Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Titans vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Titans taking on the Bears on Sunday, September 8th at the Soldier Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tennessee Chicago matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 8th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago IL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee +4.5 | Chicago -4.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tennessee +169 | Chicago -204
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Titans vs. Bears Gameday
Get ready for Week 1 of NFL action, where the Tennessee Titans and Chicago Bears clash at Soldier Field, and I’ve got a red-hot play for you! The Titans, rolling in as +4.5 underdogs, are my pick to cover in this season opener. Chicago may be the favorite, but don’t sleep on Tennessee’s ability to keep this one close.
The Titans and Bears did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Titans have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Bears went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 52 points per game.
Tennessee Titans
The Titans’ 2023 season was a struggle, as they finished with a 6-11 record, placing them 4th in the AFC South. Their only success within the division came in one of their five games, leading to a 1-5 division record. They were better at home with a 5-4 record compared to 1-7 on the road. Overall, they were 14th in the AFC and failed to make the playoffs.
Against the spread, the Titans were 7-9-1, with a 5-3-1 record at home and a 2-6 record on the road. They were 4-3 as home underdogs and 1-1 as home favorites. Last season, the Titans went 3-0 vs. the spread against below .500 teams and 4-9-1 vs. above .500 teams.
Tennessee Titans Stats
On the road, the Titans scored just 12.6 points per game, which was 30th in the NFL. Overall, they averaged 17.9 points per game, ranking 27th. Their offense struggled to move the ball, averaging only 289 yards per game, which was 28th in the league. In the passing game, they were 29th in yards, averaging 180.4 yards per game.
Tennessee’s inability to sustain drives was evident in their 33.5% third-down conversion rate, which placed them 25th compared to other teams. They also struggled to generate big plays, ranking 26th in yards per play, and were 30th in passing attempts.
DeAndre Hopkins, who is heading into his 11th season, is a key part of the Titans’ wide receiver group after putting up 1057 yards and seven touchdowns last year. He is joined by Calvin Ridley, who came over from the Jaguars and also surpassed 1,000 yards receiving with 1,016 yards and eight touchdowns. Tyler Boyd, entering his 9th season, joins from the Bengals after finishing with 667 yards and two touchdowns last year.
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The Titans’ defense was 24th in the NFL last season, allowing 335.1 yards per game. They were 15th in points allowed, giving up 21.6 points per game. One of their strengths was their run defense, as they were 4th in rushing yards per attempt. However, they struggled to pressure the quarterback, finishing 20th in quarterback hits.
Opposing quarterbacks completed 67.8% of their passes against the Titans (28th) and had a collective passer rating of 94.07 (27th). In the red zone, the Titans allowed opponents to score on only 37.7% of their possessions, the best mark in the league.
Chicago Bears
The Bears’ 7-10 record placed them 11th in the NFC and 4th in the NFC North, where they went 2-4 vs. division rivals. Chicago struggled in non-conference games, going only 1-4. However, they were strong at home with a 5-3 record, but struggled on the road, going 2-7.
Chicago’s games averaged 43.5 points last season, with their over/under record standing at 9-8. Against the spread, the Bears were 8-7-2, performing slightly better as the underdog with a 6-6-1 record compared to 2-1-1 as the favorite.
Chicago Bears Stats
Chicago’s offense was inconsistent last season, with the Bears finishing with a 7-10 record. They were 3-1 as the favorite but struggled with a 4-9 record as the underdog. The Bears’ ATS record for the season was 8-7-2. They were 2-1-1 vs. the spread as the favorite and 6-6-1 vs. the spread as the underdog.
Against above .500 teams, the Bears went 1-7, but they were 6-3 against below .500 teams. Chicago struggled in non-conference games, going only 1-4. At home, the Bears were 5-3, but on the road, they were 2-7. Their over/under record was 9-8, with their games averaging a combined 43.5 points per game.
Keenan Allen, who played in 13 games last season for the Chargers, joins the Bears for his 12th season after finishing with 1,243 yards and seven touchdowns. Chicago’s wide receiver group is bolstered by Allen, along with DJ Moore, who had 1,364 yards on 96 catches and eight touchdowns last year. Moore is entering his 7th season in the league. The Bears are also welcoming rookie Rome Odunze to this year’s squad.
Chicago’s defense was 13th in the NFL last season, and they were one of the best units at creating turnovers, ranking 4th with 28 takeaways. The Bears were also 6th in turnover differential. However, they struggled to pressure the quarterback, finishing near the bottom in sacks, quarterback hits, and tackles for loss.
Overall, the Bears gave up 22.3 points per game, which was 19th in the league. They excelled against the run, allowing just 3.8 yards per attempt (4th), but opposing offenses often attacked them through the air, with Chicago facing the 2nd fewest rushing attempts in the league.
Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Titans are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bears are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Titans are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Titans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Titans vs. Bears Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | +180 | +169 | +4.5 | +4.5 |
| Bears | -224 | -204 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Tennessee +4.5
With the Bears favored to win by a slim margin, something like 23-20, the sharp play here is on the Titans and the points. That +4.5 spread gives you just the right cushion to cash in on a gritty road effort from Tennessee.
Get your bets in early—this one is primed for some Sunday drama!
For the over/under, with the line at 45.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with our projections pointing to a combined score of 43 points.
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Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
There's something in the air. pic.twitter.com/urb8J7DBxr
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) September 5, 2024
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