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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-11-18 | Cavs -3 v. Raptors | 99-133 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS MASSACRE (Cavs -3) Last time out the Cavs got embarrassed 99-127 at Minnesota. Any time you have LeBron and Cleveland off an ugly loss like that, it's hard not to like them, not matter who they are playing. Even more so when it's a nationally televised game against an opponent ahead of them in the standings. No question Toronto has been flying under the radar for a good portion of this season, but you are hearing more and more about this team over the last week and I think they are way overvalued here with Kyle Lowry doubtful to play with a back injury and Serge Ibaka out via a suspension. I'm sure the Raptors will play hard at home, I just don't think it will be enough against a rested Cavs team that has had the last 2 days off. Give me Cleveland -3! |
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01-10-18 | Heat v. Pacers -5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pacers -5) I think we are getting an exceptional price here to back the Pacers at home against the Heat. Miami comes in having won 5 straight with the most recent being an upset win at Toronto last night. They won on a last second shot to take down the Raptors 90-89 in a very physical game that saw players ejected. One of which was James Johnson, who is doubtful to suit up tonight because of a looming suspension. They also so guard Tyler Johnson suffer a shoulder injury that has him listed as questionable. Not to mention Justise Winslow and Dion Waiters are both still out with injuries. This is the definition of a letdown game for the Heat, who get a much-needed 3-day break following this contest. Indiana has won two straight in blowout fashion after losing 5 in a row. Both wins have come since Oladipo returned to the lineup and he's the spark plug that gets this team going. Myles Turner isn't expected to play, but Sabonis is more than capable of filling in and I look for Indiana to lay it on Miami tonight. Give me the Pacers -5! |
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01-09-18 | Kings v. Lakers -6.5 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Lakers -6.5) I was on the Lakers in their last game, were they cruised to a 132-113 win at home over Atlanta as a 3.5-point favorite. It came right after all the negative publicity came out with LaVar Ball and how the Lakers' players didn't want to play for Walton. To no surprise, the players rallied around their coach and had one of their best efforts of the season. I think there's a good chance they carry over that attitude and motivation to this game against the Kings, which is why I think it's worth the risk to lay this big of a number on a team that is 1-9 in their last 10 games. Kings aren't any good and are in an ideal letdown spot here off a crushing 100-107 loss last night at home to the Spurs, where they blew a 5-point lead with just 4 minutes to play. I think this could get really ugly in a hurry. Give me the Lakers -6.5! |
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01-08-18 | Rockets v. Bulls +5.5 | 116-107 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Bulls +5.5) I think this is a great spot to jump back on the Bulls, who were just annihilated in their last game at Indiana 86-125. That wasn't a big surprise, at least not to me. Chicago was playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back on the road and the Pacers were 100% locked in after losing 5 straight and extremely motivated getting Oladipo back in the lineup. I think we get a big time effort here from the Bulls at home against the Rockets, even with Houston missing Harden. Rockets are getting a ton of respect, despite the fact that they aren't playing well, as they are just 2-7 in their last 9 games. I think Chicago can keep it close and I like their chances of winning this one outright. Give me the Bulls +5.5! |
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01-08-18 | Bucks v. Pacers -1.5 | 96-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -1.5) Indiana comes in off an impressive 125-86 win at home over the Bulls, but I still think they are way undervalued here due to the fact that they are just 1-5 SU over their last 6. The biggest reason for the Pacers struggles was the absence of leading scorer Victor Oladipo, who had missed the previous 4 games before returning against Chicago and scoring 23 points on 9 of 11 shooting in just 24 minutes. I think this team is going to go on a run here now that he's back and will be an especially good bet at home. Milwaukee gets a ton of love and are off a big win at Washington, but are just 8-10 overall away from home on the season and haven't exactly been able to string together strong performances, as they are just 6-7 in their last 13. This is also the bucks 3rd game in 4 days, while Indiana is playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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01-07-18 | Hawks v. Lakers -3.5 | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT BOOKIE CRUSHER (Lakers -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers winning this one at home over the Hawks by at least 5 points. LA hasn't been playing well, but a tough schedule and significant injuries have played a big part in that. Atlanta's the kind of team you can get right against. While the Hawks are a respectable 10-8 ATS on the road this season, that's because they are usually getting a bunch of points. Atlanta is only 3-17 SU away from home and there's no real excuse for their poor play other than they just don't have much talent to work with. I simply think this game means too much to the Lakers for the Hawks to keep it close. Give me LA -3.5! |
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01-05-18 | Hornets v. Lakers +2.5 | 108-94 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Lakers +2.5) It's been a rough stretch here for the Lakers, who have lost 8 straight, but injuries and a tough stretch in the schedule are to blame for that. LA got back Brook Lopez last game and will get back Lonzo Ball tonight. Say what you want about Ball's scoring struggles, he's a big part of getting this offense going in transition. He was also shooting much better before the injury and I think a lot of that is confidence. I also love the fact that this team is coming off a 37-point loss at home to the Thunder, where Kuzma called out the team's effort. I expect this team to lay it all on the line and the Hornets are definitely a team they can handle. Charlotte is coming off a big win, but are just 4-13 on the road this season. Give me the Lakers +2.5! |
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01-05-18 | Bulls +5 v. Mavs | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Bulls +5) Chicago has failed to cover each of their last two games after a ridiculous stretch that saw the Bulls go 13-1 ATS over a 14 game stretch. While they haven't covered the last two, they have continued to play the same brand of basketball that led to this big turnaround. I think they are definitely worth a look here as a decently priced road dog here against a Mavs team that is in a prime letdown spot after a crushing 122-125 loss at home to the Warriors. Dallas is also just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Chicago on the other hand is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record. Give me the Bulls +5! |
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01-05-18 | Knicks v. Heat -5 | Top | 103-107 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY ( Heat -5) Miami's not a team that gets a ton of hype or love from the media, but this team is quietly sitting at 20-17 despite dealing with a ton of injuries. They are still missing a couple key pieces in Winslow and Waiters, but have more than enough talent here to put away the Knicks at home. Porzingis has came out and flat out said he's tired and I don't see him being rejuvenated here on just 1-day of rest, as this will be the Knicks 3rd game in 4 nights and their 5th road game in the last 6 games overall. Miami is 9-4 over their last 13 and are going to take this one seriously after losing to New York in the last meeting. Heat are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 revenging a same season loss and let's not forget the Knicks are a miserable 3-13 SU on the road this season, where they are getting outscored by just under 10 ppg. Give me Miami -5! |
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01-03-18 | Rockets v. Magic +8 | 116-98 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Magic +8) Houston has no business laying this many points on the road against the Magic with James Harden out with a hamstring injury. Sure they still have Chris Paul and some other really talented players, but Harden is the one guy that makes it all work. Not to mention he was playing at an MVP level. I know the Magic have been struggling of late, but they have got some key guys back from injury and have been playing much better of late. I wouldn't be shocked if the Rockets lost this game outright, which makes this an easy call with the points on the Magic. Give me Orlando +8! |
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01-02-18 | Blazers +8 v. Cavs | 110-127 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers +8) Isaiah Thomas is going to make his Cavs debut tonight and there's a lot of excitement for this game. A lot of people think Thomas is going to take this team to the next level. I'm not so sure about that, as he was at his best with the ball in his hand and he's not going to be able to take over like he did with how much the ball is in Lebron's hands. On top of that, it's going to take time for him to adjust and he's likely not going to play a ton tonight. It also throws the roles off for a lot of other guys, who are going to get their minutes cut back. With Lillard probable for Portland, I think they hang around and keep this close and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Give me the Blazers +8! |
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12-31-17 | 76ers -3 v. Suns | 123-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (76ers -3) The 76ers come in off an impressive 107-102 win at Denver on Friday without Embiid, handing the Nuggets just their 4th home loss of the season. Embiid will return for the second leg of their back-to-back tonight against the Suns and I'll gladly take my chances here with Philadelphia laying just 3-points. I just don't see this team suffering a letdown here, as they can't afford to keep losing with a 16-19 record. They also have revenge on their minds here, as they got it handed to them by the Suns 115-101 at home earlier this month. Embiid even came out and said, "We took them lightly, and we paid for it." I don't see them making the same mistake twice. Phoenix has won 5 of 7, which is why I think we are getting value here. The thing is the run has been more of a result of a soft schedule, with two of those wins coming against the Grizzlies, one against the Kings, and one against the Mavs. They are also are just 6-13 at home, compared to 8-10 on the road (allowing 112.2 ppg at home). Give me the 76ers -3! |
