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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-12-23 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 8-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
AFC West clash here on Thursday night football has the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are 4-1 and comfortably in 1st place in the division while Denver is in last place at 1-4. The Chiefs have a +48 point differential while Denver is at -60 points. The Chiefs could be without one of their stars on Thursday, as TE Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury. I'm going to be on the under in this game and mainly because the weather looks to be bad. There's chance of showers, but more important are the 21 mph winds. Winds, in my opinion, influence totals more than anything. And if Kelce doesn't play, then that will even make this a stronger play. Either way, I'll be on the UNDER on Thursday night. |
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10-09-23 | Packers v. Raiders OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
 The Green Bay Packers visit Las Vegas to finish up Week 5 NFL action against the Raiders. The Packers are 2-2 on the season and have +4 point differential with 100 points scored and 96 points allowed. The Raiders are 1-3 and have a -39 point differential with just 62 points scored and 101 points allowed. The Packers look to rebound from their home loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 20-34. The loss was also their first spread loss as they are now 3-1 vs the number and 3-1 Over/Under on the season. The Packers average 25 ppg while allowing 24 ppg. They also average 280.8 ypg while allowing 352.5 ypg. The Raiders are 1-3 S/U, 1-2-1 vs the number and 1-3 Over/Under. Vegas is coming off a loss at the LA Chargers, 17-24, pushing the 7-point dog line. Good news is that they get back QB Jimmy Garoppolo who missed last week's game with a concussion. Garoppolo has six INT's and five TD's on the season. Neither teams defense all that good. I'll take the over in this one. |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -175 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Sunday Night Football has the 3-1 Dallas Cowboys playing at the 4-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cowboys have a +83 point differential, best in the NFL as they have scored 124 points and allowed 41 points. San Francisco has a +67 point differential, scoring 125 points and allowing 58. The Cowboys are also 3-1 vs the number this year. They average 360 yards per game while allowing 259.8 ypg. QB Dak Prescot averages 227 ypg with four TD's and one INT. Tony Pollard leads the rushing, but was likely expected to be more productive than his 77.8 ypg average. He has just two TD's and one fumble on the season. The 49ers average 398 yards per game while allowing 284.3 ypg. Brock Purdy leads the team at QB with 254.8 ypg, five TD's and no INT's. Chrisitan McCaffrey averages 114.8 ypg with Six TD's and just one fumble. These teams pretty evenly matched and we might be seeing a preview of the NFC Championship here. For me, I'm taking the 49ers on the Money Line in this one. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
The Philadelphia Eagles look to keep their perfect record in tact as they visit the LA Rams here on Sunday. The 4-0 Eagles just did get by the Washington Commanders last week in OT, 34-31, failing to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Eagles have a +28 point differential as they have scored 118 points and allowed 90. They will face a 2-2 Rams team that has a +13 point differential, scoring 98 points and allowing 85. Some good news for the Rams as they return their best WR in Cooper Kupp who has missed the season with a hamstring injury. Kupp was upgraded to probable for today's contest. The Eagles have averaged 392 yards this year while allowing 323 yards. They have relied more on their rushing game this year led by Kenneth Gainwell who has averaged more than 100 yards per game. The Rams are coming off a win at the Colts last week, 29-23 as they rsuhed for 164 yards and passed for another 303 yards. WR Puka Nacau has been a leader in the NFL this year with over 119 yards in three of his four starts. Now he gets Kupp back and that should only help both receivers. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Rams. |
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10-08-23 | Titans v. Colts OVER 43 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Great news today for the Colts as RB Jonathan Taylor will be returning to the team. The team and Taylor agreed to a three-year contract. The Colts activated Taylor off the PUP list Saturday leaving only Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara as RB that will make more money. Taylor can see action here today vs the Titans. The Colts are in a four way tie in the AFC South as all the teams are 2-2 on the season. The Colts have scored 97 points and allowed 99 points this year. The Titans, also in the division have scored 72 points and allowed 70 points this year. The Titans are coming off a win vs the Bengals last week, 27-3. The Colts lost the Rams last week, 23-29 and have gone over in three of their four games. The return of Taylor should give this entire team a shot in the arm and with that I'm looking for a higher scoring game. Play the OVER. |
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10-08-23 | Saints v. Patriots UNDER 39 | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
Interconference matchup here has the AFC East 1-3 New England Patriots taking on the NFC South 2-2 New Orleans Saints. The Saints come into this game with a -14 point differential, scoring 62 points and allowing 76. QB Derek Carr has been upgraded to probable for this game with a shoulder injury. The Patriots also have a negative point differential of -42, scoring 55 points and allowing 97 on the season. Despite their new QB, the Saints have averaged just 15.5 points per game while allowing 19 ppg. They average 285.3 ypg an allow 304.3 ypg. Carr has averaged 190.8 ypg with just two TD's and two INT's in his four games. Last week in their loss to Tampa Bay, 9-26, Carr had just 127 yard with no TD's. In fact, Carr hasn't thrown a TD since week two at Carolina. The Patriots aren't much better on offense, coming off a loss last week at Dallas, 3-38. They have score 20 points or more just one time in four games and that came in a week one loss to Philly, 20-25. Two offenses that are not good with defenses that are above average. I'll take the UNDER. |
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10-08-23 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
 AFC North clash here on Sunday has the division leading 3-1 Baltimore Ravens visiting the 2nd place 2-2 Pittsburgh Steelers. The Ravens have a +41 point differential with 99 points scored and 58 points allowed. The Steelers are not so lucky as they are in the red with a minus-38 point differential with just 62 points scored and 100 points allowed. The Ravens are 1-3 over/under this season. They have allowed just 14.5 points per game while scoring 24.7 ppg. They are coming off a easy win at Cleveland last week, 28-3, going under the 38.5 point total. The teams only over came in week two at Cincinnati in a win over the Bengals, 27-24. The Steelers have had issue scoring this season with just a 15.5 points per game average. They lost last week at Houston, 6-30, going under the 41.5 point total. Their only over came in week two vs the Browns in a win, 26-22. Steelers QB Kenny Pickett was upgraded to probable for this game with a knee injury. Have to wonder how mobile he will be in this one if he does play. With the anemic Steelers offense I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars +6 v. Bills | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Early game from London England here on Sunday. The Jags will be playing their second straight game from London. The Jags had little trouble in last week's game over the pond as they beat the Atlanta Falcons, 23-7. The defense held the Falcons to just 287 total yards. That improved the Jags to 2-2 and tied with the other three teams in the AFC South, all with 2-2 records. The Jags have a +2 point differential as they have scored 72 points and allowed 70. The Buffalo Bills have a +84 point differential, scoring 139 points and allowing only 55. They are coming off that showdown with the Miami Dolphins last week in which they dominated from start to finish in a win, 48-20. The Bills have dominated their last three opponents since that opening week shocking loss at the Jets, 16-22. One thing in this game is the possible letdown the Bills might have after that emotional win over the Dolphins last week. I'll take the points with the Jags who seem to play very well in London. Play Jacksonville. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants OVER 47 | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks look to improve to 3-1 as they travel to the Meadowlands to take on the NY Giants. After opening with a loss to the Rams in week one, the Hawks have won at Detroit, 37-31 and then last week beat Carolina, 37-27 as a 4.5-point favorite. The Hawks have also gone over the last two games as they have 37 points in each of those contests. The NY Giants are 1-2 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. They have averaged just 14.3 ppg while allowing 32.7 ppg. They lost last week at San Francisco, 12-30 as 10.5-point dogs. They have allowed 138 yards rushing and 223.7 yards passing on the year compared to just 88 rushing and 165 passing of their own. The Giants haven't stopped anyone thus far and the way the Seahawks have been playing I don't see them doing much here either. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Jets | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 33 m | Show |
Sunday Night football has this AFC battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the NY Jets. The Chiefs were shocked at home in their opener by the Lions, but since that loss have rebounded with wins over Jacksonville, 17-9, and then last week over Chicago, 41-10. The offense finally clicked last week with 303 yards passing and 153 yards rushing. They held the Bears to just 203 total yards. QB Patrick Mahomes looked very sharp last week with 272 yards passing, three TD's and no INT's. Since his favorite targer Travis Kelce returned in game two, the offense has been much more sharp. The Jets had high hopes to start the season with QB Aaron Rodgers coming over from the Packers RB Dalvin Cook coming over from the Vikings. However, the Jets lost Rodgers 75 seconds into the season with a season ending injury and Cook has been less then effective in three starts with a high of 33 yards rushing in game one. Zach Wilson resumed at QB and has been poor at best with three INT's and Two TD's in his three games. Not sure how the Jets offense will keep up with Mahomes and company in this one. Might take a miracle. take Kansas City. |
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10-01-23 | Cardinals +14.5 v. 49ers | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
NFC West matchup here on Sunday has the 1-2 Arizona Cardinals playing at the 3-0 San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals are forced to play with their QB in Kyler Murray who will miss this game. However, he could return for their next game. Surprisingly though, the Cardinals are 3-0 vs the spread. They covered the 7-points in their opener at Washington, then covered vs the Giants and then shocked everyone last week with an outright win at home over the Dallas Cowboys as a 11-point dog. RB James Conner has been great with 98 yards last week and 106 the week before. The 49ers look like one of the best teams in the NFL right now. They have scored 90 points while allowing just 42 for a +48 point differential. Only the Buffalo Bills have a better point differential (+56). Brock Purdy has been efficient at QB with FOUR TD's and no INT's. He had 310 yards last week vs the Giants. But it's RB Christian McCaffrey who leads the team with 117 rushing yards per game and three TD's. The Niners are 14 point favorite or there about. With Dallas up next for the 49ers I expect them to not really concentrate much on this big dog today. I'll take the Cardinals and see if they can remain perfect vs the number. Play Arizona. |
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10-01-23 | Bucs v. Saints UNDER 40.5 | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
 Key NFC South matchup here today has the 2-1 Tampa Bay Bucs traveling to New Orleans to take on the 2-1 Saints. Tampa Bay lost its first game of the season last week with a 11-25 loss at home to Philadelphia as a 5-point dog. The Bucs managed just 41 yards rushing and 133 yards passing while giving up 472 total yards. QB Baker Mayfield had a season low 146 yards with his first INT of the season. The Saints lost QB Derek Carr last week and what looked to be a bad shoulder injury actually wasn't as bad as he is upgraded to questionable for today's game. If he can't go then Jameis Winston will once again start. Winston was 10-for-16 last week and 101 yards in their 17-18 loss. The Saints led 17-0 but once Carr went down they heart went out of the team as they lost to the Packers. The Saints have just 53 points in three games while allowing 50. The Bucs have 58 points while allowing 59. Both teams more defense then offense. I don't expect the Saints to risk Carr here on Sunday and they will be cautious with Winston. I'll take the UNDER in this one. |
