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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-21 | Browns v. Bengals OVER 47 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Bitter rivalry here today between these Ohio teams as the Bengals host the Browns. The Bengals have been the surprise team this year with some big wins. They also are scoring a lot, over 30-points in their last three games. The offense is ranked 14th overall, 11th in passing. They play a Cleveland team that is ranked 10th in offense, 1st in rushing. QB Baker Mayfield has had some injury issues with his non-throwing shoulder, but he got through a full week of practice with no issues. This looks to be a great offensive clash this week. Play over. |
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11-07-21 | Raiders v. Giants +3 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
Raiders continue to add drama to their lives as they now have WR Henry Ruggs released after his DIU fatal crash in Vegas. Plus, another player is having issues now with some legal problems. All this on the heals of Jon Gruden leaving the team. The Giants came oh so close last week to beating the Chiefs in KC. If they would have recovered a Patrick Mahomes fumble late in the game they would have got the win. For me, too many issue with this Raiders team to be on them here today. Despite some Covid issues for the Giants, I'll take them today. |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts OVER 46 | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
The New York Jets coming off a 34-31 upset win last week over the 11.5-point favorite Cincinnati Bengals. The Jets are now 2-5 on the season. The Jets are still not one of the better offenses, ranked 19th in passing and 32nd in rushing and 30th in scoring offense. The Colts started the season 0-3 and then won three of their next four games before losing in OT to Tennessee last week, 31-34. That snapped a four game spread win streak for the Colts. The offense has been improving each week as they now rank 16th overall with the defense coming in at 12th. The Colts defense is 2nd in the league in forcing turnovers. Even though Jets QB White threw for over 400 yards last week. The Colts offense has been good of late, scoring 30 or more points in each of their last three games and 25 or more in each of the last five games. The Jets haven't give up fewer than 24 points since week one. They have gone over in four straight games. These teams have also gone over in seven of their last 10 meetings. I look for points to be scored in bunches tonight. Play the OVER. |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs OVER 52 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
The New York Giants hit the road today for this inter-conference clash at Kansas City. New York coming off it's best overall performance of the year in a 25-3 win over Carolina last week. Kansas City is coming off its worst performance yet in the Patrick Mahomes era, losing to Tennessee, 3-27. The Giants hope their 11-3 record vs the Chiefs will come into play again tonight as they are a double-digit dog in this one. The Giants started the season 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS. They have the 18th ranked offense and 20th ranked defense. The Chiefs have the 28th ranked defense and the third ranked offense. Patrick Mahomes was forced from last week's game with a head injury but will be starting tonight. The will be without RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire who is on IR with a knee injury. The Chiefs are 3-4 S/U and 2-5 ATS on the season. Yet, here they are laying 10.5 or even 11.5 points tonight. Yes, they have the ability to blow out the Giants. I'll just take the easy way out tonight and play the OVER. |
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10-31-21 | Bucs v. Saints +4.5 | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay has won four straight since losing in week three to the Rams, 24-34. Since then they are 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They are coming off a win last week at home against Chicago, 38-3 as a 12-point favorite. QB Tom Brady has the offense ranked 2nd overall, 1st in passing and 21st in rushing. They will face a good Saints defense here today that is ranked 9th overall, 3rd vs the rush and 20th vs the pass. The Saints are now 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win last week at Seattle, 113-10, though they failed to cover the spread. The Bucs covered the last meeting, a 30-20 win last year in New Orleans. Before that though the Saints have covered the last five games in the series. I'll take the points here at home with a good defensive team. Play New Orleans. |
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10-31-21 | Patriots v. Chargers OVER 49.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
The Patriots head out West for their game with the LA Chargers here on Sunday. The Patriots coming of their best offensive game of the season, although it was against the Jets, in a 54-13 final. They improved to 3-4 S/U and and ATS on the season. The offense improved a few spots to 15th overall and the defense is 12th. The Chargers had last week off after their worst offensive performance the week before in a rod loss to the Ravens, 6-34. They could muster just 208 total yards of offense in that loss. The setback dropped them to 4-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The defense is ranked 19th overall while the offense dropped to 8th after that performance two weeks ago. The Patriots have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including last year's 45-0 win at LA. The Chargers running game has not been good as they have to rely on QB Justin Herbert most of the time. The Chargers should get back to their higher scoring ways today and with that I'll take the OVER. |
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10-31-21 | Patriots +4.5 v. Chargers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Patriots head out West for their game with the LA Chargers here on Sunday. The Patriots coming of their best offensive game of the season, although it was against the Jets, in a 54-13 final. They improved to 3-4 S/U and and ATS on the season. The offense improved a few spots to 15th overall and the defense is 12th. The Chargers had last week off after their worst offensive performance the week before in a rod loss to the Ravens, 6-34. They could muster just 208 total yards of offense in that loss. The setback dropped them to 4-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The defense is ranked 19th overall while the offense dropped to 8th after that performance two weeks ago. The Patriots have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including last year's 45-0 win at LA. The Chargers running game has not been good as they have to rely on QB Justin Herbert most of the time. I'll take the points on the road here today with the Patriots. |
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10-31-21 | 49ers v. Bears UNDER 40 | 33-22 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
These are two teams that have had their share of offensive problems this year. The 49ers have scored more than 21 points just twice in their six games. They are 1-5 S/U and ATS. They do have the 6th ranked defense in the league this year. The Bears have the 11th ranked defense. Chicago is coming off a loss at Tampa Bay last week, 3-38. The Bears have scored just 17 points over their last two games. Chicago now has the NFL's worst offense, 7th rushing and 32nd passing. Two poor offenses and winds that can be up to 20 mph here on Sunday will look to a lower scoring game. Play UNDER. |
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10-31-21 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 43 | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns had to resort to backup QB Case Keenum last week as they just did get by Denver, 17-14. The Cleveland offense has just 31 points the last two weeks. It does look like Baker Mayfield will return this week, but how effective he will be is yet to be seen. Another issue will be weather with showers and winds that could gust over 20mph. I'm looking at this game under on Sunday. |
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10-31-21 | Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 48.5 | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Not the best football weather here on Sunday in Buffalo. They are expecting winds between 13 and 20 mph and some rain during the games. Buffalo already possesses the best defense in the NFL, 1st against the pass and 6th vs the rush. They should have little problems keeping this Miami offense down today. Take the UNDER. |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a win last week at San Francisco, 30-18. They held the 49ers to just 280 total yards and had a +2 in the turnover ratio. The Colts are 3-4 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Titans come into today's contest off two huge wins at home over Buffalo (34-31) and last week over Kansas City, 27-3. They held the Chiefs to just 334 total yards and sacked Patrick Mahomes four times, once putting him out of the game. The Titans are now 5-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have the 11th ranked offense, 3rd rushing, 24th passing and the league's top rusher in Derrick Henry. What concerns me here with the Titans is that they might be in for a letdown this week after beating two of the top AFC teams in a row. I'll take the Colts at home here on Sunday. |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
The two hottest teams in the NFL meet here tonight as the Arizona Cardinals host the Green Bay Packers. Green opened with that loss to the New Orleans Saints, 3-38. Since then they are 6-0 both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a home win over Washington, 24-10. The Packers defense has gotten better and better as the season has progressed, now ranked 7th overall and 22nd vs the rush and 6th vs the rush. Arizona is a perfect 7-0 on the season and 6-1 ATS. So something has to give tonight with these two hot teams. The Cardinals are coming off a 31-5 win at home against Houston. They have scored at least 30 points in six of their seven games this year. The defense is also excellent, ranked 5th overall on the season. Despite the high scoring average, they are ranked just 7th overall on offense, 5th rushing and 11th passing. The defense will be without JJ Watt tonight who is nursing a shoulder injury. The Packers could be without WR Davante Adams who is going through a Covid protocol. Still, for me, the 6.5-points looks to much to pass on with Aaron Rodgers and company. I'll take the dog here tonight. |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 42 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
There will be some key injuries on both sides of the ball here tonight, likely effecting the total as much as the side. The Saints will be without QB Taysom Hill, who will miss this game with a concussion. The Seahawks are once again without QB Russell Wilson who has that broken finger and has been put on IR. The are also without RB Chris Carson (neck), though RB Rashaad Penny looks to return tonight from the IR. The Saints had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. They are coming off a win at Washington, 33-22. The Saints are now 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Seattle offense is now ranked 22nd overall, 16th rushing and 21st passing. The Saints have the 28th ranked offense, 9th in rushing but 31st in passing. Both teams possess poor offenses and with Wilson out and Hill out, I expect less scoring opportunities. Play the UNDER. |
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10-24-21 | Eagles v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 22-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
