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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-04-18 | Hornets v. Raptors -8 | 98-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto failed to post at least 111 points for the first time in eight games on Friday but still pulled out the win with a 102-95 triumph at the Washington Wizards. The Raptors will play their next three against sub-.500 teams and get the first two at home with the Atlanta Hawks coming to town on Tuesday. The Hornets were crawling up the standings with wins in five straight before getting blasted by the Boston Celtics 134-106 on Wednesday and falling off late in a 110-99 setback at Philadelphia on Friday. |
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03-03-18 | Thunder v. Blazers -4 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Portland will be gunning for its 5th straight win-and-cover effort against Oklahoma City. The Blazers have won 7 in a row against OKC at the Moda Center, and they were a sizzling 11-1 SU and 9-3 vs. the points in their last 12 home games prior to hosting the Timberwolves on Thursday. Blazer G Damian Lillard was on fire in February, scoring 31.4 ppg, while C.J. McCollum has scored 22 ppg in the last 5. OKC played in Phoenix last night, and the Thunder are just 14-22 vs. the number after a SU win |
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03-03-18 | Lakers +4.5 v. Spurs | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs have won eight of the past 10 against the Lakers but Los Angeles beat the Spurs on Jan. 11 in the two teams' first meeting of the season and has now won two straight against San Antonio. The Lakers have won 16 of their last 23 games and have already eclipsed their win total from all of last season. Los Angeles has captured three straight games on the road and may just make it four in a row against a less than 100 percent San Antonio team. Take the points. |
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03-03-18 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Cavs | 126-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland was 7-23 vs. the points at the “Q” this season prior to hosting Philly on Thursday, and that’s probably enough right there to favor Denver. The Nuggets won last night at Memphis, but Denver is 10-4-1 vs. the points in 2nd of back-to-back games on the road dating to last season. The Cavs are a perfect 4-0 SU and against the number on the road since making their moves at the deadline, but still can’t get it together at home (1-3 vs. the points) or on defense (allowed 114 ppg at home since trade) |
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03-02-18 | Hornets v. 76ers -3 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philly’s “Process” appears to be progressing swimmingly, as the Sixers are 17-8 SU since just after Christmas, and the team is courting LeBron James as the missing link to a title. Philadelphia played last night in Cleveland and the Sixers have a 2-7 spread mark when unrested this season, a record linked in part to resting C Joel Embiid in those games in first half of the season. Now Embiid has been playing without rest, and Philly is 19-9 vs. the points at the Wells Fargo Center. Hornets on uptick (5-1 SU L6; covered 4 of L5) as G Kemba Walker has been hot (55% L5; 25 ppg), but trust the process facing Hornet side that’s just 6-14 as a road dog. |
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02-28-18 | Rockets -8.5 v. Clippers | 105-92 | Win | 102 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Round Three of the Chris Paul reunion, though Paul has only played in one of the two previous Rockets-Clips meetings this season, both won by LA. In the game Paul played, James Harden didn’t, so with them both on the floor would have to like Houston’s chances to gain revenge, especially considering how Harden scored 51 in the Paul-less loss at Toyota Center back on Dec. 22. Rockets less likely to hit those flat spots down the stretch as they battle with Warriors for best record in West and home edge in playoffs, which could be a very big deal by the time we get to late spring. |
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02-25-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets +5 | 119-114 | Push | 0 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Houston Rockets are bridging the All-Star break with an 11-game winning streak but are about to begin the toughest part of the remaining schedule with 10 of the next 13 on the road. That stretch begins with a high-altitude back-to-back, starting with a visit to the surging Denver Nuggets today. The Rockets, who head to Utah on Monday and will play 12 of the next 13 games against teams with current winning records, are trying to hold off the defending champion Golden State Warriors for the top spot in the Western Conference. Houston didn't show any rust out of the break on Friday, when it enjoyed one of its few home games over the next month by breezing past the Minnesota Timberwolves 120-102. The Nuggets are tied for the second-longest winning streak in the West at four in a row and are trying to emerge out of a pack of teams tightly grouped from third through tenth in the standings. |
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02-25-18 | Pistons v. Hornets -4 | 98-114 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit is two games under .500 and sitting in the No. 9 spot in the East with 24 games remaining in the regular season, 15 of which will come on the road, and suffered a 110-98 home loss to the Boston Celtics coming out of the break on Friday. The Hornets are trying to play their way into the playoff race as well and used a three-game winning streak to pull within 2 1/2 games of the Pistons. Charlotte did not show any sluggishness coming out of the break and followed a 111-96 win over Brooklyn on Thursday with a 122-105 pasting of the Washington Wizards on Friday. |
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02-24-18 | Mavs v. Jazz -9 | 90-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utah Jazz will look to start a new winning streak when they host the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Utah won a season-best 11 straight games prior to the All-Star break but struggled offensively Friday when it dropped a 100-81 decision to the Portland Trail Blazers. Dallas is 7-22 on the road this season and figures to face long odds against the Jazz in a road back-to-back while Utah is playing consecutive home games on its back-to-back. |
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02-24-18 | Blazers -6.5 v. Suns | 106-104 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Portland Trail Blazers attempt to complete a four-game season sweep of Phoenix when they visit the sinking Suns today. Portland has scored an average of 118.7 points while winning this season's previous three meetings, and that includes a 124-76 romp over Phoenix in the season opener Oct. 18. All-Star point guard Damian Lillard has scored 25 or more points in each of his last seven games against the Suns and he tuned up with 24 in Friday's 100-81 road victory over the Utah Jazz. Phoenix suffered a 128-117 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday for its eighth straight setback and 16 in its past 18 games. The Suns clinched their fourth consecutive losing campaign with their latest loss and are tied with the Atlanta Hawks for the NBA's worst record. |
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02-24-18 | Magic v. 76ers -9 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia is enjoying its longest winning streak since a six-game run during the 2011-2012 season and is focused on moving up the standings in the Eastern Conference, with the third-place Cleveland Cavaliers only 2 1/2 games ahead entering play on Friday. The Magic are not in the playoff chase and are just trying to stay off the bottom of the East after a 120-113 home setback to the New York Knicks on Thursday dropped them 22 games under .500. The loss was the fourth straight for Orlando, which is 7-23 on the road and kicks off a stretch with seven of 10 away from home today. |
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02-23-18 | Cavs -5 v. Grizzlies | 112-89 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland has been ignited by trade, as newly acquired Gs Jordan Clarkson and Rodney Hood combined for 30 ppg and shot 57% off the bench after being acquired. Larry Nance Jr. pulled down 6.5 rpg as a reserve as well, and James looked like a newly-crowned King with 30 ppg, 9.5 rpg and 12.8 apg since the trade prior to facing Washington last night. The Cavs haven’t been great when unrested on the road this season (1-3 vs. points), but also-ran Memphis is coming off a long layoff (on the beach in the Bahamas?). Cleveland has been working to integrate its new parts and the clash last night will sharpen their game. |
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02-23-18 | Celtics -1.5 v. Pistons | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Visitor has won 7 of last 9 in this series SU, and Detroit has been in a point spread tailspin since Christmas. The Pistons are just 8-14 SU in 2018 and only 3-13-1 vs. the number since mid-January. Boston struggled into the break, losing its 4 of its last 5 SU, but the losses were against revitalized Cleveland, Toronto, the Clippers and Indiana. Detroit traded its most explosive weapon against Boston (Tobias Harris, 25 ppg vs. Celtics TY), and the shine is off the Blake Griffin apple a bit. Pistons covered just 1 of Griffin’s first 8 games with the club |