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12-30-17 | Spurs -4 v. Pistons | 79-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Spurs laying a short number here on the road against the Pistons. San Antonio is starting gain even more steam, as Kawhi Leonard has returned the lineup. He sat out the last game, but is expected to go in this one. Last game for Leonard was easily his best, as he scored 21 points in 26 mins. The other big key here besides the Spurs being the better team is the Pistons are hurting right now. They have been without Avery Bradley for a while and just recently lost starting point guard Reggie Jackson. In their first game without Jackson, they lost 89-102 at Orlando against a Magic team that had been playing terrible. They just don't have a great option behind Jackson at the point and I just don't see them being able to generate enough offense against a Spurs defense that only gives up 97.5 ppg. Also, Detroit's leading scorer Tobias Harris will be matched up here against Leonard, who is one of the best defenders in the game. Give me the Spurs -4! |
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12-29-17 | Pacers v. Bulls -2.5 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Bulls -2.5) I've had a ton of success backing the Bulls lately and will gladly take Chicago as a short home favorite in Friday's contest with the Pacers. Chicago has simply been a different team since Portis and most notably Mirotic have returned to the lineup. The Bulls are 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS ATS since Mirotic made his 2017 debut on 12/8 against the Hornets. This team is finally looking like what we expected to see when Hoiberg took over, as they have 3-point shooters all over the floor and are a much deeper team than people realize. Indiana is a good team, but the Pacers are going to be without their best player tonight in Oladipo, who is the big reason why this team has been able to start out 19-16 after trading away Paul George. Oladipo leads the team with 24.9 ppg and is also one of their better defensive players. No other player on the team averages more than 15 ppg. Last time out they managed just 94 points at home against the Mavs without him and in the previous game against Detroit they only had 83 when he played just 26 minutes and scored just 13 points. He also missed a game earlier this season against Boston and Indiana scored just 98. I just don't see the Pacers keeping pace in this one. Give me the Bulls -2.5! |
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12-28-17 | Wolves v. Bucks -3.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Bucks -3.5) I think we are getting an outstanding price to back the Bucks at home tonight against the Timberwolves. This is an awful spot for Minnesota, who just played an over-time game last night against the Nuggets, where all 5 starters logged at least 30 minutes, with Wiggins, Gibson and Butler all playing at least 40. This is also the Timberwolves 3rd game in 4 nights and they likely won't have point guard Jeff Teague, who left in the 4th quarter with a knee injury and is getting an MRI today. The only reason this line is as low as it is, is because Minnesota comes in having won 5 straight and the Bucks enter having lost 5 of 7. It's been a tough stretch for the Bucks and I think we are seeing a big overreaction to them losing to the Bulls. Chicago's one of the hottest teams in the league right now. I expect an all-out effort from Milwaukee tonight and I just don't see the Timberwolves having the energy to keep this one competitive. Give me the Bucks -3.5! |
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12-27-17 | Knicks v. Bulls -1.5 | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Bulls -1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago at basically a pick'em at home against the Knicks. I think we are seeing a favorable line here because the Bulls are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but what people are overlooking is now that Chicago is healthy they have a very balanced and deep roster that goes 10 deep. Not a single player played more than 34 minutes and they had 2 days off before that game. The Knicks have got off to a great start thanks to their play at home and the majority of their games early being at home. New York is just 2-10 SU and 4-8 ATS on the road this season and already lost at Chicago once this year. The Knicks are also still without one of their biggest weapons in Tim Hardaway Jr., who is the only player besides Porzingis that is averaging more than 15 ppg on the season. Another big key here is the 3-ball. One of the reasons Chicago has taken off is they are shooting it well from deep and they are facing a Knicks team that is allowing opponents to hit 37% from behind the arc on the road this season. Give me the Bulls -1.5! |
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12-27-17 | Raptors v. Thunder -4 | Top | 107-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -4) It took a little longer than expected, but Oklahoma City is finally starting to play up to their potential with the Big 3 of Westbrook, Anthony and George. The Thunder come in having won 4 straight and are 11-3 in their last 14 overall. Even when they weren't playing great, they tended to show up against big time opponents and the Raptors are certainly a team that will have their full attention. Toronto had their 6-game winning streak snapped last night in Dallas, as they shot a miserable 33.7% from the field. That's now 3 straight games where they have shot under 42% and now they are on no rest and against a superior team. One other thing to point out with the Raptors and their recent run is they have played a very favorable schedule. I believe it's keeping this line a lot lower than it should be. Give me the Thunder -4! |
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12-22-17 | Wizards -5 v. Nets | 84-119 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -5) I think this we are getting a great price and it's well worth the risk to back the Wizards as a short favorite on the road against the Nets. Washington has underperformed so far with a 17-14 record, but a big reason for that is they have had numerous injuries, including big ones to the likes of star point guard John Wall. He's back healthy and coming off his best game since returning last time out in their 116-106 win over the Pelicans. I think this is a game that Washington will be extremely motivated to win, as they just lost in Brooklyn a couple weeks ago 98-103 (Wall didn't play). The Wizards also are well rested, as they come in on 2 days of rest and are playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days. Brooklyn on the other hand has struggled big time here of late, losing 4 straight and all 4 games have seen them fall behind by double-digits. After this game the Nets have to leave to play at Indiana to start a 5-game road trip and I just don't think we get a great effort from them in this one. Give me the Wizards -5! |
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12-20-17 | Magic v. Bulls -5 | Top | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls -5) I've been on the Bulls bandwagon a lot here during their surprising 6-game winning streak and I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a short home favorite against a struggling Magic team that has lost 5 straight and are expected to be without 2 of their best players in Aaron Gordon and Evan Fournier. I think the perception here is that this run by the Bulls is a fluke, as they were just 3-20 prior to their recent 6-game run. While I don't think they can sustain this success, I do think they are a drastically different team right now. They had a ton of key guys either suspended or injured early on, most notably Nikola Mirotic, whose only 6 games he's played all season have come during this 6-game win streak, in which he's averaged 20.3 ppg, scoring 22+ in each of his last 4. I think the run continues here. Give me the Bulls -5! |
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12-19-17 | Kings v. 76ers -8 | 101-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (76ers -8) I played against the 76ers and won last night with the Bulls, but I got no problem jumping on Philadelphia tonight at home against the Kings. A big reason I went against the 76ers last night is they were resting Joel Embiid, who is their most important player. He's back in the lineup tonight and I think we get a huge effort from the home team, as the 76ers desperately need a win after losing 6 of their last 7. Sacramento is the perfect team to get back on track against. The Kings are a miserable 4-13 on the road, where they are losing by an average of 12.3 ppg. This is also a bit of a revenge spot for Philadelphia, as they lost a heartbreaker 108-109 in Sacramento back in early November. Give me the 76ers -8! |
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12-18-17 | Warriors v. Lakers +6.5 | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Lakers +6.5) I'll take my chances with the Lakers catching 6.5-points at home against the Warriors on Monday. LA lost their last 2 but played really well in both games, losing in OT at New York and by just 9 at Cleveland in a game that was much closer than the final. Lonzo Ball is starting to get more confidence on offense and this team is going to play their hearts out tonight in front of what will be an electric crowd, as they honor the great Kobe Bryant. At the same time, this is a banged up Warriors team right now. Golden State won't have Curry, Green, Livingston or Pachulia for this game and I could also see them coming out a bit flat after a 3-day break over the weekend (haven't played since last Thursday). Give me the Lakers +6.5! |
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12-18-17 | 76ers v. Bulls +2.5 | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Bulls +2.5) I've cashed in multiple tickets on the Bulls during their 5-game winning streak and will take my chances with Chicago at home tonight against the 76ers, who will be without Joel Embiid, who is sitting out for rest. I just feel that the Bulls were so bad early on this season that they are still undervalued despite the fact that they are playing their best basketball of the season. At the same time, I don't think people realize just how much Embiid means to this 76ers team. I also don't like how Simmons has been playing of late, as he's really struggled to find any sort of rhythm offensively. We saw the Bulls crush a short-handed Celtics team at home 108-85 recently and I think we could see another blowout win here. Give me Chicago +2.5! |
