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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-05-22 | Saints +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
 NFC South clash here can put the whole division into turmoil with a Saints win. Right now the Bucs lead the South with a 5-6 record, the Falcons lost on Sunday dropped them to 5-8 and the Panthers and Saints pull up the rear at 4-8. A Saints win and three teams would have five wins. However, a Bucs win and they can pull into solo position in the South lead. The way the NFC is panning out, all four teams in the East could make the playoffs, the Vikings in the North with the Lions and Packers still in it and the 49ers and Seahawks in the West. It's likely that only the winner of the South will make the playoffs. The Saints were shutout last week at San Francisco, 0-13. They had just 260 total yards. The Saints offense ranks 15th in the NFL, 11th in passing. Tampa Bay's offense is just 18th overall, 5th in passing and last in rushing. Tampa Bay lost at Cleveland last week, 17-23, as a 3-point favorite. Despite Tom Brady at QB, the Bucs offense has scored more than 22 points just one time all season. The Bucs defense has dropped to 9th while the Saints are 11th. Tampa Bay is just 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games at home. The Saints have covered the last four in this series at Tampa Bay and seven of the last nine overall. The dog is also 4-1 ATS the last five. I'll take the points here tonight with the Saints. |
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12-04-22 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 49.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I see both of these offenses putting up plenty of points here today. I'm taking the OVER. |
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12-04-22 | Chargers v. Raiders -2 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I like the Raiders here today as they have confidence and momentum. Play Las Vegas. |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions OVER 51 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 on the season and three-games back of the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South. The Jags are coming off a win over the Ravens last week at home, 28-27, as a 3-point dog. The Jags had just 38 rushing yards last week but got 294 through the air. The Jags offense ranks 10th in the NFL and 9th rushing so it was a off week for the rushing attack last week. Detroit is also 4-7 on the season and well behind division leading Minnesota who is 9-2. Detroit has really been playing well and gave Buffalo all it could handle on Thanksgiving day as they lost on a last second field goal by the Bills, 25-28, as a 9.5-point dog. That makes four straight covers by the Lions. The Jags are 6-13 ATS their last 19 when they rushed for fewer than 90 yards the previous game. They are also 5-13-1 ATS their last 19 games overall. Meanwhile, Detroit has covered eight of their last 10 games and are 15-7 ATS their last 22 games on the field turf. Jacksonville has gone over in six of their last seven road games. Detroit has gone over in five of their last seven home games and nine of their last 13 overall. I like the way this Lions team has played, especially at home. Play Detroit and the OVER for your Side & Total Parlay |
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12-04-22 | Broncos v. Ravens -9.5 | 9-10 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
 The first place Baltimore Ravens are tied with the Bengals for the AFC North lead. Both teams are 7-4 and looking to get sole position this week. While the Bengals will face the Chiefs, the Ravens face the reeling Broncos. Denver sure didn't expect this kind of season when they signed Russell Wilson in the offseason. Yet here they are, last in the AFC West with a 3-8 record. The Broncos offense has been anemic, scoring 10, 16 and 10 the last three games - all losses. In fact, they have over 21 points just one time all season and that was 23 vs the Raiders in a nine-point loss. The only saving grace has been their 3rd ranked defense. The Broncos are now 4-14 ATS their last 18 vs the AFC and 2-7 ATS their last nine on the road. The Ravens are coming off that tough loss last week at Jacksonville, 27-28, as a 3-point favorite. That loss snapped a four game win streak. The offense ranks 11th overall and the defense is 15th. The Ravens are 7-3 ATS their last 10 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Ravens are also 10-4 ATS their last 14 vs the Broncos and 6-1 ATS their last seven at home. I'll take the Ravens here today against a Broncos team that just can't score. |
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12-04-22 | Browns -8 v. Texans | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The big news in this game is the expected debut of Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson. His suspension over, the Browns stated weeks ago that when he was ready he will start. However, such a long lay I have to wonder how game ready he will be. Then again, he's facing his old team in Houston and they are not good so it's the perfect team to debut against. The Browns are 4-7 and in third in the AFC North. They still have a shot at a postseason bid, but they will have to almost win out the rest of the way. The Browns still have the NFL's 5th ranked offense, thanks to a rushing game that gets over 150 yards per game. If Watson can contribute as he once did that will make this a very formidable balanced offense. The Houston defense is ranked 29th in the NFL and last vs the rush so it will be a long day against this Browns rushing attack. That means not a lot should be required from Watson as he gets into game shape. I'll take the Browns here today as they control the ball on the ground. |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
Week 13 of the NFL gets underway here on Thursday with a key AFC contest as the Patriots host the Bills. The AFC East one of the best conferences in football as all four teams are above .500 on the year. The Bills are tied for first place at 8-3 with the Miami Dolphins while the Patriots are in last place with a 6-5 record. Buffalo just did get by the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day, 28-25, winning on a late field goal but failing to cover the 9.5-point line. Meanwhile, the Patriots also lost last week at Minnesota, 26-33, as a 2.5-point dog. The Bills have the NFL's third best passing offense, 8th best rushing offense and 2nd best scoring offense. The Bills will be without a key defensive player though as Von Miller (knee) has been ruled out for this game. The Pats had won three straight games and five of their last six before their loss at Minnesota. The Patriots are ranked 6th in scoring defense (21.7 ppg allowed). Both teams battling for the AFC East and AFC playoff picture here tonight. The Bills are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The dog is 5-2-1 ATS their last eight in this series. I like the Patriots here today. In fact, I won't be surprised with a straight up win. Take New England. |
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11-27-22 | Rams v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
The Defending Super Champion Rams look pretty much dead in the water this season. Injuries has decimated the team and today they will be without two key starts. QB Matthew Stafford is out with a neck injury as is WR Cooper Kupp who is out with a ankle injury. The Rams have now lost four straight games and not score more than 20 points in seven of their last eight games. What was once a high octane offense now ranks 30th overall and 31st in rushing. The defense is still good though, ranking in at 10th overall. The Kansas City Chiefs have opened up a three-game lead in the AFC West at 8-2 overall. The Chiefs have won four straight games since their loss at home to Buffalo back on Oct 16th. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the league and 18th ranked defense. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five road games and 10 of their last 14 road games vs a winning home team. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six home games. Unless the Chiefs go crazy scoring here today, I don't see the Rams scoring enough to get this game over. I'll take the UNDER. |
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11-27-22 | Saints v. 49ers OVER 43 | 0-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are 4-7 and in third place in the NFC South. The good news is that both the Bucs and Falcons, who lead the division, are just one game ahead of them. The Saints beat the Rams last week 27-20 as a 2.5-point home favorite. That win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Saints defense is ranked 12th overall and 8th vs the pass. The offense is 10th overall. The 49ers are coming off a win over 38-10 as a 9.5-point favorite. They held the Cardinals, who where without their starting QB, to just 314 yards. That makes three wins in a row for the Niners. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The 49ers have the 8th ranked offense in the league and the top ranked defense in the NFL. These teams have gone over in their last six meeting in San Francisco and 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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11-27-22 | Raiders v. Seahawks -3.5 | 40-34 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
Who would have thought starting the season that at week 12 the Seattle Seahawks would be tied for first place in the NFC West despite the departure of Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos. But, here they are 6-5 overall and tied with the 49ers. The Rams and Cardinals look out of the race at this point. The Seahawks four-game win streak was snapped two weeks ago at Tampa bay, 16-21, as a 2.5-point road dog. The Hawks had last week off to prepare for today's home game. After a 4-0 preseason, a lot of high expectations were on the Raiders and first year HC Josh McDaniels. But, to say it's been a letdown is going lightly as the Raiders are just 3-7 and tied for the bottom of the AFC West with Broncos. The Raiders did beat the Broncos in Denver last week in OT, 22-16. QB Derek Carr throwing a long TD to Davante Adams for the winning score. That snapped a three game losing streak. The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. The home team has covered seven of the last nine games in this series. The favorite is also 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. The weather looks to be typical Seattle here on Sunday with rain and cool temps throughout the contest. It was a big win last week for the Raiders, but I don't see that continuing here this week. I'll take the Seahawks at home. |
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11-27-22 | Bucs v. Browns UNDER 42 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Weather looks to be playing a factor here in Cleveland on Sunday as the Browns host the Bucs. It looks to be a windy day with winds from 10-20 mph and temps in the upper 40's and a chance of rain. The Browns have had a disappointing season at 3-7 and tied for last in the AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers. The Cleveland offense is 4th in the league and their rushing attack, which was 1st, has dropped to fifth. The Tampa offense is ranked 17th with the passing game at 5th. Cleveland has the 20th ranked defense with Tampa coming in at 7th. The Browns will have QB Deshaun Watson available for today's contest. The management has said Watson would start as soon as he was eligible and now he is so don't be surprised for Watson to take over today. For me, I'm taking this game UNDER. |
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11-27-22 | Bears +7.5 v. Jets | 10-31 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record. The Bears have lost three straight games, all by three points or fewer including last week at Atlanta, 27-27, as a 2-point dog. The Bears held the Falcons to just 280 total yards, but could muster only 288 themselves. The defense ranks 16th overall while the offense is 22nd. The NY Jets are having an excellent season at 6-4 overall and third place in the AFC East. The Jets were tied with the Pats last week 3-3 before a New England punt return for a TD with just seconds left in the game got them the loss, 3-10 as a 3-point dog. That after their huge win the week before over Buffalo, 20-17. The Jets are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games vs a team with a losing record. The Bears are also 5-0-1 ATS their last six meetings with Jets. The Jets have benched QB Zach Wilson who will miss this game. QB Mike White looks to be the starter here on Sunday with Joe Flacco the backup. The Jets have been using their 8th ranked defense to win games this year. Still, huge change of direction for this Jets team that was 5-2 since Wilson returned from his knee injury. I'll take the Bears here today. |
