Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Buccaneers vs. Giants Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Giants on Sunday, November 24th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(4-6) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants (2-8)
Date: Sunday, November 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tampa Bay -5 | New York +5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -237 | New York +195
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Week 12 NFL action brings us a classic clash as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) head to MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-8). These two teams have met 25 times, including once in the postseason, with the Giants historically dominating the series 16-9.
However, recent history tells a different story, with Tampa Bay cruising to a 30-10 win in their last meeting on November 22, 2021, in Florida. This year, both squads are scrapping to find traction, and the stakes couldn’t be higher.
The Buccaneers enter as five-point road favorites despite being on a four-game losing skid. A tough schedule and some key offensive absences have hampered Tampa, but a bye week may be just what they needed to reset.
Their 7-3 ATS record in their last ten road games suggests they travel well, and they’ll look to exploit a struggling Giants team that’s just 1-6 straight up in their last seven home contests.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Buccaneers have a record of 2-1.
However, against the spread the Giants went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 49 points per game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Heading into week 12, the Buccaneers are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 23-20 home loss to the 49ers in week 10. Despite the defeat, Tampa Bay managed to cover the spread, improving their ATS record to 6-4 this season. They rank 11th in our power rankings and have a 32.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 26.6% chance of winning the NFC South.
The Bucs are 2-2 on the road this season and 2-4 at home. In division games, they are 1-2, but they have a 4-3 record against NFC opponents. Their O/U record is 7-3, with their games averaging 54.5 points per game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Heading into week 12, the Buccaneers rank 8th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27.9 points per game, which is 5th in the NFL. They’ve been strong on 3rd down, converting 50% of their attempts, and they rank 6th in red zone attempts. However, they’ve struggled to convert in the red zone, with a conversion rate of just 10.5%, placing them 25th in the league.
Baker Mayfield threw for 116 yards and a touchdown in week 10, completing 18 of 29 passes without an interception. Bucky Irving led the team with 73 rushing yards on 13 carries, while Rachaad White had 6 receptions for 39 yards and a touchdown. Tampa Bay has been leaning on Cade Otton in the passing game, as he led the team in receiving in weeks 8 and 9.
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In their most recent game, the Buccaneers’ defense allowed the 49ers to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts. Despite this, the defense did come up with three sacks and held the 49ers to 75 rushing yards on 22 attempts. However, the 49ers found success through the air, throwing for 338 yards on 25 completions, with a few big plays leading to a 23-20 Tampa Bay loss.
The 49ers averaged 9.4 yards per passing attempt and finished with two passing touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s defense also allowed a 69.4% completion percentage to the 49ers. The Bucs’ offense managed 413 yards in the game.
New York Giants
After their fifth straight loss, the Giants now sit at 2-8 on the season. Their losing streak includes a 27-22 home loss to the Commanders in week 9 and a 20-17 road loss to the Panthers in week 10. New York was a 6.5-point favorite against Carolina but couldn’t get the win, dropping them to 0-5 at home and 2-3 on the road.
Heading into week 12, the Giants have a -6.6 scoring margin and rank 31st in our NFL power rankings. They have no chance of making the playoffs or winning the NFC East. Against the spread, New York is 3-7 and has failed to cover in five straight games. Their O/U record is also 3-7, with an average of 37.8 points scored in their games.
New York Giants Stats
Heading into week 12, the Giants rank 26th in our offensive power rankings and are 30th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 15.6 points per game. They are 24th in passing yards per game with 189.8, despite being 7th in pass attempts. On the ground, they rank 14th in rushing yards per game, with 119.9, on 27.2 attempts per game. New York is 18th in the league in 3rd-down conversions and 6th in red zone conversion percentage.
Daniel Jones struggled in week 10, throwing for 190 yards with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. Tyrone Tracy Jr. had 103 rushing yards on 18 carries, while Wan’Dale Robinson led the team with 51 receiving yards. New York has been slow to start games, failing to score in the 1st half against the Panthers and ranking 27th in 1st-quarter scoring.
In the Giants’ 20-17 overtime loss to the Panthers, their defense allowed 188 rushing yards on 32 attempts, including a 5.9 average. Despite this, they held Carolina to just 118 passing yards on 15 completions. The Giants’ defense gave up one touchdown in the passing game and allowed the Panthers to convert on 40% of their third down attempts.
New York’s defense managed just one sack in the game and lost the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials. The Giants’ offense had a tough time as well, managing only 306 total yards in the game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Giants have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Giants’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. Giants Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -115 | -237 | -1 | -5 |
| Giants | -105 | +195 | +1 | +5 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay -5
Tampa’s defense, when healthy, remains a formidable unit capable of stifling a New York offense that’s relied on Tommy DeVito under center—an undrafted rookie who’s shown grit but is still finding his footing.
On the flip side, the Giants are heavy underdogs for a reason. They’re 1-4 ATS as underdogs in their last five outings and haven’t shown much life on either side of the ball. While they’ve historically had Tampa Bay’s number, the current iteration of this New York squad feels outmatched against a Bucs team desperate to turn their season around.
Our pick vs. the spread in this Giants vs. Buccaneers week 12 matchup is to take the Buccaneers to cover as road favorites. Right now, the line is sitting at -5 in favor of the Buccaneers, and we have them winning by a score of 28-21.
For the over/under, with the line at 41.5 points, we have a projected point total of 49, making our pick to take the over. With the total set at 41.5, expect a gritty game, and watch for Tampa to lean on their road-tested resilience to get back on track.
This one’s shaping up to be a nice – must-watch showdown!
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
How Tommy DeVito is approaching new opportunity as starter
📰: https://t.co/3ASAsPd4AB pic.twitter.com/JRsJa8PzCj
— New York Giants (@Giants) November 20, 2024
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