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12-16-17 | Bucks +11.5 v. Rockets | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bucks +11.5) I'll take my chances here with Milwaukee catching double-digits against the Rockets on Saturday. I think we are seeing a big overreaction to the results of these two teams from last night. The Bucks lost at home as a 8.5-point favorite against the Bulls, while Houston annihilated the Spurs as an 8-point home favorite. I know the Rockets are playing exceptional basketball right now, but this is a lot of points against a good Milwaukee team. I also think this could be a bit of a flat spot for Houston off that nationally televised game on ESPN against the Spurs. I also think there's an outside shot the Rockets could decide to rest Harden, who went down hard and tweaked his knee in that win over San Antonio. Either way, I like Milwaukee to keep this within the number. Give me the Bucks +11.5! |
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12-15-17 | Bulls +8.5 v. Bucks | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Bulls +8.5) I've been on the Bulls quite a bit here of late. I cashed in on them in each of their last two games at home against the Celtics and Jazz, where they won both outright as 5.5-point dogs. Chicago has now won 4 straight and given they are 7-20 on the season, they are clearly playing their best basketball. A big reason for that is the return of Nikola Mirotic to the lineup. I'll take my chances here with this team keeping it rolling and at least keeping it close enough to cover against division rival Milwaukee. Bucks are 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 division games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 on Friday. Give me the Bulls +8.5! |
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12-15-17 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -6 | 94-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies -6) The Grizzlies have lost 5 straight and are a mere 1-16 in their last 17 games, yet are laying 6-points here against the Hawks. This line stinks and I'm going to jump on Memphis because of it. There is reason to like the Grizzlies here. While wins have been hard to come by, they are 4-3 ATS in their last 7. At the same time, the Hawks are arguably the worst team in the league. Atlanta is also just 3-12 on the road this season. Another factor here favoring Memphis is they are catching the Hawks in a really bad scheduling spot. Atlanta is not only playing on no rest after hosting Detroit last night, but they are playing their 3rd game in the last 4 days and 5th in the last 7. This is the ideal flat spot for the Hawks and we should get a big time effort here from Memphis. Give me the Grizzlies -6! |
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12-15-17 | Thunder v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -1.5) OKC comes in off a big win on the road over the Pacers and I think that's keeping this line lower than it should be. That was a huge game for the Thunder, as they desperately wanted to leave Indiana with a win in Paul George's first road game against his former team. I also think there's still a lot of problems with this OKC team. The offense has been dreadful. They shot just 41% in the win over the Pacers and have under 43% in 4 straight and 8 of their last 10. The 76ers are the real deal with Embiid and Simmons leading the way and I think they get the big win here at home. Give me the 76ers -1.5! |
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12-14-17 | Lakers +9.5 v. Cavs | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers +9.5) I like what I have seen from this Lakers team here over their last few games. It all started with that 107-104 win at the 76ers last Thursday as a 8.5-point road dog. They followed that up two days later with a 110-99 win at Charlotte. They did lose last time out at New York, but it came in OT. LA was only 2-8 on the road prior to this 3-game stretch, so that tells you a lot about how good they are playing. I know Cleveland is rolling right now, but the Cavs are way overpriced because of it. Another thing is that even when Cleveland has jumped on teams early, they keep letting them back in it late. Their last game at home against the Hawks is a prime example, as they were up 20+ late in the 3rd and ended up only winning by 9. LA is playing much better than Atlanta and I think they give LeBron and the Cavs a big scare here. Give me the Lakers +9.5! |
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12-13-17 | Jazz v. Bulls +5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Bulls +5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago catching a decent number here against the Jazz. The Bulls come in having won 3 straight and are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 (covered 4 straight). Needless to say this team is playing their best basketball of the season and a big reason for that is they got back key pieces like Portis and Mirotic. Last time out in their 23-point win over the Celtics, those two combined for 47 points. Boston didn't have Irving, but that's still a pretty big win given how well Boston has been playing regardless of who is in their lineup. Rookie Lauri Markkanen is questionable but he also didn't play in the last game. With or without him, I think the Bulls cover this number. Let's also not forget the Jazz aren't playing well right now. They have lost 3 straight and are just 2-9 on the road this season. Take Chicago! |
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12-13-17 | Bucks v. Pelicans -1.5 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
50* NBA SHARP MONEY GAME OF THE MONTH (Pelicans -1.5) While it came in a losing effort, I was really impressed with what I saw from New Orleans in their most recent game against the Rockets. That was without All-Pro Anthony Davis in the lineup. He's listed as questionable for tonight, but he was quoted saying "feels good and should be able to go" so I expect him to play. Even if he doesn't, I still like the Pelicans at basically a pick'em at home. Rajon Rondo is finally back to full strength and playing big minutes. He's the floor general this team needs. I think they are due to go on a nice run here once Davis is back to form. Bucks are a good team and haven't played since Saturday. Sometimes long layoffs aren't a good thing, especially when a team is playing well. Milwaukee had won 3 straight and were 6-1 in their last 7 before having to sit around for 3 days. Bucks are 1-8-1 ATS l10 when playing on 3 or more days of rest.  I think they come out flat here. Give me the Pelicans -1.5! |
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12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons -6 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons -6) I'll take my chances here with Detroit at home against the Nuggets. The Pistons come in having lost 6 straight and I think we are seeing them undervalued because of it. While they haven't played great during this stretch, a lot of teams would be 0-6 if they had to play the Wizards, 76ers, Spurs and Bucks on the road and then face the Warriors and Celtics at home. What this recent stretch does is all but guarantee a max effort here at home against the Nuggets and I just don't see Denver being able to put up much of a fight, as they are still without two of their best players in Jokic and Millsap. The Nuggets are also a miserable 4-10 on the road this season, where they are giving up 111.3 ppg. It might not show given the brutal schedule of late, but the Pistons are a legit defensive team and can be really tough to score on at home. I think this gets ugly early and Detroit cruises to a double-digit win. Give me the Pistons -6! |
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12-11-17 | Celtics v. Bulls +7.5 | 85-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Bulls +7.5) Chicago had lost 10 straight and were just 1-15 over their previous 16 games before they went on the road and beat the Hornets 119-111 on Friday. They followed that up by defeating the Knicks 104-102 on Saturday. I still think this team is flying under the radar, especially here at home against such a big public team like Boston. The thing with Chicago is that while they weren't winning many games, they were extremely competitive most nights. Now that they are finally getting healthy we are seeing this team play much better and I think they will continue to be a good team to back going forward. Give me the Bulls +7.5! |
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12-09-17 | Magic v. Hawks -4 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hawks -4) Love this spot here with Atlanta as a short home favorite against the Magic. These two teams just played on Wednesday. Orlando won that matchup 110-106 in OT. Revenge is best served in the NBA on short notice and I expect a big effort here from the Hawks, who are going to be fresh coming off 2 days of rest. While Atlanta didn't play since these two teams last met, Orlando had to play Denver last night at home, which they lost 89-103. I just don't see the Magic having enough in the tank here to keep this one close, especially given they are going to be without two of their top players in Aaron Gordon and Evan Fournier. Point guard D.J. Augustin is also questionable here. Give me the Hawks -4! |
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12-08-17 | Celtics v. Spurs -2 | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ESPN ATS NO BRAINER (Spurs -2) I just think this is too good of a price to pass up on San Antonio at home. It doesn't matter who the Spurs put on the court, this team is going to compete at a high level and they have started out the season 17-8 without a single game from their best player in Kawhi Leonard. While they have had some struggles on the road, they have been exceptional at home, going 12-2 and outscoring teams by nearly 7 ppg. Boston comes in at 22-4 and are simply way overvalued by the books right now. As good as this team is, they should be a bigger dog here. Spurs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games, 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games played on Friday and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs the Eastern Conference. Give me the Spurs -2! |
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12-08-17 | Warriors v. Pistons +6 | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Pistons +6) Golden State was able to win and cover without the injured Steph Curry in their last game, as the defeated the Hornets in Charlotte 101-87 as a mere 3-point favorite. I think it has them a bit overvalued here on the road against what should be a pissed off Pistons team that comes in having just gone 0-4 on their 4 game road trip, which it's worth noting was not an easy trip, as they had to play the Wizards, 76ers, Spurs and Bucks. Now they return home where they are a dominant 8-2 on the season. With this being the final game of a 6-game road trip for the Warriors and a much-needed 2-day break looming before their next game, I think we see a flat Golden State team tonight. Give me the Pistons +6! |