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11-27-22 | Bengals v. Titans +1.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bengals are in 2nd place in the AFC North with a 6-4 record and just one game back of the Ravens. The Tennessee Titans are in 1st place in the AFC South with a 7-3 record, 3-games ahead of the Colts. The Bengals are coming off a win last week at Pittsburgh, 37-30, covering the 3.5-point favorite line. The Bengals have the 7th best offense in the league and 4th best passing game. The defense is ranked 11th overall. The Titans are coming off a win at Green Bay last week, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. The Titans have covered eight straight games. Their defense is ranked 19th overall and 2nd against the rush. The offense is ranked 29th overall, 11th in rushing. The dog is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. Not sure why Tennessee is a small home dog here today. But I'll take the points anyways and look for a Titans straight up win. Play Tennessee. |
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11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings -2.5 | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
The Vikings really laid an egg last week at home in their loss to the Cowboys, 3-40. They had a paltry 73-yards rushing and 110-yards passing for just 183 total yards. They allowed the Cowboys 458 totals yards. It was a surprising outcome considering the Vikings were 8-1 and in first place in the NFC North at the time. Their status in the North is not in jeopardy though as the 4-6 Lions are the closest team to them. One good thing is that the Vikings are 20-6 ATS the week after they had 150 yards or fewer passing and 21-7 ATS the after a total of 250 yards or fewer. The Vikings still have a good home record against winning clubs, going 16-6 ATS their last 22. The 6-4 Patriots visit Minnesota today. The Pats are tied with the Jets in the AFC East behind both the Dolphins and Bills who sit at 7-3. The Patriots had a punt return for a touchdown with 5 seconds left in the game last week to get the win over the Jets, 10-3, in what was a very windy and cold Foxboro. The defense held the Jets to just 103 total yards in the cold weather. In fact, the defense has now allowed just 103 and 121 total yards the last two weeks and just six combined points. The defense has shot up to fourth in the NFL overall. I really do expect the Vikings to put forth a much better effort here today after that embarrassment on home field last week. I'll take the Vikings here today. |
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11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -10 | 20-28 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
NFC East clash between the 7-3 Dallas Cowboys and the 7-3 NY Giants. The winner takes over sole position of 2nd place in the division, with a chance to pull within one game of 1st place Philadelphia. The NFC East was one of the worst divisions in football and now it's one of the best with the last place Commanders sitting at 6-5 and in prime playoff position. The Giants lost last week at home to the Detroit Lions, 18-31, despite having more yards than Detroit, 413-325. The Giants are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NFC games and 0-4 ATS in their last four vs the NFC East. Dallas rolled to an easy win even though they played on the road at 8-1 Minnesota, easily winning 40-3. Tony Pollard showing he should be a full time #1 running back as he had over 100 yards receiving and let the team in rushing with two pass receiving touchdowns. Even though Ezekiel Elliot is back, it looks like Pollard might get the share of carries and is a prime target for Dak Prescot. The Cowboys have covered three of their last four games. Their lone loss coming in that game at Green Bay two weeks ago where they gave up a 28-14 lead before losing in OT. The Cowboys love playing on the artificial turf, now 20-7 ATS their last 27. They are also 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games vs the NFC East. The Cowboys are 9-2 ATS their last 11 vs the Giants and 4-1 ATS their last five at Dallas. Take the Cowboys here on Thursday. |
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11-24-22 | Bills v. Lions +9.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills new home seems to be Detroit's Ford Field. The Bills played here last week as their game was moved from Buffalo do to severe snow storms. The Bills got off to slow start last week but stormed back to beat the Browns, 31-23, covering or pushing the 7.5 or 8-point line. That snapped two straight losses by the Bills to Minnesota and the Jets. The Bills are now tied with the Dolphins in the AFC East for first place with both teams at 7-3. The Patriots and Jets right behind at 6-4. The Lions pulled the improbable win last week at the Giants, winning 31-18 as a 3-point dog. The Lions only had 325 yards to the Giants 413 yards of offense. That was the third straight win for the Lions both S/U and ATS. The Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games and 6-2 ATS their last eight games vs a team with a winning home record. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series and that's who I am on here today. Play the Lions. |
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11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
NFC West clash here on Monday night has the 5-4 San Francisco 49ers taking on the 4-6 Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers are coming off a win last week over the Chargers, 22-16, failing to cover the 8-point favorite line. That makes two wins in row in their division. The Rams held the Chargers to just 238 total yards. The Cardinals coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. While Arizona had just 298 total yards they held the Rams to 256 total yards. The 49ers have the NFL's 9th ranked total offense while Arizona comes in at 19th. The big difference is on defense where the 49ers are now the top defense in the NFL and tops against the rush. Arizona falls all the way down to 24th overall and 12th vs the rush. The 49ers are 2-10 Ov/Un their last 12 games on grass and 4-13 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Cardinals are 1-9 O/U their last 10 Monday Night games. These teams have gone under in five of the last six meetings in Arizona and are 1-6-1 O/U in their last eight overall meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings +1.5 | 40-3 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 16 m | Show | |
Not too often you can get a 8-1 team as a small home dog. But that's the case here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys visit Minnesota to face the Vikings. The Vikings just coming off a huge win at Buffalo in OT, 33-30. That after trailing one of the best defensive teams in the league, 10-24 at the half. As for Dallas, the Cowboys led the Packers 28-14 before the Packers came back with 14 points in the fourth quarter to tie the game and then won in OT, 31-28. I'm sorry, but no way the Vikings should be any dog in this game. I'll take this price early on Minnesota. |
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11-20-22 | Bengals v. Steelers +4 | 37-30 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals sitting at 5-4 and one game back of the Ravens in the AFC North. They will face last place North team Pittsburgh Steelers here today who are 3-6. The Bengals rebounded from their loss to Cleveland three weeks ago, 13-32, with a nice win two weeks ago at home over Carolina, 42-21. The Bengals had last week off to prepare for today. The Bengals offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL with the passing game at 6th. The defense comes in at 10th overall. The Pittsburgh Steelers beat New Orleans last week at home, 20-10, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Steelers rushed for a season-high 217 yards while holding the Saints to just 186 total yards (29 on the ground). The Steelers defense hasn't been that good all season, ranking 27th overall and 30th vs the pass. Though they have been good at stopping the run (6th). The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games. They are also 22-10-1 ATS their last 33 meetings with the Bengals. I'll take the points at home with the Steelers and look for an outright Pittsburgh win today. |
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11-20-22 | Panthers +13 v. Ravens | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
It's AFC vs NFC here today as the NFC South Carolina Panthers take on the AFC North Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are in first place in the division with a 6-3 record. They lead the Bengals by one game. The Ravens have won three straight games, including two weeks ago at New Orleans, 27-13, as a 1.5-point favorite. The Ravens had last week off. That makes two straight covers for the Ravens. The Ravens are just 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games following an ATS win. They are also 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. The Panthers made some wholesale changes to their team when they traded Christian McCaffery away to the 49ers. Still, they have been competitive, covering three of the last four. The Panthers also had a bye week last week after beating the Falcons the week before, 25-15, as a 2.5-point dog. The Baltimore defense ranks 19th while Carolina comes in at 25th. The Ravens are 12th on offense while the Panthers are 30-th. These teams last met in 2018 when Carolina won at home, 36-21 as a small dog. Panthers getting around 13-points here today. I believe that might be a bit much though the way the Panthers have been covering spreads. I'll take a shot with Carolina here today. |
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11-20-22 | Browns +8 v. Bills | 23-31 | Push | 0 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. The move has to hurt the Bills more than the Browns here today. I'll take the TD+ today with the Browns. |
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11-20-22 | Browns v. Bills OVER 50 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. No snow and a fast turf makes be believe we'll see some point being put up here today. The Browns are 6-2-1 Ov/Un their last nine games and 5-1-1 O/U their last seven vs the AFC. I will take a chance on the over here today with the move to an indoor stadium and the faster turf. Play the OVER. |
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11-20-22 | Jets +3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
The NY Jets might be the most surprising team this year with their 6-3 record and just one game behind the Miami Dolphins for the lead in the AFC East. But in the competitive East division all the teams are bunched up with the last placed Patriots at 5-4 and just two games back of first place. That makes a game like this today so important to both teams. Especially when you have the 6-3 Bills in the mix of things. The Jets coming off the big upset last week of the Bills, 20-17, as a 10.5-point dog. The Jets have now covered five of their last six games. The Jets have also had a very good defense, ranked 7th in the NFL. The Patriots coming off a win last week over the Colts, 26-3. They have also covered five of their last six games. The Patriots defense is 12th in the league. The Jets have an edge on offense where they are 18th in the league compared to the Patriots at 26th. I expect a close game here on Sunday. Neither team will run away with this one so the line is important. I'll take the points with a Jets team that can easily win outright. Play the NY Jets. |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -170 | 27-17 | Loss | -170 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans look to be the favorite to win the AFC South despite having one of the worst offenses in the NFL. The Titans are 6-3 with the Colts in second at 4-5-1. The Jags and Texans are out of it. The Green Bay Packers are in 2nd in the NFC North, but with their 4-6 record they are a ways behind the 8-1 Vikings. The Packers snapped a five-game losing streak last week with a come from behind victory of the Cowboys. The Packers trailed 14-28 before forcing a tie and winning the game in OT, 31-28. The Titans won a low scoring affair over the Denver Broncos, 17-10. Both teams didn't do a lot on offense with the Titans having 307 total yards and the Broncos 313 yards. Right now the Titans have the worst ranked total offense in the NFL with just 282 yards per game. Their passing attack is 31st with 148 yards per game. The Packers rank a much better 13th in the league. Green Bay also has the 9th ranked defense while Tennessee comes in at 22nd. Though the Titans do have the 2nd best rushing defense in the league. However, with the 31st ranked passing defense they could be in for a long night against Aaron Rodgers. These teams have only met once in the last five years and that was 2020 when the Packers won at home, 40-14 as a 3-point favorite. The Packers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs a team with a winning record. I like the Packers here at home. I'll take Green Bay but I will lay the Money Ling Price and take the line out of this game. |
