Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Commanders vs. Giants Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants free NFL Week 7 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Giants on Sunday, October 22nd at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(3-3) Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants (1-5)
Date: Sunday, October 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington -2 | New York +2
Week 7 NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington -131 | New York +107
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39.5
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This week’s NFL betting game features the Washington Commanders (3-3, 3-3 ATS) facing off against the New York Giants (1-5, 1-5 ATS) on Sunday at 1:00 ET in MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ.
In Week 7, the ATS Betting Lines favor Washington at -2, with Moneyline Odds at Washington -131 and New York +107. The NFL Betting Total is set at O/U 39.5.
Last week, the Commanders defeated the Falcons 24-16, while the Giants, missing Daniel Jones, fell to the Dolphins 31-16. Good news for New York, as they’ve won 6 out of their last 9 games against Washington.
This rivalry has a long history with 182 matchups, including 2 postseason games. The Commanders have won 71, the Giants 106, and they’ve tied 5 times.
Interestingly, the GMEN haven’t scored an offensive touchdown in almost four full games, approaching an NFL record.
Going back to last season, the Giants and Commanders faced off two times, with the Giants going 1-0-1. Against the spread, the Giants had the edge in last year’s head to head matchups, going 1-0-1. On the over/under, the team’s averaged 36 points per game leading to an OU mark of 0-2.
The Commanders’ offense finished their head-to-head matchups with 399 yards per game of offense.
As for the Giants, they averaged 302 yards offensively.
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Washington Commanders
Entering week 7, Washington is positioned 3rd in the NFC-East with a 3-3 record. In the NFC, they are currently in 8th place. Thus far this season, the Commanders hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 3-3. Their average scoring margin in the current season is -7.2.
On offense, the Commanders racked up 193 yards in their 24-16 win over the Falcons. For the game, the Commanders ran for 72 yards on an average of 3.3 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 402 yards of total offense with 296 yards coming through the air and 106 on the ground. Washington went into the game as the underdog (+1.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Sam Howell threw for 151 yards while completing 60% of his passes and throwing for 151. Howell threw for three touchdowns.
Washington Commanders Stats
On offense, Sam Howell ended with 151 passing yards on a completion rate of 60%. On the ground, the Commanders ran the ball 22 times, amassing 72 yards. The team converted 2 third-downs at a rate of 20%.
On offense, the Commanders are averaging 22.2 points per game, putting them 15th in the NFL.
When it comes to yards allowed, the Commanders rank 29th in the league, conceding an average of 377.2 yards per contest. Washington’s defense has allowed 29.3 points per game, which has them 26th in the NFL.
New York Giants
Going into this week 7 NFC matchup, the Giants have an overall record of 1-5. In the NFC-East standings, the Giants are in 4th place and 14th in the NFC. So far, they have gone 1-3 against NFC opponents and 0-2 at home. The Giants have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 1-5. Their average scoring margin for this season is -16.
Defensively, the Giants gave up 297 yards of total offense to the Bills in a 14-9 loss. The Bills ran the ball for 128 yards while throwing for 169. On offense, the Giants went 10/19 on 3rd down and finished with 317 yards of total offense.
Even though New York lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 15.5-point underdogs. Tyrod Taylor did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 24 of 36 passes for 200 yards.
Taylor ended the game with a passer rating of 80.
New York Giants Stats
Offensively, Tyrod Taylor ended with 200 passing yards with a completion rate of 66%. The Giants ran the ball 34 times, gaining 132 yards. The team converted 10 of 19 third-down opportunities.
The New York offense is currently positioned 29th in the league, scoring an average of 11.8 points per contest.
The New York defense has recorded five takeaways this season, which places them 10th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 27.8 is 25th in the league while giving up 364.5 yards per contest.
Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 0-5 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Commanders are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Giants have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Giants’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Giants Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Commanders | -112 | -131 | -1.5 | -2 |
Giants | -104 | +107 | +1.5 | +2 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: New York +2
After a lackluster performance in the passing game against Atlanta, I’m not expecting Washington to bounce back quickly. This is why I’m leaning towards New York as 2-point underdogs. Seriously. I am.
Washington are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against NY Giants.
I’ve seen some signs that things are starting to click (a little), and I’m just not 100% sold on the Commanders at this point.
Last week, if Tyrod Taylor (who has to be rusty) just had some better clock management that game is a different outcome. Trust in Saquon this week.
They won 2, they lost 3, then there was last week. Which Commanders team is going to show up this week? Do you seriously know? I doubt it.
For this game with an over/under line of 39.5, my choice is to take the under. New York’s games have an average margin of +9.8 against their previous over/under lines.
My model calls for 38 total points in this one.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Giants’ last 20 games at home, and we’ve seen the UNDER in 13 of Washington’s last 20 games.
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Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
It’s not pretty…
Takeaways from Sunday night in Buffalo ⤵️
📰: https://t.co/A5KqgAnwWb pic.twitter.com/rojG7ZuQtZ
— Dan Salomone (@Dan_Salomone) October 16, 2023
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