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02-13-18 | Kings +6.5 v. Mavs | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The off season can’t come soon enough for either of these teams, especially Dallas, as Mark Cuban’s “creative tanking” should net Mavericks a high draft pick and a chance to re-make the roster when properly cleared of excess salary. Until then, Mavericks might be hard to watch, especially with Harrison Barnes still nursing a bad ankle, and Dallas having lost 9 of last 11 SU into Golden State on Feb. 8. Kings already won once as a dog at Big D way back on Oct. 20, when now-departed George Hill led Kings with 21 points. Arrival of Iman Shumpert from Cavs at deadline (part of the Hill deal) at least prevents a net-loss for Sacramento, whose recent form hasn’t been too bad (4-3 SU last seven, 5-2 vs. line last eight, both thru Feb. 8). Dave Joerger still using a heavy-rookie starting lineup, but vets like Zach Randolph and Kosta Koufos remain to do heavy lifting for Sacramento |
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02-13-18 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | 92-97 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bucks have caught a bit of an updraft since the return of Jabari Parker and won 7 of 8 SU into last Friday vs. Heat, albeit vs. a mostly-forgiving schedule. That latter dynamic, however, remains in place for visit of lowly Hawks, who while not an automatic go-against on the road (where indeed they have a winning spread mark) have still won only 5 of their first 26 SU away from Philips Arena thru Feb. 7. And not even home court could help Atlanta in first meeting back on Oct. 29, when the Greek Freak and Khris Middleton combined for 60 points in 117-106 Milwaukee cruise. |
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02-13-18 | Heat v. Raptors -7.5 | 112-115 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto was comfy enough with its current composition to stand pat at the deadline, which fellow East contenders Cleveland and Boston did not; we’ll see if the Raptors come to regret their relative inactivity. Meanwhile, Dwyane Wade has made a feel-good return to Miami with hopes of rekindling past glories, and his form in Cleveland has been good enough to suggest he can help the Heat. No matter, Toronto will be on alert after getting dumped by underdog Miami in Heat’s last visit to Air Canada Centre on Jan. 9, when Raps (minus Kyle Lowry that night) hit barely 38% from floor in bitter 1-point loss. Expect them to do a bit better in rematch, especially considering recent form that including three thumping wins and covers in a row on recent home stand into Feb. 8 game vs. Knicks |
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02-11-18 | Jazz +3 v. Blazers | 115-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Utah has won its last 6 on the road SU and covered 8 of its last 11 as a visitor, including recent SU wins at Toronto and San Antonio. That being said, the Jazz haven’t had much success at the Moda Center, losing 7 of their last 8 in Portland SU, dropping the last 4 against the number. However, this is the first meeting in Portland this season, and the Trail Blazers haven’t been nearly as good at home as they had in recent years, logging a 7-13-1 spread mark as host prior to facing Charlotte on Thursday. Jazz Gs Ricky Rubio and Donovan Mitchell combined for 58 pts. in Jazz OT win back on Nov. 1. |
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02-11-18 | Knicks v. Pacers -8.5 | 113-121 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York’s loss of PF Kristaps Porzingis was a major blow to a Knick team that already had more than its share of problems. Porzingis scored 40 pts. and had 6 blocks in his only appearance vs. the Pacers this season, which was a 108-101 Knick victory back on Nov. 5. Pacer PF Thad Young scored 19 ppg and shot 73% vs. the Knicks this season, and Indy made more than 50% overall in the series. Assuming Pacer G Victor Oladipo (24 ppg, 49% on the season) is over his illness, look for Indiana to pad its 27-19 mark the last 2 seasons as Bankers Life Fieldhouse chalk. |
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02-11-18 | Cavs +5 v. Celtics | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This grudge match might get even more ugly after Kyrie Irving’s social media post showed him laughing at a house burning down after the Cleveland-Laker trade shook up the trade deadline. Irving will have to step up his game against the Cavs, however, as he shot just 42% and scored only 16.5 ppg as the two teams split the first two (although the Celtics covered both). Prefer to take a lead with refreshed, new-look Cavs, who are 4-2 as a road dog, the only category in which they’ve had a winning mark. |
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02-11-18 | Pistons -3.5 v. Hawks | 115-118 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit had Saturday off to shake off trade revenge game against the Clippers, and win or lose, would favor Piston side that looked much-improved on acquisition of PF Blake Griffin. Detroit has won 4 of 5 against the Hawks over the past 2 seasons, including a 105-91 victory in most recent encounter, which was played in Atlanta. Griffin had 26 pts., 10 rebs. and 10 assists in his only game against the Hawks this season, while C Andre Drummond had 39 boards in the two Detroit wins against Atlanta this season. . |
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02-10-18 | Spurs v. Warriors -10.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These two Western powers are both leaking a little oil of late. Golden State is just 1-3 SU in its last 4 and have covered only 2 of its last 9 games prior to facing Dallas on Thursday. San Antonio is 3-3 SU and 2-4 vs. the number in its last 6. The Warriors have held the upper hand against the Spurs, winning 6 straight with a 5-1 spread mark dating back to March last year and including a series sweep in last year’s playoffs. Look for that trend to continue, especially with F Kawhi Leonard still out with a quad and PG Dejounte Murray joining him on the sidelines. |
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02-10-18 | Wizards -6 v. Bulls | 101-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Have little interest in backing Chicago side that was win less in its last 7 and had dropped 6 straight spread decisions prior to facing Minnesota last night. Rested Washington, conversely, shook off its 1-9 spread run by covering 5 of its last six, as G Bradley Beal, Otto Porter Jr., and Markieff Morris have stepped up to replace output of injured PG John Wall. The Wizards have taken the last 4 vs. Chicago SU, and the Bulls have been outscored 112-102 in their last 5 games, shooting just 39% in that negative streak. |
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02-10-18 | Pelicans v. Nets +2.5 | 138-128 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans was just 1-4 SU and vs. the number in its first 5 games playing without injured C DeMarcus Cousins, and Brooklyn has been a big winner as an underdog (27-15 vs. the points). The Pelicanx defense suffered with Cousins sidelined, as they gave up 115 ppg and 48%, up sharply from seasonal averages. NO played last night in Philly, while the Nets are rested and have covered 14-7-1 since late December and 8-4-1 vs. the number in its last 13 at the Barclays Center. 1 |
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02-09-18 | Wolves -7 v. Bulls | 113-114 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls are in the midst of a seven-game losing streak (1-6 ATS) and struggling big time without guard Kris Dunn who remains out with a concussion and note that they traded Nikola Mirotic to the New Orleans Pelicans last week. The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games playing on one days rest. They've covered the spread in four straight meetings with the Bulls and this will be a special game for Minnesota's Jimmy Butler who will pay his first visit to the United Center as a member of the Minnesota Timberwolves. Butler has averaged 22.3 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists and should lead the Wolves to a comfortable win. |
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02-09-18 | Pacers v. Celtics -4 | 97-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston, which added C/PF Greg Monroe to shore up its front line, played last night in Washington. The Celtics have actually been a positive play at home when unrested, covering 12 of 19 chances over the past 3+ seasons. Boston has won 5 straight against Indiana, covering 4 of those meetings, and return to action of Celtic PG Kyrie Irving is a major relief to HC Brad Stevens. Irving scored 28 ppg and shot 54% in two meetings with the Pacers this season, and injury to Pacer PG Darren Collison will likely mean inconsistent Lance Stephenson will have to defend Kyrie. Boston 6-3 L9 laying single digits at home. |