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11-14-22 | Commanders +11 v. Eagles | Top | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The Washington Commanders are in last in the NFC North with a 4-5 record. THey have the bad luck of playing in what is arguable the best division in football as the other three teams are at least 6-2 in their records. Washington coming off a game they know they could have won last week as they hosted Minnesota and lost, 17-20. The Vikings have the 2nd best record in the NFL and came within minutes of winning that contest. That makes the team 3-1 their last four games all with QB Carson Wentz out. Wentz will again miss tonight's contest with that finger issue. That means Taylor Heinicke will once again be at the helm. For me, I would rather have Heinicke at QB instead of Wentz. For me he's led this team and has performed better. The Philadelphia Eagles are the best team in the NFL right now with the only perfect record at 8-0. They lead the Giants by 1.5 games right now in the NFC East. The Eagles are coming off a win over Houston last week, 29-17, but they failed to cover the 14-point spread. Still, they are 5-3 ATS overall on the season. The Eagles have the NFL's third best offense and third best defense. Washington is 21st in offense and 14th in defense. The dog is 3-1-1 ATS the last five games in this series. I expect the Washington defense to keep them close and Heiniecki to play well enough to cover this spread. Take the double digit points with Washington. |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts should have Jonathan Taylor back today after missing the last game with an ankle injury. Colts have been very good to under players of late, going 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight road games and 1-11 O/U in their last 12 vs the AFC. I expect a lower scoring game here today with the Colts not having much in the passing game. Take UNDER |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders -6 | Top | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 58 m | Show |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts have no one right now, not even running back Jonathan Taylor who missed last weeks game with an ankle injury. Get on this one early as I only see the Raiders line going up. Play LV Raiders. |
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11-13-22 | Saints v. Steelers +1 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
 The New Orleans Saints are 3-6 overall on the season and in third place in the NFC South. The Saints are coming off a home loss to the Ravens, 13-27. The Saints are now just 3-6 vs the spread on the season. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-6 overall and in last place in the AFC North. The Steelers are coming off a loss to instra-state rival Philadelphia, 13-35. The Saints are 6th in the NFL in total offense while the Steelers are 28th. The Saints are also 11th on offense with the Steelers 29th. Still, though the Saints are not having a good season. The Steelers did have last week off to rest and get ready for today. Both teams had poor first halves of the season and both played the Bengals and Bucs. The Steelers beat both those teams while the Saints lost to both. With the week off to prepare and maybe seeing the return of NFL Defensive player of the Year, TJ Watt, I'm taking the Steelers here today. |
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11-13-22 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Chiefs | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville Jaguars may only be 3-6 in the NFL but they have put scares into some teams this year. The Jags went on the road at beat Vegas last week, 27-20. They just lost to Denver the week before, 17-21 and New York Giants the week before that , 17-23. They have the 8th ranked offense, 7th ranked rushing attack in the league. Kansas City is 6-2 on the season and one game ahead of the LA Chargers for first place in the AFC West. The Chiefs are the only team in the West with a plus point differential (+57). The Chiefs are coming off a home win last week over Tennessee, 20-17, but failing to cover the 14-point favorite line. The Chiefs have the 2nd ranked offense in the league and top ranked passing attack. The Chiefs are now 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs the AFC and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. Not covering at home shows how over valued the oddsmaker has made them at home this season. And today I believe they are laying too many points once again. Play Jacksonville. |
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11-13-22 | Browns +3.5 v. Dolphins | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
AFC Clash here on Sunday between the Cleveland Browns and the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins are in the most competitive division in football with the Bills, Jets and Patriots, just 1.5 games separate first from last. The Dolphins are a half game in second place with a 6-3 record. Miami won on the road last week at Chicago, 35-32. It was the team's third win in a row after losing to Minnesota four weeks ago. The Dolphins have the fifth best offense in the league and the 22nd best in defense. The Browns are 15th in defense and fourth in offense thanks to their 3rd ranked rushing offense. The Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games vs a team with a winning home record while Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-4 ATS their last five games vs a team with a losing record. I think this game will come down to the final minutes and I will take the points in this one. Play Cleveland. |
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11-13-22 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
NFC North contest here as last place Detroit Lions (2-6) takes on the next to last place Chicago Bears (3-6). In the North, only the Vikings have a winning record at 7-1 and 4.5-games in first place. The Lions are coming off a improbable win over Green Bay last week, 15-9. Despite having the worst defense in the NFL, the Lions held the Packers to just nine points and picked-off Aaron Rodgers twice in the end zone. The Bears are coming off a loss at home to Miami, 32-35, though they covered the four-point dog line. The Chicago defense is a bit better at 18th in the NFL. The Bears offense ranks 24th while the Lions come in at 7th. The Bears are 3-1-1 ATS their last five home games. The Bears have are also 4-1-1 ATS their last six meetings with the Lions at Chicago. Small home favorite in Chicago, I'll lay the price here with the Bears. |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks +3 v. Bucs | 16-21 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 1 m | Show | |
These teams playing the first ever game in Germany on Sunday get the early start at 6:30 PT / 9:30 am ET. Who would have figured the Seattle Seahawks to be in first place in the NFC West with the defending champion Rams and the 49ers. But, they are and they are 1.5-games ahead of the Niners with a 6-3 record. Everyone kind of figured the departure of Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos would mean this was a rebuilding period for Seattle. However, Geno Smith has come in and actually played better than Wilson has for the Broncos. Another anomaly is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-5 with Tom Brady. But would you believe they are tied for first place in the horrible NFC South? Every team in the division has a sub-.500 record this year. Tom Brady has not looked his old self this year, but part of that is due to injuries to his receivers. The Bucs have the 19th ranked offense and last place rushing offense. They average a paltry 61 yards this year on the ground. Seattle's offense ranks 11th overall and 9th in rushing. Tampa Bay does have the 9th ranked defense, but it was much higher earlier in the season and has steadily declined week by week. Tampa Bay hasn't covered a spread since week 2 of the season vs the Saints. Since then they have gone 0-6-1 ATS. Seattle playing well, they cover spreads and don't look out of sync like the Bucs. Yet, Tom Brady gets the bettors and here the Bucs are a 3-point favorite. Not sure how that happened, but I won't look a gift horse in the mouth. I'll take the points with Seattle. |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
 NFC South matchup here on Thursday in what is one of the worst divisions in the NFL. No one is out of this division, even the 2-7 Panthers. Both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are currently in 1st place with 4-5 records. The Falcons are coming off a loss last week at home to the Chargers, 17-20. While the Falcons have the 26th ranked offense, they do have the 4th ranked rushing game. The Falcons have been a good under play here on Thursday, going 0-6 O/U in their last six on that day. Meanwhile, Carolina was blown out last week at Cincinnati, 21-42. Though QB Baker Mayfield came into the game and led the team to 21 points. However, despite PJ Walker being benched at halftime, he's expected to make the start here on Thursday. The offense had just 228 total yards. Carolina traded away Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Panthers have the 30th ranked offense in the league. The Panthers have gone under in seven of their last 10 games vs the NFC South. This has also been a very good under series with the teams going 5-13-1 Ov/Un their last 19 meetings and 5-15-2 Ov/Un the last 22 meetings at Carolina. I'm going UNDER here on Thursday. |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
 The Baltimore Ravens are in 1st place in the AFC North, a half game ahead of the Bengals. A win tonight and they are 1-game in front, a loss and they are tied. The Ravens are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven Monday night games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs a team with a losing record. The NFC South New Orleans Saints are 3-5 and a win tonight puts them in a three way tie with the Bucs and Falcons in a very weak division. The Ravens have won two straight games after last week's win over the Bucs, 27-22 as a 2-point dog. That break a three-game spread skid by the Ravens. The Saints are coming off a dominating performance last week over the LV Raiders. They held the Raiders very good rushing game to just 38 yards and 183 total yards. They sacked QB Derek Carr four times. The Ravens have the 10th ranked offense in the league, 2nd rushing. The Saints have the 5th ranked offense in the league. The Baltimore defense is 24th and the Saints come in at 10th. The Ravens will be without a key target in this game, TE Mark Andrews who is out with a shoulder injury. They may also be without RB Gus Edwards who is doubtful with a hamstring. I like the home team here though the line is too small. I'll take New Orleans to win the game. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I expect both teams to get plenty of points in this contest. Both team's have poor defenses and that will help push this one over. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks +2 v. Cardinals | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Sunday. |
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11-06-22 | Colts +5.5 v. Patriots | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Longtime rivals meet up here in Foxboro, MA on Sunday as the Patriots host the Colts. Colts will start QB Sam Ehlinger today. The Colts are 3-4-1 and the Patriots are 4-4. Matt Ryan was benched in favor of Ehlinger who looks to be in that role for the rest of the season. The Colts also fired offensive coordinator Marcus Ryan and traded reserve RB Nyheim Hines to the bills for Zach Moss and a draft pick. So things are changing in Indy. The Colts trying to improve on an offense that was ranked just 18th overall. The Patriots are coming off a win at the Jets last week, 22-17, despite giving up 336 yards through the air. The Patriots have been changing QB's too, in was Mac Jones then came Bailey Zappe. Now Jones is back behind center. Jones was at the helm of their win over the Jets. Not sure the Patriots should be laying almost a TD to anyone at this juncture. Their offense ranks just 20th overall and 23rd in passing. Even the Colts offense has been better overall this year. I'll take the points in this one and expect a close finish. Play Indianapolis. |