The post Jon Gruden era began on a positive note last week for the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders went to Denver and beat the Broncos, 34-24. They also did something they hadn't done all season under Gruden, scored a first quarter touchdown and a TD on their first drive of the game. The Raiders were also a +4 in the turnover game and sacked Teddy Bridgewater five times. Overall it was a very good day for Vegas. They will host the Philadelphia Eagles here today. The Eagles are coming off home loss to the Tampa Bay Bucs, 22-28, covering the 7-point dog line. They are now 2-4 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Las Vegas offense was ranked first in the NFL after three weeks, now has dropped to 10th overall, 30th in rushing and third in passing. Philadelphia is 20th in offense, 15th rushing and 22nd passing. Both teams possess excellent QB's and potent passing games. The defenses are mid-pack, nothing to brag much about. I like the way the Raiders have come out aggressive and finally scoring early. Look for both teams to get plenty of points here on Sunday. Play OVER. |
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10-24-21 | Eagles +3 v. Raiders | Top | 22-33 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
The post Jon Gruden era began on a positive note last week for the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders went to Denver and beat the Broncos, 34-24. They also did something they hadn't done all season under Gruden, scored a first quarter touchdown and a TD on their first drive of the game. The Raiders were also a +4 in the turnover game and sacked Teddy Bridgewater five times. Overall it was a very good day for Vegas. They will host the Philadelphia Eagles here today. The Eagles are coming off home loss to the Tampa Bay Bucs, 22-28, covering the 7-point dog line. They are now 2-4 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Las Vegas offense was ranked first in the NFL after three weeks, now has dropped to 10th overall, 30th in rushing and third in passing. Philadelphia is 20th in offense, 15th rushing and 22nd passing. Both teams possess excellent QB's and potent passing games. The defenses are mid-pack, nothing to brag much about. For me, I'll take the points here today with the Eagles. |
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10-24-21 | Panthers v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 3-25 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Carolina hits the road this week after playing the last two weeks at home. The Panthers are coming off a pair of home losses, 18-21 to Philadelphia and then last week to the Vikings, 28-34. The Panthers continue to struggle on offense without the services of RB Christian McCaffrey who is out again this week with hamstring issue. Carolina ranks 17th in offense, 18th in rushing and 15th in passing. The Giants are now 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They have lost four straight games including last week at home to the Rams, 11-38. The Giants have been missing key elements of the offense. RB Saquon Barkely will miss his second straight game with a ankle injurey. They are also hurting at WR with Kenny Golladay out and John Ross and Darius Slayton both questionable. The Giants offense ranks 16th overall, 25th in rushing and 10th in passing. Carolina does boast a very good defense, ranked 2nd in the NFL, 16th vs rush and 2nd vs pass. With the Giants poor rushing offense they will have issues passing against this very good Panthers defense. Play the UNDER. |
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10-24-21 | Jets v. Patriots -7 | 13-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
The NY Jets looking to rebound from last week's loss at Atlanta, 20-27. The Jets are now 1-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Jets have not been a good road team, just 7-19 their last 26 away. They are also 5-15 ATS in their last 20 vs the AFC and 1-6 ATS their last seven overall games. Tough loss last week for the Pats who went back and forth with the Cowboys before losing 29-35. Last time they had this kind of loss (week 1 vs Miami, 16-17) they rebounded nicely with a win over the Jets, 25-6. The Pats usually do well vs bad teams, going 12-3 ATS their last 15 vs losing road teams and 25-10 ATS vs all losing teams. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Jets at Foxboro. I'll take NE here today. |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns UNDER 41 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
This AFC contest could come down to a battle of the backup QB's. Browns QB Mayfield is already ruled out for this game and Case Keenum is the starter. The Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has both a quad and foot injury and while he's not listed as out, it could be a tough game for him to play. The Broncos opened the season with three wins, but have now lost three straight after last week's loss to Las Vegas, 24-34. The Browns are also 3-3 on the season after last week's loss at home to Arizona, 14-34. The offense managed just 290 total yards in the loss and had trouble protecting their QB's with five sacks allowed. The Broncos have been a good under team with five of their last seven road games going under. This is thanks to their 4th ranked defense. The Browns also have a very good defense, ranked 3rd overall. And this game looks to be a battle between these top rated units. Turnovers likely also key here today. I'll take the UNDER with QB issues on both sides. |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lost their opening game of the season to Pittsburgh, 16-23. Since then they have rattled-off four straight wins both S/U and ATS. The offense is ranked 8th in the NFL, 5th in rushing and 9th in passing. The Bills are coming off a revenge win over the Kansas City Chiefs last week, 38-20. The Tennessee Titans are 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a road win over Jacksonville, 37-19. Tennessee has the league's 10th ranked offense but they have the league's 3rd best rushing attack. The Titans have rushed for at least 177 yards in four straight games. Derrick Henry is the work horse of this team. Henry leads the NFL in rushing yards with 640. The Titans are a 6 to 7 point dog here tonight. Expect the Titans to look to control this game on the ground and keep the ball out of the Bills hands. I'll take the points at home with the Titans. |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
Dallas lost their opening game of the season to the Bucs. Since then, they are 4-0 S/U and ATS. They have been hitting on all cylinders with the offense scoring 36 or more points in each of their last three games. Dallas has the NFL's 2nd ranked offense with 440 yards per game. They are ranked 2nd in rushing and 11th in passing. The Patriots are ranked 26th in offense, 27th in rushing and 20th in passing. The Patriots do have a good defense, ranked 5th overall, 15th vs rush and 7th vs pass. While Dallas as the 24h ranked defense. The Pats snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win at Houston, 25-22. This game comes down to the Dallas offense vs the Patriots defense. I'm going to take the dog points at home with the defense in this one. Play New England. |
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10-17-21 | Raiders v. Broncos -4 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Both of these teams started the season 3-0, only to lose their last two games. Now one of these teams will drop to 3-3 with three straight losses. It's been a rough week for the Raiders. The Raiders lost at home on Sunday to the Bears, 9-20. Then on Monday their head coach, Jon Gruden stepped down as the coach. Rich Bisaccia will be the interim coach for the rest of the season. It will remain to be seen how this whole series of events effects this Raiders team. Denver lost at Pittsburgh after losing the week before at home to Baltimore, 7-23. The offense has just 26 points in the last two games. I'm going to take the Broncos here today. I want to see what effect Gruden's departure has on the Raiders. Play Denver. |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 48.5 | 37-14 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are the last undefeated team in the NFL as they hit the road for their game at Cleveland on Sunday. Arizona is coming off its worst offensive effort of the season in their win last week at home over the 49ers, 17-10. They had scored at least 31 points in each of their previous four games. Always hard on the West teams when they have to travel East in the time difference. One issue today is a Covid outbreak that will have HC Kliff Kingsbury and LB Chandler Jones out for today. DC Vance Joseph and Assistant HC Jeff Rodgers will split the head coaching duties here on Sunday. Cleveland plays their next three games at home. The Browns are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS after losing their first game of the season last week at the Chargers, 42-47. The 47 points by the Chargers were more then the last three Browns opponents scored combined (34 points). Another possible factor here could be the wind, as sustained winds could be from 13-17 Mph on Sunday. Lots of intangibles here to decode on Sunday. I'll take the UNDER on what could be a windy day for passers. Play UNDER the Total. |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns -3.5 | 37-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are the last undefeated team in the NFL as they hit the road for their game at Cleveland on Sunday. Arizona is coming off its worst offensive effort of the season in their win last week at home over the 49ers, 17-10. They had scored at least 31 points in each of their previous four games. Always hard on the West teams when they have to travel East in the time difference. One issue today is a Covid outbreak that will have HC Kliff Kingsbury and LB Chandler Jones out for today. DC Vance Joseph and Assistant HC Jeff Rodgers will split the head coaching duties here on Sunday. Cleveland plays their next three games at home. The Browns are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS after losing their first game of the season last week at the Chargers, 42-47. The 47 points by the Chargers were more then the last three Browns opponents scored combined (34 points). Another possible factor here could be the wind, as sustained winds could be from 13-17 Mph on Sunday. Lots of intangibles here to decode on Sunday. I'll take the points with the Browns at home on what could be a windy day for passers. Play Cleveland. |
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10-17-21 | Chargers v. Ravens OVER 51 | 6-34 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Two of the best teams in the AFC meet here on Sunday has the Baltimore Orioles host the LA Chargers. The Chargers are 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a huge 4th quarter last week that catapulted them to a win over Cleveland, 47-42. The offense is now ranked 7th overall, 17th rushing and 3rd passing behind Herbert. Baltimore is 4-1 S/U and 2-3 vs the number. They lost their opening game of the season at Las Vegas in OT and have won every game since. They are coming off a 31-25 home win over the Colts last week. Baltimore has the NFL's top rated offense, 4th rushing and 5th passing. The defense isn't as good in year's past, ranked just 25th overall, 7th vs rush and 29th vs pass. These two top offenses should put up plenty of points today. Play the OVER. |
