Free NFL Week 2 Pick: Commanders vs. Broncos Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos free NFL Week 2 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Broncos on Sunday, September 17th at the Empower Field at Mile High. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 2 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Denver matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 2
(1-0) Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos (0-1)
Date: Sunday, September 17th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
NFL Week 2 ATS Betting Lines: Washington +3 | Denver -3.5
Week 2 NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +154 | Denver -190
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39
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This week’s NFL odds favor the Denver Broncos in their matchup against the Washington Commanders. The Broncos hold a -3.5 point spread, with a -185 moneyline, while the Commanders come in at +150.
The over/under for the game is set at 38.5, making it an intriguing betting opportunity for NFL enthusiasts.
FACT: Over their last 10 games, the Broncos managed just one cover against the spread (ATS) when favored by a touchdown or less. This trend indicates that they struggle to meet expectations. (Explains my love/hate relationship with Russell Wilson)
Last season, the Commanders and Broncos did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Broncos have the leg up at 2-1.
The Broncos also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 43 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
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Washington Commanders
Starting the season, the Commanders played the Cardinals in week one and emerged with a 20-16 victory at home.
Washington Commanders Stats
On offense, the Commanders finished with 248 yards against the Cardinals. When it came to third downs, the Commanders had a 33.3% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Brian Robinson Jr. with 59 yards, and Sam Howell contributed 202 passing yards.
On the defensive side, the Commanders allowed 210 yards of total offense to Arizona. Among these yards, 96 were given up on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 114 yards through 30 attempts.
Denver Broncos
In their season opener, the Broncos started the season by hosting the Raiders. Sean Payton’s Denver debut left much to be desired, lacking the excitement fans had hoped for. The Broncos sit at 0-1 after dropping the game 17-16.
Denver Broncos Stats
In terms of offensive production, Russell Wilson finished with 177 passing yards with a completion rate of 79%. The Broncos ran the ball 22 times for 94 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 5/11.
On the defensive side, the Broncos allowed 261 yards of total offense to Las Vegas. Among these yards, 61 were given up on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 200 yards through 26 attempts.
Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 3-1-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Broncos have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Broncos’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Broncos Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +145 | +154 | +3.5 | +3.5 |
| Broncos | -180 | -190 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 2 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +3
The Commanders and Broncos boast strong defensive units, making them formidable contenders on the football field. Two problems I see however. The first problem is one team on the field Sunday will have a Super Bowl winning QB, the next problem is that SB winning QB hasn’t looked like a SB winning QB in 4-5 years.
An 0-2 start for the Broncos would undoubtedly raise concerns among fans and pundits alike. The pressure would mount on the team to turn things around quickly and demonstrate their potential for a successful season.
I just can’t change my mind on this one. After my analysis of this matchup, I’m backing the Commanders to cover on the road.
Last season, the Broncos struggled when favored by 3.5 points or more, going winless ATS at 0-4.
Furthermore, their performance at home was a mixed bag, with a 3-5 record against the spread and an even 4-4 overall.
They are currently 3.5-point underdogs, and I see them winning this game outright.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Washington and Denver finishing with a combined 38 points.
With the over/under line sitting at 39, I’m getting a bet down on the under. For this game to go over the number Denver will need to address their offensive issues before I’ll be inclined to think a game they’re in can go OVER.
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Washington Commanders vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
1️⃣8️⃣ & 🔟 (reppin’ 8️⃣8️⃣ 🫶)
📸 via @ESanders_10 pic.twitter.com/EpsOrjRfFI
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) September 12, 2023
👀👀@Benj_Juice x @emmanuelforbes7 pic.twitter.com/yxOoE1SLyd
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) September 13, 2023
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