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11-06-22 | Vikings v. Commanders +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-1 on the season and cruising in the NFC North with a 3.5 game lead over the Packers and Bears. The Vikes only loss of the season coming at the hands of undefeated Philly, 7-24 in week 2. The Vikings offense is 15th overall in the league, 20th rushing. Surprisingly, the defense ranks just 28th overall, though 9th vs the rush. The Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs the NFC. The Washington Commanders will once again be without QB Carson Wentz, who will miss another game with a injured finger. QB Taylor Heinicke will make his third start of the season. Heinicke is 2-o in that role, having beaten the Packers 23-21 and then last week over the Colts, 17-16. That makes three straight wins and covers for the Commanders. For me, I think I would rather have Heinicke at QB then the way Wentz had played. Washington was 2-4 under Wentz. The Washington offense still ranks just 22nd overall with the defense coming in at 13th. The dog has covered eight of the last 11 meetings in this series. Moreover, I actually like this Washington team more with Wentz out. I'll take the points here today. Play Washington. |
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11-06-22 | Chargers v. Falcons +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers coming off a home loss two weeks ago to the Seattle Seahawks, 23-37, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Chargers had last week off to get over some injuries, however they are still hurting coming into this game. Star WR Keenan Allen will miss another game with a hamstring injury. Also out is their top WR in Mike Williams who has a ankle injury. That leave QB Herbert with his top two wide receivers out of the game. The Chargers offense is ranked 8th, but 27th rushing and 4th passing. That means the loss of those wide outs will put even more stress on a poor rushing game. The Chargers defense is ranked 20th, 27th vs the rush. The Falcons have surprised many this year as they are 4-4 on he season and 6-2 vs the spread. The Falcons are coming off a home win against Carolina, 37-34, though they failed to cover the 4-point favorite spread. The Falcons are only 25th on offense, though they have one of the better rushing attacks, ranked 5th overall. Defense has been a problem though, ranked 31st in the NFL, with the worst passing defense (32nd) allowing 307 yards per game. If the Chargers had their top WR's this might be a issue, though today not as much. Atlanta has been very competitive this year. Getting a field goal at home is more than enough for me to take them today. Play Atlanta. |
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11-06-22 | Dolphins v. Bears +4 | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The Miami Dolphins have won two straight games after dropping three straight. This includes last week over Detroit, 31-27, just covering the 3.5 point favorite line. The Miami offense ranks 7th overall and third in passing. This despite missing QB Tua for a few games with that concussion. The defense isn't as good, ranking 23rd overall, though 6th vs the rush. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The Chicago Bears came off their win at New England two weeks ago, 33-14, with a loss at Dallas last week, 29-49. They gave up 200 yards rushing to a Dallas team that was without Ezekiel Elliot. These teams have only met once in the last five years and that was Miami win 31-28 at home back in 2018. The Bears offense ranks just 27th overall, though they have the league's top rushing attack with 189 yards per game. The defense ranks a bit better at 15th overall and 5th vs the pass. This looks to come down to the Miami rush defense vs the Chicago ground game. I'll take the points at home with the Bears. Play Chicago. |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 29-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Philly vs Houston also happens to be the World Series matchup tonight. Though that game should be a lot closer than this one will be. The Eagles look to remain the only undefeated this year and improve to 8-0. With a win tonight they will hold a two-game lead over both the Cowboys the Giants. It was just last year that the NFC East was the worst division in the NFL and now it's the best. The Eagles are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 35-13 and get the short turnaround this week. Houston is in last in the AFC South with a 1-5-1 record. The Texans won their only game of the season back on October 9th over the Jaguars, 13-6. Since then, they have lost at Vegas, 20-38 and last week at home to the Titans, 10-17. Philly has the league's third ranked offense while Houston comes in at 31st. Philly also has the fourth ranked defense while Houston has the 30th ranked overall defense and 32nd ranked rush defense. I expect to see a lot of the Philly running game, in particular that of Miles Sanders. I will actually be surprised if Houston scores anything over a few field goals here tonight. I'll take a shot with the UNDER and hope that the Eagles look content to run the ball tonight. |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
Bragging rights in Ohio are on the line tonight as the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals can move into a 1st place tie with Baltimore in the AFC North win a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Browns are 2-5 in the North. The Bengals arecoming off a win at home over Atlanta, 35-17. They have also covered their last five games and have gone under in five of their seven games this season. The defense has been very good, ranked 11th in the NFL, while the Browns are 16th. The Browns rank 6th on offense thanks to their third ranked rushing offense that averages 164 yards per game. The Bengals rank 11th on offense, 4th in passing. Cincinnati has gone under in 10 of their last 12 games and are 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight vs the AFC. This series has favored the under with a 2-6-1 Ov/Un mark the last nine meetings in Cleveland. I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
AFC South matchup here on Sunday between 1st place Tennessee (4-2) and last place Houston (1-4-1). The Titans won their fourth straight game last week at home vs the Colts, 19-10. Both offenses didn't do much with Tennessee having 254 total yards and the Colts 293. Houston won their first game of the season on Oct 8th vs the Jaguars, 13-6, then had the next week off before traveling to Las Vegas last week and getting beat, 20-38. The Texans gave up 400 total yards, 164 on the ground. The Texans have been competitive though vs the number, going 3-2-1 ATS this season. They are also 4-1 ATS their last five games vs a team with a winning record and 6-2 ATS their last eight vs the AFC. The Houston Texans now have the worst defense in the NFL, allowing 412 yards per game. They are ranked last vs the rush and 21st vs the pass. No wonder the Raiders ran wild on them last week. Tennessee ranks 26th on defense with the fourth best rushing defense and 31st ranked passing defense. Both teams have been poor on offense with Houston ranked 26th and Tennessee ranked 31st. The Titans offense also got a big blow as QB Ryan Tannehill will miss today's game with an ankle injury. QB Malik Willis will make his first career start today for the Titans. Tennessee might be in 1st place, but it's more by virtue of a very weak division. I give the Texas a good shot at winning this game on Sunday. Play Houston. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints OVER 49 | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. Both these teams have better offenses then defenses and I expect a lot of points on the board when these teams get together on Sunday. Take the OVER. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints +2 | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. The Raiders are a small road favorite here on Sunday, but I will be on the Saints. |
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10-30-22 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Vikings | 26-34 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals tied for last in the NFC West with the SF 49ers as both teams are 2-4. However, the Rams are just a half game in front at 3-3 and the Seahawks are just one game in first place at 4-3. The Cards won at home last week over New Orleans, 42-34 as a 2.5 point favorite. The offense had just 326 total yards and the defense allowed 494 yards. But it was three turnovers by the Saints that led to the Arizona win. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. Minnesota is the leader in the NFC North with a 5-1 record, 2.5-games ahead of the Packers and Bears. The Vikings are the only team in the division with a plus point differential (+21) this year. The Vikings had last week off after beating Miami the week before, 24-16. The only loss for the Vikings this year coming in their second game at Philly, 7-24. The Minnesota defense isn't very good, ranked just 27th overall and 28th vs the pass. The offense comes in ranked 18th overall. Arizona's offense ranks 15th while their defense is 22nd. Arizona has been good on the road, going 20-8-2 ATS their last 30 away games. The Vikings are just 1-4 ATS their last five games and 1-4 ATS their last five games following a bye week. They are also 2-8 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The dog in this series is 7-2-2 ATS and that's what I will be on here today. The underdog Cardinals. |
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10-30-22 | Patriots -145 v. Jets | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
This sure seems to be the bizzaro world in the NFL. Tom Brady and the Bucs are losing, as is Aaron Rodgers. Yet here are the NY Jets in 2nd place in the AFC East with a 5-2 record. They take on the Patriots who are in last place in the division with a 3-4 record. The Patriots have been trying both Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe at QB and last week Zappe came in for a struggling Jones and got 14 quick points. However, the all went away in the 2nd half as the Patriots struggled to a loss to the Bears, 14-33. The Pats had just 260 total yards and 19 fewer offensive plays. Meanwhile, the Jets went into Denver and came away with the win, 16-9, holding the Broncos to three field goals. The Jets had just 260 total yards and 24 fewer offensive plays than the Broncos. The Jets offense ranks 22nd in the NFL with the Patriots coming in at 17th. Pats HC Bill Belichick has already confirmed that Jones will be back at starting QB this week. It might be because Jones currently ranks second among quarterbacks in average target depth (10.4 yards) and throws deep passes at the highest rate in the NFL (20.4%). The Patriots have shown they can bounce back after double digit losses at home, going 7-0 ATS the last seven times. The Jets are just 7-19 ATS their last 26 games against the AFC East. The Pats are also 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with the Jets. I'll take the Patriots on the Money Line to just win the game here on Sunday. |
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10-27-22 | Ravens v. Bucs -1 | 27-22 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
Who would have believed that entering week 7 in the NFL that both a Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers led teams would both have losing records? Surely not Tom Brady who has shown his frustration on the Tampa Bay sidelines with more broken tables then it seems touchdown tosses this year. The Bucs lost to the Carolina Panthers last week, 3-21 despite playing the worst defense in the NFL and a Panther's team that just traded away their star running back in Christian McCaffrey. The Bucs had just 46 rushing yards though they had 16 more offensive plays and three more first downs then the Panthers. Meanwhile, Baltimore held on to beat the Cleveland Browns last week, 23-20, though failing to cover the 6.5-point favorite line. The Browns had 336 totals yards to just 254 by the Ravens. The Ravens are the 14th ranked offensive team while the Bucs are 21st. The Bucs defense has been the best part of their team this year, ranked 7th overall, though they have dropped a few placed in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Baltimore has struggled to a 23rd ranking on defense. The Ravens are tied for the lead in the AFC North at 4-3 with the Cincinnati Bengals. Despite their poor play, the Bucs are tied for first in the NFC North at 3-4 with the Falcons. No team in the North has a positive point differential. The Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games and 1-6 ATS vs a team with a losing record. The only bright spot for bettors on the Bucs side of the ball is that they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game. This is a matchup of first place teams, though sure doesn't seem like it. We need little more than a win with the Bucs here tonight so I'll take Brady and a better defense back on the home turf tonight. Play Tampa Bay. |
