Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Titans vs. Colts Odds
Looking for Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Titans taking on the Colts on Sunday, December 22nd at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tennessee Indianapolis matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(3-11) Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts (6-8)
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis IN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee +4.5 | Indianapolis -4.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tennessee +180 | Indianapolis -218
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.5
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Week 16 is here, and the AFC South clash between the Titans and Colts promises to bring plenty of betting intrigue and gridiron drama.
The Colts lead the all-time series 38–22 and secured a narrow 20-17 victory in Nashville earlier this season.
This time, the action shifts to Lucas Oil Stadium, where Indianapolis looks to keep their slim playoff hopes alive while the struggling Titans aim to salvage some pride in a lost season.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Colts have the leg up at 3-0. The Colts also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 44 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Tennessee Titans
Heading into week 16, the Titans sit at 3-11, putting them 4th in the AFC South. They’ve lost three straight, including a 37-27 home loss to the Bengals in week 15. Tennessee was a 6-point underdog in that game, and the 64 combined points easily went over the 46-point line.
Our power rankings have the Titans 28th, and they have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. Their average scoring margin is -8.9, and they are 2-12 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-5-1, with their games averaging 45.2 points.
Tennessee Titans Stats
Heading into week 16, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in scoring, averaging 18.1 points per game, and 26th in total yards with 301 per game. Tennessee ranks 26th in passing yards (190.6) and 18th in rushing yards (110.4) per game. They are 22nd in 3rd-down conversions, with a 36.6% success rate, but have been strong in the red zone, ranking 8th with a 39.5% conversion rate.
Mason Rudolph threw for 209 yards (21/26) and 2 touchdowns in week 15, posting a 109 passer rating. Tony Pollard had 45 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Tyjae Spears led the team with 87 receiving yards on 6 catches. The Titans scored 14 points in the 1st quarter and 13 in the 4th against the Bengals, converting all 4 of their red zone opportunities and 5 of 8 on 3rd down.
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In their 37-27 loss to the Bengals, the Titans’ defense gave up 269 yards through the air, with Cincinnati completing 70.3% of their passes. The Titans struggled on third downs, allowing the Bengals to convert 76.9% of their third down attempts. Despite forcing two interceptions, Tennessee allowed three passing touchdowns and a 76.9% third-down conversion rate.
The Titans’ defense managed just one sack in the game and allowed the Bengals to score 37 points. They also struggled to defend the run, giving up 101 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Tennessee’s defense had a tough time getting off the field, as the Bengals controlled the clock and consistently extended drives.
Indianapolis Colts
Heading into week 16, the Colts sit 8th in the AFC standings with a 6-8 record. After narrowly beating the Patriots in week 13, they couldn’t keep the momentum going, falling to the Broncos 31-13 in week 15. This loss dropped their playoff chances to 8.7% and put them 23rd in our power rankings.
Against the spread, the Colts are 8-6 but have failed to cover in three straight games. Their O/U record is 7-7, with the over hitting in their last two games.
Indianapolis Colts Stats
Heading into week 16, the Colts rank 28th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in both points per game (20) and yards per game (311.4). Indianapolis has leaned on the run game, ranking 13th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards per game (120.9). On the other hand, they are 23rd in passing attempts and 27th in passing yards per game, averaging 190.4 yards through the air.
Anthony Richardson struggled in week 15, posting a passer rating of 36 after going 17/38 for 172 yards and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 107 yards on 22 carries, while Michael Pittman Jr. led the team with 6 receptions for 58 yards. The Colts scored just 13 points in their loss to the Broncos, failing to score in the 2nd half.
In their 31-13 loss to the Broncos, the Colts’ defense allowed just 121 passing yards but gave up three passing touchdowns. They struggled to generate pressure, finishing with only one sack and losing the QB hit differential by nine. Despite their struggles against the pass, they did force three interceptions.
The Colts defended the run well, allowing just 72 yards on 27 attempts. Offensively, the Colts finished with 193 total yards. Their defense held the Broncos to a 35.3% third-down conversion rate, but Indianapolis still came up short.
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Titans are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Colts are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Colts have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Titans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Colts’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Titans vs. Colts Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | +145 | +182 | +3.5 | +4.5 |
| Colts | -175 | -218 | -3.5 | -4.5 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis -4.5
The Colts enter as 4.5-point favorites, and for good reason. They’ve been solid against the spread, going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference matchups, and are dominant when favored, boasting a 9-1 SU record in their last 10 games in that role.
Meanwhile, Tennessee has been a disaster for bettors, with a 1-9 ATS mark in their last 10 games and just one outright win in their last six.
Indianapolis will lean on their balanced attack and opportunistic defense to exploit a Titans squad that’s struggled to find consistency all year.
For this week 16 matchup between the Titans and Colts, we have the Colts coming out on top by a score of 24-14. With this score prediction, we like the Colts to cover the spread at home, as they are currently sitting at -4.5 point favorites.
As for an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 38 points and the O/U line at 42.5 points.
Tennessee’s offense has sputtered, and I think divisional familiarity often keeps these games tight. Expect plenty of action as these rivals square off in a game with big implications for bettors.
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Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Sunday at home. pic.twitter.com/ILW1ST5kv8
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) December 18, 2024
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