bogdanovic played 41 mins and scored 20 points in that game. Young scored 29, which looks great, but he did not shoot it well, going just 8 of 23 (1-6 on 3-pts). Atlanta also got 33 points from Cam Reddish, who was 8 of 13 on 3-pointers and still lost that game by double-digits. I just don't think the Hawks have enough healthy bodies to go on the road and expect to keep this close. Chicago's only significant contributors who are out with Covid right now are Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso. Give me the Bulls -8! |
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12-28-21 | Nuggets +7 v. Warriors | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Nuggets +7) I will take my chances with the Nuggets catching 7-points on the road against the Warriors. While Golden State has had two days off since their big win at Phoenix on Christmas Day, I do think there could be a bit of a letdown herel. I also think the loss of Draymond Green is a big deal. The combination of him and Curry is what makes this team so special. Green also is the glue that keeps that defense together. Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole have both cleared protocol. Wiggins may play, but it doesn't sound like Poole will be available. As for the Nuggets, the only guy they got in quarantine right now is Bol Bol, who barely plays. I not only think Denver can keep this close, I give them a decent shot here to win outright. Give me the Nuggets +7! |
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12-27-21 | Jazz v. Spurs +6.5 | 110-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs +6.5) Like the value we are getting with the Spurs as a 6.5-point dog at Utah. The Jazz have been going thru the motions here of late. While they have won 3 straight and are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games, they have failed to cover 5 straight. On the flip side, San Antonio has been one of the best bets in the NBA for a while now. Spurs are 11-4 ATS over their last 15 games. They have also went a very strong 10-5 SU during this stretch. With Mitchell out for Utah, I not only think the Spurs cover, but win outright. Give me San Antonio +6.5! |
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12-23-21 | Rockets +9.5 v. Pacers | Top | 106-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rockets +9.5) I love the Rockets as a 9.5-point dog against the Pacers tonight. Indiana has no business laying close to double-digits. This team has no lived up to the hype and are just 13-19 to start the season. Indiana's Malcolm Brogdon, who I think is their best player, is listed as questionable. However, I don't think the's playing. He's got an Achilles injury that's bothering him. He played just 8 mins in their last game before it flared up. Not saying they don't need him to beat the Rockets, but it's definitely easier to rest him against a lesser team. I also think having two days off after this game makes it more likely they won't rush him back. I also think this line has been adjusted too much because the Rockets are on no rest. They didn't have to use a ton of energy in a 20-point loss to the Bucks. Houston also gets back No. 2 overall pick Jalen Green from injury. I like the Rockets to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Give me Houston +9.5! |
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12-22-21 | Cavs v. Celtics -5.5 | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -5.5) I will lay the 5.5 with the Celtics as they host the Cavs tonight. I know both of these teams are missing a lot of guys because of Covid, but Boston clearly is in the better situation. The Celtics only starter that isn't playing is Al Horford. They got Tatum, Brown and Smart all available, as well as guys like Robert Williams, Dennis Schroder and Payton Pritchard. It's a different story for the Cavs. Cleveland will be down 3 starters, including their dynamic frontcourt duo of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. Not only are these two guys a force defensively (combine for 3.2 blocks/game), account for 19.1 of their 45.0 rebounds/game and are their 2nd and 4th leading scorers (Collin Sexton is 3rd and is also out). Give me the Celtics -5.5! |
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12-22-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Hawks | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Public Money ATS BLOODBATH (Magic +8.5) I don't love betting on bad teams like the Magic, but this is a spot you have to roll the dice. As bad as Orlando is, they should not be anywhere close to a double-digit dog against a Hawks team that is going to be without their best player in Trae Young, as well as big man Clint Capela and one of their top reserves in Danilo Gallinari. This is also an Atlanta team is tied for the 10th and final playoff spot in the East at 14-15. Where would this team be if they didn't have Young for the season? They just shouldn't be laying this many points in this spot. You also got to factor in that Atlanta has two big games on deck. They go to Philly to play the 76ers tomorrow and are at the Knicks on Christmas Day. It would not shock me if they lost this game outright. Give me the Magic +8.5! |