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02-09-18 | Pelicans v. 76ers -4.5 | 82-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans rode PG Jrue Holiday’s 34 pts. to a victory (and a narrow cover) back on Dec. 10. Philly “big” Joel Embiid sat that game out with a back injury, and Pelican star C Boogie Cousins, who had 23 pts. and 9 boards in first meeting, has since been sidelined for the season. With Embiid playing at an all-star level, expect the Sixers to turn the tables on New Orleans. Philadelphia has covered 6 straight as Wells Fargo Center chalk, so have no problem laying the points with a Sixer team that has climbed to 4th in the league in efficiency differential. |
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02-08-18 | Hawks v. Magic -1 | 98-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Home team has won last four in this series as the sides have split those matchups, though Atlanta covered the first two clashes this season. To back Hawks again, might want to make sure PG Dennis Schroder is beyond last week’s shoulder injury. Even if he’s okay, however, there is a case for Orlando, playing better lately and on an 8-1 spread uptick into February. Plenty of flaws on Atlanta side; Hawks played some decent defense for a stretch in early January, but remain the team that has seen the biggest increase (by a wide margin) in points allowed per 100 possessions |
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02-06-18 | Wizards v. 76ers -6 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wizards though have flat out struggled in this spot at times for bettors this year, interestingly going just 10-14 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. The 76ers on the other hand have been “money in the bank” in this position, going 14-8 ATS at home this season and 20-13 ATS in their last 33 when playing with two days of rest. |
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02-06-18 | Bucks -1.5 v. Knicks | 103-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Bucks are winners of six of seven games since moving on from head coach Jason Kidd, but an injury to superstar forward Giannis Antetokounmpo could spell doom for the club. However, The Bucks hope to have Antetokounmpo available when they visit the struggling New York Knicks today. New York dropped its last three games and six of the last eight after squandering a late lead in a 99-96 home setback to lowly Atlanta on Sunday. |
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02-05-18 | Bulls v. Kings -2.5 | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units That Bulls uptick for much of December and January now looks a memory as Chicago endured a rough patch at the end of January, losing five in a row SU and failing to cover the last four of those (some by hefty margins) into February. Chicago will be selling at trade deadline and put Nikola Mirotic on the shelf before dealing him to the Pelicans, but more could be on the move before next Thursday. The same might be said of Sacramento, where some of the Kings’ vets (George Hill in particular) could also be targeted. Interesting angle worth noting is that Sacramento entered February 10-2 in games it led entering the 4th Q, and Kings just completed a 3-3 trip to the South, so there is some life at Golden 1 Center. Sacramento also owns a win over Chicago back on Dec. 1 at United Center when Kings shot 53% from floor, though that was before Mirotic reappeared and Bulls began an uptick...all now in the rear view mirror. |
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02-04-18 | Grizzlies +11 v. Raptors | 86-101 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto was just 1-4 vs. the number last 5 at home prior to hosting Portland on Friday, and Memphis has been on fire against the number since Boxing Day, logging a 13-4 spread mark in its last 17 after close loss at Detroit Thursday. Grizzlies were leaning on swing man Tyreke Evans, who scored 19.5 ppg, grabbed 5 rebs., and dished 5 assists, but he’s on the move and reportedly won’t play for the Grizzlies again while whatever trade is arranged. Memphis C Marc Gasol (18 ppg, 9 rpg) was enjoying the support, but PF JaMychal Green is expected to return to action this weekend. Raptors might be caught looking ahead to hosting Boston on Tuesday. Raptor Gs DeRozan (42% L10Gs) and Lowry (38% L10) on a cold shooting run despite DeRozan’s player of the month award for January |
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02-04-18 | Bucks -5 v. Nets | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 1 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks picked on the Brooklyn Nets in recent years, a trend they will try to maintain when the teams clash in New York on Sunday afternoon. The Bucks have won nine in a row over the Nets - including four straight on the road - and Antetokounmpo was unstoppable in a 116-91 rout of Brooklyn a little over a week ago. The 23-year-old All-Star had 41 points on 14-of-20 shooting to go along with 13 rebounds and seven assists in that meeting, one of four double-doubles he has recorded in the past five games. The latest was a 29-point, 11-rebound performance and the decisive layup with 1.9 seconds left in Friday's 92-90 home win over New York, Milwaukee's fifth victory in six games since firing head coach Jason Kidd. |
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02-03-18 | Mavs v. Kings +5 | 106-99 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sacramento is 6-2 SU and 7-1 vs. the points in last 8 against Dallas, including a 93-88 defensive tussle on Oct. 20. King PG George Hill had 21 pts. on 9 of 12 shooting in that victory, the only win in the Kings’ miserable 1-8 SU start to the season. Sacramento had a massive 57-36 edge on the boards that night, and youngsters De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield weren’t even making the major contributions they are now. Fox scored 14 ppg and dished 5.2 assists in January, while Hield is shooting 48% (42% on treys) over his last 5 games. Kings, who played Golden State last night, have been relatively unaffected |
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02-03-18 | Pelicans v. Wolves -8 | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans is coming off a game last night in Oklahoma City, while rested Minnesota had the night off after hosting Milwaukee Thursday. The Timberwolves have won 10 straight home games, covering the last 8 games played at the Target Center. HC Tom Thibodeau’s Minnesota side is a triple-headed offensive beast, with G Jimmy Butler 24 ppg in his L6Gs), F Andrew Wiggins (20 ppg L10) and C Karl-Anthony Towns (20 ppg, 12 rpg this season). New Orleans had given up 113 ppg in last 5 prior to visiting run-and-gun OKC last night, while the Timberwolves have held last 8 visitors to the Target Center to 99.7 ppg. |
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02-03-18 | Rockets -3 v. Cavs | 120-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston G James Harden had a triple double in Nov. 9 meeting in Houston, with his 35-11-13 night besting LeBron James’ effort (33-4-7). There’s little percentage in backing Cleveland, which is just 15-35 against the number, has covered just 4 of its last 23 games, has just one more SU win than Miami and Indiana, and finds itself in a dogfight for home court position in the playoffs. The Rockets have the second-best record in the NBA. Houston began its four-game road trip with a 102-91 win at San Antonio on Thursday behind another stellar effort from All-Star guard James Harden. |
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01-30-18 | Cavs -5.5 v. Pistons | 114-125 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Detroit Pistons are mired in an eight-game losing streak and shook things up in a big way by acquiring Blake Griffin from the Los Angeles Clippers. It is unknown whether or not Griffin will make his club debut in Tuesday's home against the Cleveland Cavaliers but the Pistons will be counting on the five-time All-Star to help spring a turnaround. Meanwhile, Cleveland is seeking its first three-game winning streak since mid-December and had dropped 10 of 13 games before beating the Indiana Pacers on Friday and posting a 121-104 win over the Pistons on Sunday in the front end of the home-and-home set. The Cavaliers won the past three meetings by an average of 25.7 points. |
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01-28-18 | Kings v. Spurs -11 | 98-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Friday marked the opener of a five-game home stand for San Antonio, which still owns an NBA-best 20-4 mark at home. The Kings are just 8-19 on the road but two of those wins came in the last two games, making the team 2-2 on a six-game trip that ends in New Orleans on Tuesday. Sacramento is giving longer looks to its younger players and was led by the likes of Buddy Hield and De'Aaron Fox while closing Thursday's 89-88 win at Miami on a 17-4 run. |