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12-06-17 | Nuggets v. Pelicans -5 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans -5) I think we are getting a good price here on New Orleans at home, even with Anthony Davis not expected to play. Denver has been a completely different team on the road than they have at home this year. The Nuggets are 10-2 SU and 7-5 ATS at home, compared to just 3-8 SU and 2-9 ATS on the road. It doesn't figure to get any better for Denver here as they won't have Jokic or Millsap. I just don't see how they stop Boogie Cousins from going off here and the defense has been lacking on the road, where they give up a staggering 110.9 ppg. Give me the Pelicans -5! |
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12-06-17 | Bulls +10 v. Pacers | 96-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Bulls +10) The Bulls come in owning the worst record in the league at 3-19 and have lost 9 straight. Last time out they lost by 22 as a 8.5-point home dog to the Cavs. Needless to say, the public wants nothing to do with this team and as a result it has the Pacers way overvalued here at home against a team they could easily overlook given their huge home game looming on Friday against Cleveland. Keep in mind that while the Bulls have lost 9 straight, they have been competitive in the majority of those games, as 6 of the 9 losses have come by 7-points or less. I think they put a big scare into the Pacers tonight and wouldn't be shocked if the pulled off the upset. Give me the Bulls +10! |
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12-06-17 | Hawks v. Magic -6 | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic -6) I think now is the time to jump back on the Magic, as they have shown some signs here of late of returning to that form that got them off to that strong start. More than anything, they are playing at home against one of the league's worst teams in the Hawks, who have won just 5 games all season. Note that the Magic get to host Atlanta in their next game on Saturday, which I think takes away some of the edge they would have come to play with here. More than anything, I just think we are going to get a max effort here from Orlando and that should be more than enough to win here by double-digits. Give me the Magic -6! |
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12-05-17 | Wizards v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 106-92 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Blazers -5.5) The absence of John Wall finally hit this Wizards team in last night's game at Utah. Washington was a complete no show in a 69-116 loss at the Jazz and now have to turn around on no rest and play a highly motivated Blazers team that is looking to avoid losing 3 straight. I don't think it's as ugly as it was last night for the Wizards, but I also don't see them keeping this one close. Give me the Blazers -5.5! |
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12-04-17 | Nuggets v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -2.5) The Mavs aren't a great team, but they are simply not getting enough respect here at home against a Nuggets team that is just 3-7 on the road and down two of their best players in Nikola Jokic and Paul Milsap. Jokic is simply too big of a loss to overcome on the road. Denver was able to beat the Lakers 115-100 at home in their last game, but that's actually a positive for us here, as the Nuggets are a miserable 0-7 ATS in their last 7 off a win by 10 points. Give me the Mavs -2.5! |
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12-04-17 | Nets +1 v. Hawks | 110-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Nets +1) I was on the wrong side of the Nets 102-114 loss at home to the Hawks on Saturday, but will happily back them again here as a dog in Atlanta in the rematch of this home-and-home series. The team that loses the first game in these matchups has big edge in the rematch and on top of that I think the Nets are the much better team. Atlanta also hasn't won back-to-back once all season. In fact, they haven't even won 2 of 3 during any stretch of the year. Give me the Nets +1! |
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12-02-17 | Hawks v. Nets -4.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nets -4.5) Brooklyn has quietly been playing well and I'll gladly back them at home against this awful Hawks team. The Nets are just 3-4 SU over their last 7, but have covered all 7 of those games. Good chance here if Brooklyn wins they cover with this short line. Atlanta has won just 4 times all season and are coming off a home game against the Cavs where they played their hearts out. They actually led at the half and wound up losing by just 7. I think that strong showing is keeping this line lower than it should be. I don't see the Hawks playing with that same energy on the road. Keep in mind that these two teams play in Atlanta on Monday, which is even more reason for the Hawks to not show up here. Give me The Nets -4.5! |
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12-01-17 | Pistons -1.5 v. Wizards | 91-109 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -1.5) I love the value here with Detroit laying a short number on the road against the Wizards, who continue to play without their best player in point guard John Wall. Washington was able to cover in each of their first two games without Wall, rallying late to stun the Timberwolves on the road 92-89 and had a late push in a 5-point loss to the 76ers as a 7-point dog. I just don't think they can continue to play well without Wall and this will definitely be a tough spot, as they are playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. This is also a really good Pistons team, who I think is still flying under the radar despite their strong start. Detroit has won 3 straight, which includes road wins over both the Thunder and Celtics. Give me the Pistons -1.5! |
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11-30-17 | Bucks v. Blazers -3 | 103-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Blazers -3) Two evenly matched teams here in terms of overall talent, but I just think there's a big home court edge with Portland in this prime time game that will be televised on NBA TV. I also think the Blazers are playing the much better basketball right now. While the Bucks come in off a blowout win over the Kings, Sacramento was playing on no rest and off that huge upset win over the Warriors, putting them in an ideal letdown spot. Milwaukee is still just 2-3 in their last 5 and simply not a great road team. Portland on the other hand has won 3 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9. Give me the Blazers -3! |
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11-29-17 | Hornets v. Raptors -7.5 | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Raptors -7.5) The Raptors haven't been getting a ton of love early on and while they are just 12-7 overall, they have been nearly unbeatable on their home court, where they are 6-1. Not that they have also 12 of their 19 games on the road to this point, which is a big reason why they don't have a better record. I look for them to have no problem here at home against the Hornets, who are just 1-8 on the road and will be without their best playmaker in Kemba Walker. Give me the Raptors -7.5! |
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11-29-17 | Wizards v. 76ers -5 | 113-118 | Push | 0 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (76ers -5) I like Philadelphia here as a short home favorite against the Wizards on Wednesday, regardless if Ben Simmons suits up for the 76ers. Washington pulled off a stunner last night, beating the Timberwolves on the road 92-89 without John Wall. Wizards had to make a really big run in the 2nd half to get that win. Now they are being asked to play on no rest against a pissed off 76ers team that just got embarrassed on their home floor in their last game by the Cavs. Keep in mind that Washington was already a thin team before the Wall injury, plus that's just not a player you can be without an expect to win a lot of games. Another key factor here is revenge, as the 76ers lost a closely fought battle 115-120 at Washington in the first week of the season. Give me Philadelphia -5! |
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11-28-17 | Heat +5 v. Cavs | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat +5) The Heat are worth a look here as a short road dog against the Cavs on Tuesday. No question that Cleveland has been playing better here of late, as they come in having won 8 straight. The most recent coming last night in Philadelphia, where it was clear LeBron was out to send a message to the upstart 76ers team. What people are overlooking here is Cleveland isn't really built to play on no rest, as they are one of the oldest teams in the league. The last two times they played on no rest they lost 95-114 at home to the Knicks and 107-112 at Brooklyn. I don't think another outright loss is out of the question here, as Miami is playing well and come in having won 3 straight with each of the last two coming on the road. Give me the Heat +5! |
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11-27-17 | Lakers +4.5 v. Clippers | 115-120 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO BRAINER (Lakers +4.5) I actually think the wrong team is favored in this one. These two teams opened he season against each other and the Clippers won 108-92 as a 6-point road favorite. That was part of an impressive start for LAC, who opened up 4-0. Since then, injuries have caught up to the Clippers and they are just 3-11 over their last 14. No question that the Lakers are a work in progress, but this young team has shown some flashes and there's no question they are going to be extremely motivated here to get revenge against their rivals. On top of that, LAL has a huge advantage here in terms of rest, as they have had the last 4 days off leading up to this game. Clippers on the other hand just played Saturday, which concluded a 5-game road trip. It was also their 8th road game in their last 9 overall. I think they struggle here to keep up with the fast-paced LAL attack. Give me the Lakers +4.5! |
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11-27-17 | Pistons +7 v. Celtics | Top | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons +7) The Celtics are a ridiculous 18-1 SU and 16-2-1 ATS over their last 19 games. As difficult as it is to against teams on this kind of a run, I think Boston is way overvalued in tonight's matchup against a very good Pistons team. Detroit has quietly started the season 12-6 and are an impressive 7-2 ATS in their 9 road games, which includes outright wins over the likes of the Warriors, Timberwolves and Thunder. I fully expect the Pistons to give the Celtics all they can handle in this one and wouldn't be shocked if they added Boston to their list of top teams they have knocked off on the road. It's also worth noting Detroit is playing on 2 days of rest and are 10-4 ATS in this spot. They are also a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the Pistons +7! |
