Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Commanders vs. Giants Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Giants on Sunday, November 3rd at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(6-2) Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants (2-6)
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington -3.5 | New York +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington -185 | New York +155
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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NFL Week 9, folks! It’s the Washington Commanders (6-2) facing off against the struggling New York Giants (2-6) in what’s shaping up to be a thrilling matchup in East Rutherford.
Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd, and we’ve got all the action for those looking to back a winner or play the spread. Right now, Washington is giving 3.5 points, and the betting total is set at 43.5.
The Commanders have been a beast against the spread, sitting at 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven, while also being a solid 6-1 straight-up.
Washington’s favorite status doesn’t just look good on paper; it’s backed up with real momentum, going 4-1 in their last five games as the favorite.
Last season, the Commanders and Giants did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Giants have the leg up at 2-1.
The Giants also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 36 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Washington Commanders
Washington heads into week 9 on a two-game winning streak, including a 40-7 blowout over the Panthers in week 7 and an 18-15 win over the Bears in week 8. The Commanders are now 6-2, putting them in first place in the NFC East. According to our projections, Washington has an 83.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 45.6% chance of winning the division.
Washington ranks 8th in our NFL power rankings and has an average scoring margin of +8.6 points per game. They are 6-1-1 against the spread this season, including 4-0 as the favorite. Their O/U record is 5-3, with the under hitting in two straight games.
Washington Commanders Stats
Heading into week 9, the Commanders sit 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 3rd in the NFL in both points per game (29.5) and yards per game (396.2). Despite ranking 22nd in passing attempts, they are 9th in passing yards per game with 230.5. On the ground, they average 165.8 rushing yards per game, which ranks 3rd, on 31.9 attempts per game. Washington is 4th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 46.4%.
Jayden Daniels threw for 326 yards and a touchdown in week 8, completing 21 of 38 passes. Terry McLaurin led the team with 5 catches for 125 yards, while Brian Robinson Jr. had 65 rushing yards on 16 carries. Washington scored 6 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters against the Bears but failed to convert on 3 red zone attempts.
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Washington’s defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as they allowed just 111 passing yards on 10 completions to the Bears. Despite giving up 196 rushing yards on 34 attempts, the Commanders held Chicago to just 15 points in their 18-15 win. The Bears managed to convert only 16.7% of their third down attempts.
The Commanders’ defense also forced two sacks and limited the Bears to 4.6 yards per passing attempt. Washington’s defense played well on the back end, allowing just 4.6 yards per passing attempt and not giving up any passing touchdowns.
New York Giants
Heading into week 9, the Giants are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 26-18 road loss to the Steelers in week 8. This put New York at 2-6 on the season, leaving them 4th in the NFC East. They have yet to win at home this year (0-4) but are 2-2 on the road.
According to our projections, the Giants have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 29th in our NFL power rankings. New York is 3-5 against the spread and has been the underdog in all of their games so far. Their O/U record is 2-6, with an average of 36.5 points scored in their games.
New York Giants Stats
Heading into week 9, the Giants are 25th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 30th in the league in points per game, averaging 14.6, and are 25th in total yards per game with 303.6. Despite being 5th in passing attempts, they are 22nd in passing yards per game, with 195.1. On the ground, they rank 24th in rushing yards per game, averaging 108.5 on 25.9 attempts per game.
New York ranks 23rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (34.5%) but has been effective in the red zone, converting 63.6% of their opportunities, which ranks 6th. In week 8, Daniel Jones threw for 264 yards but didn’t find the end zone, and he was sacked 4 times. Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 145 yards on 20 carries, while Darius Slayton had 4 catches for 108 yards.
In their 26-18 loss to the Steelers, the Giants gave up 426 yards of offense. They struggled to stop the run, allowing 167 rushing yards on 31 attempts. Despite this, the Giants did manage to sack the quarterback four times, although they did lose the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
In the passing game, the Giants allowed 259 yards through the air, with Pittsburgh averaging 9.2 yards per attempt. The Giants also struggled on third downs, allowing the Steelers to convert 46.2% of their third down attempts.
Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Giants are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Commanders are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Giants have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Giants’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Giants Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +105 | -185 | +1.5 | -3.5 |
| Giants | -125 | +154 | -1.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington -3.5
The Giants have been floundering, with a 1-4 straight-up record in their last five, showing that covering at +3.5 could be a real challenge.
For bettors looking at the moneyline, Washington sits at -185, with New York at +155, a fair gap that reflects each team’s current form. The last time these two met, the Commanders edged out a 21-18 victory, and this matchup promises to deliver another hard-fought battle.
For this week nine matchup between Washington and New York, we have the Commanders coming out on top by a score of 24-17.
With the Giants currently sitting at -3.5 point dogs, our pick is to take Washington to not only win but cover the spread as road favorites.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 43.5 points, we like the under, projecting a combined score of 41 points.
Washington’s consistency is worth a close look for Week 9, but in divisional games like this, you can always expect a little extra grit and grind from both sides.
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Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Storylines to follow in Week 9 ⤵️
📰: https://t.co/Z6vnmHmMxX pic.twitter.com/P5X5HwwstO
— Matt Citak (@MattCitak) October 30, 2024
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