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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-02-22 | Rays v. Astros -160 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays have been stumbling down the stretch. They have only won two out of their last six games entering Saturday due to a slumping offense. The offense only managed one run in four out of the six games in that span. The Astros continue to excel and have yet to lose a series all month. Rays’ starter Corey Kluber hasn’t been reliable. The veteran has posted a poor 5.18 ERA this month and the Rays have lost in three out of his last four starts. Meanwhile, Astros' starter Luis Garcia has been dominant, recording a minuscule 1.96 ERA in his four outings this month. |
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10-02-22 | Jaguars v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Given the fact the Jags, with their new head coach Doug Pederson, are 0-10 ATS in the second of consecutive away games, they are also 0-4 ATS against the NFC East. On the other side of the coin, Philly is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC South. All good numbers in the Eagles’ favor, for sure. To cap all of this off, consider that playing one any NFL non-division home team in Game 4 if not favored by more than 7 points vs. a foe that scored more than 24 points in its last game is 17-3 ATS since 1980. |
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10-02-22 | Browns -115 v. Falcons | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
AFC Inter-Conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Mariota owns nearly twice the career wins (31) than Browns signal caller Jacoby Brissett (16). However, the Hawaiian hurler is 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS in his NFL career in games when his team is coming off a SU underdog win – including 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS when not taking three or more points, not to mention 1-6-1 ATS against AFC North opponents. We cap it off with the fact that Atlanta is 0-8 SUATS versus the AFC North since 2014, while Cleveland is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against the NFC South. |
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10-02-22 | Bills -160 v. Ravens | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We realize the Bills have lost seven straight one-score games, longest current skein in the league. However, we’ll fade Baltimore’s 1-8 ATS mark in games after New England games and instead bank on Sean McDermott’s amazing 11-3 SU and 11-1-2 ATS record in follow-up games after playing to a field goal or less in his last game. |
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10-01-22 | Rangers v. Angels -144 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Cole Ragans goes for the Rangers on Saturday evening. The right-hander is 0-3 on the season with an ERA of 5.40 in 8 starts. He has 25 strikeouts and 15 walks in 35 innings pitched. He gave up 3 runs on 6 hits in 5 innings in a loss to the Guardians in his last start. The Rangers have a team ERA of 4.22, which ranks 22nd in the major leagues. |
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10-01-22 | NC State v. Clemson -6.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 17 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Week Rating; 4 units Both teams are 4-0 on the season, this marks the Wolfpack’s first ACC tilt while the Tigers bring a 2-0 conference record into this affair. Recent ATS history offer full support to Clemson here, as they are 7-1 ATS as conference chalk of 8 or fewer points, plus the series host has cashed in three of the last four. That’s pretty strong considering State’s 1-7 ATS failure as a dog of 8 or fewer points, and a 1-4 ATS mark playing away from Raleigh after a non-conference home game. Most important, though, is the fact that the Wolfpack tripped up the Tigers, 27-21, as 10.5-point home dogs last season. With Dabo revenge in play here, we’ll lay the points as he has excelled in conference games when seeking revenge, going 14-6 SU and 13-7 ATS in his career, including a perfect 6-0 SUATS as a single-digit favorite. |
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10-01-22 | Royals v. Guardians -183 | 7-1 | Loss | -183 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units KC comes into Saturday's matchup with four straight losses and six in their last ten. Bubic is 0-4 in his last five starts and faces a Cleveland lineup that is averaging nearly six runs per game in their last ten games. Plesac has been outstanding against the Royals in his career with just one loss in seven decisions. This will be his last start for over a week so he will get the opportunity to throw a good number of pitches. He will finish 2022 strong against the struggling Royals. |
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10-01-22 | Northwestern +25.5 v. Penn State | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Northwestern has won the stats in every game they’ve played this season. The Lions find themselves laying more than 3 TDs for the third time in the last four games, and they’re currently 0-5 ATS as conference favorites of 18 or more points. In fact, head coach James Franklin has struggled as big chalk, going 9-12 ATS as a favorite of 24 or more points, including 2-7 ATS in conference games. After 16-plus years at the helm in Evanston, head coach Pat Fitzgerald has seen it all, and he knows his team has gone 5-1 ATS of late in their initial Big Ten road games of the season. The line hasn’t moved much from the PSU -25.5 opener, so we’ll grab the big points as Northwestern looks to improve to 5-0 ATS away after three straight home games. |
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10-01-22 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Baylor | 36-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Game Four rested teams who find themselves seeking revenge are 38-15 ATS in conference games when coming off a double-dig win. This week we find Oklahoma State fitting the bill. Better yet, put these rested revengers up against with foes coming off a win of 6-plus points and they zoom to 23-5 ATS in this role. |
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10-01-22 | Reds v. Cubs -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games and four of their last six home games. They usually aren’t very good offensively, but they are playing well at the moment, scoring 16 runs in their last four games. They will play well once again because Lodolo has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up seven runs in his last three starts. He gave up four runs in his lone start against the Cubs and will have a hard time slowing them down. The Reds have lost six of their last seven games and seven of their last eight road games. |
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10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +10.5 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
Big-10 Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units The 23 points given up by the Hawkeyes in their first four games are the fewest scored on the team since 1966. In addition, Iowa will be looking to avenge last season’s loss to Michigan,42-3, in the Big Ten title game. things to consider are that College football home dogs like Iowa, who won 10-plus games the previous season, are 3-0 ATS in Game Five versus undefeated foes playing their first road game of the season. Additionally, 4-0 College football favorites in their first road game are 1-7 ATS since 1980 in Game Five versus foes coming off consecutive wins. |
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10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Ole Miss’ run success has been impressive, but Kentucky should be able to at least slow it, as they allow 3.7 yards per carry and three scores to date. That should force the Rebels to throw more than they’ve shown, and we think they haven’t shown it because they either aren’t confident, or aren’t capable. Consider that the Rebels are 0-3 ATS vs Double Conference Revenge, and strangely 3-10 ATS in the second of back-to-back games at the Oxford campus. |