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11-25-17 | Magic +6.5 v. 76ers | 111-130 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +6.5) I'll take the points here with Orlando against the 76ers on Saturday. Philadelphia won't have the services of Ben Simmons, who is out with a elbow injury. That's a huge loss for this team, as Simmons is the main reason they have taken their play to the next level. I know the Magic haven't been playing great, but I think we see them snap out of their funk here and potentially win this game outright. Orlando failed to cover last night in a loss to the Celtics, but that's a positive when it comes to this game, as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 off a game in which they didn't cover the spread. 76ers have also had trouble playing up to their potential at home against bad teams, as they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Magic +6.5! |
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11-24-17 | Hornets +5.5 v. Cavs | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets +5.5) With Cleveland coming in having won 6 straight, just about everyone is going to be on the Cavs here as a short home favorite, but I'm going the other way and taking the Hornets to keep this close enough to cover and maybe even win outright. Charlotte has been playing much better of late, as they come in having won 3 straight and they will be out for revenge from a 107-115 loss at home to the Cavs back on 11/15. Hornets are just 1-7 on the road, but 6 of those 7 losses have come by 8-points or less, so it's not as bad as the record would indicate. Cleveland is just 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 home games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Give me the Hornets +5.5! |
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11-24-17 | Knicks v. Hawks +2 | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS SHOCKER (Hawks +2) Just about everyone is on the Knicks in this one, which has me looking the other way and willing to take a shot here with the Hawks as a small home dog. New York's 10-7 start to the season is a bit misleading, as they have benefited from playing the majority of their games at home. They are just 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS in the 5 road games they have played and with a much bigger game on deck tomorrow at Houston, I think we see the Knicks come out flat and Atlanta gets a rare win. Give me the Hawks +2! |
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11-24-17 | Magic +8 v. Celtics | 103-118 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Magic +8) I'll take the points here with Orlando against the Celtics. While Boston's 16-game winning streak came to an end on Wednesday at Miami, they are still being way overvalued because of that run. I love to go against teams who just lost for the first time after a big win streak, especially when they are laying a big number like they are here against the Magic. Orlando hit a rough stretch, but showed some signs of getting back to their early form with an OT loss at Minnesota last time out. I think they could catch the Celtics sleepwalking and win this one outright. Give me Orlando +8! |
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11-22-17 | Bucks -5.5 v. Suns | 113-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bucks -5.5) I love this spot for Milwaukee, as we can bank on a big time effort here from the Bucks after getting embarrassed in each of their last two games. Not to mention this one means a little extra for Milwaukee's new point guard in Eric Bledsoe, as he came over from Phoenix a few weeks ago. The Suns have won 2 straight, but are still just 3-7 in their last 10. Phoenix has the potential to sneak up on teams, but I don't give them much of a chance here against a focused and highly motivated Milwaukee team. Give me the Bucks -5.5! |
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11-22-17 | Raptors -4 v. Knicks | 100-108 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -4) I just think the Knicks are getting too much respect here against the Raptors at home. Toronto is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now, as they have won and covered each of their last 4, which includes a 107-84 beatdown against these Knicks as a 7.5-point favorite. New York has done a nice job beating the bottom-tier teams, but are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record and 1-6 in their last 7 vs a team with a winning percentage above 60%. Give me the Raptors -4! |
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11-20-17 | Wolves v. Hornets -2 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hornets -2) Charlotte put an end to their 6-game losing streak in a big way, defeating the Clippers 102-87 at home on Saturday as a 5-point favorite. I look for the Hornets to carry over that momentum with another comfortable win at home against the Timberwolves. Minnesota is in a tough spot here playing on no rest after last night's 97-100 defeat at home the Pistons. All 5 starters logged 30+ minutes with Wiggins, Butler, Teague and Towns all playing 38 or more. This is also a big revenge game for Charlotte, who lost 94-112 at Minnesota earlier this month. Give me the Hornets -2! |
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11-15-17 | Wizards v. Heat -1 | 102-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Heat -1) I'll gladly back the Heat here at just a pick'em at home against the Wizards. Miami has has Washington's number, as they have won each of the last 5 meetings in the series and both home wins during this stretch have come by at least 8 points. Wizards simply getting too much respect here due to the fact they have won and covered each of their last 3 games and the perception that they are a top tier team in the east. I just don't see that big of gap between these two and this is a tough spot for Washington, who has played just 1 road game in the month of November. Give me the Heat -1! |
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11-14-17 | Raptors +6.5 v. Rockets | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Raptors +6.5) I think this is a good spot to go against the red-hot Rockets, as I feel the line has been inflated quite a bit here against a good Raptors team that has proven they can compete against the big boys on the road. Toronto is also the fresher team in this contest. The Raptors are playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days, while Houston is playing for the 3rd time in 4 nights. Rockets have won 6 straight, but a lot of those victories came against bad teams. Toronto played Houston tough in both meetings last year and won by 13 on the road in their lone meeting in Houston. Raptors come in having failed to cover 4 straight, which is another big reason why this number is what it is, but it puts Toronto in a great spot historically, as they are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 after a stretch where they failed to cover 4 of their last 5. Rockets are also just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games against a team from the Eastern Conference and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 at home against good shooting teams like Toronto who are hitting 46% or better from the field. Give me the Raptors +6.5! |
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11-13-17 | 76ers +2 v. Clippers | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (76ers +2) I think this is a great spot to jump on the young upstart 76ers, who are going to be locked in after back-to-back losses following that 5-game winning streak. This might seem like a short number for them to be getting on the road, but that's because this is not the same Clippers team that we saw to start the season. LA is down 3 starters, including two key pieces in Patrick Beverley and Danilo Gallinari. It's why the Clippers come in having lost 5 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. I'll take my chances the poor play continues here against a more talented Philadelphia team. Give me the 76ers +2! |
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11-11-17 | Clippers v. Pelicans -6.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans -6.5) The Clippers are down 3 players who started for them in their opener, including two really big pieces in forward Danilo Gallinari and point guard Patrick Beverly. LA had to start rookie 2nd round pick Sindarius Thornwell at the point in last night's 111-120 loss to the OKC. I just think the Clippers are going to be gassed here on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back after playing their hearts out short-handed in their last 2 against the Spurs and thunder. On the flip side, New Orleans has been playing well, taking 3 of their last 4, and just missed out on a win at Toronto last time out. I think they are going to be the much fresher and more motivated team in this one. Give me the Pelicans -6.5! |
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11-10-17 | Heat v. Jazz -3.5 | 84-74 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -3.5) Utah is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Heat. I believe the Jazz are being way undervalued by the books in this one due to the fact that they have lost 3 straight. That losing streak combined with 2 days of rest coming into this game is a big reason why I'm backing Utah here, as I expect a max effort. Miami on the other hand has to be running on fumes right now, as they are now playing their 5th straight road game out west and their 4th game in the last 6 days. The thin air of Utah is one place you don't want to play with tired legs and I think this has a clunker written all over it for the Heat, who are getting a little too much respect for covering 3 of their last 4. Give me the Jazz -3.5! |
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11-09-17 | 76ers -6 v. Kings | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -6) I'll gladly back the 76ers at this price against the Kings on Thursday. Philadelphia has won 5 straight and the most recent was an impressive 104-97 win at Utah with Embiid sitting out due to rest. He's back and I look for the 76ers to make easy work of one of the worst teams in the league. Sacramento is also primed for the picking here, as they come in off a huge win over the Thunder in their last game. I believe that was more of OKC's lack of focus and effort than anything to get excited about with the Kings moving forward. Keep in mind they trailed in that game by 17 points and prior to the victory had lost each of their previous 7 games and all but 1 of those came by at least 7 points. Philadelphia is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team with a losing record, 6-1 ATS when facing a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games when facing a team with a losing home record. Give me the 76ers -6! |
