Free NFL Week 6 Pick: Commanders vs. Ravens Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Ravens on Sunday, October 13th at the M&T Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Baltimore matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(4-1) Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens (3-2)
Date: Sunday, October 13th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +6.5 | Baltimore -6.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +235 | Baltimore -288
NFL Betting Total: O/U 52.5
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The Commanders and Ravens did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Commanders have a record of 2-1. The Commanders also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-0-1. These games averaged a combined total of 44 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Washington Commanders
Washington heads into week 6 riding a four-game winning streak, including a 34-13 victory over the Browns in week 5. This win puts the Commanders at 4-1, giving them a 47.8% chance of winning the NFC East and a 69.9% chance of making the playoffs. They currently rank 12th in our NFL power rankings.
Washington is 4-1 against the spread this season, covering in four straight games. In week 5, they covered as 3-point favorites vs the Browns. Their O/U record is 4-1, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.
Washington Commanders Stats
Washington’s offense has been on fire, leading the NFL with 31 points per game. They rank 4th in the league in total yards, averaging 392.6 per game, and they’ve been dominant on the ground, with 33.6 rushing attempts and 178.4 rushing yards per game, both 2nd in the NFL. Despite ranking 25th in passing attempts, they’re 14th in passing yards per game. They’ve also been excellent on 3rd down, converting 51.7% of their attempts, which leads the league.
Jayden Daniels threw for 238 yards and a touchdown in week 5 against the Browns, after his 233-yard performance in week 4 and 254 yards in week 3. Terry McLaurin had 112 receiving yards on 4 catches in week 5, following his 100-yard game in week 3. Daniels also led the team in rushing in week 5, with 82 yards on 11 carries.
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The Commanders’ defense was dominant in their 34-13 win over the Browns, allowing just 108 yards passing and forcing seven sacks. Cleveland managed only 212 total yards, with Washington’s run defense giving up 104 yards on 23 attempts. The Commanders held the Browns to a 3.7 yards per attempt in the passing game and to a 55.2% completion rate.
Washington’s defense was particularly strong on third downs, allowing the Browns to convert just 7.7% of their third down attempts. Despite giving up one rushing touchdown, the Commanders controlled the game defensively and pressured the quarterback throughout, finishing with a +7 advantage in the QB hit battle.
Baltimore Ravens
After starting the season with two straight losses, the Ravens have now won three in a row, including a 41-38 road victory over the Bengals in week 5. Baltimore was a 2.5-point favorite in that game, and they narrowly covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 3-2. They have covered the spread in three consecutive games, including a 25-point win over the Bills in week 4 and a 28-25 win over the Cowboys in week 3.
With three straight wins, the Ravens now sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 71.4% chance of winning the AFC North and a 91.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 1-0 in division games and 2-2 in conference games, and their average scoring margin this season is +4.2 points per game. Baltimore’s O/U record is 4-1, with their games averaging 54.6 points per game.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Heading into week 6, the Ravens are 3rd in our offensive power rankings, leading the NFL in yards per game (447.6) and ranking 2nd in points per game (29.4). Baltimore has relied heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts (34.4) and rushing yards per game (211.2). They rank 9th in passing yards per game, despite being 18th in passing attempts.
Lamar Jackson is coming off a 348-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 5 against the Bengals, without throwing an interception. Derrick Henry rushed for 92 yards on 15 carries, and Zay Flowers had 7 catches for 111 yards.
The Ravens’ defense gave up five passing touchdowns in their 41-38 overtime win over the Bengals. Despite giving up 442 total yards, Baltimore’s defense managed to come up with three sacks and one interception. The Bengals had success on third down, converting 57.1% of their chances, and their quarterbacks completed 76.9% of their passes.
Baltimore did limit the Bengals to 71 rushing yards on 23 attempts, and the Ravens also won the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in the game.
Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Ravens are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Ravens have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Ravens’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Ravens Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +280 | +235 | +8 | +6.5 |
| Ravens | -355 | -288 | -8 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 6 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +6.5
For this week six matchup between Washington and Baltimore, we have Washington coming out on top by a score of 30-24. Despite being on the road, we have them covering the spread as 6.5-point underdogs.
As for an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 54 points and the line sitting at 52.5 points.
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