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10-17-21 | Rams v. Giants UNDER 49.5 | 38-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are coming off a win at Seattle last week, 26-17. The team is now 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Rams rank 9th overall on offense, 23rd rushing and 2nd in passing. The defense was supposed to be the core of this team, however they are ranked just 23rd overall on the season. They are 19th vs the rush and 23rd vs the pass. The Giants are just 1-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Dallas last week, 20-44. The Giants have been once again hit by the injury bug. They include RB Saquon Barkley, QB Daniel Jones, WR Kadarius Jones and WF Sterling Shepard. Barkley and Golloday are both out for Sunday with the others all questionable. With so much offense on the sidelines or hurting, not sure how they will score against this Rams defense today. I'll just take the UNDER and hope they don't get blown out too badly. Play UNDER. |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Week 6 of the NFL starts tonight from Philadelphia as the Eagles host the Bucs. Tampa Bay coming off a historic Tom Brady performance where he threw for over 400 yards and 5 TD's, first time in his storied career he has done both of those in the same game. The Bucs won their second game in a row after dropping that game at the Rams back on Sept 26th, 24-34. The Bucs are now 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. Philadelphia rebounded from their loss at home to Kansas City two weeks ago with a win at Carolina last week, 21-18. The Eagles are 2-3 S/U and ATS on the season. Tampa has the league's 3rd top offense while Philly has the 14th ranked offensive unit. Tampa has the 15th ranked defense while Philly comes in at 9th. Tom Brady is nursing a thumb injury on his thrown hand, but it didn't seem to bother him much last week. TE Rob Gronkowski is still out and he's a top target in the red zone. I'm going to take the TD here at home with the Eagles. |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Colts making their return to their old stomping grounds in Baltimore here tonight. Colts started season 0-3 but finally got a win last week at Miami, 27-17. The defense held the Dolphins to just 203 total yards, though the offense didn't light it up either with 349 yards. Problem is today they have to face a much better team in the Ravens and on the road. The Ravens started the season with a OT loss at Las Vegas. Since then they are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS. They are coming off a road win at Denver, 23-7 where they sacked Denver QB's five times. The Colts have had numerous injury issues including QB Carson Wentz who has battled a pair of ankle injuries. Their offensive line has also been hurting and they are without WR TY Hilton. The Ravens have lots of new faces at running back with Latavius Murray getting the bulk of the action. This means we'll see more passing from QB Lamar Jackson to go along with his running ability. I'll take the Ravens here today as they look to have gotten back on track while the Colts I'm not so sure about. Play Baltimore. |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Both teams should get plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Take Buffalo. |
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10-10-21 | Giants +7 v. Cowboys | 20-44 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
The Ny Giants look to build on their road win at New Orleans last week, 27-21. The Giants are 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They had lost two of their prior three games by three-points or fewer. Dallas is coming off their big home win last week over Carolina, 36-28. The Cowboys are now 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS. Ezekiel Elliot and Pollard led the way rushing last week as part of a 245 yard rushing performance. The Giants have been an excellent road covering team, going 20-6 ATS in their last 26 away contests. They are also 10-4 ATS overall in their last 14 games as a dog. Dallas plays better in the dog role, evidenced by their 4-10 ATS mark their last 14 games as a favorite. Dallas has a 6-2 ATS mark the last eight meetings, but the Giants have covered the last two in the series. Dallas has the third ranked offense and the Giants the 14th ranked offense. RB Elliot is nursing a knee injury, while this has limited his practice he is expected to play Sunday. I'm going to take the points here with the Giants as they just seem to keep covering in the role of a dog. |
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10-10-21 | 49ers +5.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
NFC West clash here between the 4-0 Arizona Cardinals and the 2-2 SF 49ers. The NFC West looks to be one of the best divisions of football this year. The 49ers look to get back to winning after a loss last week at home to Seattle, 21-28. Rookie QB Trey Lance got extended play after Jimmy Garoppolo was injured with a calf injury. Looks like Lance will get the start here on Sunday. Lance brings that duel threat of running and passing to this offense. The Cardinals are coming off a dominating performance last week at the LA Rams, 37-20. QB Kyler Murray was 24-of-32 for 268 yards and two TD's. Arizona now has the NFL's top offense with 441 yards per game average. This looks to be a great afternoon game. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday as I like Lance at QB for the Niners as he brings a new and fresh dimension to this offense. Take San Francisco. |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks coming off a road loss last week at Minnesota, 17-30. That makes the Hawks 2-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They return home here for Thursday night to face the Rams. The Rams had that big win two weeks ago at home over Tampa Bay, 34-24 and then had a let down last week at home to the Cardinals, 20-37. The Rams were outgained 401-465, had eight fewer plays and three fewer first downs. The biggest difference were in turnovers where the Rams had two and Arizona had none. Seattle's offense not as good as in year's past, they rank just 19th overall and 17th in passing. The Rams are 11th overall and 4th in passing. The Rams defense is loaded with stars, however they haven't played that way as they rank 27th overall. Seattle is even worse, ranking dead last in the NFL in total defense. Neither team looks to be the defensive units they once were. I'll take the points though tonight as it's not often you get the Hawks and points at home. Play Seattle. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 51.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games overall. Two top 10 offenses here with both having middle of the pack defenses. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders +3 v. Chargers | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders find themselves three-point dogs here on Monday. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road dog. The dog has covered 18 of the last 24 in this series. I'll take the points here with the Raiders. |
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10-03-21 | Bucs -6.5 v. Patriots | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers looks to rebound from their loss at the Rams last week, 24-34. The rushing game couldn't get anything going as they totaled just 35 yards on the ground. Tom Brady had another excellent game with over 400 yards passing (his top this year). Tampa Bay had more yards, more offensive plays and more first downs then the Rams. Yet, they lost by 10 points with 7 points coming late in the 4th quarter. New England also lost week as they lost at home to the Saints, 13-28. Another example of the stats not panning out to the score. The Patriots had 48 more yards, nine more offensive plays and just three fewer first downs than New Orleans. That Pats were also +1 in the turnover ratio. Tampa Bay has the 8th best offense in the NFL (2nd in passing) while New England comes in at 21st. New England has the better defense, ranked 5th overall while Tampa Bay is 27th. This game highlights Tom Brady's return to Foxboro since his Free agent signing with the Bucs. Should be plenty of excitement in the Stadium for this one. For me, Brady is still at the top of his game and I think he will want to send a statement to the Patriots today. Take Tampa Bay. |
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10-03-21 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Rams | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This game should be interesting today. The Arizona Cardinals have NFL's 2nd ranked offense with 432 yards per game. They are 3rd in passing and 10th in rushing. The Rams offense is ranked 22nd (11th vs rush and 25th vs pass), but we know they are much better then the number show. The Rams are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS after beating Tampa Bay last week, 34-24. The Rams have the 6th ranked passing attack as Mathew Stafford has looked very good since coming over from Detroit. Arizona mounted a big 2nd half comeback last week to beat Jacksonville, 31-19. They had four takeaways and 407 yards of offense. Arizona is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season. They will be playing their third road game in four total games this week. Arizona getting 4 or 4 1/2 points here today is just too much to pass on with such a good offense. Play Arizona. |
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10-03-21 | Panthers v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are 3-0 S/U and ATS as they head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys. They are also 0-3 O/U. The Panthers have the NFL's top defense right now. They are first both against the pass and the rush, allowing just 191 yard average per game. They are also third in the league in interceptions (13) and top in QB sacks (14). Dallas is 2-1 after their impressive win at home last week over the Eagles, 41-21. The Dallas defense is ranked 26th in the NFL. It's the offense that shines, ranked 5th overall. Carolina's offense ranks 10th. This game will be the Carolina defense against the Cowboys offense. I will take the UNDER in this one today. |
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10-03-21 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 42 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are 0-3 as we enter week four action. They are coming off a close home loss to the Baltimore Ravens, 17-19. It took a NFL Record breaking field goal of 66 yards by Tucker to not only break the record but get the win for the Ravens as time ran out. Th Lions offense managed just 285 total yards. The Detroit offense ranks just 17th in the NFL (15th in both pass and rush. The Bears are 1-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at home to Cleveland, 6-26. The Bears had a total of 47 yards, yes 47! The Bears started rookie QB Justin Fields who had a disastrous showing. The Bears defense was very good, sacking Baker Mayfield five times. Hard to believe, but the Bears netted just 1 passing yard last week after you take out the 67 yards in nine sacks. These are two pathetic offenses and I wouldn't bet either side. But I will take the UNDER today. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals OVER 45.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 0 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The Bengals have been a good over team. They are 5-0-1 in their last six as a favorite and 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 vs the AFC. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year, I'll take the OVER here on Thursday. Play OVER. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year I expect Cincinnati to get there share also here today. Jags still looking for that first win and cover, will still be that way after tonight's game. Play Cincinnati. |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
It's already come down to this game to see who is first to take the lead in the AL East. With the NY Giants at 0-3 and Washington at 1-2, the winner of this game between 1-1 teams will take the lead in the division. Philly opened the season with a win over Atlanta, 32-6 followed by a loss at home to San Francisco, 11-17. Dallas opened with a narrow loss to the Bucs, 29-31, followed by a win at home over the Chargers, 20-17. Dallas is 4th in the NFL in total offense with 435 yards while the Eagles are 15th with 381. Philly has the better defense, ranked 4th overall while the Cowboys are 28th defensively. The Cowboys are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS their last six vs the NFC East. For me, I'll take the better defensive team here tonight plus the points. Play Philadelphia. |
