Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Commanders vs. Cardinals Odds
Looking for Washington Commanders vs. Arizona Cardinals free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Commanders taking on the Cardinals on Sunday, September 29th at the State Farm Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Washington Arizona matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) Washington Commanders vs. Arizona Cardinals (1-2)
Date: Sunday, September 29th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale AZ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Washington +3.5 | Arizona -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Washington +158 | Arizona -189
NFL Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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Get ready for an electric Week 4 matchup between the Washington Commanders (2-1) and Arizona Cardinals (1-2)! If you love NFL betting, this game is packed with opportunity. The Commanders are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games, while the Cardinals have struggled as favorites, going 1-4 ATS in their last five.
But here’s the kicker: The spread might grab attention, but the real value is in the total. With both teams projected to put up a combined 57 points, the over at 50.5 looks like the play of the week.
Even though the Cardinals lost their only game against the Commanders last year, they managed to cover the spread. The Commanders picked up a 20-16 win over the Cardinals.
The Commanders were -6.5 point favorites going into the game.
The game finished with a combined 36 points, which was just short of the over/under line of 37.5 points.
Washington Commanders
Washington is now 2-1 after their 38-33 win over the Bengals. The Commanders were +7 point underdogs on the road and came out with a straight-up and ATS win. The combined 71 points easily surpassed the O/U line of 45.5 points. Washington’s win was capped off by a late 1-yard touchdown run from Zack Moss.
The Commanders were tied 7-7 after the 1st quarter, but they took the lead for good with a touchdown early in the 2nd quarter. Heading into the 4th, Washington led 28-20. Jayden Daniels’ 4-yard touchdown run and Brian Robinson Jr.’s early touchdown helped Washington take a 14-7 lead in the 2nd quarter.
Washington Commanders Stats
The Washington Commanders’ offense put up 38 points in their 38-33 win over the Bengals, with Jayden Daniels leading the way with 254 yards passing on 21 completions. Daniels also rushed for 39 yards, including a touchdown. Washington had 22 first downs and converted 55.6% of their third down attempts.
Despite not having a single passing attempt, the Commanders still managed to put together a strong offensive performance. Terry McLaurin was a key contributor, finishing with 100 yards receiving and a touchdown. Washington’s ground game produced 108 yards on 32 attempts.
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Washington’s defense gave up 124 rushing yards on just 20 attempts in their 38-33 win over the Bengals, and they allowed 312 yards through the air, including three passing touchdowns. The Commanders’ defense was tough on the Bengals’ passing game, not allowing a single completion.
Despite giving up 436 total yards, Washington’s defense managed two sacks and held the Bengals to a 60% third-down conversion rate. The Commanders’ defense will look to tighten up in coverage in their next game.
Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are now 1-2 after their 20-13 loss to the Lions. Arizona fell behind early, as the Lions matched their opening touchdown to make it 7-7 in the 1st quarter. However, Detroit scored 13 unanswered points in the 2nd quarter, and the Cardinals managed only a field goal before halftime. Arizona made it a one-score game with 5:48 remaining in the 4th quarter, as Kyler Murray connected with Michael Wilson for a 28-yard touchdown, but they were unable to complete the comeback.
Despite being 3-point underdogs at home, the Cardinals lost straight-up and against the spread with their 7-point defeat. The combined 33 points were well below the over/under line of 51.5 points.“`
Arizona Cardinals Stats
The Cardinals’ offense struggled on third down, converting just 11.1% of their chances in a 20-13 loss to the Lions. They finished with 17 first downs and 373 total yards. Kyler Murray and the passing game had a tough time, as Murray threw for 207 yards on 34 attempts, with one touchdown and one interception. He was also sacked once.
Arizona didn’t have a single rushing attempt in the game. Murray led the team in rushing with 45 yards, including a 21-yard run. Marvin Harrison Jr. was the top receiver, with 64 yards and one touchdown.
In their 20-13 loss to the Lions, the Cardinals’ defense gave up 187 rushing yards on 43 attempts, including two rushing touchdowns. Despite not allowing a single completion, the Cardinals allowed 186 yards through the air. The defense forced one interception and held the Lions to a 50% conversion rate on third down. Arizona’s offense managed just one touchdown in the game.
Arizona’s defense recorded two sacks and had three more tackles for loss than the Lions. However, they allowed Detroit to control the ball for 34:42 of the game and convert 7 of 19 first downs.
Washington Commanders vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Commanders are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commanders are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cardinals have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commanders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Cardinals’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Commanders vs. Cardinals Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | +105 | +158 | +2 | +3.5 |
| Cardinals | -125 | -189 | -2 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +3.5
Washington’s offense could take flight, especially with Brian Robinson Jr. stepping up in a big way with Austin Ekeler sidelined.
Our model has the Washington Commanders coming out on top by a score of 30-27 in their week four matchup against the Cardinals. With the Commanders as 3.5-point favorites, we are looking to take them to cover as road underdogs.
For this one, we also like the over, with the line sitting at 50.5 points. Our projections have these teams combining for 57 points, making the over a solid play in this matchup.
Historically, this rivalry has been dominated by Washington, leading the series 77-47-2. But that was then, and this is now—two teams fighting to shape their season early on.
One of these squads is likely to hit the 30-point mark, so hammer that over! Expect fireworks in Glendale this Sunday.
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Washington Commanders vs. Arizona Cardinals NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
full throttle
— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) September 27, 2024
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