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10-01-23 | Bengals v. Titans UNDER 41 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans are just 1-2 to start the season. Good news is that they are tied with Houston and Jacksonville while the Colts are just 2-1. They just need to find some offense as they have just 45 points in three games. The Titans were held to just three points last week at Cleveland in a 3-27 loss. The offense had just 94 total yards in the loss. Derick Henry has averaged just 54.3 rushing yards per game thus far while Ryan Tannehill has just 182.7 yards passing with one TD and three INT's. The Bengals QB Joe Burrow's injured calf evident in their opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. But considering the excellent Browns defense, maybe that wasn't such a bad performance. They lost in week two at home to the Ravens, 24-27 before getting their first win last week vs the Rams, 19-16. Burrows had his season high in passing yards with 242. They still need a better running game as they have 75, 66 and 67 yards in their three games. I don't expect a lot of points here today with two teams looking to establish a running game. I'll take the UNDER in this one. |
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09-25-23 | Rams +3 v. Bengals | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bengals a far cry from the team that went to the Super Bowl. They are 0-2 and have scored 27 points in two games. Now QB Joe Burrows has been hurt and while it looks like he will play tonight, he can't be close to 100%. The Rams are 1-1 after their two games. The Rams opened with that come from behind week 1 win at Seattle, 30-13. Then last week came up a big short at home against the 49ers, 23-30, pushing the spread. QB Matthew Stafford has looked good for the most part, though he did have two picks last week by the 49ers and just one TD on the season. The Bengals Joe Burrow only had 82 yards in their season opening loss at Cleveland, 3-24. Then last week in the loss to Baltimore, 24-27, he had 222 yards with two TD's and one INT. Coaching edge goes to the Rams. The Rams have looked better overall and I can't be sure that Burrow can give 100% here. Take the Rams. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
 Week three of the NFL concludes here tonight with the Buccaneers hosting the Eagles. With Dallas and Washington both losing on Sunday, a win by the Eagles will put them alone in first in the NFC East with a 3-0 record. Tampa Bay is also 2-0 and with Atlanta and New Orleans both losing Sunday the Bucs can be the only team in the NFC South with a 3-0 record. The Eagles have average 178 yards on the ground this year and 162.5 yards through the air. Their defense has allowed just 52 rushing and 326 passing. Tampa Bay's defense has also been very good, allowing 54 yards rushing and 248.5 yards passing. Philly QB Jalen Hurts has two TD's and one INT on the season. He passed for 170 yards in the opener at New England and 193 yards last week vs Minnesota. Baker Mayfield came over to the Bucs in the offseason. He has three TD's and no INT's. At Minnesota in week one he threw for two TD's and 173 yards. Last week vs the Bears he threw for 317 yards and one TD. Both teams have played well early in the season, but the difference for me here tonight is getting points at home with Tampa Bay. I'll take the points in this one. Play Tampa Bay. |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | Top | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
 The Seattle Seahawks host the Carolina Panthers here on Sunday. The Panthers making the long trip from the East coast to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle is 1-1, scored 50 total points and allowed 61 points for a -11 point differential. They return home after their upset win at Detroit last week as a 4.5-point dog, 37-31. This coming after blowing a first half lead in week 1 at home to the Rams and losing 13-30. QB Geno Smith has played well, with three TD's and no INT's. He threw for 328 yards on the road last week. Carolina is 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS after a pair of games. They opened with a loss at Atlanta, 10-24 and then lost last week to New Orleans, 17-20. They failed to cover week one and pushed week two. The Panthers offense has just 281 yards in game one and 239 last week at home. Don't see the Panthers offense being able to stay with this Seahawks team that has lots of weapons on offense. I'll lay the points with Seattle. |
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09-24-23 | Saints v. Packers -113 | 17-18 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The 2-0 New Orleans Saints hit the road to take on the 1-1 Green Bay Packers. The Saints offense has scored just 36 points in two games but allowed just 32. The Saints opened with a home win over Tennessee in week one, 16-15 and then a road win in week 2, 20-17. They failed to cover vs the Titans and pushed last week. The defense has allowed just 282 totals yards per game thus far. New QB Derek Carr has thrown for 306 yards vs Tennessee with one TD and one INT. He then threw for 228 yards on the road last week with one INT and no TD's. Green Bay beat the Bears in week one, 38-20 and then lost last week at Atlanta 24.25. They have covered both games and both games have gone over the total. QB Jordan Love has been very good, throwing for 151 yards last week with three TD's and 245 yards in week one with three TD's. Love has Six total touchdowns and no interceptions. Saints will need more offense then they have showed to win here on Sunday. I'll take Love and the Packers in this one. But since the line is so short on Green Bay, I'll just take the Money Line with the Packers |
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09-24-23 | Titans +3.5 v. Browns | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans are 1-1 to start the season as three teams are all tied for the AFC South with a 1-1 record. The Titans averaged just 21 ppg thus far while allowing 20 ppg. The Titans opened the season with a loss at New Orleans, 15-16 and then won last wee at home over the Chargers, 27-24. They covered both games. They have rushed for 245 total yards and passed for another 381 total yards. Ryan Tannehill tossed three INT's in the opener but rebounded with None in their win over the Chargers to go with one TD. Derrick Henry is one of the best backs in the league, but he's yet to hit 100 yards. He rushed for 63 in the opener and then 80 yards last week. The Cleveland Browns had high hopes this season with Watson finally getting a full season at QB and arguably the best running back in Nick Chubb. Well, Chubb went down last week and will miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. That will lead Jerome Ford to pickup the slack. Ford did rush for 106 yards after Chubb went down last week. Still, huge loss for this team. What made the injury even worse was losing the game to the Steelers, 22-26, even though they held Pittsburgh to just 255 yards of offense. I'm going to take Tennessee this week and see if Ford can really pick up the huge hole left by Chuff. Play Tennessee. |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions pulled the big upset in week one when they went into Kansas City and got the win, 21-20, as a 4-point dog. They fell off last week, losing at home as a 4.5-point favorite to the Seattle Seahawks, 31-37. They have outgained their opponents on the ground, 110-86. They also have more passing yards per game at 283-268.5. QB Jared Goff has four TD's and just one INT. Atlanta off to a 2-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS start. The Falcons play their first road game here today after winning at home over Carolina, 24-10 and then at home over Green Bay, 25-24. The Falcons have been great on the ground, with 170.5 yard average. They haven't had to put much pressure on rookie QB Desmond Ridder who has been effective. Ridder has 2 TD's and just 1 INT this season. The Detroit defense has only allowed an average of 86 yards on the ground so this should be an interesting matchup. I'll take the points with Atlanta. -------------------------------------------------------- |
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09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins OVER 47 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Denver had high hopes starting the season that QB Russell Wilson could turn things around. But so far that hasn't happened as the Broncos are 0-2. They have put up 49 points while allowing 52 points. The Broncos look good on opening drives when the plays are scripted, but after that things kind of fall apart. Miami is 2-0 and their offense has put up 30 ppg average after two games. The defense has allowed 51 points. Tua Tagovailoa has been good with Four TD's and just two INT's. He threw for 466 yards in the opener vs the Chargers and 249 yards last week vs a much better Patriots defense. Both these teams should be able to score on the other. I'll take OVER. |
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09-24-23 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 36.5 | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots looking for their first win of the season after starting 0-2. They also hit the road for the first time here on Sunday as they have to play at a very good defensive NY Jets. The Pats offense hasn't been very good either with just 37 points in two games, though the defense is decent and has allowed 49 points. The Jets are 1-1 and have fewer points then the Pats with just 32. Their defense has allowed 46. QB Mac Jones for the Pats has FOUR TD's and a pair of INT's this season. He threw for 316 yards in the opener vs Philly and 231 last week vs Miami. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers 75 seconds into the season and now Zach Wilson is back at the helm. He threw three INT's last week in a 10-30 loss at Dallas. Wilson also has just 140 and 170 yards in two games. Both these teams are not very good offensively and much better defensively. I'll take UNDER today. |
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09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers OVER 43.5 | 12-30 | Loss | -113 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
The Ny Giants made a big comeback last week to pull out the win at Arizona, 31-28. The Giants did fail to cover the 5-point line and easily went over the 40-point total. The Giants had 438 total yards after that poor week one performance against Dallas where they got just 171 total yards. Daniel Jones rebounded from his 104 yards and two INT's vs the Cowboys with 321 yards and 2 TD's against Arizona. Now the Giants have to face another good defensive team in the 49ers. The 49ers are 2-0 S/U and 1-0-1 ATS. They have had a very balanced offense with 173.5 rushing yards per game and 204.5 passing. They won both their road games thus far with a win at Pitt in week one, 30-7, and then last week at the Rams, 30-23, pushing last week's line. The defense has allowed just 41 yards on the ground and 198 through the air thus far. Could be another rough outing for the Giants defense here tonight. The Giants are last in the league in scoring defense as they have allowed 34 ppg. San Francisco is 3rd in the NFL in rushing and should have another field day on Thursday. The Giants can ill afford to fall behind 0-20 at half like they did last week. I expect Daniel Jones to have to throw a lot in this game and the 49ers to get plenty of points. I'll take OVER. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 38.5 | 22-26 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
 Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers defense to show much better here on Monday. Add to that a very good Browns defense and I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers +2 | Top | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
 Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers to rebound here and win this second straight home game. Play Steelers. |
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09-18-23 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 39.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints look to improve to 2-0 with this second Monday Night football game at Carolina. The Saints did just enough to beat the Tennessee Titans last week, 16-15. They failed to cover the 3-point home line and went under the 41.5 total line. The Saints had 69 rushing yards and 282 yards passing. They held the Titans to 47 yards rushing and 181 yard passing. New QB Derek Carr was efficient with a 23-of-33 performance with one TD and one INT. Jamaal Williams led a trio of rushers with 45 yards though he did fumble one time. Carolina went to Atlanta last week and came up short to the Falcons, 10-24. They failed to cover the 3.5-point dog line and went under the 40.5 total. They did rush for 154 yards but had only 127 yards passing. The defense was very good, holding Atlanta to 130 yards rushing and 91 passing yards. New QB Bryce Young was 20-of-38 for 146 yards though he did have two INT's. Miles Sanders led the rushing attack with 72 yards though he also turned the ball over once. Both teams flashed some very good defense and not a lot of offense. I'll take the UNDER tonight. |
