NFL Week 4 Odds + Predictions
Week 4 of the NFL season is upon us – we can expect the usually surprises, the usual beat-downs and the usual thrilling conclusions to this week’s slate of games. Both the Packers and the Eagles have their byes this week – too bad – both teams have been fun to watch.
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Let’s take a look at the teams that ARE in action this week, the early lines for each of those games and what should play out on what promises to be another incredible week of NFL football.
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NFL Week 4 Odds for Week 4 NFL Action
Dolphins at Bengals (Opening line: Bengals, -7 points)
It’s hard to believe that the Bengals are favored in this game considered their struggles in prime time games – 2-6 in their last Nationally Televised games – yuk.
Add it the fact that the Dolphins have owned this series – 3-0 in the last three matchups and wins in every game in the series played in Cincinnati since 2007. I still think that the Bengals are the better team and should win – but I think the Dolphins play them tough.
Colts vs. Jaguars in London (Opening line: Jaguars, -2.5 points)
The Colts will likely be favored by 2-2 1/2 points here and rightfully so. Andrew Luck is 17-2 straight up in his last 19 divisional games. Neither team has been especially good this year – expect a high scoring game here.
My money is Luck and the Colts to finally put it together against a pretty bad team.
Titans at Texans (Opening line: Texans, -6.5 points)
The Texas enter off a total stinker against New England last Thursday night and they were dealt a huge blow with the announcement that enormous team leader JJ Watt will miss some significant time with a back injury.
The Titans aren’t all that great but they are going up against a wounded animal at home.
Forget the fact that the Texans have owned the recent series – 7-1 straight-up against the – mostly of the wins coming by double digits and the fact that Houston has had 10 days rest. Tennessee gets the win Sunday.
Browns at Redskins (Opening line: Redskins, -6.5 points)
Ugh the Browns! Seriously. Third stringer Cody Kessler takes his bad team into Washington where they haven’t won since 1991. The Skins looked decent in their win against the Giants in Week 3.
If you can get them at 6.5 points do it – the line will likely be up to 10 by gametime. Either way take the Skins in a walk.
Seahawks at Jets (Opening line: Seahawks, -3.5)
This game is awfully tough to pick because of the uncertainty of Russell Wilson. If Wilson doesn’t start I think the Jets who were awful last week right the ship. If Wilson plays, I like the Hawks by 3.
Bills at Patriots (Opening line: Patriots, -3.5)
It’s pretty hard to bet against the Pats for sure even though we don’t know who is going to start at QB for them.
They will have had 10 days to prepare for this game – more than enough as evidenced by their 5-0 record in such games.
New England has absolutely owned Buffalo – the Bills have won just once in their last 15 on the road at New England.
The Pats are money at home – despite Buffalo’s impressive win last week I think they get knocked back down to earth in this one. Take the Pats by 6.
Panthers at Falcons (Opening line: Panthers, -3)
The Falcons looked good Monday against New Orleans. The again – everyone has looked good against the Saints. Atlanta draws a motivated, upset Panthers team that is 1-2 on the season.
The Falcons are the only team that beat Carolina in the regular season last year and are 2-2 versus the Panthers in their last four games.
I’m not buying it – Carolina is just too good and too desperate to be denied this week. Against a pretty bad defense Cam Newton will eat! Take Carolina by a touchdown.
Raiders at Ravens (Opening line: Ravens, -3.5 points)
This is a pretty interesting game – Baltimore looks to remain the surprise team in the AFC against an Oakland team that is supposed to fill that role.
Oakland has traditionally had a difficult time travelling East – they are just 1-18 in their last 19 on the road in the East – my guess is that the trend continues this week as the Ravens keep up the strong run and hold the Raiders down.
Lions at Bears (Opening line: Lions, -1 point)
The Bears, to me look like one of the three or four worst teams in the NFL right now. The defense won’t stop Matt Stafford and company and the offense won’t be able to keep up in this one.
This looks like a rare Lions road blow-out here – I’m taking Detroit.
Broncos at Buccaneers (Opening line: Broncos, -4 points)
The Bucs haven’t been all that impressive so far in 2016 – the Broncos have. Denver has looked terrific in every aspect of the game.
It is hard for me to envision Tampa withstanding an outstanding Denver defense and it is tough to figure that Trevor Siemian won’t have his way with Tampa. Denver just beat Cincinnati on the road – no reason to think they won’t beat up on Tampa this week.
Rams at Cardinals (Opening line: Cardinals, -8 points)
The Cardinals are a tough team to figure out! A 1-2 record on the year was unforeseen to say the least. Now they host DIVISION LEADERS Los Angeles in a pivotal game.
I find it impossible to think the Rams will keep up the improbable run and that Arizona is as bad as they have been. The Cards are 4-2 in the last four meetings with the wins coming by an average of 17 points.
Take Arizona to right the ship in a much-needed laugher!
Saints at Chargers (Opening line: Chargers, -4 points)
The Saints just can’t keep the opposition out of their end zone. The San Diego Chargers have show so far that they can score. Add in the fact that they are decent at home, especially early in the season and it looks like an easy win for the home team here.
Forget the fact that it will be Drew Brees’ first game in San Diego since they let him go – the fact is that his team just isn’t very good!
Cowboys at 49ers (Opening line: Pick’em)
Gotta love the Cowboys here – they will likely be favored by a field goal by the time the game rolls around. The 49ers are actually OK at home – 6-3 ATS in their last nine but this is a different Cowboys team we are talking about.
Dak Prescott has the team believing – their well-balanced offense will roll and their suddenly competent defense will do just enough.
Chiefs at Steelers (Opening line: Steelers, -4 points)
The Steelers were brutal last week while the Chiefs forced eighth turnovers in Week 3 (6 interceptions). So why is Pittsburgh favored? How about the return of LeVeon Bell and the fact that Big Ben will be extra-motivated after delivering a dud last Sunday.
I have Pittsburgh as an elite club – take them by 7 points over a Chief team that looks a tier or two below them.
Giants at Vikings (Opening line: Vikings, -3.5 points)
This is a juicy one! The Vikings look like a team of destiny – they are doing everything right on the football field right now. The Giants on the other hand looked pretty bad last week against a very average Washington team.
Minnesota’s defense is simply one of the best in the game right now as evidenced by their win against the Panthers last week. I am a believer in Minnesota – they look like the Broncos of last season to me! Take them to easily beat the Giants this week.
BYES: Green Bay, Philadelphia.
NFL Week 4 Handicapping
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