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10-01-22 | Georgia State v. Army -8 | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Game Four of the College Football season is often times a critical stepping-stone for teams who play with a week of rest. This is especially true for teams that are either playing at home off a win, or in conference games when seeking revenge. These reinvigorated home teams take the field off a win with a week of rest in Game Four of the season, they are a super-strong 99-67-2 ATS overall since 1980, including 21-9-1 ATS when they sport a .333 win percentage. Army finds itself in this desirable role on Saturday. And better yet, they improve to 14-3-1 ATS in this role when coming off a win of 17-plus points, including 8-0 SUATS in they won 8 or more games last season. |
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09-30-22 | New Mexico v. UNLV -13.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lobo demise (9-41 SU, 10-27-1 ATS) may have actually crested with last week's 38-0 loss to LSU, with a stat debacle that saw 28-2 FD, & 633-88 TY deficits. Over its last 13 lined games, New Mexico has a 379-120 pt shortage, with its lone cover this season coming against a Unlv squad that turned it over no less than 7 times. Rebels have turned their spread fortunes around, with current 11-4-1 ATS run, covering their last home game by 28½. Lobos with just a 2-TD spot are a definite go-against in this. |
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09-30-22 | Washington v. UCLA +3 | 32-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Huskies look like they’ll be among the finalists for a berth in the season-ending Pac-12 championship games, our biggest concern is this is their first road outing after opening the season with four straight games at Husky Stadium. Another problem for DeBoer is the Bruins’ recent series domination, going 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS at home, including 4-0 ATS as a dog, as well as 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS with a win percentage of .700 or greater. UCLA practically matches the Huskies in the stats, with each team gaining 500-plus yards and surrendering less than 300 yards this campaign. Washington is also a horrible 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games with conference revenge. Additionally the Huskies are 3-9 ATS as Pac-12 road chalk. Finally, 4-0 College football favorites in their first road game are 1-7 ATS since 1980 in game five versus foes coming off consecutive wins. |
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09-30-22 | Reds v. Cubs -138 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Reds are stumbling in a big way down the final stretch, losing six out of their last seven games including an ugly sweep by the Pirates in that span. The Cubs are playing well, recording victory in six out of their last eight bouts including a three-game sweep against the Phillies this week. Reds’ starter Graham Ashcraft hasn’t been able to shut down the Cubs, squandering 11 runs (10 earned) in 8.2 innings spread across two performances. Cubs’ starter Adrian Sampson continues to shine, registering a minuscule 1.55 ERA in his five starts this month. He has held the Reds to three runs in 10 innings this season. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins +4 v. Bengals | 15-27 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami showed their true grit knocking off everyone's AFC Darlings, the Bills. Tua toughed it out after slamming his head off the turf in the 1st half & Hill & Waddle are just so dangerous, with Tua Tagovailoa questionable, the Dolphins may have to turn to Teddy Bridgewater, who would bring a 23-9 ATS career mark as an underdog starter into the game. Additionally, the Dolphins 5-2 vs Cincinnati. |
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09-29-22 | Marlins v. Brewers -160 | 4-2 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Brewers will start Eric Lauer on the mound. He is currently 10-7 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. The last time he was on the mound, he pitched for 2.2 innings and he gave up two earned runs, as he will be looking to bounce back in this one. He is also 5-2 at home this season with a 2.98 ERA. The Brewer's bullpen has also been solid this season. |
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09-27-22 | Rockies v. Giants -177 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-handed pitcher Logan Webb is set to take the mound for San Francisco in this game. He shut out the Rockies across 5.1 innings last Wednesday, allowing just one hit while striking out five. Webb has already thrown a career-high 187.1 innings, so the team is managing his workload down the stretch. He is 14-9 with a 2.93 ERA overall this season. The Giants have won five consecutive games against Colorado, and they are 12-4 in their last 16 home games against the Rockies. Marquez has been terrible during the month of September, posting a 6.26 ERA—he is 8-12 with a 5.15 ERA this season. |
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09-27-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers +102 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units While Houser has been mediocre against the Cardinals this season, he will be on a short leash as each game from now on is critical to the Brewers' playoff chances. Mikolas has been poor on the road this season, going just 5-10 with an ERA of 4.29. In addition, despite their first-place standing, the Cardinals are just 29-34 against teams over .500 this season. Go with the Brewers in a must-win spot here. |
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09-27-22 | Marlins v. Mets -200 | 6-4 | Loss | -200 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mets will be starting Carlos Carrasco on the mound. He is currently 15-6 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 4.0 innings and he gave up three earned runs to the Brewers. He has been better at home this season, though. Inside Citi Field, he is 9-2 with a 3.21 ERA. The New York bullpen has also held its own. They have the 11th lowest bullpen ERA in the MLB. As a team, the Mets are surrendering 3.80 runs per game, which is the fourth least in the league. |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys v. Giants | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Giants’ wins has been by a field goal or less. This is the first time since 2016 that the Giants have opened the season 2-0. They hosted division rival Washington in the third game in 2016, when as a 3.5-point favorite they lost, 29-27. Dallas enters with an 8-2 ATS mark the last ten games in this series, as well as 7-2 ATS in its last nine appearances under the Monday Night lights. With Big Blue just 1-8 ATS in games when seeking “double revenge”, look for the G-Men to fall to 2-8 SUATS in games when coming off consecutive wins here this evening. |
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09-26-22 | Orioles +112 v. Red Sox | 14-8 | Win | 112 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Baltimore lost two heartbreakers to close out their series with Houston but they still have life. Lyles is coming off his best performance of the season and will look to get over .500 and tie his career high in victories with a win over Boston. While Lyles has been hit hard by Boston this season, Seabold has been hit hard in every appearance. He was pummeled in his one start at Fenway this season going 2.2 innings and allowing nine hits and seven runs. He now faces an Orioles team hungry to pick up wins and keep their playoff hopes alive and a pitcher looking to tie his career high in wins. |
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09-26-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees are only 5-5 in their last ten road games while the Blue Jays have been stellar at home. Toronto has been tough to beat down the stretch. They have yet to lose a series in all of September. Yankees’ starter Luis Severino has struggled against the Blue Jays, surrendering eight runs in his last two meetings against the foes this season, spanning only 9.2 innings. Jays' starter Kevin Gausman has silenced the Yankees this season, holding them to only two runs in 12.2 innings. The veteran knows the Yankees well from his time with the Orioles and features a 3.28 career ERA against the foes. |