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10-23-22 | Steelers +7.5 v. Dolphins | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers rebounded from their 3-38 beating at the hands of Buffalo two weeks ago with an improbable win at home over Tampa Bay last week, 20-18, as a 9.5-point dog. Miami lost it's third straight last week with a loss at home to Minnesota, 16-24, as a 3-point dog. It's also the third week they failed to cover the spread and scored fewer than 17 points. Of course this was due to the loss of QB Tua Tagovilioa who had a concussion. Tua is expected to return this week though. The Miami offense was ranked 8th because of that passing game that ranks 2nd while the rushing game is just 30th. These teams have met just once in the last five years with the Steelers winning that game in 2019, 27-14. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series. The Dolphins are now 0-6 in their last six October games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a s/u loss. I don't know how effective Tua will be in his return here on Sunday. I'll take the points with the Steelers. |
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10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers +1 | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
Big news in San Francisco and potential shift in power is the acquisition of RB Christian McCaffrey from Carolina. McCaffrey returns home to the bay area where he went to college at Stanford. The Panthers in return received a host of draft picks. The 49ers lost last week at Atlanta, 14-28, after being tied 14-14 at one point. The Niners had just 50-yards rushing so the addition of McCaffrey should do wonders for the running game that has been very good overall on the year. The 49ers have the 18th ranked offense and the 11th ranked rushing offense. It's the defense that has been outstanding, ranked 1st overall in the NFL, 2nd in rushing and 2nd in passing. The Chiefs lost the rematch last week with Buffalo, 20-24 as a 2.5-point dog. That makes them 4-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. The KC offense is ranked 6th overall, 20th in rushing and 4th in passing. The defense ranks 20th overall, 4th vs the rush and 27th vs the pass. The 49ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games and 6-0 ATS in their last six overall home games. The Chiefs had issues with the Bills defense last week and they will again here with the NFL's best defense. Play San Francisco. |
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10-23-22 | Jets v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 16-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
The honeymoon looks over in Denver as QB Russell Wilson has yet to deliver as the savior to this Broncos team. Wilson came over from Seattle signing the big free contract and the Broncos have scored more than 20 points just one time this season. They are coming off another loss last week at the Chargers, 16-19. The offense has had lots of trouble getting int the end zone. The defense has been very good, ranked 3rd in the NFL. It's the 22nd ranked offense that has fans cringing. The Broncos are 2-4 and in third place in the AFC West. They have also gone under in five of their six games this year. The Jets look to win their fourth straight game here this week. They are coming off that improbable win at Green Bay last week, 27-10. They held Aaron Rodgers and that excellent Packers offense to just 278 total yards. The Jets are in 2nd place in the AFC East, just one game back of the Bills. The Jets offense ranks 17th overall and the defense is 9th overall. Two very good defensive teams here today with the Broncos struggling on offense. I'll take the UNDER in this game. |
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10-23-22 | Lions +7 v. Cowboys | 6-24 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions had a very good offense through four games of the season. Then two weeks ago they got shut out at New England, 0-29. They had a season low in both rushing and passing. The Lions had last week off to stew over the loss and get healthy. In fact, even with that shutout the offense ranks 2nd in the NFL with a balanced attack. Their rush game is 8th and pass 7th. The defense is the problem, ranking dead last in the NFL, last in rushing and 26th in passing. Good news for the Dallas Cowboys is that QB Dak Prescott looks to return this week. His stand-in, Cooper Rush, did a great job leading the team to 4-1 record in Prescott's absence. The offense still ranked just 27th overall. The defense has been very good, ranked 8th in the NFL and 4th vs the pass. The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS their last 11 games vs a team with a losing record and 16-5 ATS their last 21 games vs the NFC. Lions getting right at a TD here on Sunday. That's a lot of points with the 2nd ranked offense in the NFL. I'll take the points. Play Detroit. |
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10-23-22 | Giants +3.5 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
The NY Giants won their third game in a row after last week's win over Baltimore, 24-20, as a 5.5-point dog. The Giants have also gone 5-1 ATS on the season. The Jacksonville Jaguars lost at Indianapolis last week, 27-34, as a 1.5-point dog. That makes three straight losses since their big win at the Chargers Sept 25, 38-10. The Giants offense is ranked 17th overall while Jacksonville is 11th overall. The Giants defense is 15th while Jacksonville is 11th. The Giants are now 19-7 ATS their last 26 games on grass and 18-8-1 ATS their last 27 vs a team with a losing record. The Jags are just 4-9 ATS their last 13 at home and 3-11 ATS their last 14 games overall. I like the way the Giants have been playing and the Jags, while improved, still have a ways to go. Take the Giants. |
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10-23-22 | Falcons +6.5 v. Bengals | 17-35 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Who's the only team in the NFL with a perfect spread record this year? If you guessed Atlanta you guessed right. The Falcons are 6-0 vs the spread this year and one of the surprise teams after beating San Francisco last week at home, 28-14. The Falcons rushing game has been great this year, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL. They have 151 or more yards rushing in all but one game this year. They had 168 yards on the ground against a the NFL's top rated defense in San Francisco last week. The Falcons defense is another story, ranked 27th overall in the NFL and 31 st vs the pass. Good thing the rushing game is so good, they can play keep away and not have their defense on the field as much. Cincinnati came from behind last week to win on the road at New Orleans, 30-26, just covering the field goal line. That was the fourth straight cover the for Bengals. The Bengals offense isn't as prolific this year, ranked just 20th overall, though the passing game behind Joe Burrows is ranked 8th. This looks to be an interesting matchup here on Sunday. But for me, I like this Atlanta rushing game and will take the Falcons plus the points. Take Atlanta |
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10-23-22 | Colts +2.5 v. Titans | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are 3-2-1 on the season and just percentage points behind the Tennessee Titans for the lead in the AFC South Division. That makes this game today extra special as the winner will take over sole possession of first place. The Colts have won two straight games after last weeks win over over the Jaguars, 34-27, as a 1.5 point dog. The Colts had a season high in passing yards with 389 and a season low in rushing yards with 45. The reason has been the loss of one of the best running backs in the NFL in Jonathon Taylor who has been nursing ankle injury. The good news is that Taylor is expected back this week. Meanwhile, the Titans had the week off last week after beating Washington the week before, 21-17. The Titans lost their first two games of the season but have since won three straight. The offense has yet to score more than 24 points and ranks 31st overall in the NFL even with Derick Henry rushing. The Colts offense ranks 14th overall in the NFL and 5th passing. The Colts defense is 10th overall with the Titans at 28th overall, 5th vs the rush. The Colts have covered 12 of their last 17 road games and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs a team with a winning record. The Colts have also covered seven of the last 10 meetings in Tennessee and the road team is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings. I'm taking the Colts here with Taylor returning to the rushing game. |
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10-17-22 | Broncos +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The honeymoon of Russell Wilson in Denver looks to be over as the fans must be wondering what they got for all their money as QB Geno Smith was the highest rated passer in the NFL, taking the place of Wilson. The Broncos lost for the 2nd consecutive game last week to the Colts, 9-12. They could manage just three field goals in the loss. They have scored more than 20 points just once this season and that was 23 against the Raiders in a loss. However, their defense has been great, ranking 3rd overall in the NFL an 1st in the NFL vs the pass. The offense ranks 18th overall. The Chargers have won two straight games since their loss at home to the Jaguars back on Sept 25th. They beat the Browns last week in Cleveland, 30-28 as a 1.5-point favorite. The offense ranks 5th overall in the NFL with their passing game coming in at 2nd. Should be a good matchup of the Denver passing defense against the Chargers passing offense. Denver has covered four of the last six in this series. The Broncos have had 11 days to get ready for this game. Plus all the criticism of Wilson's play might actually motivate him here tonight to play well. This is a AFC West clash and division games are usually played quite tight. I don't believe the Chargers should be this big a favorite against a very good Broncos defense. I'll take a shot with Wilson and the underdog Broncos tonight. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys +6.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
NFC East showdown here between the 5-0 Philadelphia Eagles and the 4-1 Dallas Cowboys. No one really expected much from the Cowboys when they lost QB Dak Prescot early on this year. However, Cooper Rush has come in and led the team to four wins. Who would have thought that one of the worst, if not the worst division in football in recent years would be the best this year with a pair of 4-1 teams and the 5-0 Eagles. With Rush at QB, the Cowboys are 7th ranked on offense while the Eagles are 4th ranked. Philly has the 2nd ranked defense in the league while Dallas comes in at 27th. Dallas beat the Rams last week 22-10, holding their second straight opponent to just 10 points. They held the Rams to just 38 rushing yards last week. Philly just got by the Arizona Cardinals last week, 20-17 as a 5.5-point favorite. Dallas has now covered 10 of their last 11 road games. They are also 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs the NFC and 22-7 ATS their last 29 vs the NFC East. The Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 trips to Philly and 7-2 ATS their last nine overall vs the Eagles. I'm going to take the points with the Cowboys here tonight. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. The Bills are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight vs a winning team and 0-5 ATS in their last five games on grass. The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS their last 10 vs a winning team and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. The Chiefs have covered six of the last eight in this series and getting a field goal here is what I'm going to side with. Take the home dog Chiefs in this one. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. Buffalo is now 10-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 14 games on grass and 4-1 Ov/Un in their last five games overall. KC is 8-2 Ov/Un in their last 10 games on grass, 10-3 Ov/Un in their last 13 games overall and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the AFC. These two teams have gone over in five of the last six meetings in Kansas City. I'll be on the OVER today. |
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10-16-22 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 50.5 | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