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09-26-21 | Bucs v. Rams OVER 55.5 | 24-34 | Win | 102 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. They opened the season with a close win over Dallas, 31-29 and then won and covered last week vs Atlanta, 48-25. Tampa has the 13th ranked offense. The running game hasn't been much, ranked 30th as they average just 67 yards per game. Tom Brady has been hot though, with the passing game ranked 5th overall at 319 yards per game. The Rams have the 16th ranked offense, but Matthew Stafford has been good and has the passing attack ranked 7th overall. The Rams opened with a win over Chicago 34-14 and then last week beat the Colts on the road, 27-24. Both games have gone over. The Bucs are 21-6 O/Un in their last 27 games vs NFC opponents. They are 5-2 O/U in their last seven games. The Rams have gone over in their last four games. The last four meetings between these clubs have all gone over. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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09-26-21 | Chargers +7 v. Chiefs | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Two of the most dynamic young QB's matchup here on Sunday as Justin Herbert of the Chargers meets Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs. The Chargers look to overcome their loss last week at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers and Cowboys were almost identical in stats with LA having one more turnover. Last year the Chargers won and covered the game in Kansas City, 38-21 as a 7-point dog. The Chargers have covered five of their last six games and are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 10 away games. The Chiefs lost last week in an exciting finish at Baltimore, 35-36. Despite leading late the Ravens mounted a big comeback for the win. KC had 405 yards in the game compared to 485 by Baltimore. The Ravens did have 18 more offensive plays. The Chiefs are only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. I'm going to take the points here today with the Chargers. |
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09-26-21 | Ravens v. Lions OVER 50 | 19-17 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Baltimore followed up their OT loss in Las Vegas week one with a exciting home win over the Chiefs last week, 36-35. They have now gone over in both games. Which is what I'm looking at today. The defense has been horrendous thus far, ranked 31st in the league. Their pass defense is the worst in the NFL. The Lions opened the season with a loss to the 49ers, 33-41. Last week they got beat at Green Bay, 17-35. Both games have gone over. The Ravens have seen six of their last eight road games go over. The Lions have seen 13 of their last 16 home games go over. This one looks to be another high scoring affair for both team. I'll take the OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Bears v. Browns UNDER 45 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are 1-1 S/U and ATS as they come into action here on week three. The beat the Bengals at home last week, 20-17. The offense was not good, passing for just 83 yards and rushing for 123 yards. The saving grace was their defense that held Cincinnati to just 248 total yards and had four take aways. The Browns followed their week one loss to the Chiefs with a win at home last week over Houston, 31-21. The Bears have the 8th ranked defense in the league, allowing 317 total yards per game. Their rushing defense is ranked 5th. The Browns are 14th with 350 yards per game allowed. The rush defense is 9th. Problem for the Bears is they have the 30th ranked offense and the 31st ranked passing offense. The Bears have seen their totals go under in 22 of the last 31 times they played on grass. They are also 6-13 O/U their last 19 times as a road dog. I don't see the Bears getting many points here today. Their defense is good enough to keep them close. Play UNDER. |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans UNDER 43.5 | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans are down to their third string QB in Davis Mills. Mills came into last week's game after Tyrod Taylor was injured in the first half. He played ok, tallying just over 100 yards with a TD and an INT. Mills will be thrown to the wolves tonight as he faces a very good Carolina defense. Plus, the Texans aren't very exciting overall on offense, so I look for points to be hard to come by tonight. The Panthers have Darnold at QB and McCaffrey running and catching the ball. I'm no big fan of Darnolds, but he's got the job done so far for the Panthers who smothered the Saints last week. The Panthers only allowing 10.5 ppg thus far. I'll take the UNDER here tonight. |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers -11.5 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
 The Green Bay Packers looked horrible last week against the New Orleans Saints. The Packers lost 3-38 and had just 229 totals yards and three turnover. Aaron Rodgers was pulled from the game as many speculated he performed that way on purpose because he is unhappy in Green Bay. The Lions almost pulled the shocker of the week as they trailed the 49ers by 28 points and then scored the games final 21 of 28 points to pull close, but lose 33-41. They had almost as many yards as SF (430 to 442) and they had 27 more offensive plays and a +2 turnover ratio. They played even or better than the Niners in most statistical categories. If you only looked at the stats you would figure they had won the game. Question is, who will show up here in week 2, the same Packer team from Week 1 or last year's No 1 ranked offense? The Lions are only 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and 3-7 ATS when the road dog. The Packers usually rebound from losses well, going 16-5 ATS in their last 21 following a ATS loss. I believe Rodgers will be ready to show last week was a fluke and he's ready to return to his old self here against this poor defense of the Lions. I look for the Packers to take out those week 1 frustrations here on the Lions tonight. Play Green Bay. |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs -190 v. Ravens | 35-36 | Loss | -190 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens take center stage for the 2nd week in a row as they face the Kansas City Chiefs in Sunday Night Football. The Ravens lost last Monday night in OT at the Las Vegas Raiders, 27-33. The Ravens blew a 14-point lead and had a chance to win in OT before a fumble by Lamar Jackson led to the Raiders TD and win. Now they have to face the high octane Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes completed 27-of-36 passes last week for 337 yards and three TD's in their win over the Browns, 33-29. The Ravens are thin at running back after season ending injuries. They signed Latavius Murray who rushed 10 times for 28 yards and a TD vs the Raiders. Injuries likely will play a big part here tonight for the Ravens. With a questionable rushing game that puts more pressure on Jackson. I don't see how the Ravens keep pace offensively with the Chiefs here tonight. Still, I'll take the Chiefs on the Money Line and just have to win the game. |
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09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers -5.5 | 26-17 | Loss | -108 | 93 h 4 m | Show | |
as Vegas played an exciting game last week as they came from behind to tie Baltimore and send the game into OT. Both teams had a chance and both teams turned the ball over, Vegas doing so on 1st and goal at the half yard line. But Vegas finally won an exciting game on a Carr TD pass to Jones for the win before almost 70,000 fans at Allegiant Stadium. However, the win didn't come without a price, the Raiders suffered injuries, especially on the offensive line where they are very thin heading into this week's game. Pittsburgh overcame a deficit to come back and win their game at Buffalo, 23-16. Their defense was once again very good when it needed to be. This week Vegas has to come down from their high and travel cross country to take on a very good defensive Steelers team. I look for a letdown here from the Raiders, especially with all the injuries they have. I'll take the Steelers and lay the points. |
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09-19-21 | Raiders v. Steelers OVER 47 | 26-17 | Loss | -104 | 49 h 1 m | Show | |
Las Vegas played an exciting game last week as they came from behind to tie Baltimore and send the game into OT. Both teams had a chance and both teams turned the ball over, Vegas doing so on 1st and goal at the half yard line. But Vegas finally won an exciting game on a Carr TD pass to Jones for the win before almost 70,000 fans at Allegiant Stadium. However, the win didn't come without a price, the Raiders suffered injuries, especially on the offensive line where they are very thin heading into this week's game. Pittsburgh overcame a deficit to come back and win their game at Buffalo, 23-16. Their defense was once again very good when it needed to be. This week Vegas has to come down from their high and travel cross country to take on a very good Steelers team. The Vegas defense is improved, but they still give up points and that was evident last week. I look for both teams to get plenty of points here on Sunday. Take the OVER. |
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09-19-21 | Saints v. Panthers +3.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
Both these teams started this season with new QB's and both opened the season with impresive wins. Sam Darnold led the Panthers to victory over his old team, the Jets. He completed 68.6% of his passes for 279 yards with one TD. The Saints pulled the shocker on the Packers, though one has to wonder what's going on inside that Packers' locker room with Aaron Rodgers so unhappy. Jameis Winston took over for Drew Brees and led the Saints to the win. Christian McCaffrey also returned to the Saints after an injury filled 2020 campaign. He looked like his All-pro self, rushing the ball 21 times for 98 yards. He also led the team in receptions (9) and receiving yards (89). The Panthers sacked the Jets AB Zach Wilson six times and will look to put that same pressure on Winston here today. The Saints are laying three points on the road here today. I'm not convinced Winston is the answer in New Orleans as last week the Packers were a team in disarray. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday with the Panthers. |
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09-19-21 | Patriots -6 v. Jets | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jets and new QB Zack Wilson host the New England Patriots and their new QB Mac Jones. This is already a crucial AFC East divisional game here this early as both teams lost their openers last week. Wilson was sacked five times last week by the Panthers, 14-19. They averaged just 4.2 ypp last week and the defense gave up almost 400 yards. Don't expect things to get better today for the Jets as the Patriots are a much better team then the Panthers. Jones had a nice performance last week for the Patriots in their loss to the Dolphins. Jones was 29-for-39 for 281 and one TD. The backfield is very good with Damien Harris rushing for 100 yards last week and James White backing him up. The defense is the main stay of this Patriots team. They allowed just 259 total yards to the Dolphins last week. Mac Jones looks well ahead of Wilson thus far. The Patriots have skill players and a better defense. I'll take theme here on Sunday. Play the Patriots. |
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09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles +3 | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
The SF 49ers make the trek East to take on the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers almost blew their game last week in Detroit. They led by as many as 28 points, but just escaped Detroit with the win, 41-33. Detroit scored 21 of the games final 28 points. The Niners also got some bad news when they found out that RB Raheem Mostert was injured for the rest of the season. This will leave San Fran thin at running back and put more pressure on QB Jimmy Garoppolo. Meanwhile, Philly put a hurt, as in Jalen Hurts, on the Atlanta Falcons to the tune of 34-6 last week. Hurts completed 27-of-35 passes for 264 yards and three TD's. He also ran for another 62 yards. The Eagles defense allowed just 288 yards of offense to the Falcons. Meanwhile, the 49ers allowed 33 points and 454 yards to a poor Detroit team last week. Always tough when the West coats teams have to travel to the East Coast. Plus now they have to overcome injuries on both sides of the ball. The Eagles look good with Hurts and getting points here at home is just a bonus. I look for Philly to win this game outright. Play the Eagles. |