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09-17-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
AFC matchup here on Sunday has the New England Patriots hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots came from behind last week, but came up just short in their loss at home to Philadelphia Eagles, 20-25, as a 3.5-point dog. The Pats had 76 yards rushing and 306 yards passing. The defense was very good, allowing 97 rushing and 154 passing to a very good Eagles offense. QB Mac Jones was 35-for-54 for 316 yards, three TD's and one INT. The rushing game was not much, but they were playing from way behind for a good portion of the game. Ezikiel Elliot led with 29 yards while Stevenson chipped-in another 25 yards. The Miami Dolphins won a shootout last week at the LA Chargers, 36-34, covering the three-point dog line. They had 70 yards rushing and 466 yards passing. Tua Tagovailoa was 28-for-45 for 466 yards, three TD's and one INT. Raheem Mostert rushed for 37 yards and one TD. The home team has won five of the last meetings between these AFC rivals. Miami had the second fewest rushing attempts last year and again this year had just 20 attempts in their opener at the Chargers. IF Tua can remain healthy that might not be terrible, but you hate to see so much put on the QB. The Pats defense will once again be very good as it was last week. It's the offense that has to find some improvement. THey were forced to throw more last week as they trailed throughout. I look for the Patriots to turn to the rushing game more here in week two as they try and take pressure off Jones. The Miami rush defense isn't great and that should provide better opportunities for the Patriots rushers. If the Pats can establish the rush, keep the Miami offense off the field then this one should be a good under play. |
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09-17-23 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 45.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
NFC West clash here on Sunday has both teams looking to start the season 2-0. The San Francisco 49ers were dominant in their win last week at Pittsburgh, 30-7. They held the Steelers to just 41 total rushing yards and 198 passing yards. The defense also had a pair of interceptions. Brock Purdy played in his first game since that playoff injury against the Eagles. He was 19-for-29 for 220 yards and two TD's and no INT's. Chrisitan McCaffrey was great, rushing for 152 yards and a touchdown while Brandon Aiyuk led the receivers with 129 yards and a pair of TD's. The Rams trailed at halftime last week at Seattle, 7-13. However, a big second half rally and a shutout of the Seattle offense led to an easy win, 30-13. The Rams had 426 yards of offense to just 180 by the Seahawks. Matthew Stafford was 24-of-38 for 334 yards. Kyren Williams led the rushing attack with 52 yards and a pair of TD's. I see this 49ers team as one of the teams to beat this year with their balanced offense and dominating defense. Not sure the Rams can find the same offensive success they had last week. But if both defenses play like they did last week this one will be an UNDER. Take UNDER. |
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09-17-23 | Bears v. Bucs UNDER 41.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
NFC matchup here on Sunday has the Bucs hosting the Bears. The Chicago Bears looked bad last week in their loss to Green Bay. The Bears had a -2 turnover ratio and were outgained 329-311 yards by the Packers. Justin Fields was 24-for-37 for 216 yards, one TD and one INT. The rushing game was horrible with Khalil Herbert leading the team with just 27 yards on the ground. Tampa Bay came away with the win as a dog last week at Minnesota, 20-17. The win came despite having just 242 total yards of offense. They did hold the Vikings to just 41 yards rushing though they allowed 328 yards through the air. Baker Mayfield was 21-of34 for 173 yards and a pair of TD's. Rachaad White led the rushing with 39 yards. Both these teams had issues with their offense and both had trouble moving the ball on the ground. I look for both to continue that trend this week as the Bears rushing attack will have little success against this Bucs defense. Play UNDER. |
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09-17-23 | Packers v. Falcons UNDER 40.5 | 24-25 | Loss | -117 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
 The Green Bay Packers post Aaron Rodgers era began on a positive note last week with a win at the Chicago Bears, 38-20. The Packers had just 92 rushing yards and 237 passing yards for a total of 329 total yards. They held the Bears to 122 yards rushing and 189 yards passing for 311 total yards. Jordan Love was efficient at QB, going 15-for-27 for 245 yards and three TD's. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing with 41 yards and a TD. The Atlanta Falcons won at home last week against Carolina, 24-10, despite just 221 total yards of offense. They held the Panthers to 10 points on 281 yards of offense. Desmond Ridder was 15-for-18 for 115 yards and one TD. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing with 75 yards and a pair of TD's. Both teams looking to start the season 2-0 and I look for a lot of ball control in this one. Neither team piled up the yards last week and we can see the Falcons will be carful with their young QB. I'll take the UNDER in this one. |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks +5 v. Lions | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
Seattle comes into this road game after blowing a halftime lead last week at home against the Rams. Leading 13-7 at the break, the Seahawks were outscored 0-24 by the Rams in the second half to start their season with a loss. Seattle had just 180 yards in the game (85 rush/95 pass) while allowing the Rams 426 yards. The Detroit Lions pulled the big shocker in week 1 with a win on the road at defending champion Kansas City, 21-20. The Lions had 368 yards of offense and held the hi-flying Chiefs offense to just 316 yards. J. Goff led the passing with 22-of-35 for 253 yards and a TD while D.Swift led the rushing with 178 yards on the ground and a TD. The Lions return home this Sunday and while they are a decent favorite, which hasn't happened very often, I have to think they could be in for a letdown this week. I'm going to take the points with the visitors in this one. Play Seattle. |
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09-14-23 | Vikings +6 v. Eagles | 28-34 | Push | 0 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
Minnesota hits the road here to start week 2 as the Vikings play at Philadelphia. The Vikings and Eagles both coming off excellent seasons last year with Minnesota at 13-4 and the Eagles 14.3. The Eagles just coming up short in the Super Bowl, losing to the Chiefs. Last year the Vikings played at Philly in week two again, losing this matchup last year, 7-24. The Vikings coming off that week one loss to the Bucs, 17-20 at home. The Vikings used the pass extensively last week, rushing for just 41 total yards. QB Kirk Cousins was 33-of-44 for 344 yards and two TD's. The Vikings defense allowed just 242 total yards to the Bucs and held them to nine total first downs. The Eagles opened with a tough game at New England and were able to escape with the win, 25-20. The Eagles jumped out to a 16-0 lead over the Pats, but had to hold on for the win. The Eagles had just 251 totals yards as Jalen Hurts went 22-of-33 for 170 yards and a touchdown. The Eagles have had to adjust to both new offensive and defensive coordinators this year. This was an Eagles team that ranked first in the NFL in total defense last year. If the Vikings can establish a rushing game here on Sunday they should be able to compete and keep Hurts and the Eagles offense off the field. I'm still looking for the Eagle to adjust to new coordinators and early in the season is the time to take advantage. Play Minnesota plus the points. |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 46.5 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 114 h 20 m | Show | |
Great way to finish week one of the NFL with this AFC East clash between Buffalo and the Jets. The Jets were good last year and then they go out and get Aaron Rodgers this year to bolster an offense to go with that outstanding defense. The AFC East should be interesting with Buffalo, the Jets, Dolphins and Pats. The Bills and Jets both won two preseason games with the Jets having the extra Hall of Fame game. The Bills won their third straight division title last year and made the postseason for the fourth consecutive season. The Bills will once again be one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Jets hope bringing in Rodgers will get them into the postseason for the first time since 2010. Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb also reunite with Rodgers on the Jets. The Jets were fourth in scoring defense last year and total defense. This matchup should feature two of the premier defenses in the AFC. The line is too close for me, but the total I do like and will go with the UNDER. |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
 Already a key NFC East battle here on Sunday night has the NY Giants hosting the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams were 1-2 in the preseason. The Giants scored 61 points and allowed 72 while the Cowboys scored 68 and allowed 66. The Cowboys turn the backfield over to Tony Pollard with the departure of Ezekiel Elliot to the Patriots. Dak Prescot is back and healthy. The Cowboys are one of the favorites to get to the Super Bowl, despite a disappointing end to last season. Their defense will be great again this year, led by LB Micah Parsons. The Giants surprised everyone by making the playoffs last year and winning their first playoff game since Super Bowl 46. QB Daniel Jones is much improved and RB Saquon Barkely is back after a contract dispute. I know it's early, but I like the Giants here to win this game. But I'll gladly take the points too. Play NY Giants. |
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09-10-23 | Texans v. Ravens UNDER 43.5 | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens long string of preseason wins came to an end this year as they actually went just 1-2. They scored 68 points while allowing 74 in the preseason. Meanwhile, Houston was 2-1 in the preseason scoring just 40 points while allowing 50 points. Houston made a big change, bring in DeMeco Ryan to coach the team after winning just eight games over their last three seasons. Also taking over at QB is C.J. Stroud, the Ohio State star QB. On the defensive side of the ball they bring in Alabama pass rusher Will Anderson Jr, who should also make a big impact. The Ravens won 10 games last year and double digits in four of the last five seasons. QB Lamar Jackson has a new contract in hand and they bring in Odel Beckham Jr as one of his targets along with Nelson Agholor. The defense was third in scoring defense last year and returns most of that unit this year. The Ravens were leaders in a number of defensive categories last year. I'm going to take the under here as the Texans likely will take some time to get the offense in sync and this is not the defense to start out again. Play UNDER. |
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09-10-23 | Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 39.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC South action here on Sunday has Atlanta hosting Carolina. The Panthers didn't win a preseason game and only scored 36 points in their three games. The Falcons were 1-1-1 in preseason and scored just 32 points and allowed just 40 points. Atlanta has seen five of their last six regular season games. Not a lot to go on the first game of the season so I will take into consideration in these early games. But if the preseason is any indication, both these teams will struggle to put points on the board. QB Bryce Young takes over for Carolina and while he may prove to be the future, there could be a rough learning curve for the rookie. I'll stick with the UNDER here in game one. |
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09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 92 h 0 m | Show | |