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12-21-21 | Pacers -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 96-125 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pacers -2.5) Indiana is one of the few teams in the NBA that haven't been hit hard with Covid, outside of T.J. Warren, who has yet to play this year, Indiana is at full strength. While it's not Covid that has depleted Miami's roster, the Heat have been hit hard with injuries. Miami we know will be without Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, P.J. Tucker, Markieff Morris and Caleb Martin. Tyler Herro is also questionable. I also like how the Pacers come into this game. Indiana is 4-2 in their last 6 games with their only two losses coming by 2 at home to the Warriors and by 15 on the road to the Bucks, where they let Milwaukee go on a 21-0 run in the 4th quarter. Give me the Pacers -2.5! |
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12-20-21 | Rockets +7.5 v. Bulls | 118-133 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Rockets +7.5) We will take the 7.5 with the Rockets on the road against the Bulls. This is a tough spot for Chicago. The Bulls played for the first time in over a week yesterday in a 115-10 win over LeBron and the Lakers. Now they got to play another game shorthanded against a Rockets team that has been playing much better of late. Bulls only used 8 guys last night and are still missing a bunch of players, including Zach LaVine and several key reserves like Ayo Dosunmu, Alize Johnson and Troy Brown Jr. I not only think Chicago will have a tough time covering this number, I think they could win outright. Give me the Rockets +7.5! |
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12-17-21 | Heat -5 v. Magic | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Heat -5) I got to lay the -5 with the Heat at the Magic. I just think Miami is a bit undervalued in the market right now because of the injuries. Adebayo is out until at least mid-January, Butler won't be back, Herro is questionable. Some teams that would be a huge deal, but the Heat are a very deep and well coached team. They just won at Philly against Embiid and the 76ers without any of those guys. Unless they are a complete no show here, they should cover this number. Magic are 2-8 ATS at home this season and they got 3 starters who may or may not play in Cole Anthony, Mo Bamba and Garry Harris. They are already without Suggs, Fultz, Isaac, Moore and Carter-Williams. If Anthony doesn't go, this could get ugly. Give me the Heat -5! |
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12-16-21 | 76ers v. Nets -1.5 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS MASSACRE (Nets -1.5) Covid has hit Brooklyn really hard and it will have a lot of people thinking is a game that Philly can steal. We have seen it quite a bit here of late in the NBA, where these shorthanded teams cash at the window. Last I checked the Nets will still have the best player on the court with Kevin Durant. If he's on offensively, he can carry a team on his own. He will have some help with Patty Mills, Cam Thomas, Nic Claxton, Kessler Edwards and Blake Griffin all available. The other big thing here is the Nets are catching the 76ers in a pretty tough scheduling spot. Philly was at Memphis on Monday, flew home to take on Miami last night and had to instantly fly right back home for this game. You also have to to look at how that game against the Heat played out. Miami jumped all over them and led by as many as 23 before Philly rallied to tie the game at 96-96 with 1:24 remaining. Only to lose 96-101. It takes a lot of energy playing from behind and it can mess with you mentally pulling off a comeback like that and still not winning. The 76ers are also not at full strength. They got multiple guys out with Covid. I also wouldn't be shocked if Embiid doesn't play. He played 37 mins and is probably not 100% just yet (missed Monday's game with a rib injury). Give me the Nets -1.5! |
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12-15-21 | Pacers -1.5 v. Bucks | 99-114 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -1.5) No need to overthink this one. Milwaukee will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo and their other All-Star, Khris Middleton is listed as questionable. Having just played 3 games in 4 nights on the road to close out a 4-game road trip, I also wonder just how much energy the Bucks will have in this spot. I also think with a back-to-back on deck Friday/Saturday, it would make sense for them to hold out Middleton. On the flip side, this is a Pacers team that is playing well coming into this game. Indiana is 3-1 SU and 3-0-1 ATS over their last 4 games with the only loss being a mere 2-point setback to the Warriors at home. There is the possibility that the Pacers don't show up with the right mindset against a depleted opponent, but I think it being Milwaukee will have them ready to go. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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12-14-21 | Raptors +8.5 v. Nets | 129-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors +8.5) I will gladly take my chances with the Raptors as a 8.5-point dog against the Nets. I took Toronto last night as a 4-point home favorite against the Kings and it was never in doubt. The Raptors won that game 124-101. I like Toronto in this game for a lot of the same reasons. The biggest being this is a team that is playing really good basketball and are underpriced because of how poorly they played in a long stretch before this hot streak. I also love that last night was a blowout, as that negates the poor scheduling spot for Toronto playing on the road with no rest. You also got to love fading a team like the Nets off back-to-back covers. They are such a public team that the books really inflate the numbers after a couple good showings. Give me the Raptors +8.5! |
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12-13-21 | Bucks v. Celtics | Top | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
50* (NBA) - Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH (Celtics PK) I love the Celtics at a pick at home against the Bucks tonight. The betting public is going to be all over Milwaukee with how well the Bucks have been playing. Milwaukee has won 12 of their last 14. They have gone 7-3-1 ATS over their last 11 and are off a blowout win and cover against the Knicks last time out. The key here is the spot. The Bucks win over New York came on Sunday and now have to go to Boston on no rest. It's also their 3rd road game in 4 nights. On the flip side, this Boston team is undervalued coming into this game off 3 straight losses. Reason to believe the Celtics will be better here coming off 2 days of rest and are expected to get back a big piece to their offense in Jaylen Brown. Give me the Celtics PK! |
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12-12-21 | Magic +11.5 v. Lakers | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Smart Money ATS KNOCKOUT (Magic +11.5) I will roll the dice with the Magic as a double-digit road dog against the Lakers on Sunday. The Lakers come in off a dominating 116-95 win at OKC on Friday, which was quite the turnaround from the night before when LA lost 95-108 at Memphis. I just don't think one good showing doesn't mean this Lakers team is anything to write home about. This is a team that has struggled to bring the intensity against bad teams and this is one of those spots where I think they let a bad Magic team hang around and make a game of it. It will certainly help if LA is without one of their best players in Anthony Davis, who is questionable with a knee injury. The big problem with the Lakers not treating every game the same, is the fact that they almost always get the best out of whoever they play. So while it's not the most ideal scheduling spot for the Magic, I expect them to give it all they got. Lakers are just 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season and 16-30 ATS in their last 46 at home dating back to last year. LA is also a mere 2-15 ATS last 17 after allowing 95 or fewer points and 6-21 ATS in their last 27 off a win by 10 or more. Give me Orlando +11.5! |
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12-11-21 | Rockets +8 v. Grizzlies | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Public Money ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets +8) We took a brutal beat on the Rockets Friday, as Houston was outscored 33-19 in the 4th quarter to lose by 9 when we had them at +8. As tough as that is to swallow, I got to go right back with Houston as a similarly priced dog at Memphis on Saturday. Not only are we getting a great price on a Rockets team that is playing way above their current record, but this a huge flat spot for Memphis. The Grizzlies just pulled off a big upset on Thursday, as they defeated the Lakers without both Morant and Brooks. You could see how much that game meant to Memphis. It's going to be near impossible for them to play with that same energy against a team like Houston that no one is getting up to play. Not to mention this will be the Grizzlies 3rd game in 4 nights. The legs just aren't going to be there. Give me the Rockets +8! |
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12-11-21 | Jazz v. Wizards +5 | 123-98 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Wizards +5) I'll roll the dice with the Wizards as a 5-point home dog against the Jazz on Saturday. Most will look to lay the short number with Utah, as the Jazz come into this game having won 6 in a row and last time we saw Utah they destroyed the 76ers 118-96 as a mere 3-point road favorite. I just think it's a bad spot for the Jazz, who will be playing their 4th straight on the road and this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. It's also the last time they will play on the road until after Christmas, so there's reason to be excited about getting this one over and getting on a plane back home. I know the Wizards have slowed down some from their great start to the season, but they snapped a 3-game losing streak last time out and are as healthy as they have been this season. I actually think they win this game outright. Give me Washington +5! |
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