Reason: Arizona looking to rebound from their close loss at home over Philadelphia last week, 17-20. The Cardinals are 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Arizona's offense ranks 14th overall with the defense coming in at 18th. Seattle lost a shootout last week at New Orleans, 32-39. The Seahawks are 2-3 S/U and ATS this season and have gone over in three straight games. The Seattle offense ranks 8th overall and the defense is dead last at 32nd. The Hawks allow the most rushing yards in the NFL this year at 170 per game. The Hawks will have issues containing the Cardinals scrambling QB and that should open up the passing game. Geno Smith has this Seattle offense 11th in passing and he should keep them in the game here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-16-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Browns | 38-15 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
 The Patriots in that unusual position of last in the AFC East with a 2-3 record. The Patriots did snap a two game losing streak last week with a shut-out win over Detroit, 29-0, as a 3-poin favorite. New England ranks 17th overall on offense and 16th on defense. The Browns are in 2nd place in the AFC North with a 2-3 record, one game back of Baltimore. Cleveland has the 19th ranked defense and the 4th ranked offense. That offensive united has the NFL's top ranked rushing attack at 192 yards per game. These teams have met just twice in the last five years with the Patriots winning both and covering both games. The Pats are 29-10 ATS their last 39 games vs a losing team. They are also 19-9-1 ATS their last 29 games on grass. The Browns are just 2-5 ATS their last seven games and 2-6 ATS their last eight home games. The Pats are a small road dog here and I expect them to be in this game and get the straight-up win today. Play New England. |
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10-16-22 | Bengals v. Saints +3 | 30-26 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals came up short last week at Baltimore, 17-19, though they did cover the 3-point dog spread. The Bengals saw their two-game win streak snapped as they fell to 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Bengals offense ranks 22nd overall, but 25th rushing. The defense is 13th overall, 7th vs the rush. The Saints beat the Seahawks last week, 39-32, covering the 5.5-point favorite line. The win snapped a three game losing streak to make them 2-3 S/U and ATS overall. The offense had their best output of the year with 438 total yards and 235 rushing yards. The Saints defense ranks 16th overall while the offense is 7th overall. The dog has covered four of the last five in this series and the Saints are a small home dog here today. QB Jameis Winston will miss another game here today with a back injury but ageless Andy Dalton will be behind center. Bengals not exactly looking like the team of last year and with that a small dog at home with the Saints looks good to me. Play New Orleans. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders finally got Josh McDaniels his first win last week at home over the Denver Broncos, 32-23. The Raiders had 212 yards on the ground and another 173 yards through the air while holding Denver to 299 total yards. Kansas City went to Tampa Bay last week and led the entire way to a 41-31 win. The Chiefs are now 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They held Tampa Bay to just three rushing yards, though Tom Brady did get 373 yards through the air. The Raiders defense ranks 22nd overall, 10th vs the rush. The Chiefs are 13th overall and top against the rush allowing just 66 yards per game average. The Chiefs are 5th on offense with the Raiders coming in at 13th. For some strange reason, the Chiefs are only 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a losing record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last seven vs the AFC. The Raiders have been in every game this year, losing by five to the Chargers, six to the Cardinals and two to Tennessee. Tonight they get at least seven points and the way this offense has played I'll take the points here with the visitor. Play Las Vegas Raiders. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Bengals have had a rough start to the season but they play in the AFC North and right now are tied with the Browns and Ravens for first place at 2-2. The Bengals started the season 0-2, losing to Pittsburgh and then to Dallas. They have rebounded though with wins at the Jets, 27-12, and last week beating Miami, 27-15. The Bengals defense has been very good, ranked 11th overall in the NFL and 4th vs the rush, allowing just 86 yards per game. The offense improving to 16th overall and 8th in passing behind Jeff Burrows. Baltimore has the 2nd most points scored in the AFC with 119, though they rank just 12th overall in yardage. Baltimore jumped out to a lead last week at home over Buffalo, but couldn't hold on as the Bills won late, 23-20. The Ravens offense was held to just 296 yards by the league's top ranked defense. It's the Ravens defense that will have to improve. They are ranked 30th in the NFL and dead last vs the pass. Now they have to face a very good Burrows and the Bengals passing attack. Cincinnati has won and covered both games last year, 41-21 at home and 41-17 at Baltimore. The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 AFC games, 6-1 ATS their last seven road games and 10-2 ATS their last 12 overall games. The Bengals have covered four of the last five in this series and the road team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings. I don't see Baltimore stopping Burrows and the Bengals offense here today. I'll take Cincinnati. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
 The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. The Cowboys are 1-5-1 O/U in their last seven road games. They are also 3-12-1 O/U in their last 16 overall games. The Rams have gone under in five of their last six games and are 5-15-1 O/U their last 21 games in October and 7-19 O/U their last 26 home games. I'll be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. Dallas has covered their last five road games and are 16-5 ATS their last 21 vs the NFC. The Rams are 1-5 ATS their last six games. The Rams still don't look like the team that won the Super Bowl last season while the Cowboys keep winning. I'll take the road dog in this one. Play Cowboys. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers v. Panthers UNDER 39.5 | 37-15 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
San Francisco is 2-2 but tied with all the rest of the NFC West for 1st place. The 49ers won't turn any heads with their offense, but their defense is top notch. They have allowed just 46 points this year, tops in the division and best in the NFC. They are also the the only team in the division with a plus points differential at +25. The Giants held the highly vaulted Rams offense to just three field goals last week in their win on Monday night, 24-9. The Rams could muster just 257 total yards and 57 on the ground. They also had a +2 turnover ration. The defense is tied for the top spot in the NFL with Buffalo as both teams allow just 235 yards per game. The 49ers have the 2nd ranked rush defense and the 2nd ranked pass defense. Meanwhile Carolina is coming off a home loss last week to Arizona, 16-26. The Panthers have gone under in three straight weeks, thanks to an offense that has 275, 293 and 220 yards in each of those weeks. Not surprising the offense ranks last in the NFL with 262 yards per game. That doesn't bode well this week against this stingy 49ers defense. The 49ers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 overall games, 10 of their last 11 games on grass and their last six vs the NFC. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven overall games and five of their last six vs the NFC. Looks to be a low scoring game here today with the Panthers struggling to find points in this one. Play the UNDER. |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 17-40 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Miami will be without QB Tua Tagovailoa this week as he will be out with a concussion. Up next with Tua out will be veteran QB Teddy Bridgewater. Tua has bad an excellent season with a 109.9 QB rating this season. Bridgewater took over after Tua had to leave the Bengals contest. Bridgewater finished 14-of-25 for 193 yards and a TD and one INT. Bridgewater played last season for the Broncos. Bridgewater is alwo been amazing on the road, posting a 24-6 record in his last 30 away games. The Dolphins would have been around a 6-7 point favorite in this game, but we have seen the number adjusted to 3 1/2 when Tua was ruled out. For me, that's a way over adjustment here on Sunday and I'm making a big play on the Dolphins in this game. Your free play is on the Dolphins. |
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10-09-22 | Seahawks v. Saints OVER 44.5 | 32-39 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
 Not many gave the Seahawks much of a chance after Russell Wilson left the team for Denver. However, they are 2-2 and in a four way tie for first place in the NFC West. The Seahawks offense erupted last week for a season high points in their win over the Detroit Lions, 48-45. The offense had 555 yards, 235 on the ground and 320 through the air. That makes two straight over plays for the Hawks after a 50-point combined effort the week before vs the Falcons. Today, they travel to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints QB Jameis Winston is currently doubtful with a back injury. However, they do have RB Alvin Kamara back in the lineup with a rib injury. Ageless Andy Dalton looks to be at QB for the Saints on Sunday. The Saints lost a close game at home last week to the Vikings, 25-28. The Saints defense has been good, ranked 12th overall, but 20th vs the rush. Seattle's defense ranks second to last in the NFL at 31st, 29th both vs the rush and pass. The Seahawks have gone over in five of their last seven games. The Saints are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games in October. With the poor Hawks defense and the Saints with Kamara back, I look for plenty of points on the board today. Play the OVER. |
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10-09-22 | Falcons +11 v. Bucs | 15-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
The NFC South is wide open with Tampa Bay and Atlanta both at 2-2 and the Panthers and Saints at 1-3. The winner here today takes over sole position in first place in the division. The Falcons have surprised many as they lead the division in points (103) with the Bucs in 2nd (82). The Falcons offense ranks just 15th, but their rushing attack is 4th. That took a hit last week when Cordell Patterson went down with an injury. He will be out this week, however, two solid rookies picked-up the slack last week and should both see lots of time today. The Falcons beat Cleveland last week, 23-20. They rushed for 202 yards, most of those with their rookie backs. Tampa Bay might be tied for first but they haven't clicked this year. QB Tom Brady has not looked all that good and the offense is ranked 25th after four weeks. The rushing game is just 31st while the passing game is 9th. The best part of the team has been the defense, which ranks 8th in the league. They are 12th rushing and 14th passing. The Falcons have now covered their last four games and are 43-20 ATS their last 63 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing the previous game. Don't expect the Bucs anemic rushing attack to do what the Browns did last week to the Falcons. The Falcons get double digits here today and for me that's too much to give to a team that has been playing very well. The Bucs have lost two straight games and while they likely won't lose today, I look for the Falcons to sneak in under the spread. Take Atlanta. |