The season starts with a big rivalry already as the Cleveland Browns host the Cincinnati Bengals in this Battle for Ohio. Bot teams didn't do much in preseason as Cleveland finished 1-2-1 and scored 86 points in their four games. The Bengals were 0-2-1 and scored 51 points while allowing 71 points. Cincinnati won in double digits for the second consecutive season last year. The offense will be very good once again with Burrows at QB, Mixon in the back field and a core of excellent receivers. Burrows suffered a calf injury in preseason but is probable for this contest. The Bengals defense lost some key players in the secondary with Jessie Bates III and Vonn Bell both departing. The Browns look to get back to the postseason after missing the playoffs the last two years. DeShaun Watson will be the key cog for this team after starting just six games last year and looking very rusty. This offense has one of the best backs in the NFL in Nick Chubb so that should take some heat off Watson. With Burrow not playing in the preseason I'll look for him to take some time to get back on track. I like the home dog Browns in this opener. |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +2.5 | 30-7 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 60 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers and 49ers open the season here in Pittsburgh. The Steelers were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason and outscored their opponents by a 78-32 margin. Meanwhile, the 49ers were 1-2 in the preseason and scored just 40 points while allowing 77. This will be the sophomore season for Steelers QB Kenny Pickett. You can expect the reigns to be pulled off him this year. Last year he was held back but not this year. A lot is expected out of the 2nd season QB and I do look for him to have a breakout year. He can do it throwing and with his legs. It looks like Brock Purdy will start for the 49ers after the bad injury in the playoffs vs the Eagles. Should be interesting against a Steelers teams that was very good at intercepting the ball last year. I like home dogs, especially ones coming off impressive preseasons with the better QB playing. I'll take the Steelers on Sunday. |
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09-10-23 | Titans +3 v. Saints | 15-16 | Win | 105 | 88 h 11 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints came off their preseason with a 2-1 record and outscored opponents by a 61-58 mark. As for the Titans, they also were 2-1 and outscored opponents 64-46. The Titans hope to rebound from a 7-10 season that saw them drop their last seven games. Mike Vrabel will be in his sixth season and the team under his control haven't missed the playoffs in two straight seasons. They come back with QB Ryan Tannehill and RB Derrick Henry. They added WR DeAndre Hopkins which should help the receiving corp. The New Orleans Saints have seen their win totals drop each of the last four seasons to just seven wins last year. In comes new QB Derek Carr. This might be the first time since Drew Brees that they will have a solid option at QB. Word is that WR Michael Thomas looks like his old self and could give a huge boost to both Carr and the receivers. Thomas has battled injuries over the last few seasons that has seen his playing time drop drastically. The Titans want to prove they aren't the team that finished last season. It will yet to be seen if Carr can keep the mistakes that plagued him in Vegas last year to a minimum. I have to take the points here with Henry carrying the load here on Sunday. Play Tennessee. |
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09-10-23 | Cardinals v. Commanders -7 | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 21 m | Show |
Arizona had a good preseason, going 2-1. However, they were outscored 46-72. Washington was a perfect 3-0 and scored 67 points while allowing 62. The Commanders came off a decent season last year. HC Ron Rivera had to shuffle some QB's, but the team performed well and finished 8-8-1, narrowly missing the playoffs. They start this season with a new offensive coordinator in Eric Bieniemy. The team was also sold as Daniel Snyder gave up ownership to Josh Harris. All these changes could be a new start for the Commanders. The defense has a lot of talent and stacked with draft picks. The D-Line is made up of all 1st round picks. The Defense finished 7th last year in scoring and should be even better this year. The Cardinals could and likely will be the worst team in the division this year. QB Kyler Murray will be out with an ACL tear and that leave David Blough and Jeff Driskell as the candidates. I see a huge difference in talent between these teams. I especially like the Commanders defense and they should shut down this anemic Cardinals attack. Take Washington here in week one. |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 14 m | Show | |
The start of the NFL Season and a great game on tap as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Detroit Lions. Detroit had one of their best seasons in memory, finishing at 9-8. However, they missed the playoffs for the sixth straight year. Detroit improved though last year under Dan Campbell, winning eight of their final 10 games. Gone are RB's Jamaal Williams, D'Andre Swift and Justin Jackson. Coming in is 1st round pick Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. The Lions were 8th in passing last year and 11th in rushing, averaging 26.6 ppg. Kansas City begins defense of their Super Bowl Championship. They were 14-3 in the regular season last year and beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl. They were first in the NFL in passing offense with 297.8 ypg. They were also first in scoring offense with 29.2 ppg. They will have some early issue on the defensive line with Chris Jones holding out. Expect the Lions to throw a lot in this game and with the high scoring Chiefs on the other side I'm taking the OVER here in game one of the season. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs +2 v. Eagles | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 45 h 5 m | Show | |
You can make a case for either side, but a few things separate these teams for me. First is experience. That all falls to the Chiefs, from head coach Andy Reid all the way to QB Patrick Mahomes. They have been here and done it. Plus, you now give Reid two weeks to prepare for this game? You know he's going to come up with some crazy stuff to throw a the Eagles. Mahomes high ankle sprain should be good to go too. The Eagles really had an easy road to get here against the Giants and then playing a 49ers team that had to put Christian McCaffrey at QB at one point. They really have been challenged by a good offense of late and that will come on Sunday. The factor that swayed this game for me is the experience factor and all those check marks line up on the Chiefs. I'll be betting the Chiefs come Sunday. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 26 m | Show |
I look at the defenses to be the superior units in this game, especially the Philly defense which has been great. However, it's offenses which win Super Bowls. I also like Andy Reid who has been here many times and knows how to coach in the Super Bowl. Philly has a young coach and young team making their first appearance in some time. You can make a argument for just about any side or total in this contest. For me, I'm looking at a very good Philly defense to keep the score low. Plus, You have Jalen Hurts with that aching throwing shoulder. He hasn't been called on to make many throws the last two games, both of which dominated by the Philly defense. So we'll have to see if that changes much here on Sunday. I'm taking the UNDER in the Super Bowl and going against the historic trends of overs. I look for defense to be the units that take more over in this contest. So lets take the UNDER in the Super Bowl. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? With Mahomes hobbled and the excellent rushing of the Bengals, I look for this game to be lower scoring. Take the UNDER. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -125 | 149 h 31 m | Show |
AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? I'll take the Bengals and Burrow in this game. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 46.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
The two best defensive teams in the NFL will meet here in the NFL Championship round. The Eagles topped the NFL, allowing just 297 yards per game. They were 17th vs the rush but first vs the pass. That should be good here today against rookie QB for San Francisco Purdy. Purdy has been great this year, but we'll see how he holds up in hostile Philly against the top ranked passing defense. Where the Eagles might get exploited is rushing. The Giants have Christian McCaffrey who could do well here today. San Francisco has the 2nd ranked overall defense, allowing 301 yards per game. They are 2nd vs the rush and 20th vs the pass. They will be tasked with containing Philly QB Jalen Hurts. The 49ers have gone under in their last seven playoff road games. They are also 1-5 O/U in their last six overall playoff games. Philly has gone under in their last four games on grass and are 1-4 O/U their last five overall. The Eagles are 3-12-1 O/U their last 16 playoff games at home. These teams have also gone under the last four times they have met. I like defenses come playoff time and I for both these units to do well here today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 46 | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 32 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and it looks good right now. Both teams have been offensive juggernauts thus far and I don't see that changing. Play the OVER. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 | Top | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense and the Cowboys won't have the cake walk they had last week. Also, the 49ers defense will give Dak plenty of problems here this week. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and the 49ers in a blowout win. My Playoff Game of the Year is on the San Francisco 49ers. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 16 m | Show | |
The NFC East battle between the NY Giants and Philadelphia Eagles will once again take place here on Saturday. The Eagles had the NO 1 seed in the NFC with their win over the Giants in week 18. The Giants rested most of their starters in that game with nothing to play for. They hit the road last week and beat Minnesota, 31-24. QB David Jones shined as he threw for over 300 yards and a pair of TD's while also using his legs to get key yards totaling 7. That performance earned him the status of being the only player in NFL history to throw for 300 yards and 2 TD's while also rushing for more than 70 yards in a playoff games. The Eagles had last week off after beating the Giants in the final week of the regular season. QB Jalen Hurts returned after missing weeks 16 and 17. The Eagles defense is ranked 2nd in the NFL with a 389.1 average per game. However, the did fail to cover three of their last four games heading into this contest. The Giants have been a great playoff road team, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 tries. They are also 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games on grass. I will take the points here with the Giants as Jones will be the deciding factor in this cover. Play NY Giants. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Another miraculous comeback in the NFL last week, something we've seem much of lately, as the Jacksonville Jaguars looked horrible in their first half vs the Chargers. But a different team came out of the locker in the 2nd half and rallied to beat the Chargers, 31-20 behind Trevor Lawrence's four touchdowns. Now the young Jags will have to face the very experienced Kansas City Chiefs on the road. That is a big edge for me in this game, the experience of the Chiefs over the Jags. The Chiefs also had last week off with the first round bye and will be well prepared and rested for this game. I have high hopes for this Jaguars team with all the young talent, but it's not their season yet. The Chiefs still remain a big favorite to make the Super Bowl and I will take them here today. Play Kansas City. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs OVER 45 | 31-14 | Push | 0 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. And I do expect to see a lot more upempo pace from Brady here on Monday. Brady and this offense has looked stagnant, expect under pressure of late game time clock. I see them doing a lot more no huddle and hurry up here on Monday. And with that I'm taking a shot on the OVER here on Monday Night. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +3 | 31-14 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Monday Night Football has the Cowboys playing at the Tampa Bay Bucs. For the first time in his career Tom Brady had a losing season with a team. That and the fact that on paper the Cowboys are the better team is why the Bucs are a home dog of a Field goal here on Monday. Yes, you can make many arguments why to back the Cowboys here on Monday. How poorly this Bucs team played this year, how much trouble they had putting points on the board, their last place rushing offense.... and on and on. However, I'm backing the Bucs for one reason and only one reason here on Monday and that reason is TOM BRADY. It's playoff time and that's where Tom shines. Now he is a home dog.... I'll take that shot here tonight. Give me the points at home with Tom Brady in the playoffs anytime. Take Tampa Bay tonight. |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -8.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
