Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Commanders vs. Eagles Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles free NFL Week 4 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Eagles on Sunday, October 1st at the Lincoln Financial Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Philadelphia matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles (3-0)
Date: Sunday, October 1st
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +7.5 | Philadelphia -7.5
Week 4 NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +293 | Philadelphia -366
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Get ready for an exciting Week 4 matchup as the Washington Commanders (2-1, 1-2 ATS) take on the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles (3-0, 2-0-1 ATS) this Sunday at 1:00 ET in the iconic Lincoln Financial Field.
The NFL betting lines currently stand at Washington +7.5 and Philadelphia -7.5, with respective Moneyline odds of Washington +293 and Philadelphia -366. The Over/Under betting total is set at 44.5 points.
These two historic rivals have clashed on the field a staggering 177 times over the years, with the Commanders holding a slim lead in the all-time series at 89–83–6.
In the two head-to-head matchups last season, the Commanders and Eagles each picked up one win apiece. Together the Commanders and Eagles averaged 42.5 points per game and had an over/under record of 1-1.
Against the spread, they each went 1-1.
Offensively, the Eagles averaged 332 yards per game in the head-to-head matchups compared to the Commanders at 285 yards.
If you’re looking to make early bets on either team, rest assured, we have you covered with comprehensive odds and expert picks.
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Washington Commanders
As they prepare to face the Eagles, the Commanders hold a 2-1 record. Within the NFC-East, they currently sit in 3rd place and are 8th place in the NFC. Washington’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -9.3.
The team comes in with an ATS mark of 1-2.
In the Commanders’ loss to the Bills, the Commanders finished with 230 yards of offense comapred to the Bills’ 386. The Bills ran the ball 33 times for 168 yards and averaged 6.8 yards per passing attempt for 218 yards.
Washington’s 34 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 5 point underdogs. Sam Howell did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 19 of 29 passes for 170 yards.
Howell ended the game with a passer rating of 41.
Washington Commanders Stats
Versus the Bills, the Commanders finished with 13 rushing attempts, and Brian Robinson Jr. led the way with 70 yards. Meanwhile, Sam Howell had 29 pass attempts, resulting in 170 yards and a passer rating of 41.
The Washington offense is currently positioned 15th in the league, scoring an average of 19.3 points per contest.
Defensively, the Commanders come into the game allowing an average of 203.0 passing yards per game and 128.7 rushing yards. When it comes to sacks, Washington ranks 4th among other defenses.
Overall, they are giving up 28.7 points on 331.7 yards.
Philadelphia Eagles
Entering week 4, Philadelphia is positioned 1st in the NFC-East with a 3-0 record. In the NFC, they are currently in 2nd place. The Eagles currently hold a 2-0-1 record against the spread.
Currently, their average scoring margin is +8.3.
In the Eagles’ win over the Buccaneers, the Eagles’ offense finished with 472 yards of offense compared to the Buccaneers’ 174. The Eagles went 10/16 on 3rd down, while the Buccaneers converted on 62.5% of their 3rd down attempts.
Going into the game, Philadelphia was favored by 5.5 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Jalen Hurts threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Hurts completed 62% of his passes for 277 yards.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
Philadelphia’s offense produced a total of 472 yards against the Buccaneers. When it came to third downs, the Eagles had a conversion rate of 62.5%.
The leading rusher for the Eagles was D’Andre Swift with 130 yards, and Jalen Hurts contributed 277 passing yards.
In terms of offense, the Eagles are at 28 points per game, ranking them 6th in the NFL.
Defensively, Philadelphia is 9th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 19.7 points per game while gaining 310.0 yards per contest.
Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Eagles have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Eagles’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Eagles Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +300 | +298 | +7.5 | +7.5 |
| Eagles | -375 | -380 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +7.5
Last season, teams that were favored against the spread, went on to cover at a rate of just 44.6%. I like the value in grabbing the Commanders at +7.5 in their matchup vs. the Eagles.
Divisional matchups are always closer than people think. (Well almost always!) These two teams know each other well, and the final score will reflect that.
I think the Eagles while a great team can have moments of weakness. The Commanders will pounce on Sunday to keep this within reach. Howell will continue to lead his team, and he’s an upgrade at QB over what’s been there the last few years.
Last year, Philly boasted a 10-10 ATS record, even though they made it to the Super Bowl. I’m not saying Washington wins, but Philadelphia is still not hitting on all cylinders and there’s a window here for this stout Commanders defense to land some body-blows on Sunday.
If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing OVER 50 points.
For this game, my money is on the Over, our model has it at 51.
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Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Get AJ the damn ball!
https://twitter.com/Eagles/status/1706783201337753822
Love the passion.
Focus on what we got to do@Grubhub | #HTTC pic.twitter.com/h5vMuSaigp
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) September 24, 2023
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