Free NFL Week 6 Pick: Commanders vs. Falcons Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons free NFL Week 6 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Falcons on Sunday, October 15th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Atlanta matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(2-3) Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons (3-2)
Date: Sunday, October 15th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
NFL Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +2.5 | Atlanta -2.5
Week 6 NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +115 | Atlanta -139
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Cappers Picks provides daily free sports picks and 2023 NFL Handicapping Analysis. Get ready for a full betting preview of the Commanders taking on the Falcons in an NFL Sunday showdown.
The Commanders (2-3, 2-3 ATS) face the Falcons (3-2, 1-4 ATS) on Sunday, October 15th at 1:00 ET, live from the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA, airing on CBS.
In Week 6, the Falcons are favored by -2.5 according to NFL Week 6 ATS Betting Lines. The moneyline odds are Washington +115 and Atlanta -139, with the Over/Under set at 41.5.
In Week 5, the Commanders suffered a tough 40-20 loss to the Bears, making it three losses in a row. On the other hand, the Falcons pulled off a surprising 21-19 win against the Texans, a game many didn’t expect them to win.
Last year, the Commanders and Falcons faced off one time, with Commanders winning 19-13. With their combined 32, the Commanders and Falcons fell short of the the over/under line of 40.5.
The Commanders covered the spread in this matchup. In the win, the Commanders racked up 314 yards of total offense compared to the Falcons at 332.
The Commanders rushed for 176 yards and threw for 138 in the game.
As football fans eagerly anticipate this crucial Week 6 matchup, stay tuned for our expert NFL analysis and predictions. We’ll provide valuable insights to help you make informed bets on this exciting NFL clash.
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Washington Commanders
Taking on the Falcons, the Commanders will look to improve on their record of 2-3. This mark has them in 3rd in the NFC-East and 11th in the NFC.
With a scoring margin of -10.2, the Commanders’ have achieved an ATS record of 2-3 so far.
Washington got off to slow start in their loss to the Bears, failing to score at all in the first-quarter. Overall, the Commanders finished with 388 of offense while giving up 451 on defense. Washington also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 6 point favorites.
Sam Howell threw for 388 yards while completing 72% of his passes and throwing for 388. Howell threw for two touchdowns.
Washington Commanders Stats
Washington’s offense produced a total of 388 yards against the Bears. When it came to third downs, the Commanders had a conversion rate of 50%. The leading rusher for the Commanders was Sam Howell with 19 yards, and Sam Howell contributed 388 passing yards.
Offensively, the Commanders have an average of 21.8 points per game, which positions them 16th in the NFL.
The Commanders’ defense, so far, has an average of 372.2 yards given up per game and 32 points per contest (28th). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 61.9% and 10 passing touchdowns.
In terms of stopping the run, they are 24th in the NFL.
Atlanta Falcons
As they face the Commanders, the Falcons will be looking to improve upon their 3-2 record. This has them positioned 2nd in the NFC-South and 6th in the NFC. In terms of the spread, the Falcons hold a record of 1-4.
This has come on an average scoring margin of -2.6.
After taking an early four-point first quarter lead, the Falcons went on to pick up the win. For the game, they averaged 6 yards per play leading to a total of 447 yards of offense. Defensively, they allowed 64 yards rushing and 12.4 yards per completion.
Even though Atlanta won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 2.5 point favorites. Quarterback Desmond Ridder threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Ridder completed 75% of his passes for 329 yards.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
Versus the Texans, the Falcons turned to the run 36 times, and it was Bijan Robinson who led the way with 46 yards. Meanwhile, Desmond Ridder finished with 37 pass attempts, resulting in 329 yards and a passer rating of 111.
For this season, the Atlanta offense has an average of 16.6 points per game, placing them at 24th in the league.
Defensively, Atlanta is 8th in the NFL in points allowed.
Their opponents have an average of 19.2 points per game while gaining 295.2 yards per contest.
Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Falcons are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Falcons have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Falcons Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | -102 | +114 | +1.5 | +2.5 |
| Falcons | -116 | -137 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 6 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +2.5
I’m beginning to think the Falcons like playing from behind. They can’t play with a lead. They can’t establish that run-game because they’re always playing catchup, and two of their 2023 wins have come by two points or less.
I think that’s what we’re going to see play out again this week.
As road underdogs, I’m liking the value of taking the Commanders. Right now, they are at +2.5, and I’ll be locking them in at this number while I can.
The Commanders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Atlanta, and the Falcons are 1-4 ATS in the last 5.
I’m taking the under for this game with the over/under line of 41.5.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta’s last 11 games, and for the Commanders, the total has gone UNDER in 13 of their last 20.
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Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Van Jefferson, come on down!!!
101 Receptions
1,499 Yards
10 TDsPending physical, we're getting a dynamic Super Bowl Champion in @VanJefferson12! pic.twitter.com/MiMJrzCHrU
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) October 10, 2023
Makin’ plays.
Playmakers making plays pic.twitter.com/ctIyohMIPo
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) October 10, 2023
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