 If you look strictly at the best covering teams in the NFL this year, then you need look no further than the Bengals. They were 11-4 on the season vs the spread and only the Giants had a better spread covering percentage. Can't say the same for the Ravens who where just 7-9 vs the number. The Ravens closed out their season with a loss to the Bengals on the road, 16-27, but covered the 12-point dog line. That makes six games in a row they have scored more than 17 points. Most of that is due to Lamar Jackson being out of the lineup. Right now it's a question if Jackson will be able to play this week. If he doesn't it could get ugly for the Ravens offense. Baltimore finished 16th in total offense while Cincinnati was 8th (4th in passing). The Bengals have been very good at home, going 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. They are also 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf. I like the Bengals here on Sunday, especially if Jackson isn't in the lineup again. Play Cincinnati. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
The NY Giants covered their fourth straight game and six of their last seven after losing to Philadelphia in the regular season finale, 16-22, as a 16.5-point dog. The Giants offense was mediocre all season, finishing 19th overall though 5th in rushing. The Vikings were 7th ranked on offense, 28th rushing and 6th passing. The Giants defense ranks 25th while the Vikings are 31st. This will be the first time in six years that the Giants will have made the postseason. These teams met just three weeks in Minnesota with the Vikings winning a close game, 27-24. The Vikings closed out their regular season with a win over the Bears, 29-13, covering the 6.5-point line. That cover snapped a four game spread losing streak. The Giants have covered their last four road games and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff road games. The Vikings are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs the NFC. The road team has covered nine of the last 13 in this series and I'll be on the road team here today. Play the Giants.  |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
 The Miami Dolphins make the trip North to take on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins just did get into the postseason with their close win over the Jets in the final week. These teams split the two regular season games. The Dolphins beat the Bills back in Week 3 in Miami, 21-19. covering the four-point dog line. They lost on Dec 17 at Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. There is a possibility that they could get Tua Tagovailoa back this week after he's missed time with a concussion. The Dolphins look for the huge upset against a Bills team that has won seven straight games. Buffalo has the 2nd ranked offense and the fourth ranked defense in the NFL. They also have the best point differential in the league at +10.6. Meanwhile, the Dolphins defense didn't do well down the stretch, allowing five of the final six opponents to score at least 23 points. Their defense has dropped to 18th in the NFL. The Dolphins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on turf and 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games. Buffalo is 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 at home vs the Dolphins and have won the last six straight up. The Dolphins have not found an answer for Bills QB Josh Allen who has torched them. In his 10 games vs the Dolphins he as 27 TD's and 5 INT's. At home, Allen has a +16.6 average margin of victory over the Dolphins. I'm taking the Bills here on Sunday as my Wild Card Game of the Year. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 58 m | Show | |
 This playoff game will feature two of the young, emerging QB's in the NFL with Justin Herbert for the Chargers taking on Trevor Lawrence of the Jags. The Jaguars had an incredible run this season just to make the playoffs. HC Doug Peterson has done a great job with this team after the debacle left by Urban Meyer. Jacksonville was 4-8 at one juncture of the season and was already looking toward the NFL draft. However, five straight wins later they took control of the AFC South. And, for the first time since 2018, they will host a playoff game. Also look for the Jags to take advantage of a poor Chargers rush defense that allows 145.8 ppg this year. Also, I'm not a fan of Chargers HC Staley. I feel he's made some bad coaching decisions and this is one intangible that goes to the Jags. I'm looking for Jacksonville to control the ball on the ground and keep Herbert and his receivers off the field. I'll take the Jags at home here in week one of the playoffs. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 42 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. While the under seems the logical choice here, I'm actually going against that. The Seaahawks have gone over in their last five playoff road games. The 49ers have gone over their last four hme games and 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six overall games. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks are all Lions fans today after they backed their way into the Playoffs when the Lions went into Lambeau field and beat the Green Bay Packers. If I had a vote, Dan Campbell of the lions would get NFL Coach of the Year. The 9-8 Seahawks don't have to travel far as they play the 13-4 49ers. The Seahawks (9-8) are the No 7 seed in the playoffs. These teams have met two times this year with the 49ers taking both games. The 49ers have been on a roll, winning 10 straight games. The Niners lost both their 1 and 2 QB's when Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo both when down with injuries. However, Rookie Brock Purdy has been excellent in the role of QB with 13 TD's and just three INT's. The 49ers backbone is their defense, with the top ranked defense. They also allow just 16.3 ppg (tops in the NFL) and have held the Seahawks to just 20 points total in both games this year. I don't see any problem here today for the 49ers. Take San Francisco. |
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01-08-23 | Jets v. Dolphins UNDER 37 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
For one of these teams they will snap a five game losing streak, the other will finish with six straight losses to end the season. The Jets looked like a team heading for the playoffs until this run of five loss and now they can only play for pride. The Dolphins still have a shot at the playoffs, but need a win coupled with a Patriots loss or tie to the Bills. The Dolphins lost at New England last week, 21-23. Teddy Bridgewater has taken over at QB for injured Tua Tagovailoa. With Tua. Bridgewater was solid, but dislocated his pinky finger and had to be replaced by Skylar Thompson. Still unsure if Bridgewater will go today or back to Thompson. Joe Flacco will start for the Jets with Zach Wilson a huge disappointment in New York. The Jest will also be without three starting offensive linemen today. I don't see the Jets rolling over here today, but do they have the offensive weapons or line for that matter? What I expect is a defense to come out fired-up and ready to play. With Thompson at QB for the Dolphins I don't see a lot of points on that side of the ball either. I'll take this game UNDER. |
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01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
A big AFC North game here on Sunday has the Browns playing at the Steelers. The Browns have been eliminated from the playoffs but look to play spoiler and keep the Steelers home too. The Browns did it last week, beating Washington and eliminating them from the playoffs. The Browns have lots of injuries though, especially on the offensive side of the ball so points might be difficult today for Cleveland. The Steelers have won three straight games and five of their last six. The Steelers have the best rushing defense in the league and will look to stop the Browns potent rushing attack. The Steelers offense has struggled though as QB Kenny Pickett has more INT's then TD's. Either way this game goes, I expect a low scoring contest here today. Play the UNDER. |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are 8-8 on the season and just 3-4 on the road as they head to Atlanta for this AFC South contest. The Bucs beat the Panthers last week, 30-24 while the Falcons beat the Cardinals, 20-19. The Bucs QB Tom Brady has never lost to the Falcons and who can forget that NFL Super Bowl combeack he led when with the Patriots. The Bucs are the 4th seed in the playoffs. HC Todd Bowles said he will play the starters here today. Though have to wonder how long Brady will be in the game. Should he come out Blaine Gabbert would take over. The Bucs average just 18.5 ppgs this season and are last in rushing. The Falcons have lost six of their last eight and play for pride here today. Desmond Ridder will make his fourth pro start today. The Bucs already have offensive line issues so with that I don't expect Brady to be in this game a long time. The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. I have to believe this game means more to the Falcons then the Bucs. Play Atlanta. |
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01-08-23 | Vikings v. Bears +7.5 | 29-13 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Final week of the season and the Bears only can look to break a nine game losing streak here today at Soldier Field. As for the Vikings they are still playing for position in the NFC playoff picture. The Bears got clobbered last week by the Lions, 10-41 for their ninth straight loss. The Vikings are also coming off a loss last week as the Packers pounded them, 17-41. The Bears will be without QB Justin Fields who will sit out with various injuries today. Nathan Peterman will get the start. A lot of Bears younger players will try to impress for better roles next season with this team or another team. The Vikings looked like one of the best after nine weeks, going 8-1. Then Dallas beat them badly, 3-40. Since then, they are just 4-3. The Vikings have the division won, but a win today could improve their playoff position. I believe the Vikings will do just enough to win here today, but not be able to cover this big line. Play Chicago. |
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01-07-23 | Titans +7 v. Jaguars | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
The AFC South title is on the line as the final week of the regular season begins here on Saturday with a pair of games. The Titans can salvage a bad finish to the season with a win here and playoff berth, while the Jaguars are looking to win five straight. The Jaguars have a one-game lead over the Titans with their 8-8 mark and the Titans 7-9. A Tennessee win and they would take the division because of their better AFC South record. A Jags loss and they could still make the playoffs, but they need help with losses by the Pats, Dolphins and Steelers. With Ryan Tannehill out at QB for the Titans, Mike Vrabel will start Joshua Dobbs over his rookie backup. Dobbs will be making only his second start of his six season NFL career. But I like this move from Vrable as Dobbs is highly intelligent, though lacking starter experience. The only issue is that Dobbs has only been with the team a few weeks. What I also like about this spot is that Vrable has had two weeks to prepare for this game with the Titans off last week. The Pressure is on the Jags today as they are a pretty big favorite. The Jags have done well as a dog, but as much as the chalk. In all likelihood a Jax loss puts them out of the playoffs. Vrable also had done great with teams in the dog role, covering at a very high rate. Plus add the fact that RB Derrick Henry is healthy for this game and I believe the Titans have a great shot here today to win. But lets take the points anyways. Play Tennessee. |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -114 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
The Kansas City Chiefs will have all hands on deck here on Sunday as a win will give them the AFC best record and home field throughout the playoffs. The Raiders season is done, QB Derek Carr likely done with the Raiders as Jarrett Stidham makes his second straight start here today. Stidham did well vs the NFL's top defense last week with both his arm and legs, but the Raiders came up just short at home. Stidham passed for 365 yards in that loss. Another potential big loss is that of AFC leading rusher Josh Jacobs. While Jacobs has some nagging injuries, it's a personal issue that may keep him out today. These teams last met back in week 5 and the Raiders comeback fell just short in the loss at KC, 29-30. Jacobs rushed for 154 yards in that contest. KC qb Patrick Mahomes has dominated the Raiders, going 8-1 in career with 26 TD's and just three INT's. The Vegas defense is 29th in the league so look for Mahomes to torch them again here on Saturday. Chiefs should win here today, but can they cover the big spread? I look for the Raiders with Stidham to at least stay inside the number as the KC starters might be pulled if they get up by double digits in this game. No pressure on the Raiders also, and that also helps. I'll take Vegas here on Saturday. |
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01-01-23 | Steelers +2.5 v. Ravens | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points.  |
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01-01-23 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 35.5 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