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09-25-22 | 49ers -1.5 v. Broncos | 10-11 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units QB Trey Lance is out for the season with a broken ankle, it will likely prove to be the best thing that could have happened for head coach Kyle Shanahan and his troops, given Jimmy G’s 37-18 SU and 33-21-1 ATS career record as a starter in the NFL, including 25-11 ATS in game when not favored by more than 5 points. With Frisco 7-1 ATS in its last eight non-conference roadies, we’ll go mining with the Niners tonight. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 48 h 53 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Green Bay’s is 14-2 ATS in games after battling the Bears, along with the Pack’s 9-5-1 SU and 10-5 ATS record in games when seeking “double revenge”, including 10-2 ATS versus .333 or great foes. On the other side of the coin, the Bucs are 2-8 ATS at home against foes seeking “double revenge”, as well as 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS in Game Three’s of the season. Finally the Packers are 11-2 SUATS with a sub .750 win percentage under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 4-0 SUATS when seeking revenge. |
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09-25-22 | Ravens v. Patriots +3 | 37-26 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Ravens’ task this week, if they are up to it, is to pick themselves back up off the canvas. It should prove difficult given the fact that playoff teams last year (read: Patriots) who are dogs in Game Three are 12-7 ATS against opponents coming off a SU favorite loss. Toss in Bill Belichick’s 33-17 SU and 40-20-1 ATS career mark with New England against foes off a similar SU favorite loss – including 4-0 ATS as a home dog . Finally, Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh owns a 3-10-3 ATS career mark as a favorite when coming off a SU favorite loss, including 0-9-3 ATS when favored by 3 or more points. |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs v. Colts +5.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 45 h 35 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Matt Ryan now owns a 63.9 QB Rating with the Colts. The saving grace is his 11-5 SUATS career record against AFC West opposition, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a dog. On the opposite side of the field, the 2-0 Chiefs – the only undefeated team in the AFC West – enter with a Super Bowl grudge rematch on tap at Tampa Bay next week. Kansas City’s 1-5 ATS record in its last six AFC South skirmishes, and the Colts 6-1 ATS log when coming off a division road. Finally NFL home dogs coming off a shutout loss are 12-2-1 ATS, including 10-0 ATS versus .466 or greater opponents. |
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09-24-22 | Kansas State +12.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
Big-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units K-State has covered the last three matchups in this series, and head coach Chris Kleiman is 7-2 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points, including 4-0 ATS when taking more than a dozen points. There is no question that the Wildcats have struggled offensively this season, but the loss to Tulane last week was truly an aberration for star RB Deuce Vaughn, as the diminutive junior failed to score a TD for the first time in 10 games. Kleiman’s defense, however, is very good. Consider , teams playing AWAY off their first loss of the season find point spread success, nearly reversing their home counterparts by going 139-106-7 ATS dating back to 1980. When these teams are also off an ATS loss (Kansas State), they improve to 121-78-4 ATS in these situations. And if these teams are coming off a SU favorite loss they ratchet up to 69-35-2 ATS, including 38-13-1 ATS as a dog, in addition to 31-10-1 ATS against a foe coming off a SUATS win – and a 20-6 ATS combo as a dog against foes coming off a SUATS win. |
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09-24-22 | Mariners -165 v. Royals | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Kris Bubic is expected to start for Kansas City in this game. He allowed five runs on seven hits and three walks across just 2.2 innings against Boston on Sunday. Bubic allowed one run in each of the first two innings before giving up three runs in the third inning. He has gone 0-7 with a 7.83 ERA over his last seven starts, driving his season ERA up to 5.81. Right-handed pitcher Logan Gilbert is going to start for Seattle today. He allowed one run on four hits and a walk across six innings against the Angels on Monday. Gilbert set season-highs in strikeouts (11) and whiffs (21), throwing five scoreless innings before allowing a sacrifice fly. He is 3-1 with a 0.78 ERA over his last four starts, and he holds a 3.13 ERA overall this season. |
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09-24-22 | Tigers v. White Sox -170 | 7-2 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-handed pitcher Davis Martin will be on the mound for Chicago tonight. He allowed one run on three hits while striking out five batters across six innings against Detroit last week, notching a quality start. Martin has allowed just one earned run across his last 11 innings, lowering his season ERA to 3.78. Drew Hutchison is going to start for Detroit tonight. He allowed six runs on seven hits and two walks across 4.2 innings against the White Sox last Sunday. Hutchison has allowed at least two runs in five consecutive outings—he is 2-9 with a 4.59 ERA this season. |
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09-24-22 | Astros -170 v. Orioles | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros have won 10 of their last 11 games and seven of their last eight road games. They have been on fire offensively, scoring at least five runs in six of their last seven games. They won’t have trouble scoring in this game because they’ve done a good job against right-handers and Baumann has struggled on the mound and will have a hard time slowing down the Astros in this game. The Orioles have lost four of their last six games and four of their last five home games. With the exception of their game against the Tigers, they have struggled offensively, scoring only two runs in their previous three home games. Expect their struggles to continue in this game because Houston’s pitchers have been dominant in recent games, giving up four runs in their last four games. They pitched a shutout in three of their last six games. |
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09-24-22 | UNLV -2.5 v. Utah State | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rebels have tied their win total from last year already and now get to try to take revenge after last year’s last minute loss. USU hasn’t shown the excellent pass attack that drove them to success in 2021 as they are 115th in passing yards and 119th in yards per play. QB Luke Bonner’s YPA has dropped from 8.4 to 6.4 and he has a 3-3 TD-INT ratio.That could be a big problem because if Utah State’s rushing defense continues to be as bad as it has been, he won’t be able to dig them out of a hole. They are 126th in rushing defense at 240.7 ypg allowed and 102nd in yards per play allowed. UNLV’s two top RBs each average over 6 YPC and have shown big play ability. Add in a QB completing over 70% of his passes at a 9.1 YPA clip and you have a tough mountain to climb for the Aggies. |
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09-24-22 | Florida +10.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Gators own a huge statistical edge in this series, going 5-1 SUATS the last six meetings, 11-1-1 ATS in Game 4, and a whopping: 16-1 ATS in the last 17 games against Tennessee. The Vols are 0-4 SUATS in Game 4’s, and 1-8 ATS as SEC home favorites of 10 or more points. Tennessee is also 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS at Rocky Top coming off a home game, and a depressing 0-5 SUATS against SEC foes coming off a win. To cap it off Florida is 14-2 SU and 14-1-1 ATS in this series when Tennessee is coming off a win of 10 or more. |
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09-24-22 | Missouri +7 v. Auburn | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Auburn's first major test was a miserable failure last week, as the 41-12 loss to Penn State was the Tigers’ fifth straight to a Power Five team. Tigers have not had a single defensive takeaway this season through three games. Harsin is 6-11 ATS when favored and coming off a loss, including 2-7 ATS at home. Consider that home teams coming off their first loss of the season is 139-154-4 ATS since 1980. And if they allowed 35 or more points in their initial loss they fall to 45-69-2 ATS. When they are facing a conference opponent, they plummet to 20-39-1 ATS. And when these same teams are taking on conference foes and coming off a loss of more than 21 points, they bottom out at 10-26 SU and 10-25-1 ATS. |