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01-28-18 | Bucks v. Bulls +3 | 110-96 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago has won both of first 2 meetings with Milwaukee by similar scores, upsetting the Bucks twice as a medium dog. Bull PFs Nikola Mirotic and his former sparring partner Bobby Portis have combined for 37 ppg and 18 rpg against Milwaukee this year. It would help the Bull cause if PG Kris Dunn can recover from his concussion, as he’s missed the last 3 games through Jan. 25. Dunn scored 18.5 ppg and shot 55% vs. the Bucks this season, and Chicago HC Fred Hoiberg wouldn’t mind if Giannis Antetokounmpo rested his balky knee, as the “Greek Freak” scored 28.5 ppg on 63% shooting while pulling down 11.5 rpg in first two in series. |
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01-28-18 | Suns v. Rockets -13.5 | 102-113 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston has toyed with Phoenix the last few seasons, winning 6 straight and 13 of the last 15, with an 11-4 spread mark. The Rockets are rested and have a healthy back court again, and every win is crucial if they are to catch defending champ Golden State. Houston was just 2 games behind the Warriors prior to Thursday’s action, and the pace at which Phoenix plays is just what the doctor ordered for the Rockets to succeed. |
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01-27-18 | Nets +10.5 v. Wolves | 97-111 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota G Jimmy Butler has missed time nursing a knee injury, as he sat out three straight and was iffy for Golden State Thursday. Brooklyn was 11-2-1 vs. the number prior to visiting Milwaukee last night, and playing the 2nd of back-to-back games has been a profitable situation for the Nets this season, as Kenny Atkinson’s team has covered 6 of 9 when unrested. The Timberwolves have been a poor home favorite the last few seasons (26-37-1 L3Ys), and Brooklyn is a snazzy 24-11-1 vs. the points as a dog this season. The Nets out-rebounded and outshot Minnesota in 98-97 Brooklyn win on Jan. 3, overcoming not only Butler’s 30 points., but 19 turnovers of their own. |
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01-27-18 | Hornets v. Heat -4 | 91-95 | Push | 0 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Terrible spot for the Hornets here as they're coming off a 121-110 triumph against the Hawks Friday night. Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last five games playing on no rest and 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a straight up win (4-10-1 ATS its last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points). |
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01-24-18 | Raptors v. Hawks +6 | 108-93 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Toronto Raptors are likely looking forward to a long stretch loaded with home games, but they first must get past an improving Atlanta Hawks team on the road today night. The Raptors, who are 17-3 at home, will play 10 of 13 in Air Canada Centre beginning with Friday's matchup against Utah, and they hope to head to Toronto on a good note. Their two-game road trip began with a 115-109 loss at Minnesota on Saturday, the squad's fourth loss in seven contests following a 17-3 run. Toronto won its first two against Atlanta by an average of 23.5 points, but the Hawks are on their best run of the season with four victories in six games, the latest a 104-90 triumph over the Jazz on Monday. Dennis Schroder had 20 points as Atlanta improved to 3-2 on its current six-game home stand. |
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01-24-18 | Jazz v. Pistons -2 | 98-95 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jazz still minus Rudy Gobert and losing contact with the edge of the West playoff picture (Utah was five games out of 8th place as of Jan. 18). This stretch vs. middling opposition might be Utah’s last chance to climb into the playoff picture, and if they’re hanging on fringe of race into February, could pull the trigger on a deal (Niko Mirotic from Bulls is one reported target). Detroit, however, was actually in an East playoff position at mid January, and only four teams have a bigger home-road NetRtg differential than the Pistons, who have been 8.8 points per 100 possessions better at home than on the road. Good news for Detroit, then, that it’s currently in a stretch of 13 of 15 at friendly Little Caesars Arena, where Pistons have beaten Spurs and Rockets in recent weeks. |
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01-22-18 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3 | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver will be especially motivated to atone for a 108-100 setback to lowly Phoenix in its latest action. Jamal Murray had 30 points, including going five of eight from range in the loss to the Suns. Even though the Blazer have a three game win streak that three-game win streak includes victories over light weights Phoenix, Indiana and Dallas. Note that over its last nine games Portland has won three straight, lost three straight and then won three straight again. Additionally the Blazers are just 3-4 ATS already this year after playing three consecutive home games, while the Nuggets are 4-3 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite and 6-4 ATS vs. the division. |
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01-22-18 | Wizards v. Mavs +2 | 75-98 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas owning Washington lately vs. Wiz the way the Cowboys have been beating the Redskins the past couple of years. Mavs won their third straight in series (all as a dog!) when rolling comfortably by 14 at Cap One Arena on Nov. 7, a night in which Scott Brooks’ bunch was at full strength with John Wall and Bradley Beal each scoring 23, but unable to keep pace with Dallas and Harrison Barnes, who scored 31. Mavs continue to offer great spread value, on an 18-8 spread run into Jan. 20 vs. Blazers, while erratic Wiz were working on a 7-game spread skid into last Friday’s game at Detroit. Washington notorious for playing to level of opposition...and sometimes it bites Wiz. |
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01-22-18 | Bulls v. Pelicans -6.5 | 128-132 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins both finished with over 20 points against Memphis but they were able to let Holiday be the go-to guy for much of the night and the star tandem finished with a combined 26 shots - nearly 10 below their norm. Davis had 27 points and 16 rebounds and Cousins recorded 25 and 11 in a win at Chicago on Nov. 4. |
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01-22-18 | Jazz -2.5 v. Hawks | 90-104 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utah Jazz have struggled to score points all season, but enter the start of a three-game road trip Monday at the Atlanta Hawks following one of their best offensive performances. Rookie Donovan Mitchell continued his emergence with 23 points in Saturday’s 125-113 victory over the Clippers, helping the Jazz set season highs in points in a quarter (39) and a half (76) despite missing guard Rodney Hood due to a leg injury. The Jazz are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings versus Atlanta. |
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01-21-18 | Nets +6 v. Pistons | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn snapped a three-game skid with a 101-95 triumph over Miami its last time out. The Nets are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, 4-0 ATS in their last four road games overall and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They'll be seeking revenge for a 114-80 loss to the Pistons home in Brooklyn on Jan 10. and are a solid 19-11 ATS in revenge spots this season. The Pistons are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and once again asked to cover too many points here IMO, particularly the way they've played of late. |
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01-21-18 | Magic v. Celtics -10.5 | 103-95 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Eastern Conference-leading Boston Celtics hit a bit of a snag recently with losses in back-to-back home games and need a win over the visiting Orlando Magic today to avoid being swept on the three-game home stand. The Magic are sitting at the bottom of the East and are losers of eight of nine after a comeback effort fell just short at Cleveland on Thursday. Boston coach Brad Stevens called out his team's effort on the offensive end after Thursday's 89-80 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers, but guard Marcus Smart would like to see the team put in a better effort on both sides of the court. The Magic don't have an offensive big man in the middle with Nikola Vucevic (broken hand) out but still managed to knock off Minnesota on Tuesday and battle all the way back from a 20-point halftime deficit in Thursday's 104-103 loss to the Cavaliers. Boston took the first two meetings this season by an average of 15.5 points. |
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01-20-18 | Clippers v. Jazz -1.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles has dominated the series in Utah, winning 11 of the last 13 visits to the Vivint Smart Arena. The Clippers have won 6 in a row SU, covered their last 5 and have had two days off. Utah hosted New York last night, and the Jazz have been a tough cookie in this scheduling position, covering 15 of the last 22 at home when unrested. Clippers shot 50% against Utah this season, but LA G Austin Rivers (21 ppg, 55%) and Patrick Beverley (19 ppg, 50%) are out, forcing Lou Williams into the starting lineup. Williams has scored just 14.5 ppg and shot only 37.5% against the Jazz |