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11-07-17 | 76ers v. Jazz -7 | 104-97 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS NO BRAINER (Jazz -7) I've been on the 76ers early and often this season, but I think this is the ideal spot to fade Philadelphia. The big key here is that Joel Embiid is going to sit this game out to rest. It will be the second time Embiid has sat out for rest and the first wasn't pretty for the 76ers, as they lost by 34 at Toronto (94-128). They also won't have starting guard Jerryd Bayless, who is averaging in double-figures and one of their better 3-point shooters. Philadelphia does still have Ben Simmons, but I think he could struggle here against a stingy Utah defense that has the best interior defender in the league in Rudy Robert. Keep in mind almost all of Simmons offense has come at the basket, as he's not made a single 3-point basket (0 for 5). It's also a lot harder to drive when Embiid isn't drawing the opposing big men out of the paint. This is also a very good Jazz team that is more than capable of beating Philadelphia at home with Embiid on the floor. Utah is 5-1 on their home floor this season, where they are holding opponents to just 94.2 ppg. I just don't see enough offense here for the 76ers to keep this close. Give me the Jazz -7! |
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11-07-17 | Hornets v. Knicks | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Knicks -110) New York has quietly been playing some really good basketball and I just don't think they are getting the respect they deserve here at home against Charlotte. The Hornets have been two different teams depending on the location of the game, as they are 4-1 at home, compared to 1-4 on the road. Charlotte is also missing some key guys to injury, which I think gets overlooked cause they aren't superstars. Knicks are 5-1 over their last 6 games with the only loss coming against one of the best teams in Houston. They are riding the outstanding play of Porzingis, who is 2nd in the NBA at 30.2 ppg. He's scored 30 or more in 5 of the Knicks last 6 games. Hornets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs a team with a wining record. Give me the red-hot Knicks! |
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11-07-17 | Pelicans v. Pacers | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (PACERS -110) I'll gladly back the Pacers here at basically a pick'em at home against the Pelicans. Indiana comes in off back-to-back losses, but both of those came on the road. I look for a big effort here at home against New Orleans, where they are 3-1 on the season. Indiana might not have Paul George anymore, but don't let that fool you into thinking this isn't a quality team. The Pacers have a lot more talent on their roster than they get credit for. Pelicans are the exact opposite. They have two stars in Davis and Cousins, but the team as a whole isn't that great. They come in with an impressive 4-2 road record, but those 4 road wins have come against the Lakers, Kings, Mavs and Bulls. This is also a tough spot for New Orleans, playing their 3rd straight on the road. Give me the Pacers! |
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11-06-17 | Nets +1.5 v. Suns | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Nets +1.5) I absolutely love this spot for Brooklyn. The Nets are going to come out extremely motivated to get a win after losing 4 straight. They will also be out for revenge, as they lost 114-122 at home to the Suns last Tuesday. That's not the only factors that have me liking Brooklyn. The Nets have a huge edge in terms of rest here, as they come in fresh off 2 days of rest (only 2nd game in the month of November), while the Suns are in the second game of a back-to-back and just concluded a 5-game road trip that started back on 10/28 yesterday at San Antonio. Suns are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a losing record and an identical 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Give me Brooklyn +1.5! |
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11-03-17 | Bucks v. Pistons -1.5 | Top | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Pistons -1.5) I feel like this is a great spot to back Detroit as a slim home favorite against the Bucks. The Pistons are coming off a clunker in their last game, which saw them lose 93-113 on the road to the Lakers. However, that was to be executed given they were coming off two huge road wins against the Clippers and Warriors. They just didn't have the right mindset against LA. That's a positive for us here, as we can bank on the Pistons bouncing back with a big effort at home, especially with this being against a division opponent. Milwaukee gets a ton of love because of how great a player Antetokounmpo is, but there's not a ton of talent around him. They are also still without Jabari Parker and recently lost big man Greg Monroe. I expect defense to be the difference in this one. Detroit is only giving up 96 ppg at home, while the Bucks are allowing 110.7 ppg on the road. Give me the Pistons -1.5! |
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11-01-17 | Blazers v. Jazz -3.5 | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -3.5) Utah simply isn't getting the respect they deserve early won this season and a lot of that has to do with the perception that they aren't going to be any good after losing Hayward to the Celtics. That starting 5 is sneaky good and more than anything they have the ability to lock down defensively and take teams out of the comfort zones by slowing down the game. Utah is a perfect 4-0 at home, where they are winning by an average of 12.3 ppg and that includes victories over the Nuggets, Thunder and Lakers. Portland has lost 3 of 5 and failed to cover 3 straight. Give me the Jazz -3.5! |
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11-01-17 | Hawks v. 76ers -8 | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (76ers -8) This might seem like a big number for Philadelphia to be laying, but I really like the 76ers in this spot, as they are going to be extremely motivated to get that first home win of the season. On top of that, I think Philadelphia is better than expected, as Ben Simmons is playing at an elite level right out of the gates, averaging 18.4 ppg with 9.1 rpg and 7.7 apg. Combine that with the freakish skills of Embiid and this is hands down one of the top teams in the east. Atlanta is just as bad as we expected and I don't think they put up much of a fight here. Give me the 76ers -8! |
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10-31-17 | Pistons v. Lakers +4 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers +4) I like this spot for the Lakers and also feel like it's a great spot to fade the Pistons. LA is coming off  a couple of losses and that should have them locked in for this matchup, which will be aired on NBA TV. The Pistons on the other side are primed for a letdown after knocking off the Clippers and Warriors on the road in back-to-back days over the weekend. Detroit is a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after 2 or more consecutive wins and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Give me the Lakers +4! |
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10-30-17 | Magic +7.5 v. Pelicans | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Magic +7.5)Â I cashed in on the Hornets yesterday as a short home favorite against Orlando, as I just felt the Magic were getting a little too much respect after their 4-1 start and them coming off a huge home win over the Spurs. That loss to Charlotte combined with the fact that New Orleans is coming off a huge home win over the Cavs, now has Orlando showing value here as a near double-digit dog. The Magic can score the basketball and get up and down the floor. Orland is 3rd in pace and 2nd only to the Warriors in offensive efficiency. The Magic are also quietly playing well defensively, ranking in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency. I see this one going right down to the wire with a decent chance Orlando leaves New Orleans with a win. Give me the Magic +7.5! |
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10-30-17 | Nuggets -4.5 v. Knicks | 110-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -4.5) I think this is the perfect time to fade the Knicks. New York couldn't be in a bigger letdown spot after yesterday's improbable 114-95 win on the road over the Cavaliers as a 10.5-point dog. That came just two days after they laid it all on the line against rival Brooklyn to secure their first win of the season. This is still one of the least talented teams in the league and I just think they lay an egg here. Denver is also playing the second game of a back-to-back set, but I like the direction this team is playing and I expect them to come out strong here as they look to move above .500 for the first time this season. Give me the Nuggets -4.5! |
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10-29-17 | Magic v. Hornets -3.5 | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets -3.5) Orlando has caught a lot of people by surprise with their 4-1 start, but I also think it has them getting a little too much respect here on the road in a prime letdown spot after their blowout win over the Spurs on Friday. While the Magic are feeling good about themselves and might of had a little too much fun Saturday night, I look for Charlotte to come out locked in on their home floor after an ugly 16-point home loss to the Rockets on Friday. Note that prior to that loss the Hornets were dominant at home, beating the Nuggets 110-93 and the Hawks 109-91. Charlotte is also starting to get healthy. Kidd-Gilchrist returned against the Nuggets after missing the first 3 and Zeller is expected to play his first game since the opener. Give me the Hornets -3.5! |
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10-28-17 | 76ers -1 v. Mavs | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA SHARP MONEY ATS NO BRAINER (76ers -1) The 76ers are a much better team than their 1-4 record would suggest. Philadelphia's 4 losses have come against some of the top teams in the league in the Wizards, Celtics, Raptors and Rockets. They were competitive in all but the defeat to the Raptors in which Embiid didn't play in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. In their lone game against a bottom-tier team they beat the Pistons 97-86 on the road. Dallas is 1-5 and it's no fluke. The Mavericks only win came against the Grizzlies, who were in a big letdown spot after wins over the Warriors and Rockets. They played Memphis the very next night and lost. Dallas also has home losses to both the Hawks and Kings, who are two of the worst teams in the league. The offense has been non-existent for the Mavs, as they are scoring just 97.8 ppg and will be up against an underrated Philly defense. This is also the 3rd game in 4 nights for the Mavs, while the 76ers are coming in on a full two days of rest and desperate for a win. I think they get it in comfortable fashion. Give me Philadelphia -1! |