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09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Washington not only lost the game last week, but they also lost QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to a hip injury for the rest of the game. Good news is that he's listed as probably for tonight's contest. Washington has one of the better defenses in the league, especially against the pass. Even though they lost 16-20 to the Chargers last week, they could have lost by a lot more. They gave up 424 totals yards (334 vis pass to Hebert) while totally just 259 themselves (133 passing). Should be a easier time this week against Jones for the Giants. The Giants also lost last week at home to the Broncos, 13-27. They gave up 420 yards with 255 through the air to Teddy Bridgewater and another 165 on the ground. The Giants have covered five of the last seven in this series, splitting the two games last year. The Giants are also 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road dog and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 on grass. Take the Giants tonight. |
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09-12-21 | Broncos -154 v. Giants | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Denver opens the season on the road at Metlife Stadium against the Giants. The biggest news for the Broncos is the acquisition of Teddy Bridgewater, who had a fine preseason and won the job over Drew Locke. Denver will need to improve their run defense, 8th worst in the NFL. They also allowed 29.9 points per game last year. The Giants will once again have Daniel Jones at QB. Jones will be in his third season after a fine rookie season that saw him throw 24 TD's. Saquon Barkley is back after playing just a few games in 2020 and then missing the rest of the season with an injury. The one issue for the Giants heading into week one are injuries and a lot of them. I'm going to take Denver on the money line here today, but I feel the Giants will improve as the season goes along. Play Denver Money Line. |
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09-12-21 | Dolphins v. Patriots -165 | 17-16 | Loss | -165 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
The NE Patriots face longtime AFC East Rival Miami here today. Miami was 10-6 in 2020 with both Ryan Fitzpatrick and Tua Tagovailoa at QB. Fitzpatrick is departed to Washington and the team is all Tua's now. Though there has been some rumors that Houston's Deshawn Watson could land in Miami. The Dolphins had a solid defense, ranked in the top 10 with an excellent secondary. The Patriots had numerous players opt out last year because of Covid and it showed in their 2-5 start. Gone is Cam Newton and in is rookie Mac Jones making his first career NFL start. The Pats strength this year will be their offensive line and deep running back group. They have to establish the run to help Jones out. Still, despite uncertainties on both sides, I'll take the Patriots on the Money Line today. |
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09-12-21 | Jaguars v. Texans +3.5 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
The one good thing about taking over a team in your rookie season is that there isn't much pressure on that team to do well this season. That's what Trevor Lawrence will be in here as the QB and No 1 pick in the draft. Urban Meyer takes over the helm of the Jaguars and he has Lawrence, which is a huge upgrade for this team. Cant's say the same for Houston who will be without QB Deshawn Watson. Watson has legal problems and even if he could play, he wants out of Houston. Lawrence had an excellent preseason and now gets to face a troubled Houston team. So who will be running the Texans? That will fall to well traveled Tyrod Taylor. Taylor will be the starter with no one really behind him trying to take over the team. One team is on the upswing while the other is heading South. Still, until I see Lawrence under real game time pressure and against No 1 defenses, I'll take the home dog here. Play Houston. |
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09-12-21 | Steelers +6.5 v. Bills | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
Two teams that both look to be in the playoff mix come the end of the season will kickoff the season here in week 1. This is a rematch from last year that saw the Bills win at home over the Steelers, 23-15. The Steelers are a good road dog, going 10-3 ATS in their last 13 in that role. Pittsburgh has won 10 of the last 13 in this series. The Steelers were 12-4 last year. The run game was an issue last year, averaging just 3.6 yard per carry. The Bills were 13-3 last year and lost to the Chiefs in the AFC Championship. Josh Allen had an amazing season at QB, with nearly 5,000 total yards rush and passing. The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite here today. I would have liked to have that extra half point, but getting a excellent defensive team like Pittsburgh with 6.5 points is enough for me. Play Pittsburgh. |
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09-12-21 | Chargers v. Washington Football Team -1 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
The Chargers begin their season all the way across the country here in Washington on Sunday. LA was 7-9 to finish last season as was Washington. Though Washington made the postseason in a terrible NFC East. The Chargers made a change in their head coach, sacking Anthony Lynn and replacing him with Brandon Staley. LA will once again rely on QB Justin Herbert after a fine rookie season in 2020. Washington has one of the best defenses in the league, ranked 4th overall. However, the offense wasn't very good, ranked 25th in scoring offense. Fitzpatrick return at QB for Washington. I personally like betting against a new coach in his first game of the season. The team is still learning the playbook, and with new coaches it will take a bit for the team to come together. Add the excellent Washington defense and I'll take the host here today. Play Washington. |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys +8 v. Bucs | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 443 h 38 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay begins its defense of their Super Bowl win with tonight's opening game of the 2021 NFL season. The Bucs host the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys looking to turn around what was a very disappointing season from last year. It all started going downhill in week four when QB Dak Prescott went down with that season ending nasty ankle injury. Dak is Back! Well, hopefully at full strength. There is some question as to whether he's nursing that ankle and he also had some should issues during the preseason. For me, I like betting against the previous NFL SUper Bowl champs in week one. I feel the lines are inflated by the oddsmaker and I believe the Cowboys will give a good account here tonight. Take the generous points with the Cowboys. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | 9-31 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 33 m | Show | |
Really you can make a valid argument for either side in this Super Bowl 55. Both have Super Bowl winning QB's leading them Both teams have been red-hot both winning and scoring points. You could give an edge to the Bucs since they are playing at home, but that would have been more impressive with a Stadium full of fans. Still, this game promises to be filled with offense and excitement. For me, I'm sticking with the Chiefs here on Sunday. I like the younger Patrick Mahomes and it always seems like Andy Reid has some tricks up his sleeve for these games. I expect a close battle here but I'll be on the Chiefs in this one. |
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01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 24-38 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Big question here in the AFC Championship game is the health of Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes. Officially he's listed as probable and should start, but how healthy is he?? He has those foot and neck issues after leaving last week's game. Mahomes does a lot with his legs and he might be limited here today with all his injuries. There are also weather issues here today with rain likely. The Chiefs will try to hold QB Josh Allen down with deep zones here on Sunday. Normally I would look at this game over, but with Andy Reid looking to protect his QB and the the weather, I'm going to play this one UNDER. |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | 31-26 | Loss | -128 | 38 h 56 m | Show | |
Just like last week, we get treated to a pair of future Hall of Fame QB's going at it here today in the NFC Championship game. Tom Brady won his showdown with Drew Brees last week and looks to do it again here today against another future Hall of Fame QB. One player missing today will be WR Antonio Brown for the Bucs, as he hurt his knee last week against the Saints. These teams are pretty evenly matched, so for me to decide here today I am looking at the weather. It's going to be below freezing the entire game, mostly in the 20's with some light snow possible and not much winds. We have a warm weather Tampa Bay team playing in the cold today. Brady likely went to Florida to get away from these kind of days. I have more faith in QB Aaron Rodgers to run the offense in the cold then I do Brady. I have to take the home team here on a very cold Green Bay day. Play Green Bay. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | 30-20 | Loss | -111 | 46 h 50 m | Show | |
NFC Divisional playoffs have a pair of South division foes facing off for the third time this year as the 12-5 Buccaneers take on the 13-4 Saints from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans. The Saints had their way with the Bucs in both previous games this year. the New Orleans defense has been amazing. Last week they kept the Bears out of the endzone the entire game except a late score with no time left on the clock. The Saints won in week one, 34-23 and then again in November 38-3. The Bucs appear to be at their best this time, so it won't be as easy. Alvin Kamira set a record with 6 TD's a few weeks ago, WR Michael Thomas is finally coming around after missing early in the season and QB Drew Brees isn't ready to retire just yet. The Saints have won five straight and look for their sixth here today. Really the Bucs have been embarrassed of late in this series. This one won't be easy, but I'm taking the Saints who seem to have the Buccaneers number in recent times. Play New Orleans. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bills | 3-17 | Loss | -109 | 98 h 36 m | Show | |
The 11-5 Baltimore Ravens take on the 13-3 Buffalo Bills in this AFC Divisional playoff matchup. The Ravens lead this series with the Bills 6-3. These teams last met in 2019 in a Baltimore win, 24-17. The Ravens have been good to bettors this year, going 10-5-1 ATS. They are 8-5-1 when a dog of at least 1.5-points. The Bills defense isn't anywhere near as dominating as it was last year, with it ranking mostly in the bottom half of the league. The Bills have a potent offense, scoring 31.3 ppg this year. The Ravens offense average 29.2 ppg this year. Ever since Baltimore survived their COVID breakout, they have been playing their best ball of the season. Lamar Jackson got his first playoff win after winning MVP last year and losing his first postseason game. The Ravens should keep the ball out of Josh Allen and the Bills highly explosive passing attack. The Ravens are great at controlling the close and running ball. Their defense also is very good and 2nd in the league in third down stops. This Buffalo team will have a lot of problems with Jackson and the Ravens rushing attack. Play Baltimore. |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 46 | 18-32 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Divisional Round of the playoffs here on Saturday as the 10-6 LA Rams take on the 13-3 Green Bay Packers from Lambeau field. Always have to check weather when dealing with Green Bay. It's going to be cold, likely below freezing during the game with light showers turning to snow later in the game with light winds. Never easy for West Coast teams to make the trip East, especially a warm weather team like the Rams playing in cold Green Bay. The Rams defense is the best in the league and it will be put to the test against likely the NFL MVP in Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense here today. The Rams playing with hobbled QB's. Jared Goff had to come back last week even with his surgically repaired thumb to replace injured QB John Wolford. Wolford is out this week so that means Goff again despite not being near 100%. No 1 offense of Green Bay vs No 1 defense of the Rams. The Rams will try and use their excellent corners against these high powered Packer receivers and take away what Rodgers looks for most. I don't believe the Rams will have what it takes on offense to get it done here today. Between the cold, damp weather, the long travel and a hurting QB, I don't expect a lot of scoring here. The Rams defense should keep it close but low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