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01-20-18 | Warriors -3 v. Rockets | 108-116 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Although Houston dodged a bullet in getting a virtual slap on the wrist for the fracas in Los Angeles against the Clippers, but losing Trevor Ariza and Gerald Green will handicap the Rockets nonetheless. Those two have contributed 27.3 ppg and 8.4 rpg in the past 10 games, and it’s usually no fun playing the Warriors shorthanded. Golden State is 21-3 SU on the road, including a 124-114 victory at the Toyota Center Jan. 4, which was the last meeting with the Rockets. The Warriors have won and covered 9 of last 11 in Houston! |
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01-20-18 | Bucks +7 v. 76ers | 94-116 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 76ers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Central. While the Bucks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia and 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. In addition the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
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01-20-18 | Grizzlies +9 v. Pelicans | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New Orleans Pelicans have two All-Star starters in their front court but are just two games above .500 entering today's home contest against the Memphis Grizzlies. Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins are hoping to get their team in position to make a strong playoff push with the season past the midway point. Memphis is showing signs of life with three consecutive wins - its first such streak since a 3-0 start to the season - and Friday's 106-88 victory over Sacramento matched its largest winning margin (18) of the season, which also occurred against the Kings |
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01-20-18 | Heat v. Hornets -5 | 106-105 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte has won seven of its last 11 games after enduring a 3-12 stretch that included a 104-98 loss to Miami at home Dec. 15. That was part of a 14-4 surge for the Heat, who have since stumbled with two losses in three games to begin their five-game road trip. They built a 10-point halftime lead before running out of steam in Friday's 101-95 loss at Brooklyn on Friday. |
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01-20-18 | Thunder +3 v. Cavs | 148-124 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland backers probably no longer have money to play with after the Cavs have covered just 2 of 17 games since Dec. 10. Cleveland is just 3-8 straight-up in its last 11 games and has been outscored 112-104 ppg in that downturn. The Cavs clearly need the help they thought they’d receive from Isaiah Thomas, but he’s shooting just 31% (18% from 3-point range) in his last 4 games after some “fool’s gold” performances when he first returned from the hip injury that sidelined him until earlier this month. OKC has been playing much better, as Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony have combined to shoot 47% and score 63 ppg in January. |
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01-19-18 | Suns v. Nuggets -9 | 108-100 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver has toyed with Phoenix lately, with the Nuggets winning and covering 7 straight, including a 134-111 decision earlier this season at the Pepsi Center when Denver G Gary Harris scored 36 pts. on Jan. 3. The Nuggets are coming off a competitive but very disappointing loss in Los Angeles to the Clippers, a result that dropped Denver just off the pace in a five-team game of musical chairs for the 5th-8th seeds in the West. Phoenix, meanwhile, has covered just 2 of its last 8 and Jay Triano’s squad seems content to make sure Sun G Devin Booker (27 ppg L10) and F TJ Warren (23 ppg L10; iffy with a back injury) get their points. |
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01-19-18 | Wizards v. Pistons +1 | 122-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washington has been point spread poison the last few weeks, as the Wizards have dropped 7 straight against the number. The Wizards’ defense has been missing in action in the downturn, yielding 112 ppg. Washington won the first two meetings with Detroit this season, once without star PG John Wall, but both of those results came at Capital One Arena. Now the series shifts to Detroit’s new Little Caesar’s Arena, where the Pistons have been surging in the last several weeks. Detroit is 5-1 SU and has covered 3 of its last 4 at home, including wins against Western reps San Antonio and Houston. |
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01-19-18 | Spurs v. Raptors -5.5 | 83-86 | Loss | -118 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio has won 5 straight against Toronto, but Spurs’ road record (11-14 SU, 9-15-1 vs. the points) is far from impressive this season. Despite stubbing their toe a few times with recent losses to Golden State and Miami, the Raptors own the second-best home record in the league, and are playing at a much higher level than when these two met back on Oct. 23. Raptor G Kyle Lowry got off to a very slow start this season, and C Jonas Valanciunas was injured and didn’t play in first go-round. Looks like the Spurs will be without F Kawhi Leonard for a while, as his thigh injury remains a problem. That’s not good for the Spurs. |
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01-18-18 | Magic v. Cavs -10 | 103-104 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando is just 1-6 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 3-5 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Cleveland is 2-1 ATS in its last three after four or more consecutive SU losses. The Magic are just 5-19 on the road this year. Despite their recent struggles the Cavs are still 15-5 at home. |
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01-18-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -4.5 | 89-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sixers blew a 22-point first-half lead to the Celtics in London, with Boston eventually winning, 114-103 (that's a 33-point turnaround). Boston's victory gave the Celtics 13 wins in their last 14 games against the Sixers, including seven in a row at TD Garden. This contest marks just Boston's third game in the last 12 days, so the Celtics are also very fresh. Lay the points! |
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01-15-18 | Heat +1.5 v. Bulls | 111-119 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami has already taken a pair of similar looking scorelines (97-91 & 100-93) vs. Chicago, though Heat wasn’t able to cover either. Both of those meetings were pre-December and when Bulls were struggling badly, and though Chicago slowed down around Christmas-time, it did recover for a win at MSG vs. the Knicks on Jan. 10. Still, without worrying about a bigger price, might back Miami, which began to surge at about this same time a year ago. Offense has been a struggle most of the season for the Heat, but they’ve scored 114 points per 100 possessions (with six guys averaging double-figures) while winning six in a row SU thru Jan. 11 to climb all of the way into fourth place in the East, with several of Erik Spoelstra’s charges (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, and Kelly Olynyk) all coming up big lately. |
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01-15-18 | Hornets v. Pistons -3 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit has been on a bit of an updraft, and the Pistons have been a percentage play as home chalk the last few seasons (43-29-1 in role). Charlotte might get a psychological lift from potential return of HC Steve Clifford from personal leave, as he has been cleared to start coaching again sometime this week, and Dwight Howard gives the Hornets a foil to help contain Detroit pivot Andre Drummond. Howard out rebounded Drummond 15- 13 in first meeting, but the Pistons made 9 fewer turnovers than the Hornets, while holding Charlotte to 39.7% shooting. Yield to Charlotte’s poor road mark (5-13 SU, 4-9-1 as road dog) |
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01-14-18 | Bucks +2 v. Heat | 79-97 | Loss | -101 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami took 3 of 4 against Milwaukee last season, as defensive intimidator C Hassan Whiteside grabbed 14.3 rpg and blocked 2.3 shots per game. Still, the Heat’s leading scorer against the Bucks was G Dion Waiters LY (23 ppg), and he didn’t make the recent Miami road trip to Toronto and Indiana due to an ankle issue, while PF Justise Winslow has been out for weeks (also an ankle injury). Perhaps MMA-trained PF James Johnson can intimidate Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo, but it’s more likely the “Greek Freak” uses style and speed to win the battle. Miami is 5-13-2 vs. the points at American Airlines Arena this season. |