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10-27-17 | Wizards +11 v. Warriors | 117-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards +11)Â The books are setting these lines so high on the Warriors that you have to play the other side. The public however will keep backing Golden State, so the value will continue to be there. No surprise that the Warriors are just 1-4 ATS to start the season. Last time out they were a 12.5-point favorite to the Raptors at home and only won by 5. Toronto is a top level team out of the east. So is Washington. In fact, I think the Wizards are the 3rd best team in the conference behind Cleveland and Boston. John Wall is a man on a mission and will be locked in tonight against Curry. The entire team for Washington really seems to be locked in to start and if not for a tip in at the buzzer they would be 4-0. I'll take my chances on the Wizards hanging around and keeping this close enough to cover. Give me Washington +11! Â |
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10-27-17 | Nets v. Knicks -2 | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Knicks -2) Might be the only time we back the Knicks as a favorite, but I just love the spot here for New York. The Knicks are searching for that first win of the season and they would love nothing more than for it be against Brooklyn. New York should be fresh, as they have played just 3 games. They got blowout in both road games, but were extremely competitive and should have won outright in a 4-point home loss to the Pistons. Nets on the other hand will be playing their 6th game of the season and are in a huge letdown spot off a shocking 112-107 home win over the Cavs. That's as big a victory as Brooklyn can ask for right now and it unfortunately came at a cost, as D'Angelo Russell hurt his knee and is out for tonight's game. That's a massive loss. Russell was playing at an All-Star level at 23 ppg and 5.5 apg. (avg 2+ made 3-pt/game). Keep in mind they already lost Jeremy Linn for the season, so it will be Spencer Dinwiddle starting at point. Give me the Knicks -2! |
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10-25-17 | Grizzlies -4 v. Mavs | 94-103 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies -4) Every year there's a team that no is giving any respect to to start the season and they end up surprising. I think Memphis could be that team and the Grizzlies have quite a resume to start out. They are 3-0 with wins over the Pelicans, Warriors and Rockets. Dallas on the other hand is a team that isn't built to win this year and to no surprise are 0-4 to start the year. They have already lost at home to awful teams like the Hawks and Kings. I just don't think the books have made Memphis a big enough favorite here and think they cover this easily. Give me the Grizzlies -4! |
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10-25-17 | Cavs v. Nets +7.5 | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Nets +7.5) The public is going to be all over the Cavs here, but I think the value is clearly with Brooklyn at this price. The Nets are a vastly improved team over last year and Cleveland is still trying to figure things out after the Irving trade. It doesn't help that his top two replacements in Rose and Thomas are both out. James had to play the point last night and needed to play 37 minutes to sneak out a 7-point home win over the Bulls, who are playing with a bunch of scrubs right now. Cleveland doesn't have a ton of depth and a bunch of the old guys aren't built for playing on no rest, just look at that ugly loss to the Magic on no rest. I'm not saying they lose, but I think the Nets keep it close. Give me Brooklyn +7.5! |
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10-25-17 | Rockets v. 76ers +4 | Top | 105-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +4) I really like this 76ers team and will be looking to back them all season when they are a dog at home, as long as it's not a back-to-back with Embiid not playing. Houston is 3-1, but haven't looked great to start the year and a big reason for that is they aren't shooting it well from long-distance. They are only hitting 27.5% from 3-point range and given how much this team relies on the deep ball that makes it hard on them. They only had 90 points last time out against the Grizzlies and this Philadelphia defense has been really good when Embiid is the lineup. I look for an outright win, but will take the points as some added insurance. Give me the 76ers +4! |
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10-24-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 84-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Clippers -4.5) Most wrote off the Clippers after they lost Chris Paul, but Los Angeles did a nice job filling out the roster and are again one of the top teams in the west. They certainly have certainly looked like it to start, beating the Lakers by 16 and destroying the Suns by 42. Utah is going off a big win over OKC at home, but are going to be without Rodney Hood (13 ppg) for this one and that's a big loss for a limited Jazz offense that is only averaging 99.7 ppg. I look for Utah to struggle to keep pace here, as the Clippers are locked in defensively to start the season and have more fire-power offensively than people think. Give me the Clippers -4.5! |
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10-24-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -4 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Blazers -4) I really like this Blazers team and don't think they are getting enough respect here at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans has two superstars in Cousins and Davis, but that's it. I just don't see the Pelicans being able to keep pace offensively with the Blazers, who are going to be locked in for their home opener. Keep in mind that Portland is averaging 116 ppg over their first 3 on the road. New Orleans has scored 119+ in each of their last two, but that was against a less than focus Warriors team and an awful Lakers defense. Pelicans are just 2-15 ATS over the last 3 seasons in road games after two straight games that went over the total. Give me the Blazers -4! |
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10-23-17 | Wizards v. Nuggets -3 | 109-104 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -3) I really like the Denver team and think we are getting some big time value here with the Nuggets only laying 3-points at home against the Wizards. Washington is a top-tier team in the east, but are not as good on the road as they are at home and are a little overvalued right now. They are 2-0, but failed to cover the spread in both games, winning by just 5 at home over the 76ers and 4 at home against the Pistons. Denver had a tough road loss at Utah in their opener, where they blew a big lead late, but bounced back at home with a blowout win over the Kings and should have no problem winning here. Give me the Nuggets -3! |
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10-23-17 | Hornets +6.5 v. Bucks | 94-103 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Hornets +6.5) The Bucks are getting a little too much respect here against the Hornets. Milwaukee has one of the best players in the game in a Antetokounmpo, but he's their only real offensive threat and it's hard for the Bucks to put teams away with their lack of 3-point shooting. They also haven't been great at defending the 3 early, allowing teams to hit on 41% of their attempts from long range. Charlotte is limited offensively, but are good defensively to not only keep this close but win the game outright. Give me the Hornets +6.5! |
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10-22-17 | Pelicans -4 v. Lakers | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pelicans -4) The public loves to back the Lakers and I feel we are getting some great value here with the Pelicans only laying 4-points against this team. All the hype with Lonzo Ball and his dad has everyone talking about LA making a playoff push in the west, but that's just not going to happen. New Orleans has the two best players on the floor and the Pelicans will be all business here after losing their first two. Lakers looked bad against the Clippers and barely held on against a bad Suns team. That win over Phoenix puts LA in a very favorable spot to fade, as home dogs off a close win by 3 points or less are just 43-66 (39%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Lakers are also just 14-30 ATS at home off a road win by 3 or less. New Orleans is a crazy 25-9 ATS under Gentry when playing on the road in the first half of the season. Give me the Pelicans -4! |
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10-20-17 | Lakers v. Suns -3 | 132-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Suns -3)Â I believe this line says it all. Phoenix just lost at home 76-124 in their season opener, which was the worst loss in NBA-history to start a season, and yet are laying points against a Lakers team that the public is on because of all the media attention this team has been getting since they drafted Lonzo Ball. All that talk Lonzo's dad has been doing has put a serious target on his back and this team. We saw Patrick Beverely take it personal against him last night. I expect to get the best effort the Suns have and they should be able to attack the tired legs of the Lakers on no rest. Give me Phoenix -3! Â |
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10-20-17 | Magic v. Nets -1.5 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Nets -1.5) Ideal spot to jump on Brooklyn at home, as the Magic are getting way too much love here for their home win over the Heat to start the season. This Nets team is not anywhere close to as bad as they have been in the past and I expect them to be a good bet at home for quite a while this season. The Magic closed out last season going just 9-25-1 ATS after a cover and were a mere 8-20 ATS after scoring 100 points or more. Still a young team that's going to struggle on the road. Give me the Nets -1.5! |
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10-19-17 | Bulls v. Raptors -12.5 | 100-117 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Raptors -12.5) I just don't think people understand how bad this Bulls team is going to be. While 12.5 looks like a huge spread, especially this early in the season, I don't think it's near enough. With the recent brawl in practice, the Bulls just lost two more key players in Bobby Portis and Nikola Mirotic. They are already without projected starters Zach LaVine and Kris Dun. They also won't have backup point guard Cameron Payne and forward Paul Zipser is questionable. Bulls simply don't have the depth to overcome that, especially against a Raptors team that is going to be motivated in both their season and home opener. Give me the Raptors -12.5! |
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10-18-17 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Jazz | 96-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nuggets +2.5) Denver is one of my favorite under the radar teams coming into this season and I'm shocked that they aren't getting more love here against a Utah team that has clearly taken a step back after losing their top two scorers in Gordon Hayward and George Hill. The Nuggets were a team that really played well down the stretch of last season and only got better in the offseason with the addition of Paul Milsap. He joins the dynamic young 1-2 punch of center Nikola Jokic and guard Jamal Murray. I just don't see Utah being able to keep pace offensively with Denver in this one. Give me the Nuggets +2.5! |