Divisional Round of the playoffs here on Saturday as the 10-6 LA Rams take on the 13-3 Green Bay Packers from Lambeau field. Always have to check weather when dealing with Green Bay. It's going to be cold, likely below freezing during the game with light showers turning to snow later in the game with light winds. Never easy for West Coast teams to make the trip East, especially a warm weather team like the Rams playing in cold Green Bay. The Rams defense is the best in the league and it will be put to the test against likely the NFL MVP in Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense here today. The Rams playing with hobbled QB's. Jared Goff had to come back last week even with his surgically repaired thumb to replace injured QB John Wolford. Wolford is out this week so that means Goff again despite not being near 100%. No 1 offense of Green Bay vs No 1 defense of the Rams. The Rams will try and use their excellent corners against these high powered Packer receivers and take away what Rodgers looks for most. I don't believe the Rams will have what it takes on offense to get it done here today. This likely won't be as high scoring as the Packers are used to, but they get it done today. Take Green Bay. |
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01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers -5.5 | 48-37 | Loss | -108 | 80 h 60 m | Show | |
The Steelers didn't finish the season as they really wanted. After an 11-0 start, the Steelers lost four of their next five games. The Steelers and Browns split the regular season games. The Browns taking week 17 contest with Pitt not having anything to play for and the Browns a lot to play for. Week 6 the Steelers blew out the Browns, 38-7. The Steelers haven't been in the playoffs in two three seasons and don't want to lose and go home here today. In week 17 the Steelers nearly beat the Browns, despite playing mostly reserves. The Browns are only 3-3 against terams with a .500 or better record and 8-2 against teams below .500 mark. The line is just Pitt -4 here right now, but I expect that to go up. So I'm getting down early on a Pittsburgh team that won't take the Browns for granted and look past them. Play Pittsburgh. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans OVER 54.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -104 | 51 h 51 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens look to avenge their last loss to the Tennessee Titans back on Nov 22, losing in OT 24-30. Derrick Henry ran all over the Ravens in that contest, much like he has done to the entire NFL this season. Henry became just the 8th back in the NFL history that rushed for more than 2,000 yards after his 250 yard performance last week at Houston. The Ravens finished 11-5 on the season and winners of five games in a row. This game will be filled with rushing. Henry for the Titans and QB Lamar Jackson for the Ravens. Jacks rushed for 97 yards in their blowout win at Cincinnati last week. I like this game to have lots of offense in a repeat of their game on Nov 22. Play OVER. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans +3.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens look to avenge their last loss to the Tennessee Titans back on Nov 22, losing in OT 24-30. Derrick Henry ran all over the Ravens in that contest, much like he has done to the entire NFL this season. Henry became just the 8th back in the NFL history that rushed for more than 2,000 yards after his 250 yard performance last week at Houston. The Ravens finished 11-5 on the season and winners of five games in a row. This game will be filled with rushing. Henry for the Titans and QB Lamar Jackson for the Ravens. Jacks rushed for 97 yards in their blowout win at Cincinnati last week. The Titans are 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 games against Baltimore. This is going to be a battle of rushing attacks, but with the Titans having the best back in the NFL I like them here today to win this game outright. Play Tennessee Titans. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team UNDER 44.5 | 31-23 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 1 m | Show | |
Tom Brady has led the Bucs back to the postseason for the first time since 2007. The Bucs will travel to DC to take on Washington here in the Wild Card round. The Bucs have the league's 3rd ranked scoring offense (30.8 ppg) and will face one of the best passing defenses in the league here this week. Washington started the season 2-7, but finished strong with a 5-2 record to take the NFC East. The defense is the backbone of this team, ranking 2nd in total yards allowed and 2nd in passing yards allowed. They were also 4th in points allowed. Washington has seen it's last nine games on grass all go under. They are also 3-8 O/U in their last 11 home games vs a team with a wining record. These teams have gone under in five of their last seven meetings and four of the last five in Washington. Washington needs to keep this score low if they hope for a win today. Take the UNDER. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 42.5 | 30-20 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 26 m | Show | |
The 10-6 LA Rams take on the 12-4 Seattle Seahawks from Seattle this Saturday in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. These teams split during the regular season. The Rams likely won't know their starting QB until shortly before kickoff. QB Jared Goff broke his finger against Seattle back on Dec 27 and had surgery the following day. John Wolford started against Arizona, helping the Rams clinch their playoff spot. Wolford was 22 of 38 passing for 231 yards and rushed for a team-high 56 yards. The Rams have a great defense, tops in the NFL in fewest points allowed, passing yards allowed, TD passes, 1st downs and total yards. They will rely on that defense here today to keep Seattle QB Russel Wilson in check, which isn't easy. The Hawks had to rally from 10 points down vs the 49ers to clinch the NFC West last week. The Rams are 0-4 O/U in their last four games thanks to their strong defense. The Seattle defense was much maligned during the 1st half of the season, at or near the bottom of the league. However, since then they have played much better. The have gone under in their last four home games as a favorite. They are also 1-7 O/U in their last eight overall games. These teams are 7-15 O/U in their last 22 meetings. I like this game to go UNDER. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks -3 | 30-20 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
The 10-6 LA Rams take on the 12-4 Seattle Seahawks from Seattle this Saturday in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. These teams split during the regular season. The Rams likely won't know their starting QB until shortly before kickoff. QB Jared Goff broke his finger against Seattle back on Dec 27 and had surgery the following day. John Wolford started against Arizona, helping the Rams clinch their playoff spot. Wolford was 22 of 38 passing for 231 yards and rushed for a team-high 56 yards. The Rams have a great defense, tops in the NFL in fewest points allowed, passing yards allowed, TD passes, 1st downs and total yards. They will rely on that defense here today to keep Seattle QB Russel Wilson in check, which isn't easy. The Hawks had to rally from 10 points down vs the 49ers to clinch the NFC West last week. Seattle has done well in Wildcard rounds, going 6-1 ATS their last 7 times. The Hawks are also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings with the Rams in Seattle. I'll put my trust here in Wilson over either Goff or Wofford. Play Seattle. |
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01-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 41.5 | 7-18 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
Both these clubs fighting for that last playoff spot as the Rams host the Cardinals. The losers season is over here. The Cardinals couldn't stop the Carolina run last week and it cost them dearly as they lost 12-20. For the highly ranked Arizona offense it was their worst offensive output of the season. And to make matters worse, QB Kyler Murray was injured on the last play of the game. He has said he will play here on Sunday. The Rams lost a chance to lock down a playoff spot last week in their loss to the division winning Seahawks, 9-20. LA also lost their QB as Jared Goff broke his thumb. The Rams will have to now turn to backup John Wolford. Wolford has never taken a NFL snap. With both QB's either out or hurting, I look for the defenses to take over here on Sunday. The Rams have a top defensive unit and they will need every bit of it to secure a playoff spot. For me, I'll just take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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01-03-21 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | 35-16 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
These age old enemies meet here in the last week of the regular season and this game is big. The Bears are 8-7 and red hot hosting the 12-3 Green Bay Packers at Soldier Field. The Pack can lock up the No 1 overall seed and the Bears can gain a Wild Card spot. The Bears have won three in a row and if they win, they are in. They could still make it if they lose, but that requires an Arizona loss to the Rams. The Bears will have to be at their best here today as the Packers have won five in row. Mitchell Trubisky regained his starting position after losing it to Nick Foles. And since his return he has been very good. David Montgomery has also contributed a lot to the Bears down the stretch with 354 yards in his last three games. The Packers are laying four points here today. I'll take those points with the Bears. Play Chicago. |
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01-03-21 | Jets +3 v. Patriots | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
The NY Jets will have the No 2 overall pick in the NFL draft. Today's game will have no bearing on that pick, win or lose. That way they can try and end the season on a winning note. In fact, the Patriots have nothing to play for here either as they are eliminated from the playoffs. The Patriots usually play a lot of backups in a meaningless Week 17 matchup. The Jets can end the season with a three game win streak here today. The Patriots will likely have Jarrett Stidham starting here at QB. The bad news is that the Jets won't land Trevor Lawrence in the draft. This won't likely be a game to watch, but the Jets will want to win it more than the Patriots will. I'll take the field goal with the Jets who likely win outright. Play NY Jets |
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12-28-20 | Bills -7 v. Patriots | 38-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills clinched their first AFC East Title since 1995 with their win last week. They are now 11-3 and can still pick up the No 2 seed in the playoffs. The New England Patriots are hearing words they and their fans are not used to hear, they have been eliminated from the playoffs. In all the years that Tom Brady was in New England, they failed to make the playoffs just once and that was because Brady was hurt. Cam Newton should play tonight, despite the fact they have failed to score an offensive TD in the last two weeks. Wouldn't be surprised to see Jarrett Stidham at some point in this game or next. The Bills have everything to play for while the Patriots have nothing. The Bills have momentum with four straight wins and the motivation of kicking the Pats behinds. I look for a Buffalo blowout here on Monday. Play the Bills. |
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12-27-20 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