AFC North Clash here on Sunday has the Pittsburgh Steelers not officially elminated from the playoffs but in need in help and a win here on Sunday. The Steelers are 7-8 on the season and have won two straight games. They scored a late touchdown last week to beat the Raiders, 13-10, as a 2.5-point favorite. They held the Raiders to just 201 totals yards and 58 rushing yards. The Baltimore Ravens have secured a playoffs spot with their 10-5 record. The Ravens beat the Falcons last week 17-9, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Ravens will one again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who is out with a knee injury. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 16-7-3 ATS their last 26 games in January and 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 in Week 17. The Steelers are also 2-5 Ov/Un in their last seven vs the NFC North and 22-47-1 Ov/Un in their last 70 road games. The Ravens are 1-5-1 their last seven vs the AFC and AFC North. They are also 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Ravens have gone under in their last four games, under in their last eight on field turf and under in six straight at home. The Dog is 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 meetings between these teams. These teams have also gone under in six of the last eight in Baltimore and under in four straight overall. I'm taking the Steelers and the UNDER here today in a must win spot against a Baltimore team that I don't expect to get many points.  |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers OVER 47.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
 Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Over in this matchup today. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Packers today. |
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01-01-23 | Jets v. Seahawks +2 | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Two teams in desperate need of a win to keep their playoff hops alive meet today as the Seahawks host the Jets. Both teams are 7-8 and both have a narrow slot at make the Wild Card playoffs, but both must win here today. The Jets lost their last home game of the season last week to the Jaguars, 3-19. It was their fifth loss in the last six weeks. Seattle also lost last week to the Cheifs, 10-24. The Jets would be eliminated from the playoffs with a loss and will also need the Pats to lose a game. The Seahawks are 8th in the West but will need to not only win, but will also need a Washington and Green Bay loss to get in. These two teams are very evenly matched and with Zach Wilson benched again that actually will help the Jets. But I think it's the Seattle defense that will step up today and do just enough to get the Seahawks the win in what will be a close finish. Take the point or so with Seattle here today. |
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01-01-23 | Bears v. Lions OVER 52.5 | 10-41 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
With just two weeks to play, the Detroit Lions still have an outside shot of the making they playoffs as they are tied with the Packers at 7-8 in the NFC North. The Lions lost last week at Carolina, 23-37, as a 1.5-point favorite. They gave up 570 total yards to the Panthers, 320 rushing and 250 passing. Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North and eliminated from the playoffs. They lost at home last week to the Bills, 13-35 as a 8-point dog. The Lions have the fourth ranked offense in the NFL while Chicago is 27th. Problem is the Lions have the last ranked defense while Chicago is just slightly better at 23rd. The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 on the field turf. They are also 7-21 ATS their last 28 vs the NFC and 2-6 ATS their last eight road games. The Bears have gone over in their last five road games and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine overall games. The Lions are 8-0 ATS their last eight vs the NFC and 7-1 ATS their last eight overall. Detroit is 7-2 Ov/Un in seven of their last nine home games. They are also 5-1 Ov/Un in five of their last six vs the NFC. Detroit will have to go all out here at home on Sunday to keep those playoff hopes alive. Chicago has no motivation in this one. Take the OVER. |
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01-01-23 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 40.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs are only 7-8 on the season but can win the NFC South here on Sunday with a win over the 2nd place Carolina Panthers. This really is a playoff game for both teams because the loser could be out of the playoffs. Tampa Bay has pretty much been a dead under team this year. They are 4-11 Over/Under on the season and their offense has been very vanilla this year. They actually rank ok, 15th overall in the NFL in offense. However, the rushing game is dead last while QB Tom Brady has had to throw for his life this year and has them 4th in passing offense. Carolina has the 29th ranked offense, 10th in rushing and 28th in passing. The Panthers kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over Detroit last week, 37-23. They have already beaten the Bucs once this year so another win here and they hold the tie-breaker. The Panthers are 3-8 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the NFC South. The Bucs are 4-17 Ov/Un in their last 21 vs the NFC. I look for a low scoring game here on Sunday. Play the UNDER. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 44.5 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are officially eliminated with their 4-9-1 overall record. They will host the 8-6 Chargers tonight. Chargers trying for one of those Wild Card games and right now it's theirs to lose. The Chargers are coming off a win last week over the Tennessee Titans, 17-14 as a 3-point favorite. That is two wins in a row and three of their last four games. The Chargers offense is 12th overall, but just 31st rushing and 3rd passing. The defense is 21st, 11th vs pass and 28th vs the rush. The Colts are coming off that devastating loss to the Vikings where they blew the biggest lead in NFL History, 33-0, before losing 36-39 in OT. Have to wonder if they have anything left in the tank here tonight. The Colts will start their third different QB here tonight as Matt Ryan takes a seat. In comes Nick Foles, who has started just once in the last two seasons. Foles will lineup behind the worst pass protection line in the NFL. Foles will also be without Jonathon Taylor who is back on the IR. The Colts offense, despite the 36 points last week, has not eclipsed 20 points in nine of their first 13 games. Tonight a new QB and no Taylor? I think I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight as the Colts have problems putting points on the board. Play UNDER. |
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12-25-22 | Packers +3.5 v. Dolphins | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
 The Miami Dolphins can take a step closer to a Wild Card slot in the AFC with a win today over the Green Bay Packers. The Dolphins are 8-6 in the AFC East, but with the Buffalo win on Saturday they Bills locked up the division. The Packers are 6-8 overall and while not mathematically eliminated, they have a tall task to get the playoffs and a must win here today. The Packers are coming off a win over the Rams last week, 24-12 as a 7.5-point home favorite. That made two wins in a row for thee Packers. Miami lost a close game to the Bills last week in Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. That loss makes three losses in a row for the Dolphins. If the Packers can win here today on the road, they will finish the season at home on Lambeau Field for their final two games. Dolphins' center Mitch Morse did not return after being evaluated for a head injury in the second half of last week's game vs the Bills. He is listed as questionable today and he's the one that calls out the lanes and blocking assignments in audibles among snapping the ball. The Dolphins rank 27th in opponent third-down conversion percentage and they rank near the bottom of the league in passing defense (27th), scoring defense (26th), and red-zone defense (25th). The Pack has won four of the last five vs the Dolphins and today I'll take the points with the visitors. Play Green Bay. |
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12-24-22 | Raiders v. Steelers UNDER 38 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
 That cyclone bomb hitting most of the US will provide one of the coldest games in team's history here in the Raiders vs Steelers game. It's a Special Christmas eved night here at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh as the Steelers celebrate the 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception. They expect one of the coldest games in team history with temps in the single digits and with the wind chill that will drop well below the zero degree mark. The previous coldest game came in 1977 when the temp hit -2 degrees. Wind plays the biggest factor for me going to the UNDER and it's going to be windy here today. The Raiders will have lots of troubles in this one in the cold weather. Take the UNDER and stay warm. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
With the cyclone bomb hitting most of the country this weekend, we can fully expect the retractable roof here in Dallas to be closed for this game. Other than the weather, the big news here is that QB Jalen Hurts (shoulder) will miss today's game at Dallas. Garner Minshew is expected to make the start in his place. Both these teams have clinched a playoff spot as the Eagles are 13-1 with the best record in the NFL and the Cowboys are 10-4. The Cowboys lost to the Eagles back in October when Cooper Rush was filling in for Dak Prescott. The Dallas defense, once one of the best in the league, has suffered injuries and it showed in their loss last week to the Jaguars. The Eagles clinch the NFC and Home field advantage and a first round bye with a win here today ad Dallas. The Cowboys would have to win out the rest of the way if they hope to get the East title. While Minshew won't bring the rushing dynamic to the Eagles, he is deadly accurate as a thrower and will change the game plan here today for the Eagles. Even without Minshew here today I like the Eagles who have the better defense and they want to lock up everything so they can rest a few weeks. Play Philly. |
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12-24-22 | Texans v. Titans -163 | 19-14 | Loss | -163 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
While this one doesn't expect to be quite as cold as other games, it's still expected to be one of the coldest between these two AFC South Rivals in their history. The temperature at kickoff is expected to be around 19 degrees. Houston has little experience playing in these frigid conditions. For Tennessee expect Henry to see plenty of carries in this game. The Texans play in a dome and now face the top rush defense in the Titans. They are 0-4 in their four game against the top ranked rush defenses this year. The Texans have one of the worst rush defenses and Henry has torched them in the past. I expect Henry to do much of the same here on a cold day in Tennessee. Take the Titans on the Money line as part of this 2-team parlay. |
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12-24-22 | Bills v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Another of these games affected by the weather cyclone bomb hitting most of the country. It's going to be very windy and cold in Chicago on Saturday. There likely won't be any rain/snow, but for me wind plays the biggest factor in NFL totals. Passing becomes difficult and teams will have to rely on their rushing games. In these kinds of games you pretty much toss all the numbers and analytics out the window. The weather is the factor here and the cold and the wind especially. I'm taking under in what should be a blistery, cold day in Chicago. |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns UNDER 32 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints will miss their cozy indoor stadium here on Saturday as the face the Cyclone bomb hitting the USA. The weather will be the biggest news maker here on Satudray. It's going to be a frightful night in Cleveland as the teamps will be around 10 degrees and the wind chills could be anywhere from -20 to -30 degrees. Cleveland is no stranger to bad weather in the NFL, but this game likely will go down the history books as one of if not the coldest games. Expect the Browns to showcase plenty of Kareen Hund and Nick Chubb here today. Don't execpt to see a lot of balls being thrown in these conditions. The Browns have used these kinds of weather conditions to their advantage for years. For me though, I'm sticking with the UNDER. |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns -150 | 17-10 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints will miss their cozy indoor stadium here on Saturday as the face the Cyclone bomb hitting the USA. The weather will be the biggest news maker here on Saturday. It's going to be a frightful night in Cleveland as the temps will be around 10 degrees and the wind chills could be anywhere from -20 to -30 degrees. Cleveland is no stranger to bad weather in the NFL, but this game likely will go down the history books as one of if not the coldest games. Expect the Browns to showcase plenty of Kareen Hund and Nick Chubb here today. Don't except to see a lot of balls being thrown in these conditions. The Browns have used these kinds of weather conditions to their advantage for years. The Saints do not like these conditions and for me this gives a huge advantage to the Browns here today. Take Cleveland on the Money Line as part of this 2-team parlay. |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars v. Jets UNDER 37 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
