Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Chiefs on Monday, November 4th at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay Kansas City Monday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
Monday Night Football on ESPN
(4-4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)
Date: Monday, November 4th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tampa Bay +8.5 | Kansas City -8.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay +339 | Kansas City -438
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
- Live Betting Odds for the upcoming Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Week 9 game!
- Want more NFL football regular season predictions like this Buccaneers Chiefs play? Check out our free NFL Week 9 AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Buckle up for this Week 9 Monday Night Football showdown! Tampa Bay heads to Arrowhead to face Kansas City, and there’s a lot to dive into here.
The Chiefs are flying high at 7-0, and while the spread’s at -8.5, we’re looking at a Bucs team that knows how to keep things close, covering in 10 of their last 13 road games.
Last season, the Buccaneers and Chiefs did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chiefs have the leg up at 2-1.
However, against the spread the Buccaneers went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 53 points per game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
After a week 6 win over the Saints, the Bucs have now dropped two straight, including a 31-26 loss to the Falcons in week 8. This leaves Tampa Bay at 4-4, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. They are 1-2 in division games but 4-2 against the NFC.
Our power rankings have the Bucs 12th, and they have a 48.0% chance of making the playoffs and a 28.3% chance of winning the division.
Against the spread, the Bucs are 4-4, with an average scoring margin of +2.8 points per game. They’ve failed to cover in two straight games, including their loss to the Falcons, where they were 1.5-point underdogs.
Tampa Bay’s O/U record is 6-2, with the over hitting in five straight games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Heading into week 9, the Buccaneers rank 6th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game (29.4) and yards per game (389.5). Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, leading the league with a 52.5% conversion rate. They are also 4th in passing attempts and 2nd in passing yards per game, averaging 258.5 yards through the air.
Baker Mayfield threw for 330 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 8, completing 37 of 50 passes without an interception. Cade Otton led the team with 9 catches for 81 yards and 2 touchdowns.
The Bucs scored on all 3 of their red zone trips and converted 9 of 14 3rd downs against the Falcons.
Expert NFL Betting Picks
Looking for more NFL betting picks? Check out today’s featured premium plays from CappersPicks handicappers, including sides, totals, and weekly NFL betting packages.
In their 31-26 loss to the Falcons, the Buccaneers’ defense struggled to defend the big play in the passing game, as Atlanta averaged 9.1 yards per attempt and completed 79.3% of their passes.
Tampa Bay allowed four passing touchdowns and gave up 265 yards through the air. They also struggled on third down, allowing the Falcons to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.
On the defensive front, the Buccaneers did manage to generate two sacks and had a positive differential in quarterback hits and tackles for loss. Overall, the Falcons finished with 394 total yards against Tampa Bay.
Kansas City Chiefs
Heading into week 9, the Chiefs sit atop the AFC with a perfect 7-0 record. Our projections give Kansas City a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 96.4% chance of winning the AFC West. They currently rank 4th in our NFL power rankings. The Chiefs have a +7.1 scoring margin and are 4-2-1 against the spread.
Their O/U record is 3-4, with their games averaging 42.3 points compared to an average line of 45.
Kansas City narrowly defeated the Raiders in week 8, winning 27-20 but failing to cover the 8.5-point spread. The O/U line was 43 points, with the teams combining for 47. In week 7, the Chiefs covered as 2.5-point underdogs against the 49ers, winning 28-18. They also covered the spread in week 5, beating the Saints 26-13 as 5-point favorites.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Heading into week 9, the Chiefs rank 8th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 24.7, and 10th in total yards with 348 per game. Kansas City has been strong on 3rd down, converting 50.5% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league. They are 13th in passing yards per game (225.9) and 13th in rushing yards per game (122.1), despite ranking 6th in rushing attempts.
Patrick Mahomes threw for 262 yards (27/38) and 2 touchdowns in week 8 against the Raiders. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing with 59 yards on 21 carries, while Travis Kelce had 10 catches for 90 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City converted 12 of 16 3rd downs and scored on 3 of 4 red zone trips in the win.
In their most recent game, the Chiefs’ defense allowed just 33 rushing yards on 21 attempts to the Raiders. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, the Chiefs held the Raiders to just 195 yards through the air.
They also recorded five sacks and limited Las Vegas to a 46.2% conversion rate on third down. The Chiefs’ defense played a big role in their 27-20 win, as they pressured the quarterback and didn’t allow much in the running game.
The Raiders finished with only 228 total yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 6-2-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | +280 | +339 | +7 | +8.5 |
| Chiefs | -355 | -438 | -7 | -8.5 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay +8.5
Tampa’s offense, led by Baker Mayfield, surprised last week against Atlanta, showing a spark that could keep this matchup tight—especially in a backdoor-cover scenario.
Our pick vs. the spread on Monday Night Football is to take the Buccaneers to cover as road underdogs. Even though the Chiefs are the favorite at -8.5, we have the Bucs finishing with 27 points in this week nine matchup, while the Chiefs win outright by a 30-27 scoreline.
The total is the real story here. With the line set at 45.5, this one’s ripe for the OVER.
The Bucs have hit the OVER in their last five, and the Chiefs’ dynamic offense promises to keep the scoreboard moving.
Even with Kansas City dominating outright, Tampa’s scrappy, road-tested performance makes for a thrilling betting card.
For the over/under line, we are leaning towards taking the OVER with a projected combined score of 57 points, surpassing the O/U line of 45.5. I’m expecting fireworks on Arrowhead.
Stay tuned for a battle of grit and firepower as the Chiefs and Bucs light up the field under the Monday night lights!
Best Sportsbooks For Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Gambling Today!
- 50% Reload Bonuses
- Daily Player Promos
- Live Dealer Casino
- Crypto Deposits
- Same-Game Parlays
- Casino + Poker
- Same-Game Parlays
- Overnight Lines
- Progressive Jackpots
- Reduced-Juice Lines
- 7% Racebook Rebate
- 100% Crypto Bonus
- VIP Cash Rewards
- Live Betting & Props
- High Betting Limits
In Canada? Try Bodog!
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Getting ready for MNF at our place! pic.twitter.com/xumiqxue4G
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 31, 2024
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Monday Night Football matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special NFL Regular Season Offers!