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10-17-17 | Rockets v. Warriors -9.5 | 122-121 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Warriors -9.5) Houston is getting talked up like they are going to threaten the Warriors in the West and I think that's got a lot of people looking to take the Rockets and the points in the opener. I'm taking Golden State in what I feel is a bit of a statement game for them at home, especially after last year's horrific showing in their home opener to the Spurs, where they lost by 29-points. The big difference here is the Warriors basically have their same team back and unlike last year at this time aren't trying to figure out how to incorporate Durant in the offense. That problem is one the Rockets have, as they added in Chris Paul to team with James Harden. I like the move and feel like it makes them better, but I also think it's going to take up to a month before they really have a good feel for playing with each other. Give me the Warriors -9.5! |
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10-17-17 | Celtics v. Cavs -4 | 99-102 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS ANNIHILATOR (Cavs -4) The Cavs are worth a look here at this price with or without LeBron James, though I do expect him to play. This isn't just another game for Cleveland after Kyrie Irving demanded to be traded. I look for Irving and the Celtics to struggle here, not only because of Irving now playing for the opponent, but Boston has a lot of new pieces and I just don't see them meshing well out of the gates on the road. One of the reasons I like Cleveland if James decides not to play, is the Cavs are deeper than in years past and have a couple of veterans in Dwayne Wade and Derrick Rose that can shoulder the load. I also love Cleveland's decision to go small and play Love at the 5 and get even more shooters on the floor. Give me the Cavaliers -4! |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -8.5 | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA FINALS GAME 5 ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors -8.5) Golden State covered a similar number at home in both Game 1 and Game 2 and I see no reason why they don't do it again, as they are destined to put an end to this series. What gets overlooked in Cleveland's 137-116 win in Game 4, is that despite a 49 point 1st quarter and unthinkable shooting from long-distance (24 of 45), not to mention some favorable calls early, the Warriors were still within striking distance in the 4th quarter. I'm betting the Cavs don't shooting 53.3% from behind the 3-point line and the Warriors do a much better job defensively, while also shooting the ball better. Give me Golden State -8.5! |
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06-09-17 | Warriors -6 v. Cavs | 116-137 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA FINALS GAME 4 ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors -6) I see this getting ugly in a hurry with Golden State putting the finishign touches on a perfect 16-0 playoff run in blowout fashion. It's just asking too much of the Cavs to play with the intensity needed after how well they played in Game 3 and losing that game in the final minutes the way they did. They looked defeated and as competitive as they are, they know this thing is over and done with. Even up 3-0, I don't see the Warriors letting the foot off the gas here after blowing that 3-1 lead last year. Not to mention I think they desperately want that 16-0 record. Even if Cleveland plays hard and tries to win, I still think we have a decent shot here Golden State wins by double-digits. Give me the Warriors -6! |
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06-04-17 | Cavs +9 v. Warriors | 113-132 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Cavs +9) Cleveland played about as bad as they could have possibly played in Game 1 and I just don't see this one going as poorly. The Cavs are going to struggle to slow down the Warriors offense, but they should be able to keep pace with the weapons they have. James will put this team on his back and I expect this one to go right down to the wire and we got plenty of wiggle room with the spread approaching double-digits. Give me the Cavaliers +9! |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Warriors -7) As much respect as I have for LeBron James, I just don't think Cleveland has a fighting chance against this Warriors team. Let's not forget, James and the Cavs were down 3-1 and likely would have lost last year's finals if it wasn't for Draymond Green getting suspended for Game 5. Cleveland basically has the same team, while Golden State added Durant, who is as motivated as anyone and makes this Warriors team nearly impossible to guard. I look for the Warriors to win this series in 5 and when to cruise to a double-digit win here at home in Game 1. Give me Golden State -7! |
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05-22-17 | Warriors -12 v. Spurs | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NBA PLAYOFFS ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors -12) As much as the Spurs don't want to let Golden State win this series on their home floor, I just don't think there's anything they can do about it without Leonard and David Lee (was giving them great minutes). I also think the spirit of the Spurs is broken and even the great Popovich said they had to play a near perfect game just to be competitive for a full 48. When the Warriors have smelled blood in the two previous series up 3-0, they have closed out in convincing fashion and I see no reason why they don't do the same here. Give me the Warriors -12! |
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05-17-17 | Cavs -4 v. Celtics | 117-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* CAVS/CELTICS GAME 1 ANNIHILATOR (Cavs -4) I actually think the fact that Boston has the No. 1 seed and is getting to host Game 1 of this series has created some big time value here. Cleveland is well rested having swept their first two opponents. Boston on the other hand just played a tough 7-game series against the Wizards and that was after playing a 6-game series to open up the playoffs against the Bulls. The biggest thing here is the lack of time the Celtics have had since closing out that series against Washington. Boston just played Game 7 against the Wizards on Monday. I just don't see them being able to match the pace of the Cavs, who are going to be looking to push the tempo and take advantage of those tired legs for Boston. Give me the Cavaliers -4! |
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05-07-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -4.5 | 102-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Wizards -4.5) Both of these teams have such a huge home court advantage and to no surprise the home team has won each of the first 3 games in the series. I'm confident that trend is going to continue here with Washington, who has to be sitting there thinking they should at worse have a 2-1 lead in the series instead of being down 1-2. Boston has a superstar in Thomas, but the rest of the team is a bunch of role players. I look for the duo of Wall and Beal for Washington to dominate this one. Give me the Wizards -4.5! |
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05-05-17 | Cavs v. Raptors +4.5 | 115-94 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Big Money ATS Blowout (Raptors +4.5) Even with the series shift to Toronto, I can't see the public wanting anything to do with the Raptors given how bad they looked in the first two games in this series. As well as Cleveland has played, if there's a game they are going to struggle to play well in, I think this is it. They have to feel like they can do whatever they want against Toronto and have to be a bit over-confident right now. As for the Raptors, we can bank on the very best effort they have to offer us and we should see better offensive numbers with them playing at home. At the same time, we should see a dip in the Cavs 3-point shooting on the road. I think those factors make Toronto the play here as a home dog in a game I feel they win outright. Give me the Raptors +4.5! |
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05-04-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -5.5 | 89-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Wizards -5.5) Washington will be heading back home for Game 3 wondering how they aren't the ones up 2-0 in the series or at least sitting at 1-1. Regardless of how they let the first two slip away, we can bank on an all out effort here from the Wizards tonight. Washington has shown they can take advantage of the Celtics defense and build some big leads. I just don't think we are going to see Boston shoot near as well from behind the 3-point line on the road and that's really what this team relies on offensively. At the same time, I look for a few of Washington's reserves to step up and have a big game here. Give me the Wizards -5.5! |
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05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -5.5 | 96-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA Playoffs Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Spurs -5.5) It couldn't have looked much worse for the Spurs in Game 1, but I trust in Popovich and his staff to make the proper adjustments. We know the effort will be there for San Antonio, as this feels a lot like a Game 7 for them, as they simply can't afford to fall behind 0-2 with the next two and 3 of the next 4 games in Houston. The Rockets aren't going to get the same looks offensively and there's still major holes in their defense. Part of the problem in Game 1 was San Antonio didn't shoot well. I'm confident that won't be the case here. Give me the Spurs -5.5! |
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05-01-17 | Raptors +7 v. Cavs | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Raptors +7) Toronto is worth a look here in Game 1 of this Eastern Conference showdown. The Raptors played Cleveland tough in the regular season and I still have my concerns with the Cavs right now. Cleveland was fortunate that their first round series against the Pacers ended in a sweep. They had that ridiculous come from behind win in Game 3 and didn't win a single game in the series by more than 6 points. I believe the fact that Cleveland was able to continue to not play their best and still get the sweep works in our favor here. I just don't see this team locking in defensively until they face some kind of adversity and until they play defense it's going to be hard for them to blowout the opposition. Give me the Raptors +7! |
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