It's going to be an ugly day in the Meadowlands as the weather won't be good. The Jags, who are used to that Florida weather, will have to put up with cold, rain and wind here tonight. For me it's about the wind and we could see gusts over 20 mph. Anything over 15 and you start to effect totals. Plus it will be soaking rain and cold. The Jets already have the league's third top defense as they keep moving up the standings. The offense is 19th while Jax is ranked 6th. The Jags are 2nd in the AFC South, a game back of Tennessee. Right now the best path for the Jags to the postseason is win the AFC South. Getting Wild Card looks harder than winning the division. They have a week 18 meeting with the Titans and that could determine who wins the division. The Jets are 7-7 and right now trail both the Chargers and Dolphins for the Wild Card who are 8-6. The Jets playoff chances have really been hurt by their 1-4 record their last five games. The Jets need to win their last three games to have a real shot at the Wild Card. Their week 18 matchup at Miami looks to be their most critical game right now. So tonight, both teams need this game. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in what looks to be horrible conditions. |
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12-19-22 | Rams +7 v. Packers | Top | 12-24 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
The LA Rams might not be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but realistically their 4-9 record is not going to be good enough at this point. They did put some excitement into the game last week with the dramatic come-from-behind win over the Raiders with newly acquired QB Baker Mayfield. Mayfield led them to a pair of late fourth Quarter TD's, the last with just seconds to go to get the win. The Packers also having a bad season at just 5-8 overall. The Packers had last week off after beating the Bears the week before, 28-19, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Packers are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. It looks to be a cold and possibly snowy night in Green Bay around 20 degrees with some snow likely. Mayfield should be used to it from his days in Cleveland. Lets see if the magic is there again for Mayfield and the Rams. I'll play the Rams. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs UNDER 45 | 34-23 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. Just how bad has this Tampa Bay offense been? They have scored over 22 points just one time the entire season and that was a losing effort at home vs the Chiefs, 31-41. The rushing game has gone over 100 yards just two times all season. The Bengals are 4-13-1 Ov/Un in their last 18 games. They are also 6-19-2 Ov/Un in their last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record and 9-24-3 Ov/Un their last 36 overall on the road. The Bucs have gone under in four of their last five home games and six of their last eight on grass. I'm sticking with the UNDER here today. |
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12-18-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Bucs | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals will have extra incentive here today after AFC North co-leader Baltimore lost on Saturday at Cleveland, 3-13. A win by the Bengals today and they take over sole place atop the division. Tampa Bay leads the worst division in football, the NFC South. The Bucs might not make the playoffs if they were in any other division, but here they lead the South by one game over both the Panthers and Falcons with their 6-7 record. The Bucs got beat bad last week at San Francisco, 7-35, as a 3.5-point dog. The running game continues to be bad, gaining just 69 total yards. Tampa Bay ranks 18th overall in offense, but last in rushing with just 73 yards per game average. If not for their 5th rank pass attack this unit would be even worse. Cincinnati has the 5th ranked offense, 4th in passing. The Bengals won last week at home over the Browns, 23-10, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bengals are now 9-1 ATS their last 10 on grass, 13-3 ATS their last 16 on the road and 14-3 ATS their last 17 following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bucs are just 1-6-1 ATS their last eight at home, 1-9-1 ATS their last 10 games overall. Cincinnati just a much better team than this Tampa Bay club is right now. I'll take the Bengals. |
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12-18-22 | Titans v. Chargers OVER 46.5 | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans are just 7-6 overall on the season, but by virtue of playing in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL, they lead the AFC South by 2-games over the Jaguars. That includes three straight losses by the Titans too. The Titans coming off a loss to the Jags last week, 22-36 as a 3-point favorite. The Titans defense ranked just 25th overall while the Chargers are 23rd. The Chargers are 12th on offense while the Titans are 29th. The Chargers are coming off a win last week at home over Miami, 23-17, as a 3-point dog. Tennessee has been a good over team on the road where 15 of their last 22 away games have gone over. The Chargers are 7-3 Ov/Un in their last 10 home games and 10-3 O/Un in their last 13 on field turf. Five of the last seven between these teams have gone over and that's what I'm looking for today. Play the OVER. |
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12-18-22 | Patriots +1.5 v. Raiders | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots look to continue their dominance vs the Raiders here on Sunday. The Pats have won six straight vs the Raiders and now it's mentor vs mentee as Josh McDaniels looks to beat his old coach in Bill Bellichick. Somehow the Raiders collapsed (again) last week and let Baker Mayfield lead the Rams on two late TD drives to pull out the win, 17-16. A unsportsmanlike penalty on Raiders' Perryman sure helped in the defeat as the play was a sack and ended up 15 yards and a first down all because he slapped the ball out of the players hand. It's bad enough when physical mistakes hurt you, but stupid mental ones really are hard to take. That loss ended any hope of a Raiders playoff as they dropped to 5-8. While not mathematically eliminated, they sure look to be done as a Thanksgiving Turkey. The Pats need a win here today to improve on their 7-6 record and keep their playoff hopes alive. The Pats are a good bounce back team, evidenced by their 23-5 spread mark the last 28 times they have got 250 yards or fewer the previous game. They are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 7-3 ATS their last 10 overall. Not only has the road team covered four of the last five in this series, but the Pats are 5-1 ATS their last six meetings. I'm taking the Patriots as the Raiders just keep finding ways to lose games. |
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12-18-22 | Cardinals v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 15-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
 Two teams with a lot of expectations this year just didn't come through on what was expected as the Arizona Cardinals visit the Denver Broncos. The Russell Wilson experiment has been a bust in Denver this year. The Broncos are in last place in the AFC West with a 3-10 record and have lost five straight games. The defense has been good, ranked 7th overall in the league. It's the 27th ranked offense that has been brutal. The Broncos finally had an over play when they played the Chiefs last week in a 28-34 loss. That broke a string of eight under plays. Still, the Broncos are 2-11 Ov/Un on the season. The 28 points last week was a season high and the first time over 21 points since October 2nd. The Cardinals offense hasn't been the same without Kyler Murray at QB. Murray has been hurt with a ACL injury and missed the last few weeks. He will be out again here today. Without Murray the Cards have scored 13, 24 and 10 points the last three weeks. The offense has dropped to 20th in the NFL. Can't really see many points in this one. The Denver defense should keep the score low today. Play UNDER. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
 The Dallas Cowboys struggled all game with the lowly Houston Texans last week, but finally pulled out the win, 27-23, as a 17-point favorite. The Texans didn't roll over against their intrastate rivals from the North. The win improved the Cowboys to 10-3, though they still trail the 1st place Eagles by two games. As for Jacksonville, they pulled the upset win at Tennessee last week, 36-22, as a 3-point dog. The Jags are now 7-1 on the season when they score 24 or more points. They are 0-6 when scoring fewer then 24 points. The Jags are in 2nd place in the AFC South, two games back of first place Tennessee. The Jags offense is decent, ranked 11th overall while Dallas is one slot higher at 10th. The Jags are 27th on defense while Dallas is much better at 5th. Dallas has been a good covering team, but not so much on the grass where they are 3-7 ATS their last 10. In addition the dog has covered four of the last five in this series. Question is, which Jax team do we see today, the one that scores 24 points or more and wins or the one that scores fewer than 24 and loses. I think we see the former here as they get those 24 or more points and cover this dog line. Play Jacksonville. |
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12-18-22 | Steelers v. Panthers UNDER 37.5 | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are last in the AFC North with a 5-8 record as they head to Carolina to take on the 5-8 Panthers. The Panthers still in the hunt for the division title as they trail first place Tampa Bay by just one game. The Panthers coming off a win last week at Seattle, 30-24, as a 3.5-point dog. That makes two wins in a row for the Panthers. The Steelers just lost last week at home to the Ravens, 14-16, as a 2-point favorite. That snapped a two-game win streak for Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 18-42-1 Ov/Un their last 61 games vs a team with a losing record. The Panthers have gone under in five of their last six home games. Neither offense is very good, with Pittsburgh ranked 26th and the Panthers coming in at 30th. I'll take UNDER between these two here today. |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 44.5 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 48 m | Show | |
 Buffalo one of those sites where you have to keep an eye on the weather as we approach game time. Lake effect snow moved Buffalo to Detroit the week before Thanksgiving. Now with Lake effect snow, maybe not as bad as before, they look to stay in Buffalo. Not only does there look to be snow, but those pesky winds. For me the winds are what really effect a total and today we see 8 to 16 MPH with gusts as high as 28 MHP. That wind is bad enough, but throw in the snow and conditions won't be very good here on Saturday. Miami is a warm weather team and definitely won't like the conditions here today. The Dolphins coming off a loss last week at the Chargers, 17-23 with just 219 total yards. They could manage just 92 yards rushing and 127 yards passing in the loss. Buffalo beat the Jets last week, 20-12, as a 10-point favorite. Buffalo allowed 309 yards and had just 232 totals. The Bills also had five fewer first downs and 18 fewer offensive plays then the Jets. This AFC East showdown is crucial to the Dolphins, as they trail the Bills by two games in the East and a loss today and they will have to fight for a wild card. For me, with the weather conditions and both teams struggling offensively, I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Buffalo one of those sites where you have to keep an eye on the weather as we approach game time. Lake effect snow moved Buffalo to Detroit the week before Thanksgiving. Now with Lake effect snow, maybe not as bad as before, they look to stay in Buffalo. Not only does there look to be snow, but those pesky winds. For me the winds are what really effect a total and today we see 8 to 16 MPH with gusts as high as 28 MHP. That wind is bad enough, but throw in the snow and conditions won't be very good here on Saturday. Miami is a warm weather team and definitely won't like the conditions here today. The Dolphins coming off a loss last week at the Chargers, 17-23 with just 219 total yards. They could manage just 92 yards rushing and 127 yards passing in the loss. Buffalo beat the Jets last week, 20-12, as a 10-point favorite. Buffalo allowed 309 yards and had just 232 totals. The Bills also had five fewer first downs and 18 fewer offensive plays then the Jets. This AFC East showdown is crucial to the Dolphins, as they trail the Bills by two games in the East and a loss today and they will have to fight for a wild card. The weather conditions play a big role for me here today and as such I have to go against the Dolphins who are used to that muggy Florida warm weather. Play Buffalo. |