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01-13-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs -7 | 80-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver is coming off a game last night at home against Memphis, and the Nuggets have had little luck against San Antonio over the last 4-5 years. The Spurs have won 13 of the last 14 covering double-digit spreads in the last 3 meetings at the AT&T Center. The Nuggets have had some luck in 2nd night of back-to-back games on the road the last few years (12-7 vs. spread), but Denver is in a point spread trough while San Antonio had covered 9 of 12 prior to visiting the Lakers Thursday. Spurs are 14-4 as home chalk this season. |
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01-13-18 | Pistons -1 v. Bulls | 105-107 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It appears that “Cinderella” Chicago had its carriage turn back into a pumpkin when the clock struck 12 on New Year’s Eve, as the Bulls have lost 5 of 7 SU, including 3 straight at the United Center, since Dec. 31. Always-under-pressure Detroit HC Stan Van Gundy has kept the wolves at bay, as the Pistons came off a 7-game mid-December losing streak to win 6 of last 11 and maintain playoff position as Philly and New York faded. Piston leading scorer F Tobias Harris is pumping in 21.4 ppg and shooting 51% this month, while C Andre Drummond returned after sitting out 2 of 3 to start the month and grabbed 34 rebounds combined at New Orleans and Brooklyn. Chicago has allowed 122 ppg in January, and hasn’t held a team below 111 since Christmas. |
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01-13-18 | Warriors v. Raptors +4.5 | 127-125 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto pushed Golden State to the limit in first meeting, held back on Oct. 25, when Steph Curry and Kevin Durant had to nail a couple of late shots to hold off the Raptors. Now the scene shifts to the Air Canada Centre, where the Raptors had their 14-game home winning streak snapped the other night against Miami. Golden State is coming off a game last night in Milwaukee, and, with Curry’s ankle potentially still a bit tender, motivated Toronto should finally step out from under 10-year shadow that’s seen the Raptors lose 15 of the last 17 against the Warriors |
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01-13-18 | Nets +10 v. Wizards | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams played last night, and while the Nets are on a 9-5 spread run when unrested, Washington is just 6-13 vs. the number at the Capital One Arena in 2nd of back-to-back games. The Wizards have been underachieving since the first week of December, covering just 5 of 16 games from Dec. 9 through Jan. 11. First two series meetings went Brooklyn’s way this year, with the Nets taking a pair of home decisions on Dec. 12th and 22nd with 8 players averaging double figures against the Wizards, led by F Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (18.5 ppg, 11.5 rpg, 50%) and 2nd-year pro G Caris LeVert (16.5 ppg, 65% FGs). No guarantee Washington G John Wall and Bradley Beal can regain form that fueled string of 7 straight series victories heading into this season. |
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01-10-18 | Thunder v. Wolves OVER 212.5 | 88-104 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This has been maybe the most exciting match up of the season to date in NBA, with three meetings decided all by 4 or fewer, and each of those also “over” in the process. T-wolves have also covered all three of those clashes. Moving forward, we’ll see how Minnesota adapts without injured PG Jeff Teague. The issue isn’t replacing Teague with Tyus Jones in the starting lineup, but rather the loss of one of the few players that has Tom Thibodeau’s trust. The Jones-at-point-guard starting lineup was a plus-48 in its 44 minutes over two games without Teague last week, but the Wolves were outscored by 37 points in 52 minutes with at least one reserve on the floor, with their bench being primarily responsible for a recent loss in Milwaukee. Their depth will continue to be tested as they play a league-high 17 games in January, but with Jimmy Butler carrying a bigger load, T-wolves like their chances. |
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01-08-18 | Nuggets v. Warriors -10.5 | 114-124 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors get an opportunity to avenge one of their most stunning defeats in recent years today. Golden State had won an NBA-best 11 straight games when the Nuggets came to town on Dec. 23 and clobbered them 96-81. It not only was the Warriors' most lopsided home loss of the season, but also the second-largest margin of defeat in a home game in Steve Kerr's four years as head coach. Also, the 81-point total was the Warriors' lowest at home in the Kerr era. Don't worry about the number in this one! |
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01-08-18 | Raptors -7 v. Nets | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto has won 9 straight against Brooklyn, compiling a 7-2 spread mark in that run (4-0 at the Barclays Center). Brooklyn has been covering some games lately (4 straight prior to facing Boston Saturday), but the red-hot Raptors were on a 15-3 SU run and had covered 3 of last 4 as road chalk prior to visiting Milwaukee Friday. With G DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry playing at the top of their game, and Serge “I-block-a” is an intimidator in the paint, while C Jonas Valanciunas can do it at both ends. With Miami up tomorrow, Cleveland and Golden State after that, the Raptors will do a workmanlike job on the out manned Nets |
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01-08-18 | Bucks v. Pacers -1.5 | 96-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee won first meeting in series this season, taking a 122-101 decision on Wednesday at home. The “Greek Freak” had 31 points. and 10 rebounds, 5 assists, a couple of blocks (you know...the usual) to take over the game, and Buck G Khris Middleton broke out of a mini-slump with 27 points. on 9 of 14 shooting to chase the Pacers out of the building. Indy G Victor Oladipo didn’t play in that one, but he was targeting a return from injury Saturday against Milwaukee. Indy C Domantas Sabonis had a career-high 24 points. in first meeting, playing 33 mins. off the bench, and feel Indy might be more intense on defense in rematch after allowing 59% Wednesday. |
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01-07-18 | Spurs v. Blazers -2.5 | 110-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blazers fell just short when they hosted the Spurs earlier, losing by two. They are 4-1-1 ATS the last six times that they attempted to avenge a home loss. During that stretch, Portland is also 5-0 SU and 3-0-2 ATS, after allowing 90 or fewer points. Even with the earlier win here, the Spurs are still only 7-12-1 ATS on the road. |
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01-06-18 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Wolves | 98-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota took first two meetings in this series this year, winning twice at New Orleans. The Timber Wolf G Jimmy Butler and F Andrew Wiggins combined for 44 ppg and Minnesota shot 54%. New Orleans had won 10 of the previous 12 before those meetings, and the Pelican “big three” of C DeMarcus Cousins, PF Anthony Davis and PG Jrue Holiday acquitted themselves well, combining for 67 ppg and shooting 49% as a group. Minnesota is just a 33% play as a home favorite this season, so favor Pelicans to fight back |
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01-06-18 | Bucks v. Wizards -4 | 110-103 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washington has won and covered 3 straight vs. Milwaukee and is 9-4 against the number L13 in the series. Both are coming off games last night, the Wiz in Memphis while the Bucks hosted Toronto. Wizards G Bradley Beal led the way with 23 pts. in Washington’s 99-88 victory at Milwaukee in first meeting of the season, and Markieff Morris (+22 differential) did a nice job defending Giannis Antetokounmpo (8 of 21 shooting, “just” 8 rebs.) and Kelly Oubre Jr. had 18 pts. off the bench (entire Buck bench scored 16). |
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01-01-18 | Blazers v. Bulls +1 | 124-120 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While some expected Chicago to disappear again after lopsided loss at Boston on Dec. 23, Bulls bounced back to beat the Bucks and Knicks to extend their spread uptick to 11-1 last 12 into last Friday’s game vs. Pacers. Return of Niko Mirotic and his ability to co-exist peacefully with Bobby Portis has keyed ascent that’s also reflected in various stats, as Chicago was league’s most improved team (both offensively and defensively) in December, 15.2 points per 100 possessions better for the month (plus.1.6) than they were through November 30 (minus-13.6). Meanwhile Portland continues in an uneven pattern, with Damian Lillard’s recent hamstring woes the last thing Blazers need right now. |
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01-01-18 | Bucks v. Raptors -6 | 127-131 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Toronto Raptors ran into a little speed bump on the road, but they've been unbeatable at home of late. The Raptors will go for their 12th consecutive home win when they ring in the New Year by hosting the Milwaukee Bucks today. Toronto won 12 of 13 before stumbling on the road last week with losses at Dallas and Oklahoma City, but the team had no such trouble in its return home as it blew past the Atlanta Hawks 111-98 on Friday. |