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09-24-22 | Clemson -7 v. Wake Forest | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney just signed a new contract extension worth big bucks, and he knows his team can overcome a slow start to get back in the CFB Playoff discussion. Swinney stands 48-5 SU and 34-18-1 ATS in conference games when coming off a win of 20-plus points and an ATS loss, including a 19-5 ATS record away. Consider that Wake has fallen asleep as a home dog against foes coming off consecutive wins, going just 3-34 SU and 10-27 ATS. |
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09-23-22 | Giants -150 v. Diamondbacks | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Giants will have Carlos Rodon on the hill to begin the series. Rodon was stellar in his previous start, limiting the Braves to only one run in five innings, and registered the win to lift his record to 13-8. The Giants’ ace features a minuscule 1.10 ERA this month and has posted a stifling 2.84 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 167.2 innings of work on the season. he Diamondbacks are struggling to win games recently. They have lost five consecutive series and have dropped five out of their last seven home games. |
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09-23-22 | Boise State -16 v. UTEP | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Broncos hit the highway for the third time in four games tonight surrendering just 230 YPG (No. 10 in the nation), pretty amazing when we consider that Boise State is usually known for its high-scoring offense. Game Fours have worked out well recently for them, who are on a 4-0 SUATS streak with an average win margin of 21.5 PPG. A 1-10 SU failure in Game Fives won’t work here for the Miners, not when they’re 0-6 ATS in this series, and just 23-54 ATS in home losses as an underdog. |
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09-23-22 | Padres v. Rockies +145 | 3-4 | Win | 145 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Padres do not like playing at Coors Field. They are an abysmal 1-6 in their seven games in Denver this season and the Rockies lead the season series 9-7. Colorado has a winning record at Coors Field and has won six out of their last eight home games. Padres’ starter Sean Manaea can’t be relied on. The veteran has an abysmal 6.10 ERA on the road. He has not been able to find a groove at all, logging a 7.88 ERA last month and a disastrous 8.71 ERA in his three outings in September. Rockies’ starter Ryan Feltner has fared well against the Padres, holding them to only four runs in 9.2 innings. |
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09-23-22 | Brewers -165 v. Reds | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Milwaukee has dominated Cincinnati of late, winning 14 of the last 20 meetings. The Brewers have won five of their last six games at Cincinnati. Left-handed pitcher Mike Minor is set to start for Cincinnati today. He allowed five runs on five hits and three walks against St. Louis last Saturday, striking out just one. Minor has allowed seven hits or more in four of his last seven starts, throwing six-plus innings just once. He is 0-8 with a 6.22 ERA in 10 home starts this season. |
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09-22-22 | Coastal Carolina -130 v. Georgia State | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chanticleers had their feathers ruffled in a costly 42-41 decision to the Panthers as 12-point chalk last season, so they figure to come focused here tonight. Bringing a stellar 9-3 SU and 10-1-1 ATS mark in games when seeking conference revenge bodes well. So does the fact that 3-0 teams are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in Game Four of the season against 0-3 squads coming off a SU favorite loss, including 4-0 ATS away. GSU can claim a 5-0-1 ATS record in Sun Belt openers, but home teams in conference games, coming off a SU loss as a favorite of -17 or more points, are just 42-65-3 ATS long-term. |
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09-22-22 | Brewers -153 v. Reds | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cincinnati appears to have given up on the season as far as playing competitive games—getting swept in a four-game series against Pittsburgh pretty much tells the whole story. The Reds are at a large competitive disadvantage on Thursday night, as Milwaukee is in a must-win position. The Brewers are two games back of the final NL Wild Card spot, so they cannot afford to slip up during this series. Woodruff has been collecting wins for the Brewers all season, and he should have no problem shutting down Cincinnati’s lineup in this game. |
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09-22-22 | Cardinals v. Padres -144 | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres on Thursday. Musgrove, a right-hander, is 10-7 on the season with a 3.16 ERA in 27 starts. Musgrove was lights out in his last start, throwing 6 innings and allowing 0 runs on 4 hits with 8 strikeouts and 0 walks. The Padres won 2-0. Musgrove is 2-7 with an ERA of 5.53 and 63 strikeouts in 10 appearances in his career against St. Louis. The Padres have a team ERA of 3.87 this season, which ranks 11th in the majors. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.85, which ranks 14th in baseball. |
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09-22-22 | Angels v. Rangers -165 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
Ratings: 2 Units The Angels are just 20-23 against lefties this season including a loss to Perez. Perez has flourished in the Rangers' new stadium which is far more forgiving to pitchers than the team's previous stadium. Perez ERA at home this season is a solid 2.90. Lorenzen has been hit hard in recent games and is just 2-4 with a 6.63 ERA on the road. |
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09-21-22 | Cardinals v. Padres -130 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miles Mikolas has been shaky recently. The veteran has allowed three or more runs in four out of his last five starts which is noteworthy considering four of those performances were against poor teams in the Reds or Cubs. Mikolas squandered seven homers in that span. Blake Snell has conceded one or zero runs in three out of his last four outings. |
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09-21-22 | Blue Jays +101 v. Phillies | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia will be starting Zach Wheeler on the mound in this one. He is currently 11-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 5.1 innings, but he gave up five hits and four earned runs to the Mets. This was his second shaky start in a row, as he also gave up six earned runs to the Mets two starts back. Blue Jays will start Kevin Gausman on the mound in this one. He is currently 12-10 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 7.0 innings, but he gave up six hits and five earned runs, as the Rays got to him early. He has been a completely different pitcher on the road this season, though. He has an 8-3 road record and his ERA drops to 2.45. |
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09-21-22 | Mets -125 v. Brewers | 0-6 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Taijuan Walker is going to start for New York today. He allowed three runs on five hits while striking out five across 7.1 innings against Pittsburgh last Friday. Walker has a 3.26 ERA in three starts this month after posting a disappointing 6.98 ERA in August. He is 12-4 with a 3.42 ERA and 111 strikeouts overall this season. Adrian Houser is going to start for Milwaukee today afternoon. He is coming off a rough start, allowing five runs on seven hits and four walks across three innings against the Yankees last Friday. Houser has issued 43 walks in 94.2 innings this season, striking out just 66 batters. He is 6-9 with a 4.85 ERA overall in 2022. |
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09-19-22 | Titans +11 v. Bills | 7-41 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NFL teams in Game Two of the season, coming off a double-digit win in Game One, are just 101-124-12 since 1990. When facing foes coming off a SU favorite loss they are 17-37-2 ATS – including 4-16 ATS as non-division chalk. Titans will not enter tonight’s contest lacking confidence, having upended the Bills as underdogs in each of the past two seasons. They are also 8-2 ATS in their last ten Monday night appearances. With Buffalo 0-4 ATS at home on Mondays and 0-3 ATS after playing on Thursdays. Finally consider that Tennessee HC, Vrabel, is 13-3 ATS as an underdog of 4 or more points with 12 outright wins. |