These teams met back in November and that turned into more of a defensive struggle, with the Rams holding on for a 23-16 win. The Rams had 289 yards of offense and Seattle had 333 yards of offense. The Rams might have looked toward this game when they played at home to the Jets last week, give New York its first win of the season, 23-20. The 17-point favored Rams had 303 yards and one turnover in the loss. Seattle had just 302 yards in their win at Washington, having 23 fewer snaps on offense and allowing 51 more yards. Seattle has the 7th ranked offense, dropping in recent weeks. The Rams defense remains topped ranked in the NFL, 1st against the pass and 3rd vs the run. I look for another low scoring game here today. The Rams defense will keep this game lower scoring as Seattle will look to establish the run. Play UNDER. |
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12-27-20 | Panthers v. Washington Football Team UNDER 41.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers thought that RB Christian McCaffrey would return here today. However, latest reports have him downgraded to doubtful for today's game. McCaffrey has only played in three games all season, but still have six TD's. The Panthers are ranked 20th in the NFL in total offense, 19th rushing and 16th passing. On the other side, it's possible QB Alex Smith will be back today after suffering a calf injury. Washington, as most NFC East teams, still in the hunt for the Division championship and that playoff berth. Right now it looks like Washington has the inside track. They are coming off a loss last week to Seattle, 15-20. Their excellent defense held Seattle's highly ranked offense to just 302 total yards. The problem isn't Washington's 4th ranked defense, it's their offense. Washington is ranked 28th in total offense, 22nd rushing, 25th passing. Today if Smith doesn't return, or even if he does, I see this as a low scoring game. McCaffrey might have given some hope for more offense, but now I see this as a dead under. That's the play, UNDER. |
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12-27-20 | Colts v. Steelers -1.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
The Indianapolis Colts have won three straight games since their loss to Tennessee back on November 29th. The defense got 5 sacks last week in their win over the Houston Texans, 27-20. The Colts are in a log jam in the AFC at 10-4 they are tied with the Titans Browns. Currently they hold the 6th playoff. Meanwhile, the Steelers have dropped three straight games after starting 11-0. The Steelers were shocked by the Bengals last week in Cincinnati, 17-27. Teams that usually limp into the playoffs don't do well, so I look for the Steelers to want to finish strong these last two weeks. In addition, the Colts with be without a pair of offensive line starters, which could be bad for QB Rivers against the excellent Steelers defense. With Pittsburgh laying just one or two points here on Sunday I'll take them to get back in the win column. Take Pittsburgh. |
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12-26-20 | 49ers v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 20-12 | Loss | -105 | 103 h 6 m | Show |
Nothing on the line here today for the San Francisco 49ers. They will be playing out the last few weeks of the season. At 5-9 and in 12th place in the NFC playoff race they have been eliminated. Not so though for the Arizona Cardinals who are sitting in that 7th and final playoff spot in the NFC at 8-6. They have two teams above them at 9-5, the Rams and Bucs, with the Bears breathing down their back at 7-7 and the Vikings two back at 6-8. The 49ers have one of the longest injury lists in the NFL. It has been a horrid season for the defending NFC Champions. They don't even have a home field anymore as they play their home games here in Arizona. The 49ers have won just one of their last seven games both S/U and ATS. Additionally, the Cardinals have won and covered five of the last six vs the 49ers. The Cards need the win to hold onto that last playoff spot and the 49ers are just too beat up to contest here today. Arizona is my NFL Game of the Year for 2020. |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs v. Saints +3 | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints look to welcome back QB Drew Brees here on Sunday. However, it looks more and more like he'll be splitting time with Taysom Hill. Hill has led the team these last four weeks with Brees on the injury list. And, Hill has done a very good job too. This game will pit the NFL's top ranked offense in the Cheifs against the NFL's 2nd ranked defense of the Saints. The Saints have the 2nd rated defense vs the run and 4th vs the pass. The Chiefs have the NFL's top passing attack and the 17th running game. Patrick Mahomes has just five INT's on the season, that's second best to only Aaron Rodgers four INT's. The Saints lost last week for the first time under Hill, dropping a 21-24 contest at Philadelphia. Kansas City held on for the win at Miami last week, 33-27 despite four turnovers and 15 fewer offensive snaps. Should be a very good one here today, but the infusion of Brees back into the lineup gives the home dog Saints all I need to see for the taking. Play the Saints. |
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12-20-20 | Eagles v. Cardinals OVER 49.5 | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
The Jalen Hurts era made a good start last week for the Philadelphia Eagles as they beat the best defense in the NFL, the Saints 24-21. The Eagles ran for 246 and Hurts passed for 167 yards and no INT's. Arizona snapped a three game losing streak with a win over the Giants, 26-7. The Cardinals held the Giants to just 159 totals yards and had a whopping 37 more offensive plays then the Giants had. The Cards boast the NFL's 4th best offense, 4th in rushing and 17th in passing yards. Philly has been near the bottom third in the offense, but we'll see if that turns around with Hurts at the helm. We might be seeing the end of Carson Wentz in Philly as Hurts looks like the real deal thus far. For me, I'm taking the OVER here on Sunday. |
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12-20-20 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team UNDER 43.5 | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
 The Washington Football team has flexed their defensive muscles in recent week. They are ranked 4th overall in the NFL, 9th vs the rush and 3rd vs the pass. They will need that defense here today against Russell Wilson and the high flying Seahawks. The offense isn't very good, gaining a mere 193 yards in their win against San Francisco last week. However, the defense got three turnovers and turned those into points. Seattle rebounded from its shocking loss to the Giants two weeks ago with a blowout win over the Jets last week, 40-3. The Hawks had 410 yards and held the Jets to just 185 yards. Seattle has the league's 6th ranked overall offense, 11th in rushing and 4th in passing. This game really boils down to the Washington defense vs the Seattle offense. There is no way that Washington can match Seattle score for score, that just isn't how this team is built. But I've been impressed with their defense I expect them to keep this game close with that defense. Therefore, I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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12-20-20 | Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 41.5 | 12-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
The Patriots looked like they had the offense back on track after scoring at least 20 points in six straight game and going 4-2 over that six game stretch. However, that all came to a halt last week when they play at the LA Rams. The Pats scored just three points in a 3-24 loss. The offense had just 220 total yards and one turnover. The defense played decent, holding LA to 318 yards and one turnover. Cam Newton had just 113 yards passing and the team had 107 yards rushing. The Dolphins mounted a nice comeback at home against the Kansas City Chiefs, but came up on the short end of a 27-33 contest. Though they did backend the spread to get the cover against the +7 point line. The Dolphins have been a good under team all year. They have gone under in three of their last four games and are 5-8 O/U on the season. The passing defense had allowed 174 or fewer their previous three of four games before Patrick Mahones torched them for 354 last week. Though the defense did get four takeaways and three sacks against the Chiefs. Neither of these teams have highly ranked offenses, with Miami coming in at 27th and the Pats at 24th. I don't think the oddsmaker can put up a total low enough on this contest. I have the total at least nine points less. I'm looking at a low scoring game here on Sunday. Play UNDER. |
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12-19-20 | Bills v. Broncos +5.5 | 48-19 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills have won three straight games after that devastating loss to the Cardinals back on November 15th. They have covered five straight games after a four game losing streak. Buffalo handed Pittsburgh its second straight loss last week, 26-15. The Bills held the Steelers to just 224 total yards and had 16 more offensive plays. Denver is coming off a road win last week at Carolina, 32-17, despite having five less yards than the Panthers and one more turnover. Drew Lock passed for 269 yards on 21-of-27 passing. Buffalo ranks 10th overall in total offense while the Broncos are 25th. Denver has the slightly better defense, ranked 15th to Buffalo's 20th ranked D. Buffalo closes out their season with games at New England and then at home against Miami. The Broncos might catch the Bills in a bit of a letdown spot here today after their big win last week. I'll take the points at home with Denver. |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 46 | 47-42 | Loss | -118 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns currently sit at 9-3 and in the playoff picture. However, they face a desperate Baltimore team here today that is on the outside of the AFC playoff picture looking in. A loss by the Ravens and they can pretty much kiss any postseason goodbye. The Ravens have had many Covid issues in recent weeks and it has effected the team. They lost to New England without Lamar Jackson (Covid) and then lost to Tennessee before rebounding last week with a win over the Cowboys. They play their last road game here tonight before returning home to close out the regular season against Jacksonville and the Giants. Cleveland's offense and QB Baker Mayfield arguably had their best ever showing last week in a win over Tennessee, 41-35. They had 118 yards rushing and 340 yards Passing with just one turnover. They play the Ravens tonight before the Giants and Jets in subsequent weeks before closing out at home over Pittsburgh. They are trying to hold off the Colts for that AFC Wild Card spot. Usually you have to take a close look at the weather in December for Cleveland. Tonight it looks to be around freezing with winds that could be up near 20 MPH. The winds are the biggest concern as it will effect the passing games. The Ravens love to rush and the Browns are good on the ground too. Expect a lot of ground game here tonight. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-13-20 | Saints v. Eagles UNDER 43 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints hold the top playoff spot in the NFC with a 10-2 overall record. Philadelphia is pretty much out of it, even in the NFC East as they are just 3-8-1 on the season. The Saints will play again tomorrow with QB Drew Brees. But that hasn't been a problem with Taysom Hill at the Helm. He's guided them to three straight starting wins. The defense has been great and it should be as it's the tops in the NFL (2nd vs rush and 4th vs pass). That doesn't bode well today as the Eagles will start Jalen Hurts at QB. They have wanted to get Hurts into the mix, but this is more like throwing him to the wolves. Hurts brings a run/pass dynamic to the Eagles, but his passing leaves a lot to be desired. Now he must face the 4th best pass defense. The Saints have gone under in five straight games, mainly because Hill is more a controlled rusher with short passes. Since Hill has bee at the helm, the rushing yards have gone up to 168, 229 and 207 yards in each of their last three games. I don't see the Eagles scoring much over 10 points here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-13-20 | Saints -7.5 v. Eagles | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