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12-17-22 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 38 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
A key AFC North clash on Saturday as the 9-4 Baltimore Ravens take on the 5-8 Cleveland Browns. The Ravens are tied for first place in the division and need a win here on Saturday to assure they stay at least tied for the division lead. The Ravens will once again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who missed last week's game also with a knee injury. QB Tyler Huntley is out of concussion protocol and likely will start here today. Baltimore just got by the Steelers last week, 16-14, passing for just 59 totals yards. They did get 215 rushing yards last week. The Cleveland Browns lost at Cincinnati last week, 10-23, as a 4.5-point dog. They had 71 rushing yards, well below their season average and 273 yards passing. QB Deshaun Watson looking much more comfortable with some time under his belt. Baltimore is just 14th overall on offense and Cleveland is 6th, though 5th rushing. The Ravens defense is 12th while the Browns are 17th. The Ravens are 2-8 Ov/Un their last 10 games and 7-15 Ov/Un their last 22 road games. Weather could be a factor here today with a 30% chance of snow. The winds could be steady 10 to 14 MPHP with gusts to 26. For me, it's that 15 MPH level where I start to see the winds effecting a game. With temperatures around freezing and winds that could be a factor, I look for this game to go UNDER today. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. The Niners haven't like these short weeks, going 3-9 ATS their last 12 times on Thursday. Meanwhile, Seattle doesn't seem to mind the short week as much with a 8-2-2 ATS mark their last 12 times on Thursday. The Mariners are 8-2-1 ATS their last 11 meetings vs the 49ers in Seattle. They are also 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 meetings overall. I'll take the points at home against a backup QB here tonight. |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 43.5 | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. That doesn't bode well against this top ranked rush defense of the 49ers. This looks to be a very "vanilla" game tonight. The 49ers won't expose Purdy to much pressure and the Seahawks won't get much on the ground. I'm taking this game UNDER. |
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12-12-22 | Patriots v. Cardinals UNDER 44 | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots in dire need of a win here tonight if they hope to make the postseason. At 6-6 they are in last place in the AFC East, one game back of the Jets, 2 back of Miami and four back of Buffalo. The Patriots are coming off a loss at home to Buffalo two weeks agao, 10-24, as a 4-point dog. They had just 60 yards rushing and 242 total yards in the loss. That makes two losses in a row for the Pats. Arizona is 4-8 and 4 1/2 games back of San Francisco in the NFC West. The Cards are dead in the playoff race with so many teams ahead of them. They have lost two straight games including last week to the Chargers, 24-25 on a last second LA 2-point conversion. The Pats have been a good under team, with their last four going under after a bye week. They have also gone under in 24 of their last 33 on grass and are 5-16 Ov/Un in their last 21 road games vs a team with a losing home record. The Cards have trended more toward the over side, especially lately with six straight overs. However, they are just 2-9 Ov/Un in their last 12 times on Monday Night Football and 2-5 O/U in their last seven coming off a bye week. These teams have also gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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12-11-22 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4 | 30-24 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
 The Carolina Panthers are in third place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record. The Panthers have won two of the last three games including two weeks ago over Denver, 23-10, as a pick'em. The Panthers had last week off to prepare for today's contest. The offense is not very good, ranked 30th overall. The defense is better, ranked at 19th overall and 14th vs the pass. The Panthers are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs the NFC. They are also 2-7 ATS their last nine road games. The Seattle Seahawks making a push for a postseason spot as they are 7-5 overall and 2nd in the NFC West, one game back of the 49ers. Seattle is coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-23, failing to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. The Seattle offense ranks 9th overall (7th passing) and the defense is 30th. The Hawks have covered four of the last five meetings with the Panthers in Seattle. This is a long trip to the Northwest for the Panthers and I look for a Seattle win as they push for a playoff spot. |
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12-11-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 44 | 34-28 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
AFC West game here on Sunday has the first place Kansas City Chiefs taking on the last place Denver Broncos. The Chiefs have the West wrapped-up with their 9-3 record and 3-game lead with four weeks to go in the regular season. The Chiefs are coming off a loss last week to the Bengals, 24-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That snapped a five game win streak for the Chiefs. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the NFL with their passing attack first and their rushing 19th. The defense is 16th, 6th in rushing and 23rd in passing. The Chiefs have gone under in four of their last five games. What can you say about the Denver Broncos. What looked to be a Super Bowl team when Russell Wilson joined the club in the offseason, turned bad quickly as Wilson and the offense just didn't click all year. The offense is 27th overall and the most points this team has scored all year has been 23 points. In fact, they have not scored more than 16 in any of theirt last four games and seven of the last eight games. It isn't a far stretch that they have gone under in eight straight and 11 of their 12 games this year. With Denver playing the defense will keep them close, but the offense just isn't good enough to get these game over. Take the UNDER today. |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions -2 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
The NFC North is already fully handled by the Minnesota Vikings as they sit atop the division with a 10-2 record. The next closest team are these Detroit Lions with a 5-7 record. Realistically it looks like only the Vikings will make the playoffs from the North. The Vikings have won two games in a row including last week over the Jets 27-22, as a 2.5-point favorite. Their offense was held to just 287 yards by a very good Jets defense. The Vikes offense ranks 19th overall in the league and 31st on defense, last in pass defense. Not very good for a team that is 10-2 overall on the season. The Lions may only have five wins, but they have been very competitive and have lost five games by four points or fewer this year. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville, 40-14, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have also won four of their last five games and covered five in a row. Their defense is dead last in the NFL but their offense ranks 7th overall. They have a very balanced offense, 10th in rushing, 9th in passing. The Vikings are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record and 1-5-1 ATS their last seven vs the NFC. Conversely, the Lions are 7-0 ATS their last seven vs the NFC and 9-2 ATS their last 11 at home. Detroit has covered the last four in this series and four of the last five in Detroit. I like the Lions here today. |
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12-11-22 | Ravens v. Steelers -1 | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens found themselves in a defensive battle last week vs the Denver Broncos and came out on top in a 10-9 win, but didn't come close to covering the 8.5-point favorite line. The Ravens had just 285 total yards of offense, but held the Broncos to just 272 yards. The Ravens have now failed to cover the spread in their last three games. The Ravens will also be without QB Lamar Jackson, who injured his knee early in the Broncos contest. The Ravens will look to Tyler Huntley here on Sunday. Baltimore's defense is good but not great as they are ranked 13th overall. They are 2nd vs the rush but 25th vs the pass. The offense was already 14th, 3rd rushing, but without Jackson at QB those numbers won't be as good. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won two straight games including last week at Atlanta, 19-16, as a 1-point favorite. The defense ranks just 24th with the offense at 26th. The Ravens are just 2-6-1 ATS their last nine games and 3-9 ATS vs a team with a losing record. They have also gone 0-4 ATS their last four vs the AFC North. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS their last seven games overall. They have also covered five of the last seven vs the Ravens. With Jackson out I'll take the Steelers here today. |
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12-11-22 | Browns v. Bengals UNDER 46.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Important game here today for the Bengals as they are tied with the Ravens for the AFC North lead at 8-4 overall. They take on their intrastate rivals here today, Cleveland. The Bengals are coming off a big win last week over the Kansas City Chiefs, 27-24, as a 2.5-point dog. That makes four wins and covers in a row for the Bengals. The did go under though last week, scoring 51 total points but coming up short of the 53-point over/under. That makes two under games in a row. The Bengals defense is decent, ranked 12th overall. The offense ranks fifth overall and fourth in passing. The Bengals do look to get back RB Joe Mixon who has missed a few games with a concussion. The Bengals are 1-10-1 O/U in their last 12 games vs the AFC and 4-12-1 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Browns are coming off a win last week over the Houston Texans, 27-14, as a 7.5-point favorite. They have gone under their last two games. The Browns defense is ranked 15th overall. The offense is 6th with the rushing game at 4th. I look for this game to go under here on Sunday. |
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12-11-22 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 41 | 36-22 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
AFC South clash here on Sunday has the third place Jacksonville Jaguars taking on the first place Tennessee Titans. The Jags are 4-8 on the season and coming off a loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 14-40, as a 1.5-point dog. They gave the Lions 337 yards through the air while gaining just 266 total yards themselves. The Jacksonville defense is ranked 25th overall while the offense comes in at 12th overall. While the Titans are in first place, they have lost two straight games to Cincinnati and then last week to Philadelphia, 10-35, as a 4.5-point dog. They had just 209 total yards in that game. Not surprising that the offense ranks just 29th overall. The defense isn't much better at 23rd overall. Makes you wonder how this team has stayed in first place until you see how bad the other teams in the division have performed. The Jags are 7-19 Ov/Un their last 26 games vs a team with a winning record. The Titans have gone under in their last six vs the AFC. They are also 3-13 O/U in their last 16 home games. Take the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
 The Las Vegas Raiders have won three straight games to improve to 5-7 and third place in the AFC West. The LA Rams are in last in the NFC West at 3-9 and have lost six straight games. The Raiders are coming off a win over the Chargers last week at home, 27-20. That marks three straight games they have held their opponent to under 100 yards rushing. The Rams have been decimated by injuries this year and are without QB Matthew Stafford (neck) and WR Cooper Kupp (Ankle), their two best offensive players. The Rams did acquire QB Baker Mayfield who they picked up when the Panther released him earlier in the Week. His status is available for tonight's contest. The Rams are 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 overall games and 2-6 ATS their last eight game at home. The Rams have gone under in seven of their last eight home games against a team with a losing road record. They are also 8-17 O/U in their last 25 home games. Vegas has gone under in seven of their last 10 road games. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'll take the UNDER here tonight as the Rams should have issues moving the ball even if Mayfield plays. Take the UNDER. |
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