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10-09-22 | Chargers v. Browns +2 | 30-28 | Push | 0 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers rebounded from their horrendous home loss to the Jaguars two weeks ago with a win last week at Houston, 34-24. That makes them 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The offense has been very good, despite playing without a key WR in Keenan Allen. Allen missed his second game last week and will be out again this week. The offense ranks 7th overall in the league and 1st in passing. The Browns are 4th in offense because they have the 2nd ranked rushing attack in the league. The Browns lost last week at Atlanta, 20-23. They have rushed for at least 171 yards in each of their first four games this season. The Browns are 2-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Browns 9th ranked defense will be tasked with controlling Justin Hebert and the Chargers offense. The Browns have covered six of the last eight in this series. The dog has also covered seven of the last eight in the series. It's going to be the ball control rushing of the Browns against the pass attack of Hebert and the Chargers. Whoever wins the turnover battle likely wins this game. I'll take the Browns at home with their great rushing attack to keep the ball out of the Chargers hands. Play Cleveland. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts dropped to 1-2-1 after losing last week to the Titans, 17-24 as a 4-point home favorite. That coming after that big win over the Chiefs the week before. All four games for the Colts have gone under this year. The Colts offense ranks 19th overall in the NFL, 27th rushing. The defense has been better, ranked 6th in the NFL. Despite losing last week, the Colts won the stat sheet, holding Tennessee to just 243 yards. The issue were the three turnovers the Colts had in the contest. The Denver Broncos dropped to 2-2 after losing at the LV Raiders last week, 23-32. The Broncos defense, which was ranked 3rd over, was torched for 32 points. Actually six of those coming on a turnover returned for a TD. The defense gave up 212 yards on the ground after not allowing 100 yards in the first three games. The teams have meet twice in the last five years with both games going UNDER. The Colts have been a very good under team of late, going under in nine straight games. They are also 0-8 U/U in their last eight vs the AFC. The Broncos are 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games and 2-6 O/U in their last eight home games. Two very good defenses here and I'm looking for an UNDER. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers -1.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team with a losing record. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs the NFC. The 49ers have covered the last five vs the Rams and are 5-2 ATS their last seven vs the Rams in San Francisco. I'm going to take the 49ers and their very good defense here today. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. All three of their games have gone under thanks to their 2nd ranked defense. The Niners have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games and four of their last five home games. These teams have gone under in seven of the last nine meetings in San Francisco and four of the last five overall. With the Rams offense not firing on all cylinders, I will be the UNDER. |
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10-02-22 | Patriots v. Packers UNDER 40 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots just 1-2 and tied for last in the AFC East with the Jets. The Patriots were beat at home last week by the Baltimore Ravens, 26-37. They had more yards than the Ravens (447-394), more plays (60-55) and more first downs (22-19), but it was turnovers that hurt as the offense had four last week. The Patriots offense isn't bad though, ranked 10th in the NFL. The Defense comes in at 12th. The Green Bay Packers opened the season with a loss, but have since won two straight games to tie the Vikings for the lead in the NFC North. Green Bay held off Tampa Bay last week to win on the road, 14-12 as a 1-point dog. It was a defensive battle as the Packers got 315 yards to the Bucs 285. You have to go back to 2018 for the last time these teams have met, and that went to the Pats, 31-17. The Patriots have now gone under in 24 of their last 31 games on grass. They are also 2-6 O/U in their last eight road games. Green Bay has gone under in four straight and are 0-8 O/U in their last eight October games. With four of the last five going under in this series, I think I will be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 45.5 | 23-32 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. I look for another low scoring game with these two anemic offenses going today. Take the UNDER. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. But for me, I think I'd rather be on the side getting points. Take Denver. |
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10-02-22 | Washington Commanders v. Cowboys -158 | 10-25 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys are 2-1 and just one game back of NFC East leader Philadelphia. Despite losing QB Dak Prescott, the Cowboys have looked good with QB Rush leading the team. He's been efficient and done enough to win with his RB duo of Ezekiel Elliot and Pollard. After that opening week loss at home to Tampa Bay, 3-19, they have beaten Cincinnati, 20-17, and last week beat the Giants on Monday Night, 23-16. The offense wont set anyone on fire as they rank just 23rd, but they have been efficient. The defense has been good though, ranked 9th overall. The Washington Commander brought in QB Wentz to hopefully energize the offense this year. They opened with a win over Jacksonville, 28-22 and then lost to Detroit, 27-36 and last week managed just eight points in their loss at home to Philly, 8-24. After a couple of 300+ passing games, the offense fell flat last week with just 153 yards through the air and 87 on the ground. Now they have to play at Dallas against a very good defensive unit. The Washington defense only ranks 27th in the NFL with the offense coming in at 19th. Dallas has won and covered the last two games in 2021 and covered five of the last last seven vs Washington. Dallas has covered their last six games against a losing team. They are also 12-3 ATS teir last 15 vs the NFC and 21-7 ATS their last 28 vs the NFC East. The favorite has covered five of the last seven in this series and I look for the Cowboys to do just that again on Sunday. |
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10-02-22 | Chargers v. Texans +6 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. |
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10-02-22 | Bills v. Ravens +3.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 and can move into a tie with the Miami Dolphins for 1st place in the AFC East with a win today. They will take on the 2-1 Baltimore Ravens who are tied with the Cleveland Browns for first in the AFC North. After that horrendous collapse in week 1 vs the Dolphins, the Ravens have bounced back with a pair of wins. Last week they won on the road at New England, 37-26, as a 2.5-point favorite. They were out-gained by the pats, 394-447, had five fewer offensive plays and three fewer first downs. The offense has been very good, ranked 4th overall in the NFL. It's their last place defense that has been the problem. Now they face Josh Allen and the Bills offense that is ranked 2nd in the NFL. The Bills also have the NFL's top ranked defense. The Bills are only 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs a winning home team. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 vs a winning team. Ravens have covered four of the last five vs the Bills and the home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. I'll take the Ravens plus the points here on Sunday. |
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10-02-22 | Browns v. Falcons +1 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
The LA Chargers off to a slow start at just 1-2. After beating the Raiders at home to start the season, the Chargers have found it rough the last two weeks. Injuries have played a part though. They lost their star WR Keenan Allen in game two with a hamstring and he could return this week but likely will miss another week. QB Justin Herbert has been playing hurt the last two weeks and it's showed. The Chargers were trounced at home last week by Jacksonville, 10-38. The Jags had 413 yards to just 312 by LA. The Jags also had 18 more plays and nine more first downs as they grinded out 151 yards on the ground. Houston is 0-2-1 S/U to start the season, but they have been competitive. They tied the Colts to start the season, then lost at Denver by seven points and last week lost at Chicago by just three points. They are 2-0-1 vs the number. The Houston offense is just 29th overall and the defense is 29th. The Chargers are 19th on defense and 12th on offense. Houston is 5-0 ATS their last five games vs the AFC. With the Chargers still dealing with some injuries they will continue to struggle here this week in Houston. Take the Texans. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins v. Bengals UNDER 48 | Top | 15-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
Miami Dolphins bring a 3-0 record into this Thursday matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins had little issues with the Patriots (20-7) and then had the huge fourth quarter comeback against the Ravens, 42-38. Last week they just got by the Buffalo Bills, 21-19, covering all three games and going under in two of the three games. The Bengals didn't look like the team of last year to start this season, with back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys. Then last week they finally broke through with a win over the Jets, 27-12. The defense had four turnovers compared to just one offensive turnover. The Dolphins have been a good under play on Thursday night, going 2-10-1 O/U their lasts 13 Thursday games. They are also 1-5 O/U their last six road games. The Bengals have now gone under in eight straight games. They are also 0-6 O/U in their last six vs the AFC. These two teams have gone under in their last five meetings in Cincinnati and 1-5-1 O/U their last seven overall. I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday. |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
After losing in week one to the Bucs and losing QB Dak Prescot, things looked bleak for the Cowboys heading into week two vs AFC Champion Cincinnati. However, a solid passing game by backup QB Rush and a defense that held the Bengals to just 89 rushing yards and 165 passing yards, resulted in a Dallas win, 20-17. Now the Cowboys hit the road for the first time as they head to New York to play the Giants in a divisional matchup. The Giants also had a 3-point win last week at home over the Carolina Panthers, 19-16. On paper the game was almost dead even with the Panthers having 275 yards and the Giants 265 yards. The difference were the two Carolina turnovers to none by the Giants. Dallas has covered the last two in this series and eight of the last 10 meetings. The Giants have the 21st ranked offense and the Cowboys have the 25th ranked offense. Dallas has the 6th ranked defense to the Giants 12th ranked defense. The Cowboys have covered their last four road games and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs the NFC and 20-7 ATS vs the NFC East. The Giants are just 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall games. I'll take the Cowboys here on Monday night. |
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09-25-22 | Falcons +1 v. Seahawks | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 32 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks are both teams rebuilding after their star QB's left for other teams in the off-season. Falcons QB Matty Ryan fled to Indianapolis while Seattle QB Russel Wilson went to Denver. The Falcons opened the season with a close loss at home to the Saints, 26-27, though they did cover the spread. Then last week, another close game at home to the LA Rams, but another loss 27-31, covering the 10-point line. Seattle beat Wilson and the Broncos in week 1, 17-16. However, they were beat pretty handily last week in San Francisco, 7-27, by the 49ers. The rushing game has been horrible, with 76 yards in game one and 36 yards last week. Not surprising the Seahawks offense is ranked 31st in the NFL with the rushing attack ranked last. The Falcons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games. Seattle is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs the NFC. The Falcons have covered four of the last five in this series and that's what I'm looking for here on Sunday. I'll take the Falcons. |
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09-25-22 | Packers v. Bucs UNDER 42 | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 31 m | Show | |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Packers have gone UNDER in nine of their last 12 games on grass. Tampa has also gone under on grass with a 3-8 O/U record their last 11. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. With the Bucs defense playing very well and Brady still not looking like his old self, I'll take this game to go UNDER. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Bucs have won and covered two of the last three in this series. Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs a winning team and 20-8 ATS their last 28 on the grass. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. I'll take the points with Green Bay. |