The New Orleans Saints hold the top playoff spot in the NFC with a 10-2 overall record. Philadelphia is pretty much out of it, even in the NFC East as they are just 3-8-1 on the season. The Saints will play again tomorrow with QB Drew Brees. But that hasn't been a problem with Taysom Hill at the Helm. He's guided them to three straight starting wins. The defense has been great and it should be as it's the tops in the NFL (2nd vs rush and 4th vs pass). That doesn't bode well today as the Eagles will start Jalen Hurts at QB. They have wanted to get Hurts into the mix, but this is more like throwing him to the wolves. Hurts brings a run/pass dynamic to the Eagles, but his passing leaves a lot to be desired. Now he must face the 4th best pass defense. The Saints have gone under in five straight games, mainly because Hill is more a controlled rusher with short passes. Since Hill has bee at the helm, the rushing yards have gone up to 168, 229 and 207 yards in each of their last three games. I like the Saints here today as they completely shut down this Eagles Team. Play New Orleans. |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants UNDER 47 | 26-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have seen their playoff hopes drop drastically over the last few weeks as they now sit 6-6. Arizona has lost three straight since their miracle win over Buffalo back on November 15th. There is lots of concern with QB Kyler Murray who has been nursing various injuries, which could account for the lack of offense in recent weeks. The Cards had just 232 total yards last week and 298 yards the previous week. Meanwhile, the Giants are in the driver seat to win the NFC East. They had that big win last week at Seattle and own the tiebreaker over Washington based on head to head win percentage. More good news, they get back QB Daniel Jones here today, who has been nursing a hamstring injury. These teams headed in different directions plus the Cards make that long West to East trip. The Giants have an excellent defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 4th vs the rush. I look for them to give Murray fits here today. Play the UNDER. |
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12-13-20 | Vikings v. Bucs OVER 52 | 14-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
Minnesota very much in the playoff hunt at 6-6 as they hold the tiebreaker over 6-6 Arizona. Tampa Bay is 7-5 and sits 6th in the NFC playoff picture, so today's game is very important to both teams. The Vikings have pulled two wins from the jaws of defeat in the last two weeks with late wins over Carolina and Jacksonville. But those were at home and now they go to Tampa to face Tom Brady and company. The defense is not good, ranked 23rd overall and 27th vs the pass. Tampa Bay, which was ranked in the top 2 or three, has since dropped to 8th overall, though they are still 1st vs the run. That should be put to test here today against the 6th ranked Minnesota rushing attack. Both teams posses the players to score big here and combine that with the Vikings poor defense and I'm playing OVER. |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants +3 | 26-7 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have seen their playoff hopes drop drastically over the last few weeks as they now sit 6-6. Arizona has lost three straight since their miracle win over Buffalo back on November 15th. There is lots of concern with QB Kyler Murray who has been nursing various injuries, which could account for the lack of offense in recent weeks. The Cards had just 232 total yards last week and 298 yards the previous week. Meanwhile, the Giants are in the driver seat to win the NFC East. They had that big win last week at Seattle and own the tiebreaker over Washington based on head to head win percentage. More good news, they get back QB Daniel Jones here today, who has been nursing a hamstring injury. These teams headed in different directions plus the Cards make that long West to East trip, which is never good. Take New York Giants. |
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12-10-20 | Patriots +5 v. Rams | 3-24 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
 The Patriots defense came up big last week in their win at the LA Chargers, getting the shutout win, 45-0. The Pats also got three sacks and two fumbles to go with big special teams plays. They held the Chargers to seven yards rushing and 188 yards passing. Tonight, they get the other host of SoFi stadium, the Rams. The Rams are coming off a big win over Arizona to take over the NFC West lead. The Rams defense held the Cardinals to just 92 yards rushing and 140 yards passing. The Rams have four games left with three of those at home (Pats, Jets and Cardinals) and their lone road game coming at Seattle. The Rams have the third ranked offense in the league (8th rush, 6th pass) whit the Patriots coming in at 22nd. Both teams are top 10 defenses, Patriots at 9th and Rams and No 2. Should be a good defensive battle here on Thursday. Off what I saw last week, the Pats have a lot of confidence built up and I'm going to take the points with them here tonight. Play New England. |
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12-08-20 | Cowboys v. Ravens -9 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Both teams need a win here today to keep their respective playoff hopes alive. The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a bad loss at home to Washington, 16-41. The loss snapped the nice win they had the week before at Minnesota, 31-28. The Ravens had that crazy week with Covid where their Thursday game got moved four times until they played last Wednesday, losing to the Steelers 14-19. With as many losses to Covid, they performed very well in the loss. However, it was their third loss in a row. Baltimore's offense is ranked 25th overall. However, they have the league's 3rd ranked rushing attack. Dallas is 9th in the league and 7th in passing. However, a lot of those came with Dak Prescot who is out for the season. Raven's QB Lamar Jackson should return today from his Covid protocols. With Jackson and their full contingent of running backs, I'll take the Ravens here today. Play Baltimore. |
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12-07-20 | Bills v. 49ers +1 | 34-24 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills make the trip West, but not to San Francisco to play the Niners but to Arizona. The 49ers are forced to play the rest of their home games in Arizona now. Buffalo and Josh Allen don't really want to visit this place again after they lost to the Cardinals here in that last second "Hail Murray" pass. Buffalo beat the Chargers last week, 27-17. The offense only had 332 total yards and three turnovers but somehow still pulled out the win and cover. The 49ers came off that big win at the Rams, 23-20, holding the LA offense to just 308 total yards and taking the ball away four times from the Rams. This game is basicially a pick here today. This is the early game going at 2pm PT and I will take the 49ers in this one. Play San Francisco. |
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12-07-20 | Washington Football Team +7 v. Steelers | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers kept their perfect record in tact last Wednesday against an undermanned Baltimore Ravens team. Baltimore was hit hard by Covid issues and didn't even have starting QB Lamar Jackson. The Steelers play the late game on Monday against the Washington. The big question is if Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger will play with his knee injury. Offjavascript:__doPostBack('eAddPickPackage','')icially he's questionable but even if he does play how effective will he be tonight? James Conner is also questionable with Covid issues and Center Maurkice Pouncey also has Covid issues. So many questions surround this Steelers team this week. Pittsburgh has the third ranked defense, but Washington is right behind them, ranked 4th overall. Washington has the 2nd best pass defense and that will come into play here tonight. Pittsburgh laying 7 or 7 1/2 right now. I'm going to get on the dog right now with this very good Washington defense. Play Washington. |
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12-06-20 | Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 48.5 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
The LA Rams have been a perplexing team. They go to Tampa Bay and win 27-24 against Tom Brady and a very good defense. Then they come home and can have a terrible time offensively against the 49ers as they lose, 20-23. The Rams had just 308 total yards of offense in that loss. The Rams also had four turnovers. Now they travel to Arizona to face the Cardinals. The Cardinals have lost two straight games and three of their last four. They lost to the Patriots last week, 17-20 and the Seahawks the week before, 21-28. The offense had 298 yards of offense last week and 314 the week before. Both teams seem to have lost something offensively here in recent weeks. The Rams still have a excellent defense, ranked 2nd in the NFL, fourth vs the rush and 3rd vs the pass. I look for another low scoring game here today. Play UNDER. |
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12-06-20 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 46 | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
New Orleans will be without Drew Brees again this week with his rib injuries. Taysom Hill will start again here today. The Saints beat the Broncos last week as Denver had no quarterbacks and New Orleans had little issues in the 31-3 win. Still, the Saints managed just 63 total passing yards to go with their 229 rushing yards. The Falcons had the week off after beating the Raiders the week before, 43-6. The team has won three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. Their one loss came to these Saints on Nov 22nd, 9-24 in New Orleans. Atlanta's offense has improved to 10th overall and 6th passing. The Saints are 13th, 7th rushing. The Saints defense is ranked No 1 overall, 2nd against the rush and 5th against the pass. This will be a tough task today on the road for the Saints against a improving Falcons club. I expect a lot of rushing from the Saints as they limit Hill's passing attempts. Take the UNDER. |
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12-06-20 | Browns v. Titans OVER 53 | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
Cleveland won at Jacksonville last week, 27-25 though they failed to cover the TD spread. While the Browns have won three straight, they have covered just one of their last six games. The Browns finally got away from that bad Cleveland weather that saw them go under three games in a row due to various inclement conditions. The Titans are coming off a big win at Indianapolis last week, 45-26. The Titans have scored 75 points in their last two games against two very good defenses. Tennessee has seen its offense rankings climb to 8th overall and 2nd in the league rushing. They will face the Browns 17th ranked defense. The way the Titans offense is firing on all cylinders, I expect this game to be high scoring. Play OVER. |
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12-06-20 | Saints v. Falcons +3 | 21-16 | Loss | -116 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
New Orleans will be without Drew Brees again this week with his rib injuries. Taysom Hill will start again here today. The Saints beat the Broncos last week as Denver had no quarterbacks and New Orleans had little issues in the 31-3 win. Still, the Saints managed just 63 total passing yards to go with their 229 rushing yards. The Falcons had the week off after beating the Raiders the week before, 43-6. The team has won three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. Their one loss came to these Saints on Nov 22nd, 9-24 in New Orleans. Atlanta's offense has improved to 10th overall and 6th passing. The Saints are 13th, 7th rushing. The Saints defense is ranked No 1 overall, 2nd against the rush and 5th against the pass. This will be a tough task today on the road for the Saints against a improving Falcons club. I expect a lot of rushing from the Saints as they limit Hill's passing attempts. The Falcons plus the points here look very good to me as I fully expect a outright Falcons win. Play Atlanta. |
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