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12-31-17 | Hornets v. Clippers -2.5 | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First meeting went Charlotte’s way, as the Hornets dealt the Clippers loss No. 8 of a 9-game streak on Nov. 18. HC Doc Rivers will have a talk with his son about that game, as Clip G Austin Rivers had as many turnovers as hoops or assists in a 3-of-14 shooting night. Rivers has been on a good run of late, scoring 23 ppg and shooting 48% in his last five games through Dec. 28. It appears Blake Griffin will be back this weekend for the Clippers, and must note LA was forced to start Sindarius Thornwell at guard that night due to back court injuries, allowing Charlotte’s Kemba Walker to score a game-high 26 points. The Clippers are healthier now and are 6-3 SU with Milos Teodosic at PG. |
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12-31-17 | Bulls +7.5 v. Wizards | 110-114 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago’s recent winning ways have included road success, as the Bulls have covered six of their last seven away from home. Chicago covered both trips to Washington last season, and Bulls are getting stat sheet-stuffing contributions from G Kris Dunn, who’s scored 15 ppg with 4.4 rpg, 7.8 apg and 2 spg in December. Washington is just 5-10 as Capital One Arena chalk this season, and Chicago is rebounding well with return of Mirotic (out rebounded by 3 per game in November but out rebounded foes by 2 per game in L10). |
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12-30-17 | Knicks v. Pelicans OVER 217 | 105-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans playing unusual set of home games on back-to-back nights, while rested New York is coming off Thursday’s visit to San Antonio. The Pels covered three of their first four this season when unrested, and must note the home team is 23-10 vs. the points in New York Knick games this season. The Pelicans took care of the Knicks twice last season, with PF Anthony Davis scoring 31.5 ppg and taking 18 rpg. New Orleans didn’t have the services of C Boogie Cousins for either game last season and still won and covered both against the Knicks, with NY leader Kristaps Porzingis held to 15 ppg and 33% by Davis. Three of the top four Knick scorers in the series from last season are no longer with the team. Pels 12-2 L14 “over” prior to facing Dallas last night (9-1 L10 at Smoothie King Center). |
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12-29-17 | Nets v. Heat UNDER 206 | 111-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With return of C Hassan Whiteside from a knee injury against Orlando, Miami regained a key piece. However, Heat G Dion Waiters (14.3 ppg) is down 2-3 weeks with a sprained ankle, and Miami will likely be without starting F Justise Winslow (only minimal practice work Thursday) and tough guy F James Johnson (iffy with an ankle). However, series tech trend favors Miami, which is 15-2 SU and has covered 11 of the last 12 meetings with the Nets. Brooklyn has dropped 6 of its last 8 against the spread, and has been sloppy in December, committing 15 turnovers per game. Nets on 12-4 “under” run; Heat “under” 20-8 L28. |
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12-27-17 | Nets v. Pelicans OVER 221 | 113-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The recent trend to note with New Orleans is its string of eleven straight “over” results thru Dec. 21. What gives? Pels rank 27th defensively in the fourth quarter and 30th defensively over the last three weeks. Even over that 11-game stretch, they’ve allowed a reasonable 105.7 points per 100 possessions with both Jrue Holiday and Anthony Davis in the game, but they’ve been pretty dreadful defensively with one or both off the floor. Nets trending the other way lately (“under” 8-1 last nine thru Dec. 21), but Brooklyn defensive efficiency numbers have dropped off into mid-December, so another high-scoring New Orleans game could be in the offing. |
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12-26-17 | Raptors -5.5 v. Mavs | 93-98 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto earned a win in 12 of its last 13 games and just swept a home-and-home set from an up-and-coming East team that was awarded a Christmas showcase with a pair of wins over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Raptors are averaging 111.3 points and lead the East in point differential (plus-8.9) as they prepare to face a Dallas squad that owns the worst record in the West. The Mavericks are making a one-game stop at home before three straight on the road and just finished losing at a pair of East teams, including a 112-107 setback on Saturday at the only team in the NBA with a worse record -- the Atlanta Hawks. |
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12-25-17 | Rockets -2.5 v. Thunder | 107-112 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston’s long win streak had to end sometime and the Lakers finally caught the Rockets flat last Wednesday. But James Harden & Co. had won 14 in a row SU prior (covering nine of those) and have been a lot better bargain than OKC, which has put forth the occasional big effort but still entered last Friday’s game vs. Atlanta having covered just 4 of its last 18 games. Chris Paul could miss this one for Houston with a groin strain, and while Rockets have only lost once with Paul available, they were winning a lot before he returned to active duty in mid-November, too. Curiously, Thunder have seemed to rise to occasion vs. the better teams this season, but have not been executing at the same level as Houston, which also took out OKC on playoffs last spring. |
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12-25-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The home team has won 11 straight in this series, and Boston is 9-0 SU and against the point spread the last 9 hosting the Wizards. The Celtics haven’t been covering a lot of numbers lately, but Washington had dropped 5 of 6 against he spread prior to visiting Brooklyn on Friday. Wiz G Bradley Beal is nursing a gimpy ankle, while Boston might have PF Marcus Morris back in action after he sat out 7 games (thru Dec. 21) with a sore knee. Celtics tied for league lead in defensive efficiency, and Celtic PG Kyrie Irving shifted into high gear, scoring 27.5 ppg and shooting 51.3% in first 10 games in December. |
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12-25-17 | 76ers v. Knicks -2.5 | 105-98 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Christmas extravaganza begins! The Knicks and Sixers kick off the 12½-hour NBA holiday feast for hoops junkies, and have to look at the home team in this one. The host won all four encounters last year, and the New York is 13-5 vs. the points at Madison Square Garden (7-1 as a favorite). Knick F Kristaps Porzingis returned to action on Thursday, and should be good to go considering the Knicks have had two days off. Philly C Joel Embiid should be available, which is a plus for the Sixers, but Philly is just 2-10 against the points in its last 12 games through Dec. 20. |
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12-22-17 | Hornets v. Bucks -5 | 104-109 | Push | 0 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte ace G Kemba Walker’s shooting woes are becoming a worry for Hornet stand-in HC Stephen Silas. Walker is shooting just 36% overall and 27% on threes this month. Interestingly, Charlotte is just 3-7 SU and against the points since HC Steve Clifford decided to step away from the team for health reasons. Milwaukee has won 8 of 10 at home SU and covered 3 of L4 at the Bradley Center, including beating Cleveland on Wednesday, while the Hornets have covered just 3 of 13 road games. Home team won and covered first 2 in series this season and Walker was held to 6-15 shooting first trip to Milwaukee. |
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12-21-17 | Bulls +10.5 v. Cavs | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Finally, after losing all four vs. Bulls last season, and failing to cover first meeting of this term at the “Q” on Oct, 24, Cavs finally let Chicago have it by 22 at United Center on Dec. 4 when shooting 52% from floor. But still a bit reluctant to lay heavy points with LeBron & Co. at home, where Cleveland was just 3-12 as chalk prior to hosting Lakers last Thursday. And Chicago has made a move in the past week with four SU wins and five covers in a row thru Dec. 14. Even as Cleveland was compiling its recent 13-game SU win streak, it was not always covering numbers (Cavs in fact only 2-5 vs. spread last seven thru Dec. 13). |
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12-19-17 | Pelicans v. Wizards OVER 219 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: @ Units All of a sudden, New Orleans games have resembled indoor track meets, with Pels scoring 108 or more in last eight thru Dec. 14, and “overs” nine straight into Dec. 15 game vs. Nuggets. New Orleans had a 30-point scorer in each of its first five December games, with Rajon Rondo registering a 57/9 assist-turnover ratio, E’Twaun Moore and Dante Cunningham combining to shoot 26-for-41 from 3- point range, and their opponents shooting pretty well too. Now Anthony Davis has returned to the fold, so the points should continue to flow. Fortunately for Wiz, John Wall has been activated after recent knee injury, and if Wall is at full strength, this could turn into quite a fireworks show at Cap One Arena. |