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09-19-22 | Tigers v. Orioles -187 | 11-0 | Loss | -187 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Tyler Alexander is going to start for Detroit on Monday night. He allowed four runs on six hits and a walk across five innings against Kansas City last Sunday. Alexander’s turn in the rotation was skipped last week when the team temporarily moved to a four-man rotation, but he will return to the mound on Monday. He has really struggled over his last four starts, posting a 10.06 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. |
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09-19-22 | Cubs v. Marlins -132 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cubs’ starter Wade Miley has pitched five or fewer innings in all but one start this season and the Cubs bullpen is below average with a 4.34 ERA. Marlins’ starter Edward Cabrera continues to shine, limiting his foe to two or fewer runs in six out of his last eight performances. He tossed five shutout innings against the Cubs last month. The Cubs have not been able to solve the Marlins this season, scoring only six runs in the three meetings. |
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09-19-22 | Mariners -114 v. Angels | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Seattle will be starting Logan Gilbert on the mound and he has been an absolute beast on the road this season. Overall, he is 12-6 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP, but on the road, he is 7-1 with a 2.95 ERA. He has been extremely tough to make contact against and the Angels haven't impressed me at the plate. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers -10 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating; 5 Units Rodgers has made a living at home in his career with the Packers, going 69-38-4 ATS overall, including 27-12 ATS in division games, as well as 28-9-2 ATS when hosting foes coming off a SUATS win. Green Bay is 20-3 SU and 18-5 ATS in this series since 2011, including 8-0 SUATS when coming off a loss. To clinch it, Green Bay is 9-0 SUATS in regular season games when coming off a loss under head coach Matt LaFleur. |
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09-18-22 | Padres -143 v. Diamondbacks | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Yu Darvish will be on the hill today for San Diego. Darvish was outstanding in his previous start, tossing eight shutout innings against a good Mariners offense, and earned another victory to lift his season record to 14-7. The veteran right-hander features a dazzling 1.29 ERA in his three performances this month and has posted a 3.16 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in 176.2 innings pitched on the year. Darvish has logged a 2.42 ERA in four outings against Arizona this season and is 6-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 79.2 career innings. |
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09-18-22 | Yankees -172 v. Brewers | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Brewers will start Jason Alexander on the mound in this game. He is currently 2-3 with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 5.1 innings and he gave up nine hits and five earned runs to the Reds. This was also his fourth consecutive loss. Yankees will be starting Gerrit Cole on the mound. He is currently 11-7 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. The last time he was on the mound, he pitched for 6.0 innings and he gave up four hits and four earned runs. The Red Sox got to him early, but he has been better on the road this season. He is currently 6-2 on the road with a 3.62 ERA. |
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09-18-22 | Rangers v. Rays -190 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rays will be starting Jeffrey Springs on the mound. He is currently 8-4 with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 6.0 innings and he only allowed three hits and zero earned runs. The Rangers will be starting Glenn Otto, who has stunk all season. He is currently 6-8 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP, as he has given up at least two earned runs in his last four starts. The Rays will be able to make consistent contact against him and give themselves multiple chances to score. |
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09-18-22 | Washington Commanders +1.5 v. Lions | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
NFL Play of the Day Rating; 3 Units The Lions have been underdogs in each of their last 25 games. Washington is 19-10 ATS as a small dog of 3 or fewer points, including 10-1 ATS when coming off a win. Detroit is a dreadful 6-19 ATS record as a home favorite when coming off a home game, including 0-5 SUATS when favored by fewer than 3 points. To cap it off, consider that NFL Hard Knocks teams from the preseason (Lions) are 22-36-1 ATS as a pick or favorite in Games 1-8 of the regular season, including 1-13 ATS when not favored by 3 or more points. |
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09-18-22 | Bucs v. Saints +3 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
NFC Division Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Tom Brady comes into this one with a 2-7 ATS career mark when taking to the road as a favorite when coming off a road win after beating the spread by double-digits in his last game including six straight losing tickets in his last six tries. Additionally Tampa is 1-6 ATS away in games with double revenge. Consider as well that New Orleans is 7-1 ATS the last eight games in this series, and 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS as conference home dogs versus .800 or greater opponents. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots -135 v. Steelers | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Mike Tomlin is 7-11 ATS at home with the Steelers after winning versus a favored opponent the previous game, including 0-4 ATS the past three seasons, and 0-6 ATS when hosting non-division foes coming off a SUATS loss. The Pats are 3-1-1 ATS the last five games in this series, as well as 5-1 ATS vs AFC North opposition, look for Belichick to improve on his 5-0 ATS career away record in games after losing his season opener here today. |
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09-18-22 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3.5 | 42-38 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dolphins are 0-6-1 ATS after Patriots’ performances, as well as 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in Game Two of the season. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS in games before New England, while also going 9-1 ATS in this series, and 6-0 ATS at home versus the AFC East. Additionally, NFL away teams in Game Two of the season, coming off a double-digit win in Game One, are just 17-35-2 ATS when facing a foe coming off a SUATS win. |
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09-17-22 | UTSA +12.5 v. Texas | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UTSA is 20-8 SU under Traylor, with only two losses by more than 14 points. He is also 18-5 SU in games in which his team has an equal or better overall record than the opponent, including 6-2 ATS as a dog. Consider as well that Traylor is is 17-9 ATS with this team, including 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS away versus non-conference foes. |
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09-17-22 | Michigan State v. Washington -3.5 | 28-39 | Win | 100 | 79 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units MSU is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games versus the Pac-12, as well as 1-8 ATS in Game Three’s when coming off a victory. Huskies are 5-1 versus the number as non-conference chalk of less than 10 points, 9-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in Game Three, and 12-1 SU and 8-4-1 ATS as a host versus Big Ten opposition. Hang at home with the Huskies. To conclude, if the 2-0 teams managed to beat the spread in each of their first two games, they’ve gone on to beat the spread only 47% of the time in Game Three. And worse, if they are on the road they fall to 66-90 ATS. |
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09-17-22 | Pirates v. Mets -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 units Pirates’ starter Bryse Wilson just pitched against the Mets earlier this month and gave up four runs in a 5-1 Pirates defeat. Wilson is struggling in a big way, posting a 5.73 ERA last month and a 5.40 ERA in his two outings this month. Mets’ starter Chris Bassitt just held the Pirates to one run in seven innings two starts ago and has limited the Pirates to only four runs in 12 career innings. The Mets have outscored the Pirates by a wide 28-13 margin. |
