Free NFL Week 10 Pick: Titans vs. Chargers Odds
Looking for Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Titans taking on the Chargers on Sunday, November 10th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tennessee Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(2-6) Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers (5-3)
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee +7.5 | Los Angeles -7.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tennessee +299 | Los Angeles -378
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38.5
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Week 10 brings us an exciting AFC showdown with the Titans squaring off against the Chargers, a series the Bolts have largely dominated in recent years, winning three of the last four.
These teams last met in September 2023, with the Titans squeaking out a 27-24 victory in a tightly contested battle between Justin Herbert and Ryan Tannehill.
This rivalry, steeped in history, has been fought out 49 times, with the Chargers leading the charge with 28 wins to Tennessee’s 19 (plus one tie).
But over the last three times playing each other, the Titans have a record of 2-1. The Titans also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 1-0-2. These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Tennessee Titans
After three straight losses, the Titans finally got back in the win column in week 9, defeating the Patriots 20-17 to improve to 2-6. This puts Tennessee 3rd in the AFC South, and our power rankings have them 30th heading into week 10. They have a -9.1 scoring margin this season and are 1-7 against the spread, including four straight ATS losses.
Our projections give the Titans a 2.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.1% chance of winning the division. Their O/U record is 4-3-1, with their games averaging 44.1 points compared to an average line of 40.5.
Tennessee Titans Stats
Heading into week 10, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in both points per game (17.5) and yards per game (296.4). Despite ranking 15th in passing attempts, they are 31st in passing yards per game, averaging 170.8. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards per game, with 125.6.
Mason Rudolph threw for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 9, completing 20 of 33 passes. Tony Pollard rushed for 128 yards on 28 carries, while Calvin Ridley had 5 catches for 73 yards. The Titans converted 7 of 16 third downs and scored on 2 of 5 red zone trips in their win over the Patriots.
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In their 20-17 overtime win over the Patriots, the Titans’ defense allowed just 185 passing yards on 29 completions. They picked off two passes and held New England to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 110 rushing yards on only 20 attempts, the Titans kept the Patriots to just 295 total yards.
Tennessee’s defense also recorded four sacks and had a good day in terms of pressure, winning both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. The Titans forced the Patriots to throw short, as their 185 passing yards came on just 4.5 yards per attempt.
Los Angeles Chargers
With two straight wins, the Chargers have improved to 5-3, giving them a 78.2% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They rank 16th in our NFL power rankings and sit 2nd in the AFC West. After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, the Chargers bounced back with wins over the Saints (28-6) and Browns (27-10) in weeks 8 and 9, respectively.
Against the spread, the Chargers are 5-2-1, including two consecutive covers. They were 2-point favorites against the Browns in week 9 and won by 17. Their O/U record is 1-7, with the under hitting in three straight games.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Justin Herbert has been on a roll heading into week 10, posting a passer rating of 125 in week 9 against the Browns, with 282 yards and 2 touchdowns on 18/27 passing. He had a 111 passer rating in week 8 and threw for 349 yards in week 7. However, the Chargers’ offensive line allowed 6 sacks in their week 9 win over the Browns.
J.K. Dobbins led the Chargers’ rushing attack in week 9, with 85 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries. Quentin Johnston was the top receiver, with 4 catches for 118 yards and a touchdown.
In their 27-10 win over the Browns, the Chargers’ defense was impressive, coming up with three interceptions and six sacks. Despite allowing 213 passing yards, they limited Cleveland to just 10 points and a completion percentage of 56.5%. The Chargers defended the run well, allowing only 79 yards on 24 attempts and holding the Browns to 3.3 yards per attempt.
Their performance on third downs was also noteworthy, as they limited the Browns to a 35.3% conversion rate. Even though they allowed 292 total yards, they were able to keep the Browns out of the endzone for most of the game.
Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Titans are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Titans are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chargers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Titans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Chargers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Titans vs. Chargers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | +160 | +299 | +4 | +7.5 |
| Chargers | -192 | -378 | -4 | -7.5 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Chargers -7.5
Heading into this one, the Chargers have every reason to feel confident. Herbert has been putting up MVP-level numbers recently, and Los Angeles has covered four of their last five games as favorites.
Tennessee, meanwhile, has struggled both on the road and against the spread, going just 2-8 ATS in their last ten away games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall.
The Titans have yet to figure out how to win at SoFi Stadium or vs. the Chargers in the L8, dropping their last eight visits to the Chargers.
Our pick against the spread in this week 10 matchup between the Titans and Chargers is to take the Chargers as home favorites. The point spread line is currently sitting at -7.5 in favor of the Bolts, and we have them winning by a score of 23-13.
The spread might feel hefty at -7.5, but with the Chargers’ high-powered offense and a defense more than capable of handling a struggling Titans squad, there’s plenty of potential here for LA to make a statement.
As for the best way to bet the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 36 points and the O/U line at just 38.5 points.
SoFi Stadium will be rocking as the Bolts look to keep the momentum rolling and capitalize on a Tennessee team still searching for answers.
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Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
in the zone pic.twitter.com/YBJyEjI3zK
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) November 7, 2024
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