NFL Week 11 Odds + Predictions
Looking for NFL Week 11 Odds and free NFL picks? Week 11 of the NFL season is upon us and if Week 10 was any indication of what we are about to see, we all have our work cut out for us when predicting the games. Week 10 treated us to some of the best games of the year – the Cowboys/Steelers and the Seahawks/Pats were just two of the superb games on the schedule. This week promises some fireworks too.
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Let’s take a look at all of the games on the NFL Week 11 schedule, examine the odds that accompany the games and TRY to determine what will play out on another scintillating week of NFL action.
Saints (4-5) at Panthers (3-6)
(Opening line: Panthers, -4.5 points) Thursday
Both of these teams enter Thursday night’s contest off of horrible losses in Week 10 – not sure where either teams’ heads will be.
Carolina has been brutal so far this season in divisional games – 0-3 SU – they are 3-6 ATS in their last nine against divisional foes – yuk.
Add in the fact that New Orleans won the first meeting 41-38 and I think the upset is the play here.
I just can’t see Carolina’s defense stopping Drew Brees and the boys while the Panthers offense has shown an affinity of stopping themselves!
Titans (5-5) at Colts (4-5)
(Opening line: Colts, -3.5 points)
The Titans head into Sunday’s game on a roll – looking like they have taken the next step in their progression. They take on the Colts who arrive off their bye.
Andrew Luck has never lost to the Titans in his career so far – 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS and their only meeting of the season resulted in a 34-26 Colts win.
But that was then and this is now – Tennessee is playing its best football in years – they are balanced on offense and have a pretty good defense in tow as well.
I like the upset here too – Indy isn’t a great team while Tennessee seems to be on the cusp of something! It may be wise to look at the Over in this game as well.
Jaguars (2-7) at Lions (5-4)
(Opening line: Lions, -6.5 points)
The Jaguars are a bad team – period! They enter Sunday’s game on a four game losing streak and they are just 2-10 in their last 12 games on the road.
The Lions on the other hand have been playing some good ball and enter rested off their bye. Jacksonville seems to be inventing new lows – my guess is rock bottom isn’t far off but hasn’t been reached quite yet.
Take the Lions by 10!
Buccaneers (4-5) at Chiefs (7-2)
(Opening line: Chiefs, -7.5 points)
The Chiefs have had a terrific season so far but their games have all been close – I don’t know about the 7.5 points spread here – KC is 4-4-1 ATS so far.
The Bucs have been pretty good as well despite a 4-5 record – they are 3-1 SU and ATS on the road.
While I like the Chiefs to win this game (they are 18-2 SU in their last 20 regular season games) I like the Bucs to keep it close.
Bears (2-7) at Giants (6-3)
(Opening line: Giants, -6 points)
The Giants have improved as the season has worn on – the Bears not so much. Just this week they lost Alshon Jeffrey to a drug suspension and one of their best O-line to injury.
The Bears are in trouble folks! They are 0-5 SU and ATS on the road this year – getting blown out away from home.
Expect the troubles to continue and for the Giants to post the easy win Sunday.
Cardinals (4-4-1) at Vikings (5-4)
(Opening line: Pick’em)
Two disappointing teams look to right the ship on Sunday when the Arizona Cardinals head to Minnesota to take on the free-falling Vikings.
This game looks like a defensive battle on paper with the better offense eventually prevailing. There is ZERO doubt which is the better offense – take Arizona by a field goal here.
Bills (4-5) at Bengals (3-5-1)
(Opening line: Bengals, -4 points)
The Bengals can’t stop the run as evidenced by Rashad Jennings’ performance on Monday night. Guess what? The Bills will run and run and run.
The Bengals are 16-3-1 in early home games – as long as the game isn’t in prime time – they have a chance. That said the Bills have the formula to beat Cincinnati and the Bengals looks like they are a team that has given up on the season.
Take Buffalo to keep their playoff hopes alive and to kill Cincinnati’s in this one.
Ravens (5-4) at Cowboys (7-1)
(Opening line: Cowboys, -7 points)
Baltimore enters this game with the top ranked overall defense – they alone have had a knack of keeping Baltimore’s games close and low scoring.
The Ravens have four losses on the year – by a combined 17 points.
That said, Baltimore is just 1-3 ATS on the road this year and this is the 2016 Dallas Cowboys we are talking about. The Boys are 8-1 ATS on the season and likely won’t take the foot off the pedal in this one. Take Dallas by 10.
Steelers (4-5) at Browns (3-4-1)
(Opening line: Steelers, -8.5 points)
Cleveland is brutal against the league and is 1-8 ATS in their last nine against divisional foes as well – the Browns are the Browns!
Although Pittsburgh is just 1-3 ATS on the road this year look for them to be an angry bunch this week after their heartbreaking loss to Dallas last week.
The Steelers offense should roll in this one in yet another blowout of the lowly Browns.
Dolphins (5-4) at Rams (4-5)
(Opening line: Pick’em)
This is a battle between Miami’s suddenly decent offense versus LA’s stout defense – which one do you like better?
Jared Goff is apparently going to start at QB for the Rams this week after Case Keenum’s ineptitude finally forced Jeff Fisher’s hand. Word is that Goff isn’t close to ready for NFL action!
I gotta go with a Hot Miami team here by at least a field goal – they are peaking while the Rams look as though they are preparing to tank!
Expect the LA defense to keep this close again however – the Under may be in play here too!
Patriots (7-2) at 49ers (1-8)
(Opening line: Patriots, -14 points)
I feel sorry for the 49ers in this one – the Pats are coming off a tough home loss and will be eager to exact some revenge.
New England is 7-2 ATS so far this year (4-0 SU and ATS on the road) – San Fran is 2-7 ATS. LeGarrette Blount should feast in this game as Brady and the boys rack it up in what will likely be the blowout of the weekend.
No matter what the Spread is, take New England!
Eagles (5-4) at Seahawks (6-2-1)
(Opening line: Seahawks, -4.5 points)
The oddsmakers have this one about right – I see this as a 27-23 or 27-20 game. Both defenses have been good this year and both offenses have weapons.
The difference here is in the numbers – Seattle is 31-5 SU in their last 36 home games while Philadelphia is just 1-5 SU and ATS in their five road games this year.
Rookie Carson Wentz will have his eyes opened big-time in this one as the Seattle crowd propels their team to a seven point victory.
Packers (4-5-0) at Redskins (5-3-1)
(Opening line: Redskins, -3 points)
Ugh – the Packers are in a freefall folks – there are ZERO aspects of their game that is firing right now – offense, defense and even coaching have been suspect as of late. The Redskins on the other hand are getting things done – they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
Green Bay’s defense has been torched to the tune of 30 points per game the last five weeks – expect that trend to continue Sunday.
This looks like a 31-27 win for Washington!
Texans (6-3) vs. Raiders (7-2)
in Mexico City (Opening line: Raiders, -3.5 points)
This game will be played at 7500 feet above sea level – 2000 feet higher in the atmosphere than Denver! There are a couple of things I am looking at here – Houston is 1-3 SU and ATS on the road this year – they are just and average-looking team.
Secondly, the weakness of the Raiders is their pass defense and Brock Osweiler passed for just 99 yards in a win last week – 99!
Simply put the Raiders who are 6-3 ATS this year are a good team – Houston doesn’t scare anyone. Take Oakland by 10 in this one – 27-17.
Bye week: Broncos, Chargers, Falcons, Jets
NFL Week 11 Handicapping
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