Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Commanders vs. Saints Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. New Orleans Saints free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Saints on Sunday, December 15th at the Caesars Superdome. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington New Orleans matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(8-5) Washington Commanders vs. New Orleans Saints (5-8)
Date: Sunday, December 15th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans LA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington -7.5 | New Orleans +7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington -361 | New Orleans +282
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43
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Week 15 brings us a compelling NFC clash as the Washington Commanders visit the New Orleans Saints in the Caesars Superdome. Washington leads the all-time series 17-11, but the Saints have claimed the last three, including a decisive 33-22 victory in the nation’s capital back in 2021.
Now, these teams are trending in opposite directions, making this matchup a bettors dream.
Over the last three times these two teams have played, the Saints have the leg up at 3-0.
The Saints also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 60 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
The Commanders have been on a tear, going 8-3-1 against the spread in their last 12 games and excelling against NFC South opponents, covering six of their last eight.
Washington Commanders
Washington’s 42-19 win over the Titans in week 13 snapped their three-game losing streak and improved their record to 8-5. Before this, the Commanders had dropped three straight, including a home loss to the Cowboys in week 12. They also fell to the Eagles in week 11 and the Steelers in week 10. Despite the recent slump, Washington remains 2nd in the NFC East and 7th in the conference standings.
According to our projections, the Commanders have an 84.8% chance of making the playoffs, but just a 2.0% chance of winning the division. They rank 11th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 15. Washington is 8-4-1 against the spread and has an average scoring margin of +6.2 points per game. Their O/U record is 9-4, with the over hitting in two straight games.
Washington Commanders Stats
Heading into week 15, the Commanders rank 4th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game (28.9) and 5th in yards per game (377.6). Despite ranking 24th in passing attempts, they are 18th in passing yards, averaging 220.7 per game. On the ground, they rank 4th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards, with 156.9 per game. Washington ranks 6th in 3rd-down conversions and leads the NFL in red zone attempts, but they are 26th in red zone conversion percentage.
Jayden Daniels had a strong performance in week 13, throwing for 206 yards and 3 touchdowns on 25/30 passing. Terry McLaurin led the team with 8 catches for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 103 yards on 16 carries. Washington scored 21 points in the 1st quarter and converted 9 of 14 3rd-down attempts in their win over the Titans.
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In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense came up with two sacks and held the Titans to just 48.6% completions. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, they allowed only 210 yards passing in their 42-19 win over the Titans. Washington’s defense was particularly tough against the run, allowing just 35 yards on 11 attempts.
On the game, the Commanders allowed just 245 total yards. Additionally, they held the Titans to a 41.7% conversion rate on third down.
New Orleans Saints
With a 5-8 record, the Saints sit 3rd in the NFC South and 29th in our power rankings. They have a -0.2 scoring margin and are 5-8 against the spread, including two straight ATS losses. Their O/U record is 7-6, with the under hitting in their last two games.
New Orleans ended a two-game losing streak with a 14-11 win over the Giants in week 14. The Saints couldn’t cover the 5.5-point spread, but the win kept their slim playoff hopes alive (0.2%).
New Orleans Saints Stats
Heading into week 15, the Saints rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22.3 points per game, and 14th in yards per game with 341.5. New Orleans has leaned on the run game, ranking 7th in rushing attempts and 10th in rushing yards per game (128.7). On 3rd down, they rank 15th in the NFL with a conversion rate of 38%.
Derek Carr threw for 219 yards (20/31) and a touchdown in week 14, but he also had an interception before leaving with a hand injury. Alvin Kamara was held to 44 yards on 17 carries, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the team with 51 receiving yards. Taysom Hill had 37 receiving yards in week 13 and rushed for 138 yards in week 11.
The Saints’ defense played well on third downs in their 14-11 win over the Giants, allowing just a 26.3% conversion rate. They also limited the Giants to a 42.9% completion percentage and only 213 yards passing. New Orleans’ defense came up with a key interception and held the Giants to just 11 points.
Despite giving up 112 yards on the ground, the Saints defended the pass effectively, allowing only 21 completions. They also had two sacks and pressured the quarterback, finishing with a +9 advantage in the QB hit battle.
Washington Commanders vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Saints are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Commanders are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Saints have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Saints’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Saints Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +120 | -336 | +2.5 | -7.5 |
| Saints | -142 | +269 | -2.5 | +7.5 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington -7.5
The Commanders balanced attack and ability to handle the spread as favorites (-7.5) make them a tough out, especially against a New Orleans team that’s struggled to find consistency.
The Saints, sitting at 5-8, have surrendered an average of 27 points in their last five home games and are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine overall.
Our pick vs. the spread in this Washington vs. New Orleans matchup is to take Washington to cover as road favorites. They are currently sitting at -7.5 and we have them winning by a score of 31-20.
Washington’s defense will look to keep the Saints in check, while their offense aims to exploit a vulnerable New Orleans unit.
For this week 15 matchup, we have Washington pulling off the upset. As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 43 points, we have these teams combining for 51 points, making the over a good play.
At a total of 43, this game should lean towards a scoring showcase or a Commanders domination. Either way, buckle up for an exciting matchup with plenty of betting angles to dissect!
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Washington Commanders vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Flicks📸 #ShotonSony#Saints | @SonyElectronics pic.twitter.com/W9ASH39KEP
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) December 11, 2024
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