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12-17-17 | Cavs +2.5 v. Wizards | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers will carry their phenomenal run into a road-heavy portion of the schedule when they visit the Washington Wizards today. James recorded his third triple-double in four games and the 60th of his career in a 109-100 win over Utah on Saturday, the Cavaliers' 11th straight home victory and 17th in 18 overall contests. |
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12-15-17 | Nets +12.5 v. Raptors | 87-120 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn has been on a very positive spread run (13-4 last 17 overall; 9-2 in last 11 on the road). At the same time, Toronto has won 8 straight against Brooklyn (6-2 vs. the points), while the Raptors are coming home to Air Canada Centre after spending 10 days on the road. Meanwhile, the improving Nets are out rebounding and out shooting their opponents over the last 10 games. Brooklyn played New York last night, but Nets covered 3 of first 4 when unrested. Brooklyn HC Kenny Atkinson is getting the most out of his team, and Nets are playing much-improved defense on the road, cutting 5 ppg of last season’s allowance. |
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12-15-17 | Clippers v. Wizards UNDER 208 | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers held on by a thread to beat Washington 113-112 on Dec. 9 in Los Angeles, but the lineups will be shifted in the Wizards’ favor this time around. Washington G John Wall has returned from an extended absence, while the Clippers will likely be without G Austin Rivers (concussion) and F Danilo Gallinari (glute contusion). The Clips will especially miss Gallinari, who was the top LA starter that night, scoring 25 points. On the plus side, LA welcomed back PG Milos Teodosic recently, stabilizing the position in the wake of injuries to Patrick Beverley and Rivers. Wizards can make the revenge angle work, but Scott Brooks’ crew hasn’t gotten much separation at Capital One Arena this season, logging a 3-8 mark as home chalk. “Under” might be a better option, as the Wizards went that way in 6 of their last 7 and the Clips are without Gallinari. |
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12-13-17 | Thunder v. Pacers -1.5 | 100-95 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It was one of those handful of nights in the first two months of this season that everything went right for Oklahoma City when it rolled past Indiana 114-96 at the Peake back on Oct. 25. Curiously, the one piece of the Thunder puzzle that didn’t contribute much was Paul George (check status with calf), who scored only 10 vs. his former team, though ‘Melo and Russell Westbrook each scored 28 to more than offset a big 35-point effort from Indy’s ex-Thunder wing Victor Oladipo. Since then, however, Oklahoma City has proven unreliable and took a 1-8 spread mark its last nine into Dec. 7 game vs. Brooklyn in Mexico. Meanwhile, Pacers had won and covered 8 of last 11 into last Friday vs. Cavs, as Oladipo has continued to fire away (27 ppg and 59% FG shooting last week). Will George’s return to his old stomping ground light a fuse beneath underachieving Thunder? |
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12-12-17 | Spurs v. Mavs +6 | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With a light now at the end of the tunnel regarding Kawhi Leonard’s lingering quad injury , San Antonio might finally be back to at full strength. In the meantime, Dallas continues to offer resistance vs. Spurs, covering first two match ups this season after taking 3 of 4 vs. number a year ago. Rick Carlisle again making lemonade from the lemons on his Dallas roster, as Mavs have won SU in 4 and covered spread in 6 of last 7 thru Dec. 7. Even at advanced age, Dirk Nowitzki learning some new tricks (he’s turned into one of the best screeners in the league this season!), and like a year ago, Mavss showing signs of ripening after a rotten start. Recent S.A. covers at Memphis and Ok City only upped Spur road spread mark to 4-7 this season. |
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12-10-17 | Mavs v. Wolves -8 | 92-97 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota cruised to a pair of win-and cover efforts against Dallas earlier this season, leading by 24 points. in the 4th Q before barely holding on for the cover with a 112-99 decision laying 12½ in Minnesota. The Timberwolves overcame a 12-point halftime deficit in Dallas Nov. 17, outscoring the Mavs 68-32 in the second half to pull away. Minnesota C Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 23 ppg on 57% shooting, while F Andrew Wiggins scored 21 points per game and shot 55% against the Mavs. |
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12-10-17 | Celtics v. Pistons +2 | 91-81 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams coming off tough games, as Boston was in San Antonio Friday and Detroit hosted Golden State. The Celtics own the best spread record in the league, although they’ve cooled to 4-4 vs. the number in the last few weeks. Detroit has been reliable at home this season, settling in nicely at the Pistons’ brand-new Little Caesars Arena. Detroit put one of the blemishes on the Celtic record two weeks ago in Boston when Detroit F Tobias Harris made 11 of 16 shots and led all scorers with 31, while C Andre Drummond had 26 points. & 22 rebounds the 118-108 upset win. With Boston starters Jaylen Brown (eye) and PF Marcus Morris (soreness) not 100%, gladly side with home team. |
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12-09-17 | Rockets -9.5 v. Blazers | 124-117 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston finished 12-1 in November, partially fueled by return to action of PG Chris Paul. The Rockets were 8-0 SU and 6-2 vs. the number when Paul had played prior to visiting Utah on Thursday. Blazers have been headed in a downward spiral since making a quick start, logging a 5-14-1 spread mark in its last 20 games. Rocket leader G James Harden and HC Mike D’Antoni want to “make hay while the sun shines” and extend its lead over Golden State while Steph Curry is sidelined |
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12-09-17 | Heat v. Nets +2 | 101-89 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn probably more acclimated to the altitude in Mexico City than Miami after playing here on Thursday and seeing the sights yesterday. However, the Heat are stepping down in class after being beaten by Golden State and San Antonio in last two games. Miami has won 12 of the last 13 against the Nets, covering 10 of the last 11, but altitude might slow Heat in 2nd half, and C Hassan Whiteside didn’t make this road trip. Brooklyn has been on a roll of late, covering 8 of its last 9 overall and 8 of L9 away from home prior to facing Oklahoma City here Thursday. Addition of C Jahlil Okafor can’t hurt the Nets. |
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12-09-17 | Wizards -2.5 v. Clippers | 112-113 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After starting the season 4-0, a series of injuries pushed Los Angeles into a 4-15 nosedive. Washington took a serious injury of its own, losing PG John Wall for an indefinite period with a knee injury, but the Wizards have won 3 of last 5 (4-1 vs. the points) and G Tomas Satoransky has contributed double figures in his share of Wall’s minutes, and is shooting 57% in the last 5 games prior to visiting Phoenix (50% beyond the arc). Conversely, when the Clips lost PF Blake Griffin, the bottom fell out and they’ve lost all four (1-3 vs. the number) since. If Wizards can win in Portland and Minnesota in the last week, they can put a torpedo in the listing Clipper ship |
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12-08-17 | Mavs +7.5 v. Bucks | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas hung a 32-point beat down on Milwaukee at American Airlines Center in first meeting this season, marking the Mavs’ 9th series win in the last 10 meetings. Dallas is playing well of late, posting a 4-3 SU record and 6-1 spread mark in its last 7. The Mavs are out shooting foes from beyond the arc lately and have covered L4 visiting Eastern Conference foes. The Bucks appear overrated based on their 6-11 spread mark since Halloween, and don’t fancy laying points with Jason Kidd’s bunch on revenge alone. |
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12-08-17 | Bulls v. Hornets -9.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte has covered 7 of first 8 as a home favorite, with G Kemba Walker scoring 24 ppg this season at the Spectrum Center. The Bulls are just 1-12 SU on the road this season and are only 2-6 vs. the points in their last 8 as a visitor, and potential return of PF Nikola Mirotic isn’t going to turn Chicago around |
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