Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Titans vs. Bills Odds
Looking for Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Titans taking on the Bills on Sunday, October 20th at the Highmark Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tennessee Buffalo matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(1-4) Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills (4-2)
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee +8.5 | Buffalo -8.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tennessee +355 | Buffalo -450
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.5
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Get ready for some Week 7 NFL action as the Titans head to Buffalo to take on the Bills at Highmark Stadium! The Bills, sitting at 4-2, are favored by 8.5 points, and it’s easy to see why—this team is dominant at home, especially against Tennessee, with a 9-4 SU record in their last 13 meetings in Buffalo. The last time these teams met, the Bills crushed the Titans 41-7, and bettors are likely feeling confident about another comfortable win.
But don’t count out the Titans just yet. Yes, Tennessee has struggled on the road, winning just two of their last 13 away games, but the Bills have shown some vulnerability recently, losing two of their last three games. This could open the door for the Titans to keep it close, especially with Buffalo covering just three of their last five as favorites.
The Titans and Bills did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Titans have a record of 2-1.
The Titans also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 56 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
Tennessee Titans
Heading into week 7, the Titans sit 23rd in our NFL power rankings and have a 7.8% chance of making the playoffs. They are 1-4, including a 1-1 record on the road and 0-3 at home. Tennessee’s lone win came in week 4 when they beat the Dolphins 31-12, but they couldn’t build on that victory, losing 20-17 to the Colts in week 6. The Titans were 2.5-point favorites in that game but couldn’t get the win at home.
Against the spread, Tennessee is 1-4, with their only win coming against Miami. They are 0-2 as favorites and 1-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-2-1, with an average of 41.2 points per game in their matchups.
Tennessee Titans Stats
Heading into week 7, the Titans rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 19.2, but they sit near the bottom of the league in passing yards, with just 135 per game, which ranks 31st. Tennessee is 23rd in passing attempts per game and ranks 27th in 3rd-down conversion percentage. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing yards per game, averaging 118.2, on 26.6 attempts per contest.
In week 6, Will Levis threw for 95 yards, completing 16 of 27 passes, with one touchdown and one interception. DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 54 receiving yards on 4 catches, while Tony Pollard rushed for 93 yards on 17 carries. The Titans scored 17 points against the Colts, with 7 coming in the 1st quarter and 7 more in the 3rd.
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In their 20-17 loss to the Colts, the Titans’ defense allowed just 2.9 yards per attempt on the ground, giving up a total of 80 rushing yards on 28 attempts. Despite their strong performance against the run, they struggled more in defending the pass, allowing 189 yards through the air, including two touchdowns. The Titans’ offense managed just 269 total yards in the game. They also forced one interception and held the Colts to a 46.7% third-down conversion rate, but they were unable to record any sacks.
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo’s week 6 win over the Jets ended their two-game losing streak and improved their record to 4-2, putting them in first place in the AFC East. After losses to the Ravens and Texans in weeks 4 and 5, the Bills bounced back with a narrow 23-20 victory over New York, covering the 1-point spread. They now have a +6.5 scoring margin and are 3-3 ATS this season.
Heading into week 7, our power rankings have Buffalo 5th, and they have an 86.1% chance of winning the division and a 94.7% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 3-3, with their games averaging 48.5 points compared to an average line of 46.2.
Buffalo Bills Stats
Josh Allen bounced back in week 6, posting a passer rating of 127 against the Jets, going 19/25 for 215 yards and 2 touchdowns. This followed his 131-yard performance in week 5 and 180 yards in week 4. Buffalo’s offense scored 13 points in the 2nd quarter but went quiet in the 2nd half, managing just 3 points. Ray Davis led the team with 97 rushing yards on 20 carries and also had 3 catches for 55 yards.
Buffalo is 6th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.5 points per game. They rank 21st in total yards, with 309.7 per game, and are 25th in passing yards, averaging 186.3 per game. On the ground, they are 11th in rushing yards, with 123.3 per game, and 11th in rushing attempts.
Buffalo’s defense came up with three sacks and held the Jets to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down in their 23-20 win over the Jets. They also forced one interception and allowed just a 34.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 121 rushing yards on 21 attempts, the Bills gave up 393 total yards and 272 passing yards.
The Jets completed 65.7% of their passes and averaged 7.8 yards per attempt through the air. Buffalo allowed two passing touchdowns in the game.
Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Titans are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bills are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bills have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Titans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bills’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Titans vs. Bills Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | +225 | +355 | +6.5 | +8.5 |
| Bills | -278 | -450 | -6.5 | -8.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: Tennessee +8.5
The 8.5-point spread is hefty, and with Tennessee’s knack for occasionally hanging tough in tight spots, this one might be closer than the odds suggest.
However, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bills to cover in this week seven matchup between the Titans and Bills. We have the Bills winning straight up though by a score of 30-20.
The over/under is set at 42.5, which gives you plenty to think about as well. With Buffalo’s high-powered offense and Tennessee looking to pull out all the stops, the line has some room for fireworks.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 42.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 50 points.
For bettors eyeing a sliver of hope in the underdog Titans, or backing the more consistent Bills to cover, this Week 7 matchup is poised to be a thrilling one for your Sunday ticket!
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Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
First practice for Coop! #GoBills | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/zhCesHbpN5
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) October 17, 2024
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