Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Titans vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Titans taking on the Dolphins on Monday, September 30th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tennessee Miami Monday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
Monday Night Football on ESPN
(0-3) Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins (1-2)
Date: Monday, September 30th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee -1 | Miami +1
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tennessee -111 | Miami -109
NFL Betting Total: O/U 36.5
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Get ready for some Monday Night Football action! In Week 4, we’ve got the (0-3) Tennessee Titans going head-to-head with the (1-2) Miami Dolphins in what promises to be a hard-fought battle. The Titans/Dolphins rivalry has been played 40 times, with Miami barely edging out Tennessee, 21 wins to 19. But when it comes to recent history, the Titans have dominated, taking three of their last five matchups.
Now, if you’re betting, here’s the real deal. Tennessee comes in as a slight favorite at -1, but don’t sleep on that Dolphins moneyline at -109. The total? 36.5. It’s low, but for a reason—neither offense has exactly lit it up so far this season.
Miami’s dynamic duo of Hill and Waddle managed just 66 yards last week without Tagovailoa under center, and they’ll need a massive turnaround to compete.
Even though the Dolphins were heavy favorites (-13.5) heading into their game against the Titans last year, they ended up losing the game 28-27. The Titans not only won the game, but they also covered the spread as underdogs.
The combined 55 points in the game surpassed the over/under line of 44 points.
Tennessee Titans
The Titans are still looking for their first win of the season after falling to 0-3 with a 30-14 loss to the Packers. Tennessee was not only defeated, but they also failed to cover the spread as 3-point favorites. The combined 44 points went over the total line of 37 points. The Titans quickly fell behind, as the Packers led 17-7 after the first quarter, and Tennessee couldn’t recover from this slow start.
After the Titans scored a touchdown early in the 1st quarter, the Packers responded with 20 unanswered points. Tennessee added another touchdown in the 3rd quarter but heading into the 4th, they were down 27-14 and couldn’t mount a comeback. In the 4th quarter, the Titans gave up a late field goal to the Packers. Will Levis and Nick Vannett connected for a touchdown to tie the score at 7 in the 1st quarter.
Tennessee Titans Stats
The Titans’ offense struggled to establish a running game in their 30-14 loss to the Packers, with just 11 attempts for 33 yards. They also allowed eight sacks in the game. Despite this, quarterback Will Levis threw for 260 yards on 76% completions, including two touchdowns and two interceptions. The Titans finished with 18 first downs and 204 yards through the air.
DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 73 yards receiving and one touchdown. Tony Pollard was the top rusher with 14 yards on six attempts. The Titans’ offensive line allowed a total of eight sacks in the game, making it tough for them to sustain drives and establish a balanced offense.
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In their 30-14 loss to the Packers, the Titans’ defense gave up 188 rushing yards on 37 attempts. Despite allowing 190 yards through the air, they did not give up a single completion. The Titans’ defense forced the Packers to convert on just 35.7% of their third down attempts and managed three sacks in the game. Tennessee also limited Green Bay to a 3-of-12 performance on third downs.
The Titans’ defense struggled to generate pressure on the quarterback, losing the QB hit battle by a margin of -9. Overall, they gave up 378 total yards in the game.
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins are now 1-2 after their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks. Miami was down 17-3 after the 1st quarter and couldn’t recover. The Dolphins were +4 point underdogs and lost straight-up by 21 points. The combined 27 points was lower than the over/under line of 41.5 points.
Seattle’s Jason Myers opened the scoring with a 56-yard field goal, and Geno Smith threw a pair of touchdowns to DK Metcalf in the first quarter. Miami managed a 23-yard field goal by Jason Sanders right before the end of the 1st quarter for their only points of the game.
Miami Dolphins Stats
The Dolphins’ offense struggled in their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks, managing just 13 first downs and 140 yards passing. Miami’s running game was limited to 65 yards on 18 attempts. Skylar Thompson, who went 13/19 for 107 yards, was sacked six times and didn’t throw any touchdowns. De’Von Achane was their top rusher with only 30 yards, while Tyreek Hill led the team with 40 receiving yards.
Overall, the Dolphins were unable to sustain drives, converting only 8.3% of their third down attempts. The offensive line allowed a total of six sacks on Thompson, contributing to their inability to move the ball consistently throughout the game.
In their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 270 passing yards, with two interceptions and limited Seattle to a 27.3% third-down conversion rate. Miami gave up 100 rushing yards on 23 attempts, and despite forcing Seattle to zero completions, they still allowed one passing touchdown. The Dolphins’ defense also recorded three sacks and didn’t allow any tackles for loss in the game.
Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Titans are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Titans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Titans vs. Dolphins Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | +220 | -111 | +6.5 | -1 |
| Dolphins | -270 | -109 | -6.5 | +1 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Tennessee -1
The Titans are coming off another rough outing, but they know how to clamp down on offenses like Miami’s, especially with what they learned watching Seattle dismantle the Dolphins last week.
This is a game where defense might shine more than offense, so if you’re leaning on a bet, the under could be the play here.
For this week four matchup between the Titans and Dolphins, we have the Titans coming out on top by a score of 21-14. With this projection, we like the Titans to cover as our best bet vs. the spread, as they are currently sitting at -1 favorites.
As for an over/under pick, with the line at 36.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, projecting a combined score of 35 points.
Buckle up, folks, this Week 4 matchup might be ugly, but it’s where the sharp money is. Let’s cash some tickets!
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Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
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Full episode > https://t.co/oNCEb9vH1x pic.twitter.com/pvSmSsjxJN
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