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09-17-22 | White Sox -145 v. Tigers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tigers will be starting Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound. He is 3-5 this season with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 5.0 innings and he gave up 10 hits and five earned runs to the Astros. He has also struggled at home this season, as he is 2-3 with a 4.72 ERA. |
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09-17-22 | Marshall v. Bowling Green +16.5 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 15 m | Show |
Mismatch of the Week Rating: 4 units Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS at home in this series and this 6th most experienced team in the nation. Meanwhile, Marshall has struggled on the road when they visit the MAC, going 11-25-1 ATS and 1-5 ATS when coming off a win where they beat a 21 point plus spread. In addition, double-digit ATS winners that are 2-0 road favorites slip badly the following week, going 3-10 ATS the past five years in game 3’s. Consider as well that playing against any college football favorite who upset Notre Dame in its last game if they beat the spread by 17 or more points in the win is 12-1-1 since 1992. |
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09-17-22 | Penn State v. Auburn +3 | Top | 41-12 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 4 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Month Rating; 5 Units Coach Bryan Harsin after a rough first season, is 27-7 in his first four games of the season and Auburn is 10-2 ATS as home dogs against undefeated foes. Nittany Lions leader James Franklin is 3-10-1 ATS away vs a team coming off back to back wins. PSU being 2-7 ATS vs. the SEC is another reason we’re going with the Tigers. |
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09-17-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -152 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Joe Berrios gets the start for the Blue Jays today. The right-hander is 10-5 on the season with an ERA of 5.07 in 28 starts. Berrios got a no-decision in his last start, a 3-2 win over the Rays. He allowed 2 runs on 6 hits in 6.1 innings of work. Berrios is 1-0 with an ERA of 3.46 and 10 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Orioles this season. In his career versus the Orioles, Berrios is 7-0 with an ERA of 3.05 and 59 strikeouts in 10 appearances. |
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09-17-22 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Indiana | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 68 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 units Finally a decent game from the Hoosiers, behind 155 rushing yards from Shivers. But that was vs Idaho, so note being held to 32 rushing yards s vs Illinois. Indy on 2-12 ATS run, with both covers by a single point. 'Toppers on an 8-1-1 spread run, & 10-1 SU skein (41+ pts 10-of-11 games). |
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09-16-22 | Mariners -151 v. Angels | 7-8 | Loss | -151 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Robbie Ray will get the starting call Friday, and the reigning AL Cy Young Award champ is 12-9 with a 3.56 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 189/53 K/BB ratio in 28 starts (166.2 innings pitched) this season. Ray met the Angels three times in 2022, posting a 2-0 record with a sparkling 1.80 ERA. The 30-year-old southpaw has yielded four earned runs on 14 hits and five walks across 20 frames of work while punching out 30. Their last duel came in August, and Ray fanned ten in an 8-2 victory at Angel Stadium. |
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09-16-22 | Air Force -16 v. Wyoming | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units I know that's a lot of points to lay on the road, but who is going to stop Air Force this season on the ground. They struggled last week with three turnovers against Colorado and still managed to put up 41 points. Having an experienced quarterback like Daniels is crucial to the option offense. There's no defense that he hasn't seen in defending the option. Wyoming has played three games already and is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. The Falcons are 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS after crushing Colorado last week 41-0 as a 17-point home favorite. |
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09-16-22 | Twins v. Guardians -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Twins staff has been decimated by injuries and there are not a lot of options left, so it will likely be a bullpen day or they'll call someone up from deep on the depth chart. Triston McKenzie gets the start for the Guardians on Friday. The right-hander is 10-11 on the season with a 3.05 ERA in 26 starts and 27 appearances. McKenzie has 159 strikeouts and 43 walks in 165.1 innings pitched. In his last outing, he blanked these same Twins, allowing 0 runs on 6 hits in 7 innings with 5 strikeouts and 2 walks. |
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09-16-22 | Rockies v. Cubs -124 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Rockies have now dropped five out of their last six road games and are one of the worst road teams in the big leagues. Rockies’ starter German Marquez just surrendered nine runs against the Diamondbacks in his previous start and has abysmal numbers against the Cubs, logging a 7.65 ERA. Cubs’ starter Marcus Stroman has been reliable, limiting his foe to only five runs in his last three outings spanning 16 innings. He has excelled in his career against the Rockies, flaunting a 2.53 ERA. The Cubs have scored 22 runs in four games against the Rockies in the first series and are fresh off a big three-game road sweep of the Mets. |
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09-15-22 | Padres -158 v. Diamondbacks | 0-4 | Loss | -158 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Madison Bumgarner is 0-3 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in four starts and 17 frames of work against the Padres in 2022. On the other side, Sean Manaea is 2-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in four starts and 25 innings pitched against the Diamondbacks this season. |
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09-15-22 | Chargers +4 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chargers held Derek Carr to a passer rating of 69.1 while sacking him five times and picking off three passes. So the Chiefs face a much sterner test in this early AFC West Division match up. Herbert brings a 2-0 SUATS career ledger at Arrowhead Stadium into this contest and that catches our attention. The visiting team 13-4 ATS the last seventeen games in this series. I am not willing to back Kansas City in this spot. There is almost always going to be value on the road underdog when they are facing a team that the public loves. |
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09-15-22 | Royals v. Twins -160 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Daniel Lynch gets the start for the Royals on Thursday. The left-hander is 4-10 on the season with a 5.14 ERA in 8 starts and 23 starts. Lynch has 105 strikeouts and 46 walks in 112 innings pitched. In his last outing, he got pummeled in a loss to the Tigers, allowing 6 runs on 10 hits in 3.2 innings. He gave up 2 home runs. Lynch is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.05 and 12 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Twins this season The Royals have a team ERA of 4.72, which ranks 27th in baseball. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.71, which is second to last in the league. |
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09-15-22 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Astros will be starting Lance McCullers Jr. on the mound in this one. He is currently 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 7.0 innings and he only gave up four hits and two earned runs. Luckily, the Astro's bullpen has also been great this season. They are allowing 2.79 runs per game, which is the lowest bullpen ERA in the league. As a team, the Astros are allowing 3.28 runs per game, which is the second least in the MLB. |
