Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Buccaneers vs. Vikings Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings free NFL Week 1 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Vikings on Sunday, September 10th at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay Minnesota matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1 Regular Season
(0-0) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Tampa Bay +6 | Minnesota -6
Regular Season Week 1 NFL Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay +204 | Minnesota -262
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Last season, the Buccaneers and Vikings did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Vikings have the leg up at 2-1.
The Vikings also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 40 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Looking back to last season, the Buccaneers finished with a record of 8-9 and lost a Wild-Card round matchup with the Cowboys (31-14). Tampa Bay’s road record last year was 3-5 and 5-5 at home. In the NFC-South, the Buccaneers finished 1st while going 4-2 in games within their division.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Offensively, the Buccaneers averaged 18.2 points per game in 2022, putting them 25th in the NFL. In the passing game, they finished 1st in passing attempts and averaged 273.3 yards per game through the air. When looking at their running game, the Buccaneers were 32nd in yards per attempt.
The Buccaneers’ defense is coming off a season in which they were 14th in points allowed and gave up an average of 329.9 yards per game (10th).
When looking at how they got after the quarterback, Tampa Bay was 5th while also finishing 9th in quarterback hits while hitting the QB on 16.9% of their dropbacks.
Minnesota Vikings
Coming off a 13-4 season and a loss in the Wild Card round, the Vikings will be looking for a deeper playoff run this season. In the NFC-North, the Vikings were 4-2 and finished 1st in the standings.
On the road, Minnesota was 5-3 compared to 8-2 at home.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
The Vikings are coming off a season in which they were outgained in 10 of their games and finished 6th in yards per contest. In terms of scoring, the Vikings were 8th in the NFL at 24.9 points per game. On the ground, they averaged 4.1 and ended the season with a completion percentage of 66.7%.
When looking at how the Vikings’ defense performed on 3rd down last season, they were 11th in the NFL with opponents converting 38.1% of their 3rd down attempts.
Minnesota finished the season 4th in turnovers and allowed an average of 25.4, putting them 28th in the NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Vikings are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Vikings have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Vikings’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. Vikings Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | +245 | +203 | +7 | +6 |
| Vikings | -312 | -262 | -7 | -6 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay +6
The side I’m playing on the spread, is to take the Buccaneers on the road.
I have reservations about the ability of Minnesota’s defense to effectively contain Baker Mayfield and his arsenal of wide receiver weapons.
In terms of making a prediction, considering Minnesota’s defensive challenges, Tampa Bay’s offense, featuring playmakers like Evans, Mayfield, Godwin, and White, should have the capacity to generate sufficient points and keep pace with Kirk Cousins and the Vikings.
With the line, sitting at +6, I’d be looking to act now on getting some action on Tampa Bay.
For the total, I anticipate the Minnesota Vikings will persist in their strategy of stretching the field vertically and targeting the vulnerabilities in Tampa Bay’s secondary defense.
Given that this game will be played indoors and considering the Vikings’ high-paced style of play, combined with a relatively low 45.5-point total, it appears to be a prime opportunity for an OVER wager.
It’s worth noting that in 2022, the Vikings surpassed the second-half game total over in 11 out of their last 13 games, underscoring their offensive potential.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/Vikings/status/1699444859881595007
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