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09-25-22 | Texans +3 v. Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears looked bad last week as they traveled to Green Bay and took the loss to the Packers, 10-27. The Bears managed just 228 total yards with 48 passing yards by Justin Fields. The Packers had 63 offensive plays to just just 38 by the Bears. Houston also came up short, though they gave the Broncos all they could handle last week in a 9-16 loss. All the Texas could manage were three filed goals as they totaled just 234 yards. The Broncos didn't exactly light the stat sheet with 16 points and 350 total yards. The Bears are dead last in the NFL in total offense, though 8th vs the rush and last in passing. The Texans aren't much better at 29th. These teams have met only once in the last five years and that was in 2020 when the Bears won 36-7 as a 1-point dog. The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall games. They are also 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 15 points or fewer in their previous game. The Bears are now just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Don't expect a lot of points in this contest and as such I'll take the Texans plus the points. |
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09-25-22 | Lions v. Vikings OVER 51.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions have showed a lot of offense the last two week with Jared Goff at QB. The Lions beat the Washington Commanders last week at home, 36-27, going over the posted 48-point line. The Lions scored 35 points in week one loss at home to Philly, 35-38. The Lions offense is ranked 4th overall in the NFL with the rushing game averaging a league's 3rd best 186 yards per game. As for the Minnesota Vikings, they opened the season with a nice home win over the Green Bay Packers, 23-7. However, they came up very short last week at Philly, 7-24. The offense had just 264 total yards and Kirk Cousins tossed three interceptions. The Lions defense has not performed well, ranking 30th in the NFL with 426 yards allowed per game. Three of the last four games in this series have gone over, including last year's 29-27 Detroit win. The Lions have now gone over in four straight games. They are also 8-2 O/U in their last 10 September games. The Vikings are 4-1 O/U in their last five home games and 6-2 O/U in their last eight games vs the NFC. I look for this Detroit offense to get their share of points and the Vikings to exploit the Detroit defense. Take the OVER. |
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09-25-22 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 41 | 14-22 | Win | 100 | 37 h 5 m | Show | |
The Saints piled-up the injuries and it showed in their loss to the Bucs last week. QB Jameis Winston was sacked and hit many times by the Tampa Bay defense and is probable this week though he has a back injury. RB Alvin Kamara is questionable with a rib injury this week after missing last week. QB Tyson Hill is also questionable with a rib injury. The Saints lost at home to Tampa Bay last week, 10-20. They had five turnovers in the game and were sacked six times though they did have more total yards than the Bucs, 308-260. That loss makes them 1-1 S/U and 0-2 vs the spread. The Panthers lost a close game at the NY Giants last week, 16-19 as a 1-point favorite. The stats were almost dead even, though the Panthers had two turnovers to none by the Giants. Carolina's defense is ranked 9th overall and third against the pass. The Saints have now gone under in seven of their last nine games. They are also 4-9 O/U in their last 13 vs the NFC South. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven vs the NFC South. With the Saints hurting on offense, I'm going to stick with this game to be low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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09-22-22 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 39 | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers came up just a bit short last week in their game at home against the Patriots losing 14-17 as a 3-point dog. The Steelers had just 243 total yards, 91 passing and 152 passing with two turnovers. The Pitt offense is now ranked 30th in the NFL with the rushing at 26th and passing at 28th. Cleveland has to be kicking itself after losing last week at home to the Jets, 30-31. Not only did they allow 14 points over the few minutes of the game, but they even gave up the on-side kick to the Jets. Both teams finished with just over 400 yards of offense, though the Jets had nine more plays. These teams are very familiar with each other. They have gone under in the last two meetings and five of the last seven meetings. The Steelers have been very good under team on the road, with 18-44-1 O/U record their last 63 games. The Browns have gone under in seven of their last 10 games on real grass. Both teams decent under plays in this situation. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday. |
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09-19-22 | Vikings +2 v. Eagles | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
The Vikings had little issues in their week 1 game at home with a win over the Packers, 23-7. The total yards was actually close with the Vikings having the edge, 395-338. It was the two turnover that really hurt the Packers last week. The Vikings offense ranks 8th overall in the NFL. The Eagles are ranked 3rd in the offense, but 14th in passing. Minnesota also holds a slight defensive edge, ranking 14th overall while the Eagles come in at 22nd. The Vikings have won the last two in this series, including their last meeting in 2019 in Minnesota, 38-20. The dog has also done well of late in this series, going 5-1 ATS in the last meetings. This should be an excellent matchup on Sunday. I will take the couple of points with the Vikings here on Monday night. |
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09-19-22 | Titans +11 v. Bills | 7-41 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The last few years has seen that no team starting 0-2 has made the playoffs. The Titans blew a 13-point lead last week and ultimately fell to the Giants. Now they face the real possibility of starting the season 0-2 as they have to go to play at Buffalo. Derrick Henry should get a full dose of play tonight and if the Titans are smart they would run him as much as possible to keep the ball out of Buffalo QB Josh Allen's hands. Good news for Tennessee is that have have done well vs the Bills of late, averaging 27.7 ppg in the last three meetings. Ryan Tannehill threw for 266 yards last week, but I'm sure he'd rather see the 93 yards rushing figure go up considerably. The Bills are coming off their road win over Super Bowl Champion LA Rams. The Bills looked very good in the win, or maybe the Rams just looked very rusty. Still, 10-points are a lot for any NFL team to get, especially a team that doesn't want to start the season 0-2. Tennessee has the talent to keep this game inside the spread and give Buffalo some challenges. I'll take the points here today. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 42 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 15 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears played in what was a swamp last week with the rain pounding down for the entire game. They pulled out the win over the SF 49ers, 19-10. The Bears managed just 204 yards in the downpour with the 49ers bringing in 331 yards. Meanwhile Green Bay were manhandled last week in Minnesota, 7-23. The Packers had just 338 total yards and a pair of turnovers in the loss. QB Aaron Rodgers definitely missed his one time top target in WR Davante Adams. Adams had a stellar debut for the Raiders with 140 yard receiving and a touchdown. It will be a tall order for Rodgers to replace those lost yards. Green Bay has covered six straight in this series, but have to wonder without Adams if that will change now. For me, I'm looking at the UNDER here today. The advance weather is showing some issues with the weather and thunderstorms. Add to the wet field two teams that had offensive issue last week and this looks like an an under to me. |
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09-18-22 | Texans v. Broncos OVER 45 | 9-16 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
 The Houston Texans started their season with a tie at home last week against the Colts. Considering the Colts had 13 more first downs and 218 more yards than the Texans, maybe they were fortunate to get the draw. The Texans had just 299 yards to 517 by the Colts. Denver's debut of new QB Russell Wilson didn't go quite as planned as they fell to the Seahawks 16-17. The Broncos tried a 64-yard field goal late but came up short. Many criticized Nathaniel Hackett for not going for it on 4th down with their expensive QB who has been able to do much more with both his legs and arm. Instead he opted for a field goal that had a 8% chance historically of being made. Houston's defense is last in the NFL after that performance last week. Something that Wilson and the Broncos should be able to take advantage of this week with the 4th ranked offense. These teams last met in 2019 with the Broncos winning at Houston, 38-24. The Texans have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The Broncos have gone under in nine of their last 12 games. I like this one to stay under here on Sunday. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
 The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Patriots have covered just one of their last five games and are 0-4 ATS in their last four away games. I'm a bit surprised the Steelers are a home dog here today. They are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home dog. I'll take the points and look for a Pittsburgh win. |
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09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay took advantage of a sluggish Dallas Cowboys offense last week and eventually forced Dallas QB Dak Prescott from the game with an injury to pull out the win, 19-3. It wasn't much of a exciting game as the Bucs had just 347 total yards and the Cowboys had 244 yards with just one touchdown scored between the teams. Dallas managed just 71 yards (3.9 rypa). Each team had 60 total plays with the Bucs holding a slight first down advantage of 18-13. Meanwhile, the Saints pulled off the road win at Atlanta, 27-26, but failed to cover the 5.5-point favorite spread. The Saints had 385 total yards to the Falcons 416 yards but won the turnover battle 2-1. The Saints have done well vs the NFC South, going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games. They are also 35-17 in their last 52 games when installed as the dog. Bucs QB Tom Brady didn't look all that sharp but that was expected in his first action of the season. Still, I like the Saints on their home turf here Sunday plus the small points. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 39 h 11 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Pats are 2-5 O/U in their last seven games as a road favorite. They are also 4-10 O/U in their last 14 overall road games. The Steelers are 0-4 O/U in their last four home games and 3-9 O/U in their last 12 games as a home dog. I'll be on the UNDER. |
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09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Chargers spent a lot of money in the offseason to bolster their defense, with Khalil Mack now anchoring the other side of the defensive line with Joey Bosa. And they sure showed their worth last week vs Las Vegas, sacking Carr six times and getting three turnovers. They also held Vegas to just 64 rushing yards. The offense did suffer one blow when WR Keenan Allen was lost with a hamstring issue. Kansas City looked just as good as every in their win at Arizona last week, 44-21. The defense was very good, holding the Cardinals to just 282 total yards. This looks to be a great matchup tonight with the new Chargers defense against the mighty Chiefs offense. I'm going to take the points with the Chargers as I look for them to stay close and maybe pull out the straight-up win. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks UNDER 44.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 118 h 17 m | Show | |
It didn't take long, in fact week 1 for the Seahawks old QB in Russel Wilson to return home in his first game for his new team, the Denver Broncos. This could be one of the most anticipated games of the start of the season as Wilson returns to Seattle after 10 seasons as the Seahawks QB. Wilson has already elevated Denver to a Super Bowl contender while Seattle appears headed in the opposite direction. With Geno Smith now at QB, this team is in a serious rebuilding mode. Drew Lock is the other QB in Seattle and he spent a lot of time in Denver, most unproductive. The Broncos are already 13-5 in their last 18 vs the Seahawks and that looks to only improve this year. Don't expect many points out of this Seattle team as they look for an identity after the loss of Wilson. I'll take under and hope Denver doesn't run the score up too much. Play UNDER. |
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