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09-14-22 | Yankees -124 v. Red Sox | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 units Right-hander Brayan Bello is expected to be on the mound for Boston on Wednesday. He allowed three runs on three hits and four walks across 5.1 innings against Baltimore last Friday. Bello tied his career high with seven strikeouts, lowering his rookie ERA slightly to 5.79. He picked up his first big-league win two weeks ago, so he is 1-5 entering this start. Boston has been unable to avoid lengthy losing streaks this season, which is ultimately going to be the reason the Red Sox are not in the playoff bracket. They have gone on five separate skids of at least three games since the All-Star break. |
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09-14-22 | Orioles -144 v. Nationals | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washington’s pitching is one of the worst in the league, with the team giving up 5.33 runs per game. Opponents have a .265 batting average against the Nationals, which is 28th in the league. Their 5.06 ERA is 29th, while their 1.44 WHIP is 28th. In his last start, Corbin gave up five hits and five runs in 6.2 innings leading to a 5-3 loss to Philadelphia. He has struggled against the Orioles, going 1-4 in six starts against them while giving up 17 runs in his last four starts against them. |
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09-14-22 | Padres v. Mariners -148 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners on Wednesday. The right hander is 6-5 on the season with a 2.81 ERA in 21 starts. Castillo has 141 strikeouts and 38 walks in 128.1 innings pitched. In his last outing he got a no decision, allowing 3 earned runs on 5 hits in 5.2 innings with 8 strikeouts and 1 walk. He also gave up a long ball. Castillo is 2-1 in his last 7 starts with a 2.70 ERA. Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 inter-league games versus a team with a winning record and 9-3 in their last 12 inter-league games versus. a right-handed starter. |
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09-13-22 | Brewers v. Cardinals -170 | 8-4 | Loss | -170 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brewers are using the bullpen for this game. The Brewers’ pen isn’t as dominant as past seasons, logging a 3.96 ERA, tabbing them 16th. Cards’ starter Jordan Montgomery has been incredible, sporting a minuscule 1.45 ERA in his seven starts as a member of the Cardinals. He recorded six shutout innings in his lone meeting against the Brewers last month. |
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09-13-22 | Orioles -150 v. Nationals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washington’s pitching is one of the worst in the league, with the team giving up 5.33 runs per game. Opponents have a .265 batting average against the Nationals, which is 28th in the league. Their 5.06 ERA is 29th, while their 1.44 WHIP is 28th. In his last start, Espino gave up seven hits and three runs in five innings leading to a 4-1 loss to St. Louis. The Nationals have lost five of their last six games. |
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09-13-22 | Phillies +113 v. Marlins | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Bailey Falter is going to start for Philadelphia in this game. He allowed two runs on seven hits and no walks across 5.1 innings against Miami on Wednesday. Falter had his four-game streak of quality starts snapped, but he extended his winning streak to four. He has posted a 2.66 ERA over 23.2 innings during that stretch and is going to remain in the rotation at least until Zack Wheeler is ready to return. This is about as perfect of a scheduling spot as you are going to get with an MLB bet. Philadelphia had the day off on Monday and is fighting for a playoff spot, while Miami is coming off a doubleheader. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks +6.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Playing against any NFL Monday Night favorite in Game One of the season we would have won the money 67% percent of the time, as these Monday Night favorites are 32-27 SU and 19-39-1 ATS since 1980. When the Over/Under total in the game is 41 or greater points, they fall to 25-22 SU and 12-34-1 ATS, including 4-17-1 ATS in division contests. Finally, with the Broncos’ 5-10 SU and 3-10-2 ATS mark in their last 15 Monday Night contests, the points become the play in this one. |
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09-12-22 | Cubs v. Mets -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Chris Bassitt (13-7, 3.24 ERA) will get the start for the Mets on Monday. He is 5-5 at home this season with a 2.77 ERA in 14 games. Bassitt has been pitching his best baseball late in the season, with a 6-0 record and 1.75 ERA in his last seven starts. The Cubs are in a tough spot having a later travel night on Sunday. They are without Wilson Contreras and also could be missing Hoerner. Chicago has also been outscored 20-4 in their last three road games. |
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09-12-22 | Astros -193 v. Tigers | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Framber Valdez gets the start on Monday. The left hander has had an excellent campaign as he is 14-5 on the season with an ERA of 2.64 in 26 starts. He has 161 strikeouts and 60 walks in 171.2 innings pitched. In his last start he pitched well in a loss to the Rangers, allowing 2 earned runs on 6 hits in 6.2 innings with 11 strikeouts. He faced the Tigers earlier this season and gave up 2 runs on 9 hits with 1 walk and 7 strikeouts in 6 innings. The Astros have a team ERA of 2.96, which is second in baseball. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.82, which is the best in baseball. |
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09-12-22 | Pirates v. Reds -130 | 6-3 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-handed pitcher Mike Minor is going to start for Cincinnati in this game. He allowed one run on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three batters across 5.2 innings against the Cubs last Wednesday. Minor started the season at 1-10, but he has picked up wins in each of his last three decisions. He has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his past three starts. Right-handed pitcher Bryse Wilson is going to start for Pittsburgh on Monday night. He allowed four runs on seven hits across six innings as a bulk reliever against the Mets last Wednesday. Wilson has allowed at least three earned runs in seven of eight appearances since the All-Star break, posting a 5.59 ERA and 1.29 WHIP through those 38.2 innings. |
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09-11-22 | Bucs -2.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 75 h 26 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Bucs are 1-6 ATS as non-division road chalk and 1-6-2 ATS in their last nine games against NFC East foes. Looking to the opposite side of the field we find Dallas at 7-0 ATS in its last seven home dog roles, and 4-0 ATS versus the, NFC South. To cap it off consider that an NFL pick or road favorites who won 13-plus games last season are 19-32-1 ATS in season openers, including 0-4 ATS in games with an Over/Under total of 50 or more points. |
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09-11-22 | White Sox -155 v. A's | 3-10 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Johnny Cueto gets the start for the White Sox on Sunday. The right-hander is 7-7 on the season with an ERA of 2.87 in 20 starts and 21 appearances. He has 85 strikeouts and 30 walks in 135 innings pitched. Cueto is 2-0 with an ERA of 2.06 and 20 strikeouts in 5 appearances against Oakland in his career. Cole Irvin gets the start for the A's on Sunday. The left-hander is 7-11 on the season with an ERA of 3.78 in 25 starts. He has 108 strikeouts and 31 walks in 152.1 innings pitched. Irvin got bombed for 9 runs in 4.2 innings in his last start, a loss to the Braves. |
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09-11-22 | Diamondbacks -160 v. Rockies | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona will send Zach Gallen to the mound on Sunday. In 26 starts this season, Gallen is 11-2 with a 2.42 ERA, including 5-2 with a 2.39 road ERA. Even at Coors Field, Gallen has performed well in his career, going 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA in five games there since 2019. Ryan Feltner will be going for the Rockies Saturday. He is 2-7 with a 5.85 ERA in 15 games this year and 2-3 with a 5.71 ERA at home. Feltner allowed six runs, five earned in 4.1 innings at home against Arizona in a 7-4 loss on August 14. |
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09-11-22 | Tigers v. Royals -150 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tigers will be starting Tyler Alexander on the mound. He is 3-9 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 4.1 innings, but he gave up 10 hits and six earned runs. The Angels lit him up, as he has also struggled on the road this season. He is 1-6 with a 7.31 ERA outside of his home ballpark. Royals will be starting Brady Singer on the mound. He has been solid this season, as he is 7-4 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. In his last start, he pitched for 6.0 innings, but he gave up nine hits and three earned runs. Luckily, Singer has been a man on a mission at home this season. He is 6-2 with a 3.12 ERA inside Kauffman Stadium. |
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09-11-22 | Steelers +7 v. Bengals | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 68 h 33 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Steeler head coach, Mike Tomlin makes winning division games a priority, going 65-29-1 in his career – including 10-4-1 in first division contests of the season. Additionally, playing against NFL any division road team not favored by 8 or more points in Game One of the season if they lost in the Super Bowl game last season is a perfect 11-0 ATS since 1988. |
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09-11-22 | Colts v. Texans +7.5 | 20-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Colts’ track record during Week 1 is absolutely dreadful – 0-7 ATS the past seven years. They’ve lost their last five openers by an average of 16.2 points. This includes an 0-4 SU and ATS Week 1 mark under Frank Reich. If laying more than a touchdown opening week during Weeks 1 and 2 the past 10 years, the Colts would be 2-18 ATS. Judging by preseason, Indianapolis doesn’t look ready again this year. Matt Ryan is the team’s new quarterback. He’s past his prime and has yet to display chemistry with his new receivers, who are mediocre at best. In addition, the Texans are 6-2 in Game Ones at home, and 10-4 ATS as division home dogs of 9 or fewer points. |
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09-11-22 | Ravens -6.5 v. Jets | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 49 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washed-up Joe Flacco is not a quarterback worth betting on. Flacco hasn’t been good since helping the Ravens to a Super Bowl victory – and that was 10 seasons ago. The Jets scored the fifth-fewest points in the league last season. Their defense even worse, surrendering the most points in the NFL. Since drafting Lamar Jackson in 2018, the Ravens have scored the fourth-most points trailing only the Chiefs, Buccaneers and Saints. Baltimore went unbeaten during preseason again. The Ravens lost in overtime to the Raiders in last year’s opener, but were 5-0 SU and ATS during their previous Week 1 games with their average win margin being 30.2 points. |
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09-10-22 | Baylor v. BYU -3 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 57 h 5 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Cougars are 15-7 ATS in home openers, including 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points. The host in this series winning and covering the last three matchups, while BYU is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with Big 12 opponents. To clinch it, Baylor is 2-10 ATS in its first away game of the season, including 0-6 ATS when not favored by more than 14 points. |
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09-10-22 | Dodgers -135 v. Padres | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Urias has been on another planet the last couple of months and things get tougher for the hosts. Urias is 12-1 with a 1.88 ERA, 19 walks and 83 strikeouts over 81.1 innings of work in his last 14 starts dating back to June 18. With Urias dealing and the Dodgers’ bats, give the advantage to the top team in the National League here. |
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09-10-22 | Boston College +3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 22 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units With at least four games to come against ranked opponents, last weeks loss deals a major blow to the Eagles’ path back to bowl eligibility under 3rd-year coach Jeff Hafley. A long-term 18-7-1 ATS record as conference road dogs since 2013, including 7-1 ATS when both teams are coming off a loss, plus a series spread mark of 8-3 ATS in the last eleven games (4-1 ATS in the last five) means it's a BC call tonight. To seal the deal consider that beaten bowlers in Game Two who lost their season-opening game as a favorite are 54-72 ATS in these games, and if they happen to be seeking revenge in this contest, they dip to 8-17 SU and 6-19 ATS in these frays – including 2-13 SU and 1-14 ATS if they scored 24 or fewer points in the loss. |
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09-10-22 | Blue Jays -190 v. Rangers | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rangers will start Kohei Arihara on the mound. He is currently 1-2 with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.76 ERA. In his last start, he pitched for 2.0 innings and he allowed four hits and one earned run. But, he struggled against the Tigers two starts back. He has been up and down this season, but he has consistently lost at home. He is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA inside Globe Life Field. Kevin Gausman will be getting the start on the mound. He is currently 11-9 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. The last time he was on the mound, he pitched for 6.2 innings and he only allowed seven hits and two earned runs. Gausman has also been a road warrior this season, as he is 7-3 with a 2.07 ERA outside of his home ballpark. |
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09-10-22 | Mets -152 v. Marlins | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami is 26-38 at home this season and is the third least profitable team in those games at -$1555. On the runline the Marlins are 63-73 and the third worst money team at -$1979. Starting today will be Pablo Lopez (8-9, 3.66 ERA). At home he is 3-4 with a 4.24 ERA. Lopez is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA in three starts against the Mets this season. |
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09-10-22 | Kansas +13.5 v. West Virginia | 55-42 | Win | 100 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units West Virginia, the Mountaineers are recovering from losing the Backyard Brawl last week to Pitt. The numbers are not favorable for head coach Neal Brown, whose seat is heating up more rapidly each passing week. Try 7-11-2 ATS as a home favorite of 9 or more points on for size, including 3-8-2 ATS at home. If that is not enough consider that Game Two bowlers off a season opening defeat when laying points, are just 107-117-2 ATS. To make it worse, if these teams are facing a conference foe that is coming off a loss they dip to 7-18 ATS. |
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09-10-22 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Iowa | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 48 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units One of these 2 teams has an offense, & it ain't the Hawkeyes, who finished 121st in the nation in that category last year. How about Iowa's opening 7-3 win over So Dakota St was the first time that a team scored 7 points with no accompanying TD in forever (1 FG & 2 safeties). The Cyclones have been a premier dog play, standing at 23-9 in that situation over the past few years, & have unveiled QB Dekkers (25-of-31 last wk). Revenge. |
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09-10-22 | Alabama -19.5 v. Texas | 20-19 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 7 m | Show | |
CFB Play of the Day Texas is a paltry 2-9 ATS in its last 11 SEC wars, and not after gaining just 383 total yards in the blowout of ULM. In addition, Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian is 1-10 ATS in games when both teams are coming off a SUATS win if his team scored 35-plus points in its last game. To cap it all off when coming off a season-opening win of more than 44 points, AP Preseason No. 1 ranked teams (Alabama this season) are 7-0 SUATS in Game Two since 1980 – by an average score of 49-8. |
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